Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-09-12 | Charlotte Bobcats v. New York Knicks OVER 203.5 | 87-91 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total Domination* Charlotte has been pushing the tempo quite a bit this year. The Knicks have been a high-octane offense ever since Anthony and Stoudemire joined the team. These teams played just five days ago and Charlotte won 118-110. The shooting percentages were high in that one, and I don't expect 228 points again. Having said that, I think 203.5 is too low for these teams. New York should come out with some fire looking for revenge, and both teams should get plenty of easy looks at the basket. The over is 5-1 in the Bobcats last 6 road games. The over is 9-3 in the Knicks last 12 home games. Take the over. | |||||||
01-08-12 | Purdue v. Minnesota UNDER 128.5 | 79-66 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 Totals Takedown* The Minnesota Golden Gophers are without star player Trevor Mbakwe. Mbakwe was the team's leading scorer and leading rebounder. Since he has been hurt, the Golden Gophers have slowed their pace down drastically. Tubby Smith's team is pretty good when it comes to half-court defense. Purdue is coming off a shocking 20 point loss at Penn State. Matt Painter's team should be ready for this one. Expect Purdue to play great man defense here. Look for this one to stay in the lower 120's. Take the under. | |||||||
01-08-12 | Massachusetts v. La Salle OVER 146 | 75-82 | Win | 100 | 13 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* UMass is a team that loves to push the pace. LaSalle doesn't move quite as quickly as they did last season, but against an opponent like UMass I expect the Explorers to run. Both of these teams have plenty of offensive weapons. Both teams do a nice job getting to the foul line often, and that should help our cause here. The over is 10-4 in UMass' last 14 games overall. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings at LaSalle. I projected this one at 150 points. Take the over here. | |||||||
01-08-12 | Atlanta Falcons v. NY Giants OVER 47 | 2-24 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Falcons/Giants Total Domination* The Atlanta Falcons offense really found its own in the last four weeks. Atlanta scored at least 31 points in three of their last four games. The Giants have a good pass rush, but the secondary takes too many chances and gives up big plays too often. On the other side, Eli Manning has some real weapons on the outside. Victor Cruz and Hakeem Nicks have turned into young superstars for the Giants. Atlanta's secondary is below average, and they aren't that great at pressuring the quarterback without bringing a blitz. The over is 4-0 in Atlanta's last 4. Take the over in this one. | |||||||
01-07-12 | UC Riverside v. Pacific UNDER 117 | 64-57 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* When two teams that play such a similar style meet I generally find some value in a total. Both UC Riverside and Pacific pride themselves on taking care of the ball and controlling the tempo. The pace of this game should be extremely slow. Pacific plays much better defense at home. The under is 3-1 in Pacific's 4 home games this year. The under is 6-3 in Riverside's 9 road games this season. It wouldn't surprise me to see the winner of this one finish at 55 or lower. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
01-07-12 | Cal St-Fullerton v. Cal Poly Slo UNDER 124.5 | 67-73 | Loss | -108 | 25 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total Bailout* Cal Poly controls the tempo better than any other team on the West Coast. This is a team that forces the opposition to play at their tempo. Cal State Fullerton prefers to play at a quick pace, but I don't think they'll be able to dictate the tempo in this one. The average Cal Poly game finishes at 114 points. The under is 12-4-1 in Cal Poly's last 17 home games. The under is 6-0 in Cal Poly's lats 6 overall. The under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings between these teams at Cal Poly. Take the under. | |||||||
01-07-12 | Creighton v. Bradley OVER 148 | 92-83 | Win | 100 | 22 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Missouri Valley Conference Totals Play* Bradley is a bit of a strange team in that they love to run and gun despite the fact that they aren't very good at it. Creighton has picked up the tempo quite a bit this year, and the Blue Jays are extremely efficient on offense. I wouldn't be surprised to see Creighton put up 85 or 90 points in this one. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these two. The over is 20-9 in Bradley's last 29 games in the MVC. I projected this one at 153 points. Take the over. | |||||||
01-07-12 | New Mexico State v. Louisiana Tech OVER 143.5 | Top | 83-73 | Win | 100 | 23 h 48 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play Total DOMINATION* New Mexico State is a team that has really sped up a great deal this season. The Aggies are using their athleticism to try to get out in transition at every opportunity. New Mexico State is shooting more free throws than any other team in the country this year. Lousiana Tech fouls frequently, and I think the Aggies will live at the line in this one. The Bulldogs have struggled offensively on the road, but at home they are putting up 70.2 points per contest. The over is 5-1 in New Mexico State's last 6. The over is 6-1 in La. Tech's last 7. Take the over big here. | |||||||
01-07-12 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 138 | 65-66 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Under the Radar Total* Both of these teams from the MAC can score. Both teams have plenty of offensive depth. Kent State has five players averaging at least 8.7 points per game. Buffalo has three players putting up 14.6 points per game or more. Both teams like to get out in transition and look for easy buckets. This is a game where I expect the tempo to be quick all the way. The oddsmakers have been off on Buffalo's totals for quite a long time. The over is 50-22 in the Bulls last 72 games. Take the over. | |||||||
01-07-12 | Miami (Fla) v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 121.5 | 51-52 | Win | 100 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Last year Miami and Virginia met twice and both games went over the posted total. Interestingly, both games were under the posted total at the end of regulation, but both of them actually went into overtime. I think the fact that both of those games went over the posted total is actually giving us some value this year. Tony Bennett's Virginia Cavaliers play terrific defense and do a great job controlling the tempo. The under is 18-7-1 in their last 26 home games. Take the under. | |||||||
01-07-12 | Tennessee St. v. Jacksonville State UNDER 129.5 | 65-72 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden Gem Total* Jacksonville State isn't a very good team, but they are good at controlling the tempo. Tennessee State is the type of team that generally plays to the pace of their opponent. Both of these teams have been playing slightly higher scoring games of late, which has given us some value on the under in this one. My system projected this one at about 123 or 124, so I think we have a few points worth of value here. Look for a slow pace and a sloppy game. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
01-07-12 | Cincinnati Bengals v. Houston Texans UNDER 39 | 10-31 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Wild Card Total Domination* Houston's offense has done fairly well under the leadership of rookie T.J. Yates, but there is no doubt this unit isn't as strong as it was at the start of the season. The Bengals will likely gear up to stop the run, something they have done well this year. On the other side, Houston quietly has one of the best defenses in the NFL. Cedric Benson and the Bengals running game hasn't been very good of late. The Bengals offense hasn't scored more than 24 in a game in their last nine games, and the playoff jitters should hurt this young offense. Look for both defenses to play well here. Take the under. | |||||||
01-07-12 | Boston College v. North Carolina OVER 146.5 | 60-83 | Loss | -113 | 14 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Hoops ACC Totals Takedown* North Carolina is an offensive machine this year. The Tar Heels are averaging 92.4 points per game at home. North Carolina put up 106 points on Boston College in one of the meetings last year, and this year's Boston College team is much worse. The Eagles simply aren't very good this season. I see North Carolina running out to a big lead and this one and never looking back. Boston College may want to play a slower pace, but once they get behind I think they'll abandon that strategy. Take the over. | |||||||
01-06-12 | Marist v. Rider OVER 150 | 86-99 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF Total DOMINATION* The season is still pretty young, but these two teams will be meeting for the second time this season on Friday night. The first meeting finished in a 95-75 Marist win. These two teams share several common traits. Neither team plays much defense at all and they also like to push the tempo. Both teams excel at getting to the free throw line. In addition, the strength of both of these offenses is hitting shots from beyond the arc. At the same time, both defenses are terrible at guarding beyond the arc. Look for plenty of three's and free throws in this one. The over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings at Rider. Take the over. | |||||||
01-05-12 | Brigham Young v. Loyola Marymount OVER 146 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 11 m | Show |
*5 Star West Coast Totals Takedown* Brigham Young may have lost Jimmer Fredette, but don't let that make you think the team can't score. The Cougars have four players averaging at least 11.9 points per game this year. They have a great frontcourt which should be able to do a lot of damage against an undersized Loyola Marymount front line. Marymount has some scorers as well, led by Drew Viney. The Lions and the Cougars both push the tempo quite a bit. The over is 21-5 in BYU's last 26 Thursday games. The over is 7-2 in Marymount's last 9. I think this one tops 150. Take the over. | |||||||
01-05-12 | Santa Clara v. Portland OVER 140.5 | 74-84 | Win | 100 | 23 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total Value* Portland has been a pretty good team over the last few years, but that isn't the case this year. The Pilots lost a lot of talent from last year's squad, and they simply don't play any defense this year. Santa Clara has two offensive stars in Kevin Foster and Evan Roquemore. Look for both teams to get to the free throw line often in this one. The over is 7-3 in Santa Clara's 10 lined games this year. The over is 8-3 in Portland's last 11 games. I projected this one at 145. Take the over. | |||||||
01-05-12 | California v. Oregon State OVER 143.5 | Top | 85-92 | Win | 100 | 22 h 55 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA Total DOMINATION* Oregon State is one of the best teams in the Pac 12 this year. The Beavers love to push the pace, and they have a perfect point guard to help them do that in the form of Jared Cunningham. California has been playing at a slower pace of late, but I think that is primarily due to their opponents. The Golden Bears have Crabbe, Gutierrez, and others who can score in bunches. The last meeting between these teams last year was 87-76. I think both offenses will get in a nice rhythm here. Look for this one to go well over the posted total. Take the over big. | |||||||
01-05-12 | UC Riverside v. UC Davis UNDER 127 | Top | 60-58 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA Hoops Totals Takedown* UC Riverside is one of the best teams on the left coast at controlling the tempo. Riverside wants to play a half court game, and they are hard to get running. UC Davis has traditionally been a team that likes to run, but they really don't have the talent to do so this year. UC Davis lost their leading scorer early this year, and they haven't topped 64 points in any of their last five games. This one should be a sloppy game, and I think that should work well for the under. I think this stays around 120. Take the under big. | |||||||
01-05-12 | Cal Irvine v. Pacific UNDER 134 | 73-69 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Pacific has a history of playing low scoring games. Bob Thomason's teams slow the tempo down, and they are particularly good at getting the tempo to their liking at home. UC Irvine likes to run, but they are terrible offensively. The Anteaters are averaging a miserable 57 points per game on the road this year. Pacific is putting up 59 per game at home. The under is 13-3 in the last 16 meetings between these two teams. The under is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings at Pacific. Take the under. | |||||||
01-05-12 | Fordham v. Massachusetts OVER 139 | 76-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Both Fordham and Massachussetts like to push the tempo at every opportunity. When these two teams get together I expect a track meet. Neither team is particular efficient on the offensive end, but I think they'll get plenty of shots up to get to this posted total. Last March these teams played to a 77-73 final. Both teams are better this year, and they both have more offensive options. UMass is averaging 82 points per game this year at home. Look for a fast paced tempo to push this one over the total. | |||||||
01-05-12 | Davidson v. NC-Greensboro OVER 152.5 | Top | 92-63 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show |
*5 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* Davidson and NC Greensboro both played at a pretty quick pace last year, but both are playing even faster this season. Davidson excels at getting to the free throw line, and UNC Greensboro fouls more than almost any other team in college basketball. In the last five games Greensboro is giving up 84 points per game and Davidson is allowing 78. The over is 8-1 in Davidson's last 9 games. Both teams will put up plenty of shots here and I expect a bunch of free throws to put this one over the top. Take the over. | |||||||
01-05-12 | George Mason v. Old Dominion UNDER 127 | Top | 63-54 | Win | 100 | 19 h 11 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Old Dominion has been one of the best teams in the Colonial Athletic Conference the last few years. They have done it with their strong defense. This year the Monarchs are down quite a bit, primarily because they are terrible on the offensive end. ODU shoots 38.9% from the floor, and they hit only 61.9% of their free throws. George Mason is a strong defensive team, but they sometimes struggle to score on the road. I was surprised to see this line. I projected this one at 120 points. Take the under big here. | |||||||
01-04-12 | West Virginia v. Clemson OVER 58.5 | 70-33 | Win | 100 | 728 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star Orange Bowl Total Domination* Clemson and West Virginia are two teams who can really put up the points. Both teams have become much more impressive on the offensive side of the football this season. Dana Holgorsen's Mountaineers are a brand new team this year. Geno Smith is picking apart defenses on a consistent basis. On the other side, Tajh Boyd was sensational in his freshman season for the Tigers. Clemson averages 34 points per game, and the Tigers have one of the nation's best play makers in Sammy Watkins. Tavon Austin and the Mountaineers receivers are also capable of making big plays. This game definitely has the potential to be very high scoring. I really like the over in this one. | |||||||
01-04-12 | Indiana St v. Northern Iowa UNDER 125 | 48-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Northern Iowa has had 8 of their 13 contests go over the posted total this year, but it isn't because the team has sped up the tempo at all. The Panthers have been knocking down three's at a high clip. Indiana State is a pretty good defensive team. The Sycamores won't look to push the tempo very often. I had this game projected at 119 or 120 points. Look for both teams to slow it down and set up a halfcourt offense almost every time down the floor. I think this is a nice value on the under. | |||||||
01-04-12 | Southern Illinois v. Bradley OVER 135 | 74-65 | Win | 100 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Bradley has sped up the tempo quite a bit this year. The Braves don't play much defense at all, and they aren't very efficient offensively, but they do put up a lot of shots. Southern Illinois started the season playing at a slow tempo, but a closer look at the team's last few games shows a change in strategy. The Salukis last 6 games have all finished above this posted total. Southern Illinois fouls about as much as anyone in basketball and that should help the over in this one. I think this one gets to 140. Take the over. | |||||||
01-04-12 | Chicago Bulls v. Detroit Pistons UNDER 182.5 | 99-83 | Win | 100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie SMASHER* Detroit has reinvented itself this year under the leadership of Lawrence Frank. It's nice to see the Pistons playing some defense once again. Detroit's games are only averaging 179 points total so far this year. Chicago is certainly one of the best defensive teams in the NBA as well. The Bulls are only allowing 87 points per contest. I expected this total to be set in the upper 170's. Look for this one to be played in the halfcourt. The defenses should fare well here. Take the under. | |||||||
01-04-12 | St. Joseph's v. Duquesne OVER 148 | 84-82 | Win | 100 | 18 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Those who follow my plays regularly know that Duquesne is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. The Dukes are terrific at dictating the tempo with their pressure fullcourt defense. Duquesne should be able to force turnovers and get some easy buckets in this one. At the same time, St. Joe's has a nice offense and Duquesne isn't good in the halfcourt defense. The over is 5-2 in St. Joe's last 7 road games. Duquesne is averaging 82 points per game at home and St. Joe's is averaging 75 per game on the road. Look for a high scoring affair. Take the over. | |||||||
01-03-12 | Drake v. Creighton UNDER 149 | 59-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* I am generally a numbers type person, but occasionally I go more with the feel of a game or the matchup with my pick. This pick is more of a feel pick. My system's projected number came in at 147 or 148, which wouldn't generally warrant a play here, but after examining this closer I like the under quite a lot. The Missouri Valley Conference has a history of producing overs before conference play and then the tempo slows down in conference action. Drake doesn't have the horses offensively to keep up with Creighton, and I expect them to try to control the pace here. The posted total was 127.5 and 132 in the team's two meetings last year. Both play slightly faster this year, but a total of 149 seems too high. Take the under. | |||||||
01-03-12 | Charlotte Bobcats v. Cleveland Cavaliers UNDER 189.5 | 101-115 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie CRUSHER* Cleveland has been burying three's at an amazing rate so far this year. When I look at the Cavs roster I don't think they will be able to keep up this kind of shooting for too long. Cleveland has been playing at a very slow pace, but their shooting has helped them be 2-2 on the over/unders this year. Charlotte has a team that prefers to play in the half court and I think when these two teams meet it will be a very slow paced game. The under is 8-0 in Cleveland's last 8 home games against a team with a losing road record. The under is 6-0 in Cleveland's last 6 following an ATS win. I really like the under here. | |||||||
01-02-12 | Cal Santa Barbara v. Cal Poly SLO UNDER 121.5 | 58-57 | Win | 100 | 21 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Cal Poly excels at controlling the tempo of the game, especially at home. The Mustangs play at the second slowest tempo of any team in all of college basketball. UCSB has been putting up some pretty big point totals this year, but that is because they have been playing teams that like to run. Look for the Mustangs to slow this game down to a crawl. The last meeting between these two teams finished in a 49-43 win for UCSB. This one probably won't be that low, but I do like the under quite a bit here. | |||||||
01-02-12 | Rider v. Manhattan OVER 143.5 | 88-77 | Win | 100 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Manhatten is an interesting team that has changed their philosophy this season. The Jaspers had been a team that likes to slow it down in the past but now they are getting out in transition. Rider plays terrible defense and I expect Manhatten to get plenty of easy baskets. At the same time, Rider has several impressive three-point shooters that should help them pile up quite a few points. Both teams get to the foul line frequently which will help. Take the over in this one. | |||||||
01-02-12 | Texas A&M v. Baylor UNDER 124 | 52-61 | Win | 100 | 18 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Both of these teams play very good half court defense and I don't expect either team to push the pace. Baylor has the big men to control the paint and Texas A&M knows they need to slow this game down to stay in it. I have a hard time seeing the Aggies getting much above 50 points in this one. The under is 13-6 in Texas A&M's last 19 road games. The under is 6-0 in the last 6 meetings at Baylor. I projected this line at about 119 or 120. Look for a tough defensive battle. Take the under! | |||||||
01-02-12 | Wofford v. Wake Forest OVER 132.5 | 56-52 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Wake Forest isn't a very good team but they definitely know how to push the tempo. Wofford will probably try to slow this one down but I think they'll end up playing from behind. Look for Wake Forest to run the floor early and often and get a lead in this one. Wofford should pick up their pace as the game progresses. Wake Forest is averaging 77 points per game at home this season. Expect both teams to get plenty of easy looks in this one. I think this one has a chance to get to 140. Take the over. | |||||||
01-02-12 | Wisconsin v. Oregon OVER 71.5 | 38-45 | Win | 100 | 16 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Rose Bowl Total Domination* There should be plenty of offensive fireworks in this terrific Rose Bowl matchup. Wisconsin's defense has been vulnerable against the run this year and Oregon has the running backs to take advantage. The Ducks have a quick strike offense that should be better than any offense Wisconsin has seen this year. The Badgers have a great offense as well. Montee Ball racked up the touchdowns this year and he should find plenty of running room against a weak Oregon defense. Russell Wilson was spectacular this year. Look for both teams to move the ball with ease. The over is 8-2 in Wisconsin's last 10 games. Take the over! | |||||||
01-01-12 | Evansville v. Northern Iowa UNDER 134.5 | 76-65 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Northern Iowa isn't playing any faster this year than they have been in the past, but their shooting numbers have been bumping the totals up. Last year when these two teams met the posted total was set at 118 once and 123 once. I agree that it should be higher this year, but 11.5 points higher than the highest total from last year doesn't make much sense to me. Look for Northern Iowa to put the clamps on Evansville in this one. I think this total should be in the upper 120's. Take the under. | |||||||
01-01-12 | Monmouth v. North Carolina OVER 156 | 65-102 | Win | 100 | 14 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Monmouth is a terrible team that likes to push the tempo. Teams like Monmouth are a perfect matchup for the North Carolina Tar Heels. North Carolina pushes the tempo more than just about anyone in college hoops. The Tar Heels are great on the glass, and they should get multiple second and third chance opportunities in this game. Monmouth's defense is one of the worst in all of basketball. Expect North Carolina to be able to name their score in this one. The tempo should push this one over the posted total. | |||||||
01-01-12 | Carolina Panthers v. New Orleans Saints OVER 54.5 | 17-45 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* Both Carolina and New Orleans can pile up the points. Cam Newton has shown that he can perform well against just about any defense in the NFL. Drew Brees and the Saints starters are expected to play in this game. The final game of the season generally lends itself to a higher scoring game. The over is 6-2 in the Saints last 8 January games. The over/under here is posted extremely high, but I think these two teams have a good shot at getting to 60 in this situation. Both pass defenses are very poor, and I think that will be on full display in this one. Take the over. | |||||||
12-31-11 | UNLV v. Hawaii OVER 149.5 | 74-69 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* UNLV put up 124 points in their last game against Central Arkansas. Obviously Hawaii plays better defense than Central Arkansas, but the Warriors still don't play good defense at all. Gib Arnold has Hawaii running and gunning much more than they have in the past few years. UNLV has scored 80.2 points per game so far this year. Against a team that will give up easy shots like Hawaii, UNLV will pile on the points in a big way. I think this game has a good shot to get to 155 points. Look for this one to go well over the posted total. | |||||||
12-31-11 | St. Joseph's v. Harvard UNDER 128 | 69-74 | Loss | -108 | 16 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Tommy Amaker's Harvard team can really play. This is an Ivy League team that plays terrific halfcourt defense. The under is 6-1 in Harvard's last 7 games overall. St. Joe's has a good record this year, but the Hawks haven't played very many good teams. Harvard should slow down the St. Joe's offense in a big way here. At the same time, Harvard isn't the type of team that runs up the score very often. I projected this one at 124 points. Look for this one to stay under the posted total. Take the under. | |||||||
12-31-11 | Tennessee St. v. Eastern Kentucky UNDER 126.5 | 68-73 | Loss | -108 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Eastern Kentucky is a team that can control the tempo as well as anyone. The Colonels are especially good at controlling the tempo at home. The under is 6-0 in their last 6 home games. Tennessee State is a team that doesn't control the tempo much, rather they play to the tempo of the opponent. The under is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings between these two. My projected line on this game was 122 or 123. Look for the tempo to be slow in this one. I like this one to finish under the posted total. | |||||||
12-31-11 | Louisiana Tech v. Southern Methodist UNDER 122 | 65-73 | Loss | -108 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Louisiana Tech and SMU are both teams that like to slow the tempo down. SMU generally plays games in the 50's, and Louisiana Tech's offense is terrible. I don't expect to see any offensive rhythm in this game. The Bulldogs are one of the least efficient offensive teams in the country. The under is 5-2-1 in SMU's last 8 home games. The under is 9-4 in Lousiana Tech's last 13 Saturday games. I projected this one at about 117 or 118. Look for an ugly game with a very low score. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-30-11 | Portland State v. Montana State OVER 151 | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF Bookie SMASHER* Portland State and Montana State both play at a very quick tempo. Both teams are great at getting to the free throw line, and that should give us quite a few extra points in this one. In addition, both defenses are terrible so easy looks should be the norm in this one. The over is 7-1 in Montana State's last 8 games. I had this one projected at 155. A quick tempo and two terrible defenses should equal a high scoring game here. I like the value on the over in this matchup. | |||||||
12-30-11 | Rutgers v. Iowa State OVER 44.5 | 27-13 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pinstripe Bowl Total Domination* Rutgers has improved its passing game dramatically throughout the year. Iowa State's secondary has been pretty suspect this year. Rutgers has had some trouble stopping the run this year, and the running game is Iowa State's strength. I tend to think that a game like this is a good case of the long layoff helping the offense more than the defense. The over is 4-1 in Rutgers last 5 bowl games. This total is set a little too low. Take the over here. | |||||||
12-29-11 | Fresno State v. Pacific UNDER 128.5 | 55-47 | Win | 100 | 21 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* Pacific doesn't have very much offensive talent this year. This is a team that really needs to work the clock and attempt to turn the game into a defensive battle. They are usually able to do that on their home floor. Fresno State is not a team that is very good at dictating the tempo, so I think this one will stay slow and to the liking of Pacific. Last year's meeting between these two saw a 65-55 final, and I think a similar score is definitely possible here. The under is 6-0 in Fresno State's last 6 games against a Big West opponent. Take the under. | |||||||
12-29-11 | James Madison v. Rhode Island OVER 139 | 60-79 | Push | 0 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* James Madison and Rhode Island are two teams that are both comfortable getting out in transition. Rhode Island plays miserable defense, and I expect James Madison's quality guards to take advantage of plenty of wide open looks. The Rams will likely get behind in this one and push the tempo even more as the game moves along. Rhode Island allows 79 points per game this year. Rhode Island crashes the offensive glass well, and they should get some second chance opportunities here. Take the over. | |||||||
12-29-11 | Northern Iowa v. Illinois State UNDER 119.5 | 61-65 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Northern Iowa and Illinois State are two Missouri Valley teams that play a similar style. Both teams slow the pace of the game down and rely on solid defense. Both are fairly dependent on the three-point shot. The last five meetings between these teams have all fallen below this posted total. Last year's matchups finished with 90 and 104 points respectively. It's hard to imagine either of these teams breaking out against a good defense. The under is 25-8 in Illinois State's last 33 home games. I think this one stays very low. Take the under. | |||||||
12-28-11 | Wichita State v. Bradley OVER 137.5 | 90-51 | Win | 100 | 19 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Bradley has a new coach and a new philosophy this year. Geno Ford has the Braves running and gunning this year. The team isn't particularly efficient on the offensive end, but they definitely get plenty of shots up. The over is 4-1 in Bradley's last 5 games. Wichita State has picked up their pace this season. The Shockers have plenty of offensive options in Murray, Ragland, Kyles, and others. The Shockers should get some easy shots against a poor Bradley defense here. The over is 5-2 in Wichita State's last 7 games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-28-11 | Bowling Green v. Duquesne OVER 138 | 76-86 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Duquesne is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with. The Dukes press and force turnovers constantly. Bowling Green likes to play slower, but I suspect it will be Duquesne that controls the tempo of this game at home. I expect Duquesne to get a lead in this one, which will force Bowling Green to pick up their pace a bit. Duquesne struggles on the glass, and Bowling Green will likely get some second and third chances on the offensive end. I think this one gets into the 140's. Take the over. | |||||||
12-25-11 | Chicago Bulls v. Los Angeles Lakers UNDER 185.5 | 88-87 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bulls/Lakers Total DOMINATION* The long offseason and uncertainty around the season leads me to think the beginning of this shortened year may have several low scoring contests. The Lakers are starting the season with a ridiculous back-to-back-to-back schedule. Mike Brown will likely give the starters more rests on the bench than normal in this one. The Bulls play solid halfcourt defense, and the Lakers don't have nearly as many weapons offensively now that Odom is gone. Bryant and Gasol are great, but who will be the third option offensively? These teams have a history of playing low scoring games. The under is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings between these two. Take the under. | |||||||
12-24-11 | Tampa Bay Buccaneers v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 | 16-48 | Win | 100 | 23 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals TKO* Tampa Bay's defense has been awful of late. The Bucs have given up at least 31 points in five of their last six games. Carolina's offense has been very good under the leadership of Cam Newton this year. Stewart and Williams are a great tailback tandem, and Steve Smith is a great weapon on the outside. Carolina's defense is giving up 26.3 points per game this year. The Panthers haven't been good against the run or the pass. Josh Freeman and the Bucs offense should be able to put up several scores in this one as well. The over is 19-7-1 in the Bucs last 27 games against a team with a losing record. Take the over. | |||||||
12-24-11 | Minnesota Vikings v. Washington Redskins OVER 43.5 | 33-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total DOMINATION* The Vikings have given up 34, 35, and 42 points in their last three games. In fact, Minnesota hasn't given up less than 24 points in a game since October 2. This Minnesota secondary has been getting riddled on a weekly basis. Rex Grossman may throw quite a few interceptions, but he does help the Redskins move the ball pretty consistently through the air. On the other side, Washignton is mediocre against the run, and Adrian Peterson is a beast on the ground. Christian Ponder and the Vikings offense has scored 32, 28, and 20 points in their last three games. I expect both teams to score quite a few here. Take the over here. | |||||||
12-23-11 | Ball State v. Morehead St. UNDER 123.5 | 54-62 | Win | 100 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA TGIF Bookie CRUSHER* Ball State and Morehead State are two teams who like to rely heavily on their defense. Both teams like to slow the game down and play in the halfcourt. Ball State plays very good halfcourt defense, and I don't think Morehead State will see many easy looks in this one. Morehead State is inefficent offensively, but I do think they will have better defensive intensity in front of their home crowd. Look for this game to be a slow paced game where the lead goes back and forth. These teams played to a 50-48 final last year. I don't expect it to be that low this time, but I do like the under. The under is 7-0 in Morehead State's last 7 Friday games. The under is 4-0-1 in the Cardinals last 5 games. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-23-11 | Auburn v. Hawaii OVER 135.5 | 65-62 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Bailout* Hawaii is really pushing the pace this year, especially at home. Gib Arnold's team can control the tempo on the island quite well. Auburn played at a slow tempo last year, but they have sped up significantly this year. I think the books are still trying to adjust to the new tempo of both of these teams. The over is 17-8 in Auburn's last 25 road games. The over is 12-3 in Hawaii's last 15 games overall. I think this game has a good chance to get to 140. Take the over here. | |||||||
12-22-11 | Wyoming v. Idaho State UNDER 119 | 80-56 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Defensive Battle* Wyoming has been one of the best defensive teams in the nation this year. The Cowboys are giving up just 51 points per game this year. Idaho State doesn't have much offensive strength, and I think they'll really struggle to score in this one. At the same time, Idaho State plays better defense at home and Wyoming's offense isn't too impressive either. This one should be an ugly game, but I think that will be good for the under. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-22-11 | Lehigh Mountain v. Michigan State OVER 139.5 | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Smasher* Lehigh averages 77.6 points per game. Lehigh has scored at least 70 points in every game this year. I realize they might not get to 70 in this one, but I think they can score some points here. Tom Izzo's team is putting up 80 points per game at home. In this one, they should get even more opportunities than normal because the pace will be quick. Don't be surprised if the Spartans put up 85 or 90 points here. I projected this one at 145 points. Take the over in this matchup. | |||||||
12-22-11 | Arizona State v. Boise State OVER 67 | 24-56 | Win | 100 | 390 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Arizona St/Boise St Total Domination* Arizona State is giving up 38 points per game in their last three games. Boise State averages 43 points per game this year, and I expect Kellen Moore and the veteran laden Broncos offense to be very well-prepared in this one. Boise State's defense hasn't been quite as dominant this year as they have been in the past few seasons. Arizona State's Brock Osweiler is a good quarterback who should be able to spread out the Broncos defense and help the Sun Devils put up quite a few points. The over is 16-5 in Arizona State's last 21. Look for this one to finish over the posted total. | |||||||
12-22-11 | Rice v. Texas A&M UNDER 127 | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 20 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Texas A&M came into the season saying they were going to pick up the tempo. They did for the first three games before their best scorer went down with an injury. The Aggies have adjusted right back to a slow paced defensive battle ever since. Their opponent hasn't scored more than 59 points in any game the last month. Rice doesn't have a great offense and I don't think they'll be able to dictate the tempo here. Look for this one to stay in the low 120's. Take the under. | |||||||
12-22-11 | Eastern Michigan v. Virginia Tech UNDER 121.5 | 50-71 | Win | 100 | 19 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* Eastern Michigan doesn't have very much offense at all this year. The Eagles lost their leader from last year in Brandon Bowdry. Eastern Michigan averages just 51.8 points per game in their last five games. Virginia Tech will be one of the best defenses they have faced, and it wouldn't surprise me if the Eagles struggle to get to 50. The Hokies don't have as many scorers as normal either, and Seth Greenburg's team likes to slow the pace down this year. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
12-22-11 | Virginia Commonwealth v. NC-Greensboro OVER 141.5 | 80-68 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Totals TKO* VCU and NC Greensboro played a ridiculously high scoring game last year. VCU beat the Spartans 101-86 last season. The Spartans don't play good defense at all, and Shaka Smart's team can really take advantage of that. NC Greensboro fouls like crazy and VCU is good at getting to the line. Greensboro is giving up 80 points per game. I think they'll be able to stay close to VCU here because of the home court advantage. Both offenses should find quite a bit of success. Take the over in this matchup. | |||||||
12-22-11 | Davidson v. Massachusetts OVER 150.5 | 65-73 | Loss | -108 | 19 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Davidson and UMass both like to run early and often. Both teams do a nice job getting to the basket and picking up fouls. The over is 8-0 in Davidson's last 8 road games. The over is 7-1 in UMass' last 8 home games. Both teams are averaging 76 points per game offensively in their last five. I don't see either team slowing the tempo down in this one. Both teams will get up and down and they'll get plenty of looks at the basket. I projected this one at 154 or 155. Take the over here. | |||||||
12-22-11 | Kennesaw St. v. Tennessee Tech UNDER 139.5 | 68-81 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Hidden GEM Total* Kennesaw State really likes to slow the tempo of the game down. They realize that the only chance they have in this game is to slow it down in a big way. The under is 8-1 in Tennessee Tech's last nine non-conference games. Neither team shoots the ball well from the floor. The total here is set several points too high in my opinion. Look for this one to finish under 135. I think we have several points to work with. Take the under in this low profile non-conference game. | |||||||
12-22-11 | UTEP v. Clemson UNDER 118 | 61-48 | Win | 100 | 15 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Clemson has slowed the tempo down even more this year. Brad Brownell really likes his teams to play on the offensive end and play lockdown defense on the other end. Clemson is allowing just 53.6 points per game this year. UTEP is coached by Tim Floyd, who loves to slow the tempo down as well. The Miners have improved defensively as the year has moved along. I projected this game at 114 points. Look for a halfcourt battle with some poor shooting percentages. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-21-11 | Cornell v. Penn State UNDER 129.5 | 67-74 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total DOMINATION* Penn State lost a ton of talent from last year's team, including team leader Talor Battle. Battle was the go to guy for years, and this offense is having a hard time adjusting without him. The Nittany Lions are averaging just 63 points per game so far this year. Cornell has had trouble scoring points on the road this year. The Big Red are averaging just 60 points per game away from home. Penn State should control the tempo and keep this one at a very slow pace. The under is 5-1 in Cornell's last 6. The under is 5-2 in Penn State's last 7. Take the under. | |||||||
12-20-11 | Buffalo v. Brigham Young OVER 144.5 | 78-93 | Win | 100 | 21 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* BYU may be without Jimmer Fredette this year, but don't let that fool you into thinking they can't score. Dave Rose does a great job with this Cougars basketball team. The team has a ton of strength in the post with Hartsock, Davies, and Abouo. BYU likes to run and I think they'll be able to establish that pace in what should be a very strong homecourt advantage in the Marriott Center. Buffalo also plays faster than most teams, and I think the Bulls guards will do some damage in this one. Look for this one to finish closer to 150 points. The overi s 29-10 in Buffalo's last 39 road games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-20-11 | Southern Utah v. Troy OVER 148 | 72-80 | Win | 100 | 21 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* The Troy Trojans do a very good controlling the tempo of the game. Troy likes to get out in transition, and they are great at making their opponent play faster than they wish to play. These two teams already met once this year and Troy won 80-74 in that game on the road. Now Troy will be at home, where they generally can dictate the tempo even more. The over is 16-5 in Southern Utah's last 21 road games. Look for both teams to get plenty of shots up in this one. I projected this one at 154 or 155. Take the over. | |||||||
12-19-11 | Wyoming v. Denver UNDER 115 | 46-57 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Knockout* Denver really likes to slow down the tempo of the game, and they have been that way for the last few years. Wyoming has a new system in place this year, and the Cowboys are all about playing strong defense and slowing the tempo of the game down. Denver relies very heavily on its three-point shooting. Wyoming is third in all of basketball in three-point defense. Their opponents are shooting just 24% from beyond the arc. The under is 45-21 in Wyoming's last 66 games. I projected this one at 109 or 110. Take the under. | |||||||
12-19-11 | Southern Methodist v. SE Missouri State UNDER 126 | 84-65 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* SMU plays at a slower pace than every team in the nation other than Wisconsin. Matt Doherty has decided that his team simply must slow the game down to a crawl to have a solid chance at winning. Southeast Missouri State is allowing 74 points per game this year overall, but at home they are giving up just 64 per contest. SMU is only averaging 59 points per game. The under is 5-2 in SE Missouri State's last 7 home games. The under is 10-4 in SMU's last 14 games overall. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-19-11 | NC-Greensboro v. Duke OVER 154 | 63-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* Duke is averaging 86 points per game at home this year. UNC Greensboro will be one of the worst defensive teams that the Blue Devils play all season. Greensboro can't guard the three and they put their opponent on the line consistantly. Duke put up 96 and 108 points in the last two years when they met UNC Greensboro. Don't be surprised if Duke is up around that 100 point mark again in this one. Both teams like to run so the pace should be plenty quick in this one. The over is 10-2 in Duke's last 12. Take the over. | |||||||
12-18-11 | Portland State v. Oregon State OVER 149.5 | 68-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* Oregon State has turned into a major uptempo team in the last couple years. Craig Robinson has the Beavers getting out in transition at every single opportunity. Jared Cunningham is a speed demon who can push the pace very well for Oregon State. The Beavers are averaging 81.2 points per game at home this year. Portland State is a team that always looks to push the pace as well. I don't see either team slowing this one down. Neither team is very good defensively, and I think they'll be plenty of open looks in this game. A big bonus here is that both teams really do a nice job getting to the free throw line. Take the over. | |||||||
12-18-11 | Detroit Lions v. Oakland Raiders OVER 47.5 | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 87 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The Oakland Raiders defense has completely fallen apart of late. Oakland has allowed 33.3 points per game in their last three games. Carson Palmer has helped the offense move the ball well, but he is throwing far too many interceptions. Palmer has a tendency to throw a lot of pick six passes. The Lions secondary will be very aggressive this weekend. Matt Stafford and the Lions passing attack is working well right now. The trends point strongly to the over. The over is 7-1-1 in the Lions last 9 road games. The over is 4-0 in Oakland's last 4 games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-18-11 | Washington Redskins v. NY Giants OVER 45.5 | 23-10 | Loss | -110 | 84 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* Rex Grossman does give the Redskins offense a bit of a boost when it comes to moving the ball, but he still makes those bad decisions with the ball. The Giants are liable to pick him off at least a couple times here, and there could easily be a defensive score in this game. Eli Manning and the Giants passing game has been great of late. Look for the Giants to build on last week's momentum building win in Dallas. The over is 12-5-1 in the Giants last 18 games. The over is 4-0 in Washington's last 4. Take the over. | |||||||
12-17-11 | Eastern Kentucky v. Jacksonville State UNDER 118 | 59-53 | Win | 100 | 22 h 18 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Eastern Kentucky and Jacksonville State are similar teams. These are two teams that like to slow the pace down and play in the halfcourt. Both teams play solid man to man defense. Jacksonville State shoots only 27% from 3 and 42% from 2. On the other side, Jacksonville State plays very good defense, and their opponents hit only 29.7% of their three point attempts. Eastern Kentucky attempts a lot of three's, but I don't think they'll get good looks in this game. The under is 14-5 in Eastern Kentucky's last 19 road games. Take the under. | |||||||
12-17-11 | Oakland v. Valparaiso OVER 166.5 | 82-80 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Oakland and Valparaiso met last year and the final score was 103-102. Now, I'm certainly not expecting anything close to that this year, but that does speak to the ability both offenses have. Oakland is one of the very fastest paced teams in the nation. Valparaiso is a team that really likes to run as well, especially at home. Both defenses have been struggling in a major way this year. I expect to see a fast pace and plenty of open looks for both teams. Both teams do a good job getting to the line often, and that should help a lot too. The over is 16-5 in Valpo's last 21. The over is 20-8 in Oakland's last 28 road games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-17-11 | Temple v. Wyoming OVER 47 | 37-15 | Win | 100 | 264 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA FB Total Knockout* Temple does not have a passing game, but they can definitely run the football. Bernard Pierce is one of the best runners in the nation, and Matt Brown is a great backup. Temple has proven that they can run it even when a team knows it is coming. Wyoming ranks 115th out of 120 teams in the nation at stopping the run. I expect them to have trouble all day long. Brett Smith and the Cowboys offense have surprised people all year long, and I think they'll put up more points than most expect in this one. The over is 4-0 in Temple's last 4. Take the over here. | |||||||
12-17-11 | Duquesne v. Western Mich OVER 144.5 | Top | 71-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Play* Duquesne is one of my favorite teams to play the 'over' with because they are great at forcing the opponent to play to their tempo. The great part of this particular matchup is that Western Michigan also likes to run and gun. Western Michigan should have a big advantage on the offensive glass, and I expect them to get a lot of second chance points. Duquesne can force turnovers with the best of them, and Western Michigan simply can't handle the ball very well at all. I had this game projected at about 150 points. I really like the over in this one! | |||||||
12-17-11 | Mississippi State v. Detroit OVER 145.5 | 80-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Early Bird Special* Detroit is a Horizon League team that could make some noise this year. The Titans have a ton of talent all over the floor. Ray McCallum Jr. is the team's point guard, and he is capable of getting his own shot and getting open looks for teammates on just about every possession. Mississippi State has been pushing the pace this year with talented guard Dee Bost at the helm. I don't see either team looking to slow the game down here. The over is 34-16-2 in Detroit's last 52 home games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-16-11 | East Carolina v. NC-Greensboro OVER 139 | 71-62 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF Play of the Day* East Carolina is a team that likes to put up a ton of three's. The Pirates haven't been hitting on too many three's this year, but I suspect that might change against the horrible defense of the UNC Greensboro Spartans. Greensboro is allowing opponents to shoot a ridiculous 44% from beyond the arc. Greensboro loves to push the tempo, and they should be able to control the pace of the game in this one. The Spartans have put up at least 62 field goal attempts in four of their last five games. Both teams do a ton of fouling and putting the opponent at the charity stripe, and that should help the cause quite a bit. Take the over here. | |||||||
12-14-11 | Florida Intl. v. Maryland Terrapins OVER 139.5 | 61-65 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of Day* Maryland is short on talent compared to past years. Gary Williams is no longer with the team, and Mark Turgeon is trying to gain the respect of the team. The Terrapins have found that they have the most success this year when they push the tempo. Florida International isn't a disciplined team at all, and Maryland should get plenty of open looks in this game. In addition, both of these teams get to the free throw line a lot, and I expect points from the charity stripe to help push this one over the posted total. Take the over here. | |||||||
12-13-11 | Central Michigan v. Minnesota UNDER 128.5 | 56-76 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* Minnesota lost star player Trevor Mbakwe for the season a few weeks ago. The team isn't even close to the same without him. Mbwake was the team's best scorer and rebounder. Tubby Smith's team is playing solid defense now, but they are struggling to find an offensive rhythm. Central Michigan plays at a slower than normal place, and they are not an efficient offensive team. Central Michigan allows opponents to shoot only 39% on two-point attempts this year, and Minnesota shoots a lot of two point shots. The pace here should be slow, and without any big offensive weapons, I like the chances for the under. The under is 21-7 in Central Michigan's last 28 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in Minnesota's 4 games since Mbakwe was injured. Take the under. | |||||||
12-12-11 | Portland State v. Oregon OVER 145 | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* Portland State is a team that likes to push the pace. The Vikings have done this for many years, so this is nothing new to this group of players. Portland State gets 30% of their points from the free throw line, and those games with a lot of free throws certainly tend to go over more often than not. Oregon is a team that likes to pressure and push the tempo. The Ducks also get to the line frequently. I think they'll find plenty of open looks against Portland State's poor halfcourt defense. The over is 6-0 in Oregon's last 6 Monday games. Take the over. | |||||||
12-11-11 | San Francisco 49ers v. Arizona Cardinals UNDER 39 | 19-21 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Totals Takedown* The 49ers defense continues to amaze as the season moves along. San Francisco tops the NFL in run defense, and the pass defense has improved over the last few weeks. Arizona has scored 9, 6, 7, and 7 points in the team's last four meetings with San Francisco. The Cardinals defense has been playing better lately as well. The under is 4-1 in Arizona's last 5. The under is 6-1 in San Francisco's last 7. I think this is a game where both offenses settle for field goals most of the time. Take the under. | |||||||
12-11-11 | UC Riverside v. Montana State UNDER 129 | 75-73 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* UC Riverside isn't a very good team, but they are good at controlling the tempo of the game. The Highlanders have not had a game finish above this posted total all season despite having two games go into overtime. Montana State plays at an average pace, but I think they'll struggle to turn this into a quick game against UC Riverside. The under is 6-2 in UC Riverside's last 8 road games. I projected this one at 123 or 124 points, so I like the value here. Look for this one to be played in the halfcourt. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-11-11 | Atlanta Falcons v. Carolina Panthers OVER 47 | 31-23 | Win | 100 | 47 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Play of the Week* Carolina has shown they have the ability to move the football against just about everyone this year. The Atlanta defense isn't very good against the pass, and Cam Newton should have some success against them. On the other side, the Panthers defense is allowing 27 points per game. The Panthers lost two defensive tackles last week, and that will certainly hurt the run defense. Matt Ryan and the Falcons offense chewed up this unit in the first meeting this year, and I expect them to do the same this time. Look for both offenses to move it with ease here. Take the over. | |||||||
12-11-11 | New England Patriots v. Washington Redskins OVER 48 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 47 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NFL Total Domination* The New England Patriots offense had a brief period where they struggled a few weeks ago, but they are back in a big way of late. The Patriots have scored at least 31 points in four straight games. The Redskins defense gave up 34 points against the Jets last week, and I suspect they'll struggle against Brady and the Pats. Rex Grossman has Santana Moss back, and the Patriots secondary ranks dead last in the league in pass defense. Washington should be able to move the ball and score. Also, Grossman always has the potential to throw a pick-six at any time. The over is 23-8 in New England's last 31. Take the over. | |||||||
12-10-11 | Wake Forest v. Seton Hall OVER 144 | 54-68 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 19 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Wake Forest isn't a very good team, but they definitely like to run and push the pace. The Demon Deacons aren't good at all defensively, and they will certainly give up several easy layups. Both Seton Hall and Wake Forest get to the free throw line quite often, and I expect points from the charity stripe to pile up in this one. Neither team will be looking to slow down the pace, and that is important in helping a game get over the posted total. I think this has a good chance of hitting 150. Take the over. | |||||||
12-10-11 | Clemson v. Arizona UNDER 126.5 | 47-63 | Win | 100 | 13 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Bookie Beatdown* Clemson has had a completely change in philosophy under Coach Brownell. Brownell's Tigers use up the shot clock and play great halfcourt defense. Arizona doesn't have Derrick Williams and the Wildcats are definitely feeling the pain offensively this year. The Wildcats still have length and athleticism, but they struggle to score against the top defenses. I think this game will be a showcase of two very good defenses that are just a little bit ahead of the offenses. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-10-11 | Army v. Navy UNDER 57.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 97 h 35 m | Show | |
*3 Star Army/Navy Total DOMINATION* It's the final game of the regular season. These two might not be the best football teams in the land, but they are bitter rivals on the field, and it is always a great game to watch. Army and Navy are full of young guys who fight to the bitter end. The posted total here is set quite high because both defenses have struggled against the run this year, but I think this gives us a nice opportunity to bet on the under. Both of these teams practice every day against the triple option, which gives them an advantage to stopping the opponent in this game. In addition, both of these offenses have struggled mightily in the red zone this year. Don't be surprised if both teams move it between the 20's and then stall out. The under is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-10-11 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Northern Iowa UNDER 122.5 | 51-67 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Northern Iowa's scores have been a little higher this year, but it has simply been because the Panthers have been shooting lights out from beyond the arc. Wisconsin-Milwaukee is actually a pretty solid defensive team, and I don't think the Panthers will knock down everything in this one. Look for the pace to stay slow since both teams like to play at a slow pace on a normal basis. I projected this one at 116 or 117 points. It won't be pretty, but I like the under here. | |||||||
12-10-11 | Butler v. Ball State UNDER 123.5 | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Butler isn't the same team it was last year. The Bulldogs simply don't have the offensive leaders they have had in recent years. The Bulldogs must make the game sloppy to have a chance to win. Ball State is a solid defensive team, especially at home. I don't see either team looking to speed up the tempo in this one. I think there is a good chance this one stays in the 115 to 120 range. Look for this one to be played in the halfcourt and the shooting numbers to be below par. Take the under. | |||||||
12-10-11 | UNLV v. Wisconsin UNDER 126 | 51-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* No one slows the game down better than the Wisconsin Badgers. Bo Ryan's team doesn't have the offensive firepower to keep up with UNLV, but they definitely have the defense to win this matchup. Look for the Badgers to turn this into a halfcourt game like they managed to against North Carolina. Only one Wisconsin game has gone above this posted total all season, and that finished at 129. The under is 6-1 in Wisconsin's last 7 games. I projected this at 121 points. Take the under here. | |||||||
12-09-11 | Rider v. Florida OVER 155 | 69-90 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Play of the Day* The Rider Broncs play at one of the fastest paces of any team in basketball. Rider also has one of the worst defensive teams in the country. The Broncs are absolutely horrible at guarding beyond the three-point line. Opponents are shooting 42.3% from beyond the arc. Florida is a great three-point shooting team, and they love to shoot from long range. The Gators will be gunning three pointers in this one, and I'm suspecting many of them will be wide open looks. Rider also allows second chance points in bunches, and the Gators should take advantage. I think Florida will top 90 points in this one. Look for this one to get to around 160. Take the over. | |||||||
12-07-11 | Wright State v. Air Force UNDER 120 | Top | 34-55 | Win | 100 | 21 h 51 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Total* Wright State lost a lot of talent from last year's squad. Coach Donlin has decided that the best way for the Raiders to stay in the game this year is to slow the tempo down and rely on their defense. Air Force has perenially been one of the slowest paced teams in the country, and I definitely don't see them speeding this game up. Neither team shoots the ball particularly well, and that should be magnified by the solid defense that I expect both teams to play in this one. I projected this one at 114 or 115. I like the under big here. | |||||||
12-07-11 | Cal St-Fullerton v. Utah OVER 138.5 | 81-50 | Loss | -108 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Tempo Total* Cal State Fullerton pushes the pace very well and I don't expect Utah to stop that. The Titans really like to get out in transition at every opportunity. Utah has shown that they have virtually no defense this year. The Utes are giving up 81 points per game this season. Utah isn't a very good offensive team, but I do expect them to get some easy looks against a poor Cal State Fullerton defense. I projected this game at about 143 or 144. Look for this one to finish above the posted total. | |||||||
12-07-11 | Iona v. Denver UNDER 141.5 | 80-78 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Iona pushes the tempo and they can definitely fill it up, but I really think this total is set too high. Denver is terrific at slowing the game down to a crawl. The Pioneers will milk the shot clock on every trip in this game. Iona has only played two games on the road this year, and I expect this to be their toughest road test yet. The under is 5-2 in Denver's last 7 home games. I projected this total at 136 points. Look for the home team to control the tempo enough to keep this one under the posted total. | |||||||
12-07-11 | Virginia Tech v. Rhode Island UNDER 136.5 | 78-67 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* Rhode Island is an interesting team this year. The Rams look to push the pace, but they are very inefficient offensively. The Rams have burned me a couple times on the 'over' this year, and I think this is actually a good spot to play the under. Virginia Tech plays strong defense, and they will do their best to slow this game down. Don't expect Rhode Island to get many open looks in this game. On the other hand, Virginia Tech really doesn't have many big scorers. I like this one to stay under the total. | |||||||
12-07-11 | Colorado St v. Duke OVER 149 | 64-87 | Win | 100 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Colorado St/Duke Total Takedown* Colorado State ranks first in all of college basketball in three-point percentage. The Rams manage to knock down 46% of their attempted three's. Duke's three-point defense has been mediocre this year, and the Rams should knock down some shots in this one. On the other side, Duke's offense will be looking for a bounce back after their bad loss to Ohio State last week. The Rams defense has been giving up big points to everyone this year, and I think Duke could really rack up the points in this one. Take the over. | |||||||
12-06-11 | Hawaii v. Pacific UNDER 136 | 54-64 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night Total* Hawaii and Pacific are meeting for the second time already this year. The first meeting came at Hawaii, where the Warriors pushed the pace and won 75-70. There were also more than 50 free throws attempted in that game. Pacific wishes to play a slower paced game, and I expect them to do that one their home court Tuesday night. The oddsmakers put the total at 131 in the first meeting, and that is where this one should be. The value has quickly turned to the under here. Look for this one to stay under the total. | |||||||
12-06-11 | Long Beach State v. Kansas OVER 141.5 | 80-88 | Win | 100 | 24 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Long Beach State has been going out and playing a ton of powerful teams this year, and they have acquitted themselves very nicely. The 49ers are most comfortable in the open floor pushing the pace. Kansas has been running more than normal this year. The Jayhawks are averaging 83 points per game at home. Long Beach State isn't a very good team defensively, and I fully expect Kansas to dominate in the paint. The over is 10-1 in Long Beach State's last 11 road games. I think this one could top 150. Take the over big in this one. | |||||||
12-06-11 | Evansville v. North Carolina OVER 152.5 | 48-97 | Loss | -108 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals TKO* North Carolina is very good at controlling the tempo of a game, especially at home. Evansville is the type of team that generally plays to the pace of their opponent, which won't be good for them in this contest. The Purple Aces defense has been horrendous this year, so I expect North Carolina to get plenty of open looks. North Carolina should get out in transition early and often in this one. The over is 5-1 in Evansville's last 6 games. I had this one projected at 156 or 157. Take the over. | |||||||
12-05-11 | Brown v. Providence OVER 143.5 | 49-80 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Domination* Providence is a team that likes to use its athleticism by pushing the basketball at every opportunity. The Friars have big guys who can run the floor, and they get out in transition at every opportunity. Brown plays much faster than the average team in the Ivy League, and in a non-conference game like this they should be comfortable. Neither team is particularly strong on the defensive end of the floor. These teams got together last year and scored 155 points. The over is 20-8 in the Friars last 28 home games. Take the over. |
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