Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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12-14-17 | Knicks v. Nets -120 | 111-104 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets. | |||||||
12-13-17 | Raptors v. Suns UNDER 217 | 115-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHX to go UNDER the total. The Suns have lost four straight, and leading scorer Devin Booker has missed the last three games. Booker (averaging 24.3 points per game) is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks with a groin strain. Without him the Suns have averaged just 97 points per game in their last three overall, and all three of those games went under the total. The Raptors come to town as winners of six of their last seven, but they scored just 91 points in a loss to the Clippers on Monday. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six road games, and six of it's last seven road games against teams with a losing record. The Suns are a team that is normally associated with high scoring basketball games, but that doesn't seem applicable when Devin Booker is out of the lineup. Toronto has allowed fewer than 100 points in three of it's last four road games. I expect this game to be a blowout, and if that's the case it's going to be hard to see enough scoring to reach a high total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-17 | Arkansas State v. Nebraska-Omaha -155 | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 10 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Nebraska-Ohama. | |||||||
12-13-17 | Villanova v. Temple UNDER 150.5 | 87-67 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
Villanova vs Temple Free Pick December 13, 2017. | |||||||
12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 210.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
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12-12-17 | Yale v. Iona -155 | 67-83 | Win | 100 | 11 h 55 m | Show | |
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12-10-17 | Gonzaga v. Washington OVER 153 | Top | 97-70 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GONZ@WASH to go OVER the total. The Huskies are coming off an impressive upset win over #2 ranked Kansas, but they are a significant home underdog in tonight's game against Gonzaga. The Bulldogs have dominated this series, winning three straight and nine of the last 10. History tells us that we can expect a high scoring game, as four of the last five have meetings have gone over. The total for tonight's game is almost 10 points lower than it was in all five of those previous meetings. Both teams come in averaging over 80 points per game, and Gonzaga has allowed opponents to average over 80 points per game as well. The Huskies have scored at least 70 points in all nine of their games so far, and they are averaging 83.7 points per game at home. The over is 17-8 in the Huskies last 25 non-conference games. Gonzaga has gone over in four straight non conference games, and seven of their last 10 when coming off a loss. The Huskies lost last year's game versus Gonzaga by a score of 98-71, and I expect another high scoring game here tonight. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-17 | Celtics -118 v. Pistons | 91-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are coming off a loss on the road at San Antonio, but they looked pretty good forcing the Spurs to hit a buzzer beater in a 105-102 win. They will play at Detroit this afternoon, with a chance to avenge a rare home loss to the Pistons earlier this year. The Pistons have really struggled of late, losing five straight. Kyrie Irving has scored an average of 28.9 points over his last 10 games, but he's taking off the protective mask here this afternoon. He scored 36 of 13-of-21 shooting in the loss to the Spurs, and he hit six three-point shots in that game. While the Pistons won the last meeting in this series, Boston had won four of the previous five. They have won four straight at The Palace, covering the spread in all four of those games. The Celtics haven't lost back to back games since their second game of the season, coming after Gordon Hayward was lost for the season in the season opener. They have covered the spread in six of their last seven when coming off a loss, and I expect them to be all fired up for a revenge game against the slumping Pistons. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-17 | Illinois v. UNLV -190 | Top | 82-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the UNLV Rebels. Illinois has lost three of it's last four games, and the Fighting Illini are coming off an unimpressive 64-57 win over Austin-Peavy, failing to cover as an 18-point favorite. They are 0-2 on the road, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. They don't do well against the tougher teams, covering in just three of their last 10 road games against teams with a winning record. UNLV is off to a surprising start, with a 6-1 home record and a 7-2 overall record. That includes a blowout win over a very good Utah team, and a home loss to Arizona by just three points. This is one of the biggest teams in the country, and they rank 2nd in the nation averaging 46.4 rebounds per game. They also rank in the Top 5 in both points scored and assists per game. The Rebels are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and 35-17-2 ATS in their last 54 non-conference games. UNLV scored 92 points on 54.2 percent shooting in a home win over Oral Roberts in their last game, and they hit 9-of-17 three-point shots in the victory. Illinois has only won 5-of-21 road games over the last three seasons, and I don't like their chances here in Las Vegas. Take UNLV. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-17 | Wichita State v. Oklahoma State +5.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. Last weekend the Shockers played at Baylor, and I had Wichita State -2.5 in that game. They went on to win by a score of 69-62, scoring the game's final seven points. The game was tied at 62-62 with 2:50 seconds remaining, but Baylor was held scoreless the rest of the way. Now they are asked to cover twice as many points here in Stillwater, against a Cowboys team that is 6-0 at home, and has averaged 85.6 points per game in those wins. The Shockers were a 7.5 point favorite when they played Oklahoma State last season, but the Cowboys won that game 93-76. The Cowboys are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 non-conference games. Oklahoma State is tough to beat in Stillwater, where their last loss came by a score of 90-85 to then #1 ranked Kansas. Senior guard Jeffrey Carroll scored a team high 22 points on 8-of-10 shooting in the win over the Shockers last year. He leads the team averaging 14.6 points per game so far in 2017. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-17 | William & Mary v. Ohio State -14.5 | 62-97 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
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12-07-17 | Eastern Washington v. San Francisco -7 | 71-81 | Win | 100 | 16 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco Dons. | |||||||
12-07-17 | Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 221.5 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Sixers beat the Lakers by a score of 115-109 in LA in November, and the Bookmakers are expecting another high scoring game here in Philly. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four games at Philly, and the one exception was a 113-111 Lakers win in overtime back in 2015. The Lakers have gone under in six straight road games against teams with a winning record. The Sixers have gone under in five of their last seven home games, and four of their last five overall. Lonzo Ball scored just 2 points on 1-of-9 shooting in 21 minutes in the last meeting. The Lakers have scored an average of 103.8 points per game in their last 10 losses. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
12-07-17 | Valparaiso +16 v. Purdue | 50-80 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 36 m | Show | |
Valparaiso vs Purdue Free Pick December 7, 2017. The Crusaders are 8-0 so far this season, and last year they were 9-3 in non-conference games. The wins include an upset over #21 ranked Rhode Island, and a neutral site game against BYU. They will be getting a whopping 16 points in their game at Purdue tonight, despite the fact that the Boilermakers are coming off three consecutive games decided by single digits. Purdue failed to cover as a 14 point favorite in a 74-69 win over Northwestern. The Boilermakers were a 19 point favorite against Western Kentucky, and they lost that game outright. Valparaiso has covered the spread in 10 of it's last 14 road games, and the Crusaders are 25-12-1 ATS in their last 38 road games versus teams with a winning home record. Often the Boilermakers enjoy a size advantage with the 7-footer Isaac Haas and 6"8 forward Vince Edwards. The Crusaders have a pair of 7-footers that should allow them to compete on the boards. I recommend to take the points here. Take VALPO. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-17 | Kings v. Cavs OVER 210.5 | 95-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs can tie a franchise record with their 13th consecutive win when they host the Sacramento Kings tonight. As easy as that may sound, the Kings have actually won two of their last three on the road, averaging 107 points in those games. One of those games was a 110-106 win at Golden State. The Cavs have scored more than 110 points in four of their last five games, and they've allowed over 100 points in 17 of their last 22 overall. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in each of the last four head to head meetings. The total in all four of those games was much higher than it is tonight. The Kings have gone over in 18 of their last 24 games versus Eastern Conference teams. The over is 8-1 in Cleveland's last nine games against the Western Conference. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-17 | Wizards v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 106-92 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
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12-03-17 | Kansas State v. Vanderbilt -117 | 84-79 | Loss | -117 | 5 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vanderbilt Commodores. The Kansas State Wildcats have covered the spread just once in seven games this season, but that's once more than the Vanderbilt Commodores who are 0-6 ATS this season, and 0-8 ATS in their last nine overall dating back to last season. Something has got to give here on Sunday, and with an experienced Vanderbilt team playing at home, I feel comfortable backing the favorite. Vanderbilt is 3-1 at home, with the one loss coming in overtime to #10 ranked USC. They have also lost to Seton Hall, Virginia and Belmont. Kansas State has cruised threw an easy schedule winning six of seven games. They have played just one team from a major conference, and that was a 92-90 loss to Arizona State. The Commodores have three seniors in their starting lineup, including last year's leading scorer Mathew Fisher-Davis. All three (Fisher-Davis, Roberson and LaChance) are scoring in double-figures. This will be the Wildcats first road game, and they were 6-6 on the road last year. Vanderbilt is 12-6 in it's last 18 home games. Take VAN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
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12-02-17 | Wichita State -145 v. Baylor | 69-62 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wichita State Shockers. I bet on the Shockers in their second game of the season, a blowout win at home over Charleston (81-63). Here is what I said prior to that game: "Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site." They have since won three of four, losing by a single point to #13 ranked Notre Dame. They Shockers come in averaging 90 points per game, shooting better than 50 percent from the field so far this season. They have killed the opposition on the boards, averaging 43.3 rebounds per game, while allowing just 24.3. Baylor is coming off a 76-63 loss to Xavier, and they were out-rebounded 38-28 in the loss. Look for the Shockers to own the boards here in Waco. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-17 | Colorado -155 v. Colorado State | 63-72 | Loss | -155 | 5 h 31 m | Show | |
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12-01-17 | Spurs -175 v. Grizzlies | 95-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Memphis Grizzlies have lost eight in a row, and they have fired head coach David Fizdale. It isn't uncommon for teams to turn things around after a coaching change, but the Grizzlies have more than their fair share of problems. Starting PG Mike Conley has missed the last six games with an Achilles injury, and he won't be back anytime soon. Backup PG Mario Chalmers is banged up, listed as day to day. Chandler Parsons left the last game with a sore knee, and Brandon Wright has missed four games with a groin injury. The Grizzlies have lost five straight at San Antonio, and four of those give losses came by double digits. Despite the injury to Kawhi Leonard, the Spurs are 9-2 at home, and just three games back of first place Houston in the West. They welcomed back Tony Parker on Monday, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a losing record. Memphis has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and is 3-13 ATS in it's last 16 overall. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-17 | Texas Tech v. Seton Hall | 79-89 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Red Raiders are one of several teams in the country that remain undefeated. Most of these teams will come crashing down to earth once the competition gets a little more challenging, but I like what I see from this Texas Tech team. They have covered the spread in all of their games so far, and they crushed a ranked Northwestern team in an 85-49 win at the Hall of Fame Tip-Off. Seton Hall has had a disappointing start, failing to cover in four of six games so far. They lost to an unranked Rhode Island team on a neutral court, and they have been absolutely brutal from the free throw line. They are hitting just 63 percent from the line this season, and just 57 percent in neutral site games. The Red Raiders are shooting for a higher percentage from the field, and significantly higher from beyond the arc. Texas Tech has held opponents to an average of just 55.3 points on 33.5 percent shooting. After losing to Texas Tech, Wildcats coach Chris Collins said: "They have great point, they are very well coached and they are a terrific defensive team. They have depth, so they can keep coming in with athletes in waves and have fresh bodies out there. I think they have the makings of having a great year." Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -8 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Memphis Grizzlies have lost eight in a row, and they have fired head coach David Fizdale. It isn't uncommon for teams to turn things around after a coaching change, but the Grizzlies have more than their fair share of problems. Starting PG Mike Conley has missed the last six games with an Achilles injury, and he won't be back anytime soon. Backup PG Mario Chalmers is banged up, listed as day to day. Chandler Parsons left the last game with a sore knee, and Brandon Wright has missed four games with a groin injury. The Grizzlies have lost five straight at San Antonio, and four of those give losses came by double digits. Despite the injury to Kawhi Leonard, the Spurs are 9-2 at home, and just three games back of first place Houston in the West. They welcomed back Tony Parker on Monday, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a losing record. Memphis has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and is 3-13 ATS in it's last 16 overall. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-17 | Marshall v. William & Mary -4 | 104-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on #CWM. | |||||||
11-28-17 | Nuggets v. Jazz -120 | 77-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee and Chicago, and I like their chances of making it three straight here tonight when they host Denver. The Nuggets are not a great road team, winning only three of nine road games so far. Their depth will be tested, with Paul Millsap out and Mason Plumlee and Wilson Chandler both listed as day to day. They have lost six straight at Utah dating back to 2015, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight at Salt Lake City. The Jazz are a great home team, and even with all the adversity they have faced this season they have won eight of 12 at home. Utah shot 58.6 percent from the field and made 18 three-pointers in a 121-108 win over the Bucks on Saturday. Denver has only covered the spread once in it's last five road games, and is 1-6 ATS when coming off a win. The Nuggets made just 57 percent of their free throws in a win over the Grizzlies on Friday, and they were out-scored in the second half of that game. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-17 | Northwestern v. Georgia Tech -110 | 51-52 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Georgia Tech. | |||||||
11-24-17 | Florida v. Gonzaga +3 | 111-105 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. | |||||||
11-24-17 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Both the Nuggets and the Grizzlies are dealing with injuries to star players, as Paul Millsap and Mike Conley are each expected to be sidelined for several weeks. The Nuggets are still in fairly good shape, with plenty of depth at PF with players like Kenneth Faried, Trey Lyles and Juan Hernangomez. The same can't be said for the Grizzlies, who have lost six straight, four of those games without their starting PG. Backup Mario Chalmers struggled in a home loss to Dallas on Wednesday, shooting just 2-of-11 from the field. He's shooting just .358 percent from the field this season, and a woeful .208 percent from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies haven't covered the spread in any of their six losses during this losing skid, and this looks like a tough spot playing at altitude in Denver. The Nuggets are 7-2 at home, and are coming off a loss at Houston. They are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-17 | Ohio State v. Gonzaga -6 | 59-86 | Win | 100 | 21 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Gonzaga Bulldogs. | |||||||
11-23-17 | Utah -135 v. UNLV | 58-85 | Loss | -135 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. The Utes are 4-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, here is what I said before that game: "The Utes won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." The Rebels finished dead last in the Mountain West last season, and they failed to post a winning record at home. They faced two PAC12 teams in non-conference play, losing to Arizona State and Oregon. UNLV has only covered once in it's last nine games against a team with a winning record, and has failed to cover in four straight versus teams from the PAC12. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-17 | Bulls v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have struggled since the injury to Rudy Gobert, losing eight of their last 10 overall. They are in a good spot here tonight though, hosting the bottom feeders of the NBA (Chicago). The Bulls are playing on back to back nights, and also their third game in four nights. This looks like a throw away game for a team that is angling itself for a high lottery pick in the draft, rather than competing for a playoff spot. Rodney Hood scored 31 points on 12-of-21 shooting in a win over the Magic on Saturday, and he should prove to be a handful for a Bulls team that ranks 27th in the league in three-point defense. Some might expect the loss of shot blocking specialist Gobert to result in a more high scoring game, but according to the data that doesn't seem to be the case. Gobert only missed one game last season, but was sidelined for Utah's first three games in their first round playoff series versus the Clippers. Two of those three games saw less than 200 combined points. The previous season saw a stretch where Gobert missed 18 consecutive games, and in 13 of those games the combined score was less than 200 points. The Jazz are ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, holding opponents to an average of 101.1 points per game. I expect them to hold the Bulls to fewer than 90 points here in a double-digit home win. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-17 | Utah -135 v. UNLV | 58-85 | Loss | -135 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. The Utes are 4-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, here is what I said before that game: "The Utes won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." The Rebels finished dead last in the Mountain West last season, and they failed to post a winning record at home. They faced two PAC12 teams in non-conference play, losing to Arizona State and Oregon. UNLV has only covered once in it's last nine games against a team with a winning record, and has failed to cover in four straight versus teams from the PAC12. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-17 | Niagara v. BYU -12 | 88-95 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the BYU Cougars. I bet on the Cougars in their last game, and they came up short in a home loss to the Texas Arlington Mavericks. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season" The Mavericks shot out the lights in that game, hitting 60 percent of their three points attempts. That proved to be the difference in the game, but I expect a much better result here for BYU tonight. Niagara is coming off back to back road losses by 20+ points at Massachusetts and Minnesota. The Purple Eagles have failed to cover in six straight against teams with a winning record, and they are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 non-conference games. They have been out-rebounded by an average of more than 10 rebounds per game so far, and opponents have averaged 94.3 points on 51.2 percent shooting this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-17 | Penn State v. Texas A&M -6 | 87-98 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas A&M Aggies. Texas A&M has won all three games so far by double digits, and during that span they played #11 ranked West Virginia, and an Oklahoma State team that was 20-13 overall last season. They will play Penn State tonight, and the Nittany Lions are off to a 5-0 start after finishing with a losing record last season. Despite the fact that the Aggies have played a far tougher schedule, they are shooting for a significantly higher percentage from the field, three point range and the free throw line. Their biggest edge seems to be in three-point shooting, hitting 46.2 percent of their attempts from behind the arc this season. Sophomore guard Tony Carr leads Penn State in scoring averaging 19 points per game, and he's battling an ankle injury that has already caused him to miss one game. The Aggies return all five starters from last season's team. The Nittany Lions have failed to cover in four straight versus SEC teams, and this looks like a tough ask for an inferior Penn State team. Take AGGIES. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-20-17 | Utah +1.5 v. Ole Miss | Top | 83-74 | Win | 100 | 14 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes. The Ole Miss Rebels remained undefeated after beating Georgia State by a score of 77-72 at home on Friday. They had to rally from behind, trailing by eight points at the half in that game. The Utes are 3-0, and their wins have all been blowouts, by an average margin of well over 20 points. Utah was 20-12 last season, but only four of those losses came against unranked teams. I bet on Utah in their last game, a blowout win at home over Missouri. Here is what I said before that game: "The Utes have won their first two games by a combined 61 points. The Utes have four seniors in their starting lineup, along with junior guard Sedrick Barefield who leads the team in scoring.. Utah finished fourth in the PAC12 last year, with a home record of 14-3. Senior guard Gabe Bealer scored a team high 20 points and shot 6-of-8 from beyond the arc in the win over MVSU." With so much experienced talent, I can't see why Utah would be an underdog in a late game in Las Vegas. The Utes have dominated on the boards, and they are shooting for a higher percentage both from the field and the free throw line than the Rebels. Utah is 4-0 ATS in it's last four games against SEC teams. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-19-17 | Boise State +1 v. Iowa State | Top | 64-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos. I bet against Iowa State as a double-digit favorite in their win over Appalachian State, and the Cyclones won that game 104-98. Here is what I said before tip off: "Iowa State has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc." Jackson is second on the team in scoring, despite shooting just 34 percent from the field in four games. The Cyclones have allowed opponents to average 81 points per game on 47.1 percent shooting during a 2-2 start. Boise State comes in with a 4-0 record, and they have held opponents to 63 points per game on 37.7 percent shooting. Chandler Hutchison led the team in scoring last year, and the 6"7 guard is back for his senior year. Boise State has an experienced team that can play at a high level on both offense and defense. I like the Broncos to win big. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-17 | Texas-Arlington v. BYU -6.5 | Top | 89-75 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the BYU Cougars. The Cougars are coming off an impressive road win at Princeton, beating the Tigers by a score of 65-56. They return home to face the University of Texas Arlington, and this game comes with a huge revenge angle. The Mavericks defeated BYU by a score of 105-89 in last year's NIT Tournament. That was one of two games last season where the Mavs scored over 100 points, and they shot over 55 percent from the field in the victory. They were nowhere near as impressive in an 85-80 home win over Loyola Marymount in their season opener. They were out-rebounded 39-29 in that game, and rallied late to come from behind and win. They lost their first three road games last season, two of those losses came by a double-digit margin. The Cougars were 14-3 at home last year, and finished third in the WCC behind Gonzaga and St. Mary's. BYU has plenty of experience in the starting lineup, returning three of last year's starters, and getting Zac Seljaas back from a one year mission. Seljaas was a starter two seasons ago, and he's scored in double-digits in each of the first two games this season. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-17 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199 | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA for decades under head coach Greg Popovich, and nothing has changed this season. San Antonio ranks 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 98.9 points per game. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have become one of the league's top defensive teams in 2017. They rank 2nd in the NBA allowing just 97.1 points per game. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in seven of the last 10 meetings dating back to April of 2016. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in all five of those games. Oklahoma City has failed to reach the total in 13 of it's last 16 road games, while the Spurs have gone under in four of their last five versus Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-17 | Heat v. Wizards -4.5 | 91-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. | |||||||
11-17-17 | Tulane v. Colorado State -4 | 80-53 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado State Rams. The Tulane Green Wave have won back to back games to start the season, which is a huge accomplishment for a team that won just six games all of last season. They lost seven of their first eight games last season, and five of those seven losses came by double digits. The Colorado State Rams won eight of their first 10 games last year, and finished second in the Mountain West. The Rams should have a huge advantage on the boards in this game, as they have averaged 47.5 rebounds per game so far. Their 6"11 sophomore forward Nico Carvacho pulled in a whopping 20 rebounds in 36 minutes in Tuesday's win over Winthrop. The Green Wave are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six neutral site games, and I just can't see a team that lost 20 of it's first 24 games last season turning things around overnight. Take CSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-17 | Xavier v. Wisconsin -1 | 80-70 | Loss | -103 | 22 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-17 | Missouri v. Utah -154 | 59-77 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-17 | Appalachian State +10.5 v. Iowa State | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Appalachian State Mountaineers. The Mountaineers 2-0 start has come against inferior opponents, but they are bringing back plenty of talent from last year. They lost their first two games of last season to Tennessee and Davidson, but by just a combined 21 points. They will be a double-digit underdog here against Iowa State, a team that has struggled after losing all five starters from last year. The Cyclones lost their season opener by double-digits at Missouri, and then they lost by almost 20 points at home to Milwaukee. Iowa State has been hammered on the boards, and rebounding appears to be a strength for the mountaineers. Junior guard Ronshad Shabazz has scored 49 points and has shot 6-of-11 from beyond the arc in two games this season. Senior guard Donovan Jackson had a tough game for the Cyclones in the loss to Milwaukee, shooting just 2-fo-11 and 0-for-4 from beyond the arc. The Cyclones haven't given any indication that they should be a favorite in this game, let alone a double-digit favorite. Take APP. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-17 | Kansas -4.5 v. Kentucky | 65-61 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 35 m | Show | |
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11-14-17 | Denver v. Colorado -10 | 62-89 | Win | 100 | 12 h 45 m | Show | |
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11-14-17 | Michigan State +3 v. Duke | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Michigan State Spartans. For the second consecutive year, the Blue Devils will play the nation's #2 ranked team in their third game of the season. Last year #5 ranked Duke lost by a score of 74-63 to #2 ranked Kentucky in Chicago. This year the Blue Devils are ranked #1, despite a starting lineup that features four freshman. The new faces have impressed against lesser opponents, much like last season when Duke scored over 200 points in wins over Sienna and Bryant in it's first two games. The Blue Devils lost four of seven games against ranked teams last season, and crashed out of the NCAA Tournament in an 82-66 loss to Oregon. The #2 ranked Spartans are a more experienced squad, four of their five starters played in last year's 78-69 loss to Duke at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Miles Bridges led the team in scoring last year, and he returns for his sophomore season. The 6"7 guard scored scored 20 points on 9-of-15 shooting, pulling in 10 rebounds in 27 minutes in the Spartans season opener. While Duke tops the pre-season polls, there are plenty of reasons for skepticism. This is exactly why the ESPN BPI (Basketball Power Index) has them ranked 14th. It's not the talented freshman in the starting lineup that are the real concern, it's the lack of returning talent that is coming off the bench. I tend to agree with the BPI, and I think this lack of experience really has the potential to be a problem here early in the season in such a high profile game. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-17 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
11-13-17 | Coll Of Charleston v. Wichita State -16.5 | Top | 63-81 | Win | 100 | 19 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wichita State Shockers. Expectations are high for the Wichita State Shockers, who were 31-5 overall last season, once again finishing at the top of the Missouri Valley Conference. This year's squad is expected to rival the 2013 team that went to the Final Four with Ron Baker and Fred Van Fleet. They have four seniors in the starting lineup, and sophomore guard Landry Shamet who was the second leading scorer last year. They scored 109 points on 60.9 percent shooting in a 50+ point win in their season opener. The Shockers won their first five games last season, all of those wins coming by at least a 25 point margin. Perhaps the most impressive of those wins was an 82-47 win over LSU at a neutral site. They play tonight at home against the College of Charleston, a team who's first three losses last year came by an average margin of 21 points. They didn't look very impressive beating Sienna in their season opener. They shot just 32.9 percent from the field, and 20 percent from beyond the arc in that game. Charleston's leading rebounder, and second leading scorer from last season missed the game against Sienna with a knee injury. The status of All-CAA forward Jarrell Brantley for tonight's game is still unknown. The Shockers have been a great bet as a home favorite, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six when asked to cover double-digits. Take WICH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-17 | Yale v. Wisconsin -14 | Top | 61-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. | |||||||
11-10-17 | Nets v. Blazers -8.5 | 101-97 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Portland Blazers. After winning the first two games of this home stand, the Blazers fell 98-97 to the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. They have had two days to rest ahead of tonight's game versus Brooklyn, and this looks like a perfect opponent for the Blazers to lay a beating on. The Nets have lost two of three on this road trip, with the average margin of defeat in those games being 10 points. They are dealing with some injuries to key players, and with the second game of a back to back in Utah tomorrow, this figures to be a tough spot. The Nets are 1-5 straight up on the road, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams from the Northwest. The Blazers have won four straight versus Brooklyn, covering the spread in three of those four wins. Portland has had a challenging schedule, but when they have faced inferior opponents they have been a good bet. The Blazers are 9-3-1 in their last 13 versus teams with a sub .500 record. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-17 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and even though we have a lower number here tonight, I am coming back with another play on the under. These two teams have gone over in four of the last seven meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact six of those seven games saw a total of 190 or lower. The Heat have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 road games, while the under is 5-1 in Utah's last six when playing on two day's rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-17 | Heat v. Jazz -160 | 84-74 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and I expect another low scoring game here tonight. I do expect a solid effort from the home team, and I think there is great value getting the Jazz as just a slight favorite. The Heat are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win, while the Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-17 | Bucks v. Spurs -4.5 | 94-87 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
11-10-17 | Hawks v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 104-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL@DET to go UNDER the total. The Hawks have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they've averaged just 100 points per game in those losses. They are playing at the Palace in Detroit tonight, and I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here. The Pistons are sitting in first place in the Central Division, and it's no thanks to their 16th ranked offense. Detroit has been taking care of business on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to average just over 100 points per game. They rank 8th overall in scoring defense, and they are 5-1 at home. They've held their opponents under 100 points in five of their six home games so far. These two teams have gone over the total in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. That results in a much higher number here for tonight's game. The last three times these teams faced each other, the boomakers set the total below 200. The under 15-7-2 in Hawks last 24 road games, and they have several key players nursing injuries heading into tonight's game. The Pistons have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-17 | Elon +20 v. Duke | 68-97 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Elon Phoenix. So #1 ranked Duke opens the season against Elon, and the Blue Devils are asked to win by 20 points. The bookmakers are well aware that bettors will be eager to back the favorite here, and for that reason this line appears to be grossly inflated. If you are thinking that Elon is just some minnow from a weaker conference, think again! They finished fourth in the CAA last year, and they faced the conference champs twice, going 1-1 in those games. UNC Wilmington is a team that people are a little more familiar with, as they qualified for the NCAA Tournament, and were eliminated by Virginia in a game decided by four points. The Blue Devils have played Elon every year since 2012, and they have only covered the spread twice in their last six versus the Phoenix. Last year Elon covered in a 72-61 loss, and in 2014 they covered in a 75-62 loss. They are bringing back all five starters from last season, including leading scorer Brian Dawkins (one of two seniors in the starting lineup). Duke is loaded will talented freshmen, and only Grayson Allen remains from last year's starting five. The Blue Devils will no doubt be a contender, but it will likely take a few weeks for the freshmen to get settled in. Duke has won 17 straight season openers, but they weren't all blowouts. I'll take the points. Take ELON. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-09-17 | Cavs v. Rockets -5 | 113-117 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
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11-09-17 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 228 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
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11-08-17 | Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 229 | 101-125 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@GS to go Under the total. The Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, scoring over 118 points per game. They are coming off a 97-80 win over the Miami Heat, marking the first time they won a game without reaching 100 points since April of 2016. It was a dominant performance defensively, blocking 10 shots and holding the heat to 36.1 percent shooting. Tonight's game against Minnesota will feature two of the league's premier shot blockers, as both Kevin Durant and Karl Anthony Towns are ranked in the Top 5 in blocks per game. Minnesota is coming off five straight wins, holding opponents to less than 100 points in each of their last three. They have proven to be a tough matchup for the Warriors, who have only covered in one of their last 10 versus the Wolves. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams, and seven of those 10 games went under. I expect both these teams to continue a trend of strong defensive play, in what should be a competitive game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-08-17 | Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 210 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@BOS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
11-07-17 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 205 | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
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11-03-17 | Raptors v. Jazz -120 | 109-100 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
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11-03-17 | Raptors v. Jazz UNDER 196 | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
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11-03-17 | Heat v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
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11-01-17 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
10-31-17 | Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 213.5 | Top | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
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10-30-17 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 192 | 89-104 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
10-30-17 | 76ers v. Rockets UNDER 216.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHI@HOU to go UNDER the total. The Rockets beat the Sixers by a score of 105-104 last week, and I bet the under in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams." The Rockets have continued to trend under, but the total for tonight's home game remains the same as the last meeting between these two teams. I expect a similar result. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-17 | Spurs v. Celtics -165 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
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10-29-17 | Magic v. Hornets UNDER 212 | 113-120 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORL@CHA to go Under the total. The Orlando Magic are off to a surprising start, and they come into tonight's game at Charlotte looking for their fourth consecutive win. They could be due to suffer a bit of a let down, coming off a huge 114-87 win over the Spurs. They shot 57.1 percent from the field, and 47.8 percent from beyond the arc in the victory. Those numbers are obviously not sustainable, and Charlotte ranks among the top teams in the NBA, holding opponents to just 99.6 points per game so far. Dwight Howard leads the NBA in rebounds, and ranks among the league leaders in blocked shots. The Magic are 0-4 in their last four visits to Charlotte, and they failed to score 100 points in three of those games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all four of those games, and Charlotte has gone under in seven straight. The Hornets have played more than their fair share of low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 16 of their last 22 when playing teams in their own division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-28-17 | Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 208 | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@LAC to go UNDER the total. I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 104-103 win at Portland. Blake Griffin hit a buzzer beater three-pointer for the win. Here is what I had to say prior to the game: "The new look Clippers are off to a decent start, and most impressive has been their defense. They've allowed an NBA best 88 points per game so far. While we have seen the Clippers play their fair share of high scoring games in previous seasons, this year's squad appears to be designed to play a different brand of basketball. With Patrick Beverly at PG instead of Chris Paul, and J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford no longer coming off the bench, we shouldn't expect to see the same "Lob City" offense." The Clippers host the Detroit Pistons, another solid defensive team. This game will feature two of the league's worst free-throw shooters in DeAndre Jordan and Andre Drummond. These two teams have gone over the total in four of the last six meetings, but the total in those games was much lower than the total for tonight's contest. The Clippers have failed to reach the total in five of their last six at Staples Center. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-26-17 | Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 216 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
10-25-17 | Rockets v. 76ers UNDER 221 | 105-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on HOU@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -4.5 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Portland TrailBlazers. The Blazers are off to a solid start, winning two of three on the road to open the season. They are coming off a 113-110 loss at Milwaukee, in a game decided by a buzzer beater. They play their home opener against the New Orleans Pelicans, who have won just one of three games, and nearly blew a big lead in LA on Sunday. Everyone knows that Portland is a strong home team, but their streak of 16 consecutive wins in their home opener is an NBA record. The Pelicans were just 13-28 on the road last season, and they've failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven at Portland. The Blazers aren't known for their defense, but currently they rank in the Top 5 in the league allowing just 95 points per game. The Pelicans have allowed over 114 points per game so far, ranking near the bottom of the league in most defensive categories. Damian Lillard has owned the Pelicans, averaging over 27 points in his last five games against them. I expect the Blazers to make it 17 straight wins in their home opener. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-17 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 214.5 | Top | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@DET to go UNDER the total. The Pistons are off to a solid 2-1 start, and they've been strong on defense allowing just over 104 points per game. They host the Sixers tonight, and despite so much optimism in Philly, this team is still a long way away from being competitive. The 0-3 Sixers have failed to score 100 points in back to back double digit losses. They hit just 39 percent from the field in a loss at Toronto on Saturday, and they could struggle against this gritty Detroit defense. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the league in defending the three-point shot, and the Sixers rank 26th overall in field goal percentage. These teams played three times last season, failing to reach the total in two of those three contests. The total for tonight's game is actually higher than it was in any of those three previous meetings. The Pistons have gone under in six straight home games against teams below .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-21-17 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 88-130 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHO@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Suns played a high scoring game at home last night, coming up just short in a heart-breaking two point (132-130) loss to the Lakers. They will play at the Staples Center against the other team from Los Angeles tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for the Suns. They have failed to cover in three of their last four against the Clippers in LA, and they failed to score 100 points in all four of those games. The Clippers are a different team without Chris Paul, but so far the most important thing about his replacement (Patrick Beverly) has been his defense. After shutting down Lavar Ball in the Clippers season opener, some media personalities were calling him "the best defensive PG in the NBA". The Suns have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss, and I expect this game to be decided midway through the third quarter. The backups might get some minutes in garbage time here, and it's going to be tough for these teams to reach such a high total in a lopsided game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-20-17 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 221.5 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@IND to go OVER the total. The Indiana Pacers scored 140 points in their season opener, despite shooting just 9-of-34 from beyond the arc. They had eight players score in double figures, and the played at an incredible fast pace. They host the Portland Trailblazers on Friday night, and Portland is a team that is happy to run with the likes of Indiana. The total for this game is a little higher than it has been in previous meetings, but these teams combined to score over 225 points in three of the last four meetings. The Blazers scored 124 points, and shot 14-of-24 from three point range in their season opener versus Phoenix. CJ McCollum sat out the season opener due to a suspension, but he should be ready to go here in Indiana. The Pacers beat the Blazers 118-111 at home last December (the most recent meeting), and four of the Blazers last five at Indiana have gone over the total. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-17 | Nuggets v. Jazz -130 | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-18-17 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -135 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-18-17 | Bucks v. Celtics -147 | 108-100 | Loss | -147 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics showed plenty of character coming back from a 16-point deficit at halftime to out-score the Cavs 33-18 in the third quarter. The loss of Gordon Hayward will be tough, but I think they can overcome it. They face a tough test here tonight, playing the second game of a back to back at home versus Milwaukee. The Bucks were one of the best defensive teams in the East last year, and that's a big reason why the under is 8-2-1 in Milwaukee's last 11 overall. While the Celtics are without Hayward, Milwaukee is going to miss PF Jabari Parker, who averaged over 20 points per game last year. The Bucks lost three of four pre-season games, averaging less than 100 points per game. I expect a tight defensive battle here in Boston. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-17 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 232 | 122-121 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 45 m | Show | |
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10-17-17 | Celtics +3.5 v. Cavs | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. Kyrie Irving and his Celtics would appear to have a lot more to prove than Cleveland here on Opening Night. The Celtics are the defending Eastern Conference champs, and Cleveland has already proven that regular season success is not a high priority. It was Kyrie Irving that was the better player in the NBA Finals when Cleveland won the title, and he was better in last year's Finals as well. Isaiah Thomas finished 5th in MVP voting with the Celtics last year, and now Irving steps in to fill his role as "The Man" in Boston. It's worth noting that in Boston's loss to Cleveland in the NBA Finals, they were far more competitive without Thomas in the lineup. They covered the spread in both Games 3 & 4 in Cleveland, and they led by double-digits at halftime in Game 4. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four at Cleveland. I'll take the points. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-17 | Warriors -5.5 v. Cavs | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Warriors. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight.I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GS@CLE to go UNDER. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight.I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 221 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go Under the total. Game 1 of the NBA Finals fell well short of an inflated total, and the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 2. We saw an offensive outburst in the second game of the series, but the end result was the same (a blowout win for the Warriors). Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season." After a combined 245 points were scored in Game 2, the total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was on Sunday. I think this is another over-correction by the bookmakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total . The last time these two teams played in Boston, the total fell short of an inflated number. I cashed in on that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game." The situation is a little different here in Game 5, as the Celtics are now facing elimination. The Cavs previously closed out Toronto and Indiana, and both of those elimination games saw fewer than 212 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@CLE to go UNDER the total. After suffering the worst loss in NBA Playoff History in Game 2 at home, the Celtics stunned the Cavs in Cleveland winning Game 3 by a score of 111-108. The Cavs led by 21 points in the third quarter of that game, and it looked like it was going to be another blowout. The Cavs obviously took their foot off the gas, allowing Boston to get back in the game. I seriously doubt we'll see that happen here in Game 4 tonight. We saw how dominant the Cavs can be when they held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2. I expect to see that same defensive intensity here in tonight's game. The Celtics upset victory in Game 3 was a feel good story, and they deserve full credit for showing up to play under tough circumstances. Don't be surprised if they suffer a let down here in tonight's game, as it's doubtful that they continue to shoot the ball so well from beyond the arc. Scoring has been up in these playoffs, and that has bookmakers setting the totals higher and higher. I think the value here in Cleveland tonight is a play on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 216 | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@SA to go OVER the total. Last night we saw the Celtics pull off a stunning upset for the ages in Cleveland. They pushed the tempo, playing fast and making a whopping 18 three-pointers. The pressure is off for both the Spurs and the Warriors now, and I expect to see both teams come out pretty loose in Game 4. The Spurs scored 108 points in Game 3, despite going just 5-of-21 from beyond the arc. They also shot just 60 percent from the free-throw line. I expect improvements in both those categories tonight, and that will help push the total higher. These teams have played a total of six games this season (regular season and playoffs), and five of those went over the total. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while the Spurs have gone over in five straight home games. The Warriors scored 128 points in their series clinching win at Portland, and 121 points in their series clinching win against the Jazz. I expect to see them score 120+ again, closing out the Spurs tonight. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOS@CLE to go OVER the total. | |||||||
05-20-17 | Warriors -6.5 v. Spurs | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Cleveland Cavaliers have put the Warriors on notice, and now the ball is in Golden State's court. Sure the Cavs are playing the Celtics, and the Warriors are playing the Spurs, but he reality is that these two teams are focused on a rematch of last year's Finals. Lebron James said that his team could play better after winning Game 1 in Boston by double-digits, and he wasn't kidding. Cleveland won Game 2 by a 44-point margin. With the Cavs well on their way to sweeping the Celtics, the pressure is on for Golden State to close out the Spurs as quickly as possible. Kawhi Leonard is not going to be healthy for Game 3, and he might not play at all. The Spurs have had no answer for Golden State without him, and I don't think that will change just because they are playing on their home court. They trailed at the half in their last home game in these playoffs, a 110-107 OT win over Houston. They trailed at the half in two of three home games during that series. The Warriors won their last game in San Antonio by a score of 110-98, and Kevin Durant didn't even play in that game. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +4.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. | |||||||
05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 209.5 | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@GS to go OVER the total. | |||||||
05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Boston Celtics. The home team has won each and every game in this series, but Boston came very close to winning Game 6 in Washington. Bradley Beal led all scorers with 33 points in the last game, but he hasn't been the same player in Boston. He's totaled just 30 points on 11-of-31 shooting in the last two games at The Garden. History has certainly favored home teams in previous Game 7s. The home team has won 101 of a total of 126 Game 7s all time. The Celtics as a franchise have been the most successful in Game 7s, winning 21-of-29 all time. They are 18-4 all time at home in Game 7s. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Wizards avoided elimination in Game 6 when John Wall hit a three-point shot with just three seconds on the clock to put Washington up by one. It was a clutch shot on a night when neither team shot the ball well, and every bucket was hard earned. Washington shot just 5-of-24 from beyond the arc, and they were just 13-of-21 from the free throw line. I expect to see another tightly contested defensive battle in a winner takes all contest at the Garden on Monday night. Washington really struggled in Game 5 in Boston, shooting just 38.5 percent from the field, and 24.1 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley Beal scored 33 points in Game 6 at home, three more than his combined points in the last two games in Boston. Over the last two seasons, we've seen six NBA playoff series go to a seventh and deciding game, and every one of those games saw fewer than 211 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -5 | 91-92 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. The home team has won every game in this series so far, and the home team won and covered in every meeting during the regular season as well. I bet on Washington in Game 4, and here is what I said prior to the game: "Washington has led at halftime in all three games in this series, and finally in Game 3 at home they were able to hold a lead. They will try to even the series at 2-2 in Game 4 on Sunday, and I like their chances of doing just that. Isaiah Thomas struggled in Game 3, playing just 29 minutes, scoring 13 points on 3-of-8 shooting. He missed the beginning of the second half after having a tooth knocked out earlier in the game. He needed surgery to repair the damage, and while he's expected to play, he's going to be hurting, especially if he takes any more shots to the jaw area. Washington was one of the best home teams in the league during the regular season, and they've won by double digits in each of their last three home games against the Celtics. The Wizards owned the boards in the last game, out-rebounding Boston 50-38. I expect to see this series go seven games, with the home team winning each and every game."Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-11-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 213 | 114-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@HOU to go OVER the total. These teams have gone over in four of the five games so far in this series, and I bet the over in the last two games. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Spurs suffered their worst lost in history in Game 1 of this series versus Houston, but they have responded with back to back wins to take a 2-1 lead heading into Game 4. LaMarcus Aldridge struggled in the series opener, but he was great in Game 3, scoring 26 points with seven rebounds and four blocked shots. These teams played close gamed during the regular season, with three of the four decided by just a two point margin. The bookmakers have made the Rockets a six point favorite on Sunday, and the total is hovering around 212. San Antonio has seized the momentum, and their defense was impressive holding Houston to just 36.4 percent shooting in the last game. The Rockets are likely to be a lot better in tonight's must win game, and that should push the total higher than Game 3. The Spurs have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while Houston has gone over in six of their last eight following a double-digit home loss." I was a little lucky in Game 5, needing the overtime to go over. With Leonard injured, Houston should have little trouble scoring. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Game 6. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@BOS to go OVER the total. The Wizards shot 52.4 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in Game 4, beating the Celtics by a score of 121-102. It was the third time in four games that these two teams went over the total in this series. Both games in Boston went over, and the Wizards led at halftime in each of those contests. The Celtics needed overtime to get past Washington in Game 2, however the two teams had already scored enough points in regulation to push the total over. John Wall went off for 40 points on 16-of-32 shooting in that game, but it wasn't enough as the Celtics won 129-119. Isaiah Thomas struggled in the second half of the last game, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his swagger back here at home in Game 5. He was 10-of-23 from beyond the arc in the previous two games in Boston. The over is 5-0-1 in Boston's last six home games, and these two teams have gone over in eight of the last 11 meetings in Boston. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 214.5 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-08-17 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 121-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
|
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $1,072 |
Tom Macrina | $601 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
William Burns | $288 |
Ricky Tran | $269 |
Big Al McMordie | $234 |
Joey Tron | $165 |
Jesse Schule | $21 |
Tim Michael | $18 |