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Stephen Nover
I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
| Match Up | Pick | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona vs Colorado | Colorado +14½ -110 | Premium | 89-79 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Georgia Southern vs Coastal Carolina | Coastal Carolina -2 -115 | Top Premium | 96-72 | Loss | -115 | Show |
| Clippers vs Grizzlies | Grizzlies +6½ -115 | Premium | 123-120 | Win | 100 | Show |
| Arkansas vs Missouri | Missouri -135 | Premium | 88-84 | Loss | -135 | Show |
PICKS IN PROGRESS
Nothing against Michigan, but I trust Tom Izzo and want Michigan State going for me with this many points. Michigan is the superior team. No argument there. But the Spartans are very good, too, and the Wolverines may not be as fully motivated as usual since they have already clinched the Big Ten title.
Michigan State had a disastrous first half in its first meeting against Michigan on Jan. 30. The Spartans missed 14 of their first 18 shots and trailed by 16 points at halftime. Michigan State ended up making only 4-of-23 shots from 3-point range for 17 percent. The Spartans average 35.6 percent from 3-point range on the season. Despite the horrendous shooting, Michigan State lost by only eight points.
I expect the Spartans to shoot better. Michigan gives up only 1.7 fewer points per game than Michigan. Both are very tough defensively. Michigan State leads the country in defensive rebound.
The Wolverines have less rotation depth than they did in the first meeting having lost sophomore guard L.J. Cason (8.4 ppg) to a torn ACL last week.
Even though this is an early March game, I'm expecting playoff-type intensity between the Celtics and Cavaliers, two of the four best teams in the Eastern Conference, in this nationally televised (ABC) game.
Both Boston and Cleveland are in excellent defensive form.
The Celtics are the No. 1 defensive team in the NBA, giving up an average of 107 points a game. They also rank second in defensive field goal percentage. If you discount the 118 points the Celtics surrendered to the Hornets two games, Boston is permitting only 94.7 points a game in its last seven games.
Another reason why the Celtics have such good defensive numbers is because they play at the slowest pace in the NBA.
The Cavaliers rank 14th defensively and are eighth in defensive field goal percentage. Cleveland is permitting an average of only 103.2 points in regulation during its last five games.
Donovan Mitchell is expected back after missing four games with a groin strain, while Jayson Tatum made his season debut in Boston's last game playing 27 minutes against Dallas. Both superstars could be dealing with rust issues.
Note this is a very early start time. Often that's a plus for the Under.
SERVICE BIO
Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.
Top Cappers L7 Days
| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Calvin King | $1,582 |
| Jack Jones | $1,492 |
| Brooke Bennett | $1,171 |
| Hunter Price | $1,084 |
| John Martin | $891 |
| Bobby Conn | $816 |
| Info Plays | $773 |
| Kyle Hunter | $665 |
| Joseph D'Amico | $657 |
| Kenny Walker | $577 |
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