Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-22-23 | Maryland v. UCLA UNDER 129.5 | 69-60 | Win | 100 | 14 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Bruins are slumping, losing four of their last five overall and scoring just 63.8 points per game during that span. UCLA ranks 309th in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They host Maryland, and the Terps last road game was a 65-53 loss at Indiana. We should expect this game to be played at a snail's pace, and the score should reflect that. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-23 | Mavs v. Rockets -7.5 | 96-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are coming off a brutal home loss to the Hawks, but this looks like a nice bounce back spot against an undermanned Dallas team. The Mavs entire starting lineup is expected to be out due to injuries, and that includes leading scorer Luka Doncic. The Rockets are 13-5-2 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and they rank 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-21-23 | Pacers v. Grizzlies -175 | 103-116 | Win | 100 | 16 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MEM. Not going to deep into this one. Ja Morant just set the record for most points in a return to the lineup, and the Pacers are playing the second game of a back to back on the road off a big win. Bad spot for Pacers, good spot for Grizz. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-21-23 | USC Upstate v. Davidson UNDER 139 | 59-62 | Win | 100 | 7 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. There are 362 division 1 teams, and Davidson ranks 251st in pace of play averaging just 66 possessions per game. They will be a heavy favorite versus USC Upstate, who only scored 53 points in their last game. Davidson is 6-0 at home, holding opponents to an average of 55 points in those games. Expect the Wildcats to shut down USC Upstate here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | Celtics v. Kings -105 | 144-119 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. This looks like a huge let down spot for the Celtics, losing in overtime in a late game at Golden State last night. Now they play the second game of a back to back on the West Coast in a different time zone. Tatum and Brown each played 40+ minutes in the loss to the Warriors, and I would be shocked if they didn't get a lighter workload here in this spot. The Celtics have lost four of their last five versus teams from the Western Conference, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | North Carolina -145 v. Oklahoma | Top | 81-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. I will stop short of calling the Oklahoma Sooners a fraud, but I will caution not to read too much into a perfect 10-0 record. Keep in mind strength of schedule, and while they have beaten four Power Five teams, but Iowa, USC, Providence and Arkansas have all underachieved so far. The Tar Heels come off back to back losses to Kentucky and Connecticut, both of those teams look like legit contenders. I think Oklahoma gets exposed here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | Clippers -155 v. Mavs | 120-111 | Win | 100 | 14 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on LAC. So the Clippers lost six in a row after the James Harden trade, but after Russell Westbrook offered to come off the bench, things started clicking. A few days before Christmas and the Clippers look like the best team in the NBA. They have won eight in a row, and they take on a Dallas team tonight that could be without three starters. The Clippers have won five of their last six on the road and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | Northwestern v. Arizona State UNDER 138.5 | 65-46 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Northwestern Wildcats will play Arizona State at a neutral site Wednesday, and we are expecting a low score here. The Wildcats rank 340th in pace of play, averaging just 66.8 possessions per game. The Sun Devils actually play at above average pace, yet rank 323rd in scoring, averaging less than 70 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-23 | Hawks v. Rockets -155 | 134-127 | Loss | -155 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HOU. The Rockets are a Jeckyll and Hyde team at home and on the road. They are 11-1 at home, and just a short favorite against the Atlanta Hawks, who have a losing record on the road. The Hawks are just 1-10 ATS in their last 11 overall, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight on the road. They are 4-8 straight up in their last 12 versus Houston. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-19-23 | Grizzlies v. Pelicans -6.5 | 115-113 | Loss | -115 | 17 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on N.O. The Grizzlies will get Ja Morant back tonight, and there is no doubt that Memphis will be a better team with his return. Don't expect that impact to be significant here in the second game of a back to back on the road at New Orleans. He hasn't played since the first round of last year's playoffs. Normally in a situation like this you expect to see a limited number of minutes in the first game back. The Pelicans are winners of four straight, and three of those four wins were blowouts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-23 | Wolves v. Heat UNDER 219 | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. So we go inside the numbers here and we find that both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. Minnesota ranks 2nd allowing less than 106 points per game. Both teams also rank in the bottom 10 in the NBA in pace of play, and Miami ranks 28th averaging just 100 possessions per game. These teams have gone under in three of four head to head meetings dating back to 2021. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-23 | Washington -175 v. Seattle University | 100-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on WASH. The rivalry between these two Pacific Northwest schools has been very one-sided. The Huskies have won 10 straight head to head, covering the spread in four straight. Perhaps it could be considered a let down spot for the Huskies coming off a home win over Gonzaga. The Red Hawks play a couple of PAC12 teams in non-conference play every year. They are 0-9 straight up versus PAC12 teams since 2019. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-23 | Seton Hall v. Missouri -125 | 93-87 | Loss | -125 | 15 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIZZ. The Pirates are 6-4 overall, but 0-4 versus teams from teams from Power 5 conferences. They lost at home to Rutgers, at Baylor and at neutral sites versus USC and Iowa. The Missouri Tigers are coming off a 73-64 loss at Kansas, but they had previously won eight of 10. While it's not a home game for Missouri, playing in Kansas City should favor the Tigers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-23 | Florida Atlantic -9 v. St Bonaventure | 64-54 | Win | 100 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FAU. The Owls are off to an impressive 8-2 start to the season, and six of those eight wins came by double digits. Their last loss came at a neutral site versus Illinois, and the Illini shot over 63 percent from the field. Despite that the final score was relatively close (98-89). They are simply in a different class than this St. Bonnies squad, that faces a ranked team for the first time. The Bonnies lost by 17 to unranked Auburn. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-23 | New Mexico v. New Mexico State +15.5 | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 20 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on NMSU. The Lobos come into this rivalry game with a 9-1 record, and one of those wins was a 44-point blowout at home versus New Mexico State. They could be primed for a bit of a let down here in just their second road game of the season. We don't normally see blowouts in this rivalry, prior to this season the average margin of victory in the previous four head to head meetings was just four points. The Lobos have failed to cover in six of their last seven as a road favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-23 | Magic +6 v. Celtics | 111-128 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ORL. The Celtics are undefeated at home this season, but this appears to be a tough spot for the home team. Boston is playing the second game of a back to back after winning back to back home games in a two game set versus Cleveland. History favors the visitors here, as the Magic are 6-0 ATS in the last six head to head meetings. What is really shocking, is that Orlando has won four straight outright in this series. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-23 | Thunder v. Kings -120 | 123-128 | Win | 100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings got off to a slow start, and De'Aaron Fox missed some games. They come into tonight's home game against the Thunder as winners of 11 of their last 16. Only two of those losses came at home. History favors the Kings, as they are 9-1 in the last 10 head to head meetings. They won all five home meetings during that span, and one of those wins was just a few weeks ago. The Kings are coming off a blowout loss to the Clippers, and this looks like a get right game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-23 | Pacers v. Bucks UNDER 258.5 | 126-140 | Loss | -108 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. We expect a high scoring game here in Milwaukee tonight, but how high are we talking. This is the biggest number I have ever seen, and I think there are just so many things that can happen to prevent these two offensive juggernauts from getting there. Putting things in perspective, last week's meeting in the In-Season Tourney ended with a final score of 128-119, going under the inflated number. The previous head to head meeting went over the listed number of 239.5, but the score of 126-124 wouldn't have come anywhere near this number. The over is 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings, but only three of those games saw enough points to go over this inflated total. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-23 | Boston University v. Dartmouth UNDER 130.5 | 54-63 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in this game between Boston University and Dartmouth. Both these teams rank near the bottom of Division I in pace of play each averaging fewer than 70 possessions per game. The Terriers are averaging just 66 points per game, but Dartmouth ranks 413th nationally averaging just 62 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-23 | Oral Roberts v. Texas Tech UNDER 142 | 76-82 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Red Raiders are 4-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of 52.5 points per game. Oral Roberts is 0-3 on the road with losses at Texas A&M, Missouri State and Kansas State. There are 362 division I teams, and Texas Tech ranks 258th in pace of play averaging just 69.9 possessions per game. Oral Roberts is much the same averaging just 70.4 possessions per game (235th). We have Texas Tech scoring 70-77 points, and Oral Roberts scoring 53-60 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-23 | Nets v. Kings -4.5 | 118-131 | Win | 100 | 17 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings finished first in the Pacific Division last year, and they currently trail the LA Lakers by just a half game. They host the Brooklyn Nets tonight, and a win could put them in first place. The Kings won and covered in both head to head meetings versus the Nets last year. They won at home by a score of 153-121. The Kings are 5-1 ATS in their last six versus teams from the Eastern Conference. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-23 | Howard v. Pennsylvania -4.5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 13 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Penn. The Quakers are 6-1 at home, and the one loss came in overtime versus Belmont. They host the Howard Bison who are 1-4 on the road. The Bison have lost 14 of their last 15 versus teams from the Ivy League. The Quakers are 12-1 in their last 13 home games, and they have have won five of their last six versus teams from the Mid East. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers UNDER 241 | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Pacers are cooking fire heading into the NBA In-Season Tournament Final, but the Lakers may be able to cool them off. These two teams have gone under in three straight head to head meetings, and the Lakers have held opponents to just 105 points per game in their last five. We saw LA hold the Pelicans to just 89 points in the Semi Finals. Expect a strong defensive effort here in a Championship Game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Rutgers v. Seton Hall UNDER 132.5 | Top | 70-63 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 34 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. Last year Seton Hall beat Rutgers in New Jersey by a score of 45-43, and while that game may look like anomaly, low scoring games have been the norm when these teams play. The under is 7-1 in the last eight head to head meetings. Rutgers has gone under in seven of their last eight overall, and the under is 5-1 in their last six road games. The Pirates are 5-0 at home, and they have held opponents to 62 points per game. This one should be a defensive battle. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Drexel v. West Virginia UNDER 129.5 | 60-66 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Of 362 Division 1 teams, West Virginia ranks 341st in possessions per game. Drexel ranks 340th, so we should expect a snail's pace here in this matchup. The total has gone under in eight of West Virginia's last 11 games. The total has gone under in six of Drexel's last seven games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-23 | Colgate v. Vermont UNDER 134 | 77-71 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Catamounts last home game was a 66-65 win over Yale, and they came back from down five in the final three seconds. Vermont is 5-0 at home, and the majority of those games have been low scoring. Of the 362 Division 1 teams, Vermont ranks 358th in possessions per game. The total has gone under in eight of Colgate's last nine games. The total has gone under in 8 of Vermont's last 11 games, and the under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-23 | Knicks v. Celtics UNDER 221 | 123-133 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Under. These two rivals rank 3rd and 4th respectively in opponent's scoring average, and history tells us that low scores have been the norm in recent meetings. They have failed to reach the total in three of the last four head to head meetings, and both previous meetings this season have gone under. The Celtics have won nine straight at home and the total has gone under in 10 of Boston's last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-23 | St. Peter's v. Duquesne UNDER 131 | 59-68 | Win | 100 | 15 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The St. Peters Peacocks rank 341st in pace of play, averaging just 66 possessions per game. They are coming off a 54-52 win at Canisius, and they rank 411th nationally scoring just 61.5 points per game. Duquesne has failed to reach the total in four of their last five overall, and they have gone under in three straight home games. While this is a low number, I think the Peacocks are gonna struggle to score 50. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-23 | Thunder v. Rockets UNDER 227 | 101-110 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Oklahoma City Thunder come in averaging over 119 points per game, but the Rockets rank 2nd in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing 107 points per game. These teams have gone over this number in the last two meetings, but both those games were at Oklahoma City. They have gone under in four straight at Houston. The total has gone under in eight of Houston's last 11 games, and they have won eight straight home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-23 | Campbell v. Davidson UNDER 130.5 | 50-62 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. We should expect a snail's pace here in Davidson's home game against Campbell. There are 362 Division 1 teams in college basketball, and 350 of them average more possessions per game than both these two teams. Campbell ranked 359th, and Davidson ranks 351st in possessions per game. Campbell is 0-3 on the road, and they have scored an average of 51 points in those games. They might be lucky to reach a half a hundred here at Davidson. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-23 | Penn State v. Maryland UNDER 138.5 | 75-81 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Terps will be a favorite at home versus Penn State, and history tells us we should see a low score. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total, and the last time these teams played Penn State won 65-64. Both teams have scored fewer than 70 points in four of the last five meetings. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Maryland's last 13 games, and they are 15-0 in their last 15 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-23 | North Texas v. Boise State -4.5 | 64-69 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. North Texas is the poor man's version of the Virginia Cavaliers, and that's not a knock on them. They come into Boise as defending NIT champs, and they have won five of seven so far this season. Their two losses came by a combined five points, so why on earth would we be betting on them to lose by 5+ here tonight? Well it is their first road game, and they face a Broncos team that has won 16 of it's last 17 home games. Boise is coming off a neutral site win over St. Mary's, a team that plays a similar style to the Mean Green. We expect a relatively comfortable win for Boise, predicting a final score of 68-60. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-23 | Pelicans v. Kings -165 | 127-117 | Loss | -165 | 32 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings are 9-3 in their last 12 overall, and they sit first overall in the Pacific Division. They host New Orleans Monday, and the Pelicans are 3-6 on the road. New Orleans has lost three straight road games, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven road games. The home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. I think the Pelicans run into a buzz saw here in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-23 | Creighton -3.5 v. Nebraska | 89-60 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Creighton. | |||||||
12-02-23 | USC v. Gonzaga UNDER 154.5 | 76-89 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Gonzaga ranks 220th in the country in possessions per game, and they play solid defense allowing under 65 points per game. USC is coming off a 106-78 win over Eastern Washington, but we should see a lot more defense here in this game. Gonzaga is 3-6 ATS in their nine overall, and they have failed to reach the total in four of their last six games overall. The last time these teams played head to head Gonzaga won 85-66 falling a half point short of the total of 151.5. The number is a little higher here this time, and I don't think this is the same high flying Gonzaga team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-23 | Illinois v. Rutgers UNDER 138.5 | 76-58 | Win | 100 | 4 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4% play on Under. These two teams have gone under in each of the last two head to head meetings, and three of the last four meetings have gone under 138 points. The total of 138 is higher than the number listed in each of the the last four meetings. Rutgers has gone under in five of their last six overall, and the under is 8-3 in their last 11 BIG10 games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-23 | Michigan v. Oregon -140 | 83-86 | Win | 100 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Ducks. I like Oregon to bounce back here at home after losing back to back games. They hung around in a 99-91 loss to Alabama, but that was in Florida. The Ducks are 2-0 at home so far this season, and they were 15-6 at home last year. They are an experienced squad with senior center N'Faly Dante leading the team in scoring, and senior guard Jermaine Couisnard leading the team in assists. They have four seniors in the starting rotation. Michigan was 3-8 on the road last year, and there isn't a ton of buzz surrounding this year's team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-01-23 | Purdue v. Northwestern +8 | Top | 88-92 | Win | 100 | 30 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on NW. The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. The Boilermakers won two of three meetings last year, but lost the last meeting at Northwestern by a score of 64-58. These teams have a history of playing close games, as only one of the last five head to head meetings has been decided by more than six points. Purdue comes in ranked #1 in the country, and history tells us that can often be the kiss of death. Purdue has failed to cover in five straight road games, while the Wildcats have covered in seven of their last eight at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-01-23 | Knicks v. Raptors UNDER 217 | 119-106 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the under. This matchup features two of the top 10 defensive teams in the NBA. In fact the Knicks rank 1st in the NBA in opponents scoring average allowing 105 points per game. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in each of their last three games, and this looks like a matchup where both teams are content to play at a slow pace. A few weeks ago an article was published in The Athleitc titled: "Toronto Raptors are slow, stingy and soft on glass" ... noting that they ranked 28th in the NBA in pace of play. I suspect that one of these teams will fail to score 100 points in this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-23 | Creighton v. Oklahoma State +8 | 79-65 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on OKST. The Cowboys are just 3-3, and they will play a ranked team for the first time at home tonight. They are getting eight points, and their three losses this season all came by five points or fewer. Creighton is coming off a 21-point loss to unranked Colorado State at a neutral site. This Creighton team is playing it's first true road game, and the Blue Jays lost their first four road games last season. They didn't win a true road game until mid January, and they were 5-6 overall on the road last season. I'll take the home team plus the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-23 | Duke -5.5 v. Arkansas | 75-80 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Duke. So Arkansas is coming off back to back losses, to Memphis and North Carolina. Their leading scorer was carted off in the loss to the Tar Heels with a back injury, and he's doubtful to play here. That didn't have much of an effect on the result, as they were losing by double digits in the dying minutes at the time of the injury. Now they host a #7 ranked Duke team that can cause them plenty of problems. Arkansas has failed to cover in six straight, and they have lost eight in a row versus teams ranked in the Top 25. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-23 | Rockets v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5 | 124-134 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Rockets lost a tough one last night in Dallas, but they could catch a break in their second game of a back to back at Denver. The Nuggets are banged up, and it remains to be seen how much of their starting lineup can play. Ime Udoka has done a helluva job making this team competitive, and the Rockets currently rank #1 in the NBA in opponents scoring average. The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games against an opponent in the Western Conference conference, and they are trending 13-7 overall to the under. Houston has gone under in seven of their last nine overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-23 | Thunder v. Wolves -160 | 103-106 | Win | 100 | 17 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Thunder are coming off a home loss to Philly, and off the court issues may be a distraction for a young team that were off to such a good start. They are in a tough spot here in Minnesota, and it's fair to say that the T-Wolves have had their number. Minnesota is 8-1 SU in the last nine head to head meetings. Minnesota has also covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games, and they are 11-2 SU in their last 13 overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-23 | Notre Dame v. South Carolina -7 | 53-65 | Win | 100 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SOCAR. The Gamecocks finished near the bottom of the SEC last year, but they come into tonight's home game against Notre Dame with a 5-0 record. Their leading scorer BJ Mack (F) is a senior transfer from Wofford. Junior guard Meechie Johnsoin is back after averaging 12.7 points last year. He's joined in the backcourt by senior transfer Myles Stute from Vanderbilt. The Gamecocks are certainly a lot more experienced than Notre Dame who is lead by a pair of talented freshmen. The Irish are facing an SEC team for the second time this season, and they lost by 24 in a neutral site game against Auburn. The Irish have lost 10 straight road games and 15 of their last 20 overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-23 | Wizards v. Pistons -145 | 126-107 | Loss | -145 | 16 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Pistons. I feel like a bit of a Sadist betting on a game between the two worst teams in the NBA. The Pistons have lost 13 straight overall, and Washington has lost nine straight. As improbable as it may seem, one of these two teams will win tonight's game. My money is on the home team that is at least healthy. Detroit is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Washington. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Hampton -0.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on HAMPTON. The Pirates were just 5-13 in the CAA and 8-24 overall last year. They still posted a winning record at home, and seven of their eight wins were in home games. Their only home game this season was a win over Florida Gulf Coast. They have overhauled their starting lineup to include three seniors, including leading scorer Tedrick Wilcox who came in via transfer. UMBC was just 8-8 in the American East last season, but they lost 10 of their 15 road games. Hampton is 5-1 ATS in their last five home games while UMBC is 1-9 SU in their last 10 on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-26-23 | Butler v. Boise State | 70-56 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BSU. Boise State won 27 games last year, finishing first in the Mountain West and ranked in the Top 25 in the country. They bring back three of their top four scorers from last year's team, and they look like an early favorite to win the conference again. The Broncos are 3-2 with a pair of losses to ACC teams, and they face a tough opponent Sunday in the Butler Bulldogs. Butler is 4-2 with a pair of losses to ranked teams. Butler finished ninth in the Big East last year, winning 14 games. Only four of those wins came away from home. All five starters are gone, but it remains to be seen if this team is any better. This will be a good test for both teams but I am going to go with the experience of the Broncos. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-23 | Mavs -115 v. Clippers | 88-107 | Loss | -115 | 22 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Mavs beat the Lakers 104-101 in their last game, almost blowing a 20-point lead in the 4th quarter. They are back at the Staples Center tonight to take on the Clippers, who have lost seven of 10 since the James Harden trade. The Clippers are playing the second game of a back to back and all the starters played heavy minutes in a loss to the Pelicans last night. Not only has LA lost seven of 10, but the wins during that span came against Houston and San Antonio. This looks like a tough spot for the older Clippers against Luka and Kyrie who are firing on all cylinders. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-23 | East Carolina v. George Mason -6 | 59-81 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play o GMU. George Mason will host the East Carolina Pirates Saturday afternoon, and this will be the first true road game for East Carolina this season. The Pirates were 2-9 on the road last year. George Mason was 14-2 at home last season, and they bring back two senior starters from last year including starting PG Ronald Polite. The Patriots are 3-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games was over 13 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-23 | Baylor -150 v. Florida | 95-91 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on BAY. The Bears come into this Black Friday game against Florida with a 5-0 record, and they are scoring almost 90 points per game on 51 percent shooting. Freshman JaKobe Walker is averaging 19 points per game, leading the bears in scoring. Senior guard RayJ Dennis scored 19.5 points per game in the MAC last year, and he's leading the team in assists. Baylor looks like a contender in the BIG12. The Gators are 4-1, and they are facing a ranked opponent for the first time. Florida finished last season with a losing record, and leading scorer Colin Castleton has moved on to the NBA. Incoming transfers will keep the Gators competitive, but they should be over-matched against a Baylor team with more high end talent. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-23 | USC v. Oklahoma | 70-72 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. I bet against Oklahoma yesterday, and here is what I said prior to their win over Iowa: "The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody." The Hawkeyes were 4-of-23 from beyond the arc and shot just 35 percent from the field losing 79-67. The Trojans are coming off a 71-63 win over Seton Hall, and they hit 10-of-23 three-pointers in the win. Here is what I said about USC earlier this season: "the Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience." GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-23 | Texas A&M -155 v. Florida Atlantic | 89-96 | Loss | -155 | 3 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TAM. Coming into this season I said I expected FAU to be overvalued. Here is what I said: " GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-23 | Oklahoma v. Iowa | 79-67 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Iowa. The Sooners finished dead last in the BIG12 last year, but the majority of the starters from that team have moved on. We can't read much into Oklahoma's 4-0 start as they haven't really played anybody. Iowa went to Creighton and lost, but played pretty well in a 92-84 loss. Senior forward Ben Krikke has made a huge impact transferring in from Valparaiso. He's leading the Hawkeyes with 20 points per game. Iowa finished Top 5 in the BIG10 last year, and it appears that this program is simply in better shape than Oklahoma at the moment. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-23 | Mavs -1 v. Lakers | 104-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DAL. The Lakers are 6-1 in their last seven overall, but the one loss came in the second game of a back to back. Anthony Davis was terrible in the loss to the Kings, scoring nine points on 3-of-9 shooting. The Mavs come in well rested, and they are hungry coming off back to back losses. Kyrie scored 38 points in a win over the Lakers last March, his last visit to the Staples Center. Luka Doncic didn't even play in that game. This just looks like a great spot for the Mavs, and a let down spot for LA after beating Utah by 31 last night. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-23 | Tennessee v. Purdue -150 | 67-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Purdue. The Boilermakers took down #11 ranked Gonzaga yesterday, and they will face an even tougher Tennessee team tonight. I think they will be up for the task. Senior center Zach Edey scored 25 points in 33 minutes versus Gonzaga, after dropping 28 points on Xavier in the previous game. The Vols don't have anyone who can stop the 7-footer, and he should be primed for another big game. This seems like a short line for a Purdue team that started 22-1 last season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-19-23 | Wichita State v. St. Louis +5 | 88-69 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SLU. I bet against the Shockers in their blowout loss to Liberty on Friday. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game." I think the bookmakers have the wrong team favored in this one. The Bilikens have an experienced starting lineup with returning seniors from last year. While leading scorer Sincere Parker may not play, it's not like the Bilikens are thin at guard. They still have Gibson Jimerson who was the top scorer last year and Freshman Djordje Curcic who played for the Serbian National Team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-19-23 | Pistons v. Raptors -6.5 | 113-142 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. When the Pistons hired Monte Williams as their head coach, it may have put an end to the "Casey Curse". The Pistons owned the Raptors under Casey, who was spurned by the Raptors despite several winning seasons as bench boss in Toronto. The Pistons come in as losers of 10 straight, and the majority of those losses were of the blowout variety. Despite failing to cover in nine of the last 10 meetings, the Raptors have won four straight in this series. A healthy OJ Anunoby should benefit the home team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-23 | Thunder v. Warriors +3 | 130-123 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on GSW. I am rolling the dice here hoping Steph Curry plays as a game time decision. Kerr said he might miss "a game or two", and he's missed the Warriors last two games. They are playing the second game of a two game set at home versus Oklahoma City, and while the Thunder won big in the first leg, they were only up by one-point with 2:41 remaining in the third quarter. Kerr limited his starters minutes in that game, and guys like Paul and Wiggins should get more time tonight if Curry doesn't play. It's normally a good play to take the team coming off a loss in a two game set like this, even if the Warriors are shorthanded. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-23 | Howard v. Rutgers UNDER 143 | 63-85 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. I bet under in Rutgers home win over Georgetown, and here is what I said before that game: "Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers." They beat the Hoyas 71-60. That was the highest score of any of the Scarlet Knights four games this year, and now they face a Howard team coming off a 64-53 win over Boston University. The Bisons might be lucky to score 60 here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-23 | Wichita State v. Liberty -160 | 66-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Liberty. The Shockers were just .500 in the American Athletic last season, and the majority of their starting lineup has moved on. New recruits and incoming transfers offer little reason for optimism as far as being a contender in their conference this season, and they may be overmatched here in a tough non-conference game. Liberty won 27 games last year, finishing second in Conference USA. They bring back all but one starter, as well as a few quality transfers giving them a ton of experience. They did knock Villanova out of the NIT last year, and lost a close game to Wisconsin after that. The Flames should be on another level than Wichita. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-23 | St. John's +1 v. Dayton | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino. Dayton rallied late to come back after trailing LSU BY 15 points midway through the second half yesterday. This could set them up for a let down here on Friday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-23 | Thunder -140 v. Warriors | Top | 128-109 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC. No Curry and no Draymond for the Warriors, and they have lost four straight and five of six. It's fair to say that these are teams trending in opposite directions, as Oklahoma City has won four of five. The Dubs have lost four of their five home games, and this team just looks like a mess at the moment. I like the Thunder to win big here at the Chase Center. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-23 | St. John's -145 v. North Texas | 53-52 | Win | 100 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. The Red Storm are coming off a bad loss as a favorite versus Michigan, and I had them in that spot. Here is what I said before the game: "St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino." Here they are just a short favorite against a North Texas team that everyone remembers from the NCAA Tournament last year. The Mean Green had three double digit scores on last year's team, and all three of them have either graduated on transferred. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-23 | Kings -115 v. Lakers | 125-110 | Win | 100 | 17 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The Kings finished near the top of the Western Conference standings last year, and forced a Game 7 versus Golden State in the playoffs. They got off to a slow start without D'Aaron Fox, but they come into LA as winners of three in a row and sitting in first place in the Pacific. Fox returned Monday, and he looked as good as ever going for 28 points on 11-of-20 shooting in a win over the Cavs. The Lakers could be in a let down spot here, coming off a blowout win over Memphis, and playing the second game of a back to back. The Kings have won seven of their last 10 versus LA, and four of their last five in LA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-23 | Georgetown v. Rutgers UNDER 136.5 | 60-71 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Rutgers is damn near a double digit favorite at home against Georgetown, and they have yet to score 70 points this season. They have held their opponents to an average of 57 points while winning two of three. There plenty of strong defensive teams in the BIG10, but Rutgers ranked 1st in opponent scoring average last season allowing 61 points per game. They ranked just 10th in scoring averaging 68.4 points per game. In their only Div 1 game so far, Georgetown lost 68-67 to Holy Cross. It seems reasonable to expect a low score here at Rutgers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-23 | Colgate +5.5 v. Syracuse | 75-79 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Colgate. This is a revenge game for Syracuse, as they lost at home versus Colgate in non-conference play last year. Colgate went on to win the Patriot League and made the NCAA Tournament. The Orange have a new head coach, and they lost their leading scorer Joseph Girard and leading rebounder Jesse Edwards. Colgate is bringing back senior forward Keegan Records, sophomore Braenen Smith at guard, and senior forward Ryan Moffatt. I'll take the points here in what should be a close game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-23 | Florida Gulf Coast +9.5 v. Pittsburgh | 74-86 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FGCU. The Eagles have been known to slay a few giants in the past, and they have an experienced lineup of returning starters who are mostly seniors. They already went to Indiana and gave the Hoosiers a run for their money, losing by six in a game that they were within two in the final 35 seconds. Pittsburgh was one of the best teams in the ACC last year, finishing with the same record as Duke. The Panthers lost their top four guards to graduation, and the names they brought in via transfer don't exactly pop off the page. This looks like too big of a number for a team in transition to be asked to cover. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-23 | Michigan v. St. John's -130 | Top | 89-73 | Loss | -130 | 16 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SJU. Michigan lost leading scorer Hunter Dickenson to Kansas, and they have to replace their top three scorers from a team that finished 8th in the BIG10 last year. You would expect a blue blood like Michigan to make a big splash in the transfer portal, but that doesn't seem to be the case. Olivier Nkamhoua averaged just over 10-point per game with Tennessee last year, and Nimari Burnett was a backup last year at Alabama and the previous year at Texas Tech. It would appear that the Wolverines are asking role players to step up and fill the void in the starting lineup. St. Johns returns senior center Joel Soriano, who was the leading scorer averaging 15.2 points per game last year. They have surrounded him with several senior transfers who were stars on their respective teams last year. Jordan Dingle (G) averaged 23.4 points per game with PENN last year, and Daniss Jenkins came with coach Pitino from Iona. Iona went a combined 64-22 overall and 40-9 in regular-season conference play under Rick Pitino. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-23 | Tennessee -130 v. Wisconsin | Top | 80-70 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TENN. The Vols are coming off a 25 win season, finishing 5th in the SEC and ranked #20 in the country. They bring back three starters, including senior guard Santiago Vescovi who lead the team in scoring last year. The Badgers finished 12th in the BIG10, unranked with a losing record in conference play. Wisconsin struggled in close games last year, and they lost four of their last six in Madison. They may find themselves overmatched here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-23 | Dayton v. Northwestern -5 | 66-71 | Push | 0 | 16 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NW. The Wildcats finished 2nd in the BIG10 last year, and they were 13-5 at home. Dayton finished second in the A-1O, and they were 5-6 on the road. The Flyers played on the road just twice in non-conference play last season, losing by a combined 36 points to UNLV and Virginia Tech. Northwesters is bringing back leading scorer Boo Buie, along with two more senior starters. Senior guard Ryan Langborg transferred from Princeton, giving them a starting lineup loaded with four seniors. They should have their way with an inferior Dayton team here in Evanston. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-09-23 | Hawks -153 v. Magic | 120-119 | Win | 100 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on ATL. The Magic have been a solid play at home in recent seasons, but they are thin with a couple starters out of the lineup here. Atlanta comes in off a loss but has won four of their last five. History favors the Hawks, who have won eight of the last 10 meetings outright. The Hawks are 7-3 ATS in those games, and they are 3-1 SU in their last four at Orlando. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-09-23 | Tarleton St v. Florida International -5 | 82-65 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FIU. The Panthers were a middle of the road team in Conference USA last season, but they were pretty good at home. They won 11 games on their home court (11-7) overall, despite a losing record in conference play. They lost leading scorer Denver Jones in a transfer to Auburn, but bring almost every body else back. Tarleton State was in the middle of the pack in the WAC, but they were just 2-12 on the road last year. Their leading scorer transferred to Arkansas State, and their starting PG graduated. Junior Shamir Bougues also transferred to Vermont. That leaves them replacing their entire backcourt with freshman and role players. I thinking laying five here against a team that lost 86 percent of their road games last year seems like a bargain. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-08-23 | Blazers v. Kings -8.5 | 118-121 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. Portland is expected to finish at or near the bottom of the Western Conference this season, and with two starters including their leading scorer out of the lineup for this road game, they could get blown out. Sure the Kings are without De'Aaron Fox, but they still have the depth and talent advantage as well as home court. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-08-23 | Arizona State v. Mississippi State -3.5 | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MISST. The Bulldogs are bringing back leading score Tolu Smith for his senior season, and he is joined by seniors Shakeef Moore, Cameron Mathews, Dashawn Davis and DJ Jeffries. That's right, their entire starting five are back, and they are all seniors. That kind of experience should prove to much for an Arizona State team that lost the majority if it's starters, and has brought in new recruits and transfers that might take time to start to gel. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-23 | USC -2.5 v. Kansas State | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 15 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. The Wildcats lost both their top two scorers and their starting PG to the NBA, and they are going to struggle to replace Marquis Nowell. K-State is projected to finish in the bottom half of the BIG12 while USC is expected to contend for a PAC12 Championship. The Trojans are bringing back 5th year senior Boogie Ellis, and he is joined in the back court by McDonalds All American Isaiah Collier. This USC squad should have an edge in both talent and experience, and the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas is familiar territory, as the venue for the PAC12 Tournament last year. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-04-23 | Suns v. 76ers -175 | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on PHI. The Sixers sent James Harden out of town, and they are ready to move on. The Suns were talking big after acquiring Bradley Beal, but he's yet to play a game. They have everything riding on their BIG 3, and they might be down to 1 here in Philly as Booker is questionable. Ultimately a lack of depth should be what prevents the Suns from winning a road game against a well balanced contender on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-23 | Mavs v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | 114-125 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nuggets have gone under this number in all of their games this season, and they have gone over this number just once in their last eight games versus Dallas. Opponents have averaged just 103.6 points per game so far, and the Nuggets did rank in the Top 10 in opponent scoring average last season. Dallas is 4-0 and the Mavs have averaged 222.5 points in those games. They have had a soft schedule so far, and this Game at Denver should be a far bigger challenge for them. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-23 | Cavs v. Knicks -6.5 | 95-89 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on NYK. I had the Knicks in last night's win in Cleveland, and often I look to fade a team that wins Game 1 of a home and home series. This is a different situation all together though, as the Cavs are banged up, and Donovan Mitchell was a game time decision to play with a hamstring injury last night. He played, but will he be good to go in the second game of a back to back? Here is what I said yesterday: "The Cavs have some key injuries, and Donovan Mitchell is expected to be a game time decision tonight. If he plays, he's dealing with a sore hamstring that is likely to affect his performance. Starting PG Darius Garland and Center Jared Allen are both out with injuries. The Knicks are 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings versus the Cavs, and they have won three of their last four at Cleveland. The Knicks have lost two of three to start the season, but they have been competitive even in those losses. At full strength, this spot looks ideal for the Knicks to get back into the win column." GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-23 | Knicks -150 v. Cavs | 109-91 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the NYK. The Cavs have some key injuries, and Donovan Mitchell is expected to be a game time decision tonight. If he plays, he's dealing with a sore hamstring that is likely to affect his performance. Starting PG Darius Garland and Center Jared Allen are both out with injuries. The Knicks are 7-1 straight up in the last eight meetings versus the Cavs, and they have won three of their last four at Cleveland. The Knicks have lost two of three to start the season, but they have been competitive even in those losses. At full strength, this spot looks ideal for the Knicks to get back into the win column. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-23 | Jazz v. Nuggets UNDER 231 | 102-110 | Win | 100 | 18 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. These teams went under in three of four meetings last season, and the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in any of those games. Denver ranked 5th in opponent's scoring average last season, and three games in they rank 5th in that category so far this year. The Jazz have gone over in each of their first three games, but they faced opponents that were willing to pay at their desired pace. On the road at Denver, we expect the Nuggets to dictate the pace and style of this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-23 | Lakers v. Kings -2 | 127-132 | Win | 100 | 30 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SAC. The young Kings pushed the Warriors to the brink in last year's playoffs, and while the Dubs are a year older, the Kings are only getting better. Sacramento was the highest scoring team in the NBA last year, and they have picked up right where they left off by scoring 130 in their season opening win over Utah. The addition of Euro League MVP Sasha Vuzenkov isn't going to hurt. The Lakers looked old in their opening night loss on the road in Denver, and I think they will look old here against the Kings in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-27-23 | Warriors v. Kings -145 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -145 | 21 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SAC. Lets not overreact to the Warriors losing at home on Opening Night to a shorthanded Phoenix team. Maybe they missed Draymond Green, maybe Chris Paul needs more time to work his win into a new team. Regardless of any of that, following up with a road game at Sacramento is a tough spot. The younger Kings pushed them to the brink in last year's playoffs, and while the Dubs are a year older, the Kings are only getting better. Sacramento was the highest scoring team in the NBA last year, and they have picked up right where they left off by scoring 130 in their season opening win over Utah. The addition of Euro League MVP Sasha Vuzenkov isn't going to hurt. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-26-23 | 76ers v. Bucks UNDER 227 | 117-118 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. | |||||||
10-25-23 | Mavs v. Spurs OVER 229.5 | 126-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Spurs ranked dead last in the NBA in opponents scoring average, allowing over 121 points per game. They have gone over in six straight versus Texas rivals Dallas, and during that span they have done plenty of scoring in their own right. San Antonio scored an average of 123 points in their last six meetings versus the Mavs. San Antonio did plenty of scoring in the pre-season, with 120 or more in three of their five games. We might see another shootout in Texas tonight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-23 | Suns v. Warriors -110 | 108-104 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. Sure KD is running his mouth about an unstoppable big three? Did he learn nothing in last year's playoffs? A lack of depth killed the Suns last season, and their bench looks even thinner as we get ready for this season. Two of their big three are listed as questionable, although they both probably play. This is a revenge spot for veteran PG Chris Paul, and while I don't know if it works out long term for the Dubs.... I expect him to play well in this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-12-23 | Heat v. Nuggets UNDER 209.5 | 89-94 | Win | 100 | 19 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Finals are expected to come to a conclusion tonight, and if that's the case there is a trend of low scores in closeout games in the NBA Finals over the last 10 seasons. The under is 8-2 in the last 10 closeout games in the Finals, and the majority of those games went under 200 combined points. The Heat have failed to score 100 points in three of four games in this series, and they are averaging 99 points per game in their last eight in the playoffs. Seven of those games went under the total. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-23 | Nuggets v. Heat OVER 210.5 | 108-95 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The total for Game 1 was sitting at 219, and it has been trending lower every game. Now in Game 4 the number sits at just 210.5, after Miami shot just 37 percent from the field in Game 3. We should expect some positive regression for Miami, and I think they score 100+ here tonight. It's tough to see anything different from Denver as the mismatch with Jokic is just something that isn't going to change. The over is 13-5 in Heat's last 18 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-07-23 | Nuggets -135 v. Heat | 109-94 | Win | 100 | 53 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Denver. Before this series started the Denver Nuggets were an overwhelming favorite to win the series. They won comfortably in Game 1, and it quickly became apparent that Miami had no answers for the Joker. The Nuggets were up by eight heading into the 4th quarter of Game 2, but the Heat went on a run and ended up winning 111-108. Miami shot out the lights, hitting 48.6 percent from beyond the arc. This is an outlier, well above their playoff average of 39 percent in the post-season. Miami certainly can't count on hitting half of their three-point attempts moving forward, and they still can't stop the Joker. Denver shot 52 percent from the field in Game 2, and Joker scored 41 points on 16-of-28 shooting. The Nuggets simply need to crank up their effort on defense, and I expect them to do just that in Game 3 in Miami. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-04-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 214 | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 62 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. One of the stories in Game 1 was the Heat attempting an NBA Playoff record low two free throws. This is one of the factors that resulted in such a low score. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Miami Heat lead the playoffs in three-point shooting, hitting 39 percent from beyond the arc. The Nuggets aren't far behind hitting 38.6 percent of their three-point attempts. The Heat come in averaging 112 points per game while Denver has averaged 116 points per game in the playoffs. The Joker has put up incredible numbers, averaging 29.9 points, 13.3 rebounds and 10.3 assists. He's put up those numbers against the best defenders in the NBA. The Heat rank near the bottom in the NBA in rebounds per game, and have one of the league's smallest starting lineups. I expect Joker to put up video game numbers in this series, and I like the total to go over in Game 1." The total for Game 2 is several points lower than it was in Game 1, and I expect the Heat to get to the free throw line more often, and hit more threes in Game 2. Whatever the Heat do, I can't see them stopping Joker. I''l take the over here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-01-23 | Heat v. Nuggets OVER 219 | 93-104 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Miami Heat lead the playoffs in three-point shooting, hitting 39 percent from beyond the arc. The Nuggets aren't far behind hitting 38.6 percent of their three-point attempts. The Heat come in averaging 112 points per game while Denver has averaged 116 points per game in the playoffs. The Joker has put up incredible numbers, averaging 29.9 points, 13.3 rebounds and 10.3 assists. He's put up those numbers against the best defenders in the NBA. The Heat rank near the bottom in the NBA in rebounds per game, and have one of the league's smallest starting lineups. I expect Joker to put up video game numbers in this series, and I like the total to go over in Game 1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-29-23 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 203.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 19 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. Here is what I said prior to Game 6: "We've seen some big money moving in on the under in Game 6. This might as well be an elimination game for both teams, but technically the Heat could try to win a Game 7 on the road as a likely double digit underdog. We saw this series go seven games last year, and Boston won 100-96 here in this building in Game 7. Boston has gone under in five of their last six at Miami. This might be the type of game where the winning team doesn't even score 100 points." We are calling for history to repeat itself in Game 7 of the ECF. | |||||||
05-27-23 | Celtics v. Heat UNDER 210.5 | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. We've seen some big money moving in on the under in Game 6. This might as well be elimination game for both teams, but technically the Heat could try to win a Game 7 on the road as a likely double digit underdog. We saw this series go seven games last year, and Boston won 100-96 here in this building in Game 7. Boston has gone under in five of their last six at Miami. This might be the type of game where the winning team doesn't even score 100 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-25-23 | Heat +8 v. Celtics | 97-110 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIA. So the Celtics got a game, but they are still down 3-1 and they lost both home games in this series. A return to The Garden has the Celtics as a massive favorite in Game 5. You remember what Einstein said about insanity, doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. The Heat were a huge underdog in Game 5 in Milwaukee, and they won that game 128-126. Miami still has the better coach, a supporting cast that has played it's role perfectly a superstar that has delivered in the clutch more than anyone wearing green and white. I'll take the points, and I'll sprinkle on the moneyline. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-23-23 | Celtics v. Heat | 116-99 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. So I said prior to both Game 3 of this series, and Game 4 of the WCF that the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting a different result. It was no surprise to see Denver win Game 4, as NBA teams up 3-0 in a series win Game 4 roughly 68 percent of the time historically. The Nuggets did it on the road, and the Heat can do it here at home. It's so clear that Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the superior coach. I been riding the Heat this entire post-season, and if it ain't broke don't fix it! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-22-23 | Nuggets +3.5 v. Lakers | 113-111 | Win | 100 | 17 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Denver. My comments about Game 3 in Miami are just as applicable here in Game 4 in LA. Here is what I said prior to last night's game: Albert Einstein said that "the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result". In my humble opinion betting Boston as a road favorite in this spot fits that description perfectly. The myth that Boston is the superior team has been exposed. Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the better coach. Now the Heat have home court, and the Celtics are still reeling trying to figure out what went wrong. I'll take the points, even though I don't think I'll need them. IMO this is another example of the Wrong Team Favored! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-21-23 | Celtics v. Heat +3.5 | 102-128 | Win | 100 | 18 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIA. Albert Einstein said that "the definition of insanity is doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result". In my humble opinion betting Boston as a road favorite in this spot fits that description perfectly. The myth that Boston is the superior team has been exposed. Jimmy Butler is the best player in this series, and Erik Spoelstra is by far the better coach. Now the Heat have home court, and the Celtics are still reeling trying to figure out what went wrong. I'll take the points, even though I don't think I'll need them. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-20-23 | Nuggets v. Lakers -5.5 | 119-108 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAL. Call me a conspiracy theorist if you want to, but the NBA Finals are about to be a ratings disaster with the Denver Nuggets versus Miami Heat matchup looking more and more likely. If the Lakers can't get back in this series, a lot of money goes up in smoke. I think you're going to see the refs calls fouls for even looking at AD and LeBron in tonight's game. LA won Game 3 against the Warriors 127-97, and they had an edge in free throws to the tune of 37-17. In Game 3 against the Grizzlies they won 111-101. It's not like the first two games in Denver weren't close, and the Nuggets are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings in Los Angeles. The Lakers are 6-0 ATS in their last six home games, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-19-23 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | 111-105 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BOS. As much as I disagree with how big a favorite Boston was in Game 1, and here in Game 2, I just think this is a spot where they are gonna come out swinging and they will get all the calls. I have joked about a script in the league office that has the Celtics playing the Lakers in the Finals, but if you saw the referee in Game 1 react to Jimmy Butler scoring a key bucket, you would believe it. Check it out on Twitter it's going viral. The Celtics lost Game 1 at home versus Philly, and they came back and won 121-87 in Game 2. Don't be surprised if we see something similar here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-18-23 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 227 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 13 h 4 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Under. Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals was a high scoring affair, and because of that the total for Game 2 is five points higher than it was in Game 1. The series opener saw Denver dominate the first half, but the Lakers made adjustments that allowed them to come storming back. When they stuck Rui Hachimura on the Joker, the REAL MVP was held to just 3 points on 0-of-2 shooting in the 4th quarter. Don't be surprised if things tighten up in Game 2, and keep in mind that both teams shot better than 54 percent from the field when both teams are averaging under 50 percent in these playoffs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-17-23 | Heat +8.5 v. Celtics | 123-116 | Win | 100 | 35 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Miami Heat. This is a rematch of last year's Eastern Conference Finals, and the Celtics won that series in a Game 7 that was decided on the final shot. Yet the bookmakers have installed Boston as a huge favorite here in Game 1 and for the series. Miami closed out the #1 seed Milwaukee Bucks in just five games in the first round. They needed six games to eliminate the New York Knicks. That has them playing two fewer games than Boston so far. The team that has played fewer games heading into the Conference Finals, has advanced to the Finals in 16 of the last 17 such occasions. Coming off a big Game 7 win over Philly, with Jason Tatum scoring 51 points, could set the Celtics up for a let down in Game 1. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,060 |
Dan Kaiser | $932 |
Jesse Schule | $566 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Ray Monohan | $518 |
Mike Lundin | $493 |
Tom Macrina | $430 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Joseph D'Amico | $390 |
Big Al McMordie | $340 |