Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-08-22 | Jazz -3.5 v. Pacers | Top | 113-125 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Hoops Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play Utah Jazz -3.5 @ Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - I am aware of the injury issues / covid issues (at least as of 9 AM ET game day) but the fact is I just love the situational edges here. Yes I know that Utah is in a back to back but the fact they are off a loss and it was a game in which they led by double digits at the half has me liking the Jazz a ton here. They will clean things up after a defeat in which they turned it over 21 times in comparison to an opponent that turned it over only 7 times. Also, the Pacers are struggling badly. Indiana has lost 6 straight games and 9 of its last 11. Adding to the value here is Indiana won at Utah earlier this season in November. The Jazz want payback and they'll get it here! 10* UTAH -3.5 | |||||||
01-08-22 | Chiefs v. Broncos +11 | Top | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Denver Broncos +11 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 4:30 ET - The Chiefs can still get to the #1 seed in the AFC if they simply win this game and the Titans lose Sunday. While the former has a good chance (though I expect a tight game) the latter is highly improbable as Tennessee is also a double digit favorite this weekend since they are facing the Texans. Mentally, the Chiefs are not in the right frame of mind for a blowout win here. They blew their chance at the #1 seed by losing to the Bengals last week. There will be some carryover effect from that loss into this game. Also, KC's biggest concern here has to be staying healthy. The Broncos, on the other hand, have no such concerns here and I expect them to be flying all over the field with aggression as they host a long-time division rival that has had their number for about 5 or 6 seasons in a row now. Yes, the Broncos have a tough QB situation but this team is highly motivated here, will be going hard at home in this one, and can throw caution to the wind in an all-out effort to finish the season with a win over a hated division rival. I will grab the big points here as I expect this game to be decided by just a single score. Chiefs need to stay healthy. They know their chances of the #1 seed are very slim and it is better to avoid injury here. 10* DENVER +11 | |||||||
01-07-22 | Spurs v. 76ers -7.5 | Top | 100-119 | Win | 100 | 6 h 60 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - Spurs are on the road again and playing for 3rd time in 4 nights. Also, San Antonio off a huge upset win at Boston. The 76ers crushed SA by 35 points the last time they hosted them. After tonight, the Sixers next game not until Monday and that one is back on the road and Philly enters this game off a road win at Orlando. In other words, the 76ers will be fully focused and want to make the most of this opportunity at home. As for the Spurs, they have two more tough games while on this long road trip as they have the Nets and Knicks up next for Sunday and Monday. Look for this one to be all Philly as the home team is the healthier team too plus will be up for this one and this looks like a flat spot for the travelers in this match-up. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7.5 | |||||||
01-07-22 | Marquette -2 v. Georgetown | Top | 92-64 | Win | 100 | 6 h 47 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Marquette Golden Eagles -2 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6:30 ET - The Golden Eagles will take advantage of a rusty Hoyas team here. Georgetown has not played in 3 weeks and they certainly are not invincible on their home floor either. Not only have the lost a couple at home already this season they also have lost to Marquette in each of the last two times they have hosted them. However, the Hoyas did beat the Golden Eagles in the Big East tourney last season and it is payback time here. Marquette did not just lose that game, they got embarrassed as they scored just 14 first-half points on their way to a 19 points loss. The Golden Eagles are a young team but have already grown as the season has gone on and have covered each of their last two road games plus enter this game off a big home win over Providence. 10* MARQUETTE -2 | |||||||
01-06-22 | Maryland +11 v. Illinois | Top | 64-76 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 42 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +11 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Illini just are not the same team without point guard Andre Curbelo and his return is unlikely for tonight's game yet this line is priced as if he would be playing. Maryland is a talented team that has been bolstered this season with solid play from newcomers (transfers) Qudus Wahab and Fatts Russell. They have joined Eric Ayala to give this team a solid trio at the top and the Terrapins have not lost a game by more than 8 points this season. They are getting double digits here and, the point is, Maryland getting double digits as a dog would equate to a 13-0 record this season! I know Illinois, even with Curbelo hurting, is still a high-quality team but only 4 of their last 11 games have been victories by more than 10 points! I look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin given all of the above. 10* MARYLAND +11 | |||||||
01-05-22 | Alabama +2 v. Florida | Top | 83-70 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
SEC Game of the Month Wednesday CBB 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide +2 @ Florida Gators @ 7 ET - We are getting line value here because the Crimson Tide are on the road. Alabama is ranked and is the better team in this match-up and Florida is not as strong as Gators teams we have seen in recent seasons. So long-term approach here is bettors see Florida as a small home favorite and are induced to jump all over it but Bama is really the stronger team this season and could contend for the SEC Title. Also, the Gators game at Ole Miss for last week was cancelled so this will be Florida's first game in two weeks. They are likely to be rusty here as a result. The Tide, on the other hand, are off a win versus Tennessee last week and that gives them an edge here as at least they have seen some recent action. I know the Crimson Tide have slipped up lately in terms of ATS results but that is merely serving to give us line value in this spot. Keep in mind Florida's last game was a big win but over an out-classed Stony Brook foe. Prior to that the Gators were on a 1-4 ATS run. The Tide has played the tougher schedule so far this season too. 10* ALABAMA +2 | |||||||
01-04-22 | LSU +7 v. Kansas State | Top | 20-42 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play LSU Tigers +7 vs Kansas State Wildcats @ 9 ET - The Wildcats scored a COMBINED total of just 27 points in their last two games of the season and that included one against a Longhorns team that had a bad season. The Tigers scored 27 points in EACH of their last two games of the season and that included an outright upset win over a solid Texas A & M team which made sure LSU got their 6th win and is the reason they are playing in a bowl game. I look for them to make the most of the opportunity. Kansas State has gone from being a -2.5 favorite to now being favored at a full -7 as of game day. Yes there are reasons for the line move but long-time followers know I love to fade line moves and grab the value on the other side. Certainly the Cats played a respectable schedule as they play in the Big 12 but the Tigers and the SEC schedule was even tougher. Too much value to pass up on with the big points being offered here. 10* LSU +7 | |||||||
01-04-22 | Ohio +1.5 v. Akron | Top | 69-63 | Win | 100 | 9 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Ohio University Bobcats +1.5 @ Akron Zips @ 6 ET - Akron is off a huge win over Buffalo. That was big for the Zips because the Bulls had knocked them out of the MAC Tournament last season. As for the Bobcats, they lost by 20 points in their visit to Akron last season so they will be looking to make up for that Tuesday. I expect Ohio University to do just that as they are a fantastic 10-2 this season and their only two losses were to LSU (12-1 this season) and Kentucky (a ranked team) and both those teams are solid SEC programs. The fact Bobcats are on the road here is the only reason they are a small dog and I won't hesitate to grab them given the above factors. They catch the Zips a little flat off their revenging win. 10* OHIO UNIVERSITY +1.5 | |||||||
01-03-22 | Browns +3 v. Steelers | Top | 14-26 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
AFC North Game of the Year Monday NFL 10* Top Play Cleveland Browns +3 @ Pittsburgh Steelers @ 8:15 ET - The Browns are eliminated from playoff contention while the Steelers remain alive with a win tonight though they would also have to win plus get unlikely help next week. The point is that Pittsburgh is playing with playoff pressure while Cleveland is not. The Browns have now gone from being a 3-point favorite to a 3-point dog in this one. The line swing of about a full TD is simply too much. Keep in mind, the Steelers are a rival for Cleveland. Just as their playoff hopes were squelched yesterday, the Browns would love nothing more than to end Pittsburgh's playoff hopes tonight. There is no pressure to do so but they would love to do it. So you have a road team playing loose and relaxed and hungry for an elimination win over a rival. You have a host that has not even scored a first-half touchdown in ANY of their last FIVE games and is playing with playoff pressure here. The Steelers are a bit lucky they are even 2-3 SU in their last five games and I look for them to struggle to score points again in this one. The Browns will deliver a "shocker" tonight as Pittsburgh is the team that needs to win but, to this day, the betting markets have just never fully gotten a grasp on this. The reaction is that if a team needs to win it will win and that is just not how this stuff works. This is particularly true in a rivalry game. I'll happily take the points in this one! 10* CLEVELAND +3 | |||||||
01-03-22 | Alabama State -8 v. Mississippi Valley State | Top | 84-75 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Rotation #306051 Alabama State Hornets -8 @ Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils @ 5 ET - The Hornets are only 2-11 this season and yet opened up as 10 point favorites here on the road at Mississippi Valley State. Big mistake, right? After all the line already dropped to a -8 because the sharps must be lining up on the Delta Devils here. Long-time followers know how I feel about supposed mistakes by the odds makers. The fact is that Alabama State at least has a couple wins on the season and also the Hornets are coming off back to back ATS covers against Texas Tech and Texas! They have certainly been a lot more competitive than a Mississippi Valley State team that is 0-10 this season and losing by an average margin of 29.5 points per game! The Delta Devils have one loss by a 4-point margin but all the other 9 defeats hae been by 14 or more points and I feel strongly this one will too! The Hornets are the better shooting team and the much better team on the defensive end also and one of just two wins that Mississippi State had season was on the road against this team. Now payback will be delivered on the road in their first meeting since then! 10* Alabama State -8 | |||||||
01-02-22 | Vikings +13 v. Packers | Top | 10-37 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 45 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Minnesota Vikings +13 @ Green Bay Packers @ 8:20 PM ET - Frigid temperatures expected for this one and it is a divisional battle and it is just too many points in my opinion. Even though Vikings are with their #2 QB, Mannion can be a good game manager and I am expecting a huge game from RB Cook in this one. The Packers should still win this game but I expect it to be by a margin closer to the original 1 TD line on this game not two TDs! The home team has won just twice in last five meetings between these divisional foes and the two wins by the host were each by 5 or less points! Green Bay has won 4 in a row but all but 1 were by 8 or less points! The Vikings have played 15 games this season and not one of them have been a loss by more than 8 points! That means if you had the Vikes +13 in all games this season you would be a perfect 15-0! Happy to test that edge here! 10* MINNESOTA +13 | |||||||
01-02-22 | Eagles -4.5 v. Washington Football Team | 20-16 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
NFL PA Dominator Sunday 8* Philadelphia Eagles -4.5 @ Washington Football Team @ 1 ET - The Eagles dominated Washington in their game last month much more than the 27-17 final would indicated. Philadelphia outgained them by 282 yards so the final score could have been much worse! Now Washington enters this game off an ultra-embarrassing loss to the rival Cowboys. A performance like that against a rival is an indication of a football club that has quit on the season. That said, I look for the Eagles to pound the Football Team again in this one and we have good line value here because Philly is on the road. If they were at home they would be laying double digits but on the road it is keeping this line in the -4.5 range and each of the Eagles last 6 wins have been by 10 or more points. As for Washington, each of their last 8 losses have been by 7 or more points. Lay the number with the road team in this one! 8* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
01-01-22 | Baylor v. Ole Miss -1 | Top | 21-7 | Loss | -108 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Ole Miss Rebels -1 vs Baylor Bears @ 8:45 ET - Ole Miss has the more dynamic offense in this match-up. Also, could Baylor QB Gerry Bohanon be impacted by the fact he has missed some recent game action with a hamstring injury? I believe the answer to that will prove to be yes. Keep in mind, the Rebels allowed an average of only 18 points per game over their last 4 games. The Bears are off a tight 21-16 win over Oklahoma State in the Big 12 Championship Game but did allow 24 or more points in 6 of 9 games heading into that one. Also, in their win over the Cowboys they actually were outgained by nearly 100 yards but were the beneficiary of 4 Oklahoma State interceptions in that game. That is not happening again here as Mississippi QB Matt Corral threw only 4 all year and plus threw for 20 touchdowns. Also, the Rebels have an excellent ground attack so they have a balanced offense and a tremendously solid defense! The Bears are in trouble here and are over-rated in my opinion and the SEC foe how had only 2 losses this season will get it done. One of their only two losses was to mighty Alabama and the other one was to a very solid Auburn team that had almost beaten the Crimson Tide this season. 10* OLE MISS -1 | |||||||
01-01-22 | Utah v. Ohio State -3.5 | Top | 45-48 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
CFB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 9* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -3.5 vs Utah Utes @ 5 ET - This is a contrarian play here. The common viewpoint on this game is that Ohio State is disappointed to be here. Lets not forget this is the Rose Bowl! Yes the Buckeyes were playing for the national championship last year and this year they will not be. However, this is an Ohio State team that is angry after losing badly at Michigan to finish their regular season off. The Buckeyes want to erase the bitter taste of defeat from their mouths here and they also want to get some redemption against a Pac-12 foe as their only other loss this season came at the hands of Oregon. That is the same Ducks team that the Utes manhandled twice this season. However, Ohio State is coming to play here and Utah does not have the explosive offense that the Buckeyes have. Look for that to be a key difference maker here and the favorite pulls away as this game goes on. They are far more motivated for this game than most realize. 9* OHIO STATE -3.5 | |||||||
01-01-22 | Providence v. DePaul +1.5 | Top | 70-53 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play DePaul Blue Demons +1.5 vs Providence Friars @ 3 ET - The Friars are off a big win versus Seton Hall but the Pirates were down 5 players, including 1 starter, and this resulted in a limited rotation as the bench was much shorter than usual. Now Providence faces a tough DePaul team and this is a rare road game for the Friars. Look for home court and health to be big difference makers here. Keep in mind Providence had just one player shoot well from 3-point land in the win over Seton Hall as the rest of the team made just 1 of 11 three pointers! Look for the Friars to struggle on the road here and the Blue Demons take advantage with a big home court win as they get revenge for a pair of tight losses last season versus Providence including one in double OT! 10* DEPAUL +1.5 | |||||||
12-31-21 | Georgia -7.5 v. Michigan | Top | 34-11 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Georgia Bulldogs -7.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:30 ET - The Wolverines are known for struggling in big games. I know Michigan finally came up big in their big game versus Ohio State and also won the Big Ten Championship over Iowa. However, that does not change the fact that the Wolverines have lost 4 straight bowl games both SU and ATS and now they face a team that might be the best team in the country. I know Georgia lost to Alabama but this Bulldogs team is really something else. They had allowed only 7 points per game in 12 straight wins before the loss to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. Now we get a chance to take one of the best teams in the country off a loss and laying only about a TD and we can fade a team with a poor recent bowl history under Harbaugh...I'll take it! Lay the points for a big play here. The Bulldogs defense will be the difference in this one. The Wolverines allowed 23.6 in their 5 games away from home before the Big Ten Championship. The Bulldogs never allowed more than 17 points this season until the loss to Crimson Tide. Michigan allowed 17 points or more in all 5 of those games away from before beating Iowa. The Dawgs D rules the day here. 10* GEORGIA -7.5 | |||||||
12-31-21 | Cincinnati v. Alabama -13.5 | Top | 6-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
CFB Contrarian Crusher Friday 9* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide -13.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 3:30 ET - The Bearcats are undefeated and yet nearly a two TD underdog against a Crimson Tide team that has one loss on the season. Big mistake by the odds makers, right? Hardly! In typical contrarian fashion, laying the big points in this one! Look for Alabama to crush Cincinnati here. The Tide played a tougher schedule, have the much better passing attack and the much better run defense. All signs pointing to a blowout here as the Bearcats finally find out what it is like to take a major step up in class in terms of the high level of opponent they are now facing. They finally got their wish of being a part of the national title discussion and having that chance to prove that a smaller program can get it done on the big stage. Unfortunately for Cincinnati though, this story does not have a good ending. 9* ALABAMA -13.5 | |||||||
12-31-21 | Suns -4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 108-123 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 1:10 ET - The Celtics are without leading scorer Jayson Tatum. The Suns have struggled recently and that has led to line value in this spot as it has kept the line lower than it should be. Boston has struggled and lost 3 straight games SU and now has lost 8 of last 11 games. Phoenix has won 11 of 14 road games SU this season and they get the win and cover in this one as home team struggles without Tatum and plus without Dennis Schroder and also Marcus Smart still dealing with a hand injury. 10* PHOENIX -4.5 | |||||||
12-30-21 | Pittsburgh +3.5 v. Michigan State | Top | 21-31 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
Peach Bowl Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +3.5 vs Michigan State Spartans @ 7 ET - The Panthers have the better numbers overall this season and I definitely like their edge on defense in this match-up in particular. Yes there are some opt-outs for this game but that is effecting both teams. I also know the Spartans have the better recent bowl history but feel we have value with the defensive-minded physical underdog in this match-up. The Panthers hold the edges in pass defense and I like their ground game too. Strong rushing team and with a solid defense and they are an underdog. This one has all the right ingredients that equate to value. Also, Pat Narduzzi is Pittsburgh's head coach and he was the defensive coordinator at Michigan State from 2007 to 2014. The Spartans are coached by Mel Tucker and this is the first ever bowl game he has coached in. Grab the points! 10* PITTSBURGH | |||||||
12-29-21 | Oregon v. Oklahoma -6.5 | Top | 32-47 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
CFB Bowl Insider Wednesday 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners -6.5 vs Oregon Ducks @ 9:15 ET - The Sooners are the much better overall team in my opinion. Yes they have lost a couple games recently but they only trailed Baylor by 3 entering 4th quarter of the defeat that ended a 17-game winning streak for Oklahoma. Also, the Sooners other loss was by just 4 points to another strong team, Oklahoma State. That said, take a look now at the Ducks losses: lost to a Stanford team that has since lost 7 straight games and finished the season 3-9. Also, Oregon lost twice to Utah by a combined score of 76 to 17. The fact we can still get Oklahoma in the TD range for this game has me rating this play with my top play rating as I feel we have the much stronger team here at a bargain price and the Ducks have shown on 3 different occasions this season that they are fully capable of really disappointing in a game. They do it again here and the Sooners roll. 10* OKLAHOMA -6.5 | |||||||
12-29-21 | Arkansas v. Mississippi State -2.5 | Top | 68-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 1 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Mississippi State Bulldogs -2.5 vs Arkansas Razorbacks @ 5 ET - Bulldogs got blasted at Arkansas by double digits last season. That takes the run to 32-12 SU for the home team in match-ups between these foes. Mississippi State should keep that home trend going here and they are 15-4-1 ATS in the last 20 meetings as a host against the Razorbacks. I look for a big key here to be that home court edge and also how it impacts the shooting of these two teams. Arkansas has been horrible both inside and outside the 3-point line in terms of shooting percentages away from home this season. The Bulldogs have been rock solid in terms of the shooting percentages at home this season with 50.2% and 40.6% overall and outside the arc, respectively. Lay the short number here. 10* MISSISSIPPI STATE -2.5 | |||||||
12-28-21 | 76ers -6.5 v. Raptors | Top | 114-109 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - The Raptors roster is severely depleted by covid right now. Even though Pascal Siakam and Gary Trent Jr should return tonight they could be on minutes restrictions and this is still a team expected to be without its top two scorers. Both Fred VanVleet and OG Anunoby are expected to still be out for this one. Keep in mind the #3 and #4 scorers are Siakam and Trent so this team is far from 100 percent right now. Also, the road team has won and covered each of the last two meetings between these teams and that includes a road win for the Raptors at Philly last month which makes this a revenge game for the Sixers. With revenge on their side, including the playoff loss a few years ago in a season that ended in Toronto for Embiid and Philly, I am expecting the 76ers to come up big here and take advantage of a short-handed Raptors team. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 | |||||||
12-27-21 | Dolphins v. Saints +3.5 | Top | 20-3 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Thrasher Monday NFL 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +3.5 vs Miami Dolphins @ 8:15 ET - Ian Book of the Saints is scheduled to make his first ever NFL start and, in the eyes of the betting marketplace, that means the Dolphins win this game. I disagree. It is not as if Book has never played on the big stage as he played his College Football at Notre Dame! This guy is use to big game settings and also this game is at home. Having the support of the home fans will certainly help Book. Also, New Orleans is a solid team battling to stay alive in the playoff race and they are catching value here because the Dolphins have been on a winning streak. Keep in mind, two of those six Miami wins were over a Jets team that is 4-11 and another one was over a Giants team that is 4-11 and also Houston is 4-11 and Carolina is 5-10. So of the 6 wins in their win streak, 5 were against combined current records of 21-54 (counting Jets record twice). I am just not sold on this Miami team and only one of those 6 wins was on the road and prior to that road win the Dolphins had lost 4 straight games when away from home. 10* NEW ORLEANS +3.5 | |||||||
12-27-21 | Rockets +6.5 v. Hornets | Top | 99-123 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 46 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 10* Top Play Houston Rockets +6.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets are missing a few key players. The Rockets are getting a little healthier and could have a few key guys back on the floor for this one. That said, I like the value with the under-valued underdog in this one. Charlotte is off a win but has not won back to back games since before Thanksgiving. Don't be surprised if the road dogs get the outright upset here but, of course, I am grabbing the points as added insurance. Charlotte was only 3-9 last 12 before most recent win and 2 of those 3 wins were by a margin of just 3 or less points! Tremendous underdog value here especially considering the current covid/injury issues for each club. 10* HOUSTON +6.5 | |||||||
12-27-21 | Brown +10 v. Syracuse | Top | 62-93 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
CBB ACC Network Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Brown Bears +10 @ Syracuse Orange @ 6 ET - With all the time off between games for these teams I feel it strongly favors a double-digit dog. That's because it could be a bit of a sloppy game with a tough flow to it. That equates to a game in which it is hard to establish a big lead and maintain it. Yes Syracuse is the better team from the bigger conference. However, the Orange playing for the first time since over two weeks ago. Also, that was a loss that wrapped up a 2-5 stretch for Syracuse and one of those two wins was by just two points in double overtime. The Bears off a loss versus Vermont but it was by only a 5-point margin and Brown entered that game having won 4 straight. Two Bears losses that immediately preceded the 4-game winning streak were by 6 or less points. Tremendous value with the points here as I look for it to be tough for Syracuse to pull away as both teams show some rust in this game after the long layoff. 10* BROWN +10 | |||||||
12-27-21 | Western Michigan v. Nevada +7 | Top | 52-24 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
CFB Earliest Blowout Monday 10* Top Play Nevada Wolf Pack +7 vs Western Michigan @ 11 AM ET - In the regular season the situation here for Nevada would be devastating. But, in bowl time, when a team has extra time to prepare for a game things can be managed much better. Nevada has a number of opt outs for this game but nearly the entire defense is intact and it is made up of veteran players. On offense yes they are starting an inexperienced QB but the 6'9 signal-caller has had extra time to prep with this team and they are going against a MAC defense. The MAC has not performed well overall in these bowls thus far. So, what about the MWC? They are a perfect 4-0 and that includes beating a Pac-12 team (Ore St) and a team (UTSA) that nearly finished with a perfect record in the regular season. This line has gone from Nevada -3 or -4 to now the Wolf Pack being a +7 underdog. More times than not these line moves never work out like the betting masses think they will. A 10 point swing here? A MAC team favored by 7 over an MWC school? I know that Nevada also has an interim head coach for this one but he has this team believing and viewing this is as their "one game season" together. Practices have been spirited and you are going to see a spirited effort from the Wolf Pack come game time too. Look for the defense, mostly intact other than being without one top player, to absolutely be the dominant force in this game! 10* NEVADA +7 | |||||||
12-26-21 | Washington Football Team +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 14-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher Sunday 10* Top Play Washington Football Team +9.5 @ Dallas Cowboys @ 8:20 ET - Washington gets Taylor Heinicke back at QB for this game. This is a rivalry game. Washington swept the Cowboys last season but now has revenge from a loss at home versus Dallas two weeks ago. The Football Team now in a little better shape from the covid that had impacted their roster recently. Also, the road team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 Cowboys games. Also, Dallas is 1-2 SU and ATS last 3 home games. The road team gets the money in this one. The set up is perfect, everyone is on the Dallas bandwagon now after their big road trip and now, as per usual, the Cowboys return to Jerry's World and disappoint. Look for the Cowboys to win but not cover as I expect this to be a tight game decided by a one-score margin. Look for a huge game from Heinicke in this one and the Cowboys get caught looking ahead to Arizona in a tough match-up in this one. 10* WASHINGTON +9.5 | |||||||
12-26-21 | 76ers -3 v. Wizards | Top | 117-96 | Win | 100 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -3 or -3.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 6:10 ET - The Wizards are expected to be without one of their top scorers as Bradley Beal likely to miss due to covid protocols. The Sixers will take advantage with fresh legs for both Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris and I expect each of them to play in this game. Either way, I like Philly in this match-up as the Sixers have won 9 of last 11 meetings between these teams and this is a small number to lay so a SU win should equate to an ATS win as well. I know the Sixers have been struggling but this looks like an ideal bounce back spot as Washington will be short-handed and is also just 1-3 SU and ATS last 3 home games. That trend continues here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -3 or -3.5 | |||||||
12-26-21 | Giants v. Eagles -10.5 | 10-34 | Win | 100 | 3 h 45 m | Show | |
NFL Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Philadelphia Eagles -10.5 vs New York Giants @ 1 ET - The Eagles will take advantage of facing a QB making his first ever NFL start against a division rival hungry for a playoff berth. Also, Jake Fromm on the road for this start. I know the line looks big but the Eagles are 7 wins this season have featured 6 by a double digit margin with those 6 wins having an average victory margin of 19.5 points per game. In other words, don't let the big line keep you away from this one. The Giants are a bit of a mess right now and firing the offensive coordinator has not helped. New York is still struggling. The Giants have lost 10 of 14 games this season and 6 of their last 7 losses have been by 11 or more points! In fact, those 6 defeats have come by an average margin of 18.8 points per game. This one gets ugly! 8* PHILADELPHIA -10.5 | |||||||
12-25-21 | Colts +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 22-16 | Win | 100 | 24 h 0 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher NFL 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts +2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - The Cardinals have lost back to back games and 3 straight home games! Not much home field edge here for Arizona. As for the Colts, they are one of the hottest teams around with going 8-3 last 11 games! Indianapolis is off a key win over the Patriots but they will not let up here and the key is they also had a bye week before facing New England. The Colts are the fresher team and hotter and they are still chasing the Titans for the top spot in the division so, again, no letdown here! The Colts have covered 9 of last 11 road games and I will take the points here but don't expect to need them as Arizona is starting to doubt themselves. B2B losses and 3 straight defeats at home...the doubts are creeping in on this team and this Colts team is even better than their full season record indicates. Keep in mind they started the season a poor 0-3 so they have come a long way since then. 10* INDIANAPOLIS +2.5 | |||||||
12-25-21 | Browns +7.5 v. Packers | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 21 h 6 m | Show | |
NFL Afternoon Thrasher Saturday 8* Cleveland Browns +7.5 @ Green Bay Packers @ 4:30 ET - The Browns are consistently involved in close games. 6 of their last 8 games decided by 6 or less points! Looking at the Packers last 7 games only 2 of them were GB wins by more than 8 points. Green Bay is off a win over Baltimore while Cleveland is off a loss to the Raiders. Packers have a rest edge here but it is not a big one and the Browns off a loss looks very attractive here. Cleveland has won 5 of 6 games when off a loss and I look for them to again avoid a losing streak here as they bounce back after the loss to Las Vegas last week. We have a cushion to work with here as we are getting 7.5 points so I am speaking about an ATS win here. Loss by 7 or less for the Browns if they don't manage the outright upset. I look for this game to be a tight one decided by a one-score margin. 8* CLEVELAND +7.5 | |||||||
12-25-21 | Ball State +6 v. Georgia State | Top | 20-51 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
CFB Perfection Play Saturday 10* Top Play Ball State Cardinals +6 vs Georgia State Panthers @ 2:30 ET - Value with the points here. Feel we are getting extra value in this line simply based on the fact that the Panthers went 8-4 ATS this season while the Cardinals went 4-8 ATS this season. There is really not a lot that separates these two teams and yet Ball State is getting about 6 points in this one. Yes, they come from the MAC and that conference has struggled in these bowls but Georgia State is from the Sun Belt Conference and that is certainly not a powerhouse conference. The Cards have had extra bowl prep time to prepare for a Panthers offense that is rather ground-heavy while I feel strongly that the Cardinals have the better passing attack and that will ultimately prove to be the difference in this one. 10* BALL STATE +6 | |||||||
12-25-21 | Wyoming -7.5 v. South Florida | Top | 77-57 | Win | 100 | 22 h 13 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play Wyoming Cowboys -7.5 vs South Florida @ 1:30 PM ET @ Stan Sheriff Center in Honolulu, Hawaii - This game is the battle for 5th place in this tournament and it has a local start time of 8:30 AM ET on Christmas Day. That is very tough on teams even though the players have been in Hawaii for some time already. It is just tough to play early morning basketball and to shoot well that early in the day. That said, I feel this situation strongly favors the much better team on offense. Wyoming shoots about 10 percentage points higher both inside and outside the arc and also averages about 20 points more per game on the season! With that said, a South Florida team that often struggles to score points is likely in trouble in this early morning start! Also, the Bulls are off a rare win where they did score well. Keep in mind, this is a USF team that is 0-4 SU this season when off a win. Yes, South Florida has yet to win back to back games this season. The Cowboys have 10 SU wins this season and 9 of those in lined games and they have had only 1 ATS loss in those 9 victories! Lay it! 10* WYOMING -7.5 | |||||||
12-25-21 | Hawks v. Knicks -6 | Top | 87-101 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Blowout Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks -6 vs Atlanta Hawks @ 12:10 ET - Trae Young has been ruled out for this game so that explains the Hawks being an underdog of about a half dozen points in this one. New York is at home and the Knicks, very short-handed Thursday, actually impressed me with their efforts. I had Washington in that one and we got the well-deserved win but I did like what I saw from the Knicks. That said, they will be in a little better shape health-wise for this one and they catch the Hawks missing a very key player, Young, among others who could miss as well due to covid. This is the first time the Knicks have hosted the Hawks since Atlanta knocked them out of the post-season here at Madison Square Garden back in early June. That said, we have plenty of motivational factors working in our favor here as well. Yes the Knicks won at Atlanta last month but they have waited a long time for this chance to exact some revenge at home as well. I look for them to get it and for it to be a solid win by 9 or more points just like their 9-point win last month. 10* NEW YORK -6 | |||||||
12-23-21 | 49ers v. Titans +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 101 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Thrasher 10* Top Play Tennessee Titans +3 vs San Francisco 49ers @ 8:20 ET - The Titans are off a loss at Pittsburgh but they nearly doubled up the Steelers in yardage. Tennessee was simply done in by turnovers in that game and this is helping to give us line value here. Keep in mind this Titans team has beaten the Colts twice this season plus the Chiefs, Rams, and Bills. Tennessee can beat anybody on any given Sunday and love them in this spot as a home dog against an over-valued 49ers team! 10* TENNESSEE +3 | |||||||
12-23-21 | Wizards -1 v. Knicks | Top | 124-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards -1 @ New York Knicks @ 7:40 ET - The Knicks have been greatly impacted by covid. That is why the Wizards are a small favorite here and is also why I will gladly take them in this spot! Washington has triple revenge from losing all 3 meetings with New York last season. The Wizards are off a big road win at Utah and have picked up 4 road wins since Thanksgiving so it is not as if Washington does not win on the road. Also, the Knicks are just so depleted in terms of their roster right now and this is a New York team which is off a win versus Detroit but this followed losses in 8 of last 10 games. 10* WASHINGTON | |||||||
12-23-21 | Central Florida +7 v. Florida | Top | 29-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Central Florida Knights +7 vs Florida Gators @ 7 ET - Too many points. Florida has not covered 6 straight games. Central Florida, in this match-up, is like the little brother facing the big brother, an SEC team from the same state. That said, the more motivated team to (no offense intended) to be playing in the Gasparilla Bowl rather than a bigger bowl closer to (or on) New Year's is going to the Knights. They will prove to be the team that wants this more. UCF has won 5 of 6 games SU and here they are getting a full 7 points. Florida's only 3-5 SU last 8 games and one of those wins was by just 3 points and the other 2 were against Samford and a bad Vanderbilt team. The Gators just have not shown us much this season and I expect more of the same in this bowl game. 10* UCF +7 | |||||||
12-22-21 | Cavs +6.5 v. Celtics | Top | 101-111 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +6.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Cavaliers have won and covered 6 straight games and overall are on an incredible 13-1 ATS run. The Celtics are off a home loss to Philly and have lost 5 of last 7 games SU. The Cavaliers have revenge from loss in most recent meeting between these teams and, keep in mind, before that defeat Cleveland had won 3 straight meetings with Boston. The Cavs have an incredible overall ATS record on the season plus are 10-5 SU in road games this season. Look for those trends to continue here. 10* CLEVELAND +6.5 | |||||||
12-22-21 | Arizona v. Tennessee -1.5 | Top | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play Tennessee Volunteers -1.5 vs Arizona Wildcats @ 7 ET - The Wildcats are 11-0 this season and the Volunteers already have 2 losses. Must be something wrong with this line, right? After all, how can Arizona be an underdog when they have not lost a game all season? Precisely! The point is that Tennessee is the favorite for a reason! Don't let the line fool you. The fact is that the Volunteers have played a bit of a tougher schedule and their two losses were to Villanova and Texas Tech, the latter of which was in overtime. The Vols have the rest edge here too since their most recent game, versus Memphis, was cancelled. Home court edge, rest edge, and in my opinion a slight strength of schedule edge so far this season. Two high-quality programs but watch the hosts surprise a lot of people when the knock off an undefeated team that is ranked among the top teams in the country. 10* TENNESSEE -1.5 | |||||||
12-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles -6.5 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
NFL PA Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 vs Washington Football Team @ 7 ET - The Eagles are rested off a bye week and also much healthier both on the injury front and in terms of covid issues as you compare these two teams heading into this one. That said, I like the Eagles to roll big at home. Philly finally gets a chance to give Washington some payback as they had won 6 in a row from 2017 to 2019 but then lost both meetings last season. Now it is time for the Eagles to resume the domination and their ground game and better health status and the home field edge will all be key factors as they pull away for the double digit win here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6.5 | |||||||
12-21-21 | Seahawks +7 v. Rams | Top | 10-20 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Early Blowout Tuesday 9* Top Play Seattle Seahawks +7 @ Los Angeles Rams @ 7 ET - Just too many points now that Seattle has gotten healthier and is playing a little better. The Rams are a quality team but so many times they disappoint and you know the Seahawks are going to bring their "A game" here and that means we should see quite the ball game here. This one likely to go down to the wire and an outright upset would not surprise me in the least. That said, we have excellent line value here with the +7 on this one. The Seahawks off B2B wins and though they have 8 losses this season 4 of those were by 3 or less points. The Rams are of B2B wins and covers but had lost 5 straight ATS prior to that. LA appears overvalued here and the road dog gets it done. 9* SEATTLE +7 | |||||||
12-21-21 | Wyoming -3.5 v. Kent State | Top | 52-38 | Win | 100 | 5 h 9 m | Show |
CFB Daytime Dominator Tuesday Top Play 9* Wyoming Cowboys -3.5 vs Kent State Golden Flashes @ 3:30 ET - The Golden Flashes are a MAC school facing a stronger MWC team here. Don't be fooled by their 6-6 record. Wyoming got better on offense as the season went on and the defense, as per usual, has been the consistent backbone for this Cowboys team. That will be the key again here as Kent State struggles to score and also eventually gets worn down by their opponents ground game. 9* WYOMING | |||||||
12-20-21 | Vikings v. Bears +6.5 | Top | 17-9 | Loss | -104 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
NFL NFC North Game of the Year Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bears +6.5 vs Minnesota Vikings @ 8:15 ET - I am aware of the Bears having injury/covid issues which has been particularly impacting to their secondary. However, other players for Chicago will step up as needed and let's not forget that Vikings QB Kirk Cousins is just 1-9 SU in Monday Night games. I know not all of that falls on him but it is still a stat that is hard to ignore and now here the Vikings have to win by 7 or more to beat us. I'll grab the big home dog points. You know the Bears are going to bring it in a divisional game like this at Soldier Field. Also, Chicago has won 5 of last 6 meetings between these divisional foes. The Vikings enter this game on a run that, for me, just makes it tough to trust them at all as a favorite. Minnesota nearly blew last week's huge lead versus Pittsburgh as the Vikings defense has now allowed 30.5 points per game last 4 games. Before getting blown out at Green Bay last week, a loss fueled by turnovers, the Packers had allowed only 17 points per game in their 3 divisional games this season. They will bounce back here and the Bears have allowed only 17 points per game in their last 4 games against the Vikes. Typical contrarian angle for me here as the whole world is looking at the situation with the Bears secondary but there is much more to this game than just that aspect and the hungry home dog finds a way to overcome the adversity. 10* CHICAGO +6.5 | |||||||
12-20-21 | Raiders v. Browns -3 | Top | 16-14 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
NFL Contrarian Crusher 9* Top Play Cleveland Browns -3 vs Las Vegas Raiders @ 5 ET - Long-time followers know that I am a contrarian in my handicapping. Most will be lining up on the Raiders here because it was the Browns with all the covid issues. But that means bettors are overlooking the fact that Las Vegas has lost 5 of 6 games and has had a very rough season due to all the off the field distractions. Even if Baker Mayfield can't go for the Browns or Case Keenum could not go then Nick Mullens, solid NFL experience with 49ers, would likely get the call here. Either way I like the fact that we get the Browns at home just favored by the typical 3 points assigned for home field advantage. I say that because the markets are implying these teams are equal and I just don't think they are right now. The moving of the game from Saturday to Monday has allowed the Browns to get healthier and they will get it done in this one and improve to 6-2 in home games this season. 9* CLEVELAND | |||||||
12-20-21 | Tulsa -8.5 v. Old Dominion | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show |
CFB Daytime Dominator Monday 10* Top Play Tulsa Golden Hurricane -8.5 vs Old Dominion Monarchs @ 2:30 ET - Both these teams are 6-6 but Tulsa is the vastly superior team and played a much tougher schedule. Also, check out their performances against some quality teams and tell me if you think the Monarchs could have duplicated such efforts. Tulsa lost at Oklahoma State by just 5 and were leading that game in the 4th quarter. Also, the Golden Hurricane hung around with Ohio State until the Buckeyes finally pulled away convincingly over the final 5 minutes. Tulsa also nearly beat Cincinnati outright on the road. I can not imagine Old Dominion coming anywhere close to duplicating those efforts. Also, the Monarchs did not even play last season - covid - but the Golden Hurricane did and went 6-0 in their conference games but then lost their bowl game last season. Most of those players returned this season and their motivation level is very high to close this season differently! Last year they faced an SEC team in the bowls and this season they face a CUSA team. Huge difference and they should win this handily by a solid double digit margin. 10* TULSA -8.5 | |||||||
12-19-21 | Saints +11.5 v. Bucs | Top | 9-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 13 m | Show |
NFL NFC South Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play New Orleans Saints +11.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 8:20 PM ET - The Buccaneers are over-valued here. The Saints have owned this series, last season's playoff loss notwithstanding, for quite some time and actually are a perfect 7-0 SU and ATS last 7 regular season meetings. Now I am certainly not saying they will win this game outright but I do expect them to keep this game very competitive throughout. Yes, last week's win was against "only" the Jets but it also was a game in which the Saints got back some key players on offense and that showed in the results. I am well aware the Bucs are the more talented team in this match-up but they continue to be overvalued. Keep in mind a few weeks ago they looked like they would not cover the 3.5 versus Colts but then Fournette got a late TD run when really they were just trying to set up winning field goal. Then last week they were very fortunate to beat the Bills let alone cover the 3.5 as every late break went their way and, again, it was a long late TD run when setting up for FG would have won it. This Bucs team could easily (and should) be just 5-8 ATS this season and the Saints have been a road covering machine and a divisional covering machine in recent seasons and that continues here. Just too many points to give a respectable team like New Orleans even though they are a different team without Winston at QB. Look for Hill to continue to give opponents trouble with his running ability and look for another big game from RB Kamara here as his return last week was big for this team. 10* NEW ORLEANS +11.5 | |||||||
12-19-21 | Cowboys v. Giants +12 | 21-6 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
NFL Earliest Cash Sunday 8* New York Giants +12 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 1 ET - The Cowboys are over-priced here even though the Giants will again be without QB Daniel Jones. New York is on a 7-2 ATS run against divisional foes. You know this team is going to be "up" for hosting the division leaders as well. About hosting, note that the Giants are a perfect 3-0 SU and ATS their last 3 games at home! Now, I am not saying they will win this game outright but I am saying they should keep this one to a single digit margin. The Cowboys are 9-4 SU this season but only 3 of those games have been Dallas wins by more than 10 points. This one likely decided by a single score as I see it! 8* NEW YORK GIANTS +12 | |||||||
12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -2 | Top | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
NFL Saturday Slaughter - 10* Top Play Indianapolis Colts -2 vs New England Patriots @ 8:20 ET - The Patriots are 6-0 on the road this season and the Colts are 3-4 at home this season. Why is Indianapolis favored here? Exactly! At the end of the day, the odds makers are the sharpest people around long-term. Sure things fluctuate from day to day and week to week and month to month but those guys are extremely good at what they do. The point here is, don't let the line fool you. Many will be piling up on a New England team that has won 7 straight games but the Colts are the play here. Of the Pats road wins, they faced the Bills in a windstorm that completely changed the complexion of that game. Their other road wins are against the 8-6 Chargers but then 4 teams that are a combined 16-36 on the season! In other words, this is going to be a tougher test than most anything that the Pats have faced on the road this season. Colts hungry to make a statement at home. 10* INDIANAPOLIS | |||||||
12-18-21 | Knicks +4.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-114 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Divisional Annihilation Saturday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +4.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - The covid protocol situation suddenly impacting all sports in a heavy way is going to make things even tougher on teams in back to back situations. That is the situation tonight for Boston and the Celtics expended a lot of energy in battling back against the Warriors last night only to ultimately fall short anyway. This back to back spot will be very tough on Boston while New York comes in rested and off a win at Houston Thursday. That said, value with the underdog in this one. I know that neither team has been playing very well but the situation makes the underdog very attractive in this one. 10* NEW YORK +4.5 | |||||||
12-18-21 | UAB v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CFB Game of the Week Saturday 10* Top Play BYU Cougars -6.5 vs UAB Blazers @ 3:30 ET - I know this UAB team is respectable for sure and I know the location of the Independence Bowl in Shreveport, LA also favors them. However, the line move on BYU from 8.5 to 6.5 has helped to raise this one to top play level for me. BYU started the season with 5 straight wins and ended the season with 5 straight wins. The two losses were in the middle of that were against Boise State and Baylor. No shame in losing to those two teams. Conversely, the Blazers were a 23.5 points dog versus Georgia and lost by 49 points. Also, UAB lost to Liberty by 24 and also got upset by Rice even though they were favored by 24 points in that one! Yes the Blazers should not have lost their game with UTSA and the Roadrunners did have a great season but the fact is UAB did lose it and they play in the CUSA which is certainly resulted in them playing a much weaker schedule than the 10-2 Cougars did! Look for Brigham Young to prove to be too much in this one. 10* BYU -6.5 | |||||||
12-17-21 | Heat v. Magic +7.5 | Top | 115-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
NBA Southeast Division Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic +7.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Still have football fever? Look at this game in this way then - the Heat opened up favored by a field goal and now are favored by a touchdown :) - but in all seriousness, I love fading the line move here. Miami was favored by 3 and now is favored by 7 in this one and they are still without Butler and Adebayo. I know Orlando has had a very rough season but, keep in mind, 4 of their last 8 games were either an outright win (Denver) or a loss by 5 or less points (3 of the defeats). The Magic also beat Utah here in Orlando earlier this season and they are catching the wounded Heat off a hard-fought win over the 76ers in Philly. This looks like the ideal flat spot for Miami. The Magic failed to cover at Miami earlier this season but had gone 3-0 ATS in the 3 meetings preceding that one. The Magic get up for facing the in-state rival Heat and I look for them to get the job done here and an upset would not surprise me as Miami has struggled on the road this season and are battling injuries. 10* ORLANDO +7.5 | |||||||
12-17-21 | Liberty -3 v. East Carolina | 74-64 | Win | 100 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Blowout Friday 8* Liberty Flames -3 @ East Carolina Pirates @ 1:30 ET - The Flames are very well coached and returned most of their key guys from last season. Liberty enters this game off a confidence-boosting dominating win. Yes, the Flames come from the Atlantic Sun Conference and that is certainly weaker than the American Athletic where East Carolina resides. However, the Pirates have not been on the same level that Liberty has in recent seasons and being a top team in the Atlantic Sun trumps being one of the bottom teams in the American Athletic. This line is small enough that I am comfortable laying this number with a well-coached Flames team in this tournament setting. 8* LIBERTY -3 | |||||||
12-16-21 | Chiefs v. Chargers +3 | Top | 34-28 | Loss | -101 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Thrasher - 10* Top Play Los Angeles Chargers +3 vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 8:20 ET - The Chiefs have been hot but they faced a fading Raiders team twice during this 6-game win streak. They also faced a Giants team that is now 4-9 and faced the Packers when they were without Aaron Rodgers. The Chiefs also benefited from 3 turnovers in their wins over the Cowboys and Broncos and actually were outgained 404 to 267 by Denver in that deceiving 22-9 win. Give KC credit for getting all these wins but the point is that there has been some good fortune in there too. Now facing the #2 team in their division that can tie them in the standings with a win on Thursday, Chiefs are in for a real challenge here. I like the Chargers a lot as a home dog here. Both these teams have strong passing offenses but the key could be the pass defense here. Based on yardage allowed, the pass defense of LA far superior to that of KC on the season. The home team wins the air battle here in this one and, in doing so, also wins the game. 10* LA CHARGERS +3 | |||||||
12-16-21 | Everton v. Chelsea -1.5 | 1-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
EPL NBCSN Annihilation Thursday 8* Chelsea Goal Line -1.5 goals -115 vs Everton @ 2:45 ET - Chelsea has been conceding more goals than usual of late but now host a road-adverse Everton club that has a depleted group of attackers. This sets up well for the hosts to win a blowout. Chelsea is so strong overall and continue to score plenty and I look for them to button things up defensively in this one too. Everton is known for struggling to score goals here at Chelsea and with just 1 win on enemy soil this season and averaging only 1 goal per match away from home, the visitors are in trouble here. I am predicting at least a 2-0 final here. 8* CHELSEA -1.5 goals -115 | |||||||
12-16-21 | Incarnate Word +17.5 v. Rice | Top | 55-85 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 55 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Incarnate Word Cardinals +17.5 @ Rice Owls @ 12:15 ET - I know Rice is the better team from the bigger conference but don't be surprised if the Cardinals hang around in this game. Incarnate Word lost some key guys from last season but have received bigger contributions than expected from some newcomers and this is a well-coached team too. That said, even though they have a tough 2-8 SU record note that they have won 2 of last 3 games and also 3 of their last 6 losses have been by a single digit margin. Rice, looking at their last 7 games, have won 4 of 7 but 3 of the 4 wins by 15 points or less including two by just 5 points and one of those was in triple OT. The Owls get the win here but look for it to be by single digits. 10* INCARNATE WORD +17.5 | |||||||
12-15-21 | Heat v. 76ers -6 | Top | 101-96 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -6 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Joel Embiid (ribs) did participate in the morning shootaround. That is no guarantee he will play but it is a good sign for the 76ers. Either way we do the Heat will not have Bam Adebayo or Jimmy Butler and I look for Philly to roll in this one. Philadelphia is 5-1 SU last 6 times when off a loss and the Sixers lost at Memphis in an embarrassing ugly blowout loss to the Grizzlies by 35 points. Bounce back time here at home. Miami is off a road loss and is now on a 1-5 ATS run in road games. 10* PHILADELPHIA -6 | |||||||
12-13-21 | Rams +2.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 30-23 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NFL NFC West Game of the Year - NFL 10* Top Play Los Angeles Rams +2.5 @ Arizona Cardinals @ 8:15 ET - The Jaguars were just what the doctor ordered for the Rams! Last week's blowout win by 30 over Jacksonville was exactly what Los Angeles needed. Building momentum off that huge victory I look for LA to come up big again here. Yes, they lost to the Cardinals earlier this season at home but the Rams got the series sweep both SU and ATS each of the two prior seasons. Also, the bad news for the Cards here is that this game is at home. All kidding aside, the fact is that the road team is 5-0 SU/ATS in the Cardinals last 5 games! I look for that trend to continue here as LA is not happy at all about the way the first game between these teams this season played out. They will respond big here. The Rams are two games behind Arizona in the NFC West standings but after tonight there are still 4 games to go in the regular season and LA can move within 1 game of the Cardinals with a win tonight. Look for them to get it as they resume their series dominance plus make it 6 in a row in terms of road team victories in Cards games. 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS +2.5 | |||||||
12-12-21 | Mavs -4 v. Thunder | Top | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks -4 @ Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - Luka Doncic is out for this game. Of course that is factored into this line however and I am going to lay the small number with Dallas on the road. The Mavericks fell apart in the 4th quarter at Indiana Friday after Doncic got hurt. Also, he made just 1 of 8 three pointers and the team made just 4 of 29! No wonder the Mavs lost by 13 with ridiculous numbers like that. In fact, Dallas actually outscored the Pacers by 14 not including 3-pointers. In other words, the horrible 3-point shooting of the Mavs was the difference in the game and that won't be repeated here against a bad Thunder team. Yes, OKC had B2B wins before losing to the Lakers Friday but, prior to those two wins Oklahoma City had lost 10 of 11 games. Only 1 of their last 11 losses by less than 4 points. Each of the Mavs last 6 wins by 8 or more points. Each of last 3 games between these teams decided by 8 or more points and the Mavs took 2 of the 3 and I look for guys to step up with Doncic out and help lead the Mavericks to a big road win in this one. 10* DALLAS -4 | |||||||
12-12-21 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +3 | Top | 33-25 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
CFL Grey Cup Sunday 10* Top Play Hamilton Tiger-Cats +3 vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ 6 ET - I am aware the Ti-Cats have some injury issues heading into this one but it also is a revenge game from the most recent Grey Cup (2019) and Hamilton is also the host city for this one and we are getting a full +3 here. There is tremendous irony here in how this one will play out. In 2019 Hamilton had a huge season while Winnipeg caught fire late and it carried into a post-season run and the Blue Bombers rode the momentum all the way to winning it all. Now this season it is Winnipeg with the much better regular season record but the Tiger-Cats caught fire late in the season and now riding a post-season streak coming into this one. Again, just very ironic and I feel strongly the same script that played out in the most recent Grey Cup plays out in this one as Hamilton (8-6 regular season) gets it done against Winnipeg (11-3 - top regular season record). Remember we saw this happen in 2019 with Hamilton (15-3) losing to Winnipeg (11-7). Looking closer at this season's standings, note that Ti-Cats went 5-2 at home while the Bombers were 4-3 on road. Also, Winnipeg was 3-2 against the East while Hamilton was 4-2 against the West. Considering all of the above and the fact we can get a full 3 points, I like my changes with a Tiger-Cats team determined to get revenge here in the biggest game of them all. 10* HAMILTON +3 | |||||||
12-12-21 | Bills +3.5 v. Bucs | Top | 27-33 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
NFL Non-Conf Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills +3.5 @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ 4:25 ET - The Bills are on short rest this week and the Bucs have regular rest. I certainly understand that factor. However, the fact Buffalo lost at home Monday versus the Patriots and they are 4-0 SU/ATS this season when off a loss has me liking the Bills a ton in this spot. Buffalo won those 4 games by a combined score of 137 to 34 says a lot. No, this game will not be a blowout like that but the point is the Bills respond very well off losses and I like them to at least get the cover in this one. Keep in mind, Buffalo has only lost the money once in last dozen games as a road dog and also they have covered all but 1 of last 10 in non-conference action. Tampa Bay has won and covered 3 in a row but this team was 3-6 ATS on the season prior to that. The Bills have the much better pass defense and rushing offense and I look for both of those factors to help lead the way to a road cover, if not outright win, in this one! 10* BUFFALO +3.5 | |||||||
12-12-21 | Cowboys v. Washington Football Team +5 | 27-20 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
NFL Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Washington Football Team +5 vs Dallas Cowboys @ 1 ET - Washington has won and covered 4 in a row overall plus they are at home for this one. They beat Dallas in both meetings last season and are playing with a lot of confidence and momentum right now. The Cowboys had failed, both SU and ATS, in 3 of last 4 before the win over the Saints last week. I know Dallas has a little rest edge coming into this one since they last played on Thursday but the Football Team is really starting to believe they can make a run for post-season and absolutely have a shot at 5 in a row here and can narrow gap with Cowboys. Keep in mind they face them again at Dallas in two weeks. Huge game today and value with the home dog. 8* WASHINGTON +5 | |||||||
12-11-21 | Nuggets v. Spurs | Top | 127-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets Pick @ San Antonio Spurs @ 8:40 ET - In games played since Thanksgiving, Denver is 3-0 SU/ATS when they enter a game off a loss. After losing at San Antonio Thursday (Nuggets were in a B2B by the way), Denver should respond here. They get a chance at immediate revenge against the Spurs and note that in each of the past 6 meetings between these teams there has never been a case where there the Nuggets did not get either the SU or ATS win or both in back to back games. Throughout calendar year 2021 that trend has held true and with Denver failing to cover or win outright in the loss Thursday at San Antonio, look for them to get payback Saturday. Of course with this line a pick'em, any SU win also an ATS win for the Nuggets and I look for them to get it done in a big way here! 10* DENVER Pick'em | |||||||
12-11-21 | LSU v. Georgia Tech +8 | Top | 69-53 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
CBB Non-Conf Game of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets +8 vs LSU Tigers @ 6 ET - The Yellow Jackets are a scrappy underdog with a strong backcourt. The backcourt depth they have is going to give LSU some trouble here in this one. Georgia Tech going to be tough for the Tigers to put away especially with this game being played at Atlanta. We get line value here too because LSU is undefeated on the season. The Tigers are 8-0 SU this season but barely snuck into the top 25 and that is because their strength of schedule thus far is absolutely a concern. We take advantage here with a Yellow Jackets team that is off B2B losses but actually led North Carolina in the 2nd half of the eventual loss by a double digit margin. Just too many points here in a game that should be ultra competitive all the way through and I look for better shooting down the stretch for the Jackets here after that tough performance against the Tar Heels as the 2nd half wore on. Battle tested and a hungry home dog combine for strong odds of the host getting the money in this one. 10* GEORGIA TECH | |||||||
12-11-21 | Arizona v. Illinois +3 | 83-79 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 58 m | Show | |
CBB TV Rout Saturday 8* Illinois Illini +3 vs Arizona Wildcats @ 5 ET - This line has jumped from Illinois being the favorite at home to now being a 3-point dog as of Saturday about 6 hours before tipoff. I like the home dog Illini to surprise in this one. Yes, Arizona is undefeated SU on the season but this game was originally priced this way for a reason and lets not forget the hosts in this match-up have won 5 straight games and will be very tough to beat in this game. With the confidence boost of the recent win over a solid Iowa team as well, look for the Illini to surprise a lot of people with an upset win in this one. 8* ILLINOIS | |||||||
12-10-21 | Mavs +2 v. Pacers | Top | 93-106 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
Perfection Play Friday NBA 10* Dallas Mavericks +2 vs Indiana Pacers @ 7:10 ET - The road team is on a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS run in meetings between these teams the past two seasons. Home court just has not mattered in their recent match-ups and I do not expect it to matter here either. The Mavericks are off a win and very hungry to build a win streak again like they did in early to mid November when they won 5 of 6 games. Consistency key for this Dallas team right now and they circled this 3-game road trip (began with win at Memphis Wednesday) as a chance to get things rolling again as they wrap up at Oklahoma City Sunday. I like the fact that, in addition to the 4-0 trend above, we also have a situation that is 3-0 this season going against Indiana. The Pacers enter this game off B2B wins and they have yet to win 3 straight this season. Indiana is 0-3 this season when they enter a game off B2B wins. Look for all these trends to continue Friday. 10* DALLAS +2 | |||||||
12-09-21 | Jazz v. 76ers +3.5 | Top | 118-96 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (+) vs Utah Jazz @ 7:10 ET - The Sixers seek revenge for a 35 point blowout at Utah last month. The home team is now a perfect 5-0 SU and ATS in last 5 meetings between these teams and that trend should continue here. Philly has been playing better as they have gotten healthier and now have won 3 straight games. The Jazz off a win and cover last night but were on a 2-5 ATS run in the 7 games prior to last night's contest. So Utah is off a win and cover but they have not won and covered both games of a back to back yet this season and that is another trend I don't expect to change tonight either. This is their 4th back to back this season and I look for them to continue to struggle to put together back to back wins in these spots. 10* PHILADELPHIA +3.5 | |||||||
12-09-21 | Texas +1 v. Seton Hall | Top | 60-64 | Loss | -116 | 7 h 35 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Rout - 10* Top Play Texas Longhorns +1 @ Seton Hall Pirates @ 6:30 ET - Historically line flips like this don't seem to go well for those who follow the money. The point is when a line flips and a team that was the underdog becomes the favorite if you play that team that becomes the favorite and has been steamed by the betting markets it just does not work out well. I expect that long-term trending to continue here as Seton Hall was a 2.5 point dog and is now favored and I like UT considering that situation. The Longhorns want to atone for their lone loss this season which was an embarrassing one against Gonzaga. Now here is their first chance against a quality team since that ugly loss to the Bulldogs. The Pirates have won 7 of 8 games this season and that is why we're getting line value here with a ranked among the top ten teams in the nation. I'll take it! 10* TEXAS +1 | |||||||
12-07-21 | Nets v. Mavs +4 | Top | 102-99 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +4 vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:35 ET - I am grabbing the home dog in a great situation here. Dallas is off back to back ATS losses and they have performed very well ATS when in that situation this season. Also, Kristaps Porzingis is upgraded to probable for this one and Luka Doncic was at practice yesterday and is simply dealing with a sore ankle. I don't see him missing this game even though he is listed as questionable. Mavericks are 3-0 SU and ATS last 3 meetings with Brooklyn. The Nets enter this game on a stretch that has seen them cover just 1 time in their last 9 games! 10* DALLAS +4 | |||||||
12-07-21 | Lightning v. Canadiens +1.5 | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 16 m | Show | |
NHL Puck Line Blowout - NHL 8* Montreal Canadiens +1.5 goals -135 vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:08 ET - Rematch of Stanley Cup Finals which wrapped up about 5 months ago to the day! Means a lot more to a Canadiens team that is in the basement of the division and already has undergone a management shakeup this season. Undoubtedly the 2-time defending champion Lightning have a bigger concern and that is a date with the Maple Leafs on deck for Thursday as Toronto is just ahead of them in the division and has been playing well. As for Montreal you can tell by their season record they have not been playing well on the season but the fact is they have been more competitive since the management changes. I look for a huge effort from the Habs here and having the +1.5 goals with this home dog is a value play in my opinion. Tampa Bay has won 7 of 11 road games this season but 4 of the 7 wins were OT or shootout wins. That means that in 11 road games this season only 3 have been Lightning wins in regulation. I like the odds of a very tight game here with a great shot at an outright upset but feel especially comfortable having the added insurance of the 1.5 goals on our side for the reasons noted above. 8* MONTREAL +1.5 -135 | |||||||
12-07-21 | Virginia -4.5 v. James Madison | Top | 49-52 | Loss | -106 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week - 10* Top Play Virginia Cavaliers -4.5 @ James Madison @ 6:30 ET - This line was as high as a 6.5 and then dropped to as low as a 4. Long-time followers know I like to fade line moves. I feel we are getting excellent line value here with the Cavaliers. Yes the Dukes have the better record early this season but consider the competition they have faced. This is no disrespect to James Madison but they play in the Colonial Athletic Association. Virginia, on the other hand, plays in the Atlantic Coast Conference. The Cavs projected by many to finish in the top 3 or 4 in the ACC while the Dukes also expected to be top 3 or 4 in their conference but again that is the CAA. Yes James Madison is at home for this game but I just think Virginia's defense is going to be too much for this Dukes team. Two years ago when these teams met the Cavaliers won 65 to 34. I am not saying this game but will be like that but I am just saying I do not think the gap has closed so much between these teams. Tony Bennett one of the best coaches in college hoops and I do expect a victory by about a 10 point margin in this one as they dial up the defense again in this one. 10* VIRGINIA -4.5 | |||||||
12-06-21 | Patriots v. Bills -2.5 | Top | 14-10 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
NFL ESPN Blowout - 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -2.5 vs New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - The weather is going to be quite bad tonight in terms of winds which is going to make the ground game more important in this one. Statistically, both teams are solid in terms of running the ball but in terms of rush defense the Bills rate much better. That plus home field could make a huge difference in this game. Also, in terms of cold weather familiarity and dealing with blustery winds, Bills QB Josh Allen played his college ball at Wyoming while Mac Jones played at Alabama. These couple keys I just mentioned may seem like minor ones but they do carry some weight here and can be a difference maker in a key divisional battle like this. The Patriots have certainly been the hotter team of late but I like the Bills in this one at home and looking to make up for the embarrassing effort against the Colts the last time they played here at Orchard Park. 10* BUFFALO -2.5 | |||||||
12-06-21 | 76ers -7 v. Hornets | Top | 127-124 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 32 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 @ Charlotte @ 7:10 ET - I expect Tobias Harris to be back tonight as his illness was non-covid related and the Sixers have had two off days since knocking off the Hawks on Friday. Philly showed great resilience in that game and, even if Harris does not play, I like them here. The 76ers have allowed an average of 93 points per game last 3 while the Hornets, NOT even including OT points, have allowed 131 points per game last 4 games. This is also the front end of a 2-game set as these teams meet again in Charlotte Wednesday. That said, the road team should be fully focused on the task at hand here and I look for the team that is much better defensively to prevail by double digits. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 | |||||||
12-06-21 | Texas Southern +23 v. Florida | Top | 69-54 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Rout - 10* Top Play Texas Southern Tigers +23 @ Florida Gators @ 6 ET - Texas Southern comes from a weak conference and they are 0-7 to start this season but the Tigers have played a brutal non-conference schedule. Keep in mind, we are not asking them to win this game but, rather, just to cover. This line is inflated because Texas Southern just had their worst loss of the season and because the Gators are off their first loss of the season. I feel the result here is solid line value as this Tigers team won their First Four game in NCAA Tourney last season and then lost to Michigan but by much less than the spread on this game. Also, the first 6 losses for Texas Southern this season came by an average margin of 10 points and this included some tough competition. Florida started the season 6-0 SU but 4 of the 6 wins were by less than the spread on this game. Just too many points here as the Tigers are hungry to be much more competitive in this game than their most recent and should shoot the ball much better in this one after a horrible shooting effort in prior game. Florida gets back on track and gets a big win here but I expect that big win to fall in a range of 12 to 18 points. 10* TEXAS SOUTHERN +23 | |||||||
12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs -8.5 | Top | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
NFL SNF Blowout - 10* Top Play Kansas City Chiefs -8.5 vs Denver Broncos @ 8:20 ET - This looks like the perfect spot for the Chiefs to put it all together. They are facing a rival they typically dominate. They are coming off a bye week. They have won 4 straight. Speaking of 4 straight wins, Kansas City has won last 4 meetings with Broncos by sweeping them each of past two seasons. The Chiefs beat Denver by an average margin of 19.3 points in those 4 wins. I know the Sunday Night pointspread may seem a little steep but don't let it scare you away. Remember, before last week's Broncos win Denver lost by 17 at home versus the Eagles. Also, the Chiefs have played the tougher schedule this season thusfar in comparison with Denver as KC has had games against Buffalo, Tennessee, and Green Bay. This game is priced high for a season and I expect a huge game from Mahomes with the advantage of the added prep time and I look for the Chiefs defense to really get after Bridgewater in this one. The KC defense will have their ears pinned back and they have allowed 17 or less points in 5 of last 6 games. More of the same here. 10* KANSAS CITY | |||||||
12-05-21 | Eagles -5 v. Jets | 33-18 | Win | 100 | 4 h 28 m | Show | |
NFL Earliest Rout - 8* Philadelphia Eagles -5 @ New York Jets @ 1 ET - This line dropped significantly because of QB Hurts is expected to miss this game and Minshew will get the call. Minshew has 2 seasons in the NFL under his belt and threw for 37 touchdowns against 11 interceptions and he played those two years for a Jacksonville team that went a combined 7-25. Read that sentence again. Do you see my point? He played for a bad team and yet put up some incredible numbers. I just do not think this is even worthy of a drop in the line. Philly is off a frustrating loss to the Giants and will bounce back huge against a very bad Jets team. Note that the Jets are off a win but over a bad Houston team and, prior to this, they had lost 8 of 10 games and all but one of those losses were by 7 or more points. The Eagles had won 3 of 4 before the loss to the Giants and all 3 wins were by double digits. I expect this victory will also be by 10+ points. Lay it. 8* PHILADELPHIA -5 | |||||||
12-04-21 | Heat v. Bucks -5.5 | Top | 102-124 | Win | 100 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week - 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -5.5 vs Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - Giannis is likely to be out for this game for the Bucks. However, Butler and Adebayo both likely to miss for the Heat. That said, I love the situational aspect of this game as Milwaukee is seeking revenge for a 137 to 95 loss at Miami early this season. Also, the Bucks are off a loss but this was preceded by 9 straight wins SU and a 4-1 ATS run. Heat are off a win but this was preceded by a 2-4 SU run and 1-5 ATS run. 10* MILWAUKEE -5.5 | |||||||
12-04-21 | Georgia v. Alabama +6.5 | Top | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
CFB SEC Rout - 10* Top Play Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5 vs Georgia Bulldogs @ 4 ET - Getting this many points with a high-quality team like Alabama that is in a rare dog role and 4-1 ATS last 5 as an underdog means I am in! Yes Georgia is having an incredible season but this is now Alabama's Super Bowl for the season per se and I just don't see them being denied here. I am not saying the Tide will indeed win outright but they should keep this close enough to at least get the cash. Two fantastic defenses and the Bulldogs do rate an edge there but, statistically, the Crimson Tide rate a bigger edge on offense. Look for that to be a difference maker in this one in a game that is likely to go down to the wire and that means having the points is a huge edge for us as an outright upset would not surprise me here. Grab the the points for added betting value. 10* ALABAMA +6.5 | |||||||
12-04-21 | Utah State +6 v. San Diego State | 46-13 | Win | 100 | 5 h 0 m | Show | |
CFB MWC Blowout - CFB 8* Utah State Aggies +6 vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 3 ET - So many of the Aztecs wins are tight wins. San Diego State just does not have the offense to win games by huge margins and I feel the Aggies will keep this one close. Utah State has the better offense in this match-up and in games against common foes, the Aggies were more impressive statistically. Don't be surprised when, in this one, it translates to at least an ATS win and possibly even an outright upset win. Grab the points in this one. 8* UTAH STATE +6 | |||||||
12-04-21 | Rhode Island +6 v. Providence | Top | 52-66 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Rivalry Rout - 10* Top Play Rhode Island Rams +6 @ Providence Friars @ 2 ET - I really like the scrappy Rams getting points in this rivalry match-up. Rhode Island has shot the ball very well early this season and also defended very well. The Rams are more talented than many realize and they seem to have jelled well early this season which is always important. Rhode Island is catching the Friars off a tight, hard-fought win over Texas Tech so the set-up is perfect here. 3 of Providence's last 5 wins by 5 or less points. The average margin of the Rams two losses just 3.5 points. In a game that should go to the wire and does have potential for an outright upset, I love having the sizable points here. Strong shooting early this season, hitting the boards hard, and playing solid defense. Like what the Rams are doing and they are catching rival Providence at the right time to spring the upset. Grab the points as added insurance. 10* RHODE ISLAND +6 | |||||||
12-03-21 | Oregon +3 v. Utah | Top | 10-38 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
CFB Pac-12 Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Oregon Ducks +3 vs Utah Utes @ 8 ET - This is a chance at right back revenge after the Utes got the better of the Ducks two weeks ago in a game played at Utah. That game was at Utah. This one is at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas as it is a neutral site game for the Pac-12 Championship. Oregon is 4-0 SU all time in the Pac-12 Championship while Utah is 0-2 SU all time in this game. All those games occurring since 2014 so this is not ancient history by any means. I look for the Ducks to keep that trend going as they will be much more relaxed in the rematch after playing with "playoff pressure" in the first meetings as they still had hopes, at that time, of making the CFP group of four. Look for the Ducks offense to be much better in this rematch and to do enough for the outright win but we'll grab the points as added insurance. 10* OREGON +3 | |||||||
12-03-21 | 76ers +2.5 v. Hawks | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Rout - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +2.5 @ Atlanta Hawks @ 7:40 ET - The first thought here might be revenge on the part of the Hawks since they got blasted at Philly earlier this season. However, two key points relating to that. One is that the Sixers, despite that win, still have much to atone for here as they lost in the post-season to the Hawks last season and they are very hungry for a win at Atlanta. Also, the 76ers - in comparison with Atlanta - are now the much healthier team. In the only meeting between these teams this season nearly 40% of Atlanta's points came from Reddish, Bogdanovich, and Hunter. The latter two of those guys are out for tonight and Reddish has been downgraded to doubtful. The Hawks, simply put, are short-handed for this one in a big way while Philly - despite some recent struggles still - is much healthier now than they have been in a long time. That said, a lot of line value here with the road dog. 10* PHILADELPHIA +2.5 | |||||||
12-03-21 | Notre Dame v. Boston College +5 | Top | 57-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
CBB Early Blowout - 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +5 vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish @ 6 ET - This Eagles team has new energy in the program based on some new faces on the team as well as a new head coach and he came in with a solid track record too. I like the hard-nosed gritty attitude that Boston College has. They are one of the lesser talented teams in the ACC but they battle so hard and they are known for battling the Irish particularly tough when they face them at Chestnut Hill. This one should go down to the wire as the Eagles are 5-0 SU at home this season and Notre Dame has a 3-3 SU record but the 3 wins were against weaker foes and the Fighting Irish have struggled some when stepping up in terms of level of competition. This will be a fierce battle as a result and is also just the 2nd true road game for Notre Dame this season. An outright upset will not be a total shock but certainly the points provide valuable added insurance I will not pass up on in this one. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +5 | |||||||
12-02-21 | Cowboys -5.5 v. Saints | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
NFL Thursday Thrasher - 10* Top Play Dallas Cowboys -5.5 @ New Orleans Saints @ 8:20 ET - Good news for Cowboys fans is that this game is not in Dallas. All kidding aside, the fact is that Dallas was 4-0 ATS in road games this season before that recent ugly loss at Kansas City. The Cowboys have had some recent struggles but this passing attack is averaging nearly 300 yards per game this season and I just don't think the Saints can keep up here. Taysom Hill is back at QB for New Orleans this week but what makes him dangerous is his running ability and he is coming back from a foot injury. I don't 100% trust Hill in the passing game and the Saints are averaging less than 200 yards passing per game on the season. New Orleans also is a poor 1-3 SU and ATS in games played in the Superdome this season. They struggle again here and the Cowboys take out some anger and frustration after suffering back to back losses for the first time this season. Look for the Saints to drop their 5th in a row SU and I am confident that the road favorite can win this by 7 or more for the all important cover. 10* DALLAS -5.5 | |||||||
12-02-21 | Bucks -3.5 v. Raptors | Top | 93-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* Top Play Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - I know this is a back to back for the Bucks but they are 2-0 SU L2 times in the 2nd game of a B2B and each win by 9 or more points. Also, the road team 3-0 SU and ATS in last 3 meetings between these teams. Additionally, Milwaukee has won 8 straight games while the Raptors have lost 10 of last 13 games. Toronto has been held to 97 points or less in 3 straight games and the last two of those were at home. Bucks averaging 111.5 points per game on the road this season and they have been hot. 10* MILWAUKEE -3.5 | |||||||
12-02-21 | Northern Kentucky +4 v. Cleveland State | Top | 58-72 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Early Crusher - 10* Top Play Northern Kentucky Norse +4 @ Cleveland State Vikings @ 7 ET - Double revenge spot from last season as the Vikings took B2B meeting in January. The Norse are 1-3 SU this season and 0-4 ATS but have played the tougher competition overall in comparison with Cleveland State so far this season. Yes, the Vikings are 4-2 SU this season and, statistically, look like the better team on paper. But, as the saying goes, the teams do not play the games on paper! Two quality Horizon League programs but I like the value of the revenge-minded underdog that has played the tougher schedule thus far this season. 10* NORTHERN KENTUCKY +4 | |||||||
12-01-21 | 76ers +3 v. Celtics | Top | 87-88 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show |
NBA TV Rivalry Rout - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +3 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Sixers are finally getting healthy and after a double-OT loss and a narrow win have been how the first two games have played out, look for the third time to be the charm! Yes, barring something unforeseen, this should be the 3rd game with both Joel Embiid and Tobias Harris on the floor together. The 76ers won all 3 games against the Celtics last season after Boston knocked them out of the post-season in 2020. There is a special disdain that Philly has for Boston in the sports world and it certainly carries over to this long-time NBA rivalry. Philadelphia will be hungry for a big win over their rivals as they make up for lost time when they have been without key players like Harris for Embiid for extended stretches this season. It has made them a bit disjointed but they can start to turn the corner now. At the same time, Celtics might rest Jaylen Brown tonight and, either way, he could be somewhat limited with his ongoing hamstring injury. Also, Boston is off a big win and cover at Toronto but they are 0-4 ATS the last 4 times they entered a game off an ATS win. The Sixers won the 3 games last season by average of 10 points and each victory was by 8 or more points. I look for that trend to continue here! 10* PHILADELPHIA +3 | |||||||
11-30-21 | Minnesota v. Pittsburgh +2.5 | Top | 54-53 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Pittsburgh Panthers +3 vs Minnesota Golden Gophers @ 7 ET - Part of the ACC-Big Ten Challenge. I know that Pittsburgh has disappointed early this season but there were some foul trouble factors in their most recent loss to UMBC and the Retrievers also were insanely hot from 3-point land in that game. The Panthers will bounce back here and as I mentioned in my November 14th write-up about Minnesota: "The Golden Gophers are in rebuild mode. Yes Minnesota is a Big Ten school and is commanding more respect from the betting markets than an Ivy League school does but this is merely serving to give us some extra line value here with a solid Princeton team." Ultimately I lost that pick with the underdog Tigers in double OT but my feelings are the same and this Minny team now facing its first true road game tough test. Pitt is normally a tough place to play and I know that has not been the case early this season but this Panthers team can turn the tables in a hurry and I know they will come out highly motivated in this one and I expecting a massive effort. Love the fact that the betting markets saw this line open up at 2.5 with an undefeated Minnesota team taking on a 2-4 Panthers team. You know the world is going to be lining up on the Gophers here. In typical contrarian fashion, give me the home dog no one will want in this one. 10* PITTSBURGH | |||||||
11-29-21 | Seahawks +1 v. Washington Football Team | Top | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 34 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher - 10* Top Play Seattle Seahawks +1 @ Washington Football Team @ 8:15 ET - Russell Wilson was not great but he was better in his 2nd start back from the finger injury. Keep in mind that was against an Arizona team with a solid pass defense that is now 9-2 on the season. Yes, Taylor Heinicke is off a strong start last week but it was against his former team and that Panthers team dropped to 5-7 on the year with an embarrassing performance yesterday at Miami. I know that Washington's win at Carolina did follow a huge home dog upset over the Bucs but upsets do happen from time to time. The fact is that Washington was 0-4 ATS at home this season before knocking off Tampa Bay. I will take Wilson and a hungry Seahawks team off B2B losses against Washington (plays in the NFC Least Division!) team led by Heinicke that is off rare B2B wins any time any place. Wilson and the fired up Seahawks make a statement on the road in a Monday Night game with all their NFL peers watching. 10* SEATTLE +1 | |||||||
11-28-21 | Browns +3.5 v. Ravens | 10-16 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 26 m | Show | |
NFL Primetime Punisher - 8* Cleveland Browns +3.5 @ Baltimore Ravens @ 8:20 ET - The Ravens are 1-3 ATS last 4 home games. Baltimore also had failed to cover 3 straight games before the ugly win at Chicago last week. I know Lamar Jackson is expected back at QB for this one but will he be 100%? The Browns have lost 3 straight meetings with Baltimore and out for revenge here. The Ravens have had one dominating effort, versus the Chargers, at home this season but in the other 4 games as a host Baltimore has allowed an average of 33 points per game and, again, this is at home! The Browns have held their opponents to 16 points or less in 4 of last 5 games! Like the Ravens, Cleveland is off an ugly win as they barely got by Detroit but here they will make up for an ugly road loss at New England. Prior to getting embarrassed by the Patriots, the Browns had gone 3-1 ATS in road games this season. I look for a statement game here from the road dog as they finally step against the "big brother" in the division and knock off Baltimore. I will grab the points as added insurance here but do expect an outright win. 8* CLEVELAND | |||||||
11-28-21 | Calgary +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 30-33 | Push | 0 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
CFL Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Calgary Stampeders +3 @ Saskatchewan Roughriders @ 4:30 ET - The Roughriders are at home, have the better record on the season, and they did beat the Stampeders the last time they faced them. Yet they are a very small favorite here as low as 2.5 in most books as of game day morning. Why is that? You know why! Don't let the line fool you. This game has upset written all over it. Keep in mind, the Riders did lose each of the first two games against the Stamps this season plus they lost both games against Winnipeg. The Blue Bombers and Stampeders are the other two top teams in the West and the Roughriders went a combined 1-4 against those two teams this season. Calgary did go 5-2 on the road this season and will not be intimidated at all in this venue. The Stampeders seemed to get stronger as the season went on and, unlike Saskatchewan, also had some big margin wins in the latter stages of the season. I like the way this road team has been playing and sense a first round upset in this one but will grab the points for added insurance. 10* CALGARY +3 | |||||||
11-28-21 | Rams -1 v. Packers | Top | 28-36 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 29 m | Show |
NFL Game of the Month - 10* Top Play Los Angeles Rams -1 vs Green Bay Packers @ 4:25 ET - Green Bay QB Aaron Rodgers will play through a broken toe here in the freezing cold in Green Bay. Does not sound like fun. This is particularly true against a tough Rams defense. Additionally, that LA defense is angry and rested as the Rams are off their bye week. That was preceded by B2B losses but Los Angeles has only failed to cover the spread twice the last nine times they were off a bye week. In other words, look for the Rams to get the win and cover here. They have plenty of motivation too because they lost at Green Bay 32 to 18 last season. Los Angeles is in dire need of a win here, has revenge, and they have a rest edge. The Packers have lost 2 of 3 and are off a road loss at Minnesota last week. This one is all Rams and, trust me, there is a reason the Packers are a dog here even though they are at home and have the better record on the season. Don't let the line fool you. 10* LOS ANGELES RAMS -1 | |||||||
11-28-21 | Titans +7.5 v. Patriots | 13-36 | Loss | -124 | 5 h 45 m | Show | |
NFL Earliest Cash - 8* Tennessee Titans +7 or +7.5 @ New England Patriots @ 1 ET - Yes the Titans have had injury issues and the Patriots have been rolling but this line has gone too far. Tennessee is off a loss at Houston but that was due to a rare 5-0 turnover deficit. The Titans actually outgained the Texans by a margin of 420 to 190 in that game! The fact Tennessee lost that game 22-13 on the scoreboard despite the big yardage edge is what is helping to give us some line value here. The Patriots are hot but are actually just 2-4 SU at home this season and are 5-0 SU on the road. The point is that, playing the road team in New England games this season nets you a 9-2 SU record and we are getting a full TD with the Titans here. I'll take it as I look for them to bounce back off last week's sloppy loss. Tennessee is 4-1 SU and ATS in road games this season. Titans on a long-term 5-1 ATS run as a road dog. 8* TENNESSEE +7 or +7.5 | |||||||
11-28-21 | Montreal v. Hamilton -4.5 | 12-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
CFL Early Crusher - 8* Hamilton Tiger-Cats -4.5 vs Montreal Alouettes @ 1 ET - Hamilton has unfinished business from the most recent CFL season (2019) when they went 15-3 but then ended up losing in the Grey Cup title game 33 to 12 against Winnipeg. The Tiger-Cats did win a playoff game to get to the title game while Montreal was bounced in the first round of that post-season. I know Hamilton was not as impressive in this regular season but, trust me, they are where they want to be now. They are hosting a playoff game and have a chance to get another shot at the title. The Ti-Cats have the better defense in this match-up and the home field edge and I also love the fact that Alouettes linebacker Patrick Levels gave the home team some bulletin board material by guaranteeing a Montreal win and even calling out a couple Ti-Cats players. Not smart! The highly motivated home team lets their play on the field do the talking while Levels runs his mouth! 8* HAMILTON -4.5 | |||||||
11-27-21 | Oklahoma +4.5 v. Oklahoma State | Top | 33-37 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
CFB Bedlam Blowout - 10* Top Play Oklahoma Sooners +4.5 @ Oklahoma State Cowboys @ 7:30 ET - I know the Cowboys defense has been incredible this season but the Sooners offense can be special and that is particularly true in this rivalry game that always seems to bring out the best in Oklahoma. The Sooners have actually won each of the last 6 meetings and need a win here to make sure they make the Big 12 title game! Of course Oklahoma State has no shortage of motivation either but can the Cowboys not only win but also cover this spread? I do not think so and an outright upset would not surprise me in the least but seeing this line up to +4.5 means even more value with the underdog in this one. The Sooners just always seem to find a way to ruin everything for the Cowboys in this match-up. Keep in mind, Oklahoma State was a dog of an average of 10 points in the past two meetings but lost those games by an average margin of 23 points! The Sooners do it again as they have the better passing attack in this match-up and that will end up being the difference here. Oklahoma State has ended up over-valued in this game because they are on a miracle 9-0 ATS run. That run ends here! 10* OKLAHOMA +4.5 | |||||||
11-27-21 | Wolves v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 121-120 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
NBA Early Annihilation - 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 6:10 ET - The Sixers have a huge rest edge here as they were off Thursday and Friday. Not only did the Timberwolves play yesterday on Friday, they also were in action on Wednesday which makes this a back to back and 3rd game in 4 days scenario. The Sixers could get Embiid and Harris both back for this one. Either way, the 76ers get it done in this one! Philly is off an ugly loss at Golden State but had won 2 of 3 before that and is ready to turn the tide back east after a rough trip out west. Getting healthier and back on the east coast will get the Sixers going again. Minnesota is 2-4 last 6 road games and has allowed 123 points or more in all 4 of those defeats away from home. More of the same expected here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 | |||||||
11-27-21 | Texas Tech +14.5 v. Baylor | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
CFB Earliest Cash - 8* Texas Tech Red Raiders +14.5 @ Baylor Bears @ Noon ET - Red Raiders off a home shutout loss to Oklahoma State. However, they have performed well off a loss this season and have not suffered back to back ATS losses all season. Texas Tech is known for playing the Bears tough and they have actually gone 8-1 ATS last 9 visits to Waco! Overall, it is a 5-2 ATS run for the Red Raiders in this series. Yes, Baylor is a rock solid team and has Big 12 Championship Game aspirations still alive. However, the Bears are 5-2 SU last 7 games in conference action but only 1 win by more than a 14 point margin. The Red Raiders bounce back off their shutout loss. Their defense will bounce back too after allowing 52 points at Oklahoma in most recent road game but allowing only 17 points per game in the two Big 12 road games before that. 8* TEXAS TECH +14.5 | |||||||
11-26-21 | Suns -3 v. Knicks | Top | 118-97 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show |
Early Dominator - NBA 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -3 @ New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - The Suns have won 14 straight games but are on the road and facing a Knicks team that just beat the Lakers and so they are getting a little extra respect from the betting markets here. I feel New York is getting a little too much respect though! The Knicks are off a win but have not won back to back games since October! In fact, prior to beating LA, New York had lost 7 of 11 games. Now they host a Phoenix team whose 14 straight wins feature only one by less than 4 points and that was a 3 point win. The Suns are 3-0 against the East and 7-1 on the road this season. Knicks are only 5-5 at home this season and were on an overall 3-9 ATS run before getting the cover versus Lakers. Lay the points with short road favorite. 10* PHOENIX -3 | |||||||
11-26-21 | Cincinnati v. East Carolina +14 | Top | 35-13 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 60 m | Show |
AAC Game of the Year - CFB 10* Top Play East Carolina Pirates +14 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 3:30 ET - The Pirates opened this season with a loss by 14 points. Since then, East Carolina has not had a loss by more than 7 points. Overall, the Pirates have won 7 of last 9 games SU and had covered 6 in a row before last week's 3-point SU win fell just short of the cover. East Carolina is catching the Bearcats off a huge 48-14 win over SMU last week. Cincinnati finally had that dominating win everyone was waiting for as their perfect season (11-0 SU) continues. However, the Bearcats entered that game on an 0-4 ATS run and I expect this road game against a confident Pirates team to be one of their toughest games of this season. This looks like a very tricky spot on the schedule to wrap up the regular season. 10* EAST CAROLINA +14 | |||||||
11-25-21 | Bills -6 v. Saints | Top | 31-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
NFL Primetime Punisher - 10* Top Play Buffalo Bills -6 @ New Orleans Saints @ 8:20 ET - After getting completely embarrassed on their home field by the Colts last week, the Bills bounce back strong here. The Saints have struggled without starting QB Winston and have dealt with other injury issues as well. New Orleans now has lost 3 straight games and an angry Buffalo team is surely going to show no mercy here either. The Bills have a solid passing attack and the Saints struggle to stop the pass. On the flip side, the Saints struggle to move the ball through the air and Buffalo, overall, has one of the best defensive units in the league. The Bills are 3-0 SU/ATS this season when off a loss and, in all 10 of their games this season the SU winner has also been the ATS winner. Look for those patterns to continue here in this one. Bills also on an 8-1 ATS run in non-conference match-ups and, keep in mind, they did not just lose last week...they got blasted. That is the kind of defeat strong teams bounce back from in a strong way! 10* BUFFALO -6 | |||||||
11-25-21 | Ole Miss +2.5 v. Mississippi State | Top | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
CFB Rivalry Dominator - 10* Top Play Ole Miss Rebels +2.5 @ Mississippi State Bulldogs @ 7:30 ET - The Rebels defense has improved some over original expectations and actually allowing only 16.8 points per game last 3 games. On the other side of the ball, Ole Miss is averaging over 515 yards of offense per game and that includes 232 yards on the ground! Compare that to a Bulldogs offense that is averaging only 61 yards per game on the ground on the season! So you have an underdog that should dominate the ground game in this one and whose defense has played better in recent games. I like my chances with the points here as I also point back to the recent crazy game with the Aggies where the Rebels had about 400 yards of offense in the first half but less than 20 points to show for it. I know what this offense is capable of doing and, in a rivalry game that is the final game of the regular season, I look for Ole Miss to bring it. Yes this will be their 9th straight week with a game but the situation for Mississippi State is not much different as this is their 7th straight week with a game. Also, in a rivalry game with so much at stake for each team, neither will be flat or playing tired here. Give me the points with an underdog that can run all over the favorite. 10* OLE MISS +2.5 |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,325 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,247 |
Jesse Schule | $666 |
Mike Lundin | $633 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Jim Feist | $402 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Big Al McMordie | $325 |
AAA Sports | $316 |
Tom Macrina | $290 |