01-19-13 |
Idaho v. UT-Arlington UNDER 127 | | 77-64 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
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01-19-13 |
Rhode Island v. St. Louis UNDER 120 | Top | 82-80 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The St. Louis Billikens have been one of the best teams in the nation at controlling the tempo for many years in a row now. St. Louis plays very good defense, and they simply don't turn the ball over very often at all. Rhode Island has a new coach in Dan Hurley. Hurley doesn't have a lot of talent on the team this year, so the Rams are slowing things down quite a bit this year. The under is 4-0 in St. Louis' last 4 games. The under is 4-0 in St. Louis' last 4 home games. The under is 5-0 in Rhode Island's last 5 against teams with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at St. Louis. Take the under big! |
01-19-13 |
Oregon State v. USC OVER 143 | | 68-69 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
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01-19-13 |
Virginia Commonwealth v. Duquesne OVER 143 | | 90-63 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
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01-19-13 |
Morehead St. v. Tennessee-Martin OVER 134 | | 88-74 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
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01-19-13 |
UMKC v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 130 | | 63-59 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Sometimes there are games where I recommend an 'over' play solely based on the pace of the game. This isn't one of those cases. Instead, this is a game where I recommend an over play because both teams are horrible on the defensive end. In fact, UMKC is dead last in the country in guarding the three-point line. Fort Wayne should fill it up from long range today, and UMKC has plenty of shooters as well. Look for open shots to be the norm in this one. I had this one at 134. Take the over. |
01-19-13 |
North Texas v. Florida Atlantic UNDER 135.5 | | 61-59 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 58 m | Show |
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01-19-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette v. Middle Tenn. St. UNDER 134 | | 60-82 |
Loss | -110 | 4 h 29 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are the best team in the Sun Belt Conference this year. What's the big reason for that? MTSU is easily the best defensive team in the league. The Blue Raiders have been able to shut down almost everyone in the league this year. In fact, 11 straight games played by Middle Tennessee State have stayed under this posted total. Lafayette will try to push the tempo, but don't look for their offense to be efficient at all here. Take the under in this one. |
01-19-13 |
Texas A&M v. Alabama UNDER 120 | | 49-50 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show |
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01-19-13 |
Texas State v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 148 | Top | 81-78 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 16 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of Day* Texas State is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. The Bobcats rank in the top ten in the country in terms of pace. They also play some horrible defense. They have given up 74 points or more in 7 of their last 9. They have given up more than 90 points twice during that time. Texas San Antonio isn't quite as quick in terms of pace, but they shoot the ball better and their defense is very poor as well. I was stunned when this line come out at this level. I projected this one at 161 points. The over is 17-4 in UTSA's last 21 games. Take the over big! |
01-19-13 |
Oregon v. UCLA OVER 146.5 | | 76-67 |
Loss | -108 | 2 h 58 m | Show |
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01-19-13 |
Wake Forest v. Virginia Tech OVER 148 | | 65-66 |
Loss | -110 | 1 h 10 m | Show |
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01-18-13 |
Washington Wizards v. Denver Nuggets OVER 203.5 | | 112-108 |
Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
*3 Star TGIF NBA Total Domination* The Denver Nuggets still push the tempo about as well as any team in the NBA. The Washington Wizards played at a pretty slow pace earlier this year, but that all changes when John Wall gets healthy. Wall played 25 minutes in the most recent Wizards game, and I think he'll play even more here. With Wall pushing the tempo, the Wizards should help this one be a high scoring game as well. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two in Denver. Take the over. |
01-17-13 |
UC Davis v. Cal St-Northridge OVER 155 | | 74-71 |
Loss | -110 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
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01-17-13 |
Oregon State v. UCLA OVER 153 | | 64-74 |
Loss | -108 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Oregon St/UCLA Total* UCLA is a completely different team from last year. Josh Smith not being in the middle hurts the team in some ways, but it also allows them to run the floor much more. The Bruins are now using their athleticism as a real advantage. Shabazz Muhammad runs the floor as well as any forward in the country. Oregon State loves to push the tempo and try to beat teams down the floor. This game has track meet written all over it. I had this one projected at 158. Take the over. |
01-17-13 |
Seattle v. UT-Arlington OVER 132 | | 61-44 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Seattle Redhawks aren't a very good team, but they are great at forcing the opposing team to play at their preferred tempo. Seattle is one of the fastest paced teams in the country this year. UT Arlington likes to run more than the average team, and I don't see them playing stall ball in this one. Seattle's defense is very suspect, and I expect Arlington to put up a big number. I put this total at 136 points. Look for this to get over the posted total. |
01-17-13 |
Louisiana-Monroe v. South Alabama OVER 132 | | 56-71 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Louisiana Monroe isn't a good team at all, but their offense has improved of late. The Warhawks have several good shooters from long range, and the team is pushing the tempo quite a bit more than they used to. South Alabama has a new coach this year, and his philosophy is to run and gun whenever they get the chance. South Alabama racked up 77 points against LA Monroe in their first meeting this year. That game finished at 149. The over is 6-0 in Monroe's last 6 following a loss. The over is 7-1 in LA Monroe's last 8. The over is 4-0 in S. Alabama's last 4 Thursday games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following a loss. Take the over. |
01-17-13 |
Eastern Washington v. North Dakota OVER 141 | | 47-65 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
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01-17-13 |
Morehead St. v. SE Missouri St. OVER 139 | | 75-59 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
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01-17-13 |
UMKC v. Oakland OVER 141 | | 68-81 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* The Oakland Golden Grizzlies don't quite push the tempo as much as they did last year, but whenever they get the chance this team is going to run. UMKC isn't a running team necessarily, but their horrible defense allows most teams to put up a big number on them. Oakland scored 89 in their last meeting with UMKC. The over is 21-9 in UMKC's last 30 road games. The over is 52-25-1 in Oakland's last 78 games overall. The oddsmakers just can't catch up with Oakland. Take the over here. |
01-17-13 |
South Dakota v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 147 | Top | 60-62 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play* The South Dakota Coyotes are a perfect 'over' team. South Dakota shoots the ball very well and pushes the tempo, and they also don't play hardly any defense. Fort Wayne hasn't been very good on offense, but they are much better on their home floor. Fort Wayne is comfortable playing at a very quick pace as well. Both of these teams get to the free throw line often, and I think that will be a big key in this one. I had the line projected at 152. The over is 6-1 in S. Dakota's last 7 following a loss. The over is 7-1 in Fort Wayne's last 8 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in Fort Wayne's last 4 against a team with a winning percentage below 40%. Take the over big! |
01-17-13 |
Duquesne v. Massachusetts OVER 154 | | 66-79 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
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01-17-13 |
Valparaiso v. Detroit OVER 142 | | 89-88 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
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01-16-13 |
Loyola Marymount v. San Diego OVER 129 | | 70-78 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Loyola Marymount Lions have only had two games this year under this posted total. 15 of their games have gone over this total. San Diego slows the game down a bit, but Loyola Marymount's poor defense will likely help San Diego score more than normal. This should be a close game where free throws decide the game at the end. A lot of free throws at the end should push this over the posted total. Take the over in this one. |
01-16-13 |
Wyoming v. Fresno State UNDER 115 | | 36-49 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* Wyoming has been one of the biggest surprises in the country this season. The Cowboys win with strong defense and ball control. Fresno State plays strong defense, but they are very bad on the offensive end. Though this total is posted very low, both of these teams have played several games far below this total. I had this one projected at 109 points. The under is 4-0 in Wyoming's last 4 games overall. The under is 4-0 in Wyoming's last 4 road games. Take the under here. |
01-16-13 |
Utah v. Washington State UNDER 114 | | 65-75 |
Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Pac 12 Total* The Utah Utes and Washington State Cougars are both very good defensive teams. Both Utah and Washington State are poor on the offensive end, and they have played some extremely low scoring games this year. This is the type of game where the winning team will likely struggle to get to 55 points. The under is 7-2 in Washington State's last 9 against the PAC 12. The under is 4-1 in Utah's last 5 games overall. I had this one projected at 109. Take the under here. |
01-16-13 |
Texas Tech v. Oklahoma OVER 135.5 | | 63-81 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA Hoops Big 12 Total* Texas Tech isn't a very good team, but they are fighting hard for Chris Walker. They played Kansas well the other day, and I expect them to put a lot of effort forth in this game. Oklahoma is an improved team that might be a NCAA Tournament team this year. The Sooners are much better offensively than they have been, and Texas Tech struggles on the defensive end. The Red Raiders love to run and push the pace. My number for this one was 140 points. Take the over here. |
01-16-13 |
South Carolina v. LSU OVER 144 | | 82-73 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* The LSU Tigers are a completely different team this year under first-year coach Johnny Jones. Jones is from the LSU area, and he had a ton of success as a coach at North Texas. The way Jones teaches basketball is to get out in transition and score before the other team sets up their defense. LSU has the athletes to run and gun, and they have been doing it effectively this season. South Carolina likes to push most of the time too, so I see a quick pace here. I had this at 149. Take the over. |
01-16-13 |
Auburn v. Arkansas OVER 141 | | 80-88 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB SEC Total* The Arkansas Razorbacks are playing Mike Anderson's "40 Minutes of Hell" style of basketball very well right now. Arkansas is pushing the tempo even more than they did a year ago. The Razorbacks can force teams with poor ball-handlers into a ridiculous amount of turnovers. Auburn's guards aren't particularly good, and I think they'll struggle a lot with the pressure from Arkansas. The over is 7-1 in Arkansas' last 8 home games. Take the over in this contest. |
01-16-13 |
Evansville v. Drake OVER 140.5 | | 69-83 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Total* The Missouri Valley Conference is typically known for strong defense, but that doesn't apply to the Drake Bulldogs this year. Drake is the worst defense team in the MVC by quite a bit. Drake has been giving up points by the bunches of late. Creighton scored 91 points on them. Drake has allowed at least 75 points in four straight games. The over is 8-2 in Evansville's last 10 games. The over is 4-0 in Drake's last 4 games overall. The over is 5-0 in Drake's last 5 home games. Take the over here. |
01-16-13 |
Memphis v. Rice OVER 123 | | 77-51 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB CUSA Total* The Rice Owls are one of the worst teams in a very weak Conference USA. Memphis is clearly the class of the conference. Memphis likes to push the tempo and get out in transition. Rice would prefer to slow the game down, but the Owls won't be able to keep stalling once they are getting beaten badly by the Tigers here. I had this one set at 129 points. The over is 5-0 in Rice's last 5 home games. The over is 6-1 in Memphis' last 7 road games. Take the over here. |
01-16-13 |
Towson v. Delaware OVER 135 | | 69-66 |
Push | 0 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* The Delaware Blue Hens are quietly becoming a very good offense. Sadler, the Blue Hens star on offense, is one of the best scorers in the country. Delaware is running and gunning quite a bit more this year than they have in the past. Towson was woeful last year, but they are respectable this year and they should be able to put up their fair share of points here. I had this game set at 139 points. I like the over in this one. |
01-16-13 |
Toledo v. Western Michigan UNDER 136.5 | Top | 56-79 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB MAC Top Total* The Western Michigan Broncos have struggled on the offensive end this year. They are averaging just 63.5 points per game. Toledo averages just 67 per game on the road. Both of these teams are better on the defensive end than they are on the offensive end. Toledo's last five games have all been well under this total in regulation. Western Michigan has had some very low scoring games this year. My numbers had this one set at 130 points. The under is 5-0 in Toledo's last 5 road games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 13-3 in Toledo's last 16 road games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two at Western Michigan. Take the under big! |
01-16-13 |
Providence v. Georgetown UNDER 119.5 | | 65-74 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Defensive Battle* The Georgetown Hoyas have one of the best defenses in the nation. They also have an offense that stalls almost every time down the floor, and they aren't very efficient on offense. Georgetown has had final scores of 37-36, 46-40, 64-41, and 49-48 all this season. Providence is playing much better defense than they did a couple years ago. The Hoyas should control the pace on their home floor. The under is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. Take the under. |
01-16-13 |
Miami (Fla) v. Boston College UNDER 128.5 | Top | 60-59 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* The Miami Hurricanes have been one of my favorite 'under' teams this year. Miami is slowing the pace down far more than they did a year ago, and the books have been slow to react. The Hurricanes also have tremendous half court defense, so I'd be surprised if Boston College shoots the ball well here. Boston College doesn't push the pace, and the Eagles have reasonably good defense. My numbers had this one at 122 points. The under is 8-0 in Miami's last 8 following a win. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning home record. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 road games overall. Take the under big! |
01-15-13 |
New Orleans Hornets v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 185 | | 111-99 |
Loss | -110 | 17 h 45 m | Show |
*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The New Orleans Hornets and Philadelphia 76ers both play at a very slow pace. In fact, the Hornets play slower than any other team in the NBA. Philadelphia ranks 23rd out of the 30 teams in the NBA in terms of pace. Both of these offenses also rank in the bottom half of the NBA in offensive efficiency. These teams met once earlier this year and the final was 77-62. I'm certainly not expecting a ridiculous number like 139 again, but I also don't understand the posted total jumping five points from what it was in the first matchup between these two. The under is 6-1 in the Hornets last 7 against a team with a losing record. The under is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings between these teams. The under is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings in Philly. Take the under. |
01-14-13 |
Atlanta Hawks v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 185.5 | | 58-97 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
*3 Star NBA Play of Day* The Chicago Bulls are still playing their strong half court defense. The reason the Bulls are only 20-15 is they have been very inefficient on offense. Atlanta has been very good on the defensive end this year as well. In fact, both of these teams rank in the top 8 in the NBA in defensive efficiency. Neither of these teams push the tempo all that much, so with strong defense and a relatively slow pace I like the under. The under is 11-7 in the Hawks road games this year. The under is 14-6 in the Bulls home games this year. The under is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4 against the Eastern Conference. The under is 6-1 in their last 7 against teams with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in the Bulls last 7 against teams with a winning record. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two in Chicago. Take the under. |
01-13-13 |
Maryland Terrapins v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 130 | | 47-54 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Miami Hurricanes are really slowing things down this year, and it has brought them a ton of success. Miami is 11-3 on the year. They haven't allowed more than 69 points in a game since their first game of the season. Miami's defense allows 59.2 points per game for the year. Maryland's defense is tremendous as well, led by shot blocker Alex Len. Maryland is allowing only 57 points per game on the road. Both of these teams play quite a bit slower than they did last year. The under is 7-0 in Miami's last 7 following a win. The under is 3-0-1 in Miami's last 4 home games. Take the under. |
01-13-13 |
Houston Texans v. New England Patriots OVER 48 | | 28-41 |
Win | 100 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
*3 Star Texans/Patriots Total Domination* The Houston Texans and New England Patriots just met a few weeks ago and the Patriots won 42-14. I don't expect the same spread in this one, but I do think the Pats offense will put up a big number again. New England is playing excellent on offense right now, and other than J.J. Watt the Texans defense has regressed a bit. Arian Foster and the Texans running attack should be able to get going against a mediocre Pats defense. New England's games rarely stay under this number, and the weather looks pretty decent for Sunday. The over is 6-1 in the Patriots last 7 January games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. Take the over. |
01-13-13 |
New Orleans Hornets v. New York Knicks UNDER 193 | | 87-100 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
*3 Star NBA Early Bird Special* The New York Knicks and New Orleans Hornets square off at noon on Sunday. These early games on Sunday's can't be popular with the NBA players, especially in New York City. There is a lot to do in NYC and having an early game on Sunday makes it less likely these two teams will be giving full effort. These early Sunday afternoon games tend to have slower paced second halves as the teams really just mail it in near the end. The Hornets are the slowest paced team in the NBA to start with. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the under. |
01-12-13 |
Cal Santa Barbara v. UC Davis OVER 138 | | 66-59 |
Loss | -110 | 10 h 59 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The UC Davis Aggies are a good over team because they have lots of very good scorers, but the Aggies don't play much defense at all. UC Santa Barbara isn't nearly as good defensively this year as they have been in the past few years. I had this one projected at 142 points. The over is 6-0 in UCSB's last 6 games. The over is 4-0 in UCSB's last 4 road games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the Big West. The over is 4-0 in UCSB's last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 8-0 in UC Davis' last 8 home games. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at UC Davis. In all a 32-0 angle backs this. Take the over. |
01-12-13 |
CS Sacramento v. Eastern Washington OVER 138 | | 60-53 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
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01-12-13 |
Memphis v. UAB OVER 146 | Top | 69-53 |
Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* No team in the country has changed their style more drastically than the UAB Blazers this year. UAB was a team that stalled for the past few years, but new coach Jared Haase has them running and gunning this season. Memphis is an ultra-talented team that likes to run when given the opportunity. Both of these teams turn the ball over quite a bit, and that should lead to a lot of easy layups in this one. The tempo here should be plenty quick enough to put it over the total. The over is 6-0 in Memphis last 6 road games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-0 in Memphis' last 4 Saturday games. Take the over big! |
01-12-13 |
Green Bay Packers v. San Francisco 49ers OVER 44.5 | | 31-45 |
Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show |
*3 Star Packers/49ers Total Domination* The Packers and Niners met in week one in Green Bay. In that game, we saw 52 points put up on the board. I believe both offenses are in better shape now than they were for that game. Aaron Rodgers has some of his receivers back and healthy. Rodgers is playing as well as ever right now. San Francisco's offense has more firepower with Kaepernick at quarterback. The running game is still terrific, and I'm not sure Green Bay can stop it. The 49ers defense isn't quite as good with a dinged up Justin Smith. Rodgers doesn't need much time to pick apart defenses. The over is 4-0 in the 49ers last 4 games. The over is 4-0 in the Niners last 4 home games. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the over. |
01-12-13 |
Tennessee Tech v. SIU Edwardsville OVER 134 | | 54-58 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 55 m | Show |
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01-12-13 |
Cincinnati v. Rutgers OVER 128 | | 68-58 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
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01-12-13 |
Louisiana Tech v. Texas-San Antonio OVER 144 | | 73-71 |
Push | 0 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Louisiana Tech Bulldogs are one of my favorite 'over' teams. Louisiana Tech uses a diamond full court press to push the tempo and force a ton of turnovers. The Bulldogs push the pace at every opportunity. Texas San Antonio is called the Roadrunners, and they aren't the type of team to slow the game down based on their past history. I had this game projected at 149 points. The over is 15-1 in Texas San Antonio's last 16 games overall. The over is 7-0 in UTSA's last 7 following a loss. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 home games. The over is 5-0 in their last 5 against the WAC. Take the over. |
01-12-13 |
Central Michigan v. Toledo OVER 144 | | 72-76 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Total* The Central Michigan Chippewas are starting to catch onto Coach Keno Davis' ideas for their offense. In his time at Providence, Davis' teams always pushed the tempo as much as any team in the nation. Central Michigan started the year playing at a slow pace, but that has been changing quickly of late. Central Michigan has been pouring in the points and giving them up in bunches as well. Toledo is much better offensively on their home floor. I think this has a good chance of hitting 150. Take the over. |
01-12-13 |
Morehead St. v. Eastern Kentucky OVER 135 | | 52-59 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Morehead State is a team I've been playing the over with a bunch this year. Sean Woods has completely changed the way this team plays. Last year the Eagles were all about slowing the game down and winning a low scoring game. This year Morehead State presses and plays very aggressive defense. Opponents often turn the ball over a ton, but they also get to the line a lot because Morehead State fouls too much. Eastern Kentucky is an efficient offensive team. I projected this one at 140 points. Take the over. |
01-12-13 |
Cal State Northridge v. Cal Irvine OVER 145 | | 69-79 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB West Coast Total* Cal State Northridge has a way of making other offenses look great. UC Irvine hasn't been all that good offensively this year, but I think they'll find their shooting touch in this one. Northridge is all about taking risks on the defensive end. They get a lot of steals, but they also allow a ton of open layups in the open floor. Look for this to be an up and down game all the way to the end. I had this one set at 149 points. The over is 18-8-1 in UC Irvine's last 27 home games. Take the over. |
01-12-13 |
Florida International v. Arkansas-Little Rock OVER 135.5 | | 76-88 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
|
01-12-13 |
Elon v. Appalachian State OVER 135 | | 70-80 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 39 m | Show |
|
01-12-13 |
UT Arlington v. Texas State OVER 134 | | 91-74 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show |
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01-12-13 |
Montana State v. North Dakota OVER 138.5 | | 73-86 |
Win | 100 | 4 h 12 m | Show |
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01-12-13 |
North Carolina v. Florida State OVER 152 | | 77-72 |
Loss | -110 | 3 h 3 m | Show |
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01-12-13 |
Tennessee v. Alabama UNDER 121 | | 65-68 |
Loss | -108 | 2 h 53 m | Show |
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01-10-13 |
St Mary's CA v. Gonzaga OVER 147.5 | | 78-83 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
*3 Star St. Mary's/Gonzaga Total* This game may not get all the attention that rivalries do in other parts of the country, but these two teams hate each other. St. Mary's has beaten the Zags in 3 of the last 4, but Gonzaga should have the upper hand here. Both teams are playing quicker than they did a year ago. These two offenses are both extremely efficient with the basketball. I has this one pegged at 152. Look for guys like Pangos and Harris and Dellavedova to have big games on the offensive end. Take the over here. |
01-10-13 |
New Mexico State v. Seattle OVER 142.5 | | 83-82 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
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01-10-13 |
Cal Poly Slo v. UC Davis OVER 133 | | 67-69 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Cal Poly Mustangs slow the game down, but they also don't play any defense. In addition, Cal Poly shoots it extremely well from long range. This means that when Cal Poly plays against fast paced teams that don't play good defense, their scores can be quite a bit higher than the oddsmakers are expecting. The over is 6-0 in Poly's last 6 road games against teams with a losing record. The over is 7-0 in UC Davis' last 7 home games. The over is 4-0 in Davis' last 4 against teams with a losing record. Take the over. |
01-10-13 |
Northern Arizona v. Eastern Washington OVER 145 | | 59-82 |
Loss | -110 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Eastern Washington Eagles and Northern Arizona Lumberjacks have a lot in common. Both teams like to run and gun, and both of them don't play hardly any defense. Eastern Washington shoots as many three-point shots as anyone in the nation, and Northern Arizona allows opponents to shoot better than 40% from beyond the arc. Look for open three's and open layups for both teams in this one. I had this one projected at 149 points. The over is 4-0 in Eastern Washington's last 4 Thursday games. The over is 4-0 in their last 4 against teams with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. Take the over. |
01-10-13 |
Louisiana Tech v. Texas State OVER 151.5 | Top | 84-67 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play Total* Both of these teams rank in the top 15 in the country (347 teams) in terms of quickest pace. Louisiana Tech uses a full court diamond press to force turnovers and push the tempo. Texas State almost never lets the shot clock get below 20 seconds. Both of these teams are going to get up a ton of shots in this one. Unless the shooting numbers are terribly low, I don't see this one staying under. I had this projected at 158 points. The over is 12-5 in Louisiana Tech's last 17 road games. The over is 7-3 in their last 10. Take the over big! |
01-10-13 |
Florida Intl. v. Arkansas State UNDER 141 | | 66-64 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
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01-10-13 |
IUPU-Indianapolis v. Nebraska Omaha OVER 157 | | 79-90 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Don't look for either team to even attempt to slow the game down in this one. These are two teams that run and gun at every opportunity. Nebraska Omaha is one of the worst teams in the country, and they have given up 90 points or more several times already this year. IUPUI and Omaha are both very good at shooting it from distance, and I think the three's will really pile up in this game. I had this one projected at 162 points. Look for the pace and three-point shooting to push this over the posted total. |
01-10-13 |
SE Missouri St. v. Belmont UNDER 140 | | 72-107 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
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01-10-13 |
South Alabama v. UL - Lafayette OVER 147 | | 91-89 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
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01-10-13 |
Detroit v. Youngstown State OVER 149 | | 101-60 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 58 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Detroit Titans probably have the most talented team in the Horizon League. Ray McCallum Jr. facilitates their offense very well. McCallum is among the best in the nation at getting into the lane and either scoring or setting up his teammates. Youngstown State is the other really fast paced team in the Horizon League so the tempo should stay quick in this game. I had this one projected at 153 points. Look for a tight game all the way, which could mean quite a few free throws at the end. Take the over. |
01-09-13 |
San Diego St v. Fresno State UNDER 122 | | 65-62 |
Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT Total* The Fresno State Bulldogs are very good at controlling the tempo of the game. Fresno State has slowed the game down for the past three years, and they are doing the same this season. San Diego State likes to play a bit faster, but the real strength of the Aztecs team is their tremendous defense. Despite their speed, San Diego State has played some very low scoring games this year because of their defense. The under is 7-1 in Fresno State's last 8 home games against a team with a winning road record. Take the under. |
01-09-13 |
Cal St-Northridge v. Long Beach State OVER 155 | | 69-78 |
Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* No one will be slowing the pace down in this game. Both of these teams love to run and gun, and I expect to see that for 40 minutes here. CS Northridge is coming off a 105-86 loss to CS Fullerton last time out. Long Beach's offense has been getting better each game of late. I had this one projected at 160 points. Oddsmakers are hesitant to put such a big total on any game, which is why we get some value on this one. The over is 5-2 in Long Beach's last 7 games overall. Take the over here. |
01-09-13 |
Nevada v. Air Force OVER 138.5 | | 65-78 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Air Force Falcons have a new coach this year, and their system is changing quite a bit. Over the past few years they have stalled as much as possible on offense, but they are definitely picking up the tempo this season. The Falcons are shooting the three-point shot extremely well. Nevada cannot defend the three, and Nevada's offense likes to push the tempo quite a bit. Deonte Burton is a great point guard and he should get in the paint easily against Air Force's poor defense. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 home games. The over is 5-0 in Air Force's last 5 against teams with a winning percentage over 60%. The over is 4-0 in Air Force's last 4 following a loss. Take the over. |
01-09-13 |
West Virginia v. Texas UNDER 126.5 | | 57-53 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
*3 Star West Virginia/Texas Total* Most of the time in my writeups I talk about the pace of the game, but the pace here will likely be quicker than what would normally be needed for an 'under'. The reason this wager looks strong is both offenses are horrible. Both defenses are very good. The dichotomy between the offenses and defenses in this game is huge, and that should lead to some horrible shooting numbers. I had this one projected at 121 points. The under is 6-0 in Texas' last 6 following a loss. The under is 14-3 in Texas' last 17 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 4-1 in Texas' last 5 home games. Take the under. |
01-09-13 |
Southern Miss v. Rice UNDER 128.5 | | 75-52 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show |
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01-09-13 |
Evansville v. Northern Iowa UNDER 131 | | 62-59 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Total* Northern Iowa has been one of my favorite 'under' teams for the past few years. The Panthers play very good defense, and they are extremely good when it comes to taking the air out of the ball and holding a lead at the end of a game. Evansville has slowed their tempo down quite a bit this season. The Aces are playing much better defense than they did last year. I had this game projected at 126 points. Look for a good defensive effort from both teams here. I like the under in this one. |
01-09-13 |
Southern Methodist v. Houston OVER 134.5 | | 67-78 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
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01-09-13 |
Morehead St. v. Austin Peay St OVER 145.5 | | 81-84 |
Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
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01-09-13 |
Western Michigan v. Akron UNDER 140.5 | | 43-65 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Western Michigan Broncos and the Akron Zips are both above average defensive teams. Akron has one of the best shot blockers in the land in Zeke Marshall. He is a 7'1 center with extremely long arms, and he alters as many shots as anyone in basketball. A total set at this level usually means the teams push the tempo or play poor defense, and I don't think either of those fit in this instance. I had this game projected at 136 points. Look for the defenses to keep this under. Take the under. |
01-09-13 |
Toledo v. Kent State OVER 138.5 | | 70-58 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Kent State Golden Flashes and Toledo Rockets are both aggressive on the offensive end. These are two teams that get to the line very often. Both defenses have committed a lot of fouls this year, and I expect plenty of trips to the charity stripe in this one. I had this game projected at 143 points. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two at Kent State. The over is 6-0 in Kent State's last 6 against a team with a road winning percentage of less than 40%. Take the over. |
01-09-13 |
St Bonaventure v. George Washington UNDER 135.5 | | 59-78 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
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01-09-13 |
Duquesne v. Fordham OVER 148.5 | Top | 75-82 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* Here's a game between two teams who play the same style of basketball. They both use a full court press to push the tempo of the game, and they don't like setting up an offense. It is all about transition looks for these teams. When they get together, it is usually a very high scoring game. In fact, the over is 5-0 in their last 5 meetings with each other. Two years ago they played to a final score of 111-100. I projected this game at 154 points. The over is 7-0 in Duquesne's last 7 against teams with a losing record. The over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings at Fordham. Take the over big! |
01-09-13 |
Hofstra v. Delaware OVER 135 | | 54-69 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
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01-09-13 |
UAB v. Central Florida OVER 144 | | 48-64 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UAB Blazers have completely reinvented themselves under new coach Jared Haase. The Blazers went from slowing the tempo down and using up the shot clock last season to pushing the tempo and running at every opportunity this year. UCF has shown lately that they are fully capable of putting up a big number on offense. I had this game projected at 149 points. Look for both teams to get plenty of shots up, and the pace here should push this one over the posted total. Take the over. |
01-08-13 |
Drake v. Creighton OVER 147.5 | | 61-91 |
Win | 100 | 5 h 17 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Creighton Blue Jays are one of the most efficient offenses in the country. It helps a lot to have Doug McDermott (one of the best scorers in the nation) and Gregory Echinique down low. Creighton hasn't been slowed down by many teams this year, and Drake's defense is very subpar. Drake just allowed 77 points to a Missouri State team that has struggled to get out of 50's most games this year. Creighton should put up a big number here. The over is 9-3 in Creighton's last 12 home games. The over is 4-1 in Drake's last 5 games. Take the over. |
01-06-13 |
Indianapolis Colts v. Baltimore Ravens UNDER 47 | | 9-24 |
Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
*3 Star Colts/Ravens Total Domination* The Baltimore Ravens defense gets a big boost from Ray Lewis being back in the lineup for this one. Baltimore's defense hasn't been nearly as good this season, but I think they'll pick up their game in the postseason. They still have guys like Lewis, Suggs, and Reed to lead the team. The Colts are too one-dimensional, and the Ravens should be able to get after Andrew Luck with their pass rush. The Ravens offense has been disappointing for much of the year. They have a lot of talent, but they haven't put it all together. The under is 5-0 in the Colts last 5 playoff road games. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 playoff home games. The under is 4-0 in the Ravens last 4 after allowing 90 yards of rushing or less in the previous game. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. I like the under here. |
01-05-13 |
Eastern Washington v. Montana State OVER 148 | | 68-70 |
Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Here's a matchup between two teams who try to push the pace at every opportunity. Neither one of these teams will slow things down a bit. There should be open looks in transition for both teams throughout this game. I had this line projected at 154 points. The over is 6-1 in Eastern Washington's last 7 road games. The over is 10-1 in Montana State's last 11 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 5-1 in Eastern Washington's last 6 following an ATS loss. The over is 4-1 in the last 5 matchups between these two. Take the over. |
01-05-13 |
Idaho v. Utah State UNDER 128 | | 75-82 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
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01-05-13 |
Texas State v. New Mexico State OVER 143 | | 67-78 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
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01-05-13 |
Arkansas-Little Rock v. Troy UNDER 133 | | 64-67 |
Win | 100 | 10 h 53 m | Show |
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01-05-13 |
Minnesota Vikings v. Green Bay Packers OVER 45 | | 10-24 |
Loss | -110 | 6 h 9 m | Show |
*3 Star Vikings/Packers Total Domination* Minnesota and Green Bay meet in the first round of the playoffs tonight at Lambeau. There is a public perception out there that points are extremely tough to come by at Lambeau in the playoffs because of the cold weather, but the numbers don't show that to be true. The over is actually 4-0 in the Packers last 4 home playoff games. Minnesota's pass defense has been a problem this year, and Aaron Rodgers is playing tremendous football right now. Nobody has been able to stop Adrian Peterson of late, including the Green Bay Packers. This total is set a little lower than it should be. The over is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams. The over is 17-6 in the Packers last 23 home games. Take the over. |
01-05-13 |
Western Kentucky v. Arkansas State UNDER 132 | | 61-75 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show |
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01-05-13 |
Louisiana Tech v. UT-Arlington OVER 128 | Top | 55-52 |
Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* A total set this low on Louisiana Tech is almost an automatic over play for me. Louisiana Tech pushes the tempo and uses a full court press about as much as anyone in basketball. When there are so many possessions in a game, it is hard to keep it extremely low scoring. The great thing about this matchup is UT Arlington actually prefers to get out and run as well. My numbers had this one set at 139 points. Look for easy run out layups for both teams. The over is 7-1 in LA Tech's last 8 WAC games. The over is 6-1 in their last 7 following a win. Take the over big! |
01-05-13 |
Gonzaga v. Santa Clara OVER 145 | | 81-74 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
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01-05-13 |
Eastern Illinois v. Morehead St. OVER 123.5 | | 50-65 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
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01-05-13 |
Louisiana-Lafayette v. Florida Intl. OVER 148 | | 70-75 |
Loss | -110 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Both of these teams love to press and push the tempo. Neither one of these teams plays very much defense. There will be a lot of athleticism and speed on full display here. The over is 7-1 in Lafayette's last 8 against a team with a losing record. The over is 7-1 in FIU's last 8 against a team with a losing record. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. I like this one to top 150. Take the over. |
01-05-13 |
Austin Peay St v. Tennessee-Martin OVER 146 | | 74-76 |
Win | 100 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Austin Peay is in the top five in the nation in three-point shooting and Tennessee Martin's defense is horrible. Both teams push the pace and there should be a lot shots here. The over is 4-0 in Austin Peay's last 4 road games. The over is 4-0 in Austin Peay's last 4 games against a team with a winning percentage of less than 40%. The over is also 11-3-1 in the last 15 games between these two teams. I this one projected at 150 points. Take the over. |
01-05-13 |
UAB v. Dayton OVER 147 | | 71-78 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
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01-05-13 |
Marist v. Canisius OVER 148 | | 64-73 |
Loss | -110 | 7 h 47 m | Show |
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01-05-13 |
Tennessee St. v. Jacksonville State OVER 119 | | 66-57 |
Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
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01-04-13 |
Fordham v. Mississippi OVER 146 | | 68-95 |
Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* The Mississippi Rebels are a better team than they were last year. The biggest reason they are improved is they are playing to their strengths. The Rebels have an extremely athletic team and now they are getting out in transition and running. Murphy Holloway is one of the most versatile players in the country. Fordham isn't a good team, and the Rebels should be able to turn them over with their full court pressure. Fordham gives up a lot of points to good teams. Don't be surprised if Mississippi puts up a big number here. The over is 4-1-1 in the Rebels last 6 games. Take the over. |
01-04-13 |
Houston Rockets v. Milwaukee Bucks OVER 211 | | 115-101 |
Win | 100 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Houston Rockets push the pace way more than any other team in the NBA. Milwaukee isn't playing quite as quick as they were at the end of last year, but they are still one of the top ten teams in the league in terms of pace. With Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis in the backcourt, the Bucks should get plenty of fastbreak opportunities against a very poor Rockets defense. At the same time, Houston's tempo should allow them to put up a big number on a questionable Bucks defense. The over is 6-0 in the Bucks last 6 following a loss. The over is 4-0 in the Rockets last 4 when their opponent scores 100 or more in the previous game. The over is 4-0 in the Bucks last 4 against teams with a winning record. Take the over. |
01-04-13 |
Texas A&M v. Oklahoma OVER 72 | | 41-13 |
Loss | -110 | 42 h 22 m | Show |
*3 Star Cotton Bowl Total Domination* Johnny Manziel and the Texas A&M Aggies have been one of the hottest teams in the nation down the stretch, but it won't be easy for them in this game. Oklahoma's offense has really heated up as the season moved along. Landry Jones is looking much more comfortable again and the Aggies pass defense hasn't been good this year (remember they gave up 57 points to Louisiana Tech). Whoever wins this game is going to have to score a lot of points. Texas A&M went for 527 total yards of offense last year against Oklahoma, and they are much better offensively this season. The Sooners defense is only mediocre. Look for a shootout. The over is 11-2 in Oklahoma's last 13 on turf. Take the over. |
01-03-13 |
Idaho v. San Jose St UNDER 136 | | 64-55 |
Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show |
*3 Star NCAA BB West Coast Total* The Idaho Vandals have been consistently one of the slowest paced teams in their conference for several years now. They don't play particularly strong defense, but they do really slow the game down by using up the shot clock and taking care of the ball on offense. San Jose State is a middle of the road pace team, and they do play solid defense. I had this game projected at 132 points. The under is 7-0 in San Jose State's last 7 games overall. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 against the WAC. Take the under. |