Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-30-23 | Warriors v. Pelicans UNDER 225 | 130-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
These teams combined to go 5-0 to the under, and the bookies haven’t adjusted this number enough. Both teams have started slow on the offensive end and both are playing really well on defense. We think the defenses will both step up here as this is a big game for both teams early in the season. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. | |||||||
10-30-23 | Red Wings v. Islanders -157 | 4-3 | Loss | -157 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
These teams are going in opposite directions as the Islanders have won two straight, while the Red Wings have dropped three straight. This price is more than fair for the home team tonight, and we think their defense will step up again. Detroit hasn’t won here in the last four visits, and the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings regardless of venue. We think these trends hold to form tonight. | |||||||
10-29-23 | Jaguars -2.5 v. Steelers | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 88 h 14 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #253 Jacksonville Jaguars over Pittsburgh Steelers (1p.m., Sunday, October 29 CBS) The Jaguars are on a roll and will enter this game having won 4 straight games. They have taken control of the AFC South and I feel they are farther along with their offense and quarterback compared to the Steelers. Pittsburgh is not a top team in the league and I see them being around a .500 team, which has been normal of late for Mike Tomlin. Jacksonville has extra rest for this game and being the favorite on the road leads me to believe the books what to take a bunch of Steelers money. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Oregon State v. Arizona +3.5 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 59 h 34 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #176 Arizona Wildcats over Oregon State Beavers (10:30p.m., Saturday, October 28 ESPN) Arizona has been playing well of late covering three straight games including a shocking 44-6 victory over Washington State last time out. That Wazzou team is the only team to beat the Beavers this season. Both teams are coming off of a bye but Oregon State is just a different team when playing on the road. Arizona is 5-1 ATS in lined games this season. Oregon State is 2-5 in their last 7 conference road games when they are favored. They are also 1-7 ATS (1 push) in this same situation when they are favored by less than a touchdown. It is hard to beat anyone on the road in the PAC-12 besides Cal, ASU, and Stanford and this game should go down to the wire with the Wildcats coming out on top. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Grizzlies v. Wizards | 106-113 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are being punished too much on the line for this back-to-back. The season is still young, and back-to-backs aren’t that big of an issue right now. And Memphis has some depth. Washington is getting used to live without Bradley Beal, one of the franchise cornerstones for what seemed like a lifetime. They have new faces and lots of question marks. Their absolute ceiling is the play in tourney, while that same ceiling is a championship for Memphis. Memphis has won six of the last eight meetings. We think they make that seven of nine tonight and win this one by a comfortable margin. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Bruins | 1-4 | Loss | -155 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
Detroit has had some success against the Bruins, and they have won two of the last four meetings outright. One of the losses was by a single goal. Both teams have gotten off to a hot start. Boston lost their first game last time out to the Ducks. We were on the Ducks puckline in that one. We said in that writeup that we don’t think the Bruins are anywhere as good as they were last year. And with the hot start there is value going against then. They are going to get their opponent’s best shot on a nightly basis. Pretty sure teams will get up more for playing the Bruins than the defending champs. We expect a close game here and think Detroit has a great chance for the outright win. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Air Force v. Colorado State +12 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 99 h 53 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #162 Colorado State Rams over Air Force Falcons (7p.m., Saturday, October 28 CBSSN) This is an in-state battle and Colorado State already took Colorado to the wire. I do not see them getting blown out at home, as this is a sandwich game for Air Force. The Force played Navy last week and have Army on deck. Colorado State only lost by two to UNLV and beat Boise State in their last home game. Jay Novell will keep this game close and be ready to contain the triple option. All the pressure is on Air Force, as the look to win the MWC and receive a major bowl win. | |||||||
10-28-23 | Duke v. Louisville -4 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 95 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #134 Louisville Cardinals over Duke Blue Devils (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 28 ESPN) Duke has quarterback issues with Riley Leonard not able to finish last game. Playing Florida State last week took its toll on Duke, and I do not expect them to have much left for this game even if QB Leonard plays. Florida State dominated the second half against Duke outscoring them 21-0 and now they must face a sleeper team in the ACC that got pretty good, pretty quick. The Cardinals are coming off a bye and should be fresh for this game after suffering their only loss of the season last time out. All of their home game victories this season have come over today’s posted number. Louisville is also 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games. The Cardinals take this one by double digits. | |||||||
10-27-23 | Diamondbacks v. Rangers OVER 8 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #941 Over in Arizona Diamondbacks @ Texas Rangers (8:03p.m., Friday, October 27 FOX) MLB Playoff Game of the Year. Both offenses have shown they can score runs this entire postseason. Still not sold on the Texas bullpen and Zac Gallen has struggled in the postseason. He has a 1.48 WHIP and a 5.24 E.R.A. Texas will be the strongest lineup that he has faced this entire postseason. They are loaded from top to bottom. The trends point towards the over when these two teams play, cashing that ticket 4 of the last 5 games when they have met. One of these starting pitchers is going to get hit hard tonight and it will not surprise me if the total goes over by one team alone. | |||||||
10-26-23 | 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 227.5 | 117-118 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
Philly has won two of the last three meetings. Milwaukee is undergoing a lot of changes and it will take awhile for the team to completely gel, and we think it will be slow going for this team for the start of the season and they will be facing inflated lines. We expect a close, hard-fought game here and we think the defenses will step up against an inflated total. The under has hit in three of the last four meetings, and we expect this one to fall under the posted number as well. | |||||||
10-26-23 | Avalanche -140 v. Penguins | 0-4 | Loss | -140 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Going to jump on board the freight train that is the Avs as they have looked like the clear best team in the NHL with a 6-0 start to the season. They have won by multiple goals in all but one game. They face a tough task in Pittsburgh, but we have to go with the hot team. The Pens have lost three straight entering this game, so they aren’t in the best form. If the Avs win a couple more, these odds are going to skyrocket. | |||||||
10-25-23 | UTEP +3.5 v. Sam Houston State | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 33 h 49 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #107 UTEP Miners over Sam Houston State Bearkats (8p.m., Wednesday, October 24 ESPN2) Just feel the wrong team is favored in this game and we will take the points with the team that has actually won games this season. UTEP won both of the previous meetings with Sam Houston State and is the must better offensive team. The Bearkats cannot run the football whatsoever and losing all these close games will eventually take its toll on them. Whoever runs the football better should win this game and look for that to be the Miners. | |||||||
10-25-23 | Pistons +9.5 v. Heat | 102-103 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
Detroit is 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Detroit was a solid bet when getting big points last season, especially early in the season. Miami is more of a playoff type team that turns in on in the postseason, but this team has slogged through the regular season the last couple years, and they can’t be trusted laying this kind of number. | |||||||
10-25-23 | Capitals v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 47 m | Show | |
The Devils are a perfect 5-0 to the over this season and we think they will continue that trend tonight. Their offense is one of the best in the league, and their defense gives the opposition just enough to cover their share of the total, which these teams have done in four of the last six meetings. Both played last night, so defensive legs should be tired on a back-to-back. | |||||||
10-24-23 | Coyotes +1.5 v. Kings | 3-6 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 59 m | Show | |
The Coyotes certainly look improved this season and they stand at 3-2 entering this matchup. This is a regional rivalry, so Arizona will probably bring their A Game. The Kings haven’t had a home ice advantage as they have lost all three at home this season so far. What stands out here, however, is that the Coyotes are 4-1 on the puckline. They failed to cover last time out in a 2-1 win over Anaheim, but they have been incredibly competitive against low expectations, and they enter this one with a third-ranked defense that is allowing less than two goals per game. The last two meetings have both been decided by shootout, and that result would be great for us again tonight. Five of the last eight matchups have been decided by one goal. We think this is very nice value for the puckline with the way the Coyotes have been playing defense. | |||||||
10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors OVER 232.5 | Top | 108-104 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Fans of offense are really going to enjoy Opening Night as these two teams always light up the scoreboard when they meet up. Three of the last four meetings have gone over the posted total, with one push, and all would have gone over tonight’s posted number. The offenses will be ahead of the defenses to start the season, and both of these clubs have tremendous firepower offensively. These are going to be two teams that will both be in the Top 5 for points per game by season’s end barring major injuries. Chris Paul will be very motivated against his former team, and despite some players out there is still plenty of firepower. Both teams should bring their A Game here as this is one of the biggest games of the season for both teams with two of the major contenders in the west. This will be a very competitive game, as the spread indicates, and both teams will get their points. The winning team has scored 123 or more in the last four meetings, and we expect that kind of offensive output here on Tuesday night. | |||||||
10-23-23 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | 11-4 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #934 Houston over Texas (8:03p.m., Monday, October 23 FOX) This is a winner take all game and I just do not feel the Astros will lose 4 straight home games to the Rangers. It does seem reminiscent of the 2019 World Series between Houston and Washington, but Max Scherzer is not himself and I expect him to get pounded. Cristian Javier receives a ton of run support and now he is starting to dominate on the mound which makes this a deadly combination in favor of the home team. Houston has the better bullpen and will take care of business and advance to the World Series, as we collect big in the process as well. | |||||||
10-23-23 | Canadiens v. Sabres OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Buffalo had one of the best offenses in the NHL last season, but they have been a little slow to start off this season, as they rank No. 25 for goals scored. We don’t see them languishing in the bottom half of the league for long. They have scored three each in their last two games, and they seem to be getting better on offense. The last game was pretty impressive since they went against the Islanders, one of the best defensive teams in the league. Tonight they face a team that is not on that level. The Canadiens allow 3.5 goals per game and stand as No. 22 defensively. We think Buffalo can have their break out game offensively here and put up a real big number. They have scored 10 goals in the last two meetings. | |||||||
10-22-23 | Dolphins v. Eagles -1.5 | Top | 17-31 | Win | 100 | 124 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #472 Philadelphia Eagles over Miami Dolphins (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 17 NBC) The Eagles suffered their first loss of the season on Sunday against the Jets. Expect them to bounce back in a big way tonight at home against the Dolphins, a team that has been beating up on bad team this season. Miami laid an egg against the only tough team they played this season in Buffalo, losing by 28 points on the road. The Eagles will be the best defense that they have faced in 2023 and look for them to go on another long winning streak similar to what they did in 2022. After the Eagles lost their first game of the season to the Commanders last October, they went onto win their next 5 games. The weather will be cold and not pristine conditions like Miami likes. Philadelphia is 10-1 in their last 11 games against AFC teams that won in their previous week. The Eagles get back on track, take care of the football and win this game by double-digits. | |||||||
10-22-23 | Rangers v. Astros -112 | 9-2 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #926 Houston over Texas (8:03p.m., Sunday, October 22 FS1) The Astros came back from the dead in Game 5 and now just need to win one of the remaining two games to clinch the pennant. Framber Valdez has not been good this postseason but look for that to change on Sunday Night. All the momentum is with Houston and that will allow them to emerge victorious and march onto the World Series. | |||||||
10-21-23 | Duke v. Florida State -14.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 74 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #342 Florida State Seminoles over Duke Blue Devils (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 21 ABC) Duke winning last week was fools gold, as the stats were terrible. Now they face a team that they have never beaten in Florida State, as they are 0-21 straight-up against them and have not covered the spread against them since 2004. QB Leonard may be back for this game, but it will not matter, as he will not be 100% and the Seminoles will win this game by over 20 points. | |||||||
10-21-23 | Islanders v. Sabres -117 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
We have been high on Buffalo to start the season but they have had a slow start. But this looks like a great spot for them to get a win in front of the home fans. This is a quick revenge spot as these teams played a week ago in New York, a 3-2 Islanders win. New York got an early goal, but Buffalo played well most of the game. Well enough to win, but it didn’t work out. Now they are at home for the rematch, off a day of rest while NY had a more important game vs. NJ Devils on Friday, and they should be primed for a strong performance. Buffalo has won six of the last nine meetings and four straight at home. | |||||||
10-21-23 | Pittsburgh +1.5 v. Wake Forest | 17-21 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #323 Pittsburgh Panthers over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 21 ACCN) Wake Forest is a sinking ship and will enter this game having lost 3 straight conference games. Pittsburgh picked up their best win of the season last week against Louisville and expect them to follow that up with another victory on Saturday. The Demon Deacons benched their quarterback last week and were outgained by 200 yards last week against Virginia Tech. Pittsburgh has the coaching advantage and will get back closer to bowl eligibility with another victory on Saturday. | |||||||
10-21-23 | Penn State v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 12-20 | Win | 100 | 92 h 31 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #326 Ohio State Buckeyes over Penn State Nittany Lions (12p.m., Saturday, October 21 FOX) Big 10 Game of the Year. Getting Ohio State playing at the Horseshoe at this line does not happen very often. Penn State has looked impressive this season, but they have not played anyone of significance and will not be battle tested for this game. Many people have been critical of Ohio State QB McCord, but he has an 11-1 touchdown to interception ratio and Penn State does not have a veteran quarterback either. Penn State has lost 10 of their last 11 games to Ohio State including 6 games in a row. The Lions have not gotten many explosive plays this season and they will need a bunch in order to beat Ohio State. Coach Franklin does not win many road games against elite teams and Saturday should be no different. DC Manny Diaz never seems to live up to the hype and I always like fading him in big spots. Ohio State has great wide receivers and many of their running backs should be back for this game. The Buckeyes have improved greatly on defense and Penn State has not seen a unit this strong yet this season. Ohio State is accustomed to winning these type of games and Penn State once again in not in that class to knock off big teams in true road games. Penn State is on a monster ATS run but I look for that to end on Saturday, as Ohio State wins this game by double-digits. | |||||||
10-20-23 | Calgary v. BC OVER 49 | 41-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #681 Over in Calgary @ BC (10p.m., Friday, October 20) Both meetings have gone under the posted number and we expect there to be at least one over from these two teams. BC is a definite over team as they usually score in the thirties or forties when it comes to total team points. If they do that again on Friday, we should be in good shape to collect with the over. Calgary is fighting for their playoff lives and need to follow-up their strong second half scoring last week into this game. Calgary scored 21 points in the second half last week. | |||||||
10-20-23 | Devils v. Islanders OVER 6 | Top | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
The Devils have gone over for all three games to start the season, while the Islanders have gone under in both of their two games. Something has got to give tonight. But we expect a competitive game here and think both teams will get their goals. New York has a great defense and goalkeeping. That’s not a question. But they have also played a struggling Buffalo team to start the season then a work-in-progress Coyotes squad that was on the second night of a back to back. But the Devils are going to bring some strong offense here. They have scored at least three goals in all three games so far and have allowed at least that many through three games. They are on a 7-1 over streak stretching back to last season. We see the Islanders having their break out game offensively so far on the season – that will be a goal to get some goals here. | |||||||
10-20-23 | Astros +100 v. Rangers | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #911 Houston over Texas (5:07p.m., Friday, October 20 FS1) The Astros will go for the sweep of the Rangers in Arlington and take a commanding 3-2 lead in this best of 7 ALCS. Both teams are throwing their game one starter on the mound I just do not trust Jordan Montgomery. He has pitched outstanding, but look for this Astros lineup to take better swings in Game 5 than they had in Game 1. Texas is starting to feel the pressure and Houston comes back home with a victory on Friday. | |||||||
10-19-23 | Bruins v. Sharks +1.5 | 3-1 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 43 m | Show | |
Boston is down this season from what we saw last year, and they are still being lined so far like last year’s team. They have looked OK in two home wins, but this will be their first road game. San Jose is one of the worst teams in the league this year. But they opened up the season with four straight at home, and they head on the road after this, so they will go all out to play their best in hopes that the season didn’t start with a goose egg in this nice season opening homestand. | |||||||
10-19-23 | Jaguars v. Saints -130 | 31-24 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take New Orleans Saints -130 money line over Jacksonville Jaguars (8:15p.m., Thursday, October 19 Prime) We have nailed 3 straight winners with Jacksonville the last 3 weeks, but feel the tide will turn in this game. New Orleans is desperate for a victory and has not been playing well on offense. New Orleans has won 4 straight games against Jacksonville (4-0 ATS). Jacksonville is 8-32 ATS in their last 40 games against NFC teams. QB Lawrence will likely play but I do not expect him to be close to 100% for this affair. | |||||||
10-19-23 | Astros +104 v. Rangers | 10-3 | Win | 104 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #907 Houston +105 over Texas (8:03p.m., Thursday, October 19 FS1) The Astros need to win this game to even the series at 2-2 and expect them to jump out early again and cruise to a victory. Houston is a much better team on the road this season and I do not think either starting pitcher will go deep into this game. Houston has dominated Texas in Arlington and I look for that to continue on Thursday. Getting an underdog price is too good to pass up. | |||||||
10-18-23 | Astros v. Rangers OVER 9 | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #841 Over in Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros (8:03p.m., Wednesday, October 18 FS1) The Astros are fighting for their playoff lives tonight in Arlington and we expect a high scoring game. Cristian Javier had a 4.56 E.R.A. on the season but received a ton of run support evident by his 10-5 record. He has pitched better down the stretch, but he has not faced a lineup as strong as Texas offers. Max Scherzer has not pitched in over a month and got lit up in his second to last start by Houston. He allowed three home runs in just 3 inning of work against Houston giving up 7 earned runs in the process. One of these teams will have an offensive breakout and the over should easily hit. | |||||||
10-18-23 | Penguins v. Red Wings OVER 6.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
Both teams come in on a two-game win streak and both have been scoring well, with Pittsburgh scoring nine in those games and Detroit 10. This should be a competitive matchup and we think both teams will contribute to the scoreboard tonight. The last meeting barely went under, but that was the first time in five meetings that this matchup was lower scoring. The over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings in Detroit. | |||||||
10-17-23 | Diamondbacks +155 v. Phillies | 0-10 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #971 Arizona over Philadelphia (8:07p.m., Tuesday, October 17 TBS) Arizona cannot afford to go down 2-0 to Philadelphia burning both of their aces in the first two games. The Diamondbacks had their chances in game 1 and expect them to cash them in on Tuesday. Both pitchers have been solid in the postseason, but I expect the Diamondbacks to hit Aaron Nola since they are a good fastball hitting team. | |||||||
10-17-23 | Canucks -126 v. Flyers | 0-2 | Loss | -126 | 6 h 45 m | Show | |
Vancouver has been extremely impressive to open the season with a pair of wins over the Oilers, and now they take a big step down in talent with a chance to go 3-0 to start. They are the deserving favorite here on the road, and home ice is the lowest home advantage in sports. The favorite is 14-6 in the last 20 meetings. | |||||||
10-16-23 | Panthers v. Devils OVER 6.5 | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
Both of the Devils games have gone over so far and we think this will be a competitive game where both teams see the back of the net multiple times. We know Florida is down from last season, but this team is no pushover and they will be firing shots all night. | |||||||
10-16-23 | Red Wings v. Blue Jackets +120 | 4-0 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Columbus is a tad underrated and we had them as a slight favorite here. They should have lots of confidence on home ice here after beating the Rangers last time out. Detroit hasn’t played well here lately as they are 6-14 in the last 20 visits. Nice value here on this line. | |||||||
10-16-23 | Blackhawks v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -126 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
Big mismatch here and we are more than happy to lay the goals with some juice. Toronto has 12 goals in regulation through two games this season and they are looking unstoppable on offense. Chicago is still working a lot out on both sides of the ice and Toronto already looks like they are in playoff form. Unless they take the night off, which is unlikely at the start of the season, this one should be a blowout. | |||||||
10-16-23 | Rangers v. Astros -118 | 5-4 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #966 Houston over Texas (4:37p.m., Monday, October 16 FOX) The Astros do not want to drop two straight home games to the Rangers and thus look for them to dig deep and win this game to even up the series at 1-1. Both teams got a strong pitching performance on Sunday and look for Framber Valdez to bounce back in a big way on Monday. He was lights out last year and I never underestimate the heart of a champion. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Giants +14.5 v. Bills | 9-14 | Win | 100 | 100 h 24 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #275 New York Giants over Buffalo Bills (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 15 NBC) Buffalo is at home by they played in London last Sunday and thus I expect New York to keep this game in single digits. The Bills are really banged up on defense with injuries seemingly at every position. The Giants made some plays on defense against Miami and if they do that again they should be able to keep this game close. Sooner or later the Giants coaching staff will figure out a plan to move the football with Danny Jones. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Rangers v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #963 Over in Texas Rangers @ Houston Astros (8:15p.m., Sunday, October 15 FOX) Both teams have a layoff, but I still believe one of these offenses is going to explode on Sunday night at Minute Maid Park. The starting pitchers have been in trouble numerous times in the postseason and I do not feel they will be able to pitch out of it. I think one of these teams might come close to going over the posted total by themselves. We will not worry about who wins this game and instead just collect with the over. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Aces v. Liberty +120 | 73-87 | Win | 120 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #634 New York over Las Vegas (3p.m., Sunday, October 15 ABC) We are pot committed on New York and feel they will avoid getting swept and win this game to make sure there is a game 4 in the 2023 WNBA Finals. They did not show any fight in their first two games, but they have talent and sooner or later their shots will start to fall. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Seahawks v. Bengals -2.5 | 13-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #258 Cincinnati Bengals over Seattle Seahawks (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 FOX) Cincinnati put together a complete game last week and look for them to even up their record with a home win against Seattle on Sunday. I am not still sold on the Seahawks being a top team in the NFC and feel the offensive weapons for Cincinnati are much greater than that of Seattle. The Bengals are 8-2 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 home games and 5-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games against NFC teams. | |||||||
10-15-23 | Colts v. Jaguars -4 | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 93 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #264 Jacksonville Jaguars over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 15 CBS) The Colts put their quarterback on IR on Wednesday and look for Jacksonville to take advantage of one of their few home games to open the season. Jacksonville already lost to the Texans at home this season and cannot afford another home loss to an AFC South team. Jacksonville won earlier this season in Indianapolis and look for them to take control of the division with a win on Sunday. | |||||||
10-14-23 | UCLA v. Oregon State -3.5 | Top | 24-36 | Win | 100 | 103 h 21 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #190 Oregon State Beavers over UCLA Bruins (8p.m., Saturday, October 14 FOX) We went against UCLA at the Rose Bowl last week and were a tough luck loser, as Wazzou offense played terribly in the second half. Now that makes this play at Oregon State much stronger in favor of the Beavers. Oregon State is 14-1 ATS in their last 15 home games. They have already beaten Utah at home, and they have a similar quarterback situation that UCLA does (freshman on the road). The Beavers are on a rampage and want to knock off all the teams leaving the conference next season. The fan base is that much more motivated, especially when playing UCLA, a team that started the dominos falling. UCLA has a strong defense, but they will not be able to win that game on defense alone. Oregon State is the best team that have played thus far, and they will not be up to the challenge. | |||||||
10-14-23 | Missouri v. Kentucky -2.5 | 38-21 | Loss | -110 | 76 h 35 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #136 Kentucky Wildcats over Missouri Tigers (7:30p.m., Saturday, October 14 SECN) Both teams are coming off their first loss of the season. Kentucky was blown out by Georgia and thus I think it will be easier for them to bounce back in this game. The Wildcats have dominated this series, winning 7 of the 8 games (6-2 ATS). Missouri had a brutal loss and cover last week against LSU and I see losing two straight, as this game is a night game in Lexington. Missouri has not played in a hostile environment this season and look for that to have an effect. Lay the points with the home team. | |||||||
10-14-23 | UNLV v. Nevada +9.5 | 45-27 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 5 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #186 Nevada Wolf Pack over UNLV Rebels (5p.m., Saturday, October 14 NSN) The Wolf Pack carry the nations longest losing streak, but this rivalry has seen many upsets of late. Nevada has covered the spread in 3 straight games in this series. UNLV is 5-0 ATS this season and that usually evens out over 12 games. Nevada has been playing better football of late and will enter this game on a 3-0 ATS run. Getting this many points with a home underdog is too good to pass up. | |||||||
10-13-23 | Saskatchewan v. Calgary -3.5 | 19-26 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 674 Calgary Stampeders over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Friday, October 13 9:30 PM) The Stampeders and Roughriders meet for the proverbial "rubber match", having split the season so far. This matchup is about the defenses, as both offenses are almost identical in scoring. Saskatchewan gives up an average of 31.0 ppg, the worst in the CFL. Calgary surrenders 26.7 ppg, 4th-best. We think the Stampeders take the season series. Calgary is also 13-5 SU in its last 18 home games against Saskatchewan. Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports | |||||||
10-13-23 | Penguins -119 v. Capitals | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show | |
Pittsburgh was upset in their first game as a massive favorite over Chicago. They are the much better team in this matchup and we don’t see them starting the season 0-2 against sub par competition. We expect them to do what needs to be done to get the win here. | |||||||
10-12-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Phillies | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 37 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #943 Atlanta (-1.5 RL) over Philadelphia (8:07p.m., Thursday, October 12 TBS) Just feel like the Braves have one last winning streak in them. They have the rotation set up for Game 4 and Game 5 and have a decisive pitching advantage in this game. Just do not feel Ranger Suarez can go deep into this game like his counterpart can. Sooner or later the Braves offense will make some noise and they are overdue to win one of these games comfortably. | |||||||
10-12-23 | Rangers v. Sabres +118 | 5-1 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 28 m | Show | |
After many matchups of dominance in this series, Buffalo won the last two meetings, one in shootout and one in OT. Even when the Rangers were winning, these games were close, with their last four wins coming by only a goal, two in OT. But Buffalo is a team we are very high on this year. We think this is a playoff team and they are going to be very hard to beat at home. They had one of the best offenses in the NHL last season and could be even better in 2023, and there’s a good chance they will improve their defense and goaltending. The Rangers have dominated this series for so long, but the tide is turning here and there is no way that Buffalo won’t bring their A Game in their home opener when the fans finally have a reason to be really excited. We had the Sabres as a slight favorite here, and we think there is great value in the moneyline tonight. | |||||||
10-11-23 | Liberty +5 v. Aces | Top | 76-104 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 22 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #631 New York Liberty over Las Vegas Aces (9p.m., Wednesday, October 11 ESPN) WNBA Playoff Game of the Year. The 2023 WNBA Playoffs have been a snooze fest thus far and the league, tv partners, and fans really need New York to win this game straight-up to create some excitement. The Liberty were ahead at halftime before faltering in the second half. All the games against the Aces for the Liberty have been blowouts one way or the other. The Liberty have won their fair share of games against the Aces and I am confident they will bounce back on Wednesday. Sooner or later one of these games will go down to the wire and this way be that game. New York has the best player on the floor and they have the size to contend with Las Vegas in the post. The Aces are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 WNBA Finals Games. The desperate team wins and we collect big in the process. | |||||||
10-11-23 | Canadiens v. Maple Leafs -1.5 | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -116 | 4 h 34 m | Show |
This is one of the greatest rivalries in all of sports and this is always the biggest game of the season for the Canadiens when they face off with Toronto. And, despite the talent disparity, Montreal normally put up a good fight or outright won the last few years. But these teams are going in different directions, and Toronto may have one of their best squads of all time this season, while Montreal is still a long way from being competitive and should be among the worst teams in the NHL this season. And the last two meetings, both in Toronto, were very one-sided as both were blowouts and the Maple Leafs had a goal differential of +10 in those two matchups. Toronto will not only want to get the season started off on the right foot but also take their main rival down a peg in the process, and with a bitter rivalry like this, there is also an incentive for the better team to run up the score, as we witnessed in the last two meetings. We expect more domination from Toronto here and a big season-opening win | |||||||
10-10-23 | Blackhawks v. Penguins OVER 6.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
Two straight in this series have gone over the posted total as well as five of the last seven. We think these offenses will be ahead of the defenses to start the season and expect both teams to find the back of the net for multiple goals, and the Pens should put up a big number here in the home opener. Chicago always plays well enough on offense when these two meet to where we don’t have to worry about a shutout or one-goal effort. | |||||||
10-10-23 | Orioles v. Rangers -1.5 | 1-7 | Win | 147 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #926 Texas (-1.5 RL) over Baltimore (8:03p.m., Tuesday, October 10 FOX) It ends tonight! The Rangers will take care of business at home and advance to the ALCS next week at either Houston or Minnesota. Baltimore has been getting behind early and that is trouble for this young team. Texas is starting to figure out their bullpen and expect them to take care of business on Tuesday behind Nathan Eovaldi. | |||||||
10-09-23 | Diamondbacks +147 v. Dodgers | 4-2 | Win | 147 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #919 Arizona +140 over Los Angeles (9:07p.m., Monday, October 9 TBS) Both of these plays provide value and we expect at least one of them to hit. Arizona and Philadelphia were not as strong as their counterparts during the regular season, but both of them are throwing their ace on Monday. These are power pitchers and that is the key to success in the postseason. The pressure is entirely on the Bravers and Dodgers, as they cannot afford to fall down 0-2 in these best of 5 series. I think at least one of them will lose tonight. | |||||||
10-09-23 | Packers -1 v. Raiders | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 53 m | Show | |
10 Unit Play. Take #475 Green Bay Packers over Las Vegas Raiders (8:15p.m., Monday, October 9 ESPN) Just not a fan of the Raiders this season with their coach/quarterback combination. They are coming off 3 straight defeats and the last two were against teams that might not even make the playoffs. Green Bay is a better team that what their 2-2 record indicates and do not want to fall below .500 with this young quarterback. The Packers will have a huge crowd in Las Vegas for this game and expect no home field advantage for the Raiders. Josh McDaniels can only beat the Broncos, as they struggled against every other team. The Packers have beaten the Raiders 8 straight games. | |||||||
10-09-23 | Phillies +144 v. Braves | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #917 Philadelphia +140 over Atlanta (6:07p.m., Monday, October 9 TBS) Both of these plays provide value and we expect at least one of them to hit. Arizona and Philadelphia were not as strong as their counterparts during the regular season, but both of them are throwing their ace on Monday. These are power pitchers and that is the key to success in the postseason. The pressure is entirely on the Bravers and Dodgers, as they cannot afford to fall down 0-2 in these best of 5 series. I think at least one of them will lose tonight. | |||||||
10-09-23 | Ottawa +6.5 v. Montreal | 3-29 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 43 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #687 Ottawa +6 over Montreal (1p.m., Monday, October 9 CBSSN) The Holiday Weekend continues on Monday with this afternoon game in the CFL. These two teams played last week and turnovers were again the story. Ottawa moved the football up and down the field but were done in by turnovers. The RedBlacks can score points and thus should be able to cover this 6 point spread. Montreal is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Monday Holiday games. If Ottawa can hand onto the football they should be able to emerge victorious. | |||||||
10-08-23 | Cowboys v. 49ers -3.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 100 h 58 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #474 San Francisco 49ers over Dallas Cowboys (8:20p.m., Sunday, October 8 NBC) Dallas just does not beat San Francisco and we will lay the points with the home team on Sunday Night Football. San Francisco is 12-1 in their last 13 home games when they are the favorite. The 49ers have also won 14 regular season games in a row. If San Francisco does not beat themselves in this game, they will win it by double digits. Dallas has some great flashes, but under Coach McCarthy they cannot be trusted in big games against better teams. | |||||||
10-08-23 | Twins v. Astros -127 | 6-2 | Loss | -127 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #912 Houston over Minnesota (8:03p.m., Sunday, October 8 FS1) Houston was the only home team to win game 1 of the divisional series and expect them to take a commanding 2-0 lead in this series. Minnesota is not a strong playoff performing team and had their chances in game 1 but could not do any damage except for one inning. Framber Valdez gets a ton of run support and being a left-handed pitcher should help him neutralize some of the power that Minnesota has. Dusty Baker will manage better tonight, as Houston takes another game in this series. | |||||||
10-08-23 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Bills | 25-20 | Win | 100 | 89 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #451 Jacksonville Jaguars over Buffalo Bills (9:30a.m., Sunday, October 8 NFLN) Always like backing the Jaguars in London. Buffalo is coming off a dominating game against a division opponent and look for there to be a letdown for them in this game. They are the home team and that will frustrate their rapid fan base and allow Jacksonville to cover the spread. Sooner or later, Trevor Lawrence is going to have a breakout game and I look for it to come on Sunday. Jacksonville takes this game down to the wire and we collect with whoever comes out on top. | |||||||
10-07-23 | Twins v. Astros -1.5 | 4-6 | Win | 143 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #906 Houston (-1.5 RL) +140 over Minnesota (4:45p.m., Saturday, October 7 FS1) Taking Houston in the postseason is never a bad bet. Minnesota got the monkey off their back winning a game and a series, but I do not see them advancing to the Championship Series next week. Justin Verlander has been a big game pitcher since coming back to Houston, especially down the stretch. He has not been as strong in the postseason, but this should be a get right game for him in that respect. The Astros lineup will flex today and we will collect a nice underdog in the process. | |||||||
10-07-23 | Kent State v. Ohio -25.5 | 17-42 | Loss | -111 | 71 h 10 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #356 Ohio Bobcats over Kent State Golden Flashes (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 ESPN+) The Bobcats have been a covering machine the last two years going 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games. The Golden Flashes are 1-4 on the season and their only win came against FCS Central Connecticut. Their other four games have been losses by 50, 22, 43, and 20 points. Ohio has revenge in this game having lost their last two games against Kent State. Ohio is coming off a bye and will be healthy and rested to blow out Kent State. We will lay the wood with the home team. | |||||||
10-07-23 | Alabama v. Texas A&M +2.5 | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 71 h 9 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #394 Texas A&M Aggies over Alabama Crimson Tide (3:30p.m., Saturday, October 7 CBS) Never like to fade Nick Saben especially with Jimbo Fisher on the other side, but this is more about Alabama really struggling on offense this season. Coach Fisher gets up for this game, and a victory today can get some of the fan base off of his back. A&M has not been as talented as Alabama the last few years, yet this game played them well. Look for the Aggies to shutdown the running quarterback and make them beat them through the air with long sustained drives. A&M has a wizard as offensive coordinator, and they will have some wrinkles that Alabama has yet to see. Grab the points with the more talented offensive team at home. | |||||||
10-07-23 | Washington State v. UCLA -3.5 | 17-25 | Win | 100 | 71 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #379 Washington State Cougars over UCLA Bruins (3p.m., Saturday, October 7 P12N) Just feel the wrong team is favored in this game. Washington State has the better resume and they are on an us against the world type of run that we will back on Saturday. Their future is still unclear but the talent level in this game, especially on offense sides with the visitor. UCLA got exposed by Utah and they hardily get a home field advantage playing at the Rose Bowl. UCLA is starting a freshman quarterback and Wazzou has a major edge with Cam Ward behind center. The Cougars continues to make noise and getting them as a dog in this game is too good to pass up. | |||||||
10-06-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Toronto OVER 48.5 | Top | 12-35 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take 681 OVER 48 in Edmonton Elks @ Toronto Argonauts (7p.m., Friday, October 6 CBSSN) CFL TOTAL OF THE YEAR Toronto comes into this matchup with the highest-scoring offense in the CFL, averaging 32.9 ppg (Edmonton averages 20.6). These two tangled in June and combined for 74 points. In the last 18 games between the Elks and Args, the OVER is 13-5. | |||||||
10-04-23 | Diamondbacks +117 v. Brewers | 5-2 | Win | 117 | 9 h 41 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #957 Arizona over Milwaukee (7:08p.m., Wednesday, October 4 ESPN2) Arizona won last night against Milwaukee’s ace and now the visitor gets to throw their own ace on Wednesday. Milwaukee does not hit many home runs as a team and that is one of the key’s to success in the postseason. The Brewers burned their closer last night in a loss and their bullpen is overworked and I do not believe Freddy Peralta can go deep into this game. Zac Gallen has been solid this season and look for another strong showing on Wednesday. | |||||||
10-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #949 Over in Arizona @ Milwaukee (7:08p.m., Tuesday, October 3 ESPN2) Expect some runs to be scored in this game, as both team have strong offensives. The Diamondbacks hit Cordin Burns hard earlier this season and he has not been going deep into games of late. Arizona will not be able to use one of their two aces in this game, as they left with Bradon Pfaadt and his 5.72 E.R.A. We will not worry if Milwaukee can cover this big number and instead just focus on the total. | |||||||
10-02-23 | Seahawks v. Giants | 24-3 | Loss | -110 | 128 h 26 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #280 New York Giants over Seattle Seahawks (8:15p.m., Monday, October 2 ABC) The Giants are back from their west coast road trip with extra rest for this Monday Night Football game against the Seahawks. New York has been behind double-digits in each of their 3 games and that needs to change on Monday. They must start better and a 12-2 record when coming off a Thursday night is a positive sign. The Giants need this game with Buffalo and Miami on deck and they will get it in a grind out fashion. | |||||||
10-01-23 | Rams +1 v. Colts | 29-23 | Win | 100 | 73 h 35 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #263 Los Angeles Rams over Indianapolis Colts (1p.m., Sunday, October 1 FOX) The Colts are coming off a fortunate win at Baltimore last week, and I just do not believe they can handle prosperity. They will likely have quarterback issues all season long, and the Rams are the more stable team with recent success. The Colts have lost 3 straight games to the Rams. Los Angeles has weapons to utilize this season, and this is an important win for them to avoid falling too far behind San Francisco in the standings. The Marshall Faulk bowl will go the way of the Rams. | |||||||
10-01-23 | Falcons v. Jaguars -150 | 7-23 | Win | 100 | 69 h 5 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #252 Jacksonville Jaguars over Atlanta Falcons (9:30a.m., Sunday, October 1 ESPN+) I believe this line gives you a clue as to how the oddsmakers want you to bet. We will go the opposite way and take the 1-2 Jaguars as a favorite on the money line. Jacksonville is coming off a bad loss to Houston where they trailed the whole game and just could not get back on track. Sometimes those losses are easier to bounce back from. Jacksonville is much better at quarterback. And with Buffalo on deck, this is a game they need to grind out and win. | |||||||
09-30-23 | Astros -116 v. Diamondbacks | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #977 Houston over Arizona (8:10p.m., Saturday, September 30 MLB.tv) Arizona would need a bunch of things to happen to not reach the postseason. They are basically in, but the same cannot be said for Houston. Justin Verlander is on the mound and look for him to follow-up his impressive performance on Monday and get the Astros a much needed victory. | |||||||
09-30-23 | LSU -2.5 v. Ole Miss | 49-55 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 32 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #201 LSU Tigers over Ole Miss Rebels (6p.m., Saturday, September 30 ESPN) We went against Ole Miss last week and won by a touchdown over the posted number. We will do that again, as I just do not believe they are great on either side of the football. LSU has a much better offense compared to Alabama and they cannot afford another loss with a brutal schedule awaiting them. The Bayou Bengals were in a battle last week with Arkansas, but I never felt they were going to lose that game in the second half. They put up 34 points with ease and expect them to do the same this week against Ole Miss. The Rebels finally played a decent team and failed that test with flying colors last week. Look for Lane Kiffin and company to fall to 3-2 overall Saturday night. | |||||||
09-30-23 | Michigan v. Nebraska +17.5 | 45-7 | Loss | -115 | 76 h 39 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #164 Nebraska Cornhuskers over Michigan Wolverines (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 30 FOX) Michigan continues to play an embarrassing nonconference schedule with cupcakes at home. This is the first road game of the season and I look for Nebraska to keep this one somewhat close. Michigan is not as strong as they have been the last two years and Nebraska should get better as the season progresses. Nebraska has been running the football of late and if they can do that on Saturday, they will be able to control the clock and keep the scoring low. Michigan has struggled to cover the spread this season and playing on the road should keep that streak going. | |||||||
09-30-23 | Illinois +1 v. Purdue | 19-44 | Loss | -115 | 51 h 9 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take #181 Illinois Fighting Illini over Purdue Boilermakers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 28 Peacock) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE WEEK The Illini has been bad this season and they are 0-4 ATS, but I refuse to believe they are as bad as they have looked. They were a strong team in 2022 with an identity of a strong running game and great defense, and they should be able to find that form in this game. Purdue is in a complete rebuild under a new coaching staff and they have already lost three home games this season. The Boilermakers opened as a favorite, but that line is moving towards the Illini -- with good reason. Illinois has revenge on their minds after losing to Purdue last year, and I like to back Bret Bielema in grind out games like this one likely will be. Purdue is 3-13 in their last 16 games when opening as a home favorite. Turnovers have killed Illinois this season, but if they take care of the football, they should win this game by double digits. | |||||||
09-29-23 | Saskatchewan v. BC -10 | 26-33 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 19 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take 674 BC -10 vs. Saskatchewan (Friday, September 29th 10:30 PM) The BC Lion have the 3rd-highest scoring offense at 27.6 ppg, while Saskatchewan has the 3rd-lowest at 21.6 ppg. The Roughriders have the worst scoring defense at 30.4 points per game, while BC comes in again at the 3rd best, 22.0. Our models have the Lions winning by 20 points, so having to only lay half of that is like an early Halloween treat. BC is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 home games. Take the home team and lay the points. | |||||||
09-29-23 | Cubs +103 v. Brewers | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #907 Chicago over Milwaukee (8:10p.m., Friday, September 29 MLB.tv) The Cubs are in a must win situation playing their rivals on Friday night at American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI. The Brewers are locked into the No. 3 seed and thus will just be setting their rotation for the playoffs next weekend. They would like to knock out the Cubs, but I just do not see them going all out to win games this weekend. Colin Rea has pitched better of late, but he does not have that great of numbers on the season. Kyle Henricks will not beat himself and look for him to leave with the lead before turning it over to the bullpen late in this game. | |||||||
09-29-23 | Toronto v. Winnipeg OVER 48 | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 671 OVER 48.5 in Toronto @ Winnipeg (Friday, September 29th 8:00 PM) As stated above, both teams are averaging over 31 ppg. The total has gone over 6 out of 7 times in the Blue Bombers last 7 contests. In the last 12 meetings between these 2 teams, the OVER is 10-2. Take these 2 squads OVER as they put on a display of offensive prowess. | |||||||
09-29-23 | Toronto +7.5 v. Winnipeg | 21-31 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take 671 Toronto +7.5 against Winnipeg (Friday, September 29th 8:00 PM) A true clash of the CFL Titans, these are the top 2 offenses AND defenses in the league. The Args average 33.8 ppg, with Winnipeg coming in at 32.0. They are flipped on defense, as the Blue Bombers are allowing 20.9 ppg and Toronto 21.4. The Args have been road warriors recently, going 6-1 SU and 5-2 ATS in its last 7 road games. Meanwhile, Winnipeg has struggled slightly, going 2-4 in its last 6 games. Anytime you get to take a team that's ranked 1st and 2nd in scoring offense and defense, with a TD, grab them. PICK: Toronto and the points. | |||||||
09-29-23 | Liberty -4 v. Sun | 92-81 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #617 New York over Connecticut (7:30p.m., Friday, September 29 ESPN2) The Liberty have yet to play a complete game in this round of the WNBA playoffs. They are too good of a team for that not to occur at least once and that should occur tonight. New York will win this game by double digits. | |||||||
09-28-23 | Lions v. Packers +2 | 34-20 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 25 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #102 Green Bay Packers over Detroit Lions (8:15p.m., Thursday, September 27 Prime) The Packers are getting healthy and Jordan love should have many more weapons available for this game than he has had in the first 3 weeks. Green Bay does not lose to Detroit often at Lambeau Field, but they did last year and thus we kept out of the playoffs. Green Bay played well in the second half against a better defense than what they will face on Thursday in Detroit. Getting points with the Packers is too good to pass up and we will side with the home team. | |||||||
09-27-23 | Astros -118 v. Mariners | 8-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
6 Unit Play. Take #923 Houston over Seattle (9:40p.m., Wednesday, September 27 MLBN) This is the most important game of the season for both Houston and Seattle. The loser will be in trouble and might miss out on the 2023 playoffs starting next week. I just cannot envision the defending champions with this lineup missing the postseason altogether. Houston has the edge in pitching tonight with Framber Valdez on the mound compared to Byrce Miller. He was hit hard last time out against Texas giving up 6 earned runs in just over 4 innings of work. The Astros are better on both sides of the diamond tonight and will get this must win game by a couple of runs. They could not get the big hit last night but that will change on Wednesday. | |||||||
09-26-23 | Astros +113 v. Mariners | 2-6 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #975 Houston over Seattle (10:05p.m., Tuesday, September 26 TBS) We have seen an inordinate number of sweeps from the AL West and it would not surprise me in Houston wins the first two games of this series. Cristian Javier receives a ton of run support and the Mariners are starting to play tight, losing 4 straight games. | |||||||
09-26-23 | Wings v. Aces UNDER 175.5 | 84-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #616 Under in Dallas Wings @ Las Vegas Aces (10p.m., Tuesday, September 26 ESPN) Look for the law of averages to come back to reality on Tuesday and the under will hit with a Dallas game. Both games should have stayed under in the first round, but Atlanta played a terrible style of basketball in the fourth quarter. The under has hit in 7 of the last 10 Aces home games. The Under has hit in 6 of the last 8 games in Las Vegas between Dallas and Vegas. | |||||||
09-25-23 | Astros +116 v. Mariners | 5-1 | Win | 116 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #905 Houston over Seattle (9:40p.m., Monday, September 25 MLB.tv) Both teams come in limping and it is likely that one of them will miss the playoffs come next week. Texas has all but won the division and this is a must have series win for both teams. No way Justin Verlander should be an underdog with the line-up behind him. Luis Castillo is good but he has given up some runs in each of his last two starts to bad teams in Oakland and Los Angeles (AL). Houston has performed bad against Seattle this season but look for that to change on Monday. They have a champion pedigree and this is a game they need in the worst way. | |||||||
09-24-23 | Saints v. Packers -2 | 17-18 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #460 Green Bay Packers over New Orleans Saints (1p.m., Sunday, September 24 FOX) Just not a fan of Coach Dennis Allen and the New Orleans Saints. The Packers should get some offensive lineman back for this game and this is their first home game of the season. The Saints are off a short week and will be playing back-to-back road games. Coach LaFleur is 5-0 in his career when playing against undefeated teams. Green Bay is 8-1 ATS (1 push) in their last 10 home openers. When good teams play in the NFL the team that needs it more generally gets it and the Packers certainly need it more. | |||||||
09-24-23 | Patriots -2.5 v. Jets | 15-10 | Win | 100 | 97 h 22 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #547 New England Patriots over New York Jets (1p.m., Sunday, September 24 CBS) The Patriots are just not the same team without Tom Brady, but they can still beat the Jets. New England has dominated this matchup, winning 14 straight games and going 10-4 ATS during this span. Their average margin of victory is 18 points in the last 14 wins they have had against New York. The Patriots lost two home games to open the 2023 season, but they were competitive in both games with a chance late. They will dominate this game for 60 minutes. | |||||||
09-23-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -121 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
2 Unit Play. Take #926 Texas over Seattle (7:05p.m., Saturday, September 23 MLB.tv) The Rangers struggled to put away the Mariners on Friday despite an 8-0 lead, but they won that game. Look for them to win the first two games behind Jordan Montgomery Saturday night. Left handers can neutral much of the Mariners power and look for that to be the case on Saturday. The AL West is down to three teams and look for treaky Seattle to drop the first two in this series. | |||||||
09-23-23 | Colorado State v. Middle Tennessee State -2 | 31-23 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #420 Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders over Colorado State Rams (7p.m., Saturday, September 23 ESPN+) This is a tough ask for the Rams, as they will be playing their second straight road game and should have beaten Colorado last night out. That game in Boulder did not end until after midnight and I just believe that they are gassed and will not have anything left for this game. The Blue Raiders won 8 games last year and one of those wins came in Fort Collins by 15 points. They opened the season with two paycheck games against SEC teams and took Missouri to the wire, a team that just beat Kansas State. If MSTU plays well on offense, they will win this game by double digits. Look for that to happen, especially since the Rams are in a prime letdown spot. | |||||||
09-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Alabama -6.5 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 49 h 52 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #394 Alabama Crimson Tide over Ole Miss Rebels (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 23 CBS) TOP NCAA PLAY OF THE WEEK Many pundits and fans are throwing dirt on the grave of Alabama and Nick Saban, but I am not one of them. They have major issues at quarterback, but I feel they will right the ship on Saturday and win this game by double digits. Nick Saban is not a fan of Lane Kiffin, and he is 28-3 lifetime when facing his former assistants. Ole Miss never has a strong defense and tries to win most of their games by outscoring their opponents. They have beaten Alabama once in the past 16 meetings, and they just do not have the depth of a Nick Saban team. This is the game that Alabama will right the ship, and getting them at home with less than a touchdown is too good to pass up. | |||||||
09-23-23 | Auburn v. Texas A&M OVER 51 | 10-27 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 21 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #407 Over in Auburn Tigers @ Texas A&M Aggies (12p.m., Saturday, September 23 ESPN) These are two offensive minded teams with Hugh Freeze and Bobby Petrino calling plays for each team. The Aggies have put up points in all 3 of their games and are 14th in the country at 44 pointe per game. They could be 3-0 but turnovers did them in against Miami in Week 2. Auburn is not as polished with a first year coach but they are still averaging 39 points per game despite scoring just 14 point in Berkeley. Texas A&M playing at home should dictate the flow of this game and Jimo Fisher is all in on lighting up the scoreboard this season (to keep the boosters from buying him out). | |||||||
09-22-23 | Mariners v. Rangers -120 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #972 Take Texas over Seattle (8:05p.m., Friday, September 22 MLB.tv) This is a battle for the AL West, as two of the three teams involved in the pennant chase are playing tonight at Glode Life Field. Texas has dominated Seattle this season, winning 5 of the 6 meetings and outscoring them 36-18 in those games. Dane Dunning is coming off a solid outing las time out against Cleveland throwing 5 shutout innings. Texas needs to win this series at home expect them to take game one in dominating fashion. | |||||||
09-22-23 | Saskatchewan v. Ottawa +2 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
7 Unit Play. Take 682 Ottawa Redblacks over Saskatchewan Roughriders (Friday, Sept. 22, 7:00 PM CBSSN) Even though the Redblacks are in the midst of a 7-game losing streak, we like for them to rebound and stop the bleeding here. They still have a better scoring offense (24 ppg vs. 21.2) AND a better scoring defense (27 ppg vs. 29.9) During this losing streak, the Roughriders beat Ottawa 26-24 in Saskatchewan. | |||||||
09-21-23 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -129 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #914 New York over Toronto (7:05p.m., Thursday, September 21 MLB.tv) The Yankees do not have much to play for, but Gerritt Cole has a great chance to win the Cy Young award. Look for the Yankees to use their best line-up this evening to give him a great chance to score some runs on offense. That is something the Yankees have struggled with much of the season but should be able to get good swings against Jose Berrios. He has pitched better of late against bottom feeder teams, but I do not see him shutting down the Yankees on Thursday. New York has a knack for salvaging games to avoid being swept and expect that to happen tonight at the stadium. | |||||||
09-20-23 | Mariners v. A's OVER 8 | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
10 Unit Play. Take #969 Over in Seattle @ Oakland (3:37p.m., Wednesday, September 20 MLB.tv) Just feel that one of these pitchers is going to get lit up today at the Coliseum. Geroge Kirby has not been the same pitcher of late, giving up 4 runs in each of his last 3 starts. His last 5 starts have all gone over today’s posted number. His counterpart is Joey Estes, a pitcher making his MLB debut. His number in the hitter friendly Triple A were not good and I expect the Mariners to hit him hard second time through the lineup. Oakland swing the bats decent last night against tough competition and I feel they will be able to score 4-5 runs in this game and that should put us in good shape to hit the over. | |||||||
09-19-23 | Mariners -1.5 v. A's | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 8 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #923 Seattle (-1.5 RL) over Oakland (9:40p.m., Tuesday, September 19 MLB.tv) The Mariners got a break last night with Texas and Houston blowing late leads. Now they have one of their aces on the mound and expect them to win and cover the run line against a bad Oakland team. Seattle has fattened up their record against Oakland this season and tonight should be no different. | |||||||
09-19-23 | Dream v. Wings UNDER 171 | 74-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #758 Under in Atlanta @ Dallas (9p.m., Tuesday, September 19 ESPN) It look a ridiculous amount of first quarter points to have this game get over the posted total on Friday. I do not see that happening again and thus we will side with the under. In the last 9 meetings between Atlanta and Dallas, they under has collected 7 times. That includes the under cashing 5 of the last 7 games in Dallas. | |||||||
09-18-23 | Orioles v. Astros -1.5 | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 21 m | Show | |
3 Unit Play. Take #964 Houston (-1.5 RL) over Baltimore (8:10p.m., Monday, September 18 MLB.tv) Houston has been going through the motions of late against bad teams, but should be up for this series against the best team in the American League. Baltimore is coming off a hard-fought series against Tampa Bay and expect a letdown in this game. Justin Verlander will get back on track and Houston will win this game comfortably. | |||||||
09-17-23 | Commanders v. Broncos -3 | 35-33 | Loss | -120 | 99 h 33 m | Show | |
4 Unit Play. Take #286 Denver Broncos over Washington Commanders (4:25p.m., Sunday, September 17 CBS) The Broncos cannot afford to lose two straight games at home to open up the 2023 season. The Commanders did not look much better beating an Arizona team at home by just 4 points. That is a Cardinal team many people believe is tanking this season. The home team is this matchup has won 5 straight games and gone 4-1 ATS. QB Wilson is better than QB Howell and Denver will dig deep to win this game by double digits. | |||||||
09-16-23 | Astros -142 v. Royals | 8-10 | Loss | -142 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
5 Unit Play. Take #969 Houston -145 over Kansas City (7:10p.m., Saturday, September 16 MLB.tv) The Astros bats went cold on Friday when they could not get a big hit. Despite winning, Kansas City taxed their bullpen last night and look for that to show up in this game on Saturday night. Houston got lucky last night with Texas and Seattle both losing, but they cannot afford to start 1-4 in their last 5 games against Oakland and Kansas City. Houston is 8-1 in their last 9 road games. J.P. France is coming off a solid outing last time out against San Diego, throwing a quality start of 6 innings and just 1 earned run. Now he gets to face a much lighter hitting lineup in Kansas City on Saturday. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $1,072 |
Tom Macrina | $601 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
William Burns | $288 |
Ricky Tran | $269 |
Big Al McMordie | $234 |
Joey Tron | $165 |
Jesse Schule | $21 |
Tim Michael | $18 |