Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-01-23 | Florida Atlantic v. San Diego State UNDER 132 | Top | 71-72 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aztecs will be just a slight favorite here against the Florida Atlantic Owls, and San Diego State has been dominant defensively in the tournament so far. They have held three of their four opponents to fewer than 60 points, with the exception being a 71-64 win over Alabama. The Aztecs have gone under in 12 straight overall, and we expect another defensive battle here. The Owls have escaped from some close calls, but I think their luck runs out here in the Final Four. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-01-23 | Aston Villa v. Chelsea -147 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Chelsea. It's been a disastrous season for Chelsea despite having the highest payroll in the Premier League. The spending spree has brought in star players but the results haven't translated on the pitch. Chelsea sits 10th in the table, tied on points with Aston Villa. The two teams will play at Stamford Bridge Saturday, and the bookmakers are offering a reasonable price on the home favorite. Keep in mind that Chelsea is 9-1-1 in their last 11 Premier League matches versus Aston Villa, with only one loss in their last 19 home matches. Villa comes in undefeated in their last four matches, but all those games were against teams facing relegation. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-25-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Kansas State UNDER 144.5 | Top | 79-76 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Some might be shocked to see these teams here in the Elite-8, but I actually have a pending bet on Kansas State at 10-1 to win the East Region. This was one of three longshots I gave out on my NCAA Tournament preview show on Youtube. I am a little concerned that their starting PG rolled his ankle against Michigan State, even though he played a team high 43 minutes. The Owls have been dominant defensively in the tournament, and if Nowell is not 100 percent it will be tough for the Wildcats to run up the score. The under is 20-8-1 in the Owls last 29 neutral site games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. The Wildcats have gone over in five straight NCAA Tournament games, but two of their three games at this tournament saw less than 144.5 combined points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-24-23 | Xavier v. Texas UNDER 149 | Top | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 90 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The under is still hitting at close to 70 percent in the tournament so far, and history suggests that the low scores will continue in the Sweet-16. Last year only six of the eight games reached 140 combined points. Xavier had their way with Pitt in the first half on Sunday, but the pace was slowed in the second half. I expect Texas to have more answers for the Musketeers and I don't think it's going to take them until halftime to figure it out. The under is 7-3-1 in the Musketeers last 11 NCAA Tournament games, and the Longhorns have gone under in seven straight overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-23-23 | Florida Atlantic v. Tennessee UNDER 132 | Top | 62-55 | Win | 100 | 65 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Tennessee is the best defensive team in the country, ranking #1 nationally in both opponent field goal percentage as well as three-point field goal percentage. It should come as no surprise that the under is 9-4-1 in the Volunteers last 14 overall. Florida Atlantic has been solid on defense as well, and the under is 5-1 in the Owls last six neutral site games. I think FAU will score fewer than 60 points here, and the Vols are only averaging 66 points per game in their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-22-23 | UAB v. Vanderbilt -115 | Top | 67-59 | Loss | -115 | 40 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Vandy. I picked Vandy at 28-1 to win the N.I.T. before the tournament started, and I bet on them in their opening game against Yale. Here is what I said before they beat the Bulldogs: "The Commodores have been one of the hottest teams in the country at the end of the season. Prior to losing to Texas A&M in the SEC Tournament Semifinal, they had won 10 of 11 with wins over Kentucky (twice), Tennessee and Auburn. They host the Yale Bulldogs, and Vandy is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games. The Commodores are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss." They needed a miracle to get past Michigan, and of course to me that felt like destiny is on their side. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-19-23 | Kentucky v. Kansas State UNDER 146.5 | Top | 69-75 | Win | 100 | 33 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. If you check out ESPN you will see stories about Princeton and FDU. The media loves to hype up the upsets, meanwhile favorites are 29-11 straight up so far in the tournament. Lost in all the talk over underdogs and upsets is the fact that unders have been hitting at a 75 percent clip in the tournament so far. It wouldn't appear that the markets have adjusted for this, as the total for this game is over 145. There were eight games at the NCAA Tournament yesterday, and not a single one of them saw a combined 145 points. We have seen 22 of 24 games go under that number the last two days at the tournament. The under is 14-5 in the Kentucky Wildcats last 19 NCAA Tournament games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-18-23 | Blackhawks v. Coyotes -140 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. I had Arizona in their last game, a win against the Vancouver Canucks. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Coyotes continue to be undervalued at home, as the Canucks come to town as favorites. Vancouver has five fewer road wins than Arizona has at home, and when you consider that several of Vancouver's wins and several of Arizona's losses came in games decided by one goal, the puckline looks good even at a high price. The Canucks are 4-11 in their last 15 road games, while the Coyotes have won four straight at home." Now they face a Blackhawks team that has traded away all their veterans and are in full rebuild mode. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-18-23 | Southern Indiana v. San Jose State -8.5 | Top | 52-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJST. I don't think the markets have caught up to this San Jose State team. The Spartans are perennial bottom feeders in the Mountain West, but this year they finished top five in the conference this year, two games ahead of New Mexico and just two games back of Nevada. Both these teams are coming off a loss, but the Spartans are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Screaming Eagles are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. I have to think this is a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-23 | Seattle Kraken -154 v. Sharks | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The Kraken have lost three straight on home ice, but they head out on the road where they have actually have a much better record. In fact Seattle has a Western Conference best 21 wins on the road, and the San Jose Sharks have the worst home record in the entire NHL. San Jose has just a half dozen home wins, the only team in the league that doesn't have 10+ wins on home ice. The Sharks are 13-41 in their last 54 home games. This is a big game for Seattle as they need to snap out of a slump to stay in a playoff spot in the Western Conference. The Sharks on the other hand are polishing their golf clubs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-23 | Oral Roberts v. Duke -6 | Top | 51-74 | Win | 100 | 63 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Duke. By now, everyone knows that #5 seeds are vulnerable to upsets in the first round versus #12 seeds. Maybe that's how ACC Tournament champions Duke open as a single digit favorite and get bet down to -6.5 or -6. I believe the perception doesn't line up with the reality here at the NCAA Tournament. When a double digit seed wins outright it makes headlines, but the other 90 percent of the time it doesn't get talked about. Duke comes in on a nine game winning streak, and the average margin of victory in those games is well over 10 points per game. Oral Roberts has failed to cover in 12 of their last 15 versus teams with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Golden Eagles covered just twice in their last nine games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-15-23 | Wild -135 v. Blues | Top | 8-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN. The Wild are coming off a 5-4 loss at Arizona on Sunday, and they have had a few days to prepare for tonight's game in St. Louis. Backup goaltender Filip Gustavsson allowed five goal on 23 shots in the loss. We will see Marc Andre Fluery back between the pipes tonight, and he's 3-0 with a 1.68 GAA so far in March. The Wild are 10-3 in their last 13 overall, and they have won four of their last five road games. The Blues are just 3-9 in their last 12 overall, and they are 1-5 in their last six home games. These two teams are trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-12-23 | Memphis +6 v. Houston | Top | 75-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Memphis. The Cougars have won seven of the last 10 meetings straight up, but they have failed to cover in all but one of those games. These teams played just a week ago, and Memphis lost by two with Houston hitting the winner at the buzzer. Leading scorer Marcus played 37 minutes in that game, but he missed yesterday's game against Cincinnati. He will either miss this game, or he will be limited by a groin injury. With Houston's spot in the tournament secure, I see no reason for them to rush him back. The Cougars are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. I'll take the points, and sprinkle a little on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-12-23 | Texas A&M v. Alabama UNDER 145.5 | Top | 63-82 | Win | 100 | 11 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Aggies have won seven of eight overall, and prior to yesterday's win over Vanderbilt they had played seven straight games with neither team scoring 70 points. One game during that span was a 67-61 home win over Alabama in the final game of the regular season. Three of the last four head to head meetings between these teams have gone under the total, and Alabama has failed to read the total in nine of their last 11 versus a team with a winning record. The Aggies have gone under in 10 of their last 13 versus a team with a winning record. This game should look a lot like the last meeting which was played just last week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-12-23 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Newcastle United UNDER 2.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -125 | 44 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Newcastle has fallen on tough times, failing to score a goal in three straight matches. They are winless in their last five matches, with just two goals in those games. The only points they have to show for themselves come from a pair of 1-1 draws. They host Wolverhampton Sunday, and three of their last five versus Wolves ended with a final score of 1-1. Four of the last head to head matches went under the total. Wolves is coming off a 1-0 win over Spurs, and they have failed to reach the total in each of their last four matches. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-09-23 | Rutgers v. Michigan -155 | Top | 62-50 | Loss | -155 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Michigan. The Wolverines finished the season winning three of their final five games, and one of those wins was a 59-48 win at Rutgers. They covered the spread in all five of those games, losing by a combined six points in road games at Illinois and Indiana. Rutgers won just two of their last five games of the season, and those wins came by a combined four points at Penn State and Wisconsin. The Scarlet Knights come in averaging 57.8 points per game in their last five, exactly 20 points fewer than Michigan has averaged during that span. The Wolverines are 36-15-2 ATS in their last 53 neutral site games. The Scarlet Knights are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-04-23 | Wolves v. Kings -5.5 | Top | 138-134 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on SAC. Both these teams are playing the second game of a back to back, but the Kings won at home 128-127 versus the Clippers last night, and they don't have to travel. Minnesota played in LA, and will be playing a fourth straight game on the road tonight. The Kings are a young team that might not mind playing on back to back nights, as evidenced by the fact that they are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games playing the second of a back to back. Minnesota has failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-04-23 | Tennessee v. Auburn -135 | Top | 70-79 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Auburn. The Vols are looking forward to the NCAA Tournament, while the Tigers might need a win here today if they want to get in. Auburn is coming off an overtime loss at Alabama, but they are much stronger on their home floor than they are on the road. The Tigers are 13-2 at home, while the Vols are just 4-5 on the road. Auburn has won five of the last seven head to head meetings, and all three home meetings since 2018. The Tigers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss, while the Vols have failed to cover in four straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-02-23 | Predators v. Panthers -160 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FLA. The Panthers and the Predators are each currently sitting a few points out of a Wild Card spot. The Panthers probably have a far better chance of clinching a playoff spot, and the Predators intentions look pretty clear as they dealt a bunch of their top players at the trade deadline. Home ice has been kind to Florida, as they are 64-25 in their last 89 home games. A win over Nashville could pull them within two points of a playoff spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-02-23 | Barcelona FC v. Real Madrid -105 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on RMA. In the United States they say "It's all about the Benjamins", but in the Coppa del Rey in Spain it's all about Karim Benzema! The Ballon Dor winner has returned to form, and he's netted four goal in his last three games played. The first leg will be a home game for Real Madrid, and Barcelona comes limping in off back to back losses and leading scorer Robert Lewandowski is out with a hamstring injury. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-28-23 | Kings v. Jets -137 | Top | 6-5 | Loss | -137 | 20 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Jets. Winnipeg is gearing up for the playoffs, and picking up Nino Niederreiter at the trade deadline says plenty about their intentions. They come into tonight's game against LA as losers of five of their last six, but they have won four of their last five versus LA. This is a tough spot for the Kings who are the end of a long road trip. The Kings have lost seven of their last 10 versus teams with a winning record, and they are 3-8 in their last 11 in the fourth game of a 4-in-6 situation. The Kings are 5-12 in the last 17 meetings in Winnipeg. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-26-23 | Newcastle United v. Manchester United OVER 2.25 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -58 | 6 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. So Manchester United comes into the Carabao Cup Final on a roll. They have scored at least two goals in 10 straight matches in all competitions. We saw Liverpool and Chelsea play a 0-0 draw in last year's Carabao Cup Final, but history tells us that we should expect more scoring here. Since 2020, the over has hit in 15 of the 23 Finals. Five of those games involved Manchester United, and three of those games saw 3+ goals. I am predicting a 2-1 win for United over Newcastle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-25-23 | St. Mary's v. Gonzaga -5 | Top | 68-77 | Win | 100 | 20 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GONZ. | |||||||
02-25-23 | Arsenal -142 v. Leicester | Top | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arsenal. So Arsenal is battling to stay top of the table in the Premier League, with Manchester City just two points behind. They need to pick up all the points they can from here on out, and an away match at Leicester might look like a tricky spot. Actually it might be more favorable than you would think. Leicester ranks 19th in the Premier League in home/away splits, while Arsenal has the best away record among the 20 Premier League clubs. The Gunnars are 9-1-2 in away matches, with a +15 goal differential. They have won four straight against Leicester, and two of those wins came at King Power Stadium. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-24-23 | St. Peter's v. Canisius -190 | Top | 53-66 | Win | 100 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Canisius. The Golden Griffins have won eight of their last 10 versus MAAC rivals St. Peters, and even last year's talented squad that went to the Sweet Sixteen lost at Canisius. This Peacocks team has taken a major step back, going 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games. The home team has covered in five of the last six head to head meetings, and when you look at the recent play from the Griffins it inspires plenty of confidence. Prior to a one point loss on the road at Mount St. Mary's, they won outright over Rider and Quinnipiac. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-23-23 | Northeastern v. Drexel -5 | Top | 48-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Drexel. The Dragons host Northeastern in their final home game of the season, and they have owned this team in recent years. Drexel defeated the Huskies by 21 points on the road earlier this season. They won at home versus Northeastern by 16 points last February. They are 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS in this series over the last three seasons. The Huskies are coming off a home win over Conference bottom feeder CWM, and they are 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games following an ATS win. Drexel lost it's last game at Hampton, and they are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-22-23 | Fordham -132 v. Loyola-Chicago | Top | 71-69 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Fordham. The Rams are just 2.5 games out of first place in the A-10, and they come into Loyola as winners of eight of their last 10. During that span they have road wins at Duquesne, La Salle, Davidson and St. Bonaventure. They are a small favorite here on the road versus the last place team in the conference, and Loyola has lost it's last two home games by double digits. The Ramblers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, and have failed to cover in 19 of their last 27 overall. The Rams are 7-1 ATS in their last eight road games versus a team with a losing home record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-22-23 | Vanderbilt -132 v. LSU | Top | 77-84 | Loss | -132 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Vanderbilt. Vandy comes in red hot, winning their last five games. They are now in a position to possibly make the NCAA Tournament, but they likely need to run the table. It starts tonight at LSU, a team that has lost 13 straight games. Vandy has won back to back road games at Florida and South Carolina, and they are 37-17-1 ATS in their last 55 road games. The Tigers are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 home games and they have failed to cover in 16 of their last 21 overall. Two teams trending in opposite directions, I know who I'll put my money on. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-18-23 | Iowa State v. Kansas State -160 | Top | 55-61 | Win | 100 | 5 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats have lost four of their five, but three of those losses came on the road. They host Iowa State, and the Cyclones have lost five in a row on the road. Kansas State is 13-1 SU at home, outscoring opponents by an average margin of 15 points per game. They are allowing just 60 points per game at home, while the Cyclones are scoring less than 65 points per game on the road. The Wildcats are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games, while the Cyclones have failed to cover in six of their last eight overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-14-23 | LSU v. Georgia -175 | Top | 63-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. The Georgia Bulldogs are 12-2 at home, and they host an LSU team that is 0-6 on the road. Georgia is coming off a home win over Kentucky, and some might say that sets them up for a let down here. I think at this point in the season a home game against a team with a 1-11 conference record is more of an opportunity than a spot we would see a let down. The Tigers are 8-20-1 ATS in their last 29 games overall, and they are coming off a 74-62 home loss to Texas A&M. They are 0-7 ATS in their last seven coming off a double digit home loss. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. | |||||||
02-12-23 | Chiefs +2 v. Eagles | Top | 38-35 | Win | 100 | 160 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on KC. The public is definitely backing Philly in the Super Bowl, with 66% of the tickets on the Eagles. There is no doubt that they have been the better team in the post-season. Philly should be able to control the line of scrimmage with superior and offensive and defensive line play. The thing is, that with two weeks to prepare for this game, a Hall of Fame coach like Andy Reid should be able to game plan and scheme to minimize that advantage. There's something to be said for experience, and the Chiefs have been here before. Kansas City knows what to expect, how to handle the media and everything leading up to the game. I am going to take a contrarian approach and go with the more experienced team with the superior quarterback. GL, Jesse Schule SBLVII Props include: Over 51.5 rush attempts, Over 1.5 4th down conversions, Kelce anytime TD. | |||||||
02-05-23 | Raptors +5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 106-103 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR. The Grizzlies are struggling, and they come into tonight's home game versus the Raptors with two starters out, and two more questionable. Toronto has been horrible this season, dealing with their own injuries. The Raptors are 3-3 SU on their current road trip, and one of those losses was a game decided by three points in Utah. History favors the Raptors here in Memphis, where they have covered in five straight. They are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings overall. A shorthanded Grizzlies team has no business being asked to cover a number like this here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-04-23 | Hawks v. Nuggets -6.5 | Top | 108-128 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN. The Hawks are on a roll, coming off back to back wins over the Suns and the Jazz. They take on the Denver Nuggets tonight, and playing the second game of a back to back at altitude is a tough spot. Denver is 10-3 ATS in their last 13 home games, 24-4 overall at home, and 14-6 ATS in their last 20 overall. Nikola Jokic will likely not play both games in an upcoming back to back, but it makes more sense to rest him on the back end in Minnesota on Sunday. The Hawks might want to rest some of their starters here in Denver. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-01-23 | Hawks v. Suns -125 | Top | 132-100 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHX. Despite all the injuries and a poor start to the season, the Suns have won six of their last seven, and they are 19-8 at home this season. Both DeAndre Ayton and Chris Paul are back in the lineup, and Ayton is coming off a double-double with 22 points and 13 boards in a win over the Raptors. They host the Atlanta Hawks, and the home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings in this series. The Hawks are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Phoenix. Tre Young is expected to return after missing the last game with sore ankle, but it might not be enough to get a win over a team that has won 51 of it's last 69 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-01-23 | Oklahoma State v. Oklahoma -170 | Top | 71-61 | Loss | -170 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Oklahoma. Some might suggest that the Sooners are primed for a let down after upsetting Alabama in a 24-point blowout win at home in their last game. I will push back on that, as it's a rivalry game in a revenge spot after they got blown out in Stillwater earlier in the year. The home team has won straight up in eight of the last 10 meetings, and the Cowboys are 2-5 straight up on the road. The home team is 21-8-1 in the last 30 head to head meetings. Oklahoma State struggles to score on the road (averaging 67.3 points per game) and I don't think they can score enough to keep up to the Sooners here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-29-23 | 49ers +130 v. Eagles | Top | 7-31 | Loss | -100 | 78 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF. The Niners have the #1 ranked defense in the NFL, and they completely shut down Dallas last week. They are trying to become the first team in history to send a rookie QB to the Super Bowl. Mr Irrelevant looked pretty pedestrian against an elite Dallas defense. He threw for 219 yards on 19-of-29 passing, with no TDs or picks. While everyone is talking about the Niners rookie, the fact is that Jalen Hurts hasn't proved sh#t in big games. Remember it was Tua that walked off as a champion for Alabama, not Hurts. I'll take the best defense in football getting points in this spot all day. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-28-23 | Blackhawks v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 17 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Oilers had won six straight before dropping a home game to Columbus, and they host the Blackhawks off an upset win in Calgary. Edmonton has the best power play in the league, and they should have plenty of success against this Hawks penalty killing unit. The over is 9-2 in the last 11 meetings, and the Hawks have gone over in five of their last six at Edmonton. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-27-23 | Arsenal v. Manchester City OVER 2.75 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 86 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OVER. These are the top two scoring teams in the Premier League, and while in some cases a Cup match might not be as significant as a league game, in this case it's an opportunity for both these teams to make a statement. Arsenal sits five points clear of City in the Premier League standings, and a win here at the Etihad might be soul crushing for Pep Guardiola's side. It won't be easy, as Man City has scored a whopping 38 goals in 11 home matches. Arsenal though has the best away record in the Premier League, and they have scored 20 goals in 10 away matches. I like both teams to score here, and we should see a high score. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-26-23 | Mavs v. Suns -120 | Top | 99-95 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Phoenix. The Suns have been decimated by injuries, but that hasn't prevented them from winning 18 of 25 home games. They host the Dallas Mavericks tonight, and Dallas has lost 15 of 23 road games. The home team is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Chris Paul is back, and he had 11 assists in a blowout win over Charlotte on Tuesday. The Mavs will not have 2nd leading scorer and 2nd leading rebounder Christian Wood. The Suns are expecting their big man back on Thursday. DeAndre Ayton leads the Suns in scoring and rebounding. The Mavericks are 8-22 ATS in their last 30 road games, and they are 17-35-2 ATS in their last 54 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-18-23 | Florida v. Texas A&M -3.5 | Top | 52-54 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas A&M. The Aggies are undefeated in the SEC, and they are 8-1 at home. They have already beat the Gators in Florida this season, and they won both meetings versus Florida last season. The Gators are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Aggies are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 games overall, and they are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 versus Florida. The Aggies have outscored opponents by an average margin of 19 points at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-17-23 | Seattle Kraken v. Oilers OVER 6.5 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Release The Kraken! Ladies and gentlemen the hottest team in the NHL hails from The Emerald City, and Seattle had won eight in a row, prior to losing to Tampa last night. They scored a whopping 36 goals in those wins. Seattle has a potent power play, but they face the Oilers who have the best power play in the NHL. These teams have gone over in all five head to head meetings. The over is 19-7-2 in the Oilers last 28 overall, and they have scored 17 goals in their last three games. The Kraken have gone over in five of their last six versus Pacific Division opponents. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-16-23 | Montana v. Eastern Washington -165 | Top | 57-64 | Win | 100 | 22 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on EWU. The Eagles are undefeated in conference play, and they look good as just a small home favorite here tonight. The Eagles are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and they have covered the spread in five of their last six home games. The Grizzlies are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they are just 3-3 in the Big Sky. One of their losses came on the road at Northern Arizona, a team with a 5-14 record. The Eagles are averaging 92 points per game at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-14-23 | Duke v. Clemson -132 | Top | 64-72 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Clemson. The Tigers are sitting in first place in the ACC, and they are undefeated at home (9-0). The home team is 8-2 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and this year's Blue Devils team is not your typical Duke squad we saw under Coach K. Duke has lost two of three road games so far, failing to cover in all three. They lost at Wake Forest by double digits, and Clemson beat that same Demon Deacons team by 20 points. Starting PG Jeremy Roach, who leads the Blue Devils in assists is expected to miss this game with a foot injury. I'll take the Tigers to get the "W" at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-14-23 | Manchester City v. Manchester United OVER 2.75 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 50 | 119 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Over 2.5. The Manchester Derby will feature two of the Premier League's highest scoring teams. Manchester City has scored a Premier League best 45 goals in 17 matches, while Manchester United has scored 15 times in their last six matches in all competitions. Eric Ten Hag finally has this team playing the attacking style we are familiar with from his time at Ajax. The last two meetings between these teams were high scoring. City winning both matches by a combined 10-4 margin. With injuries to their top two defenders, Manchester United may have an opportunity to avenge those losses. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-13-23 | Kent State -150 v. Ohio | Top | 70-65 | Win | 100 | 14 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on KENT. The Golden Flashes have won 19 of their last 23 conference games, and they are undefeated in the MAC so far this season. They have three seniors in their starting five, including their two leading scorers Sincere Carry and Malique Jacobs. This is the best team in the MAC, and I wouldn't be expecting them to lose many games this season whether at home or on the road. The Golden Flashes are 22-7-1 ATS in their last 30 games overall. The Bobcats are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-10-23 | Texas Tech +7 v. Iowa State | Top | 50-84 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEXAS TECH. The Red Raiders will be shorthanded here at Iowa State, and they are already 0-3 in conference play. History suggests that this game will be close, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to a few injuries here. Daniel Batcho and Pop Isaacs didn't play in an overtime loss to Oklahoma, but the Cyclones leading rebounder Aljaz Kunc has also missed the last three weeks. Texas Tech has won eight of the last 10 in this series, and both losses came in games decided by four points. The Cyclones are 3-0 in the BIG12, but two of those wins came in games decided by three points or less. I'll take the points! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-05-23 | Indiana v. Iowa -1 | Top | 89-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. The Hawkeyes are reeling after losing three straight, but a home game against BIG10 rivals Indiana looks like a good spot to get back on track. The home team is 5-1 straight up in the last six meetings between these teams. The Hoosiers have failed to cover in four straight overall, and four of five on the road. They have been playing without two starters, leading scorer Trayce-Jackson-Davis and PG Xavier Johnson. The Hawkeyes are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-01-23 | Colts v. Giants -160 | Top | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 138 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NYG. The Indianapolis Colts rank 27th in the NFL in rushing TDs allowed, and they play on the road in New York Sunday. It's a must win game for the Giants, and we are sure to see plenty of Saquon Barkley. Nick Foles was definitely not the answer for the Colts, throwing for 143 yards and three INTs in a loss to the Chargers last week. The Colts are playing on a short week, and they have nothing to play for. The Giants lost at Minnesota last week, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-31-22 | Ohio State v. Georgia -6.5 | Top | 41-42 | Loss | -110 | 375 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. I am sure the Buckeyes can play better than they did against Michigan, but I am not sure that it's going to be good enough to hang with the Georgia Bulldogs. We've seen that C.J. Stroud has a high upside, but he often buckles under pressure, makes mistakes in big games. Stetson Bennett is an experienced veteran with a steady hand, who really doesn't have to do anything fancy. He played his best football in last year's playoffs, beating Michigan and Alabama. The Bulldogs are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 bowl games. They have the edge in the trenches and the championship pedigree. This line is currently less than a TD, and I think it should probably be closer to double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-22 | Bucs -7.5 v. Cardinals | Top | 19-16 | Loss | -110 | 88 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Tampa. As bad as things appear to be in Tampa Bay, the Bucs are still the favorite to win the NFC South. This team still has plenty to play for, while it looks like the Arizona Cardinals will be waiving a white flag here this week. Arizona officially eliminated from the post-season, and down to their third string QB. Trace McSorley has thrown for 166 yards and three INTs on just over 50 percent passing in limited action this year. Given the QB situation, it's hard to see the rest of the team being too invested in this meaningless game. Expecting the Cardinals offense to struggle to move the chains, that should lead to more possessions for Brady and company. Despite the loss, Brady threw for 312 yards and three TDs last week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-22 | Packers v. Dolphins -4.5 | Top | 26-20 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 8 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on MIA. | |||||||
12-22-22 | Seattle Kraken -110 v. Canucks | Top | 5-6 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEA. The Vancouver Canucks have won all five head to head meetings versus division rivals Seattle, but I am going to fade that 100% trend here tonight. These two teams are obviously trending in opposite directions, as Vancouver is coming off back to back 5-1 home losses, and the Canucks are rumored to be shopping team captain Bo Horvat and star defenseman Quinn Hughes. The Kraken are coming off back to back home wins, but they actually have a better road record than they do at home. The Kraken are 7-3 in their last 10 road games, and they are 11-3 in their last 14 games following a win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-22 | France v. Argentina OVER 2 | Top | 2-2 | Win | 100 | 79 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Lionel Messi is tied for the tournament lead with five goals, and three of those have come via penalty. Argentina has been awarded four penalties so far, tying the record. With one game to play, you have to think there is a good chance Messi gets another opportunity from the penalty spot. Argentina has scored two or more goals in five straight matches, while France has scored two or more in four of their last five. I don't think either team is going to post a clean sheet here, and 2-1 seems like the most likely final score. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-22 | Pelicans -120 v. Jazz | Top | 129-132 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Pelicans. The Pelicans are tied for first place in the Western Conference, and they are in a revenge spot in the second game of a two game series in Utah. The Pelicans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are just 6-11 in their last 17 overall, and they were playing over their heads at the beginning of the year. Zion only played 26 minutes in the first game in Utah, expect him to play more minutes and be a more dominant force here in the rematch. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-22 | 49ers -170 v. Seahawks | Top | 21-13 | Win | 100 | 62 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on SF. The 49ERS will look to clinch the NFC West with a win in Seattle on Thursday. They have won back to back games since Jimmy G went down, scoring 68 points in those contests. SF has plenty of weapons, but without Deebo Samuel they might lean a little more on Christian McCaffrey. He faces a Seattle defense that ranks 30th in the NFL in rushing touchdowns allowed. McCaffrey scored a pair of TDs last week, and if you exclude his 49ers debut where he only played a limited role, he's found the endzone six times in six games since arriving in San Francisco. The 49ers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 6-0 in their last six versus the NFC West. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are 7-1, with a pair of wins over ranked teams. They beat San Diego State and Creighton before losing their first true road game at Utah. They host the #14 ranked Indiana Hoosiers in a neutral site game tonight, but Las Vegas might feel like a second home to the Wildcats. This Arizona team was 11-1 in non-conference games last year, beating #4 Michigan right here in Las Vegas. Indiana might struggle to match the scoring prowess of a Wildcats team that is averaging 91.5 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-22 | Argentina v. Netherlands +265 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -100 | 102 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Netherlands. Lionel Messi has scored three goals in four games at this World Cup, and at the age of 35 some consider him the G.O.A.T. He did miss a penalty against Poland, and overall he's seen more than his share of disappointment at the World Cup throughout his career. Argentina will be a huge favorite against Netherlands, despite the fact that the Dutch are undefeated in 11 World Cups matches under manager Louis Van Gaal. Netherlands 3-1 win over USA was far more impressive than Argentina's 2-1 win over Australia. The Dutch have perhaps the best defense of any squad at the World Cup, with Virgin Van Djik widely considered the best in the world. I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored here, Holland has a younger, more talented group of stars and a superior coach GL,
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12-05-22 | Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Everyone in the NBA knows it's not easy to win in Toronto, and yet the Celtics come into Monday's game as favorites. This is a tough spot for Boston, playing the second game of a back to back off a big win in Brooklyn. Jalen Brown played 40 minutes last night, and Jason Tatum logged 37 minutes. Marcus Smart is out with an injury, and the Raptors are back to full strength. Toronto should get the W here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-22 | Wichita State v. Kansas State -6.5 | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats are coming off their first loss of the season, on the road at Butler. A home game against Wichita State looks like a good spot to get back on track. Wichita State had three players score in double digits last season, and all three are gone. One went to the NBA (Tyson Ettienne) and two transfered. The Wildcats have three senior starters averaging in double digits, and this gives them a huge edge in experience. Kansas State has won both their home games by double digits, and the Shockers are likely to be overmatched here in Manhattan. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-01-22 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 45 | Top | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 152 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Under. The last game played at Gillette Stadium saw the Patriots score just three points up until the final five seconds of regulation. They were quite fortunate that they held the Jets to just three points on just 103 yards of offense. They were even luckier to return a punt for a touchdown to walk the game off for the win. They host the Buffalo Bills on Thursday night, and both these teams boast Top 5 scoring defenses each allowing just 18 points per game. The weatherman says it's going to be cold with rain and wind (if you can trust the forecast several days out). The Pats have held opponents to three points or less in three of their last four games. I think 21 points will be enough to win this game GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-22 | Mexico -147 v. Saudi Arabia | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 173 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 2* play on Mexico. The last time that Mexico failed to advance from the Group Stages at the World Cup it was 1978, They have made the Round of 16 in eight consecutive tournaments, and they face a must win here against Saudi Arabia if they intend to keep that streak alive. Saudi Arabia suffered a let down after their upset win over Argentina, losing their second match 2-0 to Poland. If Argentina defeats Poland and Mexico defeats Saudi Arabia, then goal differential comes into play. A win for Poland would put Mexico in control of it's own destiny. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut -5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCONN. The #20 Huskies are 7-0, and they beat #18 Alabama by 15 points on Friday at the Phil Knight Invitational. They face an unranked Iowa State team that just upset #1 North Carolina, and this could be a let down spot for the Cyclones. Iowa State made 9-of-20 three-point attempts in the upset win over the Tar Heels. I don't like their chances of hitting 45 percent from beyond the arc here in this game. The Huskies have the experience, the shooters, and the coaching to take down this scrappy Cyclones team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-22 | Butler v. NC State +1 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NCSTATE. The Butler Bulldogs didn't get a lot of returning talent from last year, and they did not look good in their first game against a ranked team. They scored 45 points on 32 percent shooting in a loss to Tennessee a few days ago. The Wolfpack have more experience, and that may be what allowed them to hang with #3 ranked Kansas. NC State comes in averaging over 80 points per game, while the Bulldogs average just slightly above the national average (71.5). The Wolfpack currently rank 1st in the ACC in scoring, and near the top in FG percentage, FT percentage and three-point shooting. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-22 | Tulane +110 v. Cincinnati | Top | 27-24 | Win | 110 | 23 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Tulane. Can you believe that the defending conference champs are getting almost no respect from bookmakers here against Tulane? Well there is a good reason for that. The Bearcats lost a ton of talent from last year's historic Playoff team. They rank near the bottom of the AAC in rushing, only Temple averages fewer yards per game. That could hurt them here in a huge game against the #1 defense in the conference. That's especially true because there is some uncertainty at the QB position. The Green Wave are 6-0 ATS in their last six road games, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-22 | Buffalo v. George Mason UNDER 145.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. George Mason lost 66-62 to Belmont at the Paradise Jam at the UVI Sports & Fitness Center in the Virgin Islands on Saturday. In fact all four games at this venue over the weekend were low scoring, falling well short of 140 combined points. Neither of these two teams have been scoring regardless of the venue, Buffalo comes in averaging 69 points per game while the Patriots are averaging just 65 points per game. The Patriots are strong defensively, which might be why they have gone under in five of their last six games. This number looks way too high. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-19-22 | TCU v. Baylor UNDER 58 | Top | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 43 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. So TCU scored just 17 points on 289 total yards in a win at Texas last week. Their defense was impressive, holding Texas to 10 points on 199 total yards. The question is, did Texas give Dave Aranda the blueprint for slowing down the Horned Frogs offense? I think Baylor has to try to replicate what Texas did, slowing down this game and limiting the possessions. Blake Shapen threw for 203 yards and two INTs on 22-38 passing last week, so don't expect him to be slinging it around the yard this week. I expect to see both teams favor the run in bad weather, resulting in time coming off the clock. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-22 | Baylor -4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Baylor. The Cavs had four games against Top 25 teams last year, and they lost three of those four games by double digits. They do not match up well with a #5 ranked Baylor team that has the edge in experience, returning production and overall talent. The Bears are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. The Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-22 | Eastern Michigan v. Kent State UNDER 60.5 | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Traditionally midweek MAC games have been high scoring. I am betting against that trend continuing here on Wednesday night. The weatherman says to expect rain, snow and wind. The wind is the most significant factor. High winds make kicking field goals a tricky proposition, prompting more fourth down attempts, eventually leading to empty drives. When the passing game is off the table, the clock keeps ticking with every running play. The Golden Flashes have gone under in six of their last seven MAC games, and the under is 6-2 in their last eight versus Eastern Michigan. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-22 | Montreal +3.5 v. Toronto | Top | 27-34 | Loss | -110 | 100 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Montreal. The Argos finished first in the East, but Montreal was the hottest team in the CFL in the second half of the season. Trevor Harris finished third in the CFL in passing, and he completed 80 percent of his passes in a win over Hamilton in the East Semi Final. William Stanback missed the majority of the regular season, but the leading rusher in the CFL in 2021 is healthy for the playoffs. He ran for 66 yards on 10 carries in the win over the Tiger Cats. Montreal has won six of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the four games they lost were decided by an average margin of fewer than three points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | TCU v. Texas -7 | Top | 17-10 | Loss | -110 | 65 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Horned Frogs are 9-0 and currently eyeing a spot in the College Football Playoffs. I've been waiting for a spot to go against them for weeks now, as they have been getting it done with smoke and mirrors. Wins over Oklahoma, Kansas, Kansas State and Oklahoma State all came against opponents with an injured starting quarterback. They overcame double digit deficits versus the Cowboys and the Wildcats, and they figure to be down early here in Texas. I guess all the sharps are seeing the same thing here, and TCU is shaping up to be one of this season's biggest "square dogs". The line of -7 has 70% of the public backing TCU, but the big money is on Texas. This is reminiscent of UCLA vs Oregon, Penn State vs Michigan and Tennessee vs Georgia. I like Texas to win in a rout here, but taking the Horns for the first half might be the best way to attack this line. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-22 | Hamilton v. Montreal -125 | Top | 17-28 | Win | 100 | 48 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MTL. The Allouettes are the hottest team in the CFL heading into the Eastern Conference Semi Final, and they host Hamilton. The Ticats have failed to cover in four of their last five versus Eastern Conference teams. The home team has won four straight head to head meetings. William Stanback has recently returned to the lineup, and he should play a big role here versus Hamilton. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-22 | Houston +3.5 v. SMU | Top | 63-77 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. Say what you want about Houston. I would be the first to admit that they have been disappointing this season. Yeah their defense has been bad, really effing bad. That said they come into this game riding a three game winning streak, and they are still in play for the conference title. The Mustangs defense ranks even worse than Houston, allowing 424 yards per game. Clayton Tune is starting to heat up, throwing for over 1,000 yards with 12 TDs and just one INT in his last three starts. I'll take the points in a game that I expect to be a shootout, and give me the better QB, better program and more high end talent up and down the lineup. ALL DAY! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +5.5 | Top | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Kentucky +12 v. Tennessee | Top | 6-44 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Kentucky. The Wildcats are 5-2 and the average margin of defeat in their two losses was 6.5 points. The will be a double digit dog here at Tennesse, after last season's meeting went down to the wire with the Vols winning 45-42. Will Levis threw for 372 yards and three TDs on 31-of-49 passing in that game, and Chris Rodriguez ran for 109 yards on 22 carries. Levis didn't play in the loss to the Gamecocks, but coming off a bye week the Wildcats should be ready to go to battle with their rivals Tennessee. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these two teams, and the road team has covered in six of the last seven. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Kansas State +3.5 v. TCU | Top | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Horned Frogs upset Oklahoma, dropping 55 points on the Sooners three weeks ago. They have climbed into the Top 10 in the polls after winning back to back games since. Wins over Oklahoma State and Kansas were close, and they came back after trailing by a double digit margin at home last week against the Cowboys. It looks like just a matter of time before the bubble bursts for this undefeated TCU team, and this week's game against K-State looks like a challenging spot. The Wildcats are coming off a bye, and they have all the tools required to cause problems for the Horned Frogs. Weather could be a factor with high winds expected, and that favors the Wildcats with the power running game of Deuce Vaughn and Adrian Martinez. I'll take the points with a K-State team that has won three straight head to head, and has covered in six of their last seven versus TCU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-22 | Bills -130 v. Chiefs | Top | 24-20 | Win | 100 | 157 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BUF. So ever since the Chiefs won the coin flip and marched down the field to score a walk off TD in last year's playoff win over the Bills, we've all been waiting for this rematch. Tyreek Hill had 11 catches for 150 yards and a TD in that game, and he's not going to be there for Patrick Mahomes this time around. The Bills are 4-1, and in their only loss (versus Miami) they had a 497-212 edge in total yards, 31-15 edge in first downs. Buffalo comes in with the league's #1 ranked offense, and the #1 ranked defense. Josh Allen leads the league in passing yards, and QBR. I don't bet on games just because revenge is a factor, but I truly believe that the Bills have improved and the Chiefs have regressed. The added motivation certainly doesn't hurt. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-22 | Manchester City v. Liverpool +0.5 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* on Liverpool. So Manchester City looks like an unstoppable force this season, while Liverpool has had a poor start in the Premier League. This has the Citizens pegged as heavy favorites heading to Anfield on Saturday, in a game where a draw would probably suit them just fine. In fact the last two times these teams met in the Premier League the result was a draw. Liverpool also knocked City out of the FA Cup and won the Community Shield versus City. While Pep Guardiola may have the superior squad this season, playing at Anfield is a daunting task. It's been five and a half years since Liverpool lost at home in front of their fans in a Premier League match. Manchester City hasn't won at Anfield since 2003, and that is their only win in 20 visits to Liverpool all time (modern era). GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-10-22 | Raiders +7 v. Chiefs | Top | 29-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on LV. | |||||||
10-08-22 | BYU +4 v. Notre Dame | Top | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BYU. So the 4-1 Cougars ranked #16 in the country are actually an underdog in a neutral site game against unranked 2-2 Notre Dame. So clearly Vegas is telling us that the Irish are the better team? Better where exactly? Drew Pyne looked great against North Carolina last week, but he hasn't proved anything against any top defenses. Jaren Hall comes in with 1,438 yards a dozen TDs and just one INT, and he's faced two ranked opponents. The knock on BYU is that they lost by 20 on the road at Oregon, a week after they beat a Top 10 ranked Baylor team at home in double overtime. The Cougars have been without their top two WR Puka Nacua and Gunner Romney for most of the season, but both should be good to go for Saturday's game. In my mind this is a matchup between one of the most underrated teams of the past decade (BYU) and one of the most overrated teams of the past decade (Notre Dame). The most impressive thing I've seen from Notre Dame this season is losing to Ohio State by just 11. I expect the Cougars to win this game outright, but I certainly don't see them losing by more than a FG. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-24-22 | Arkansas +2.5 v. Texas A&M | Top | 21-23 | Win | 100 | 87 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARK. So I had the Aggies last week, and they won and covered at home versus Miami. So Texas A&M is back right? You know what Lee Corso would say... Not so fast my friends. Jimbo Fisher still has plenty of problems with this offense, and last week they got quite lucky against the Hurricanes. Miami had a 392-264 edge in total yards, and a 27-16 edge in first downs. Max Johnson stepped in at QB for the Aggies and threw for 140 yards and a TD on just 10-of-20 passing. That just won't cut it against an Arkansas team that can put points on the board. The Razobacks come in averaging 38 points per game, and it's not like they haven't played anybody. They impressed in wins over Cincinnati and South Carolina. KJ Jefferson has thrown for 770 yards, six TDs and one INT, and he's ran for 169 yards and three TDs. If the Aggies play the way they did against Miami, they will likely lose this game by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-19-22 | Vikings +2.5 v. Eagles | Top | 7-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Minny. Turn on the TV and all the analysts will tell you how bad Kirk Cousins is in Monday Night Football games. i honesty think that's a ridiculous thing to believe, that he is significantly worse on Monday than he is on Sunday afternoon. While he's 2-9 straight up in Monday night games, his QBR in those games is actually pretty good. His chemistry with Justin Jefferson and new head coach Kevin O'connell looked pretty good last week. The defense looked equally as impressive, holding Aaron Rodgers to 195 yards and an INT, and sacking him twice. The Eagles don't look bad either, but at the end of the day they beat the lions and still gave up a ton of points. Jalen Hurts was flirting with an intentional grounding penalty all day. My read here is that the Vikes are getting points, and they have the better QB, RB, WRs, coaching is a wash, hard to say who's got the better defense. I'll take the dog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-18-22 | Bengals v. Cowboys UNDER 52.5 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 160 h 30 m | Show |
This is play on Under. | |||||||
09-13-22 | Barcelona FC v. Bayern Munich -120 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 31 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Bayern. Robert Lewandowski left Bayern in the off-season to join Barcelona, and returns to face his former club in a Champions League match in Munich on Tuesday. While he's off and running with his new club, his replacements at Bayern are also making their mark. Jamal Musiala leads the team in scoring with four goals in five matches, while Sadio Mane has scored three times in six matches. These teams have played three times over the last seven years, Bayern has won all three of those matches by a combined score of 14-2. As good as Barcelona looks, this is a tough spot and they will do well just to keep the game close. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-11-22 | Sun +6.5 v. Aces | Top | 64-67 | Win | 100 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Sun. The Suns have been a very good road team during the regular season and the playoffs. They are 3-1 straight up on the road in these Playoffs, losing 85-77 at Chicago in the one loss. They won 97-90 at Las Vegas this season, and these teams have a history of playing close games. The Aces are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 home games. The Sun are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 road games, and they are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-10-22 | Baylor v. BYU -160 | Top | 20-26 | Win | 100 | 116 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BYU. The Cougars return almost all the talent they had last year when they won 10 games, including a pair of wins over ranked teams. They only lost twice during the regular season, and one of those losses came by a score of 38-24 at Baylor. That sets up a revenge match here in Provo, and the Bears lost plenty of their talent off last year's roster. The Cougars are tough at home, winning 16 of their last 17 home games straight up. I think Baylor is due to take a major step back this season after overachieving in 2021. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-03-22 | Houston -180 v. UTSA | Top | 37-35 | Win | 100 | 157 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. UTSA won 11 straight games to start last season, and they beat Western Kentucky 49-41 in the C-USA Championship Game. They didn't face a ranked team until they played #24 ranked San Diego State in the Frisco Bowl. They open the season at home versus #24 ranked Houston, and this Cougars team appears to be undervalued. Clayton Tune is back for his senior year after throwing for 3,546 yards, 30 TDs and 10 INTs last year. His top target WR Nathaniel Dell is also coming back in 2022. The Cougars opened as a -6.5 point favorite, and this line has come down a few points. This allows us to make a play on the favorite to win straight up, and I can't see UTSA stopping a legit Heisman contender QB with an experienced offensive line and a stud WR. Dana Holgorsen's team has a real shot at being this season's version of the Cincinnati Bearcats, and I don't think they will allow their season to be derailed in Week 1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-22 | Giants v. Jets OVER 38 | Top | 27-31 | Win | 100 | 85 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. We wrap up the pre-season on Sunday with the Giants vs Jets. Two undefeated teams, each with solid depth at the QB position. Mike White and Chris Streveler have been great for the Jets, while Tyrod Taylor and Davis Webb have been solid for the GMEN. Last season the Jets final pre-season game was a 31-31 tie, and the Giants also played their highest scoring pre-season game in Week 3. The Giants have averaged 24 points per game in the first two weeks, while the Jets have scored exactly 24 points in both of their games so far. The total here should likely be a few points higher. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-27-22 | San Jose v. Sporting KC -112 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 68 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KC. Kansas City sits dead last in the MLS standings, but after picking up William Agada and Erick Thommy in the mid season transfer market, they are not the same squad. They have scored 11 goals in their last three matches, winning two of those games. They host San Jose Saturday, and this appears to be a let down spot for the Earthquakes. San Jose is coming off a 2-1 home win over LAFC, but the Earthquakes have just one win in 13 away matches. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-25-22 | Blue Jays -162 v. Red Sox | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on TOR. The Jays are 5-1 on this current road trip, and they have a favorable matchup here in Game 3 at Fenway. Kevin Gausman will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's 6-3 with a 1.56 ERA in 11 road starts. He's also 3-0 with a 1.38 ERA in four starts against Boston. The Sox hand the ball to Kutter Crawford who is 1-2 with a 6.15 ERA in his last five starts. The Red Sox are 5-13 in their last 18 versus the American League East, and injuries to Pham, Bogaerts, Hosmer, Story and Arroyo are going to make it difficult to dig out of this hole. The Blue Jays are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-22-22 | Falcons v. Jets +2.5 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the J E T S .. JETS! JETS! JETS! Robert Saleh can't make up his mind if he's going to play his starters, but I am not bothered either way. Mike White got the majority of the snaps in the Jets win over Philly, and if it's him and Chris Streveler at QB that's plenty good enough in a home game with a head coach who has never lost a pre-season game. All Streveler did is toss a pair of TD passes on 6-of-9 passing for 69 yards against the Eagles. Oh, by the way he's Grey Cup champion, which puts him in good company with the likes of Doug Flutie, Jeff Garcia and Warren Moon. Desmond Ridder and Feleipe Franks have never experienced a real NFL game. I am gonna take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-21-22 | Mystics v. Storm OVER 160 | Top | 84-97 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. The Storm won Game 1 by a score of 86-83, but the total for Game 2 sits at 160. That's nine points fewer than these teams combined to score in the series opener. Why such a low number? Perhaps because both of these teams held opponents under 80PPG in the regular season? But scoring is up for both these teams lately. Seattle has score an average of 95 points per game in their last five overall, while Washington has averaged 84 points per game during that span. These teams have gone over in four straight in Seattle, and the over is 4-1 in the last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-18-22 | Blue Jays v. Yankees -135 | Top | 9-2 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NYY. The Bronx Bombers ended a three game skid with an emotional come from behind win over Tampa in the series finale Wednesday. As much as the Yankees have struggled, the Blue Jays haven't been able to gain much ground. Jose Berrios will toe the slab for Toronto, and this looks like a tough spot for him. He's 2-4 with a 7.50 ERA in 11 road starts, and he's 0-1 with a 6.97 ERA in two starts versus the Yankees. The Bronx Bombers will hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who has been solid. The Yankees have only won three of their last 14 games, and one of those came in Frankie Montas last start. He allowed a pair of runs on five hits in five innings in a 3-2 win over Boston. The Yankees are 38-14 in their last 52 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-13-22 | Diamondbacks -137 v. Rockies | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 21 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Arizona. The D'Backs won two of three in a home series versus Colorado last week, but they lost Game 1 at Coors last night. Game 2 will feature a favorable pitching matchup for the visitors. Zac Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 3-0 with a 1.72 ERA in his last five starts. The Rockies hand the ball to Jose Urena, who has been far worse than his numbers indicate. He's been rocked for 21 runs over 18 1/3 innings in his last four starts. Not surprisingly Colorado lost all four of those games. Gallen is 1-0 with a 3.50 ERA in three starts versus Colorado in 2022. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-30-22 | Austin v. Sporting KC | Top | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Austin. Only four teams have a positive goal differential on the road, and one of those teams is Austin FC. There are only three teams in Major League Soccer with a negative goal differential at home, and one of those is Sporting KC. Ranked dead last in the Western Conference, Sporting KC also has the worst home record in the league. Austin FC leads MLS in scoring with 45 goals in 22 matches, while Sporting KC ranks dead last in the league with just 19 goals in 23 matches. Home field may not make a difference here in tonight's match. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-29-22 | BC -125 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 32-17 | Win | 100 | 93 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BC. The Riders are coming off a home loss to Toronto on Sunday, in a game that was rescheduled due to a Covid outbreak. They still have some injury concerns, and playing the BC Lions on a short week isn't ideal. Their biggest problem is that quarterback Cody Fajardo has been playing on one leg. The Lions are 4-1, and they boast the CFL's #1 ranked offense. The Lions are well rested coming off a home win over Hamilton last Thursday. Saskatchewan comes into this game with 36 players on the injury report. Many of those players are probable, but there is no question that the Riders are going to be short-handed. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-25-22 | Rangers v. Mariners -135 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 24 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Seattle. The Mariners went into the All Star break as the hottest team in the major leagues, but they ran into a buzz saw in a home series against Houston over the weekend. Coming off three straight losses, they host Texas in Game 1 in Seattle tonight. Chris Flexen will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 3-0 with a 2.01 ERA in his last four starts. The Rangers are 4-9 in their last 13 games versus a right-handed starter. Texas is 16-35 in the last 51 meetings in Seattle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-21-22 | Hamilton v. BC -7.5 | Top | 12-17 | Loss | -110 | 58 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the B.C. Lions. Hamilton is coming off it's first win of the season at home over Ottawa, but now they play on short rest on the other side of the country in Vancouver. The Lions own the league's highest scoring offense, averaging 40 points per game. Nathan Rourke has completed 80 percent of his passes this season, with 12 TDs and 4 INTs in four starts. Coming off a bye week, we should expect BC to be at it's best. The Tiger-Cats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games overall, and they are 2-9-1 ATS in their last 12 games in July. The Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games following a bye week. Hamilton has failed to cover in five of their last six visits to Vancouver. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
07-09-22 | Sporting KC v. CF Montreal -130 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 88 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Montreal. Just last week Montreal was sitting in first place in the Eastern Conference, but after losing on the road at LA they have slipped to third. A home game against the last place team in MLS appears to be a great spot to get back on track. Sporting KC is just 1-2-7 with an MLS worst -16 goal differential in 10 games on the road. Montreal has a fairly average home record with five wins in eight matches, but they did score 16 goals in those games. All three of their home losses came against teams versus a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-25-22 | Toronto v. BC -178 | Top | 3-44 | Win | 100 | 116 h 15 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC. The Lions didn't just win their home opener, they dropped a whopping 59 points on the sad sacked Edmonton Elks. Nathan Rourke threw for 282 yards and three TDs on 26-of-29 passing. James Butler scored four TDs and ran for over 100 yards. The defense was just as impressive, forcing four turnovers and allowing just 15 points. The Argos won their home opener, but it was far less impressive. They just barely edged out Montreal by a score of 20-19. The Argos last visit to BC ended in a blowout loss by a score of 55-8, and the home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. An extra week to prepare will also be an advantage for the home team here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-23-22 | Mariners -125 v. A's | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SEA. The Mariners have outscored Oakland 17-2 in the first two games of this series, and with their ace going on Thursday in Game 3, it could be more of the same. Robbie Ray will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's coming off his best start of the season. He allowed one run on three hits, striking out 10 in seven innings in a home win over the Angels. The A's hand the ball to Frankie Montas, who is coming off one of his worst performances of the season. He allowed five runs on a season high 10 hits over five innings in a home loss to Kansas City. The Mariners are 20-7 in the last 27 head to head meetings, and they have won eight straight at Oakland. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Calvin King | $1,322 |
Mike Williams | $1,223 |
Will Rogers | $1,010 |
Rob Vinciletti | $843 |
Hunter Price | $836 |
Matt Fargo | $641 |
John Ryan | $628 |
Brandon Lee | $610 |
Black Widow | $527 |
Tom Macrina | $527 |