Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-30-23 | Blues +1.5 v. Penguins | 2-4 | Loss | -145 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on STL. The Blues are 5-2 since firing head coach Craig Berube, and they have covered the spread as a puckline underdog in six of those seven games. While this is the back end of a back to back for St. Louis, it's the front end of a back to back for the Penguins. With the second leg coming against a division rival, and the first leg an out of conference game, the Pens might be looking ahead. We could see backup goaltenders involved in this game, and the Blues backup goaltender is coming off back to back wins allowing just 1 goal in each game. His overall numbers on the year are superior to starter Jordan Binnington. The Blues are 3-1 ATS in their last four versus Pittsburgh. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-30-23 | Raptors v. Pistons +4.5 | 127-129 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. Have you heard of the Casey Curse? For those who don't know, the Raptors fired coach Casey after finishing first in the East, but losing to LeBron and the Cavs in the playoffs several years ago. The Raptors went on to win a championship with Nick Nurse, and Detroit hired coach Casey. The Pistons have long been the laughing stock of the league, but the one team that they could beat was Toronto. While Casey is no longer the Pistons coach, and the Raptors have won five straight meetings versus Detroit, the Pistons are still 8-2 ATS in the last 10 head to head. Both these teams look like they are tanking, but the Pistons are desperate to snap their historic losing streak. This looks like as good a spot as any for the Pistons to get a W. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-30-23 | UL - Lafayette v. Marshall -155 | Top | 61-75 | Win | 100 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MARSH. The Thundering Herd finished 2nd in the Sun Belt last season, tied with the Ragin Cajuns. They were 15-2 at home, and they have a pair of senior starters back from that team. The Ragin Cajuns have lost four of five one the road so far this season, and they were just 7-7 in road games last year. Louisiana-Lafayette are 1-7 SU in their last eight games on the road, while Marshall has won 12 of their last 16 in the Sun Belt. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-30-23 | Ole Miss +5 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on MISS. So far favorites have struggled this bowl season, and I think Penn State is asked to cover too many points here in the Peach Bowl. The Rebels are surrounded by an aura of positivity right now, while the Nittany Lions lost both coordinators on offense and defense. James Franklyn is just 4-4 in bowl games at Penn State. I'll take the points with a team that should be a helluva lot happier about being at The Peach Bowl. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-23 | Washington State v. Utah -6.5 | Top | 58-80 | Win | 100 | 23 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Utah. Both these teams are 9-2, but Utah has more impressive wins. They won at St. Mary's and they beat #14 ranked BYU. The Utes are 6-0 at home, and they won by 14 in the most recent meeting versus WSU last January. Utah is 8-2 straight up, and 7-3 ATS in the last 10 versus the Cougars. This will be the first true road game for Washington State, and they were 4-8 on the road last year. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-23 | Missouri -120 v. Ohio State | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 559 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIZZ. The Buckeyes are a better team than Missouri, and even with several starters opting out, they should still have a talent advantage. Disparity in talent isn't the be all and end all in bowl games though, as some teams simply want it more. Playing in the Cotton Bowl exceeds all expectations for Missouri, but it's a bitter disappointment for the Buckeyes. We know Kyle McCord is gone, Marvin Harrison Jr. is highly unlikely to play. Brady Cook, Cody Shrader and Luther Burden are expected to play. As good as the Buckeyes defense was this season, I challenge you to name the QB & WR duo they faced that would compare to Cook and Burden. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-23 | Heat v. Warriors -140 | 114-102 | Loss | -140 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Warriors. So the Heat got a home win over a shorthanded Philly team on Christmas Day, while the Warriors lost at Denver in a game that was highly controversial. The Dubs should bring it here at home after Steve Kerr railing against the officials after the loss to Denver. The Dubs have won eight in a row at home, and they are 4-1 in their last five home games against Miami. They have actually been a better team since the suspension of Draymond Green. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-23 | Arizona -165 v. Oklahoma | 38-24 | Win | 100 | 570 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The Sooners will be a shell of the team we saw beat Texas in the Red River Rivalry. They won't have QB Dillon Gabriel in the Alamo Bowl, but Jackson Arnold is highly touted and gets a chance to prove himself. He was a five star recruit, but that doesn't always translate right away. Noah Fifita on the other hand stepped in and turned Arizona into a juggernaut. The Wildcats come in riding a six game winning streak with four of those six wins coming against ranked teams. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-23 | Portland State v. Eastern Washington -140 | Top | 57-91 | Win | 100 | 20 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on EWU. So the 4-7 Eagles are a home favorite here against the 9-3 Vikings. I think this line is a product of these teams overall records, despite the fact that strength of schedule tells us that Eastern Washington is much better than their record would indicate. The Eagles losses came against five teams from the PAC12, and road games versus teams from the BIG12 and SEC. They have won 13 of their last 14 home games, and they have won seven straight head to head versus the Vikings. They are 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-23 | Jets v. Browns -5.5 | Top | 20-37 | Win | 100 | 100 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Cleveland. The Jets are coming off a dubious 30-28 home win over Washington. They blew a 20-0 lead, but hit the game winning 54 yard field goal in the final seconds. Trevor Siemian threw for 217 yards on 27-of-49 passing against the NFL's worst defense. Now the Jets are on the road on a short week, and they face the NFL's top pass defense. The Browns are on a roll since the arrival of Joe Flacco, who threw for 368 yards and three TDs in a win at Houston on Sunday. The Browns are 7-1 at home this season, and the Jets have failed to cover in three straight road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-23 | Avalanche v. Coyotes +1.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 41 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The Yotes have won four of their last five, and the one loss came on the road at Colorado. That sets up a revenge spot in the second half of this home and home series. Home ice has been kind to the Coyotes, who are 11-5 at home. Arizona has won three of their last four home games versus Colorado, and they covered the puckline in all four of those games. They are 7-1 in their last eight home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-23 | Texas A&M v. Oklahoma State +4 | 23-31 | Win | 100 | 546 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKST. I like the Cowboys here against an Aggies team with a third string QB, an interim coach and a ton of players in the portal or declared for the NFL draft. Oklahoma State will have Ollie Gordon ready to go, and he was the leading rusher in the BIG12 this year. Mike Gundy has a record of 11-6 all time in bowls, putting him among the active leaders in bowl wins. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-23 | Suns v. Rockets UNDER 226 | 129-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. You gotta have a big set to be betting unders in the NBA these days, but the Iceman has a pair, don't you worry about that. Houston ranks 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 108 points per game. They lost at home last night to Indiana, in a game that they let get away from them. The Suns are also coming in off an ugly loss, and I am expecting both these teams to reign it in here as they look to bounce back. The last time Phoenix played at Houston they scored just 97 points. We might see both these teams bring it on defense tonight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-23 | Panthers v. Lightning -110 | 3-2 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TB. The Lightning sit in fourth place in the Atlantic, behind the Florida Panthers. Their starting goaltender Andrei Vasilevskij missed some time due to injury, and that likely affected their overall record. Of course he wasn't sharp in his first few games back from injury, but he's won seven of his last 10 starts. He's 4-1 with a 1.81 GAA at home this season, and he's 62-19 at home since 2020. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-23 | Capitals +1.5 v. Rangers | 1-5 | Loss | -130 | 39 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WAS +1.5. The Capitals have been quite competitive in recent weeks, winning five of their last eight games. They are 7-1 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. The Rangers are in first place in the Metropolitan Division, and they have won eight of their last 12. New York is just 3-12 ATS as a puckline favorite during that span. Charlie Lindgren is 7-3 with a 2.29 GAA and a .928 save percentage this season. That ranks among the league leaders in both categories. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-26-23 | Pacers v. Rockets -135 | 123-117 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are 12-2 at home, and nobody in the Western Conference has more wins. They rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. They host a Pacers team that is allergic to defense, ranking 29th in the NBA allowing 126 points per game. The Pacers have failed to cover in six of their last seven overall, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five versus teams from the Western Conference. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-26-23 | Texas State -170 v. Rice | 45-21 | Win | 100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on TXST. The Bobcats started the season off with a bang, upsetting Baylor in Week 1. They won seven games in the Sun Belt, and their offense ranked among the top teams in the county averaging 36 points per game. Rice had to win back to back games at the end of the year to qualify for a bowl, after quarterback JT Daniels quit football all together over injury concerns. Freshman AJ Padgett took over, and he was solid in four starts. He only faced one team with a winning record, throwing for 182 yards and two TDs on 17-of-28 passing in a 34-14 loss to UTSA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-26-23 | Fulham v. AFC Bournemouth +115 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 115 | 8 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on AFC Bournemouth. It should not come as a shock that Bournemouth got off to a terrible start. Bournemouth fired manager Gary O'Neil over the summer and replaced him with Andoni Iraola, and it was always going to take some time to adjust. Iraola was successful fielding a competitive side with a low payroll in Spain, and that success has carried over here in his first season in the Premier League. Bournemouth come in undefeated in their last six matches, hosting a Fulham side that has just one win in nine away matches, and a -11 goal differential in those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-23 | Ravens v. 49ers -5 | Top | 33-19 | Loss | -110 | 188 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF. A lot of people are picking these two teams to meet in the Super Bowl, but the Ravens appear to be a team due for some regression. San Francisco had it's three game losing skid in the middle of the season, but since then they appear to have forgotten how to lose. The Niners have covered in six straight, and they are 13-1 SU in their last 14 home games. This looks like a good spot to fade the Ravens. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-23 | Warriors v. Nuggets -4.5 | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 334 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DENVER. The defending champs are 11-2 at home, and the Joker is still in a class of his own. While the mainstream media refuses to five Nikola Jokic the credit he is due, he continues to dominate everything in his path. The Warriors five game winning streak only puts them a game above .500, and four of those five wins came at home. Now they are on the road, and Steph Curry averages over 30 points per game at home, and just over 26 points per game on the road. The Warriors have lost four straight in this series, and they are 1-5 SU and 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-23 | Bucks v. Knicks UNDER 224.5 | 122-129 | Loss | -110 | 1341 h 56 m | Show | |
4* | |||||||
12-24-23 | Nevada v. Georgia Tech OVER 139.5 | Top | 72-64 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. This number looks a little too low. Perhaps the bookmakers haven't fully adjusted for the fact that Georgia Tech is playing at a far faster pace than they did last year. Their average of over 72 possessions per game ranks among the faster teams in the country. Nevada is right behind them averaging just short of 72 points per game. Nevada comes in averaging over 79 points per game. The Yellow Jackets have averaged over 72 points per game, and they have allowed 71 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-23 | Patriots v. Broncos -5.5 | Top | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 163 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Denver. The 3-11 Patriots are likely going to find it tough to get up for a Christmas Even game on the road in Denver. This team has nine starters listed as questionable just 48 hrs prior to the game. We know there will be a wholesale change over the off-season, and we don't expect the compete level to be very high in these final few games. This is a Denver team that can still make the playoffs, but they need to win this game. Russell Wilson has thrown for 1,382 yards, 13 TDs and just one INT at home this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-23 | Cardinals v. Bears -160 | 16-27 | Win | 100 | 170 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHI. The Bears are back baby .... winning three of their last five overall, and the two losses during that span came in close games on the road. While the Bears are still playing to win, you can't say the same for Arizona. The Cards are coming off a punishing loss on the road at San Francisco, and they are 1-6 on the road. Playing in Chicago in December isn't an ideal spot for a dome team on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-23 | Commanders v. Jets -170 | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 167 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYJ. After being embarrassed in a 30-0 loss at Miami last week, this looks like a good bounce back spot for the Jets. They host a Washington Commanders team that ranks dead last in total defense. Washington is allowing over 30 points per game, and they come in as losers of five straight. The Commanders have lost five of six on the road, and three straight against the Jets. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-23 | Colts +1.5 v. Falcons | 10-29 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on INDY. Gardiner Minshew threw for 215 yards and three TDs on 18-of-28 passing in a win over the Steelers last week. Indy is actually 8-4 in the games that Minshew has started or played the majority of the snaps. While the Colts are in good shape at QB, the Falcons have benched their starter. Now Heinicke might not be much of a drop off, but he's proven he isn't much of a difference maker either. The Colts won both meetings last year, and they come into Atlanta as the better team playing better ball. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-23-23 | Coastal Carolina v. San Jose State -8.5 | 24-14 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJST. So who does Coastal Carolina have in the transfer portal? Well the list of guys who aren't in the portal might be shorter. The Chanticleers have more players in the portal than any other team this Bowl Season. San Jose State comes in riding a six game winning streak, and senior QB Chevan Cordiero threw 13 TDs and just one INT in those games. This looks like a very one-sided set up, and it shouldn't be too hard for the Spartans to win this game by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-23-23 | Blackhawks v. Blues -1.5 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL. The Blues have won three of four since firing Craig Berube, and they have a pretty favorable matchup here at home versus Chicago. The Blackhawks are coming off a 5-2 home loss to Montreal, and playing on the road in the second game of a back to back two days before Christmas is a tough game to get up for. The Hawks are just 4-12 on the road, and they have lost three of their last four at St. Louis. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-23-23 | Grizzlies -115 v. Hawks | 125-119 | Win | 100 | 27 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MEM. The Grizzlies are a different team with Ja Morant in the lineup, and since he's back they have won back to back games. Morant scored 34 in his return to the lineup in a win at New Orleans, and then followed up with 20 points in a home win over the Pacers. The Hawks have a far better record on the road than they do at home, and they are playing the second game of a back to back after a loss at Miami last night. The Grizz have won three of their last four at Atlanta. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-23-23 | Texas-Arlington v. North Texas UNDER 131.5 | 52-78 | Win | 100 | 5 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Mean Green rank 353rd nationally in pace of play, averaging just 65 possessions per game. They rank 360th in the nation in scoring, but they are holding opponents to an average of just 59.8 points per game. They are 4-0 in their last four versus Texas Arlington, and the Mavericks have averaged just 55 points per game during that span. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-23 | Maryland v. UCLA UNDER 129.5 | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Bruins are slumping, losing four of their last five overall and scoring just 63.8 points per game during that span. UCLA ranks 309th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They host Maryland, and the Terps last road game was a 65-53 loss at Indiana. We should expect this game to be played at a snail's pace, and the score should reflect that. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-23 | Mavs v. Rockets -7.5 | 96-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are coming off a brutal home loss to the Hawks, but this looks like a nice bounce back spot against an undermanned Dallas team. The Mavs entire starting lineup is expected to be out due to injuries, and that includes leading scorer Luka Doncic. The Rockets are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they rank 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-21-23 | Pacers v. Grizzlies -175 | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MEM. Not going to deep into this one. Ja Morant just set the record for most points in a return to the lineup, and the Pacers are playing the second game of a back to back on the road off a big win. Bad spot for Pacers, good spot for Grizz. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-21-23 | Golden Knights v. Lightning -113 | Top | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TB. This is a tough spot for the Knights playing on the road at Tampa just days before Christmas. Andrei Vasilevskij is back for the Bolts, and he's up to his old tricks. The perennial Vezina candidate is a brick wall at home. He's 3-1 with a 1.26 GAA at home this season, and he was 20-8 with a 2.57 GAA at home last year. He's 61-19 at home since 2020. The Knights have been forced to start third string goalie Jiri Patera due to injuries to Adin Hill and Logan Thompson. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-21-23 | USC Upstate v. Davidson UNDER 139 | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 251st in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They will be a heavy favorite versus USC Upstate, who only scored 53 points in their last game. Davidson is 6-0 at home, holding opponents to an average of 55 points in those games. Expect the Wildcats to shut down USC Upstate here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | Celtics v. Kings -105 | 144-119 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. This looks like a huge let down spot for the Celtics, losing in overtime in a late game at Golden State last night. Now they play the second game of a back to back on the West Coast in a different time zone. Tatum and Brown each played 40+ minutes in the loss to the Warriors, and I would be shocked if they didn't get a lighter workload here in this spot. The Celtics have lost four of their last five versus teams from the Western Conference, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | North Carolina -145 v. Oklahoma | Top | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. I will stop short of calling the Oklahoma Sooners a fraud, but I will caution not to read too much into a perfect 10-0 record. Keep in mind strength of schedule, and while they have beaten four Power Five teams, but Iowa, USC, Providence and Arkansas have all underachieved so far. The Tar Heels come off back to back losses to Kentucky and Connecticut, both of those teams look like legit contenders. I think Oklahoma gets exposed here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | Clippers -155 v. Mavs | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. So the Clippers lost six in a row after the James Harden trade, but after Russell Westbrook offered to come off the bench, things started clicking. A few days before Christmas and the Clippers look like the best team in the NBA. They have won eight in a row, and they take on a Dallas team tonight that could be without three starters. The Clippers have won five of their last six on the road and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | Northwestern v. Arizona State UNDER 138.5 | 65-46 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Northwestern Wildcats will play Arizona State at a neutral site Wednesday, and we are expecting a low score here. The Wildcats rank 340th in pace of play, averaging just 66.8 possessions per game. The Sun Devils actually play at above average pace, yet rank 323rd in scoring, averaging less than 70 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | Hawks v. Rockets -155 | 134-127 | Loss | -155 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are a Jeckyll and Hyde team at home and on the road. They are 11-1 at home, and just a short favorite against the Atlanta Hawks, who have a losing record on the road. The Hawks are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 overall, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight on the road. They are 4-8 straight up in their last 12 versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-19-23 | UTSA -12.5 v. Marshall | 35-17 | Win | 100 | 156 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on UTSA. In the press conference with Roadrunners head coach Jeff Trailor. he said that his team is 100% all in for this bowl game. He also said that winning a bowl game is the one thing that his team hasn't yet accomplished during his tenure. Marshall's head coach Charles Huff wasn't as optimistic about his team, saying that he wasn't surprised to hear that the starting QB was in the transfer portal. "There isn’t a lot of money for NIL and the fans hate him," Huff said. "The kid has been miserable, the fans hated him" Between Huff's comments and the number of players in the portal, we have to fade the Herd here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-19-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -6.5 | 115-113 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Grizzlies will get Ja Morant back tonight, and there is no doubt that Memphis will be a better team with his return. Don't expect that impact to be significant here in the second game of a back to back on the road at New Orleans. He hasn't played since the first round of last year's playoffs. Normally in a situation like this you expect to see a limited number of minutes in the first game back. The Pelicans are winners of four straight, and three of those four wins were blowouts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-19-23 | Blues +1.5 v. Lightning | 1-6 | Loss | -160 | 27 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL +1.5. After firing their head coach, the struggling Edmonton Oilers rattled off an eight game winning streak. The St. Louis Blues fired their head coach last week, and have since won back to back games. The Blues are an underdog on the road in Tampa, and the Lightning have just returned home from a five game road trip. While the first game back from a road trip is often a flat spot, perhaps it's even more so less than a week away from Christmas. The Lightning are just 4-10 ATS as a puckline favorite in their last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-23 | Eagles -3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 17-20 | Loss | -105 | 176 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI. What happened to the 10-1 Eagles? They are now the 10-3 Eagles after losing back to back blowouts versus San Francisco and Dallas. The good news is that they aren't playing the Niners or the Cowboys this week, and this looks like a potential "GET RIGHT" game for Philly. The Seahawks have lost four of their last five overall, and Geno Smith is banged up. Drew Lock came in and threw for 269 yards, 2 TDs and 2 INTs in the loss at San Francisco last Sunday. Lock has thrown as many picks (20) as he has TDs over his last three seasons. Smith has a groin injury that normally requires at least two weeks to heal, so even if he can play he would likely be limited. **UPDATE** - so we are now less than 18 hrs from kickoff and we still have no clarification on Geno Smith, and breaking news that Jalen Hurts might not play due to illness. If it is Marcus Mariotta, note that his last game at Seattle he threw for 229 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT on 13-of-20 passing in a win with the Falcons last year. He also scored a rushing TD in the win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-23 | Wolves v. Heat UNDER 219 | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So we go inside the numbers here and we find that both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. Minnesota ranks 2nd allowing less than 106 points per game. Both teams also rank in the bottom 10 in the NBA in pace of play, and Miami ranks 28th averaging just 100 possessions per game. These teams have gone under in three of four head to head meetings dating back to 2021. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-23 | Washington -175 v. Seattle University | 100-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The rivalry between these two Pacific Northwest schools has been very one-sided. The Huskies have won 10 straight head to head, covering the spread in four straight. Perhaps it could be considered a let down spot for the Huskies coming off a home win over Gonzaga. The Red Hawks play a couple of PAC12 teams in non-conference play every year. They are 0-9 straight up versus PAC12 teams since 2019. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-23 | Seton Hall v. Missouri -125 | 93-87 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIZZ. The Pirates are 6-4 overall, but 0-4 versus teams from teams from Power 5 conferences. They lost at home to Rutgers, at Baylor and at neutral sites versus USC and Iowa. The Missouri Tigers are coming off a 73-64 loss at Kansas, but they had previously won eight of 10. While it's not a home game for Missouri, playing in Kansas City should favor the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-23 | Cowboys v. Bills -124 | Top | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 147 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Bills. The Cowboys are flying high, winners of five straight. Four of those five wins came at home, and the one road game was at Carolina. They caught the Eagles in a tough spot, but this looks like a let down spot in an outdoor game in December in Buffalo. The Bills need this win to keep their playoff hopes alive, and they are 5-1 at home. The Cowboys are just 3-3 on the road, and all three of their road wins came versus teams with a losing record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-23 | Commanders v. Rams OVER 50 | 20-28 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Commanders are in last place in the NFC East, and they rank dead last in the NFL in scoring defense allowing over 30 points per game. They have allowed an NFL high 266 passing yards per game. The Rams have scored 30+ points in three straight games, and Matthew Stafford threw 10 TDs and just one INT in those games. The over is 5-1 in the Commanders last six overall, and the Rams have gone over in four of their last six. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-23 | Bears v. Browns -142 | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Browns defense has been light out at home. They have held their opponents to an average of 13 points per game, while winning six of seven home games. Chicago is coming off back to back wins over division rivals, but this looks like a let down spot for the Bears. In two starts for Cleveland, Joe Flacco has thrown for 565 yards, 5 TDs and 2 INTs. The Bears are 2-9 in their last 11 road games, and they lost 26-6 in their last game in Cleveland. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-23 | California +3 v. Texas Tech | 14-34 | Loss | -110 | 55 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CAL. The Bears might be the more motivated team here coming into the Bowl off three straight wins. They had a rough schedule, with all but one of their losses coming against ranked teams. The only exception was a 14-10 loss to an SEC team (Auburn). Texas Tech has 15 players in the transfer portal, including two of their top three receivers. Cal might be all fired up by the news that the leading rusher in the PAC12 (Jaydn Ott) is staying at Cal for another season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-23 | Broncos v. Lions OVER 46 | 17-42 | Win | 100 | 128 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Lions have allowed an average of 30 points per game in their last five overall, going 3-2 in those games. Jared Goff struggled on the road last week, but he's back home in the dome where he's played much better. The Broncos come in as winners of six of their last seven overall, and they are finally getting their money's worth from Russell Wilson. These teams have gone over in four of the last five meetings. The Lions have gone over the number in four of their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-23 | Florida Atlantic -9 v. St Bonaventure | 64-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FAU. The Owls are off to an impressive 8-2 start to the season, and six of those eight wins came by double digits. Their last loss came at a neutral site versus Illinois, and the Illini shot over 63 percent from the field. Despite that the final score was relatively close (98-89). They are simply in a different class than this St. Bonnies squad, that faces a ranked team for the first time. The Bonnies lost by 17 to unranked Auburn. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-23 | Miami-OH v. Appalachian State -6.5 | 9-13 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on APP. It was a down year for the MAC in my opinion, and that is evidenced by the fact that the conference champions had a QB that averaged well below 100 yards per game, with 2 TDs and 2 INTs in eight starts. Now he's in the transfer portal, leaving them with no experienced quarterbacks. The Sun Belt is the superior conference, as evidenced by their strong representation in the bowls. App State won five of their final six games, and that included an upset at JMU on Gameday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-23 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State +15.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NMSU. The Lobos come into this rivalry game with a 9-1 record, and one of those wins was a 44-point blowout at home versus New Mexico State. They could be primed for a bit of a let down here in just their second road game of the season. We don't normally see blowouts in this rivalry, prior to this season the average margin of victory in the previous four head to head meetings was just four points. The Lobos have failed to cover in six of their last seven as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-23 | Magic +6 v. Celtics | 111-128 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Celtics are undefeated at home this season, but this appears to be a tough spot for the home team. Boston is playing the second game of a back to back after winning back to back home games in a two game set versus Cleveland. History favors the visitors here, as the Magic are 6-0 ATS in the last six head to head meetings. What is really shocking, is that Orlando has won four straight outright in this series. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-23 | Predators +1.5 v. Hurricanes | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NASH. The Preds are one of the hottest teams in the NHL. They have won 11 of their last 14 straight up, and they have covered as a puckline underdog in 12 of those games. These teams have a history of playing close games, with five of the last eight head to head meetings decided by one goal. The Canes are 6-4 straight up in the last 10 meetings, but they are 3-7 ATS as a puckline favorite in those games. This will be the second game of a back to back for Carolina, coming off a 2-1 win at Detroit. Carolina is just 2-6 ATS as a puckline favorite in their last eight overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings -120 | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings got off to a slow start, and De'Aaron Fox missed some games. They come into tonight's home game against the Thunder as winners of 11 of their last 16. Only two of those losses came at home. History favors the Kings, as they are 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings. They won all five home meetings during that span, and one of those wins was just a few weeks ago. The Kings are coming off a blowout loss to the Clippers, and this looks like a get right game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-23 | Senators v. Blues +100 | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on STL. The Edmonton Oilers come into tonight's home game against Tampa riding an eight game winning streak. This comes after a brutal start to the season, and lines up with the firing of former head coach Jay Woodcroft. The St. Louis Blues have fired their head coach Craig Berube, and they are hoping for a similar turnaround. The Blues are 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, and they have won three of their last four home meetings versus Ottawa. We should see a strong effort from the Blues here with Drew Bannister making his debut as the new coach. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-23 | Hurricanes v. Red Wings +1.5 | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. So the Canes come into the Motor City as a big favorite, but both of these teams have 15 wins on the season. The Canes have fewer road wins than the Wings have at home, and I think the books have the wrong team favored here. Carolina is 4-6 SU in their last 10 overall, but just 3-7 ATS as a puckline favorite in that game. History favors Detroit here, as the Wings have won six of the last 10 versus Carolina, and they've covered the puckline in seven of 10. Detroit has covered as a puckline underdog in 12 of their last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-23 | Jets v. Kings UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 20 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Jets lost by a score of 2-1 in San Jose last night, and they come limping into LA without their leading scorer Kyle Connor. The good news is that perennial Vezina candidate Connor Hellebuyck will be back between the pipes tonight. While he ranks in the Top 10 in GAA, Cam Talbot ranks 2nd in the NHL with a 1.91 GAA. Special teams could help both netminders, as both these teams have elite penalty killing units, and neither team is that great on the power play. The under is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings, and three of the last four in LA have gone under the number. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-23 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 258.5 | 126-140 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. We expect a high scoring game here in Milwaukee tonight, but how high are we talking. This is the biggest number I have ever seen, and I think there are just so many things that can happen to prevent these two offensive juggernauts from getting there. Putting things in perspective, last week's meeting in the In-Season Tourney ended with a final score of 128-119, going under the inflated number. The previous head to head meeting went over the listed number of 239.5, but the score of 126-124 wouldn't have come anywhere near this number. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings, but only three of those games saw enough points to go over this inflated total. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-23 | Boston University v. Dartmouth UNDER 130.5 | 54-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in this game between Boston University and Dartmouth. Both these teams rank near the bottom of Division I in pace of play each averaging fewer than 70 possessions per game. The Terriers are averaging just 66 points per game, but Dartmouth ranks 413th nationally averaging just 62 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-23 | Jets v. Sharks +1.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJS. The Sharks are a bad team, maybe even the worst team in the NHL. That being said, they have been playing a lot better lately. They have won five of their last eight overall, but they are 7-1 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. The Jets are in town, and history favors the Sharks. San Jose is 6-4 SU in their last 10 versus Winnipeg, and 7-3 ATS as a puckline underdog in those games. The Jets might be without their leading scorer Kyle Connor who is scheduled to have an MRI on his knee in San Jose today. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-23 | Oral Roberts v. Texas Tech UNDER 142 | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Red Raiders are 4-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of 52.5 points per game. Oral Roberts is 0-3 on the road with losses at Texas A&M, Missouri State and Kansas State. There are 362 division I teams, and Texas Tech ranks 258th in pace of play averaging just 69.9 possessions per game. Oral Roberts is much the same averaging just 70.4 possessions per game (235th). We have Texas Tech scoring 70-77 points, and Oral Roberts scoring 53-60 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-23 | Nets v. Kings -4.5 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings finished first in the Pacific Division last year, and they currently trail the LA Lakers by just a half game. They host the Brooklyn Nets tonight, and a win could put them in first place. The Kings won and covered in both head to head meetings versus the Nets last year. They won at home by a score of 153-121. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus teams from the Eastern Conference. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-23 | Red Wings +1.5 v. Stars | 3-6 | Loss | -140 | 15 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Red Wings have played one fewer game than Dallas, and they have one less point to show for it. They actually have a better road record than the Stars have at home. Dallas is the big favorite here, and the Stars have won eight of the last 10 meetings. Three of the last five meetings were decided in overtime, and six of the last 10 meetings were decided by one goal. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-23 | Howard v. Pennsylvania -4.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Penn. The Quakers are 6-1 at home, and the one loss came in overtime versus Belmont. They host the Howard Bison who are 1-4 on the road. The Bison have lost 14 of their last 15 versus teams from the Ivy League. The Quakers are 12-1 in their last 13 home games, and they have have won five of their last six versus teams from the Mid East. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys -135 | Top | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 248 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DAL. The Eagles had been getting it done with smoke and mirrors for weeks, but the bubble burst in a home loss to San Francisco on Sunday. Now they head to Dallas to face a well rested Cowboys team that has been firing on all cylinders. Dak Prescott has averaged well over 300 yards per passing per game over his last five. The Eagles rank 30th in the NFL against the pass, allowing over 260 yards per game. This is a mismatch, and a bad spot for the Eagles. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys OVER 51.5 | 13-33 | Loss | -107 | 16 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Eagles had been getting it done with smoke and mirrors for weeks, but the bubble burst in a home loss to San Francisco on Sunday. Now they head to Dallas to face a well rested Cowboys team that has been firing on all cylinders. Dak Prescott has averaged well over 300 yards per passing per game over his last five. The Eagles rank 30th in the NFL against the pass, allowing over 260 yards per game. This is a mismatch, and a bad spot for the Eagles. These teams have gone over in six straight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs -160 | 20-17 | Loss | -160 | 159 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BUF. There are those who will insist that the Bills are better than their record indicates. They certainly deserved better in a loss at Philly in their last game, but this isn't exactly a good spot on the road at Kansas City. The Chiefs are coming off a loss at Green Bay on Sunday night, and they are 16-4 straight up in their last 20 overall. The Bills may be distracted by off the field issues, and playing in a tough spot on the road this week isn't ideal. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-23 | Bills v. Chiefs OVER 48.5 | 20-17 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. There are those who will insist that the Bills are better than their record indicates. They certainly deserved better in a loss at Philly in their last game, but this isn't exactly a good spot on the road at Kansas City. The Chiefs are coming off a loss at Green Bay on Sunday night, and they are 16-4 straight up in their last 20 overall. The Bills may be distracted by off the field issues, and playing in a tough spot on the road this week isn't ideal. The over is 3-2 in the last five meetings, but the number was at least six points higher in all five of those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-23 | Devils v. Oilers -148 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on EDM. The Oilers fired head coach Jay Woodcroft on November 12th, and they have won eight of 11 since. They come into Sunday's home game against New Jersey as winners of six straight. The Devils have lost five of their last seven in Edmonton, and playing in the second game of a back to back off a win in Calgary, this looks like a tough spot for the visitors. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-23 | Vikings v. Raiders OVER 40 | 3-0 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The under is 6-1 in the Raiders last seven home games. It's not like they have faced offensive juggernauts though. Their four home wins came against the Jets, the Patriots, the Giants and the Packers. Their last home game was a 31-17 loss to Kansas City. Minnesota is expecting Justin Jefferson back, and the Vikes have gone over in five straight in the month of December. These teams have gone over the number in four straight meetings, and the total for this game is far lower than it was in those previous meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-23 | Colts -135 v. Bengals | 14-34 | Loss | -135 | 155 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on IND. The Colts opened as the favorite, but public money has been coming in on the Bengals. I think there is recency bias at play, after Jake Browning had a big game in last week's win at Jacksonville. It might not matter how well Browning plays if the Bengals defense continues to struggle. They have allowed 30+ points in three of their last four games, and the one exception was a loss to Pittsburgh when they gave 421 total yards but the Steelers only converted those yards into 16 points. Only the Washington Commanders are rank worse than Cincinnati in total defense this season. As good as Browning looked last week, we've seen Gardner Minshew play well in the league for years. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Rutgers v. Seton Hall UNDER 132.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Last year Seton Hall beat Rutgers in New Jersey by a score of 45-43, and while that game may look like anomaly, low scoring games have been the norm when these teams play. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has gone under in seven of their last eight overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six road games. The Pirates are 5-0 at home, and they have held opponents to 62 points per game. This one should be a defensive battle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 241 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Pacers are cooking fire heading into the NBA In-Season Tournament Final, but the Lakers may be able to cool them off. These two teams have gone under in three straight head to head meetings, and the Lakers have held opponents to just 105 points per game in their last five. We saw LA hold the Pelicans to just 89 points in the Semi Finals. Expect a strong defensive effort here in a Championship Game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Drexel v. West Virginia UNDER 129.5 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Of 362 Division 1 teams, West Virginia ranks 341st in possessions per game. Drexel ranks 340th, so we should expect a snail's pace here in this matchup. The total has gone under in eight of West Virginia's last 11 games. The total has gone under in six of Drexel's last seven games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Colgate v. Vermont UNDER 134 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Catamounts last home game was a 66-65 win over Yale, and they came back from down five in the final three seconds. Vermont is 5-0 at home, and the majority of those games have been low scoring. Of the 362 Division 1 teams, Vermont ranks 358th in possessions per game. The total has gone under in eight of Colgate's last nine games. The total has gone under in 8 of Vermont's last 11 games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Brentford -124 v. Sheffield United | 0-1 | Loss | -124 | 3 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Brentford. A few years ago Sheffield United was a competitive team in the Premier League, but they are the undisputed worst team in 2023. They have just one win 15 matches, and they have a Premier League worst -30 goal differential in those games. A home game against Brentford won't be a picnic. Brentford has scored more than twice as many goals and they have conceded 20 fewer goals. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-23 | Wild v. Oilers -172 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on EDM. The Oilers fired head coach Jay Woodcroft on November 12th, and they have won seven of 10 since. They come into tonight's home game against Minnesota as winners of five straight. The home team is 5-0 in the last five meetings between these teams. This is the second game in a back to back for Minnesota off a loss at Vancouver last night. The Wild are 4-11 SU in their last 15 games on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-23 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 221 | 123-133 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Under. These two rivals rank 3rd and 4th respectively in opponent's scoring average, and history tells us that low scores have been the norm in recent meetings. They have failed to reach the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and both previous meetings this season have gone under. The Celtics have won nine straight at home and the total has gone under in 10 of Boston's last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-23 | St. Peter's v. Duquesne UNDER 131 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The St. Peters Peacocks rank 341st in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. They are coming off a 54-52 win at Canisius, and they rank 411th nationally scoring just 61.5 points per game. Duquesne has failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and they have gone under in three straight home games. While this is a low number, I think the Peacocks are gonna struggle to score 50. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-23 | Wild v. Canucks -117 | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Vancouver. I bet on Vancouver in their last game, and they lost 6-5 giving up the game winner in the final minute. The good news is they are 7-1 in their last 8 coming off a loss. Here is what I said before their loss to New Jersey: "The first game back from a road trip can be a trouble spot, but when that road trip was a one off at Calgary we aren't going to worry about that. The Canucks come home with a new defenseman, newly acquired Nikita Zadorov. Vancouver boast an 8-2-1 home record, and one of the league's best power plays. Thatcher Demko has looked like a Vezina candidate, and Quinn Hughes is being floated as a potential Hart Trophy winner." GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-23 | West Ham United v. Tottenham Hotspur -130 | 2-1 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Spurs. It was only a few weeks ago that Spurs were sitting top of the table in the Premier League, but most assumed that would be short lived. Their schedule got a bit tougher, and they lost three straight to Chelsea, Wolves and Aston Villa. Then over the weekend they went to the Etihad and earned points with a late equalizer in a 3-3 draw. I think we have to give credit to new manager Ange Postecoglou who has this team looking like a serious threat for a Champions League spot. History favors Spurs here, as they are 3-1-1 in their last five versus West Ham. The lone win for West Ham came in a meaningless friendly. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-23 | Newcastle United +138 v. Everton | 0-3 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle. Everton was facing relegation at the end of last season, and a points deduction has them right back in the relegation zone here this season. Despite the fact that Newcastle sits near the top of the table, they find themselves priced as an underdog here in an away match. Most teams play far better at home, but Everton may be the exception. They have just one win in seven home matches. Newscastle is 4-1 in their last five versus Everton, winning two of three away matches during that span. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-23 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 227 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Oklahoma City Thunder come in averaging over 119 points per game, but the Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 107 points per game. These teams have gone over this number in the last two meetings, but both those games were at Oklahoma City. They have gone under in four straight at Houston. The total has gone under in eight of Houston's last 11 games, and they have won eight straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-23 | Campbell v. Davidson UNDER 130.5 | 50-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in Davidson's home game against Campbell. There are 362 Division 1 teams in college basketball, and 350 of them average more possessions per game than both these two teams. Campbell ranked 359th, and Davidson ranks 351st in possessions per game. Campbell is 0-3 on the road, and they have scored an average of 51 points in those games. They might be lucky to reach a half a hundred here at Davidson. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-23 | Penn State v. Maryland UNDER 138.5 | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Terps will be a favorite at home versus Penn State, and history tells us we should see a low score. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total, and the last time these teams played Penn State won 65-64. Both teams have scored fewer than 70 points in four of the last five meetings. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Maryland's last 13 games, and they are 15-0 in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-23 | Devils v. Canucks -120 | 6-5 | Loss | -120 | 34 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Van. The first game back from a road trip can be a trouble spot, but when that road trip was a one off at Calgary we aren't going to worry about that. The Canucks come home with a new defenseman, newly acquired Nikita Zadorov. Vancouver boast an 8-2-1 home record, and one of the league's best power plays. Thatcher Demko has looked like a Vezina candidate, and Quinn Hughes is being floated as a potential Hart Trophy winner. The Devils are a one-dimensional team that looks sexy with their high flying offense, but they have a negative goal differential and only the San Jose Sharks have conceded more goals than the Devils this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-23 | North Texas v. Boise State -4.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. North Texas is the poor man's version of the Virginia Cavaliers, and that's not a knock on them. They come into Boise as defending NIT champs, and they have won five of seven so far this season. Their two losses came by a combined five points, so why on earth would we be betting on them to lose by 5+ here tonight? Well it is their first road game, and they face a Broncos team that has won 16 of it's last 17 home games. Boise is coming off a neutral site win over St. Mary's, a team that plays a similar style to the Mean Green. We expect a relatively comfortable win for Boise, predicting a final score of 68-60. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-23 | Pelicans v. Kings -165 | 127-117 | Loss | -165 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings are 9-3 in their last 12 overall, and they sit first overall in the Pacific Division. They host New Orleans Monday, and the Pelicans are 3-6 on the road. New Orleans has lost three straight road games, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. The home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. I think the Pelicans run into a buzz saw here in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-23 | Capitals v. Coyotes -108 | Top | 0-6 | Win | 100 | 18 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ARI. The Caps are playing their third game of a road trip at Arizona, and the Coyotes have won three straight home games. While these teams may have similar records, Arizona ranks far superior in goal differential as well as special teams. The Coyotes are converting on better than 25 percent of their power play opportunities, while the Caps are scoring on less than nine percent of their power play chances. The Caps #1 goaltender missed the last game due to an illness, and he's questionable tonight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-23 | 49ers -120 v. Eagles | Top | 42-19 | Win | 100 | 159 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SF. A rematch of last year's NFC Championship Game is also a revenge game for the Niners. The Eagles have already avenged their Super Bowl loss, and they have a string of wins in tight games that could have gone the other way. What goes around comes around, and this time I expect San Francisco to execute their revenge. They come in with extra rest, and a healthier team. The Eagles win over the Bills on Sunday appears a bit lucky, getting out-gained 505-378, with fewer first downs and less time of possession. I don't think the Eagles get away with that here in what looks like a let down spot against the Niners. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-23 | Browns v. Rams -172 | 19-36 | Win | 100 | 158 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAR. I have cashed three straight tickets in Browns games, going against them last Sunday in Denver, and cashing with them as a home favorite a week earlier against the Steelers. They didn't just lose the game in Denver, they also lost QB Dorian Thoimpson-Robinson and Myles Garrett to injuries. Now they are on the road for the second time in back to back weeks, facing a Rams team that is flying high with Stafford, Kupp and Williams all back on offense. While Cleveland owns the league's top ranked defense, the Browns have allowed an average of more than 30 points in their last four road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-23 | Creighton -3.5 v. Nebraska | 89-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Creighton. | |||||||
12-03-23 | Broncos +3 v. Texans | 17-22 | Loss | -105 | 155 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. I bet against Houston last week, saying I expected some regression to the mean. The fact that they went down to the wire with the Jags likely means they are still a real public team, and I am not sold on the Texans as a favorite. They lost LG Tytus Howard with a knee injury on Sunday, and it turned out to be significant as CJ Stroud was sacked twice on the final series. The Texans also have a kicker who has never hit a field goal of 50+ yards, and he missed twice last week. Denver is a role, and Russell Wilson looks like the guy that the Broncos thought they were getting when they made the trade with Seattle. The Broncos have rattled off five straight wins, and three of those games were decided by three points or less. Two of Denver's five losses have come by three points or less. I'll take the hot team plus the points here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-23 | Cardinals v. Steelers -5.5 | 24-10 | Loss | -110 | 104 h 26 m | Show | |
7* | |||||||
12-03-23 | Falcons v. Jets +3 | 13-8 | Loss | -118 | 104 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a free play on NYJ. The Jets offense is bad, and yeah they don't have a QB. They still have twice as many home wins as Atlanta has on the road. Yet the dome team comes into The Meadowlands in December as a favorite. If you are hanging your hat on having the better QB, you might be disappointed with Desmond Ridder going up against one of the NFL's best defenses in the bitter cold in New York. I'll take the dog, I'll take the points with the J E T S .... Jets! Jets! Jets! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-23 | USC v. Gonzaga UNDER 154.5 | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Gonzaga ranks 220th in the country in possessions per game, and they play solid defense allowing under 65 points per game. USC is coming off a 106-78 win over Eastern Washington, but we should see a lot more defense here in this game. Gonzaga is 3-6 ATS in their nine overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last six games overall. The last time these teams played head to head Gonzaga won 85-66 falling a half point short of the total of 151.5. The number is a little higher here this time, and I don't think this is the same high flying Gonzaga team. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $826 |
Dan Kaiser | $818 |
William Burns | $787 |
Tom Macrina | $650 |
Jesse Schule | $620 |
Mike Lundin | $408 |
Ricky Tran | $330 |
Ross Benjamin | $302 |
Joseph D'Amico | $253 |
Big Al McMordie | $173 |