Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
07-23-23 | Ottawa +5 v. Calgary | 43-41 | Win | 100 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
CALGARY is 2-11 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons.CALGARY is 2-9 ATS in home games over the last 2 seasons. CFL favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off a win over a division rival, in July games are 17-50 ATS L/27 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. | |||||||
09-05-22 | Toronto v. Hamilton -1 | 28-8 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 3 m | Show | |
The Tiger-Cats have won seven consecutive Labour Day contests and Im betting nothing changes here in the 2022 version- this Monday. Hamilton is 37-13-1 all-time against Toronto on Labour Day. Tiger-Cats are 7-0-2 ATS in their last 9 games in September. Play on Hamilton | |||||||
07-30-22 | Winnipeg v. Calgary +1 | 35-28 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 51 m | Show | |
These two West Division rivals went head to head a couple weeks ago with Winnipeg (7-0) coming out on top of the Stamps 26-19. Im betting on a diff result this time as well rested Calgary (4-1) has had time to study film, after a bye week while Winnipeg plays their 2nd straight road game. Dickenson is 14-4 ATS as an underdog as the coach of CALGARY. Teams off a bye week like Calgary have won SU 6 of 8 times this season. CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CALGARY) - off a road loss, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 39-15 ATS L/26 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Calgary Stamps to cover | |||||||
07-16-22 | Saskatchewan -2.5 v. Toronto | 24-30 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
Roughriders top tier rush game Im betting gives the Toronto Argos nightmares here this week.Toronto averages just 15 points/game which is 10.8 ppg less than the league average. It is unlikely they can keep up with this explosive Saskatchewan side. Dickenson is 13-4 ATS in non-conference games as the coach of SASKATCHEWAN. Play on Saskatchewan to cover | |||||||
12-12-21 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +3 | 33-25 | Loss | -103 | 29 h 57 m | Show | |
CFL Playoffs - 108TH GREY CUP Blue Bombers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite and are being over rated here in a game I have pegged as a pickem. Blue Bombers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road favorite. Meanwhile, the Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. and are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 playoff home games. HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - giving up 23 or less points/game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 340 or less yards/game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 8-0 ATS after allowing 50 or less rushing yards last game over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons. O'Shea is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 300 or less total yards/game over their last 3 games as the coach of WINNIPEG. CFB team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) - after 2 or more consecutive losses against the spread, a top-level team (75% or better) playing a team with a winning record in the second half of the season are 5-21 SU L/25 seasons for a go against 81% conversion rate. Play on Hamilton to cover | |||||||
11-13-21 | Edmonton Elks +11 v. Saskatchewan | 24-29 | Win | 100 | 4 h 20 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan barely got by Edmonton when they played last week here in Alberta 19-17 and Im betting on another closely contested battle again. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) - after 6 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 21-4 L/25 seasons for a 85% conversion rate. CFL Home underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - average passing team (245-290 PY/G) against an average passing defense (245-290 PY/G) after 9+ games. are 37-13 ATS L/25 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors, Play on Edmonton to cover | |||||||
11-06-21 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -12.5 | 21-31 | Loss | -107 | 47 h 58 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers (10-1) host the Montreal Alouettes (6-5) at IG Field on Saturday. the Bombers are a team on a mission and Montreal is not a team that can slow them according to my power rankings. Note: the Blue Bombers faced the Lions a last week and won by a score of 45-0 count. Another explosion and cover is my call here this evening. WINNIPEG is 18-2 ATS off a division game over the last 3 seasons.WINNIPEG is 18-4 ATS after 1 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons.The Blue Bombers are allowing 11.5 points per contest, rankings 1st in the CFL. The Blue Bombers are 1st in the CFL in offensive output averaging of 27 ppg. Play on Winnipeg to cover | |||||||
10-02-21 | Montreal v. Hamilton -2.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 22 m | Show | |
According to my projections the Ti Cats should be 6 point favs here this giving us value on this line. HAMILTON is 6-0 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. HAMILTON is 9-1 ATS after having won 3 out of their last 4 games over the last 3 season. HAMILTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons. is 5-19 ATS L/24 in road games vs. excellent passing defenses allowing 6.9 or less passing yards/att. MONTREAL is 16-32 ATS in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing 6.4 or less yards/play. CFL team (HAMILTON) - after allowing 9 points or less last game against opponent after a loss by 8 or less points are 35-12 ATS L/25 seasons for a 75% conversion rate. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - after allowing 325 or less total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after gaining 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 30-5 L/25 seasons for a 86% conversion rate with the average ppg diff clicking in at 12.1 ppg. Play on Hamilton to cover | |||||||
09-18-21 | BC v. Montreal -2.5 | 27-18 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
Well rested Montreal showed some explosive offensive pop last time out when they put 51 points on the board in a win vs Ottawa and Im betting that they continue to produce on their home field this week in what Im predicting will be a cover. Note: BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-6 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons. CFL team vs the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - an average offensive team (23 to 28 PPG) against a good offensive team (28-32 PPG), after allowing 14 points or less last game are 13-39 SU l/25 seasons for a go against 75% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Montreal to cover | |||||||
09-11-21 | Calgary +1.5 v. Edmonton Elks | 32-16 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
Edmonton upset the Calgary Stampeders last time out and now going against a revenge minded rival. With that said, Im now betting the Stamps get their redemption behind now healthy QB Bo Levi Mitchell who is expected to start today under center . Dickenson is 11-1 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game as the coach of CALGARY. CALGARY is 16-6 ATS in road games off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite . CFL Underdogs or pick (CALGARY) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite against opponent off a road win are 34-9 L/25 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Calgary to cover | |||||||
08-27-21 | Hamilton -2 v. Montreal | 27-10 | Win | 100 | 12 h 35 m | Show | |
The Ticats will come into Molson Stadium well rested and motivated to get a W on the board . Fresh off of a bye week Hamilton is a dangerous opponent for a Als side that is showing just how undisciplined they are , taking bad penalty after bad penalty. Advantage Ti Cats. CFL Favorites vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - after 2 consecutive games where they forced 1 or less turnovers against opponent after a game where they forced 3 or more turnovers are 64-16 L/24 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hamilton TiCats to cover | |||||||
08-19-21 | Edmonton Elks +3 v. BC | 21-16 | Win | 100 | 2 h 5 m | Show | |
Edmonton has beaten BC three straight times and matches up well against them again tonight despite of already being 0-2 on the season. The fact they are looking for their first victory of the season makes Edmonton even more dangerous. CFL Favorites (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season are 24-60 ATS L/24 seasons for a 72% go against conversion rate for bettors. Campbell is 10-22 ATS as a home favorite in all games he has coached since 1996. Edmonton. to cover | |||||||
08-07-21 | Toronto v. Calgary -6.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -111 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
The new-look Argos Im betting will take time to get the rust off against a Calgary side that has dominated them here in Calgary over the years having won 12 straight meetings in Alberta. Note: Argos QB Nick Arbuckle is dealing with a glute injury. Stampeders are 24-8-1 ATS in their last 33 games in August. Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover | |||||||
11-24-19 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg +4 | 12-33 | Win | 100 | 52 h 18 m | Show | |
CFL Grey Cup - McMahon Stadium - Calgary, Alberta (The Sunday evening weather in Calgary calls for a high of -2 C. No significant precipitation is expected.) The public loves Hamilton here this week, but Winnipeg has proven their metal as underdogs, and must be respected here getting more than FG. Winnipeg is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.The Bombers’ road to success lies in its ground attack. Winnipeg led the CFL in rushing (147.9 yards a game) but was last over all in passing (212.2 yards a game). Needless to say Im betting they pound the rock on the ground to today and remain much more competitive then they were in the 2 losses they suffered to the TiCats this season. Note: Hamilton’s passing game despite of its explosiveness , has an ugly 24 interceptions tranking 2nd worst in the league. Meanwhile, Winnipeg s defence that registered 24 picks, second only to Calgary (26) and have the ability to sway this game to the underdog. WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. WINNIPEG is 11-1 ATS off a division game this season. O'Shea is 6-0 ATS in road games versus good offensive teams - averaging 400 or more yards/game - after 9 or more games as the coach of WINNIPEG. WINNIPEG is 11-4 ATS versus poor passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 61% or worse this season.WINNIPEG is 7-1 ATS versus good defensive teams - allowing 6.4 or less yards/play - after 9 or more games this season. CFL Favorites (HAMILTON) - off a home win by 17 points or more, when playing on a Sunday are 8-33 ATS L/23 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Winnipeg to cover | |||||||
10-26-19 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton +2 | 27-24 | Loss | -106 | 26 h 23 m | Show | |
There is very good news coming out of Edmonton for the Eskimos as starting Quarterback Trevor Harris, has been activated off the six-game injured list. He can practice this week and it is likely, but not confirmed that he will start against the Roughriders on Saturday. However sources close to the team say he's ready to go. His presence Im betting buoys the Eskies to a cover and possible SU win this Saturday. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (EDMONTON) - with a good defense - allowing 350 or less total yards/game, after allowing 5.5 or less yards/play in their previous game are 33-3 L/5 seasons for a 91% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover | |||||||
10-12-19 | Montreal +4 v. Winnipeg | 24-35 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
Both teams have clinched playoff berths.but Montreal is playing with momentum and motivation and still trying to track down Hamilton who are in first place in the East while Winnipeg is struggling mightily having lost 3 straight. Montreal has already proved they can hang with the Bombers when they scored 21 points in the fourth quarter to storm back and beat the Bombers at Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, and an upset here is not out of the question, thus making getting points golden in my humble opinion. Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.Alouettes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in October. Alouettes are 13-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. .Alouettes are 23-6 ATS in their last 29 Saturday games.Alouettes are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win. MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS versus good defensive teams - giving up 23 or less points/game this season. MONTREAL is 10-1 ATSin road games after playing a game at home over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 7-0 ATS when playing on a Saturday this season. MONTREAL is 12-3 ATS as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) are fade material in the long term- after scoring 9 points or less last game are 44-91 L/23 seasons for a lowly 32.6 % conversion rate for bettors. CFLUnderdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 36-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Montreal Als to cover | |||||||
10-11-19 | Ottawa +1.5 v. Toronto | 21-28 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 38 m | Show | |
In the first matchup between these two teams back in Week 13, the Argos went into TD Place and rolled to a 46-17 victory and now its payback time for the RedBlack. Toronto will also have a new face under center. McLeod Bethel-Thompson and Im betting this will hinder the Argos offence here tonight Argonauts are 6-22-1 ATS in their last 29 games in October.Argonauts are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. East.Argonauts are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 18.RedBlacks are 28-13 ATS in their last 41 road games. TORONTO is 2-11 ATS versus good passing teams with a completion pct. of 61% or better. - after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons. OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS as a road underdog of 7 points or less over the last 3 seasons. CFB Road teams (OTTAWA) - off a home loss against opponent off a road blowout loss by 21 points or more are 33-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Toronto's HC Chamblin is 1-14 ATS versus struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse - after 9 or more games in all games he has coached since 1996.Chamblin is 1-11 ATS when playing against a team with a losing record after 9 or more games in all games he has coached since 1996. CFL Road underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 39-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Ottawa to cover | |||||||
09-28-19 | Saskatchewan v. Toronto +7 | 41-16 | Loss | -120 | 36 h 48 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan has won 5 of their L/6 and on the radar of most CFL pundits as Grey Cup contenders. Because of this recency bias we get a good number to bet into here with a Toronto team that is a up trending side and that has been very competitive of late . The Argos deserve our respect on this line. SASKATCHEWAN is 18-37 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1996. Note: Three of the Roughriders four defeats this season have come away from Regina. SASKATCHEWAN is 2-17 ATS L/19 in road games versus poor ball control teams, 28 or less possession minutes/game. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 35-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover | |||||||
09-21-19 | BC v. Ottawa +3 | 40-7 | Loss | -102 | 49 h 10 m | Show | |
The Lions snapped their seven game losing streak last weekend against the Redblacks in Vancouver and now in desperation and pay back mode the Redblacks get their opportunity to end their own losing streak at 5 games. Im betting on Dominique Rhymes and Receiver Brad Sinopoli who is due to come off the one-game IR to spark this Ottawa team to a possible upset victory and more importantly a cover. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 2-12 ATS after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game over the last 3 seasons. OTTAWA is 31-16 L/47 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (OTTAWA) - after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 30-13 L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CFL team vs the money line (OTTAWA) - poor rushing team (70-95 RY/G) against an average rushing defense (95-125 RY/G) after 9+ games, after gaining 95 or less rushing yards in 4 straight games are 24-6 L/23 seasons for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover | |||||||
09-14-19 | Montreal +7.5 v. Saskatchewan | 25-27 | Win | 100 | 31 h 32 m | Show | |
Montreal comes in to this tilt vs Saskatchewan having won three consecutive games and are now 6-4, on the season with momentum on their sides. Meanwhile, the Roughriders after getting their butts handed to them 35-10 in the Banjo Bowl at the hands of the division-leading Blue Bombers will now be in a bit of a letdown situation. They were sky high for the above mentioned beatdown and still got clobbered which Im betting will effect their confidence going forward. MONTREAL is 9-1 ATS when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 over the last 2 seasons. SASKATCHEWAN is 18-36 ATS after having won 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games since 1996 and is 0-5 ATS L/5 September games. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 34-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Montreal Als to cover | |||||||
09-13-19 | Ottawa +5.5 v. BC | 5-29 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 46 m | Show | |
The Redblacks are coming off their biggest meltdown of the season, a 46-17 loss to the last place, and provincial rival Toronto Argos. Coach Campbell of Ottawa was visibly upset and equally embarrassed and Im betting he motivates his team to bounce back here in a game vs another under performing team the BC . Lions. OTTAWA is 8-1 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-12 ATS in home games versus awful passing teams averaging 6.9 or less passing yards/att - after 9 or more games since 1996.. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS in road games after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game over the last 3 seasons. Campbell is 12-4 ATS in road games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game as the coach of OTTAWA. CFL Underdogs or pick (OTTAWA) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a losing record are 46-18 ATS L/26 seasons for a 71% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Ottawa to cover | |||||||
09-07-19 | Toronto +5.5 v. Ottawa | 46-17 | Win | 100 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
Ottawa is having a bad season, and the usual hard nosed type of football they play under Campbell their coach is almost non existent. Meanwhile, Toronto, after dismal start to their campaign, have shown some spark lately winning on the road vs a a top tier Winnipeg team 4 weeks ago, and staying fairly competitive in recent games as McLeod Bethel-Thompson has thrown for 300-plus yards in six of his 10 appearances this season and he hasn’t been picked off in his last four outings. I know the Argos will not inspire bettors, but according to my current projections they matchup well vs the Red Black that has lost 7 of their L/8 and get my support here getting points. OTTAWA is 0-7 ATS in home games versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 430 or less yards/game since 1996. OTTAWA is 5-24 ATS versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game since 1996. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (TORONTO) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 33-6 ATS L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover | |||||||
09-02-19 | Edmonton +3.5 v. Calgary | 9-25 | Loss | -110 | 103 h 17 m | Show | |
The battle of Alberta between Edmonton 6-4 and Calgary 5-4 has the makings of a hard fought battle, that makes getting points a golden opportunity. Both sides are off home losses as it might seem their attention might have been in a look ahead spot and diverted to this inter provincial rivalry. Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.Eskimos are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.Eskimos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss Stampeders are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games following a ATS loss.Stampeders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.Stampeders are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 12.Stampeders are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up loss. CFL Underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 38-11 ATS L/23 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover | |||||||
08-24-19 | Hamilton v. BC +4 | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 38 h 59 m | Show | |
The B.C. Lions outplayed the Hamilton Tiger-Cats last month in their best road game of the season and still ended up with the L despite of covering as 8.5 dogs. Its been a very frustrating year for the Lions, and now they get a chance for redemption vs the TiCats here tonight at home . I know the public is all over the TiCats, because of the BCs horrible record ( 2-10 ATS) but travelling from East to West and playing in a different time zone is never easy. Plus the Lions have already proved they match up well vs this group of Hamilton players and must be respected in their ability to even pull off the SU upset. Note: CFL Home teams vs. the money line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after 5 or more consecutive straight up losses, in weeks 10 through 15 are 29-12 SU L/22 seasons for a 71% conversion rate with the ppg diff 0f +6.1 ppg clicking in on the scoreboard. Tiger-Cats are 6-15 ATS in their last 21 Saturday games.Tiger-Cats are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games in AugustTiger-Cats are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in BC. Play on the BC Lions to cover | |||||||
08-24-19 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Saskatchewan | 18-40 | Loss | -110 | 105 h 58 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan is having a good season, winning 4 in a row and well Ottawa is not as they have now lost 6 of their L/7 overall. Tonight because of the direction and path both teams are on we get to bet into a recency bias line, that is bloated according to my power rankings charts. Despite the RedBlacks below .500 record at 3-6 Campbells troops are a hard working blue collar group that never say die and deserve my respect on a DD underdog line. Note: Ottawa has covered 14 of their L/19 as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. | |||||||
08-17-19 | Montreal +6 v. Calgary | 40-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 17 m | Show | |
Montreal after 3 straight victories is off two hard fought losses one in OT, and one that was only played into the third quarter before being cancelled because of a vicious storm. Two unfortunate events that will have them hungry to compete here tonight, in Calgary. With Calgary off a heart breaking loss to Winnipeg last week 26-24, in a gruelling affair I wont be surprised if the Stamps suffer a let down scenario, and come out here on the slow side, and fail to cover this spread. MONTREAL is 6-0 ATS in road games versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better over the last 2 seasons. MONTREAL is 9-2 ATS after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons. CFL Road teams vs. the money line (MONTREAL) - after beating the spread by 35 or more points total in their last five games, after the first month of the season are 21-9 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate with a 5 point per game margin differential. Play on the Montreal Als to cover | |||||||
07-26-19 | Winnipeg v. Hamilton +2.5 | 15-23 | Win | 100 | 3 h 30 m | Show | |
The Tiger-Cats are well rested coming off a bye week in week six and a win in week five against the Stampeders (30-23) and will be primed to pull he upset as home dogs vs the undefeated Winnipeg Blue Bombers. Tiger-Cats are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.Tiger-Cats are 10-1-1 ATS in their last 12 Friday games.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. O'Shea is 0-6 ATS in road games after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game as the coach of WINNIPEG. CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - with a turnover margin of 0.75 or more /game or better on the season, after 2 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +2 or better are 15-40 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 73% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hamilton Ti cats to cover | |||||||
07-20-19 | BC +5 v. Saskatchewan | 25-38 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
Both these teams the BC Lions and Saskatchewan Roughriders need wins, and I am expecting a hard fought affair here making getting points a viable investment option.The spread has shot up after opening at Saskatchewan -2 and now at this level is slightly bloated. I know the Lions have struggled to score, thanks to a struggling offensive line, but their better then their 17 sacks suggest and Im betting they prove that here in desperation mode vs another inconsistent side.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-12 ATS off a blowout loss by 24 points or more to a division rival ( Calgary clobbered the Riders last week 37-10) Play on the BC Lions to cover | |||||||
07-19-19 | Ottawa +10.5 v. Winnipeg | 1-31 | Loss | -103 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
The recency of Winnipeg going 4-0 SU/ATS to start their season give us value on what Im betting is a bloated line. I know the Red Black have struggled in their L/2 games , one of which came at home to Winnipeg by a 29-14 count,, but now this hard nosed Rick Campbell coached team with revenge on board must not be underestimated in their ability to cash . With that said look for Ottawa to be hard to handle this this week , just like was the case when they walked into Calgary in week 1 of this season vs the defending Grey Cup champs and won SU as underdogs. | |||||||
07-06-19 | Calgary +5.5 v. Saskatchewan | 37-10 | Win | 100 | 14 h 13 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup champion Calgary Stampeders are being made underdogs here, and Im betting we have value taking the points here this Saturday night in Saskatchewan. Last week Quarterback Nick Arbuckle helped his team to a unlikely come from victory after coming off the bench in the final 3 minutes, completing a 21 point comeback against the B.C. Lions. Now with the momentum of that win on their sides, Im expecting another big game from the Stamps. Considering 55% of games have been decided in the final 3 minutes and wont be hard for me to imagine this game going down to the wire here and for the points to eventually be golden. Dickenson is 10-2 ATS versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game as the coach of CALGARY. CFL team (SASKATCHEWAN) - outgaining their opponents by 0.75 or more passing yards/attempt, after gaining 10 or more passing yards/attempt in 2 straight games are 11-43 ATS L/22 seasons for go against 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover | |||||||
06-21-19 | BC +4 v. Edmonton | 23-39 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 42 m | Show | |
Mike Reilly BCs newly acquired star QB Im betting will be key here to them covering vs his former team the Edmonton Eskimos a side that is not disciplined and takes to many penalties. Reilly in three straight seasons produced 5,500-plus passing yards and gets my support here in what could be coin flip game , which makes getting points a value investment option.
CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - good passing defense from last season - allowed 245 or less passing yards/game are 25-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate. Play on the BC Lions to cover | |||||||
06-20-19 | Saskatchewan +5.5 v. Ottawa | 41-44 | Win | 100 | 36 h 2 m | Show | |
Despite of all the off season departures the Red Black found a way to beat the defending Grey Cup Champion Calgary Stampeders last week by a 32-25 count winning and covering at 8 point plus dogs. However, this week, in an emotional let down scenario Im betting they will have their hands full with what Im betting will be this leagues strongest defence . Yes, Even with the loss of Willie Jefferson, the Saskatchewan Roughriders will have the best defence in the CFL especially with the addition of Micah Johnson and Solomon Elimimian. SASKATCHEWAN is 46-20 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. 75% or better ) since 1996. SASKATCHEWAN is 86-61 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1996. CFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (OTTAWA) - first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 4 or more wins in last 5 games, team that had a winning record last season are just 9-30 ATS L/22 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SASKATCHEWAN) - good passing defense from last season - allowed 245 or less passing yards/games are 25-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 78% conversion rate for bettors. Take the points with Saskatchewan to cover | |||||||
11-25-18 | Ottawa v. Calgary -4 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 57 h 31 m | Show | |
CFL 106th Grey Cup Championship - Commonwealth Stadium - Edmonton Im betting the old adage that says " The Third time is a charm " will see the Calgary Stampeders win and cover and grab this years Grey Cup. For the third straight season the Stampeders finished the regular season with the best regular season record, but in the previous two tries they failed in the finale. Not this time. This team is primed and ready to leave everything on the field here this time around.the Stampeders swept the two game series against the Redblacks this season and another 3 is my call here. With the this game being held in Edmonton Alberta just a few hours away from Calgary I expect the majority of the crowd to be on the Stamps side giving them an extra boost. CFL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points (CALGARY) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game are 31-10 ATS L/5 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Calgary to cover | |||||||
11-11-18 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan +1 | 23-18 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
CFL Playoffs - Western Semifinals Im betting the running game of Saskatchewan will have success on the ground and pound away with success vs a over rated Bombers front-seven, opening up the passing option for Shaq Evans and Jordan Williams-Lambert. SASKATCHEWAN is 6-0 ATS versus good rushing teams - averaging 5.7 or more rushing yards/carry over the last 2 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games . CFL Favorites (SASKATCHEWAN) - off a home win by 17 points or more, when playing on a Sunday are 32-8 ATS L/22 years for a 80% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Saskatchewan to cover | |||||||
11-11-18 | BC +1.5 v. Hamilton | 8-48 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 46 m | Show | |
CFL Playoffs - Eastern Semifinals Both of these teams enter this playoff tilt after inconsistent seasons.They spilt their two meetings, but my own current updated power rankings suggest the Lions will come out of this with the victory. Look for the Lions to rally around HC Buono who is in his final year of his illustrious career, and get the victory. Note: Hamilton enters the Eastern Semi-Final with just one of their key receivers remaining in their lineup from the start of the season — Luke Tasker. HAMILTON is 1-9 ATS in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 15-4 ATS L/19 in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 38 or more points .BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games this season. CFB Underdogs or pick (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, when playing on a Sunday 105-54 ATS L/22 seasons. Play on the BC Lions to cover | |||||||
10-27-18 | BC v. Saskatchewan -3 | 16-35 | Win | 100 | 83 h 31 m | Show | |
BC comes into this game on fire having won three straight games, but Im betting their run ends here today vs a Saskatchewan side that has won 4 of their L/5 overall, and that matches up well against the Lions according to my head to head power rankings. Saskatchewan already went into BC and took out the Lions earlier this season 24-21 and smashed BC last year at home by DDs. I know the Lions have revenge on board, but you don't always get what you want as Mick Jagger and the Rolling Stones can tell you. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 0-6 ATS after 3 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 3 seasons. CFL Home teams vs. the money line (SASKATCHEWAN) - after allowing 275 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 8.1 or more yards/play in their previous game are 31-7 L/22 seasons for a 82% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Sask Roughriders to cover | |||||||
10-20-18 | Montreal +4.5 v. Toronto | 22-26 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
These two teams look pretty evenly matched in their current losing forms, as both display ugly 3-12 SU records. Montreal does however matchup well vs the Argos and won their L/ meeting. Despite of Toronto having revenge on board, the Als from a statistical standpoint deserves my backing a FG or more. TORONTO is 1-8 ATS versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game - after 9 or more games over the last 3 seasons. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - with a poor passing D - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game are 26-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors.TORONTO is 2-10 ATS versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game over the last 3 seasons. CFL team vs SU (TORONTO) - with a struggling defense - allowing 7.5 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game 3-27 SU L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate. Play on the Montreal Als to cover | |||||||
10-19-18 | Edmonton v. BC -1.5 | 32-42 | Win | 100 | 36 h 60 m | Show | |
Edmonton after three straight losses came out in their last game and laid a beatdown on visiting Ottawa by a 34-16 count, but Im betting things won't come so easily this week at BC. The Lions have won 5 of their L/6 games and are 6-1 at home this season and have played consistent ball all season long while the Eskimos have not. EDMONTON is 13-34 ATS L/47 in road games after gaining 8.1 or more yards/play in their previous game.Maas is 3-12 ATS after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game as the coach of EDMONTON. CFL team (EDMONTON) - after being beaten by the spread by 21 or more points total in their last three games, in October games are 6-23 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the BC Lions to cover | |||||||
09-15-18 | Calgary v. Hamilton +1.5 | 43-28 | Loss | -115 | 95 h 32 m | Show | |
Calgary after starting their season with 7 straight wins is just 2-2 in their L/4 games, and have failed to cover 3 of their L/4 overall. Both SU losses came on the road where they play today. Meanwhile, Hamilton after a slow start to their campaign are humming along right now having won 3 straight and 4 of their L/5 SU/ATS and get the nod today in their current form vs a side that could be in an emotional down situation after a high energy meeting and 48-42 loss vs provincial rival Edmonton last time out. HAMILTON is 10-1 ATS struggling passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse - after 9 or more games over the last 2 seasons. HAMILTON is 7-0 ATS after gaining 8.1 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 2 seasons. CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 (CALGARY) - after going over the total by 49 or more points total in their last five games are 10-33 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 77% conversion rate for bettors. CFL team vs the money line (CALGARY) - with an excellent offense - averaging 7.25 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game are 6-22 L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. CFL team vs the money line (CALGARY) - after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games against opponent after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games are 5-29 L/5 seasons for a go against 85% conversion rate for bettors. Hamilton to cover | |||||||
09-08-18 | Calgary v. Edmonton +3.5 | 42-48 | Win | 100 | 36 h 31 m | Show | |
Its always a big game for CFL home teams when Calgary comes to town, and you can bet the Eskimos and their fans will be tuned up to pull off the upset. Edmonton is just 6-5 on the season, and have lost 3 of their L/4 with all the losses closely contested. The Eskies are however, undefeated at home this season, and actually matchup well vs this visiting power house , according to my rankings and have the ability to hand the Stampeders just their 2nd loss of the season. Take the points. EDMONTON is 9-2 ATS as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CFL Home underdogs or pick (EDMONTON) - off a road loss, in September games are 61-27. ATS L/22 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover | |||||||
09-08-18 | Saskatchewan +4.5 v. Winnipeg | 32-27 | Win | 100 | 33 h 40 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan has won three straight games, while Winnipeg has lost 3 straight. In my humble opinion and based on both sides recent performances this game should be closer to a pickem, thus giving us value the Green Riders on this tainted line. Saskatchewan has covered 4 of the L/6 meetings in this series and get my support here in this spot. SASKATCHEWAN is 11-3 ATS in weeks 10 through 15 over the last 3 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 11-2 ATS off in 2 straight division games over the last 3 seasons.SASKATCHEWAN is 16-6 ATS off 2 straight wins against division rivals since 1996. CFL Underdogs or pick (SASKATCHEWAN) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games are 132-73 ATS L/22 seasons for a long term 65% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. Play on the Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover | |||||||
09-03-18 | Toronto +8.5 v. Hamilton | 28-42 | Loss | -115 | 118 h 48 m | Show | |
This is the annual Labor Day classic between two long time rivals, and a upset is not out of the question, as is a cover for the underdog. TORONTO is 13-3 ATS L/16 in road games vs. excellent ball control teams, 32 or more possession minutes/game. CFL Underdogs or pick (TORONTO) - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, with a losing record are 46-17 ATS L/22 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors. CFL team vs the money line (HAMILTON) - with an excellent offense - averaging 7.25 or more yards/play, after allowing 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game are 5-21 SU L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover | |||||||
08-25-18 | Winnipeg +9 v. Calgary | 26-39 | Loss | -117 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
Calgary (7-1) must be considered the front runner for the Grey Cup this season despite of suffering an upset lost to Saskatchewan last time out , and Winnipeg (5-4) their opposition while competitive have proven inconsistent this season. The Bombers over the last few years are solid in the underdog role, and tonight I'm betting they give this powerful Stamps team all they can handle.WINNIPEG is 13-3 ATS as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons. | |||||||
08-19-18 | Calgary -7 v. Saskatchewan | 27-40 | Loss | -109 | 109 h 37 m | Show | |
Calgary 6-0 on the the season is the class of the league and the front runner for taking the Grey Cup this season. Saskatchewan has lost 4 of 6 games, with their only wins coming in back to back tries vs the Hamilton Ti Cats. The Green Riders don't have much fire power, averaging just 21 points a game on offence and thats not a good thing considering the visiting Stamps own the leagues top D, allowing just 12.3 ppg. The Stamps have won and covered their L/3 trips Saskatchewan and another win and cover is on todays agenda. | |||||||
08-11-18 | Montreal +14 v. Ottawa | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
Montreal has looked less than consistent this season, and are off two horrible defensive performances and losses. There has been a lot of soul searching going on in the land of the Allouettes, after last weeks embarrassing 50-11 defeat to Hamilton, and now somewhat of a bounce back effort must be expected against their Eastern rivals Ottawa this week, from a group that desperately need some redemption medicine. Meanwhile, Ottawa lost a heart breaker in a back and forth battle last week to Toronto 42-41 and could easily find themselves in an emotional letdown scenario vs a struggling team that Im sure will not inspire them. With that said, lets take the points. with a downtrodden side. Note: Road dogs off a loss in the CFL L/21 seasons with at least 4 days rest are 60% proposition. | |||||||
07-27-18 | Toronto +12 v. Winnipeg | 14-40 | Loss | -125 | 85 h 13 m | Show | |
The Toronto Argos took it on the chin last week, vs this same Winnipeg Blue Bombers team by a 38-20 count as short home dogs, and now have revenge on board in the quick turnaround rematch of a home and home series. I know the Bombers dominated, but last week they were being underestimated by the lines makers, and now this week their is over reaction to the last result. Toronto despite of exhibiting some issues, showed some promise at QB with James Franklin (65.5 % Comp) and look very much to be a value choice here vs this slightly bloated line. It must be noted that the Blue Bombers have failed to cover five straight games as a double-digit favorite while TO has covered 5 of their L/7 as underdogs. Also from a league wide database it must also be noted that road dogs off a loss, with at least 4 days rest are a long term solid wagering opportunity cashing at 62% or more of the time, if they are less than 14 point dogs. HC O'Shea of Winnipeg is 0-7 ATS after allowing 150 or less passing yards in their last game , which the Argos were able to accomplish. WINNIPEG is 5-17 ATS after outrushing opponent by 125 or more yards last game and is 10-24 ATS after outrushing opponent by 100 or more yards last game. CFL Road underdogs or pick (TORONTO) - with a poor defense - allowing 385 or more total yards/game, after gaining 275 or less total yards in their previous game are 54-25 L/22 seasons for a 69% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover | |||||||
07-26-18 | Edmonton v. Montreal +10 | 44-23 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
As bad as perceptions of the Allouettes might be, their still a proud group playing at home. Losing to what my power rankings suggest is the leagues best team last week (Calgary ) by a 25-8 count , is nothing to be embarrassed of. The Als also went right into Saskatchewan this season and pulled off the SU upset , and despite of their 1-4 record are being underestimated vs a Edmonton side that has lost both their road games this season. Right or wrong there is just to much home value to pass in taking the home dog in this spot. EDMONTON is 2-10 ATS as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons ands 4-12 ATS as a favorite over the last 2 seasons and s 2-9 ATS L/11 in non-conference games. CFL team vs the money line (EDMONTON) - after failing to cover the spread in 4 out of their last 5 games against opponent after covering the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games are 4-34 L/5 seasons for a go against 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Montreal Als to cover | |||||||
07-21-18 | Winnipeg -2 v. Toronto | 38-20 | Win | 100 | 32 h 35 m | Show | |
The Argos continue to play without their starting QB Ricky Ray, and my humble opinion are in trouble. The Toronto offence has already shown signs of floundering without Ray at the helm, and tonight vs an under rated Winnipeg side those problems could easily be magnified. Winnipeg owns a +48 point differential this season while, Toronto is a chilly -40. Yes, the Argos D, has looked solid, but will tire if the team continues to stagnate on offence and the D remains on the field for extended periods of time. The Argos have already shown lapses in their pass defense and more breakdowns are possible going forward. I know Winnipeg lost last week, vs the Lions thanks to a late collapse, but the Bombers are legitimate contenders despite of a 2-3 record , and must not be underestimated. Bombers are 17-4 SU ATS L/21 road games. WINNIPEG is 13-4 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game over the last few seasons. WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread over the last 2 seasons and is 8-1 ATS in road games off a division game over the last few seasons. CFL Favorites (WINNIPEG) - off 1 or more consecutive unders, solid team - outscoring opponents by 7 or more points/game are 34-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - off a non-conference game are 11-41 ATS L/5 seasons for a go against 79% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Winnipeg to cover | |||||||
07-07-18 | BC +6 v. Winnipeg | 19-41 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 51 m | Show | |
The Bombers continue to play without star quarterback Matt Nichols, but Chris Streveler has played well as his replacement. However, that may be short lived as the scouts get better reads on this QB. I'm betting his current fluidity will be tested, most probably tonight vs a BC Lions defence, that despite of giving up some big plays and points last week vs Edmonton are a solid speedy group that must not be disrespected or underestimated. Meanwhile, the Lions are also capable of taking advantage of a Bombers D, that was dominated on time of possession last week by the Tiger-Cats , and were on the field for a total of 37:30 of the tilt and could still be feeling the effects of that exhausting sub par performance. In their two losses this season, the Bombers have allowed opposition quarterbacks to throw 777 yards via their aerial attacks, and could get torched again, by a a QB in Johnathon Jennings that is itching be let loose by HC Buono. Its interesting to note that BC won the last meeting between these teams by a 36-27 count , but the previous 5 meetings were close affairs, with 4 of those games decided by a FG or less, and one by 6 points. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 38-20 ATS L/58 as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points.BC HC Buono is 35-8 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points in all games he has coached in his career and 24-9 ATS in road games off a loss against a division rival in all games he has coached. Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (BRITISH COLUMBIA) - in the first month of the season are 33-14 ATS L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. Play on BC Lions to cover | |||||||
07-05-18 | Hamilton v. Saskatchewan +7.5 | 13-18 | Win | 100 | 25 h 24 m | Show | |
The Riders have been giving up a some big plays that look great on highlight films but their overall defence is of the top tier variety and has not given up a lot of yards so far this season. Hamilton has a lot of playmakers, that begins with the arm of QB Masoli ,but moving the ball I'm betting won't be as easy as the pundits might think against this Riders D. With that said, take the points with the home dog Roughriders. Tiger-Cats are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win.Tiger-Cats are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games in July. Roughriders are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up loss and ATS loss. SASKATCHEWAN is 22-9 ATS L/31 vs. excellent passing teams averaging 325 or more passing yards/game. SASKATCHEWAN is 49-25 ATS L/74 as a home underdog. Saskatchewan has won the last 3 meetings in this series, including the last 2 here at home. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (SASKATCHEWAN) - in the first month of the season are 32-14 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate for bettors. CF L teams like (HAMILTON) - with an incredible offense - averaging 7.5 or more yards/play are just 10-25 SU L/5 seasons for a go against 72% conversion rate. Play on the Saskatchewan Riders to cover | |||||||
06-22-18 | Winnipeg v. Montreal +3 | 56-10 | Loss | -105 | 47 h 43 m | Show | |
The Winnipeg Blue Bombers are of a grueling loss to the Edmonton Eskimos by a 33-30 count last week in their home opener, blowing a late lead , that will now have them in an emotional letdown scenario. Also here on the road with stating QB Matt Nichols ( Knee ) his inexperienced backups may have some problems dealing with an improved Al's defense. Meanwhile, this will be Montreal's first home game with HC Mike Sherman at the helm, and with his team backed by a rowdy home crowd will be primed and motivated to move this franchise back to the illustrious history it had previously enjoyed in the CFL prior to the last ugly couple of seasons. O'Shea is 3-13 ATS after a loss by 8 or less points as the coach of WINNIPEG. CFL Underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - in the first two weeks of the season are 29-7 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 37-9 ATS L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Montreal Als to cover | |||||||
06-16-18 | Montreal +8 v. BC | 10-22 | Loss | -115 | 39 h 42 m | Show | |
After a fast start last season, the BC Lions fell apart as the season progressed, and lost 9 of their L/11 games thanks to offense that had very little flow as is evident by scoring 25 or less points in 5 of their L/7 tilts. The Als have a new offensive coordinator but its the talent on board, that does not mix well, and I'm doubting a significant increase in offensive efficiency. Meanwhile, Montreal is off a horrendous season, but now with former GB Packers Mike Sherman in town and the speedy WR Chris Williams haul down passes their on their way to a rebound season, and more importantly be competitive here tonight. CFL Underdogs SU (MONTREAL) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 22-11 SU L/5 22 seasons. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games are 36-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors on the blind. CFL Road underdogs or pick (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (MONTREAL) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Montreal to cover | |||||||
06-16-18 | Hamilton +8 v. Calgary | 14-28 | Loss | -115 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
Calgary annihilated the Ti-Cats 60-1 in an embarrassing affair here last season. You can bet the Ti -Cats will be hell bent on revenge and more importantly making sure they don't get run over again. Hamilton has a lot of speed on offense and can take advantage of the off season changes the Stampeders have made on defense. I know that Calgary QB bo Levi Mitchell is a stud QB ,and has a lot of weapons to work with, but Hamilton's newly revamped D, might surprise us here today. With that said, Ill recommend we take take the points . HAMILTON is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last few seasons. CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 22-11 L/22 seasons for a 68% SU conversion rate with the average margin deficit clicking in at Team 27 Opp 24.2 . CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (HAMILTON) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse, in non-conference games are 36-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road underdogs or pick (HAMILTON) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 90% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road underdogs or pick (HAMILTON) - good passing team from last season - had a completion pct of 61% or better are 23-2 ATS L/5 seasons for a 92% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points (HAMILTON) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 25-3 ATS L/5 seasons for a 89% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Hamilton Ti Cats to cover | |||||||
06-14-18 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +7.5 | 33-30 | Win | 100 | 37 h 8 m | Show | |
Two teams off 12-6 campaigns go head to head today here in Winnipeg in the opening game of the season for both clubs. Edmonton has two veteran QBs with Reilly and Glen at the helm of the offense, but have lost offensive weapons in the off season. The defense on the other hand despite of some veteran stalwarts like Almondo Sewell are a over rated group in my humble betting opinion, and susceptible to down campaign. Meanwhile, the Bombers despite of having to replace starting QB Matt Nichols because of a knee injury, are more than capable of competing with Alex Ross and Chris Streveler under center, who will be buoyed with Darvin Adams and Andrew Harris as well as all purpose star RB Weston Dresser. On defense the Bombers return their two best tacklers, Loffler & Santo-Knox and one of the best pass rushers in the league Jackson Jeffcoat. With that said, I expect the home crowd will help motivate this under appreciated Bombers team to being an extremely competitive opponent for the visiting Eskimos. WINNIPEG is 11-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last few seasons. HC Maas is 4-12 ATS L/16 as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points as the coach of EDMONTON. Winnipeg is 4-2 SU L/7 meetings in this series. CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) - terrible passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 64% or worse are 36-25 L/22 seasons for a 59% SU conversion rate with the average deficits coming out at an aggregate of 0. This 61 game long term sample size has seen these types of games play out as even on the scoreboard. CFL Underdogs vs. the money line (WINNIPEG) - in the first two weeks of the season are 21-10 L/5 seasons wit the average margin between both opponents clicking in at 5.6 ppg Underdog 28.3 Fav 23.2. CFL Underdogs or pick (WINNIPEG) - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 35-7 ATS L/22 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Winnipeg to cover | |||||||
11-12-17 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +1.5 | 39-32 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 6 m | Show | |
CFL Playoffs - Western Semifinal Winnipeg played their most complete game of the season in their last effort before the play offs against Calgary beating the leagues best team by a 23-5 count on the road . Now I'm betting they use the momentum from that game here today and get us the cover vs a Edmonton team that they beat in both meetings this season home and away. WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATS L/13 when playing against a team with a winning record dating back to last season and is 7-0 ATS versus good passing teams averaging 300 or more passing yards/game this season. WINNIPEG is 15-4 ATS L/19 as an underdog over the last 2 seasons. CFL Home underdogs or pick like Winnipeg - average passing team (245-290 PY/G) against an average passing defense (245-290 PY/G) after 9+ games are 35-11 ATS L/21 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors. CFL teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Edmonton - after 2 or more consecutive wins against the spread, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season are 6-27 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 82% for bettors dating back 21 seasons. Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
11-03-17 | Winnipeg +11 v. Calgary | 23-5 | Win | 100 | 51 h 56 m | Show | |
Dan LeFevour will earn the start at quarterback Friday when the Winnipeg Blue Bombers travel to Calgary for the regular-season finale against the Stampeders. He matches up very well against this type of team, and I'm betting he will move the ball against a top tier Calgary team and help us get the cover here. It must be noted that the Bombers are a cover machine: WINNIPEG is 11-1 ATS L/11 when playing against a team with a winning record. WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games versus excellent passing teams with a completion pct. of 64% or better - after 9 or more games and 8-1 ATS L/9 versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game.WINNIPEG is 7-0 ATS L/7 after playing a game at home this season. Bombers HC O'Shea is 14-2 ATS L/16 in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 52 . Winnipeg got beat 29-10 in the first meeting between these teams back in July 29-10, but are now in a better flow and look like viable underdogs in this spot. Underdogs or pick Winnipeg - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 58-20 ATS L/21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors . Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
10-21-17 | Winnipeg +1.5 v. Toronto | 28-29 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
Winnipeg is a contender for this seasons Grey Cup according to my power rankings, an are in a uptrend at the moment winning 8 of their L/10. and despite of Toronto from time to time pulling off some quality performances, are needless to say not a real threat . The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have had good success on the road this season winning four of their last five away tilts behind QB Matt Nichols who is completing 71.1 percent of his passes for 4,174 yards, 27 touchdowns and eight interceptions and I'm betting he really lights it up against a team the Bombers matchup well against. It must be noted that the Bombers have won 3 straight in this series, including the lone meeting back in July.TORONTO is 0-7 ATS against teams who commit 1.25 or less turnovers/game on the season and is 2-12 ATS L/14 versus good offensive teams - scoring 29 or more points/game.WINNIPEG is 12-4 ATS L/16 versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 or less rushing yards/game.WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS L/11 versus awful passing defenses - allowing a comp. pct. of 64% or worse this season.WINNIPEG is 9-0 ATS L/9 off a home win , which happened last time out.WINNIPEG is 6-0 ATS in road games after being outgained by opp by 70 or more total yards last game and is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games in non-conference games.TORONTO is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games in October games and is 4-14 ATS L/18 in non-conference games. CFL team vs the money line like Winnipeg - after covering the spread in 3 out of their last 4 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season are 48-16 over the L/5 seasons and so far a perfect 8-0 this season! CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Toronto - off a non-conference game are 12-45 ATS in their follow up game over the L/5 seasons for a go against conversion rate of 79% for bettors. Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
10-13-17 | Calgary -9.5 v. Hamilton | 28-25 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 15 m | Show | |
Calgary enters this game against Hamilton as the class of the league, after having won their first 7 games and covering 6 of those 7 tilts. The Stamps can beat you in many different ways, and when focused are a lethal force. Tonight against a Hamilton team that has been improving since a horrendous start to their season, and off a upset win vs the Winnipeg Blue Bombers last time out, will now have the full attention of a well coached Stampeders team. I know the Ti-Cats will be primed to compete and pull off another upset, but Calgary has a way of feeding off other teams ramped up home crowds, and use that energy to smack around their hosts. Lay it and play it with the visitors tonight. Stampeders are 23-9-1 ATS in their last 33 games overall.Tiger-Cats are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up win.Tiger-Cats are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 home games.Tiger-Cats are 4-12-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.Stampeders are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Hamilton. CFL team Calgary - after allowing 325 or less total yards in 3 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game are 25-5 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Calgary Stampeders to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
10-06-17 | Hamilton +14.5 v. Winnipeg | 30-13 | Win | 100 | 75 h 55 m | Show | |
Hamilton after a horrendous start to their season have been very competitive of late, and have covered their L/2 as DD road dogs, at Ottawa and BC winning both times SU. Now we are getting more than two TDs again with the Ti Cats vs a Winnipeg side, off a grueling and emotional underdog road win vs Edmonton last time out, and now will be in a letdown mode vs a side they maybe over looking and underestimating. Tiger-Cats are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 16.Tiger-Cats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Winnipeg. CFL Road underdogs or pick like the TI Cats - off a loss against a division rival against opponent off an upset win as a road underdog are 45-18 ATS for a 72% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Hamilton to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
09-23-17 | Montreal +7.5 v. Toronto | 19-33 | Loss | -130 | 51 h 31 m | Show | |
Montreal has revenge on board for a embarrassing 38-6 beatdown at the hands of the Argos last time these teams met on Aug 19. That loss triggered a current 5 game losing streak for the Als, and now I expect a big time motivated effort from Montreal in this spot as they look for payback and a chance at correcting their current run. It must be noted that Montreal did beat the Als the week before the above mentioned loss by a 21-9 count, and actually matchup well vs Toronto.
Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
09-17-17 | Ottawa -2 v. Montreal | 29-11 | Win | 100 | 76 h 50 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBlacks after winning 3 straight games conclusively, fell asleep at the proverbial wheel last time out and were upset by the lowly Hamilton Ti Cats 26-22. The usually hard working RedBlacks were dismal in that game, and now I'm betting they rebound in a big way vs a Montreal team that has lost 4 straight and 6 of their L/7 SU , and that they clobbered 32-4 at Montreal on Aug 31. . Ottawa is 7-1 SU/ATS L/8 meetings in this series. OTTAWA is 10-1 ATS L/11 in road games after playing a game at home.OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS in road games versus division opponents .MONTREAL is 3-14 ATS in home games versus poor rushing teams - averaging 90 rushing yards/game or less - after 9 or more games.MONTREAL is 0-6 L/6 ATS as a home underdog of 3 points or less. CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Montreal - off a non-conference game are 43-11 ATS for a 80% conversion rate over the L/5 seasons. Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
09-09-17 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg -2 | 28-48 | Win | 100 | 28 h 57 m | Show | |
Saskatchewan took out the Bombers last week in a big Labor Day game by a 38-24 count as home favs of -2.5. Now in the rematch I expect home field advantage to once again be golden, and for the Bombers to get the revenge they so dearly want. WINNIPEG is 9-1 ATS L/10 when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.WINNIPEG is 12-1 ATS in home games after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game .SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest.
Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
09-08-17 | Montreal +8 v. BC | 18-41 | Loss | -110 | 74 h 25 m | Show | |
Both these teams are on 3 game losing streaks and both are hungry to get back into the win column. With that said , I'm betting for this tilt to be a hard hitting and grueling affair that will see getting points being golden. Underdogs or pick like Montreal - revenging a loss versus opponent, off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite are 57-18 ATS for a 76% conversion rate over the L/21 seasons. AQnd under the same perimeters if its a same season loss these teams like the Als are a bankroll expanding 35-8 ATS during the same time line for a 82% conversion rate. Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
08-26-17 | BC +2 v. Ottawa | 24-31 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 37 m | Show | |
Ottawa after winning the Grey Cup last season, came into this season with a huge target on their backs. The RedBlacks played hard like they always do , but ran themselves down, in some grueling hard fought early season games. Last week after 8 days of rest, they smashed the lowly Hamilton Ti-Cats by a 37-18 for their first comfortable win giving them a 2-6 record on the season. Now this week , against a hungry and under rated BC Lions team, I'm betting they will experience a let down effort, vs a team that played the leagues top team Calgary last week very tough losing a heart breaking 21 -17 decision, and that a week after losing the 2nd of a home and home vs the Saskatchewan Riders. BRITISH COLUMBIA has reacted well in this situation going 6-0 ATS L/6 after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses . BRITISH COLUMBIA is also 10-1 ATS L/11 in non-conference games winning SU by an average of 9.1 ppg. Meanwhile, OTTAWA is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game which happened against Hamilton last time out. . Lions are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 Saturday games.RedBlacks are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a straight up win.Lions are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss.Lions are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 road games. CFL team vs the money line like the RedBlacks - after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games on the season are 7-38 L/45 dating back 5 seasons also CFL team vs the money line like the RedBlacks - a lower tier team (25% or less) playing a team with a winning record are just 5-43 for a go against 90% conversion rate for bettors. CFL Road underdogs or pick like the Lions- in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games are a long term profitable side to back going 95-48 ATS dating back 21 seasons. Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
08-17-17 | Edmonton v. Winnipeg +1 | 26-33 | Win | 100 | 34 h 16 m | Show | |
After a hard fought physical 27-20 win vs Ottawa last week as visitors , I expect the Eskies at 7-0 will be a little tired and vulnerable here this week in their 2nd straight road game , vs what is now becoming a very explosive Winnipeg offense, that beat up on Hamilton last time out by a 39-12 count . Look for Winnipeg team that averages 34.4 ppg to come out of this on top, buoyed by their home field advantage and under rated talent. EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS L/6 after gaining 350 or more passing yards in last game. EDMONTON is 6-17 ATS L/23 after 2 straight wins by 8 or less points. WINNIPEG is 11-3 ATS L/14 as an underdog. CFL team Winnipeg - after going over the total by 35 or more points total in their last five games, versus division opponents are 107-63 ATS 63% conversion rate 21 years. CFL Road teams vs. the money line like Edmonton - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 70 or more total yards in their previous game are 5-33 L/38 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors. Also Road teams vs. the money line like the Eskies - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opp by 90 or more total yards in their previous game are 4-26 L/30 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% for bettors. Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
08-13-17 | BC -1 v. Saskatchewan | 8-41 | Loss | -115 | 124 h 31 m | Show | |
BC has had the Sask Roughriders number for a while now , as is evident by having won 7 straight meetings SU including 3 straight as visitors. Now we have a situation where , a famous Einstein quote comes into play. The definition of insanity is when you do the same thing over and over again and expect different results. While all good and bad runs must come to end, this individual situation I'm betting does not warrant a change in flow in my humble opinion. The Lions on paper matchup very well, vs the Green Riders, and barring some unforeseen circumstances are the right side here tonight. SUSASKATCHEWAN is 1-8 ATS versus good teams - outscoring opponents by 5+ PPG on the season . BC HC Buono is 11-1 ATS L/12 off 1 or more consecutive unders , which has just happened. SASKATCHEWAN is 0-7 ATS after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game . Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
08-04-17 | Hamilton +14 v. Edmonton | 28-33 | Win | 100 | 60 h 50 m | Show | |
The Hamilton ti Cats were completely embarrassed last week losing 60-1 to the Calgary Stampeders. That was the 2rd worst loss in the franchise history, and third worst loss in league archives history. That loss came a week after they almost defeated this weeks opponent the Edmonton Eskimos, losing a heart breaking 31-28 battle at home. Now after that last ugly effort, and redemption at hand, I expect we will see a much better effort from the Ti-Cats this week vs a Eskimos side off an emotional win vs the BC Lions last week for first place in the West. Now in a natural letdown spot, I expect Edmonton will not be in top form, making getting points a solid proposition. I know its hard, backing a side that was just annihilated , but I'm betting last week result was an anomaly , and that the coaching staff and player personnel will be better prepared. EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS l/6 when playing against a terrible team (Win Pct. 25% or less ). EDMONTON is 0-6 ATS L/6 after gaining 7.6 or more yards/play in their previous game. The Ti Cats have won and covered their L/2 visits to Edmonton. The L/5 games in this series have been decided by 3,3,3,6, and 7 points . Play on the Hamilton Tiger Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-29-17 | Toronto +3 v. Saskatchewan | 27-38 | Loss | -105 | 79 h 26 m | Show | |
Toronto (3-2) played hard in a recent win vs the Ottawa RedBlacks, and came away with a 3 point victory. The margin was not impressive but the work ethic, and coaching staff impressed me as did some of their defensive stands. Maybe just maybe, the Argos are on their way back up the proverbial ladder. Meanwhile, the Saskatchewan (1-3) Roughriders remain very talented, finished 2016 with a 15-2-1 record , but were upset in a key play off game in OT vs the eventual Grey Cup Champion RedBlacks. Watching them lose to Calgary last week, showed me this team seems to still feeling the effects of last years deflating final result, and their not playing with the same urgency they played last season with. Today I'm expecting the hungrier team (Toronto) to cover the number and possibly pull off an upset. This I'm also betting might finally wake the Roughriders up moving forward. The Argos are 2-0 SU/ATS in their L/2 games in Saskatchewan. SASKATCHEWAN is 2-11 ATS L/13 versus good passing defenses - allowing 7.4 or less passing yards/att. SASKATCHEWAN is 2-10 ATS L/12 after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games .SASKATCHEWAN is 1-9 ATS L/10 as a home favorite of 7 points or less. CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the Saskatchewan - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are just 8-33 ATS L/41 opportunities for a go against conversion rate of 81% for bettors. Also CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like Saskatchewan - good passing team - with a completion pct of 61% or better, after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game 4-24 L/28 for a go against conversion rate of 86% for bettors. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-28-17 | BC v. Edmonton -1 | 26-37 | Win | 100 | 12 h 37 m | Show | |
This CFL conflict between host Edmonton and visiting BC features two teams with four-game win streaks vying for first place . This is a big early season game, and 'm betting the Eskies top tier D that has, allowed a league-low eight touchdowns in total and 307.5 yards of net offence per game outperforms the Lions top tier offense. B.C. is the West Division’s best passing team with 338.6 yards per game, while the Eskimos boast the fewest passing yards allowed in the league at 240.8 yards per game. The Eskimos key to key stops and frustrating opposing offenses has been the pressure generated by the defensive line, who will once again give the Eskimos the edge tonight and get us the win. Edmonton has won the three most recent meetings in Alberta and took the first game they played this year on the road by a FG, and tonight I'm betting nothing changes. CFL Road teams straight up like BC Lions - after gaining 425 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games against opponent after outgaining opposition by 70 or more total yards in their previous game are just 5-32 SU for a go against conversion rate of 87% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. Play on the Edmonton Eskimos to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-24-17 | Ottawa +3.5 v. Toronto | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 35 h 47 m | Show | |
The line on this game has moved enough for me to back the hard working defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBalcks vs a upstart Toronto team that maybe getting a little to much respect in this spot. The RedBalcks maybe just 1-3 on the season, but have played a hard early season schedule, that might be taxing on some teams, but will be a catalyst for the RedBlacks , to get back in winning form vs a Toronto team that despite of being 2-2 is not the superior team in this matchup. It must be noted that Ottawa's first 4 games of the season were decided by a total of 7 points, and their win vs under rated Montreal on the July 24 was by 5 points. If the RedBalcks lose this game Im betting the margin , will be extremely close and we will get the cover. I however, won;t be surprised by a straight up win by the visitors here. OTTAWA is 7-0 ATS L/7 in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS after allowing 350 or more passing yards in their last game. OTTAWA is 8-0 ATS L/8 versus good defensive teams - allowing 6.4 or less yards/play.TORONTO is 0-6 ATS versus poor rushing teams - averaging 4.6 or less rushing yards/carry .OTTAWA is 15-4 ATS L/19 versus mistake prone teams - 88+ penalty yards per game.TORONTO is 1-10 ATS L/11 after having lost 2 out of their last 3 games . Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-15-17 | BC -3 v. Hamilton | 41-26 | Win | 100 | 101 h 28 m | Show | |
BC was upset in their first game of the season but have responded with two strong back to back road efforts. The Lions defense, has been particularly strong, with the offense still not hitting its full potential yet. Meanwhile, Hamilton in partial rebuild mode, has come out looking much weaker than anticipated, on both sides of the ball, and very much looks like fade material after two straight losses by DD deficits. HAMILTON is 2-11 ATS L/13 in home games versus excellent rushing defenses - allowing 75 or less rushing yards/game.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 9-1 ATS L/10 in non-conference games .BRITISH COLUMBIA is 10-1 ATS L/11 off 1 or more consecutive unders.BRITISH COLUMBIA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games in the first half of the season. CFL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 like the ti Cats - after gaining 6.5 or less passing yards/attempt in last game are 8-32 ATS L/40 times dating back 5 seasons.CL Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 ti -Cats - off a non-conference game are 9-37ATS dating back 5 seasons. Play on the BC Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-14-17 | Ottawa +6 v. Edmonton | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 84 h 40 m | Show | |
After two grueling tilts against the Calgary Stampeders to start their season, the defending Grey Cup Champs, had a down performance last time out, and were upset vs the Toronto Argos , a scenario that I envisioned. Now however, after their shabby effort, they will now be ready to perform, vs a Edmonton Eskimos team that despite of 2 straight wins, are still a little over rated. No body plays harder than the RedBlacks in this league, and despite of the Eskies wanting to make a mark vs the defending champs, the RedBalks won't go without a hardcore fight and must be respected as underdogs. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread and is 6-0 ATS L/6 in road games after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse.EDMONTON is 5-15 ATS after 2 straight wins by 8 or less points. CFL Road underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Ottawa - off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite, in the first half of the season are a bankroll expanding 25-4 ATS in the followup game dating back 20 seasons for an amazing 86% conversion rate for betting backers. Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-14-17 | Calgary v. Montreal +6 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 81 h 37 m | Show | |
After two straight grueling games to begin their season, vs the defending champion RedBlacks, the talented Calgary Stampeders started slowly last week vs the Winnipeg Jets, but came on strong in the 2nd half to get the win. Now back on the road again, they find themselves even more exhausted than last week, and after putting out even more energy in the 2nd half of the last game come in here very vulnerable and susceptible to being upset. The Als have been very competitive in all 3 games they have played to this point, and very much look like viable home underdogs in this spot. CALGARY is 5-20 ATS L/25 after 3 consecutive games with a turnover margin of +1 or better. CL Favorites of 3.5 to 10 points like Calgary - off a win over a division rival, in the first month of the season.are 8-30 ATS L/38 in their follow up game. Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-08-17 | Hamilton +1.5 v. Saskatchewan | 20-37 | Loss | -110 | 109 h 38 m | Show | |
The Hamilton Tigers Cats are a loaded team that is taking time to gel, behind some minor reconstruction , especially on the offensive line. Their in cohesiveness in their first game landed them on their proverbial backs vs the under rated Argos in a 32-15 loss. Meanwhile , Saskatchewan still has not learned to win, and are off two straight losses to start their season. This week, I expect the Ti Cats to get rolling vs a Saskatchewan side, that has failed to rebuild to the point of being consistent, and must be considered fade material vs what my own power rankings and cross reference player vs player, unit vs unit stats and data suggest is the superior side. ( Hamilton gets the nod) SASKATCHEWAN is 0-6 ATS L/6 in home games in the first month of the season over the last few seasons and is 1-9 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less. HAMILTON is 12-3 ATS in road games off a road loss against a division rival. Play on the Hamilton Ti Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-08-17 | Toronto +5.5 v. Ottawa | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa Grey Blacks took part in two very close back and forth grueling games to start their season, vs the same team they upset for the Championship last season, the Calgary Stampeders. Now in a natural letdown situation the exhausted RedBlacks look susceptible to being upset, vs an improved Toronto Argos squad that despite of being upset as favorites last week vs BC, have a good chance at pulling off the upset and more importantly getting us the cover in this spot. Argos HC Trestman is 7-0 ATS off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite in his career.TORONTO is 8-1 ATS L/9 in road games in the first half of the season dating back a few seasons. CFL Favorites like Ottawa - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 2 or more straight wins are 16-43 ATS for a go against conversion rate of 73% for bettors. Play on Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-07-17 | Calgary v. Winnipeg +4 | 29-10 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 25 m | Show | |
Calgary just played two straight grueling close games against the defending Grey Cup Champion Ottawa RedBlacks and are now in a letdown situation heading into this tilt against a Winnipeg team that has covered 6 straight games vs a winning team dating back to last season. Winnipeg is also adapt at cashing as underdogs and have turned the trick 9 of the L/11 times getting points. Make no mistake that the Stamps are the superior team, but this is a good spot, for Winnipeg to keep the contest close or pull of the upset at home in front of their own fans. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like th Bombers - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 49-15 ATS dating back 20 seasons for a potent 77% conversion rate for bettors. Play on Winnipeg to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
06-30-17 | Montreal +9 v. Edmonton | 19-23 | Win | 100 | 51 h 58 m | Show | |
Edmonton was in top form and hyped up in a a underdog win on the road vs the BC Lions last time out, and will be in a natural letdown state this week vs the visiting Montreal Als , who won a 17-16 decision vs Saskatchewan.The Als have a new quarterback, a rebuilt offensive line and have added receiver Ernest Jackson, one of the Canadian Football League’s most-coveted free agents last February and Im betting they can now compete tonight vs the explosive Edmonton Eskimos. I know lat week was not an indication of what their able to achieve offensively, but this team will come around. QUOTE: We’re not at all concerned about the offensive output. I have supreme confidence everything’s going to work,” END QUOTE: general manager Kavis Reed, the architect of this team, said Monday as he watched his club practice indoors at Olympic Stadium. EDMONTON is 11-26 ATS L/37 after gaining 8.6 or more yards/play in their previous game and is 20-36 ATS L/56 off an upset win as an underdog. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Als - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games 35-7 ATS dating back 20 seasons. Play on the Montreal Als to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
06-30-17 | BC +3 v. Toronto | 28-15 | Win | 100 | 56 h 24 m | Show | |
A strong Edmonton Eskimos side upset a very good BC Lions team last week and now the Lions will be very motivated for redemption. Meanwhile, the under rated Toronto Argos also pulled off an upset vs the over rated Hamilton Tiger Cats last week. In the long run, I'm not sold on a rebuilding Argos ability to perform well vs a loaded side like the Lions and feel this week they are going to get knocked down a few notches. BRITISH COLUMBIA is 32-16 ATS L/48 off an upset loss as a home favorite. TORONTO is 1-8 ATS in home games in non-conference games and TORONTO is 4-13 ATS in home games.TORONTO is 4-15 ATS in home games off an upset win by 10 points or more as an underdog. CFL Underdogs or pick like the Lions - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse, in non-conference games are 43-14 ATS for a 75% conversion rate for bettors dating back 20 seasons.CFL Road underdogs or pick like the Lions - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-5 ATS L/31 for a 84% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the British Columbia Lions to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
06-29-17 | Ottawa +8 v. Calgary | 39-43 | Win | 100 | 35 h 43 m | Show | |
The defending Grey Cup Champs fought hard last week in a OT tie to these same Calgary Stampeders in Ottawa in rematch of last season championship game. Now in the 2nd rematch I once again expect the RedBlacks will not roll over and die and have alot to prove to their detractors who constantly tell us their inferior championship team. What few seem to realize is that, this RedBlacks team may not be as talented as some other teams in this league, but what they do have is grit and pride, and no one in this league plays as hard as they do. With that said, I'm recommening we take the points here. OTTAWA is 6-0 ATS in road games off a non-conference game and 9-1 ATS in their L/10 June games. OTTAWA is 11-3 ATS L/14 in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 points. CFL Road underdogs or pick like the RedBlacks - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 26-5 ATS. CFL Favorites like the Stamps - first month of the season, after closing out last season strong with 6 or more wins in last 8 games, team that had a winning record last season are just 13-37 ATS dating back 20 seasons. Play on the Ottawa RedBlacks to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
06-25-17 | Hamilton v. Toronto +3.5 | 15-32 | Win | 100 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
Hamilton and Toronto both underachieved last season. In the final meeting between both teams the Argos prevailed by a 33-21 count. Hamilton had a boatload full of injuries, and despite of their starting QB being healthy now (Zach Collaros) the offensive line is under reconstruction, and will take time to jell and protect their man under center. Meanwhile, /Toronto is a senior laiden team with a vertran QB at the helm in Ricky Ray, a decent running game behind veteran Brandon Whittaker and and a above average WR with Green and Fuller. The Argos defense was horrible last season, but with Corey Chamblin now at the helm, things will improve. With that said, the Argos look very much like viable dogs in this spot. CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like the Argos - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse. CFL Underdogs or pick like Toronto - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are also 73-33 ATS. Play on the Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
06-22-17 | Saskatchewan +7.5 v. Montreal | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
Over the last few seasons the pundits keep expecting a Saskatchewan turnaround, but it has not happened. Now many of the so called experts have abandoned the possibility of the Roughriders return to glory. I myself am still waiting and watching, on how it all plays out, but one thing I do believe is that this line on this game is now slightly bloated, as these same experts expect a miraculous Allouettes turnaround and a new era under new GM Reed & HC Chapdelaine and often injured QB Durant who is out looking for revenge for being released by the Roughriders last season. I'm betting that revenge angle is over played and Roughriders Chris Jones and company will be well prepared to face a QB that has struggled recently and that they know like the back of their hands. CFL Underdogs or pick like Saskachewan - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse, in non-conference games are 41-14 ATS dating back 21 seasons for a 75% conversion rate for bettors. Tigtening the peremiters even more it must be also noted that CFL Road underdogs or pick like Saskatchewan - poor passing defense from last season - allowed a comp pct of 61% or worse are 24-5 L/29 for a 83% conversion rate dating back 5 seasons.Also CFL Underdogs of 3.5 to 10 points like Sask - team that had a losing record last season, in non-conference games are 34-7 ATS for a 83% conversion rate for bettors dating back 21 seasons. SASKATCHEWAN is 78-54 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points dating back 21 seasons. Play on the Saskatchewan Roughriders to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
10-01-16 | Calgary v. Hamilton +3 | 36-17 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 50 m | Show | |
Home underdogs or pick like Hamilton are 30-7 ATS L/37 - with a winning percentage of between .400-. 490 in the second half of the season. Play on Hamilton to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
08-06-16 | Edmonton +4 v. Ottawa | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 50 h 50 m | Show | |
Eskimos QBs and recievers are dangerous and can score on anyone in this league, and as long as they play adequate D, the Eskies will be hard to beat . Yes, I know their Defense, has out right been a bust so far, but their talent level suggests they, may not be as bad as the media keeps telling us. The Red Blacks still have not won at home this season, and have yet to find offence, defence and special teams,” in front of their own fans, The REDBLACKS scored a huge overtime win with Trevor Harris coming off the bench in Edmonton earlier in the season. Its now payback time. Edmonton to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-23-16 | Hamilton +4.5 v. Edmonton | 37-31 | Win | 100 | 96 h 13 m | Show | |
07-15-16 | Hamilton +2 v. Montreal | 31-7 | Win | 100 | 99 h 11 m | Show | |
07-01-16 | BC v. Hamilton -5.5 | 28-3 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
Projected score: Hamilton Ti Cats 34 BC Lions 16 Play on the Hamilton Ti Cats to win vs the spread | |||||||
06-24-16 | Montreal v. Winnipeg -2 | 22-14 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
Former Alouettes cornerback Mitchell White continues to suggest he was a victim of the salary cap and intimated there’s a deep-rooted problem between some defensive players and their coordinator, Noel Thorpe. I think its obvious and that the Als overall chemistry situation will rare its ugly head in tonights opening event in Winnipeg. Montreal enters tis game off a horrendous 1-6 run to finish last season and have only won 3 of their L/12 road games.Winnipeg linebacking corps which is going to be anchored by two Americans this season, Ian wild and Khalil looked set to finally stop explosive runs.The Bombers have one of the league’s elite Canadians in defensive end Jamaal Westerman, who finished second last season with 17 sacks.Their placekicking game should be excellent thanks to the free agent signing of Justin Medlock, the most accurate kicker in CFL history. The offensive line is also set to improve and will Im betting provide QB Willy with much needed protection. Winnipeg has done well vs Montreal in the past and won 5 of the L/6 meetings and Im betting on more of the same tonight. Play on Winnipeg to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
06-23-16 | Hamilton +4.5 v. Toronto | 42-20 | Win | 100 | 60 h 58 m | Show | |
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats have amazing stoppers and own the CFL most prolific defense and will once again go with a record-setting group as they did last season, even though they have lost 7 starters. The replacement group coached by Orlando Steinhauer is even better than the last group. Not since the 1989 Edmonton Eskimos, who allowed just 302 points, have you seen such a defence that is so friggin hard to score on. Meanwhile, Toronto will be much improved this season, but putting points up on the board against this kind of over powering opponent will be no easy feat. Yes, even if oftern ijured QB Ricky Ray is healthy. Add to that , a Toronto D, that is less than top notch , I cannot see the Argos coming out of this one unscathed and eventually looking for answers. I know this is the opening game at BMO Field , but getting points here is a value play with Hamilton who are now operating behind a healthy QB Collaros and underrated pivot Masoli. Play on the Hamilton Ti-Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
08-30-15 | Saskatchewan Roughriders +3 v. Ottawa Redblacks | 13-35 | Loss | -110 | 131 h 3 m | Show | |
This Saskatchewan team is 0-8. But with just a few breaks, should have a much better record. Desperation is no longer an issue, as a calm has come over this team, after this nasty run! Losing game in and game out despite of having enough talent, to get wins, can be frustrating. But like a grizzled war veteran that has been through hell and back this should make the Roughriders a better more cohesive team, and Im betting tonight they get the cover, vs a Ottawa side in a down mode after a emotional loss to inter provincial rival Toronto last time out. No team in this league wants the be the first to lose to the Riders, which will put added pressure on this young core of RedBlack players. Saskatchewan to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
08-06-15 | EDMONTON -2.5 v. B.C. LIONS | 23-26 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The BC Lions have won two games this season, both against winless Saskatchewan. Truth is despite of the accolades and praise the media seem to throw around when describing the Lions, the team seems to continue to lack chemistry, and cohesiveness. Remember this is a team that in the off season made alot of changes both to player personal and coaching staff, and it has shown itself on the field. Meanwhile, despite of a early season loss to Grey cup contender Toronto, the Eskimos are now rolling on all cylinders and will be hard to stop and are viable road favorites in this spot. BC has failed to cover in 8 straight games going back to last season. Toronto has won two straight in this series both home and away. Eskies have won 4 straight by DD, and are 7-3 ATS vs the West dating back to last season. Play on the Edmonton Eskimos 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
08-03-15 | TORONTO v. HAMILTON -4.5 | 18-34 | Win | 100 | 154 h 29 m | Show | |
Projected score: Hamilton Ti Cats 34 Toronto Argos 21 Hamilton Tiger cats to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-30-15 | B.C. LIONS v. WINNIPEG +5 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 60 h 48 m | Show | |
After last weeks humiliating 32-2 loss. and the possible loss of their starting QB Glenn, the linesmakers over reacted and posted the Bombers as 5 point home dogs. Truth is Glenn only has a minor injury and will now probably play, and secondly after the last game being their third consecutive road game the Bombers were exhausted. Before that, the team played admirably, and were in every game. Meanwhile, BC with a completely new coaching staff and some new key cogs on both defense and offense can not be counted on to be consistent, especially in the visitors role. Big time value in my opinion with the home side. Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-24-15 | Toronto Argonauts +3.5 v. B.C. Lions | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 79 h 23 m | Show | |
Toronto Argos to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-18-15 | Winnipeg Blue Bombers +9 v. Calgary Stampeders | 25-26 | Win | 100 | 23 h 1 m | Show | |
Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers to cover the number 1 unit reg selection Play on the Winnipeg Blue Bombers 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-16-15 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -3 v. Montreal Alouettes | 13-17 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 18 m | Show | |
The Hamilton Tiger-Cats are well rested after their bye week in Week 3. After losing a heart-breaker to Calgary, they crushed the Bombers in Week 2, the team tonights opponent the Als just lost to. TiCats are 2-1 coming off the bye week - their lone loss was last year without Zach Collaros and they nearly defeated Calgary, in Calgary and still covered the all important number. With Montreal dealing with a pile of injuries and an inexprienced QB at the helm of the offense, things may not go smoothly tonight vs a side with two weeks to prepare for this battle, Hamilton Ti Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-13-15 | Toronto Argonauts +7 v. Calgary Stampeders | 20-25 | Win | 100 | 13 h 60 m | Show | |
These teams have played some very competitive games in the recent past, with 9 of the L/12 getting decided by 10 or less points. Both teams look at themselves as Grey Cup Contenders, and Im betting, on both sides to be sky high and ready to compete. Argos are 4-1 L/5 road games and are 8-2 ATS L/10 meetings including 4 straight covers here in Calgary. Take the points with the Toronto Argos 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-10-15 | Saskatchewan Roughriders +3 v. B.C. Lions | 32-35 | Push | 0 | 52 h 26 m | Show | |
Im very impressed by the Riders offesnsive line and believe that with the new rules, the Riders are going to be darn explosive and have run only one play so far for a loss of yards. I know that the Riders defense, looked bad last time out vs Toronto, but they were more solid than many might think, and that will become obvious tonight. BC in my opinion looks disorganized, and will take time to adjust to a new coach- Tefford, who had some up down seasons, with the University of California. Personaly I do not like his coaching style. Taking the points is a viable wager here this evening. Sask Roughriders to cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
07-02-15 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats -2 v. Winnipeg Blue Bombers | 52-26 | Win | 100 | 35 h 26 m | Show | |
The Blue Bombers were a very surprising 30-26 underdog winner in their most recent outing on the road against the Roughriders in a rivalry game,that had alot of big time energy attached to it and I can see a natural deflation situation occurring today vs a strong Hamilton Tigers Cats squad. Last time out for Hamilton, they were a 24-23 loser as they battled the Stampeders on the road in a heart breaking loss, and will be prepared for a bounce back effort this week vs a side that they have beaten 5 straight times. Hamilton is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.Winnipeg is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games . Winnipeg is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home. Play on the Hamilton Tiger Cats to cover 1 unit reg selection Projected score: Hamilton 28 Winnipeg 23 | |||||||
09-07-14 | Hamilton Tiger-Cats v. Montreal Alouettes | 31-38 | Loss | -110 | 92 h 13 m | Show | |
CFL | Sep 07 '14 13:05 The Ticats are a better team than many might think, and have been in every game they have played this year despite of the results associated with a quirky record. With now healthy quarterback Zach Collaros completing 27-of-38 passes for 317 yards and a TD in his first game since suffering a concussion July 4 they (the Ticats) are now a team to be reckoned with. (Last weeks win vs Toronto also showed me how staunch the Tabbies defense can be allowing TO just 146 net yards in a 13-12 win in their new digs. Considering Montreal inept offense, and some key injuries on defense this past week, I feel the Als are at a disadvantage. Hamilton Tiger Cats to win/cover 1 unit reg selection | |||||||
09-01-14 | Edmonton Eskimos v. Calgary Stampeders -4.5 | 13-28 | Win | 100 | 104 h 53 m | Show | |
CFL | Sep 01 '14 16:35 The Battle of Alberta will also be for top spot in the CFL’s standings. The Calgary Stampeders host the Edmonton Eskimos on Monday (TSN, 4:30 p.m.) to kick off their annual Labour Day home-and-home series. The teams will meet again Sept. 6 at Commonwealth Stadium with much more on the line than just bragging rights. There’s not much separating Calgary and Edmonton. They boast the CFL’s top offences (Calgary first at 27.9 points per game, Edmonton next at 26.8) and their defences are 1-2 in fewest points allowed (15.1 for Calgary, 17.8 for Edmonton). The diference maker here today will come via home field, the intuitive fact that that tells me Calgary has not turned on the high octane engines yet, and will be ready to let them roll today as they will prepared to send a message to the Eskies. Calgary is 16-5 SU versus Edmonton since 2008, having won the last nine head-to-head matchups. Im betting on one more and more importantly a win and cover. Calgary Stampeders vs Edmonton Eskimos-Calgary Stampeders -4.5 -110 1 unit reg selection |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,060 |
Dan Kaiser | $932 |
Jesse Schule | $566 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Ray Monohan | $518 |
Mike Lundin | $493 |
Tom Macrina | $430 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Joseph D'Amico | $390 |
Big Al McMordie | $340 |