Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-07-23 | Oklahoma v. Texas -6 | 34-30 | Loss | -110 | 118 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. So the Longhorns won the Red River Rivalry game in a 49-0 blowout last year. Some might say that this sets up a revenge spot here in this game. The Sooners are 5-0, however they have yet to face a ranked team. Texas won by double digits at #3 ranked Alabama in Week 2, and then last week they steamrolled #24 Kansas at home. Quinn Ewers has thrown for 1,358 yards, 10 TDs and 1 INT while playing a challenging schedule. I think it's asking too much of Oklahoma to compete in this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-07-23 | Sheffield United v. Fulham -165 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Fulham. Sheffield United has been shockingly poor defensively, losing three straight matches in the Premier League. They are winless in seven matches overall this season, and they have been outscored by a combined 12-1 in their last three matches. The home side is 3-1-1 in the last four head to head meetings. Fulham looks good to earn full poi9nts here in this favorable matchup. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-06-23 | Winnipeg v. BC OVER 50.5 | Top | 34-26 | Win | 100 | 17 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Over. These two teams rank 2nd and 3rd in scoring in the CFL, and we should see plenty of scoring in an indoor game in BC tonight. The lions have gone over in four straight, and Winnipeg has gone over in eight of their last 10. The BC defense has looked suspect, allowing 29.4 points per game in their last five overall. Winnipeg QB Zach Collaros leads the CFL with 30 TD passes so far, while BC QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the league in passing averaging 308 yards per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers UNDER 7.5 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The D'Backs won 6-3 in Game 1, and it was the only game that went over on yesterday's card. It looks like Game 2 could be a potential pitcher's duel. Zach Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he owns the Brewers. He's 2-0 with a 0.64 ERA in two starts versus the Brew Crew this season, and the Brewers lineup is hitting .171 over a combined 70 at bats against him. The Brewers hand the ball to Freddy Peralta, and he's allowed just two runs on four hits, striking out 19 over 12 1/3 innings in his last two home starts. The Brewers went under in five of their final six home games during the regular season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-23 | Paris Saint-Germain v. Newcastle United | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Newcastle. Newcastle is undefeated in their last five matches in all competitions, and they have posted five consecutive clean sheets. They have outscored the opposition 12-0 in those games. PSG is coming off a draw against the last place team in League 1. Paris sits just 5th in the table in the French league, and still bettors have them pegged as a favorite here against one of the top teams in the Premier League. PSG will be lucky to come away with a point here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-03-23 | Diamondbacks v. Brewers -179 | 6-3 | Loss | -179 | 29 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Brew Crew. Arizona comes in on a four game losing streak, and they turn to the back end of their rotation while the Brewers send their ace to the hill. Brandon Pfaadt will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 3-9 with a 5.72 ERA this season. The Brewers hand the ball to Corbin Burnes who is 1-1 with a 2.52 ERA in his last five starts. Milwaukee has won four of their last five games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-02-23 | Chelsea v. Fulham +0.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on Fulham. Chelsea is a disaster, sitting just a few points clear of the relegation zone after six game in the Premier League. They lost to Nottingham Forest and Aston Villa, and played to a draw against Bournemouth. They play at Fulham, who have earned points in four of their last five matches. The only defeat during that span came at Manchester City. The last time these London rivals played in the Premier League, the result was a scoreless draw. A draw wouldn't be a bad result for both teams here, but the way Chelsea has been playing it would be no surprise if they find a way to lose. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-01-23 | Raiders v. Chargers -3.5 | Top | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 154 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on LAC. The 1-2 Chargers are a small home favorite against the 1-2 Raiders. Clearly the Chargers have a huge edge at QB with Justin Herbert versus Jimmy G. The Chargers have been more effective running the ball, and we should see Austin Ekeler back this week. Neither team has been great defensively but it's tough to see the Raiders keeping up in a shootout. LV was just 2-7 on the road last season, including a 24-19 loss at LA. Keep in mind the Raiders only win came by just 1-point against an 0-3 team that gave up 70 points last week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-01-23 | Padres -155 v. White Sox | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Padres. A strong finish will be too little, too late for the Padres, but they look to wrap up with a win in Chicago in their final game of the season. They come in as winners of 13 of their last 15 overall. Jose Urena will toe the slab for Chicago, and he hasn't pitched in a win this season. Urena is 0-3 with a 5.31 ERA in his time with Chicago, and his team has lost in every one of his 13 appearances this season. The Padres hand the ball to 26 year old Pedro Avila, who is 2-2 with a 3.57 ERA in 13 appearances. The Friars bats have been hot at the end of the year. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-01-23 | Ravens v. Browns -140 | 28-3 | Loss | -140 | 151 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CLE. The Browns are 2-1, and they probably should have beaten Pittsburgh on Monday Night Football in Week 2. The loss of Nick Chubb is going to hurt, but Kareem Hunt looked good in last week's win over Tennessee. He should play a bigger role moving forward. The defense has held opponents to just six points in two home games. Baltimore comes in with several key injuries on offense, and the Ravens lost 13-3 at Cleveland last December. We expect a similar outcome here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-01-23 | Dolphins v. Bills -140 | 20-48 | Win | 100 | 151 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BUF. The Dolphins scored 70 in a home win over Denver last Sunday, but that might set them up for a let down here on the road at Buffalo. Remember it was a game against Buffalo last season that when Tua took a hit that sent the team in a downward spiral for the rest of the season. That will give him something to think about. The Fish have lost six straight at Buffalo, and nine of their last 10 versus the Bills. Josh Allen threw for 304 yards and 4 TDs on 25-of-40 passing in a home win over Miami last year. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-23 | Washington v. Arizona OVER 68.5 | 31-24 | Loss | -110 | 143 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Huskies are the #1 passing offense in the country, and they are averaging over 49 points per game. The Huskies beat Arizona by a score of 49-39 last year, and the total for that game was 71.5. A lower number here, but I don't see how Washington scores less than 50. Both these teams want to play fast and air it out, and another high score should be expected. Last week the Bears scored 32 against Washington, I think we can count on Arizona scoring 20-30 here at home. Looking at 55-24 Huskies ... GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-23 | Alabama v. Mississippi State UNDER 49 | 40-17 | Loss | -110 | 142 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Alabama is coming off a dominant effort on defense, holding Ole Miss to just 10 points in a 24-10 home win. Nick Saban came in with a plan, and he executed with precision. He utilized the skill set of Jalen Milroe as a dual threat, as he ran the ball almost as much as he threw it. Overall Alabama ran 21 passing plays and 45 running plays. They head to Starkeville this week, and they beat the Bulldogs by a score of 30-6 last year. That was with Bryce Young at QB for Alabama, and Will Rogers in the Air Raid. The Bulldogs have abandoned the Air Raid, leaning more on their run game. These teams have gone under in five straight head to head meetings, and I expect that trend to continue here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-23 | South Carolina v. Tennessee -11.5 | Top | 20-41 | Win | 100 | 47 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TEN. This is a huge revenge game for the Vols after they got lit up for over 60 points in a loss to the Gamecocks last year. This is also a spot where we can buy low on the Vols, as people are still down on them after they lost at Florida, and it's a sell high spot on South Carolina after they played Georgia tough and Spencer Rattler completed 90% of his passes in a win over Mississippi State last week. Rattler has been playing well so far, but history tells us that when the going gets tough he can be "rattled". This looks like a tough spot for the Gamecocks, and we aren't going to be surprised if Rattler gets rattled. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-23 | South Florida v. Navy UNDER 53.5 | 44-30 | Loss | -110 | 136 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The new rules in college football season don't seem to have had a significant effect on totals for most teams, but the exception might be the likes of service academies and the likes of Iowa, Nebrasksa. This total sits at 53.5, and Navy has yet to play a game that has seen that much scoring. Early weather forecasts are calling for wind and rain in Anapolis on Saturday. Perfect conditions for a traditional ground and pound game with long slow drives that chew up the clock and result in a low scoring battle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-30-23 | Luton Town v. Everton -160 | 2-1 | Loss | -160 | 18 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Everton. It took a miracle to avoid relegation, but Everton is back in the Premier League and they come into this weekend's match with a record of 3-1-1 in their last five matches in all competitions. They host Luton Town, who have struggled since being promoted. Luton has scored just three goals in their first five Premier League matches. Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored in Everton's win over Aston Villa last week. He is only 26 years old, and despite struggling the last two seasons he did score 29 goals in 2019-2021. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-29-23 | Toronto v. Winnipeg -7 | Top | 21-31 | Win | 100 | 65 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WPG. The Argos have already clinched 1st place in the EAST, so they are coming into Friday's game at Winnipeg with a plan to rest their starters. Starting QB Chad Kelly won't play, and it seem pretty clear that Toronto doesn't have any interest in winning this game. It is a big game for Winnipeg, who sit tied for first place with the BC Lions. Winnipeg leads the CFL in scoring, and they rank first scoring defense allowing 21 points per game. Zach Collaros has thrown a CFL best 29 TD passes, and he ranks 1st in the league with a QBR of 115. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-29-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays -140 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. Tampa has clinched a playoff spot, and unless they sweep the Jays and Boston sweeps the Orioles they will finish second in the AL East. The Jays on the other hand face a must win game at home as they are in a dog fight for a Wild Card spot. Aaron Civale will toe the slab for Tampa, and he missed his last start due to illness. He has struggled over his last four starts, going 0-1 with a 7.85 ERA. The Jays hand the ball to Yusei Kickuchi, who struck out seven in a win over Tampa in his last start. Toronto's lineup is batting a combined .353 versus Civale. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-28-23 | Diamondbacks -157 v. White Sox | 1-3 | Loss | -157 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arizona. The D'Backs have won the first two games in this series in Chicago, and they look good in Game 3. Bryce Jarvis will toe the slab for Arizona, and the rookie hasn't allowed a run in his last five appearances. The Sox hand the ball to ToukiToussaint, who owns a 5.70 ERA in his last five appearances. The D'Backs are still looking to clinch a Wild Card spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-23 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Colorado Rapids | 2-2 | Push | 0 | 19 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VAN. The Colorado Rapids don't have a lot to play for at the end of the season. They sit dead last in the Western Conference standings, and they have the worst home record in MLS. Vancouver has a solid points total in away matches (5th most in the West). They also have a solid track record in recent visits to Colorado, earning points in six of their last seven trips to Denver. Colorado has conceded the first goal in seven of their last eight matches. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-26-23 | Diamondbacks v. White Sox OVER 9.5 | 15-4 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Arizona will play Game 1 at Chicago Tuesday, and this should be a slugfest. Zach Davies will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 1-1 with an 8.10 ERA in five road starts. The White Sox hand the ball to Jose Urena, who is 0-3 with an 8.68 ERA in four home starts. Tim Anderson is swinging a hot bat, hitting .368 over the last two weeks. He's 2-for-2 with a home run lifetime versus Davies. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-25-23 | Astros v. Mariners -120 | 5-1 | Loss | -120 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners came up just short in Texas on Sunday, losing by a score of 9-8. They are still in the hunt in the AL West, half a game behind Houston and three games back of Texas. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 8-3 with a 2.52 ERA at home this season. The Astros hand the ball to Justin Verlander, who is 0-1 with a 5.54 ERA in his last two starts. Ty France is batting .435 lifetime versus Verlander (23 AB). GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-24-23 | Panthers v. Seahawks -4.5 | 27-37 | Win | 100 | 143 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. This looks like a short line for a team playing on the road on a short week with a rookie QB. Geno Smith has plenty of weapons, and he threw for 328 yards and a pair of TDs on 32-of-41 passing in a road win at Detroit last week. Bryce Young hasn't impressed, throwing for as many INTs (2) as TDs so far. He's only averaging 4.2 yards per attempt, and he ranks 31st in the league in passing. I'll fade the rookie on the road here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-24-23 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -124 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Cubs RL. So Chicago is in a battle for the final Wild Card spot in the NL, within half a game of Arizona and Miami. It's a must win against a Rockies team that has nothing to play for. Ty Blach will toe the rubber for the Rockies, and he's 0-2 with a 5.79 ERA in seven starts on the road. The Cubs hand the ball to Jordan Wicks, who is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA in five appearances this season. The Rockies pitching staff ranks dead last in WHIP and batting average against. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-24-23 | Broncos v. Dolphins -6.5 | 20-70 | Win | 100 | 145 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. A new coach, but the same old problems persist in Denver. The 0-2 Broncos have blown leads late in back to back home losses, and now they play their first road game at Miami. The Dolphins offense is firing on all cylinders, ranking #1 in the NFL in passing and #3 in scoring. I am not ready to buy into all the hype surrounding Tua and Miami, but asking them to beat a bad team by just a TD in their home opener seems like a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-24-23 | Colts +8 v. Ravens | 22-19 | Win | 100 | 139 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Ravens. While the Colts rookie QB is questionable with a concussion (as of Tuesday), but there is an argument that they are better off with the more experienced Gardner Minshew running the offense. Minshew came in and threw for 171 yards and a TD on 19-of-23 passing in last week's loss to Houston The Ravens injury concerns might be more significant. Baltimore has already lost a pair of starters on the offensive line, and safety Marcus Williams and corner Marlon Humphrey are listed as out. The last time the Colts played at Baltimore they lost in overtime, covering as a 7.5 point underdog. The Colts are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, and I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-24-23 | Tottenham Hotspur v. Arsenal -148 | Top | 2-2 | Loss | -148 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Gunners. It's no surprise to see Arsenal undefeated after five matches in the Premier League. Arsenal was a favorite to win the league coming into this season, while expectations were far lower for Spurs after losing Harry Kane. So an unexpected 4-0-1 start for Tottenham might not be all it's cracked up to be. Three of their wins came against teams that are currently winless and early favorites to face relegation. This away match at Arsenal will be their first versus a team with a winning record. The step up in competition is likely to be trouble for Tottenham. I have Arsenal winning by a score of 3-1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-23 | Ohio State v. Notre Dame +3.5 | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 18 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ND. This is a tough one, and I did go back and forth a bit. Neither of these two teams have faced anyone this season, so we have to look deeper than that. They played a close game at the beginning of last season, and here we have what looks like a downgrade at QB for Ohio State, and a massive upgrade for the Irish. I'll take the home dog plus the points here as a late add. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-23 | UCLA v. Utah -4.5 | Top | 7-14 | Win | 100 | 120 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Utah. The UCLA Bruins look like a pretty good team so far. We saw in Week Zero what happens when "pretty good teams" play at Rice Eccles. The Florida Gators lost 24-11 at Utah and everyone wrote them off. We saw last week in their win over Tennessee, that they aren't nearly as bad as people thought they might be. The Bruins have played three games at Utah since 2017, and they lost all three games by 20+ points. Utah is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings, and losing 42-32 at UCLA last year sets up a revenge spot. Cam Rising has missed the first three weeks recovering from a knee injury, but he's expected to start here in the PAC12 opener. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-23 | Ole Miss v. Alabama UNDER 57 | Top | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 111 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. The Crimson Tide have plenty of problems, but the defense isn't one one of them. Ole Miss comes in with a 3-0 record, but I think it's important have a closer look at those wins. Surely wins over Mercer and Georgia Tech can't be considered an indication that this team can upset Alabama. There is a double digit win over Tulane that you might think they can hang their hat on, but the Green Wave didn't have their starting QB in that game. The Rebels held a 27-20 lead with two minutes remaining in that game, however a comedy of errors saw them score 10 unanswered points in the final 1:53 seconds. I still think Alabama will win this game, but in order to do so they are going to need to slow the game down, play conservative, run the ball and lean on their defense. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-23 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Cubs won Game 1 by a score of 6-0, and we should expect more of the same in Game 2 Saturday. Marcus Stroman will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's just coming back from the DL. He hasn't allowed an earned run in two brief appearances since his return. The Rockies hand the ball to Chris Flexen, who is 1-3 with a 9.45 ERA in a dozen appearances on the road. The Rockies have nothing to play for while the Cubs are battling for a playoff spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-23 | Florida State -125 v. Clemson | Top | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 115 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on FSU. The Seminoles may have been caught looking ahead last week in an alarming 31-29 win over Boston College. They face a far tougher test travelling to Death Valley to take on Clemson. The Tigers have home field advantage, but I am uncertain that will be enough to overcome the huge disparity at the quarterback position. Senior Jordan Travis has plenty of experience playing in and winning big games. Kade Klubnik has only stated five games for Clemson, and he was on the wrong side of blowout losses to Tennessee and Duke. The Seminoles have superior talent and more returning production on both sides of the ball. This to me appears to be a mismatch, and I expect Florida State to win decisively. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-22-23 | BC v. Edmonton Elks OVER 50 | 37-29 | Win | 100 | 58 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Over. The Lions QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing yards per game by a wide margin, and he ranks second in the league with 23 TDs in 11 starts. The Edmonton Elks are clearly not the same team with Trey Ford at QB. They are coming off a 36-27 road win at Saskatchewan, and they have scored 30+ in two of their last three games. The longest home losing streak in North American professional sports is now over, and Edmonton has won three of their last four games. Both teams should do plenty of scoring here, pushing the total over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-23 | Georgia State +6.5 v. Coastal Carolina | Top | 30-17 | Win | 100 | 28 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on G-State. The Chanticleers won 41-24 at Georgia State last season, but a lot has changed since then. Grayson McCall is back at QB, but the offensive line lost some key starters and head coach Jamie Chadwell went to Liberty. The Panthers are 3-0, and senior QB Danny Grainger has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 803 yards, eight touchdowns and no picks. He threw for 198 yards and two touchdowns in a 42-40 win in his last start at Coastal Carolina in 2021. The home team has lost six straight meetings between these teams. This looks like another shootout that could go either way, and I'll gladly take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-23 | Orioles -130 v. Guardians | 2-5 | Loss | -130 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. The Orioles are close to clinching the AL East, and they come into Cleveland as winners of four of five. The Tribe just lost three straight at Kansas City. Grayson Rodriguez will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's 3-1 with a 2.08 ERA in his last five starts. Cleveland ranks 27th in the majors in runs scored. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-23 | Pirates v. Cubs UNDER 8.5 | 13-7 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Cubs are in the middle of a heated battle for a Wild Card spot in the National League, and we can expect a pitcher's duel here tonight at Wrigley. Mitch Keller will toe the slab for the Pirates, and he's 2-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last four starts. The Cubs hand the ball to Justin Steele, who is 12-2 with a 2.18 ERA in 17 home starts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-19-23 | White Sox v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. We aren't exactly expecting a pitcher's duel here in Washington tonight. Jose Urena will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's 0-6 with an 8.48 ERA in seven starts. He got torched for six runs on seven hits in 6 1/3 innings in a loss to the Twins his last time out. The Nats hand the ball to rookie Jackson Rutledge, who is making his second major league start. He allowed seven runs on 10 hits in 3 1/3 innings in his debut last week. This game has slugdest written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-18-23 | Browns -115 v. Steelers | Top | 22-26 | Loss | -115 | 187 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on CLE. Any decent bettor should know not to overreact to results in Week 1, and the Browns looked like World Beaters while the Steelers looked like trash. Sure we may see regression to the mean, but lets be real about who these teams are. The Browns have one of the highest ranked offensive lines, and maybe the most dominant running back in the NFL. Deshaun Watson is just a few years removed from being a Top 5 QB in the league, and he looked a lot more like that guy in Week 1 than he did last year. Kenny Pickett is still wet behind the ears, and I am not sure Najee Harris is a legit RB1. The Niners averaged 5.5 yards per carry at Pittsburgh last week, and the Steelers are going to have their hands full trying to contain Chubb. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-18-23 | Twins v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. So the Twins will win the Central, so at this point this team is just going through the motions. You wouldn't expect them to want their starters going deep into games at this point in the season. Joe Ryan will toe the slab for the Twins, and he's only logged more than five innings in one of his last five starts. The Reds hand the ball to rookie right-hander Connor Phillips. He's allowed eight runs on 10 hits over 8 2/3 innings in two starts in the major leagues. Warm air and wind blowing out in Cincinnati is bad news for pitchers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-17-23 | Cubs -112 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -112 | 13 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHC. The Cubs have lost four straight, but they look good to avoid a sweep at Arizona tonight. Jordan Wicks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA in his last four starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Ryne Nelson who owns an 8.59 ERA in 11 home starts. Only the Atlanta Braves have a better record since the All Star break than the Cubs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-17-23 | Jets v. Cowboys UNDER 44.5 | 10-30 | Win | 100 | 137 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So the Cowboys defense shut out the Giants in New York in Week 1, and the Jets made Josh Allen look like Ryan Leaf. With Zach Wilson taking over at QB for the Jets, we expect them to be quite conservative on offense. The Cowboys are looking to ride Tony Pollard and their defense, so we could see a low scoring defensive battle here in this one. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-17-23 | Giants -5.5 v. Cardinals | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 121 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYG. The Giants were supposed to be trending in the right direction, but Daniel Jones got picked off twice and was sacked seven times in a 40-0 home loss to the Cowboys in Week 1. The Giants lost the turnover battle 3-0, and bad weather and bad breaks played a roll in the result. Arizona on the other hand actually looked competitive in a 20-16 loss to Washington. Josh Dobbs threw for 132 yards on 21-of-30 passing with no TDs and no INTs. Dobbs is not a QB1 in the league, unless of course your franchise is tanking (hint hint). I am giving the Giants a pass for their poor showing in Week 1, and we do expect them to bounce back here in Week 2. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-16-23 | TCU v. Houston UNDER 64.5 | 36-13 | Win | 100 | 104 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go over in TCU's Week 1 loss to Colorado, and we saw Houston play a defensive battle versus UTSA in Week 1. The 1st half under hit in the Horned Frogs season opener, and I think the rule changes are leading to lower scores across the board in the first half of games. The public is betting the over in this game, but keep in mind TCU lost OC Garrett Riley and Max Duggan. Donovan Smith hasn't looked particular good replacing Clayton Tune at QB for Houston. This number appears to be a wee bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-16-23 | Syracuse v. Purdue UNDER 57.5 | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 73 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. The Orange have allowed just seven point in their first two games, but they face a far tougher test here at Purdue. Both these teams lean heavily on the run, which should result in a lot of clock killing drives. This number appears to be a bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-16-23 | Tennessee v. Florida UNDER 59 | Top | 16-29 | Win | 100 | 103 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go over in last year's game at Tennessee, the Vols winning 38-33. The rules aren't the only thing that has changed since then, as both teams have a downgrade at QB this season. So far we have seen both teams running the ball, and this game could see plenty of ground and pound. This number appears to be a bit inflated. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-16-23 | Ottawa v. BC -9.5 | 37-41 | Loss | -110 | 89 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. The Lions come out of the bye week to take on the Ottawa Redblacks, and we should expect a blowout here. The Lions are 4-1 at home, while Ottawa is 1-5 on the road. Lions QB Vernon Adams Jr. leads the CFL in passing yards per game (296), while Ottawa QB Dustin Crumm has thrown more picks (6) than he has TDs (5). The Lions have won seven straight head to head meetings, and they have won all four home games during that span by a double digit margin. This game has blowout written all over it! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-16-23 | Minnesota v. North Carolina UNDER 50 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 97 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. We saw the total go under in both the Gophers first two games, allowing a combined 16 points in wins over Nebraska and Eastern Michigan. Tar Heels QB faces his toughest test yet, and he's struggled throwing for as many picks (2) as TDs (2). Minnesota will pound the rock, kill the clock and this game will be over before there is enough time to put up a combined 50 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-16-23 | Brentford v. Newcastle United -180 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 109 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Newcastle. There was plenty of excitement for Newcastle fans heading into this season after they finished 4th in the Premier League last year and clinched a spot in the Champions League. Some might ask what has gone wrong, after Newcastle lost three of their first four games. I will point out that before you overreact, note that losses came against Liverpool, Manchester City and Brighton. The only home loss to Liverpool saw them dominate play, lead until the dying minutes and concede a pair of late goals. Facing Brentford is an opportunity for the Magpies to get back on track. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-15-23 | Edmonton Elks v. Saskatchewan OVER 46 | 36-27 | Win | 100 | 67 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Edmonton Elks are a different team since Tre Ford took over at QB. Edmonton has won three of their last four games, averaging over 27 points per game during that span. The Riders have had some success at home, upsetting the BC Lions and the Winnipeg Blue Bombers in their last two home games. Saskatchewan ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense, and the Elks aren't far behind. Expect both teams to put points on the board here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-15-23 | Rangers -118 v. Guardians | 3-12 | Loss | -118 | 14 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TEX. A six game winning streak has Texas sitting just a half game out of first place in the AL West, and they look good to keep rolling in Game 1 at Cleveland. Lucas Giolito will toe the slab for The Tribe, and he's 0-4 with a 7.89 ERA in his last four starts. The Rangers hand the ball to Jon Gray, who has better numbers on the road than he does at home. Cleveland ranks 28th in the major leagues in runs scored. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-14-23 | Twins -176 v. White Sox | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. So the White Sox are 3-9 in their last 12, but what is most significant about those losses is that they all came against the Royals and the Tigers, and half of those games were at home. Jose Urena will toe the slab for Chicago, and he's had now answer for major league hitters the past two seasons. He's spent the majority of this season in the minors, but has a record of 0-5 with an 8.46 ERA in six starts in the majors. The Twins hand the ball to Kenta Maeda, who owns a solid 3.42 ERA in 10 starts on the road. Tim Anderson is 1-for-17 lifetime versus Maeda. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-13-23 | Diamondbacks -140 v. Mets | 1-7 | Loss | -140 | 16 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. Arizona is in a Wild Card spot, but Cincinnati is hot on their heels only a game back. Zach Gallen will toe the slab for Arizona, and he's 3-2 with a 3.66 ERA in his last five starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Joey Lucchesi, who has pitched just once in the past three months. The Mets have hit a combined .148 over 54 at bats versus Gallen in past meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-12-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles -182 | 5-2 | Loss | -182 | 21 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAL. The Orioles have won eight of nine, and they crushed the Cardinals in Game 1 by a score of 11-5. Adam Wainwright will toe the slab for St. Louis in Game 2, and he's 0-4 with a 6.45 ERA in his last four starts. The Orioles hand the ball to John Means, who's career numbers aren't bad (20-24, 3,81 ERA). The Cardinals rank 29th in the majors in BAA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-11-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles -156 | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Baltimore Orioles. The Orioles had a seven game win streak snapped on Sunday, losing 7-3 to Boston. They should get back on track today with a home game against St. Louis. Dean Kremer will toe the slab for Baltimore, and he's 1-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his last four starts. The Cardinals hand the ball to Daniel Hudson, who owns an ERA of 6.23 in half a dozen starts on the road. The St. Louis pitching staff has struggled, as evidenced by the fact that they rank 29th in the majors in BAA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-10-23 | Dolphins v. Chargers -160 | 36-34 | Loss | -160 | 128 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. So LA won 10 games last season despite Justin Herbert playing with broken ribs for almost the entire season. Herbert continued to be productive throwing for 47,390 yards and 25 TDs. It's even more impressive when you consider all the injuries to the receiving corps. Tua Tagovailoa is back at QB for the Dolphins, but his future is still very much in doubt. He appears to be one hit away from a career ending injury, and many believe he should have called it a career after his last concussion. He was limited to 145 yards and a TD on 10-of-28 passing in a 23-17 loss at LA last year. Starting the season on the road at LA is going to be no picnic for Tua and the Dolphins. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-10-23 | White Sox v. Tigers -125 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on DET. The Tigers have won six of nine, while the White Sox have lost six of eight. Despite a rookie pitcher going for the Tigers today, I like the home team in the rubber match of this series. Sawyer Gipson-Long will toe the slab for the Tigers, and he's posted solid numbers in the minors. The Sox hand the ball to Jesse Scholtens, who is 0-3 with a 7.13 ERA in his last five starts. Chicago ranks last in the major leagues in on base percentage. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-10-23 | Bengals v. Browns +2.5 | Top | 3-24 | Win | 100 | 1487 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE. So the Bengals lost at Cleveland last year, which is nothing new. They have lost five straight at Cleveland, and the Browns are 8-2 straight up in the last 10 meetings. The bookmakers have the Bengals favored here, despite the fact that the underdog is 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings. The Browns still have the #2 ranked offensive line in the NFL according to PFF, and their QB situation should be better in 2023. Joe Burrow was sacked five times in last years loss at Cleveland, throwing for 232 yards with two TDs and an INT. The offensive line is still a concern for Cincinnati, and this figures to be a difficult matchup. I think the wrong team is favored here and I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-10-23 | 49ers v. Steelers +3 | 30-7 | Loss | -125 | 36 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PIT. The 49ers have question marks at the quarterback position. They played quarterback roulette last season, and when the wheel stopped spinning it was Brock Purdy who took over running the offense. Purdy played in nine games last year, throwing for 1,374 yards, 13 TDs and 4 INTs. Purdy has a tough matchup in Week 1 on the road at Pittsburgh. The Steelers were 9-7-1 last season, extending Mike Tomlin's NFL record to 16 consecutive seasons without a losing record. They were 8-2 in games that TJ Watt played, and they were 6-2-1 at home. It's easy to look at what San Francisco did last year and assume they are the better team. I think it would be a mistake to do so, as this is a new season and everybody starts with a clean slate. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-23 | Texas +7.5 v. Alabama | Top | 34-24 | Win | 100 | 124 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas. Nick Saban's Crimson Tide have been the most dominant team in college football for over a decade, but the air of invincibility might be fading a little. Last year the Tide lost at Tennessee and LSU, and they really should have lost at Texas as well. Aided by a handful of blown calls by the officials, Alabama kicked a game winning field goal to win 20-19 in the final seconds. Texas returns nine starters on offense including QB Quinn Ewers. The Longhorns defense ranked 1st nationally in QB pressures last season, and they face Jalen Milroe who is making just his third start. His only start last year was a 24-20 home win over Texas A&M. Texas has the more experienced QB, and they should have the athletes on both sides of the ball to push Alabama to the brink just like they did last year. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-23 | Texas v. Alabama UNDER 54.5 | 34-24 | Loss | -110 | 78 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Nick Saban's Crimson Tide have been the most dominant team in college football for over a decade, but the air of invincibility might be fading a little. Last year the Tide lost at Tennessee and LSU, and they really should have lost at Texas as well. Aided by a handful of blown calls by the officials, Alabama kicked a game winning field goal to win 20-19 in the final seconds. Texas returns nine starters on offense including QB Quinn Ewers. The Longhorns defense ranked 1st nationally in QB pressures last season, and they face Jalen Milroe who is making just his third start. His only start last year was a 24-20 home win over Texas A&M. Texas has the more experienced QB, and they should have the athletes on both sides of the ball to push Alabama to the brink just like they did last year. We should expect another low scorer here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-23 | White Sox v. Tigers -135 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Tigers swept the White Sox in Chicago last week, but the Sox won Game 1 in Detroit Friday. Expect the Tigers to get revenge here in Game 2 Saturday. Jose Urena will toe the slab for the Sox, and after struggling early in the season he's been bouncing around the minors. The Tigers hand the ball to Tarik Skubal, who 2-1 with a 1.78 ERA in a half dozen starts in Detroit. Skubal tossed seven solid innings, striking out seven and allowing a pair of runs on five hits in a win at Chicago in his last start. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-23 | Saskatchewan v. Winnipeg OVER 47.5 | 6-51 | Win | 100 | 71 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Here is what I said about these two teams last week: The injury report includes a handful of linebackers, defensive backs and defensive linemen for both teams. That isn't great for a Riders team that ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense allowing 27.2 points per game. The Riders though come off a bye week, and their last game was an upset win at home versus BC by a score of 34-29. The Lions had the top scoring defense in the CFL in the first two months of the season, but rookie QB Jake Dolegala lit them up for 239 yards and three TDs. The Bombers come in with the league's top scoring offense, averaging over 30 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-23 | Texas A&M v. Miami-FL UNDER 52 | 33-48 | Loss | -114 | 96 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. These teams played last season at College Station, and the Aggies won by a score of 17-9. With a new QB and Bobby Petrino coming in as offensive coordinator, Texas A&M might be a lot better on offense. Playing on the road at Miami doesn't figure to be a picnic though. The Canes were dominant in a win over Miami-Oh in Week 1. While the new rules regarding clock stoppages didn't really result in any clear under trend after the first week of college football, it did seem to effect some teams more than others. Neither of these two teams play particularly fast, so we could see a lot of time coming off the clock during extended drives. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-23 | Utah -5.5 v. Baylor | Top | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 126 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. You don't want to overreact to Week 1 results. Utah won convincingly at home over the Florida Gators and Baylor got lit up in a 42-31 home loss to Texas State. Utah won without Cam Rising, and Bryson Barnes was solid throwing for 159 yards and a TD on 12-of-18 passing. Nate Johnson came in at QB and ran for 45 yards and a TD on six carries. Baylor struggled on defense last season, and it looks like that has carried over into 2023. The Bears were 0-5 versus Top 25 teams, and the average margin of victory in those games was 11 points. The Bears lost starting QB Blake Shapen in Week 1, and Sawyer Robertson threw for 113 yards and an INT on 6-of-12 passing against Texas State. With or without Cam Rising the Utes have mismatches all over the field. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-23 | Utah v. Baylor UNDER 47 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 71 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. You don't want to overreact to Week 1 results. Utah won convincingly at home over the Florida Gators and Baylor got lit up in a 42-31 home loss to Texas State. Utah won without Cam Rising, and Bryson Barnes was solid throwing for 159 yards and a TD on 12-of-18 passing. Nate Johnson came in at QB and ran for 45 yards and a TD on six carries. Baylor struggled on defense last season, and it looks like that has carried over into 2023. The Bears were 0-5 versus Top 25 teams, and the average margin of victory in those games was 11 points. The Bears lost starting QB Blake Shapen in Week 1, and Sawyer Robertson threw for 113 yards and an INT on 6-of-12 passing against Texas State. With or without Cam Rising the Utes have mismatches all over the field. The total in the Utes Week 1 game against FLA got bet down to 43.5. Should expect another low score here as both teams likely using backup QBs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-23 | Hamilton +4 v. Ottawa | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 14 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Hamilton. The Ottawa Redblacks have played 11 games, and have only one win by more than three points. That came against the Edmonton Elks, who they lost to by double digits in their last game. Hamilton has won nine straight head to head against Ottawa. The Ticats have been playing a bit better of late, winning their last road game at BC. James Butler has been playing a bigger role in the offense, and Taylor Powell seems to have settled in at QB. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -169 | 6-2 | Loss | -169 | 15 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Cubs come into Game 1 versus Arizona as winners of seven of nine, and they are just 1.5 games back of the first place Brewers in the NL Central. Javier Assad will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's 2-0 with a 1.62 ERA in his last five starts. The D'Backs hand the ball to Ryne Nelson who was rocked for six runs on seven hits in just three innings in his only appearance over the last 30 days. Only the Braves have a better record than the Cubs since he All Star break. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-06-23 | Blue Jays -165 v. A's | 2-5 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. Toronto has won five of six and they are now a half game up on Texas for the final Wild Card spot in the AL. The Oakland A's have the worst home record in baseball. Hyun-Jin Ryu will toe the slab for Toronto, and the Jays have won five straight when he starts. He's 3-0 with a 1.50 ERA in those games. The A's hand the ball to JP Sears, who hasn't been too bad but it rarely translates into wins. He's 1-3 with a 7.20 ERA in his last five starts. Sears has just one win in a dozen home starts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-05-23 | Giants v. Cubs -135 | 8-11 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Giants have lost four straight, and they are just 8-17 in their last 25 overall. The Cubs are still one of the hottest teams in the majors and they are sitting 2.5 games out of first place in the Central. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he tossed a near no-hitter against the Giants earlier this season. He's 6-2 with a 2.03 ERA in 11 career starts versus the Giants. San Francisco will hand the ball to Ryan Walker, who is used primarily as an opener. He hasn't gone more than three innings in any game this season. Seiya Suzuki is batting .333 with four home runs and 11 RBIs in his last 18 games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-04-23 | Edmonton Elks +4 v. Calgary | 31-35 | Push | 0 | 14 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Elks. Edmonton is coming off it's first home win since 2019, snapping the longest home losing streak in North American sports history. Since the arrival of Tre Ford at QB, the Elks have won two of three and covered in all three games. The Stamps are struggling, with just three wins on the season, and QB Jake Maier leads the CFL with 12 INTs in 11 games. Only the Saskatchewan Roughriders have allowed more points this season than Calgary. The Stamps defense has been decimated by injuries, and seven defensive players are listed as "out" for today's game. I'll take the hot team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-04-23 | Astros +101 v. Rangers | 13-6 | Win | 101 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Houston. The Rangers are 4-12 in their last 16 games overall, and they are now tied with Houston for second place in the AL West. JP France will toe the slab for the Astros, and Houston is 9-2 in his last 11 starts. He's 6-2 with a 2.04 ERA in 10 appearances on the road. The Rangers hand the ball to Andrew Heaney, who is 9-6 with a 4.16 ERA in 2023. Jose Altuve is batting .346 over the last 30 days, and he's batting .324 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Heaney. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-03-23 | Winnipeg v. Saskatchewan OVER 47 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 13 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Over. The injury report includes a handful of linebackers, defensive backs and defensive linemen for both teams. That isn't great for a Riders team that ranks dead last in the CFL in scoring defense allowing 27.2 points per game. The Riders though come off a bye week, and their last game was an upset win at home versus BC by a score of 34-29. The Lions had the top scoring defense in the CFL in the first two months of the season, but rookie QB Jake Dolegala lit them up for 239 yards and three TDs. The Bombers come in with the league's top scoring offense, averaging over 30 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-03-23 | Mariners -149 v. Mets | 3-6 | Loss | -149 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners have taken over first place in the AL West, and they come into Game 3 in New York as winners of 14 of their last 17 overall. The Mets on the other hand have lost seven of their last 10. George Kirby will toe the slab for Seattle, and his WHIP of 1.03 is more impressive than his record of 10-8 with a 3.28 ERA. The Mets hand the ball to Tylor Megill, who is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA in his last five starts. The Mariners boast the #1 ranked bullpen in the majors. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-03-23 | Aston Villa v. Liverpool -148 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 27 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Liverpool. | |||||||
09-02-23 | Twins v. Rangers -182 | 9-7 | Loss | -182 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Texas. The Rangers are just 3-3 in their last six overall, and 3-11 in their last 14 overall. That said, there is a damn good reason why they are favored against a Twins team that has played better baseball of late. Dallas Keuchel will toe the slab for the Twins, and at first glance you might think he's had a triumphant return to the major leagues. His record of 1-1 with a 3.50 ERA is just smoke and mirrors. In 18 innings pitched he's put 26 men on base (20 hits and six walks). His last start came against Texas, and the Rangers are now getting another look at him. This won't end well. The Rangers hand the ball to Jordan Montgomery, who is 2-1 with a 2.30 ERA in his last five starts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-02-23 | Washington State v. Colorado State UNDER 55.5 | 50-24 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. Here we have a case where money is actually coming in on the over, and I think this presents an opportunity. The Cougars beat the Rams by a score of 38-7 last year, failing to reach the total of 51.5. Now we have a higher number, despite the fact that the Cougars lost their top four receivers, and their QB was sacked a PAC12 worst 46 times. Rams QB Clay Millen was sacked 53 times in just 10 games last year. These teams want to play fast and chuck it around the yard, but they can't do that if they can't keep their QB upright. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-02-23 | UTSA v. Houston UNDER 60 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 42 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. Here we have a case where money is actually coming in on the over, and I think this presents an opportunity. While most people remember that Houston won 37-35 in overtime at UTSA last year, perhaps they forgot that the two teams combined to score just 48 points in regulation. The Cougars will have a new quarterback who is more of a dual threat than his predecessor, and star wide receiver Tank Dell is gone. I'll roll the dice that both these teams won't have time to score 30 before the clock runs out. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-02-23 | Boise State v. Washington -14 | 19-56 | Win | 100 | 49 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The Huskies had the top ranked offense in the PAC12 last year, averaging 515 yards per game. They bring back almost everybody including QB Michael Penix Jr. (@BigPenixEnergy) and a pair of receivers who had over 1000 yards last year. You might have heard that Boise State had the best pass defense in the country last year, but I am here to tell you that is all smoke and mirrors. They had an extremely soft schedule, and their biggest win in the Mountain West came against a Fresno State team that was without QB Jake Haener. The Broncos are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 versus the Pac-12, and they have failed to cover in five straight versus the Huskies. I like Washington to win by 3+ scores. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-02-23 | Colorado v. TCU UNDER 64 | 45-42 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Bettors are still adjusting to the new rules regarding clock stoppages in college football, and bookmakers have scrambled to adjust the totals. Most opening numbers have been bet down, and I believe it's for very good reason. A source told me that teams are running on average 4-5 fewer plays since the rule change. That's nine plays between them throughout the course of a game. Ask yourself how many points would be scored, and how much time would be added if you had an additional nine plays. Here we have a case where money is actually coming in on the over, and I think this presents an opportunity. I understand that Colorado has a new offensive coordinator, who is famous for the "Flash Fast Offense", but can he get everyone on the same page in Week 1? Can the offensive line hold up? Or will they be punting back to TCU who also have a new offensive coordinator, and will the Horned Frogs lean on their running game as they did last year, rushing for 275 yards and four TDs on 30 carries in a 38-13 win at Colorado? GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-01-23 | Blue Jays -169 v. Rockies | 13-9 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. The Jays are still fighting for a Wild Card spot, sitting 2.5 games out heading into Game 1 in Colorado. Hyun-Jin Ryu will toe the slab for Toronto, and he's yet to allow an earned run in two starts on the road. He's 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA in his last four starts. The Rockies hand the ball to Chris Flexen, who has not missed many bats this season. He's 0-4 with a 5.83 ERA in a dozen appearances at Coors Field. Vladdy Jr. is 4-for-7 lifetime versus Flexen. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-23 | Nebraska +7.5 v. Minnesota | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 1255 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NEB. I love the dog in this matchup, as I expect Matt Rhule to turn things around at Nebraska. Minnesota lost their leading rusher, starting QB and the heart and soul of their offensive line from last year, and P.J. Fleck has been making headlines for all the wrong reasons this summer. These two BIG10 rivals normally play close, low scoring games, and three of the last four meetings have been decided by one score. Casual fans aren't likely too excited about Jeff Sims transferring from GT to start at QB for the Huskers, but I think he has a chance to thrive in Matt Rhule's system. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-30-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 7.5 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. After a 1-0 win over Milwaukee in Game 2, we might expect another pitcher's duel in Game 3 in Chicago today. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for the Cubs, and he's owned the Brewers. Milwaukee's lineup is batting .203 with 39 strikeouts and just 27 hits over a combined 133 at bats versus the former Cy Young winner. The Brewers hand the ball to Brandon Woodruff, who is 3-1 with a 2.65 ERA in six starts so far in 2023. The wind was blowing in yesterday, and it's expected to be the same story this afternoon. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-29-23 | Brewers v. Cubs -126 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 17 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Cubs are still five games out of first in the Central, but they have battled themselves into a Wild Card spot. Justin Steele will toe the slab for Chicago, and the Cubs are 12-1 in his last 13 starts. He's 10-2 with a 2.65 ERA in 14 home starts, and he's 3-0 with a 4.31 ERA in his last five starts overall. The Brewers turn to ace Corbin Burnes, who is winless in his last five starts. The Cubs haven't been fooled by Burnes. He's 2-3 with an ERA of 3.48 and 88 strikeouts in 15 appearances versus the Cubs in his career. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-23 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Dodgers | 4-7 | Loss | -170 | 23 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. The D'Backs have won 10 of their last 12 overall, and they send their ace to the mound in LA tonight. Zac Gallen got hit hard in LA earlier this season, but last year he faced the Dodgers twice allowing one run and striking out 18 in 14 innings. The Dodgers hand the ball to Bobby Miller, who is 3-2 with a 5.17 ERA in seven home starts. Arizona is 4-1 ATS in their last five versus LAD. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-28-23 | Angels v. Phillies -142 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Philly. The Angels won two of three in New York, while Philly swept the Cardinals at home. The Halos are at a disadvantage here in the series opener. Taijuan Walker will toe the slab for Philly, and he's 6-2 with a 3.14 ERA in 13 home starts. The Halos hand the ball to Lucas Giolito who is 1-3 with a 7.06 ERA in his last four starts. Philly is 5-1 in their last six games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 7 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners are the hottest team in the majors since the All Star break, and they have moved into a tie for first place in AL West. Luis Castillo will toe the slab for Seattle, and he's 4-0 with a 3.66 ERA in his last five starts. The Royals hand the ball to Alex Marsh, and the Royals are 1-9 in his last 10 starts. Seven of those nine losses came by more than one run. Castillo is 6-3 with a 2.70 ERA in 14 home starts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-26-23 | Ravens +2 v. Bucs | Top | 20-26 | Loss | -113 | 60 h 30 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on BAL So the Ravens have won 24 of their last 25 pre-season games, and if not for a late drive from an inexperienced 3rd string quarterback and a 50 yard field goal it would have been 25-0. So we have to ask ourselves what happens now? Does Harbaugh throw in the towel, rest his starters and play to lose, or does he want to go into the regular season off a "W". Josh Johnson and Anthony Brown combined to throw for 4 TDs on 16-of-22 passing last week. I am willing to bet that Harbaugh is dying to get the filthy taste of an "L" out of his mouth. Todd Bowles is 8-13 career in pre-season games, so don't expect him to be taking things seriously in the second half. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-26-23 | Hamilton v. BC -10 | 30-13 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BC. The Lions own the CFL's #1 scoring defense, and they are undefeated at home so far. They host the Hamilton Ticats, who rank last in the Eastern Conference, and last in scoring defense in the East. Hamilton has a 3rd string QB that has thrown for 749 yards, 1 TD and 3 INTs in five games. The Lions are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven at home, while Hamilton has failed to cover in four straight and seven of 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-26-23 | Royals v. Mariners -1.5 | 2-15 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SEA. The Mariners are the hottest team in the majors, and they sit in first place in the AL West after winning nine of their last 10 games. Logan Gilbert will toe the slab for the Mariners, and he's 3-0 with a 3.34 ERA in his last five starts. The Royals hand the ball to Jordan Lyles, who is 1-8 with an 8.08 ERA in 10 starts in day games this year. The Royals are 3-21 in Lyles 24 starts this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-25-23 | Calgary v. Toronto -9.5 | 31-39 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. This is a good spot for the Argos, coming off a bye week and hosting the Calgary Stampeders who lost a war of attrition versus Winnipeg last week. Leading rusher Kadeem Carey is out for Calgary, and QB Jake Maier is coming off one of the worst games of his career. He threw for 190 yards, no TDs and an INT on 11-of-24 passing in the 19-18 loss to the Bombers. Maier has thrown for 8 TDs and a CFL high 12 INTs this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-25-23 | Angels v. Mets -120 | 3-1 | Loss | -120 | 15 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYM. The Mets have been brutal this year, but this looks like a good spot to bet them as a small home favorite against an Angels team that is really down in the dumps. One of the lone bright spots for New York has been a solid season from Kodai Senga, who is 5-2 with a 2.63 ERA at home, and 3-1 with a 2.93 ERA in his last five starts. The Angels hand the ball to Patrick Sandoval, who is 1-3 with a 3.75 ERA in his last five starts. Mike Trout is back on the DL, and Ohtani is done pitching until 2025. It remains to be seen if Shohei is going to stay in the lineup and hit. Regardless there is a dark cloud around this team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-25-23 | Luton Town v. Chelsea OVER 3 | 0-3 | Push | 0 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Chelsea is coming off a 1-1 draw versus Liverpool, in a match that had two goals disallowed by VAR. They host Luton Town, and these teams have a history of playing high scoring games. Last year Chelsea won 3-2 in an FA Cup match versus Luton Town. Neither team looks particularly good defensively, Luton conceding four goals in one match and Chelsea allowing four goals in two matches. Expect a 3-1 scoreline here with the home team prevailing. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-24-23 | Reds v. Diamondbacks -154 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ARI. After a great start, the D'Backs struggled after the All Star break. Their playoff hopes appeared to be all but dead, but a 9-2 run in their last 11 games has them right back in the Wild Card race. Merrill Kelly will toe the slab for Arizona tonight, and he's 1-1 with a 2.88 ERA in his last six starts. The Reds hand the ball to Brian Williamson, and Cinci is 1-3 in his last four starts. These two teams appear to be trending opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-24-23 | Red Sox v. Astros -123 | 17-1 | Loss | -123 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Astros would have moved into a first play tie with Texas at the top of the AL West with a win over Texas yesterday, but they lost in extra innings remaining a game back. They turn to their hottest pitcher this afternoon, and his name might surprise some. J.P. France has been lights out since June, and the Astros have won eight of his last nine starts. The one loss was a 2-0 shutout versus Seattle, and France struck out seven in six solid innings. The Red Sox hand the ball to Brayan Bello who is 0-4 with a 7.33 ERA in day games this season. Houston ranks 1st in the American League in runs scored since the All Star break. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-23-23 | Mariners -189 v. White Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -189 | 14 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on SEA. Look out! The Mariners have won eight in a row, and they are now just a game out of first in the AL West. They rank 1st in the American League in runs scored since the All Star break. The Chicago White Sox rank dead last in the American League in scoring since the All Star break. George Kirby is 1-0 with a 2.05 ERA in three starts in August. Michael Kopech is 1-3 with an 8.37 ERA in his last five starts. Chicago has lost eight of their last 10 overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-22-23 | Red Sox v. Astros -145 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Houston. The Astros are just 1.5 games back of Texas in the AL West, and with a home series versus Boston and Texas playing on the road at Arizona they could make up some ground. Justin Verlander will toe the slab for Houston, and he's 4-1 with a 3.07 ERA in his last five starts. The Red Sox hand the ball to Tanner Houck, who is returning from a stint in the DL. Boston is 1-6 in Houck's last seven starts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-21-23 | Cubs -129 v. Tigers | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHC. The Cubs are still three games out of first place in the Central, despite ranking second in the majors in scoring since the All Star break. They send Javier Assad to the mound in Game 1 in Detroit, and he's 2-0 with a 2.14 ERA in seven appearances on the road. The Tigers hand the ball to Alex Faedo, who is 2-3 with a 6.16 ERA in six home starts. Cody Bellinger is batting .371 with five HRs and 18 RBIs in the month of August. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-21-23 | Arsenal -155 v. Crystal Palace | 1-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Arsenal. The Gunners had the best away record in the Premier League last season, going 12-4-3 in all their away matches. They will play at Crystal Palace Monday, and Palace won just seven of their 19 home matches last season. The Gunners won their season opener by a score of 2-1 versus Nottingham Forest. That match wasn't as close as the score indicates, as Forest added a late goal in the 82nd minute after trailing 2-0 since midway through the first half. The Gunners won both meetings versus Palace last season by a combined score of 6-1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-20-23 | BC -9.5 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 29-34 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BC. The Lions got starting QB Vernon Adams Jr back last week, and he threw for 322 yards, 4 TDs and an INT on 23-of-32 passing in a blowout win over Calgary. The Lions play on the road at Regina Sunday, but the Riders are down to their third string QB. Saskatchewan has allowed opponents to average 27 points per game this season, and only Hamilton has allowed more. Last year the Lions played at Regina twice, winning by double digits in both games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-20-23 | Royals v. Cubs -1.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cubs. The Royals have lost 20 of Lyles 23 stars this season, and Lyles will face a Cubs lineup that ranks 2nd in the majors in scoring since the All Star break. Kyle Hendricks will toe the slab for Chicago, and he doesn't look like a Cy Young candidate by any stretch of the imagination. He did deliver a quality start his last time out, and his ERA of 4.00 isn't terrible. Only Oakland has fewer road wins than Kansas City (17). GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $1,072 |
Tom Macrina | $601 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
William Burns | $288 |
Ricky Tran | $269 |
Big Al McMordie | $234 |
Joey Tron | $165 |
Jesse Schule | $21 |
Tim Michael | $18 |