Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-27-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 201 | 90-87 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA on ABC BEATDOWN* The Lakers and the Thunder will meet for just the second time this year on Sunday. The first meeting ended at 195. If you look at the last ten meetings between these two teams, only one of them has gone over this posted total of 201 points. They have pretty consistently finished in the 190's. The Lakers won't get into an all-out track meet with the Thunder, and the size advantage of the Lakers will help them slow down OKC's drives to the basket. This is also an early game on Sunday, which makes it a stronger under play for me. I like the under here. | |||||||
02-26-11 | Boise State v. Nevada OVER 144 | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Boise State Broncos are a team that likes to push the tempo and force turnovers with their defensive pressure. Nevada also likes to push the pace, and they turn it over quite often. Boise should be able to get quite a few easy layups in this one, but I also think Nevada will get plenty of open looks on the offensive end due to Boise State's poor halfcourt defense. Nevada averages 76 points per game at home, and Boise State is allowing 72 points per game on the road. The over is 8-3 in Nevada's last 11 home games. The over is 8-0 in the last 8 meetings between these two teams in Nevada. Take the over. | |||||||
02-26-11 | Montana State v. Portland State OVER 143.5 | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Totals Winner* The Portland State Vikings have been a terrific offensive team at home this year. They average 77 points per game at home. Montana State has given up at least 74 points in four of their last six contests. These two met earlier this year and the total finished at 139, but Montana State was 6-22 from the free throw line. It's hard to imagine they'd shoot that poorly again from the line, and both teams have sped up their tempo over the last few weeks. I think this one has a good chance to get up to about 150 points. I like the value on the over in this game. | |||||||
02-26-11 | Idaho v. Utah State UNDER 127 | 68-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Revenge Spot Total* The Utah State Aggies lost to Idaho a couple weeks ago. That is their only WAC loss in the last 35 games. I am sure that Utah State will be primed for this game. Utah State gets after defensively at home, and they have a very difficult environment to play in. The crowd will make it tough on Idaho in this one. Idaho put up 64 points on Utah State at home, but I think Idaho will struggle to reach 55 in this one. Both teams like the pace to be slow, and the game should be played in the halfcourt. Revenge is on the mind of the Utah State Aggies, and I think that will show up most in their defensive effort in this game. Take the under. | |||||||
02-26-11 | Troy v. Florida Intl. OVER 154 | 76-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star Track Meet Total* When Troy and Florida International get together tonight, it should be an absolute track meet. The Troy Trojans love to run, and Florida International plays faster than anyone else in the Sun Belt. The over is 15-4 in Florida International's 19 lined games this year. The over is also 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. I think this one gets to the upper 150's. Take the over. | |||||||
02-26-11 | UAB v. Houston UNDER 130.5 | 68-55 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Conference USA Crusher* The UAB Blazers are probably the best defensive team in the conference, and they also are very good at controlling the tempo. This Houston team is far different than they were a year ago. The Cougars are a fairly slow team as well, and their offense isn't that good. They rely heavily on the three-point shot, and UAB defends beyond the arc very well. Cameron Moore is UAB's second leading scorer, and he is expected to miss this game. The under is 4-1 in UAB's last 5. The under is 4-1 in Houston's last 5 home games. Take the under in this one. | |||||||
02-26-11 | George Mason v. Georgia State UNDER 129 | 65-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The George Mason Patriots are playing great basketball right now. This is senior night for Georgia State, and that always helps the home team play with some extra passion. Georgia State only allows 64 points per game, and they generally do a nice job of slowing the game down. George Mason isn't a team that runs, but they do shoot the ball well. I think George Mason is due for a bit of a letdown after some key wins of late, which could help Georgia State hang around for a while in this one. These two have a nice history of playing low scoring games against each other. The under is 8-0 in their last 8 meetings. Take the under. | |||||||
02-26-11 | Dartmouth v. Brown OVER 138.5 | 76-100 | Win | 100 | 4 h 15 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ivy League Bookie BASHER* The Brown Bears love to push the tempo, and they have been able to make just about everyone in the Ivy League run with them. Dartmouth is a very bad team, but they have picked up their tempo quite a bit over the last couple weeks. These teams met a month ago and Brown won 75-66. That game went over the posted total despite the teams shooting 42% and 40% from the floor. The 3 point shooting percentages were 20% and 27% that game. I think Brown will push the pace in this game, and I think Dartmouth will allow lots of wide open looks. Brown has had just one game lower than this posted total in their last eight games. Take the over. | |||||||
02-26-11 | California v. Oregon State OVER 145.5 | 87-76 | Win | 100 | 3 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pac 10 Bookie Beatdown* The Cal Golden Bears have made it their mantra to push the tempo over the second half of the season. Oregon State has been trying to push the tempo all year long. The problem for Oregon State is they just aren't a good shooting team. I think they'll shoot better today against a Cal defense that isn't nearly as good away from home. In their last five games, Cal is allowing 81 points per game on average. The over is 8-0-1 in Cal's last 9 road games. I like the pace to stay quick all the way through in this one, and I think this posted total is set too low. Take the over. | |||||||
02-26-11 | St Bonaventure v. St. Joseph's UNDER 131.5 | 65-79 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star A 10 Totals Takedown* The St. Joe's Hawks are a terrible offensive team this year. They have finally started to realize later in the year that they must slow the pace down if they are going to have a chance to win. St. Bonaventure has struggled offensively on the road this year. The Bonnies average just 62 points per game on the road. St. Joe's averages just 64 points per game on their home court. The under is 18-7-1 in St. Bonnie's last 26 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in St. Joe's last 4 home games. The under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two teams. Take the under. | |||||||
02-26-11 | NC-Greensboro v. Davidson OVER 150 | 67-78 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Terrorizer* The Davidson Wildcats have some seniors who have done a lot while they were at this program, and today is their final game at home. UNC Greensboro beat Davidson in the first matchup this year, and I fully expect Davidson to be fired up and want revenge in this one. Davidson shoots a lot of three-pointers, and UNCG is not good at defending beyond the arc. I expect Davidson to get ahead and knock down a lot of three's. UNC Greensboro plays at a frenzied pace, and they do a lot of fouling. I think this will be an up and down type of game and I like it to get over the posted total. | |||||||
02-26-11 | Georgia Tech v. North Carolina State OVER 138.5 | 74-79 | Win | 100 | 2 h 2 m | Show | |
02-26-11 | Nebraska v. Iowa State OVER 129 | 82-83 | Win | 100 | 3 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 12 Total Takedown* The Nebraska Cornhuskers certainly play at a slow pace, but they aren't nearly as good at controlling the tempo on the road. Iowa State is a team that likes to get out in transition, especially at home. Iowa State is averaging 79 points per game this year on their home floor. Nebraska allows 69 points per game on the road. The first meeting between these two finished at 125, but the shooting numbers were very low and there weren't many free throws taken. As long as both teams don't shoot terribly from the floor, I think this game makes it safely over the posted total. | |||||||
02-25-11 | Utah Jazz v. Indiana Pacers OVER 207.5 | 95-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 32 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF NBA Play of the Day* The Indiana Pacers have adapted to a new style of play under coach Frank Vogel. Vogel has the team running and it has been highly successful. Indiana is 7-3 in their last 10 games, and the offense has hit at least 100 points in each of those 10 games. How much have the been pushing the pace? In 8 of their last 9 games they have put up at least 81 shots. This will be Devin Harris and Derrick Favors first game with the Jazz and I expect they will both be buoyed by playing in a faster paced system than what they had in New Jersey. I think Indiana will push the issue here, and Utah's defense just isn't very good right now. I like the over in this one. | |||||||
02-24-11 | Portland v. San Diego UNDER 130 | 65-61 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Late Night Totals Takedown* The San Diego Toreros picked up a huge win over St. Mary's last week. This San Diego team has improved remarkably from the beginning of the season. San Diego knows that in order to win games they must avoid getting into a fast paced game. Portland shoots the three ball well, but San Diego does well defensively against the three. Portland doesn't shoot the ball as well away from home, and I expect San Diego to make this a grind it out type of game. The under is 5-1 in Portland's last 6 road games. The under is 4-1 in San Diego's last 5 home games. I like the under in this one. | |||||||
02-24-11 | Pacific v. UC Riverside UNDER 122.5 | 57-51 | Win | 100 | 10 h 46 m | Show | |
*3 Star Late Night Total BAILOUT* These are two teams that really slow the game down, which will limit the possessions. In their first meeting, Pacific made a ridiculous 12 out of 18 three-pointers, and the game still only went over this total by ten points. There were also 49 free throws attempted in that game. I think the pace stays very slow here and UC Riverside plays much better on defense at home. UC Riverside has been struggling badly to score of late. They are averaging just 52.2 points per game in their last five games. I expect this to be a defensive battle that stays in the halfcourt. Take the under here. | |||||||
02-24-11 | UC Davis v. Cal Irvine OVER 151 | 87-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star West Coast Total Value* The UC Irvine Anteaters are one of my favorite teams to play an 'over' with. UC Irvine changed the way they play late last year and the oddsmakers still haven't completely caught up to them. The over is 20-9-3 in their last 32 games overall. What about their opponent in this game? UC Davis has been running and gunning this year in a big way. The over is 14-3 in their last 17 games overall. The first meeting between these two went into double overtime and the final was 108-107, but in regulation the score ended 86-86. The shooting percentages were good, but not extraordinary. The pace was breakneck, and that is exactly what I expect in this one. I think this is the type of game that has a solid chance of breaking 160 points. Take the over big here. | |||||||
02-24-11 | Florida Intl. v. Western Kentucky OVER 149.5 | 73-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sun Belt Special* The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers like to push the tempo, but they struggle with teams that press and play full court defense. FIU isn't a good team, but they can definitely force turnovers that lead to easy buckets. The first time these two got together the final was 81-78. The oddsmakers have never really caught up to Florida International's pace this year. The over is 14-4-1 in their 19 lined games this year. The over is 20-6 in their last 26 road games overall. The over is 18-8 in Western Kentucky's last 26 home games. The over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings between these teams. I like the over quite a bit in this one. | |||||||
02-24-11 | Elon v. Davidson OVER 145.5 | 75-83 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Totals TKO* The Elon Phoenix are a team that likes to push the tempo and they play terrible defense. Davidson has been pushing the tempo even more of late, and tonight I think they'll find plenty of open looks. Davidson often lives or dies by the three ball, and Elon is one of the worst teams in the nation when it comes to defending the three-point line. Elon beat Davidson 77-70 in their matchup earlier this year, and Davidson should be geared up for revenge. I think Davidson will put up 80 points or more here, and the pace will be such that the over is a solid play. I projected this one at 150 points. Take the over. | |||||||
02-23-11 | Air Force v. Wyoming UNDER 126 | 61-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Late Night BAILOUT* The Air Force Falcons definitely know how to slow the game down. Wyoming is a team that has all kinds of injury problems. The Cowboys have had a tendency to slow the game down at home, as evidenced by the 8-3 record to the under in their 11 lined home games this year. The first meeting between these two finished at 123 points, and Air Force shot 56.5% from the floor in that game. I think Wyoming's defense will hold Air Force down better in this one, and I think the tempo will be extremely slow. I had this one projected at 120, so I really like the value on the under. | |||||||
02-23-11 | Colorado St v. Brigham Young OVER 147.5 | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
*3 Star Track Meet Total* The BYU Cougars are great at pushing the pace, and they did it very effectively against Colorado State in their first meeting. BYU won the game 94-85. Colorado State probably would like to slow down some in this one, but I have a feeling they'll have to score quite a few points if they want to stay close at all in this game. Jimmer Fredette is banged up a little, but reports say he is a go and he looked good at practice yesterday. I think the line has been lowered primarily because of his injury news, which I think is overdone. Expect BYU and Fredette to continue their hot-shooting ways, and push this game over the posted total. | |||||||
02-23-11 | Oklahoma v. Texas A&M UNDER 129 | 47-61 | Win | 100 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 12 Total DOMINATION* The Texas A&M Aggies know how to play defense and control the tempo, especially at home. Oklahoma doesn't have the kind of play makers necessary to beat this Texas A&M defense on a consistent basis. These two have a nice history of playing low scoring games against one another. The under is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings overall. I expect this game to be played in the halfcourt and I think both teams will use up a lot of the shotclock on a consistent basis. I projected this one at 124 points. I like the under in this game. | |||||||
02-23-11 | Detroit Pistons v. Indiana Pacers OVER 202 | 101-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Indiana Pacers have sped up since new coach Frank Vogel took over. Indiana has put up at least 82 shots in six of their last seven games, and the over is 6-1 during that time. Detroit is a team that struggles to score on the road, but I think that has been accounted for in this line. These teams played last week (Overtime game) and in regulation they put up 208 points. Despite the fact that the game went into overtime, the total number of free throws taken was just 35. I expect more trips to the line, and I expect the Pacers to be the team that dictates the tempo in this game. I like this one to get over the posted total. | |||||||
02-23-11 | Eastern Michigan v. Ball State UNDER 126.5 | 49-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Total Value* The Ball State Cardinals like to control the tempo of the game, and they are especially good at doing that on their home floor. It doesn't hurt that Ball State can really put the clamps down on defense at home, where they allow just 58.9 points per game. Eastern Michigan averages just 60 points per game this year. These teams met earlier this season and the final was 60-51. The shooting percentages in that game weren't good, so this one could be a little higher scoring, but I still think the value is on the under at this number. Take the under here. | |||||||
02-23-11 | Miami (Fla) v. Boston College OVER 140 | 73-64 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Total SMASHER* The Boston College Eagles are a completely different team on their home floor. Boston College averages 77 points per game, and they allow 72.5 per game at home. BC speeds up the tempo and they are extremely efficient offensively at home. Miami is a team that can get offensive rebounds quite often, and BC is weak on the defensive glass. Expect Miami to get plenty of second chance opportunities. These teams met earlier this year and the final was 72-71. The posted total in that game was 147, so we are getting 7 points better value on this game. There were only 27 free throws taken in the first meeting, so I expect more contributions from the charity stripe in this one. I like the over here. | |||||||
02-23-11 | Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 122 | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 10 Totals Takedown* The Wisconsin Badgers are my single favorite team to play an 'under' with. Wisconsin bleeds the clock better than anyone else in basketball, and today they face an opponent who plays exactly the same way. Michigan is all about using the shot clock and keeping the game in the 50's. These two met earlier and the total finished at 116, and the shooting percentages weren't too bad. Michigan's defense is much better at home, and Wisconsin doesn't shoot as well on the road. I think this is the type of game where 56-58 points may well win the game. Take the under. | |||||||
02-22-11 | Tennessee v. Vanderbilt OVER 143 | 60-51 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 49 m | Show | |
*3 Star Vanderbilt/Tennessee Totals TAKEDOWN* The Vanderbilt Commodores are a different team on their home floor. Vanderbilt is averaging 83 points per game at home, and they shoot very well on their home court. Tennessee badly needs a win and I expect Pearl's team to come out ready to play in this one. The Volunteers will have to put up some points if they hope to stay in this game. The matchup between these two earlier this year stayed under, but the team's shot 35% and 41% from the floor. Expect some better shooting percentages and physical play leading to plenty of free throws here. I like the over in this game. | |||||||
02-22-11 | Indiana St v. Northern Iowa UNDER 126.5 | 76-74 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Totals Winner* The Northern Iowa Panthers suffered a heartbreaking loss to George Mason on Saturday. Northern Iowa was the biggest Cinderella story in March last year, but this team has struggled more than expected this year. They are 10-6 in the conference, which is tied with Indiana State. Northern Iowa won't make it back to March Madness unless they win the MVC Tournament. I think the Panthers have a lot of guys with a lot of pride, and they will be playing their final home game tonight. What will this mean for this game? I expect it to mean that UNI will ramp up the defense in a big way. They only allow 58 ppg at home normally, and I expect Indiana State to struggle to get to that mark. Indiana State has some injuries and Northern Iowa should be able to control the tempo here. Take the under. | |||||||
02-22-11 | Houston Rockets v. Detroit Pistons OVER 200.5 | 108-100 | Win | 100 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Houston Rockets are pushing the pace better than just about anyone else in the NBA right now. Detroit is a team that has some amazing home/away splits on scoring. The over is 21-8 in Detroit's 30 home games and the under is 19-9 in their 28 away games. The Pistons are at home here, and they should be able to put up points against a poor Rockets defense. At the same time, the Rockets have guys like Kevin Martin and Luis Scola, who could have a field day against the Pistons lackluster defense. Both teams are well-rested after the All-Star break and should be ready to put up points. I like the over. | |||||||
02-21-11 | Samford v. College of Charleston OVER 136 | 49-75 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The College of Charleston Cougars are a team I have followed closely this year. This is one of the most efficient offensive teams in the entire country. Andrew Goudelock is one of the best players you probably have never heard of. One thing that Charleston doesn't do well is defend the three-point shot, and since Samford shoots more three's than any other team in the nation, that bodes well for the over. Samford likes to slow the tempo down, but I think they'll get behind early and be forced to try to catch up. The over is 3-0 in Samford's last 3. The over is 4-0 in Charleston's last 4. Take the over in this one. | |||||||
02-21-11 | Western Carolina v. NC-Greensboro OVER 152 | 70-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 43 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* Neither one of these teams are very good at all, but they both love to run and push the tempo. Western Carolina has put up at least 80 points in each of their last three games. In their last three contests UNCG has allowed 87, 78, and 99 points. These two played earlier this month and the final total was 156 points. I think Greensboro will push the tempo even more on their home floor, but Western Carolina will have a big edge on the boards. Expect both teams to get up plenty of shots in this one. The over is 9-0 in UNCG's last 9 in the Southern Conference. I like the over in this matchup. | |||||||
02-20-11 | UCLA v. California OVER 142.5 | 72-76 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The UCLA Bruins are an interesting team this year. UCLA is a team that can play to the pace it wishes based upon the game plan each time out. UCLA has been more than happy to run against teams like Arizona, Cal, BYU, and Washington State so far this year. California is a team that really pushes the tempo, especially on their home floor. The over is 40-18-1 in their last 59 home games. Cal has forced teams like USC and Oregon into very high scoring games at home already this year. I think UCLA will be fine with running in this one, and I think both teams will get to the line often. The over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams. I like the value on the over. | |||||||
02-20-11 | Cleveland State v. Old Dominion UNDER 125.5 | 63-74 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 54 m | Show | |
*3 Star BracketBuster Total Takedown* Cleveland State is a pretty efficient team on offense, but they haven't played a team this year that can control the pace as well as Old Dominion can. The Monarchs are great defensively, especially at home where they allow only 55 points per game. The over is 5-0-1 in Cleveland State's last 6, but the primary reason for that is they have shot the ball extremely well, rather than them pushing the pace. I think their shooting percentage will be much lower Sunday against Old Dominion. The Monarchs are looking to prove a point here, and they probably need to win this game to be on the right side of the NCAA Tournament bubble. I expect the defensive intensity to be high here. Take the under. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Detroit v. Drake OVER 141.5 | 76-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star Totals TAKEDOWN* The Detroit Titans have really turned into a nice team to play the 'over' with. Detroit has decided to push the tempo constantly and take the ball to the hoop with authority. The over is 18-7-1 in their last 26 games, including 12-4-2 in their last 18 non-conference games. The over is 10-4 in Drake's lats 14 non-conference games. Many Missouri Valley teams slow Drake down, but Detroit will run, and I think Drake will be ok with that. This should be a good chance for both teams to put up quite a few points. I like the over. | |||||||
02-19-11 | New Hampshire v. Marist UNDER 123 | 49-58 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show | |
*3 Star Oddsmaker Line Error* Marist is a terrible basketball team, and they are missing several key contributors right now. New Hampshire is a very good defensive team (they gave UConn a tough fight earlier this year) and they can really control the tempo. Only one of New Hampshire's last ten games has gone over this posted total, which is especially impressive since they have had two overtime games during that period. Marist doesn't have the star power to push the pace here, and New Hampshire will want to play a ball control type of game. I like this one to be a very low scoring game. Take the under. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Davidson v. Presbyterian UNDER 130 | 71-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star Totals Terrorizer* Presbyterian only knows one pace to play the game at, and that is very slow. Davidson typically runs, but they play in a Southern Conference with tons of teams that run. Presbyterian should know that their best chance to win this game is to slow the game down. I think the home crowd and the competitive nature of this game should help the tempo stay slow. Presbyterian badly wants a big win to hang their hats on, and they know they need to play slowly to get that win. Take the under. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Maine v. Siena OVER 140 | 60-71 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The Siena Saints are a team that likes to push the tempo of the game. Maine is a team that likes to run as well, but inside the American East conference they rarely get the chance to do so. This is a unique game for them in which they will be able to open up and run against a team with a poor defense. Siena has had quite a few injury problems this year, and this is one of the first times they will have everyone healthy and ready to go. I expect the tempo to be quick here, and the close game should bring plenty of free throw opportunities. Take the over. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Loyola Marymount v. Portland State OVER 144.5 | 75-84 | Win | 100 | 4 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star BracketBuster Total Value* The Loyola-Marymount Lions have struggled much of the year, but they play in a tough conference. Portland State has struggled this year, and they play in a very weak conference. I expect Loyola-Marymount to win this game and put up a lot of points. Portland State allows easy buckets very frequently, and they like to push the tempo of the game. The over is 21-7 in Portland State's last 28 Saturday games. The over is 6-2 in Loyola's last 8 road games. Take the over. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Ball State v. Wofford UNDER 136.5 | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tempo Total* The Ball State Cardinals are very good at controlling the pace of the game. They like to run the shot clock down and play stingy defense. Wofford is a team that generally adjusts to the tempo of their opponent. Most of Wofford's opponents in the Southern Conference play fast, but that won't be the case with Ball State today. Unless both teams hit a very high percentage from three I don't see this one getting to this posted total. I like the under. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Loyola (Md.) v. Towson OVER 143.5 | 75-57 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Totals GEM* The Towson Tigers are a team I really like to play the 'over' with. Towson is the type of team that likes to push the tempo, especially if their opponent plays that way as well. Loyola-Maryland is a team that can put up quite a few points. The over is 6-3 in Loyola's 9 road games this year. The over is 11-5 in Towson's last 16 home games. I like the over. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Cal State Fullerton v. Idaho State OVER 141.5 | 79-84 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star Obscure Over* Not many people will be paying attention to this game, but that allows us to find a nice value here. Idaho State is a team that has decided to speed up the tempo quite a bit over their last few games, which bodes well for the over in this one. CS Fullerton plays at a breakneck pace, and they simply don't know how to play any other way. Fullerton is giving up 78 points per game on the road, and Idaho State is allowing 78 points per game over the last five games. I like this one to get safely over the posted total. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Princeton v. Brown OVER 133.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star Ivy League Totals Winner* It isn't too often that I play an Ivy League total, but I like the value on this one. These two played earlier this year and the total finished at 138. If you look at the box score of that game, the shooting percentages weren't that high, and there weren't that many free throws taken. Princeton has the ability to score much more than they have in recent years, and Brown is probably the fastest paced team in the Ivy League. Brown should push this one enough to where we get the over. I like this one to finish up near 140. Take the over. | |||||||
02-19-11 | South Dakota State v. Oakland OVER 166.5 | 96-105 | Win | 100 | 2 h 9 m | Show | |
*3 Star Track Meet Total* These two teams met earlier this year and the final was 97-88. While I'm not sure they'll be able to match that total, I do think they'll once again have a very high scoring game. Oakland is one of the fastest paced teams in the nation, and South Dakota State isn't too far behind. Both teams hit three-pointers at a very high rate. Last meeting there weren't many free throws, and I would expect to see more today. Both meetings between these two last year also topped 170, so this is familiar territory for these teams when they meet. Take the over in this one. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Cal Irvine v. Nevada OVER 152 | 63-74 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 5 m | Show | |
*3 Star BracketBuster Scoreboard Buster* The UC Irvine Anteaters have decided to push the tempo like crazy this year. The oddsmakers still haven't caught up to UC Irvine. The over is 20-8-3 in their last 31 games overall, including 11-5-1 in their last 17 road games. Nevada is much better offensively at home, and the over is 8-1 in their last 9 home games. UC Irvine's defense will be one of the worst Nevada has faced this year, which should mean big games for guys like Hunt and Czyz. UC Irvine will keep running and gunning throughout, and both teams do plenty of fouling as well. I think this one has a good chance to get up to 160, so I really like the value on the over. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Jacksonville State v. Eastern Michigan UNDER 123 | 60-63 | Push | 0 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star BracketBuster Ugly Under* This has all the makings of a very ugly game. Neither team is efficient at all on the offensive end, and they both have a tendency to go into long slumps. Brandon Bowdry is a great player for E. Michigan, but they don't really have another good option offensively. Jacksonville State has struggled all year to score on the road, and I think that will be the case again today. Take the under. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Delaware State v. Tennessee St. UNDER 132 | 63-78 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star BracketBuster Totals Terrorizer* The Delaware State Hornets are noted for their ability to slow down the game, and Tennesee State is not a team that pushes the pace nearly as much as they used to. I think this is the type of game where both teams run the shot clock and get a difficult shot at the end of the clock. I like the under in this one. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Georgia State v. Louisiana Tech UNDER 126.5 | 45-51 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden Gem Total* I really believe this has the potential to be a very low scoring game. Georgia State has put up 33,48, and 43 points in games in the last few weeks and they are often lost on the offensive end. Louisiana Tech is missing their point guard, and without him they have struggled offensively as well. The under is 5-1 in Georgia State's last 6 road games. The under is 4-0 in La. Tech's last 4 home games. I like this one to stay under the posted total by a comfortable margin. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Tulsa v. Southern Methodist UNDER 127.5 | 74-66 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star CUSA Bookie CRUSHER* These two teams met earlier this year and the final was 59-58. SMU has found a way to pick up quite a few wins this year, and it has been by stalling on offense and playing solid defense. They have easily become the slowest paced team in the conference. They allow just 59 points per game at home, and Tulsa is scoring just 64 per game on the road. The under is 6-0 in Tulsa's last 6 road games. The under is 3-0-1 in SMU's last 4 games. I had this one projected at about 120. I like this one to stay well under the posted total. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Central Michigan v. Niagara UNDER 124.5 | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
*3 Star Early Bird Total* The Niagara Purple Eagles and the Central Michigan Chippewas are two of the worst offenses in all of basketball. The under is 16-7 in C. Michigan's games and the under is 15-9 in Niagara's games this year. The under is an amazing 12-1 in Central Michigan's 13 road games. You won't want to watch this game, but I like the value on the under. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Missouri v. Iowa State OVER 156 | 76-70 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
*3 Star Full Court Press* Both of these teams like to press and push the tempo at every opportunity. Earlier this year Iowa State lost 87-54 to Missouri, and I have a feeling they'll be looking for revenge here. Iowa State is much better on their home floor, and I expect a good game this time around. The Cyclones shot 27% last time, and Missouri only shot 43.6% despite scoring 87 points. I like the over. | |||||||
02-19-11 | Virginia Tech v. Virginia Cavaliers UNDER 125 | 54-61 | Win | 100 | 2 h 45 m | Show | |
02-17-11 | UMKC v. Western Illinois UNDER 121 | 66-61 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The UMKC Kangaroos (yes they actually are the Kangaroos) are a team that prefers to play the game at a slow pace, but they have often been forced into a faster pace by their foes in the Summit League. Western Illinois is the slowest paced team in the league, and they will want to make this a halfcourt game. Both teams are most comfortable in this type of game, so I think that is what we will see in this one. The first time these two met this year the final was 55-46, and the total number of shots from the floor was only 92. The under is 22-8-1 in Western Illinois' last 31 games overall. I think this will be an ugly game that stays close and low-scoring throughout. Take the under. | |||||||
02-16-11 | Nebraska v. Oklahoma UNDER 127 | 59-58 | Win | 100 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 12 Bookie BEATDOWN* The Nebraska Cornhuskers are a fairly good team this year, and they are very good at controlling the tempo of the game. Oklahoma is without a real star this year, and while this team scraps and hustles, it is difficult for them to put up a lot of points. Nebraska is one of the better defenses in the league, and they should keep this game in the halfcourt. Neither team gets to the line very often at all, which is certainly helpful to the cause. The under is 10-2-1 in Oklahoma's last 13 home games. I think this one stays around 120. I like the under. | |||||||
02-16-11 | Indiana St v. Southern Illinois UNDER 123.5 | 77-72 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
*3 Star Missouri Valley Totals TAKEDOWN* The Southern Illinois Salukis are a team that is very limited on the offensive end. The way that they can stay competitive in games right now is to clamp down on the defensive end, which they do pretty well at home. The Indiana State Sycamores will be without one of their leading scorers, Jake Kelly, in this game. These two teams have a nice history of slowing things down when they play each other. The under is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings between these two. I like this one to stay under the posted total. | |||||||
02-16-11 | Iona v. Manhattan OVER 136.5 | 102-65 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The Iona Gaels have earned the distinction as the fastest paced team in the MAAC. Iona pushes the pace and forces you to keep up with their ability to score. They are averaging 62 shots per game in their last four games, which shows you how effectively they push the tempo. Manhattan is an interesting team because I successfully played some 'unders' with them earlier this year, but they appear to be playing to the opponent's pace of late. Last game against Siena they put up 84 points in a big home win. In their meeting against Iona last time, they lost 85-67. I expect Iona to get a lead early in this game, which will keep Manhattan from slowing this one down. I like the over. | |||||||
02-16-11 | Youngstown State v. Detroit OVER 148 | 79-91 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
*3 Star Horizon Hot Total* The Detroit Titans are coming off a couple tough road losses to Valpo and Butler. Detroit thrives on their ability to push the tempo and get to the basket. They have a perfect opponent in this game to try to regroup against. Youngstown State is a very poor road team (0-12) and Youngstown is allowing 80 points per game on the road. The over is 10-2 in Detroit's 12 home games this year. The over is 7-4 in Youngstown's last 11 road games. Expect Detroit to take out some frustration in this one and put up a lot of points. I like the over. | |||||||
02-16-11 | St. Louis v. St. Bonaventure UNDER 125 | 73-83 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The St. Louis Billikens control the tempo better than anyone else in the Atlantic 10, and St. Bonaventure is really a team that likes to slow things down this year as well. This is the type of game that I see being played in the halfcourt, with neither team putting up more tahn 50 shots or so from the floor. The under is 4-0 in St. Bonaventure's last 4 games. The under is 5-2 in St. Louis' last 7 games on the road. I like this one to stay under the posted total. | |||||||
02-15-11 | New Orleans Hornets v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 202.5 | 89-102 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Golden State Warriors aren't quite the run and gun team they were the last couple years. Keith Smart has his team focuses a little more on defense and getting a solid look on the offensive end. New Orleans is one of the best defenses in the NBA, and they will do everything they can to slow the tempo of the game down. These two teams met in Golden State on January 26 and the final was 112-103. Take a look at the box score though and you'll see that the Hornets shot 62% in that game. Golden State also shot 51%. I'm counting on the teams reverting to a normal shooting percentage in this game. Last game the over/under was set at 198, so we are getting a nice value on the under. The under is 6-1 in Golden State's last 7. The under is 19-9 in New Orleans' last 28 road games. I like the under in this one. | |||||||
02-15-11 | Western Michigan v. Northern Illinois OVER 149.5 | 77-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 51 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Totals TAKEDOWN* The Western Michigan Broncos have really sped up their pace over the last few weeks. The 'over' is 15-5-1 in their 21 lined games this year, and it is 20-8 in their last 28 road games. Northern Illinois is a solid 'over' team because of their tendency to run and get to the foul line a lot, as well as their tendency to give up easy layups on a consistent basis. I expect quite a few trips to the line since both teams foul frequently. This game should be close the whole way, which should help push it over the posted total at the end. I like the over. | |||||||
02-15-11 | James Madison v. Towson OVER 149 | 72-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* The James Madison Dukes are a team that can score in bunches. The Dukes have several very good three-point shooters, which is perfect in this matchup since Towson is awful at guarding beyond the arc. James Madison put up 99 points on Towson in their first meeting. Towson is a team I like playing the 'over' with because of their tendency to run when given the opportunity, and their inability to get stops defensively. I think Towson will score at home, but I still think James Madison will get lots of uncontested shots. The over is 11-4 in Towson's last 15 home games. The over is 17-8 in JMU's last 25 road games. Take the over. | |||||||
02-15-11 | Delaware v. Northeastern UNDER 129 | 72-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The Delaware Blue Hens lost two of their top four players a couple weeks ago, and they have struggled on the offensive end since then. Northeastern has had eight straight games go over the posted total, which I think gives us a nice value on the 'under' in this one. The first time these two played the line was set at 124.5 and the final score was 54-52. This time we get a higher line and both teams still play at a very slow pace. Neither team gets to the line very often. I like this one to stay in the halfcourt and I like the under. | |||||||
02-15-11 | Miami (Fla) v. NC-Greensboro OVER 150.5 | 78-58 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The NC Greensboro Spartans have decided to start playing a helter skelter style of basketball. It has helped them win five of their last nine games overall. Miami is a team that plays against a lot of tough defenses in the ACC, and I think they'll love going up against this Greensboro defense that will give up easy looks all night long. The over is 8-0 in Greensboro's last 8 games. The over is 3-0 in Miami's last 3. I think Greensboro will push the tempo right from the start and Miami will score in bunches. I like the over in this game. | |||||||
02-14-11 | Tennessee St. v. Tennessee Tech OVER 144 | 59-61 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Total* The Tennessee State Tigers give up 74.2 points per game on the road. Tennessee Tech is averaging 76.8 points per game on their home floor, but they also allow 77.5 points per game at home. These two met earlier this year and the total finished at 136, but the shooting percentages were terrible. I expect this matchup to bring a little higher shooting percentages, and more made free throws in what should be a hotly contested game. Both of these get to the line often, and both have solid shooting percentages for the season as a whole. I think this game gets to about 150, so I like the value on the over in this one. | |||||||
02-14-11 | Atlanta Hawks v. Detroit Pistons OVER 185.5 | 94-79 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The Atlanta Hawks have actually picked up the pace again of late, but their shooting percentages have been poor. They have shot just 40 and 41% in their last two games, but I expect that figure to improve against Detroit on Monday night. The Pistons are an interesting team in that they allow more points per game at home than they do on the road, but they also score much more at home. This has led to a record of 20-7 to the over at home for Detroit so far this year. Last time these two met the game was lined at 186.5 and it went under (183), but Atlanta was without Joe Johnson in that game. I like Atlanta to be able to put up at least 95 in this one, and Detroit has been able to put up points at home this year. I like the value on the over at this low number. | |||||||
02-14-11 | West Virginia v. Syracuse UNDER 133.5 | 52-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big Monday Total DOMINATION* The Big East is a stacked conference, and West Virginia and Syracuse are both in the middle of the logjam in the standings. Both teams need this win pretty badly. Both of these teams slow the tempo down and like to play a halfcourt style game. Neither team has good three-point shooters and neither team gets to the charity stripe that often. The Syracuse zone often forces the game to slow down and forces the opposition to try more threes than normal, which will likely force West Virginia out of their gameplan. The Mountaineers are only averaging 64.5 points per game on the road this year, and Syracuse gives up just 62.9 points per game. I look for this to be a game where the total shots from the floor stays around 100, and the teams keep the pace quite slow. I like the under. | |||||||
02-13-11 | Southern Illinois v. Creighton UNDER 126.5 | 50-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show | |
*3 Star ESPNU Total DOMINATION* The Southern Illinois Salukis are coming off a huge victory at Wichita State. They now travel to Creighton to take on the Blue Jays, who are 12-3 at home. Both of these teams are pretty good defensively, and they both play at a very slow tempo. The first time these two met this year the score was 72-66, but that was in overtime. In regulation the score was 57-57. Interestingly, despite the low score in that game both teams actually shot the ball pretty well from the floor. I expect the two defenses to be good tonight, and I expect this game to stay in the halfcourt. I like the under in this one. | |||||||
02-13-11 | Duke v. Miami (Fla) OVER 146 | 81-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
*3 Star Duke/Miami GUARANTEED Cash* The Duke Blue Devils actually average more points per game on the road than at home. Miami is a team in desperate need of a big win, and I think they'll come with their best effort tonight. Both teams get a lot of offensive rebounds, so their should be plenty of second chance opportunities in this one. These two only scored 137 in their first meeting, but both teams shot below their normal shooting percentages, and there weren't that many free throws taken. I expect a few more of the three-pointers to fall today, and I expect a very physical game with quite a few fouls. I like the value on the over in this game. | |||||||
02-13-11 | Los Angeles Lakers v. Orlando Magic UNDER 195 | 75-89 | Win | 100 | 13 h 29 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA on ABC Magic/Lakers SMASHER* The Los Angeles Lakers are playing great basketball on their current "Grammy" road trip. The Lakers have really stepped it up on the defensive end of late, which was key to their wins in Boston and New York. The under is 33-21 in the Lakers 54 games this year. The under is 35-14-2 in their last 51 Sunday games. The under is 5-0 in Orlando's last 5. The under is 35-15-1 in their last 51 Sunday games. Sunday afternoon games tend to be played at a bit slower pace, which I think will help this one stay under the posted total. I like both defenses to play well here. Take the under. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Long Beach State v. Cal St-Northridge OVER 149.5 | 79-62 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
*3 Star Late Night Totals TAKEDOWN* The Long Beach State 49ers have more offensive talent than any other team in the Big West. Long Beach State does give up a ton of easy layups on the defensive end. CS Northridge takes it to the basket well, but their defense is atrocious. The first time these two met they finished at 156, and I think that is a pretty solid projection for where this game might end as well. Neither team will be wanting to slow the game down here, and neither defense is capable of putting together too many stops in a row. I like the over. | |||||||
02-12-11 | UC Davis v. Pacific UNDER 130.5 | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star Bailout Total Special* The Pacific Tigers play slower than almost anyone in college basketball. At times, they shoot the three-ball extremely well and it pushes their game over the posted total. Last time these two teams met, Pacific hit 11 out of 17 three-pointers. I think its unlikely the Tigers will connect on such a ridiculously high percentage of three's again today. When these two met before the total was set at 123, so I think the line being so much higher here gives us a nice value on the under. Take the under and expect more normal shooting percentages here. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Fresno State v. Utah State UNDER 127.5 | Top | 55-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 38 m | Show |
*5 Star Top Play CRUSHER* The Utah State Aggies lost for the first time in conference play in more than a year this past week. I fully expect the Aggies to come out ready to prove a point in this game, and I think they'll prove their point on the defensive end. The last three times Utah State has played Fresno they have absolutely shut them down. Fresno State has scored 43, 39, and 39 points in their last three meetings with Utah State. Utah State is allowing only 55 points per game at home on the year. I think the pace stays slow here, and I think Fresno State will have to work to get any good looks at all. Utah State's defense should be impressive tonight. Take the under. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Jacksonville State v. Murray State UNDER 123 | 59-60 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Low Scoring Special* The Jacksonville State Gamecocks are horrible on the offensive end, especially on the road. This is at Murray State, and the Racers are allowing only 55.8 points per game at home. This is the type of game where Jacksonville State may struggle to get to 50 points. Murray State slows the tempo down much more than they used to, so I don't expect them to run up the score here. I like the under. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Evansville v. Bradley OVER 131.5 | 54-68 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 39 m | Show | |
*3 Star MVC Bookie CRUSHER* The Bradley Braves have decided to pick up the pace over the last few games, and it has actually helped them win a couple league games. Evansville is a team that has shown they are willing to run against teams that allow them to push the tempo. Both teams get to the foul line often, which should help our chances here. The over is 5-1 in Evansville's last 6 games. The over is 6-1 in Bradley's last 7. Last time these two met they scored 137, and I expect a similar final total in this one. I like the value on the over in this game. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Rice v. UAB UNDER 126.5 | 68-74 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star CUSA Cash Special* The UAB Blazers are a very solid team. I think UAB is dangerous because of their strong defense. In their last two games UAB held Tulane and Marshall, two pretty decent teams, to just 39 and 48 points respectively. Rice struggles mightily on the offensive end on the road (60.6 points per game on the road this year). The under is 34-16-2 in Rice's last 52 road games. The under is 11-5 in UAB's last 16 home games. I don't think Rice has the firepower to put up too many on UAB, and I expect a slow tempo. Take the under. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Tennessee Tech v. Tenn Martin OVER 146.5 | 85-71 | Win | 100 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar SMASHER* Tennessee-Martin is not a good team at all, but that doesn't keep them from pushing the tempo of the game. Tennessee Tech plays faster than anyone else in the OVC, so they will be glad to run and gun. Last time these two played the game went into triple overtime and I expect this one to be close as well. Both teams get to the line often, and both defenses give up a lot of easy layups. I like this one to get to at least 150. Take the over. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Oklahoma State v. Nebraska UNDER 127.5 | 54-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA Totals Terrorizer* The Nebraska Cornhuskers have been a terrific 'under' team at home the last couple years. The under is 26-9 in their last 35 home games. Oklahoma State isn't very strong offensively this year without James Anderson. The Cowboys are much more likely than in past years to get into a defensive battle. I think Nebraska slows this game down to a crawl, and both defenses step up to the task here. I like this one to stay around 120. Take the under. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Bowling Green v. Central Michigan UNDER 121 | 64-69 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 40 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Hidden GEM Total* The Central Michigan Chippewas aren't a team you'll want to watch, but they have been great to 'under' bettors this year. I prefer to play the under on their road games, but this number was such a nice value that I had to take the under in this one. Neither team pushes the tempo at all, and both are very bad offensively. The under is 16-5 in Central Michigan's last 21 games overall. Expect a halfcourt game with some ugly shooting numbers. I like the under. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Utah v. Brigham Young OVER 152 | 59-72 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show | |
*3 Star Total DOMINATION* The BYU Cougars can score points in bunches, and Utah is a perfect team for them to light up the scoreboard against. The Utes like to push the tempo, and they aren't very good defensively. BYU put up 104 points on Utah on the road earlier this year, and I wouldn't be surprised to see BYU put 90 or more again in this one. Jimmer Fredette should get plenty of good looks from deep, and the rest of this BYU offense is underrated as well. I had this line projected at 160, so I really like the value on the over! | |||||||
02-12-11 | Tennessee v. Florida UNDER 133 | 60-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star Tennessee/Florida Total DOMINATION* The Florida Gators are a defensive-minded team this year. Tennessee no longer pushes the pace like they did a couple years ago. The under is 8-0 in Tennessee's last 8 games overall. The under is 17-7 in Florida's last 24 Saturday games. These two met and went over the posted total earlier this year, but both teams shot a very high percentage from the floor. I expect the shooting numbers to level off and I like the under in this game. | |||||||
02-12-11 | Iowa State v. Kansas OVER 151 | 66-89 | Win | 100 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
*3 Star Big 12 Totals Takedown* The Kansas Jayhawks aren't afraid to put up a big number on the scoreboard. Kansas should get all kinds of second-chance opportunities in this game, and I think they'll shred apart Iowa State's defense. Iowa State pushes the tempo as much as anyone in the conference, and they should be able put up enough points to help this one go over the posted total. I like the over here. | |||||||
02-12-11 | NC-Greensboro v. College of Charleston OVER 152 | 69-87 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
*5 Star NCAA BB Top Total* The NC Greensboro Spartans are a very bad basketball team, but they sure love to push the tempo. College of Charleston is a team I've followed closely this year, and they are one of the most efficient offensive teams in the country. Andrew Goudelock can go off and put up 30 points in any given game. NC Greensboro has actually won four of their last seven games, and all 7 of those games have gone over the posted total. The Spartans have found that making the game's tempo extremely fast helps their chances. I think Charleston will put up a very big number here, and this one goes well over the posted total. Take the over. | |||||||
02-12-11 | LSU v. Arkansas UNDER 126 | 61-80 | Loss | -110 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
02-11-11 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Cleveland Cavaliers OVER 208 | 119-126 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
*3 Star TGIF NBA Bookie CRUSHER* By now you all know the Cavs have lost a record 25 straight games. Cleveland is horrible about giving up wide open looks, but they do have a way of forcing some turnovers and getting quick buckets off them. The Cavs three-point defense is atrocious. Opponents are hitting an amazing 43% from long-distance against Cleveland. Another big weakness for the Cavaliers is rebounding. The Clippers have a terrific offensive rebounding team, and I expect guys like Blake Griffin and DeAndre Jordan to get lots of second chance opportunities in this game. The Clippers defense has been really bad on the road, and I think the Cavs will be fighting hard in this one. The over is 9-3-1 in the Clippers last 13 road games. The over is 5-0 in Cleveland's last 5 home games. I like the over in this game. | |||||||
02-10-11 | Florida Atlantic v. Denver UNDER 118.5 | 42-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Total* The Denver Pioneers are an interesting team, because they basically just kill the clock all possession long, but they are pretty efficient on offense. Florida Atlantic is the best defensive team in the Sun Belt, and they slow the tempo as well. I expect this to be the type of game where the total number of shots from the floor is well under 100. Florida Atlantic will extend their defense to try and prevent Denver from getting comfortable beyond the arc. Neither team gets second chance opportunities so it should be one and done in this game. I like this one to stay very low scoring. Take the under. | |||||||
02-10-11 | California v. Washington OVER 156 | 77-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star Pac 10 Bookie CRUSHER* The Cal Golden Bears have decided to just start running more than ever of late, which plays right into Washington's hands. Washington is coming off a three game losing streak on the road, and they'll want to get healthy in this game. I think Washington will fly up and down the floor in this one, and it wouldn't surprise me to see Washington score 90-95 points in this game. The over is 13-3-1 in Cal's last 17 games. The over is 8-3 in Washington's last 11 home games. The over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings between these two. Take the over. | |||||||
02-10-11 | Arkansas State v. Louisiana-Monroe UNDER 128.5 | 85-66 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Totals Takedown* The Arkansas State Red Wolves struggle to score, especially on the road. Louisiana Monroe is one of the worst teams in the Sun Belt, and they basically stall and attempt to win a close game at the end. Arkansas State beat La. Monroe 62-61 earlier this year in Jonesboro. Interestingly, even though they only got to 123 points in that game, both teams shot better than their season average from the floor. I think this game stays in the halfcourt and goes down to the wire again. I like this one to stay near 120 points. Take the under. | |||||||
02-10-11 | Tennessee Tech v. Murray State OVER 139 | 44-55 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 50 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Best Bet* The Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles have a way of speeding up the game against everyone they play. Through most of the year, Murray State has played at a slow tempo, but they have sped up at times lately. Murray State put up 92 points against TN Tech the first time, and they scored 96 and 92 against SE Missouri State and Tennessee-Martin at home in the last few weeks. Tennessee Tech gives up 75 points per game on the year. I think Murray State will get to 80 points in this one, and I believe Tennessee Tech gets to the mid 60's at least. I really like the over in this game. | |||||||
02-10-11 | Detroit v. Valparaiso OVER 143 | 74-82 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Detroit Titans push the tempo more than any other team in the Horizon League. Detroit's Ray McCallum can get to the basket and the free throw line very often. Valparaiso went into Detroit and beat the Titans earlier this year, and I think Detroit will be fired up to try to get revenge here. Valparaiso is very tough at home, and they have a couple guys in Brandon Wood and Erik Buggs who can score in bunches. I expect this to be a tight game throughout, and I think there will be a lot of trips to the charity stripe. I think this one has a good chance to get to about 150, so I like the over. | |||||||
02-10-11 | Troy v. South Alabama OVER 151.5 | 72-59 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 20 m | Show | |
*3 Star Sun Belt Super Total* The Troy Trojans are a team that blazes up and down the floor no matter who they play against. South Alabama is a team that has shown they often play to the style of their opponent. The Jaguars of South Alabama average 76 points per game at home and Troy allows 80.5 points per game. The over is 14-5 in Troy's 19 lined games this year and the over is 5-2 in South Alabama's 7 home games. These two met earlier this year and the total finished at 161 despite average shooting numbers. I like the value on the over in this game. | |||||||
02-09-11 | Texas v. Oklahoma UNDER 133 | 68-52 | Win | 100 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
*3 Star Texas/Oklahoma Bookie BEATDOWN* Any idea who has the #1 ranked defense in the country? It is indeed the Texas Longhorns. Rick Barnes' team has some great talents on offense as well, but the reason they are consistently winning is their great defense. The under is 7-2 in Texas' last 9 road games. The under cashed in easily in the Longhorns meeting with Oklahoma earlier this year. I just don't see the Sooners putting up more than 60 points or so against this Texas team. I like the under in this one. | |||||||
02-09-11 | Indiana St v. Illinois State UNDER 125 | 56-46 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star Missouri Valley Total* Illinois State has been an 'under' machine at home of late. This year the under is 12-2 in their 14 home games. The under is 20-6 in their last 26 home games dating back to last year. Illinois State controls the tempo much more at home, which should mean this game stays in the halfcourt. Indiana State doesn't have the great shooters to light it up from the outside very often, and I think this game will end up being a slow paced tight game all the way throughout. Take the under. | |||||||
02-09-11 | Los Angeles Clippers v. New York Knicks OVER 214.5 | 116-108 | Win | 100 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Play of the Day* The New York Knicks are a team that often settles for the three-pointer quite often, which can hurt them at times. The Clippers allow opponents to shoot 37.6% from beyond the arc, so I think the Knicks three-point shooting will be a plus in this game. The Clippers should get plenty of second chance opportunities against a Knicks team that struggles on the defensive glass. The first meeting between these two finished at 239 points earlier this year, but I don't think the shooting numbers will be that high once again. Having said that, I think there is a good chance this game gets to 220 points, so I like the value on the over. | |||||||
02-09-11 | Towson v. Northeastern OVER 139 | 78-82 | Win | 100 | 6 h 14 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hiddem GEM Total* The Towson Tigers are a team I really like to play the 'over' with. Towson forces the tempo and they have a terrible defense. Northeastern has typically been a slow paced team, but in their last couple games they have sped up quite a bit. Northeastern shoots three's very well, and Towson is one of the worst in the nation at defending beyond the arc. The over is 7-1 in Northeastern's 8 home games this year. I think this one gets into the mid 140's, so I like the value on the over. | |||||||
02-09-11 | Ball State v. Bowling Green UNDER 128 | 64-65 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
*3 Star MAC Totals Takedown* The Ball State Cardinals are a defensive-minded team. They have had a couple high-scoring games recently, but that has been because their shooting percentages have been extremely high. Ball State typically attempts to slow down the game, and Bowling Green is a fairly slow paced team as well. I think the possession count will be pretty low in this one, and I think the fact that both teams struggle from beyond the arc will make this one a low-scoring affair. I like this one to stay in the low 120's. Take the under. | |||||||
02-09-11 | College of Charleston v. Elon OVER 147 | 85-67 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
*3 Star Under the Radar Totals Winner* The College of Charleston Cougars are a team I've watched closely this year. Charleston can score points in bunches, and they have a very efficient offense. Elon is a team that likes to push the tempo and I don't think Charleston will attempt to slow things down at all. Elon has no one that matches up well against Charleston's primary scorer, Andrew Goudelock. Goudelock is more than capable of putting up 30 points in a game. I think Elon will play spirited in front of the home crowd, but they'll have to put up points to stick with Charleston. I like the over. | |||||||
02-08-11 | Boston College v. Clemson UNDER 134 | 69-77 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
*3 Star College Hoops Total DOMINATION* The Clemson Tigers are a completely different team this year. Gone is Oliver Purnell's pressing fast-paced team and in is Brad Brownell's defensive-minded slow paced style of basketball. Boston College actually plays at a pretty slow pace as well, but their shooting numbers are very good on the year. I think Clemson will play solid defense tonight and hold them below their season average. The first time these two met the teams shot very well and there were a ton of free throw attempts, which pushed it up to 144 points. I think at home Clemson will control the tempo and make this a halfcourt game. The under is 4-0 in Clemson's last 4. Take the under in this ACC battle. | |||||||
02-08-11 | Minnesota Timberwolves v. Houston Rockets OVER 217.5 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Total DOMINATION* The Minnesota Timberwolves and Houston Rockets may be the two fastest paced teams in the NBA right now. The positive also is that both of these teams get to the free throw line early and often. Kevin Martin is instant offense for the Rockets, and Kevin Love and the Timberwolves get a lot of second chance opportunities. These two teams have met twice this year and the total finished at 214 and 254 points. Who will want to slow this game down? I just don't see either team slowing the pace. As long as the shooting percentages are decent I think this one gets over the posted total. I like the over! | |||||||
02-08-11 | Toronto Raptors v. Milwaukee Bucks UNDER 193.5 | 74-92 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star NBA Bookie CRUSHER* The Toronto Raptors are struggling mightily on offense right now. The Bucks have picked up their defensive intensity a lot over the last couple weeks. Milwaukee's games average just 181 points on their home floor. The Raptors shooting percentages have been terrible, and they push it less right now since Bayless and Barbosa are hurt. The Bucks defense should hold the Raptors down in this one, and I think Milwaukee will make sure the pace stays quite slow. These two met on January 28th and the game went over, but the shooting percentages were extremely high (Milwaukee shot 55.3% from the floor) and there were 63 free throws attempted. I think the value is on the under in this game. | |||||||
02-08-11 | Central Michigan v. Buffalo UNDER 128.5 | 43-72 | Win | 100 | 3 h 58 m | Show | |
*3 Star NCAA BB Total Moneymaker* The Central Michigan Chippewas have been a team I've followed closely this year. I have cashed in several times on the 'under' in their games. The under is 11-1 in their 12 lined road games this year. Central Michigan is averaging 48.7 points per game in their last six road contests. They are playing a Buffalo team that can certainly score at home, but I think the oddsmakers have adjusted the total higher for that. Buffalo should hold Central Michigan down defensively, and I'm guessing they have a pretty good lead at the end and we'll avoid the late fouls. Take the under. | |||||||
02-07-11 | Tennessee St. v. Jacksonville State UNDER 127.5 | 73-76 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 55 m | Show | |
*3 Star Hidden GEM Totals Winner* Both of these teams struggle mightily on the offensive end. Jacksonville State is the slowest paced team in the Ohio Valley Conference. When these two got together a couple weeks ago, the total finished at 131, but that was with an 85 point second half and tons of fouling at the end of the game. I actually think that game is giving us some improved value on the 'under' in this one. I don't expect either team to push the tempo in this one, and the shooting percentages should drop from their last meeting as well. I like the value on the under here. |
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Jack Jones | $965 |
Ricky Tran | $708 |
Big Al McMordie | $662 |
Ross Benjamin | $640 |
Sean Murphy | $620 |
ProSportsPicks | $615 |
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Nick Parsons | $306 |
Matt Fargo | $305 |
Dan Kaiser | $215 |