Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-19-22 | Bucks v. Pelicans OVER 227.5 | 128-119 | Win | 100 | 12 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Bucks have the best record in the NBA, and they will take on the Pelicans in New Orleans Monday. The Pelicans are just a game back of Memphis for first place in the West. You know both teams will be up for this game, and history tells us that it should be a high scoring affair. The home team has won five of the last six head to head, and the over is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings. The Pelicans have gone over in four of their last five overall, and the over is 17-4 in their last 21 versus teams with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-22 | Warriors v. Raptors -5 | 126-110 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Warriors are 2-14 on the road, and they come into Toronto with possibly only one healthy starter. Steph Curry is out for at least a few weeks, and Andrew Wiggins is sidelined by a groin injury. Klay and Draymond are also banged up, and we aren't sure if either of them will play. The Raptors will be looking to snap a four game losing skid, and this is as good a spot as any. The Warriors have lost their last two at Toronto by a combined 72 points (no you aren't reading that wrong). History favors the home team as Toronto is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus a team with a losing road record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-22 | Jazz v. Bucks -5 | 97-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on MIL. The Bucks are just a game back of Boston in the East, but they are coming off a blowout loss at Memphis in their last game. They look to get back on track with a home game against the Jazz Saturday. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. Khris Middleton is expected to sit out Saturday, but Jrue Holliday is scheduled to return. This looks like a let down spot for Utah, coming off an overtime win over New Orleans in Salt Lake City. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-22 | Alabama -125 v. Gonzaga | 90-100 | Loss | -125 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on BAMA. Call it a revenge game if you want, but after beating the Bulldogs in Seattle last year, the Tide are just a slight favorite in Saturday's game in Birmingham Alabama. I've long been saying that Gonzaga is overrated, and that opinion is justified by the fact that they are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 neutral site games, 3-15-3 ATS in their last 21 games overall and 1-12-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. Gonzaga has faced ranked teams four times so far this season, losing three of those four games. Alabama has a pair of wins over the #1 ranked teams in the country, and they beat the #1 ranked Cougars in Houston. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-22 | Warriors v. 76ers -6.5 | 106-118 | Win | 100 | 19 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on PHI. The Warriors are 2-13 on the road, and losing Steph Curry for up to a month isn't going to help. Curry isn't the only starter sidelined for the Warriors, Andrew Wiggins and Draymond Green are also likely to miss this game on Friday in Philly. The Warriors are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 road games, and they are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Philadelphia. The 76ers are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games. Get this one early because the line movement is expected to be one sided. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-22 | Pelicans -120 v. Jazz | Top | 129-132 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on Pelicans. The Pelicans are tied for first place in the Western Conference, and they are in a revenge spot in the second game of a two game series in Utah. The Pelicans are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. The Jazz are just 6-11 in their last 17 overall, and they were playing over their heads at the beginning of the year. Zion only played 26 minutes in the first game in Utah, expect him to play more minutes and be a more dominant force here in the rematch. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-22 | Ohio +13 v. Florida | 48-82 | Loss | -115 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Ohio. The Bobcats lost their first four road games, but they are coming off an 81-79 win at Youngstown state for their first road win of the year. They lost by just four points at #20 ranked Michigan in Ann Arbor. This is not a true road game, as they face the Gators in Tampa rather than Gainesville. The Gators are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six straight neutral site games. This line looks a little inflated considering that the Gators have lost four of their last eight games outright. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-22 | DePaul +1.5 v. Duquesne | 55-66 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a free play on DePaul. The Blue Demons will be an underdog on the road at Duquesne tonight, and you could call this a revenge spot since DePaul beat the Dukes by 20 points in Chicago last year. DePaul has a pair of senior starters that average over 15 points per game. Umoja Gibson is a transfer from Oklahoma, while Javan Johnson transferred from Iowa State midway through last season. The Dukes have lost back to back home games to Marshall and New Mexico State, and both losses came by a double digit margin. The Dukes are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 home games, while the Blue Demons are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-22 | Pelicans -125 v. Jazz | 100-121 | Loss | -125 | 21 h 33 m | Show | |
This is 2* play on NO. You would have thought the second game of a two game home series versus Phoenix would be a let down spot for the Pelicans. New Orleans now has the best record in the Western Conference, and they have won seven straight and nine of 10. The Jazz haven't played since Saturday, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six when playing on two days rest. This Utah team overachieved early in the season, but they have come crashing down to earth lately. After a 10-3 start, they have since gone 5-11. I don't think it's wise to step in front of the Pelicans here as they look to make it eight straight wins. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-22 | Nets -5 v. Wizards | 112-100 | Win | 100 | 16 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on the Nets. The Nets won six of seven on their recent home stand, and one of those games was a 113-107 win over the Wizards. Bradley Beal scored 25 points on 9-of-20 shooting in that game, but they will have to get points elsewhere tonight. Beal is out with a hamstring injury, and starting PG Monte Morris missed Saturday's game with a groin injury. Washington has lost nine of their last 10 overall, and three straight since the Beal injury. The Wizards are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 games overall, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-22 | Raptors -6.5 v. Magic | 99-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TOR. The Raptors had covered in six straight at Orlando before losing 113-109 on Friday. For the fourth time this season, Toronto will play back to back games against the same team in the same city. All three previous such situations resulted in a split, the team that won the first game went on to lose the second game. The Raptors are 11-3 ATS in the last 14 meetings against the Magic. Toronto was an eight point favorite in the first game, and that number has come down a bit here in the rematch. I'll back the favorites here in this revenge match. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-22 | Oklahoma State v. Virginia Tech -1 | 65-70 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on VT. The Hokies are 9-1, and they are 2-0 in neutral site games. This is an experienced squad with three senior starters all scoring in double digits. They come off a 77-49 win over Dayton, and Grant Basile led all scorers with 23 points on 9-of-17 shooting. The Cowboys are 6-3, coming off a win over Sam Houston. The Cowboys are 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games following an ATS win. While these teams haven't played since 2012, the Hokies have won four straight versus Oklahoma State. This team won 13 of their last 15 games last season, beating Duke in the Final of the ACC Tournament. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-22 | Mavs v. Bulls -120 | 115-144 | Win | 100 | 20 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on CHI. The Mavs lost a heartbreaker by a single point at home versus Milwaukee last night, and they have to try to pick up the pieces and play on the road at Chicago tonight. The home team is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these teams, and the Bulls are 4-1 straight up in the last five meetings. The Mavs have failed to cover in four of their last five when playing the second game of a back to back, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Bulls have covered in four of their last five home games versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-22 | Arizona v. Indiana | Top | 89-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are 7-1, with a pair of wins over ranked teams. They beat San Diego State and Creighton before losing their first true road game at Utah. They host the #14 ranked Indiana Hoosiers in a neutral site game tonight, but Las Vegas might feel like a second home to the Wildcats. This Arizona team was 11-1 in non-conference games last year, beating #4 Michigan right here in Las Vegas. Indiana might struggle to match the scoring prowess of a Wildcats team that is averaging 91.5 points per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-22 | Wolves +3 v. Jazz | 118-108 | Win | 100 | 19 h 15 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MIN. The Wolves will be in Utah tonight, and Rudy Gobert returns to Salt Lake City. Rudy takes on a more prominent role after the injury to Karl Anthony Towns, and he stepped up with 21 rebounds in a win over the Pacers in his last start. The Jazz were not supposed to be a contender in the West after losing Donovan Mitchell and Rudy Gobert, but they got off to a surprising start. They have faded recently, going 3-6 ATS in their last nine games. The Timberwolves are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings in Utah, and the Jazz might not have their leading scorer tonight due to an illness. I'll take the points in this revenge spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-22 | Nuggets v. Blazers OVER 225.5 | 121-120 | Win | 100 | 20 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Nuggets have scored an average of 115 points per game this season, while the Blazers are averaging just 110 points per game. These teams just played two weeks ago and the Blazers won 135-110. The total went way over the number, and the over is now 8-2 in the last 10 head to head meetings. The over is 12-4 in the Nuggets last 16 games following an ATS loss, and they have gone over in 10 of their last 14 at Portland. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-22 | Michigan v. Minnesota UNDER 136 | 90-75 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. The Minnesota Golden Gophers have scored just 63 points per game. There are 371 teams in college basketball that score more than that. They are pretty good defensively though, holding the opposition to just 66 points per game. It's not surprising that they have failed to reach the total in five straight home games. They host a Michigan team that has scored just 69 points over it's last five games. Losing their starting PG Jaelin Llewellyn for the rest of the season won't help. I'd be surprised if either of these teams gets to 70 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-22 | Dayton v. Virginia Tech -7.5 | 49-77 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. This is a revenge spot for the home team, as Dayton beat the Hokies in Ohio last year by a score of 62-57. They didn't fare so well in non-conference road games, losing at SMU and Ole Miss by a combined 16 points. This will be just their second road game this season, losing 60-52 at UNLV last month. The Flyers are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. The Hokies are 6-0 at home, and the average margin of victory in those games is 17 points. This should be a double digit win for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-22 | Lakers v. Raptors -8 | 113-126 | Win | 100 | 17 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on TOR. I bet the under in the Lakers loss at Cleveland last night, and here is what I said before that game: "So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games." They play their second game of a back to back north of the border, and AD might be out with an illness and you have to think they will be tempted to rest LeBron. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-22 | Lakers v. Cavs UNDER 224.5 | 102-116 | Win | 100 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. So the Lakers are rolling again coming into Cleveland as winners of eight of their last 10 overall. They have averaged 130 points per game in their last five, but they will be taking on the #1 scoring defense in the NBA here in Cleveland. History suggests we could see a lower scoring battle tonight. The Cavs have gone under five straight overall, and they have held opponents to just 93 points per game during that span. The under is 5-0 in their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-22 | Celtics v. Raptors +1.5 | Top | 116-110 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Raptors. Everyone in the NBA knows it's not easy to win in Toronto, and yet the Celtics come into Monday's game as favorites. This is a tough spot for Boston, playing the second game of a back to back off a big win in Brooklyn. Jalen Brown played 40 minutes last night, and Jason Tatum logged 37 minutes. Marcus Smart is out with an injury, and the Raptors are back to full strength. Toronto should get the W here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +7 | 122-112 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on DET. The Grizzlies are just a game out of first in the Southwest, but they have really struggled on the road. They are asked to cover a big number here in the Motor City, but the Pistons are looking pretty good about now. Detroit is 3-3 straight up in their last six overall, but they have covered the spread in six of their last seven. The Pistons are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. The Grizzlies are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-22 | Wichita State v. Kansas State -6.5 | Top | 50-55 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on K-State. The Wildcats are coming off their first loss of the season, on the road at Butler. A home game against Wichita State looks like a good spot to get back on track. Wichita State had three players score in double digits last season, and all three are gone. One went to the NBA (Tyson Ettienne) and two transfered. The Wildcats have three senior starters averaging in double digits, and this gives them a huge edge in experience. Kansas State has won both their home games by double digits, and the Shockers are likely to be overmatched here in Manhattan. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-22 | 76ers v. Grizzlies -5.5 | 109-117 | Win | 100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Memphis. The Grizzlies host Philly Friday night, and the Sixers are still banged up. Maxey and Harden are out, and Tobias Harris is questionable with an illness. The Sixers are 8-17-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four at Memphis. The Grizzlies are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games. The last time Philly played at Memphis they lost by 35 points (126-91). GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-22 | South Dakota State v. Kent State -7 | 68-83 | Win | 100 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on KENT. It comes as no surprise that Kent State is off to a good start, with an overall record of 5-2, and a 4-0 home record. They have three senior starters, all scoring in double digits. The Golden Flashes are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 home games, and they are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. They host South Dakota State, and the Jack Rabbits have failed to cover in five straight versus a team with a winning record. South Dakota State lost two of it's top three scorers from last season via transfer, and the other to graduation. This should prove to be a mismatch. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-22 | CS-Fullerton v. Seattle University -9.5 | 62-69 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Seattle. This line looks a little short when you look at the overall body of work for Seattle University. The Redhawks suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Washington over the weekend. They are 5-1 overall, and 3-0 at home. They have outscored opponents by more than 30 points per game at home, and they have faced some strong teams. They won by a dozen in a home win over Portland State, a team that has a pair of wins over the PAC12 already. They also beat a Portland Pilots team by a dozen on the road, and the Pilots have a win over Villanova followed up by a one point loss to Michigan State. The Titans lost their last road game by 16 points at North Dakota, and another double digit defeat should be expected here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-22 | Raptors +1.5 v. Pelicans | 108-126 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 55 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. I had the Raptors in their last game, and I said the following: "The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back." I didn't know that Pascal Siakam was also set to return, but now that Toronto is back to full strength, the rest of the NBA should be put on notice. A Pelicans team with it's two best players banged up appears to be vulnerable. The Pelicans won a close game against the Thunder on Monday, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-22 | Clippers +3.5 v. Blazers | 118-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LAC. The Clippers have been hit hard by injuries, with stars Kawhi Leonard and Paul George out of the lineup. Most teams haven't got a shot in hell of competing without their two best players, but perhaps it should surprise nobody that LA is still a .500 team without George and Leonard. They have plenty of depth. with Reggie Jakcson, Norman Powell, Ivica Zubac, and Marcus Morris all stepping up. The same can not be said for the Blazers without Damian Lillard, as they have lost five of their last six overall. The Clippers look good as the dog considered they have won nine of the last 10 versus Portland straight up. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-22 | Texas Southern v. Kansas UNDER 139.5 | 55-87 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Kansas Jayhawks are off a 64-50 upset loss to Tennessee, and they have only scored an average of 74.4 points per game so far, ranking 150th nationally. Of course their defense has been stellar, and they host a Texas Southern team that has scored less than 53 points per game in three losses to Top 25 teams. All three of those games went under. Texas Southern has gone under in six straight overall, and the under is 18-7-1 in the Tigers last 26 games following a straight up loss. The under is 9-2 in Jayhawks last 11 games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-22 | Cavs v. Raptors -115 | 88-100 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Toronto. The Raptors are 7-2 at home this season, and one of those two losses came against Brooklyn with Fred Van Fleet and Scottie Barnes out of the lineup. Van Fleet returned on Saturday in a 105-100 win over Dallas. Scottie Barnes is back at practice, so he could return tonight to face a Cavs team coming north of the border to play the second game of a back to back. The home team is 4-1 SU in the last five meetings, and the Cavaliers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest. Cleveland has also failed to cover in six straight road games. | |||||||
11-27-22 | Iowa State v. Connecticut -5 | Top | 53-71 | Win | 100 | 21 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UCONN. The #20 Huskies are 7-0, and they beat #18 Alabama by 15 points on Friday at the Phil Knight Invitational. They face an unranked Iowa State team that just upset #1 North Carolina, and this could be a let down spot for the Cyclones. Iowa State made 9-of-20 three-point attempts in the upset win over the Tar Heels. I don't like their chances of hitting 45 percent from beyond the arc here in this game. The Huskies have the experience, the shooters, and the coaching to take down this scrappy Cyclones team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-22 | Mavs v. Bucks -6 | 115-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 51 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIL. The Mavs are playing on the road at Milwaukee in the second game of a back to back. Not only are they are on short rest, but Luka Doncic played a season high 43 minutes in a loss north of the border at Toronto last night. The Mavericks are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS loss, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six in the second game of a back to back. The Bucks are 10-2 straight up at home, and nine of those 10 wins came by more than six points. | |||||||
11-26-22 | Lakers -3 v. Spurs | 143-138 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on LA. The Lakers have only won six games this season, but two of them have come against the Spurs. They come into tonight's game as winners of four of their last five, while the Spurs have lost seven straight. LeBron scored 21 points in 33 minutes in his first game back after missing five games due to injury. These two teams are in the mix for a lottery pick, so it should be quite a battle, but somebody has to win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-22 | Butler v. NC State +1 | Top | 61-76 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on NCSTATE. The Butler Bulldogs didn't get a lot of returning talent from last year, and they did not look good in their first game against a ranked team. They scored 45 points on 32 percent shooting in a loss to Tennessee a few days ago. The Wolfpack have more experience, and that may be what allowed them to hang with #3 ranked Kansas. NC State comes in averaging over 80 points per game, while the Bulldogs average just slightly above the national average (71.5). The Wolfpack currently rank 1st in the ACC in scoring, and near the top in FG percentage, FT percentage and three-point shooting. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-22 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -140 | 111-132 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on the Grizzlies. New Orleans won't have CJ McCollum in Memphis on Friday, due to health and safety protocols. He leads the team in assists, steals and three-point shooting. The home team has had the advantage in this series, winning eight of the last 10 straight up. The Pelicans are 6-13 ATS in their last 19 games versus a team with a winning straight up record, while the Grizzlies are 26-9 ATS in their last 35 home games. Ja Morant scored 34 points against the Kings on Tuesday, and he scored 36 in his last game against the Pelicans 10 days ago. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-22 | Alabama v. Michigan State +4 | 81-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on MSU. Alabama is powered by a pair of talented freshmen, and they face their first real test here in the Phil Knight Invitational on Thanksgiving. Michigan State has a ton of experience, with their three top scorers all seniors. The Spartans have already faced two teams ranked in the Top 5, winning outright by double digits versus #4 Kentucky and losing by a point to #2 Gonzaga. They also beat unranked Villanova by a bucket. The experience in close games early in the season is invaluable. Alabama is 4-0 versus unranked competition, and the Crimson Tide are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-22 | Iowa State v. Villanova -1 | 81-79 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VILL. The 3-0 Cyclones are facing the 2-2 Villanova Wildcats at the Phil Knight Invitational in an afternoon game on Thanksgiving. The Wildcats were 1 bucket away from beating #12 ranked Michigan State at East Lansing. This Villanova team made the Final Four last year, and they bring back plenty of key players from that team. Villanova is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus a team with a winning record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-22 | Syracuse v. St. John's -130 | 69-76 | Win | 100 | 14 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SJU. The Red Storm take on the Orange in Brooklym Tuesday at the Empire Classic, and history favors St. John's. The Red Storm are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings versus Syracuse, and the Orange come in without most of the talent they had last season. They will miss the Boeheim brothers, who last year combined for an average of 30 points per game. Syracuse beat Richmond by a score of 74-71 in overtime yesterday. The Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-22 | Nets -7 v. 76ers | 106-115 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on BKN. So Kyrie is back, and Ben Simmons shot 11-of-13 in a 127-115 win over the undermanned Grizzlies on Sunday. No word on whether Simmons actually attempted a shot that wasn't a dunk, but whatever he was doing he should just keep doing it. The Nets face another shorthanded team in Philly tonight, as the Sixers are down both their star players (Embiid and Harden), and several other role players. Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in their last four versus Philly, and they won their last game at Philly by 29 points. No reason not to expect history to repeat itself here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-22 | Celtics v. Bulls +6.5 | 107-121 | Win | 100 | 16 h 57 m | Show | |
This is 2* play on CHI. The Bulls have played the Celtics twice already this year, winning at home and losing by 4-points in Boston in early November. Chicago is looking to right the ship here at home tonight, coming into this game as losers of four straight and six of their last seven. Half of those six losses came by fewer than six points, and this number looks a little inflated. The Bulls have covered in six of their last seven versus Boston, and the Celtics could be due for a let down here at the end of a road trip. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-22 | Buffalo v. George Mason UNDER 145.5 | Top | 82-74 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Under. George Mason lost 66-62 to Belmont at the Paradise Jam at the UVI Sports & Fitness Center in the Virgin Islands on Saturday. In fact all four games at this venue over the weekend were low scoring, falling well short of 140 combined points. Neither of these two teams have been scoring regardless of the venue, Buffalo comes in averaging 69 points per game while the Patriots are averaging just 65 points per game. The Patriots are strong defensively, which might be why they have gone under in five of their last six games. This number looks way too high. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-22 | Celtics v. Pelicans OVER 226.5 | 117-109 | Loss | -115 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of 16 games so far this season. That comes as no surprise to me. Here is what I said prior to their season opener: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." The over is 7-2 in the Pelicans last nine games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-22 | Florida v. Florida State +7.5 | 76-67 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on FSU. The public is tripping over themselves to bet against the Seminoles here, as they have looked like hot garbage starting the season 0-3. A home game against rivals Florida as a big underdog looks like a good spot to grab the underdog plus the points. The Gators are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. They have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus Florida State. I'll roll the dice here and hope FSU can cut down on the turnovers and hit a few more free throws to hang tight in a home game against Florida. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-22 | Baylor -4.5 v. Virginia | Top | 79-86 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Baylor. The Cavs had four games against Top 25 teams last year, and they lost three of those four games by double digits. They do not match up well with a #5 ranked Baylor team that has the edge in experience, returning production and overall talent. The Bears are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 neutral site games. The Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and they are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-22 | Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | 91-96 | Win | 100 | 13 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clippers rank dead last in the NBA in scoring, and still they are a 9-point home favorite here against the Pistons. Dallas ranks first in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, allowing 106.3 points per game. The Clippers aren't far behind allowing just 106.9 points per game. The under is 6-1 in the Clippers last seven home games, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine versus Detroit. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-22 | Nets v. Blazers UNDER 220.5 | 109-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Nets are coming off a 153-121 loss at Sacramento, after going under in six straight before that. This looks like a let down spot here in Portland, facing a Blazers team that ranks sixth in the NBA in opponent's scoring. Portland ranks in the bottom 10 in the NBA in scoring, averaging fewer than 110 points per game. Don't expect a shootout here in Portland. The under is 9-4 in the Nets last 13 games following a straight up loss, and the under is 12-4-2 in the Trail Blazers last 18 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-22 | Old Dominion v. Virginia Tech -15 | 71-75 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on VT. The Hokies are 3-0 and all three of those wins have come by 20+ points. Last year they won their first five games versus unranked teams all by 20+. Old Dominion is coming off a win over a Div 2 team, after losing by a dozen at Drexel. The Monarchs are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 neutral site games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six coming off a win. This should be a blowout win for the Hokies who have superior talent and experience. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-22 | Ball State v. Nebraska-Omaha OVER 149.5 | 71-61 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Nebraska Omaha Mavericks play up to their namesake. They love to run and gun, and they may have found a suitable dance partner here with Ball State. The Cardinals come in averaging 90 points per game on 52 percent shooting. The over is 20-7 in the Mavericks last 27 overall, and they have gone over the number in 23 of their last 32 home games. I can't figure out why this number isn't 150 or higher? GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-22 | Celtics v. Hawks OVER 232.5 | 126-101 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics have gone over the total in 10 of 15 games so far this season. That comes as no surprise to me. Here is what I said prior to their season opener: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." The over is 9-3 in the Hawks last 12 overall. While this is a big number, I just don't think the books can set it high enough. I expect both teams to score 115+. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-22 | Iowa v. Seton Hall OVER 148.5 | 83-67 | Win | 100 | 18 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. Iowa loves to run and gun, and they come into this game averaging triple digits on better than 50 percent shooting. Seton Hall is hardly a defensive juggernaut, they are averaging 79.5 points per game so far. The over is 8-1 in the Hawkeyes last nine after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. The Hawkeyes won six straight non-conference games to start last season, and all of those landed on a number higher than 148.5, even at Virginia! GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-22 | Michigan v. Pittsburgh UNDER 141 | 91-60 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on under. These two teams don't play a run and gun style, so it appears that the total of 141 is a little high. Michigan isn't gonna let Pitt score 70, they held PFWU to just 56 points in their home opener. Am 88-83 win over Eastern Michigan should be the exception and not the rule. Emoni Bates dropped 30 on the Wolverines, but Pitt doesn't have a guy who's gonna go off like that. Pitt scored 56 in a home loss to West Virginia on Friday, and the under is 19-7-1 in the Panthers last 27 games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-22 | Vermont v. USC -11 | 57-59 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on USC. This is not the same Vermont team that went 17-1 in conference play last year, and lost by just four points to Alabama in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Finn Sullivan is the only remaining starter from that squad, and he scored just five points in 18 minutes in a loss to Cal State Fullerton on Sunday. The Trojans bounced back after losing their season opener to FGCU, by blowing out Alabama State by 38 points. Senior guard Drew Peterson scored 21 points on 7-of-9 shooting in the victory. USC appears to be undervalued here in this spot. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-22 | Northwestern v. Georgetown OVER 144 | 75-63 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Hoyas came into the season riding a 21 game losing streak, but they are undefeated after winning back to back games to start the season. No thanks to their defense, as they gave up 89 points in their season opener versus Coppin State. Northwestern is also 2-0, and if you look at their schedule last season they won four straight to start the season, scoring 80+ points in all of those games. We have every reason to expect a high score here this afternoon. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-22 | Monmouth v. Illinois UNDER 140.5 | 65-103 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Illini are an enormous favorite here at home versus Monmouth, and it really looks like they just can't set this line high enough. Monmouth is coming off back to back losses by an average margin of over 40 points. They scored an average of just 46 points in those losses. They have scored an average of just 56 points per game in their last five overall. They might be hard pressed to score 50 here against an Illini defense that has held opponents to just 58 points per game in their last five overall. Illinois only averaged 68 points per game during that span. Illinois has failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and six of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-22 | Clippers v. Rockets UNDER 220.5 | 122-106 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Under. The Clippers have already played the Rockets twice this season, and both of those games were low scoring. LA ranks dead last in the NBA in scoring, averaging just 103 points per game. The fact that they still have a decent record also indicates that they have one of the league's top defenses. The under is 14-3 in Clippers last 17 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven in Houston. This number looks a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-22 | Stetson v. South Florida OVER 129 | 68-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The South Florida Bulls were just 3-13 in the American Conference last year, but they are expected to be a lot better here in 2022. Senior forward Keyshawn Bryant has averaged 14.5 points per game since transferring from South Carolina. Sophomore Selton Miguel transferred from Kansas State, and senior Tyler Harris transferred from Memphis. They host a Stetson team that is coming off an 83-74 win over Florida State. The Hatters have gone over in six of their last seven road games, and they have scored over 75 points per game in their last five overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida OVER 144.5 | 76-74 | Win | 100 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. This rivalry game features two teams that are averaging in the mid 70s in scoring, and both shooting the ball pretty well. The Gators are coming off an 88-78 win over Kennesaw State, while the Owls are coming off an 80-67 loss at Ole Miss. The over is 11-5-1 in the Owls last 17 games following an ATS loss, and they have gone over in seven of their last nine road games. The Gators beat the Owls 79-68 in the most recent head to head meeting, and a similar score is expected here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-22 | Blazers v. Mavs -5 | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 15 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Blazers are overachieving, coming into Dallas as winners of four of five on this current road trip. Playing a sixth straight road game could be a let down spot for Portland. Dallas is coming off back to back losses on the road after winning four in a row at home. Luka Doncic is averaging an NBA best 33.6 points per game, and he's been even better at home (35.2 ppg). The Blazers are 0-4 straight up in the last four versus Dallas, and they failed to cover in all four of those losses. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | BYU v. San Diego State -9.5 | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on SDSU. The BYU Cougars finished in the middle of the pack in the WCC (5th) last season, and they lost their top two scorers from last year. Expectations are much higher for the #19 ranked Aztecs, who have four seniors in the starting lineup. Leading scorer Matt Bradley is back in 2022, and Senior Darrion Trammell transferred from Seattle. He led all scorers with 18 points in a 80-57 win in the season opener. The Cougars are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall, and these programs appear to be trending in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | Cavs v. Warriors OVER 228.5 | 101-106 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Over. The Warriors snapped a five game losing streak with a home win over the Sacramento Kings, but there remains plenty of reason for concern in Golden State. Only the San Antonio Spurs are allowing more points per game than the Warriors, who's opponents are averaging more than 120 points per game. The good news is that Steph Curry scored 47 points and shot 7-of-12 from beyond the arc in the win over the Kings. We could see another shootout here against the Cavs. The over is 18-7-1 in the Cavaliers last 26 road games, and the Warriors have gone over in four of their last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | Raptors v. Thunder OVER 220.5 | 113-132 | Win | 100 | 19 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a free play on Over. The Raptors haven't missed Pascal Siakam, coming off a 116-109 win over Houston. Fred Van Flleet scored 32 points and shot 7-of-16 from beyond the arc. Toronto has gone over in five of their last six in Oklahoma City, and the over is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings. The Thunder have gone over in four straight home games. We should both teams run and gun here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-22 | Bucks v. Spurs OVER 220.5 | 93-111 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Bucks are coming off a 136-132 double overtime win over Oklahoma State. They are banged up with Giannis, Jrue Holiday and Khris Middleton all out of the lineup. The backups played well, shooting over 47 percent from the field, and 47 percent from beyond the arc against the Thunder. They have a history of playing high scoring games against the Spurs. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings, and the total for this game is lower than it was in the last eight meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-22 | Nebraska-Omaha v. Nebraska OVER 153.5 | 61-75 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on OVER. Nebraska Omaha lost their season opener at Kansas by 25 points, but despite shooting just 38 percent from the field and 23 percent from beyond the arc they still scored 64 points. They play rivals Nebraska in their second game, and the Cornhuskers defense isn't quite the same as the Jayhawks. This game should be a bit of a track meet, with both teams running and gunning. The over is 19-7 in the Mavericks last 26 overall, and the over is 14-4 in the Cornhuskers last 18 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
11-09-22 | Florida Gulf Coast v. San Diego UNDER 145.5 | 73-79 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Under. Coming off a 74-61 win over USC, it's not entirely clear if that win was a result of poor shooting from the Trojans or solid defense from the Eagles. USC shot just 3-of-19 from beyond the arc, but the Eagles only shot 37.5 percent from the field. San Diego is hardly an offensive juggernaut, only averaging 63.6 points per game in their last five dating back to last season. The under is 10-4 in the Toreros last 14 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-22 | George Mason +12.5 v. Auburn | 52-70 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on GMU. The Patriots were giant killers in non-conference play last year, winning outright against #20 ranked Maryland, beating Georgia and losing by just nine points at #6 ranked Kansas. They get most of their starters back, including leading scorer senior Josh Oduro. Auburn lost their two best players to the NBA draft (Jabari Smith and Walker Kessler). They come into their season opener with five players listed as questionable, most notable of those is starting center Johni Broome. This game has upset written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-22 | Bulls v. Raptors -130 | 104-113 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 3* play on TOR. The Bulls lost in Boston last night, and they are 7-15 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss. The Raptors are coming off a 111-110 loss to at Dallas, and they are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. The home team has won four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-04-22 | Cavs v. Pistons +7 | 112-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DET. The Cavs lost their season opener on the road at Toronto, but they have since won six straight. They will be a big favorite here in the Motor City, but Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland are both a little banged up. This looks like a natural let down spot for the visitors. The Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings, and they are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Pistons are 23-11 ATS in their last 34 games overall. The home team is 6-0 straight up in the last six head to head meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-02-22 | Jazz v. Mavs OVER 221 | 100-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Jazz were supposed to be in contention for a lottery pick this season, but after winning six of their first eight games the betting markets are slow to react. Utah comes into Dallas averaging 118 points per game, while the Mavs are scoring roughly the same. Utah is allowing opponents to average 114 points per game, and the Mavs are allowing opponents to average over 110 points per game. Historical trends for the Jazz point to the under, but the Rudy Gobert Era is over in Utah. These Jazz have gone over (221) in six of eight games, while the Mavs have gone over in five straight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +3.5 | 105-121 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Utah. I said this prior to the Jazz winning outright as a home dog versus Memphis on Saturday: "I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game." Not enough has changed to justify the Grizz laying points here two days later. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-22 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 223 | 94-112 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in four of their five games. The over is 5-0 in the Celtics last five versus a team with a winning straight up record. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-22 | Grizzlies v. Jazz +5.5 | Top | 123-124 | Win | 100 | 18 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 4* play on Utah. I think we have one of the more overrated teams (Memphis) playing one of the more underrated teams here in Utah. The Jazz are gonna suck without Donovan Mitchell? Well maybe not. They are off to a 4-2 start and they are undefeated at home. The Grizzlies are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win. Ja Morant scored 22 points in a win at Sacramento Thursday, but he's listed as doubtful for Saturday's game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-28-22 | Cavs v. Celtics OVER 218.5 | 132-123 | Win | 100 | 15 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. Here is what I said prior to the Celtics season opener versus Philly: "The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season." They have since gone over in three of their four games. The over is 15-5-1 in Cavaliers last 21 road games, and they have gone over in 13 of their last 19 overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-22 | Mavs -4.5 v. Pelicans | 111-113 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Dallas. The Mavs will be a favorite here in New Orleans, with Ingram out and Zion questionable. Herbert Jones also suffered a knee injury late in the Pelicans loss to Utah over the weekend. With the status of three starters in question, the Mavs depth should be enough to power them to a comfortable win here. History is on their side, having won eight of the last 10 meetings in this series, including a pair of wins at New Orleans last season. The Pelicans are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games, and the Mavericks are 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings in New Orleans. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-22 | Nuggets -160 v. Blazers | 110-135 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on DEN. After losing the season opener on the road at Utah, Denver has won back to back games. They are on the road in Portland tonight, and the Blazers are playing their second game of a back to back. Damian Lillard scored 41 points in 34 minutes in a 106-104 win over the Lakers in LA last night. The Trail Blazers are 2-5 ATS in their last seve games playing on 0 days rest, and 4-10 ATS overall in their last 14 games. The Nuggets are 5-1 SU and ATS in the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-22 | Kings v. Warriors -8.5 | 125-130 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on GSW. The Dubs are coming off a 128-123 home loss to Denver, but they should be able to bounce back Sunday against the Sacramento Kings. The Kings ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average allowing over 115 points per game last season. They are playing on back to back nights after losing at home to the Clippers last night. The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine home games, and 5-1 ATS in their last six when playing on one day's rest. Golden State has won the last four head to head meetings by 10+ points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-22-22 | Clippers -2 v. Kings | 111-109 | Push | 0 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on the Clippers. The Kings lost their home opener by a score of 115-108, and they might struggle here against the Clippers on Saturday. The Kings were 16-25 at home last year, and only Houston and Oklahoma City had fewer home wins in the Western Conference. The Clippers finished with a dozen more wins than Sacramento last season, and they are in far better shape now with a healthy Paul George, Norman Powell and Marcus Morris. Of course Kawhi is back as well, but after we learned he will sit out for load management, this line has dropped. Kawhi only scored 14 points in 21 minutes off the bench in a 103-97 win over the Lakers in the season opener. The Clippers should be in good shape without him here in Sacramento. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-21-22 | Celtics v. Heat OVER 217 | 111-104 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 4* play on Over. The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. They went well over the number in their season opener versus Philly, and this number looks a little low all things considered. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-19-22 | Blazers v. Kings OVER 226 | 115-108 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Blazers lost 124-121 to the Sacramento Kings in their season opener last year, and they play the Kings in their first game of the 2022 season. The Kings finished dead last in the NBA in opponent's scoring average last year, and Portland wasn't far behind. These teams have gone over in four of the last five head to head meetings, and the over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings. Sacramento was 4-0 in the pre-season averaging 117 points per game. We should expect a lot more offense than defense here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-22 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 214.5 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Over. The Celtics ranked first in the NBA in opponents scoring average last season, but don't expect this year's squad to be a defensive juggernaut. The absence of a rim protector changes everything, and if the pre-season is any indication they may be playing at a much faster pace this season. They sent Daniel Theis to the Pacers, and Robert Williams starts the season sidelined by a knee injury. While Boston finished last season as the best scoring defense, they certainly didn't start that way. They allowed an average of 120 points per game in their first seven games of the season. Joel Embiid should feast here in the season opener, and both teams should do plenty of scoring. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-16-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -160 | 103-90 | Loss | -160 | 18 h 16 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. There is a meme going around the internet with a picture of referee Tony Brothers, captioned as the Warriors MVP of Game 5. Boston fans certainly feel that the Warriors got the better of the calls, and that it influenced the result of the game. For those who subscribe to conspiracy theories, the idea that the NBA would want Boston to win Game 6 and extend the series to increase revenue isn't all that far fetched. I do expect the home team to get the better of the calls early here in Game 6, and Boston should respond coming off back to back losses. The Celtics are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-13-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -160 | 94-104 | Win | 100 | 28 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. | |||||||
06-10-22 | Warriors +150 v. Celtics | 107-97 | Win | 150 | 19 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Warriors appeared to be overmatched in Game 1 of these Finals, but they flipped a switch in Game 2 and looked like a completely different team. They will have to do the same here in Game 4 in Boston, after getting blown out in the fourth quarter again in Game 3. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss, while the Celtics haven't won consecutive home games since the first round versus Brooklyn. Boston has failed to cover in four of their last five following a win of 10 points or more. The Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-08-22 | Warriors v. Celtics -155 | 100-116 | Win | 100 | 48 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Celtics. The Celtics got a split on the road in the first two games of these Finals, and they are in the driver's seat here heading into Game 3. The Warriors are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they could suffer a let down after such a one sided win in Game 2. The Celtics are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. The Warriors have failed to cover in four of their last five at Boston. Expect the Celtics to jump all over Golden State early in Game 3. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-05-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -175 | 88-107 | Win | 100 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. Don't be foolish if you are a Warriors fan concerned about losing Game 1. Draymond Green said what should be obvious to everyone. Derrick White, Al Horford and Marcus Smart shot 15-of-23 from three point range, and that's like getting struck by lightning. Boston shooting better than 50 percent from beyond the arc is not something that can continue moving forward. The Warriors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and they should blow the doors off here in Game 2. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-02-22 | Celtics v. Warriors -155 | 120-108 | Loss | -155 | 73 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. The Warriors are just a small favorite in the NBA Finals, but I don't have high hopes that the Celtics can make this a competitive series. There are memes floating around social media right now, showing that the Celtics have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings. If you are wondering how significant that is, keep in mind that similar memes showing Dallas winning three of four regular season meetings were floating around prior to the Western Conference Finals. The Mavs were lucky to win just one game in that series. The Celtics are young and inexperienced in comparison to the Warriors. We have a rookie head coach for Boston against a cagey veteran in Steve Kerr coaching the Warriors. Playing a seven game series against a banged up Miami Heat in the East Final doesn't bode well for the Celtics. A well rested Warriors team should take this series in 5-6 games, and Curry will finally win a Finals MVP. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-27-22 | Heat v. Celtics -8.5 | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Celtics. I said this before Game 5: "So far this series has been back and forth, and the team coming off a loss has bounced back each time. The Heat come in looking to avenge a brutal 102-82 loss in Boston in Game 4. They are back home for Game 5, and with a healthy squad you would expect them to be far better on their home court. They don't have a healthy squad though, and without a healthy Jimmy Butler they are going to struggle to keep up to Boston. Butler scored just six points on 3-of-14 shooting in 27 minutes in Game 4. He's struggled while playing through a knee injury, and he's certainly not going to be at 100 percent just a few days later. The Celtics are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they should have more healthy bodies to throw out there in tonight's game." It was another disappointing performance from Jimmy Butler, and the injuries appear to have derailed the Heat. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-26-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -6.5 | 110-120 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GSW. | |||||||
05-25-22 | Celtics -115 v. Heat | 93-80 | Win | 100 | 19 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Celtics. So far this series has been back and forth, and the team coming off a loss has bounced back each time. The Heat come in looking to avenge a brutal 102-82 loss in Boston in Game 4. They are back home for Game 5, and with a healthy squad you would expect them to be far better on their home court. They don't have a healthy squad though, and without a healthy Jimmy Butler they are going to struggle to keep up to Boston. Butler scored just six points on 3-of-14 shooting in 27 minutes in Game 4. He's struggled while playing through a knee injury, and he's certainly not going to be at 100 percent just a few days later. The Celtics are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games, and they should have more healthy bodies to throw out there in tonight's game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-24-22 | Warriors v. Mavs | 109-119 | Win | 100 | 19 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. This isn't the first time in these playoffs that the Warriors have had a chance to sweep. After going up 3-0 on Denver, they came out flat in Game 4. The Nuggets had a double digit lead at halftime, and went on to win by a score of 126-121. In the second round against the Grizzlies, they had a chance to close out the series in Game 5. Memphis jumped all over them early, clobbering them by a score of 134-95 to extend the series. It certainly wouldn't be any shock at all if the Warriors turned in another lackluster effort here, and then take the series back home in Game 5. The old saying goes: "History Repeats Itself". GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-22-22 | Warriors v. Mavs -150 | 109-100 | Loss | -150 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Mavs came out on fire in Game 2, with a 32-25 lead after the first quarter, and a 72-58 lead at halftime. The Warriors were able to rally in the second half and take a 2-0 series lead, and that means Game 3 in Dallas is a must win for the Mavs. The Warriors have failed to cover in four straight road games, and the Mavs are 7-1 ATS in their last eight as a home favorite. The Mavericks are 38-17 ATS in their last 55 games following a straight up loss. I like Dallas to blow the doors off in the first half here at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-21-22 | Heat v. Celtics UNDER 208.5 | 109-103 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Celtics were dominant in the first half of Game 2, holding Miami to just 45 points. This comes after the Heat held Boston to just 45 points in the second half of Game 1. I am expecting both teams to bring their A-game on defense here in a pivotal Game 3 at the Garden. The Heat have failed to reach the total in four of their last five when coming off a loss, and the under is 9-4 in their last 13 overall. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in four of their last five home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five playoff games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-20-22 | Mavs v. Warriors OVER 213.5 | 117-126 | Win | 100 | 19 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Mavs were destined to suffer a let down after their epic Game 7 win over Phoenix, and sure enough they came out and shot just 36% from the field scoring only 87 points. They were 11-of-48 from beyond the arc, and it killed them. They will need to be more selective here in Game 2, and I would expect them to be far more competitive. The over is 8-3 in Mavericks last 11 road games, and they have gone over in 12 of their last 17 versus Golden State. The Mavs have won seven of the last 10 head to head meetings versus Golden State, scoring an average of 123 points in those games. The over is 7-3 in the Warriors last 10 games following a straight up win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-19-22 | Celtics +3.5 v. Heat | 127-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. The Celtics got off to a strong start in Game 1, but the Heat took over the game in the third quarter and went on to win 118-107. Boston has proven the ability to bounce back from a loss, covering in four straight when coming off a loss. The Celtics are 13-6 ATS in the last 19 meetings in Miami, and they are are 19-7-1 ATS in their last 27 road games. While it looks like Al Horford will miss Game 2, Marcus Smart is expected to be in the lineup. I like Boston to even this series at 1-1. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-18-22 | Mavs v. Warriors -4.5 | 87-112 | Win | 100 | 21 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GSW. After crushing the Suns in Game 7, there are no shortage of believers in this Dallas team. The Mavs do look like the real deal, but Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals looks like a let down spot for Dallas. The Warriors have won all six of their home games in these playoffs, and they are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six Conference Finals games. Prior to their win in Game 7, the Mavs had lost all three road games in their series versus Phoenix. You might here a lot of talk of how the Mavs won the season series 3-1, but it's important to put those games into perspective. Draymond Green wasn't even in the lineup in three of those games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-17-22 | Celtics v. Heat -120 | 107-118 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. The Celtics come into the Eastern Conference Finals off an emotional Game 7 win over Milwaukee. This could set them up for a let down here on the road in Game 1 at Miami. The Heat won all three of their home games in the series versus Philly by a double digit margin. The Heat are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 Conference Finals games, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games. They started fast in both Game 1 in the first round versus Atlanta and in the second round versus Philly opening up a healthy lead after the first quarter. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-15-22 | Mavs v. Suns -6 | 123-90 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHX. The home team is 6-0 in this series heading back to Phoenix for Game 7. Historically home court advantage has been quite significant when an NBA series goes to a seventh game. The Mavericks are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Phoenix. They shot just 38 percent from the field and scored just 80 points while losing Game 5 here at the Footprint Center. The Suns are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 Conference Semifinals games, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-15-22 | Bucks +5.5 v. Celtics | 81-109 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. Here is what I said before Game 6: "The Celtics are reeling after blowing a big lead late in Game 5, and now they have to win on the road in Milwaukee in Game 6 to avoid elimination. Boston looks banged up with Marcus Smart limping on the floor and Robert Williams siting out the last two games. Don't be fooled by the fact that Jason Tatum is coming off back to back 30 point games. He's just 5-for-21 from beyond the arc in those games. If the Celtics have to rely on Al Horford to be the best player on the floor, my money is on Giannis and the Bucks at home." Neither of these teams has won back to back games in this series, and I expect that trend to continue in Game 7. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-13-22 | Celtics v. Bucks -120 | 108-95 | Loss | -120 | 17 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Celtics are reeling after blowing a big lead late in Game 5, and now they have to win on the road in Milwaukee in Game 6 to avoid elimination. Boston looks banged up with Marcus Smart limping on the floor and Robert Williams siting out the last two games. Don't be fooled by the fact that Jason Tatum is coming off back to back 30 point games. He's just 5-for-21 from beyond the arc in those games. If the Celtics have to rely on Al Horford to be the best player on the floor, my money is on Giannis and the Bucks at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-12-22 | Suns v. Mavs +2 | 86-113 | Win | 100 | 21 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 2* play on Dallas. I said the following before Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinal: "Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls." So fa the home team has won all five games in this series, and there is every indication that trend will continue. The Suns are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games playing on 1 days rest, and they are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games as a road favorite. The Mavericks are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-12-22 | Heat v. 76ers -130 | 99-90 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Philly. I said the following before Game 5 of the Western Conference Semifinal: "Call me a conspiracy theorist, but it's no secret that it's in the best interest of the NBA to extend a series when one team is facing elimination. That's particularly true when the game is officiated by Scott Foster. Teams facing elimination are 20-5 in such games that he's called in his career. As of now (Tuesday night), there is no guarantee Foster will be the crew chief for this game. Regardless, expect the Grizzlies to get the benefit of the doubt, and a few favorable calls." So fa the home team has won all five games in this series, and there is every indication that trend will continue. The Heat are 0-5 ATS in their last five playoff games as an underdog, and they re 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Philadelphia. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
ProSportsPicks | $1,066 |
Jack Jones | $960 |
Big Al McMordie | $876 |
Ross Benjamin | $740 |
Ray Monohan | $702 |
Jimmy Boyd | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $414 |
Ricky Tran | $343 |
Kyle Hunter | $265 |
Matt Fargo | $175 |