Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-09-22 | Spurs v. Cavs OVER 216 | Top | 92-105 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 216 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Cavaliers could have Curtis Levert (acquired from Indiana) on the floor for this one tonight. Also, Darius Garland could be back after missing 4 straight games. Even if those guys don't play, although odds favor both coming back and at least one of them for sure, I like the over in this match-up. The Spurs have been so poor on the defensive end and they like to play an uptempo style and Cleveland, in an Indiana sandwich, could just "play along" here in a rather meaningless non-conference match-up. The Cavaliers just beat the Pacers and now have a game at Indiana on deck. So this is a classic flat spot for the Cavs in terms of defensive intensity. Also, the over is on a perfect 5-0 run in meetings between these teams. The Spurs have trended under on the road and the Cavaliers have trended under at home this season but that is what has resulted in downward line movement here. The result is exceptional value on the over in this match-up. 10* OVER 216 in Cleveland | |||||||
02-07-22 | Raptors v. Hornets OVER 224 | Top | 116-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Monday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Charlotte Hornets vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:10 ET - The Hornets have been trending under but this is the right match-up to get them going again. On the season, Charlotte has been a high-scoring team. Now, after an ugly low-scoring home loss to the Heat, the Hornets will bounce back against a team that has been playing plenty of run and gun basketball of late. The Raptors are on a run of 3 straight overs and overs in 6 of last 8 games overall. Speaking of trending to overs, when Toronto and Charlotte have squared off the over is 5-2 in last 7 games. The average points scored in the first half of the last 4 meetings is 130! That is a pace for 260 in each game. Though they did not get to that lofty total, they did get to overs in all but 1 of those 4 games and the fact is these teams are rested (each was off yesterday) and I expect a fast-paced game all the way through which will fly over the very manageable total posted on this game. 10* OVER 224 in Charlotte | |||||||
02-06-22 | Pacers v. Cavs OVER 216.5 | Top | 85-98 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
NBA Total Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 216.5 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers @ 6 ET - The Cavaliers could get Darius Garland back today. The Pacers could get both Malcolm Brogdon and Domantas Sabonis back today. Either way I like the over. Indiana has been given a lot of time to younger players recently and this has strengthened their bench when guys like Brogdon and Sabonis are back. The fast-paced style that the Pacers have been playing with has led to a perfect 7-0 run to the over. I know Cleveland likes to play slower and the Cavaliers have been trending under. However, the last 4 meetings between these teams have averaged 217 points per game and the way the Pacers have been playing of late this game should have a much stronger pace than even those 4 match-ups did. That said, this one gets well into the 220s. Indiana, not including OT, allowing 121 points last 11 games! The Pacers, not including OT, scoring an average of 114 points per game last 11 games! 10* OVER 216.5 in Cleveland | |||||||
02-05-22 | Suns v. Wizards OVER 219.5 | Top | 95-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 47 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 219.5 in Washington Wizards vs Phoenix Suns @ 7:10 ET - This total opened up at 223 and has now fallen to as low as 219.5 this morning. The Wizards are without Bradley Beal and he is a big scorer. However, Washington is still battling hard and just scored 106 points in a win at Philly Wednesday in a game that easily could have been higher-scoring as the Wizards had 59 points at the half. Washington is known for scoring better when at home and has only had one "dud" in their last dozen home games. In the other 11 games at home during this hot stretch of scoring, the Wizards have averaged 115 points per game! The Suns come into this one having averaged 112.4 points per game on the road this season. The over is 5-0 in last 5 meetings between these teams. With Phoenix off a loss at Atlanta, the Suns will come out fired up for a big road win and they are going to push the tempo here and also keep their foot on the gas throughout this game. Phoenix responds off a loss, Wizards fight hard at home (only once in last dozen home games have they had a loss by more than a 5-point margin) and the result is a high-scoring shootout here. 10* OVER 219.5 in Washington | |||||||
02-04-22 | Bulls v. Pacers OVER 231 | Top | 122-115 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 231 in Indiana Pacers vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - A lot of injury/covid issues/concerns in this one. It will not matter. No matter who has been on the floor lately, both these teams have been trending over. Yes, the Bulls game last night went to OT but it was over the total by the end of regulation. Also, Chicago is on a perfect 5-0 run to the over in the 2nd game of a B2B. Indiana enters this game on an overall 6-0 run to the over and the Bulls have gone over the total in 4 straight games overall. The Pacers have been forced to play a bunch of younger guys recently and give more minutes than usual to role players as well. The result has been a lack of defensive efficiency but fantastic offensive efficiency. The Pacers, not including OT, have allowed an average of 122 last 7 games and scored an average of 114 last 6 games! The Bulls, not including OT points, have allowed 110 points or more in 6 of last 7 games and have scored 111 points or more in 6 straight games. Chicago averaging 119 per game in those 6 games and tonight's game could go either way in terms of the side in my opinion and that means a 120-119 type game given the above numbers. Look for this one to sneak into the 240s and the line is near the 230 mark. 10* OVER 231 in Indiana | |||||||
02-03-22 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 224 | Top | 120-127 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 224 in Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:40 ET - Only 3 of Bulls last 13 games have resulted in an under. Chicago allowing 115 points per game last 6 games but also scoring an average of 120 points per game last 5 games. Toronto has been trending toward lower-scoring numbers than that. However, the Raptors have allowed an average of 111 points per game last 6 games and have scored an average of 114 points per game last 5 games. Zach LaVine is probable for the Bulls here and that is good news in terms of Chicago's point production. The Bulls are an underdog here but playing extremely well and will help push the pace in this one as we continue to see the high-scoring trending in Chicago's games. 10* OVER 224 in Toronto | |||||||
02-02-22 | Wizards v. 76ers OVER 213 | Top | 106-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Eastern Conf Total of the Month Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - This total has dropped from the 218 range to the 213 range and this is offering great line value on the over. I understand the Wizards will again be without Bradley Beal and he is a big-time scorer. However, the odds makers knew this when they posted the total. The line coming down is because Washington has scored so poorly recently but the odds makers knew that as well. The keys to this game are that Joel Embiid is back for this one after resting against Memphis and I look for he and the Sixers to have a huge game on the offensive end. Philly lost at Washington last month and will be out for revenge here. Though that game stayed under the total it did reach the 215 mark and note that the under ended a streak of 4 straight overs in match-ups between these teams. The 76ers will take advantage of a team allowing 114.5 points per game last 6 games. This line is right around a 10. If Philly gets at least 115 - and I feel strongly they will do even better than that - it puts this game in the 115-105 range which is 220 points. This game gets well into the 220s the way I see it and I am taking advantage of the drop on this total. 10* OVER 213 in Philadelphia | |||||||
01-30-22 | Blazers v. Bulls OVER 229.5 | Top | 116-130 | Win | 100 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
NBA Daytime Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 229.5 in Chicago Bulls vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 3:30 ET - Yes the total looks big but don't let the number scare you. It is fully justified in this one as the Trail Blazers on a 6-2 run to the over in road games and the Bulls on a 5-1 run to the over in home games. Portland averaging 113.4 points last 5 games but allowing 117 points last 3 games. The Bulls have averaged 117.6 points in those 5 overs at home but also allowed 121 points per game last 4 home games. This is a non-conference battle that will feature a lack of defense and plenty of run and gun. The last time these teams met here the game totaled 245 points. More of the same here! 10* OVER 229.5 in Chicago | |||||||
01-28-22 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 212.5 | Top | 103-119 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - Quick...who are the two worst teams in the NBA and why are they are so bad? Here they are folks! The teams with the worst records in the NBA are the Magic and the Pistons and each allowing 110+ points per game on average. I just do not expect to see a whole lot of defense in this one. Detroit has allowed 118 points per game last 6 games! Orlando has allowed 108 points or more in 6 of last 8 games. In those 6 games the Magic allowed an average of 113 points per game. Orlando has gotten healthier and gotten most of their guys back now and this has helped lead the way to the Magic averaging 110.5 points per game their last 4 games. After struggling with the 3-ball against the Clippers in a loss Wednesday, look for things to open up much more on that end of the floor against Detroit and the open shots will be falling for the Magic at home but they also can not stop the Pistons here! The result? Plenty of points! 10* OVER 212.5 in Orlando | |||||||
01-26-22 | Nuggets v. Nets OVER 221.5 | Top | 124-118 | Win | 100 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn Nets vs Denver Nuggets @ 8:10 ET - If you had the under last night in the Nuggets game I want to express my sincerest condolences. Trust me, I have had plenty of bad beats like that throughout my two decades in the business. Denver's game was on pace for 243 points entering the 4th quarter. Then, in the 4th quarter, a ridiculous total of 35 points were scored and the game stayed under the total. This is helping to give us line value here. Ironically, Brooklyn had a similar result last night versus the Lakers. Entering 4th quarter the game was on pace for 227 points but then the teams combined for only a ridiculous 32 points in the 4th quarter. All of this is combining to give us great line value here. What is also helping in terms of value is this total has dropped from the upper 220s to down near 220 and I will not pass up on this phenomenal line value. I feel quite certain of the kinda style we will see in this non-conference battle tonight with some tired legs in a back to back deciding to skip out on playing much defense from time to time. The over is 2-0 in last 2 meetings and we see another one here. 10* OVER 221.5 in Brooklyn | |||||||
01-25-22 | Clippers v. Wizards UNDER 220 | Top | 116-115 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Total Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play UNDER 220 in Washington Wizards vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - We should see some good defensive intensity here. Both teams are off a loss and the Wizards loss was one in which they got blasted by 29 points. That is the type of defeat off a which a team usually responds with a much better effort. Washington had allowed an average of only 109 point last 7 games before that. The Wizards have scored an average of only 96 points last two games. The Clippers have scored only 102 points in each of their last two games. Los Angeles did have a high-scoring OT loss at Denver in the game that preceded those two but note that their 3 preceding road games before the Nuggets loss saw the Clippers average only 92 points per game! Considering the above as well as the line move from 215 to 220 we have excellent line value with the under in this one in my opinion. 10* UNDER 220 in Washington | |||||||
01-24-22 | Bulls v. Thunder OVER 215.5 | Top | 111-110 | Win | 100 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Crusher Monday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - The Thunder have scored 94 ppg L3 games and the Bulls have scored 92.5 ppg L2 games. This total is a 215.5 and you would think the odds makers do not know what they are doing? Trust me...they do! In typical contrarian fashion what looks like a dead under has me going STRONG on the over in this one! This non-conference match-up will feature a lack of defense and a good pace and plenty of scoring. 10* OVER 215.5 in Oklahoma City | |||||||
01-24-22 | Knicks v. Cavs OVER 202 | Top | 93-95 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Monday 9* Top Play OVER 202 in Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks @ 7:10 ET - This total has plummeted from 207.5 to a 202 and this has gone too far in my opinion. Cavs off low-scoring win versus OKC but have gone 3-1 to the over before that with those 4 games averaging 218.5 ppg. NY has scored 108 points or more in 5 of 7 games. The Knicks have allowed 102 points or more in 4 of last 5 games. 9* OVER 202 in Cleveland | |||||||
01-23-22 | Clippers v. Knicks OVER 205 | Top | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 4 h 30 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 205 in New York Knicks vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 1:10 ET - I know this is a contrarian play because these are two of the lower scoring teams in the league. However, just look at how low this total has gotten. It is in the 205 range as of about 3 hours before tip-off and I feel that will prove to be too low. The Clippers are off a tight 102-101 win over the Sixers in Philly Friday. That was the 5th straight time that Los Angeles has allowed more than 100 points and they have allowed, not including OT, an average of 113 during this stretch. The Clippers, not including OT, have scored an average of 118 points last 3 games. So the point is that they can, and have been recently, putting up some bigger points. As for the Knicks, they have scored better in a number of recent games as New York had scored 108 or more points in 4 of last 5 games before poor effort in loss to New Orleans Thursday. With extra rest too, and off an ugly loss, I expect the Knicks to bounce back big here on their home floor. New York has allowed 105 points per game in their last 4 games. That is their season average for points allowed too and they are a 4 point favorite here so that would make the final 109-105 if odds makers are correct on the spread and that puts this total in the 214 range. You can see why I feel we have some value here. 10* OVER 205 in New York | |||||||
01-22-22 | Kings v. Bucks OVER 230.5 | Top | 127-133 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Dominator Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:10 ET - Love grabbing the over on a huge number like this in Milwaukee after last night's Bucks game with the Bulls totaled just 184 points! Milwaukee AND Chicago each had their worst 3-point shooting performances of the SEASON in last night's game. Now, after that hard-fought defensive battle in a divisional battle between two of the top teams, the Bucks are hosting a non-conference foe tonight. I like to look at overs in non-conference games when the situation is right and that is certainly the case here. Milwaukee has beaten Sacramento 10 straight times but you know the Kings are going to push the tempo here and try to catch the Bucks a little tired in the 2nd game of a B2B. The over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams! Sacramento on a 3-1 run to the over and these 4 games have seen the Kings average 123.5 ppg but allow 120.3 ppg. The Bucks last two games, before the grinder versus the Bulls, averaged 237.5 total points. Look for this one to get into that range as well. 10* OVER 230.5 in Milwaukee | |||||||
01-21-22 | Clippers v. 76ers OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-101 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 57 m | Show |
NBA Philly Special Friday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 7:10 ET - The Clippers have had back to back high-scoring games and even though the last one went into OT, the teams did combine for 228 in regulation. Prior to that game, Los Angeles had a game versus Indiana total 272 points. I like overs in non-conference match-ups when the situation is right and the 76ers have been scoring well too as they have scored 109 points or more in 10 of last 12 games. In fact, in those 10 games, Philly has averaged 116.3 points per game. Those were all wins and they are supposed to win this game too as you can tell by the line sitting in the -8.5 range. So if we estimate an "average" win for the Sixers and this game landing close to the number you are talking about a 116 to 108 type game which is double digits above the posted number on this total! I'll take it as I do not expect a lot of defensive intensity in a non-conference match-up like this. 10* OVER 212.5 in Philadelphia | |||||||
01-17-22 | Bucks v. Hawks OVER 231.5 | Top | 114-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Contrarian Dominator Monday 10* Top Play OVER 231.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 6 ET - The Bucks have been trending under but this total is moving upward. What does that tell you? Exactly! Some sharp money on the over in this one and that includes ours! The Hawks on a 7-3 run to the over and the Bucks had averaged 128 ppg last 3 road games before their last two were duds at Charlotte. Look for Milwaukee to get back on track on the road offensively as they take on an Atlanta team that is happy to push the tempo as well. 10* OVER 231.5 in Atlanta | |||||||
01-15-22 | Raptors v. Bucks OVER 220 | Top | 103-96 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Saturday 10* Top Play OVER 221 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors @ 6:35 ET - I lost with the over in Milwaukee Thursday. The Bucks had 77 points at the half but then proceeded to score only 41 more the rest of the way after nearly reaching the 41 point mark in each of the first two quarters. The problem in that game was the Warriors could not get anything going and the game had a massive margin and so Milwaukee was able to empty the bench and slow the game down and cruise to the victory. That scenario is not being repeated here! That said, look for Toronto to be ultra competitive here off B2B losses. The Raptors have had 3 straight unders but this was preceded by 10 straight overs. The Bucks have averaged 119 points per game last 6 home games and they are about a 7 point favorite here. 119 to 112 sounds about right in this one and that is 10 points clear of the posted total on this game. I'll take it! 10* OVER 221 in Milwaukee | |||||||
01-13-22 | Warriors v. Bucks OVER 223.5 | Top | 99-118 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
NBA Non-Conf Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The last two meetings between these teams each totaled 237 points and averaged 240 points. I know there are some injury issues at play here but I like the fact the Bucks are off a game in which they did not reach the century mark in points. Prior to back to back low-scoring losses at Charlotte, Milwaukee had won 7 of 10 games and scored an average of 118.8 points per game. The Warriors have been involved with some surprisingly low-scoring results of late but this is still a team averaging 110 points per game on the season. Golden State's loss at Memphis totaled 224 Tuesday and is a sign that the point totals in Warriors games are going to start going back up and I look for this one to soar into the 230s just like the last two meetings between these non-conference foes. 10* OVER 223.5 in Milwaukee | |||||||
01-11-22 | Thunder v. Wizards OVER 214.5 | Top | 118-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 40 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 214.5 in Washington Wizards vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 7:10 ET - This is another one where waiting has paid off as this total has ticked downward a little bit this morning. I know that Oklahoma City has been trending under and that has resulted in some movement here with this total. However, Washington is at home for this one and will dictate the flow of this game and the over is 4-1 the last 5 times Wizards were off a win. The only under in those 5 games was a game that totaled 225 points! Also, Washington is off an under and they have not had back to back unders since November! Lot of things pointing to an over here. I'll take it! 10* OVER 214.5 in Washington | |||||||
01-06-22 | Celtics v. Knicks OVER 207 | Top | 105-108 | Win | 100 | 8 h 0 m | Show |
NBA Atlantic Div Total of the Month Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in New York Knicks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - I lost with the over in Boston yesterday as a high-scoring 1st half ended up fading into a low-scoring 2nd half. We'll get payback today. This total has dropped from the 211 range to the 207 range and, keep in mind, the over is 3-0 the last 3 times the Celtics have played the 2nd game of a back to back. The Knicks are known for lower scoring games generally speaking but they have averaged 107 points last 4 home games and Boston is averaging 113.4 points per game last 7 road games. 10* OVER 207 in New York | |||||||
01-05-22 | Spurs v. Celtics OVER 222 | Top | 99-97 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 222 in Boston Celtics vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:40 ET - The Celtics Jayson Tatum and the Spurs Dejounte Murray both expected to play in this one tonight. Boston has already been getting healthier and it has translated to higher-scoring action on the floor. The Celtics last two games both flew over the total. San Antonio also enters this one off B2B overs and on an overall run of 10-4 to the over last 14 games. Spurs in a back to back and unlikely to be at their best defensively in this match-up plus non-conference match-ups have a tendency to have less defensive intensity. 10* OVER 222 in Boston | |||||||
01-04-22 | Spurs v. Raptors OVER 222.5 | Top | 104-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 222.5 in Toronto Raptors vs San Antonio Spurs @ 7:10 ET - The Spurs most recent game only went over the total because of overtime. However, high-scoring games have been the norm for San Antonio for quite some time now as they are on a run of 9-4 to the over. That is strong enough for sure but how about the Raptors torrid streak of overs? They are on an incredible run of 7 straight overs! The Spurs enter this game off B2B off days and fired up to respond after the OT loss at Detroit while the Raptors also enter this game rested as they were off yesterday. Fresh legs and trending toward high-scoring action means I will not pass up on this one. 10* OVER 222.5 in Toronto | |||||||
01-03-22 | Rockets v. 76ers OVER 217 | Top | 113-133 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
NBA Situational Slaughter Monday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Houston Rockets @ 7:10 ET - Philly could have some defensive letdown after big win over Brooklyn. As for Houston, they hardly ever pay attention to defense no matter the situation. The over is on a 17-4 run in Rockets games. The over is 3-1 in last 4 meetings between these teams and both match-ups last season flew over the total. Non-conference match-ups generally not known for much defensive intensity. Also, the line move from low 220s down to mid 210s is offering solid line value here! 10* OVER 217 in Philadelphia | |||||||
12-20-21 | Thunder v. Grizzlies OVER 212.5 | Top | 102-99 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
NBA Annihilation Monday 10* Top Play OVER 212.5 in Memphis Grizzlies vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 8:10 ET - The over is 5-1 in Oklahoma City's last 6 road games. Memphis is off an under yesterday but the over was on an 8-2 run in Grizzlies home games prior to that low-scoring win over the Trail Blazers yesterday. Also, the over is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these teams. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 212.5 in Memphis | |||||||
12-16-21 | Pistons v. Pacers OVER 209.5 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
NBA Central Division Total of the Year Thursday NBA 10* Top Play OVER 209.5 in Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Pistons have lost 12 straight games and allowed at least 100 points in all dozen of those games and an average of 111.6 points! The Pacers are off a game in which they were on pace to score 116 points heading into the 4th quarter but then scored just 12 points in the 4th quarter of that game and it stayed just under the total despite Indiana allowing 114 points to the Bucks in that game. That loss at Milwaukee was the 9th time the Pacers have allowed at least 100 points in last 11 games. In those 9 games Indiana has allowed an average of 111 points per game. Given all these numbers you can see why I am forecasting a high-scoring game here. Yes, the Pistons are without Jerami Grant but their first game without him totaled 220 and flew over the total. The over is 7-2 in Pacers last 9 home games and 4-1 in Pistons last 5 games overall. 10* OVER 209.5 in Indiana | |||||||
12-14-21 | Warriors v. Knicks OVER 211.5 | Top | 105-96 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 40 m | Show |
NBA TNT Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 211.5 in New York Knicks vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:35 ET - The Warriors were on pace for an over and then the 4th quarter had just 38 points for the two teams combined! After that nonsensical finish, even if Steph Curry does not play in tonight's game, I feel we are going to see this one get over the rather low posted total here. We get a low total here because the Knicks are involved but New York off back to back low-scoring games but this followed 5 straight overs. Look for the over trending to resume here as the over is 2-1 in the Warriors last 3 second game of B2B situations and, by the way, the one that stayed under totaled 219 which would be an over given today's posted number. Look for this to soar over the total. 10* OVER 211.5 in New York | |||||||
12-13-21 | Warriors v. Pacers OVER 213 | Top | 102-100 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
NBA TV Early - 10* Top Play OVER 213 in Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - The last 3 times the Warriors were held to 103 points or less they enjoyed an explosion on offense in their next game. Golden State averaged 116.3 points per game in those 3 games and here they enter off an ugly 102 to 93 loss at Philly as Steph Curry, among others, shot unusually poor. The Warriors will bounce back here and I like the fact that Indiana is off a low-scoring win. That 106-93 win stayed well under the total but Pacers were on a 7-1 run to the over heading into that one. Their over trending resumes in a big way here. Curry is expected to play here and needs 7 more threes to break Ray Allen's regular season record for threes made. That only helps our cause here in another non-conference battle and coming off a rare poor shooting effort. Expect plenty of points in this one with a lot of threes! 10* OVER 213 in Indiana | |||||||
12-08-21 | 76ers v. Hornets OVER 215.5 | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Week - 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - The over is 6-0 in Charlotte's last 6 games. Though 2 of the 6, including the one hosting Philly Monday, went to overtime, both of those games were over the total by the end of regulation already. Although the Hornets are dealing with a covid outbreak that was already an issue heading into Monday's game and yet Charlotte did just fine in the scoring department against the 76ers. In fact, the Hornets have now averaged 127 points per game in regulation time last 6 games! The Sixers have trended more toward unders of late but that had a lot to do with the teams they were playing. Matched up with Charlotte this is likely to be another high-scoring shootout. The Hornets have not looked good at all on defense and have allowed 126 points last 6 games but their offense continues to roll. 10* OVER 215.5 in Charlotte | |||||||
11-30-21 | Grizzlies v. Raptors OVER 218 | Top | 98-91 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
NBA Total of the Month - 10* Top Play OVER 218 in Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 7:40 ET - The over is 7-0 in Grizzlies last 7 games. The over is 7-2 in Raptors last 9 games. I know long-term the games between these teams at Toronto have trended under but the over is 2-1 in 3 most recent meetings between these clubs and the way they are going right now I expect plenty of scoring. Memphis has allowed 117 points per game in road games this season. Toronto allowing 108 per game at home this season and overall has had held only one opponent under 109 points in last 9 games! In the other 8 games, the Raptors allowed average of 116 points per game! You can see why I am projecting this game to get well into the 220s if not 230s as neither one of these teams has been showing a ton of commitment on the defensive end and plus this is a non-conference match-up and those generally tend to have less intensity defensively. Both teams have games on deck that are in-conference games that will garner more intensity defensively. As a result, look for tonight to be a free-flowing game with plenty of points. Yes, Ja Morant is now out for the Grizzlies but they scored 128 in first game without him and it was not a fluke. They only hit 13 of 39 threes but it was simply a fast-paced game and I look for another one here. 10* OVER 218 in Toronto | |||||||
11-29-21 | Magic v. 76ers OVER 208.5 | Top | 96-101 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 48 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Punisher - 10* Top Play OVER 208.5 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Orlando Magic @ 7:10 ET - We are getting line value here with a low total because the Magic have such bad scoring numbers as Orlando has been a depleted team all season long. However, this has led to value here because the way I see this one playing out is the Sixers rolling to a blowout win but I just don't trust laying 15 points really in any situation. But the key is Philadelphia is not going to take the foot off their gas at least in the first 3 quarters of this game. This team is getting healthier but they are angry off B2B losses including one in double-OT against the Timberwolves on Saturday. Philly will take advantage of facing an Orlando team that has allowed 115 points per game last 6 games. The 76ers have a road trip on deck so this game carries extra importance for them. They will not be stopped in this game but I would not be surprised if they let the Magic creep back into the range of the spread late in this game. That is another reason to like the over here as a lot as Philadelphia should score a ton and then we see a loosely played game in the latter stages with plenty of easy buckets for both teams during "mop-up" time. 10* OVER 208.5 in Philadelphia | |||||||
11-22-21 | Rockets v. Celtics OVER 212.5 | Top | 90-108 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show |
NBA Earliest Cash - 10* OVER 212.5 in Boston - Celtics getting back Jaylen Brown and Robert Williams and Boston has been heating up even without Brown so I am expecting plenty of points with his return tonight. As for Rockets, they showed a lot of fight in their loss at New York Saturday and I expect this Houston team to keep battling as they look to end their long losing streak. To be competitive in this game the Rockets will have to score plenty of points and I am fully expecting that as they hang around in this one. That will help send this one way over the total in my opinion. Celtics averaging 112 points in regulation time of last 6 home games. Boston has allowed 107 points in regulation time of last 3 home games. 10* OVER 212.5 in Boston | |||||||
11-17-21 | Wizards v. Hornets OVER 218.5 | Top | 87-97 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #559 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 218.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Washington Wizards @ 7:10 ET - Wizards games have stayed under the total in 6 straight and Hornets games have stayed under the total in 3 straight and each of the last 3 meetings between these teams has resulted in an under. In typical contrarian fashion, given those stats, I will take the over here! Of course it is not blindly though. The fact is that Charlotte is comfortable playing fast and they are going to force the pace of this game to be the way they want it at home. They had a low-scoring 4th quarter versus Golden State Sunday that looked like a sure over. Following that ridiculous result, we get some payback here as I come right back with a Hornets over knowing that Washington averaging 108.4 points per game game this season and Hornets averaging 116.2 points in home games this season. 10* OVER 218.5 in Charlotte | |||||||
11-15-21 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 213.5 | Top | 111-129 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
Early Punisher - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #537 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 213.5 in Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic @ 7:40 ET - Hawks head coach had been wanting his team to up the tempo and they finally did it yesterday and it led to a 120-100 win versus Milwaukee. I love the fact that Atlanta scored 120 but the game still stayed under the total. That gives us value here as we have a lower total to work with courtesy of the Hawks facing a bad Orlando team. Couple keys here as to why this will go over even though the Magic such a bad team right now and still without some players. The Hawks defensive intensity likely to drop off after being up for the big game versus the NBA champs last night. Also, Atlanta is without Hunter (wrist surgery) and he is one of their best defenders. Additionally, the Magic have scored an average of 109 points last 3 road games but are a double digit dog here with good reason. In other words, look for this one to crush the rather low total as the Trae Young and the Hawks run and gun again in this one. 10* OVER 213.5 in Atlanta | |||||||
11-14-21 | Warriors v. Hornets OVER 227 | Top | 102-106 | Loss | -101 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #519 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 227 in Charlotte Hornets vs Golden State Warriors @ 7:10 ET - Warriors have averaged 123 points last 5 games. Hornets have averaged 118 points in home games this season. Both teams hitting 37% of their threes this season. Charlotte off B2B unders but over was 9-3 on the season before that two game stretch. Golden State off an under but this followed 3 straight overs. Non-conference match-up, both teams off wins, and this the type of situation I like to look for softer defense and a run and gun type affair. 10* OVER 227 in Charlotte | |||||||
11-12-21 | Knicks v. Hornets OVER 223.5 | Top | 96-104 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
NBA Early Dominator - 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Charlotte - The Hornets like to play fast and this is particularly true at home where they are averaging 100 shots per game from the field! Though Charlotte is off an under this was preceded by a run of 9-3 to the over! Also, the Knicks are off an under at home and I know they have also generally trended under the total of late but this is a New York team that is 5-1 SU on the road this season and has averaged scoring 113 points per game in their 5 road victories. Couple that with the fact the Hornets are averaging 122 points per game at home this season and you can see why I am expecting a fast-paced shootout in this one! 10* OVER 223.5 in Charlotte | |||||||
11-10-21 | Bucks v. Knicks OVER 215.5 | Top | 112-100 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Eastern Conf Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #529 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER 215.5 in New York Knicks vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:40 ET - The Bucks off a 118-109 win at Philly that went over the total last night. Now in the 2nd game of a B2B we could see a little slacking in intensity level in the defensive end as a result. The Knicks have been playing well and scoring with much more consistency this season. The over is 4-1 in New York's home games this season. The Bucks have scored 117 points or more in 4 of their last 5 road games. Milwaukee's last visit here totaled 240 points! We may not see that many tonight but all signs pointing to this one getting into the 220s based on the situation. The Knicks off a low-scoring divisional win over the Sixers Monday so the set up here is perfect. 10* OVER 215.5 in New York | |||||||
11-09-21 | Bucks v. 76ers OVER 220 | Top | 118-109 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
TNT Annihilation - Rickenbach NBA Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER 218 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Milwaukee Bucks @ 7:35 ET - The Bucks without Middleton. The 76ers without Embiid and Harris. I know both these teams have been trending under of late but this one is going to play out much differently in my opinion. The 76ers are in a back to back spot and scored 109 the only other time this season they were in the 2nd game of a back to back. Also, the Sixers are off a disappointing home loss to the Knicks last night and have averaged 116 points per game this season when off an ATS loss. The Bucks are off a disappointing road loss at Washington but had scored an average of 119 points per game their 3 road games prior to the loss to the Wizards. Milwaukee is a big road favorite for a reason here and you can see, based on the above, why I am expecting this one to go over the total as both teams bounce back from low-scoring efforts. 10* OVER 218 in Philadelphia | |||||||
11-07-21 | Cavs v. Knicks OVER 209 | Top | 126-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 207 in New York Knicks vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 6 ET - We had a horrible bad beat here with the Knicks over on Friday but it was not New York's fault. The game had 117 points at half but then Milwaukee scored like hell in the 2nd half even though they were at home and that cost us big. We'll get some payback here because Knicks had huge 2nd half and I look for them to carry it right into this game. New York scored 113 points and is averaging 113 points per game on the season. Cleveland has won 3 straight games and averaged 107 points per game during this win streak. I know the Cavs have some injury and covid concerns but they have been playing with those in this streak and this game should be a shootout. 10* OVER 207 in New York | |||||||
11-05-21 | Knicks v. Bucks OVER 217 | Top | 113-98 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 4 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Friday 10* Top Play OVER 217 in Milwaukee Bucks vs New York Knicks @ 7:35 ET - Bucks have been struggling to score in last two home games but I look for a breakout game on offense here as they make up for it in a big way. Milwaukee just scored 117 on road and carry that momentum into a much needed strong performance at home. I am aware of the injury situation but they should get Jrue Holiday back for this one as well. Knicks off low scoring loss at Pacers but were averaging 115 points per game before that and should bounce back here with plenty of offense. Over had been 5-2 in Knicks games and that trending resumes here. 10* OVER 217 in Milwaukee | |||||||
11-04-21 | 76ers v. Pistons OVER 206.5 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
PA Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 206.5 in Detroit Pistons vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:10 ET - Sixers in a back to back so could be a little flat defensively here after holding the Bulls under 100 last night. Also, Embiid may not play since it is a back to back. That means the Philly defensive middle could be impacted. I know Pistons not a good team but they allow a ton of points. Detroit has allowed 114 points per game last 5 games. So you can see if Philly wins by close to the line of -6 that would put this game at about 114-108 if Pistons continue to allow the average points they have been. The over is 6-1 L7 meetings including 4-0 L4 at Little Caesars Arena. More of the same here. 10* OVER 206.5 in Detroit | |||||||
10-31-21 | Jazz v. Bucks OVER 224.5 | Top | 107-95 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 58 m | Show |
NBA TV Blowout - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #527 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 224.5 in Milwaukee Bucks vs Utah Jazz @ 7:10 ET - I am aware that a few guys are out right now for the Bucks but I love the over in this match-up Sunday. Both teams are off low-scoring upset losses yesterday in which they were held under 100 points. Look for the focus for each team to be on the offensive end in this one after those dismal shooting performances. Note that last season's two meetings between these teams each flew over the total and the over is on a 16-7 run in last 23 meetings between these clubs in Milwaukee. The Bucks had allowed 117.5 points per game last 4 games prior to allowing just 102 to what is not a very good team, Spurs, yesterday. The Jazz are going to have a huge scoring effort here but note also that Utah has some impressive defensive numbers this season but now faces its toughest test yet this season. A road game in a back to back and facing the defending NBA champs. Look for a rather loosely played, wide-open non-conference match-up here and that means a lot of open looks and uncontested shots and easy buckets. I expect a very good pace to this game just like the two meetings last season and those each totaled 244 or more. 10* OVER 224.5 in Milwaukee | |||||||
10-29-21 | Magic v. Raptors OVER 205 | Top | 109-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #561 Friday 10* Top Play OVER 205 in Toronto Raptors vs Orlando Magic vs 7:10 ET - The Magic, despite being very short-handed, continue to go over the total in their games. Part of the reason for this is that Orlando's defense has been very poor early this season. The Magic are allowing 115 points per game and are allowing high percentages from the field including from 3-point land. That said, if they give up 115 here but lose the game by 8 points as the posted spread is suggesting, that would put this total in the 222 range but we are working with an O/U that is much lower than that. I will take it because I believe the Raptors may not have their best defensive intensity for this game either. Toronto is off a home win versus the Pacers and they have a game on deck at Indiana tomorrow. The Raptors have allowed 105 points last 3 games. The Magic have scored 110 points or more in 2 of last 3 games. I know this game could be a bit ugly but still I feel this total is just too low given the situation. Orlando also is in the front end of a back to back as well and the over is 3-0 in last 3 meetings between these teams. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER 205 in Toronto | |||||||
10-28-21 | Pistons v. 76ers OVER 212 | Top | 102-110 | Push | 0 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
NBA TV Blowout - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #549 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER 212 in Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - This total has dropped a lot because Jerami Grant is questionable for the Pistons and Joel Embiid is questionable for the 76ers. Keep in mind, when Grant did not play the last game, Kelly Olynyk moved into the starting five. Olynyk had a huge game and it flew over the total. Speaking of overs, the over is a perfect 6-0 in last 6 games between these teams. The Sixers have a big game with Atlanta on deck. Philly could easily look right past a Pistons team that is winless on the season. Additionally, if Embiid does not play that leave a gaping hole in the Sixers interior defense. Everyone always looks at points scored when guys are out but Embiid also matters on defense. That said, even if he does play he has not been moving that well. I look for this one to have plenty of scoring from both teams as Detroit faced a bad Bulls team in B2B games to open up the season and then finally faced a challenge with the Hawks and gave up 122. The Sixers will score plenty here too but note that they have allowed 110 points per game last 3 games and the line here is around a -10. That said, 120 to 110 sounds about right not me and that means the over improves to 7-0 in last 7 meetings between 76ers and Pistons. 10* OVER 212 in Philadelphia | |||||||
10-25-21 | Celtics v. Hornets OVER 223.5 | Top | 140-129 | Win | 100 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #503 Monday 10* Top Play OVER 223.5 in Charlotte Hornets vs Boston Celtics @ 7:10 ET - Both teams in 2nd game of back to back. Both teams off wins in which they allowed less than 100 points. Historically I like overs a lot in situations like this and I expect some tired legs on the defensive end after giving big efforts to get low-scoring wins yesterday. Adding to the value here is that Jaylen Brown should be back after he missed yesterday's game. It was merely precautionary and Boston only wanted him to play one game of the back to back so this is it. Look for more of a run and gun type of game here after yesterday's grinders for each team. Both teams gave up plenty of points in their first two games this season so one should not over-react to yesterday's surprising results. 10* OVER 223.5 in Charlotte | |||||||
06-26-21 | Suns v. Clippers OVER 218.5 | Top | 84-80 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #591 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Los Angeles Clippers vs Phoenix Suns @ 9:05 ET - Back to back unders in this series. The only time in this post-season that the Clippers have been at home following back to back unders, the game flew over the total. The only two times that the Suns have been on the road following a streak of 2 or more consecutive unders, each time the game flew over the total. That is a combined 3-0 over trend for these teams that is perfect in this post-season and that I expect to remain perfect here as well. Phoenix, off a loss, will be more aggressive in game 4 and should get more free throw attempts as a result. In Chris Paul's second game back, I expect improvement. Also, the Suns will certainly shoot better than the 39% they shot in game 3 from the field. I certainly don't see them continuing the poor outside shooting that has seen them hit just 16 of 58 threes in the last two games. Phoenix will be much better but LA is on their home floor and looking to even this series up and I see more of a high-scoring game like we saw in Game 1 as a result of the situation and the fact we have got Suns off a loss here. 10* OVER the total in Los Angeles Clippers | |||||||
06-24-21 | Suns v. Clippers OVER 221 | Top | 92-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #571 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Los Angeles Clippers vs Phoenix Suns @ 9:05 ET - I think we can all agree on one thing when it comes to the odds makers and that is...they do a damn good job of making the numbers on a daily basis. That said, the line on this game being in the pick'em range is likely "spot on" in terms of this being a tight game that could go either way late in the final minutes as we have seen with so many of these games in this post-season. That said, I feel we have excellent line value here with this total. The Suns are getting Chris Paul back tonight to lead this offense. Phoenix is buoyed by a 2-0 series lead here and winning Game 2 on a last-season shot. However, even with Kawhi Leonard still out for the Clippers, LA is certainly not going to just lay down here. That said, I am fully expecting a high-scoring game here as the Suns, with Paul back, will push the pace here and look to run the Clippers right out of the building. Keep in mind, Phoenix is on a 9-game winning streak. In the 7 games preceding the tight low-scoring win in Game 2, the Suns had averaged 119 points per game. No, none of those games went to OT either. That said, a 119-118 final here certainly would not be a complete shock and yet this total is in the 221 range. I feel we have a lot of good value in this low number because let us also not forget that Kawhi Leonard is a 2-time NBA Defensive Player of the Year. His absence is absolutely impactful to this D and now they face a healthy Suns team again with Paul coming back. This is going to lead to some extra scoring in my opinion as Phoenix pushes the pace but the Clippers come up big at home too. 10* OVER the total in LA Clippers | |||||||
06-20-21 | Clippers v. Suns OVER 221.5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 6 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #535 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 221.5 in Phoenix Suns vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 3:35 ET - Kawhi Leonard out for the Clippers. Chris Paul out for the Suns. These are two key absences for Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. So what will happen here? Others will step up with them absent. Also, let's not forget about the impact on defense without guys like that on the floor. It changes multiple aspects. That said, people often just tend to look at points scored per game when looking at the absences of key personnel but truly they impact defense, defensive rotations, etc. as well. That said, with the Suns 3-2 to the over last 5 and Clippers 4-1 to the over last 5, I like the over in this match-up! The last two match-ups stayed under the total but had 116 and 110 points, respectively, at the half of each game and should have gone over. Each of the two meetings prior to that this season did go over the total. We're getting some line value here in my opinion as a result of all of the above. 10* OVER the total in Phoenix | |||||||
06-14-21 | 76ers v. Hawks UNDER 226 | Top | 100-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 31 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #562 Monday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:35 ET - I just do not see these teams again combining for an unusually high 71 free throw attempts again like they did in Game 3. I also do not expect the torrid shooting of the Sixers to continue on the road. It was very surprising that they did make 48% of their three pointers and 58% from the field overall Friday at Atlanta. The Hawks, now down 2-1 in this series, have to come out strong here but they have averaged only 106.5 points per game last two games. So, the point is, you have Atlanta buckling down a bit for a crucial Game 4 but also having struggled a bit to get big points. Look for a solid under here as, despite 3 of the last 4 meetings between these teams resulting in an over, the odds makers have held firm in the mid-220s range with this one for a reason! The point is this game will surprise many by being a bit more of a grinder. 10* UNDER the total in Atlanta | |||||||
06-13-21 | Nets v. Bucks OVER 228 | Top | 96-107 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 0 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #551 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Milwaukee Bucks vs Brooklyn Nets @ 3 ET - After the horrific shooting in Game 3 there will be a turnaround in Game 4 for both teams. I know this series has been all unders so far but it does not make sense based on the pace of the games. That said, good pace again here plus much better shooting. I trust the Nets to bounce back and score much better here after the loss in Game 3. Also, the Bucks are known for shooting much better on their home floor and I fully expect that here after the unreal scoring result Thursday. 10* OVER the total in Milwaukee | |||||||
06-11-21 | Suns v. Nuggets OVER 222.5 | Top | 116-102 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #533 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Denver Nuggets vs Phoenix Suns @ 10:05 ET - The Nuggets are known for being much tougher to play against when at home and they show a strong tendency to score much better when on their home floor. After back to back frustrating performances on offense on the road in this series, I fully expect Denver to bounce back with a strong effort here and put up big points. They will need it because the Suns have been on fire offensively and that is why the over is on a 10-2 run in Phoenix road games. Prior to Game 2 of this series staying under the total, games between these teams were on an 8-4 run to the over and I look for that trend to quickly resume tonight. The Nuggets respond on their home floor but the Suns continue their red hot scoring trend away from home. 10* OVER the total in Denver | |||||||
05-29-21 | 76ers v. Wizards OVER 227.5 | Top | 132-103 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #575 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Wizards vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:05 ET - Russell Westbrook (questionable) or not, I do not expect the Wizards to again shoot 2 of 22 from three point land in this one! Washington will be much better in the offensive end at home but they can not stop Philadelphia. The 76ers have averaged 128 points per game in their last 4 against the Wizards. However, it is the wounded dog that bites the hardest (as the saying goes) and I fully expect Washington to hang around in this game which means they will have to score plenty of points to do so. The over was 3-0 in the Sixers last 3 games prior to the Game 2 match-up between these teams staying under the total. Also, the Wizards have scored an average of 130 points per game in their last 3 home games. Look for a very entertaining match-up in this one with plenty of points and that is whether Westbrook plays or not as Philly is known as being a team whose defense often does not "travel well"! 10* OVER the total in Washington | |||||||
05-28-21 | Knicks v. Hawks OVER 211 | Top | 94-105 | Loss | -107 | 12 h 43 m | Show |
1st Round Total of the Year - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #561 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs New York Knicks @ 7:05 ET - The Hawks are sure to respond at home off an ugly loss at New York in Game Two. However, New York has scored 55 points and 57 points, respectively, in the 2nd half of each of the first two games. So the Knicks might surprise and put up quite a fight in the 2nd half here but I expect the revenge-minded Hawks to put up a ton of points on their home floor. Atlanta has won 11 straight home games and has scored an average of 120 points per game in those 11 consecutive victories! The Knicks are known for solid defense and holding game scores down but I still feel that the 211 range this total is posted in will prove to be far too low. New York's last 6 meetings with Atlanta, prior to Game Two staying under the total, had produced 5 overs and just 1 under. Look for this high-scoring trend to resume here as the Hawks respond well at home but have trouble putting the Knicks away in the 2nd half. The spread in the range of a -4 seems about right given the way I handicap this game but I feel this total will prove to be far too low. The 6 preceding meetings, including 1 under in the bunch all totaled 212 or more and the last 5 regular season meetings had average halftime point totals of 124. With this being the post-season the totals have been adjusted down but I know how the Hawks want to play this game on their home floor and we should get a solid over here. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta | |||||||
05-24-21 | Heat v. Bucks OVER 222.5 | Top | 98-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #521 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Milwaukee Bucks vs Miami Heat @ 7:35 ET - With Game One staying under the total by a good margin, we have seen a line move for Game Two. The result is excellent line value with the over because the pace was absolutely there for an over in Game One. The problems included the Heat making just 16 of 49 shots inside the the arc, the Bucks making just 5 of 31 shots from outside the arc, and Milwaukee making just 60% of their free throws. All of these are very unusual statistics and, with a return to normalcy in Game Two, look for this game to feature enough scoring to go over a number that has been adjusted downward for this one! Entering that game Miami road games were on an 8-2 run to the over. Look for that trending to resume in this one! 10* OVER the total in Milwaukee | |||||||
05-16-21 | Rockets v. Hawks OVER 231.5 | Top | 95-124 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher NBA 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Houston Rockets @ 7:10 ET - The Hawks likely will be playing a meaningless game when this tips off. If the Knicks, favored by double digits, beat the Celtics in early action then New York locks up the #4 seed. That means Atlanta would be locked into the #5 seed. As for the Rockets, they had a bad season and so you are simply not going to see much defense from either team here given the situation. That said, we should see a ton of points in this on as I like the recent trending of Houston. They are off a SU win plus are on a red hot ATS run to close out the season and they have been doing it with offense, not defense. That is why the over is on a perfect 6-0 run in Rockets games. Also, the O/U is a white hot 9-1 in Houston's last 10 road games. More of the same here as the Hawks are likely to empty the bench in this one and I expect a lot of points as a result. This game simply highly likely to be played casually with a lot of open looks at the basket and plenty of run and gun looking for quick scoring chances. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta | |||||||
05-15-21 | Bulls v. Nets OVER 234.5 | Top | 91-105 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 59 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #527 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Brooklyn Nets vs Chicago Bulls @ 1:10 ET - This game could be all about the "show" as the Nets can no longer win the top seed in the East as Philly locked that up yesterday but Brooklyn will have their Big 3 on the floor all at the same time in a rarity this season. With Harden, Durant, and Irving all available there should be plenty of points in this one. The Bulls are simply playing out the string on a disappointing season and will not put up much resistance here. At the same time, the Nets are unlikely to play intense defense as they save that for the playoffs. All that said though, Brooklyn is a double digit favorite here with good reason and I expect this one to turn into a high-scoring shootout. There is a reason this total is set so high even though recent match-ups between these teams have trended under and even though both these teams enter this game having been trending under in recent weeks. As long-time followers know, I am a contrarian and that continues here as this game should get nuts with the points and surprise a lot of people. 10* OVER the total in Brooklyn | |||||||
05-14-21 | Cavs v. Wizards OVER 227 | Top | 105-120 | Loss | -106 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #501 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Wizards vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:10 ET - The Wizards are a high-scoring team coming off an under which was preceded by 6 straight overs and, overall, a run of 9-2 to the over. I know Cleveland trends toward lower-scoring games but Washington is going to dictate the pace and flow of this game on their home floor. Also, the Cavaliers had averaged 112 points per game in 3 preceding meetings with Wizards prior to a poor 2nd half of scoring leading to their most recent meeting staying under the total. Washington hasn't exactly been playing stellar defense of late and their biggest concern appeared to be getting Russell Westbrook his triple-double record rather than winning games. In any event, Washington does still need one more win to lock up a spot in the post-season and I am sure they will look to "run and gun" their way to victory in this one. That means more points than usual from a short-handed Cleveland team simply playing out the string in a disappointing season. That means very little defensive intensity in this one and the Wizards will be happy to run up the score on the way to a playoff-clinching victory as it would cement them having a spot in the upcoming play-in tournament. 10* OVER the total in Washington | |||||||
05-13-21 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 227 | Top | 93-116 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 49 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #567 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic @ 7:40 ET - Neither team shot well in Orlando's loss at Milwaukee Tuesday but the game still totaled 216 points. This followed a game in which the Magic allowed 128 points but the game stayed under the total. This was on the heels of a 12-2 run to the over in Orlando's games. One of the few unders in that stretch was a loss at Atlanta that was on pace for an over as of halftime but both teams shot poorly overall for the game. This ended a streak of 3 straight overs in this series and I fully expect the high-scoring ways to resume today. The Hawks are trying to secure the #4 spot in the East but they sure as hell are not playing defense in hopes of doing so. Now these tired defensive legs are playing the 2nd night of a back to back and 3rd game in 4 days and Atlanta has allowed 124.3 points per game last 3 games. The Magic have allowed 124 points per game last 4 games. Orlando has nothing to play for other than pride and the fast pace played at Milwaukee is very likely to be repeated here. Look for plenty of points as a result as both teams have been giving up a ton of points as of late. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta | |||||||
05-11-21 | Nuggets v. Hornets OVER 218.5 | Top | 117-112 | Win | 100 | 9 h 51 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #531 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Charlotte Hornets vs Denver Nuggets @ 7 ET - The over is 4-1 in last 5 meetings between these teams. Denver has scored at least 110 points in 8 of last 9 games. The Nuggets have averaged 118 points in those 8 games. The Hornets have scored 107 points or more in 7 of last 10 games. Overall, Charlotte has averaged 110 points per game in these 10 games. Given the history between these teams and the fact this is a non-conference match-up and the recent high-scoring trending for each team, this total is set too low. Grab the value on the high side of this one! 10* OVER the total in Charlotte | |||||||
05-10-21 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 231 | Top | 111-102 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #520 Monday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers @ 7:40 ET - I know both these teams have been trending over of late but Cleveland has averaged only 97 points the last 3 games. Also, though the over has cashed in 4 of last 9 meetings and 2 of last 3 the two most recent totals averaged just 221 points and neither would have gone over given the current total (231) posted on this game. In other words, the O/U trend in this series could easily be 7 unders and 2 overs the last 9 games. Either way, with Indiana having a much tougher game (Philly) on deck for tomorrow night, I could easily see the Pacers taking a bit of an "off night" for their recent torrid scoring pace. That said, good value here with a very high total set on this game when you consider the recent low point totals produced by the Cavaliers on offense. The Pacers are only about a 7 point favorite here for a reason and the Cavs just do not score a whole lot. If the oddsmakers are right about this spread, that would mean Cleveland would have to score 112 for this game to go over the total. The Cavaliers have been held to 110 points or less in 14 of last 16 games! 10* UNDER the total in Cleveland | |||||||
05-08-21 | Pistons v. 76ers OVER 220.5 | Top | 104-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #569 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - The Sixers could rest some players here, particularly Joel Embiid, coming off last night's game. However, keep in mind, people always seem to underestimate the defensive value of a player like that. So the total drops in cases like this but yet the weakened defense is an issue. Last night Philadelphia and New Orleans had a high-scoring game through early 4th quarter but then the game just died at that point and stayed under the total. Why? Because it ended up being a tight game late with key possessions featuring plenty of defense during the stretch run of the 4th quarter. I just do not see this game playing out that way. 7 of the last 8 meetings between the Pistons and 76ers have resulted in an over and I do not expect much defense in this one. Philly expended a lot of energy on the defensive end and now hosts a Detroit team that is simply playing out the string on the season. In other words, what do they care about defense? Exactly! So even though the Pistons come in on off a couple of unders and overall trending under in recent weeks, the play here is the over as these teams make it 8 overs in the last 9 meetings. 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia | |||||||
05-07-21 | Pelicans v. 76ers UNDER 227.5 | Top | 107-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #548 Friday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs New Orleans Pelicans @ 7:10 ET - The 76ers, not including OT points of course, have allowed just 99 points per game during their current 6-game winning streak. Philadelphia is favored by 9 here. A 108-99 final would fall 20 points below the current number posted on this game. Certainly I am not saying it will necessarily be that low-scoring but the Pelicans do have some injury issues here and Philly wants revenge for losing the 1st meeting between these teams this season. By the way, that game totaled only 195 points. The 76ers have lowly Pistons on deck for tomorrow so they will be fully focused on the defensive end in this one and the Pelicans have another non-conference match-up on deck for Sunday so New Orleans should bring a fully focused effort on the defensive end for this one as well. The Pelicans have stayed under in 6 of last 7 games and the only over in that stretch was an OT game. It did go over in regulation but not by much and the point is that the Pelicans recent averages were skewed a bit by the one outlier game last 7 games. The other 6 games saw New Orleans allow an average of 108 points and score 111 points on average. That is a 219 average and, again, well below the posted total on this game. 10* UNDER the total in Philadelphia | |||||||
05-06-21 | Bulls v. Hornets OVER 217 | Top | 120-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #533 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Charlotte Hornets vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:10 ET - The O/U is a perfect 5-0 the last 5 times these teams have met at Charlotte. The Bulls have not been scoring well recently but they should get a big boost tonight. It will be the first time in a long time that both Lavine and Vucevic will be on the floor together. They are both expected to play tonight and you will see a different Chicago team tonight than you have seen in quite some time. Though I expect this to result in the Bulls scoring much better than they have been, I also expect the Hornets to score well. Charlotte has averaged 111 points per game last 6 home games. Bulls are favored here by a bucket or so for a reason. In other words, based on the above, you can why this game is likely to get into the mid-220s and yet we are dealing with a total in the 217 range as an opener. I will grab the value for a top play. 10* OVER the total in Charlotte | |||||||
05-05-21 | Celtics v. Magic OVER 218.5 | Top | 132-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 60 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #515 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Orlando Magic vs Boston Celtics @ 7:05 ET - The Magic are 14-4 to the over last 18 games. The Celtics are 5-0 to the over last 5 games. The most recent match-up between these teams resulted in an under but this followed a run of 3 straight overs in meetings between Orlando and Boston. Not only are the Celtics 5-0 to the over last 5 games, the Magic are 5-0 to the over last 5 home games. I am going to test these two perfect trends here and look for a very high-scoring game in this one as Orlando does tend to shoot the 3-ball much better when at home. The Celtics, not including OT, have averaged 120.5 points per game last 4 games. 10* OVER the total in Orlando | |||||||
05-03-21 | Magic v. Pistons OVER 213 | Top | 119-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #565 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Orlando Magic @ 7:10 ET - There are two teams that have already been eliminated from post-season contention in the Eastern Conference and here they are matched up against each other. The result? Very little defense because, seriously, who cares about this game? It should be played very freely and openly and the odds makers know this. They opened up this total higher than the closing line of the total in the first two match-ups. Both those games stayed under the total by a double digit margin. That said, why would this game have a higher total than those two games given the results of those games? Exactly! The point is that the odds maker knows the same thing we know here. There should not be a lot of defensive intensity in this one. By the way, the over is 13-4 in Orlando's last 17 games. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER the total in Detroit | |||||||
05-01-21 | Pistons v. Hornets OVER 214 | Top | 94-107 | Loss | -107 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #529 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Charlotte Hornets vs Detroit Pistons @ 7 ET - Long-time followers know I use this theory a lot. The theory I am talking about is that when a lot of players are out for teams the betting markets automatically adjust for the "points per game" that are out of the lineup when the reality is that defense, rebounding, and flow of the game is impacted too. A lot of times teams become a little disorganized and you see less structure and more of just going up an down the floor quickly and trying to get quick shots with good looks at the basket. That is what I expect to see here. I know the first meeting stayed under the total but that was largely because of one horrific quarter in terms of scoring. In EACH of the other 3 quarters the teams combined to put up least 52 points and average in the upper 50s per quarter. That said, also consider the lack of motivation for the Pistons to play much defense here. The season is almost over and it has been a bad one for Detroit so why would they aggressively D up here? Exactly! The Pistons have allowed 119 points per game last 8 road games. The Hornets have allowed an average of 111 points per game last 8 games overall. 10* OVER the total in Charlotte | |||||||
04-29-21 | Mavs v. Pistons OVER 214.5 | Top | 115-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
Total of the Week - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #501 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Detroit Pistons vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - Each team has some injury question marks heading into this one but I feel that has given us solid line value heading into this one. The total has simply been set low to adjust for the injuries but both Porzingis and Richardson for Dallas have missed each of the last 3 games but were upgraded from doubtful to questionable for this one. Also, even without those guys, the Mavericks have averaged 116 points per game last 3 games. The Pistons Josh Jackson is not on the injury report for this one after missing Monday's game with an illness and so I am expecting him back for this one. Detroit has some extra confidence after getting the win over Sacramento on Monday. The Pistons have covered 6 of their last 9 games so, even though their season has been miserable, Detroit has been competitive recently. That also makes me like the over even more here and the Pistons have scored an average of 110 points last 13 games. Dallas is about an 8 point favorite here and you see the two scoring averages I mentioned above. 117 to 109 would sound about right for this game if the odds makers are right about the spread. Note that this final score would put the total double digits above what the odds makers have posted. In other words, line value! 10* OVER the total in Detroit | |||||||
04-27-21 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 234 | Top | 133-112 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #553 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Indiana Pacers vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 7:10 ET - Neither of these teams has been playing particularly well on the defensive end to say the least. Indiana, not including OT points of course, has allowed an average of 119 points per game last 13 games. Portland has allowed an average of 115 points per game last 11 games. That only puts this game right around the number of 234 for the point total but that would be if this was an "average" game but I do not expect that to be the case here. This is a non-conference match-up which can bring a decrease in defensive intensity and both teams have proven, especially in recent games, they are happy to play at a faster pace. Look for a up tempo game here with both teams willing to employ the "run and gun" approach in this one. Both teams shot uncharacteristically poor from 3-point land in the first meeting and it stayed well under the total. That game total was 228 and it stayed under by 30 points as it totaled only 198. Yet here we have a total posted a half-dozen points higher even though the first game missed going over the total by a mile. What does that tell you? Exactly! The odds makers are quite sharp...but we are too! 10* OVER the total in Indiana | |||||||
04-25-21 | Grizzlies v. Blazers UNDER 235.5 | Top | 120-113 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #522 Sunday 10* Top Play UNDER the total in Portland Trail Blazers vs Memphis Grizzlies @ 4:10 ET - This game starts at 1 pm local time and sometimes you see some poor shooting in earlier start times particularly on a weekend. What I like the most about this situation is this total has just kept climbing and climbing in match-ups between these teams this season. I realize that the over is 3-0 last 3 meetings but now this total was posted at a 235.5 and it has simply gone too far in my opinion. Yes, these teams totaled 258 on Friday but I consider that to be an aberration. Note that Portland's 8 games preceding that one all totaled 225 points or less. 8 straight games with 225 points or less and now we are seeing a total posted on this game that is 10 points higher than that. I realize that the Grizzlies have been scoring a lot of points of late but the Trail Blazers will be ready to play some better defense here after allowing Memphis to shoot 53% from the field in a home loss for Portland on Friday. It is a revenge game for the Blazers and while I do not trust them to get the win because they have lost 4 straight games and 8 of 10, I do expect some better play on the defensive end in this one. Good value here on a total that has simply gone too far. 10* UNDER the total in Portland | |||||||
04-24-21 | Raptors v. Knicks OVER 215 | Top | 103-120 | Win | 100 | 5 h 23 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #501 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in New York Knicks vs Toronto Raptors @ 1:10 ET - Each of the first two meetings between these teams this season have gone under the the total and that is keeping this total lower than it should be. Also, this total has made a downward move already which is offering us additional value. The O/U opened up at a 217.5 and is now down to a 215 as of early gameday morning. The last meeting was a 102-96 low-scoring loss for Toronto. However, the Raptors enter this game loaded with confidence courtesy of a 4-game winning streak which has seen them average 114 points per game! Speaking of confidence and winning streaks, New York has won 8 straight games and, not including OT points, has averaged 112.4 points per game during this winning streak. As you can see, if these teams just hit their recent averages you are looking at this game landing the 225 to 230 range and we are working with a total much lower than that. Also, small line on this game which means it is expected to be a tight finish which means we could some late scramble points - a lot of late fouling from the losing team followed by jacking up quick threes to try and close the gap. I do not think we'll need that but that also helps the value aspect of this play should it come down to that. The Raptors are 5-1 to the over the last 6 times they have been a dog and the Knicks are on a 5-1 run to the over their last 6 games. 10* OVER the total in New York | |||||||
04-23-21 | Wizards v. Thunder OVER 229.5 | Top | 129-109 | Win | 100 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Rickenbach NBA Rotation #571 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Oklahoma City Thunder vs Washington Wizards @ 8:10 ET - The Wizards have won 6 in a row and the Thunder have lost 12 in a row so, of course, this match-up caught my attention. However, just like I can't trust Oklahoma City to stay within 9 points here I also can't trust Washington to win by double digits on the road. Indeed a big number hung on this one by the odds makers in terms of the spread. What I do like here is the over because you have the stronger and hotter team on the road and you know they should score like crazy here and, at the same time, the home team should "get theirs" as they play loose and relaxed at home. Note that the Thunder are allowing 123 points per game during their losing streak. The Wizards are allowing 116 points per game last 10 road games. I could easily see this game getting to the 240 range and it is priced in the 230 range. Keep in mind, Washington has averaged 120.5 points during their current win streak and now take on a team not playing solid defense to say the least. Quite a track meet likely here. 10* OVER the total in Oklahoma City | |||||||
04-20-21 | Magic v. Hawks OVER 218.5 | Top | 96-112 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
Earliest Cash - Rickenbach NBA 10* OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Orlando Magic @ 7:30 ET - This is typical as a few injury issues in this one and so the first move on the total is from 221 to as low as 218.5 and what makes me laugh about this is that you always see this even for lesser known players. The public just assumes "oh they are missing this guy averaging 10 points or game, etc" but never factor in maybe a guys absence hurts a teams defense or their rebounding as far as clearing the glass on defense, etc. All that said, the fact is that when a line moves I like to look for value on the other side and if it is there I take it. This is one of those cases. Orlando has gone over the total in 4 straight games and 8 of its last 10. The over is 3-0 in the last 3 meetings between these teams and 3 of the last 4 meetings at Atlanta have gone over the total. Magic allowing 119 points per game last 9 games. Hawks allowing 113 points per game last 6 games. Also, those two perfect trends above combine for a 7-0 / 100% double perfect situation we are testing here. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta | |||||||
04-19-21 | Cavs v. Pistons OVER 213.5 | Top | 105-109 | Win | 100 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
Central Div Total of the Year - NBA Rotation #501 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers @ Detroit Pistons @ 7:10 ET - When it gets late in the season I like to look at match-ups like this one for overs. These two teams are at the bottom of the central division. They are going nowhere this season and they know it. Where is the motivation to play defense? Exactly! Not only that, these teams have a history of high-scoring games when they match-up. Each of the last NINE meetings have gone over. That's right, a 9-0 / 100% PERFECT over run! Each team is allowing 111 points per game this season and about 48% from the field and 37%/38% from three point land. In other words, neither of these teams have been strong on the defensive end this season. I realize that this match-up does not feature the most skilled offensive players in the NBA to say the least but that is factored into this low posted total too which I feel strongly will prove to be far too low. 10* OVER the total in Detroit | |||||||
04-18-21 | Pacers v. Hawks OVER 234.5 | Top | 117-129 | Win | 100 | 5 h 3 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - NBA Rotation #567 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers @ 1:10 ET - The Pacers are off an under at Utah but, of course, the Jazz are known for playing tough defense particularly when at home and particularly when healthy. That was a great spot for the Jazz to go into shutdown mode. Now Indiana faces a team that is willing to run the floor with them and I am expecting plenty of points here. The Pacers were on an 8-3 run to the over in road games before that under at Utah. Also, 4 of the last 5 times Indiana has visited Atlanta, the result has been an over. The Hawks have not been scoring as well last few games but a lot of that had to do with who they were facing. Now they are hosting a Pacers team which has allowed an average of 122 points per game in regulation time of its last 8 games. The first total on this one off shore was a 238 and it has since dropped to a 234.5 which means additional line value here as well. The Hawks could get John Collins back for this one also. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta | |||||||
04-17-21 | Jazz v. Lakers OVER 216 | Top | 115-127 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - NBA Rotation #555 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Los Angeles Lakers vs Utah Jazz @ 4:40 ET - I am aware of the injury situations with these teams but the first total released on this game was 219 and now we're seeing 216. This is leading to value with the over. The Jazz are in a back to back spot after hosting Indiana yesterday. That was the 5th time in last 7 games that Utah has allowed 111 points or more. Utah scored 119 yesterday and that is also their average points scored the last 8 games. You can see where I am going with this one. That right there is calling for a 119 to 111 final here in this one just like yesterday's game. Of course I am not saying that will be the score but just saying we could very easily be in the 230 range here which means a lot of value with this rather low posted total. Utah's most recent 2nd game of a back to back was a low-scoring win over the Thunder but their 5 preceding 2nd of 2 situations in a back to back saw each game total at least 225 points! The Lakers enter this game on a 5-1 run to the over. 10* OVER the total in LA Lakers | |||||||
04-13-21 | Hawks v. Raptors OVER 223 | Top | 108-103 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
Contrarian Total of the Year - NBA Rotation #571 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:35 ET - With all the injuries for both teams, including Trae Young being questionable for the Hawks, we are getting a low total here. In typical contrarian fashion I am fading the public perception here and going with the over regardless of who is on the floor. That's because the set up here is perfect. Each team is off an under but each team faced an opponent that trends toward lower scoring games. Atlanta faced the Hornets and Toronto faced the Knicks. Prior to the under in most recent game, the over was on a 7-2 overall run and 5-0 road game run in Hawks games. Prior to the under in most recent game, the Raptors had gone over the total in 3 straight games. Look for these teams to resume the high-scoring ways now that they are matched up against each other. The over is a perfect 4-0 in the last 4 meetings between these two. 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
04-12-21 | 76ers v. Mavs OVER 218.5 | Top | 113-95 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 21 m | Show |
ESPN Smash Pass - NBA Rotation #559 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Dallas Mavericks vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 7:35 ET - The last time these teams met the game stayed under the total but the posted total was 227.5 points and now we are dealing with a posted total nearly ten points below that! I know the Sixers are on an under trend but I feel this total has been adjusted too far down compared to the prior meeting in late February. Keep in mind, the Mavericks are in a back to back but they lost versus San Antonio yesterday and are 9-1 SU the last 10 times when off a SU loss. They are going to bring a strong effort here and have averaged scoring 116.5 points the last 6 times when off a loss. The Sixers are averaging 110 points per game their last 11 road games. Each team should get to at least 110 here and that puts this game well past the posted total. The 76ers know the Mavericks are in 2nd game of a back to back and will push the tempo here and try to run them right out of the arena and wear them down in doing so. Good pace to this one. 10* OVER the total in Dallas | |||||||
04-11-21 | Hawks v. Hornets OVER 218.5 | Top | 105-101 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 28 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - NBA Rotation #533 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Charlotte Hornets vs Atlanta Hawks @ 1:05 ET - The spread and total jumped some this morning as injury news is breaking, etc. But you see this so many times and so often playing the other side of the move is the way to go as the opposite impact of the news is what actually ends up occurring. So in this case the total dropped from a 221.5 to a 218.5 early this morning and I will not hesitate to get involved and fade the move. I am aware there are injury issues but others will step up and so often these situations lead to more points than you would expect as there tends to be some sloppy basketball that leads to quick transition opportunities for each offense. Looking at the recent facts here, the Hornets have extra confidence from back to back wins and having won 7 of 10 games. They have scored at least 113 points in each of their last 4 wins. The Hawks are on a 7-2 run to the over and have scored an average of 122 points their last 6 games. More of the same expected here. I know the first two meetings this season went under but the totals were 232.5 then 228.5 and now we have 218.5 which is offering us great value here. 10* OVER the total in Charlotte | |||||||
04-10-21 | Raptors v. Cavs OVER 216.5 | Top | 135-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - NBA Rotation #583 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Cleveland Cavaliers vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:35 ET - The Cavaliers are playing with more confidence right now as they enter this game off back to back wins in which they scored an average of 127 points per game. The Raptors could get Lowry back for this one but even if he does not return, they did not have him when they scored 130 against Golden State in what is part of a 4-game stretch which has seen Toronto average 112 points per game. This is a late-season match-up (only 20 games left roughly for each team) between a pair of clubs that know their playoff hopes are all but finished. These are the kind of games I like to look for a bit of let-up in defensive intensity and loose, relaxed play on the offensive end that often leads to strong shooting performance. Cavs off back to back big wins with a lot of points scored and the Raptors will be ready to match them bucket for bucket here in an entertaining game between two teams "playing out the string" on this season. Per all of the above, this total is set too low in my opinion. 10* OVER the total in Cleveland | |||||||
04-09-21 | Bulls v. Hawks OVER 226.5 | Top | 108-120 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - NBA Rotation #505 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Chicago Bulls @ 8:10 ET - I am aware of all the players listed on the injury report for each team. However, couple comments here. As for Atlanta, I do expect Clint Capela to play as the reason he sat out the most recent game was an Achilles injury but also had a lot to do with it being a back to back situation. Also, the Bulls players listed are not key guys. That said, I am expecting plenty of points in this one as Chicago has a lot of confidence off 3 straight wins and facing an Atlanta team without a few guys for this one. The Bulls have scored at least 113 points in 4 of their last 5 games. The Hawks, even without John Collins have scored an average of 118 points (not including OT) in their last 5 games. This one should get close to the 235 mark the way I see it but it is priced near the 225 mark. We'll take it. The only other match-up this season stayed under the total even though the teams combined for 142 points in the first half. After that statistical anomaly look for this one to be high-scoring in more than just the first half! The over improves to 7-2 in the Hawks last 9 games. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta | |||||||
04-08-21 | Bulls v. Raptors OVER 221 | Top | 122-113 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - NBA Rotation #575 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls @ 7:35 ET - I am aware of all the players listed on the injury report for each team. However, couple comments here. As for Toronto, hardly any of those guys contributed to the 130 points the Raptors recently scored in a home win. Also, the Bulls players listed are not key guys. That said, I am expecting plenty of points in this one as Chicago has a lot of confidence off back to back wins and facing a Toronto team without Lowry and that could also be missing VanVleet for this one. The Bulls have scored at least 113 points in 3 of their last 4 games. The Raptors have scored an average of 111 points their last 3 home games and, going further back, an average of 115 points their last 8 home games. This one should get close to the 230 mark the way I see it but it is priced near the 220 mark. We'll take it. This is a match-up of two teams with losing records on the season and I just do not expect a tremendous amount of defensive intensity in this one. Look for just the opposite actually. 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
04-07-21 | Mavs v. Rockets OVER 224.5 | Top | 93-102 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show |
Southwest Div Total of the Year - NBA Rotation #553 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Houston Rockets vs Dallas Mavericks @ 8:05 ET - The Mavericks are off a huge win versus the Jazz and held them to 103 points. After beating one of the best in the west they now have a game on deck against the Bucks which is one of the best teams in the east. Do you really think they are going to be focused on defensive play against a Rockets team that is 13-37 this season? I know that Houston is an in-state division rival but the fact is the Rockets stink this season. That means plenty of points in this one as the Mavericks can freely "run and gun" in this game and still easily prevail. I also like the fact that Houston is 3-0 to the over their last 3 home games. The Rockets scored an average of 118.3 points per game in those contests but have allowed 126.6 points per game their last 5 games overall. More of the same expected here. 10* OVER the total in Houston | |||||||
04-05-21 | Wizards v. Raptors OVER 227 | Top | 101-103 | Loss | -112 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - NBA Rotation #517 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Toronto Raptors vs Washington Wizards @ 7:05 ET - When a team is entering a game off a very unusual result, things usually quickly return to normal and yet we get line value because of the prior result. In this case that applies to both teams. Toronto is off a win in which they allowed only 77 points. On the season they are allowing 112 points per game, 35 points more than that, so you know what is coming here. The Wizards are, ironically, off back to back games in which they scored 91 points or less each time. On the season, Washington is averaging 114 points per game. Again, you know what is coming here. These are two bad teams that are not known for playing good defense and, in fact, just looking at their 7 most recent meetings...all 7 have gone over the total. More of the same here! 10* OVER the total in Toronto | |||||||
04-03-21 | Mavs v. Wizards OVER 228 | Top | 109-87 | Loss | -113 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NBA Rotation #563 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Wizards vs Dallas Mavericks @ 7:10 ET - Wizards off an embarrassing low-scoring beatdown at Detroit. However, in their last 7 home games they averaged 119 points. The Mavericks are favored here. That means if Washington hits their reason home average but loses like they are expected to there then this total gets into the 240s. That said I feel we do have some solid line value here as the Wizards have allowed 120 points or more in 9 of last 13 games. The Mavericks off a very low-scoring win at New York last night but had scored an average of 120 points per game in their 7 preceding road games. With each team off rare games where they did not even get to the century mark in points scored, look for a high-scoring wild one tonight. 10* OVER the total in Washington | |||||||
04-02-21 | Rockets v. Celtics OVER 223 | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
Big East Beast - NBA Rotation #545 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Celtics vs Houston Rockets @ 7:40 ET - I do not expect much defense in this non-conference battle. The last time these teams met the game totaled 241 points. The Boston defense has not been what it once was this season and they enter this game having allowed at least 113 points in 5 of last 6 games. Houston has plenty of problems as we all know as they just endured a horrific long losing streak and poor defensive play has a lot to do with it. The Rockets are allowing 115 points per game on the road this season. 4 of Houston's last 6 road games have totaled at least 228 points and I am confident this one gets into the 230s as the Celtics are in need of a blowout win and will not take their foot off the gas in this one. 10* OVER the total in Boston | |||||||
03-25-21 | Blazers v. Heat OVER 218 | Top | 125-122 | Win | 100 | 9 h 12 m | Show |
Total of the Month - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #501 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Miami Heat vs Portland Trail Blazers @ 7:40 ET - This total has dropped from the low 220s down to as low as 218 as of early game day morning. The Blazers are off back to back unders but allowed an average of 124 points per game so there is value baked into today's total. Portland has allowed an average of 122.3 points per game their last 3 games. The Heat are off back to back unders on their home floor but this was on the heels of a 5-2 run to the over in Miami home games. The Heat have had 1 low-scoring effort on their home floor last 9 games but averaged 111.1 points per game in the other 8 games. As for Portland, they have had 1 low-scoring effort their last 11 games but have scored an average of 117.5 points per game the other 10 games. More of the same expected here and this one should get into the upper 220s for a point total as you can see so we have excellent value with the over here. The over is a long-term 16-6 in meetings between these teams in Miami and the two meetings last season saw the Heat and Trail Blazers combine to average 228.5 points per game. 10* OVER the total in Miami | |||||||
03-22-21 | Thunder v. Wolves OVER 226.5 | Top | 112-103 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
Situational Slaughter - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #533 Monday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Minnesota Timberwolves vs Oklahoma City Thunder @ 8:10 ET - The Thunder are in a back to back spot after a high-scoring win at Houston yesterday. Speaking of high-scoring, OKC has allowed 116 points per game the last 5 times when playing the 2nd game of a back to back. Now they face a Timberwolves team that will be fired up at home after a road loss that stayed under the total. Minnesota can score well for sure and was on an 8-2 run to the over prior to the loss at Phoenix. The Wolves have allowed an average of 124 points their last 11 games and they are the favorite here too! That said, you can see where I am going with this one. Minny gives up a ton of points but, per the odds makers, are expected to win this game. As a result, this one should fly over the total rather easily. 10* OVER the total in Minnesota | |||||||
03-20-21 | Hawks v. Lakers OVER 221 | Top | 99-94 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 8 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #501 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Los Angeles Lakers vs Atlanta Hawks @ 3:40 ET - Another total that has made a downward movement and that I expect to prove to be a mistake. The Lakers have averaged 118 points per game their last 7 games. The Hawks have scored at least 115 points in 5 of last 6 games. 118 to 115 Lakers over Atlanta is very close to the spread on this game and yet that puts the final score about a dozen points above the posted total. Perhaps little value with the side but that is a lot of value with the O/U. Enough said! 10* OVER the total in Los Angeles Lakers | |||||||
03-19-21 | Kings v. Celtics OVER 232 | Top | 107-96 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 13 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #565 Friday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Celtics vs Sacramento Kings @ 7:40 ET - This total has been dropping all morning but this has led to great value in this one in my opinion. The Kings have scored at least 110 points in 20 of their last 21 games and none of those went to OT! Sacramento has scored 117 points per game during this stretch. However, the Kings are a 7 point dog here. So that would put this game at about 124-117 and a total above the 240 mark. Can we really expect Boston to get into that range though? You bet...literally! Sacramento has allowed an average of 123 points per game their last 17 games and, again, none of those went into overtime! Also, the Celtics last 6 victories, none going to OT, did see them average 122 points. Look for this one to be very high-scoring and I am happy to fade the line move and grab the resulting extra line value. 10* OVER the total in Boston | |||||||
03-18-21 | Jazz v. Wizards OVER 235.5 | Top | 122-131 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #551 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Washington Wizards vs Utah Jazz @ 7:05 ET - The Wizards game last night was on pace for 260 points as they had 195 points through 3 quarters for a 65 point quarterly average. Inexplicably, the 4th quarter totaled just 45 points and the game stayed under the total. This followed back to back overs for Washington and the 240 total points scored still would have gone over the total which is posted on tonight's game. In fact, I feel we're retaining some line value here thanks to yesterday's game staying under the total. Now it is the Jazz in town to face the Wizards and Utah is off an under but this was preceded by a 10-4 run to the over in their last 14 games. The Jazz have averaged 120 points per game, not including OT points, last 9 games. The Wizards have averaged 120 points per game their last 9 home games. This one should get well into the 240s and make up for last night's surprising finish when the Wizards hosted the Kings. I am aware Westbrook might miss this game for Washington but they have scored an average of 122 points per game in the 3 home games he has missed this season. I am aware Conley might miss this game for Utah but the Jazz have scored an average of 122.5 points per game in the last 6 games he has missed. 10* OVER the total in Washington | |||||||
03-16-21 | Knicks v. 76ers OVER 216 | Top | 96-99 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 59 m | Show |
Atlantic Div Total of the Year - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #525 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs New York Knicks @ 8:05 ET - The Knicks are in a back to back spot here. Their 5-point loss at Brooklyn last night did go over the total. The over is 7-1 in New York's last 8 games. Joel Embiid is currently out for the 76ers and that certainly impacts the interior defense of this team. Overall, Philadelphia has been trending over of late. The over is 5-1 in their last 6 games. Also, the Sixers have a big game against the Bucks on deck. Looking ahead to a showdown with an East challenger certainly will not help the level of the defensive intensity for Philly in this one. Yes the Knicks are a divisional foe but Philadelphia has a long winning streak against New York and could get caught looking ahead to tomorrow's game versus Milwaukee. The Knicks have averaged 111.5 points per game their last 4 games. The 76ers are averaging 127.2 points per game in regulation time of their last 5 games. More of the same expected here as this one flies over the total. 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia | |||||||
03-13-21 | Pistons v. Nets OVER 227.5 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -107 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #543 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Brooklyn Nets vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:05 ET - The Pistons are off an ATS win but SU loss in their 1st game after the break. Though they came up just short of the outright upset there I do expect Detroit to continue to play better now that the Blake Griffin situation is behind them. Griffin actually went to the Nets but has been ruled out of this game with continued left knee issues. The fact is that the Pistons should have another respectable game here like they did at Charlotte but I also don't see them stopping Brooklyn. The Nets have played 4 of their last 6 games at home and in this stretch dating back to the final week of February, Brooklyn has won 5 of the 6 games and averaged 124 points per game in regulation time of the 5 victories. More of the same expected here but they are about an 11 point favorite here. A 124-113 type game sounds about right here and that puts this one nearly 10 points above the line. I will take it. Keep in mind the Nets had to raise their defensive intensity some in a bigger game versus the Celtics Thursday. Don't be surprised if you see a dropoff in level of defense played in this one as the Pistons have the worst record in the Eastern Conference. 10* OVER the total in Brooklyn | |||||||
03-11-21 | 76ers v. Bulls OVER 227 | Top | 127-105 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
Contrarian Crusher - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #513 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Chicago Bulls vs Philadelphia 76ers @ 8:05 ET - Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid - the two 76ers All-Stars - will each miss this game due to covid-19 protocol requirements. That is also why they did not play in this past weekend's all-star game. In typical contrarian fashion, with the Sixers two big scorers out for tonight, I am on the over here! Yes, look for their absences to effect the defensive play of Philly in this game and the Bulls will try to run the 76ers right out of the building! The over is 3-1 in Chicago's last 4 games and 3-0 in Philadelphia's last 3 games. The Sixers have allowed 117 points per game last 5 road games. The Bulls have allowed an average of 118.5 points per game last 4 games overall. Look for more of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Chicago | |||||||
03-04-21 | Raptors v. Celtics OVER 217 | Top | 125-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 41 m | Show |
Earliest Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #547 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors @ 7:05 ET - The Raptors are depleted by quarantine requirements for multiple key players due to the covid-19 restrictions. That did not stop the Pistons from putting a beating on them last night and certainly Toronto is not going to get any mercy from Boston either. Indeed the Celtics knocked the Raptors out of the playoffs last year and have since dominated Toronto in both meetings this season. Boston scored an average of 123 points in those two games and won them by an average margin of 13 points. Each game flew over the total and I expect more of the same here. The Celtics enter this game on a run of 6-2 to the over. The Raptors enter this game on a run of 9-2 to the over their last 11 road games. More of the same here. 10* OVER the total in Boston | |||||||
03-02-21 | Hawks v. Heat OVER 220.5 | Top | 94-80 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
SE Div Total of the Year - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #517 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks @ 7:35 ET - These teams totaled only 208 points in Sunday's match-up but the over is 8-1 the last 9 times Atlanta has entered a match-up off a game in which they were held to 114 points or less. Also, Miami was on a 5-2 run to the over prior to the game against the Hawks this past weekend. The Heat could have Jimmy Butler back for this one as well. The two meetings between these teams that preceded Sunday's game each totaled more than 250 points. I don't expect that range here but I do like the value here with this total. It is down around 220 whereas Sunday's posted total went off the board in the mid-220s. Nice line value here. I'll take it! Neither team shot well from the field in Sunday's game and that has led to excellent value here as you'll probably see a flip of the script here and each team shoots much better in this one. 10* OVER the total in Miami | |||||||
02-28-21 | Clippers v. Bucks OVER 236 | Top | 100-105 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 17 m | Show |
Daytime Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #563 Sunday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Milwaukee Bucks vs Los Angeles Clippers @ 3:35 ET - The Clippers are off back to back unders but that had a lot to do with playing at Memphis. The Grizzlies certainly are not known for getting involved in high-scoring games. That is worthy of note because LA, prior to those B2B unders, was on a 5-0 run to the over in road games. As for the Bucks, they are red hot and playing at home and so they should continue to shoot very well here. Buoyed by the confidence of a 4-game winning streak, Milwaukee has been particularly red hot in the last 3 games as they have averaged 132 points per game. However, when winning despite allowing an average of 117.3 points per game, you can tend to have a bit of a let up on the defensive end because you feel your offensive production will continue to bail you out. That said, don't be surprised if this game flies over the total as the Clippers have scored 119 points or more in 6 of their last 7 road games and the Bucks are flying high right now and have seen 7 of their last 9 home games go over the total. This one will too. 10* OVER the total in Milwaukee | |||||||
02-27-21 | Cavs v. 76ers OVER 223.5 | Top | 112-109 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
Total Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #549 Saturday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Philadelphia 76ers vs Cleveland Cavaliers @ 7:05 ET - This is simply one of those games that jumped off the page at me because I do not see the Sixers being interested in playing defense here. Where is the motivation for a strong effort against a bad Cavaliers team. That said, we are also getting line value because of public perception. What the markets are looking at here is that the Sixers have stayed under the total in 4 straight games and the Cavaliers have stayed under the total in 5 straight games. However, prior to holding Houston to just 96 points, Cleveland had allowed an average of 124 points per game their preceding 11 games. If you factor that in and loo at this line of a -10 then it means we should see a 124-114 type game which is well above the posted total on this one. The 76ers are off B2B wins but that was preceded by a 2-4 stretch that saw them allow 116.7 points per game in those 6 games. 10* OVER the total in Philadelphia | |||||||
02-25-21 | Magic v. Nets OVER 226.5 | Top | 92-129 | Loss | -113 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
Early Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #521 Thursday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Brooklyn Nets vs Orlando Magic @ 7:35 ET - Without Kevin Durant Tuesday the Nets game still totaled 245 points and Brooklyn had a super impressive 30 assists on their 44 buckets. The Nets continue to pile up points and I don't expect that to stop now against an Orlando team they can dominate. The Magic had a ridiculous 93 point performance at home against Detroit on Tuesday so they will be happy to run and gun here with a Nets team that has been doing plenty of that this season. In fact, in Brooklyn is 23-10 to the over in their games this season including 12-5 in home games. The last time these teams met they combined for 237 points last month. That was a 7 point win for the Nets and I can't see them being overly excited about playing great defense here against an Orlando team that is 6 games below .500 on the season and has won just 5 of 15 road games this season. The Nets have won 7 straight games and have averaged 124.3 points per game their last 6 games. They are an 8 point favorite here. 124-116 sounds about right and that puts this game more than dozen points higher than the current number posted. Either way, even 230 puts us into the win column here and I am expecting at least that much here. 10* OVER the total in Brooklyn | |||||||
02-24-21 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 225.5 | Top | 112-127 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show |
Early Dominator - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #507 Wednesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Atlanta Hawks vs Boston Celtics @ 7:35 ET - These teams were both in action yesterday and each game stayed just under the total. That is part of the reason the early move on this total was from a 227.5 to a 225.5 and I am jumping in on this one. Before the Hawks game stayed under the total yesterday, the over was on a perfect 8-0 run. Also, these teams have met twice this season and both meetings were last week and both meetings went over the total. Before yesterday's under, the Celtics road games were on a 4-2 run to the over. In the Hawks 8-0 run to the over the games averaged 238 points so they aren't just going over, they are flying over! That is the type of game I am looking for here as both teams will be relentless in the offensive end after they each lost very tight games yesterday and will be pushing hard to get back into the win column here. 10* OVER the total in Atlanta | |||||||
02-23-21 | Pistons v. Magic OVER 207 | Top | 105-93 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 12 m | Show |
Eastern Conference Total of the Year - Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NBA Rotation #567 Tuesday 10* Top Play OVER the total in Orlando Magic vs Detroit Pistons @ 7:05 ET - These teams just met on Sunday and the game had 159 points through 3 quarters and was on pace for 212 for the game before a horrific 4th quarter kept the game under the total. When I look at the stats from that game, the teams both shot poorly from 3-point land as they combined for just 20 of 70 from downtown. If these teams hit their season averages for threes they would have knocked down 25 of those so 5 more threes which equates to 15 more points and the game would have gone over the total. We get a little line value with this total now pushed even a little lower than Sunday's and I liked the pace of Sunday's game and the fact each team only had 11 turnovers. In other words, the scoring opportunities were there but the teams were just "off" and I don't expect that to be repeated here. Look at it this way too...the Magic have won 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5. They are favored here for a reason and have averaged 115 points in those 4 victories. They are a 3-point choice in this game which put the final score at about 115-112 which is 20 points above the current number on this one. I am not expecting that many necessarily but I am expecting about 217 based on all of the above and that still puts this one at double digits above the current posted number as of early Tuesday. I'll take it! 10* OVER the total in Orlando |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $864 |
William Burns | $483 |
Tom Macrina | $481 |
Joey Tron | $380 |
Ross Benjamin | $375 |
Ricky Tran | $369 |
Big Al McMordie | $234 |
Jack Jones | $161 |
Jesse Schule | $121 |
Will Rogers | $10 |