Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
11-19-23 | Chargers v. Packers +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 117 h 16 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #456 Green Bay Packers over Los Angeles Chargers (1p.m., Sunday, November 19 FOX) The Chargers got lit up by the Lions last Sunday at home and I feel this game will do down to the wire at Lambeau Field. The Chargers are close to making a coaching change and look for the Packers to win their second straight game at home on Sunday. Green Bay has covered 3 straight home games when they are on an underdog. This game will be close and I just feel the Chargers will find a way to lose it, something they have done through most of Brandon Staley’s tenure. | |||||||
11-19-23 | Titans v. Jaguars -6.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 117 h 15 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Jacksonville Jaguars over Tennessee Titans (1p.m., Sunday, November 19 CBS) The Jaguars laid an egg last week against the 49ers but should find things much easier against the Titans on Sunday at home. Tennessee is pot committed to Will Levis and he is a risk taker and that will bite him in this game. The Titans are 1-4 in their last 5 games and will lose this one by double digits. They are playing their third straight road game and the Jags have won 5 of their last 6 games. Jacksonville swept Tennessee in 2022 and they will bounce back and force the Titans to beat them through the air. | |||||||
11-18-23 | Wolves -6.5 v. Pelicans | 121-120 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
Minnesota has covered four straight in this series and five of the last six. Of course we understand that the Pelicans just beat the defending champs and come in on a two-game win streak. But this team hasn’t shown any consistency this season and they are probably overconfident now. This win streak followed a four-game losing streak that saw them get blown out three times. Minnesota is the much better team right now, and this line is evidence of that as the oddsmakers aren’t putting too much stock in the win over Denver. And neither are we. | |||||||
11-18-23 | Rangers -101 v. Devils | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a game the Rangers have had circled all offseason. The Devils got the better of them in the postseason and scored a Game 7 shutout. But New Jersey is not the same team we saw in the playoffs. They have the worst defense in the league this season, and the Rangers look much improved and have started off the season strong. They should be extremely focused here and we think they bring their A Game. | |||||||
11-18-23 | Utah +2 v. Arizona | Top | 18-42 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #367 Utah Utes over Arizona Wildcats (2:30p.m., Saturday, November 18 PAC12N) TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY OF THE WEEK. Arizona has been on a roll and will enter this game having won 4 straight games. This will be the toughest team they faced in their last 5 games, as Utah will not self-destruct like UCLA, Oregon State and Washington State did. The Utes are extremely well coached and I feel the Wildcats are playing a little over their heads at the moment. They have had a great season, but this is a team that lost to Mississippi State earlier this season (just fired their coach). The spread tells me that the Wildcats are not as good as their record would indicate, and reality will hit them in this game. Jedd Fisch is a hot coaching commodity and should win Pac 12 Coach of the Year, but the overachievers take a step back on Saturday. Utah has beaten Arizona six straight times (5-1 ATS). Utah is 15-3 in their last 18 road games when they are an opening line underdog. | |||||||
11-18-23 | Coastal Carolina v. Army +4.5 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 66 h 12 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #322 Army Black Knights over Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (12p.m., Saturday, November 18 CBSSN) This line is begging you to take Coastal Carolina, but we will not bite and instead side with the home underdog. Playing Army with only one week to prepare is always a difficult task, as team just do not see the triple option much anymore. Coastal Carolina has won 5 straight games, but only one of those wins came by over 10 points. They struggled to put away App State, Arkansas State, Old Dominion and Texas State. Army has won their last home game of the season 7 straight years. The Black Knights lost by just 10 points to Coastal Carolina last season and that was a better squad than what they will face on Saturday. | |||||||
11-18-23 | Wagner v. Seton Hall OVER 127.5 | 51-72 | Loss | -110 | 1 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306503 Take Over in Wagner @ Seton Hall (12p.m., Saturday, November 18) The Hall continue their early season start against cupcakes and today will be no different. The Pirates are averaging 83.7 points per game and if they hit that mark on Saturday morning this game should go over the posted today. | |||||||
11-18-23 | Xavier -2.5 v. Washington | 71-74 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #879 Xavier over Washington (11:59p.m., Friday, November 17 ESPN2) No bet against Washington is bad bet. They have a lame duck coach, and he is trying to get away from the zone defense he is long accustomed to too. They got dominated at home by Nevada and now must travel to Las Vegas to face a well-coached Xavier team. Sean Miller is very familiar with Washington having coached many years in Arizona. Look for the Musketeers to jump out early and win this game by close to double-digits. | |||||||
11-16-23 | Canucks v. Flames UNDER 6.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
Calgary has been offensively challenged lately but they have been good on defense. Vancouver looks to be in a letdown spot after a rally and OT win vs. the Islanders last night. We could see them struggling to find the back of the net, and it’s doubtful that Calgary is going to light up the scoreboard tonight. | |||||||
11-16-23 | Missouri v. Minnesota UNDER 150.5 | 70-68 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #724 Under in Missouri @ Minnesota (9p.m., Thursday, November 16 BTN) Expect a low scoring game, as both teams will not make the NCAA Tournament come March. Missouri lost a lot of players and will have to get it done with a new cast in 2023/24. They have not come close to reaching this total in their last two games. | |||||||
11-16-23 | Nets +3.5 v. Heat | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Miami has been racking up the wins lately, but four of those games came against four of the worst teams in the NBA so far this season. They take a big step up in class tonight and this should be a very tough game for them. Brooklyn has won five straight meetings with Miami. The Nets are 9-1-1 ATS on the season. This team doesn’t have any big names so they don’t get respect from the oddsmakers, but they compete hard every night and play with a true team mentality. They also have plenty of talent and a roster of players that compliment each other. We think they have a great chance for the outright win tonight. Miami is not a good regular season team, and things have been going a little too well for them lately. | |||||||
11-15-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
The Oilers have now won two straight, including 4-1 at Seattle. This team was eventually going to put it together – there is too much talent on this squad for them not to. It looks like that time might be now, and they have a lot of ground to make up after a poor start and should be heavily motivated tonight. Edmonton has won five of six, and all the wins came by multiple goals. | |||||||
11-15-23 | Knicks +1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 116-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
The Hawks have the better record right now but there’s no doubt to us that the Knicks are the better team. They already won comfortably here last month. They have been playing very well recently until they played their worst game of the season last time out on a back-to-back against Boston. But Boston is a Top 3 team in the NBA, and the Hawks should provide a nice opportunity to get back on track. This time the Hawks are on a B2B. And even though Young didn’t play last night (new father), the rest of the roster will have a tough time keeping up the pace against this physical Knicks team. | |||||||
11-14-23 | Pacers +5.5 v. 76ers | 132-126 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Nice revenge spot for Indiana as they lost to Philly on Sunday. They were ahead for most of the game but the Sixers rallied in the fourth. It is really hard to beat a team in consecutive games, especially a strong team like the Pacers. Indiana had won three straight before that loss to Philly, and we think they will make the necessary adjustments to hang close or even win outright. | |||||||
11-14-23 | Flames v. Canadiens +147 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
We think there is great value on the Canadiens tonight. This team takes a lot of pride in squaring off against fellow Canadian clubs. They normally bring their A Game against the more talented Maple Leafs, their main rival, and they have won five straight against the more talented Flames. That talent deficit hasn’t been evident in the standings so far this season as Calgary has been one of the bigger disappointments in the league this season. Montreal has a winning record on the year and they have been playing well lately. The Flames have won only two of their last eight visits here. You just get the feeling the home team will do what it takes to get the job done tonight as they have been masterful in winning close contests. And we are getting a very nice price with them tonight. | |||||||
11-14-23 | Wisconsin v. Providence | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #605 Wisconsin over Providence (6p.m., Tuesday, November 14 FS1) The Badgers are a brutal nonconference schedule and need to win this game against a rebuilding Friar team. Providence lost their coach and have new players and a new philosophy. Wisconsin should find things easier tonight compared to facing the ultra-athletic Tennessee team last Friday. Wisconsin makes some shots tonight and earn the victory. | |||||||
11-13-23 | Islanders v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
It’s rare to get a NY Islanders total in the 6.5 range and we will take advantage tonight. They have had only three totals this season at 6.5, and all three have gone under. This Islanders team is known for defense and goaltending, but their strength is definitely not scoring. They are No. 30 in the league for goals scored. Edmonton isn’t far ahead at 26th for goals on the season. They scored four last time out in a rare win. That was the first time in five games they had more than three goals. The oddsmakers seem to think this team is going to turn a corner and they are lining them as such. But we will believe it when we see it. Even if Edmonton was in top form, New York has the ability to compete with them on the defensive end. But the Oilers are a long way from top form, and we expect both teams to struggle on the offensive end tonight. The under has hit in four straight meetings. | |||||||
11-13-23 | Southern v. Arizona OVER 159.5 | 59-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #306585 Over in Southern @ Arizona (8p.m., Monday, November 13 P12N) We nailed a total with Southern last week and expect another high scoring game on Monday in Tucson. Arizona is coming off an impressive win against Duke on Friday and I expect their defense to struggle in this game from tired legs after making a cross country flight. We will not worry if they can cover this big number and instead just focus on the total. | |||||||
11-13-23 | Knicks +9.5 v. Celtics | Top | 98-114 | Loss | -113 | 6 h 57 m | Show |
Even though it has been at home, the Knicks have won three straight. And they have looked good in the process. And sometimes building confidence at home can translate to continued success on the road. We don’t doubt that New York will be hyped for this matchup even though they are on a B2B. But they easily dispatched Charlotte on Sunday and this game was early so not too intense a B2B. These teams opened the season against each other so this sets up a revenge scenario since Boston won the first one. | |||||||
11-12-23 | Sharks v. Ducks -1.5 | 1-4 | Win | 127 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
San Jose is one of the worst puckline teams at 3-11 ATS as they get blown out on a nightly basis. We are getting a good number here because Anaheim stinks, too, but this team is miles ahead of the Sharks, who are one of the worst teams in NHL history. Anaheim is not in the position to take teams for granted, and we see them taking this opportunity for an easy, dominating win. | |||||||
11-12-23 | Grizzlies v. Clippers -8.5 | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 23 m | Show | |
Tough to lay this many points with the Clippers with the way they have been playing. They came off a tough road trip winless. This is no Must Win this early in the season, but you sense this is a majorly important game with LA at 3-5. The good news is that all three of those wins came at home, all blowouts, and this Memphis team is certainly vulnerable to get rolled today. | |||||||
11-12-23 | 49ers v. Jaguars +3 | 34-3 | Loss | -109 | 117 h 36 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #248 Jacksonville Jaguars over San Francisco 49ers (1p.m., Sunday, November 12 FOX) Both teams are coming off a bye, with the Jaguars red hot and the 49ers ice cold. Injuries are taking its toll on the team from the bay area, as San Francisco is realizing that Brock Prudy cannot carry this team without a bunch of talent around him. Jacksonville is on a 5-0 straight-up and 5-0 ATS run. San Francisco is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a bye. The Jaguars are 5-1 in their last 6 home games when they are an underdog. Trevor Lawrence and Doug Pederson are a strong combination and will only get better as the season and years go on. | |||||||
11-11-23 | Ole Miss v. Georgia -10.5 | 17-52 | Win | 100 | 99 h 48 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #144 Georgia Bulldogs over Ole Miss Rebels (7p.m., Saturday, November 11 ESPN) Ole Miss has an offensive mindset and some good playmakers, but they struggled against Alabama scoring just 10 points. I see a similar situation today, as the Bulldogs are getting better and should win this game by double digits. Ole Miss just cannot keep up in the trenches and that will be the difference in this game. The Rebels are just 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games against ranked teams. It might not be pretty, but Georgia just do not lose games to inferior competition and Saturday between the hedges will be another victory. | |||||||
11-11-23 | Canucks +105 v. Maple Leafs | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
Just have to roll with the Canucks freight train right now as this team looks like a real championship contender so far. They are playing complete team hockey en route to a 10-2-1 record. No doubt they will be hyped for this matchup at Toronto. Vancouver has won three of the last four meetings. Toronto is just not in top form right now and they are a mediocre 4-4 at home. They have dropped five of seven, and we see a tough night for them again tonight. | |||||||
11-11-23 | Bucks v. Magic +4 | 97-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
Milwaukee has enjoyed a home-heavy schedule to start the season, and they haven’t been great on the road. They are also 1-6-1 ATS this season and have been overvalued by the oddsmakers. We think that is the case today. The Bucks will get their best shot from every opponent, and the Magic are an underrated team and 6-2 ATS on the season. | |||||||
11-11-23 | Michigan -4.5 v. Penn State | Top | 24-15 | Win | 100 | 92 h 37 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #149 Michigan Wolverines over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, November 11 FOX) We are fading the Penn State offense in this game. Michigan has not been tested and this will be the best defense that they have faced all season long. But Penn State looked terrible against Ohio State, and I believe Michigan has a better defense than the Buckeyes. The Wolverines have won the last two games and are 6-3 straight-up and 7-2 ATS stretching that out to 9 games. Michigan has an us against the world mentality with all the outside noise going on around the program. JJ McCarthy is a much better player than Drew Allar and the offensive weapons are much better for the Wolverines. Penn State got a raw deal with this being a 12 p.m. game instead of a white out game at night. That edge allows Michigan to dominate this game and win it by double digits. | |||||||
11-10-23 | Tennessee v. Wisconsin +2.5 | 80-70 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #862 Wisconsin over Tennessee (9p.m., Friday, November 10 Peacock) Both teams return a bunch of talent from last year, but I just do not trust Tennessee and their Coach Rick Barnes. We have made a lot of money fading them in the past and this season should be no different. Wisconsin has the size and plays physical to matchup with Tennessee in the post and I am just not sure the Vols can make enough jump shots in a true road game. Wisconsin scored 105 points in their opening game of the season and that happened despite not making a 3-point basket in their first half. With a tough road game against Providence on deck, this is a game they need and will get it in a big way. | |||||||
11-09-23 | Hawks -3.5 v. Magic | 120-119 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
Love the Hawks in this spot. They are playing well, having won four of their last five, with the loss coming last time out at the Thunder. Orlando is a fine team, but they are still working a lot of things out early in the season and they just haven’t been consistent enough to trust against a team like Atlanta. The Hawks are 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, so they normally bring their A Game vs. the Magic. | |||||||
11-09-23 | Canucks -120 v. Senators | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
We usually look at the underdog when two Canadian teams play, especially when that underdog is at home. Just can’t get in front of the Canucks freight train, however, as they are starting off the season playing championship-caliber hockey and that have also won two straight in this series and three of four. | |||||||
11-08-23 | Southern v. UNLV OVER 148.5 | 85-71 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #306539 Over in Southern @ UNLV (10p.m., Wednesday, November 8 MWN) Southern gave up 108 points to TCU on Monday and I expect them to give up a bunch of points to UNLV tonight in Sin City. The Rebels improved in year two under Kevin Kruger and look for more improvement in 2023-2024. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
11-08-23 | Panthers v. Capitals OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
We expect a competitive game here and think the Capitals have a chance to win. We think both teams will get their goals tonight. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and seven of nine meetings in Washington. | |||||||
11-08-23 | Celtics -1.5 v. 76ers | 103-106 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
Boston has won and covered two straight in this series and seven of the last 10. We are getting a nice line tonight because Philly is 6-0 ATS, but they will not last forever. Boston always gets up for big games like this and we could see their best effort of the season so far. The Celtics have also been one of the best betting teams for several years, so they can usually be trusted in these spots. | |||||||
11-08-23 | Akron v. Miami-OH OVER 41 | 0-19 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 49 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #111 Over in Akron Zips @ Miami (oh) RedHawks (7p.m., Wednesday, November 8 ESPNU) Akron got their offense together late in the game last week against Kent State scoring 21 points in the fourth quarter to win and cover the spread. Look for that to carryover into this game against a much better team in Miami (OH). The RedHawks should be able to move the football via the ground or air against this weak Zips defense and I expect them to be in the mid-thirties in points. Akron is a pass happy team and that leads to the clock stopping a bunch and allows for many more plays in their games. This is a low total and expect it to hit with Akron scoring some points in this game despite being a big underdog. | |||||||
11-07-23 | Penguins v. Ducks +1.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 25 m | Show | |
Five of the last seven meetings have been one-goal games. We think the Pens are overrated on this line tonight and this should be a close game and the Ducks have every chance for the outright win. Anaheim has been good on home ice, and the Penguins have looked like a very average team on the road this season (the game at San Jose doesn’t count). | |||||||
11-06-23 | Oilers v. Canucks -103 | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
Edmonton continues to get too much respect from the oddsmakers and that is evident with this line. The Canucks have won three straight and six of seven. They are coming off an impressive win over Dallas and handed the Sharks their worst home loss in history. They have also won two straight in this series and three of the last four. We think the Oilers will straighten their issues out eventually. But right now they are a clear fade. | |||||||
11-06-23 | Clippers -104 v. Knicks | 97-111 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
Harden will debut tonight for the Clippers and this team has a lot of firepower. Health is always a problem with this team but they are healthy now and the slow-starting Knicks are in for a long night, in our opinion. The Clippers have struggled on the road but we think the bright lights of MSG will bring out the best in this team. | |||||||
11-05-23 | Giants +2 v. Raiders | Top | 6-30 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 26 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #269 New York Giants over Las Vegas Raiders (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 5 FOX) NFL GAME OF THE YEAR The Raiders are a mess, and we liked this play even before they fired their coach, offensive coordinator, and General Manager. Throw in they are starting a rookie at quarterback in Aiden O’Connell, and I see them really struggling on offense this entire game. Las Vegas is coming off back-to-back double-digit losses, and one of those was against the Bears. Finally, the Raiders have no home field advantage playing in Las Vegas, and expect a lot of Giants fans in attendance for this game. The Giants did everything they could to lose a game that had over a 95% chance of winning last week. They could not muster any passing game, yet their defense played the best game of the year. The Jets offense is a lot like the Raiders offense, and I see another strong game from the Giants on Sunday. Danny Dimes is back, and that gives the Giants a much better chance to move the football via the air. He can run or pass, and he will need to utilize both in this game. The Giants are 17-8 in their last 25 games as a road underdog, including 9-0 during this streak when facing losing teams. They are 6-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 8 games against AFC teams. New York is also 4-1 ATS when facing foes coming off a Monday Night Football game. The Giants win this game, and we collect in the process as well. | |||||||
11-05-23 | Seahawks v. Ravens -5.5 | 3-37 | Win | 100 | 119 h 45 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #456 Baltimore Ravens over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, November 5 CBS) Lamar Jackson dominates the NFC and look for that to continue on Sunday. He is 16-1 in his career straight up when facing NFC teams. The Ravens have led at halftime in 7 of their 8 games this season and their defense is one of the top units in the league. Seattle did not look that impressive last week at home against Cleveland and they played poorly when they traveled to Cincinnati last month, especially on offense. | |||||||
11-04-23 | Wisconsin v. Indiana +9.5 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 93 h 46 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #328 Indian Hoosiers over Wisconsin Badgers (12p.m., Saturday, November 4 BTN) This line is coming down, as Wisconsin has been decimated by injuries and should not be favored by this many points against any team in the Big 10. The Badgers played decent against Ohio State but expect a letdown to occur as RB Allen and WR Diketo to injuries in that game. No team can sustain that many injuries and thus it would not surprise me if Indiana wins this game straight-up. Expect this game to go down to the wire and we will cash this ticket with whoever comes out on top. | |||||||
11-03-23 | Grizzlies -3 v. Blazers | Top | 113-115 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
Memphis is 0-5 to start the season. We think they will get their first win tonight with style points. This team has lots of talent even without Morant. This is their first game of the in season tournament, so we think there is a great chance for this to be the impetus for them to snap out of this funk. Portland will finish with one of the worst records in the west. While Memphis hasn’t played well, this roster is miles better than what the Blazers will be trotting out, and if this matchup was the first game of the season (without the way the Grizzlies have played), Memphis would probably be around a 7- or 8-point favorite here based on the talent. | |||||||
11-03-23 | Devils v. Blues +140 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 140 | 8 h 38 m | Show |
New Jersey is the better team, no doubt. But we have many reasons to believe the Blues are a great value play tonight. First, the Devils are on a back-to-back in consecutive road games after a hard-fought win over the Wild in Minnesota last night. This will be their third back-to-back of the season. In their first, they lost in Arizona, and in their second, they lost vs Washington. They had a more favorable situation (at least one home game) in both of those situations, and both of those teams are mediocre like the Blues. St. Louis has played a road heavy schedule, so we don’t know how good this team can be yet at home. This is their first home game in almost two weeks, so we think they will bring their A Game. They have one of the best defenses in the league and should be effective in that area against a tired Devils squad that was probably more focused on their game last night against a better opponent. The Blues won both meetings last season at an underdog price. In fact, it has been total domination by the Blues when these teams meet, as St. Louis has won 17 of the last 21 meetings. New Jersey has won only a single match in their last 10 visits to St. Louis. The Devils will also have their backup goalie in Net tonight. | |||||||
11-02-23 | Magic v. Jazz +1.5 | Top | 115-113 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
We love the Jazz in this spot tonight. We think they are being punished too much by the oddsmakers for this being a back-to-back. But this is a young team, and this is early in the season, so we don’t think that will come into play tonight. The Jazz ran roughshod over the Grizzlies last night and the starters got some extra rest. No starter played more than 28 minutes. These teams don’t play often, but the Jazz are 8-1 in the last nine meetings. Orlando normally doesn’t play well here. The Magic are an exciting, up and coming team, but they were bad on the road last year and they should be this year also. The Jazz were a surprise team at the start of last season and they were one of the best betting teams early. We think they are a solid bet at this point in the season, and we expect them to win outright tonight. | |||||||
11-02-23 | Lightning v. Blue Jackets +140 | 2-4 | Win | 140 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Just think this is a decent spot for the home dog. Tampa Bay seems to be getting worse every year since their championship seasons. They have had a decent start, but they haven’t been good on the road. The Jackets have lost four straight after a two-game winning streak. They will want to get back on the winning track, and Tampa might not take this game as seriously as they would other matchups. | |||||||
11-01-23 | Rangers v. Diamondbacks UNDER 8.5 | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #956 Under in Texas Rangers @ Arizona Diamondbacks (8:03p.m., Wednesday, November 1 FOX) The under has only hit once so far in the 2023 World Series and I look for it to cash a second time on Wednesday. Often times elimination games are played close to the best and I expect this to be a low scoring game that goes down to the wire. Both teams have their ace on the mound and at least one of them should go deep into this game and give up very few very runs. The bullpen for Arizona is strong and Texas missing Garcia will catch up to them in this game. Play the under and we will not worry about if there is a Game 6 and cash our ticket. | |||||||
11-01-23 | Wizards v. Hawks OVER 237.5 | Top | 121-130 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show |
The over has cashed in seven of the last ten meetings, and the last meeting saw 250 scored by both teams. We could see that kind of offensive output tonight. These teams are going to run tonight and execute their offense quickly. Washington is No. 1 in the league for pace to start the season, and Atlanta is not far behind. When teams play at this kind of pace, the total can weather a couple cold spells and still go over. The last time Washington met a team high in the pace ratings was their game against Indiana that saw 263 points scored. We think this one can be that kind of barnburner tonight. | |||||||
11-01-23 | Kent State v. Akron -3.5 | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #308 Akron Zips -3.5 over Kent State Golden Flashes (7:30p.m., Wednesday, November 1 ESPNU) How the Golden Flashes have fallen. This used to be a perennial top team in the MAC, but they cannot get out of their own way this season going 1-7 with their only win coming against an FCS team. Akron has the same stats, but the difference tonight will be the quarterback play of Akron (taking care of the football). Jeff Undercuffler will be smart with the football and that will allow the Zips to move the football and win this game by double digits. Neither team will be making a bowl game, so the time is now for Akron to end this long losing streak to Kent State and earn some pride heading into next season. | |||||||
11-01-23 | Sabres -103 v. Flyers | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 24 m | Show | |
Philly started off the season hot but has lost four of their last five. That includes a 7-4 beatdown here at home two games ago. Buffalo got off to a slow start but has been playing much better and has won two of three. They have found their offense and have scored at least four goals in their last three matchups. The Sabres have won six of the last eight meetings. | |||||||
10-31-23 | Kings v. Maple Leafs OVER 6.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
We see a very competitive game here and we were tempted to go with the Kings at a nice price, but we think the total is the best way to attack this matchup. These teams are playing well to start the season and they are both Top 10 offensively. Actually, the Kings are No. 1 at 4.4 goals per contest. The over is 7-1 for Los Angeles to start the season and we see both teams getting their share of the total tonight. | |||||||
10-30-23 | Warriors v. Pelicans UNDER 225 | 130-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
These teams combined to go 5-0 to the under, and the bookies haven’t adjusted this number enough. Both teams have started slow on the offensive end and both are playing really well on defense. We think the defenses will both step up here as this is a big game for both teams early in the season. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. | |||||||
10-30-23 | Red Wings v. Islanders -157 | 4-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
These teams are going in opposite directions as the Islanders have won two straight, while the Red Wings have dropped three straight. This price is more than fair for the home team tonight, and we think their defense will step up again. Detroit hasn’t won here in the last four visits, and the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings regardless of venue. We think these trends hold to form tonight. | |||||||
10-29-23 | Jaguars -2.5 v. Steelers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 88 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Jacksonville Jaguars over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, October 29 CBS) The Jaguars are on a roll and will enter this game having won 4 straight games. They have taken control of the AFC South and I feel they are farther along with their offense and quarterback compared to the Steelers. Pittsburgh is not a top team in the league and I see them being around a .500 team, which has been normal of late for Mike Tomlin. Jacksonville has extra rest for this game and being the favorite on the road leads me to believe the books what to take a bunch of Steelers money. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #176 Arizona Wildcats over Oregon State Beavers (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 28 ESPN) Arizona has been playing well of late covering three straight games including a shocking 44-6 victory over Washington State last time out. That Wazzou team is the only team to beat the Beavers this season. Both teams are coming off of a bye but Oregon State is just a different team when playing on the road. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in lined games this season. Oregon State is 2-5 in their last 7 conference road games when they are favored. They are also 1-7 ATS (1 push) in this same situation when they are favored by less than a touchdown. It is hard to beat anyone on the road in the PAC-12 besides Cal, ASU, and Stanford and this game should go down to the wire with the Wildcats coming out on top. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Wizards | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are being punished too much on the line for this back-to-back. The season is still young, and back-to-backs aren’t that big of an issue right now. And Memphis has some depth. Washington is getting used to live without Bradley Beal, one of the franchise cornerstones for what seemed like a lifetime. They have new faces and lots of question marks. Their absolute ceiling is the play in tourney, while that same ceiling is a championship for Memphis. Memphis has won six of the last eight meetings. We think they make that seven of nine tonight and win this one by a comfortable margin. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Bruins | 1-4 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Detroit has had some success against the Bruins, and they have won two of the last four meetings outright. One of the losses was by a single goal. Both teams have gotten off to a hot start. Boston lost their first game last time out to the Ducks. We were on the Ducks puckline in that one. We said in that writeup that we don’t think the Bruins are anywhere as good as they were last year. And with the hot start there is value going against then. They are going to get their opponent’s best shot on a nightly basis. Pretty sure teams will get up more for playing the Bruins than the defending champs. We expect a close game here and think Detroit has a great chance for the outright win. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Air Force v. Colorado State +12 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #162 Colorado State Rams over Air Force Falcons (7p.m., Saturday, October 28 CBSSN) This is an in-state battle and Colorado State already took Colorado to the wire. I do not see them getting blown out at home, as this is a sandwich game for Air Force. The Force played Navy last week and have Army on deck. Colorado State only lost by two to UNLV and beat Boise State in their last home game. Jay Novell will keep this game close and be ready to contain the triple option. All the pressure is on Air Force, as the look to win the MWC and receive a major bowl win. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Duke v. Louisville -4 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 95 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #134 Louisville Cardinals over Duke Blue Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 28 ESPN) Duke has quarterback issues with Riley Leonard not able to finish last game. Playing Florida State last week took its toll on Duke, and I do not expect them to have much left for this game even if QB Leonard plays. Florida State dominated the second half against Duke outscoring them 21-0 and now they must face a sleeper team in the ACC that got pretty good, pretty quick. The Cardinals are coming off a bye and should be fresh for this game after suffering their only loss of the season last time out. All of their home game victories this season have come over today’s posted number. Louisville is also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Cardinals take this one by double digits. | |||||||
10-27-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers OVER 8 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #941 Over in Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers (8:03p.m., Friday, October 27 FOX) MLB Playoff Game of the Year. Both offenses have shown they can score runs this entire postseason. Still not sold on the Texas bullpen and Zac Gallen has struggled in the postseason. He has a 1.48 WHIP and a 5.24 E.R.A. Texas will be the strongest lineup that he has faced this entire postseason. They are loaded from top to bottom. The trends point towards the over when these two teams play, cashing that ticket 4 of the last 5 games when they have met. One of these starting pitchers is going to get hit hard tonight and it will not surprise me if the total goes over by one team alone. | |||||||
10-26-23 | 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 227.5 | 117-118 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Philly has won two of the last three meetings. Milwaukee is undergoing a lot of changes and it will take awhile for the team to completely gel, and we think it will be slow going for this team for the start of the season and they will be facing inflated lines. We expect a close, hard-fought game here and we think the defenses will step up against an inflated total. The under has hit in three of the last four meetings, and we expect this one to fall under the posted number as well. | |||||||
10-26-23 | Avalanche -140 v. Penguins | 0-4 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Going to jump on board the freight train that is the Avs as they have looked like the clear best team in the NHL with a 6-0 start to the season. They have won by multiple goals in all but one game. They face a tough task in Pittsburgh, but we have to go with the hot team. The Pens have lost three straight entering this game, so they aren’t in the best form. If the Avs win a couple more, these odds are going to skyrocket. | |||||||
10-25-23 | UTEP +3.5 v. Sam Houston State | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #107 UTEP Miners over Sam Houston State Bearkats (8p.m., Wednesday, October 24 ESPN2) Just feel the wrong team is favored in this game and we will take the points with the team that has actually won games this season. UTEP won both of the previous meetings with Sam Houston State and is the must better offensive team. The Bearkats cannot run the football whatsoever and losing all these close games will eventually take its toll on them. Whoever runs the football better should win this game and look for that to be the Miners. | |||||||
10-25-23 | Pistons +9.5 v. Heat | 102-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Detroit is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Detroit was a solid bet when getting big points last season, especially early in the season. Miami is more of a playoff type team that turns in on in the postseason, but this team has slogged through the regular season the last couple years, and they can’t be trusted laying this kind of number. | |||||||
10-25-23 | Capitals v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
The Devils are a perfect 5-0 to the over this season and we think they will continue that trend tonight. Their offense is one of the best in the league, and their defense gives the opposition just enough to cover their share of the total, which these teams have done in four of the last six meetings. Both played last night, so defensive legs should be tired on a back-to-back. | |||||||
10-24-23 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Kings | 3-6 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Coyotes certainly look improved this season and they stand at 3-2 entering this matchup. This is a regional rivalry, so Arizona will probably bring their A Game. The Kings haven’t had a home ice advantage as they have lost all three at home this season so far. What stands out here, however, is that the Coyotes are 4-1 on the puckline. They failed to cover last time out in a 2-1 win over Anaheim, but they have been incredibly competitive against low expectations, and they enter this one with a third-ranked defense that is allowing less than two goals per game. The last two meetings have both been decided by shootout, and that result would be great for us again tonight. Five of the last eight matchups have been decided by one goal. We think this is very nice value for the puckline with the way the Coyotes have been playing defense. | |||||||
10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Fans of offense are really going to enjoy Opening Night as these two teams always light up the scoreboard when they meet up. Three of the last four meetings have gone over the posted total, with one push, and all would have gone over tonight’s posted number. The offenses will be ahead of the defenses to start the season, and both of these clubs have tremendous firepower offensively. These are going to be two teams that will both be in the Top 5 for points per game by season’s end barring major injuries. Chris Paul will be very motivated against his former team, and despite some players out there is still plenty of firepower. Both teams should bring their A Game here as this is one of the biggest games of the season for both teams with two of the major contenders in the west. This will be a very competitive game, as the spread indicates, and both teams will get their points. The winning team has scored 123 or more in the last four meetings, and we expect that kind of offensive output here on Tuesday night. | |||||||
10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #934 Houston over Texas (8:03p.m., Monday, October 23 FOX) This is a winner take all game and I just do not feel the Astros will lose 4 straight home games to the Rangers. It does seem reminiscent of the 2019 World Series between Houston and Washington, but Max Scherzer is not himself and I expect him to get pounded. Cristian Javier receives a ton of run support and now he is starting to dominate on the mound which makes this a deadly combination in favor of the home team. Houston has the better bullpen and will take care of business and advance to the World Series, as we collect big in the process as well. | |||||||
10-23-23 | Canadiens v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Buffalo had one of the best offenses in the NHL last season, but they have been a little slow to start off this season, as they rank No. 25 for goals scored. We don’t see them languishing in the bottom half of the league for long. They have scored three each in their last two games, and they seem to be getting better on offense. The last game was pretty impressive since they went against the Islanders, one of the best defensive teams in the league. Tonight they face a team that is not on that level. The Canadiens allow 3.5 goals per game and stand as No. 22 defensively. We think Buffalo can have their break out game offensively here and put up a real big number. They have scored 10 goals in the last two meetings. | |||||||
10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -1.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 124 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #472 Philadelphia Eagles over Miami Dolphins (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 17 NBC) The Eagles suffered their first loss of the season on Sunday against the Jets. Expect them to bounce back in a big way tonight at home against the Dolphins, a team that has been beating up on bad team this season. Miami laid an egg against the only tough team they played this season in Buffalo, losing by 28 points on the road. The Eagles will be the best defense that they have faced in 2023 and look for them to go on another long winning streak similar to what they did in 2022. After the Eagles lost their first game of the season to the Commanders last October, they went onto win their next 5 games. The weather will be cold and not pristine conditions like Miami likes. Philadelphia is 10-1 in their last 11 games against AFC teams that won in their previous week. The Eagles get back on track, take care of the football and win this game by double-digits. | |||||||
10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros -112 | 9-2 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #926 Houston over Texas (8:03p.m., Sunday, October 22 FS1) The Astros came back from the dead in Game 5 and now just need to win one of the remaining two games to clinch the pennant. Framber Valdez has not been good this postseason but look for that to change on Sunday Night. All the momentum is with Houston and that will allow them to emerge victorious and march onto the World Series. | |||||||
10-21-23 | Duke v. Florida State -14.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 74 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #342 Florida State Seminoles over Duke Blue Devils (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 21 ABC) Duke winning last week was fools gold, as the stats were terrible. Now they face a team that they have never beaten in Florida State, as they are 0-21 straight-up against them and have not covered the spread against them since 2004. QB Leonard may be back for this game, but it will not matter, as he will not be 100% and the Seminoles will win this game by over 20 points. | |||||||
10-21-23 | Islanders v. Sabres -117 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
We have been high on Buffalo to start the season but they have had a slow start. But this looks like a great spot for them to get a win in front of the home fans. This is a quick revenge spot as these teams played a week ago in New York, a 3-2 Islanders win. New York got an early goal, but Buffalo played well most of the game. Well enough to win, but it didn’t work out. Now they are at home for the rematch, off a day of rest while NY had a more important game vs. NJ Devils on Friday, and they should be primed for a strong performance. Buffalo has won six of the last nine meetings and four straight at home. | |||||||
10-21-23 | Pittsburgh +1.5 v. Wake Forest | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #323 Pittsburgh Panthers over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 21 ACCN) Wake Forest is a sinking ship and will enter this game having lost 3 straight conference games. Pittsburgh picked up their best win of the season last week against Louisville and expect them to follow that up with another victory on Saturday. The Demon Deacons benched their quarterback last week and were outgained by 200 yards last week against Virginia Tech. Pittsburgh has the coaching advantage and will get back closer to bowl eligibility with another victory on Saturday. | |||||||
10-21-23 | Penn State v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 92 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #326 Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, October 21 FOX) Big 10 Game of the Year. Getting Ohio State playing at the Horseshoe at this line does not happen very often. Penn State has looked impressive this season, but they have not played anyone of significance and will not be battle tested for this game. Many people have been critical of Ohio State QB McCord, but he has an 11-1 touchdown to interception ratio and Penn State does not have a veteran quarterback either. Penn State has lost 10 of their last 11 games to Ohio State including 6 games in a row. The Lions have not gotten many explosive plays this season and they will need a bunch in order to beat Ohio State. Coach Franklin does not win many road games against elite teams and Saturday should be no different. DC Manny Diaz never seems to live up to the hype and I always like fading him in big spots. Ohio State has great wide receivers and many of their running backs should be back for this game. The Buckeyes have improved greatly on defense and Penn State has not seen a unit this strong yet this season. Ohio State is accustomed to winning these type of games and Penn State once again in not in that class to knock off big teams in true road games. Penn State is on a monster ATS run but I look for that to end on Saturday, as Ohio State wins this game by double-digits. | |||||||
10-20-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #681 Over in Calgary @ BC (10p.m., Friday, October 20) Both meetings have gone under the posted number and we expect there to be at least one over from these two teams. BC is a definite over team as they usually score in the thirties or forties when it comes to total team points. If they do that again on Friday, we should be in good shape to collect with the over. Calgary is fighting for their playoff lives and need to follow-up their strong second half scoring last week into this game. Calgary scored 21 points in the second half last week. | |||||||
10-20-23 | Devils v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
The Devils have gone over for all three games to start the season, while the Islanders have gone under in both of their two games. Something has got to give tonight. But we expect a competitive game here and think both teams will get their goals. New York has a great defense and goalkeeping. That’s not a question. But they have also played a struggling Buffalo team to start the season then a work-in-progress Coyotes squad that was on the second night of a back to back. But the Devils are going to bring some strong offense here. They have scored at least three goals in all three games so far and have allowed at least that many through three games. They are on a 7-1 over streak stretching back to last season. We see the Islanders having their break out game offensively so far on the season – that will be a goal to get some goals here. | |||||||
10-20-23 | Astros +100 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #911 Houston over Texas (5:07p.m., Friday, October 20 FS1) The Astros will go for the sweep of the Rangers in Arlington and take a commanding 3-2 lead in this best of 7 ALCS. Both teams are throwing their game one starter on the mound I just do not trust Jordan Montgomery. He has pitched outstanding, but look for this Astros lineup to take better swings in Game 5 than they had in Game 1. Texas is starting to feel the pressure and Houston comes back home with a victory on Friday. | |||||||
10-19-23 | Bruins v. Sharks +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Boston is down this season from what we saw last year, and they are still being lined so far like last year’s team. They have looked OK in two home wins, but this will be their first road game. San Jose is one of the worst teams in the league this year. But they opened up the season with four straight at home, and they head on the road after this, so they will go all out to play their best in hopes that the season didn’t start with a goose egg in this nice season opening homestand. | |||||||
10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -130 | 31-24 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take New Orleans Saints -130 money line over Jacksonville Jaguars (8:15p.m., Thursday, October 19 Prime) We have nailed 3 straight winners with Jacksonville the last 3 weeks, but feel the tide will turn in this game. New Orleans is desperate for a victory and has not been playing well on offense. New Orleans has won 4 straight games against Jacksonville (4-0 ATS). Jacksonville is 8-32 ATS in their last 40 games against NFC teams. QB Lawrence will likely play but I do not expect him to be close to 100% for this affair. | |||||||
10-19-23 | Astros +104 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 104 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #907 Houston +105 over Texas (8:03p.m., Thursday, October 19 FS1) The Astros need to win this game to even the series at 2-2 and expect them to jump out early again and cruise to a victory. Houston is a much better team on the road this season and I do not think either starting pitcher will go deep into this game. Houston has dominated Texas in Arlington and I look for that to continue on Thursday. Getting an underdog price is too good to pass up. | |||||||
10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #841 Over in Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros (8:03p.m., Wednesday, October 18 FS1) The Astros are fighting for their playoff lives tonight in Arlington and we expect a high scoring game. Cristian Javier had a 4.56 E.R.A. on the season but received a ton of run support evident by his 10-5 record. He has pitched better down the stretch, but he has not faced a lineup as strong as Texas offers. Max Scherzer has not pitched in over a month and got lit up in his second to last start by Houston. He allowed three home runs in just 3 inning of work against Houston giving up 7 earned runs in the process. One of these teams will have an offensive breakout and the over should easily hit. | |||||||
10-18-23 | Penguins v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Both teams come in on a two-game win streak and both have been scoring well, with Pittsburgh scoring nine in those games and Detroit 10. This should be a competitive matchup and we think both teams will contribute to the scoreboard tonight. The last meeting barely went under, but that was the first time in five meetings that this matchup was lower scoring. The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. | |||||||
10-17-23 | Diamondbacks +155 v. Phillies | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #971 Arizona over Philadelphia (8:07p.m., Tuesday, October 17 TBS) Arizona cannot afford to go down 2-0 to Philadelphia burning both of their aces in the first two games. The Diamondbacks had their chances in game 1 and expect them to cash them in on Tuesday. Both pitchers have been solid in the postseason, but I expect the Diamondbacks to hit Aaron Nola since they are a good fastball hitting team. | |||||||
10-17-23 | Canucks -126 v. Flyers | 0-2 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Vancouver has been extremely impressive to open the season with a pair of wins over the Oilers, and now they take a big step down in talent with a chance to go 3-0 to start. They are the deserving favorite here on the road, and home ice is the lowest home advantage in sports. The favorite is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings. | |||||||
10-16-23 | Panthers v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Both of the Devils games have gone over so far and we think this will be a competitive game where both teams see the back of the net multiple times. We know Florida is down from last season, but this team is no pushover and they will be firing shots all night. | |||||||
10-16-23 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets +120 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Columbus is a tad underrated and we had them as a slight favorite here. They should have lots of confidence on home ice here after beating the Rangers last time out. Detroit hasn’t played well here lately as they are 6-14 in the last 20 visits. Nice value here on this line. | |||||||
10-16-23 | Blackhawks v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Big mismatch here and we are more than happy to lay the goals with some juice. Toronto has 12 goals in regulation through two games this season and they are looking unstoppable on offense. Chicago is still working a lot out on both sides of the ice and Toronto already looks like they are in playoff form. Unless they take the night off, which is unlikely at the start of the season, this one should be a blowout. | |||||||
10-16-23 | Rangers v. Astros -118 | 5-4 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #966 Houston over Texas (4:37p.m., Monday, October 16 FOX) The Astros do not want to drop two straight home games to the Rangers and thus look for them to dig deep and win this game to even up the series at 1-1. Both teams got a strong pitching performance on Sunday and look for Framber Valdez to bounce back in a big way on Monday. He was lights out last year and I never underestimate the heart of a champion. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Giants +14.5 v. Bills | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #275 New York Giants over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 15 NBC) Buffalo is at home by they played in London last Sunday and thus I expect New York to keep this game in single digits. The Bills are really banged up on defense with injuries seemingly at every position. The Giants made some plays on defense against Miami and if they do that again they should be able to keep this game close. Sooner or later the Giants coaching staff will figure out a plan to move the football with Danny Jones. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #963 Over in Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros (8:15p.m., Sunday, October 15 FOX) Both teams have a layoff, but I still believe one of these offenses is going to explode on Sunday night at Minute Maid Park. The starting pitchers have been in trouble numerous times in the postseason and I do not feel they will be able to pitch out of it. I think one of these teams might come close to going over the posted total by themselves. We will not worry about who wins this game and instead just collect with the over. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Aces v. Liberty +120 | 73-87 | Win | 120 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #634 New York over Las Vegas (3p.m., Sunday, October 15 ABC) We are pot committed on New York and feel they will avoid getting swept and win this game to make sure there is a game 4 in the 2023 WNBA Finals. They did not show any fight in their first two games, but they have talent and sooner or later their shots will start to fall. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals -2.5 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #258 Cincinnati Bengals over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 FOX) Cincinnati put together a complete game last week and look for them to even up their record with a home win against Seattle on Sunday. I am not still sold on the Seahawks being a top team in the NFC and feel the offensive weapons for Cincinnati are much greater than that of Seattle. The Bengals are 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games and 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against NFC teams. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Colts v. Jaguars -4 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 93 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Jacksonville Jaguars over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 CBS) The Colts put their quarterback on IR on Wednesday and look for Jacksonville to take advantage of one of their few home games to open the season. Jacksonville already lost to the Texans at home this season and cannot afford another home loss to an AFC South team. Jacksonville won earlier this season in Indianapolis and look for them to take control of the division with a win on Sunday. | |||||||
10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State -3.5 | Top | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 103 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #190 Oregon State Beavers over UCLA Bruins (8p.m., Saturday, October 14 FOX) We went against UCLA at the Rose Bowl last week and were a tough luck loser, as Wazzou offense played terribly in the second half. Now that makes this play at Oregon State much stronger in favor of the Beavers. Oregon State is 14-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. They have already beaten Utah at home, and they have a similar quarterback situation that UCLA does (freshman on the road). The Beavers are on a rampage and want to knock off all the teams leaving the conference next season. The fan base is that much more motivated, especially when playing UCLA, a team that started the dominos falling. UCLA has a strong defense, but they will not be able to win that game on defense alone. Oregon State is the best team that have played thus far, and they will not be up to the challenge. | |||||||
10-14-23 | Missouri v. Kentucky -2.5 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #136 Kentucky Wildcats over Missouri Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 14 SECN) Both teams are coming off their first loss of the season. Kentucky was blown out by Georgia and thus I think it will be easier for them to bounce back in this game. The Wildcats have dominated this series, winning 7 of the 8 games (6-2 ATS). Missouri had a brutal loss and cover last week against LSU and I see losing two straight, as this game is a night game in Lexington. Missouri has not played in a hostile environment this season and look for that to have an effect. Lay the points with the home team. | |||||||
10-14-23 | UNLV v. Nevada +9.5 | 45-27 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #186 Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (5p.m., Saturday, October 14 NSN) The Wolf Pack carry the nations longest losing streak, but this rivalry has seen many upsets of late. Nevada has covered the spread in 3 straight games in this series. UNLV is 5-0 ATS this season and that usually evens out over 12 games. Nevada has been playing better football of late and will enter this game on a 3-0 ATS run. Getting this many points with a home underdog is too good to pass up. | |||||||
10-13-23 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary -3.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 674 Calgary Stampeders over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Friday, October 13 9:30 PM) The Stampeders and Roughriders meet for the proverbial "rubber match", having split the season so far. This matchup is about the defenses, as both offenses are almost identical in scoring. Saskatchewan gives up an average of 31.0 ppg, the worst in the CFL. Calgary surrenders 26.7 ppg, 4th-best. We think the Stampeders take the season series. Calgary is also 13-5 SU in its last 18 home games against Saskatchewan. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
10-13-23 | Penguins -119 v. Capitals | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh was upset in their first game as a massive favorite over Chicago. They are the much better team in this matchup and we don’t see them starting the season 0-2 against sub par competition. We expect them to do what needs to be done to get the win here. | |||||||
10-12-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Phillies | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #943 Atlanta (-1.5 RL) over Philadelphia (8:07p.m., Thursday, October 12 TBS) Just feel like the Braves have one last winning streak in them. They have the rotation set up for Game 4 and Game 5 and have a decisive pitching advantage in this game. Just do not feel Ranger Suarez can go deep into this game like his counterpart can. Sooner or later the Braves offense will make some noise and they are overdue to win one of these games comfortably. | |||||||
10-12-23 | Rangers v. Sabres +118 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
After many matchups of dominance in this series, Buffalo won the last two meetings, one in shootout and one in OT. Even when the Rangers were winning, these games were close, with their last four wins coming by only a goal, two in OT. But Buffalo is a team we are very high on this year. We think this is a playoff team and they are going to be very hard to beat at home. They had one of the best offenses in the NHL last season and could be even better in 2023, and there’s a good chance they will improve their defense and goaltending. The Rangers have dominated this series for so long, but the tide is turning here and there is no way that Buffalo won’t bring their A Game in their home opener when the fans finally have a reason to be really excited. We had the Sabres as a slight favorite here, and we think there is great value in the moneyline tonight. | |||||||
10-11-23 | Liberty +5 v. Aces | Top | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #631 New York Liberty over Las Vegas Aces (9p.m., Wednesday, October 11 ESPN) WNBA Playoff Game of the Year. The 2023 WNBA Playoffs have been a snooze fest thus far and the league, tv partners, and fans really need New York to win this game straight-up to create some excitement. The Liberty were ahead at halftime before faltering in the second half. All the games against the Aces for the Liberty have been blowouts one way or the other. The Liberty have won their fair share of games against the Aces and I am confident they will bounce back on Wednesday. Sooner or later one of these games will go down to the wire and this way be that game. New York has the best player on the floor and they have the size to contend with Las Vegas in the post. The Aces are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 WNBA Finals Games. The desperate team wins and we collect big in the process. | |||||||
10-11-23 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
This is one of the greatest rivalries in all of sports and this is always the biggest game of the season for the Canadiens when they face off with Toronto. And, despite the talent disparity, Montreal normally put up a good fight or outright won the last few years. But these teams are going in different directions, and Toronto may have one of their best squads of all time this season, while Montreal is still a long way from being competitive and should be among the worst teams in the NHL this season. And the last two meetings, both in Toronto, were very one-sided as both were blowouts and the Maple Leafs had a goal differential of +10 in those two matchups. Toronto will not only want to get the season started off on the right foot but also take their main rival down a peg in the process, and with a bitter rivalry like this, there is also an incentive for the better team to run up the score, as we witnessed in the last two meetings. We expect more domination from Toronto here and a big season-opening win |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
ProSportsPicks | $1,066 |
Jack Jones | $960 |
Big Al McMordie | $876 |
Ross Benjamin | $740 |
Ray Monohan | $702 |
Jimmy Boyd | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $414 |
Ricky Tran | $343 |
Kyle Hunter | $265 |
Matt Fargo | $175 |