Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-17-19 | Royals v. White Sox UNDER 8.5 | 4-3 | Win | 105 | 1 h 60 m | Show | |
6* Wednesday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Royals/White Sox UNDER 8.5 The Key: Both Brad Keller and Lucas Giolito have had tremendous success in their careers against the opposing lineups tonight. Keller is 3-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the White Sox, while Giolito is 4-0 with a 2.40 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Royals. Keller has yielded only 2 earned runs in 19 innings in his last 3 starts against Chicago. The wind is expected to be blowing in from center today as well. Take the UNDER. | |||||||
04-16-19 | Cubs -133 v. Marlins | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -133 The Key: The Cubs have the advantage on the mound tonight with Jose Quintana over Pablo Lopez. They have the advantage in all other aspects of this game as well. Quintana pitched 7 shutout innings while striking out 11 batters in his last start against the Pirates. He gave up one run in 6 innings in his last start against the Marlins. Lopez is 1-2 with a 6.60 ERA in 3 starts this year for Miami. The Marlins are 1-8 in Lopez’s last 9 starts. Take Chicago. | |||||||
04-15-19 | Angels -122 v. Rangers | 7-12 | Loss | -122 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Angels -122 The Key: The Angels have a big advantage on the rubber tonight over the Rangers. Trevor Cahill sports a 3.50 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 3 starts this season. Cahill is 11-4 with a 3.22 ERA in 20 lifetime starts against the Rangers. Shelby Miller is 0-1 with a 9.52 ERA in 2 starts this season for the Rangers. Miller is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Angels. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
04-14-19 | Brewers v. Dodgers -142 | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -142 The Key: The Dodgers have done enough losing of late they are tired of it. They have lost 6 in a row. Enough is enough. They’ll be hungry for a win today and take advantage of their edge on the rubber. Ross Stripling is 0-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 3 starts this year, and he sports a 2.32 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 2 home starts. Stripling shut out the Brewers in his only lifetime start against them. Jhoulys Chacin is 2-1 with a 4.24 ERA in 3 starts for the Brewers this year. He is 12-10 with a 4.32 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 27 lifetime starts against the Dodgers, who are very familiar with him, and that will be a huge advantage for them. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
04-13-19 | Brewers v. Dodgers -112 | 4-1 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 16 m | Show | |
6* Brewers/Dodgers MLB *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -112 The Key: The Dodgers will be hungry for a victory after losing 5 in a row coming in. I think we are getting them at a cheap price due to that 5-game skid. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
04-12-19 | Brewers v. Dodgers -142 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -142 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -142 The Key: The Los Angeles Dodgers have lost 4 in a row and will be hungry for a victory at home Friday night. They send uber-talented Julio Urias to the mound and his 3.11 ERA in 2 starts this year. Urias sports a 1.64 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Brewers. Corbin Burnes sports a 9.90 ERA in 2 starts for the Brewers this season, and he has already yielded 6 home runs in 10 innings. The Dodgers will feast on him today. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
04-11-19 | Blue Jays v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
7* AL East Game of the Month on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (+101) The Key: The Boston Red Sox will wipe the slate clean and get going today. They have opened 3-9 in defense of their World Series title, but 11 of those 12 games were on the road. And after getting their rings on Tuesday, they had Wednesday off to get over the distraction. Look for them to come back focused and hungry Thursday against the Blue Jays. Nathan Eovaldi owns the Blue Jays, going 1-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Aaron Sanchez has lost his last 2 starts against the Red Sox while yielding 8 earned runs in 12 innings for a 6.00 ERA. Boston is 21-3 revenging a loss as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons and winning by 2.2 RPG. Take Boston on the Run Line. | |||||||
04-10-19 | Dodgers v. Cardinals +100 | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals +100 The Key: No analysis Wednesday. | |||||||
04-09-19 | Padres -118 v. Giants | 2-7 | Loss | -118 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Diego Padres -118 The Key: Joey Lucchesi is an up-and-comer who is coming off a great rookie season last year and simply building off that this year. Luchesi is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in his 2 starts this season with 13 strikeouts in 10 1/3 innings. Lucchesi is 2-0 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Giants. Derek Holland was awful last year and that has carried over into 2019 as he’s 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in two starts. Holland is 1-3 with a 6.29 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against the Padres. San Diego is 7-0 in its last 7 against a left-handed starters. The Giants are 15-37 in their last 52 games overall. San Francisco is 1-7 in its last 8 home games. The Giants are 1-6 in Holland’s last 7 starts. Take San Diego. | |||||||
04-08-19 | A's -131 v. Orioles | 4-12 | Loss | -131 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -131 The Key: The Baltimore Orioles are who we thought they were. After a surprising start to the season, the Orioles just lost all 3 games at home to the Yankees and gave up 14 home runs, the second-most ever by a home team in a 3-game series. Now it’s Andrew Cashner’s turn to get lit up to the A’s. Cashner is 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 2 starts this year. Cashner is 1-1 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.65 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the A’s. Marco Estrada is 9-3 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts against the Orioles. Estrada sports a 2.76 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in 3 starts for the A’s this season spanning 16 1/3 innings. The A’s are 40-14 in their last 54 against a team with a losing record. The Orioles are 18-44 in their last 62 home games. Take Oakland. | |||||||
04-07-19 | Dodgers v. Rockies +145 | Top | 12-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
7* Dodgers/Rockies ESPN *BAILOUT* on Colorado +145 The Key: No Analysis Sunday. | |||||||
04-06-19 | Padres v. Cardinals -118 | 6-4 | Loss | -118 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -118 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Cardinals as small home favorites today against the San Diego Padres. The Cardinals will want to avenge their upset 3-5 loss from Game 1. They should get their revenge behind Michael Wacha, who has never lost to the Padres, going 3-0 with a 2.32 ERA and 1.13 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. Take St. Louis. | |||||||
04-05-19 | A's v. Astros -153 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Houston Astros -153 The Key: No analysis Friday. | |||||||
04-04-19 | Rangers v. Angels -134 | 11-4 | Loss | -134 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
6* Rangers/Angels MLB *BAILOUT* on Los Angeles -134 The Key: The Angels opened the season with 6 straight road games and it did not go well for them as they went 1-5. I think they will win their home opener tonight against Texas and will lay the price with them. The Rangers are coming off two straight upset wins over the Astros and are in a letdown spot. Edinson Volquez has a 9.00 ERA after yielding 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings to the Cubs in his opening start. Volquez is 1-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 2.11 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Angels. Matt Harvey pitched 6 solid innings allowing 2 earned runs in a 6-2 win at Oakland in his first start with the Angels. Texas is 7-23 in its last 30 games off 2 straight upset home wins as underdogs against division opponents. Los Angeles is 38-15 as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last 2 seasons. The Rangers are 1-7 in Volquez’s last 8 road starts. The Angels are 6-1 in the last 7 home games. The Angels are 5-0 in their last 5 home meetings with the Rangers. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
04-03-19 | Astros -1.5 v. Rangers | 0-4 | Loss | -135 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-135) The Key: Gerrit Cole is a legit Cy Young candidate in the American League. The Astros have a big edge with him on the mound over Mike Minor of the Rangers tonight. Cole is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the Rangers, and his teams are 5-0 in those games. Minor is 1-2 with a 4.93 ERA in 8 lifetime starts against the Astros. Cole has a 1.50 ERA in his lone start this year, while Minor has an 11.56 ERA after yielding 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of a 4-12 loss to the Cubs in his first start this season. Take Houston on the Run Line. | |||||||
04-02-19 | Mets -124 v. Marlins | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on New York Mets -124 The Key: The Mets will be one of the most improved teams in the big leagues this season. They bolstered their lineup and their bullpen, which were their two biggest weaknesses. And they already have one of the best rotations in baseball. They have opened 3-1 while averaging 6.2 runs per game. I think we are getting them at a cheap price today against one of the worst teams in baseball in the Marlins, who are hitting .225 and scoring 3.4 RPG this season. And they have one of the worst rotations in baseball. Jason Vargas went 2-0 with a 1.64 ERA in his 2 starts against the Marlins last season, yielding only 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 11 innings. Jose Urena was rocked for 6 runs and 10 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his first start of the season against the Rockies. The Mets are 6-1 in Vargas’ last 7 starts. The Marlins are 6-13 in Urena’s last 19 home starts. Take New York. | |||||||
04-01-19 | Red Sox -129 v. A's | 0-7 | Loss | -129 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -129 The Key: The Boston Red Sox lost 3 of their 4 games in their opening series at Seattle. They will be playing with a sense of urgency tonight in Oakland to try and get on track after winning the World Series last year. David Price was their World Series hero and went 16-7 with a. 3.58 ERA during the regular season. Price is 4-3 with a 3.31 ERA in 10 lifetime starts against the A’s. Aaron Brooks hasn’t thrown a meaningful pitch in the majors since 2015. He pitched just 3 times in the majors last season, all late in one-sided games. Boston is 13-1 in road games after a combined score of 15 or more runs over the last 2 seasons. The Red Sox are 9-1 in their last 10 Monday games. Take Boston. | |||||||
03-31-19 | Cubs -123 v. Rangers | 10-11 | Loss | -123 | 4 h 45 m | Show | |
6* Cubs/Rangers Interleague *CA$H COW* on Chicago -123 The Key: Cole Hamels pitched great for the Cubs after getting traded from the Rangers last season. He went 4-3 with a 2.36 ERA with the Cubs. He’ll want to beat his former team here Sunday. Lance Lynn is 6-7 with a 4.71 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 19 lifetime starts against the Cubs. He gave up 7 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Cubs last season. Chicago is 30-10 in road games off a loss by 2 runs or less over the last 3 seasons. Take Chicago. | |||||||
03-30-19 | Astros -112 v. Rays | 1-3 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Houston Astros -112 The Key: It’s rare to get the Astros at this cheap of a price. They are the best team in baseball in my opinion, and I don’t think it’s really even close. Today’s starter, Collin McHugh, sports a 2.32 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against the Rays. Tyler Glasnow is a nice young talent, but he’ll have his hands full against this potent Houston lineup. The Astros are 41-15 in their last 56 road games. The Astros are 6-1 in McHugh’s last 7 starts. The Rays are 1-5 in Glasnow’s last 6 starts. Take Houston. | |||||||
03-29-19 | Red Sox -133 v. Mariners | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Boston Red Sox -133 The Key: The Seattle Mariners have surprisingly opened 3-0 this season. They’ll be suffering their first loss of the season to the defending champs tonight. Nathan Eovaldi came up huge for the Red Sox in the postseason last year, and he’ll win his first start of 2019 as well. Eovaldi sports a 2.12 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Mariners. Boston is 94-39 as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. The Red Sox are 12-1 in road games after a game with a combined score of 15 or more over the last 2 years. Take Boston. | |||||||
03-28-19 | Indians v. Twins -102 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
6* Indians/Twins AL Central *CA$H COW* on Minnesota -102 The Key: The Minnesota Twins are built to win now. And ace Jose Berrios takes the ball on opening day looking to make a statement against the Cleveland Indians, who are their biggest challengers to win the AL Central. Berrios went 12-11 with a 3.84 ERA and 202 K’s in 192 1/3 innings last year while earning an All-Star nod. The Indians are banged up with Jason Kipnis, Francisco Lindor and Bradley Zimmer all sidelined to start the season. Jose Ramirez is also battling a knee injury. Berrios should be able to shut down their short-handed lineup. Take Minnesota. | |||||||
10-24-18 | Dodgers v. Red Sox -138 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
6* Dodgers/Red Sox World Series *CA$H COW* on Boston -135 The Key: The Dodgers just can’t seem to score enough runs to hang with the Red Sox. This Boston lineup is the best in baseball, and that’s been on display during their 5-game postseason winning streak. They scored at least 7 runs in 4 of those 5 wins, including the 8 they hung on the Dodgers last night. The Dodgers have scored 5 runs or fewer in 8 straight playoff games. David Price is 9-3 with a 3.41 ERA in 18 home starts this year for the Red Sox. He should be able to hold this Los Angeles lineup in check. Hyun-Jin Ryu is 2-2 with a 4.63 ERA in 8 home starts this year for the Dodgers. He will get hit early and often by the Red Sox in this one. The Dodgers are just 2-12 in Ryu’s last 14 road starts vs. at team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 41-11 in their last 52 interleague games. Take Boston. | |||||||
10-23-18 | Dodgers +142 v. Red Sox | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
6* Dodgers/Red Sox World Series *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles +142 The Key: I like the price we are getting with Clayton Kershaw and the Dodgers tonight over the Boston Red Sox. Kershaw is exercising his postseason demons with a 2.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in 3 playoff starts this year. Chris Sale has made it past the 5th innings just once in his last 7 starts, and that was only a 5 1/3-inning outing against the Yankees this postseason. Kershaw is 42-12 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. Bet on him in these spots and you would be up +21.2 units over the last 2 years. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
10-19-18 | Dodgers v. Brewers UNDER 8 | 2-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
6* Dodgers/Brewers NLCS *Total* Annihilator on UNDER 8 The Key: The Dodgers and Brewers both have dynamite bullpens that make it tough to get runs across the plate. And there’s a lot to like about the Game 6 starters tonight. Wade Miley has pitched 18 2/3 shutout innings against the Dodgers in 2018 alone. Hyun-Jin Ryu has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 17 consecutive starts, including zero runs in seven of them. He has allowed just 3 earned runs in 30 1/3 innings in his last 5 starts. The UNDER is 6-1 in Ryu’s last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The UNDER is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings. Take the UNDER. | |||||||
10-18-18 | Red Sox v. Astros -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Red Sox/Astros ALCS *CA$H COW* on Houston -1.5 (+110) The Key: Houston in a must-win game with Justin Verlander on the mound is the play here. They should have no problem winning by at least 2 runs against the Boston Red Sox due to their huge edge on the mound. Verlander is 18-9 with a 2.56 ERA in 36 starts this year. He is also 4-2 with a 1.83 ERA in his last 10 starts against the Red Sox. David Price is 0-9 with a 6.16 ERA in 11 lifetime starts in the postseason. He has yielded 7 earned runs in 6 1/3 innings in his 2 postseason starts in 2018. Expect Price to get shelled once again by this hungry Houston lineup ready to break out. Take Houston on the Run Line. | |||||||
10-17-18 | Red Sox +139 v. Astros | 8-6 | Win | 139 | 7 h 27 m | Show | |
6* Red Sox/Astros ALCS *CA$H COW* on Boston +139 The Key: Rick Porcello came up big in Game 4 to close out the New York Yankees in the ALDS. He pitched 5 innings of 4-hit ball while allowing only one earned run without a walk to earn the victory. Porcello has been at his best not he road this season at 11-3 with a 3.76 ERA in 19 road starts. Charlie Morton hasn’t pitched since September 30th, and now he has to step into this pressure-packed situation with the Astros needing a victory nearly 3 weeks since throwing his last meaningful pitch. It’s a tough spot for Morton and I’ll gladly fade him. Morton has yielded 8 earned runs, 19 base runners and 3 homers in 10 1/3 innings across 2 starts against Boston this season for a 6.97 ERA. The Red Sox are 21-5 off a win by 6 runs or more this season. The Red Sox are 6-1 in Porcello’s last 7 starts. Take Boston. | |||||||
10-16-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -145 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
7* MLB Postseason Game of the Year on Los Angeles Dodgers -145 The Key: The Dodgers need a victory in Game 4 tonight at home to square this series. I think they get it thanks to their edge on the mound. Rich Hill comes in 2-0 with a 1.47 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Hill is 3-1 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 8 lifetime starts against the Brewers, including 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in 2 starts against them in 2018. His teams have gone 7-1 in those 8 starts. Gio Gonzalez only pitched 2 innings in Game 1 and the Brewers nearly blew a big lead late giving up 4 runs in the final 2 innings. The Dodgers have had the luxury of seeing all of Milwaukee’s relievers now through 3 games. I think they’ll have some success today against Milwaukee when they turn to their bullpen after Gonzalez exits. The Dodgers are 7-0 in their last 7 games after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Los Angeles is 9-1 in its last 10 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 6-0 in Hill’s last 6 starts. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
10-15-18 | Brewers v. Dodgers -170 | 4-0 | Loss | -170 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Brewers/Dodgers NLCS *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -170 The Key: Walker Buehler has been lights out at home this season for the Dodgers. He is 4-2 with a 1.34 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in 12 home starts this year. He faced the Brewers at home back in late-July and yielded just one earned run in 7 innings. Jhoulys Chacin faced the Dodgers in LA back in early-August and gave up 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-21 loss. The Dodgers have the superior starter on the mound in this one. The Dodgers are 9-0 in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
10-13-18 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 7 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
6* Astros/Red Sox ALCS *Total* Annihilator on OVER 7 The Key: I think Justin Verlander and Chris Sale are getting too much respect from the books here. And the books aren’t giving these offenses enough credit. It is the offenses that have led these teams to where they are today. These are the two best offenses in the American League. A total of 7 is simply too low for these two offenses in a hitter-friendly place like Fenway Park. Sale has yielded 15 earned runs in 18 innings in his last 3 starts against the Astros. The OVER is 3-0 in Sale’s last 3 starts against the Astros. The OVER is 3-0 in Verlander’s last 3 starts against the Red Sox. Take the OVER. | |||||||
10-09-18 | Red Sox v. Yankees -120 | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
6* Red Sox/Yankees AL *CA$H COW* on New York -120 The Key: C.C. Sabathia is 6-3 with a 3.12 ERA in 15 home starts this year. He has delivered time and time again when the Yankees have needed him most. He is even 6-0 with a 3.32 ERA in ALDS play lifetime and thrives in these spots. I trust him a lot more than Rick Porcello, who is 0-3 with a 5.33 ERA in 12 outings in the postseason, still in search of his first victory. He is 0-1 with a 7.00 ERA in 4 playoff appearances with the Red Sox. Take New York. | |||||||
10-08-18 | Dodgers -148 v. Braves | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
6* Dodgers/Braves NL *CA$H COW* on Los Angeles -148 The Key: This all comes down to the fact that Rich Hill has dominated the Braves throughout his career, while Mike Foltynewicz has struggled mightily against the Dodgers. Hill has never lost to the Braves, going 5-0 with a. 1.76 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against them. Foltynewicz sports a 7.43 ERA in his 3 lifetime starts against the Dodgers while yielding 11 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings. The Dodgers clinch the series with a victory in Game 4 tonight. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
10-05-18 | Rockies v. Brewers -156 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
6* Rockies/Brewers National League *CA$H COW* on Milwaukee -156 The Key: The Brewers have the clear edge on the mound tonight over the Rockies. Jhoulys Chacin sports a 3.50 ERA in 35 starts this season. He also sports a 3.32 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against the Rockies. Tyler Anderson sports a 5.02 ERA in 15 road starts this season. He is 1-2 with an 8.59 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against the Brewers. The Rockies are just 2-10 in Anderson’s last 12 starts. Colorado is 0-5 in Anderson’s last 5 road starts. The Brewers are 12-1 following 2 consecutive wins by 2 runs or less this season. The Brewers are 9-0 in their last 9 games overall. Take Milwaukee. | |||||||
10-03-18 | A's v. Yankees -170 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
7* A’s/Yankees Wild Card *HEAVY HITTER* on New York -170 The Key: I’m laying the big price with the Yankees today because they’re worth it. They have the better lineup, the better starter and the better bullpen. And they’re at home. They have the edge in all of the key categories heading into this game. Luis Severino is 10-2 with a 2.74 ERA in 15 home starts this season, which is very impressive at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. It’s easy to see why the Yankees went with him as their starter. He’ll be backed up by plenty of bullpen depth and some big arms. The A’s are going with a complete bullpen game as Liam Hendriks gets the first crack. The Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 playoff home games. New York is 6-0 in its last 6 games following an off day. The Yankees are 22-4 in Severino’s last 26 starts. The A’s are 1-6 in their last 7 playoff road games. Take New York. | |||||||
10-02-18 | Rockies v. Cubs -135 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
7* Cubs/Rockies National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -135 The Key: Jon Lester has pitched in several elimination games. He won’t be phased, especially with how well he has pitched here down the stretch. Lester sports a 1.71 ERA in his last 8 starts while yielding only 9 earned runs in 47 1/3 innings. And he owns the Rockies, sporting a 1.91 ERA in 6 lifetime starts against them. Kyle Freeland won’t be up to the task tonight. This is a very tough travel spot for the Rockies as they went flew from Denver Sunday night to Los Angeles, and now they had to fly all the way to Chicago Monday night. Lester is 20-6 as a favorite of -110 or higher this season. The Cubs are 38-13 in Lester’s last 51 home starts. The Rockies are 1-8 in their last 9 playoff games. Take Chicago. | |||||||
09-30-18 | Braves -132 v. Phillies | 1-3 | Loss | -132 | 4 h 39 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Braves -132 The Key: The Braves are still alive for the 2nd seed. They still need to win today to have any shot at it, which would give them home-field advantage in the divisional round. The Phillies are 1-9 in their last 10 games overall and won’t offer much resistance. They’ve been outscored 49-11 in their last 6 games coming in. Ranger Suarez is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in 2 starts this year for the Phillies, yielding 12 runs, 8 earned and 20 base runners in 9 innings. The Braves should be able to light him up. The Braves are 7-1 in Kevin Gausman’s last 8 starts as he has pitched well for them since being traded. The Phillies are 1-12 in their last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
09-29-18 | Braves +146 v. Phillies | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Braves +146 The Key: I love the price we are getting with the Braves today. They should not be underdogs to the Phillies in this matchup. The Braves are still trying to get the 2nd seed in the National League. They are tied with the Rockies for that seed. It’s big because whoever is 2nd gets home-field advantage in the divisional round. And the Phillies have already packed it in, so even though Aaron Nola is starting for them, they cannot be favored in this situation. The Phillies are 0-9 in their last 9 games overall. They have lost their last 5 games by a combined score of 49-8. Yet they’re favored here. Enough said. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
09-28-18 | Yankees -128 v. Red Sox | 11-6 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Yankees/Red Sox AL East *CA$H COW* on New York -128 The Key: The Yankees can clinch home field in the wild card game with a win Friday against their bitter rivals in the Red Sox. They have a lot to play for here and will be hungry. The Red Sox have already clinched home-field advantage throughout the postseason and don’t need to try at all these last few games. That’s probably why they are starting Brian Johnson, who is 0-1 with a 7.21 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Johnson sports a 7.20 ERA and 1.60 WHIP lifetime against New York. J.A. Haps is 6-2 with a 2.29 ERA in 11 road starts this year. Happ is 1-0 with a 0.53 ERA in his last 3 starts and wants to continue to prove that he deserves to start the wild card game. Few starters have had the success that Happ has against the Red Sox. He is 7-4 with a 2.84 ERA in 19 lifetime starts against Boston. Happ is 8-0 against the money line in September road games over the last 3 years. The Yankees are 8-2 in Hap’s last 10 starts. Take New York. | |||||||
09-27-18 | Braves -112 v. Mets | 1-4 | Loss | -112 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Atlanta Braves -112 The Key: The Braves still have a chance to get the No. 2 seed in the National League. They have just a one-game lead over the Rockies for that spot, which would result in home-field advantage in the divisional round. So despite the fact that they’ve already clinched the division, they still have a lot to play for. And the Braves have been striving for that No. 2 seed as they are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall. The Braves have the clear edge on the mound with Julio Teheran, who is 9-8 with a 4.03 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 30 starts this year. Teheran is 9-6 with a 2.22 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 23 lifetime starts against the Mets. Jason Vargas is 6-9 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 19 starts this season. Vargas is 1-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Braves. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
09-26-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals -102 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
7* Brewers/Cards NL Central *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis -102 The Key: It’s time for the Cardinals to make a stand tonight. They have lost the first 2 games of this series to the Brewers and now are a half-game behind the Rockies in the race for the final wild card. It’s getting to must-win time for the Cardinals, and I expect them to deliver tonight. I like what I’ve seen from John Gant, who is 5-6 with a 3.68 ERA in 18 starts this year. Jhoulys Chacin has never been able to figure out the Cardinals. He is 1-7 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in 9 lifetime starts against them. Milwaukee is 15-28 off 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons. The Cardinals are 36-15 in their last 51 after losing the first 2 games of a series. St. Louis is 4-1 in Gants’ last 5 starts. Take St. Louis. | |||||||
09-25-18 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-125) The Key: The Dodgers have really come to life here down the stretch to try to secure the NL West title. They are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall. Now they’re up against the Diamondbacks, who have been eliminated from the postseason and are playing like it. Arizona is just 1-8 in its last 9 games overall with 7 of those 8 losses coming by 2 runs or more. I believe the Dodgers will win by at least 2 runs tonight as well due to their big edge on the mound. Walker Buehler is 7-4 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 21 starts this year. He gave up just 1 run with 9 strikeouts in 6 1/3 innings in his lone start against Arizona this season on September 2nd. Matt Koch is 5-4 with a 4.52 ERA in 12 starts for the Diamondbacks this year and will be making his first start since June 19th, so he’s sure to be on a pitch count. The Dodgers are 12-2 in their last 14 vs. a team with a winning record. The Diamondbacks are 3-13 in this last 16 vs. a right-handed starter. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
09-24-18 | Brewers v. Cardinals -150 | 6-4 | Loss | -150 | 6 h 27 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on St. Louis Cardinals -150 The Key: The Cardinals have a one game lead on the Rockies for the 2nd wild card spot and trail the Brewers by 2 games for the top spot. They have a big week ahead of them, starting with Game 1 here against the Brewers tonight. I like their chances of getting a win with ace Jack Flaherty on the mound. He is 8-8 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 26 starts this year with 174 strikeouts in 143 innings. Flaherty is 4-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 11 home starts. He is 1-1 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Brewers as well. Dan Jennings will be making his first start of the season for the Brewers. They will use their bullpen for this game. St. Louis is 15-2 in home games off 2 or more consecutive overs this season. The Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall, and 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take St. Louis. | |||||||
09-23-18 | Giants v. Cardinals -1.5 | 2-9 | Win | 115 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
6* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (+115) The Key: The Cardinals should have no problem winning by 2 runs or more today over the hapless San Francisco Giants. The Cards have won 5 of their last 6 as they try to make the postseason as either a wild card or an NL Central title. And now they have a big edge on the mound over the Giants, who have nothing to play for. Miles Mikolas is 7-4 with a 2.23 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 15 home starts this year. Andrew Suarez is 3-6 with a 5.38 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 14 road starts. Mikolas is 10-1 in day games this season with the Cards winning by 2.4 RPG on average. Take St. Louis on the Run Line. | |||||||
09-22-18 | Cubs -1.5 v. White Sox | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
6* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-120) The Key: The Cubs will be hungry for a win today, especially off back-to-back losses, including their 10-4 loss to the White Sox yesterday. But now the Cubs have the clear edge on the mound tonight and will win this game by 2 runs or more because of it. Jon Lester is in postseason form. The left-hander has been terrific in his last 6 starts, going 4-1 with a 1.73 ERA. Lucas Giolito is 3-6 with a 7.91 ERA and 1.67 WHIP in 14 home starts for the White Sox this season. It’s amazing he’s been able to keep his job in the rotation all season because he has been one of the worst pitchers in baseball. Lester has been at his best on the road this year, going 10-2 with a 2.82 ERA in 14 road starts. Lester has won each of his last 2 starts against the White Sox while yielding just 3 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings. The Cubs are 32-7 in Lester’s last 39 starts vs. a team with a losing record, and they’re winning by 2.5 RPG on average in this spot. Lester is 56-9 as a favorite of -200 or more lifetime with his teams winning by 3.2 RPG. Take the Cubs on the Run Line. | |||||||
09-21-18 | Reds v. Marlins +130 | 0-1 | Win | 130 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Miami Marlins +130 The Key: No starter in baseball has had more drastic splits over a big sample size than Wei-Yin Chen this season. He has been awful on the road, but he has been Cy Young-caliber at home. Chen is 5-3 with a 1.77 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in 12 home starts this year. I love the price here getting the Marlins as home dogs against the Reds with Chen on the mound. Neither team has much to play for other than price. Luis Castillo is 4-7 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 16 road starts this year. The Reds are 8-22 in their last 30 road games. The Marlins are 8-2 in their last 10 home meetings with Cincinnati. Take Miami. | |||||||
09-20-18 | Angels v. A's -125 | 3-21 | Win | 100 | 4 h 0 m | Show | |
6* Angels/A’s AL West *CA$H COW* on Oakland A’s -125 The Key: The A’s have a lot to play for right now as they are trying to secure a wild card spot. They should be bigger favorites over the Angels because of it. They won 10-0 yesterday and should have another big game offensively against Matt Shoemaker. Edwin Jackson has been a blessing for the A’s, going 5-3 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 15 starts this year. Jackson is 3-0 with a 0.84 ERA in his last 3 starts against the Angels, yielding just 2 earned runs and 15 base runners in 21 1/3 innings. The A’s are 12-1 in Jackson’s 13 starts vs. an AL team with a batting average of .260 or worse this season. The A’s are 47-12 in their last 59 games vs. a team with a losing record. Take Oakland. | |||||||
09-19-18 | Giants +134 v. Padres | Top | 4-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
7* Giants/Padres NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco +134 The Key: I’m confused how the Padres are even favored in this game, let alone such a big favorite. I like the price we are getting with the Giants tonight due to their edge on the mound. Chris Stratton is 10-9 with a 4.50 ERA in 24 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.70 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Stratton owns the Padres, going 2-1 with a 0.92 ERA in 3 lifetime starts against them. Robbie Erlin is 2-6 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in 10 starts for the Padres this year, including 0-3 with a 7.91 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Erlin has never beaten the Giants, going 0-3 with a 5.95 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Erlin is 1-9 lifetime in home games vs. teams who strand 6.9 or fewer runners per game. The Padres are 1-14 in home games off a loss by 2 runs or less this season. The Giants are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Take San Francisco. | |||||||
09-18-18 | White Sox v. Indians UNDER 8 | Top | 3-5 | Push | 0 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
7* AL Total of the Month on White Sox/Indians UNDER 8 The Key: There’s a lot to like about this UNDER today between the White Sox and Indians. They both have their aces on the mound tonight. Carlos Rodon is 6-5 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 17 starts for the White Sox this season. Rodon is 4-2 with a 2.29 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 12 lifetime starts against the Indians as well. Corey Kluber is 18-7 with a 2.91 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 30 starts this year, including 10-3 with a 2.05 EAR and 0.85 WHIP in 16 home starts. Kluber is 11-4 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 21 lifetime starts against the White Sox, including 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA in his last 3 starts against Chicago, yielding just 1 earned run in 18 innings. The UNDER is 4-0 in Rodon’s last 4 starts. The UNDER is 4-1 in Kluber’s last 5 home starts. The UNDER is 5-1 in Rodon’s last 5 starts against the Indians. The UNDER is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Take the UNDER. | |||||||
09-17-18 | Mets v. Phillies -115 | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Phillies -115 The Key: The Phillies are clinging on to their postseason hopes. They are 6.5 games back in the NL East and 5 games back in the wild card. Look for them to take care of the Mets in this series, starting with Game 1 tonight. Jake Arrieta is 4-3 with a 3.40 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 14 home starts this year. Arrieta sports a 2.34 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in 10 lifetime starts against the Mets. He has allowed one or fewer runs in 7 of those 10 starts. He has yielded just 2 earned runs in 20 2/3 innings in his last 3 starts against the Mets for a 0.89 ERA. Take Philadelphia. | |||||||
09-16-18 | Rockies -115 v. Giants | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
6* Rockies/Giants NL West *CA$H COW* on Colorado -115 The Key: The Rockies are now a half-game back of the Dodgers in the NL West after losing the first 2 games of this series to the Giants. They’ll be hungry to avoid the sweep today and get a win here. They should get one behind Antonio Senzatela, who has never lost to the Giants. He is 4-0 (5-0 money line) with a 3.38 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against San Francisco. Take Colorado. | |||||||
09-15-18 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -1.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-115) The Key: The New York Yankees won 11-0 yesterday over the Blue Jays and should fare well again here Saturday with a win by 2 runs or more. They have the edge on the mound and at the plate. C.C. Sabathia is 7-6 with a 3.54 ERA in 26 starts this year, including 5-2 with a 2.61 ERA in 13 home starts. Sabathia is 2-0 with a 1.23 ERA in his last 4 starts against the Blue Jays, yielding just 3 earned runs in 22 innings. Sean Reid-Foley is 1-3 with a 6.86 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in 4 starts this year. One of those starts was against the Yankees on August 18th. Reid-Foley yielded 8 runs, 6 earned, 3 homers and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-11 loss to them. He’ll get lit up again here. Take New York on the Run Line. | |||||||
09-14-18 | Rockies -131 v. Giants | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -131 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
7* Rockies/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on Colorado -131 The Key: Fading the hapless Giants has been a very profitable move for me here down the stretch. The Giants are 0-11 in their last 11 games overall. They have scored 3 runs or fewer in 10 of those 11 losses. Colorado’s Tyler Anderson should be able to shut them down as well. Anderson has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings with 16 strikeouts in his last 2 starts against the Giants this season. Chris Stratton is 9-9 with a 4.82 ERA in 23 starts for the Giants this year. Stratton is 1-1 with a 9.16 ERA and 2.25 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Rockies. He has yielded 13 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings in his last 2 starts against the Rockies this season. The Giants are 1-7 in Stratton’s last 8 starts. Take Colorado. | |||||||
09-13-18 | A's -1.5 v. Orioles | 3-5 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
6* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-115) The Key: The A’s should have no problem winning by at least 2 runs over the Orioles tonight thanks to their edge on the mound. The Orioles have lost 6 straight and are 41-104 on the season now. The A’s are only one game back of the Yankees for the 1st wild card spot and home-field advantage for that wild card game. And the A’s are still trying to chase down the Astros in the AL West. They’re doing a good job of it by going 6-0 in their last 6 games overall and winning 5 of those games by at least 2 runs. Brett Anderson is 3-4 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 13 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 2.60 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Dylan Bundy is 7-14 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 27 starts for the Orioles, including 0-2 with an 8.16 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in his last 3 outings. The A’s are 23-2 vs. teams with losing records in the second half of the season this season. They are winning by 3.9 RPG in this situation. Take Oakland on the Run Line. | |||||||
09-12-18 | Braves -133 v. Giants | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 3 h 13 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Braves -133 The Key: The Atlanta Braves are in a pennant race and trying to clinch the NL East as soon as possible. They have a lot more to play for right now than the San Francisco Giants, and it’s showing. I have cashed in the Braves each of the past two nights. The Giants are now 0-10 in their last 10 games overall. Their offense has been atrocious. They have scored 3 or fewer runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall. Anibal Sanchez is 6-5 with a 3.17 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 20 starts this season. He is 4-2 with a 2.19 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against the Giants as well. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
09-11-18 | Rockies v. Diamondbacks -115 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
7* NL West Game of the Year on Arizona Diamondbacks -115 The Key: This is a huge game for the Diamondbacks. They are 3.5 games behind the Rockies for 1st place in the NL West. They cannot afford to lose this game, and fortunately for them they have their ace on the mound to get the job done. Zack Greinke is 13-9 with a 3.08 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 29 starts this season. He is 11-5 with a 3.91 ERA in 28 lifetime starts against the Rockies. He has allowed 4 runs or fewer in 11 consecutive starts against Colorado, including 3 runs or fewer in 9 of those. Antonio Senzatela is 2-4 with a 4.47 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 9 starts, this season, including 0-2 with a 6.46 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his last three starts. Senzatela has never beaten the Diamondbacks, going 0-2 with an 11.33 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in two lifetime starts against them. He has yielded 13 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in those 2 starts. Colorado is 1-10 off a win by 10 runs or more over the last 3 seasons. The Diamondbacks are 7-2 in Greinke’s last 9 road starts. Take Arizona. | |||||||
09-10-18 | White Sox +116 v. Royals | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox +116 The Key: The Royals don’t deserve to be favored in this matchup. They are just 47-95 on the season. Jake Junis hasn’t fared well against the White Sox, going 1-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against them. Conversely, Lucas Giolito has never lost to the Royals, going 3-0 with a. 2.01 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts against them. The White Sox are 5-0 in those 5 starts. Take Chicago. | |||||||
09-09-18 | Phillies +155 v. Mets | 4-6 | Loss | -100 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Philadelphia Phillies +155 The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Phillies today against the Mets. The Phillies are fighting to make the playoffs, while the Mets are playing for nothing but pride. So the situation is a good one for the Phillies. And Vincent Velasquez is better than he’s getting credit for with this line. Velasquez is 3-5 with a 3.19 ERA in 13 road starts this year. He is 1-3 with a 3.78 ERA in 7 lifetime starts against the Mets. New York is only 2-9 in DeGrom’s last 11 starts vs. NL East teams. The Mets are 5-14 in DeGrom’s last 19 home starts. Take Philadelphia. | |||||||
09-08-18 | Astros +115 v. Red Sox | 5-3 | Win | 115 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
6* Astros/Red Sox American League *CA$H COW* on Houston +115 The Key: The Red Sox have basically already wrapped up the AL East. The Astros have a lot more to play for right now as they are trying to fend off the A’s for 1st place in the AL West. I like the price we are getting with the Astros not only because of the situation, but also because of their huge edge on the mound. Charlie Morton is 13-3 with a 3.14 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in 26 starts this year. He is clearly the better starter over Eduardo Rodriquez. The Astros have turned it on down the stretch, going 13-3 in their last 16 games overall. And Houston is an impressive 44-17 in its last 61 road games. The Astros are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Take Houston. | |||||||
09-07-18 | Angels v. White Sox -112 | 5-2 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
6* American League *CA$H COW* on Chicago White Sox -112 The Key: I believe the White Sox have a big edge on the mound tonight over the Angels. Carlos Rodon has been a huge bright spot for the Sox this season. He is 6-4 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in 15 starts this year, including 3-1 with a 2.23 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 7 home starts. Rodon is 2-2 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against the Angels. Felix Pena is 1-4 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in 13 starts for the Angels this season. Los Angeles is 2-7 in Pena’s last 9 starts, including 1-4 in his last 5 road starts. The White Sox are 9-1 in Rodon’s last 10 starts during game 1 of a series. Chicago is 7-1 in its last 8 games following a loss. Take Chicago. | |||||||
09-06-18 | Padres +150 v. Reds | 6-2 | Win | 150 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on San Diego Padres +150 The Key: I like the price we are getting with the San Diego Padres today against the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds shouldn’t be favored this heavily over anyone. Luis Castillo is 8-11 with a 4.83 ERA in 27 starts this year. That isn’t much better than San Diego starter Eric Lauer, who is 5-7 with a 5.01 ERA in 19 starts. Lauer is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in one lifetime start against Cincinnati, which came back on June 2nd this season as he earned the victory in an 8-2 Padres’ win. Castillo is 0-1 with a 5.90 ERA in 2 lifetime starts against the Padres. San Diego is 9-2 off a shutout loss to a division rival over the last 2 seasons. Cincinnati is 28-58 after scoring 2 runs over less over the last 2 seasons. The Padres had yesterday off while the Reds did not. The Padres are 4-0 in their last 4 games following an off day. The Reds are 3-11 in their last 14 games overall. Take San Diego. | |||||||
09-05-18 | Cubs v. Brewers -113 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
7* Cubs/Brewers NL Central *HEAVY HITTER* on Milwaukee -113 The Key: The Brewers have a chance to sweep the Cubs and pull within one game of Chicago in the NL Central. I look for them to take full advantage today. Jhoulys Chacin is 14-5 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 29 starts this year, including 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA in his last 3 outings. Chacin is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA in 2 starts against the Cubs this year, pitching 13 shutout innings with 17 strikeouts. Jose Quintana is 11-9 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 26 starts for the Cubs. He gave up 5 earned runs and 3 homers in a 0-7 loss to the Brewers in his last start against them on August 14th. The Cubs are 0-4 in Quintana’s last 4 road starts. The Brewers are 8-2 in Chacin’s last 10 home starts. Take Milwaukee. | |||||||
09-04-18 | Twins v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -1.5 (-140) The Key: The Twins are just trying out all their prospects right now and it’s not going too well for them. They are just 2-8 in their last 10 games overall with all 8 losses coming by 2 runs or more, and 7 of them by 3-plus runs. The Astros have been on a tear since getting Jose Altuve back. They are 10-3 in their last 13 games with 8 of those wins coming by 2 runs or more. With their edge on the mound tonight, they should win by 2 runs or more as well. Trevor May will be making his first start of the season for the Twins. Justin Verlander is 13-9 with a. 2.78 ERA and 0.95 WHIp in 29 starts for the Astros. Verlander is 18-9 with a 3.06 ERA in 35 lifetime starts against the Twins. He pitched 7 shutout innings in a 2-0 victory in his lone start against the Twins in 2018 back on April 9th. Take Houston on the Run Line. | |||||||
09-03-18 | Yankees v. A's -121 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
7* Yankees/A’s American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland -121 The Key: The A’s are fighting to win the AL West or get a wild card right now. They face the team in the Yankees that they would play in the wild card round if the season ended today. I think they want to make a statement in Game 1 of this series tonight. Trevor Cahill has been unhittable at home this year for the A’s, going 4-0 with a 0.85 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in 8 home starts while yielding just 5 earned runs in 52 2/3 innings. C.C. Sabathia is 2-3 with a. 4.27 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in 11 road starts for the Yankees this year. The A’s are 4-0 in Cahill’s last 4 home starts. Oakland is 47-21 in its last 68 games overall. The Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a team with a. Winning record. Take Oakland. | |||||||
09-02-18 | Mets v. Giants UNDER 7.5 | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
6* Sunday MLB *Total* Annihilator on Mets/Giants UNDER 7.5 The Key: I’m surprised to see this total so high today. Both the Giants and Mets lack offensive punch. And Noah Syndergaard is one of the best starters in baseball. Syndergaard is 2-2 with a 2.75 ERA in 5 lifetime starts against the Giants. Chris Stratton is coming off an 8 innings scoreless outing against the Diamondbacks. He has a 2.84 ERA in his lone lifetime start against the Mets. The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 games overall. They are averaging 2.9 RPG and giving up just 1.3 RPG in those 7 games. The Mets have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 7 of their last 9 games. Syndergaard is 9-1 UNDER vs. an NL team with a batting average of .250 or worse this season. The UNDER is 6-0-1 in Giants last 7 home games. Take the UNDER. | |||||||
09-01-18 | Pirates v. Braves -137 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
6* National League *CA$H COW* on Atlanta Braves -137 The Key: The Braves have lost 3 in a row and will be hungry for a victory here today against Pittsburgh. I like their chances with Kevin Gausman on the mound. Guastman is 4-1 with a 1.69 ERA in 5 starts for the Braves since being acquired from the Orioles. He fired 8 shutout innings in a victory over the Pirates in Pittsburgh on August 21st. Chris Archer hasn’t paid off for the Pirates in their trade for him from Tampa Bay. He is 0-2 with a 7.62 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
08-31-18 | Brewers v. Nationals -110 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Washington Nationals -110 The Key: Tanner Roark has been brilliant since the All-Star Break for the Nationals. He is 5-1 with a 1.61 ERA in his last 7 starts with 37 strikeouts and only 5 walks. One of those starts came against Milwaukee on July 25th as he pitched 8 shutout innings with 11 strikeouts in a 7-3 victory. Roark is now 4-1 with a 2.32 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Brewers. Milwaukee played yesterday in a hard-fought 2-1 victory over the Reds in extra innings. The Nationals had yesterday off and will be the fresher team. The Nationals are 6-1 in Roark’s last 7 starts. Take Washington. | |||||||
08-30-18 | Red Sox -1.5 v. White Sox | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-125) The Key: The Red Sox scored 22 combined runs in their 2 wins over the Marlins the past 2 days. They should stay hot at the plate against the White Sox and Lucas Giolito, who is 3-5 with an 8.18 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in 12 home starts this year. Rick Porcello is 9-3 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 15 road starts for the Red Sox, who clearly have a big edge on the mound in this one and should win by 2 runs or more. Boston is 17-2 off a 2-game span where its bullpen threw 9 innings or more this season, and it is winning by 2.5 RPG in this spot. The Red Sox are 43-10 in their last 53 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%. The White Sox are 3-10 in Giolito’s last 13 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The Red Sox are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Take Boston on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-29-18 | Mariners +101 v. Padres | Top | 3-8 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
7* Mariners/Padres Interleague *HEAVY HITTER* on Seattle +101 The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Seattle Mariners are road underdogs to the San Diego Padres today. They lost Game 1 2-1 yesterday and will be hungry to bounce back with a victory tonight. The Mariners certainly need wins more than the Padres do right now as they are trying to make the postseason. The Padres are 17-45 in their last 62 games, including 6-22 in their last 28 home games. Erasmo Ramirez is 1-0 with a 1.12 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in his last 3 starts despite facing 3 of the best lineups in baseball in the Astros, Dodgers and Diamondbacks. Joey Lucchesi is 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA in his last 2 starts while yielding 7 earned runs in 10 innings. The Mariners are 9-2 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%. Take Seattle. | |||||||
08-28-18 | Diamondbacks v. Giants -106 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 8 h 50 m | Show |
7* Diamondbacks/Giants NL West *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -106 The Key: The Giants are 7 games back of 1st place in the NL West. They still believe they are alive, and they are playing like it. The Giants have now won 3 straight and 4 of their last 5 after knocking off the 1st-place Diamondbacks 2-0 last night. They really need to sweep this series, and now they have their ace going in Game 2 tonight. Madison Bumgarner is 5-5 with a 2.88 ERA in 15 starts this year, including 3-2 with a 1.71 ERA in 7 home starts. Bumgarner sports a 2.60 ERA and 1.11. WHIP in 31 lifetime starts against Arizona. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in each of his last 5 starts against the Diamondbacks. Clay Buchholz is getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight for what he has done in limited action this season. Arizona is 4-14 when revenging a shutout loss over the last 3 seasons. The Giants are 7-2 in the last 9 meetings. Take San Francisco. | |||||||
08-27-18 | A's v. Astros -179 | Top | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Houston Astros -179 The Key: I’ll lay the price with the Houston Astros today due to their edge on the mound over the Oakland A’s. Gerrit Cole is 11-5 with a 2.73 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 26 starts this season with 226 strikeouts in 164 2/3 innings. Cole is 2-1 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in 5 lifetime starts vs. Oakland. Brett Anderson is 3-3 with a 3.47 ERA in 12 starts for the A’s this season, including 2-2 with a 4.06 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 8 road starts. Anderson is 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.80 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Houston. He faced the Astros once this season and allowed 9 runs and 13 base runners in 3 innings of a 2-16 loss back on May 7th. Houston is 14-1 off 6 consecutive AL West games this season. The Astros are 5-0 in their last 5 games overall. The A’s are 17-35 in the last 52 meetings, including 9-19 in the last 28 meetings in Houston. The Astros are 7-2 in Cole’s last 9 home starts. Take Houston. | |||||||
08-26-18 | Cardinals +136 v. Rockies | Top | 12-3 | Win | 136 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
7* Cardinals/Rockies NL *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis +136 The Key: We are getting a great price on the St. Louis Cardinals today. They are 21-7 in their last 28 games overall and should not be this big of underdogs. They are coming off a loss yesterday, but are now 15-3 in their last 18 games following a loss. St. Louis is 9-1 in its last 10 road games. The Cardinals are 10-1 in their last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. The Cardinals are 5-0 in Gomber’s last 5 starts. Gomber is 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA in his last 5 starts, and 2-0 with a 1.12 ERA in his last 3 outings. Tyler Anderson is 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA in his last 3 starts for the Rockies. Take St. Louis. | |||||||
08-25-18 | Phillies -119 v. Blue Jays | Top | 6-8 | Loss | -119 | 3 h 23 m | Show |
7* Interleague Game of the Month on Philadelphia Phillies -115 The Key: After losing 5 of their last 6 coming in in the midst of a pennant race, the Phillies will be hungry for a victory here in Toronto today. The Phillies are 6-1 in their last 7 during Game 2 of a series. The Blue Jays are 2-10 in Sanchez’s last 12 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Toronto is 1-7 in Sanchez’s last 8 starts during Game 2 of a a series. Take Philadelphia. | |||||||
08-24-18 | Cardinals -105 v. Rockies | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show | |
6* Cards/Rockies NL *CA$H COW* on St. Louis -105 The Key: The Cardinals are on a 13-2 tear that has come against many of the top teams in baseball. They simply cannot be stopped right now and I like the price we are getting with them at -105 against the Rockies tonight. The Cards are rested after having Thursday off while the Rockies played Thursday against the Padres. Miles Mikolas is 13-3 with a 2.80 ERA this season. He is the better starter in this matchup. The Cards have gone 10-1 in their last 11 road games and 5-0 in Mikolas’ last 5 starts. Take St. Louis. | |||||||
08-23-18 | White Sox v. Tigers -131 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 1 h 13 m | Show |
7* AL Central Game of the Month on Detroit Tigers -131 The Key: The Detroit Tigers have a big edge on the mound tonight over the Chicago White Sox. Matt Boyd has been great at home this year, where he’s 5-3 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in 11 starts. James Shields has been awful on the road, going 1-6 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 10 starts away from home. Boyd fired a complete game shutout in his last start against the White Sox, giving up just 2 base runners in 9 innings of a 12-0 victory. Shields has allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last 4 starts against the Tigers. The White Sox are 6-22 in Shields’ last 28 road starts. The Tigers are 8-2 in Boyd’s last 10 home starts. Chicago is 2-18 in Shields’ last 20 road starts vs. a team that averages 0.5 or fewer stolen bases per game. Take Detroit. | |||||||
08-22-18 | Rangers v. A's -150 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -150 | 3 h 34 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -150 The Key: The Oakland A’s are the hottest team in baseball. They are 42-14 in their last 56 games overall and aren’t getting the respect they deserve from oddsmakers. They have outscored Texas 15-0 in winning each of the first two games in this series. Edwin Jackson should be able to shut down the Rangers as well. Jackson is 4-2 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 10 starts this year, 3-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in 5 home starts, and 2-0 with a 0.96 ERA in his last 3 outings. Mike Minor is 4-4 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in 10 road starts for the Rangers this year. The A’s are 5-0 in Jackson’s last 5 starts. Jackson is 8-0 vs. an AL team with an OBP of .330 or worse this season. Take Oakland. | |||||||
08-21-18 | Rangers v. A's -1.5 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 36 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Oakland A’s -1.5 (-105) The Key: The Oakland A’s have a big edge on the mound tonight with Brett Anderson over Ariel Jurado. Anderson is 2-3 with a 3.90 ERA in 11 starts this year, 0-1 with a 3.57 ERA in 3 home starts, and 0-9 with a 0.92 ERA in his last 3 starts. He has yielded just 2 earned runs and 12 base runners in 19 2/3 innings in his last 3 outings. Anderson beat Texas 15-3 in his last start against them on July 23rd as he yielded just 2 earned runs in 6 innings to get the victory. Ariel Jurado has had a rough go of it in his brief major league career. He is 2-2 with a 6.41 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 5 starts this year, including 0-1 with a 9.82 ERA in his last 2 outings. He has just 11 strikeouts compared to 6 homers given up in 26 2/3 innings this season. The A’s are 14-0 in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing record, winning by 4.3 RPG on average. The A’s are 6-0 in Anderson’s last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. Take Oakland on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-19-18 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 12-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
7* MLB *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-120) The Key: The Dodgers have a huge edge on the mound today with Clayton Kershaw over Roenis Elias. They should have no problem winning by at least 2 runs in this matchup. Kershaw is 5-5 with a 2.47 EAR and 1.02 WHIP in 18 starts, 2-2 with a 2.08 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in 8 road starts, and 1-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Elias is 0-0 with a 4.90 ERA and 1.91 WHIP in his lone start this season. He’s not ready to do battle in this pressure-packed situation with Kershaw. The Dodgers hung 11 runs on the Mariners in Game 1 of this series and should put up another big number off Elias and company in this one. Elias is 0-7 in home games vs. teams who average 0.5 or fewer stolen bases per game in his career. Kershaw is 37-7 vs. teams who strand 6.9 or less runners per game on base over the last 2 seasons. The Dodgers are winning by 2.5 RPG in this spot. Take Los Angels on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-18-18 | Giants -144 v. Reds | Top | 1-7 | Loss | -144 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
7* National League *MOUND MISMATCH* on San Francisco Giants -144 The Key: The Giants have a big edge on the mound today with Madison Bumgarner over Matt Harvey. Bumgarner is 4-4 with a 2.71 ERA in 13 starts this year, including 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last 3 outings. Harvey is 5-7 with a 4.89 ERA in 20 starts, including 0-1 with a 5.06 ERA in his last 3 outings. Harvey has never beaten the Giants, going 0-2 with a 5.87 ERA in 4 lifetime starts against them. Bumgarner is 1-1 with a 1.80 ERA in his last 2 starts against the Reds, yielding just 3 earned runs in 15 innings. Take San Francisco. | |||||||
08-17-18 | Rockies v. Braves -128 | Top | 11-5 | Loss | -128 | 2 h 60 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Braves -128 The Key: The Atlanta Braves have won 5 of their last 6 but will be looking to revenge a Game 1 loss to the Rockies in this series in which they blew a save in the 9th inning. They have scored at least 5 runs in all 5 wins during this stretch. I like their chances of getting after Kyle Freeland, who is 3-5 with a 3.74 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 13 road starts this year. Sean Newcomb is 10-5 with a 3.40 ERA in 23 starts overall, and 4-2 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 10 home starts. Newcomb pitched 6 shutout innings with 9 strikeouts in a 4-0 win at Colorado in his only start against the Rockies in 2018. Freeland is 0-1 with a 5.00 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against the Braves, all of which have come in the past 2 seasons. Atlanta is 10-3 after a game where its bullpen blew a save this season. The Braves are 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss. The Braves are 4-0 in Newcomb’s last 4 starts. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
08-16-18 | Nationals v. Cardinals -118 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -118 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
7* Nats/Cardinals NL *HEAVY HITTER* on St. Louis -118 The Key: The Cardinals have now won 8 straight games and cannot be tamed right now. The Nationals have gone 2-7 in their last 9 games and just can’t seem to get it turned around. I like the price with the Cardinals tonight as small home favorites as they extend their winning streak to 9 games. Luke Weaver has allowed exactly 2 earned runs in each of his last 3 starts and is pitching well coming in. Tanner Roark is also pitching well, but he cannot seem to figure out the Cardinals. He is 1-2 with a 6.92 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts against St. Louis. The Nationals are 8-21 in their last 29 road games. Washington is 5-17 in Roark’s last 22 starts with 4 days of rest. The Cardinals are 37-16 in their last 53 home meetings with the Nationals, and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings overall. Take St. Louis. | |||||||
08-15-18 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-115) The Key: The Atlanta Braves have won each of the first 3 games of this series with the Marlins by 8, 5, and 4 runs. They should have no problem winning by multiple runs again tonight thanks to their edge on the mound. Kevin Gausman is 2-1 with a 2.70 ERA in his last 3 starts and seems rejuvenated since getting traded to the Braves. He gave up just 1 run and 6 hits in 8 innings with 8 strikeouts in a 10-1 victory over the Brewers last time out on August 10th. Jose Urena is 3-12 with a 4.74 ERA in 23 starts for the Marlins this year, including 2-3 with a 5.28 ERA in 8 road starts. Urena is 0-3 with a 6.75 ERA in 3 starts against the Braves in 2018, yielding 12 earned runs in 16 innings. Miami is 4-26 in road games against a team that wins 54% to 62% of their games in the 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons. It is losing by 2.6 RPG in this spot. The Marlins are 1-11 in their last 12 vs. a team with a winning record. The Braves are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a right-handed starter. Take Atlanta on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-14-18 | Mariners -123 v. A's | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -123 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
7* Mariners/A’s AL West *BAILOUT* on Seattle -123 The Key: The Seattle Mariners have the edge on the mound tonight with James Paxton over Mike Fiers. Paxton is 10-5 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 23 starts with 175 strikeouts in 139 innings. The left-hander has never lost to the A’s, going 3-0 with a 3.12 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts against them. He fired 7 shutout innings with 16 strikeouts against the A’s in his lone start against them in 2018 back on May 2nd. Mike Fiers is 1-1 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.35 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Mariners. Seattle is 11-2 following a one-run loss this season. The Mariners are 8-3 in Paxton’s last 11 road starts. The Mariners are 19-7 in their last 26 meetings in Oakland. Take Seattle. | |||||||
08-13-18 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Rangers | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 59 m | Show |
7* Interleague Game of the Month on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-108) The Key: Considering the huge edge the Diamondbacks have on the rubber tonight over the Rangers, it’s easy to see how they’re going to win by multiple runs in this matchup. Zack Greinke is 12-7 with a 2.89 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 24 starts this year, including 1-2 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.90 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Greinke sports a 2.67 ERA and 1.08 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against the Rangers. Bartolo Colon is 6-10 with a 5.31 ERA in 21 starts this year, 3-4 with a 5.98 ERA in 10 home starts, and 1-2 with a 7.11 ERA in his last 3 starts. He is also 1-3 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in 6 lifetime starts against the Diamondbacks. He has allowed 14 runs in 15 innings in his last 3 starts against Arizona. Colon is 3-16 as a dog of +125 to +175 over the last 2 seasons, and his teams are losing by 3.7 RPG in this spot. The Diamondbacks are 6-0 in Greinke’s last 6 road starts. Take Arizona on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-12-18 | Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-110) The Key: The Yankees have gone 5-1 in their last 6 games overall with 4 of those wins coming by at least 2 runs. They should win by multiple runs again today over the Texas Rangers thanks to their edge on the mound in this one. C.C. Sabathia is 6-4 with a 3.49 ERA in 21 starts this year, including 4-1 with a 2.68 ERA in 11 home starts. Martin Perez is one of the worst starters in the league. He is 2-4 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.94 WHIP in 10 starts this year. Perez sports an 8.52 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in 3 previous starts against the Yankees as well. The Yankees should score early and often in this one and hold on to a big lead with one of the best bullpens in baseball. Take New York on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-11-18 | Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (-120) The Key: Off a bad loss to the Rangers yesterday, the Yankees should respond with a win by multiple runs Saturday to cover the run line. Lance Lynn has been pitching very well since being traded to the Yankees. He is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA in his last 3 starts. Lynn is also 5-2 with a 2.83 ERA in 9 home starts this year. Drew Hutchison will be making just his 2nd start of the season. He is 0-1 with an 18.00 ERA after yielding 6 earned runs and 9 base runners in 3 innings of a 6-9 home loss to the Baltimore Orioles on August 5th. Now he’s up against this potent Yankees’ lineup that is on fire right now in scoring at least 7 runs in 4 of their last 5 games coming in. The Yankees are 58-20 in their last 78 home games. Take New York on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-10-18 | Rangers v. Yankees -1.5 | Top | 12-7 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on New York Yankees -1.5 (+100) The Key: The Yankees have responded well from getting swept by the Red Sox. They have since won 4 straight with three of those victories coming by 4 runs or more. I expect them to win by at least 2 runs tonight over the Texas Rangers. Masahiro Tanaka has been lights out of late, going 2-0 with a 0.46 EDRA and 0.81 WHIP in his last 3 starts, yielding just 1 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings with 26 strikeouts. Mike Minor has been awful on the road this year for the Rangers, going 3-4 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in 9 starts away from home. Tanaka is 17-2 in home games vs. an AL team with a batting average of .255 or worse over the last 3 seasons. The Yankees are winning by 3.0 RPG in this spot. Take New York on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-09-18 | Dodgers v. Rockies +120 | Top | 8-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
7* National League *HEAVY HITTER* on Colorado Rockies +120 The Key: I like the price we are getting with the Colorado Rockies as home dogs to the Los Angeles Dodgers tonight. Tyler Anderson is having a great season for the Rockies, going 6-4 with a 4.05 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 23 starts. More impressively, Anderson sports a 3.65 ERA in 11 starts at Coors Field. In his last start against the Dodgers on June 29th, Anderson pitched 8 shutout innings in a 3-1 victory for the Rockies as +150 dogs. Ross Stripling is coming back down to earth. He has yielded 9 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings and 4 homers in his last 2 starts. Stripling is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Colorado. The Rockies are 10-3 in their last 13 home games. Take Colorado. | |||||||
08-08-18 | Cubs -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 0-9 | Loss | -130 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Week on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-130) The Key: The Cubs are on fire right now. They are 21-5 in their last 26 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago is 5-1 in Jose Quintana’s last 6 starts, and he’s clearly the better starter in this matchup with the Royals. Kansas City is 4-23 in its last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Royals are 0-4 in Fillmeyer’s last four starts. Kansas City is 0-7 in its last seven interleague home games. The Royals are 13-42 in their last 55 games overall. The Cubs are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Take Chicago on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-07-18 | Cubs -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
7* Interleague Game of the Month on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+100) The Key: The Chicago Cubs should have no problem winning by at least 2 runs tonight over the lowly Kansas City Royals. The Royals have now lost 5 straight with 4 of those coming by at least 2 runs to drop to 34-78 on the season. The Cubs are in the middle of a pennant race at 65-47 this season. Mike Montgomery is 3-3 with a 3.36 ERA in 12 starts this year. Brad Keller is 3-3 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.47 WHIP in 11 starts for the Royals. Montgomery is 2-0 with a 0.59 ERA and 0.59 WHIP in 2 lifetime starts vs. Kansas City. The Royals are 1-15 in home games vs. good teams who are outscoring their opponents by 0.5 RPG or more this season. They are losing by 4.0 RPG on average in this situation. Take Chicago on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-06-18 | Mariners -115 v. Rangers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show |
7* AL West Game of the Month on Seattle Mariners -113 The Key: The Seattle Mariners will be hungry for a win tonight after going 1-5 in their last 6 games overall. They now get to face the 49-64 Rangers and should take care of business in Game 1 tonight. Wade LeBlanc is 6-2 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.16 WHIP in 17 starts for the Mariners this year. Martin Perez is one of the worst starters in the league. He is 2-4 with a 6.50 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in 9 starts this year, including 1-1 with a 7.53 ERA and 2.12 WHIP in 4 home starts. LeBlanc is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA in one lifetime start against the Rangers. LeBlanc is 9-0 against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. Texas is 5-20 in home games against division opponents this season. The Rangers are 19-45 in their last 64 home games vs. a team with a winning record. The Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings in Texas. Take Seattle. | |||||||
08-05-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 4-5 | Push | 0 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
7* Yankees/Red Sox ESPN *BAILOUT* on OVER 9 The Key: Expect plenty of runs scored tonight between the Red Sox and Yankees to push this total OVER the 9 number. Masahiro Tanaka has yielded 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 19 base runners in 10 1/3 innings in 2 starts against the Red Sox this season. David Price has yielded 12 earned runs and 6 homers in 4 1/3 innings in 2 starts against the Yankees this season. Both starters have been shelled against their respective opponents in 2018, and that should continue again here tonight. Take the OVER. | |||||||
08-04-18 | Blue Jays v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
7* MLB Run Line Game of the Year on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-115) The Key: The Seattle Mariners have now lost 4 straight and would be out of the playoffs if the season ended today. They need to get back on track in a hurry. Ace James Paxton is just the man for the job. He’s 5-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 10 home starts this year. He’ll be opposed by Marco Estrada, who is 2-4 with a 5.32 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 9 road starts. Estrada is 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in his last 3 starts as well. Paxton pitched a no-hitter on May 8th against the Blue Jays this season in a 5-0 victory, so he has their number as well. The Blue Jays are 8-25 in their last 33 games vs. a left-handed starter. Toronto is 0-4 in Estrada’s last 4 road starts. Seattle is 21-6 in its last 27 vs. a team with a losing record. The Blue Jays are 8-27 in their last 35 Saturday road games. Take Seattle on the Run Line. | |||||||
08-03-18 | Yankees v. Red Sox OVER 9 | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
7* Yankees/Red Sox AL *Total* Annihilator on OVER 9 The Key: The Red Sox and Yankees combined for 22 runs yesterday. While they may not reach that milestone today, I still believe there’s value with the over 9, especially at a plus-price. Luis Severino has been roughed up in recent starts. He is 0-2 with a 10.05 ERA and 2.09 WHIP in his last 3 starts, far from the Cy Young contender he was prior to them. And those starts have come against the Royals, Rays and Indians, far from the potent lineup he’ll see tonight in Boston. Rick Porcello is also faltering. He is 2-1 with a 7.90 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Porcello sports a 5.10 ERA in 10 home starts this year. The OVER is 5-0 in Severino’s last 5 starts. The OVER is 5-1-1 in Porcello’s last seven home starts, and 11-3-1 in his last 15 stats overall. The OVER is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings, including 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Boston. Take the OVER. | |||||||
08-02-18 | Braves -148 v. Mets | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
7* NL East Game of the Year on Atlanta Braves -148 The Key: The Braves find themselves in a battle with the Phillies for 1st place in the NL East. They should take down the Mets without issue today. The Mets are in sell mode and finding it hard to be hungry the rest of the way. No question the Braves have the edge on the mound tonight. Mike Foltynewicz is 7-7 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 20 starts this year. He’ll be opposed by Jason Vargas, who is 2-6 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.79 WHIP in 10 starts. Vargas is 1-1 with a 5.06 ERA and 1.59 WHIP in 3 lifetime starts vs. Atlanta. The Mets are 0-10 as a home dog of +125 to +175 this season. Take Atlanta. | |||||||
08-01-18 | Blue Jays v. A's -133 | Top | 3-8 | Win | 100 | 3 h 18 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A’s -133 The Key: The Oakland A’s have been on a tear for the last month-plus. They are 29-10 in their last 39 games overall and have a legitimate shot to make the postseason now. They should handle the Blue Jays, who are 7-24 in their last 31 games against a left-handed starter, including 2-14 in their last 16 road games against a southpaw. Sean Manaea is 9-7 with a 3.46 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 22 starts this year. He’ll be opposed by Marcus Stroman, who is 4-7 with a 5.31 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 14 starts. Stroman is 0-0 with an 8.68 ERA in his last two starts against the A’s, yielding 9 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings. The A’s are 4-0 in Manaea’s last 4 home starts. The A’s are 6-0 in the last 6 meetings. Manaea is 9-0 in day games this season. Take Oakland. | |||||||
07-31-18 | Angels -130 v. Rays | Top | 6-10 | Loss | -130 | 6 h 41 m | Show |
7* American League *MOUND MISMATCH* on Los Angeles Angels -130 The Key: The Angels have a big edge on the mound tonight over the Tampa Bay Rays. Tyler Skaggs is 8-6 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.19 WHIP in 19 starts this year, including 5-2 with a 2.11 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 10 road starts. The Rays have lost 3 in a row to the Orioles coming in amidst a bunch of trade rumors. And Ryan Stanek is one of those Rays’ starters that only goes a few innings before getting pulled. I just don’t trust the philosophy, and the Rays’ combination of pitchers they use won’t be anywhere near as good as Skaggs. Skaggs faced the Rays earlier this season on May 17 and gave up just one run in 6 innings. The Angels are 12-1 as road favorites of -125 to -175 this season. Take Los Angeles. | |||||||
07-30-18 | Blue Jays v. A's -137 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
7* American League *HEAVY HITTER* on Oakland A’s -137 The Key: The Oakland A’s will be hungry for a victory tonight after getting swept by the Rockies in Colorado over the weekend. The A’s are still 27-10 in their last 37 games overall and surging. They are 41-16 in their last 57 vs. a team with a losing record. The Blue Jays were sellers at the deadline and can’t be trusted. Toronto is 1-7 in Estrada’s last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record. The A’s are 11-2 in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Edwin Jackson sports a 3.86 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 6 starts this year for the A’s. Marco Estrada is 2-3 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 8 road starts. Estrada has never beaten the A’s, going 0-3 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 4 lifetime starts against them. Take Oakland. | |||||||
07-29-18 | Cubs -122 v. Cardinals | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
7* Cubs/Cardinals ESPN *HEAVY HITTER* on Chicago -122 The Key: This is the avoid the sweep game for the Chicago Cubs after losing the first 2 games of this series to the rival St. Louis Cardinals. They’ll come in hungry for a victory tonight on ESPN. Kyle Hendricks is 3-2 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 13 lifetime starts against St. Louis, and his teams are 9-4 in those matchups. John Gant is just a fill-in starter for the Cardinals. He is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in 4 home starts this year. The Cubs are 60-29 in their last 89 games following a loss. Chicago is 5-1 in its last 6 during Game 3 of a series. The Cardinals are 1-7 in their last 8 games following a win. St. Louis is 1-4 in Gant’s last 5 home starts. The Cubs are 6-0 in Hendricks’ last 6 starts against the Cardinals. Take Chicago. | |||||||
07-28-18 | Nationals -151 v. Marlins | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -151 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
7* NL East Game of the Month on Washington Nationals -151 The Key: Few starters own a team like Gio Gonzalez owns the Marlins. The left-hander is 10-3 with a 1.93 ERA and 1.11 WHIP in 17 lifetime starts against Miami. Trevor Richards is 3-5 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.46 WHIP in 14 starts for the Marlins this year. One of those came against the Nationals on July 8th earlier this month. Richards yielded 11 base runners in 3 2/3 innings in that contest, including 7 walks. Washington is 20-5 in road games vs. teams who are outscored by 1 RPG or more over the last 2 seasons. The Nationals are 11-1 in road games after allowing 3 runs or less in 2 straight games this season. The Marlins are 0-6 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter. Take Washington. | |||||||
07-27-18 | Diamondbacks -1.5 v. Padres | Top | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
7* NL West Game of the Month on Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 (-110) The Key: Games are much more important to the Diamondbacks these days than the Padres. The Diamondbacks are right in the NL West race, while the Padres are in last place in their division by a mile. I certainly like the pitching matchup in Arizona’s favor tonight. Zack Greinke is 11-5 with a 3.05 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in 21 starts this year, including 2-0 with a 1.35 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in his last 3 outings. Greinke is 10-2 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in 20 lifetime starts vs. San Diego as well. Luis Perdomo is 1-5 with a 6.99 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in 8 starts for the Padres, including 0-4 with a shocking 11.29 ERA and 2.46 WHIP in 4 home starts. Perdomo is 3-4 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.49 WHIP in 7 lifetime starts vs. Arizona as well. Greinke is 51-14 in his career as a favorite of -175 to -250, and his teams are winning by 2.1 RPG. The Padres are 6-24 as home dogs of +100 or higher this season, losing by 3.0 RPG. Take Arizona on the Run Line. | |||||||
07-26-18 | Brewers v. Giants -105 | Top | 7-5 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 53 m | Show |
7* Brewers/Giants National League *BAILOUT* on San Francisco -105 The Key: I like the price we are getting on the Giants tonight at basically even money against the Milwaukee Brewers. It’s not or never for the Giants, who currently sit at 52-51 and need to start stringing wins together if they want to stay in the NL West race. I like what I’ve seen from starters Dereck Rodriquez, who is 4-1 with a 2.89 ERA in 8 starts, 2-0 with a 2.55 ERA in 4 home starts, and 2-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last 3 outings. Wade Miley has a 1.56 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 4 starts for the Brewers, but it’s a small sample size and this guy hasn’t been good for a long time. He’s getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight. The Giants are 6-0 in Rodriquez’s last 6 starts. The Brewers are 0-6 in their last 6 road games. The Giants are 19-9 in their last 28 home games. The Giants are 16-5 in their last 21 home meetings with the Brewers. Take San Francisco. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $1,072 |
Tom Macrina | $601 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
William Burns | $288 |
Ricky Tran | $269 |
Big Al McMordie | $234 |
Joey Tron | $165 |
Jesse Schule | $21 |
Tim Michael | $18 |