Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-03-13 | No. Colorado v. Weber State UNDER 136 | 54-79 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Weber State Wildcats lost a once in a lifetime talent in Damian Lillard after last year. Lillard is now starring in the NBA for the Portland Blazers. What has the team decided to do in order to keep winning games? Weber State has slowed the pace down and focused on the defensive end of the floor. The Wildcats have been holding very good teams to somewhere around 60 points consistently. Northern Colorado isn't efficient on offense, and Weber State will make them work hard for their shots. Take the under here. | |||||||
01-03-13 | Portland State v. Montana State OVER 144.5 | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Montana State Bobcats have a way of turning games into a high scoring affairs. They love to push the tempo, and they also don't play hardly any defense. Portland State plays a little slower this year than they have in the past, but I think they'll run with Montana State in this matchup. The over is 12-2 in Montana State's last 14 home games. The over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings between these two teams. The over is 10-1 in their last 11 home games against a team with a losing road record. Take the over. | |||||||
01-03-13 | Middle Tenn. St. v. Arkansas State UNDER 127 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Defensive Battle* The Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are one of the best mid-major teams in the nation this year. They are that good largely because of their very strong defense. Opponents simply don't get good looks at the basket against the Blue Raiders. Arkansas State likes to slow the game down and use up the shot clock. The Red Wolves are good on the defensive end as well, especially at home. Look for the slow tempo and strong defense to keep this one under the posted total. Take the under. | |||||||
01-03-13 | Austin Peay St v. SE Missouri State UNDER 146 | 84-86 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Southeast Missouri State has really turned into a much better defensive team this year. The Redhawks used to be a run and gun team, but now they are a pretty good team thanks to their terrific half court defense. Austin Peay likes to push the tempo, but they are aren't efficient on the offensive end. Southeast Missouri State should slow things down some on their home floor, and I expect poor shooting percentages from both teams. The last six games between these teams have all finished below this total. Take the under. | |||||||
01-03-13 | SIU Edwardsville v. Morehead St. OVER 126 | Top | 64-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Play of the Week* The Morehead State Eagles are a brand new team this year. Sean Woods is now the coach, and the team is no longer slowing the game down. Woods has instilled his style into the team's philosophy. He likes to press and push the tempo all game long. The oddsmakers have been slow to react to this change of pace from Morehead State. SIU Edwardsville isn't a good team, but they really like to run. Both of these teams rank in the top 75 (out of 347 in the country) in terms of pace. I had this number a full 10 points higher than this posted total! The over is 4-1 in Morehead State's last 5. The over is 8-2 in Edwardsville's last 10 against the OVC. Take the over big! | |||||||
01-02-13 | La Salle v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 134 | 59-76 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* The Miami Hurricanes are a pretty solid team this year. It all starts on the defensive end of the floor. Miami has been making their opponents work for shots this year. LaSalle is a much improved team this year as well, and that is thanks to their improvement on the defensive end. We have two teams here who are much improved on the defensive end, and they both play at a slower pace than they played at last season. I had this one projected at 128 points. The under is 6-0 in Miami's last 6 games. Take the under. | |||||||
01-02-13 | Louisville v. Florida UNDER 45.5 | 33-23 | Loss | -105 | 667 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sugar Bowl Super Total* The Louisville Cardinals are in the Sugar Bowl as a representative of the Big East. No one in the Big East was very good, and that includes the Cardinals. Louisville is a little fortunate that they drew the Florida Gators in this game. Florida is a very good team, but they have struggled with lesser opponents this year. They should have lost to Louisiana-Lafayette, and the Gators weak offense gives lesser opponents a chance to hang around. Florida's defense is giving up just 12.9 points per game, and they played plenty of teams with a much better offense than Louisville. Louisville's defense is the strength of their team. This one should be a defensive battle. The under is 6-1 in Florida's last 7 games non-conference games. The under is 9-4 in Florida's last 13 games overall. | |||||||
01-02-13 | Indiana St v. Northern Iowa UNDER 123.5 | 65-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Indiana State Sycamores have been playing surprisingly well over the last few weeks. The team has changed their style of play quite a bit over the course of the season. Their new slower pace with better half court defense has really helped them be successful. Indiana State won't try to speed it up here, and Northern Iowa has been one of the slowest paced teams in the MVC for many years. I projected this one at 120. The under is 6-0 in Indiana State's last 6 Wednesday games. The under is 5-0 in Northern Iowa's last 5 against the MVC. Take the under. | |||||||
01-02-13 | Bradley v. Southern Illinois OVER 124 | 66-60 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Bradley Braves are one of the fastest paced teams in the Missouri Valley Conference. Southern Illinois' defense isn't even close to as good as they were the past few years. The Salukis have given up quite a few points on several occasions this season. This posted total is so low that you would think both of these teams play slow and play great defense. I don't believe that is the case at all. I had this one pegged at 129 points. Look for this one to go over the posted total. | |||||||
01-02-13 | William Mary v. Vanderbilt UNDER 125.5 | 50-64 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Vanderbilt has been an up and down team this year. The Commodores were beaten 50-33 on a neutral floor by Marist. On the other end of the spectrum, Vanderbilt also beat Xavier on the road this season. Vanderbilt doesn't have the offensive firepower they have had in recent years, but they can still play defense. Vanderbilt is slowing games down of late and winning with their half court defense. William & Mary definitely isn't the type of team to push the tempo. I projected this one at 119 points. The under is 7-1 in Vandy's last 8. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. Take the under. | |||||||
01-02-13 | Missouri State v. Evansville UNDER 123.5 | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Missouri State has been a competitive team in the MVC over the past few years. They aren't competitive this year. Missouri State lost all their offensive stars, and this team simply can't put up points this year. Missouri State has scored 54 points or less in 5 of their last 6 games. Evansville's defense is better this year than it has been in past years. The pace here should be slowed down by Missouri State, as that really is their only shot to stay in the game. Take the under. | |||||||
01-02-13 | Massachusetts v. Miami Ohio OVER 147 | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The UMass Minutemen push the tempo in a big way. UMass likes to press and try to force the issue. The Minutemen force a lot of turnovers, and Miami (Ohio) isn't very good at taking care of the basketball. That should equal a lot of easy layups for UMass in this one. Miami is changing the way they play under first-year coach John Cooper. The Redhawks want t run and push the pace, and this is a perfect opportunity for them to do that. Miami has been scoring and giving up a lot of points of late, and I think they will again here. Take the over. | |||||||
01-01-13 | Nebraska v. Georgia OVER 59.5 | 31-45 | Win | 100 | 256 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star Capital One Bowl Totals Cash* The Nebraska Cornhuskers are one of the most overrated teams in the nation in my opinion. They have ten wins, but those wins came against the extremely weak Big 10. Nebraska was crushed by Ohio State, Wisconsin, and UCLA in their three losses. The Cornhuskers have up more than 50 points in all three of those games. Nebraska's defense is no longer a strength, but now it's a major weakness. Georgia's pass defense is solid, but their front seven has struggled against the run. Look for both running attacks to have a lot of success here. Todd Gurley should have a huge game against the Huskers, and Taylor Martinez should lead the Huskers offense to quite a few points too. The over is 3-0-1 in Nebraska's last 4 against a team with a winning record. The over is 8-3 in Georgia's last 11 non-conference games. Take the over. | |||||||
01-01-13 | Michigan v. South Carolina UNDER 48 | 28-33 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 0 m | Show | |
*3 Star Outback Bowl Total Domination* The South Carolina Gamecocks have some serious injury problems. Without Marcus Lattimore, this offense isn't nearly as dangerous. A couple of Lattimore's backups have been dinged up lately as well. Connor Shaw has matured this year, but he'll be up against a tremendous Michigan secondary. The Wolverines rank second in the nation in pass defense. Look for Michigan to stack the box and dare South Carolina to beat them with the pass. Michigan's offense has been less dynamic this year than it was a year ago. Denard Robinson still isn't completely healthy, and that hurts this team's big play ability. South Carolina's defense is one of the best in the nation, and they can rush the passer extremely well. The under is 4-0 in South Carolina's last 4 bowl games. The under is 12-5 in Michigan's last 17 against teams with a winning record. Take the under. | |||||||
12-31-12 | Clemson v. LSU OVER 58.5 | 25-24 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Chick-Fil-A Bowl Total Domination* The Clemson Tigers gave up 70 points in a BCS bowl last year. Clemson's defense may be a little better this year, but this unit still isn't good at all. LSU's offense has gotten quite a bit better late in the year as Mettenberger has become more confident in his ability as a passer. LSU should control the line of scrimmage here as well. Clemson does have a high-powered offense, and even though LSU's defense is good, it's hard to imagine Clemson not putting up a decent amount of points. The over is 6-1 in LSU's last 7 games on turf. Take the over. | |||||||
12-31-12 | NC-Greensboro v. NC State OVER 165 | 68-89 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* A posted total this high is almost never seen, but it makes a lot of sense for these two teams. In fact, my numbers have this game at 170 points. UNC Greensboro isn't a very good team, but they play as fast as anyone in the nation. Greensboro also does a ton of fouling. They put opponents at the line as much as any team in the country. NC State's offense is extremely good. They have the top two-point shooting percentage in the country. NC State should put up a very big number here. The over is 6-0 in NC State's last 6 home games against a team with a losing record. The over is 4-0 in NC State's last 4 home games against teams with a winning percentage under 40%. The over is 7-1 in NC State's last 8 home games. Expect a very high scoring game. Take the over. | |||||||
12-31-12 | St. Joseph's v. Drexel UNDER 129 | 63-49 | Win | 100 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Rivalry Total* The St. Joe's Hawks and Drexel Dragons are very familiar with each other. These two teams from the same city play every single year. One thing that has been a common theme with these teams is that they play a very defensive-minded game against each other. Every single game since 2004 has gone under this posted total except one game that went into overtime (it was under at the end of regulation). Both these teams are playing at a very slow pace this year. The under is 5-0 in Drexel's last 5 Monday games. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under. | |||||||
12-30-12 | Princeton v. Akron UNDER 131 | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The Princeton Tigers slow the game down in a big way, and Akron isn't the type of team that can dictate the tempo. The only way Princeton stays in this game is by slowing it down and using up the shot clock every time down the floor. I had this game projected at 124 points. It's hard to imagine these teams getting to this number without some really high shooting percentages. When a total is off by this many points from my projected total, it qualifies as a 5 star top play. Take the under big here! | |||||||
12-30-12 | Tulane v. Alabama UNDER 124 | 53-50 | Win | 100 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
12-30-12 | Northern Iowa v. Wichita State UNDER 126.5 | 41-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
12-30-12 | Yale v. Saint Marys CA OVER 134 | 62-78 | Win | 100 | 7 h 48 m | Show | |
12-30-12 | Furman v. Southern Methodist OVER 122 | 53-72 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
12-30-12 | Eastern Kentucky v. West Virginia UNDER 136.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 18 m | Show | |
12-30-12 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54 | 44-38 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* The New Orleans Saints have shown that they are going to play all the way to the end this year. The Saints offense is clicking much better as the season moves along. Drew Brees and his receivers are starting to look like they have the last couple years. Carolina's defense has been good of late, but they haven't been able to even slow down the Saints the past couple years, and I don't think they'll slow them down here either. Carolina's offense should be able to move the ball against a Saints defense that is dead last in the NFL in total defense. Cam Newton is playing with a ton of confidence right now. The over is 13-3 in the Saints last 16 against the NFC. The over is 4-0 in the Panthers last 4 against the NFC South. Take the over. | |||||||
12-29-12 | UC Davis v. Cal Irvine OVER 136.5 | Top | 58-69 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* The UC Irvine Anteaters have been a team that really likes to push the tempo for several years now. UC Davis is pushing the pace a lot this year, because the Aggies have a couple great scorers. UC Davis has two guys averaging 16 and 17 points per game respectively. The Aggies have put up more than 80 points several times already this season. Both teams are playing quicker than they did a year ago, but the posted total is set slightly lower than it was last year. I had this one projected at 142 points. The over is 20-7-2 in UC Irvine's last 29 home games. Take the over big in this one! | |||||||
12-29-12 | Northern Colorado v. Southern Utah OVER 137 | 50-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Northern Colorado Bears and Southern Utah Thunderbirds are similar teams. Southern Utah has a new coach this year, and that has meant big changes in the way the team plays. Southern Utah is looking to get out and run much more often this year. Northern Colorado has been a team that likes to get out in transition for several years, and I don't expect that to change. My numbers had this one set at 141 points. I see a lot of made three-point jumpers in this one pushing it over the total. Take the over. | |||||||
12-29-12 | New Mexico State v. UT-Arlington OVER 125 | 47-68 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* This is a game that most won't be keeping an eye on, but I think this total is set too low. Both of these teams are no better than mediocre on the defensive end, and both teams like to push the tempo on the offensive end. A total of 125 points is usually reserved for games between teams that either play very good defense or slow the game down. I don't think that is the case in this game. I had this one projected at 130 points. This one stays under the radar, but I think it goes over the total. | |||||||
12-29-12 | Arkansas State v. South Alabama UNDER 140 | 63-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sun Belt Total* The Arkansas State Red Wolves are one of the few teams in the Sun Belt that really doesn't like to push the tempo. The Red Wolves play solid defense and try to work it around for a good look on the offensive end. South Alabama is better defensively than most teams in the conference. The Jaguars do push the tempo more, but they still aren't a terrific transition team. My numbers had this game at 136 points. Look for the tempo to be slow enough to keep this one under the total. Take the under. | |||||||
12-29-12 | Drake v. Bradley OVER 140 | 57-67 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star MVC Total* Drake and Bradley both love to push the pace. There won't be anyone trying to slow things down in this matchup, which makes me like the over at such a reasonable level. These are two teams that can put up points in a hurry. Neither team is particularly strong on the defensive end. Drake is pushing the pace much more than they were a year ago, and they have been having a lot of very high scoring games. My numbers had this game projected at 143 points. Look for this one to go over the posted total. | |||||||
12-29-12 | Xavier v. Tennessee UNDER 121 | 47-51 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Xavier/Tennessee Total* The Xavier Musketeers played at a quick tempo last year. Last season they had Tu Holloway and Mark Lyons, which gave them one of the best backcourts in the country. Without either of those guys int he backcourt this year, Xavier has changed the way they play bigtime this year. Xavier is slowing the game down and utilizing their strong defense to win low scoring games. Tennessee scored in the 30's two different times early this year, and they won't push the tempo here. The under is 20-7 in Tennessee's last 27 Saturday games. Take the under. | |||||||
12-29-12 | Florida Atlantic v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 127 | 64-65 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Louisiana Monroe Warhawks have one of the worst offenses in the country. They don't move very quickly, and they are extremely inefficient. It doesn't help at all that they only shoot 56% from the free throw line. Florida Atlantic is missing some key players right now, and that should hurt their offense more than the defense. I had this game projected at 120 points. Look for both teams to shoot a low percentage from the floor since that is common for both of them. I like the under here. | |||||||
12-29-12 | West Virginia v. Syracuse OVER 73 | 14-38 | Loss | -110 | 159 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* The West Virginia Mountaineers certainly have one of the best offenses in the nation. Geno Smith is perfect for Holsgorsen's offense, and Stedman Bailey and Tavon Austin are terrific wideouts. Syracuse hasn't been very good against the pass this year, so what should make us think they'll do well against such a terrific passing attack? On the other side, West Virginia may have the worst secondary in college football. They allow 323 passing yards per game. Syracuse's Ryan Nassib is an underrated quarterback, and I think he'll pick the Mountaineers apart. The over is 6-2 in West Virginia's last 8 bowl games. The over is 8-1 in Syracuse's last 9 non-conference games. The over is 5-0-1 in Syracuse's last 6 games overall. Take the over. | |||||||
12-29-12 | San Jose St v. Texas State OVER 147.5 | 72-55 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Total* Texas State plays at an extremely quick tempo. In fact, no one in the nation plays faster than Texas State. Even in games where their opponent slows down the tempo, the final total generally gets into the 140's. San Jose State isn't the type of team that will slow the game down. The Spartans will put up plenty of points against a Texas State defense that simply isn't very good. Both of these teams will get up a lot of shots, so unless they shoot a very low % from the floor, then this one should go over. Take the over. | |||||||
12-29-12 | Air Force v. Rice OVER 61 | 14-33 | Loss | -105 | 562 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Domination* The Rice Owls have improved quite a bit this year, but they still have a very weak defense. Air Force is a very difficult team to prepare for because of their option attack running game. The Falcons run the football well even when the other team knows the run is coming. Rice has struggled badly against the run this year. In their loss to UCLA, the Bruins riddled them on the ground. Air Force may be very good at running the ball, but they aren't good at all at stopping the run. The Falcons allow almost 200 yards per game on the ground. The over is an impressive 67-33 in the Rice Owls last 100 games. The oddsmakers just can't catch up to Rice. Expect both teams to have a big game offensively. Take the over. | |||||||
12-28-12 | Missouri v. UCLA OVER 150 | 94-97 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Missouri/UCLA Total Domination* The UCLA Bruins are a brand new basketball team this year. With guys like Shabazz Muhammad and Jordan Adams on the roster, the Bruins are pushing the tempo more than they have in years. UCLA has a lot of guys who are capable of scoring 15 or 20 points per game. Missouri isn't the type of team to slow down the pace. Flip Pressey is one of the best point guards in the nation, and he can really start a fast break. Both of these teams have put up some big numbers already this year, and when they meet I expect offensive fireworks. The over is 6-0 in Missouri's last 6 Friday games. The over is 7-1 in Missouri's last 8 against the PAC 12. The over is 17-4 in their last 21 following an ATS win. Take the over. | |||||||
12-28-12 | Southern Mississippi v. Morehead St. OVER 124.5 | 94-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Southern Miss and Morehead State meet in a very interesting matchup tonight. Coach Tyndall at Southern Miss was the Morehead State coach last year, so he'll face his old team in this one. Morehead State is running and gunning under new coach Sean Woods. Both of these teams force a lot of turnovers and both teams do a ton of fouling. In fact, Morehead State commits more fouls than any other team in the country. Southern Miss shoots 73% at the line, so I expect a lot of free points at the charity stripe. The over is 10-3-1 in Southern Miss' last 14 games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-28-12 | Providence v. Brown UNDER 130.5 | 68-69 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Brown Bears have a new coach this season. In the past couple years, Brown pushed the tempo, but this season they are slowing down the pace. The Bears aren't very good offensively, and the only way they can stay in the game is by keeping it low-scoring. Providence isn't the fast-paced team they were a couple years ago. The Friars are slowing down the pace quite a bit this season. Providence has a couple key injuries and their offensive output has been diminished as of late. I had this one projected at 125. The under is 7-1 in Brown's last 8 against teams with a winning percentage above 60%. The under is 4-0 in Providence's last 4 following a loss. Take the under. | |||||||
12-27-12 | UL - Lafayette v. Arkansas State UNDER 143 | 70-87 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Arkansas State Red Wolves have a system they stick to pretty well under Coach John Brady. Brady never wants his team to push the tempo much at all. They like to set up their defense and get into a half court style of game. The Red Wolves are particularly adept at doing this on their home floor, where this game will be played. Lafayette does push the pace, but their offense isn't very efficient. Lafayette has struggled to score on the road. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 road games against teams with a winning record. The under is 6-1 in Arkansas State's last 7 against teams with a losing record. Take the under. | |||||||
12-27-12 | Florida Atlantic v. Troy UNDER 130.5 | 61-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Florida Atlantic Owls will be playing this game short-handed. Florida Atlantic has two guys suspended for this one. One of them is the second leading scorer on the team at 15 points per game. Combined, the two guys account for 19 points per game for the team. Even before these two were out, the Owls offense was struggling. This is a team that averages only 65 points per game. Troy is slowing the pace down a lot this year under a new coach, and the Trojans average just 62.5 points per game. I had this one projected at 126. Take the under. | |||||||
12-27-12 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. IUPU-Indianapolis OVER 139.5 | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* These teams are very familiar with each other, and both of them like to push the pace. Last year these teams met twice and the posted totals for those games were 145.5 and 158.5. This total is several points lower despite the fact that these two teams are actually playing slightly faster this year. My projections had this one pegged at 144 points. Look for both teams to get up a lot of shots in this game. The over is 6-1 in Fort Wayne's last 7 games. The over is 11-5 in IUPUI's last 16 home games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-27-12 | Cincinnati v. Duke OVER 58.5 | Top | 48-34 | Win | 100 | 257 h 28 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Bowl Play of the Season* The Duke Blue Devils aren't used to being in a bowl game, but this year's squad earned it. Sean Renfree is terrific for the Duke offense. He is a senior quarterback who makes good decisions with the football, and he is great in the short passing game. Duke's offense is good this season, but their defense is still very weak. Cincinnati inserted a new starting quarterback a few weeks ago, and he has helped the Bearcats offense become more consistent. Cincinnati is a run first team, and Duke's defense cannot stop the run. The over is 6-1-1 in Duke's last 8 games overall. The over is 7-0-1 in Duke's last 8 against a team with a winning record. Take the over big. | |||||||
12-25-12 | Boston Celtics v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 189 | 93-76 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Christmas Day CASH* The Boston Celtics and Brooklyn Nets meet in the first of five NBA games on Christmas Day. Brooklyn plays at the slowest tempo of any team in the NBA. While Boston has sped up their tempo a bit, they are still slower than most teams in the NBA. Both of these teams have had several overtime games recently that have gone over the posted total solely because of overtime. In general, these are two teams that play good defense and take their time on the offensive end. The under is 4-0 in the Nets last 4. The under is 7-1-1 in the Nets last 9 following a win. The under is 5-1 in the Nets last 6 against the Atlantic Division. The under is 7-2 in the last 9 meetings between these two teams. Take the under. | |||||||
12-23-12 | Arizona v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 136 | 69-50 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Arizona Wildcats and the Miami Hurricanes will do battle late tonight in the Diamond Head Classic in Hawaii. A neutral floor like this generally leads to slightly lower scoring, and both of these teams play very good defense. Miami shut down a prolific Hawaii offense last night. The Hurricanes are slowing the pace down a lot, and they are winning by controlling the ball and playing great defense. Arizona has played in several low scoring games this year (including their win over Florida). Look for open shots to be tough to find in this one. The under is 7-0 in Arizona's last 7 neutral site games. The under is 6-0 in Arizona's lats 6 non-conference games. The under is 6-0 in Arizona's last 6 against teams with a winning percentage above 60%. The under is 4-0 in Miami's last 4 games. Take the under. | |||||||
12-23-12 | Philadelphia 76ers v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 186.5 | 92-95 | Loss | -104 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Brooklyn Nets and the Philadelphia 76ers both play at a very slow pace. In fact, the Nets at the slowest pace of any NBA team and the 76ers play at the third slowest pace in the league. Brook Lopez is a defensive force for the Nets. With him in the lineup, it's tough for opposing teams to get much penetration against the Nets interior defense. Neither one of these teams is shooting the ball particularly well this year. The under is 20-7-1 in the Nets last 28 Sunday games. The under is 4-1 in the Nets last 5 overall. Take the under. | |||||||
12-23-12 | Washington Redskins v. Philadelphia Eagles OVER 45 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 41 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* It looks like RG3 is a go for Sunday afternoon. Kirk Cousins has done great, but obviously RG3 is the man for this team when he is ready to go. There isn't a better play maker in the league at the quarterback position, and he is only a rookie. Philadelphia's defense has injury issues, and they don't rush the passer well. Washington put up 31 points a few weeks ago against the Eagles. Washington's defense isn't very good, and Nick Foles is starting to get in a rhythm with the Eagles offense. I think the Eagles can put up some points here as well. The over is 5-0 in the Eagles last 5 home games. The over is 6-1 in the Redskins last 7 following a victory of 14 points or more. Take the over. | |||||||
12-22-12 | Canisius v. UNLV OVER 143.5 | Top | 74-89 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB TOP Total* The Canisius Golden Griffins are one of the most improved teams in the nation. Jim Baron is doing a great job in his first year with the team, and it helps to have his son on the team now as well. Jimmy Baron is the team's best scorer, and he can really shoot it from beyond the arc. UNLV plays at a very quick pace, and they only know how to play one way. Canisius has picked up the pace this year as well. I'm not sure Canisius can keep up with UNLV, but they'll give it a good try and keep pushing the tempo themselves. The over is 12-1 in Canisius' last 13 road games against teams with a winning record. Take the over big! | |||||||
12-22-12 | Texas Christian v. Rice UNDER 116.5 | 65-63 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden Gem Total* The TCU Horned Frogs and Rice Owls are very similar teams this year. Both of them play at a slow pace and shoot a terrible percentage from the floor. In addition, both of these teams are very good in half court defensive situations. Both of these teams have had multiple games that have struggled to get above 100 points, so such a low total is no surprise when these two meet. I had this one projected at 113 points. Look for poor shooting numbers from both teams. Take the under in this contest. | |||||||
12-22-12 | Bradley v. Virginia Tech OVER 143 | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Bradley Braves and Virginia Tech Hokies both love to push the tempo. These teams should push each other here, and I think an all out track meet is pretty likely. Virginia Tech has been scoring over 80 points nearly every game, while Bradley has put up big numbers on several occasions. This was a game that I had circled before the lines came out as an 'over' play and the number was right. I have this projected at 146 points. Look for a fast pace and lots of points. Take the over. | |||||||
12-22-12 | Missouri v. Illinois UNDER 145 | 82-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star Missouri/Illinois Total* The Missouri Tigers and Illinois Fighting Illini are bitter rivals. These two teams are both having terrific seasons thus far. Illinois is unbeaten while Missouri has only lost once. This game will be played on a neutral floor, which tends to lower the scoring a bit. Missouri is playing at quite a bit slower pace than they did last year. The Tigers are much better defensively than most people realize. This won't be the up and down game it was a couple years ago. Look for this to stay under the total. | |||||||
12-22-12 | Virginia Cavaliers v. Old Dominion UNDER 119.5 | 61-63 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Virginia Cavaliers control the tempo as well as anyone in college basketball. Tony Bennett's team takes good care of the basketball, and they absolutely use up the shot clock every opportunity they get. Old Dominion isn't a very good team this year, but I think they'll bring their "A Effort" against a team from nearby. The Monarchs defense has been better the last couple games. The under is 15-2 in Virginia's last 17 non-conference games. This game is being played on a neutral floor, which helps the under as well. Take the under. | |||||||
12-22-12 | Idaho State v. Eastern Washington UNDER 132 | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* The Idaho State Bengals are one of the worst teams in college basketball. They may actually have the absolute worst offense in the country. How bad is Idaho State's offense? In 8 games against Division I schools this year, Idaho State hasn't scored more than 53 points in a single game. They have been held to 49 points or less in 6 of those 8 games. Idaho State stalls and uses up the entire shot clock. Eastern Washington isn't efficient on offense, and I don't think they'll shoot a high enough percentage for this to go over. I this one projected at 126. Take the under big! | |||||||
12-22-12 | Elon v. Columbia UNDER 126 | 70-69 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under Radar Total* Columbia is one of those teams that dictates the style of play very well. Columbia doesn't want to run, and I don't think they'll let Elon get out in transition, especially on their home floor. Columbia has already played some very low scoring games this year, and I think this will be another. My numbers had this game projected at 121 points. Look for the tempo to be slow and both teams to play pretty good defense here. The under is the value play in this one. Take the under. | |||||||
12-22-12 | Mississippi v. Indiana St UNDER 139 | 85-87 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Mississippi Rebels have looked great this year, but it has been against horrible competition. Ole Miss is a little better than they were last year, but I'm not buying the fact that they are much better all at once. Indiana State plays good defense, especially on their home court. The Sycamores aren't likely to let Mississippi turn this into a track meet. I think this game will be much tighter than the line suggests, and I think the defenses will both play well. I had this one at 135. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-22-12 | St Bonaventure v. North Carolina State OVER 144 | 73-92 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Total* The NC State Wolfpack have an abundance of talent. Over the past few games, they are starting to look like they have much better chemistry on the offensive end. This is a team that is absolutely capable of putting up 80 points or more almost every game. They'll push the pace here and put up quite a few points against a mediocre St. Bonnie team. St. Bonaventure has some solid guards who should put up several points as well. I projected this one at 148. Take the over in this one. | |||||||
12-22-12 | George Mason v. Richmond UNDER 133 | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 3 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Instate Battle Total* The George Mason Patriots and Richmond Spiders will play a spirited game today in Richmond (on what is technically a neutral floor). These two teams haven't played in more than ten years, but I fully expect both teams to battle hard in this one. Richmond likes to slow the pace down, and both of these teams are good on the defensive end. I think open shots will be tough to come by for both teams here. I think this one stays in the upper 120's. Take the under in this matchup. | |||||||
12-21-12 | Montana v. CS Sacramento UNDER 137 | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Montana Grizzlies are the class of the Big Sky Conference. What's the main reason that Montana has been at the top of this conference for the past couple years? Montana actually plays some pretty solid defense and takes care of the ball. The Grizzlies have lower scoring games than just about anyone else in the conference because of their style of play. They tend to be the team that dictates the tempo of the game. Sacramento State is playing slightly slower this year, and I think this line is several points too high. Take the under. | |||||||
12-21-12 | Middle Tenn. St. v. Vanderbilt UNDER 128 | 56-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Vanderbilt Commodores and Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders are in-state rivals. In fact, these two schools are quick bus ride down the interstate apart. Both of these teams are slowing the tempo down this year, and both of them play above average defense. These rivalry games tend to be won with defense (as we saw with the Xavier/Cincinnati game earlier this week). Look for both teams to clamp down and force a lot of tough shots here. I just don't see enough uptempo action for this one to get over 125. The under is 7-1 in Vandy's last 8 neutral site games. The under is 11-2 in MTSU's last 13 against the SEC. The under is 4-0 in Vandy's last 4 Friday games. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-21-12 | No. Colorado v. North Dakota OVER 138 | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Here we have two teams who play very little defense. In last year's meeting, the final score was 87-69. Both teams will get up plenty of shots, and because so many of them will likely be uncontested, the score should be higher than oddsmakers are expecting. Both of these teams like to speed up the tempo of the game, so I don't see any reason why this one would be played at a slow pace. I had this one projected at 142 points. The over is 5-2 in Northern Colorado's last 7 games overall. Take the over here. | |||||||
12-21-12 | Southern Illinois v. Nicholls State UNDER 136 | 65-53 | Win | 100 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* The Southern Illinois Salukis are known for their quality defense. Southern Illinois plays in the Missouri Valley Conference, where it takes solid defense to win games. Nicholls State is a very poor team who struggles to get points up on the board normally. Nicholls State managed to put up 72 points on Utah State yesterday, but I don't think that happens again here. I had this game projected at 131 points. Look for Southern Illinois to jump out to a lead and clamp down on the defensive end. Take the under. | |||||||
12-21-12 | Fordham v. Connecticut OVER 127.5 | 73-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Fordham Rams got a big piece of their offense back this week. Chris Gaston is the team's most talented player, and he should be their leading scorer by the end of the season. He is back now, and he should be able to put up quite a few points here. UConn will have a major advantage in the backcourt, and I look for Napier and Boatright to both have big games. The posted total is set so low that the pace here doesn't even have to be very quick for this one to get over. The over is 10-4 in UConn's last 14 games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-20-12 | Idaho State v. Portland State UNDER 123.5 | 49-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Idaho State Bengals are definitely one of the worst teams in college basketball this year. Idaho State hasn't beaten a Division I team yet this year. All of Idaho State's games against DI teams have finished below this posted total. Their single highest game was 122 against Oregon (Oregon won 87-35). Idaho State hasn't scored more than 53 points in a game all year. Portland State isn't very good offensively either. The under is 4-0 in Portland State's last 4 games overall. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-20-12 | Nicholls State v. Utah State UNDER 134 | 72-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Utah State Aggies are always one of the best teams in the nation at controlling the tempo. Utah State plays at the pace they want to play, and they have for years. The Aggies are a team that clamps down on defense and walks it up the floor. Nicholls State isn't a good team at all, and I just don't think they can dictate the tempo in this one. Nicholls State has scored 54 points or less in 3 of their games already this year. Don't be surprised if they are held under that mark again. I had this one projected at 130. Take the under. | |||||||
12-20-12 | BYU v. San Diego State UNDER 49 | 23-6 | Win | 100 | 354 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star BYU/San Diego State Total Domination* The BYU Cougars and San Diego State Aztecs are both pretty good football teams, and for both of them it starts with good defense. BYU ranks third in the entire nation in total defense. They are second in the country in rushing defense. San Diego State really can't move the ball much at all through the air. If they are unable to run against BYU, they probably won't put up many points here. BYU's offense is far from dynamic, and San Diego State has a couple future NFL stars on their defense. The under is 11-2 in BYU's last 13 against a team with a winning record. Take the under. | |||||||
12-19-12 | Oakland v. West Virginia UNDER 145 | 71-76 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Oakland lost a lot of scoring from last year's team, and the Golden Grizzlies can't quite push the tempo like they did the past few years. Oakland will run into a West Virginia team that plays very physically. The Mountaineers aren't likely to let Oakland get their wish of turning this into a finesse game that is all about speed and quick shots. Bob Huggins' team will be physical and slow the tempo down to help their chances of winning. West Virginia had very poor defense last time out against Michigan, but I think we'll see a committed effort on the defensive end here. The under is 7-2 in the Mountaineers last 9. Take the under. | |||||||
12-19-12 | Tulsa v. Creighton OVER 131.5 | 54-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* The Creighton Blue Jays are one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country. Creighton is averaging 79.6 points per game, and it is hard to imagine them not getting to 75 points in this one. Tulsa has picked up their tempo under new coach Danny Manning this year. Tulsa should get enough shots up to push this total over. I had this one projected at 138 points. Look for Doug McDermott to pile up the points both inside and outside in this one. The over is 4-0 in Tulsa's last 4 against the MVC. The over is 8-2-1 in Creighton's last 11 non-conference games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-19-12 | NC-Greensboro v. North Carolina-Wilmington OVER 145.5 | 73-87 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The NC Greensboro Spartans are one of my favorite over teams. Greensboro pushes the tempo in a big way, and they foul more than any other team in the country so far this year. NC Wilmington will likely be forced into the quicker paced game here, and Wilmington should benefit from getting a bunch of free throw attempts. Neither team is any good on the defensive end, so I expect a lot of easy layups on both ends of the floor. I had this one projected at 149 points. Look for this to go over the posted total. | |||||||
12-19-12 | Xavier v. Cincinnati UNDER 137.5 | 45-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star Xavier/Cincinnati Total* The battle for Cincinnati is on tonight. This one is played on a neutral floor. Most people remember the brawl that occurred last year when these two met. These teams absolutely hate each other. A game like this usually is won with defense. The last two meetings between these teams have gone well under this total, and three years ago it would have too if it hadn't gone into multiple overtimes. Cincinnati is playing quicker this year, but they still have a great defense. Xavier has slowed the tempo down a lot since they don't have much strength at the guard spot. The under is 6-2 in Cincy's last 8 games. Take the under. | |||||||
12-19-12 | Appalachian State v. South Carolina OVER 146 | 69-74 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Appalachian State Mountaineers might have the worst defense in the nation so far this year. Appalachian State is giving up 77.3 points per game, despite not really playing a very tough schedule thus far. South Carolina has scored 82 points or more on four occasions this year, so they are certainly capable of putting up a big number, especially against a terrible defense like this one. Appalachian State can't play defense, but they can shoot three's and score in bunches. The over is 4-0 in App State's last 4 against the SEC. The over is 4-0 in SC's last 4 following an ATS win. Take the over. | |||||||
12-18-12 | LSU v. Cal Irvine OVER 138 | 66-60 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* The LSU Tigers are adapting to a new offense under coach Johnny Jones this year. Under Jones this team is getting out and running in transition. Jones had a lot of success at North Texas getting his team out in transition, and LSU is putting up a lot of points so far this year as well. UC Irvine plays in the Big West where nearly everyone tries to push the tempo. Irvine isn't likely to slow the game down, and this could end up being a very fast-paced game. The over is 20-7-2 in Irvine's last 29 home games. The over is 6-2 in Irvine's last 8 non-conference games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-18-12 | Utah Jazz v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 195.5 | Top | 92-90 | Win | 100 | 28 h 6 m | Show |
*5 Star NBA Top Play Total* The Brooklyn Nets are one of the slowest paced teams in the NBA. They also play very good half court defense. Brook Lopez makes this team a very tough defense. When he was out of the lineup for several games, the Nets saw same high final totals. Now that Lopez is back, they have been back to slower paced games and cashing in on the under. The Utah Jazz's biggest strength is their frontcourt, but that will be neutralized by the Nets strong interior defense. Neither team pushes the tempo, and unless they shoot a very high percentage I don't see this one getting over 190. The under is 5-0 in the Jazz's last 5 games on 2 days of rest. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 Tuesday games. The under is 5-0-1 in the Nets last 6 following an ATS win. Take the under. | |||||||
12-18-12 | Furman v. Wake Forest OVER 133.5 | 55-79 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Furman Paladins have changed their style of play a bit in the past year. Previously, this was a team that slowed it down and walked it up the floor. Now, they look for opportunities to run when they can. Wake Forest always pushes the tempo under coach Jeff Bzdelik. The Demon Deacons should jump out to a lead, which will force Furman to keep their tempo up to try to catch up in this one. I pegged this total at 138. The over is 6-0 in Wake Forest's last 6 games. The over is 5-1 in Furman's last 6 following an ATS loss. Take the over. | |||||||
12-18-12 | Southern Mississippi v. Georgia State UNDER 124.5 | 69-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Southern Miss and Georgia State both have new coaches running their program. Both coaches are defensive-minded guys who have their teams playing very good halfcourt defense. Southern Miss has slowed their tempo down quite a bit from last year, while Georgia State has stayed at a slow pace. The oddsmakers seem to be a little too high here. I had this one projected at 120 points. Look for both teams to shoot the ball poorly because of contested shots all the way through. The under is 4-0 in Georgia State's last 4. Take the under. | |||||||
12-18-12 | Michigan State v. Bowling Green UNDER 124 | 64-53 | Win | 100 | 6 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Michigan State Spartans don't have the most talent they have had in recent years, but they are playing very well on the defensive end of the floor. Tom Izzo's team is only giving up 56.4 points per game. They have allowed 44 points or less three times in their last nine games. Bowling Green plays at a very slow pace, and the Falcons have a solid defense (especially at home). Look for Bowling Green to slow this game down in a big way. The under is 6-0 in Bowling Green's last 6 against teams with a losing road record. The under is 9-1 in the Falcons last 10 home games. The under is 8-1 in BG's lats 9 following an ATS win. Take the under. | |||||||
12-17-12 | Eastern Washington v. UC Davis OVER 151 | 65-87 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Eastern Washington Eagles and the UC Davis Aggies both play basketball the same way. Both of them push the tempo and get up a ton of shots. This game should be played at a very quick pace. Eastern Washington has given up 80 points or more in 6 of their 9 games this year. UC Davis and Eastern Washington both shoot the three-ball very well, and I expect that to help the points pile up quickly here. The over is 6-0 in UC Davis' last 6 home games. It is also 6-0 in Davis' last 6 Monday games. The over is 8-2 in Eastern Washington's last 10 games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-17-12 | North Dakota v. Southern Utah OVER 130.5 | 67-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The North Dakota Fighting Sioux and the Southern Utah Thunderbirds are both pretty bad teams. Still, they are both teams that should be able to put up points against each other. These are two very bad defenses. This game should see plenty of easy layups and wide open three-point shots for both teams. The pace here should be quicker than this total would indicate. Southern Utah has a new coach this year who has the team pushing the tempo much more than they have in the past. Take the over. | |||||||
12-17-12 | San Antonio Spurs v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 207 | 93-107 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star Spurs/Thunder Total Domination* Manu Ginobili is expected to miss this game, and that will hurt the Spurs offense. Ginobili has been one of the best at breaking down the Oklahoma City defense in the past few years, and without him the Spurs will likely be less efficient. The posted total was 204 the first time these two met this year, so I see value getting three points higher on the 'under' here. In fact, in the last ten meetings between these teams there has never been a posted total higher than 206. Take the value with the under. | |||||||
12-17-12 | Houston Rockets v. New York Knicks OVER 209 | 109-96 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Houston Rockets and New York Knicks meet in an interesting game at Madison Square Garden today. Houston trampled the Knicks 131-103 last month in Houston. The Knicks will obviously be looking for revenge, and they have been red hot of late. Houston is pushing the tempo far more than anyone else in the NBA. New York has the NBA's most efficient offense right now, and it won't surprise me if they put up 115 points or more here. Houston will get plenty of shots up too. The over is 6-0 in the Knicks last 6 home games. The over is 5-0 in the Knicks last 5 against the Western Conference. The over is 4-0 in the Knicks last 4 games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-16-12 | Central Michigan v. Pepperdine UNDER 124 | 80-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Pepperdine Waves control the tempo very well. Pepperdine plays at a snail's pace, and they force the opponent to do the same. Central Michigan is an extremely weak team this season. Keno Davis will likely do a good job with them in the future, but they just don't have many scoring options now. Central Michigan has been held to less than 60 points three times this year. Pepperdine has allowed less than 60 points in three different games. Two of those games also went into overtime. The under is 7-1 in Central Michigan's last 8 Sunday games. The under is 37-18 in Central Michigan's last 55 road games. Take the under. | |||||||
12-16-12 | Carolina Panthers v. San Diego Chargers OVER 44.5 | 31-7 | Loss | -105 | 46 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Carolina Panthers have really been on a roll of late. Cam Newton was in a sophomore slump for the first half of the season, but he has been great in the team's last few games. San Diego's offense looked great in Pittsburgh last week, and the Chargers seem to always make that late run at the end of the season. The Carolina defense isn't very good, and they haven't shut down many teams this year. The over is 5-0 in Carolina's last 5 games overall. The over is 5-1 in the Panthers last 6 December games. The over is 5-1 in the Chargers last 6 games against teams with a losing road record. Take the over. | |||||||
12-16-12 | Detroit Lions v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 44 | 10-38 | Loss | -110 | 46 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* The Arizona Cardinals have the worst offense in the NFL right now, and it isn't even close. Arizona has scored a total of 6 points in their last two games. It's hard to believe, but the Cardinals were actually 4-0 at the start of the season. They have now lost 9 straight games. They haven't scored more than 19 points in any of those games. The Cardinals defense is still better than most realize, but they haven't gotten any help from the offense. The strength of this defense is their secondary. Detroit relies heavily on the pass, and I think Arizona can slow them down a bit. Detroit's defense should be able to keep the Cardinals offense out of the end zone most of the game. Take the under. | |||||||
12-16-12 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54 | 0-41 | Loss | -105 | 43 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Value Play* The Tampa Bay Bucs and New Orleans Saints are both probably out of the playoff picture at this point. Tampa Bay's offense has improved quite a bit as the season has gone along, but their pass defense is terrible. Tampa Bay ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. New Orleans can air it out with the best of them. The Saints put up 35 points at Tampa Bay earlier this year. The Saints defense is one of the worst in all of football. Tampa Bay has scored 30 points or more in 4 of their last 9 games. Don't be surprised if they do it again here. Take the over. | |||||||
12-15-12 | Florida v. Arizona UNDER 135.5 | 64-65 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Florida/Arizona Total Domination* The Florida Gators have been one of the most impressive teams in the country this year. The thing I've been most impressed with is their defense. These guys are contesting every shot very well right now. The Gators aren't pushing the tempo much at all of late. Arizona is a solid team as well, and they are much better this year on the defensive end than they were last season. The under is 7-0 in Arizona's last 7 games. The under is 6-0 in the Wildcats last 6 home games. The under is 4-0 in Arizona's last 4 following an ATS win. Take the under. | |||||||
12-15-12 | South Dakota St v. Montana UNDER 141 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* South Dakota State has one of the best guards in the nation in Nate Wolters. A couple years ago the Jackrabbits were pushing the tempo in a big way, but now that Wolters doesn't have much help they have slowed things down a lot. Montana has been a team that slows it down the past few years, and they play better defense on their home floor. My numbers had this one at 137 points. Look for the slower than expected pace to keep the shots to a minimum here. This one should be close to the end. Take the under. | |||||||
12-15-12 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 197 | 111-85 | Win | 100 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Milwaukee Bucks seemed to have change their tempo of late. Milwaukee was running and gunning late last year and earlier this year, but they have changed back to a team that uses up the clock over the past few weeks. The under has been on a big roll with this team of late. The under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. I think the oddsmakers are being a little slow to react to this change in tempo from the Bucks. Both of these teams are above average defensively. I think this stays well under. Take the under. | |||||||
12-15-12 | Brooklyn Nets v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 184 | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Brooklyn Nets and the Chicago Bulls are two of the slowest paced teams in the NBA. Both of these teams walk the ball up the floor and use up the shot clock almost every time. They are also two of the best defensive teams in the league. Brooklyn is a much better defensive squad with Brook Lopez in the lineup, and with him back I think we'll see some nice values on the under for a little bit. Look for a defensive battle between two teams who like to slug it out in a low scoring type of game. The under is 6-0 in the Bulls last 6 Saturday games. The under is also 6-0 in the Bulls last 6 games following 2 days of rest. Take the under. | |||||||
12-15-12 | West Virginia v. Michigan UNDER 128 | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Throwdown* The West Virginia Mountaineers and Michigan Wolverines meet in an interesting battle here Saturday. John Beilein will be matched against his old team. Michigan is a very good team this year, and Bob Huggins' Mountaineers aren't particularly strong. Both of these teams like to keep the tempo very slow, so I expect a lot of the shot clock getting used up in this one. My projections had this game at 124 points. Look for both defenses to step up and hold this one down quite a bit. Take the under. | |||||||
12-15-12 | Mississippi State v. Loyola-Chicago UNDER 123 | 51-59 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Loyola Chicago has proven to be a much improved team this year. Loyola likes to slow the game down and play at their pace, which they should be able to do even better on their home floor. Mississippi State will probably be right at the bottom of the SEC this year, because they simply aren't very good. The Bulldogs don't have many scoring threats at all, and their shooting numbers have been awful. I think Loyola controls the pace in this game, and I think this likely stays under 120. Take the under. | |||||||
12-15-12 | Texas State v. Texas OVER 136.5 | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Texas Total* The Texas Longhorns offense has been horrific this year. Texas State is the perfect opponent for the Longhorns to face right now. Texas is a very athletic team that can score when pushing it in transition. I actually think the Longhorns would benefit from pushing the tempo more often than they currently do. They'll get plenty of chances in this one against a Texas State team that runs and guns and doesn't play much defense at all. This is a great game for the Texas offense to come alive. Take the over. | |||||||
12-15-12 | UC Riverside v. USC OVER 109 | 26-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Let me start by saying I'm no fan of taking an over between these two teams, but it is all about value. My projected line for this game was 115 points. USC is definitely a better team than they were last year, and most of their improvements are on the offensive end. UC Riverside isn't a good team, but if they get behind they won't be able to keep stalling like they normally would. With a number this low, a 65-45 game would be over the posted total. I can't overlook the value on this one. Take the over. | |||||||
12-15-12 | Iowa State v. Drake UNDER 150 | 86-77 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Instate Battle Total* It's a battle between two teams from the state of Iowa. These teams don't like each other very much, and I think that will make both teams play hard and pick it up a little on the defensive end. Both of these teams do like to run, but this number is set very high for that reason. I had this one set at 146 points. Look for both teams to shoot lower percentages than their season average today. I think this will end up being a sloppy game that stays close all the way. Take the under. | |||||||
12-15-12 | Nebraska v. Oregon UNDER 139.5 | Top | 38-60 | Win | 100 | 23 h 33 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The Nebraska Cornhuskers don't know how to play other than to slow the game down and try to win by controlling the tempo. That probably isn't going to work against the Oregon Ducks, but that won't stop them from trying it. Oregon's defense is much improved this year. The Ducks are allowing only 62.6 points per game this year. Nebraska only averages 62 points per game. I think Oregon gets control of this game and then slows down later in the game when the game has already been decided. My numbers had this one at 131 points. Take the under big! | |||||||
12-15-12 | Alabama v. Virginia Commonwealth UNDER 130 | 54-73 | Win | 100 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Anthony Grant will take his new team (Alabama) to face his old team (VCU) on Saturday. Both of these teams play extremely scrappy, and they fight as hard as they can on the defensive end. It's hard to imagine either team shooting the ball very well in this matchup. In addition, neither team really likes to push the tempo all that much. VCU does press, but they also use up the shot clock a lot in the halfcourt sets. I projected this one at 123 points. Look for this one to stay under the total. | |||||||
12-15-12 | Dartmouth v. Arizona St UNDER 129 | 42-61 | Win | 100 | 4 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* The Arizona State Sun Devils have played a slightly faster paced game than normal this year, but I think that is primarily because of the teams they have played against. Coach Sendek is normally a guy who likes to slow it down and play solid defense. Dartmouth is a very bad team who slows the game down and also shoots it very poorly from the floor. I projected this line at 123 points. I think Arizona State reverts to their old form in this one. The under is 10-2 in Dartmouth's last 12 Saturday games. The under is 4-0 in AZ State's last 4 Saturday games. Take the under. | |||||||
12-14-12 | Golden State Warriors v. Orlando Magic OVER 194 | 85-99 | Loss | -103 | 17 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Golden State Warriors are coming off a big win over the Miami Heat in their last game. Golden State may be a little more sloppy in this one, and if they are I think that will show up on the defensive end. Both of these teams are in the top ten in the NBA in pace, so there should be plenty of shot opportunities for both teams in this one. These teams reached 196 in their game a couple weeks ago despite neither team shooting it particularly great or getting to the line very much. The over is 10-3-1 in Golden State's last 14 against the East. Take the over. | |||||||
12-12-12 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Phoenix Suns UNDER 195 | 80-82 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Totals TKO* The Memphis Grizzlies play at one of the slowest paces in the NBA, and they lead the league in defensive efficiency. Phoenix isn't the offensive juggernaut that they used to be. The Suns have been making a concerted effort to play more defense, and it has helped the team a bit. These two got together a couple weeks ago and the final total was 196 after overtime. I think this one has been set too high by 3 or 4 points. Look for the Grizzlies defense to control this one. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-12-12 | Chicago Bulls v. Philadelphia 76ers UNDER 182 | 96-89 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Chicago Bulls and Philadelphia 76ers are both near the bottom in the NBA in terms of pace. Both teams walk it up the floor and use up the shot clock. Both are also near the top of the NBA in all the major defensive statistics. Doug Collins and Tom Thibodeau are both defensive-minded coaches. These two teams have played five straight games without a total going over 181 points. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 following an ATS loss. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 against a team with a winning record. The under is 5-0 in the Sixers last 5 following a day of rest. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two. Take the under. | |||||||
12-11-12 | Cal Poly Slo v. Nevada UNDER 136 | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* Over the past few years, one of the best teams in college basketball at controlling the tempo of the game has been Cal Poly. With no change in the coaching staff, I expect that to be the same again this year. So far this season, Cal Poly has controlled the possessions quite well in most of their games. Nevada plays at an average pace, and the Wolfpack defense is pretty good. Look for the slow tempo to keep this lower than most expect. The under is 7-0 in Nevada's last 7 games against the Big West. The under is 9-2 in Cal Poly's last 11 road games against a team with a winning home record. The under is 4-1 in Cal Poly's last 5 games overall. Take the under. | |||||||
12-11-12 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Chicago Bulls UNDER 190 | 94-89 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Los Angeles Clippers dismantled the Chicago Bulls earlier this year. The Clippers won 101-80 at home earlier this year against the Bulls. Tom Thibodeau's Bulls weren't playing their patented strong defense early in the year, but they have been much better again of late. Chicago should have this one circled, and I think we'll get a lot of effort from them in this one on the defensive end. Neither team pushes the tempo much at all, so I don't think there will be too many possessions here. The under is 5-0 in the Bulls last 5 home games. The under is 5-0 in their last 5 games following two days of rest. Take the under. | |||||||
12-11-12 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 203 | 94-100 | Loss | -104 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* The Los Angeles Lakers have finally started to pick up the scoring under Coach D'Antoni's new system over the past few games. Los Angeles has scored more than 100 points in six straight games. They have also given up at least 103 points in five of their last six games. Kyrie Irving is expected back for the Cavs, and Cleveland should be able to break down the Lakers defense here. At the same time, the Cavs have no one capable of stopping Kobe or Dwight Howard. This one should coast over the posted total. Take the over. | |||||||
12-11-12 | New York Knicks v. Brooklyn Nets OVER 194 | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 5 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star New York City Battle Total* The New York Knicks and Brooklyn Nets met a few weeks ago in a very low scoring game in Brooklyn. Why do I like the value on the over this time? Brook Lopez won't play tonight and that makes a huge difference in how the Nets play. The Nets aren't going to be able to control the tempo in this one like they did before. Also, Andray Blatche isn't the defensive presence that Lopez is. New York is the most efficient offense in the NBA right now. The over is 4-1-1 in the Knicks last 6 games overall. Take the over. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,160 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,039 |
Tom Macrina | $650 |
Ray Monohan | $618 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Jesse Schule | $418 |
Big Al McMordie | $350 |
Marc Lawrence | $300 |
Mike Lundin | $293 |
Joseph D'Amico | $268 |