Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
06-11-23 | Saskatchewan v. Edmonton Elks OVER 45 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Elks allowed a CFL worst 599 points last season, and the Saskatchewan Roughriders were the 2nd worst in the league defensively. Both teams look to have improved offensively in the off-season, and the total for their season opener looks a little low. The total in all three of last year's meetings was over 48 .. and they went over in two of three games. We should see both teams do some scoring here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-10-23 | Columbus v. Chicago Fire OVER 2.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Both these teams have scored 20 or more goals as well as conceded 20 or more goals. The last time the Crew played at Chicago they won by a score of 3-2, and I am expecting both teams to score here in this match.The Crew have gone over in four of their last five matches, and Chicago is coming off a 4-1 loss at home versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-10-23 | Golden Knights v. Panthers OVER 5.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Golden Knights were just two minutes away from a 3-0 lead in the Stanley Cup Finals, but Matthew Tkatchuck had other ideas. He tied the game, and the Panthers went on to win in OT. We can expect the Knights to come out like ganbusters in Game 4, and I think we see a higher score. The over is 4-1 in the Golden Knights last five Stanley Cup Finals games, and the Panthers have gone over in four of their last five versus teams from the Western Conference. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-10-23 | Mets v. Pirates OVER 9 | 5-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Pirates won Game 1 by a score of 14-7, and another slugfest should be expected today. Kodai Senga will toe the slab for the Metropolitians, and he's really struggled on the road. He's 3-1 at home with a sub 2.00 ERA but he's just 2-2 on the road with an ERA over 6.00. The Pirates hand the ball to Johan Oviedo, who has been hit hard at times this season. He's 2-2 with a 4.04 ERA in six home starts. The over is 14-5 in the last 19 meetings, and the Mets have gone over in five of their last six in Steel Town. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat OVER 210.5 | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The total for Game 1 was sitting at 219, and it has been trending lower every game. Now in Game 4 the number sits at just 210.5, after Miami shot just 37 percent from the field in Game 3. We should expect some positive regression for Miami, and I think they score 100+ here tonight. It's tough to see anything different from Denver as the mismatch with Jokic is just something that isn't going to change. The over is 13-5 in Heat's last 18 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-23 | Hamilton v. Winnipeg UNDER 47.5 | 31-42 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Points could be hard to come by in Winnipeg on Opening Night. These teams have failed to reach the total in eight of the last 10 meetings, and six straight in Winnipeg. The Bombers have owned the top defense in the CFL several seasons in a row. The under is 23-9 in Blue Bombers last 32 home games, and the under is 21-8 in the Tiger-Cats last 29 games in Week 1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Tigers UNDER 8.5 | 11-6 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Tigers rank dead last in the majors in runs scored, and we can expect a pitcher's duel in the Motor City in Game 1. Merrill Kelly will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 4-0 with a 1.63 ERA five starts on the road. Detroit will hand the ball to Michael Lorenzen, who is 2-0 with a 2.66 ERA in four home starts, and 1-1 with a 1.95 ERA in his last five starts overall. The under is 8-4 in Kelly's 12 starts this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-06-23 | Sparks v. Storm OVER 166 | 63-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Seattle Storm are still winless, and they have been really poor defensively. They rank dead last in the WNBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 94.5 points per game. They host an LA Sparks team that ranks 2nd in the WNBA in scoring averaging 87 points per game. The Storm have gone over in six straight, and the Sparks have gone over in seven of their last eight. These teams have gone over in four straight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 214 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 62 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. One of the stories in Game 1 was the Heat attempting an NBA Playoff record low two free throws. This is one of the factors that resulted in such a low score. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Miami Heat lead the playoffs in three-point shooting, hitting 39 percent from beyond the arc. The Nuggets aren't far behind hitting 38.6 percent of their three-point attempts. The Heat come in averaging 112 points per game while Denver has averaged 116 points per game in the playoffs. The Joker has put up incredible numbers, averaging 29.9 points, 13.3 rebounds and 10.3 assists. He's put up those numbers against the best defenders in the NBA. The Heat rank near the bottom in the NBA in rebounds per game, and have one of the league's smallest starting lineups. I expect Joker to put up video game numbers in this series, and I like the total to go over in Game 1." The total for Game 2 is several points lower than it was in Game 1, and I expect the Heat to get to the free throw line more often, and hit more threes in Game 2. Whatever the Heat do, I can't see them stopping Joker. I''l take the over here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 219 | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Miami Heat lead the playoffs in three-point shooting, hitting 39 percent from beyond the arc. The Nuggets aren't far behind hitting 38.6 percent of their three-point attempts. The Heat come in averaging 112 points per game while Denver has averaged 116 points per game in the playoffs. The Joker has put up incredible numbers, averaging 29.9 points, 13.3 rebounds and 10.3 assists. He's put up those numbers against the best defenders in the NBA. The Heat rank near the bottom in the NBA in rebounds per game, and have one of the league's smallest starting lineups. I expect Joker to put up video game numbers in this series, and I like the total to go over in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 203.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Here is what I said prior to Game 6: "We've seen some big money moving in on the under in Game 6. This might as well be an elimination game for both teams, but technically the Heat could try to win a Game 7 on the road as a likely double digit underdog. We saw this series go seven games last year, and Boston won 100-96 here in this building in Game 7. Boston has gone under in five of their last six at Miami. This might be the type of game where the winning team doesn't even score 100 points." We are calling for history to repeat itself in Game 7 of the ECF. | |||||||
05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. We've seen some big money moving in on the under in Game 6. This might as well be elimination game for both teams, but technically the Heat could try to win a Game 7 on the road as a likely double digit underdog. We saw this series go seven games last year, and Boston won 100-96 here in this building in Game 7. Boston has gone under in five of their last six at Miami. This might be the type of game where the winning team doesn't even score 100 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-27-23 | Stars v. Golden Knights UNDER 5.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Golden Knights have another chance to punch their ticket into the Stanley Cup Final, after losing 3-2 in overtime in Dallas in Game 2. Each of the last three games in this series have gone under the number, and both goaltenders have played very well. The under is 9-1-2 in the Stars last 12 Conference Finals games, and they have failed to reach the total in 15 of their last 21 versus the Golden Knights. The under is 9-1-1 in the Golden Knights last 11 Conference Finals games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-26-23 | Pirates v. Mariners UNDER 7 | 11-6 | Loss | -118 | 17 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Seattle won a pitcher's duel last night, defeating the A's by a score of 3-2. Game 1 versus Pittsburgh looks like another pitcher's duel. Mitch Keller will toe the slab for Pittsburgh, and he's been dominant this season. Keller has allowed just two runs on 11 hits, striking out 29 batters in 22 innings in his last three starts. He's 2-1 with a 2.73 ERA in five starts on the road. The Mariners hand the ball to George Kirby, who is 3-2 with a 2.02 ERA in his last five starts. The Pirates have gone under in four of their last five road games, and the under is 11-5 in their last 16 versus Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-24-23 | Hurricanes v. Panthers UNDER 5.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Hurricanes face elimination in Game 4, and Florida is riding a hot goaltender. Sergei Bobrovsky stopped all 32 shots he faced in a 1-0 win in Game 3, and he's been standing on his head this entire series. We should see another low score tonight, as the under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings between these teams. The Panthers have failed to reach the total in eight straight overall. Clearly the key here is the play of the Panthers veteran goaltender. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-23-23 | LA Galaxy v. Los Angeles FC UNDER 3.25 | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Historically we have seen high scoring games in the "Trafico" series, but things are different this year. The LA Galaxy sit in last place in the West, and they have only scored 10 goals in 13 matches. LAFC has allowed the fewest goals of any team in the West, conceding 10 goals in a dozen matches. The under is 7-0 in LAFC's last seven matches in MLS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-21-23 | Marlins v. Giants UNDER 8 | 5-7 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Marlins won 1-0 in Game 2, and they lost Game 1 by a score of 4-1. We expect another pitcher's duel in San Francisco today. Alex Wood will toe the slab for San Fran, and he's only allowed four runs in his last four appearances. He faces a lineup that ranks 28th in the majors in runs scored. The Fish hand the ball to Jesus Lazardo, who is 3-2 with a 3.16 ERA. The under is 18-7-1 in the last 26 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals was a high scoring affair, and because of that the total for Game 2 is five points higher than it was in Game 1. The series opener saw Denver dominate the first half, but the Lakers made adjustments that allowed them to come storming back. When they stuck Rui Hachimura on the Joker, the REAL MVP was held to just 3 points on 0-of-2 shooting in the 4th quarter. Don't be surprised if things tighten up in Game 2, and keep in mind that both teams shot better than 54 percent from the field when both teams are averaging under 50 percent in these playoffs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-18-23 | Panthers v. Hurricanes UNDER 6 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The #8 seed Panthers have been giant killers in these playoffs, and they find themselves as just a slight underdog on the road in Game 1 versus Carolina. The price seems a bit low considering it's an #8 seed versus a #2 seed. The Panthers turned things around when they went to Sergei Bobrovskty, and the veteran has turned back the clock. The Canes though have Freddy Anderson, who is 5-0 with a 1.80 GAA in the post-season. Carolina has also won 42 of their last 57 home games. The over/under trends for these teams may not be relevant, as they include mostly games with different goaltenders. Both these teams come into this series in great shape between the pipes. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-16-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 223 | 126-132 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Lakers could suffer a let down here off a big win over the Warriors in Game 6 in LA. This is Denver, probably the toughest place to play in the league. The home team won all four meetings in the regular season series. While the Lakers are coming off a high scoring series versus Golden State, and Denver is coming off a high scoring series versus Phoenix, this matchup features two teams that are ranked above average in defensive efficiency. The Nuggets ranked near the bottom of the league in pace of play. The under is 8-3 in the Nuggets last 11 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven off a double digit win. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
05-16-23 | Reds v. Rockies OVER 12 | 3-1 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Despite winning 10 of their last 14 overall, the Rockies are still sitting dead last in the NL West. Take a glance at the pitching matchup for this game, and it looks like a slugfest waiting to happen. Rookie Brandon Williamson will make his debut for the Reds, and while I can't say I know a lot about him, I can tell you he's not one of their top pitching prospects. It really looks like he's being tossed into the fire as a sacrificial lamb here. The starter for the Rockies will sound familiar, as Chase Anderson will make his debut for Colorado. Yes, the same Chase Anderson that has spent more time in the minors than the majors over the last three seasons. Posting an ERA over 6.00 in his last three seasons doesn't inspire much confidence. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-14-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Traditionally we see lower scores in elimination games in the NHL Playoffs, but the Edmonton Oilers are a different beast. They own by far the best power play in the NHL, but their goaltending and subpar defense always lets them down. Vegas won Game 5 by scoring three goals in just over a minute. The Oilers are 12-3 in their last 15 home games, and they have scored 49 goals in those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-14-23 | Cardinals v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 9-1 | Push | 0 | 18 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Red Sox boast a lineup that ranks 3rd in the Majors in runs scored, but their sad sacked pitching staff has them sitting in the AL East cellar. Corey Kluber will toe the slab for the Sox, and his days as a starter in the majors might be numbered. He's 0-3 with a 7.71 ERA in four starts at Fenway. The Cardinals hand the ball to Miles Mikolas, who hasn't missed many bats lately. He's 1-1 with a 5.40 ERA and a WHIP of 1.66. The Red Sox have gone over in five of their last six home games, and the over is 6-1 in the Cardinals last seven versus the American League. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-13-23 | Charlotte FC v. Atlanta United OVER 2.75 | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OVER. We should expect a high score when Atlanta United hosts Charlotte. Atlanta leads the Eastern Conference in scoring with 20 goals in 11 matches, while Charlotte ranks dead last in MLS in goals against, conceding 21 goals in 11 matches. Atlanta United has gone over the number in four straight matches in all competitions while Charlotte has gone over in three of their last four matches. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-11-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 226.5 | 125-100 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So I am going to focus on Devin Booker here. He shot 79 percent from the field in the two games in Phoenix, scoring over 80 points. Of course the total went over in both Games 3 & 4. Booker cooled off in Game 5 in Denver, shooting just 42 percent from the field. Asking him to make 4 out of every 5 shots here in Game 6 doesn't seem realistic to me. These teams went under in two of three regular season meetings, with the exception being a 128-125 overtime win for the Nuggets at Phoenix. This number appears to be inflated for an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-09-23 | Hurricanes v. Devils OVER 5.5 | Top | 6-1 | Win | 103 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The goaltending situation is on shaky ground for both teams in this series. The Devils will most likely start Vitek Vanecek, who had lost the starting job halfway through the first round series versus New York. The Hurricanes chased Akria Schmidt from the net early in both the first two games of this series. The Canes have had their #1 goaltender sidelined by illness, and both Freddy Anderson and Pyotr Kochetkov struggled in an 8-4 loss in Game 3. All three games have gone over the number, and yet the bookmakers haven't budged offering 5.5 instead of 6. I think this is a mistake. The over is 5-1 in the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-09-23 | Manchester City v. Real Madrid OVER 2.5 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -140 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Over. It should come as no surprise that these two teams have gone over the total in each of the last five meetings. Manchester City leads the Premier League in scoring with 89 goals in 34 matches, and Real Madrid leads the Spanish La Liga in scoring with 69 goals in 33 matches. Erling Haaland is the favorite to win the Ballon d'Or, and Karim Benzema is the reigning Ballon d'Or winner. History tells us we should see plenty of scoring in this first leg match. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-08-23 | Golden Knights v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | 5-1 | Loss | -133 | 20 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Oilers come back home with a split, and all the momentum in the series after winning Game 2 by a score of 5-1. It was 4-0 after the first period, and 5-0 after the second period. While the game went under the total, the Oilers had gone over in four straight prior to Game 2. Neither of these two teams are leaning on their goaltenders, as both Laurent Brossoit and Stuart Skinner have posted a GAA over 3.00 in the post-season. The Oilers are lethal on the power play, converting on more than half of their chances in the playoffs so far. They had by far the best power play in the league during the regular season. The over is 9-3 in the Oilers last 12 Conference Semifinals games, and they have gone over in five of their last six versus Las Vegas. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-08-23 | Cardinals v. Cubs OVER 7 | 3-1 | Loss | -100 | 19 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Cubs host the Cardinals in Game 1 at Wrigley, and with the wind blowing in the bookmakers are expecting a pitcher's duel. Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for the Cubs, and while he appears to have good numbers I don't think this is a good spot for him. He was 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in four starts versus St. Louis last year. Paul Goldschmidt is 8-for-18 with three home runs lifetime versus Stroman, and he went yard three times on Sunday against the Tigers. The wind might keep the ball in the park, but the last time I checked you can still manufacture runs with singles, doubles and walks. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-07-23 | Nuggets v. Suns UNDER 228 | 124-129 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Suns are back in this series after Devin Booker shot out the lights in Game 3. He scored 47 points on 20-of-25 shooting. I don't like his chances of hitting almost every shot he makes here in Game 4. After the total went over in the series opener, we saw Denver hold the Suns to just 87 points in Game 2. I think we see another low scoring defensive battle here in this pivotal Game 4. The under is 9-4-2 in the Nuggets last 15 Conference Semifinals games, and they should bring the defensive intensity here tonight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-07-23 | Maple Leafs v. Panthers UNDER 6.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 116 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. If the Leafs played baseball they would the Cubs. If they were in the NFL they would be the Buffalo Bills team that lost four Super Bowls. In other words, this team is cursed, haunted by years of past failure. Now they are up against a hot goaltender here in Florida, as Sergei Bobrovsky has turned back the clock. He's playing like he did when the Blue Jackets swept the Lightning in the first round. The Leafs have gone under in four straight, and they have failed to reach the total in each of their last four versus Florida. The under is 6-0 in the Panthers last six Conference Semifinals games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-06-23 | Chelsea v. AFC Bournemouth OVER 2.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 100 | 32 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. So Chelsea comes into this away match at Bournemouth as a huge favorite, despite losing five straight matches in all competitions. During that span the Blues conceded 11 goals. Bournemouth is now tied on point with Chelsea, and they have four of their last five matches. Only Leeds United has conceded more goals than Bournemouth (64) so far in the Premier League this season. Cheslea has gone over in three straight matches at Bournemouth, and that trend should continue here today. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-30-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 229.5 | Top | 120-100 | Win | 100 | 17 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So the first half total has gone under in five of six games, and now the bookmakers have made the adjustment. I don't think they have adjusted enough for a Game 7 though. There have been 15 Game 7s played in the NBA since 2018. The combined total fell short of 200 in 12 of those games. Only one of those 15 games went over the listed total for this game, when the Clippers beat the Mavericks 126-111 in 2021. We saw 109 points scored in the first half of Game 6, and I can't see them scoring more than that here in a Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-28-23 | Kings v. Warriors UNDER 235 | Top | 118-99 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So when it was announced that De'Aaron Fox was going to play despite a broken finger, the Warriors went from -4 in Game 5 to -1.5. I said that he could be a liability if he wasn't at 100 percent. He appeared to play pretty well, but his 24 points was a series low. He shot a series low 36 percent from the field and committed a series high six turnovers. I don't see it getting any better for the Kings here in Game 6. The Warriors won four series in last year's playoffs, and in their four series clinching wins the total went under in all four. The average combined total in those games was 207.5. I'll take the Dubs to win and the game to go under the total. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-27-23 | Rays v. White Sox UNDER 7.5 | Top | 14-5 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Rays rank #1 in the majors in runs scored, team batting average, slugging and on base percentage. They come into Chicago off back to back shutouts, and their struggles at the plate could continue against a red hot pitcher. Dylan Cease will toe the slab for the Sox, and he's 2-0 with a 2.73 ERA in five starts. The Rays counter with their ace, and Shane McClanahan is 4-0 with a 1.86 ERA. McClanahan allowed a pair of runs on three hits, striking out 10 in six innings in a win over Chicago in his last start. Cease was on the losing side of that game, but he was 1-0 with 0.87 ERA in two starts versus Tampa last year. Chicago has failed to reach the total in five straight overall, and the Rays have gone under in each of McClanahan's last four starts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-25-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 222.5 | 109-112 | Win | 100 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” With Minnesota facing elimination once again, don't be surprised if Game 5 in Denver looks a lot like Game 4 in Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-23-23 | Nuggets v. Wolves UNDER 225.5 | Top | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 18 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. I bet the under in Game 1 of this series, and I said the following before the game: “Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games.” We have since seen Game 2 and Game 3 go over the total, but with the Wolves facing elimination in Game 4, I expect to see more of a defensive battle here. The under is 12-4 in Nuggets last 16 overall, and the Timberwolves have gone under in 12 of their last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-19-23 | Kings v. Oilers UNDER 6.5 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The LA Kings got the upset in Game 1, forcing overtime with game tying goal in the final 17 seconds of regulation. Up until that point the game was trending under, and these two teams had gone under in five of the previous six meetings. The under is 21-10-4 in the last 35 meetings in Edmonton. We should see both teams tighten up here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-19-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | 113-122 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I had the under in Game 1 and here is what I said prior to the game: "Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games." I expect more of the same here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-19-23 | Manchester City v. Bayern Munich OVER 3 | 1-1 | Loss | -116 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Bayern Munich and Manchester City are the highest scoring teams in Europe, each with 78 goals in their respective domestic leagues. The second leg of this Champions League tie has Bayern returning home down 3-0 on aggregate, needing to score four goals to advance to the Semi Finals. This game should start fast, and be full speed for 90 minutes. Last year in this spot Manchester City lost 3-1 to Real Madrid, losing 6-5 on aggregate. I expect Bayern to score goal at home, but I also expect City to counter with a few of their own. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-18-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 214.5 | 90-107 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. I had the under in Game 1 and here is what I said prior to the game: "The Cleveland Cavs owned the #1 defense in the NBA during the regular season, and they host a New York Knickerbockers team that was also above average defensively. When these teams played in December, it was one of the lowest scoring games all year. The Knicks won 92-81 at The Garden, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see another defensive clinic here in Cleveland in Game 1. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and the Cavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. The under is 6-2 in the Cavaliers last eight Conference Quarterfinals games." I am expecting more of the same in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-17-23 | Warriors v. Kings UNDER 240 | 106-114 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. | |||||||
04-16-23 | Wolves v. Nuggets UNDER 224.5 | 80-109 | Win | 100 | 39 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Minnesota is coming off back to back unders in both of their play-in games, and they held the Thunder to just 95 points in their last game. The Nuggets own an elite defense, and they are particularly good at home. The under is 11-2 in the Nuggets last 13 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-16-23 | Heat v. Bucks UNDER 219.5 | 130-117 | Loss | -115 | 34 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Miami Heat owned the #1 scoring defense in the NBA this season, and in their play-in game against the Knicks they allowed just 91 points in a home win over Chicago. The Bulls were held to a single point in the last 3:47 of the game. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in five straight first round playoff games, and we should expect points to be hard to come by in Game 1 in Milwaukee. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-15-23 | Knicks v. Cavs UNDER 217 | 101-97 | Win | 100 | 15 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cleveland Cavs owned the #1 defense in the NBA during the regular season, and they host a New York Knickerbockers team that was also above average defensively. When these teams played in December, it was one of the lowest scoring games all year. The Knicks won 92-81 at The Garden, and I wouldn't be surprised if we see another defensive clinic here in Cleveland in Game 1. The under is 6-1 in the Knicks last seven Conference Quarterfinals games, and the Cavs have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games. The under is 6-2 in the Cavaliers last eight Conference Quarterfinals games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-14-23 | Thunder v. Wolves UNDER 229 | 95-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Under. So this number opened at 227 and has since been bet up. I will fade the public here with a play on the under, and here is why: First off the Wolves have averaged well below 117 points per game in their last five overall. They only barely scored 100 in regulation and OT at LA in their last game. Minnesota won the last meeting at Oklahoma City in December by a score of 112-110. Four of the last five head to head meetings have gone under. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in four of their last five road games, and the under is 12-4 in the Wolves last 16 home games. I don't expect to see any easy buckets in an elimination game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-11-23 | Hawks v. Heat UNDER 227 | 116-105 | Win | 100 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The last time these teams played the total went over the number in a 130-128 Miami win. This game was the second of a two game series in Miami, which is somewhat of an anomaly. The under had cashed in eight of the previous nine head to head meetings. Miami owns the 2nd best scoring defense in the NBA, one of only two teams to allow less than 110 points per game. Last year only one of six Play-in games saw more than 225 combined points. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings in Miami. I will bet on the defense to be the story here in Miami. The Hawks played in seven post-season games last year, and only one of those saw more than 225 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-07-23 | Nationals v. Rockies OVER 11 | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. After a rare 1-0 game at Coors Field, we expect Game 2 of this series to be a slugfest. Jose Urena will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he got rocked in his debut. He gave up four runs on five hits and four walks in just 2 1/3 innings in an 8-4 loss to the Padres. The Nats hand the ball to McKenzie Gore, who looked good in his first start. He was 0-2 with a 19.89 ERA in two starts versus the Rockies last year. The over is 12-5 in the last 17 meetings in Colorado. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-05-23 | Guardians v. A's OVER 8 | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Oakland A's were picked by many to be the worst team in the major leagues, but they have been surprisingly competitive so far. They have split the first two games of this home series versus Cleveland, and we expect to see a slugfest in Game 3. Hunter Gaddis will toe the slab for Cleveland, and he got rocked in Seattle in his season debut. He allowed four runs on five hits in 3 2/3 innings. The A's hand the ball to Kyle Muller, who was solid in five innings on Opening Day. He didn't look sharp last season and struggled in the Spring. The over is 12-3-1 in the Guardians last 16 versus a team with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-05-23 | Orioles v. Rangers OVER 7.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. We see a low total in today's Game 3 in Texas, despite the fact that Baltimore is sending a rookie pitcher to the mound. Grayson Rodriguez will get the call up from Triple A, and he has spent the last five seasons in the minors. He struggled this Spring, posting an ERA over 7.00. The Rangers hand the ball to Jacob deGrom, who didn't look sharp in his season debut. He allowed five runs on six hits in 3 2/3 innings in a loss to Philly. The Orioles have won eight straight at Texas, and four of the last five have gone over the total. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 7 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. We cashed the over in Game 1 at PETCO, but at first glance Game 2 looks like a potential pitcher's duel. Not so fast though, Yu Darvish and Zach Gallen aren't exactly coming in hot. Gallen (0-1, 9.64 ERA) struggled in the Spring, and then got roughed up by the Dodgers on Opening Day. He was 0-1 with a 4.96 ERA in three starts versus San Diego last year. Darvish missed Spring training as he was competing with Japan in the World Baseball Classic. He pitched in three games allowing five runs on seven hits (three home runs). The Padres have gone over in five straight against right-handed pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Padres OVER 8 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Padres are 2-2 heading into Game 1 of this home series versus Arizona. The D'Backs are also 2-2, and both these teams are turning to the back end of their rotation. Ryan Weathers will toe the slab for San Diego, and he has yet to have any success in the major leagues. He is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four career appearances versus Arizona. His numbers this Spring suggest his time in the rotation might be short lived. The D'Backs hand the ball to Ryne Nelson, and the rookie was roughed up in Spring Training. He was 1-2 with a 5.85 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP in six appearances. The over is 7-3 in the Padres last 10 home games, and they have gone over in six of their last eight home games versus a right-handed starter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-03-23 | San Diego State v. Connecticut UNDER 132.5 | Top | 59-76 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs streak of unders ended in a 72-71 win over FAU in the Final Four. Both teams shot out the lights from beyond the arc, with the Owls hitting over 40 percent and San Diego State better than 50 percent. I won't bank on seeing that again in the Final. The under is 17-5 in the Aztecs last 22 overall, and the under is 27-9 in their last 36 neutral site games. UCONN also plays a tough defensive brand of basketball, and the under is 7-2 in the Huskies last nine overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-03-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Everton OVER 2.25 | 1-1 | Loss | -57 | 8 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. So Spurs have parted ways with their manager, and often we see such a change of direction provide a spark for a team. They will play at Everton, and the Toffees are desperate for points as they look to avoid relegation. Spurs have scored six goal in their last two matches, and Everton has scored three goals in their two matches before the International break. Don't be surprised if we see a 2-2 draw here at Goodison Park. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-31-23 | Lakers v. Wolves UNDER 232.5 | 123-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. This is a big game in Minnesota tonight as the Lakers and the T-Wolves battle for a play-in spot. Just a half game separates these teams, and the winner will be closer to clinching home court in the play-in while the loser will be in danger of dropping out entirely. The total of 232.5 looks a little high, as eight of the last 10 meetings have fallen short of that number. They have gone under in each of the last five meetings in Minnesota, and the under is 6-0 in the last six meetings overall. The under is 9-3-1 in the Timberwolves last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-26-23 | Creighton v. San Diego State UNDER 135 | 56-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Scoring is up at the NCAA Tournament over the last week, but the Aztecs don't often find themselves involved in high scoring games. San Diego State has gone under the total in 10 straight overall, and the under is 26-8 in their last 34 neutral site games. These teams played in last year's NCAA Tournament, and Creighton won 72-69 in overtime. The total was set at 120.5 for that game, 15 points lower than today's total. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Some might be shocked to see these teams here in the Elite-8, but I actually have a pending bet on Kansas State at 10-1 to win the East Region. This was one of three longshots I gave out on my NCAA Tournament preview show on Youtube. I am a little concerned that their starting PG rolled his ankle against Michigan State, even though he played a team high 43 minutes. The Owls have been dominant defensively in the tournament, and if Nowell is not 100 percent it will be tough for the Wildcats to run up the score. The under is 20-8-1 in the Owls last 29 neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The Wildcats have gone over in five straight NCAA Tournament games, but two of their three games at this tournament saw less than 144.5 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas UNDER 149 | Top | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The under is still hitting at close to 70 percent in the tournament so far, and history suggests that the low scores will continue in the Sweet-16. Last year only six of the eight games reached 140 combined points. Xavier had their way with Pitt in the first half on Sunday, but the pace was slowed in the second half. I expect Texas to have more answers for the Musketeers and I don't think it's going to take them until halftime to figure it out. The under is 7-3-1 in the Musketeers last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and the Longhorns have gone under in seven straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-23-23 | Thunder v. Clippers UNDER 232.5 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 21 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Clippers just lost 101-100 to Oklahoma City on Monday, and this is a spot where I usually look to take the team with revenge in the second game of a two game series. In this spot though I am focused on the total. LA didn't just lose the game, they lost Paul George to a knee injury that will keep him out for several weeks. Despite the 201 total points scored in the first game, and the fact that these teams haven't combined to score 230 points in any of the last 10 meetings, we see the total listed over 230. The under is 30-10 in the Clippers last 40 home games, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine home games versus the Thunder. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee UNDER 132 | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 65 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Tennessee is the best defensive team in the country, ranking #1 nationally in both opponent field goal percentage as well as three-point field goal percentage. It should come as no surprise that the under is 9-4-1 in the Volunteers last 14 overall. Florida Atlantic has been solid on defense as well, and the under is 5-1 in the Owls last six neutral site games. I think FAU will score fewer than 60 points here, and the Vols are only averaging 66 points per game in their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-23-23 | Arkansas v. Connecticut UNDER 140.5 | 65-88 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Under. The under cashed at a rate of 27-9 in the first round of the tournament, and heading into Sunday's action the trend was at 33-11. We did see some higher scores and the over cashed in six of eight on Sunday, but those numbers had been bet down quite a bit. This number still seems a little high when you consider that Arkansas has gone under in five straight at the NCAA Tournament, and they trended under at a 58.8 percent clip during the regular season. The Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six, and they have gone under in five straight off a win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-19-23 | Creighton v. Baylor UNDER 146.5 | 85-76 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 8-3 in the Bluejays last 11 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-19-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 14-5 in the Kentucky Wildcats last 19 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-17-23 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 231.5 | 126-120 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Grizzlies come into San Antonio as a road favorite, but the Spurs have been pretty competitive of late. They are 4-4 straight up in their last eight overall, and they have scored 120+ points in three of their last four overall. The Grizzlies are coming off a 138-119 loss at Miami, and they have gone over in three straight versus the Spurs. The total in this game is lower than it was in each of the last five meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama UNDER 145.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aggies have won seven of eight overall, and prior to yesterday's win over Vanderbilt they had played seven straight games with neither team scoring 70 points. One game during that span was a 67-61 home win over Alabama in the final game of the regular season. Three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and Alabama has failed to read the total in nine of their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. The Aggies have gone under in 10 of their last 13 versus a team with a winning record. This game should look a lot like the last meeting which was played just last week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-12-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 44 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Newcastle has fallen on tough times, failing to score a goal in three straight matches. They are winless in their last five matches, with just two goals in those games. The only points they have to show for themselves come from a pair of 1-1 draws. They host Wolverhampton Sunday, and three of their last five versus Wolves ended with a final score of 1-1. Four of the last head to head matches went under the total. Wolves is coming off a 1-0 win over Spurs, and they have failed to reach the total in each of their last four matches. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-10-23 | Arkansas v. Texas A&M UNDER 138.5 | 61-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Texas A&M Aggies finished in 2nd place in the SEC, and their success comes in part because of their elite defense. They come in allowing just 62.8 points per game in their last five overall. They have won five of their last six overall, and neither team scored 70 points in ANY of those six games. They held #2 ranked Alabama to 61 points, #11 Tennessee to 63 points, and they held Arkansas to 56 points. The Aggies won their last game 67-61 at home versus Alabama, and the under is 10-4 in the Aggies last 14 games following a ATS win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-09-23 | Oklahoma State v. Texas UNDER 142.5 | 47-60 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Both BIG12 games failed to go over 140 points in the conference tournament yesterday. The Cowboys won 57-49 in their game versus Oklahoma. They lost 89-75 at Texas back in January, but each of the previous three meetings between these teams fell well short of the total. The total in each of the last four meetings had been set below 140. I am expecting another low scoring affair here at a neutral site in the conference tournament. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-07-23 | Club Brugge KV v. Benfica UNDER 3 | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Benfica is a big favorite here at home versus Club Brugge, but they will start the contest with a 2-0 lead on aggregate. There is no urgency for Benfica to score, especially given how solid they are defensively. They have conceded just one goal in their last four matches in all competitions, posting three clean sheets during that span. I like Benfica to post another clean sheet here in the second leg at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-06-23 | Predators v. Canucks OVER 6 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 21 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Canucks have remained competitive despite being sellers at the trade deadline, winning four of their last seven. The same can be said for tonight's opponent, as Nashville has won five of their last six. These teams have gone over in each of the previous two meetings this season, and the over is 15-6-5 in the Canucks last 26 overall. The over is 12-3 in the last 15 head to head meetings, and six of the last seven in Vancouver have gone over the total. I will ride those trends here given that the number sits at 6 instead of 6.5. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-06-23 | Raptors v. Nuggets UNDER 227.5 | 113-118 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So the Raptors come in as winners of six of their last eight overall, and they have been getting it done with their defense. Toronto has held their last five opponents well below the NBA average in points per game (110) giving up just 107 ppg during that span. They haven't been scoring though, averaging just over 103 points per game on offense. Denver can play defense as well, and I expect these teams to play hard here tonight. The total of 227.5 is far higher than it has been in any of the last 10 head to head meetings. The last time Toronto played at Denver (March last year) the total was just 221.5. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-06-23 | BYU v. St. Mary's OVER 129.5 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. So St. Mary's is one of the best defensive teams in the country, and they did win 57-56 at BYU back in January. BYU score 65 in the rematch at St. Mary's though, losing by just six points. The Gaels come in allowing over 63 points per game in their last five overall. BYU comes in scoring over 76 points per game in their last five overall. This number looks a little low for a neutral site game, considering the over is 146-118 in college basketball games played at Orleans Arena (prior to WCC Tournament). There has been several high scores here in this venue since the tournament started, and we have yet to see a game with less than 136 points scored. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-05-23 | Manchester United v. Liverpool OVER 2.75 | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. As inconsistent as Liverpool has been this season, they are still a force to be reckoned with at Anfield. They have just one loss at home, and they have scored 24 goals in just a dozen home matches this season. They will likely need to score a few to beat a Manchester United team that has scored two or more goals in 11 straight matches in all competitions. History suggest we are in for a high score here, with the over going 5-0 in the last five meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-01-23 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 225.5 | 113-117 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Celtics have allowed a whopping 118.8 points per game over their last five overall. That is out of character for this team though, and they still rank among the top teams in the NBA in opponents scoring average. They host the Cavs, who currently rank #1 in the NBA in points allowed (106.5PPG). These teams went over in each of the last two meetings, but both those games went to overtime. The listed total hasn't been higher than 220 in any of the previous five meetings. I expect both teams to bring it on defense here in a battle between two of the top teams in the East. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-28-23 | Wolves v. Clippers UNDER 233.5 | 108-101 | Win | 100 | 19 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Clippers have gone over the total in four straight games, but that is out of character for this team. For the first half of the season they ranked near the bottom of the league in scoring, and one of the top team in opponent scoring. We have a high total in tonight's home game against the Timberwolves, and I expect to see some regression to the mean. The under is 22-7 in the Clippers last 29 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven home games against Minnesota. The number in tonight's game is almost 10 points higher than it was in the last meeting back in January. Neither of these teams scored 100 in the last meeting in LA back in December. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-26-23 | Newcastle United v. Manchester United OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -58 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. So Manchester United comes into the Carabao Cup Final on a roll. They have scored at least two goals in 10 straight matches in all competitions. We saw Liverpool and Chelsea play a 0-0 draw in last year's Carabao Cup Final, but history tells us that we should expect more scoring here. Since 2020, the over has hit in 15 of the 23 Finals. Five of those games involved Manchester United, and three of those games saw 3+ goals. I am predicting a 2-1 win for United over Newcastle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-24-23 | Thunder v. Suns UNDER 232.5 | 115-124 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Six of nine games went under the total in the first day back from the All Star break. One of those was the Thunder losing 120-119 at Utah in overtime. Both teams scored just 106 points in regulation. The Thunder play the second game of a back to back in Phoenix, and the Suns have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven overall. The total of 232.5 is far higher than it has been in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. None of those games saw a number as high as 225. These two teams haven't scored a combined 230 points in any of the previous four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-24-23 | Canadiens v. Flyers OVER 6 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Habs are coming off a 5-2 win at New Jersey, their third straight game going over the total. They are in Philly tonight, and these two teams went over in all three meetings in 2022. Montreal hasn't played since Tuesday, and the over is 5-0-1 in the Canadiens last six games playing on 2 days rest. Philly has gone over the number in four of their last five overall, and the over is 9-4 in the Flyers last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-24-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Fulham UNDER 2.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So Fulham is undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions, and four of those five games went under the total. They host Wolverhampton, who ranks dead last in the Premier League in scoring with 17 goals scored in 23 matches played. The last time these teams played it ended in a scoreless draw. Each of the previous three meetings ended in a score of 1-0, and before that they played to a 1-1 draw. Wolverhampton would love a draw here, so expect them to be very pessimistic in their play. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-22-23 | New Mexico v. Boise State UNDER 146 | 77-82 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. New Mexico beat Boise State by a score of 81-79 in overtime earlier this season, but only 144 points were scored in regulation in that game. We see a total of 146 here in the rematch, despite the fact that the under is 5-2 in the previous seven head to head meetings. New Mexico is averaging over 81 points per game this season, but they have lost four of their last five averaging just over 75 points per game during that span. They face a Boise State team that is holding opponents to less than 60 points per game while going 12-1 at home. In their last three games at Boise, the Lobos have scored 52,53 and 61 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-22-23 | Providence v. Connecticut UNDER 143.5 | 69-87 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Friars won at home by a score of 73-61 over UCONN back in the beginning of January, falling well short of the total listed at 142.5. We see a similar total for tonight's rematch in Connecticut, despite the fact that these teams haven't scored a combined 140 points in any of the last five head to head meetings. The Friars have gone under in five of their last seven road games, and seven of their last 10 coming off a loss. The Huskies have failed to reach the total in five of their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-22-23 | FC Porto v. Inter Milan UNDER 2.5 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 60 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. I expect to see a cautious approach from both these teams in the first leg of this Champions League Round of 16 tie. Porto comes in as winners of five straight matches in all competitions, and they posted a clean sheet in four of those games. Inter is also undefeated in their last four matches, and they posted three clean sheets during that span. Porto has posted a clean sheet in three of it's last four matches in the Champions League. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-21-23 | Indiana v. Michigan State UNDER 136 | 65-80 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Spartans are 10-2 at home, and they have allowed fewer than 60 points per game during that span. They have gone under in six straight home games, and the under is 6-0 in their last six coming off a loss. The Hoosiers have gone under in four straight overall, and five straight on the road. Both teams come in averaging well below 70 points per game in their last five overall, and I don't expect either team to score 70 here in East Lansing. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-21-23 | Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Wildcats are the underdog at home here versus Baylor, despite a 14-1 home record. Kansas State has held opponents to just 60 points per game at home, and they have only scored an average of 67 points per game in their last five overall. When these two teams played in Manhattan last season, the bookmakers set the total at 136. They came up short of the number in that game, and the total for tonight's game is almost 10 points higher. They under is 5-0 in the Wildcats last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-21-23 | Napoli v. Eintracht Frankfurt OVER 2.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -124 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Napoli has scored a Champions League best 20 goals in six matches in the competition, and they lead the Series A in scoring with 56 goals in 23 matches. Frankfurt is capable of scoring their share of goals as well, averaging two goals per game in the Bundesliga. The over is 5-1 in Napoli's six Champions League matches so far, and I expect to see at least three goals scored here in this Round of 16 match. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-18-23 | Michigan State v. Michigan UNDER 134.5 | 72-84 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Wolverines only scored 53 points in a 59-53 loss at East Lansing back in January. The good news for Michigan fans is that the home team has won nine straight head to head meetings between these two teams. Michigan State is scoring just 60 points per game in their last five overall, and they have held opponents to fewer than 60 points per game during that span. The Wolverines have failed to score 70 in four of their last five versus Sparty. Expect points to be hard to come by here in this rivalry game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-18-23 | Oklahoma State v. TCU UNDER 141 | 75-100 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Horned Frogs have struggled since losing leading scorer Mike Miles. They have only scored an average of 67.4 points per game in their last five overall. They still have a solid home record going 11-3 straight up and holding opponents to just 62.1 points per game. The Oklahoma State Cowboys are strong defensively even on the road, where they have held opponents to just 66 points per game. The total has been listed below 140 in each of the last 10 head to head meetings between these teams, and this appears to be a rather inflated number. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-18-23 | Illinois v. Indiana UNDER 144.5 | 68-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Hoosiers beat Illinois by a score of 80-65 back in January, but they shot 62 percent from the field in that game, and I don't like their chances of repeating that performance. Illinois won at Indiana the last time they played there by a score of 74-57 last February. The total went under the number of 137 in that game, and we see a much higher total here in today's game. The Hoosiers come in scoring less than 65 points per game in their last five overall, and they have held opponents to fewer than 63 points per game at home. I am expecting a defensive battle here in this revenge game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-18-23 | Texas Tech v. West Virginia UNDER 146 | 78-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Red Raiders have lost six of seven on the road, and they are scoring less than 64 points per game during that span. They scored just 61 in a home loss to the Mountaineers back in January. They went under the number of 139 in that game, and the bookmakers have sent the total at 145.5 for today's game. That number is far higher than we have seen in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. In fact the total was lower than 140 in nine of those 10 contests. I expect to see another low scoring game between these two teams. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-12-23 | Chiefs v. Eagles UNDER 50 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 321 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Under. Both the Conference Championship Games fell well short of the listed total, and there are plenty of signs we should expect a low score in the Super Bowl. The Eagles defense knocked out Brock Purdy early in the game, and held the 49ers to just seven points. Their offense was a run heavy attack, and we haven't seen much in the passing game since Jalen Hurts came back from a shoulder injury. The Chiefs defense sacked Joe Burrow five times, and picked him off twice. They held the Bengals to just 71 yards on the ground, and they rank 6th in the NFL in opponent rushing TDs. Patrick Mahomes was limited due to a high ankle sprain, and he might be less than 100 percent here even after two weeks. GL, Jesse Schule SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD. | |||||||
02-12-23 | Youngstown State v. Cleveland State OVER 145.5 | 78-81 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Youngstown State Penguins lead the Horizon in scoring averaging over 83 points per game. They will play at Cleveland State, and the Vikings are a team more known for their defensive prowess. This battle of conflicting styles might still yield plenty of points here on Sunday. The last game between these teams ended with the Penguins winning 85-71. Cleveland State has averaged over 74 points per game in their last five overall. This number looks incredibly low when you consider the over is 12-4 in Vikings last 16 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-12-23 | Aston Villa v. Manchester City OVER 3 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Manchester City is the highest scoring team in the Premier League by a country mile, and they score the majority of their goals at the Etihad. In fact they have tallied 38 goals in just 11 home matches in the league this season. They host an Aston Villa team that is coming off a 4-2 home loss to Leicester. After Arsenal dropped points again on Saturday, we expect City to be fired up here on Sunday. I am predicting a final score of 3-1. Note: I did correctly predict the final score of 1-1 with my premium play on Crystal Palace yesterday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-06-23 | Duke v. Miami-FL OVER 145.5 | 59-81 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Duke Blue Devils lost 68-66 at home to Miami earlier this season, and while this is a revenge game for Duke, I expect a higher score here in Miami. The over is 18-8 in the Hurricanes last 26 versus a team with a winning record, and they have gone over in four of their last five home games. The Canes have a 12-0 home record, and they are averaging over 82 points per game at home. They beat the Blue Devils 78-74 in Miami last January, and we should expect a similar result here this time around. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-29-23 | Bengals v. Chiefs UNDER 48 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 82 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There is no doubt in my mind that Patrick Mahomes is going to play, but the question is how effective is he going to be. He wasn't too bad playing hurt last week, throwing for 195 yards and two TDs on 22-of-30 passing. He may not be able to extend plays with his legs, and that might result in a more conservative game plan from Andy Reid. This is a revenge spot for the Chiefs, after getting eliminated by the Bengals in a 27-24 OT home loss last January. There are a lot of trends pointing towards the under. The under is 26-10-3 in the Bengals last 39 road games, and the under is 12-3 in their last 15 games in January. These teams have gone under in five of the last six at Arrowhead. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-29-23 | 49ers v. Eagles UNDER 46 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 149 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under 45.5. The Niners have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, and they completely shut down Dallas last week. They are trying to become the first team in history to send a rookie QB to the Super Bowl. Mr Irrelevant looked pretty pedestrian against an elite Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards on 19-of-29 passing, with no TDs or picks. The last time these teams played, San Francisco won 17-11 it Philly is September of last season. The under is 15-5-1 in Eagles last 21 playoff games, and the under is 12-3-1 in Eagles last 16 playoff home games. This should be a defensive battle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-28-23 | Blackhawks v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Oilers had won six straight before dropping a home game to Columbus, and they host the Blackhawks off an upset win in Calgary. Edmonton has the best power play in the league, and they should have plenty of success against this Hawks penalty killing unit. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings, and the Hawks have gone over in five of their last six at Edmonton. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-28-23 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 232.5 | 100-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Mavs won in Phoenix without Luka, by a score of 98-85, and we might expect another low score without their leading scorer here in Utah. The Mavericks are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games. They are 6-21-1 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up win. The under is 14-6 in the Jazz last 20 games after allowing more than 125 points in their previous game. These teams have failed to reach the total in each of the last four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-27-23 | Arsenal v. Manchester City OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 86 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER. These are the top two scoring teams in the Premier League, and while in some cases a Cup match might not be as significant as a league game, in this case it's an opportunity for both these teams to make a statement. Arsenal sits five points clear of City in the Premier League standings, and a win here at the Etihad might be soul crushing for Pep Guardiola's side. It won't be easy, as Man City has scored a whopping 38 goals in 11 home matches. Arsenal though has the best away record in the Premier League, and they have scored 20 goals in 10 away matches. I like both teams to score here, and we should see a high score. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-25-23 | Canucks v. Seattle Kraken OVER 6.5 | 1-6 | Win | 100 | 21 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Canucks have a new coach, and they picked up a 5-2 win in Rick Tochett's debut behind the bench. Vancouver will play the second game of a back to back tonight in Seattle. These two teams rank among the highest scoring teams in the NHL, both own a potent power play and a below average penalty kill. This figures to be a recipe for another high score. These teams have gone over in five straight meetings, and the most recent was a 6-5 win for the Canucks a few days before Christmas. GL, Jesse Schule |
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