Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-04-12 | Bradley v. Illinois State OVER 136.5 | 48-78 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Total* Bradley is one of my favorite over teams because of their terrible defense. Illinois State should be able to put up a big number. Take the over. | |||||||
02-04-12 | Morehead St. v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 119.5 | 56-55 | Win | 102 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB OVC Total Takedown* Morehead State and Eastern Illinois are two teams that love slow down the game in a big way. Last year's meeting between these teams at Eastern Illinois finished in a 47-40 win for the Panthers. I don't expect something that low this time, but the winner may struggle to get to 55 here. The under is 8-1 in Eastern Illinois' last 9 home games. The under is 5-0 in Morehead State's last 5 games. I projected this one at 114 points. Look for a sloppy low scoring game here. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
02-04-12 | Buffalo v. Toledo OVER 137.5 | 72-65 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Total Takedown* Buffalo is a team that likes to push the tempo at every chance. Most teams in the MAC like to slow the game down, but Toledo has gotten to where they like to run and gun when given the chance this year as well. The Rockets average 71 points per game at home this year. The over is 12-5 in their last 17 home games. The over is 35-16 in Buffalo's last 51 road games. The over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams. I projected this one at 141 or 142 points. I like the over here. | |||||||
02-04-12 | Canisius v. Marist OVER 141.5 | 69-80 | Win | 102 | 19 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAAC Total Takedown* Marist is a strange team that loves to run despite being inefficent on offense and terrible on defense. Canisius lost 105-86 Thursday to Iona, so we know they can play high scoring games. The first meeting saw poor shooting and stayed under. Expect this one to go over. | |||||||
02-04-12 | Santa Clara v. San Diego OVER 145.5 | 65-70 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Santa Clara looked like a team that would be dangerous in the WCC this year, but they have yet to win a game in the conference. What is the main reason for their struggles? The Broncos play almost no defense. San Diego is a much improved team that has been playing well against top notch squads of late. San Diego put up 73 points at St. Mary's in a close loss Thursday night. Santa Clara has given up at least 84 points in four of their last six games. This one should be an up and down kind of game. Take the over here. | |||||||
02-04-12 | Northeastern v. Virginia Commonwealth OVER 123 | 56-59 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Totals Terrorizer* Shaka Smart's VCU Rams seem to have sped up of late. The full court pressure is back and it should cause a lot of turnovers in this one. Take the over. | |||||||
02-04-12 | Marquette v. Notre Dame UNDER 129 | 59-76 | Loss | -108 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Total* Notre Dame has shocked most of the country by going on a nice winning streak of late. How have they done it? The team has taken a page out of its books from a couple years ago when Luke Harangoady went down with an injury. Mike Brey and the team have decided to slow the tempo down in a big way. Notre Dame controls the clock and plays very strong defense. The result has been nine straight games finishing under the posted total. Marquette will try to run out in transition some, but I think Notre Dame controls the tempo at home here. The under is 9-0 in their last 9. I think this one makes it 10 straight. Take the under. | |||||||
02-03-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 187.5 | 94-102 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF NBA Total Domination* Orlando has had all sorts of trouble getting their offense going of late. Dwight Howard is still playing well in the middle, but everyone else on the team is struggling in a big way. Orlando is averaging just 82.6 points per game in their last five games overall. Cleveland typically pushes the tempo some, but they are missing some key players tonight. Tristan Thompson, Anthony Parker, and Daniel Gibson are expected to miss this one. Those three combine for 20 points per game. The under is 35-16-2 in the Magic's last 53 home games. The referees here skew slightly toward the under. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
02-02-12 | Pacific v. UC Riverside UNDER 120 | 60-52 | Win | 101 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout Total* Pacific and UC Riverside played earlier this year and the final was 64-57. I lost on the 'under' in that one, but I am going to play the under again here at a slightly better value. UCR made 9 out of 13 three's in that first game, and Pacific hit 7 out of 17. Neither of these teams typically shoot it well from beyond the arc. Expect lower shooting percentages here and the same very slow tempo. I projected this one at 115 or 116, so I like the value here. Take the under in this matchup. | |||||||
02-02-12 | Idaho v. Fresno State UNDER 130 | 55-65 | Win | 100 | 22 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB WAC Total Takedown* Idaho and Fresno State play a similar style of basketball. Both rely heavily on their defense and their ability to control the basketball and the pace of the game. Earlier this year when these two met the final was 63-59. The shooting percentages weren't too bad in that one, and I think they could easily be worse this time around. Fresno State has been slowing down the tempo even more in recent weeks, and I think that makes this line have more value. The under is 17-8 in Fresno State's last 25 home games. Take the under. | |||||||
02-02-12 | Cal Poly Slo v. Cal St-Fullerton UNDER 132 | 61-83 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Big West Total* Cal Poly is one of the slowest paced teams in the nation. They realize that they need to get the clock rolling and control the ball if they are going to beat CS Fullerton on their home floor. The first meeting finished at 73-67, but there were a ridiculous amount of free throws taken in that one (60). I expect fewer trips to the line in this one. The under is 9-3 in Cal Poly's last 12 road games. I projected this one at 127 points. Look for this one to go down to the wire in a defensive battle. Take the under here. | |||||||
02-02-12 | Southern Utah v. North Dakota State UNDER 131 | Top | 64-85 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 32 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* Southern Utah has changed the way they play this year. The team is slowing the game down in a big way. The oddsmakers continue to set the team's lines a little too high, as they are apparently taking into account the last couple years when Southern Utah ran quite a bit. North Dakota State is more comfortable at a slower pace as well, so I don't think there will be a pace battle here. The under is a perfect 9-0 in Southern Utah's last 9 games overall. The under is 14-5 in North Dakota State's last 19 games overall. Take the under big! | |||||||
02-02-12 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Western Illinois UNDER 124.5 | 52-62 | Win | 100 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* Western Illinois plays at the second slowest tempo in all of basketball. The Leathernecks (yes that is their nickname) walk it up the floor and force the opposing team into a slow it down style of game, especially on their home floor. Fort Wayne would like to try to push the tempo some, but I just don't think it will happen here. The first game went well over the posted total, but the teams shot a combined 16/30 on three-point attempts. The under is 4-0 in Fort Wayne's last 4. The under is 5-1 in Western Illinois' last 6 home games. Take the under. | |||||||
02-02-12 | Eastern Kentucky v. Eastern Illinois UNDER 127 | 47-43 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB OVC Totals Takedown* Eastern Kentucky and Eastern Illinois have a real history of playing some very low scoring games against each other. Last year the two meetings finished with 112 and 114 points total. Both of these teams like to slow down the tempo, so I expect a half court game. The under is 17-8 in Eastern Kentucky's last 25 road games. The under is 43-19-1 in Eastern Illinois' last 63 games against the Ohio Valley Conference. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. Expect a low scoring game. Take the under. | |||||||
02-02-12 | Detroit v. Valparaiso OVER 144.5 | 73-78 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Horizon League Total* These teams have a history of playing high scoring games against each other. Both teams like to get out in transition and get to the free throw line by attacking the hoop. Take the over. | |||||||
02-02-12 | James Madison v. Old Dominion UNDER 125 | 71-80 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Colonial Conference Total* James Madison has badly missed Julius Wells this year, and their offense has been very inefficient. ODU is great defensively and poor on the offensive end. This looks like a low scoring contest to me. | |||||||
02-01-12 | Colorado St v. UNLV OVER 148 | 63-82 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* Colorado State is a very poor defensive team and UNLV should be able to take advantage of that in a big way here. Dave Rice is having his UNLV team push the pace in a big way this year. UNLV averages 87 points per game at home this year, and I think they have a good shot at getting to that average in this one. Colorado State can bomb in three-pointers so I expect them to be able to score quite a few here as well. I had this one projected at 152 points. The over is 4-1 in UNLV's last 5 games. Take the over. | |||||||
02-01-12 | Baylor v. Texas A&M UNDER 130 | Top | 63-60 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* Baylor and Texas A&M played to a 61-52 final in their first meeting this year. Khris Middleton played in that game, and he is expected to miss this one. Middleton is the guy that Texas A&M runs its offense through. Baylor is great defensively, and I think they'll make life extremely difficult on an already weak Texas A&M offense. Baylor plays at a faster pace than Texas A&M, but I think the Aggies will slow this game down in a big way since that is truly their only chance in this game. Expect a slow pace and good defense by both teams. Take the under. | |||||||
02-01-12 | Evansville v. Bradley OVER 147.5 | 92-62 | Win | 102 | 20 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Totals Takedown* Evansville and Bradley both like to push the tempo when they can. The Missouri Valley Conference has several teams that try to slow the pace down significantly, and that actually creates more value for us in a game like this. I don't see either team slowing the tempo in this one. The first meeting between these two finished at 90-67. Both teams get to the free throw line a lot, and that should help us quite a bit here. The over is 6-0 in Evansville's last 6 road games. The over is 6-1 in the last 7 games between these two at Bradley. Take the over. | |||||||
02-01-12 | St. Bonaventure v. St. Louis UNDER 123 | 62-86 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* St. Louis is great at controlling the pace of the game. Rick Majerus' team simply knows how to take care of the ball and make the most of their possessions. If they get a lead, they are great at taking the air out of the ball. St. Bonaventure isn't a team that pushes the pace either. The under is 22-9-1 in their last 31 road games. A game between two teams like this who play solid defense and stay in the half court rather than transition should be particularly low scoring. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
02-01-12 | Massachusetts v. Rhode Island OVER 150.5 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Rhode Island was previously one of my favorite 'over' teams, but they have had a ton of injuries this year. The team has gotten healthy again now, and they showed what they can do this past weekend when they traveled to Dayton and beat the Flyers by scoring 86 points. UMass plays at one of the fastest tempo's in the nation. The Minutemen force a ton of turnovers with their full court press. Look for Rhode Island to run and gun again here with their full roster back, which sets this one up nicely for an over. I think this one gets to 155 or higher. Take the over. | |||||||
02-01-12 | Oakland v. IUPU-Indianapolis OVER 167 | 75-79 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Under the Radar Total* Oakland pushes the tempo just about as well as anyone in college basketball, but that isn't the only reason they are a great 'over' team. Oakland also plays terrible defense and allows opponents to hit 41.4% from 3 and 54.4% from two point range. IUPUI plays at a pretty quick pace as well, and they are also terrible defensively. The first meeting between these two finished at 174 points, and I think this one will be in the same general range. This is a very high total, but I still think the value is on the over. | |||||||
01-31-12 | Youngstown State v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 126 | 73-65 | Loss | -101 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Wisconsin-Milwaukee has been great defensively this year, especially at home. The Panthers are giving up just 52.8 points per contest at home. Youngstown State relies extremely heavily on the three-point shot. Wisconsin-Milwaukee allows opponents to shoot just 25.3% from beyond the arc. Youngstown State doesn't really have the interior game to get it deep in the paint all that often. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is likely to get a lead here and then control the tempo by running clock on most possessions. Take the under here. | |||||||
01-30-12 | SIU Edwardsville v. Tennessee Tech OVER 141.5 | 80-98 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* SIU Edwardsville is a team that likes to push the tempo when they can. Edwardsville isn't a very good team, and they can struggle to dictate the tempo of the game, but it shouldn't matter in this one. Tennessee Tech prefers to play at a quick pace, and the Golden Eagles average nearly 75 points per game at home. The first meeting between these teams finished in an 83-68 upset win for SIU Edwardsville. Both teams shoot the three-ball well and neither defense is good at defending beyond the arc. Take the over. | |||||||
01-29-12 | Iowa v. Indiana OVER 151 | 89-103 | Win | 100 | 16 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Ten Totals Takedown* Iowa and Indiana have both picked up the tempo significantly this year. Both coaches are just now getting their team to learn their style of offense after a couple years on the job at the school. Indiana is one of the top 15 teams in the nation right now, and it is primarily because of their balance. Cody Zeller is an excellent freshman and Jordan Hulls and the rest of the backcourt give him plenty of help. Iowa will run with the Hoosiers in this one, and I really think this could get up around 158 or 159. Take the over. | |||||||
01-29-12 | Montana v. Portland State UNDER 143.5 | 69-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The first time around these teams battled to a 75-64 game. Montana was able to control the tempo to some degree, and I expect that to happen again here. Portland State has actually slowed down a bit tempo wise of late. The posted total was 140.5 in the first meeting between these two, so I think getting 143.5 is a nice value. I look for this game to end somewhere in the upper 130's. Montana has the defense to slow this game down and I expect them to do that. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
01-29-12 | Chicago Bulls v. Miami Heat UNDER 191 | 93-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* Derek Rose and the Chicago Bulls have had this game circled for a while now. The Bulls were knocked out of the playoffs last year by the Heat, and they should come ready to play in this one. Luol Deng is out for this one and Richard Hamilton is questionable. Chicago is doing it with their defense this year and I expect that to slow this game down quite a bit. The number fell below this posted total in six of the eight games between these teams last year. Both defenses should show up here. Take the under. | |||||||
01-29-12 | Siena v. Rider OVER 140 | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Siena and Rider already met once this year. Rider dropped an 83-79 shootout at Siena. Rider is a team that loves to push the pace and get out in transition. Look for the Broncs to do that and get plenty of open looks in this one. The final total of 162 was well above this posted total, but the shooting numbers weren't great last time around. The over is 24-8-1 in Rider's last 33 games. The over is 8-3 in Rider's last 11 games overall. I projected this one at 144. Look for the pace to push this one over. | |||||||
01-28-12 | San Diego v. San Francisco OVER 146.5 | 70-84 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* San Diego has picked up the pace significantly this year compared to last. They still aren't a very good team, but they do like to push it quite a bit. San Diego is a strange team in that they actually average more points on the road than they do at home. San Francisco averages 74 per game this year offensively, but in their last five games they are averaging 81 per contest. The Dons use a full court press to get a lot of quick buckets off teams without a good ball-handler (like San Diego). The over is 20-8 in San Francisco's last 28 home games. Take the over. | |||||||
01-28-12 | San Jose St v. Utah State UNDER 133 | 65-82 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB WAC Totals Takedown* Utah State is known for their dominance at home, but they haven't been as good this year. San Jose State is poor offensively and I expect the Aggies to shut down the Spartans in this one. I projected this one at 129. Take the under. | |||||||
01-28-12 | Tulane v. Rice OVER 121 | 74-88 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Fade the Public* Tulane and Rice played to a 50-49 final earlier this year. Because of this most of the betting public is putting money on the 'under' in this one. Without looking deeper into the first game it would make sense to wager on the under. After looking at the stats, both teams shot it horribly from the floor (37% and 29%). In addition, both teams have been picking up their tempo quite a bit of late. Rice averages 70 points per game at home and Tulane has been scoring 63.5 points per game in the last 5 games. Take the over here. | |||||||
01-28-12 | Virginia Cavaliers v. North Carolina State UNDER 123.5 | 61-60 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB ACC Totals Takedown* Virginia is great at playing its style of basketball and not letting anyone take them off their game plan. Tony Bennett has done a tremendous job with this team. NC State is an up and coming team as well. The Wolfpack like to run when given chances, but I don't think Virginia will give them many opportunities to do that in this game. Only three of the Cavaliers 19 games have gone over this posted total. Look for the Virginia defense to set the tempo in this one. I projected this one at about 119 points. Take the under here. | |||||||
01-28-12 | Illinois v. Minnesota UNDER 127 | 72-77 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Big Ten Totals Takedown* Minnesota and Illinois square off for the second time this season on Saturday evening. Both of these teams have been better than most expected this year. The Golden Gophers defense has gotten remarkably better since the first time these teams met, and Illinois seems to struggle to score on the road. The pace should be very slow in this one, and I don't think the shooting numbers will be very impressive. The under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams. I projected this one at 123 points. Take the under. | |||||||
01-28-12 | La Salle v. Duquesne OVER 145.5 | 71-68 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* LaSalle and Duquesne are two of my very favorite teams to play the 'over' with, so I had this one circled a long time ago. Both teams like to press and force turnovers to push the pace and get easy baskets. It's hard to imagine either one of these teams slowing the game down in this one. The last two times these teams met the finals were 88-71 and 103-82. The total is set quite a bit a lower here, and I honestly don't understand it. I think this one has a good chance to get into the mid 150's. Take the over big. | |||||||
01-28-12 | Kent State v. Toledo OVER 140.5 | 77-61 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Under the Radar Total* Kent State is averaging 79 points per game and giving up 76 per game in their last five. Toledo has picked up the pace a lot this year and I think this one will be an up and down game. Take the over. | |||||||
01-28-12 | SIU Edwardsville v. Jacksonville State UNDER 124.5 | 65-76 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Hidden GEM Total* SIU Edwardsville is averaging a miserable 54.5 points per game on the road. Jacksonville state gives up just 59.5 per game at home. I projected this one at 120 or 121. Take the under. | |||||||
01-28-12 | Texas v. Baylor UNDER 141 | 71-76 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special Total* Texas and Baylor will meet in an interesting Big 12 matchup early Saturday afternoon. Baylor has had a couple tough losses of late and they will be looking to prove themselves. The Bears have a great frontcourt and an underrated backcourt. Baylor is a very good defensive team. The Bears are giving up just 60 points per game at home. Texas doesn't have too many offensive options, and I think they'll struggle to score here. Look for the Longhorns to slow this one down a bit to stay in it as well. Take the under. | |||||||
01-27-12 | Toronto Raptors v. Denver Nuggets UNDER 198 | 81-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF NBA Play of the Day* Toronto has slowed the pace down significantly this year compared to last season. Ty Lawson is the man that runs the show for the Nuggets on a consistent basis, and he is out for this one with an ankle injury. Expect Denver to play at a slower pace than normal as well here. Toronto simply doesn't have any primary scorer when Bargnani is out, as he well be tonight. I expect this to be a very sloppy game where the offenses look out of rhythm all game long. Take the under. | |||||||
01-27-12 | Boston v. Stony Brook UNDER 120.5 | Top | 57-66 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 27 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total* Rarely do we get a chance to have a lined game between teams like Boston and Stony Brook and I think the oddsmakers made a mistake here. Boston and Stony Brook both rank among the slowest paced teams in all of college basketball as far as tempo. Earlier this year the final was 61-55 when they met, and the shooting numbers weren't all that bad. Both teams are great at avoiding fouls on the defensive end. I don't expect many trips to the charity stripe here. Both of their meetings last year stayed well below this total. I projected this one at 115 points, so I really like the value here. Take the under big. | |||||||
01-27-12 | Harvard v. Yale UNDER 128.5 | 65-35 | Win | 100 | 18 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Ivy League Totals Takedown* Yale is a team that likes to push the tempo when they are able to, but I don't think they'll be able to against Harvard. Tommy Amaker's Harvard team is great at controlling the tempo with their good ball handlers and great defense. Opponents are hitting just 31% from three and 43% from two against Harvard. The under is an impressive 38-14-1 in Harvard's last 53 road games. The under is 4-0 in their last 4. The under is 5-2 in Yale's last 7 games. Look for a low scoring game here. Take the under. | |||||||
01-26-12 | Cal St-Fullerton v. Cal St-Northridge OVER 153 | 70-68 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big West Totals Takedown* Both of these teams like to run and gun and I think this one has the potential to be a very high scoring affair. Take the over. | |||||||
01-26-12 | Cal Poly Slo v. Pacific UNDER 117 | 51-61 | Win | 100 | 21 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* In this one it should be all about tempo, and I expect the tempo to be extremely slow. This one will be played at a snail's pace. Last year's meetings between these two teams finished at 58-39 and 43-39! The teams don't play any faster this year, and both defenses should fare well in this one. Cal Poly has been solid offensively at home, but on the road they average just 54 points per contest. The under is 6-1-1 in the last 8 games at Pacific. This is the type of game where the winner may struggle to hit 50 points. Take the under. | |||||||
01-26-12 | San Jose St v. Idaho UNDER 134.5 | 66-74 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total Bailout* San Jose State has struggled to score against the best defenses this year. The Spartans miss Adrian Oliver in a big way this year. They really don't have a go to guy on offense, and Idaho plays very good half court defense. The Vandals control the tempo very well. The under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games. It's hard to imagine San Jose State putting up too many here, and Idaho isn't the type of team that runs up the score very often. I projected this one at 130 or 131. Take the under here. | |||||||
01-26-12 | UMKC v. Southern Utah UNDER 131 | 47-57 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Summit League Totals Winner* Southern Utah has slowed their tempo down as the season has moved along and UMKC should be happy to play at a slow pace. I like the value on the under here. | |||||||
01-26-12 | Eastern Illinois v. Jacksonville State UNDER 124 | 45-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB OVC Totals Takedown* Jacksonville State and Eastern Illinois are two teams that have historically won by slowing the game down and focusing on the defensive end of the floor. Jacksonville State has a strong half court defense, and neither of these teams are very good offensively. The under is 27-13-1 in Eastern Illinois' last 41 road games. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams. I had this one projected at 119 or 120, so I like the value here. Look for this to stay under the posted total. | |||||||
01-26-12 | Austin Peay St v. SE Missouri State OVER 148 | 60-65 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 8 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Both of these teams can put up points in bunches, and I expect this to be an offensive shootout. Take the over. | |||||||
01-26-12 | Butler v. Wisc-Milwaukee UNDER 119 | 42-53 | Win | 100 | 18 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* The first time these two teams met this year the final was 54-50. I don't see any reason to think that the offenses are going to all at once light it up here. Both defenses are pretty good, and these offenses have struggled quite a bit this year. Butler may not be nearly as good this year, but you know a Brad Stevens coached team is going to be very tough to beat with their disciplined style of basketball. I projected this one at 115 points. Look for a low scoring game between two tough teams. Take the under. | |||||||
01-26-12 | Fresno State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 134.5 | 58-59 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Home Team Tempo Play* Louisiana Tech has been speeding up significantly over the last few games. The Bulldogs have put up at least 60 field goal attempts in 7 of their last 8 games. Clearly, this is a team that has decided to run and gun. Fresno State doesn't slow the game down as much as they did last year. It is typical for the home team to be able to control the flow of the game, and I think that will be the case in this one. Look for the Bulldogs to get out and running. I projected this one at 139 points. Take the over here. | |||||||
01-26-12 | Tennessee Tech v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 135 | 82-65 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Tennessee Tech is a high scoring team, but Eastern Kentucky should realize that the way to go here is to slow the tempo down. Eastern Kentucky is generally very good at doing just that. I expect the tempo in this one to be quite slow. Tennessee Tech has gone on occasional scoring droughts on the road this year, and that should help this one. I had this one projected at 131 points. Look for a tightly contested game where both defenses bring their best effort in this one. Take the under in this matchup. | |||||||
01-25-12 | Creighton v. Drake UNDER 148.5 | 77-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Value* Creighton and Drake met in early January and I cashed in on the 'under' then. I am going to play the under once again in this one. In their first meeting, Creighton shot 60% from the floor, and the game still finished 13 points below this posted total. Drake should realize that they don't want into get into a track meet with this Creighton team. Creighton is a high scoring team, but they have struggled at times offensively on the road. Drake's defense is also much better at home. I think this total is several points too high. Take the under. | |||||||
01-25-12 | Missouri State v. Illinois State UNDER 131 | 69-76 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Missouri State and Illinois State met earlier this year and the final was 68-60. Neither of these teams like to push the pace, and I think this one will stay in the half court. Illinois State is better defensively at home, and interestingly Missouri State is better defensively on the road. The Redbirds give up just 58.1 per game at home, while Missouri State gives up just 59.2 per game on the road. I had this one projected at 127 points. The under is 18-6 in Illinois State's last 24 home games. Take the under in this MVC matchup. | |||||||
01-25-12 | DePaul v. Rutgers OVER 145 | 69-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* DePaul is one of the fastest paced teams in the nation. Oliver Purnell's team full-court presses all the time, which leads to easy layups for both teams. In addition, the Blue Demons are highly aggressive on defense and often get in foul trouble early on in the game. Rutgers has sped up their tempo quite a bit this year. One of the biggest weaknesses for Rutgers is their point guard play and the frequent turnovers. DePaul should expose that weakness and turn this into a fast paced game. I think this one tops 150. Take the over. | |||||||
01-25-12 | Toledo v. Miami Ohio UNDER 127 | 63-61 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Totals Takedown* Toledo is a much better team than they were last year, but the Rockets still aren't very good. In the Rockets last two road games they have scored 42 and 38 points. Miami (Ohio) is a team that likes to control the pace of the game. Charlie Coles' team slows the tempo down in a big way. The under is 5-1 in the Rockets last 6 road games. The under is 10-4 in Miami's last 14 games overall. Look for a sloppy game in this one. I had this one projected at 123 or 124. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
01-25-12 | Northern Iowa v. Indiana St UNDER 126 | 54-59 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Northern Iowa is still a team that likes to slow the pace down. Indiana State has been slowing down more and more as the season moves along. The Sycamores fell 65-48 at Northern Iowa earlier this year. Neither of these teams attack the rim very often at all, and the free throw attempts here will likely be low like they were last game. The under is 16-5 in Northern Iowa's last 21 Wednesday games. The under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings between these two. This should be a hard fought defensive battle. Take the under. | |||||||
01-24-12 | San Diego St v. Wyoming UNDER 124 | 52-42 | Win | 100 | 19 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* San Diego State wasn't expected to be any good this year, but once again Steve Fisher's team is surprising people. The Aztecs do it with their solid defense. They are giving up just 60 points per game in their last five contests. Wyoming has been superb defensively this year, and they are great at controlling the pace. The Cowboys allow just 53.9 points per game, and they allow only 52.2 per game at home. This should be a tough defensive battle all the way to the end. The under is 19-8 in Wyoming's last 27 home games. Take the under. | |||||||
01-24-12 | Bradley v. Southern Illinois OVER 137.5 | 60-77 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Totals Takedown* The Bradley Braves have been one of my favorite 'over' teams all year. Bradley is playing at a much faster pace with their new head coach this year, and they don't play much defense at all. Southern Illinois has sped up their tempo quite a lot this season as well, and the Salukis defense puts opponents on the charity stripe constantly. The over is 6-1 in Bradley's last 7 road games. The over is 7-0 in Southern Illinois' last 7 home games. A combined 13-1 winning angle isn't anything to sneeze at. I projected this one in the low 140's. Take the over. | |||||||
01-23-12 | Arkansas Pine Bluff v. Prairie View A&M OVER 127.5 | 75-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star ESPNU Total Knockout* Arkansas Pine-Bluff and Prarie View A&M will get a rare chance to play on national television tonight. Both of these are very bad, but I think that could work to our favor on this play. Both teams struggle taking care of the ball, and I expect to see plenty of turnovers in this one. Look for plenty of transition chances for both teams off turnovers. Both teams have struggled to score all year, but they have been putting up significantly better numbers over the last five games. The free throw attempts will likely mount up in this one as well. Take the over. | |||||||
01-23-12 | Houston Rockets v. Minnesota Timberwolves UNDER 197 | 107-92 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie BEATDOWN* The Houston Rockets and Minnesota Timberwolves have been great to 'under' bettors this year. The under is 10-6 in Houston's 16 games, despite the fact that three of their games have gone into overtime. The under is 11-4-1 in Minnesota's 16 games this season. Both teams have a renewed interest on the defensive end. Minnesota is particularly strong defensively at home. The under is 7-2 in the Timerwolves 9 home games. I expected this line to be in the low 190's, so I like the value here. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
01-23-12 | Hofstra v. Virginia Commonwealth UNDER 134.5 | 49-61 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* VCU has been a different team at home this year. The Rams are only giving up 53.7 points per game on their home floor. Hofstra likes to push the tempo at times, but they aren't very efficient on offense. VCU's suffocating man to man defense should slow Hofstra down quite a bit here. The Rams held Hofstra to just 63 points in the first meeting this year, and I don't think they'll give up that many in this one. The under is 4-1-1 in the Rams last 6 home games. I had this one projected at 130 points, so I'm getting 4.5 points of value here. Look for this one to stay under the posted total. | |||||||
01-22-12 | NY Giants v. San Francisco 49ers UNDER 43.5 | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFC Total DOMINATION* The San Francisco 49ers have done it all year with their defense. The 49ers stop the run better than anyone in the NFL, and last week they proved they can get after the quarterback as well. The 49ers should have a conservative game plan here. Look for Frank Gore to get quite a few carries in this one. The Giants will open up the passing game quite a bit, but San Francisco has an above average secondary. The under is 4-1 in the Giants last 5 games, and this Giants defense is really improving right now. Conference Championship games tend to run a little lower scoring than average, and I think both of these defenses will be ready for this one. Take the under. | |||||||
01-22-12 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 113.5 | 47-45 | Win | 100 | 19 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Rivalry Game Totals Takedown* Tony Bennett is a terrific defensive coach, and this Virginia Cavaliers team has totally bought into Bennett's system. Virginia is giving up just 50 points per game this year, and they are allowing only 47 per game at home. Virginia Tech isn't an offensive powerhouse, and the Hokies generally slow the game down as well. The two games between these teams ended at 115 and 111 last year, and both teams play slower this year. Virginia Tech also has a very good defense that is underrated by many. The under is 19-7-1 in Virginia's last 27 home games. Take the under. | |||||||
01-22-12 | Northwestern v. Minnesota OVER 136 | 52-75 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Tubby Smith is a better coach than most people give him credit for being. Smith's Golden Gophers lost their best player earlier this year, but this team has adapted to a new style. The Golden Gophers have sped up the tempo quite a bit, and they are taking the ball to the hoop consistently. Northwestern is playing at a quicker pace than a Bill Carmody coached team generally plays at, and they are very efficient on offense. The Wildcats can knock down the three ball, and Minnesota struggles to guard beyond the arc. I think this has a good chance of topping 140. Take the over. | |||||||
01-22-12 | Penn State v. Indiana OVER 139.5 | 54-73 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* These teams met a couple weeks ago and the final score was 88-82. Indiana made 16 three-pointers in that game, and I certainly don't expect that to happen again, but it doesn't have to. Penn State has been gradually speeding up their tempo as the season has moved along, and Indiana plays faster than anyone else in the Big Ten. The Hoosiers can really run the floor, and I expect them to get plenty of open looks in transition. The over is 7-0-1 in Indiana's last 8 games. The oddsmakers still haven't caught up to the much quicker paced Hoosiers this year. Take the over. | |||||||
01-21-12 | Cal St-Fullerton v. Cal Irvine OVER 144.5 | 92-84 | Win | 100 | 23 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* UC Irvine isn't very efficient on offense, but they definitely put a lot of shots up each game. Cal State Fullerton has been one of the fastest paced teams in the conference for quite some time. Both teams excel at shooting it from behind the arc. Neither of these teams play much half court defense. The aggressiveness of the two offenses should lead to plenty of free throw attempts in this one. I had this one projected at about 150 points. I think we're getting a nice value here. Take the over. | |||||||
01-21-12 | Northern Colorado v. Montana State OVER 143 | 72-84 | Win | 102 | 23 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Big Sky Totals TKO* Northern Colorado shoots three-pointers at the best rate of any team in the nation. Montana State is not good at getting out and guarding beyond the arc. Montana State does push the tempo and I expect they will be able to control the pace on their home floor. Both of these have put up big numbers offensively several times this year, and I think they could easily do it again in this game. The over is a perfect 7-0 in Montana State's last 7 home games against a team with a losing road record. Look for a high scoring game. Take the over. | |||||||
01-21-12 | SE Missouri State v. Tennessee Tech OVER 148.5 | 62-77 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Ohio Valley Total Takedown* Both of these teams are aggressive on offense and both of these defenses foul frequently. Both teams have multiple 3 point shooters who help stretch the defense. Tennessee Tech has a decent defense but Missouri State is poor defensively.The history between these teams has been tight and high scoring contests. Over is 40-17 in their last 57 road games. The over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings between these two teams. I think this one will top 150 points comfortably. Take the over. | |||||||
01-21-12 | San Francisco v. Portland OVER 150.5 | 72-71 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Full Court Press Total* San Francisco is a team that likes to pressure in the full court and creat e turnovers. They did this well the other night at Gonzaga, and I think they'll be able to do it well against a poor ball-handling Portland team. San Francisco put up 104 points in the first meeting between these two. I don't expect anything like that, but both teams should be running and gunning because of the pressure defense. Both teams play very poor halfcourt defense, so expect plenty of wide open looks for both teams. Take the over. | |||||||
01-21-12 | Rhode Island v. La Salle OVER 143 | 66-80 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAABB Tempo Total* LaSalle is one of my favorite teams to play the over with. The Explorers use full court pressure to force turn overs and get easy baskets in transition. Rhode Island doesn't have good ball handlers and I suspect they'll struggle with the full court pressure. The Rams defense is terrible, and the Explorers should be able to take advantage. Rhode Island is slightly short-handed in this one, but I don't think they have will have the ability to slow the tempo down. Look for LaSalle to build a big lead early and put up a big number here. Take the over. | |||||||
01-21-12 | Oklahoma v. Texas A&M UNDER 123 | 75-81 | Loss | -118 | 16 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAABB Total Domination* Texas A&M started the season playing a faster pace, but they have since gone back to their slow-it-down offense. The Aggies only have one true scorer on offense. This is a team that really does have to win it with their defense. Oklahoma's offensive numbers look good for the season, but the Sooners have been terrible offensively away from home. Oklahoma is averaging 56 points per game on the road. Texas A&M is giving up only 53 per game at home. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the under. | |||||||
01-21-12 | Boise State v. Texas Christian OVER 150 | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Total Knockout* Boise State has struggled to score on the road this year, but I don't think they'll struggle to score against a terrible defense like TCU's. The Horned Frogs are a great 'over' team this year because of the way they push the ball in transition and get to the foul line. On the defensive end, TCU is very poor. Boise State is aggressive on the offensive glass, and they should get plenty of second chances in this one. I don't see either team slowing the tempo down in this one. The over is 41-20 in Boise's last 61 as an underdog. The over is 5-0 in TCU's last 5. Take the over. | |||||||
01-21-12 | Georgia Tech v. Clemson UNDER 119.5 | 62-64 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB ACC Totals Takedown* Clemson is a team I really like to play the 'under' with. Georgia Tech is a terrible team offensively. The Yellow Jackets have been held to 50 points or less in three of their last five games. Clemson is great at controlling the tempo, and the Tigers play very good defense on their home floor. Clemson is giving up just 55.8 points per game at home. Look for an ugly and low scoring game here. I think this one could struggle to get above 110. Georgia Tech has no offensive rhythm and that will show here. Take the under. | |||||||
01-20-12 | Manhattan v. Marist OVER 145.5 | 61-44 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 47 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Manhattan has a new coach this year and they are playing a whole different style. The Jaspers are getting out in transition whenever they can. This is a team a year ago that struggled mightily to put up points, but this year the offense has been quite good. Manhattan scores 72 points per game on the road and gives up 70. Marist is allowing 74 points per game at home and scoring 77. Marist's defense is horrible and Manhattan should light it up from distance in this one. The over is 4-0 in Marist's last 4 home games. Take the over. | |||||||
01-20-12 | Milwaukee Bucks v. New York Knicks OVER 191 | 100-86 | Loss | -113 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Knockout* The Milwaukee Bucks are playing at a slightly faster pace this year. The New York Knicks have been an 'under' machine for most of this year, but it really isn't because the team has slowed down their pace. The Knicks are shooting it horribly from the field, something I expect to slowly change over time. Carmelo Anthony has a history of lighting it up against the Bucks, and I think he'll do it again here. The last three meetings between these teams have gone over this total. Recent low scores from the Knicks are giving us a good value. Take the over. | |||||||
01-19-12 | New Mexico State v. San Jose St OVER 148 | 79-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* New Mexico State is pushing the tempo in a big way this year. They rank in the top ten as far as fastest pace in the nation. San Jose State is one of those teams that isn't able to dictate the tempo, so they just play to their opponents tempo of choice. The over is an impressive 42-17-1 in New Mexico State's last 60 games as the favorite. The over is also 21-6-1 in San Jose State's last 28 Thursday games. The Aggies get to the line more than any team in the country, and that should be a big factor here. Take the over. | |||||||
01-19-12 | San Francisco v. Gonzaga OVER 148 | 63-74 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The San Francisco Dons just keep speeding up their tempo on a game-to-game basis of late. San Francisco is averaging 79.4 points per game over their last five contests. Gonzaga averages 76 points per game at home this year. Both teams like to get out in transition, and this one should stay uptempo. The over is a perfect 8-0 in San Francisco's last 8 games coming off an ATS loss. The over is also 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. I projected this one at 152 points. Look for a high scoring affair. Take the over. | |||||||
01-19-12 | Austin Peay St v. SIU Edwardsville OVER 137 | 80-67 | Win | 100 | 8 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* SIU Edwardsville is a team that most people don't pay any attention, but that tends to give us a little more value on their games. Both of these teams like to push the pace. Neither team plays good defense, and I expect there to be quite a few easy baskets in this one. The only thing Edwardsville can do on offensive normally is bury long distance shots. Fortunately, Austin Peay is terrible at guarding the three ball. On the other side, Austin Peay should control the glass and get a lot of second chance points. Take the over. | |||||||
01-19-12 | Tenn Chattanooga v. NC-Greensboro OVER 145 | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* Chattanooga and UNC Greensboro are two teams that typically try to force the opposition into an up and down type of game. I don't think either team will be looking to slow this one down at all. The last time these two met the final was 111-110 in double overtime. Both of these teams foul a ton, and points from the charity stripe should be a big help in this one. The over is 4-0-1 in the Mocs last 5 road games. I had this one projected at 149, so I like the value here. Look for this one to go over the posted total. | |||||||
01-19-12 | College of Charleston v. Davidson OVER 150.5 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* College of Charleston and Davidson are two solid mid-major teams that generally have some pretty good battles against each other. Davidson has the single highest free throw percentage in college basketball, and they do a nice job getting to the line. Both offenses are quite efficient, and they know what their strengths are. The over is 13-4 in Charleston's last 17 Thursday games. The over is 17-5 in Davidson's last 22 games overall. A combined winning angle of 30-9 is pretty impressive. Take the over here. | |||||||
01-18-12 | Bradley v. Evansville OVER 147.5 | 67-90 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden Gem Total* The Bradley Braves are a team I've had my eye on a lot lately. Geno Ford has the Braves playing at a very quick pace of late. It is interesting that Bradley is playing so quick since they aren't very efficient offensively, but it plays to the favor of the 'over' since they are getting up so many shots. In addition, the Braves are terrible defensively and they do a lot of fouling. Evansville is a great free throw shooting team, and the Purple Aces can put up points in bunches on their home floor. Take the over. | |||||||
01-18-12 | Wichita State v. Northern Iowa UNDER 130 | 71-68 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB MVC Totals Takedown* Wichita State was pushing the tempo quite a bit earlier this year, but once they got into Missouri Valley action they have slowed things down once again. Northern Iowa always looks to slow the game. The Panthers rely heavily on the outside shot, and Wichita State is one of the best teams in the nation at guarding beyond the arc. The total in the last game between these two was set at 124, and I think we are getting a nice amount of value with this one set six points higher. Look for this one to stay under. | |||||||
01-18-12 | Wyoming v. Air Force UNDER 111.5 | 64-53 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* I admit that I don't really like playing an 'under' at such a low number, but I do see quite a bit of value here. Air Force is always one of the slowest teams in terms of pace. Wyoming has a new coach who has slowed the team down substantially this year, and the Cowboys are playing great defense. Both teams like to shoot it from outside, but I don't think either team will get many easy looks from beyond the arc. I projected this one at 108. Look for this game to be played at a snails pace. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
01-18-12 | Clemson v. Miami (Fla) UNDER 126 | 73-76 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* The Clemson Tigers don't have all that many offensive weapons this year. Brad Brownell's team is slowing the pace down in a big way every time out. Miami is playing at a much slower pace this year since Jim Larranaga took over the head coaching job at Miami. I don't see either team pushing the pace of this one. Both teams are a playing a significantly slower pace than last year and the posted total is only 3.5 points lower than last year's final meeting. I projected this one at 122 or 123. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
01-18-12 | Akron v. Buffalo OVER 135 | 70-82 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB MAC Totals Takedown* The Akron Zips and Buffalo Bulls play in a conference where there are quite a few teams who like to slow the tempo down. Because of that, many of their games are lower scoring than they would like. In this case, both teams should be looking to get out in transition and push the pace. The over is 28-11 in Buffalo's last 39 Wednesday games. I think there is a good chance this game ends up at 140 or higher. Look for two aggressive offenses to get to the line frequently and push this one over the total. Take the over here. | |||||||
01-18-12 | Massachusetts v. Duquesne OVER 156 | 69-80 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* UMass and Duquesne are two of my very favorite teams to play the 'over' with. Both of these teams like to press and force turnovers and get some easy layups off their forced turnovers. Duquesne has struggled with injuries some this year, but they are back healthy now. Two teams that full court press and force turnovers in bunches should equal a very high scoring game here. I had this one circled for quite a long while and I was planning on playing the over as long as it wasn't a ridiculously high number. Look for this one to comfortably clear the number. Take the over. | |||||||
01-18-12 | La Salle v. Temple OVER 143.5 | Top | 70-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* LaSalle is one of my favorite 'over' teams. Temple used to be a team that slowed the game down and relied on defense, but the Owls have picked up the pace a ton over the past year. The last two meetings between these two teams last year finished with totals of 172 twice in a row. I don't think they'll hit 172 here, but I do think they'll get safely over this number. The books are behind on Temple's new pace. The over is 17-5 in Temple's last 22 games. The over is 4-0 in LaSalle's last 4 Atlantic 10 games. Both teams have guards who can push the pace very well. Take the over in a big way here! | |||||||
01-16-12 | Chicago Bulls v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 177.5 | 86-102 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Chicago Bulls are allowing less points than any other team in the NBA. The Grizzlies offense is hurt quite a bit by the loss of Zach Randolph. Randolph was the center of attention in the team's offense, and now too much is falling on Rudy Gay, who is still trying to fully recover from a serious shoulder injury. Derrick Rose still isn't 100% for the Bulls, and Richard Hamilton is expected to miss this one. These early afternoon games in the NBA tend to be lower scoring. The under is 12-3 in the Bulls last 15 Monday games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Memphis between these two teams. Take the under. | |||||||
01-15-12 | NY Giants v. Green Bay Packers OVER 52.5 | 37-20 | Win | 100 | 50 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Giants/Packers Total DOMINATION* The New York Giants and Green Bay Packers met in early December. The Giants gained 447 yards and scored 35 points in that one. The Packers gained 449 yards and scored 38 points in that one. I don't see any reason to believe that the defenses will be able to change much in this one. The Packers offense is the most prolific in the NFL. The Giants passing offense has been great all year, and the Packers secondary is last in the NFL in pass defense. The Giants have a great pass rush, but the Packers are great at quick drops to neutralize that advantage. The over is 8-2 in the Packers last 10. Look for another high scoring game. Take the over. | |||||||
01-15-12 | Northern Iowa v. Bradley UNDER 137 | 67-78 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Bradley Braves are a team I have played the over with quite a few times this year, but I think the value lies with the under in this one. Northern Iowa is a team that slows the tempo down against everyone they play. The Panthers are the better team, and I think that will help them be the ones that set the pace in this game. The total when these two teams met last year was set at 117 and 124 points. The Braves do play faster this year, but I think a number as high as 137 gives us a good opportunity to take the under. I projected this one at 132 or 133. Take the under. | |||||||
01-15-12 | Portland v. Saint Marys CA OVER 146.5 | 61-69 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total BAILOUT* The Portland Pilots have typically been a decent defensive team, but that is not the case at all this year. This Pilots team is horrendous defensively, and I fully expect to see St. Mary's pick them apart Saturday night. Portland looks to push the pace with their quick backcourt, and I don't expect the Gaels to fight too hard to slow this one down. The over is 9-2-1 in the Pilots last 12 road games. The over is 6-0 in the Gaels last 6 home games. Look for a high scoring affair here. Take the over. | |||||||
01-14-12 | Texas Christian v. Colorado St OVER 151 | 89-95 | Win | 100 | 20 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* TCU slowed the tempo down all of last year, but they are employing a completely different strategy this year. The Horned Frogs are all about pushing the pace this season. TCU's defense simply isn't very good, and they are terrible at guarding the three-point shot. Colorado State is knocking down an amazing 44% of their attempted three's. Both of these teams get to the line a ton, and both teams do a lot of fouling. I think trips to the charity stripe will help push this one over. | |||||||
01-14-12 | Eastern Kentucky v. Morehead St. UNDER 121 | Top | 54-57 | Win | 100 | 19 h 60 m | Show |
*5 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* Eastern Kentucky and Morehead State both slow the game down to a crawl on the offensive end. Neither of these teams have a ton of offensive weapons, so they rely on ball control and patience to win them the game. Morehead State has been poor defensively this year, but they are respectable on the defensive end at home. The under is 16-7 in Eastern Kentucky's last 23 road games. The under is 5-2 in Morehead State's last 7 home games. This game should be sloppy all the way around and I think it will be low scoring. Take the under. | |||||||
01-14-12 | Drexel v. North Carolina-Wilmington UNDER 125.5 | Top | 79-57 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The Drexel Dragons do a great job controlling the tempo with their lockdown defense. Drexel is one of the best defensive teams in the country. The Dragons allow opponents to hit only 27% from beyond the arc. Drexel runs a slow paced offense that works the shot clock almost every time down the floor. UNC Wilmington is a team that typically plays to the pace of their opponent. The under is 11-2 in Drexel's last 13 road games. The under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two teams. Take the under big here. | |||||||
01-14-12 | Oakland v. IUPU Ft Wayne OVER 164 | 96-86 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* It seems strange to play an 'over' on a game with such a high total, but I think the value is definitely on the side of the over. IUPU Fort Wayne plays at a very quick tempo and they also play bad defense. Oakland plays at an even faster tempo and they play even worse defense. The shooting percentages here should be pretty impressive, and I expect both teams to get a ton of shots up. The oddsmakers have been off on totals for both these teams. The over is 38-14-1 in Oakland's last 53. The over is 13-5-2 in Fort Wayne's last 20. Take the over. | |||||||
01-14-12 | St. Joseph's v. Massachusetts OVER 148.5 | 62-71 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* A team I've had a close eye on all year this year is the UMass Minutemen. Derek Kellogg has this team playing very hard on the defensive end. UMass employs a full court press that really speeds the tempo of the game up in a big way. St. Joe's generally plays to the pace of their opponent, which should mean this one will be a track meet. The over is 6-2 in St. Joe's last 8 road games. The over is 6-0 in UMass' last 6 games against an Atlantic 10 opponent. I like the over quite a bit here. | |||||||
01-14-12 | North Carolina v. Florida State OVER 142 | Top | 57-90 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show |
*5 Star National TV Total Dominator* Florida State is a very good defensive team, but I think they'll struggle to keep North Carolina off the offensive glass. While Florida State is a good defensive team, they actually aren't very good at slowing the pace of the game down. Last year's Seminoles team was even better defensively and both of their meetings with the Tar Heels went over the posted total. Florida State will likely get behind here and be forced into a quick tempo. Don't expect Carolina to slow down for anyone this year. Take the over big. | |||||||
01-14-12 | North Carolina State v. Wake Forest OVER 147 | 76-40 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* NC State and Wake Forest are both teams that like to get out in transition and put up quick shots. Neither team is particularly strong on the defensive end. Almost exactly a year ago these teams met and the final was 90-69 in Raleigh. It wouldn't surprise me if we see a similar final total here. NC State is averaging almost 80 points per game in their last five games. They also give up 76 points per game on the road. Look for this one to top 150. Take the over. | |||||||
01-13-12 | Cleveland Cavaliers v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 187 | 92-97 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* The Los Angeles Lakers have been a great 'under' team all year. The under is 9-3 in their 12 games this year. The under is 4-2 in Cleveland's 6 road games. Los Angeles is slowing the tempo down quite a bit more under Mike Brown this year. The Lakers play very good halfcourt defense, and I don't think the Cavs youngsters will get near as many open shots as normal in this one. The under is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings between these teams. Look for a low scoring game here. Take the under. | |||||||
01-13-12 | Youngstown State v. Valparaiso OVER 145 | 62-76 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Youngstown State is one of those teams that generally allows the opponent to dictate the tempo of the game. Valparaiso is more comofortable pushing the tempo, and that is what I expect them to do in this one. The last two meetings between these two teams went over this posted total. The over is 19-7 in Youngstown State's last 26 games overall. The over is 9-3 in Valpo's last 12 games following a straight up loss. I projected this one at 150 points. I like the over in this matchup. | |||||||
01-13-12 | Pennsylvania v. Columbia UNDER 124 | 66-64 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ivy League Total Takedown* The Ivy League isn't a league I venture into for plays too often, but I liked the value here. Both of these teams like to slow the pace down when they can. Both teams have played several opponents likely that have forced them to move quicker than they wish, but that shouldn't happen when they meet each other. I actually had this line projected at 118 or 119, so this one gives us several points of value. Look for a slow halfcourt type of game here. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
01-12-12 | Portland v. San Francisco OVER 147 | 70-104 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Totals Takedown* Portland and San Francisco both like to get up and down quite a bit this year. Neither team is known for their defense, but both can get hot from the outside at times. The over is 6-0 in San Francisco's last 6 home games. The over is 14-6-1 in Portland's last 21 games overall. It is 8-2-1 in Portland's last 11 road games. I had this one projected at about 151 or 152. Look for a close game with a lot of open looks for boht offenses. Take the over in this matchup. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $1,072 |
Tom Macrina | $601 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
William Burns | $288 |
Ricky Tran | $269 |
Big Al McMordie | $234 |
Joey Tron | $165 |
Jesse Schule | $21 |
Tim Michael | $18 |