Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-11-24 | Suns v. Lakers | 127-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
We think the Lakers are overrated and there is normally value in going against them regardless of how well they play as they are one of the biggest public plays in sports. The Suns haven’t been playing great, but we think this game is more important to them than the Lakers and we think they bring their A Game after a couple losses. | |||||||
01-11-24 | Seattle Kraken v. Capitals OVER 5.5 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
These teams have been trending in the opposite directions as far as totals go, with the Capitals trending heavily to the over and the Kraken trending to the under. But any time you see a total at 5.5 you have to look at the over and see if it makes sense. We think it does tonight. The Kraken have gotten good offensive production lately and have scored an average of four goals in their last three games. Washington’s defense has given up an average of five goals per game in the last three. We see both teams here getting their share of the total in what we think will be a competitive game. | |||||||
01-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Avalanche -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 171 | 10 h 48 m | Show | |
The last two meetings have both been one-sided wins by the home club and we think we will see the same tonight. Colorado has one of the best home ice advantages in the NHL. Vegas hasn’t been a strong puckline team and they are always overvalued by the oddsmakers since they are one of the most popular betting teams with the public. | |||||||
01-10-24 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -1.5 | Top | 71-60 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
7 Unit Play. Take #726 Ohio State over Wisconsin (8:30p.m., Wednesday, January 10 BTN) Always like to use an unranked team that is favored over a ranked team. Ohio State needs this game, as they have a strong record but do not have many quality wins on the season. The Buckeyes are coming off a loss to Indiana by 6 points in which Burce Thornton and Roddy Gayle could not make many shots. I just do not see them struggling that bad at home in a game they need to have. Wisconsin has been playing well of late but they have blowout losses against NCAA Tournament teams and Ohio State is in the field of 68. Playing on the road is tough in the Big 10 and Wisconsin will not get the calls they are used to getting at the Kohl Center. Play the home team tonight in Columbus. | |||||||
01-10-24 | Kings v. Hornets +7.5 | Top | 123-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
These teams played a week ago, in Sacramento, and the Hornets not only covered by won outright by seven points. We think they match up well here. Forget about the revenge factor. Enough time has passed since that game, and the Kings have bigger aspirations than holding a grudge over the lowly Hornets. The biggest factor here is that the Kings are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. This isn’t the deepest team, and they have had a handful of B2Bs this season and haven’t covered a single one. The Hornets have won and covered in eight of the last ten meetings, and normally bring their A Game against the Kings. We believe that will happen again tonight and expect a close game. | |||||||
01-09-24 | Duke -5 v. Pittsburgh | 75-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #657 Duke over Pittsburgh (9p.m., Tuesday, January 9 ESPN) A pair of former Dukies are set to square off as one another as coaches tonight at Petersen Events Center in Pittsburgh, PA. Duke has righted the ship of late winning 6 straight games and look for that to continue again on Tuesday. Pittsburgh is just 1-3 in the ACC with their only win coming against Louisville, the worst team it he league. | |||||||
01-08-24 | Bruins v. Avalanche -121 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show | |
The Avs have one of the best home ice advantages in the NHL. Boston won here 4-0 last time in December, so this is a major revenge spot as that was an embarrassing showing for the home club. Boston has been playing well lately, but this is by far their toughest game in awhile. Boston is always shaded by the oddsmakers, so even though they are a great team we still get value when going against them. | |||||||
01-08-24 | Jazz v. Bucks -8 | Top | 132-116 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
Damian Lillard will be out here for the Bucks, but that absence is already cooked into the line. The Bucks are off a tough road trip where they lost two of three, and they have lost three of four overall. So we think here, back at home against an inferior opponent, that we are going to see a very focused and determined Bucks team. If they had been playing better they might overlook this game, but they need a big performance tonight and to get far enough ahead where they won’t leave anything to chance at the end of the game. The Bucks are 16-3 at home, and Utah is one of the worst road teams in the NBA at 6-15. Utah is coming off a rare road win at Philly and they are probably Fat and Happy right now and won’t give full effort here. The Bucks have won and covered three in a row in this series, and the last two were blowouts. We see the same result happening here tonight. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Broncos v. Raiders -2.5 | 14-27 | Win | 100 | 122 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #476 Las Vegas Raiders over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 7 FOX) I feel that the Raiders want to win this game more than the Broncos. The Raiders have an interim coach that wants the job, and the Broncos benched their starting quarterback because they signed him to a terrible contract. Las Vegas has beaten Denver 7 straight games including week 1 of the 2023 regular season. Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. Denver wants a better draft pick and we do not see them winning this game. | |||||||
01-07-24 | Bears v. Packers -3 | 9-17 | Win | 100 | 122 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #465 Green Bay Packers over Chicago Bears (4:25p.m., Sunday, January 7 CBS) The Packers find themselves in a similar situation to 2022, where they close out the season at home with a win and you’re in game. They will not make the same mistake as last year and dominate the Bears and win this game by double digits. Green Bay has beaten Chicago 9 straight times (9-0 ATS as well). Just do not trust Justin Fields to win consistently in this league and the Packers played much better on defense last week. Look for that to continue Sunday, as the Packers make the playoffs! | |||||||
01-07-24 | Montana v. South Dakota State OVER 48.5 | Top | 3-23 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308925 Over 48.5 in Montana Grizzles vs South Dakota State Jackrabbits (2p.m., Sunday, January 7 ABC) We have cleaned up with the over all through the FCS Playoffs and will look to cash in one more time. We hit the over in the Grey Cup as well and feel this will also be a high scoring game. Montana is facing a juggernaut that has won 28 straight games and they know that they must score in the high twenties to have any chance in this game. Both coaches have had three weeks to prepare for this game and that will benefit the offensive minded coaches. Weather will not be a factor in this game with sunny skies expected. Both teams average in the thirties and SDSU has numerous playmakers on offense, and I expect them to hit their seasonal average today. We will not worry if South Dakota State can cover this big number and instead just collect with the over. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
01-07-24 | Jaguars -5 v. Titans | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #473 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, January 7 CBS) The Jaguars did not finish the season on a high note, losing 4 straight games but are fortunate to close out the 2023 season against to terrible teams. They pounded Carolina last week with their backup quarterback and now get to face an equally bad Tennessee team. Jacksonville already beat them this season by 20 points and see this game following a similar path. The Titans will enter this game off 3 straight losses including a 23 point to Houston last Sunday. Jacksonville has won 3 straight games against Tennessee and has too much to play for to take this game lightly. If they win, they clinch the division and get to host a playoff game next weekend! | |||||||
01-06-24 | Bucks v. Rockets +7 | Top | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
Now this is what we like to see: Houston back in the underdog role. We went against them last night and they were blown out by Minnesota. There’s a good chance they were looking ahead to this game. Even though the Timberwolves have the best record in the Western Conference, they don’t move the meter for excitement like Milwaukee does. Houston is a solid team and they are one of the best teams in the NBA ATS. We just don’t see them getting blown out two nights in a row. And the Bucks aren’t in top form right now as they have lost three of six and covered in only two of those games. In fact, the Bucks have been overrated by the oddsmakers and they are just 15-9-1 ATS on the season. Houston played the Bucks tough in Milwaukee last month but lost and didn’t cover. We think they will do better here at home. They didn’t mount any comeback last night, so they should be more fresh than normal with the lack of energy expended. And a B2B at home is much more easy to navigate than on the road. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Canucks v. Devils OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
Great value here as four of the last five meetings have totaled nine goals or higher. We expect a shootout here. These are two of the best over teams in the NHL as the over is 45-27-3 combined in their games this season. The Devils had a streak of three straight overs snapped last yesterday against the Blackhawks. We were on the under in that game because of the poor Chicago offense. The Canucks are much better, and the Devils defense won’t be effective on a back-to-back. We see a competitive game and both teams get their share of the total tonight. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Nebraska v. Wisconsin -6 | 72-88 | Win | 100 | 3 h 25 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #664 Wisconsin over Nebraska (2:15p.m., Saturday, January 6 BTN) Nebraska has improved this season, but both of their losses have been blowouts and I see this being a double-digit loss as well. Wisconsin is a bad matchup for them, as the Badgers have size and depth. If Wisconsin can shoot it well from long range, they should win this game going away. They did not play that well against Iowa this week, yet still pulled away in the second half to win by 11 points. | |||||||
01-05-24 | Wolves -3.5 v. Rockets | Top | 122-95 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
Nothing against Houston here. We think they are a solid team and often a value bet. Heck, we took them for our 8-Unit season win total pick on the over. They have covered a lot of games this season since they were a surprise competitive team and also they were getting some generous lines from the oddsmakers. The oddsmakers have caught up with them a bit, and they aren’t surprising teams any more. Also, they are going to face the ups and downs that come with a young team coming out of its rebuild. They have lost six of their last 10 and haven’t covered in any of the losses. We think this team will make the play in tourney for sure, but across the court from them will be a team that is championship ready. Only the Celtics have a better record in the NBA. The Wolves will take this game very seriously as they are off a couple tough losses. They don’t want a three-game losing streak. They have won seven of the last eight meetings and covered in six of those. We expect them to bring their A Game tonight. | |||||||
01-05-24 | Blackhawks v. Devils UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
The Blackhawks have one of the worst offenses in the NHL and we just don’t think they will have any success here tonight on the offensive end. If they want to be competitive here, they need to step up the defense. Two of the last three meetings have gone under, including the 4-2 Devils in in Chicago in November that was only close because of an empty netter. | |||||||
01-05-24 | Iona -2.5 v. St. Peter's | 57-69 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #881 Iona -2.5 over Saint Peter’s (7p.m., Friday, January 5 ESPN+) The road team being favored tells me what the line makers believe about the talent of each team. But teams have similar records, but the Gaels are a traditional powerhouse in the MAAC. They need this game more in the standings and will get it in close to double-digits. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Jets v. Sharks +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
San Jose always seems to play well in this matchup and they have won six of the last eight meetings. They have played pretty well the last couple games and had a couple empty netters go against them that make the games look more lopsided than they actually are. We think the Sharks put up a fight tonight. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Bucks v. Spurs +9.5 | 125-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
The Spurs have covered in eight of the last ten meetings and we think they put their best foot forward on national TV tonight. Milwaukee is on a back-to-back after playing a budding rival in Indiana twice, losing both games, and this is a letdown spot as a result. We think this is a close game and this is too many points as this will be one of the bigger games of the season for the Spurs on TNT. | |||||||
01-04-24 | Cleveland State v. Wright State UNDER 161.5 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #740 Under in Cleveland State @ Wright State (7p.m., Thursday, January 4 ESPN+) We will follow the line movement and side with the under in this game. We had a bad beat with the under last time out with the Raiders and sooner or later the under will cash again with them. | |||||||
01-03-24 | Nets v. Rockets -5 | Top | 101-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
These have been two of the best ATS teams in the league this season. But we think Houston is the better team, and they have been great at home this season, while the Nets have been bad on the road. Both teams have been struggling a bit, but Houston got a massive blowout win over the Pistons last time out, and that is the perfect thing for a confidence boost to get things back on track. They have had an incredibly tough schedule lately, and that is one of the reasons they haven’t been racking up wins. Brooklyn has been really struggling lately and has only a pair of wins over the Pistons to show for recent efforts, and they haven’t been covering lines like they did at the start of the season. | |||||||
01-03-24 | Devils v. Capitals +162 | 6-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
We look at this as a coin flip type game, and we will take plus-money on a coin flip any day of the week. The Capitals get the job done with little offense and suffocating defense. They are strong at home, and they have also won the last two meetings, both in New Jersey, and both by multiple goals. Sometimes they do it in strange ways, but the Capitals find a way to win. | |||||||
01-03-24 | Fordham +3.5 v. George Washington | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #675 Fordham +3.5 over George Washington (7p.m., Wednesday, January 3 ESPN+) GW is 11-2 on the season and facing a 6-7 team at home, yet they are just a slight favorite. The Rams have underachieved thus far in 2023/24, but they have talent and should be able to take this game down to the wire. | |||||||
01-02-24 | Hornets +16 v. Kings | 111-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show | |
We always take notice when a team is getting this many points. They can lose in a blowout and you can still cover the spread. And you know the players are aware of the spread. That might give them extra motivation or help with a backdoor cover late in the game. Charlotte has won seven of the last nine meetings, and we think the Kings will overlook this one and the underdog will keep it within double digits. | |||||||
01-02-24 | Hurricanes v. Rangers -123 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -123 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
This line offers incredible value. Carolina is purely an average team on the road, while the Rangers are not only one of the best home teams in the league but possibly the best team in the NHL this year. We think they will be up for this game big time. They have won six of the last seven meetings, so they are not only the better team but they have a better track record when looking at history. | |||||||
01-02-24 | Iowa v. Wisconsin -5.5 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #606 Wisconsin over Iowa (7p.m., Tuesday, January 2 BTN) Even when Iowa had good teams, Wisconsin often dominates them and this year it is the opposite. Iowa is not good and Wisconsin is a veteran team that can beat you in a variety of ways. The Hawkeyes only have a quality win against Seton Hall this season and have been pounded by teams like Oklahoma, Iowa State, and Michigan. Wisconsin is better than all 3 of those teams and expect them to take care of business tonight at the Kohl Center. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Sharks v. Avalanche -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
We think here soon that teams will once again start taking San Jose as an easy W and they will have a surge and start covering at least some pucklines. But that time is not here yet. And this isn’t the opponent. Colorado has one of the best home ice advantages in the NHL. They have won eight straight meetings. Meetings in Colorado are normally a blowout and the Avs have a +10 goal differential in the last two meetings at home. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Celtics v. Spurs OVER 240.5 | 134-101 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
We think the Spurs might make this competitive and we think they will at least get their share of the total. Boston should be able to achieve their offensive goals tonight. They put up 137 the last meeting and we think they could see that type of output here. The Spurs have one of the worst defenses in the NBA. They have given up 130 or more in three of their last four games. They are 21-10 to the over this season. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Steelers +3.5 v. Seahawks | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 99 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #125 Pittsburgh Steelers over Seattle Seahawks (4:05p.m., Sunday, January 31 FOX) Pittsburgh got some life last week by starting Mason Rudolph and I just feel they can keep the coaching streak of Mike Tomlin alive. He has never had a losing record and will need to win one of his last two games to finish 9-8. It might not happen this week, but I feel that they can take this one down to the wire. Pittsburgh is 9-5 ATS (1 push) in their last 15 road games. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 166 | 83-91 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 14 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #868 Under in Wright State @ Milwaukee (3p.m., Sunday, December 31 ESPN+) What better way to ring in 2024 with an under bet. Look for Milwaukee to be able to dictate the pace of play at home and keep Wright State from running up the scoreboard. Milwaukee averages just 75 points per game. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Saints v. Bucs -2.5 | 23-13 | Loss | -125 | 96 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #122 Tampa Bay Buccaneers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, January 31 FOX) These two teams are heading in opposite directions, as the Saints have lost 4 of their last 6 games. Tampa Bay has won 4 straight games and can almost lock up the division with a victory on Sunday at home. Baker Mayfield has been reborn of late, and he clearly is the better quarterback in this game. New Orleans is 2-7 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 divisional games. | |||||||
12-31-23 | Panthers v. Jaguars -6.5 | 0-26 | Win | 100 | 96 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #116 Jacksonville Jaguars over Carolina Panthers (1p.m., Sunday, January 31 CBS) Despite losing 4 straight games, the Jaguars are still in good shape to win the division and host a playoff game. Despite the Panthers rallying late against the Packers last week, they are still a bad team with a lame duck coach and a terrible roster. Just too much on the line for Jacksonville to play poorly again and expect the home team to win this one by double digits. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +5 | Top | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
We said it before with our sharp ATS winner on Detroit over Boston last time out that now that the pressure of the longest losing streak in NBA history is off the Pistons, they are free to play better. And they have. They played one of their best games of the season last time out against Boston and even sent the game to OT before losing. They showed some grit in getting the game to OT in the final minutes. Now they take a big step down in competition against a Raptors team that is horrible on the road and also on a back-to-back. We thought the Pistons had the talent to possibly reach the play in before the season started so it’s not like this team doesn’t have the talent to win games. They have had major chemistry issues and injuries. We think this is a winnable game for them tonight. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Blue Jackets v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
The over is 8-1-1 in the last 10 meetings and these clubs always create some fireworks when they meet on the ice. These teams met earlier this month and 13 total goals were scored. Four of the last seven meetings have seen 10 or more goals scored. Columbus has been a hot over team recently and their offense has been playing well above the defense. Buffalo has had two straight games against the best of the best defensively, and you just get the feeling the offense will break out here on Saturday. | |||||||
12-30-23 | NC-Wilmington v. Arkansas OVER 147.5 | 90-106 | Win | 100 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take Over 148 in UNC Wilmington @ Arkansas (5p.m., Saturday, December 30 SECN) The Hogs have had a much-needed layoff and need to get back to playing their up-tempo style that Coach Musselman loves. They should be able to score points against the Seahawks today, as they look to get up and down the court as well. Wilmington is averaging over 85 points per game. I believe both teams will come close to scoring 80 points today and we will not worry if Arkansas can cover this double digit spread and instead just collect with the over. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Georgia -15.5 v. Florida State | 63-3 | Win | 100 | 95 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #269 Georgia Bulldogs over Florida State Seminoles (4p.m., Saturday, December 30 ESPN) ORANGE BOWL Motivation will be on display for both teams, as the Bulldogs do not get a chance to go for a 3-peet. The Seminoles did not even make the 4 team playoff despite going undefeated from a power conference and they have been hearing for a month how they got robbed. The Seminoles are missing a ton of skill players for this game on offense, and I just do not see them being able to move the football against the Dawgs in this game. Georgia has the most talented team in the country, and they have a coach that knows the importance of playing well in this exhibition game. Georgia has won the Orange Bowl in 3 of their 4 trips to South Florida. I see a 35-10 type of score with the Bulldogs dominating this game from start to finish. | |||||||
12-30-23 | Chelsea v. Luton Town OVER 3 | 3-2 | Win | 102 | 21 h 45 m | Show | |
4-Unit Play EPL Take Luton Town/Chelsea OVER 3 (+105) (Sat, Dec 30 7:30 a.m. EST) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) Luton Town has been solid on offense and has scored in six straight matches. They have 11 goals in that span, so almost two per match. Chelsea have five goals in their last three matches. You have to figure that Chelsea will get at least two here by the amount they are favored, and it is unlikely they will hold Luton Town to a clean sheet. | |||||||
12-29-23 | San Diego State v. Gonzaga OVER 147.5 | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 16 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #875 Over 148 in San Diego State @ Gonzaga (9p.m., Friday, December 29 ESPN2) The Zags need a quality win at home and expect them to be able to dictate the temp has both teams should reach the seventies in scoring. Gonzaga averages over 84 points per game this season. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
12-29-23 | Clemson v. Kentucky +4.5 | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #258 Kentucky Wildcats over Clemson Tigers (12p.m., Friday, December 29 ESPN) GATOR BOWL, COLLEGE BOWL GAME OF THE YEAR SEC is better than the ACC and Kentucky is the more battle tested team in this game. The Wildcats appear to have more players available for this game with the Tigers having a bunch of players sitting out for this game. Kentucky should have their quarterback and running back for this game and will be able to move the football against the Tigers. Kentucky is 3-1 ATS in 2023 when they are an underdog. The long layoff will help them in this game. Clemson’s streak of double digit wins already ended this season and I just do not see them being that motivated to play in this game. Their offense is just not as strong as it has been in year’s past. The Tigers defense was outstanding this season, but it came against weak competition and some of their talent will not be playing in this game. Motivation is the deciding factor, as Kentucky is happy to be here and travels well to their bowl games in the Southeast. With a total in the mid 40’s getting this many points with the underdog is too good to pass up. | |||||||
12-28-23 | USC +2.5 v. Oregon | 74-82 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #719 USC over Oregon (9p.m., Thursday, December 28 ESPN2) Just feel USC is the more talented team and Oregon will have no home court advantage in this game. The students are not on campus and many in the state just do not care about college basketball. Still believe USC will make a run to earn an NCAA Tournament bid and it starts tonight as conference play opens up. | |||||||
12-27-23 | Bruins v. Sabres +132 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 46 m | Show |
Buffalo may have turned a corner. Last time we saw them here at home, they demolished the Maple Leafs, 9-3. Next time out they played a great game at NY Rangers and played well enough to win before losing in OT. This team is like an Oilers lite, and once their offense starts synching they will win some games. Boston is reeling. We knew this team wasn’t as good as last year’s version but they fooled us into thinking maybe they were with a hot start. They are finally showing cracks, however, with four straight losses and five of six. Buffalo already won in Boston earlier in the month in a game that wasn’t really close, and we think they match up well tonight. | |||||||
12-27-23 | 76ers +2.5 v. Magic | 112-92 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Great value here as Philly has a long history of success over the Magic. Yes, Embiid is out tonight and the Sixers are banged up. But this is a very deep team and we think they have the roster to win this one outright. Orlando is also coming in on the second end of a back-to-back. The word is out on the Magic and they are not going to surprise teams anymore, and Philly will want to put their best foot forward here. | |||||||
12-26-23 | Hornets v. Clippers -11.5 | Top | 104-113 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
The Clippers were on a nine-game winning streak but since have lost two straight. This team was banged up and overworked, and they lost by double-digits at OKC and last time out at home to Boston. But LA didn’t play on Xmas and they are at home here the day after, which is a big advantage as we are confident they will be in a better place mentally than the Hornets, on the road after the holiday. We always like to take a good team after a bad game, and the Clippers were embarrassed last time out here vs. Boston. Good teams normally up the effort after a game like that, and Charlotte is certainly a team that can be susceptible to a blowout. They have lost four straight road games by double digits. The Clippers have won and covered in four of the last five meetings. | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -5 | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #482 San Francisco 49ers over Baltimore Ravens (8:15p.m., Monday, December 25 ABC) The 49ers are clearly the team to beat when it comes to the Super Bowl and now get a chance to prove it on the field against the best teams the AFC has to offer. The 49ers are just better on both sides of the football and they want to make a statement in this game. Baltimore will be playing their second straight road game and must fly cross-country for this game. San Francisco has covered the spread in 13 of their last 17 home games when they are the favorite. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Cowboys v. Dolphins | 20-22 | Win | 100 | 77 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #472 Miami Dolphins over Dallas Cowboys (4:25p.m, Sunday, December 24 FOX) Dallas looked terrible last week against another AFC East team and expect Miami to use the same blueprint that Buffalo did. Dallas is just not the same team on the road compared to when playing at home. Dallas is likely going to be the No. 5 seed since the Eagles have a very easy schedule to close out the regular season. Miami takes this one. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Jaguars +1 v. Bucs | 12-30 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #469 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4:05p.m., Sunday, December 24 CBS) Just feel that Tampa Bay overachieved last week against a terrible Green Bay defense and will find it much harder to move the football this week against Jacksonville. The Jaguars gagged last week at home against the Ravens, producing zero points in the first half despite moving the football up and down the field. Jacksonville has covered the spread in 9 of their last 10 road games (London game included). Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games against AFC teams. Jacksonville is desperate and needs this game in the worst way. | |||||||
12-23-23 | St. John's v. Connecticut -11 | 65-69 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #626 UCONN over St Johns (8p.m., Saturday, December 23 FOX) We saw Marquette pound Georgetown last night after suffering an embarrassing loss the previous game. Expect UCONN to follow suit and win this game by double-digits after losing to Seton Hall last time out. St Johns has a famous coach in Rick Pitino, but the roster is not championship caliber to be able to compete night in and night out in the Big East. An angry UCONN wins this game going away and we collect in the process as well. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Bengals v. Steelers +2.5 | 11-34 | Win | 100 | 78 h 38 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #454 Pittsburgh Steelers over Cincinnati Bengals (4:30p.m., Saturday, December 23 NBC) Just feel the Steelers have one more game in them. Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season as head coach of the Steelers, but 2023 will test that theory. Pittsburgh won the first meeting this season and have gone 10-4 divisional home games played in the Steel City. Cincinnati has not won a divisional game this season (0-4) and I look for that to continue on Saturday. | |||||||
12-22-23 | Wizards +12.5 v. Warriors | Top | 118-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
The Wizards are a bad team. But they are not bad on the level of the Pistons or Spurs. They have a couple players that can make a difference, and they have been a decent bet in spots. And we think one of those spots is tonight. And we think one of those players that can make a difference is Jordan Poole, the former Warrior who was punched by Draymond Greene in practice, but he was kind of disrespected in the trade that brought Chris Paul to the Warriors. We think he will raise his game up tonight. Washington actually has covered more games than Golden State. They are on a B2B but have covered four straight after winning in Portland last night. They have three nights off after this game, so they don’t need to hold back for energy. The Warriors play on Saturday then also on Christmas at Denver, so we don’t know how focused they will be here. They have been double digit favorites twice this season and didn’t cover in either game. | |||||||
12-22-23 | Illinois v. Missouri +6.5 | 97-73 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #874 Missouri Tigers over Illinois Fighting Illini (9p.m., Friday, December 22 FS1) This game seems to mean more to Missouri and expect their players and fans to go all out to win this game. Missouri has played better of late, hanging with Kansas and Seton Hall and I feel that they can take this one down to the wire. Many of these games between these two bordering state schools have gone down to the wire and 2023 should be no different. The Tigers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against the Fighting Illini. | |||||||
12-22-23 | Canadiens +100 v. Blackhawks | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
Any time the Blackhawks are a favorite, bet against them. Very simple. This is the worst team in the NHL and the Canadiens are a much better team. They have more wins on the road than Chicago does at home. They have also won the last three meetings. | |||||||
12-21-23 | Coyotes v. Sharks +135 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
We think this is a very public line. After a historic bad start to the season, the Sharks have righted the ship and are playing as well as any middling team the month of December. They won road games against New Jersey, NY Islanders and Detroit this month, as well as a home win over Winnipeg. They played good enough to win but fell short at the Rangers, at Vegas (shootout loss), and at Arizona (1-0 loss). That loss at Arizona was less than a week ago, so recent enough to where it will be on the minds of Sharks players (revenge). Also, the Sharks very much played well enough to win there but had two goals called back (interference and offsides). Arizona is on a three-game win streak, but those were all at home. They have lost three straight on the road. They have had a ridiculously home heavy schedule that likely has them overrated by the oddsmakers. Don’t get us wrong, we like the Coyotes and they are an improving team. But San Jose just isn’t that bad anymore, and we had them handicapped as a slight favorite here in this matchup. The Sharks have a strong history here as they have won five of the last seven meetings. | |||||||
12-21-23 | Clippers v. Thunder -4.5 | Top | 115-134 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
It’s tough sometimes to go against a team like the Clippers who have won nine straight and are playing as well as anyone in the league. But we think this is a real bad spot for the Clippers. They are coming in on a back-to-back. This is their third road game in four nights. This is a veteran Clippers team that has seen it all and done it all, and we don’t think they care about the streak nearly as much as the fans do. This seems like a game they might not give full effort in. Some members of the team have been sick. Kawhi Leonard has played unprecedented minutes to start the season, and he got really banged around last night. The Thunder have had two nights off and are completely healthy. They have won four of five, including a road game against the defending champs. They are one of the best ATS teams in the NBA at 17-8 on the season. | |||||||
12-21-23 | Alcorn State v. George Washington -15.5 | 75-79 | Loss | -106 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306578 George Washington over Alcorn State (2p.m., Thursday, December 21 ESPN+) No bet against Alcorn State is a bad bet. The Braves are in the process of playing 15 straight road games and they have yet to win any of them. Their last 8 road games have been blowouts and today should be no different. This is just a cash grab playing all of these buy games and it really is not fair to the players and coaches. The Revolutionaries have played an easy schedule as well full of cupcakes, but playing the Braves is easily considered another cupcake. | |||||||
12-20-23 | Baylor v. Duke -3 | 70-78 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #666 Duke Blue Devils over Baylor Bears (7p.m., Wednesday, December 20 ESPN) Baylor got exposed last time out against Michigan State. Now they travel to MSG to play Duke in a de facto home game for the Blue Devils. Duke has a great record at MSG and they cannot afford any more losses on the season, since they are just 7-3 on the season. This is not the NFL and I do not expect a bounce back from Baylor tonight. Duke gets the victory and we collect in the process as well. | |||||||
12-19-23 | Alcorn State v. Drake -21 | 55-92 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #306528 Drake over Alcorn State (8p.m., Tuesday, December 19 ESPN+) No bet against Alcorn State is a bad bet regardless of how high the number is. The Braves are playing a brutal road schedule to collect checks and in return are losing these games by 30+ points. They rallied late to only lose by 18 to a Northern Iowa squad, but Drake is a much better team than Northern Iowa. This is the Braves 10th straight road game. | |||||||
12-19-23 | Oilers v. Islanders +135 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 135 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
The home team has won five straight meetings in this series, and we think home ice will prevail again. On paper, the Oilers should win this one. But the game is played on the ice, not paper. No way Edmonton should be favored by this much over a quality team on the road. They literally have as many road wins (4) as the Chicago Blackhawks, widely considered the worst team in the NHL. New York has been playing well. They had that OT loss to Boston and had a letdown the next night in a B2B at Montreal. But they have won six of their last nine. After the Oilers winning streak, which was against a home-heavy schedule, they have dropped two straight and their defense looks awful while the offense has sputtered. Doubt they have a break out night against this solid Islanders defense. | |||||||
12-19-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -7 | Top | 115-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
Ja Morant should return to the court on Tuesday, but we think this will hurt an already struggling team in the short term. This team already has chemistry issues and now will insert a new puzzle into the mix. Morant will get his numbers but we doubt he will make the team competitive right away. Plus, the Grizzlies are massively banged up right now. This roster is paper thin. The Grizzlies have lost five straight and have failed to cover in any of those games despite generous lines from the oddsmakers. New Orleans has won seven of nine (6-3 ATS), and they are playing playoff-quality basketball right now. | |||||||
12-18-23 | Panthers v. Flames +108 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 108 | 9 h 44 m | Show |
Florida broke out last time in a big win at Edmonton, but this team was shut out in their previous two games. We think the Oilers didn’t show up in that game but expect Calgary to tonight. Calgary beat Tampa Bay and Carolina in two of their last three home games, and we expect them to be up to the task tonight at an underdog price. They bring their A Game when facing Florida, as they have won three straight meetings and five of the last six. Calgary has several former Panthers players on their squad who are itching to beat their old club. We expect that to happen tonight, and the value is certainly here in this line. | |||||||
12-18-23 | Eagles v. Seahawks OVER 47.5 | 17-20 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 3 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #327 Over in Philadelphia Eagles @ Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, December 18 ABC) The Seahawks are reeling at the moment and will enter this game in the Emerald City having lost 4 straight games. Philadelphia has lost their last two games and many people do not realize how bad their defense has been this year. Seattle has allowed at least 25 points in 5 of their last 6 games. We will not worry about which desperate team wins this game and instead just collect with the Over. | |||||||
12-18-23 | Clippers -3.5 v. Pacers | 151-127 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
The Clippers are finally clicking and they are playing as well as any team in the NBA right now. After their slow start to the season they are taking every game seriously. We think with both teams playing their best that the Clippers win comfortably on the road at Indiana. After their tourney championship loss, the Pacers have not been good and have only a win and cover over Detroit as their only success in the last four games. | |||||||
12-17-23 | Nevada v. Hawaii +1.5 | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 54 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #750 Hawaii +1.5 over Nevada (10p.m., Sunday, December 17 ESPN+) The Wolf Pack have injuries and are a sinking ship now having gotten blasted by Drake last weekend. Hawaii is always a tough team to beat on the island and expect them to hand Nevada their second loss o the season Sunday night. | |||||||
12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | 23-7 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 4 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #330 Jacksonville Jaguars over Baltimore Ravens (8:20p.m., Sunday, December 17 NBC) Getting a desperate Jaguars team at home on Sunday Night Football is too good to pass up. This is the Jaguars third straight game against the AFC North and they lost the first two in heartbreaking fashion. Trevor Lawrence played last week despite a bad ankle injury the week prior, but he struggled throwing 3 picks and was sacked 4 times. Jacksonville is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games against Baltimore. The Ravens are 5-10 in their last 15 non division road games when they are the favorite. Trevor will play better on Sunday and we will collect in the process, as this is too many points for an 8-5 team to be getting at home. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Knicks v. Clippers UNDER 228.5 | Top | 122-144 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
The Knicks have been playing in a lot of high scoring games lately, but we feel they are in a letdown spot tonight. The Clippers are one of the best defensive teams in the NBA and they are one of the strongest under teams as well. The Knicks scored 139 last night and Brunson went off for 50 of those. We doubt he will stay hot on a back-to-back and against tougher defenders. These teams met already in New York and the total didn’t even cross the 210 mark. We see a similar game tonight. | |||||||
12-16-23 | Panthers v. Oilers -139 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -139 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
Edmonton has won eight of nine and they can’t afford to take any games for granted after their slow start. So even after a bad loss, we see them bouncing back well here. This team is almost an automatic play since they are back on track and have to make up for lots of early losses. Florida has lost two straight and was shit out in both games. | |||||||
12-16-23 | UCLA v. Boise State +4.5 | 35-22 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 20 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #210 Boise State Broncos over UCLA Bruins (7:30p.m., Saturday, December 16 ABC) Boise State has hired their interim head coach and I expect them to rally and play well for him in this game. The Broncos have won 4 straight games, and they always seem to get up when playing power 5 schools from the west coast. Chip Kelly beat USC to keep his job for another year, but their offense did not do much this season and I expect them to struggle in this game as well against a strong Boise front. The Bruins will be missing some key people on defense and the Broncos will be the more motivated team in this game. | |||||||
12-16-23 | UCLA v. Ohio State -1.5 | Top | 60-67 | Win | 100 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #636 Ohio State Buckeyes over UCLA Bruins (3p.m., Saturday, December 16 CBS) NONCONFERENCE GAME OF THE YEAR. The Bruins still take money in the desert and thus this line is lower than it should be. UCLA has played just one game this entire month and this will be their second trip to the east coast in the last 7 days. They had to replace a ton of veterans from their squad from last season and they are really struggling to score points this season. Ohio State is coming off a bad loss to Penn State last Saturday, a game in which they led by 18 points. This is a strong offensive team and they want to get back to the NCAA Tournament after missing out last season. They should be close to full strength for this game with Roddy Gayle and Scotty Middleton available and that means they will have 3 of the 4 best players on the floor for this game. The Bruins are the second youngest team in the country among major conferences and will enter this game in Atlanta having lost 3 of their last 5 games. Ohio State is 9th in 3 points shooting and 15th in adjusted efficiency. Early in the year I will take the better offensive team compared to the team that has a higher upside come March. Ohio State wins this pick’em game and we collect in the process as well. | |||||||
12-15-23 | Albany v. South Dakota State OVER 45.5 | Top | 0-59 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #308921 Over in Albany Great Danes @ South Dakota State Jackrabbits (7p.m., Friday, December 15 ESPN2) I refuse to call them UAlbany and feel that gets annoying on the broadcast. SDSU has won 27 games in a row, and this is too big of number to try and cover. Thus, we will side with the over for a couple of factors. First, weather could be a factor in this game with rain early then possible snow late. I feel that benefits the offense since they know where they are going. Both teams are strong against the run and I do not expect either team, especially Albany, to have any success running the football. That means the ball will be in the air a lot tonight and that also stops the clock much more than it would if both teams were running the football successfully. Both teams have strong quarterbacks and Reese Poffenbarger hit numerous big plays last week against Idaho. Finally, this will be Albany’s ninth road game this season and I expect them to struggle containing South Dakota State on offense. The Jackrabbits should be able to score close to 40 points in this game and I see the total points in the mid-fifties. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
The Clippers are very quietly playing as well as any team in the Western Conference right now. While other teams – including the Clippers opponent right now – have tons of drama surrounding them, Kawhi and co. have put their heads down and gotten to work. This team always had the talent, but they had chemistry issues. But they seemed to have worked those out, and this is a real championship contender now that they are playing well. There is a current circus going on in Golden State and they have not been playing well overall. We think they are in for a tough night tonight as LA should be clicking on all cylinders and they will want to put their best foot forward as they are currently tied for the season series. | |||||||
12-14-23 | Senators -115 v. Blues | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
The Blues have looked awful lately and have lost four straight, including on the road to Columbus and Chicago, two of the worst teams in the league. We are fading them more than backing the Senators here. Ottawa has won three of five, however, and they have faced an incredibly difficult schedule that included a host of playoff-type teams. Those wins included vs. the Rangers and at Red Wings. So, they are in better form at the moment and they have also won two of the last three meetings. The Blues defense has been horrible, and they haven’t been producing enough goals on offense to stay competitive. We see their struggles continuing tonight. | |||||||
12-13-23 | Weber State v. Nevada -9.5 | 55-72 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #644 Nevada over Weber State (10p.m., Thursday, December 13 Local) The Wolf Pack are coming off their first loss of the season, when they got pounded by the Bulldogs in Las Vegas. Nevada is a much better team when playing at home and look for them to get back on track tonight with a double-digit victory. The Wildcats have played a super weak schedule this season and will struggle to be competitive in this game. Nevada will get to the line a bunch and look for them dominate this game. | |||||||
12-13-23 | Knicks v. Jazz +6.5 | Top | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 41 m | Show |
The Knicks’ defense has been their calling card but they are faltering in that aspect and they have given up 130+ in three straight games. They aren’t going to win a lot until they fix the defensive issues. The Jazz are getting healthy and could see Markkanen return tonight. The Knicks have covered just one of the last five meetings (one push) and we don’t see their road trip getting off to a good start tonight. | |||||||
12-13-23 | Bruins v. Devils -118 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
In the rare cases that the Bruins are installed as underdogs, there is usually a reason. They traditionally haven't done well on the road as an underdog, and they are a strong fade tonight. They have a long history of success against the Devils, but despite the Bruins record this season we don't think they are as strong of a team as last year. They cruised through the regular season last year and were exposed in the playoffs. We think the Devils will treat this one like a playoff game and we think this is one they want badly, as opposed to the Bruins, who this is just another game for. New Jersey is playing some of their best hockey this season recently as they are 6-2 in their last eight. This was a very difficult schedule and road heavy. They are coming off a multi-goal loss to the Oilers, and they were probably looking ahead a bit to this matchup. We like to take a good team off a bad loss as they normally are more focused the next time out, and we think that will be the case here. | |||||||
12-12-23 | Jets v. Sharks UNDER 6 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
San Jose scored a lot of goals on their recent road trip but we watched some of those games and some of those goals were a bit flukish. Hats off to San Jose because they have been playing better, but maybe not as well as those scores might indicate, at least on offense. And they face a tough test tonight against a Winnipeg squad with one of the best defenses in the NHL. They are playing exceptionally well at the moment and have allowed less than two goals per game on average in their last four, all against teams better than the Sharks. This team has been hitting the under at a high rate recently and also for the season. We think the Sharks will step up the defense as they are home and rested and we expect a low scoring affair here. | |||||||
12-12-23 | Lakers v. Mavs UNDER 231.5 | 125-127 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
These teams met a few weeks ago, and the total finished 40 points under the posted total. That was the fourth straight meeting that went under and their seventh out of the last nine matchups. The Lakers have also played four straight unders. There might be a letdown factor here after LA winning the inaugural Play In Tourney, and we feel they could be flat on offense. We expect both teams to step up the defense here. | |||||||
12-12-23 | Alcorn State v. Maryland -21.5 | 65-105 | Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #306510 Maryland over Alcorn State (7p.m., Tuesday, December 12 BTN) This is a great right game for Maryland, as they are one of the worst shooting teams in the country this season. They do offense rebound well and are playing a team that cannot defend much whatsoever. The Braves will be playing their eight straight road game and they have gotten blown out in most of these buy games. That is a ridiculous schedule for a team to have to endure and I think they lose tonight by close to 30 points. | |||||||
12-11-23 | Nets v. Kings -4 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Sacramento has won and covered two straight and three out of four. Both teams have been great ATS, but this number is more than fair for the home team that is well rested. Brooklyn has had a fairly easy schedule lately that has inflated their worth in the eyes of the oddsmakers. We expect a comfortable win for the home team tonight. | |||||||
12-11-23 | Mississippi Valley State v. Gonzaga -39.5 | 40-78 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 17 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #306610 Gonzaga over Mississippi Valley State (9p.m., Monday, December 11 ESPN+) Hardly ever see a spread this big in any sport besides college football. Gonzaga is pissed and will take out on the Delta Devils after losing to Washington last time out. This will be ugly early and often. | |||||||
12-11-23 | Coyotes v. Sabres -124 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 32 m | Show | |
Buffalo has not met expectations to start the season, but the talent is there and we think this team will start to win games. They had their big win at Boston on Thursday, so maybe that is a sign of big things coming. They have won three of four meetings with the Coyotes. Arizona has been playing well but playing above expectations. | |||||||
12-10-23 | Michigan v. Iowa -3.5 | 90-80 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #856 Iowa -4 over Michigan (4:30p.m., Sunday, December 9 BTN) Michigan is not any good and has major coaching issues with Juwuan Howard. Iowa got blown out last time out, look for them to get back on track at home. Iowa plays much better at home. Lay the points! | |||||||
12-10-23 | Broncos v. Chargers -2.5 | Top | 24-7 | Loss | -120 | 122 h 30 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #124 Los Angeles Chargers over Denver Broncos (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Broncos came back to reality last week and Russell Wilson could not rally them late despite having a first and goal to win this game. He threw 3 interceptions in that game and now must face a more talented Charger team in their second straight road game. Los Angeles has covered the spread in 5 of their last 7 divisional home games. The last time Denver visited Sofi Stadium they lost 51-14 and the Chargers always seem to rally late in the season to get back into playoff contention. | |||||||
12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs -2 | 20-17 | Loss | -115 | 122 h 29 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #126 Kansas City Chiefs over Buffalo Bills (4:25p.m., Sunday, December 10 CBS) The Chiefs do not lose two games in a row under Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes and look for that trend to continue this week as well. Buffalo continues to be overvalued and their roster and coach is not as good as the public thinks it is. Kansas City has covered the spread in 7 of their last 11 games. Buffalo finds ways to lose close games all season long and look for that to continue on Sunday. The Chiefs need this game to stay in contention for the No. 1 seed in the AFC and they will get it by close to double-digits. | |||||||
12-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Canucks +114 | 3-4 | Win | 114 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
This road trip has not started well for Carolina as they have lost three straight and they face another formidable opponent tonight. Vancouver has been very good at home, while the Hurricane have been way below average on the road. This line has been set according to potential and not how these teams have been performing on the ice. | |||||||
12-09-23 | Albany v. Idaho OVER 51 | Top | 30-22 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. #308909 Take Over 51.5 Albany at Idaho (10:00p.m., Saturday December 9 ESPN+) FCS Game of the Year. Yes, I know Albany defense is no joke but the fire power on the offensive side of Idaho will give us the total victory. Idaho needed overtime against Southern Illinois to advance in this game and I just don't see them scoring only 20 points Saturday night. The Albany Great Danes have won 6-Straight, and their team defense is the reason why they are still playing football in December. Albany put up 41 points last week against Richmond and I'm a bit shocked that this total has dropped 3-points. Should be a tight game from the start and I see both offenses moving the ball and wouldn't shock me to see the winner score 30 plus points or more. | |||||||
12-09-23 | Pacers +4.5 v. Lakers | 109-123 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
Love the way the Pacers played in their semifinal game against Milwaukee. It looked in the third quarter that the Bucks would take over the game, but Indiana switched to a different gear and dominated the fourth. The Lakers had a much easier matchup against the inconsistent Pelicans. They blew out New Orleans, so the Lakers are further shaded by the oddsmakers here as the biggest public team in the NBA. | |||||||
12-09-23 | Wisconsin +10 v. Arizona | 73-98 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #659 Wisconsin +9.5 over Arizona (3:15p.m., Saturday, December 9 ESPN) This line keeps going up since many feel Wisconsin is in a letdown spot coming off back to back victories against Marquette and Michigan State. The Badgers treat every game the same and should give maximum effort for this game. Wisconsin plays a style of basketball that makes it tough to cover this big of spread, especially if they get ahead early in this game. The Badgers have the size to matchup with Arizona down low and this will likely come down to which team can shoot it better from long range. Arizona struggled to put away Michigan State and they beat Duke by just 5 points. I see Arizona winning this game, but it will be by single digits. | |||||||
12-08-23 | Rockets +9 v. Nuggets | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
The Nuggets will likely get back Jamal Murray tonight but this team is just not in playoff form right now and they are being lined too high by the oddsmakers. They are just 8-14 ATS this season, and coming in off two straight losses. While they were probably win tonight, the Rockets have been one of the best ATS squads and we think they keep this close. | |||||||
12-08-23 | Blues v. Blue Jackets OVER 6.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
Columbus is coming in on a back-to-back and they allowed a ton of goals to the Islanders last night and we don’t see them bouncing back defensively here. St. Louis has won three of the last four meetings by three goals apiece, and we don’t expect a drained Columbus team, playing their third game in four nights, to play well defensively. | |||||||
12-07-23 | Sharks v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
San Jose averaged a little over half a goal on the road headed into this road trip and hadn’t scored more than one goal in a road game this season. But all the sudden their offense is looking like the Oilers in their prime. They have averaged five goals per game in their last three, not including overtime, and two of those games were against strong defensive teams, the two NY clubs. Their defense has given up four goals per game on this road trip. We think they will continue to see success on offense and expect another high scoring game here. | |||||||
12-07-23 | Pacers v. Bucks -5 | Top | 128-119 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
We were unsure how serious teams would take the in season tournament, but some teams did take it seriously, and now that we are close to the finals we think teams will start to take it very seriously. And while the Pacers are a very solid club and their offense is almost unprecedented, with both teams playing at their best, we think Milwaukee is the much better team. They had some new pieces to acclimate on the team but you get the sense recently this team is turning the corner. They scored their highest point total of the season last time out, 146-122, against the Knicks in tourney action. New York is one of the best defensive teams in the league. While it might not be evident when looking at final scores, they have been improving on the defensive side. The Pacers are all offense but not defense. The Bucks can match the Pacers on offense but they have a defensive edge that will be the difference in this game in Las Vegas today. | |||||||
12-06-23 | South Carolina +8.5 v. Clemson | 67-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #717 South Carolina over Clemson (8p.m., Wednesday, December 6 ACCN) This battle of South Carolina should be closer than what the experts believe. Both teams are undefeated and I just do not see a double digit victory for the home team. Carolina already has some major conference wins against Virginia Tech, DePaul, and Notre Dame. | |||||||
12-05-23 | Devils v. Canucks OVER 6.5 | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Four straight meetings have gone over the posted total, and we expect a very competitive game here and a shootout. These teams have combined to go 32-13 to the over this season. The Devils have gone over in four straight games. These are two Top 4 offensive teams for goals scored. We see both teams getting at least three goals here, and the winner could score well above that. The winner when these teams have met has had at least five goals for the last four meetings. | |||||||
12-05-23 | Knicks +5.5 v. Bucks | 122-146 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Bucks are still a work in progress and we feel this team is focused on building a team that will win a championship once the postseason comes around and we aren’t sure how invested they are in the in-season tournament. Last meeting the Bucks were hitting their threes at a very high rate and still didn’t blow the Knicks out. We expect a close game here and the Bucks are weak defensively but they are going to put up points. | |||||||
12-05-23 | Wisconsin +5.5 v. Michigan State | 70-57 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #611 Wisconsin over Michigan State (7p.m., Tuesday, December 5 Peacock) These two teams have had great battles over the last decade and many of those games have come down to the wire. Michigan State is not the same team as they will be later in the year and they have lost to every good team that they have played this season. Expect a low scoring game and getting over 5 points is too good to pass up with this veteran Wisconsin team. | |||||||
12-04-23 | Capitals v. Coyotes UNDER 5.5 | 0-6 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
Washington is 15-6 to the under this season and we think this is a trend that could stay strong all season. They play great defense, their offense leave a lot to be desired, but they find ways to win. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Arizona and 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings. Arizona has been playing very good defense lately. | |||||||
12-04-23 | Celtics v. Pacers OVER 242.5 | 112-122 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Boston dropped 155 on the Pacers when these teams played last month, and even if they don’t score that much, we still think they are going to put up a big number on offense. We also think the Pacers will be much more competitive in this game. They scored only 104 in that game, one of their lowest outputs on offense this season. Seven of the last 10 meetings have gone over the posted number. | |||||||
12-03-23 | Cardinals v. Steelers -5.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -109 | 119 h 37 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #458 Pittsburgh Steelers over Arizona Cardinals (1p.m., Sunday, December 3 CBS) The Cardinals are not very good, and I believe that the Steelers were rejuvenated last week with a road win and a new offensive coordinator. This will be a tough task for Arizona to win a road game in the northeast in December when it will be cold outside. Pittsburgh has beaten Arizona four straight times (4-0 ATS) including in the super bowl. The Cardinals are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. Pittsburgh is due for a blowout win and it will come on Sunday by double digits. | |||||||
12-02-23 | Rangers -135 v. Predators | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 2 m | Show | |
The Rangers might prefer the road more than home ice. They have two more wins on the road vs. at home. Nashville has been streaky and they ended their six-game winning streak last time out in an embarrassing home loss to Minnesota. Things won’t get any easier today. | |||||||
12-02-23 | Warriors v. Clippers -4.5 | 112-113 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
This is the second of a home-and-home and we think the Clippers will come out on top in the rematch, with style points. This team is healthy and this is the longest stretch PG and Leonard have played together since they joined the Clippers. Chemistry seems to be improving for between the players. The Warriors are a bit banged up here, and it’s tough to beat a team twice in a row. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,325 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,247 |
Jesse Schule | $666 |
Mike Lundin | $633 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Jim Feist | $402 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Big Al McMordie | $325 |
AAA Sports | $316 |
Tom Macrina | $290 |