Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-06-21 | 76ers -1.5 v. Celtics | 106-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
Looks like the Celtics could be making a move. They had two easy opponents, but their last two games were blowout wins and covers. Boston usually brings their A Game against top opponents, and especially against Philly at home where they are 8-1 ATS in the last nine meetings. Boston has had a strange and underachieving season so far, but this team looks to turn it on as we head towards the playoffs, and we had them handicapped as a slight favorite here. | |||||||
04-06-21 | Lakers v. Raptors +1 | 110-101 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 13 m | Show | |
We like what we have seen from Toronto lately. They had that monster win over the Warriors a couple games ago and then they came back with a big rally to beat Washington last night. They come in on a back-to-back here, but they have had a lot of success over the Lakers in the past and are 4-0 in the last four meetings at home and 19-7-1 in the last 27 meetings overall. The Lakers are just a poor team with their stars out and we expect the Raptors to win this one comfortably as they need every win they can get now. | |||||||
04-05-21 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 222 | 133-130 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show | |
This series has a strong history of the under, with 7 of 10 meetings going under the posted total. Houston is on a back-to-back here, and they are 4-1 to the under in their last five with no rest. Phoenix is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, and we just don’t see Houston doing anything on offense here. We think the rested Suns will hold the Rockets around the century mark on offense, and the Rockets will have to rely on defense here if they want to stay competitive. | |||||||
04-05-21 | Wizards v. Raptors -4.5 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -113 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
We have been patiently waiting for the Raptors to turn the corner. This team has a solid roster and there is no reason this team shouldn’t be making a playoff push. Well, with that game last time out, the dominating win over Golden State that was one of the biggest wins of the season in the NBA, maybe now is the time they start to turn it on. Sometimes all you are missing in the NBA is confidence, and they should have plenty of that after dismantling the Warriors. The Wizards are going nowhere fast, and who know which games they choose to give max effort in. We get the feeling Toronto will be the more motivated team tonight. | |||||||
04-03-21 | Magic v. Jazz UNDER 217.5 | Top | 91-137 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
Orlando’s offense isn’t anything to write home about. They really struggle to put points on the board on a nightly basis. But they have been playing very good defense lately and they give a lot of effort on that end. Both teams have been trending to the under lately, and we think this game can go one of two ways. If Orlando is competitive here it will be on the strength of their defense. If it’s a blowout, the No. 5-ranked Jazz defense will probably keep the Magic under the century mark, which has been a pretty common occurrence for this team. Either scenario puts us in a good spot to cash this ticket. | |||||||
04-02-21 | Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 219.5 | Top | 114-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
Both teams scored under 90 points in their last outing. We are willing to bet that the poor shooting and lethargic play carries over into this matchup. The Hornets have been an ATS covering machine lately, and that has been on the strength of their defense as their offense has been inconsistent. Seven of their last eight games have gone under the posted total, and the under is 26-7 in the last 33 meetings in Indiana. We think this is another total that has been posted too high and we had this one penciled in at 214. | |||||||
04-01-21 | Magic +9 v. Pelicans | Top | 115-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
The Magic are playing well. They are coming off a confidence-boosting win in LA against the Clippers and they have covered in seven of their last nine games overall. This young team plays solid defense and lately they have been able to put together enough offense to stay competitive. The Pelicans have Zion and Ball on the injury report tonight. If one or both can’t go that will help us a lot. We think Orlando can keep this close regardless of the status of those players. The Pelicans have not been good as a big favorite this season. They are 1-5 ATS when laying 7.5 or more points. They could be in a letdown spot after one of their biggest wins of the season against Boston. They are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning percentage below .400. Orlando has also covered in all of the last four meetings. We expect a close game here. | |||||||
03-31-21 | Knicks v. Wolves UNDER 218.5 | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a revenge game for New York and their coach, who was fired from the Wolves. The Knicks have totally bought into his defensive philosophy and they have the best D in the NBA. They have gone under in six of their last seven games overall and held six of their last seven opponents to 102 or fewer points. Minnesota is probably the worst team in the NBA and New York will be very motivated to play shut down defense here. Both teams are among the worst offenses in the league, but we think there’s a great chance that New York holds Minnesota under the century mark tonight. | |||||||
03-31-21 | Raptors v. Thunder UNDER 223 | 103-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
Toronto should be a lot better defensively than they have been. They were pretty much embarrassed in their last game by the Pistons, who scored 118 on them. We were on Toronto in that one and stated it was a must win game as the playoffs are quickly slipping away. But now this is REALLY a must win game. OKC doesn’t have a very good offense, and we see the Raptors really giving full effort on defense here in this one. As long as the road team doesn’t put up a monster number on offense, we think this one will easily go under. | |||||||
03-31-21 | Blazers v. Pistons OVER 221 | 124-101 | Win | 101 | 7 h 50 m | Show | |
The Blazers have been playing real well on offense and they should be able to put up a huge point total here. They scored 122 in Toronto and 125 in Miami in recent games. Portland has the No. 27-ranked defense in the NBA, so Detroit should get their points, especially at home. Both teams are trending to the over with the Blazers going over in three straight and Detroit in three of four. Detroit scored 118 last time out so we think they can put up a respectable number here. Seven of the last 10 meetings in Detroit have gone over the posted total. | |||||||
03-30-21 | Magic v. Clippers UNDER 215.5 | 103-96 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
We expect a down game from the Clippers here. They are missing some starters and are coming in on a back-to-back after playing their best game of the season as they dominated the Bucks last night here at Staples. After that performance, how do they get hyped to play the Bucks? Paul George was out last night and he could miss this game, and will they wit Kawhi in a game where they can probably win with the bench? Orlando isn’t a high-scoring team but they have been playing pretty good defense. We don’t see the Clippers putting up a strong effort here and we think this will be a low scoring game. | |||||||
03-29-21 | Bucks v. Clippers -2 | 105-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
The Clippers are playing some of their best basketball of the season right now and they are winners of five straight. All but one of those games was a double-digit win. And the Bucks aren’t playing their best basketball at the moment as they are in a mid-season funk and have lost two straight. They have failed to cover their last six games when a posted underdog. We thought this line should be at least 4.5 at Staples and think this line is short. We would have leaned to LA at the bigger number but we think there is nice value here with this short line. | |||||||
03-28-21 | Suns -6 v. Hornets | 101-97 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
The Hornets have been playing some solid ball, but they have been playing above their heads a bit and they have had a pretty easy schedule. We think this is a real tough test for them on Sunday. The Suns have been playing very well, and they tend to have a down game every now and then but we think they got that out of their systems two games ago in a loss to the Magic. Phoenix can hang with anyone offensively but they have an elite defense and that should be the difference in this Sunday matinee. | |||||||
03-27-21 | 76ers v. Clippers -4.5 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
The Clippers are on a 4-0 ATS run and playing very well. They have some players questionable tonight but the team is really coming together and we think they will have success tonight no matter who takes the court, and the Sixers are without their best player also. The Sixers have been racking up wins but it has come against a pretty easy schedule. We think they are in for a reality check tonight. The Clippers should be hyped to beat their former coach, who didn’t seem extremely popular with the team. | |||||||
03-27-21 | Rockets +4.5 v. Wolves | 129-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
We were on the Rockets last night when these teams met, in the same venue, and Houston was in command the most of the game until the fourth quarter when they went cold. And we mean COLD. They didn’t score a single point in the last seven minutes of the fourth quarter and barely still missed the cover. It’s tough to beat any team twice in a row on consecutive nights. Even harder when that team is as bad as Minnesota. The Rockets are probably embarrassed they let that game slip away and we expect a more complete effort from them tonight. | |||||||
03-26-21 | Pacers v. Mavs -4 | Top | 109-94 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 9 m | Show |
This Dallas team seems to be rounding into form after a real slow start to the season. They have had a real relaxed schedule lately so they should have a lot of energy for this game. They have wins over the Blazers, Clippers and Nuggets in their last six games, so they are battle tested. Indiana has covered only three of their last 10 games and this team just isn’t in top form right now while Dallas is playing their best ball of the season. Not to mention they have covered in six of the last eight meetings. | |||||||
03-26-21 | Celtics +6 v. Bucks | 122-114 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
These teams played Wednesday, here at the same venue, and the Bucks eeked out a two-point win. Boston got the cover but not the win, and they will be motivated to play better here tonight. The Celtics have been playing well but they lost their last two, that game to Milwaukee and before in OT at Memphis (on a back-to-back). This team will go all out to win tonight as they need this game more than Milwaukee, and it’s very tough to beat a good team twice in a row. | |||||||
03-26-21 | Suns v. Raptors UNDER 224.5 | 104-100 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Suns have a very underrated defense. They are No. 3 in the NBA for points allowed this season. They are coming off a poor defensive performance and a loss to Orlando and we think that will wake them up a bit for this game and we expect a much better defensive effort. The under is 6-1 for the Suns after an ATS loss, so that is normally the pattern. Toronto’s offense has been hit or miss lately, but we don’t expect them to put up too big of a number in this one against this stingy D. | |||||||
03-25-21 | Clippers v. Spurs +6.5 | 98-85 | Loss | -103 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
These teams played last night and the Clippers blew the Spurs out. It’s very difficult to dominate a team like that for two nights in a row, on their home court no less. And the Spurs have one of the best coaches to ever do it, so we have to imagine that Popovich will have a plan in place to have his team more competitive. The Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last four after a blowout loss, so we think they will bounce back strong tonight. | |||||||
03-24-21 | Hawks v. Kings UNDER 231 | 108-110 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
The Kings have the worst defense in the NBA. But the oddsmakers post too high totals for this team lately. Six of their last seven games have gone under the posted number. And we think this one is too high as well. Atlanta has been playing really good defense lately. They have held three of their last four opponents under the century mark. We think they will be able to do enough on defense to keep the Kings to a respectable total tonight. | |||||||
03-24-21 | Hornets v. Rockets +3.5 | 122-97 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
The Rockets finally ended their losing streak last time out. This team is getting healthy and with their main players this team isn’t that bad. They got the monkey off their back of that losing streak and now they can just play without that burden. The Hornets have lost three of four and aren’t in top form right now. They lost their tremendous rookie, Ball, for the season, and that has to hurt team morale. The Hornets never play well here in Houston as they are 3-14-2 in the last 19 meetings. | |||||||
03-24-21 | Celtics +6 v. Bucks | 119-121 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
Have really been impressed with the way the Celtics have played the last couple games since their team meeting. They lost last time out but they staged a furious rally in Memphis when they just weren’t hitting shots and they lost in OT and were on a back-to-back. They showed a lot of heart in that loss. And they should have Tatum and Walker back for this game. This is a real important game for Boston and we see them bringing their A Game tonight. Milwaukee has been winning but not covering a lot of spreads. | |||||||
03-23-21 | Lakers v. Pelicans -5.5 | 111-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show | |
The Lakers aren’t a playoff team without LeBron and AD. They improved the roster this season around their two main guys, but this team goes as their stars do. They will play strong defense, but their offense won’t be able to get the job done. The Pelicans seem to be coming together as they have covered in four of five and have SU wins vs the Clippers (blowout) and at Denver. This team has been inconsistent but they will no doubt bring their A Game against the defending champs. | |||||||
03-23-21 | Wizards v. Knicks UNDER 224 | 113-131 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Wizards have one of the worst defenses in the NBA and their offense can be dynamic. But they often struggle to score against top defensive teams, and the Knicks are head and shoulders above the rest of the NBA in defense. Washington scored 106 last time out against Brooklyn and they will face a much tougher test tonight. The Knicks have held four of their last five opponents under the century mark in regulation. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings. | |||||||
03-23-21 | Nuggets v. Magic +7.5 | 110-99 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
The Magic have been good as a home underdog lately with a 3-0-1 ATS record. We don’t see any reason this one won’t be a close game, and the Magic are getting the hook off the key NBA betting number of 7, which always has more value than 7 or 6.5. Teams down by seven (three possessions) don’t normally foul at the end of games. Orlando had a bad game last time out but they have been more competitive and they have covered in four of their last six. The Nuggets have covered in only two of their last six and are overvalued a bit here on Tuesday. | |||||||
03-22-21 | Celtics +2.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 126-132 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
We had the Celtics as a slight favorite in this game so we think there is good value. Boston had a team meeting the other day and then came out and dominated an Orlando team that had been playing well on Sunday. They played earlier in the day, so the back-to-back here was not so brutal. Memphis had the day off Sunday but they are playing their third game in four nights just like the Celtics, so we think the rest factor is pretty even here. Memphis has lost four of their last six games, so they aren’t in top form right now. The game yesterday against Orlando for Boston might be a turning point as this team seems determined to save their season after a slow start. And you have to remember this is one of the best coached teams in the NBA and they have been one of the best betting clubs in the NBA for years. We could see them going on a run after a real slow start to the second half of the season. Boston has a strong history in this series as they are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings. | |||||||
03-21-21 | Lakers v. Suns UNDER 215 | Top | 94-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
These are two Top 5 defensive teams. The Lakers looked awful on offense once LeBron left the court on Saturday. They will have to figure something out on the offense. We don’t see it happening tonight, however, and we think they will struggle to score and will have to rely on their defense to stay competitive here. We either think this will be a Suns blowout or a close, low-scoring game, and we think both scenarios bode well for the under. The under is 5-2 in the last seven meetings, and we expect a similar result here. | |||||||
03-21-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Celtics | 96-112 | Loss | -108 | 3 h 4 m | Show | |
While it hasn’t made a difference in their W/L record, the Magic are playing well right now. They just haven’t been able to close out games. But they are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games. They are coming off one of their best games of the season as they beat Brooklyn last time out. The Celtics have been one of the best ATS teams in the NBA for years as they normally get the job done. However, not this season as they have one of the worst ATS records in the league and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six. We expect a close game here. | |||||||
03-20-21 | Kings v. 76ers -6 | 105-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
Really like the Sixers here. They are coming off a tough OT loss to the Bucks and they will want to put their best foot forward here against a much weaker opponent. The Kings have been playing well but are on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. They are ending a long road trip. If Philly is motivated, and we think they will be, the Kings might just be content as they beat Boston last time and have a much easier game coming up to close out the road trip. Philly is well rested here with two days off. | |||||||
03-20-21 | Hawks +4 v. Lakers | Top | 99-94 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show |
The Hawks have been playing great basketball lately and they have won seven straight games even though they don’t get the press as more popular teams around the league. They have really stepped things up on the defensive end and they are playing as a cohesive unit during this stretch. Sometimes coaching can make all the difference. The Lakers have been playing well also, but they are always overvalued by the oddsmakers and we think that is the difference here as the value lies with the visitors. We expect a low-scoring, close game here. | |||||||
03-19-21 | Mavs -3 v. Blazers | Top | 119-125 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 26 m | Show |
Dallas is quietly starting to play really well and they have won six of their last eight games overall. They are doing this pretty quietly as other stories dominate the news wire. But they are coming off a very impressive win over the Clippers on Wednesday. They also have wins over Denver and Brooklyn during this stretch, so they haven’t been playing only scrubs. Portland is coming off their rematch with New Orleans and will be playing their fifth game in seven nights. We think this is a real bad spot for Portland. | |||||||
03-18-21 | Jazz v. Wizards +12 | 122-131 | Win | 100 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
The Wiz Kids haven’t been playing well lately, but we still think this is too many points. The Jazz are just not playing their best basketball overall right now and are not just destroying teams like they were earlier in the season on a nightly basis. They have covered only one of their last five games. The Wizards have been a solid underdog play as they are 13-6 ATS when getting five of more points. We think this will be a competitive game and that the home team will stay within double digits. | |||||||
03-17-21 | Clippers v. Mavs UNDER 227 | 89-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
These teams played Monday and the total reached only 208. The oddsmakers made a but of an adjustment downwards, but there is still value here. Dallas has been trending to the under big time as their offense is hit or miss and their defense has been playing pretty well. The Clippers have a Top 10 D. The under is 5-0 in the Mavericks last five home games, and we think this game will be a bit more high scoring than the game on Monday but we think this one will comfortably go under the posted number. | |||||||
03-17-21 | Kings v. Wizards -2 | 121-119 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
These teams played earlier this month and the game was very high scoring with the total eclipsing 250. But that is very rare for teams to score that many points, and the oddsmakers made a major adjustment to this line as the last total was around 235. That was the only meeting in the last six meetings that went over the posted total. Both of these defenses are terrible. But this is just too many points as a cold shooting spell here or there will cut into this total. Since these teams played recently they will probably make some adjustments on the defensive end. We think the Wizards will pull this out as they had been playing better until they hit a real tough part of the schedule, but this is one of their most winnable games in awhile. | |||||||
03-17-21 | Kings v. Wizards UNDER 248 | 121-119 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
These teams played earlier this month and the game was very high scoring with the total eclipsing 250. But that is very rare for teams to score that many points, and the oddsmakers made a major adjustment to this line as the last total was around 235. That was the only meeting in the last six meetings that went over the posted total. Both of these defenses are terrible. But this is just too many points as a cold shooting spell here or there will cut into this total. Since these teams played recently they will probably make some adjustments on the defensive end. We think the Wizards will pull this out as they had been playing better until they hit a real tough part of the schedule, but this is one of their most winnable games in awhile. | |||||||
03-16-21 | Wolves +8.5 v. Lakers | 121-137 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
Minnesota has covered in three straight games and they are playing possibly their best basketball of the season right now. Those three covers include SU wins over Portland and New Orleans. The Lakers are banged up right now and coming off a big win over the Warriors, so they probably won’t be giving 100 percent here in this matchup. Minnesota will give LA their best shot tonight while the Lakers will probably rest on their laurels a bit and we think this will be a close game. | |||||||
03-16-21 | Pelicans v. Blazers -1.5 | 124-125 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
The Pelicans are a real inconsistent team. They can look like a championship contender one night and then lose to a basement dweller the next. We expect a letdown after their win over the Clippers last time out that was one of their biggest of the season. The Blazers are coming off a loss to the Timberwolves and they will be focused here in a very winnable game. Home court will make the difference here tonight. | |||||||
03-16-21 | Jazz v. Celtics +4.5 | Top | 117-109 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
Wow we have come a long way to see the Celtics posted as decent sized underdogs at home. We will take it. The Celtics are finally getting healthy and cohesive. They have won five of their last six games. Utah has lost three of four and they aren’t playing like the dominant force that we saw earlier in the season. That’s not a knock on Utah – it’s tough to keep that level of performance up all season long and even the best teams go through down points of the season. We had this line handicapped at PK so we think there is real nice value in the home dog as we think this game is a coin flip as to who wins SU. | |||||||
03-15-21 | Clippers -1.5 v. Mavs | 109-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
We were on the Clippers last night in an absolute duck of a game as they got blown out by the Pelicans. They probably had their eye on this game, since the Mavs gave them one of the worst defeats in franchise history early in the season. That was a revenge game for Dallas last time but now the revenge angle goes to the Clippers. LA has been known to take games off this season, and they didn’t give full effort last night. But this team normally comes out with a lot better effort after one of those bad games, and we expect them to bring their A Game tonight. | |||||||
03-15-21 | Bucks v. Wizards +8.5 | 133-122 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The Bucks have been overrated on the road as they are 0-6 ATS in their last six road games. We think that is the case again tonight as we had this line closer to 6. Washington has been playing better overall after a real slow start to the season. They have been hit and miss lately but they played pretty well when these teams matched up Saturday as they easily covered the double-digit spread. This team is on a 4-1 ATS run as a home underdog and we expect another close game tonight. | |||||||
03-15-21 | Kings v. Hornets -3 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show | |
The Kings have been horrible in the underdog role as they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight as a lined underdog. This team is really hampered by their lousy defense, which is easily the worst in the NBA. The Hornets are playing well lately and have won three straight and four of five. They don’t get a lot of respect from the oddsmakers as they don’t have many big names on the roster. This team definitely has the capability to put up some points on this Kings defense, and their defense should get enough stops late for them to cover the number, which they have done in the last four meetings in this series. | |||||||
03-14-21 | Clippers -5.5 v. Pelicans | 115-135 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 1 m | Show | |
The Clippers had one of the most dominant performances of the second half of the season in their blowout of Golden State. We see this is a team that wants to start the second half with a lot of momentum after losing their last three before the break. The Pelicans are 2-5 in their last seven games and they are not in top form right now. This team is very inconsistent. The Clips are healthy besides Pat Bev, who is not on this road trip, but they have a lot of depth and they should be motivated tonight. | |||||||
03-14-21 | Celtics v. Rockets +11 | 134-107 | Loss | -104 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
Just don’t think the Celtics should be favored by this many on the road. This is the biggest favorite they have been all season. They are 0-3 ATS when laying seven or more points this season. This game is sandwiched between matchups vs. Brooklyn and Utah, possibly the two best teams from each conference. They aren’t going to get super excited for this matchup and Houston will be desperate to end their losing streak. We see this as being a lower scoring game and think the Rockets can keep it within double digits. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Blazers -5 v. Wolves | 125-121 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 11 m | Show | |
Despite getting generous points from the oddsmakers nightly, Minnesota is still one of the worst ATS teams in the NBA. That’s hard to do and a sign of a truly terrible team that doesn’t give effort on a nightly basis and can’t string four quarters of solid play together. The Blazers are coming off a loss that followed a three-game winning streak. But we think they are playing well and the Wolves are a far cry from the Suns team that beat them last time out. A motivated Portland team should win by 10+. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Kings v. Hawks OVER 238.5 | 106-121 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 41 m | Show | |
The Kings are one of the best over teams in the league. They like to run and can score, and they don’t try on defense. The over is 5-0 in the Hawks last five home games and this team can score when given the opportunity and we think the pace will benefit their offense tonight. They have averaged 118 PPG in their last two and we think they will do better tonight. These teams don’t play often but they have a history for the over that stretches back years, with the over 19-7 in the last 26 meetings. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Bucks -10.5 v. Wizards | 125-119 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 12 m | Show | |
This will be the Wizards third game in four nights. This team is razor thin as it is, and they have been overworked and just haven’t looked good recently. They have to be running on fumes here and they looked tired already last night in getting manhandled at home against Philly. The Bucks looked great in their return after the break and put up 134 on the best defense in the league. This looks like a team that wants to start the second half with momentum, and we could see another blowout here. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Knicks -4.5 v. Thunder | 119-97 | Win | 100 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two of the worst offensive teams in the NBA. Neither team has the potential of a breakout night on offense. And both teams are pretty good defensively, with the Knicks at No. 1 for points allowed and the Thunder in the top half of the league defensively. The Knicks played one of their worst defensive games of the season last time out against the Bucks, and we think they will try hard in that area today and make the necessary adjustments. New York normally locks down defensively against lousy teams. We think they cover a low-scoring game. | |||||||
03-13-21 | Knicks v. Thunder UNDER 208.5 | 119-97 | Loss | -104 | 1 h 12 m | Show | |
These are two of the worst offensive teams in the NBA. Neither team has the potential of a breakout night on offense. And both teams are pretty good defensively, with the Knicks at No. 1 for points allowed and the Thunder in the top half of the league defensively. The Knicks played one of their worst defensive games of the season last time out against the Bucks, and we think they will try hard in that area today and make the necessary adjustments. New York normally locks down defensively against lousy teams. We think they cover a low-scoring game. | |||||||
03-12-21 | 76ers v. Wizards +4.5 | Top | 127-101 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
We think this is a great spot for the home team getting points tonight. The Sixers are a very average road team at 9-9 on the season. They are missing two of their top players tonight. The Wizards got off to a real slow start to the season and they lost confidence from a lot of bettors. But they have turned a corner and have been playing much better of late. They have won six of their last 10 despite a slip up last night. They normally play well in this series and have covered in five of the last six meetings. We had the Sixers laying a single point here so nice value tonight. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Warriors v. Clippers -7 | 104-130 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
Both teams lost three straight entering the break. But the Clippers just had a bad string of games and they don’t have a lot to worry about for that losing streak. They should bounce back well here against a traditional rival. The Warriors are more of a team that is still trying to figure things out. After the All-Star Break we try to look for teams in their first game out that are very motivated, and we see the Clippers falling into that category tonight. When this team brings its A Game they can beat any team in the NBA by double digits. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Knicks +10.5 v. Bucks | 101-134 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Knicks are an under machine this season at 23-14 on the year so far. This team has the No. 1 defense in the NBA and they bring it on that end of the court on a nightly basis. They are a true old-school defensive team as the offense leaves a lot to be desired and is one of the least productive in the league. This team regularly goes under the century mark on offense, which is very rare in today’s NBA. Luckily for us, the Knicks went on a bit of an over streak before the break. But they are rested and they have probably been looking forward to this game against one of the best teams in the East and this matchup will be a measuring stick to where they are at right now as a team. We expect them to lock down on the defensive end and for this to be a close game. Just don’t see the Knicks engaging in a shootout tonight. And there’s a good chance that after the break that these teams could start the game rusty on offense, especially New York. The under is 7-1 in the Knicks last eight road games. | |||||||
03-11-21 | Knicks v. Bucks UNDER 223 | Top | 101-134 | Loss | -111 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
The Knicks are an under machine this season at 23-14 on the year so far. This team has the No. 1 defense in the NBA and they bring it on that end of the court on a nightly basis. They are a true old-school defensive team as the offense leaves a lot to be desired and is one of the least productive in the league. This team regularly goes under the century mark on offense, which is very rare in today’s NBA. Luckily for us, the Knicks went on a bit of an over streak before the break. But they are rested and they have probably been looking forward to this game against one of the best teams in the East and this matchup will be a measuring stick to where they are at right now as a team. We expect them to lock down on the defensive end and for this to be a close game. Just don’t see the Knicks engaging in a shootout tonight. And there’s a good chance that after the break that these teams could start the game rusty on offense, especially New York. The under is 7-1 in the Knicks last eight road games. | |||||||
03-10-21 | Wizards v. Grizzlies -3 | Top | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
Both of these teams can score. Only one can play defense, though, and that’s Memphis. And we believe that will be the difference in the game as we expect a rested Grizzlies team to make some stops down the stretch. Both teams are rested and that should help the defense instead of the offense, which could be out of rhythm early and rusty. Memphis is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. We think they are the better team at this point and expect the defense to step up and lead them to the win tonight. | |||||||
03-04-21 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 220 | Top | 107-102 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show |
The Thunder have scored 102 or fewer points in four of their last five games. They went under the Century Mark in three of those games, and they are coming in on a back-to-back after scoring only 78 in a loss to Dallas last night. This looks like a team that wants the All-Star Break to start and we just don’t see them putting up a big point total tonight against a Spurs defense that is No. 11 leaguewide for points allowed. The Thunder have been playing solid defense lately, too, so it’s unlikely they will let the Spurs run crazy on offense tonight. Both meetings this season have gone well under the posted total. These teams played last Wednesday and the total was only 201. We either think this will be a blowout with the Spurs crushing a lifeless OKC offense or that the Thunder will step up on defense and it will be a low-scoring slugfest like the last outing was. Either scenario bodes well for the under, in our opinion. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Warriors v. Blazers +2 | 106-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
The Blazers scored a blowout in their last game against Charlotte. That followed a losing streak against tough competition. This is a team we were high on to start the season, but they have dealt with a lot of injuries. But we think this is a very winnable game for them. They are 4-1 ATS in their last five games. They will be motivated because of the recent losing streak and they need to stay afloat in the playoff race until their soldiers are all back in the lineup. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 219.5 | 115-112 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
The Hawks have not been good on the favorite role as they are 0-4 in their last four as a lined favorite. They failed to top the Century Mark in their last two games against Miami, and now they face another good defensive team in the Magic tonight. Orlando has lost four straight after a three-game winning streak. This team is not as bad as they have looked at times this season, and this is a very winnable game for them as their problem is scoring and the Hawks aren’t in very good form offensively right now and we think they are ripe for an upset here. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Hawks v. Magic +3.5 | Top | 115-112 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show |
The Hawks have not been good on the favorite role as they are 0-4 in their last four as a lined favorite. They failed to top the Century Mark in their last two games against Miami, and now they face another good defensive team in the Magic tonight. Orlando has lost four straight after a three-game winning streak. This team is not as bad as they have looked at times this season, and this is a very winnable game for them as their problem is scoring and the Hawks aren’t in very good form offensively right now and we think they are ripe for an upset here. | |||||||
03-03-21 | Jazz v. 76ers +3.5 | 123-131 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
The Jazz have lost two of their last three and they aren’t in top form right now. Even the best teams in the NBA go through down turns, and Utah is not immune. Philly has won five of seven and they didn’t embarrass themselves in their two losses. We think this line is a bit of a public one and we had this game as a pickem, so we like the value here. Utah is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings here in Philly and we don’t see them bringing their A Game as this road trip wears on. | |||||||
03-02-21 | Suns v. Lakers -1.5 | Top | 114-104 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
It’s very rare we take the Lakers. We mostly look to fade them as they are often overvalued by the oddsmakers and bet blindly by public bettors. But this line tonight seems fair. The Lakers played well last two games in dominant wins. They have Schroeder back, and he is a big difference maker on this team. This squad went through a rough patch recently, and they want to keep this winning streak intact and they should be more focused. Seeding will be important in the West playoffs this season. The Lakers are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings. | |||||||
03-02-21 | Clippers -4 v. Celtics | 112-117 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
The Clippers are coming off a loss to Milwaukee. They played well in that game but sputtered down the stretch. They did have a chance to win at the end but could not make the shots. But LA normally plays really well after a loss. The last time they lost before the Bucks, an embarrassing loss to Memphis last week, they came back the next night and dominated them. We think they will bring their A Game tonight, and Boston is a team that is just not playing well that almost lost to a Washington team that was in a very bad spot with severe lack of rest. | |||||||
02-28-21 | Wizards v. Celtics -6.5 | Top | 110-111 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
We are going against the Wizards here just because they have had a brutal schedule lately. They are on a back to back while the Celtics are rested. They are playing their third game in four nights. They are coming off a tough road trip where they had success. But they also had a brutal back-to-back last week on Monday and Tuesday with the Lakers and Clippers. They got blown out of the building by LAC on the second end of that back-to-back, and we could see the same thing happening here tonight. The Wizards are 3-12-1 in the last 16 meetings here in Boston. Maybe the Celtics turned the corner in this season as they gutted out a win last time vs. Indiana that could be a springboard for this team to start playing better consistently. We just don’t see the Wizards having much gas in the tank for this one, and the Celtics should be extra motivated as they are coming off a bad recent losing streak. | |||||||
02-28-21 | Clippers v. Bucks | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 1 m | Show | |
The Clippers always play well in this series and are 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings. We think they will be primed for a great performance today, especially after their blowout loss against the Grizzlies the other night. Even though they bounced back and got revenge the next night, that loss still had to sting. And there wouldn’t be any better remedy then a big win over one of the biggest powers in the East. We had the Clippers laying a couple points as we think they are the better all around team, and we expect them to win here on the road. | |||||||
02-27-21 | Wolves v. Wizards -4 | Top | 112-128 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show |
The Timberwolves are a dumpster fire right now and they haven’t covered in six straight games despite some very generous odds from the linesmakers. These teams both got off to a slow start. The Wizards are a developing team that took awhile to gel, but they seem to have gotten there and lately have been playing playoff-worthy basketball though they have a lot of ground to make up, But they have covered in six of their last seven games. They are coming off a road trip that included wins over the Lakers, Nuggets and Blazers. Impressive. We had this line handicapped at 8, so there is really great value here as the home team is being lined according to record and not recent form. Not to mention the Wizards are 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Washington and 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall. | |||||||
02-26-21 | Blazers +5.5 v. Lakers | 93-102 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
The Blazers over the Lakers is always one of our favorite bets to make. LA is normally overrated by the oddsmakers. The Blazers consider the Lakers one of their main rivals but the feeling is not mutual. But Portland brings their A Game almost every time these teams play. And they have covered more often than not in this series for years. They are 22-8 ATS in the last 30 meetings. Portland is 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog, and the Lakers just aren’t playing well right now. We expect a very close game here and either team could win this one. | |||||||
02-26-21 | Clippers -6 v. Grizzlies | Top | 119-99 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show |
We like to go with a good team that was embarrassed in their last game. We also like to go with the losing team when teams go against each other back-to-back this season. We have both scenarios tonight as these teams rematch from last night, where Memphis scored a near 30-point win. This Clippers team sometimes plays a bad game. This is the team that has looked like one of the best in the NBA many nights but yet lost to the Mavs earlier in the season by almost 50. It’s just one game. And the Clippers have shown the ability to bounce back after a bad game. This team has great depth and they are normally competitive when their stars are out or resting. The Grizzlies don’t have the same kind of depth. There are no indications that the Clippers won’t suit up their A Team tonight, and they should bring their A Game. The Clippers have been great in back-to-backs and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games playing on zero rest. Great chance for a dominating effort by the road team tonight. | |||||||
02-25-21 | Wizards +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 112-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
The Wizards are playing real well lately. They are coming off a blowout loss to the Clippers. But LA is the second best team in the NBA right now and they were on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights and they were competitive to a point then just ran out of gas. But they are rested with Wednesday off and we think they will get back to the stellar basketball they have been playing, winning five of their last six, with some impressive wins on that resume. It has taken some time for this team to come together, but they are playing to their potential lately and we see them being competitive here in this road matchup as well. | |||||||
02-25-21 | Magic +8.5 v. Nets | 92-129 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Magic have been trending to the under with four of their last five games going under the posted total. This team is strong defensively but poor offensively. We think they can slow down the Nets explosive offense a bit, and that’s the only way they can be competitive here as they are very unlikely to match Brooklyn on the offensive end. This team finishes under the century mark on offense in way too many games. The Nets have had some big games recently and we don’t think this matchup will move the needle for them to bring their A Game. Orlando is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, and we think their defense keeps it close enough to be competitive. | |||||||
02-25-21 | Magic v. Nets UNDER 229 | 92-129 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
The Magic have been trending to the under with four of their last five games going under the posted total. This team is strong defensively but poor offensively. We think they can slow down the Nets explosive offense a bit, and that’s the only way they can be competitive here as they are very unlikely to match Brooklyn on the offensive end. This team finishes under the century mark on offense in way too many games. The Nets have had some big games recently and we don’t think this matchup will move the needle for them to bring their A Game. Orlando is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings, and we think their defense keeps it close enough to be competitive. | |||||||
02-24-21 | Lakers v. Jazz UNDER 219 | 89-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
These are two Top 3 defensive teams for points allowed. The Lakers have lost a few straight and they need to play strong defense here to have a chance to be competitive. We think both teams will be at their defensive best as this one should have a playoff atmosphere. The Lakers are hobbled and reeling with Anthony Davis out of the lineup. The Jazz would love to kick them when they are down. We see the Jazz shutting down the Lakers offense and the only chance LA has here is if they play one of their best defensive games of the season. We think both scenarios work towards the under. | |||||||
02-23-21 | Wizards +12 v. Clippers | 116-135 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
The Wizards are off their big OT win over the Lakers last night but this team can’t afford to take the night off as their bad start to the season has put them in a precarious position where they need to stack wins in order to get back in the playoff race. This team has won five straight and they are playing with the confidence that was lacking early in the season, and we think they will bring some solid energy despite their long game last night. This line looks about three points too high as we think the Wizards stay within double digits. | |||||||
02-23-21 | Celtics -1.5 v. Mavs | 107-110 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
We are starting to see some more consistent play from the Celtics. Both of these teams had slow starts to the season, but we think all things being equal that Boston is the much better team. Dallas hasn’t been good in the underdog role and have failed to cover in their last four games when a lined dog. We just feel like this will be a close game throughout but the better team will pull away in the fourth. | |||||||
02-23-21 | Warriors v. Knicks OVER 219 | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
These teams met around a month ago and the total soared over the posted number. We think that will be the case tonight. The Knicks have the best defense in the NBA. The Golden State offense has been generally very good lately and we see New York slowing them down a little but not stopping them. The Knicks offense should benefit from the pace here. We think this will be a competitive game where both teams get their points. | |||||||
02-23-21 | Kings +6.5 v. Nets | 118-127 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
We feel like the oddsmakers are begging bettors to take the Nets here and this line just seems fishy. But there are some reasons to like the Kings here. This team has not been playing well and they are in desperate need of a win. A win here would right the ship for now. Brooklyn is off a long road trip and in that traditional first game back home where sometimes players are distracted by family or personal matters. The Nets are coming off massive games (both wins) over the Lakers and Clippers, so it’s hard to get hyped up for a game of this caliber. | |||||||
02-23-21 | Pistons v. Magic -3.5 | 105-93 | Loss | -107 | 6 h 29 m | Show | |
Orlando is finally playing up to their potential as they have won three straight and four of five. These teams met last time out and the Magic got a very comfortable win. They were never really challenged and it was a very steady performance. We normally like to back the losing team in situations like this, but we are not big fans of this Detroit team and we liked what we saw from Orlando in the first matchup and think they match up well again tonight. | |||||||
02-22-21 | Wizards +7 v. Lakers | Top | 127-124 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
The Wizards are playing well right now. They are 4-0 ATS in their last four games. They won all those games SU, including matchups against Denver, Portland and Boston. No pushovers there. This is probably a game they have been looking forward to as almost all teams have their visit to the defending champs circled. The Lakers haven’t been playing up to oddsmaker expectations as they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games. They aren’t in top form with losses in three of their last four. We think the Wizards come to play tonight and expect a close game. | |||||||
02-22-21 | Blazers +6.5 v. Suns | 100-132 | Loss | -113 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
Just think this is too many points. We had this game handicapped at 3.5, so we think there is real nice value here in what looks like a close game to us. Portland is one of the most underrated teams in the NBA right now as they have been a covering machine lately. They have been especially good as an underdog, where they have cashed five straight ATS. For some reason they play better on the road this season where they have a 10-5 record that is identical to the Suns home record. Just no reason for a spread this big as either team can win this game. | |||||||
02-21-21 | Pistons v. Magic -2 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
Orlando is trending upwards in our opinion. This team has dealt with a lot of injuries and their offense has suffered but this team is a lot better than Detroit. They are playing well lately as they have won three of four and they have covered in four of their last five. This is another very winnable game for them, and the line is short tonight. Both teams are poor offensively but the Magic have a pretty good defense, and that and home court will make the difference tonight. | |||||||
02-20-21 | Wizards v. Blazers -4.5 | 118-111 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
The Blazers are quietly playing out of their minds lately as they have won and covered in eight of their last nine games. We think this line is short once again on Saturday. This team had a lot of promise to start the season but they had a mediocre start as they dealt with injuries. But this team is learning how to play together and the results have shown on the court. The Wizards have won three in a row, but we’re not sure if this team is just hot or decent. They have been underwhelming this season and the Westbrook addition doesn’t seem to be working out. We think Portland will cool them off tonight. | |||||||
02-20-21 | Kings -2 v. Bulls | 114-122 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
After a four-game winning streak that included wins over the Clippers and Denver, the Kings have lost five straight. But they have had a very tough schedule. We think they will stop the bleeding tonight in a very winnable game. Chicago is in tough here on a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights. They played a much bigger game against a conference rival last night in a loss to Philly and they probably won’t come with the same energy tonight. | |||||||
02-20-21 | Heat v. Lakers -3.5 | 96-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
We like to back a good team after an embarrassing loss. While the Lakers last game wasn’t embarrassing for most teams, losing to the Nets by 11, the Lakers aren’t used to losing big and they will want to bounce back here, especially against LeBron’s old team. He has a lot of pride and always seems to step it up a level when he has to. We don’t take the Lakers often as they normally don’t have betting value as a public team. But the oddsmakers have overcompensated for the loss of Davis and we think the Lakers will roll here to a comfortable win. | |||||||
02-19-21 | Thunder +10.5 v. Bucks | 85-98 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 4 m | Show | |
OKC is 9-5 ATS as a dog of 7.5 or more points. We think they are in a good spot to be competitive tonight. They had the night off while the Bucks will be playing a back-to-back and their third game in four nights. And they just finished a series against the Raptors, one of their main rivals. So it’s kind of a comedown to them face a Thunder team from the Western Conference. The Thunder have been getting up for big opponents on the road like when they hung with the Lakers tough. We think this will be another close game. | |||||||
02-19-21 | Nuggets -8.5 v. Cavs | 120-103 | Win | 100 | 6 h 9 m | Show | |
Cleveland started off the season playing well, but to say the wheels have fallen off would be an understatement. This team is 0-7 ATS in their last seven against winning teams. They are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. They are 1-10 in their last 11 games as an underdog, and this is despite some very generous lines from the oddsmakers. Denver is coming off a couple losses and this will be an easy get right game for them and we doubt they overlook this opponent. | |||||||
02-19-21 | Warriors v. Magic UNDER 224 | 120-124 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
The Magic have a very underrated defense that is No. 8 in the NBA for points allowed. That is coupled with an offense that is No. 28 in the league for points scored. So they have to rely on their defense to keep them in games, and we think that will be the case tonight, especially since the Warriors have been playing good defense as well. Orlando is on a hot under streak, with five of their last six games going under the posted total, and 9 of the last 12 meetings in Orlando have gone under as well. | |||||||
02-18-21 | Nets v. Lakers OVER 232 | Top | 109-98 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
The Lakers have one of the best defenses in the league, but they are missing Anthony Davis and his defensive prowess. The over has cashed in five of their last six games. We just don’t see how they slow down the Nets tonight as Brooklyn has averaged 130+ in their last three games. They are just playing very well offensively right now. They are 22-8 to the over this season, and the oddsmakers can’t seem to set a total high enough for their games. We see both teams getting their points, and overtime is a real possibility in what should be a close game. | |||||||
02-17-21 | Rockets v. 76ers -10.5 | Top | 113-118 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
The Rockets haven’t covered in six games. This team is dealing with a bunch of injuries, and they don’t have any firepower tonight. The Sixers are coming off a game where they were beaten pretty good by the Jazz, and we think they will come out with their A Game here tonight. This one looks like a blowout. The Rockets have failed to cover in all but one game in the last eight meetings. We see Houston getting a real low team point total in this game, and we think this should be a very easy win for the home team. | |||||||
02-17-21 | Knicks v. Magic UNDER 210 | 89-107 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
These are two of the worst offenses in the NBA in this matchup. Both teams average around 104 points per game. We don’t see either team breaking out on offense in this one. This should be a close, low-scoring game. The Knicks have the No. 1 defense in the league, and should they win it will be on the strength of their defense, not the offense. These teams played about a month ago, and the total wound up at 175. The last three meetings have all been low scoring, and we expect more of the same here tonight. | |||||||
02-16-21 | Lakers -6.5 v. Wolves | Top | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 25 m | Show |
If you follow our picks, you know we love to bet against the Lakers and rarely take them. But we think there is some value tonight. LA is coming off a bad loss to the Nuggets, one of their worst games of the year. They don’t want a repeat performance. A loss here would be bad as the Wolves are one of the worst teams in the West. LeBron will likely play here even though Davis is out for the foreseeable future. But this team has a lot more depth this season, and we think they will play a great team game tonight against an overmatched opponent. | |||||||
02-16-21 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies +1 | 144-113 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
The Grizzlies are trending upwards and they are the better team here. We had this line handicapped at 3, so we think there is some nice value here. The Grizzlies have won two of their last three, both by blowouts, and they hung tough with the Lakers too. This is coming off a long losing streak. This team is better than that, though, and we think we will start to see some more positive results, and there’s no reason they shouldn’t win this one tonight against an inferior team. | |||||||
02-16-21 | Nuggets v. Celtics -2 | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
Boston has been a disappointment so far this season. But this team will turn things around at some point, and tonight could be that night as a win here could be a springboard to better results as this team is getting healthy. They are coming off two bad losses, to Detroit and Washington, so they will be very focused on this one, because of the losing streak and the strength of opponent. Boston usually gets up for the big games. Denver is coming off their big blowout win over the Lakers, and we think this could be a letdown spot. | |||||||
02-15-21 | Heat v. Clippers -3 | 118-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Clippers will likely be without the services of their Big Two tonight, definitely Paul George and likely Kawhi. But we like the depth on this team and they will play well tonight here at home. This team won’t fall apart without their main players, and the Heat are 4-8 on the road this season, so it’s not like they are a huge threat to win this game. LAC is 4-0 ATS in their last four back to backs and this team seems to take almost every game seriously this season so we think they will come to play tonight. | |||||||
02-15-21 | 76ers +7.5 v. Jazz | 123-134 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
We can’t argue that the Jazz look like the best team in the NBA right now. They are just demolishing opponents on a nightly basis. This spread is just too much to us though. Philly is going to come to play and they won’t be intimidated. This team is 4-1 ATS in their last five against teams with a winning percentage above .600, so they get up for big games. They have covered in all of the last six meetings in this series. We think this is an inflated line for what should be a close game. | |||||||
02-15-21 | Rockets v. Wizards UNDER 228.5 | Top | 119-131 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Both teams are trending to the under and the oddsmakers have been too slow to adjust. The Wizards have gone under in 6 of 7 and the Rockets have gone under in 5 of 7. During that stretch, the Rockets have scored 101 or fewer in five games. The Wizards have scored 105 or fewer in five games. Both teams have been going under the century mark regularly. Could these teams have a breakout offensive game tonight? It’s possible that one will but we just don’t see both teams breaking out offensively and this total just seems about five points too high. | |||||||
02-14-21 | Lakers v. Nuggets +2.5 | Top | 105-122 | Win | 100 | 25 h 9 m | Show |
Top end teams in the west will always get up to play the Lakers. But the Nuggets have a lot of extra motivation here on Sunday. Not only did LA dump them from the playoff last season, but the Lakers just crushed Denver in LA less than two weeks ago. Denver played well in the first half but then were totally embarrassed in the second half as they were outscored 68-35. That one had to sting and we are sure Denver will put together more of a complete game here at home. They have double revenge in this one while this is just another game for the Lakers, who get their best shot from teams every night. The Lakers are having about the best start of a season any fan could ask for at 21-6. But look at their ATS record: 13-14. This team is overrated by the oddsmakers and their lines are shaded in every game. We have Denver favored in this one. This is probably one of the Lakers toughest regular season matchups. | |||||||
02-14-21 | Spurs v. Hornets +2 | 122-110 | Loss | -109 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
Both teams have enjoyed a better than expected season so far, but we had the Hornets as a small favorite in this game and think the wrong team is favored. The Spurs have been solid on the road but we think they are in a tough situation here Sunday against a Charlotte team that is playing well right now and is very under the radar. These teams are pretty evenly matched but the homr court advantage will be the difference in this one. The Spurs have covered only one of the last five meetings here, and we see Charlotte pulling away in the fourth. | |||||||
02-13-21 | 76ers v. Suns UNDER 222 | Top | 111-120 | Loss | -102 | 3 h 45 m | Show |
These are two Top 10 defenses squaring off today in this matchup, and the Suns are really underrated defensively as they are No. 4 in the league for points allowed. Chris Paul is now running the show in Phoenix and he slows down the pace on offense and is very deliberate. When the Suns are facing off against the best teams, especially teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better, the under is 4-0, meaning the Suns normally up the defensive intensity in these games, and we expect that to be the case today. Both teams have played a couple high-scoring games lately and that has caused the bookies to raise this number, but we think it’s too high even though overnight action from the sharps brought this number down quite a bit already. Not low enough as we expect a playoff atmosphere here today. | |||||||
02-12-21 | Bucks v. Jazz -2.5 | 115-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
Just think the Jazz are underappreciated and that they will use this game to show the NBA how good they are. The Bucks are only 7-7 on the road this season, and this is one of their toughest road games of the year. Strangely, this is the first time the Bucks have been underdogs all season. But last season this team ended on an 0-4 run as an underdog, so when they are catching points there is usually a reason. We expect a big game at home from Utah tonight. | |||||||
02-12-21 | Clippers -7 v. Bulls | 125-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a great spot for the Clippers tonight. They will be without Paul George, but they are healthy otherwise and now have Pat Beverly back. This is an elite team that will take the floor tonight. The Clippers lost two in a row before getting back on track last time out at Minnesota, and we don’t think they will overlook this game as a result, not to mention the Bulls played them tough last time these teams met, in LA, in January. But the Clippers have been playing well on the road where are 10-4 on the season. They are also 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings here in Chicago. Kawhi Leonard is playing MVP level right now and the Bulls don’t have anyone that can slow him down. This one looks a lot like a double-digit win by the road team to us. | |||||||
02-12-21 | Knicks v. Wizards UNDER 220 | 109-91 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
This is the NBA’s worst offense (New York) against the worst defense (Washington), so something’s got to give. We really like the under here for a variety of reasons, however. New York has the current No. 1 defense for points allowed. They rarely go above the Century Mark by much on offense, and they stay under the century mark on offense way too much in the present day NBA. They have six games in their last 10 where they scored 103 or fewer. Washington’s strength is supposed to be their offense, but they have scored 105 or less in four of their last five, and they aren’t playing well on that end right now and will be without the services of Beal tonight. | |||||||
02-11-21 | Magic +8 v. Warriors | 105-111 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
We just think this line has been inflated a bit. The Magic played the Blazers last time out and were getting only six, and we were on Portland in that game, and we think they are better than the Warriors. The Magic actually hung in that game but Portland got the slim cover. Golden State is still a work in progress and they have a big game against Durant and the Nets coming up next, so they may be distracted. Orlando has covered in 11 of the last 16 meetings in the Bay Area. | |||||||
02-11-21 | Raptors v. Celtics UNDER 221 | Top | 106-120 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
Toronto has been an over machine lately with seven straight overs. But they have played a lot of bad defensive teams during that stretch. They face a really good one tonight as Boston is No.6 for points allowed in the NBA. We think this total has been inflated about five points too high. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these teams, and when they meet it usually has a playoff atmosphere, and both teams will likely put some good effort on the defensive side of the ball. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Jack Jones | $965 |
Ricky Tran | $708 |
Big Al McMordie | $662 |
Ross Benjamin | $640 |
Sean Murphy | $620 |
ProSportsPicks | $615 |
AAA Sports | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $306 |
Matt Fargo | $305 |
Dan Kaiser | $215 |