Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-19-22 | Padres v. Phillies -120 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
Taking the PHILLIES here early. Can also go RL for +160 of you want to. I might take a little action there. We've had an up and down last week, so here on the site, we go for the straight play. This is a fade of Darvish on the road. 4 starts and a 7.91 ERA 14Ks 8bbs and 25 hits in 19+ innings of work. Gibby on the other side of the spectrum. Straight dealing at home. 3-0 1.93 in his 3 home starts with a 177 BA Against and .70 WHIP. Even last season, 7-3 2.81 at home in 14 starts 206 BAA 1.03 WHIP (road 4.47 3-6). Phillies better than their record and I expect a big showing here to wrap up the series. 4* Money Maker PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES | |||||||
10-08-21 | Braves +130 v. Brewers | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 45 h 41 m | Show |
Taking the BRAVES. We cashed nicely on our Brewers division and win total. But new season now. Playoff time. These guys both won 2 of 3 on their home fields during the regular season. But I will grab Morton as a little dog tonight. Back on August 1st, he went 6 innings giving up 3 hits and 2 ERs while striking out 6 in a 2-1 Milwaukee win. A solid start that didn't get a W. Burnes faced the Braves in the opener of that same series. He gave up 9 hits and 5 runs in 4 innings of work. He didn't catch an L as Tookie Toussaint gave up 7 in 3+. The Braves can hit. This is a team that was 4th in the NL OPS, 5th in AVE, 6th in OBS and 2nd SLG. Not shocking considering they were 2nd in team HRs with 239. As I said all season with Milwaukee, the offense is just an average run of the mill group. Austin Riley had a great season 303 33 107. Did you know that Ozzie Albiers drove in 106 while hitting 30 HRs? Freedie Freeman and other solid year. Adam Duvell hit 38 HRs. Soler came over from KC and hit 14HRs in the NL. This team is deep with power. A bloop and blast can happen anywhere in this lineup. Brewers are scrappy for sure, but I don't like them vs a very good Atlanta team people are overlooking. Grab the Braves for the Series also. 5* Best Bet ATLANTA BRAVES | |||||||
06-15-21 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -113 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -113 | 21 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the JAYS. Will fade the Yankees vs any decent pitcher. And Ryu is a pretty decent guy to have on the hill. Let's add in the great NYY offense hitting .192, the worse in all of MLB vs lefties. Don't even have to think about this one. 5* Best Bet TORONTO BLUE JAYS | |||||||
06-01-21 | Rays -120 v. Yankees | Top | 3-5 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 4 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA BAY. Will again back the Rays. I said it yesterday. Will say it again. Yankees having problems beating good teams. TB is a good team. With their ace on the hill. If this was Cole on the road vs a 4th starter? Pfft. How about Cole -280 on the road in Detroit. Cole -265 in Texas. Cole -180 in Tampa. Cole -188 at Toronto. Total disrespect for the Rays. 4 straight wins here in New York. And, Rays have won 20 of last 27 in the series. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY RAYS | |||||||
10-15-19 | Cardinals v. Nationals -155 | Top | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
Taking the NATIONALS. Up 3-0. Big play tonight to wrap things up. Teams up 3-0 rarely lose. We have seen it a handful of times. But STL has looked anemic at the dish this series. Nats are just playing so well right now. Corbin at home this season was excellent. 8-2 2.40 ERA in 16 starts with a .199 BA Against and a .99 WHIP. Don't be fooled by this 7+ Post Season ERA. In his lone start vs LAD, 6 innings 3 hits 9 Ks 1 earned. He came in relief, gave up 6 in 2/3rds of an inning. His other 2 relief starts 1.2 innings 3Ks.. I will chalk that up to an unfamiliar role. In his regular spot here, I think we see what he did all season at home. Send in the clowns. Cards had their 'ace' blasted last night. Totally deflates their confidence. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON NATIONALS | |||||||
10-02-19 | Rays v. A's -134 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -134 | 47 h 24 m | Show |
Taking OAKLAND here. Now. I do like both of these guys. Shame they have to play in a one game playoff. It is like getting a pair of Mid-Majors in that 8/9 or 5/12 game in the NCAAs. You want to back the Sun Belt, Patriot or Big West. But no. You are staring at the Ohio Valley, Summit or CAA darling you had circled! Two low payroll teams showing the big boys how to win. Uh.. Rant over - So I like the A's to advance. One. I think their bullpen is a bit better. Two. The lineup has much more punch than the Rays. 3 - Manaea. We get this guy out of the gate, we are looking strong. 5 starts, 4-0 with a 1.21 ERA. A .78 WHIP on the year. Listen. This is no knock on Charlie Morton. 16-6 3.05 ERA on the year 240 Ks. Guy is good. Probably will see a little Glasnow if he gets in trouble along the way. Again. I just think they A's have enough offense to push across the runs here. Low scoring and we will also be on the UNDER. 5* Best Bet OAKLAND A's | |||||||
08-21-19 | Yankees v. A's -109 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 24 h 12 m | Show |
Taking OAKLAND. Sign me up for some Friers at home. Thought the line was a little low for NY last night and here they are a dog. But they should be. Happ has been brutal. Last 4 starts with a 6+ ERA. A 6 ERA his last 15 starts. 5.40 on the year. 5.20 on the road in 10 starts. Fiers a 2.52 ERA his last 15 starts. How about this- Since April 28th, Fiers with the 2nd lowest ERA among all American League starters (2.52). 2.89 at home in 14 starts with a 1.04 WHIP. 4* Money Maker OAKLAND A's | |||||||
10-13-18 | Dodgers -125 v. Brewers | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
Taking Ryu and the DODGERS today. Lost here last night. But I like Ryu a lot. Last night we saw 4 LA errors and the best part of Milwaukee, their bullpen, go for 7 innings. And their best guy, Hader, won't be pitching tonight. A pair of other relievers got hit a bit. Ryu has a 1.96 ERA in 4 career post season starts with a .91 WHIP - this season, 1.97 ERA in 15 starts 1.01 WHIP 89Ks in 82 innings. A clear edge on the hill for us today over Miley. Brewers will gladly take 1-1 back to LA. Give me the Dodgers all day. 10* Money Bomb LA DODGERS | |||||||
10-12-18 | Dodgers -151 v. Brewers | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -151 | 7 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the DODGERS. This really approaches the high point of where I will lay a number and not go Run Line. But for just a +120 take back today, I will just go ML on the websites. Look. I like the Brewers team. We had them taking care of the Rockies. And I thought they would win the NL Central. So this is not a surprise. Their pitching, especially the bullpen, has been rock solid. We can talk about how Kershaw has 'bad' post-season numbers. And in the past I have highlighted his poor innings of work. In this spot, I think he can avoid that vs Milwaukee. We will see a steady stream of arms after Chacin from the Brewers. But I don't know if it will be enough to slow down this Dodgers lineup. I put in a small 100 to win 600 bet on LAD to win the World Series back on 10/2 on my Fan Dual app. Thank you NJ sports betting! - I will look for a good value spot on the Brewers when they travel to LA. 5* Best Bet LA DODGERS | |||||||
10-24-17 | Astros v. Dodgers -165 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 24 h 34 m | Show |
Taking the DODGERS. Would have liked to put this out when it was a bit cheaper. And this is really top end of where I want to be with any MLB fave. I will probably sprinkle some +135 RL on this also. Look. We all know about how Kershaw has poor postseason numbers. I will say, 5 HRs is a bit concerning this playoff run. But on the whole, HRs are up across the board in MLB and even the best pitchers have been serving up long bombs. Google a great article on Randy Johnson/ Kershaw postseason from Sporting News. He has had really 2 bad games in his 21 post season games. 15 earned in 2 starts. 4 inning 7 earned vs Cards in 2013. And 8 earned in 6.2 innings vs Cards in 2014 vs the Cards again. - So on to this series. As much as I like Keuchel, the guy is a different pitcher away from home. It is just that simple. 3.53 ERA road this year (2.26 home) -5.42 last year (3.60) - 3.77 in 2015 (1.46) - 3.04 in 2014 (2.79) . In 2013 he had 10 relieve appearances with his starts. But in 2012 his rookie year, 11.10 road ERA in 6 starts, and again 2.95 at home in 10 starts. Not saying he is getting shelled for 5 in 3 innings. But I think LAD can get some runs. And the clear edge of the Dodgers in the bullpen will probably be the difference maker in this series. 5* Best Bet LA DODGERS | |||||||
06-17-17 | Rays -110 v. Tigers | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
Taking the RAYS here. Should really just lay out the Run Line for +145 in this spot. But we have strung together a couple small losing days, we need to have a nice sweep of the board. I like Archer a lot. The kid has great stuff. Worse case scenario for him in this spot is that he has 10Ks through 3 innings and his pitch count starts climbing. I am down on the Tigers for the year, and they haven't changed my thinking of them. This is a banged up unit, the bats, and on the mound. Fulmer had an MRI that should something on his shoulder. I am no doctor, but anytime a pitcher has some kind of arm injury, I would raise an eyebrow. He gave up 5 runs in back to back starts prior to his 'inflamed bursa' being found. 10* AL Game of the Week TAMPA BAY RAYS | |||||||
04-03-17 | Rockies -107 v. Brewers | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 56 m | Show |
Taking the ROCKIES here. Sometimes early on, you have to jump on an opportunity. And that is what I think we have year. I think Milwaukee will be a bad team this year. I think the Rockies have talent and can at least be a .500 club. Guerra came out of nowhere to post a 2.81 (9-3) ERA last year. But his spring has been awful. And he is no spring-chicken as he is 32 after finally getting to the show. 25 y.o Gray is looking to build off a solid campaign. And he has a nice offense behind him. Story, CarGo, Blackmon, Arenado. I think we should up at least a 5 spot here. And our revamped pen should seal the deal. 8* Sure Shot COLORADO ROCKIES | |||||||
11-02-16 | Cubs v. Indians +105 | Top | 8-7 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 23 m | Show |
Taking the INDIANS here. How can I not take Kluber in this spot. Guy has a .89 ERA this postseason in his 5 starts. Truly one of the best performances on record. Can't say anything bad about Hendricks and his 1.31 post-season ERA. He has been almost as good as Kluber. I think the final piece for me getting on the Tribe here is the bullpen. We have a fresh Miller who has been terrific. Cody Allen hasn't given up a run. We can easily see these guys for 2 innings each. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND INDIANS | |||||||
08-05-16 | Rangers +159 v. Astros | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the RANGERS here. Getting a nice price on a team that has dominated the favorite winning 9 of 10 this season. The team that went out and added 2 more pieces to a playoff puzzle. Perez is 5-2 1.88 ERA in 7 career starts vs Houston. Keuchel is 4-7 with a 4.58 ERA in 17 starts vs Texas including going 0-3 with a 7.91 ERA this season. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS | |||||||
07-28-16 | White Sox +120 v. Cubs | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Taking the WHITE SOX here. Will grab Sale at this price. So he cut up some stupid jersey. I don't think it matters here. The clubhouse and team has been a wreck since the start of the season. That didn't stop them from playing well. They have slumped. I get it. But Sale has nice numbers vs the Cubs (.56 ERA 16 innings 28Ks) and Lackey has a 6.12 ERA his last 7 starts. Sal eis 7-1 in 10 starts with a 2.08 ERA, .91 WHIP and .194 BAA on the road this season. 8* Sure Shot CHICAGO WHITE SOX | |||||||
07-22-16 | Giants +103 v. Yankees | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS here. Will have to grab Bumgarner at this price. Even if he has a 'bloated' 2.75 road ERA, he still has an impressive 1.15 WHIP and .228 BA away from home. I just can't see the Yankee bats getting good contact here. I know Tanaka is having a nice year and is clearly NY's best pitcher. But he has pedestrian numbers at home, 3-1 4.71 ERA i n 10 starts. Before this losing streak, the Giants had the best record in all of MLB. This is a good team, and when we can get a Cy Young guy like this getting a couple bucks, count me in. 8* Sure Shot SF GIANTS | |||||||
07-17-16 | Rangers +132 v. Cubs | Top | 4-1 | Win | 132 | 15 h 6 m | Show |
Taking the RANGERS here. Texas picked up Hamels last year to be a horse and a stopper and that is exactly what they need here to stop the bleeding of a 3-11 run. I didn't believe in Lackey when he had a great run in May and I am not believing in him now. He has been roughed up in 3 of his last 4 starts and I think that is what we will see from the 37 year old the rest of the season. Hamels is 6-1 with a 2.09 ERA on the road. 48 hits allowed in 60 innings. Texas 24-6 in Cole's last 30 starts, 11-4 last 15 on the road. I think we have the edge on the mound here. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS | |||||||
06-30-16 | Cubs -130 v. Mets | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -130 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
Taking the CUBS here. Look. I like Matz. A lot. I was all over this kid after his first start of the year. I thought he had some great stuff and he ran off 7 straight wins. Since then though, buyer beware. 0-2 in his 4 June starts posting an ERA near 6 (5.91). They are talking surgery for bone spurs in his pitching elbow. Clearly something has bothered him lately. Now. I am no huge fan of John Lackey, especially coming off his worse outing of the year. But I like the Cubs here in payback mode from the playoffs. And we have the Mets in a free fall, getting swept by the Nationals, losing 4 straight and 6 of 10. Their offense is down right ugly with James Loney, Kelly Johnson and Alejandro De Aza, batting clean-up, 6th and lead-off yesterday. Yikes. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO CUBS | |||||||
06-25-16 | Diamondbacks v. Rockies -121 | Top | 6-11 | Win | 100 | 6 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the ROCKIES here. Will fade away on Shelby Miller and his 9+ ERA here at Coors Field. Yeah. I must have a pretty big pair to unload on Jorge DeLaRosa and his 7+ ERA on the year. But the Rockies are 11-1 in DLR's last 12 home starts vs DBacks. He is 23-5 his last 28 home starts and 56-17 last 73. The guy wins at home for whatever reason and has owned Arizona here. 10* Money Bomb COLORADO ROCKIES | |||||||
06-21-16 | White Sox +105 v. Red Sox | Top | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
Taking the WHITE SOX here. How can I not grab Sale at this price. I think he should probably be favored in the 130 range. He has been that good this year. The first 11 game winner. Only has a 1.01 WHIP to his name. Has been better on the road than at home stat wise. 5-1 2.09 ERA .212 BA against .99 WHIP with a SHO and 2 CGs to his name. Buchholz is back from the bullpen where he gave up 4 runs in 9.1 innings. That is what he is. A guy who looks good for 2 innings before giving up 4 runs in 2 different frames. Sox 12-3 in Sale's last 15 starts. Boston 3-8 in Clay's last 11. 10* Money Bomb CHICAGO WHITE SOX | |||||||
06-13-16 | Cubs v. Nationals -122 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 34 m | Show |
Taking the NATS here. One. Anytime I can get someone like Scherzer at this price, I am jumping on the train. I am not going to say he has been unhittable. He is sporting an ERA at over 3.50. But the BA against is a solid .212 and a WHIP of 1.05 isn't terrible. He is still missing bats, (107Ks 88inn). I also think that we get the advantage of a guy with something to prove tonight. Last time in Wrigley, (May 6) the Cubbies bombed him for 7 earned in 5 innings. I am not knocking Hendricks one bit. The guy has given up more than 2 runs just once his last 8 starts. The one that helps us though is his poor road numbers. 1-4 4.23 ERA. 10* Money Bomb WASHINGTON NATIONALS | |||||||
05-24-16 | Brewers v. Braves -112 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
Taking the BRAVES here. Will grab Teheran in this spot. If he was on any other team, the guy would be a Cy Young contender. Instead, he toils on this rebuilding franchise. Teheran is posting a tidy .67 ERA here in May with a .82 WHIP and .176 BA against. For the year, 2.73 ERA .216 BAA 1.11 WHIP. The 1-4 record is more for the Braves lack of offense. The guy hasn't given up more than 2 runs since mid-April. Braves back home a long home stand with their ace on the hill, and a new manager calling the shots. That will be a nice little boost in the arm tonight. Enter the Brewers. I like Jimmy Nelson. I think he has the makings of a staff ace for Milwaukee. But I think in this spot, the way the Braves are hitting lately, edge to the home team. And let's be honest. With a 2-17 record at home, Atlanta has to start winning here sometime. Right. Right? 10* Money Bomb ATLANTA BRAVES | |||||||
10-06-15 | Houston Astros -109 v. New York Yankees | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 44 h 15 m | Show |
Taking the ASTROS here. with Keuchal on the hill. This guy just might edge out David Price for the AL Cy Young Award. Obviously, he has very impressive numbers at home, but his road splits aren't very sexy. Doesn't matter to me though. This Yankees team will have a hard time getting their bats on the ball here. At home, he tossed a SHO 6 hitter with 12 Ks back in June vs NYY. In the Bronx, 7 innings 3 hits 9 more Ks. The big names for the Bombers are older guys who will have trouble catching up to this kid. I just don't see it happening. Even on short rest, I expect a big performance based on what a monumental feat this is for Houston. I will say Tanaka surprised me since his arm didn't explode. He had a solid year, but let's be honest, the guy ins't healthy. They skipped a start for him because of his hammy and he comes back to give up 4 runs in 5 innings. Astros torched him in Houston for 6 earned in 5 innings. Let's give Giardi and the Yanks some credit for getting here. No Tex. Arod a huge come-back year. But really, Ellsbury and Beltran weren't that good. Gardy and McCann had solid years. But this team clearly over-achieved. Astros advance. 5* Best Bet HOUSTON ASTROS | |||||||
09-28-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Texas Rangers -124 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
Taking the RANGERS here. Colby Lewis pitching very well with a 1.71 ERA his last 3. In case you missed it. He's a 17 game winner on a team looking to clinch the AL West. Tigers are closing shop on a wasted, lost year. Verlander is a shell of his Cy Young self. He has pitched better lately, but I'm not sold on him, or his line-up. And especially that bullpen. Rangers are 4-1 last 5 times facing the Verlander. One final thought. Texas winds up the year with a series vs the Angels. There is no way, no way, they want that series to dictate what happens in their own play-off scenario. Look for them to take care of the Tigers early here. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS | |||||||
09-28-15 | Toronto Blue Jays -124 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the BLUE JAYS here. Jays looking to wrap up the AL East and get a great shot tonight vs the slumping Orioles. Baltimore actually had a shot at perhaps a wild-card spot, then fell flat on their faces getting shut-out three straight vs the Red Sox. Put a fork in them people. In 19 career starts vs Toronto, Tillman spots a 6.00 ERA and a 4-10 record including 0-5 last 5 at home and 1-6 last 7 vs Jays. 10* Money-Bomb TORONTO BLUE JAYS | |||||||
09-25-15 | Cleveland Indians -114 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
Taking the INDIANS here. Can't even remember the last time I put out b2b Top 10s, especially when I am off a loss like the White Sox last night. That being said, this is a prime spot for us to win. Royals wrapped up their first division title since 1985 last night. I really can't see them being full-force today. A let down is in order. Carrasco has allowed 2 or fewer runs in 7 of his last 8 starts. He is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA vs the Royals this year. Volquez has a 6.49 ERA his last 4 starts. Indians 7-3 last 10 vs KC - 10* Money Bomb CLEVELAND INDIANS | |||||||
09-24-15 | Chicago White Sox +115 v. New York Yankees | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
Taking the WHITE SOX here. Moving a Top Rated 10* as we back Chris Sale. I know he doesn't have the good ole numbers the 2nd half of the season, but Sale has owned the Yankees. 3-0 .72 ERA 143 BA against. Yanks lost again to the Jays, they know they are a wild-card team. They are going through the motions here. Now Sale. Well he has lost 3 straight and win-less his last 5. I see him coming here and mowing down 10-15 hitters. Pineda made it to the 6th last time out. But since coming off the DL he has an ERA of 4.67, nothing spectacular. 10* Money Bomb CHICAGO WHITE SOX | |||||||
09-17-15 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers -106 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
Taking the RANGERS here. No way Texas sweeps right. The Astros are a good team. Yes, Houston is a good team, but are in a rut right now. Rangers have been pounding these guys. I am not a big fan of McCullers, especially his road splits. Houston 0-8 his last 8 away from home. He 1-5 4.93 ERA in 9 road starts this year with a .274 BA against and a 1.51 WHIP. The Rangers counter with Colby Lewis who is 7-0 2.57 ERA last 9 starts vs Astros. Rangers 21-5 last 26 at home. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS | |||||||
09-15-15 | Houston Astros v. Texas Rangers -115 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the RANGERS here. We had these guys last night and will look for them to take over first place in the west over the slumping Astros. They are 9-4 vs Houston this season and the 'Stros are 2-5 so far on their road trip. Rangers 7-2 in Holland's last 9 home starts. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS | |||||||
09-09-15 | New York Mets +102 v. Washington Nationals | Top | 5-3 | Win | 102 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
Taking the METS here. No way the Nats get swept at home right? Did you see the game last night. Blowing a 7-1 lead. Put a fork in Washington. They are done. They just had their souls ripped out of them. Not a chance they recover to win today. Mets have been playing like a team possessed the last month. 5* Best Bet NY METS | |||||||
08-27-15 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Arizona Diamondbacks +125 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 40 m | Show |
Taking ARIZONA here. I do like CMart for STL. The guy has made me money this year, both at the window and my fantasy league. That being said, I think he is hitting the proverbial wall. He is has thrown about 60 more innings than last year. You can see in his last 2 months that it might be catching up to him. On the other side of the coin we have Ruby DLR who seems to be turning it on of late. A 2,54 ERA his last 7 games. His ERA was 5.06 on July 12 and now sits at 4.32. He doesn't have the sexy wow-K factor, but I'll over-look that here. 5* Best Bet ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS | |||||||
06-01-15 | New York Mets v. San Diego Padres -112 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
Taking SAN DIEGO here. Will grab the Pods with Cashner. One, I like Cashner a lot. We had him last time out, and will come back on him here. Look, I have said this before. Not a fan of teams coming cross country. Mets played in Queens yesterday afternoon, no in SD. Here's a two for the price of one, we are most likely taking the Padres again tomorrow. DeGrom has pitched better of late, but I am not a fan at all of this weak hitting Mets line-up. Mets have lost 7 straight on the road and 4 of 5 to the Padres. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO PADRES | |||||||
05-29-15 | Detroit Tigers v. Los Angeles Angels -104 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
Taking OAKLAND here. Will grab the O's with Sonny Gray on the hill. Clear edge on the mound tonight with Oakland. This Yankees team is showing some age here. Tex and Arod got off to hot starts, but have since cooled. Ellsbury on DL. Beltran playing like he should be in a nursing home. Nearly zero production from SS and 2b. Ok, great bullpen. But, as my buddy 'Scoop' proclaimed one late night, 'You can't win if you can't score.' I think Riddick takes Capuano yard twice tonight! NYY 2-9 last 11 in the series and 1-10 last 11 in Oakland. 5* Best Bet OAKLAND A's | |||||||
05-29-15 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles -122 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
Taking BALTIMORE here. Will grab the O's at this small price. Tampa has dropped 5 straight and finished up their home-stand by getting swept my Seattle. This team has some trouble hitting. Baltimore has some bats. Rays 2-5 last 7 times facing the O's. 5* Best Bet BALTIMORE ORIOLES | |||||||
05-11-15 | Toronto Blue Jays v. Baltimore Orioles -119 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
5* Best Bet BALTIMORE ORIOLES | |||||||
05-04-15 | New York Yankees v. Toronto Blue Jays -118 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
10* Money Bomb TORONTO BLUE JAYS | |||||||
04-25-15 | San Francisco Giants v. Colorado Rockies -118 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -118 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
10* Money-Bomb COLORADO ROCKIES | |||||||
04-20-15 | San Diego Padres v. Colorado Rockies -124 | Top | 14-2 | Loss | -124 | 21 h 49 m | Show |
Taking the ROCKIES tonight. I love the numbers with De La Rosa on the hill tonight. He went 10-2 3.08 ERA in 15 home starts last year. Rockies 9-0 in DLR's last 9 home starts vs SD and a money making 15-2 last 17 overall vs the Padres. The Rockies are 48-9 in DLR's last 57 home starts! Despaigne is less than impressive on the road. Last year he went 1-6 with a 5.31 ERA in 8 road starts with hitters slapping a .291 clip against him. 10* Money Bomb COLORADO ROCKIES | |||||||
04-13-15 | Miami Marlins +113 v. Atlanta Braves | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 42 m | Show |
5* Best Bet MIAMI MARLINS | |||||||
10-21-14 | San Francisco Giants -106 v. Kansas City Royals | Top | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS here. We rode KC like a dime store pony since the playoffs began and that is why we are a 18-9-1 (67%) run with our MLB. But I will gladly grab the best pitcher in the series in Bumgarner here. Yes, KC took care of business when these guys played in August. SF wasn't playing very well. Totally different team. Bumgarner sporting a .76 WHIP in the playoffs to go with a .170 BA against and 1.42 ERA. I like Shields, but 'Big Game' has been anything but in the playoffs with a 5.63 ERA and a .309 BA against, 1.63 WHIP. KC wasn't exactly crushing the ball this season. Now they face one of the best lefty's in the game. 8* Sure Shot SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS | |||||||
09-17-14 | Toronto Blue Jays +120 v. Baltimore Orioles | Top | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
Taking the BLUE JAYS here. Orioles GM Dan Duquette said "We're gonna party like its 1969," after Baltimore clinched the division for the first time since 1997. Yeah, I am thinking let-down here. 8* Sure Shot TORONTO BLUE JAYS | |||||||
08-05-14 | Detroit Tigers -125 v. New York Yankees | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
5* Best Bet DETROIT TIGERS | |||||||
07-21-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. Pittsburgh Pirates -101 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -101 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
Taking the PIRATES here. You know that I love fading the Sunday night winner. Especially a road team who has to travel to another city. Let's add in that Volquez is sporting a .82 ERA his last 3 starts. Ryu has a 5.28 his last 3 outings. Granted, he was shelled in one of start giving up 7 in 2 innings. Regardless of that, I still feel this is a solid play on the home team vs a team in a let-down spot. 5* Best Bet PITTSBURGH PIRATES | |||||||
07-12-14 | Washington Nationals v. Philadelphia Phillies +118 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Taking the PHILLY here. I will fade away on Strasburg here on the road. The guy just isn't as good. 1-5 5.13 ERA in 8 starts. Hamels is 3-5 on the year and sports a 2.87 ERA in 15 starts. Clearly not getting any run support. Phils have won 5 straight. Strasburg 1-4 his last 5 on the road. Hamels 15-6 2.86 career vs Nats. Strasburg 3-1 2.32 vs Phils. 5* Best Bet PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES | |||||||
07-07-14 | Kansas City Royals +100 v. Tampa Bay Rays | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 22 h 35 m | Show |
5* Best Bet | |||||||
07-06-14 | Tampa Bay Rays -110 v. Detroit Tigers | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 20 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the RAYS here. Ok, we had the Tigers yesterday so we are flipping sides here. Like I said though, the Rays have been just as hot as Detroit. As much as Price looks good, Porcello has been off the charts. Back to back shutouts? Come on. Not happening. I have to fade this guy just on the law of averages. Price has 63Ks (153 total) in his last 46 innings. Porcello has 62, on the year. I like guys who miss bats. Against the Tigers, the Price looks right as David is 4-1 2.23 ERA in 7 appearances. 8* Sure Shot TAMPA BAY RAYS | |||||||
07-05-14 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Detroit Tigers -124 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -124 | 2 h 13 m | Show |
Taking the TIGERS here. Nearly went all in 10* Money-Bomb here. Not sure why this line came down like it did. I know Tampa has won 7 of 8, but Detroit isn't in a slump winning 12 of 15. I like the way Sanchez has been throwing. Guy has a .92 WHIP his last 9 starts. We all know that the Rays have problems scoring. Sanchez is just 5-2 in 14 starts. He should really be 14-0 when you have a 2.63 ERA, .197 BA Against and a .98 WHIP. Alright, maybe not 14-0, but you see this guy has been dealing all season. I like Archer and I think the Rays are a good team. But I have to give the edge to Detroit here with Sanchez on the hill. Rays 2-5 in Archer's last 7 starts. Tigers 9-3 last 12 at home vs Tampa. 5* Best Bet DETROIT TIGERS | |||||||
06-30-14 | Tampa Bay Rays +102 v. New York Yankees | Top | 4-3 | Win | 102 | 6 h 56 m | Show |
Taking the RAYS here. Look, TB hasn't performed, but I still feel they are the better team. They have a clear edge on the hill tonight with Archer. All he has done is go 4-0 1.29 ERA in 4 starts vs NYY, including 2-0 .60 ERA here in the Bronx. Rays 12-5 last 17 in the series, 5-1 last 6 here in NY and as I mentioned earlier, 4-0 when Archer is on the bump. Add in the fact that I love to fade the Yanks off of a Red Sox game, and a double bonus that is was the ESPN Sunday night GOW, and we have the makings of a perfect storm here. 10* Money Bomb TAMPA BAY RAYS | |||||||
06-28-14 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Baltimore Orioles -125 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
Taking the ORIOLES here. What is there not to like here? I mean, the Orioles have owned this bunch. 8-2 last 10 in the series. Baltimore has won 7 of 10 overall and playing well. Rays 10-21 last 31 overall. They are 3-12 last 15 on the road. They are 2-9 last 11 facing lefties. They get a tough, under rated this afternoon in Chen. The guy keeps his team in it. His numbers aren't flashy, but he gets us the wins. This is a great price. Baltimore bats shouldn't have a problem with retread Bedard. This guy is done after 5+ innings. His road splits lead me to believe we should have a good day at the dish. A .297 BA Against and a 1.57 WHIP. Bedard has given up only 2 HRs on the road this season, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him allow 2 this afternoon. AL Game of the Week 10* BALTIMORE ORIOLES | |||||||
06-27-14 | New York Mets v. Pittsburgh Pirates -137 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
Taking the PIRATES here. Another case of just going with the better team. I thought they Mets would be mutts. They have actually surprised me with their win total. I am expecting an adjustment soon. Both of these pitchers are young, but I have to lean with Cumpton because of the better hitters he has behind him. Pirates 7-3 last vs the Mets. NY is 4-10 last 14 on the road. Pirates have won 5 of their last 6 and will look to extend that facing the bottom feeder Mets. 5* Best Bet PITTSBURGH PIRATES | |||||||
06-24-14 | Cincinnati Reds -102 v. Chicago Cubs | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
Taking the REDS here. We won with these guys last night and will ride them again. Reds now 21-5 last 26 in Chicago. They send Homer Bailey to the hill and Cincy is 11-1 his last 12 starts vs the Cubs, 6-0 here in Chicago. Reds have won 9 of 12, 3 in a row, while the Cubs have dropped 3 straight. Cincy also 8-2 last 10 on the road. Now, Arrieta has been lights out, to the tune of .45 ERA his last 3 starts, and a sub 2 ERA on the year. That being said, I just have to go with the better team right now and expect Arrieta to start pitching to the back of his baseball card. 5* Best Bet CINCINNATI REDS | |||||||
06-22-14 | Texas Rangers -119 v. Los Angeles Angels | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
Taking the RANGERS here. Normally, I am not taking teams on 4 game slides. But getting a guy like Darvish, laying a short number like this, I will make the investment. He is one of the top arms in the game. He has some profitable numbers vs LAA. 7-1 3.82 ERA career vs the Halos. Rangers have won Yu's last 5 starts vs the Angels. Texas is 14-5 last 19 in the series. Texas has also won 13 of Darvish's last 16 starts. His numbers are great. ERA, WHIP, BA Against. All excellent. Shoemaker is off his best performance. But he hasn't really shown me anything over his 6 starts or 11 total appearances. We will go with the Rangers and their big gun to end their losing streak. 5* Best Bet TEXAS RANGERS | |||||||
06-22-14 | Detroit Tigers -115 v. Cleveland Indians | Top | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show |
Taking the TIGERS here. Time to flip the script here. I have dropped 2 straight taking the Tribe, my only losers the last 2 days. No way that Detroit sweeps right? Scherzer was shelled last outing. But that is exactly why I love him in this spot. He isn't lights out like last year, but he has a good K rate, and his ERA is respectable. Looks like the Tigers are also getting timely hitting. They have now won 3 straight. Tigers are 6-1 in Scherzers's last 7 starts vs the Tribe and 4-1 last 5 here in Cleveland. 10* Money Bomb DETROIT TIGERS | |||||||
06-21-14 | Detroit Tigers v. Cleveland Indians -120 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 23 m | Show |
Taking the INDIANS here. Coming right back on Cleveland here. We have gone against Verlander plenty of times this year. We will do it again here. Even when he was at his best, his career numbers vs the Tribe aren't dominate (18-15 4.37 ERA). So when we get a small number like this, the way he has been pitching, 19 earned in 18+ innings (28 hits) we will continue to ride those trends. Indians with the best home record in MLB. Bauer has been solid at home posting a 2.92 ERA in 4 starts (24 innings). I do like this youngster. Tigers 1-5 in Verlander's last 6 starts. 5* Best Bet CLEVELAND INDIANS | |||||||
06-21-14 | Milwaukee Brewers -128 v. Colorado Rockies | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the BREWERS here. I will grab Peralta at this price on the road. He has solid road numbers, posting a 2.76 ERA in 7 starts (4-2). He has a 2.98 ERA on the year so we know that he has been solid for the season. Rockies are tossing out this kid Friedrich, who last pitched in the majors July of 2012. Part of the reason for that is most likely due to the fact he is 1-8 with a 7.89 ERA in 13 starts. When batters hit you for a .324 average, including a 1.72 WHIP, you aren't putting yourself in a position to win many games. Brewers have won 7 of 10 and control the NL Central. They have won 6 of their last 7 on the road. Rockies season slipping away, 3-9 last 12 at home. Will grab the road team here with a decent number. 8* Sure Shot MILWAUKEE BREWERS | |||||||
06-16-14 | Milwaukee Brewers v. Arizona Diamondbacks -117 | Top | 9-3 | Loss | -117 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
Taking ARIZONA here. Will ride the DBacks here. Arizona is 5-1 last 6 at home and 8-2 last 10 in the series vs Milwaukee. McCarthy is 1-9 with a 5.29 ERA! But I see some silver lining in his pitching. The guy has a 76-16 K to walk ratio. He gives up hits I get it. Arizona struggled out of the gate, but this is a pretty decent club. The Brewers started out red hot and I think they will continue their slide back to Earth. 10* Money-Bomb ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS | |||||||
06-15-14 | Washington Nationals v. St. Louis Cardinals -114 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 3 h 47 m | Show |
Taking STL here. No way the Nats get swept right? They have Fister on the hill. Guy hasn't given up more than 2 runs since his first start! For me, his splits tell me he gets hit on the road (.298). Cards have a pretty good, deep hitting lineup. Garcia is off a great start over hot hitting Toronto. He owns a 3-1 3.29 ERA in 5 starts vs the Nats. The Cards have controlled this series going 13-3 last 16 and 21-5 last 26 at home vs Washington. 10* Money-Bomb STL CARDS | |||||||
05-31-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Houston Astros -125 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -125 | 5 h 44 m | Show |
Taking the ASTROS here. Who would have thought Houston would reel off 7 straight wins? Orioles on the other side of the coin dropping 4 straight. Pitching edge clearly with Keuchel who has posting a 2.55 ERA in his 10 starts. The kid has a .98 WHIP. He has 2 SHOs his last 3 starts. The one in the middle, 8 and 2/3rds of 2 run ball. 21Ks and 1 walk over those 3 starts. Youngster George Springer is crushing ball. Why will I not be surprised when he takes Tillman and his 8.04 ERA L3 starts out of the park this afternoon. 14 runs in his last 6+ innings because giving up 7 walks and 14 hits will tend to do that. 5* Best Bet HOUSTON ASTROS | |||||||
05-30-14 | Detroit Tigers v. Seattle Mariners -114 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -114 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
Taking the MARINERS here. Will grab the M's here. It would be easy to grab Verlander as a dog. I mean, this is Seattle, not some juggernaught team. But Verlander has given up 5 or more in 3 straight, 16 earned last 13+ innings. Iwakuma has a 2.39 ERA in his 5 starts this year. Tigers are 2-8 last 10 Verlander starts when he is listed as a dog. Detroit also 3-7 last 10 vs the Mariners with Verlander on the hill and 1-4 his last 5 starts here in Seattle. 8* Sure Shot SEATTLE MARINERS | |||||||
05-30-14 | San Diego Padres -120 v. Chicago White Sox | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show |
Taking the PADRES here. Trying to figure out this line move when everyone is on the White Sox. Chicago off a sweep of the Indians and have won 7 of 10. Ian Kennedy has pitched well on the road. White Sox 3-9 in Danks last 12 at home and 7-21 his last 28 starts overall. I will be looking for a let down after sweeping a division opponent. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO PADRES | |||||||
05-29-14 | San Francisco Giants +120 v. St. Louis Cardinals | Top | 6-5 | Win | 120 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS here. Have to love when you get the team with the best record in baseball as a dog. This line has come down a bit but again, always good value in this kind of spot. SF has won 7 of their last 10 and are 9-3 last 12 as dogs. 23-9 last 32, 9-4 L13 on the road and you have a team playing very well. Vogelsong hasn't give up a run his last 2 starts and just 6 runs his last 6 starts spanning 40 innings (35Ks). 5* Best Bet SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS | |||||||
05-27-14 | Colorado Rockies v. Philadelphia Phillies -116 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -116 | 8 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the PHILLIES here. Had these guys yesterday as a nice winner and will come right back tonight. I am a big fan of Hamels. But I am more a fan of fading the Rockies away from home. They just don't like they do in Colorado. They have lost 8 of their last 10 on the road. Hamels with a 2.14 ERA his last 3 starts and improving since a slow start. Phillies 5-1 with Cole on the hill last 6 starts vs Rox, while Colorado is 1-4 in the same spot with DeLaRosa. 5* Best Bet PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES | |||||||
05-26-14 | San Diego Padres +118 v. Arizona Diamondbacks | Top | 5-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
Taking the PADRES here. Right off the bat I am fading teams off a double header. Now we have in the fact that Arizona has to travel cross country from playing the Mets. Padres have been home and this is a short trip. Add in we have Ross who has been very good this year on the hill. He's 6-2 2.32 ERA last 8 starts. He has a 1.29 ERA his last 3. Arizona 3-13 in McCarthy's last 16 home starts. Will gladly grab the dog here. 10* Money-Bomb SAN DIEGO PADRES | |||||||
05-26-14 | Colorado Rockies v. Philadelphia Phillies -108 | Top | 0-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show |
Taking the PHILLIES here. Have to grab them here. They were no-hit yesterday! You know they are going to want to get over that very quickly. Rockies can hit, but Tulo is batting something like 300 pt higher at home then on the road. CarGo is always bothered with some injury. And Charlie Blackmon seems to be coming back to Earth after a hot start. Chacin hasn't been terrible since coming off the DL. Kendrick hasn't won in 16 starts. Perfect storm perhaps? Rox 1-5 L6 on the road and are just 8-21 Chacin's last 29 road starts. Phillies 7-2 last 9 when Kendrick faces the Rockies. Philadelphia 20-7 last 27 at home vs Colorado. 5* Best Bet PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES | |||||||
05-25-14 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -124 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA BAY again. We cashed our Top 10* on Tampa yesterday and will come back with another Best Bet to end our week. Red Sox have dropped 9 straight. Yesterday was another tough way to go down. They blast David Price for 5 runs in the first, then proceed to forget they need to score runs to win, losing 6-5 in extra innings. Tampa has won 3 straight and seem to be playing better. Odorizi with a 1.72 ERA his last 3 outings. Rays win again. 5* Best Bet TAMPA BAY RAYS | |||||||
05-24-14 | Boston Red Sox v. Tampa Bay Rays -132 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 32 m | Show |
Taking TAMPA BAY here. Sox are in a flat out tail-spin losing 8 straight. Peavy isn't the guy you want to have there to end a losing streak. He hasn't been sharp walking a guy every other inning. He has giving up 20 hits and 11 earned runs in his last 10+ innings. A 7+ ERA his last 3 starts. Price has been a beast. 77Ks in 69 innings with just 6 walks. He gets to face a team that he has some success against. 10-6 2.93 in 20 starts. With Boston reeling, I expect the Price to be right today $ 10* Money-Bomb TAMPA BAY RAYS | |||||||
05-23-14 | Chicago Cubs v. San Diego Padres -130 | Top | 1-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Taking the PADRES here. Ok. Lost a big 10* yesterday here on SD. I am going right back to the well again. Cubs are bad. No way they win 2 in a row on the road where they have dropped 23 of their last 31. I thought b2b yesterday traveling from home to the coast would affect them, especially the way they lost. So they got that taste out of their mouth. The resume their spot at the bottom of the league with a loss tonight. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO PADRES | |||||||
05-22-14 | Chicago Cubs v. San Diego Padres -145 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -145 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
Taking SAN DIEGO here. For starters, this is about as high as I will go with a Top 10*. I just think we are getting great value here. We have the Cubs off an extra game with the Yanks. What a brutal way to lose. Up 2-0 in the ninth. Give up an error and fielders choice to force extra innings. Then the winning run scores on a wild pitch. Tough loss to pick themselves up from. Say they won. We still are on SD here because of a let down of taking 2 from NYY. Regardless. Cubs 7-23 L30 on the road! We will fade the worse team in MLB for the scrappy Pods. San Diego 19-7 in Stults last 26 starts. SD 6-1 last 7 at home vs Cubs and 7-3 last 10 in the series. 10* Money-Bomb SAN DIEGO PADRES | |||||||
05-21-14 | New York Yankees v. Chicago Cubs -112 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -112 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
Taking the CUBS here. What's not to like about the Cubs here. Samardzija is winless in 9 (0-4) starts this year with a 1.62 ERA a 1.11 WHIP and a .222 BA against to go along with 51Ks in 49 innings. Yanks line-up doesn't scare me that much here. 15 straight games without a win for Sammy who can be showcasing his talents for the Yanks here. Why do I see a a 2-hitter on the horizon as he is looking to get out of Chicago and replace this younster Whitley in the Yanks rotation by mid-July? 5* Best Bet CHICAGO CUBS | |||||||
05-18-14 | Toronto Blue Jays -115 v. Texas Rangers | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Taking the BLUE JAYS here. Dickey looks like to be rounding into shape with his 2.45 ERA his last 3 starts after a bumpy start to the season. Jays have also found their stroke at the dish. Texas offense in a swoon and has lost Prince. Not that he has been doing anything. But it is still a void in the middle of the lineup. Jays have won 3 in a row, 5 of 6 and 5 straight on the road. They have also won 6 straight in Texas. Now they face a spot starter in Martinez. Jays get it done behind Dickey and their big bats. 10* Money-Bomb TORONTO BLUE JAYS | |||||||
05-17-14 | Cincinnati Reds v. Philadelphia Phillies -117 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
Taking the PHILLIES here. Hamels has some great numbers vs Cincy going 7-0 with a 1.70 ERA in 10 career starts. Phillies are 11-0 in games started by Hamels vs the Reds. Cincy 7-20 last 27 in Philly. Reds 2-6 last 8 when Bailey faces the Phillies. Cincy won last night, and I expect Hamels to chalk up his 100th career win here at home where he has won 5 straight vs the Reds. 10* Money-Bomb PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES | |||||||
05-17-14 | Atlanta Braves v. St. Louis Cardinals -119 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 13 m | Show |
Taking STL today. Aaron Harang is pitching to a 7 ERA his last 3 starts. He had a sub 1 ERA heading into a game vs Miami that he gave up 9. I can't trust him at his age nor with his track record. STL always a deep hitting club. Will gladly lay this short number with Miller. Free swinging Braves will off set the walks that he has been giving up. Braves 1-7 last 8 on the road. STL also 6-2 last 8 in this series. 5* Best Bet STL CARDINALS | |||||||
05-16-14 | Chicago White Sox -102 v. Houston Astros | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show |
Taking the WHITE SOX here. I like this kid Quintana. 7 quality starts his last 8. White Sox have scored 10 runs in his 36 innings of pitching. If they can't score against a lowly Astros team, then they have more problems then I thought. 5* Best Bet CHICAGO WHITE SOX | |||||||
05-15-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers -143 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
Taking MILWAUKEE here. Brewers lost yesterday to the Pirates and that should fill the quota for the year as Milwaukee is now 50-12 vs Pittsburgh at home their last 62 games. Brewers 10-2 in Gallardo's last 12 starts vs the Bucs. I think something is wrong with Wandy as he is making his first start off the DL. He comes in hasn't won a game since last May. I see a Tommy Surgery in his future. A 7.65 ERA, a .305 BA against, and a 1.60 WHIP, I think Milwaukee will be able to string together a few runs here against Rodriguez. 5* Best Bet MILWAUKEE BREWERS | |||||||
05-08-14 | Philadelphia Phillies v. Toronto Blue Jays -126 | Top | 6-12 | Win | 100 | 7 h 20 m | Show |
Taking the BLUE JAYS here. Jays hitting the ball well and face AJ Burnett tonight. Now AJ has been pretty dominate lately, a .98 ERA his last 3 start. On the year, 2.06 ERA in 7 games 43+ innings 35Ks and a .219 BA against. But I am not sold on this guy. RA has been pitching better and I think his knuckler with befuddle this Philly team. Philly 2-5 last 7 and 9-23 last 32 in inter-league. Phillies now 0-7 last 7 vs Jays and 0-5 in Toronto. 5* Best Bet TORONTO BLUE JAYS | |||||||
05-06-14 | Kansas City Royals v. San Diego Padres -116 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
Taking the PADRES here. KC struggling having lost 5 straight now. SD rallied 3 times last night for the win, and when you are struggling like the Royals, those are tough losses to bounce back from. Royals now 0-7 in SD. 5* Best Bet SAN DIEGO PADRES | |||||||
05-06-14 | New York Yankees v. Los Angeles Angels -137 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -137 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
Taking the ANGELS here. This Yankees team is struggling right now. The bullpen literally, walked the game away last night. Now they send Kurode to the hill who has looked anything but sharp lately. Teams are hitting nearly .290 against him this year. (0-7 5+ERA L9 road starts). I don't think he looks 100%. CJ Wilson on the other hand is flat out in beast mode. More than a K an innings. Low WHIP and BA against. 13Ks his last 2 games. 10* LA ANGELS | |||||||
05-06-14 | Texas Rangers v. Colorado Rockies -115 | Top | 1-12 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
Taking the ROCKIES here. These guys have just been an offensive monster. Now they face a youngster who gave up 10 his last start. Rockies hitting .305 off lefties and face a struggling one tonight. 8* Sure Shot COLORADO ROCKIES | |||||||
04-28-14 | Cleveland Indians +115 v. Los Angeles Angels | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 25 m | Show |
Taking the INDIANS here. Terrible scheduling spot for LAA and we are going to take advantage. Off the ESPN Sunday night game. In NY. Coming back cross country. Tough. Add a loss ending their 9 game trek to the east and they guys will be gassed tonight. Will take a day or 2 to get their acts together. Masterson has been sharp his last 2 starts. Indians have won Masterson's last 4 starts vs Angels and 4 straight in the series. Tribe just got swept in SF and though I try not bet on teams with losing streaks this is a prime 'situational' play that we must big on. 10* Money-Bomb CLEVELAND INDIANS | |||||||
04-19-14 | Atlanta Braves -125 v. New York Mets | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
Taking the BRAVES here. Colon went 7 shutout innings giving up 6 hits back on April 8th when he faced Atlanta. He is coming off a game where he was lit up for 11 hits and 9 earned vs the Angels. I expect the Braves to have his number here seeing him the second time around. It is tough to go against team that was nearly no-hit last night, but Santana is dealing right now. 14 innings, 17 Ks a .149 BA against .64 WHIP. Braves 7-2 last 9 on the road. Mets 3-9 last 12 at home. 10* Money-Bomb ATLANTA BRAVES | |||||||
04-17-14 | Milwaukee Brewers -101 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 2-11 | Loss | -101 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
Taking the BREWERS here. Brew Crew still streaking. 11-4 on the year, undefeated on the road. They will regress eventually, but I am not betting against them at this price. Pirates have not solved Gallardo. Brewers are 16-4 in his last 20 starts vs Pittsburgh. He has just 1 loss his last 12 starts overall. Will grab him and the hot team here. 5* Best Bet MILWAUKEE BREWERS | |||||||
04-17-14 | Los Angeles Dodgers v. San Francisco Giants -120 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 0 m | Show |
Taking the GIANTS here. Bumgarner went 3-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.64 WHIP last year. Giants are 5-1 his last 6 starts vs LAD. Dodgers just 1-7 last 8 games in SF. I am not a fan of Ryu and think this a poor match-up for him. Bumgarner shuts down LA again. 5* Best Bet SF GIANTS | |||||||
04-08-14 | Baltimore Orioles +117 v. New York Yankees | Top | 14-5 | Win | 117 | 2 h 31 m | Show |
8* Sure-Shot | |||||||
04-07-14 | Chicago White Sox v. Colorado Rockies -133 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
5* Best Bet | |||||||
07-27-13 | New York (N): D Gee +134 v. Washington: D Haren | Top | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
Taking the METS here. Mets playing with some spark lately. Gee posting solid numbers over his last 3 starts. He is 6-1 2.57 ERA career vs Nats. Washington 3-13 in Haren's last 16 starts. They are 2-7 their last 9 overall. Mets 8-3 last 11 Gee road starts as underdog. 4* Dog of the Day NY METS | |||||||
07-14-13 | San Francisco Giants v. San Diego Padres -139 | Top | 1-10 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
Taking the PADRES here. Will back the Pods here off that no-no last night. Anytime a team gets shutout, I like to look into playing them the next game. Add in a no-no where they were totally dominated by a guy throwing nearly 150 pitches and I am doubly interested. Stultz has struggled lately but has pitched well so far this year. He has been excellent at home going 4-1 2.56 ERA in 8 starts with batters hitting just. 194 against him and a .85 WHIP. Giants 0-7 in Zito's last 7 road starts. Batters also wrapping Zito around to the tune of .310 on the year. He has been flat out UGLY on the road going 0-5 with a BRUTAL 9.38 ERA. Batters seeing the ball vs Zito as they are crushing him hitting .422 in 31 innings while getting 65 hits! Perfect storm here. 10* Money-Bomb SD PADRES | |||||||
07-10-13 | Oakland A's v. Pittsburgh Pirates -130 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 8 h 25 m | Show |
Taking the PIRATES here. Pitt has lost a couple close ones here. I think they avoid the sweep and bust out offensively tonight. First, Liriano is having a great year and can easily be a Comeback Player of the Year winner. He has been nearly perfect his last 3 outings posting a 1.66 ERA in 21.2 innings. The A's have won 11 straight vs Pitt. That has to end here. Millone isn't the best of A's starters. He has a 4.74 ERA his last 3 starts and sits at 8-7 4.11 on the year. He is 4-4 4.83 on the road this year. Pitt has lost 4 straight but I think this team has the heart to end this streak tonight. 10* Money-Bomb PITTSBURGH PIRATES | |||||||
06-08-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Chicago Cubs -120 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
8* Sure-Shot | |||||||
05-30-13 | Arizona Diamondbacks v. Texas Rangers -141 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 2 h 4 m | Show |
**rained out yesterday** Taking the RANGERS here. The proverbial 'perfect storm' play in affect here for me. Arizona swept these guys in a double header on Monday. Now they flip-flop the home and home and we get the Rangers as short home faves. Rangers one of the tougher home teams at 15-7 on the year. They send out Grimm who is 2-1 with a 2.79 ERA in his 3 home starts this year. Arizona 5-11 last 16 in the series and 1-7 last 8 in Arlington. As well as McCarthy has pitched his last 3 outings, hitters are still batting .298 vs him. Texas hitters lead league in batting at .280. 10* Money-Bomb TEXAS RANGERS | |||||||
05-28-13 | Los Angeles Angels v. Los Angeles Dodgers -131 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show |
Taking the DODGERS tonight. First order of business. Fade away on Joe Blanton and his 1-7 6.19 ERA. How the heck in God's green Earth is this guy still in the rotation. Batters hitting .360 against him. He has giving up 93 hits in 53 innings. I have said this before, I don't like throwing WHIPs out but his is nearly 2. (1.87) Ryu is a nice little rookie. He has been solid. His SO pace has slowed a bit, but he does miss bats. Dodgers 4-0 in Ryu's last 4 starts while the Angels are 2-8 in Blanton's last 10. Coming off a huge win yesterday, down 6-1 and taking a 7-6 lead, then winning after the Angels tied it. That shows this team has not quit on their manager. Both teams have under-achieved so far. But I like LAD in this spot with a clear edge on the hill. 10* Money-Bomb LA DODGERS | |||||||
05-24-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Milwaukee Brewers -105 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show |
Taking the BREWERS here. Will fade the Pirates here. Yes, AJ Burnett leads the NL is strike-outs and hasn't given up more than 3 runs in a game this year. But I am not buying it in this spot. Pirates are 7-44 last 51 at Milwaukee, 0-4 in AJ's last 4 vs Brewers. Pirates 2-5 in his last 7 road starts and 5-14 his last 19 starts overall. AJ 2-5 4.87 career numbers vs Brew Crew. Marco Estrada is 4-0 2.17 ERA in 49.2 innings with 51Ks vs Pirates. Brewers 6-2 his last 8 starts and 8-2 his last 10 starts at home. Milwaukee also 11-1 in Estrada's last 12 starts vs NL Central teams. They just win when this guy is on the mound. 10* Money-Bomb MILWAUKEE BREWERS | |||||||
05-17-13 | Chicago White Sox +106 v. Los Angeles Angels | Top | 3-0 | Win | 106 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
Taking the WHITE SOX here. Will back Chris Sale here. This guy just has the Angels number. He has a .55 ERA in 16.1 innings while striking out 16. In 56+ innings, Sale has K'ed 49 while allowing just 41 hits with hitters batting .204 against. He also has a WHIP of just .94 ~ I rarely throw out WHIPs, but a sub 1 WHIP is outstanding. Angels, again have stumbled early this season. I will go with the more dominate pitcher here. 10* ROAD WARRIOR Chicago White Sox | |||||||
05-14-13 | Milwaukee Brewers -108 v. Pittsburgh Pirates | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
Taking the BREWERS here. I can buy the Pirates and their winning ways. They played well most of last season. But I am not buying Locke on the mound tonight. The kid has given up 19 walks in 39 innings and only 22Ks. I am just not sold on him. Lohse on the other hand is a proven guy. 9-2 3.42 career vs Pirates in 102.2 innings. He doesn't have the wins this year, but he has a respectable 3.52 ERA. Brewers are 2-5 when he pitches but have scored a total of 3 runs those losses. You won't win many games scoring 0 or half a run. Brewers a perfect 5-0 last 5 trips into Pitt. 8* SURE SHOT Milwaukee Brewers | |||||||
05-10-13 | Oakland A's v. Seattle Mariners -129 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
Taking the MARINERS here. Flat-0ut STEAL laying this number here. Iwakuma is the real deal. Not sure how the lines makers keep overlooking this guy. Will gladly fade the A's who just got swept in Cleveland and traveled to the Pacific Northwest yesterday. They are in a tailspin right now. Mariners nice and rested and winners of 7 of their last 10. Iwakuma sporting a 1.61 ERA in 44.2 innings and hitters are batting just .168 against him. If Trout didn't have a year for the ages, this guy would have been ROY. He is that good. For the A's, Dan Straily brings a 5.94 ERA to the contest. That includes his 11K performance vs the Astros where he gave up 2 earned. Against real MLB line-ups, not Triple A, he gave up 6 runs to the Angels and 3 more runs to the Yanks. Will gladly back the real-deal in Seattle here. 10* MONEY-BOMB Seattle Mariners | |||||||
05-10-13 | Pittsburgh Pirates -107 v. New York Mets | Top | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
Taking the PIRATES here. For starters. I do no think the Mets are going to be good. Outside of Harvey, this pitching staff is a joke. And do we really think Buck is going to hit continue his pace and hit 70HRs this year? Off a loss last night when their closer came in the tied game, I think the Bucs get it done here. Marcum still working back into shape as evident by his .395 BA against. 395! He has allowed 21 baserunners in 10 innings. Wandy Rodriguez 5-2 2.88 in 56 innings vs Mets. 8* SURE SHOT Pitt Pirates |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $1,072 |
Tom Macrina | $601 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
William Burns | $288 |
Ricky Tran | $269 |
Big Al McMordie | $234 |
Joey Tron | $165 |
Jesse Schule | $21 |
Tim Michael | $18 |