Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-05-22 | Wizards +12.5 v. Wolves | Top | 132-114 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +12.5 @ Minnesota Timberwolves @ 8:10 ET - The Wizards just got their doors blown off at Boston Sunday. However, these Wolves are not those Celtics! It is the perfect time to back a Washington team that entered Sunday having won 4 of 5 both SU and ATS. By the way, the Wizards also have won 3 in a row over Minnesota. All the pressure here is on the Timberwolves. With the Wiz eliminated from the post-season they have been playing without pressure and really were playing well before running into a Boston team that was determined to put on a killing display in their final regular season home game. The Wolves are coming off a 4-game road trip and have 2 more home games after this one to close out the regular season. All these factors make this the perfect spot to fade them. Yes I see Minny finding a way to win this game but I absolutely see this one being decided by single digits. That said, I also love the fact that the line has gone from 10.5 to 12.5 as of early Tuesday morning. Grab the extra value! 10* WASHINGTON +12.5 | |||||||
04-03-22 | Nuggets -2 v. Lakers | Top | 129-118 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Dominator Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets -2 @ Los Angeles Lakers @ 3:40 ET - The Lakers are still a public team when it comes to betting and they also are a team desperate for wins right now to keep playoff hopes alive. Also, the Lakers are at home here and have revenge against a Nuggets team that blasted them by 37 points in first meeting this season. However, in spite of all that both James and Davis are banged up right now and the fact is the confidence of LA is shaken as their hopes of earning a play-in spot for the post-season are fading. The Nuggets fully capable of blasting this Lakers team and we get line value because Denver is on the road! That is keeping this line low and yet Denver actually has won 9 of last 10 road games! Each of last 7 road wins by 4 or more points and I expect this one will fall into that category as well! The Lakers have lost 27 of 37 games. Incredible value here in fading LA! Adding to the value is the fact the Nuggets are off a tight, high-scoring home loss to Minnesota Friday. 10* DENVER -2 | |||||||
04-03-22 | Wizards +13 v. Celtics | 102-144 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
NBA Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Washington Wizards +13 @ Boston Celtics @ 1:10 ET - Wizards playing loose and relaxed basketball as they are eliminated from the post-season. That is the reason they have won 4 of 5 both SU and ATS and just crushed the Mavericks by 32 as an 8-point underdog! Indeed, Boston should win this game but I just don't see the Celtics covering this large spread against the Wizards. Back when these teams met in Washington in January, the Wizards got blasted at home but they have won the first two meetings this season and now it is time for payback for the January loss. They may fall short of the outright win but they at least get the cover here. I don't see them losing by anything more than single digits here. All the pressure is on the Celtics here. Boston has covered only 2 of last 7 home games! 8* WASHINGTON +13 | |||||||
04-02-22 | Villanova +4.5 v. Kansas | Top | 65-81 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
NCAA Game of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats +4.5 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 6:09 ET - It is no surprise that the masses are lining up on Kansas here. The Jayhawks coming off that colossal 2nd half performance against Miami and they are the highest ranked team left in the tournament. Also, Villanova is without 2nd leading scorer Justin Moore after he got hurt at the end of the Michigan game. Well, as long-time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am on the Wildcats here and with good reason. One of the keys is Caleb Daniels is the guy taking Moore's place in the lineup. He is from Louisiana. This game is at the Superdome in New Orleans. Daniels is back home again. In fact his college career started at Tulane. He is a redshirt senior and 22 years old. He has a lot of experience and has been the 6th man for Nova this season but will embrace his new starting role and, though his shooting stats were not good, he did score 12 of Villanova's 50 points in the win over Houston in the Elite 8 round to help the Cats to get here! Also, the Wildcats are known for a certain style and pedigree in College Basketball just like Kansas is. Well, through the years even though the players change it is still noteworthy how these two powerhouses have fared when matched up against each other because their style of play is often similar year to year. Well, the Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in last 8 meetings with Kansas and the Jayhawks have won only 3 of those 8 meetings SU. Look for Collin Gillespie and Daniels to have huge games and look for Kansas to struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread in this one! 10* VILLANOVA +4.5 | |||||||
04-02-22 | Hornets v. 76ers -5 | Top | 114-144 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -5 vs Charlotte Hornets @ 12:30 ET - The 76ers have lost 3 straight and the Hornets have been playing well so is it any surprise that a line that opened up as high as an 8 is down to a 5? Not really, no! But, in typical contrarian fashion I am going against the line move and grabbing the extra value here! The Sixers are very hungry and at home and they also have revenge here! After a long winning streak against Charlotte, Philadelphia got beat in mid-January by the Hornets in a rare double-digit home loss. Philly is out for revenge here and remember they were on a 30-11 run since Christmas before this current 3-game losing streak. Time for the 76ers to get back on track here and they will not be at home again until they wrap up the season here in Philly next weekend. So this game is ultra important for them and they catch the Hornets off a road win at New York. The set up is ideal for the hungry home team to do what the odds makers said they would do and yet what the betting markets are doubting here. Look for the Sixers to roll big at home. 10* PHILADELPHIA -5 | |||||||
04-01-22 | Mavs v. Wizards +8.5 | Top | 103-135 | Win | 100 | 6 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Washington Wizards +8.5 vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - Interesting late-season match-up here because one has to wonder...does Dallas even know what it wants here? In actuality, the West is a jumbled mess from spots 3 through 6 in the playoff picture. So yes Dallas will want to win but it is not even as critical as you think just yet because there is so much uncertainty who will finish in the 5 and 6 spots and then of course that impacts the match-ups for the 3 and 4 spots. Conversely, the Wizards are eliminated from the playoff picture and playing loose, relaxed basketball as a result. That makes for a dangerous underdog the way I see it and note that Washington is 20-19 SU at home this season and in terms of current trending, the Wizards have covered 5 of last 7 games at home. In terms of all games, home and away, Washington is on a 3-1 SU/ATS run. Look for the Wizards to hang around in this game on their home floor. 10* WASHINGTON +8.5 | |||||||
04-01-22 | Fresno State v. Coastal Carolina +3 | Top | 85-74 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
CBB Situational Slaughter Friday 10* Top Play Coastal Carolina Chanticleers +3 vs Fresno State Bulldogs @ 6 ET - This game was supposed to be played Thursday but ended up being pushed back to Friday when the Bulldogs had charter flight issues trying to leave from home. Anything that breaks the routine or normalcy for a team is not a good thing. Certainly they have had time to adjust but the fact that Fresno State flew across country later than expected and allowed the Chanticleers to comfortably rest at home and have more preparation time is unlikely to help the visitors. I also like the fact that the Bulldogs are just a .500 team SU on the road this season and Coastal Carolina is a solid 13-6 SU at home. Considering that plus the fact the Chanticleers are getting 3 points here and score very well at home while the Bulldogs tend to struggle scoring away from home, I like the home dog a lot in this one! 10* COASTAL CAROLINA +3 | |||||||
03-31-22 | 76ers -9.5 v. Pistons | Top | 94-102 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -9.5 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Long-time followers know I love fading line moves and this one was as high as an 11 but has dropped to a 9.5 and the 76ers offer strong value here off B2B losses. Philly has lost B2B games for just the 2nd time since mid-December. The only other time it happened since then the Sixers went into Chicago and won by double digits! The Bulls are 2nd place in the Central Division behind only the defending champion Bucks! As for the Pistons, no team in the entire league has fewer wins than the paltry 20 victories that Detroit has on the season. The Pistons have been more competitive of late but they are hosting the Sixers at the wrong time. Philly will show no mercy given the situation and that means when they are up by 20+ points as this game goes on they will still keep their foot on the gas. I see no way they do not win this game by at least 10 points. Lay it! 10* PHILADELPHIA -9.5 | |||||||
03-29-22 | St Bonaventure v. Xavier +2 | Top | 77-84 | Win | 100 | 8 h 37 m | Show |
CBB NIT Dominator Tuesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +2 vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 7 ET - The odds makers well aware that Musketeers 2nd leading scorer Paul Scruggs if out for season with torn ACL suffered in the win over Florida in this tournament. However, they still opened up the line on this one with Xavier as the small favorite. Sure enough, the line flipped and St Bonaventure is now the favorite. Historically I love fading line moves like this and there is certainly justification for fading this one. The Musketeers faced the tougher schedule this season. Also, their only loss last 5 games was in OT. Not including OT points, Xavier has scored an average of 77 points last 5 games. The Bonnies, on the other hand, have scored less than 57 points in 4 of last 7 games. Even without Scruggs, the Musketeers are the more talented and skilled team. The odds makers know that and so do we and, given the above scoring stats, don't be surprised if St Bonaventure can not keep up as this game goes on and the underdog pulls away in the latter stages for the outright win. Grab the point or two for added insurance but you should not need it. 10* XAVIER +2 | |||||||
03-28-22 | Nuggets v. Hornets +3 | Top | 113-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Charlotte Hornets +3 vs Denver Nuggets @ 7:10 ET - This is a contrarian play because most will be looking the way of the road team in this one because of the scheduling situation but I am grabbing the home dog! The Hornets are off a big win at Brooklyn yesterday and that was an upset win on the road which also followed an upset win at home versus Utah Friday. Will Charlotte run out of gas here? Absolutely not! The fact they are at home and in a battle for playoff position and are playing so well means they will not come up short here! The Hornets are red hot with wins in 7 of last 8 games. The Nuggets are off a win Saturday but it was a non-covering win versus a bad Thunder team. Denver's ATS slide has now reached 3-8 last 11 games. Also, prior to the SU win over OKC, the Nuggets had lost 5 of 8 SU. Based on all of the above, you can see why I am grabbing the red hot home dog that is playing with a lot of confidence right now. 10* CHARLOTTE +3 | |||||||
03-27-22 | 76ers +4 v. Suns | Top | 104-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +4 @ Phoenix Suns @ 6:10 ET - The Suns are a great team of course but missing a couple solid contributors here with Cameron Johnson and JaVale McGee both expected to miss this game. Against a lesser team that would be no big deal but the Sixers are going to give Phoenix all they can handle here. Keep in mind, Philadelphia wants to prove that, with James Harden now on board too, they belong with the elite of the NBA. Phoenix, on the other hand, has certainly proven in recent seasons that they are among the elite of the NBA. That said, I also expect the 76ers to be the hungrier team in this one. They will want it a little more and I feel we have excellent line value with Philly as an underdog. The Suns have dominated this series in recent seasons and that includes winning at Philly early last month. Payback time here as Sixers hungry to end the dominance of Phoenix in this series by coming up big today. Suns off big win at Denver and have big game at Golden State on deck. Will they be totally focused on this non-conference match-up? Perhaps not and this is a Sixers team that won 12 of 16 games and going for 4 in a row here. 10* PHILADELPHIA +4 | |||||||
03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -5.5 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 5 h 41 m | Show |
NCAA Game of the Month Sunday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -5.5 vs Miami-Florida Hurricanes @ 2:20 ET - The Jayhawks were outshot by the Friars - in terms of FG attempts - in their Sweet 16 win on Friday. However, Kansas did win the rebounding battle and they had a huge edge in terms of getting to the free throw line. Had they not shot so poorly from three point land, the Jayhawks would have easily covered the game and won by double digits. The key here is that the same can not be said of the Hurricanes. Miami got a favorable match-up Friday in terms of facing an Iowa State team that, in the opinion of most, had over-achieved to even get to that stage. That said, the Hurricanes getting outshot 68 to 56 in terms of FG attempts plus having only 7 offensive boards comparted to allowing 16 to the Cyclones combines for some concern here as they now face one of the best teams in the nation. I feel strongly that the Hurricanes have reached the end of the line in their season and feel we are getting excellent line value. This spread is being held lower than it should be because of Friday's results. The Jayhawks make it 9 wins in a row and this one comes by double digits in my opinion. Keep in mind their last 6 wins in the 8-game winning streak have come by an average margin of 14 points. The Hurricanes get beaten on the boards and the Jayhawks also again get to the free throw line much more than their opponent. 10* KANSAS -5.5 | |||||||
03-25-22 | Providence v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
NCAA Sweet 16 Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -7 vs Providence Friars @ 7:29 ET - Kansas just beat Creighton by 7 points to reach this game. The Bluejays are the same Big East team that knocked Providence out of the Big East tourney. Creighton beat the Friars by 27 points in that laugher. That does not mean this win will be so easy for the Jayhawks but I definitely do not see them being denied and I do expect a double digit win for Kansas. The Jayhawks have gotten hot at the right time and when this team is firing on all cylinders in terms of point production and offensive efficiency, look out! Kansas is on an 11-2 SU run and had one low-scoring win during this stretch but averaged scoring 79 points per game in the other 10 victories. Providence is 3-2 SU last 5 games and, prior to big win over Richmond, scored an average of 63 points over 3 prior games. The Friars averaged 66.5 points on the road this season while Kansas averaged 76.7 points on the road this season. Simply put, Providence just will not be able to keep up in this one and the Jayhawks eventually pull away for a win by a double digit margin. Lay it! 10* KANSAS -7 | |||||||
03-24-22 | Cavs +5 v. Raptors | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +5.5 @ Toronto Raptors @ 7:40 ET - Toronto opened up at a -3 and has jumped up to as high as a -5.5 already. In typical contrarian fashion I am fading the line move. As per usual, the fade is not without reason! The Cavaliers are off a loss and the last 3 times they were off a loss by a margin less than a dozen points, Cleveland has gone a perfect 3-0 SU. Also, the Raptors are off a road loss (SU and ATS) at Chicago but, prior to this, the road team was on an 11-1 ATS run in Toronto games. Look for that strong road trend to resume here. The Cavs already won all 3 meetings with Raptors this season and average margin of 18 points per victory. Look for another road win here. 10* CLEVELAND +5.5 | |||||||
03-24-22 | Michigan v. Villanova -4.5 | Top | 55-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
NCAA PA Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats -4.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 7:29 ET - The Wolverines are off an upset win over Tennessee but a closer look at how that played out tells you all you need to know. Michigan actually had 13 LESS field goal attempts than the Volunteers but they managed to win the game handily because the Vols shot 2 of 18 from three point land! Also, Michigan had 15 turnovers compared to just 7 for Tennessee. Now we get line value here with one of the best teams in the country laying a short number, in part, due to the upset win for the Wolverines over Tennessee. On a neutral court, the Wildcats are much better than just a 5-point differential in comparison with Wolverines. Villanova enters this game having won 12 of 13 games and the Wildcats have seen 9 of those 12 victories come by a margin of at least 5 points. I am sure this one will too. 10* VILLANOVA -4.5 | |||||||
03-24-22 | Arkansas +10 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 8 h 18 m | Show |
NCAA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Arkansas Razorbacks +10 vs Gonzaga Bulldogs @ 7:09 ET - The Razorbacks played the tougher regular season schedule in comparison with Gonzaga. The Bulldogs are a great team of course and ranked #1 in the nation but this is a tough spot for them to win by double digits. They barely got by Memphis and remember they lost at St Mary's in final game of February. Arkansas enters this game having won 17 of 20 and 2 of those 3 losses were by just 4 or less points. Look for another tight game here and having the big points on your side is the way to go in this one. 9* ARKANSAS +10 | |||||||
03-23-22 | Knicks +7.5 v. Hornets | Top | 121-106 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Wednesday 10* Top Play New York Knicks +7.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - This line has jumped from Charlotte as a very small home favorite all the way up to as high as 7.5 points. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move and going with the big underdog. The Knicks are in 2nd game of a B2B but the last time they were in this situation they won by 16 points in the 2nd game of the B2B. New York is off B2B losses but last night's defeat was by just 6 points after Sunday's loss was by a double digit margin. Also, note all this was preceded by a 5-2 stretch SU and an 8 game run in which the only 3 SU losses were each by 4 or less points! Tremendous big dog value here when you consider that, althought the Hornets are on a 5-game winning streak, this was preceded by a 3-7 SU run. Also, Charlotte is playing 3rd game in 5 days so their scheduling situation truly not that much better than that of the Knicks. 10* NEW YORK +7.5 | |||||||
03-23-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Middle Tennessee -4.5 | Top | 96-90 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
CBB CBI Championship Winner Wednesday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4.5 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - Middle Tennessee has some edges here and it makes me very comfortable in laying the 4.5 points in this one. The Seahawks are playing a 4th straight day in going for the CBI Championship today. Conversely, the Blue Raiders first game of this tournament was Saturday. The off day that Middle Tennessee had Sunday could pay major dividends here as they should have the fresher legs in pushing for the CBI Title! Also, the Blue Raiders have been the better shooting team on the season plus the better team in terms of defending including shutting down the 3-ball too. Those better numbers are a big reason that UNC Wilmington had just a 1-point win Monday while the Blue Raiders wins Monday and Tuesday were by a combined 46 points! Look for the favorite to pull away in the 2nd half for another big win here. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE | |||||||
03-22-22 | St Bonaventure v. Virginia -3 | Top | 52-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
CBB NIT Tourney Smash Tuesday 10* Top Play Virginia Cavaliers -3 vs St Bonaventure Bonnies @ 7 ET - The Bonnies have surprisingly won back to back road games to reach this point in the NIT Tourney. However, entering this tournament, St Bonaventure had averaged scoring only 58 points in last 5 games away from home. Now the Bonnies are on the road taking on a Cavaliers team known for tough defense! Virginia will stifle St Bonaventure here and pull away in the latter stages. The Cavs last 8 wins have come by an average margin of 8 points. Lay the short number here for the big win. 10* VIRGINIA | |||||||
03-21-22 | Middle Tennessee -4 v. Boston University | Top | 76-46 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
CBI Tourney Smash Monday 10* Top Play Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -4 vs Boston University Terriers @ 6 ET - The Terriers had to play yesterday and they were down by 7 at the half before rallying in the 2nd half for the 3 point win over UNC Greensboro. That said, Middle Tennessee has an advantage because they played Saturday so they have an extra day of rest. Also, the Blue Raiders are the better team defensively in comparison with the Terriers. I also like the fact that Middle Tennessee was the better team ATS in comparison with Boston University this season and feel they are again undervalued here. Lay the short number here with the better team and look for a win by a double digit margin as the more rested team pulls away as this game goes on. 10* MIDDLE TENNESSEE -4 | |||||||
03-20-22 | Texas v. Purdue -3 | Top | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 2nd Rd Game of the Year Sunday 10* Top Play Purdue Boilermakers -3 vs Texas Longhorns @ 8:40 ET - Great line value here in my opinion. Purdue is off a blowout win over Yale. The Boilermakers have now won 12 of 18 games away from home this season and here we are only having to lay 3 points to have the much stronger team in this match-up. The Longhorns managed to get a win over Virginia Tech Friday but entered that game with only 5 wins in 13 games away from home prior to that! The Boilermakers are a much better shooting team in comparison with Texas. The Horns making only 43% from the field in road games this season and overall 33% of threes this season. Purdue is hitting overall 39% of threes this season and 49% from the field overall. Before beating the Hokies, the Longhorns had been held to 63 or less points in 3 straight games. The Boilermakers have averaged 73 points last 3 games. Texas will not be able to keep up in this one. 10* PURDUE -3 | |||||||
03-19-22 | Richmond +3 v. Providence | Top | 51-79 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Saturday 10* Top Play Richmond Spiders +3 vs Providence Friars @ 6:10 ET - This line looks funny does it not? Providence only favored by 3 over Richmond? Look at the records...look at the rankings...look at the seedings. You get my point and these are the types of situations I love to look for. I am going to ride this Spiders team as they are red hot and full of confidence. Richmond is on a 15-6 SU run and 4 of those 6 losses by 3 or less points. This Spiders team plays very well defensively and the Friars are going to have their hands full in this one. Give me the points! That was a solid Iowa team playing very well and with a such a potent offense and Richmond got the upset win over the Hawkeyes. That said, they can certainly knock off this Providence team too. We'll grab the points with the Spiders as added insurance. 10* RICHMOND +3 | |||||||
03-19-22 | Bucks v. Wolves +3 | Top | 119-138 | Win | 100 | 7 h 12 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Minnesota Timberwolves +3 vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 5:10 ET - Both teams playing well but the Wolves are not getting enough respect on their home floor here and I am happy to grab them as a home dog in this one. Minnesota has won 9 of last 10 games and also already beat the Bucks earlier this season in Milwaukee. The Bucks are off B2B road covers but this was preceded by a 5-7 ATS stretch overall. The Timberwolves are 23-12 at home while the Bucks are 20-14 on the road this season. But due to long-term reputation of these teams this game is priced this way. We'll take advantage. Give me the points! 10* MINNESOTA | |||||||
03-19-22 | Creighton +12 v. Kansas | 72-79 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAA Daytime Dominator Saturday 8* Creighton Bluejays +11.5 vs Kansas Jayhawks @ 2:40 ET - The Bluejays have only lost 3 games since early February and 2 of the 3 losses were by a half-dozen points or less. Now Creighton is catching a full dozen points against the Jayhawks and I feel it will prove to be too much. Kansas is on a 12-4 SU run but 5 of those wins by a single digit margin. That means only 7 of last 16 Jayhawks games have been wins by a double digit margin. The last time these teams met the Bluejays fell short by just a single point. This one will not be quite that close but strong odds that they stay within single digits here as they are playing with a lot of confidence here after their late rally led to an eventual OT win over San Diego State in first round action Thursday. 8* CREIGHTON +11.5 | |||||||
03-19-22 | North Carolina +5.5 v. Baylor | 93-86 | Win | 100 | 4 h 52 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Saturday 8* North Carolina Tar Heels +5.5 vs Baylor Bears @ 12:10 ET - Bears are a great team of course but they are certainly not unbeatable. Before blasting an over-matched Norfolk State in the 1st round, Baylor was on an 8-4 SU run and 2 of those wins by 4 or less points. With how hot the Tar Heels are right now, look for the Bears to struggle just to win this game let alone cover the spread of nearly a half-dozen points. UNC has won 7 of 8 games and has had some very impressive efforts recently. More of the same here. 8* NORTH CAROLINA +5.5 | |||||||
03-18-22 | TCU v. Seton Hall | Top | 69-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
NCAA 1st Round Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates (-) vs TCU Horned Frogs @ 9:57 ET - The Pirates lost to Connecticut in the Big East tourney but won 6 in a row before that defeat. Seton Hall certainly finished the season much hotter than TCU. The Horned Frogs enter this game having lost 8 of 13 games. The Pirates, had a mid-season lull but then got stronger later in the season and I like the way Seton Hall played down the stretch. TCU turned the ball over 15 times per game away from home this season while the Pirates turned it over 11 times per game away from home. I am grabbing the hotter team that takes better care of the ball and I look for the Pirates to pull away strongly in the 2nd half of this game as their winning ways continue while the Horned Frogs, a little beaten up from all the losing, again struggle to find a way to get back to winning as they came slips away from TCU in the second half. 10* SETON HALL | |||||||
03-18-22 | Virginia Tech v. Texas +1 | 73-81 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 8* Texas Longhorns (-) vs Virginia Tech Hokies @ 4:30 ET - The Hokies marched through the ACC Tourney and so they enter this match-up winners of 4 straight including upset of Duke in the Championship Game. Conversely, the Longhorns have lost 3 straight as they got knocked out of the Big 12 Tourney immediately when they were upset by TCU. However, the two losses before that were to rock solid teams - Kansas and Baylor. This set up is perfect for Texas to roll and we get a bargain on the line - right around a pick'em - because of the recent results heading into this game. Great value. We'll take it! 8* TEXAS | |||||||
03-17-22 | Creighton +2.5 v. San Diego State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Blowout Thursday 10* Top Play Creighton Bluejays (+) vs San Diego State Aztecs @ 7:27 ET - Bluejays faced a tougher schedule and I also like the fact Creighton won both games against UConn and all 3 games against Marquette and also they did get a 20 point win versus Villanova this season. San Diego State, on the other hand, lost both games against Boise State this season and 2 of 3 against Colorado State. The point is we are looking at how these teams fared against some of the other tourney teams coming from the same conference they are in and you can see that the Bluejays were much better than the Aztecs. Couple that with the fact that Creighton had the tougher overall schedule and you can see why I like having them as a small underdog to San Diego State in this match-up. Having the 2.5 points (current line) could be a bigger value than you think too when you consider the very low posted total on this Bluejays/Aztecs battle. Believe it or not, 6 of San Diego State's last 14 games decided by 2 points or less! 10* CREIGHTON | |||||||
03-17-22 | New Mexico State v. Connecticut -6 | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAA TNT Annihilation Thursday 8* Connecticut Huskies (-) vs New Mexico State Aggies @ 6:50 ET - This is a case of two teams with very different strength of schedule factors and I feel the Huskies will roll big. There is a big difference between the Big East and the WAC! That said, getting this line right around a half-dozen points, we have excellent line value here! Look at it this way. Connectictut lost to Villanova by just 3 points in Big East action. New Mexico State beat Abilene Christian in WAC action. That is the most recent game for each of these teams. The Huskies were a very small dog to the Wildcats. Now imagine what the line would be if Villanova was playing Abilene Christian! You can see my point here and I think we have a ton of value in this game with UConn as they should win this by a double digit margin! 8* CONNECTICUT | |||||||
03-17-22 | Memphis v. Boise State +3 | 64-53 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAA Daytime Dominator Thursday 8* Boise State Broncos (+) vs Memphis Tigers @ 1:45 ET - The markets are favoring Memphis here as the line has climbed from -1.5 to -3 on the Tigers. I fully realize that Memphis has played the tougher schedule this season but it is not like that schedule variance is huge. Also, this is also a revenge game for Boise State as the Broncos lost to the Tigers in tourney time last year! The Broncos enter this game on a 10-2 SU run and the two losses were each by just 3 points so I feel we have excellent line value here with having the points on our side. 8* BOISE STATE | |||||||
03-16-22 | 76ers -4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -4.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Cleveland is a solid team playing with revenge here and they are on their home floor. However, the flip side of that is the fact that Philly being on the road gets a small number for the point spread and I love the fact that the Sixers enter this game off a loss. Philadelphia is a rock solid 10-1 SU last 11 times when off a SU loss. Also, the 76ers have won each of last 3 meetings with the Cavaliers and they won each of the games by at least 6 points and that includes a 20-point win in their last visit to Cleveland. Look for another big win for the Sixers in this one as they face a Cavs team that is off a win but this was after losses in 8 of last 11 games! Look for the road team to get back on track after they blew their game Monday at home against Denver and they will make it 4 in a row over the Cavaliers! 10* PHILADELPHIA -4.5 | |||||||
03-16-22 | Bryant +3.5 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Play-in Wednesday 10* Top Play Bryant Bulldogs +3.5 vs Wright State Raiders @ 6:40 ET - Most people have heard of Wright State from the Horizon League but very few know about Bryant University from the Northeast Conference. Of course this is an advantage come tournament time. I like taking underdogs like the Bulldogs in spots like this at this time of the year and will ride with Bryant in this play-in game. The Raiders have played the tougher schedule but only slightly and, keep in mind, confidence builds with wins and this Bryant team has won 18 of 20 games! Wright State has won 10 of 15 games and the Raiders have been playing well but again this Bulldogs team even hotter. Also, Bryant does have the better defensive numbers on the season. 10* BRYANT +3.5 | |||||||
03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +10 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Tuesday 10* Top Play Orlando Magic (+) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:10 ET - The Magic have been competitive with covers in 7 of last 9 games! Also, one of those two non-covers was an 8 point loss and, with this spread in the 10-point range, that would be enough for an ATS cover in this case! Certainly I am expecting a game decided by single digits as the Magic have been tough on the Nets with covers in 3 of last 4. Also, 2 of the 3 ATS wins were SU wins and the lone loss by just 2 points. I know Brooklyn should have Kyrie Irving for this one since it is a road game but also note that the Nets are off B2B divisional games including that huge win at Philly and a tight win over the city rival Knicks. Also, Brooklyn has a tougher match-up on deck tomorrow night as they are hosting a solid Mavericks team then. All that said, this is an ideal flat spot for the Nets. Great spot to fade Brooklyn. 10* ORLANDO | |||||||
03-15-22 | Texas A&M Corpus Christi v. Texas Southern -3.5 | Top | 67-76 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
NCAA Tourney Opener Tuesday 10* Top Play Texas Southern Tigers (-) vs Texas A & M Corpus Christi Islanders @ 6:40 ET - Both teams considered 16 seeds in this play-in game yet the team with the lesser record favored by 3.5 points. Head scratcher? Not really! The fact is the Tigers have been the hotter team in comparison with the Islanders for quite some time now. Texas Southern enters this game having gone 18-5 since starting the season 0-7. The Tigers also have won 13 of last 15 games and their last two wins each by 19 or more points in conference tourney action. Texas A & M Corpus Christi is just 8-7 since starting the season 15-4. For the Islanders, 6 of those 7 losses were by 6 or more points and I fully expect this one will be too! 10* TEXAS SOUTHERN | |||||||
03-14-22 | Nuggets +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 114-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter 10* Top Play Denver Nuggets (+) @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The 76ers are in the 2nd game of a B2B and it was a hard-fought OT win yesterday and it was on the road at Orlando. That said, this is a tough spot for Philadelphia and the situation is made even tougher because they are now hosting a Nuggets team that is angry off B2B losses. Denver, dating back to late November, is 4-1 SU when they enter a game off B2B SU losses. Also, prior to the B2B defeats, the Nuggets had won 12 of 14 games. Consider that plus the fact Philly could have some key star players resting or on minutes restrictions here and this is a great spot for a road dog! Strong upset possibility but will grab the points (currently 2.5) here as additional insurance. 10* DENVER + | |||||||
03-13-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Magic | Top | 116-114 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) @ Orlando Magic @ 6:10 ET - This play all about the situational value as Philadelphia has had two days off since a blowout home loss to the Nets as a favorite. The 76ers also had two days offs heading into that one. That said, it has been almost a week since Philly tasted victory and they can't wait to erase the bitter taste of an ugly home loss to Brooklyn Thursday. As for the Magic, they are actually off 3 straight covers, and 2 straight outright upsets, as underdogs! As a result, they are a little over-valued here. The Sixers don't just want to win this game, they want to come out with a vengeance...a huge blowout win. Look for a no-doubt blowout rout for the road team in this one. The 76ers want to do to the Magic in Orlando what just happened to them in Philly versus the Nets. 10* PHILADELPHIA - | |||||||
03-13-22 | Iowa +2.5 v. Purdue | Top | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 7 h 33 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes +2.5 @ Purdue Boilermakers @ 3:30 ET - The Hawkeyes lost both regular season meetings with Purdue this season. The Boilermakers also are the higher-ranked team. Consider all of that and yet this line opened up at a -1 and, of course, everyone is now fading Iowa and the line has jumped up to a 2.5 in this one. In typical contrarian fashion, I am fading the line move here and grabbing the points with Iowa. The Hawkeyes barely snuck by Indiana yesterday but will carry momentum from that last-second buzzer-beating half-court 3 winner that allowed them to avoid OT versus the Hoosiers. The Hawkeyes had been on an ATS hot streak before yesterday's non-covering win. The Boilermakers have continued an ATS losing streak. More of the same here! 10* IOWA | |||||||
03-11-22 | Iowa -6 v. Rutgers | Top | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 34 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Iowa Hawkeyes (-) vs Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ 2 ET - This line is in the 6.5 range and Iowa's 23 wins have included 21 by a double digit margin this season! The Hawkeyes are rolling right now and they have revenge from an ugly 48-46 loss at Rutgers in the regular season. Iowa enters this game with wins in 9 of last 11 games and all 9 wins were by a double digit margin. Rutgers has lost 3 of 5 games and scored an average of 62 points last 4 games. The Hawkeyes have averaged 88.4 points per game last 10 games. Revenge will be sweet here and it will be in the form of a blowout. 10* IOWA | |||||||
03-10-22 | Nets v. 76ers -4 | Top | 129-100 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 60 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Game of the Year Thursday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers (-) vs Brooklyn Nets @ 7:30 ET - The 76ers have won 8 of 10 games and still have not lost a game with James Harden on the floor. Now he faces his former team as the Nets are in Philly and this line is very manageable in the -4 range. Brooklyn unlike the Sixers, has been trending the wrong direction. The Nets are off a win, albeit versus a slumping Charlotte team, and this followed losses in 6 of 7 for Brooklyn. Yes they have Kyrie Irving and Kevin Durant but this 76ers team is loaded with weapons and plus the absence of LaMarcus Aldridge tonight gives them one less big body to try and stop Joel Embiid. Look for huge games from Harden, Embiid, Tobias Harris, and Tyrese Maxey to lead the way for the home team tonight. Thybulle and Niang also have been contributing well for this surging Philly team. The Nets, even with win over Hornets, are just just 3-10 SU last 13 road games. This is a very fair line on the 76ers to roll big at home and they have added motivation of blowing a 7-point halftime lead and losing to Nets in the only other game in which they hosted Brooklyn this season. Payback time and the Wells Fargo Center will be jumping tonight! 10* PHILADELPHIA | |||||||
03-10-22 | St. John's v. Villanova -5.5 | Top | 65-66 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 10* Top Play Villanova Wildcats (-) vs St John's Red Storm @ 7 ET - The Red Storm are 0-6 this season when facing a ranked team. The average margin of those losses is 9 points and they lost twice to Villanova this season and the line on this game is the 5.5 to 6 point range. In the most recent game, Big East Player of the Year Collin Gillespie was dealing with an injury and scored ZERO points and yet the Wildcats still won that game by 6 points! The 5th year senior is averaging 16.3 ppg this season. You know he will be in line for a huge game here after being held scoreless in the most recent meeting. It is now tourney time and this rested Wildcats team taking on a St John's team that was in action yesterday. I like the Red Storm overall as they are scrappy team that can be difficult to play against. However, the numbers speak for themselves here and we get line value because this is essentially a home game for St John's so that keeps the line lower than it should be. Given the situation here this game should be a double digit blowout win for the Wildcats in this one as the Red Storm drop to 0-7 on the season in games against ranked teams. 10* VILLANOVA | |||||||
03-09-22 | Bulls -5 v. Pistons | Top | 114-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Game of the Year Wednesday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -5 @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons enter this game on an 8-0 ATS run but the Bulls are 8-0 ATS last 8 meetings with Detroit. So which trend stays alive here? The latter as Chicago rolls in this one. Love the fact that the line came down already from 6.5 to a 5 and we have good value here with the road favorite. The Bulls have lost 5 straight games (and 0-5 ATS) but have faced a truly brutal schedule during this time. The Pistons have won 6 of 8 games SU (and 8-0 ATS) but faced more favorable scheduling and match-ups in this stretch. Now, coming off a hard-fought OT win versus Atlanta, the Pistons host an angry Bulls team ready to get back on track. Chicago just lost at Philadelphia but the 76ers, when James Harden is on the floor, have looked like the best team in the NBA in recent weeks. This also was the 2nd game of a B2B for the Bulls and they also have recently had to face the Bucks and Grizzlies plus they visited the Heat. I expect Nikola Vucevic to play tonight (questionable with hamstring injury) but even if he did not, this is ideal spot for the Bulls to get back on track. They have gone 8-0 ATS last 8 versus Pistons and each of last 5 wins by 6 or more points with an average margin of victory of 18.6 points per game during this stretch. Road rout by double digits here. 10* CHICAGO -5 | |||||||
03-09-22 | Butler +6.5 v. Xavier | Top | 89-82 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Butler Bulldogs +6.5 vs Xavier Musketeers @ 4:30 ET - Xavier won both regular season meetings. The Musketeers, however, did the same thing last season too and then got beat by Butler in the Big East tourney. Not only that, the Bulldogs were down by 14 points at the half in that one and yet rallied for the win. This team still has that confidence and see the Big East tourney as a fresh start. I know Butler struggled late this season but so too did Xavier! In comparing the two teams what I like the most heading into this tourney is that the Bulldogs, not including OT, had allowed 66 or less points in 3 straight games before losing bad to Villanova in the season finale. The Musketeers, on the other hand, allowed 77.7 points (not including OT of course) over their final 6 games of the season and went 1-5 SU with their only win against a Georgetown team that lost 20 straight games after starting the season 6-4. Per the above, excellent line value with a scrappy underdog playing the better defense and that has tourney confidence facing this over-rated favorite that had a disappointing finish to the season as expectations were much higher at Xavier. 10* BUTLER +6.5 | |||||||
03-08-22 | Nets -2.5 v. Hornets | Top | 132-121 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets -2.5 @ Charlotte Hornets @ 7:10 ET - This line keeps coming down and yet I feel strongly that Brooklyn was made a sizable road favorite here by the odds makers with good reason. Look for the Nets to roll in this one. Brooklyn has lost 4 straight and 6 of 7 but now comes in as a road favorite over a team that has won back to back games. Fishy, right? Well we are not going fishing today, we are winning sports bets! Lets get this one as the Nets get revenge for a home loss to Charlotte much earlier this season. The Hornets are off home win versus Spurs but his followed losses in 8 of last 9 games on their home floor. More of the same expected here! 10* BROOKLYN -2.5 | |||||||
03-07-22 | Bulls v. 76ers -7 | Top | 106-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -7 vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - The Bulls Nikola Vucevic is likely to play here but is also unlikely to be 100% as he missed practice yesterday due to hamstring tightness. This could hurt the Bulls some and Chicago enters this game off 4 straight losses. Now they take on an angry Philly team that just lost at Miami in a game James Harden missed. He should be back here and I am expecting huge games from Tobias Harris, Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and Harden as the Sixers get right back on track here. Philadelphia has dominated the series with the Bulls in recent years and I see no reason for that to change here. Most recent win for the 76ers against them came in Chicago recently and was by 11 points and the average margin of the last 6 wins is 11 points also! Look for another win by double digits here as the Sixers get right back on track here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -7 | |||||||
03-06-22 | Penn State +6 v. Rutgers | 58-59 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Penn State Nittany Lions +6 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights @ Noon ET - The Scarlet Knights are seeking revenge here but they are also off a last second win at Indiana and I feel Rutgers could be emotionally spent here already. Penn State is a scrappy underdog and a tough team to blowout and, as a result, excellent line value with the half-dozen points here. The Nittany Lions are only 4-6 SU last 10 games but only 1 of the 10 was a blowout loss. The other 5 losses were by an average margin of just 4 points. The underdogs will be in this one all the way, have a shot at yet another SU win over the Knights and, as a result, excellent value here with the points. 8* PENN STATE +6 | |||||||
03-05-22 | 76ers +1.5 v. Heat | Top | 82-99 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers +1.5 @ Miami Heat @ 8:10 ET - The road team is a perfect 2-0 in this series this season. The 76ers have not lost since James Harden has this the floor in a Sixers uniform. Yes, this is a back to back for Philadelphia but it is also a great value spot for them because you don't have to lay any points to back a team that looks absolutely like an NBA title contender. The Heat are certainly a strong team in their own right but they are also a banged up team right now and the healthier and hungrier team right now is the roadie in this one. Also, both teams are playing 3rd game in 4 days so is really not a huge rest edge one way or other. The travelers get it done and remain perfect with Harden on the floor. 10* PHILADELPHIA +1.5 | |||||||
03-05-22 | Texas v. Kansas -6.5 | Top | 63-70 | Win | 100 | 7 h 2 m | Show |
CBB Big 12 Game of the Year Saturday 10* Top Play Kansas Jayhawks -6.5 vs Texas Longhorns @ 4 ET - Triple revenge spot for the Jayhawks as they have lost 3 straight to the Longhorns including earlier this season at Austin. The fact Kansas is the host in this one is certainly a big edge. The Jayhawks are 15-1 at home this season while Texas is 5-6 in road games. Also, the Horns off a disappointing 7 point loss to Baylor and that was at home! The last 3 road losses for the Longhorns have come by an average margin of 13 points per loss! The Jayhawks last 5 home wins by an average margin of victory of 13 points! With this line around a half-dozen points coupled with the home court edge and the triple revenge factor, this one offering superb line value. 10* KANSAS -6.5 | |||||||
03-04-22 | Ball State v. Western Michigan +3.5 | Top | 64-63 | Win | 100 | 7 h 50 m | Show |
CBB MAC Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Western Michigan Broncos +3.5 vs Ball State Cardinals @ 6 ET - Love this spot for the Broncos. Western Michigan has lost 3 straight games to the Cardinals but they enter this game on a bit of a roll. Indeed the Broncos have won B2B games outright as underdogs and have won 4 of last 6 games overall and are on a 7-1 ATS run. That said, and playing their home finale with triple revenge, Western Michigan is in a great spot for another upset win. Ball State is actually in a tough stretch that has seen them lose 6 of 9 since defeating the Broncos. Also, the Cardinals just got blasted by 19 points at home versus Akron and that is the same Zips team that Western Michigan beat once this season and only lost to by a single point in the other game. The point is that the Broncos are the hotter team right now, playing better, have triple revenge here, and are on their home floor. It all adds up to a great spot to back the host as an underdog in this one. 10* WESTERN MICHIGAN +3.5 | |||||||
03-03-22 | Grizzlies -2.5 v. Celtics | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
NBA TNT Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Memphis Grizzlies -2.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jaylen Brown is out for this game with a sprained ankle. The Grizzlies are currently riding a very special run from a very special player Ja Morant! Memphis has won 11 of 14 games and 6 of last 7 on the road. Boston is off a major comeback win versus the Hawks but will not be able to do the same against a streaking Grizzlies team playing with a ton of confidence right now. Before rallying from a double digit halftime deficit to defeat Atlanta, the Celtics were on a 1-3 ATS run. The road team pulls away as this one goes on as Morant and Company prove to be too much against a Celtics team that will really miss Brown in this game. 10* MEMPHIS -2.5 | |||||||
03-03-22 | Penn State +12.5 v. Illinois | 55-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Thursday 8* Penn State Nittany Lions +12.5 @ Illinois Illini @ 7 ET - The Nittany Lions just got waxed at home by Nebraska and I fully expect a response here. Prior to that disastrous result, Penn State was on a 4-4 SU run in which the 4 losses came by an average margin of 3.8 points and in which no defeat was by more than 6 points. That said, the Illini laying double digits here is just too much in my opinion. Illinois is off a win at Michigan but this was preceded by a 6-5 SU stretch and, overall, last dozen games have featured only 2 Illini wins by more than 8 points. 8* PENN STATE +12.5 | |||||||
03-02-22 | Xavier +1.5 v. St. John's | 66-81 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Wednesday 8* Xavier Musketeers +1.5 @ St John's Red Storm @ 6:30 ET - The Musketeers got blasted by double digits at home by the Red Storm two weeks ago and now it is payback time. Off 4 straight losses, enough is enough for Xavier. There is a reason this line is right around a pick'em even though the Musketeers have lost 4 straight and St John's is at home and has won the last two meetings. In other words, don't let the line fool you. This one is going to feature a road win as Musketeers take advantage of a Red Storm team that has lost 5 of last 6 home games! 8* XAVIER | |||||||
03-01-22 | Wisc-Milwaukee v. Illinois-Chicago -2.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 8 m | Show |
CBB Tourney Topper Tuesday 10* Top Play Illinois-Chicago Flames -2.5 @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers @ 8 ET - We are getting line value here because this game is at UW-Milw even though UIC had the better record in the Horizon League regular season. So the higher-rated Flames are being hosted by the Panthers and the result is a much lower line on the much better team in my opinion. Coming into this season big things were expected from the Panthers because of Bradley, Jr (considered an NBA prospect) and Vin Baker (Boston College transfer who had to sit out last season.). However, Bradley ended up injury prone and has been shut down for the season and Bradley just not materialize into the big contributor he was expected to be. Conversely, the Flames hopes were riding on a number of transfers and those hopes did materialize for them. Of course I am not saying UIC is a great team but they have exceeded expectations and are certainly a better team that the Panthers. Already 2-0 against them this season and UIC had big turnover edges in the match-ups this season plus a big rebounding edge in the 2nd meeting and overall had 28 more field goal attempts combined in the two games. Couple all that with only having to lay a small number here and you have solid value in my opinion. Look for Flames to advance to 2nd round of Horizon League tourney in convincing fashion. 10* ILLINOIS-CHICAGO -2.5 | |||||||
03-01-22 | Hawks +7.5 v. Celtics | 98-107 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
NBA TNT Annihilation Tuesday 8* Atlanta Hawks +7.5 @ Boston Celtics @ 7:30 ET - The Hawks lost at Boston by 10 points two weeks ago but Atlanta actually led that game by 10 points at the half. I am expecting payback here for the road dog. Yes, John Collins and Lou Williams are out but Colins was out for the most recent meeting too and Williams does not play big minutes. Also, Atlanta actually had 8 more shots for the field in the 10-point loss as they simply were done in by poor shooting. Boston is off a loss at Indiana and has failed to cover 3 of 4. The Hawks are off a huge win versus Toronto and have won 3 of 4 games with the only loss by just 4 points. Huge value here with the big points in my opinion. 8* ATLANTA +7.5 | |||||||
02-28-22 | Wolves -2.5 v. Cavs | 127-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 8* Minnesota Timberwolves -2.5 @ Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - This a great spot to back a small road favorite. The Timberwolves are off an embarrassing 31 point home loss to Philly and have had back to back days off heading into this one. Minnesota will be ready here and is a much healthier team than Cleveland is. The Cavaliers are still expected to be without Darius Garland, Caris LeVert, and now Rajon Rondo out as well. The Cavs are off a low-scoring win but it was a non-covering victory and they have now gone 0-4 ATS last 4 games. The Timberwolves were on an 8-3 SU/ATS run before getting their doors blown off on their home floor against a 76ers team rejuvenated by the addition of James Harden to the lineup. This is a fantastic set-up. 8* MINNESOTA -2.5 | |||||||
02-27-22 | Mavs +4 v. Warriors | Top | 107-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show |
NBA ESPN Smash Pass Sunday 10* Top Play Dallas Mavericks +4 @ Golden State Warriors @ 7:30 ET - The Mavericks are off a loss by 5 points at Utah in a game in which the Mavericks had 14 more field goal attempts! Yes, it was a bit of a phony final as the Jazz shot 54% from the field. Now the Mavs are only getting about 4 points against Warriors team that is 26-6 at home while Dallas is only about a .500 team on the road. If you look up the definition of "trap line" in a bettors dictionary they could use this game as an example. Looks so easy to lay a short number with the Warriors on their home floor, especially off a huge win. However, that big win came against a very short-handed Blazers team and note Golden State had lost 4 of 5 heading into that game. Dallas is a fantastic 6-1 the last 7 times they were off a loss. Also, the Mavs lone loss in those 7 games came in OT. The Mavericks have shown a propensity for responding off losses and I expect that to continue here. Adding fuel to the fire for Dallas here is the fact that Golden State destroyed the Mavericks by 38 points last month. Payback time is here and now. 10* DALLAS +4 | |||||||
02-26-22 | Seton Hall v. Xavier -3.5 | 82-66 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 56 m | Show | |
CBB Matinee Mauling Saturday 8* Xavier Musketeers -3.5 vs Seton Hall Pirates @ 3:30 ET - I lost with Xavier plus the points in a triple-OT thriller at Providence Wednesday. I have had my eyes on this next match-up for the Musketeers ever since. They are hosting a Pirates team that is 2-4 SU last 6 road games. Xavier lost its most recent home game but was 12-3 SU in their first 15 as a host this season. This is the perfect bounce back spot and, keep in mind, Seton Hall still without Bryce Aiken and he is certainly a player that makes the Pirates much better. As for the Musketeers they had not lost 3 straight games this entire season until the tough loss to the Friars Wednesday. The losing streak stops right here right now and note that Xavier's last 16 wins have featured 13 by at least a half-dozen points. This one will be too for the Pirates. 8* XAVIER -3.5 | |||||||
02-25-22 | Akron +8 v. Ohio | Top | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Cash Friday 10* Top Play Akron Zips +8 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - The Zips Bryan Trimble Jr was recently placed on a leave of absence. Akron had just wrapped up a 3-game losing streak - all losses by 4 or less points - and the Zips have responded with back to back wins by an average margin of 16.5 points per victory. Granted, the wins were against weaker teams in the MAC but the point is that this team has banded together and is better off without Trimble. Team chemistry is so important and these guys are really working hard now for each other and working well together and playing solid defense and crashing the boards. I don't see them getting blown out here at Ohio. Yes the Bobcats are a very strong team and they did win the first meeting by 6 points at Akron. However, Ohio shot 50% from the field in that game while the Zips had a rare 9 for 17 shooting performance from the free throw line in that one. All that and yet Akron sill lost by only 6 points. This Zips team is starting to jell at the right time and I look for them to be very tough on the Bobcats in this one and it goes down to the wire. 10* AKRON | |||||||
02-24-22 | Maryland v. Indiana -6 | Top | 64-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Thursday 10* Top Play Indiana Hoosiers -6 vs Maryland Terrapins @ 7 ET - The Hoosiers have lost 5 straight games and are off a crazy OT loss at Ohio State where they failed to cover as underdog. That was a nice break (seems rare but always do admit it) for me as the Buckeyes -6.5 were my play there. Now I come back with a fired up Indiana team off that tough loss from earlier this week. The Hoosiers have faced 4 ranked teams during this 5-game losing streak. In other words, they have simply faced a murderers row of opponents and have paid for that. Now they get a chance against a lesser team plus they are at home. I like the fact that Maryland is on a 2-game winning streak but faced a Penn State team that is below .500 on the season and a Nebraska team that is the worst in the Big Ten. Also, Fatts Russell had huge games against both the Nittany Lions and Cornhuskers but the Hoosiers held him to a rough performance when they faced the Terrapins earlier this season. As Russell goes, so go the Terps and because of that key factor and the situational edges here I am fully expecting a home blowout here. 10* INDIANA | |||||||
02-23-22 | Xavier +2.5 v. Providence | Top | 92-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Wednesday 10* Top Play Xavier Musketeers +2.5 @ Providence Friars @ 7 ET - If you look up "trap line" in a "dictionary for bettors" and it gave you examples this one would be a perfect fit. The Friars are at home, they are a ranked team and they are hosting an unranked team they already beat on the road this season and have beaten 3 of last 4 times overall and also 6 of last 8 times when hosting. Consider all that and then consider the fact this line opened up at very nearly a pick'em even though the Musketeers come into this game having lost 4 of 5 games and Providence comes into this game winners of 9 of 10. This game has "trap" written all over it in my opinion and sure enough the betting markets are already falling for it! The line is up to a 2.5 and I would not be surprised if it climbs even higher. Either way though, I am pulling the trigger now early this morning and taking advantage of the added line value. This one all the way up to a 2.5 as of early morning Wednesday. Grab the points with the road dog but I am expecting an outright upset. 10* XAVIER +2.5 | |||||||
02-22-22 | Villanova +2.5 v. Connecticut | 69-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
CBB Big East Beast Tuesday 8* Villanova Wildcats +2.5 @ Connecticut Huskies @ 8 ET - This is the classic situation I love as we get line value in a game simply because that team is on the road. In this case that team is Villanova and they are catching a few points at Connecticut. Yes, the Huskies are certainly a high quality team but the Wildcats are the better team and now come into this one as a dog. Villanova has performed better in the bigger games against the tougher competition in my opinion and the Wildcats have just 3 losses in Big East action this season while the Huskies have 5 defeats in conference action. Watch the road team prove to be the better team in crunch time of this game. By the way, Collin Gillespie continues to be listed as questionable for the Wildcats but he keeps playing through a nagging ankle injury and I expect him to be out there again tonight in this key match-up. 8* VILLANOVA +2.5 | |||||||
02-22-22 | Yale -2.5 v. Dartmouth | Top | 66-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Year Tuesday 10* Top Play Yale Bulldogs -2.5 @ Dartmouth Big Green @ 6 ET - The Bulldogs laying a short number here on the road. I understand the low line as Dartmouth has the home court edge plus revenge factor in their favor here. However, the Big Green just 4-7 in conference games and has a poor overall record on the season. Yale, on the other hand, has a 9-2 record in Ivy League action plus a solid overall record on the season. What I especially like about this game is having the Bulldogs off a loss. Yale just lost to Princeton in what was a battle for first place. However, there will be no sulking and hanging of heads here for Yale. In fact, now it is more important than ever for the Bulldogs to win out and they have a pair of weaker foes on deck after this clash with Dartmouth. For an understanding of how much value we have here, note that Yale lost to Princeton by just 6 points plus had beaten them by 6 points earlier this season. Conversely, the Big Green lost at home to the Tigers by 4 and also got blasted at Princeton by 45 points. As noted above, the Bulldogs only have 2 conference losses this season. The other one was to Pennsylvania and the Quakers are another strong team that also beat Dartmouth by double digits. The points is that catching Yale off a loss is a great situation for laying a short price away from home as other results this season also show that the Bulldogs, comparatively with the Big Green, are the better team. 10* YALE -2.5 | |||||||
02-21-22 | Indiana v. Ohio State -6.5 | Top | 69-80 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
CBB Revenge Game of the Year Monday 10* Top Play Ohio State Buckeyes -6.5 vs Indiana Hoosiers @ 7 ET - The Buckeyes are off a loss Saturday versus Iowa. Also, Ohio State lost at Indiana by 16 points early last month. In other words, the set up here is perfect for a revenge win by a large margin. Adding to the value is the fact that the Buckeyes are a PERFECT 6-0 this SEASON when off a loss. When facing a Big Ten team and Ohio State is coming off a loss they have won all 4 games and by an average margin of 10 points! I am looking for a win here by a double digit margin as Indiana's slump continues. The Hoosiers have lost 4 straight both SU and ATS. Also, the home team is a perfect 4-0 SU and ATS in meetings between these teams. Going further back and looking at meetings in Columbus, the Buckeyes are a rock solid 13-6 both SU and ATS when hosting Indiana. Before their loss to Iowa Saturday, Ohio State was on a 6-1 ATS run. As for the Hoosiers, they are 2-6 ATS in road games this season. Look for these trends to continue here as the Buckeyes get big-time revenge payback. 10* OHIO STATE -6.5 | |||||||
02-20-22 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -2.5 | 63-77 | Win | 100 | 4 h 17 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash Sunday 8* Wisconsin Badgers -2.5 vs Michigan Wolverines @ 1 ET - The Badgers are under-valued here simply because the Wolverines are absolutely over-valued in this spot. The betting markets have been impacted by the fact Michigan recently defeated Purdue and also is coming off a win at Iowa. The Wolverines also recently snuck out a 1 point road win at Penn State but before these rare B2B road wins, Michigan was 4-7 SU on the road this season. They are now facing a Wisconsin team that has revenge from losing both games against the Wolverines and that included a home game in which they blew a 12 point lead at the half. The Badgers lost their most recent home game but were 10-2 SU at home on the season prior to that defeat. I am taking advantage of the over-adjusted shading toward Michigan in this one and I expect a big home win. 8* WISCONSIN -2.5 | |||||||
02-19-22 | Iowa +5.5 v. Ohio State | 75-62 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 8* Iowa Hawkeyes +5.5 @ Ohio State Buckeyes @ 2:30 ET - The set-up here is ideal for an upset in my opinion so I certainly like the fact we have the added cushion of about a half-dozen points in this one. Iowa is off a home loss to Michigan. The Hawkeyes are 4-1 SU the last 5 times when off a loss and the only loss in those 5 games was in double-OT by a 4 point margin. Here Iowa is catching the Buckeyes off a big win by a 25 point margin against Minnesota. Ohio State is just 2-4 SU the last 6 times they were off a win by a margin of 8 or more points. Yes the Buckeyes have home court edge here but note that last season the road team won both meetings SU and ATS! Overall Iowa has won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these teams and the only loss was by just 4 points. Also, before the loss to the Wolverines, the Hawkeyes had won 3 straight games and averaged 93 points per contest. Grab the points with confidence here. 8* IOWA +5.5 | |||||||
02-18-22 | Butler v. St. John's -7.5 | 57-91 | Win | 100 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
CBB Earliest Cash 8* St John's Red Storm -7.5 vs Butler Bulldogs @ 5 ET - Butler is not healthy. Even if Bryce Nze and Bo Hodges both came back for this hard to say if either would be anywhere close to 100% and, again, that is if either guy plays here. They have another game Sunday hosting Providence so the Bulldogs may not rush these guys back either. As for St John's, they are on short rest here as they just played Wednesday. However, I looked into it and the Red Storm are PERFECT 4-0 SU this season when playing with just one day of rest between games. The average margin of victory in the 4 wins was 13 points! The Bulldogs have 13 losses this season and 8 of them were by a margin of 15 or more points. 4 of St John's last 5 wins have been by 13 or more points. This line was as high as 8.5 and has dropped to 7.5 and I love fading line moves for additional value. I feel the Red Storm will crush the Bulldogs here as they already won at Butler two weeks ago despite the Bulldogs shooting 10 of 28 threes compared to just 2 of 16 for St John's. Those crazy stats are not happening again here and the Red Storm dominate by double digits at home against a wounded Butler team that just can't seem to get healthy this season. 8* ST JOHN'S -7.5 | |||||||
02-17-22 | Heat v. Hornets +4.5 | 111-107 | Win | 100 | 8 h 56 m | Show | |
Rickenbach NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 8* Charlotte Hornets +4.5 vs Miami Heat @ 7:10 ET - Yes the Hornets have been struggling but I expect them to get payback here after losing to Miami by 18 points in an ugly home loss two weeks ago. The Heat have beaten Charlotte 3 straight times and this one has been circled in red for the Hornets as a result. Note that Herro is out for Miami tonight and Butler might miss this game too as he is dealing with a shoulder injury. 8* CHARLOTTE +4.5 | |||||||
02-17-22 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Penn State | Top | 46-67 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 21 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Afternoon Annihilation Thursday 9* Top Play Minnesota Golden Gophers +6.5 @ Penn State Nittany Lions @ 4 ET - Yes the Golden Gophers have been struggling but this spot sets up very well. The Nittany Lions are off a huge comeback win over Michigan State. Minnesota is off a game in which they got thoroughly embarrassed and scored just 45 points at Ohio State. Minny has struggled like I said but they did beat Penn State on Saturday. PSU also, prior to the win over the Spartans Tuesday, had lost 6 of last 7 games. The Nittany Lions are the much better rebounding team but the Golden Gophers the better team in terms of not turning the ball over. Grab the points here in a game with upset potential. 9* MINNESOTA +6.5 | |||||||
02-14-22 | Spurs v. Bulls -4.5 | Top | 109-120 | Win | 100 | 9 h 55 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play Chicago Bulls -4.5 vs San Antonio Spurs @ 8:10 ET - Can you imagine how high this line would be if Zach LaVine was not out for the Bulls? Exactly! The point is we are getting a ton of line value here on a very good Chicago team that also is playing this game with triple revenge! Indeed the Bulls lost both games versus Spurs last season plus lost at San Antonio earlier this season. In that match-up however, SA shot a ridiculous percentage from 3-point land and outscored the Bulls by 24 points from beyond the arc. Of course this was the difference in the game and the Spurs aren't going to be hitting a ridiculous 16 threes in the rematch on the road. Also, Chicago is off a non-covering SU win versus OKC Saturday and the Bulls are 4-0 ATS the last 4 times they have entered a game off an ATS loss. The Spurs are off B2B wins and have not won 3 straight games since right around Christmas. From a situational standpoint, I love the value with the home team as a small favorite in this one. 10* CHICAGO -4.5 | |||||||
02-14-22 | St. Louis +2.5 v. St Bonaventure | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
CBB CBSSN Blowout Monday 10* Top Play St Louis Billikens +2.5 @ St Bonaventure @ 5 ET - The Billikens are off a loss that followed a 6-game winning streak. St Louis is a perfect 4-0 SU the last 4 times they entered game off a loss. The Bonnies are off B2B wins but this followed losses in 6 of 10 games and St Bonaventure has not won 3 straight games since early December. The set up is perfect for a road win here especially when you consider this is a revenge game as the Bonnies won at St Louis Friday. Payback time here for the Billikens as they return the favor by winning at St Bonaventure. 10* ST LOUIS +2.5 | |||||||
02-13-22 | Colorado State +2.5 v. Boise State | Top | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
CBB Contrarian Crusher Sunday 10* Top Play Colorado State Rams +2.5 @ Boise State Broncos @ 4 ET - The Rams are the better team offensively. Statistically these teams are nearly equal on the defensive end but the shooting edge of Colorado State is the key here. Boise State is favored but that is only because they are at home. I love taking short dogs in college hoops. The Rams are about a 3 point dog here but have the offensive firepower to pull off the upset here because they can get key buckets when they need. They are the type of team that can thrive on the road and yet we get line value here because of the home court factored in for the Broncos. The Rams are 7-2 SU on the road and Boise State does have a pair of road losses already this season. 10* COLORADO STATE +2.5 | |||||||
02-13-22 | Hawks +7 v. Celtics | Top | 95-105 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Atlanta Hawks +7 @ Boston Celtics @ 2:10 ET - Trae Young is probable for the Hawks in this one. Atlanta has won 4 of the last 5 meetings with Boston SU and is on an overall 6-2 ATS run last 8 meetings. I know the Celtics have won 7 straight games overall but their two most recent home wins each by 6 points and I love the value with the Hawks here off a loss. Atlanta had won 9 of 12 games before losing at home versus San Antonio Friday. Also, the Hawks are 3-1 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I would not be surprised at all to see an upset here but am grabbing the points for added insurance in this one and, yes, I am aware of the John Collins injury. 10* ATLANTA +7 | |||||||
02-12-22 | Cavs +3.5 v. 76ers | Top | 93-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Cleveland Cavaliers +3.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - Both teams off wins and both teams in 2nd game of back to back but I feel it will be much tougher on the 76ers than the Cavaliers. Keep in mind the Sixers lost Curry in the trade for Harden and they still don't have Harden available yet. Also, this is the 2nd game of a back to back and Embiid might be limited or possibly even miss the contest. You never know for sure these days but he could end up being in street clothes with it being 2nd game of a B2B and he is so injury-prone. In any event I like Cleveland taking on a team that is without a key outside shooter and they did struggle overall with the 3-ball yesterday and the Cavs are not the Thunder! OKC was missing a ton of personnel for yesterday's game but the red hot Cavaliers will present a much stiffer challenge. The Cavs have won 13 of 16 games! 10* CLEVELAND +3.5 | |||||||
02-12-22 | Temple +4.5 v. Tulane | Top | 83-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 43 m | Show |
CBB Philly Insider Saturday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 @ Tulane Green Wave @ 2 ET - Even though Jake Forrester is likely to miss again, Jeremiah Williams and Damian Dunn are both expected to play in this one. Also, Temple is 8-0 SU at Tulane since the Green Wave joined the AAC beginning in 2014. We also get the Owls angry off a loss here as they lost at South Florida on a buzzer beater. Getting points with an angry road dog that should be healthier here is something I won't pass up on. Look for the Owls to make it 9 in a row SU in games played as a visitor against Tulane but we'll grab the points for added insurance here. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 | |||||||
02-11-22 | Thunder v. 76ers -12.5 | Top | 87-100 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
NBA PA Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -12.5 vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7 ET - Even if James Harden does not play tonight, Philly is bolstered by the huge trade that got rid of the toxic Ben Simmons and brought in a superstar. The Sixers will be bolstered by this trade no matter who is on the floor tonight and Philadelphia is hungry to bounce back after the home loss to Phoenix Tuesday. With two days off between games, the 76ers will have fresh legs here and they can run and gun their way to victory past a Thunder team that just does not have the horses to keep up. Oklahoma City is already one of the league's worst teams even when healthy but right now the Thunder are extremely short-handed. Yes this is a big number to lay but OKC is off B2B home losses by an average margin of 15.5 points and its last 4 road losses have also come by an average margin of 15.5 points. Lay it! 9* PHILADELPHIA -12.5 | |||||||
02-10-22 | Iowa v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 110-87 | Loss | -104 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
CBB Big Ten Game of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play Maryland Terrapins +4.5 vs Iowa Hawkeyes @ 7 ET - The Terrapins go as Fatts Russell and Eric Ayala go. That said, with those guys struggling overall the last 3 games it comes as no surprise that Maryland enters this one on a 3-game losing streak. However, match-ups certainly matter in basketball. That said, Russell and Ayala both had solid games against the Hawkeyes in the first meetings this season and that was at Iowa and ended up a loss by only a 5-point margin. Now the Terrapins are getting nearly that same number at home and note that the Hawkeyes are 2-5 on the road this season. This one sets up well for an upset and I like the extra value of having a few points on our side as well should Maryland fall just short. Note that Maryland is allowing only 65.5 ppg at home while Iowa is allowing 74.4 ppg on the road. The better defense at home and off 3 straight losses and catching some points...I'll take it! 10* MARYLAND +4.5 | |||||||
02-08-22 | Villanova v. St. John's +4 | Top | 75-69 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
CBB PA Insider Tuesday 10* Top Play St John's Red Storm +4 vs Villanova Wildcats @ 8:30 ET - Villanova is a great team but St John's is very scrappy and this is particularly true at home. The Red Storm are seeking revenge for getting blown out at Nova earlier this season. In that game, though St John's lost by double digits they simply shot very poorly! Villanova was on fire from deep and the Red Storm had about the same number of 3-point attempts plus overall had 15 more FG attempts in the game but it was just an off-shooting game for them. The Wildcats also are likely to be without Gillespie in this one and he is arguably their best player and a team leader. This is a very tricky spot for the Cats and the home team has won each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. The safe play here is to grab the points but we likely will not need them! 10* ST JOHN'S +4 | |||||||
02-07-22 | NC-Wilmington v. Hofstra -6 | Top | 71-73 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 27 m | Show |
CAA Game of Year Monday 10* Top Play Hofstra Pride -6 vs NC Wilmington Seahawks @ 5 ET - This line has gone from an opener of 7.5 to as low as a 6 as of mid-morning game-day and it is now "go time" with this one. Yes the Seahawks have the much better record than the Pride but why do you think this game is priced this way? You think the odds makers made a mistake? They did not! Hofstra was installed as a 7.5 point home favorite with good reason in this one. The Pride have revenge from a loss at UNC-Wilmington a little over a week ago. They lost the game by 6 but were outscored by 21 points from 3-point land on a rare poor shooting night for Hofstra. Also, the Pride severely outrebounded the Seahawks by a 13-carom margin but were done in by a rare turnover-prone effort as they turned it over 17 times in the game. UNCW turned it over only 9 times in that game. Now with the Pride as the hosts watch all the flukiness of that first game result get flip-flopped here. Hofstra will not be denied here as they have also played the tougher schedule so far this season but are set up well here with an edge as they are playing 3rd straight home game while the Seahawks are on the road for a 3rd straight time! 10* HOFSTRA -6 | |||||||
02-05-22 | Ole Miss v. Florida -8.5 | Top | 57-62 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 31 m | Show |
Rickenbach CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play Florida Gators -8.5 vs Ole Miss Rebels @ 3:30 ET - Though the Gators probably will not have Colin Castleton back just yet, he has started practicing again and this is giving the Florida team a mental boost as they know one of their best players has an imminent return. The big injury news about this match-up is that Ole Miss just lost freshman guard Daeshun Ruffin for the rest of the season to a knee injury suffered in the Rebels upset win at LSU early this week. Though a freshman, he had taken on a starters role for the last 10 games and he had thrived at the point guard position. In fact, he had 21 points in the upset win over these Gators at Ole Miss last month. His loss is huge and is particularly troublesome because guard Jarkel Joiner is still out. That means Austin Crowley likely will be at the point guard position again. Point guard is such an important position and now Ole Miss down to their third choice there. Also, the home team has won and covered each of the last 4 meetings between these teams. Look for the Gators to win in a home blowout by a double digit margin as they get their revenge. 10* FLORIDA -8.5 | |||||||
02-04-22 | Creighton v. Seton Hall -6 | Top | 55-74 | Win | 100 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Big East Game of the Year Friday 10* Top Play Seton Hall Pirates -6 vs Creighton Bluejays @ 7 ET - I know Bryce Aiken might still be out here but I still like the Pirates a ton in this spot even if he does not play. The key is that if he does he is likely to be close to 100% because his only issue was being in concussion protocol. In my mind the bigger story here is the Bluejays being without center Ryan Kalkbrenner as he rolled his ankle quite badly in Tuesday's game. That is a tough injury so even if Kalkbrenner plays he is unlikely to be himself. From a situational standpoint, this is a great spot as Creighton is off an upset win at Connecticut as a double digit dog! The Bluejays had lost 3 straight road games heading into that one and the margin of the games was 23 points per defeat! Yes Seton Hall has been struggling to cover games lately but the Pirates are 8-3 at home this season and off B2B losses SU as a solid home favorite each of last two games in Newark, the Pirates are hungry. Look for the hosts to respond in a huge way here. Note that Creighton is only making 30.9% of threes this season and on the road they are allowing 37.5% threes! The Pirates stats, when at home, are nearly the identical reverse of that with hot shooting and strong defense. They pull away for the double digit win here in my opinion. 10* SETON HALL -6 | |||||||
02-03-22 | Wolves v. Pistons +7.5 | Top | 128-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 9* Top Play Detroit Pistons +7.5 vs Minnesota Timberwolves @ 7:10 ET - Yes, Detroit has an ugly SU record on the season. However, Minnesota has been a road-adverse team. Looking at the last 11 Timberwolves games, the home team is a perfect 11-0 ATS in those games! Wolves at home, they get the cash. Minny on the road, their opponent gets the cash. This pattern going for 3 weeks now and I look for it to continue here. Pistons off a home loss to New Orleans but were on a 5-1 ATS run heading into that one. Detroit also is on a 6-2 ATS run in home games. Pistons lost Cade Cunningham to injury in that game and he only played 21 points. He could come back for this game and is listed as questionable. Either way, I do like the home dog here catching big points. 9* DETROIT +7.5 | |||||||
02-03-22 | St. John's -4.5 v. Georgetown | Top | 90-77 | Win | 100 | 7 h 36 m | Show |
CBB Big East Beast Thursday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm -4.5 @ Georgetown Hoyas @ 6 ET - The Red Storm off B2B losses but faced a pair of ranked foes and they have not lost 3 straight games this entire season. Also, in their loss to Providence Tuesday, St John's actually had 16 more field goal attempts in the game but the Friars got to the line for 33 free throw attempts - 3 times as many as the 11 the Red Storm got! St John's is a little under-valued here off the unusual results the last two games and note that Georgetown has lost 9 straight games including a 19-point beatdown at St John's. Though the Hoyas are now at home for the rematch, they are simply not a very good basketball team and the Red Storm will be aggressive and bring extra hunger to this match-up as a result of B2B losses. Only one of Georgetown's defeats in the 9-game skid came by a margin of less than 7 points. Once again, look for the Hoyas to lose by 7 or more points as their losing streak reaches 10 games. 9* ST JOHN'S -4.5 | |||||||
02-02-22 | Florida v. Missouri +6 | Top | 66-65 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
CBB SEC Game of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play Missouri Tigers +6 vs Florida Gators @ 3 ET - The Tigers have been struggling overall but this is a different team when on their home floor. Though Missouri is likely without Javon Pickett here lets not forget the Gators are still without leading scorer and leading rebounder Colin Castleton. That said, the value is with the home underdog here. Florida is off big win versus Oklahoma State but had lost 5 of 8 games heading into that one. Also, the Gators have lost 3 of last 4 road games. Missouri is just 2-2 SU last 4 home games but the two losses were each by 3 or less points! Now a line that opened at -5 is already up to a -6 and this is just two much for Florida to be laying on the road when you consider all of the above. Look at the defensive stats for these two teams in this spot too. Gators allow 69 points and 47% shooting on the road. Tigers allow 63 points and 39% shooting when at home. Grab the home dog! 10* MISSOURI +6 | |||||||
02-01-22 | Warriors v. Spurs +3.5 | Top | 124-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
NBA Western Conf Game of the Month Tuesday 10* Top Play San Antonio Spurs +3.5 vs Golden State Warriors @ 8:40 ET - The Warriors are off 5 straight wins but are in the 2nd game of a B2B and Klay Thompson will sit. Conversely, the news is much better on the Spurs front as they were able to rest up yesterday plus get Dejounte Murray back tonight for this one. Also listed as probable are Poeltl and White. San Antonio as a home dog is the play here as they are 4-1 SU the last 5 times off a loss. The Spurs did win at Golden State earlier this season and it was no fluke. San Antonio played a strong game in Oakland and they can do it again here with a refreshed Murray ready to go and he is having a great season. The Warriors barely covered at Houston against a bad Rockets team and, keep in mind, Golden State was on a 1-5 ATS run in road games heading into that one. I don't think we'll need the points here but I will grab them for added insurance. 10* SAN ANTONIO +3.5 | |||||||
02-01-22 | Boston College +9.5 v. Virginia | Top | 55-67 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Tuesday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +9.5 @ Virginia Cavaliers @ 6 ET - The Cavs are a solid team known for stellar defense. However, their long-term struggle season after season tends to be with scoring and that is the situation now moreso than ever this season. That is a big part of the reason the Cavaliers are a rather mediocre 12-9 this season. Now, because they are at home and hosting an Eagles team that has had its share of struggles this season we are seeing this line way too high. Virginia has gone just 7-7 last 14 games and only 3 of the wins were by more than 5 points. You read that right...the Cavs have just 3 wins of more than 5 points in their last 14 games! That said, I love the Eagles plus the big points here and will challenge the Cavaliers to win this game by double digits. Boston College has some extra confidence heading into this win off a big win over Pittsburgh. Keep in mind, that is the same Panthers team that the Cavs beat by an average margin of only 3 points in their two meetings this season. The Eagles have played 20 games this season and only 5 of them resulted in a loss by a double digit margin. I see the Cavaliers winning this game but I look for it to be a tight low-scoring battle as the road team covers! 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +9.5 | |||||||
01-31-22 | Grizzlies v. 76ers -2.5 | Top | 119-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Monday 10* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -2.5 vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers did not just lose at Memphis last month, they got embarrassed by 35 points. Philly played that at game without Embiid and Curry but both those guys will be playing in the rematch in Philadelphia. On that ugly night in Memphis last month, the undermanned Sixers simply shot very poorly while the Grizzlies were on fire. That will not be the case in the rematch. I like the fact that Philly is off an ATS loss versus Sacramento, we had the Kings as a big dog that night and was a solid winner. Note that the Sixers have not had back to back ATS losses since that tough mid-December stretch that included the ugly loss at Memphis. So it has been about 7 weeks since the Sixers have had B2B ATS losses. Coming off the non-covering win versus the Kings, look for Philly to not only win this game but also cover as it is a much shorter number to cover. Yes Memphis is a very strong team but Philly is tough at home and especially when they are motivated. The 76ers will be ready to go here and their 2-point win versus Sacramento ended a streak that saw each of the Sixers last 17 wins come by a margin of 3 or more points. Look for this win to get the job done and get the hosts right back into the ATS win column. Lay the short number! 10* PHILADELPHIA -2.5 | |||||||
01-31-22 | Colgate -8.5 v. Lafayette | Top | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show |
NCAAB Patriot League Game of the Year 10* Top Play Monday Colgate Raiders -8.5 @ Lafayette Leopards @ 6 ET - I know this is a bit of an off the radar match-up but it caught my attention for two reasons. Colgate, whom I lost with Friday, was a team I was looking to come back with in their next game. Lafayette is a team from Easton PA whom I am familiar with from my family roots in Rickenbach PA which is just north of Reading PA and not far from Easton. The Leopards had rare success in recent seasons but this season they are back to being the bad Lafayette team they usually are. Lafayette lost league scoring champion Justin Jaworski coming into this season and that has hurt this team a lot. They are 5-13 on the season and the Leopards have lost 5 of 7 games and just can not score at nearly the same level that the Raiders can. Colgate had won 4 straight before their tough loss at Boston University and they will bounce back here. The last time the Raiders faced the Leopards they dominated and won the game by 25 points. I know this is a big line on the road but it is fully justified in a game in which the majority of my models are projecting a double digit road win. Lafayette's last loss was by only 4 points but, prior to this, their last 3 losses all were by 14 or more points. Look for this one to be in that range as well. 10* COLGATE -8.5 | |||||||
01-30-22 | Pittsburgh v. Boston College -3.5 | Top | 56-69 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show |
CBB Game of the Week Sunday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles -3.5 vs Pittsburgh Panthers @ 4 ET - The Eagles off back to back ugly losses but both were on the road and they had their chances against the Tar Heels at North Carolina but shot extremely poor in that game. Boston College is now back home and I expect the shots to be falling for them here as they enjoy their return home. The Eagles are catching the Panthers at an ideal time for a big win. Pittsburgh is off a big win versus Syracuse and note that the Panthers have only managed B2B wins twice this season and each time the 2nd game was against a foe much weaker than this BC team. Look for the Eagles to come up with a blowout win here. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE -3.5 | |||||||
01-29-22 | Kings +10.5 v. 76ers | Top | 101-103 | Win | 100 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Month NBA 10* Top Play Sacramento Kings +10.5 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:40 ET - The Kings are off B2B ugly losses but have been off for two days since that B2B situation. Also, there is a chance that BOTH Fox and Metu will be back for this game. Even if only one returns or neither returns, Sacramento has a great shot at a solid cover in this one in my opinion. Prior to the B2B ugly losses, the Kings last 7 losses featured only one by more than ten points! Here we are working with a line of 10.5 and a rested and angry Sacramento team is going to put up a helluva fight in this one. Philly is 4-2 SU last 6 games but only 2 of the wins by more than 10 points and the Sixers just beat a Lakers team without LeBron James. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings between the Kings and 76ers. Philadelphia is 0-3 ATS the last 3 times they were at home and coming off an ATS cover in their prior game. That is the situation here and a hungry and motivated and rested Kings team that should be healthier here too is going to be a handful for Philly to deal with. This one decided by single digits. 10* SACRAMENTO +10.5 | |||||||
01-29-22 | St. John's +13.5 v. Villanova | Top | 62-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Saturday 9* Top Play St John's Red Storm +13.5 @ Villanova Wildcats @ 4:30 ET - The Red Storm can hang tough in this game. Looking at their road games this season, St John's did get blown out once but they also lost by 2 at Indiana, lost by 2 at Pittsburgh, lost by 10 at a ranked Providence team, lost in OT at UConn, and are off a big road win at Seton Hall. As you can see the Red Storm have been solid away from home and are coming off a confidence-boosting win over the Pirates. That said, I feel this is too many points for Villanova to be laying here. The Wildcats are a strong ranked team but off a dominating win over DePaul that is resulting in an inflated line here. Nova has big games against two ranked teams, Marquette and UConn, coming up and the Cats may not be fully prepared her for a scrappy Red Storm team that is absolutely going to give them all they can handle in this one. Look for this game to be decided by a single digit margin. 9* ST JOHN'S +13.5 | |||||||
01-28-22 | Pennsylvania +4 v. Harvard | Top | 78-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 26 m | Show |
CBB Ivy League Game of the Month Friday 10* Top Play Pennsylvania Quakers +4 @ Harvard Crimson @ 5 ET - Dingle is off a huge game for the Quakers even though he shot very poorly from 3-point land. Getting him rolling again - 31 points in that game - is a huge plus for Penn and watch him now knock down his threes at a much higher rate in this one. The Quakers are playing better currently than what their full-season record indicates and that is why they are such a small dog here even though Harvard has the much better full-season record. Note that the Crimson have been without forward Chris Ledlum - top rebounder and 2nd leading scorer - each of last 3 games. Also, Harvard has been without another key rotation player, guard Idan Tretout, each of the last 3 games. The Quakers get it done on the road here and we probably will not even need the points but I will grab them for added insurance in this one. 10* PENNSYLVANIA +4 | |||||||
01-28-22 | Colgate -1 v. Boston University | Top | 72-76 | Loss | -106 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
CBB Daytime Dominator Friday 9* Top Play Colgate Raiders -1 @ Boston University Terriers @ 2 ET - Both teams entering this game on hot streaks but Boston University enters the game with the much better record on the season plus this game is on their home floor. Do not let the line fool you here. The game is priced this way for a reason and Colgate dominated the Terriers in their meetings last season plus enters this game on a 4-game winning streak with all 4 wins by MORE than a DOZEN points each! The Raiders get the best of this one even though the game is at Case Gym in Boston. 9* COLGATE -1 | |||||||
01-27-22 | Lakers +2.5 v. 76ers | Top | 87-105 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Thursday 10* Top Play Los Angeles Lakers +3 @ Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:30 ET - Right away this morning this line jumped out at me. This line opened nearly at a pick'em even though Philly is at home and has won 12 of 15 games and they are hosting a Lakers team that had lost 11 of last 18 games before the win at Brooklyn. Also, LA is only 9-12 in road games this season. Sure, Anthony Davis is back now for the Lakers but essentially a "pick" on the road against a 76ers team that has been hot and has the better record this season. Looks funny, right? Sure enough the betting masses have hammered the Sixers here and the line has gone as high as a +3. As long time followers know, I love being a contrarian and I am all over the small road dog here. This game was priced this way for a reason and I feel the Lakers have a chip on their shoulder and are out to prove some things now that they are getting healthy. Keep in mind, Sixers still dealing with some injury issues too. 10* LOS ANGELES LAKERS +3 | |||||||
01-27-22 | Wisconsin v. Nebraska +7.5 | Top | 73-65 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
CBB Early Dominator Thursday 10* Top Play Nebraska Cornhuskers +7.5 vs Wisconsin Badgers @ 5 ET - Yes, the Badgers are off a loss here but the last time they were off a defeat they barely squeaked by Nicholls, a Southland Conference team! Also, Wisconsin has a big game on deck this weekend hosting rival Minnesota. Yes, the Badgers have a strong record this season but lets talk about what they have done since opening the season with a pair of blowout wins. Wisconsin has since gone 13-3 but the average margin of the 13 wins is only 6 points! Simply put, the Badgers are not known for blowing teams out. Only 2 of their last 12 victories have been by a double digit margin! The Cornhuskers have an ugly 6-13 SU record on the season but this is a scrappy underdog when on their home floor. Nebraska lost versus Ohio State in OT, was down by just 5 to Illinois with under 2 minutes to go in game, and lost by just 7 to Indiana. All those games were at home and all of those games so the Huskers fall just short. I would not be surprised, given the situation here, to see the Cornhuskers get the shocker upset but, at the very least, a home dog cover is likely here. 10* NEBRASKA | |||||||
01-26-22 | Clippers v. Magic | Top | 111-102 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Wednesday 9* Top Play Orlando Magic Pick vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers are off a hard-fought win last night at Washington where they rallied for the win after being down by 30 points at the half! Look for this to have taken a lot out of LA and now they face a rested Orlando team. While the Clips are 2nd night of a back to back and playing 5th road game in 8 days, the Magic playing just 2nd game in 5 days and have been off the past two days. Also, Mo Bamba has been back in starting lineup and is expected to be there again for Orlando tonight. The Magic going to be too much for a tired Los Angeles team in this one. 9* ORLANDO Pick | |||||||
01-25-22 | Pelicans v. 76ers -8 | Top | 107-117 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Tuesday 9* Top Play Philadelphia 76ers -8 vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:05 ET - The Sixers are off a 6-point win at San Antonio but each of their last 7 wins heading into that game had been by a double digit margin. In fact, those 7 Philly wins came by an average margin of 15 ppg. Now catching New Orleans off a hard-fought win last night and in the 2nd night of a back to back and with Brandon Ingram hurting (if he even does play) this looks like another rout. 9* PHILADELPHIA -8 | |||||||
01-25-22 | Cincinnati v. Temple +4.5 | Top | 58-61 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show |
CBB PA Dominator Tuesday 9* Top Play Temple Owls +4.5 vs Cincinnati Bearcats @ 7 ET - I know the Owls have been off for nearly two weeks and they may be a bit sluggish/off in the first half of this game. But eventually Temple will put it together in this match-up and I love the Owls now getting 4.5 points after this line opened up closer to just a bucket on this one. The last 3 meetings between these teams have all been decided by 3 or less points. Temple is a tough team at home and Cincinnati has been a mediocre team on the road this season. Also, the Bearcats have some injury issues at forward with Newman and Lahkin. Even if those two guys play they are unlikely to be 100% and I look for the Owls to take advantage. Two of last three Cats road games were losses and the only win was by just 4 points. Temple is 4-1 SU and ATS last 5 games and I look for the Owls to get the home dog cover in this one. 9* TEMPLE +4.5 | |||||||
01-24-22 | Boston College +11 v. Wake Forest | Top | 57-87 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 3 m | Show |
CBB Early Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play Boston College Eagles +11 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons @ 6 ET - Wake Forest just demolished North Carolina 98-76 Saturday. Must of been pure and complete dominance, right? Hardly, you would be hard pressed to find another box score like this one! The Tar Heels had 81 shots from the field and the Demon Deacons had just 59 field goal attempts yet won by 20+ points! Highly unlikely and it was just one of those nights where UNC "couldn't throw it in the ocean" as they were just off with their shooting all night! Though WF has been hot this is the perfect letdown spot. I am not saying Boston College will get the upset but I am saying they should stay within single digits for sure and we are getting extra line value here after the Wake Forest result on Saturday. Note that the Eagles have won 2 of last 3 games and though this was preceded by a stretch of losses, note that Boston College has had only 2 losses by more than 11 points this entire season. Very comfortable with the big points here given the situation and the Eagles playing with a little more confidence after winning 2 of 3 games. 10* BOSTON COLLEGE +11 | |||||||
01-21-22 | Toledo +4.5 v. Ohio | Top | 87-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
CBB Earliest Dominator Friday 10* Top Play Toledo Rockets +4.5 @ Ohio University Bobcats @ 6 ET - This is a great match-up featuring two teams off to great starts this season. I feel the value lies with the revenge-seeking underdog on the road. Though Toledo had won the past two regular season meetings, they fell short in March in the MAC Tourney Semi-Finals. As a result, the Rockets ended up going to the NIT while the Bobcats got the one more win they needed in the MAC Championship and ended up going to the Big Dance. Ohio University certainly still has a fantastic program as evidenced by their strong start this season but Toledo is highly motivated here and has a fantastic team. The Rockets have only 4 losses this season and the two most recent ones were by a margin of only 3 points. Toledo is on a 5-game winning streak and keeps it going here! If you look at the stats so far this season, the Rockets are the better shooting team and also have the better statistics on the defensive side of the ball too. I am grabbing the points here in a game where an upset would certainly not be a surprise! Take the points for added insurance. 10* TOLEDO +4.5 | |||||||
01-20-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Mavs | Top | 109-101 | Win | 100 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Game of the Week Thursday 10* Top Play Phoenix Suns -2.5 @ Dallas Mavericks @ 7:30 ET - Huge scheduling edge for the Suns here. The Mavericks are in the 2nd game of a back to back while Phoenix has been off since Monday. Phoenix has beaten Dallas in 8 of last 9 meetings SU and we have a small number to cover here with this one in the -2.5 range. I know the Mavericks are hot but so too are the Suns and they are the better overall team. Phoenix has the better shooting stats on offense and defense and given the scheduling edge and match-up edges here, look for the Suns to continue their series dominance in meetings between these teams. By the way, Phoenix is also 8-1 last 9 road games and the Suns have won 6 straight away from home! 10* PHOENIX -2.5 | |||||||
01-19-22 | Nets +1.5 v. Wizards | Top | 119-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play Brooklyn Nets +1.5 @ Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Teams tend to step up big in the first game after a superstar goes down. With Durant getting hurt in Brooklyn's last game, the Nets will have guys upping their game for this one and lets not forget they have two guys on the floor (Harden and Irving) that are superstars that can carry this team too. I like the fact that Brooklyn is 4-0 SU last 4 times when off a loss. I like the fact that Wizards are off a big win over Philly and could be flat here. Yes, Washington has been stacking some wins recently but these were against a lot of weaker competition - until the upset of the Sixers. The upset of Philly had a lot do with the 76ers being in a bad situation and we actually used Washington right here in that game and got the win. Now we come right back and fade a Wizards team that was on an 0-6 ATS run before that win and cover versus Philadelphia. The Nets are hungry and they get the win here! 10* BROOKLYN +1.5 |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,160 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,039 |
Tom Macrina | $650 |
Ray Monohan | $618 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Jesse Schule | $418 |
Big Al McMordie | $350 |
Marc Lawrence | $300 |
Mike Lundin | $293 |
Joseph D'Amico | $268 |