Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
10-19-19 | Florida -200 v. South Carolina | 38-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 20 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
10-18-19 | Ohio State v. Northwestern UNDER 50 | 52-3 | Loss | -100 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OSU@NW to go Under the total. The Wildcats are 1-4, but they might be a lot better off if they could score any points. Their defense has kept them in a lot of games, but their offense simply hasn't been able to get any points on the board. They are a huge underdog at home versus Ohio State on Friday, but they are coming off their bye week and they have covered the spread in back to back games. They held Wisconsin and Nebraska to a combined 37 points, and both games fell well short of the total. The under is 42-14-1 in Wildcats last 57 home games, and they have failed to reach the total in seven of their last nine conference games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-12-19 | Florida v. LSU UNDER 55 | Top | 28-42 | Loss | -110 | 126 h 5 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
10-12-19 | Penn State -180 v. Iowa | 17-12 | Win | 100 | 105 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Penn State. The Iowa Hawkeyes are coming off an ugly loss to Michigan last week. They turned the ball over four times and managed to score just three points. It won't get any easier against Penn State this week, the Nittany Lions are ranked 5th nationally in scoring, averaging 47 points per game. I don't think Iowa has the offensive prowess to keep up with a team that can score in a hurry. Penn State has won five straight head to head meetings, covering the spread in four of those games. The Nittany Lions are 19-9-1 ATS in their last 29 conference games, while Iowa has failed to cover in five of their last seven in the BIG10. Take PSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-12-19 | Florida State +26 v. Clemson | 14-45 | Loss | -109 | 121 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida State Seminoles. The season started poorly for the Seminoles, but things are on the up and up in Tallahassee. FSU has won back to back games, and they have a new starting QB under center. Alex Hornibrook is an experienced starter, playing three seasons at Wisconsin. In his first season with the Badgers he had four starts against teams ranked in the Top 10. He was 2-2 in those games, losing in overtime to #2 ranked Ohio State and losing by a TD to #4 ranked Michigan. The Tigers are asked to win this game by a whopping 4 TDs, which might be tough given the play of Trevor Lawrence. The Sophomore jinx has hit him hard, and he's been a major disappointment this season. Clemson was an 18-point favorite against the Seminoles last year, and that was the biggest number we had seen in the previous 10 head to head meetings. This has all the markings of an inflated point spread. Take FSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-12-19 | Oklahoma v. Texas +11 | 34-27 | Win | 100 | 81 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. There are few things that are certain in life. There is death, taxes ... and Texas will give Oklahoma a run for it's money in the Red River Rivalry game. This line opened at 3.5 in the futures market, and despite the fact that Texas is 4-1 with a 7-point loss to LSU, the line has moved as high as double digits. Oklahoma appears to be the better team through the first six weeks of the season, which is nothing new in recent seasons. History doesn't bode well for those who lay double digits with the Sooners though. Oklahoma has failed to cover in six of the last seven meetings, and the underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Texas has won outright three times during that span. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-11-19 | Virginia v. Miami-FL OVER 42.5 | 9-17 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UVA@MIA to go Over the total. The Hurricanes were lit up for 21 points in first quarter at home versus Virginia Tech last week. Quarterback Jarren Williams was just 4-of-7 for 47 yards and three INTs before getting pulled. His backup N'Kosi Perry stepped right in and threw for 422 yards and four TDS on 28-of-47 passing, tying the game with three minutes left to play. The Canes defense couldn't hold and the Hokies ran in the game winning TD with a minute left on the clock. The Cavs bring a 4-1 record into tonight's game, and their quarterback has played well, even in their loss to Notre Dame. Bryce Perkins threw for 334 yards and two scores on 30-of-43 passing in a 35-20 loss at South Bend. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in this pivotal ACC game Friday night. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-19 | Washington v. Stanford UNDER 52 | 13-23 | Win | 100 | 18 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WASH@STAN to go Under the total. Stanford has been brutal this season, and they are a double digit home dog this week against Washington. Historically these teams have played close low scoring gamses, and the total has been under 50 in each of the last five meetings. The Huskies are 1-4 ATS in their last five at Stanford, and the Cardinal have failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 home games. Stanford's last home game was a 26-6 loss to Oregon, and I can't see the Huskies doing much better here than the Ducks. Take Under. GL. Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-19 | Michigan State v. Ohio State OVER 49 | 10-34 | Loss | -109 | 15 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MSU@OSU to go Over the total. The Spartans have lost by 20+ points to Ohio State in each of the last two seasons, but historically they have not been an easy opponent for the Buckeyes. Michigan State has won outright in 2015, 2013 and in 2011. The last time they were getting 20+ points in this matchup was in 2016, and they lost that game by a score of 17-16. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings, and the road team is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 meetings. This year's Spartans team should be a lot better than the team that lost 26-6 to Ohio State last year. That game was also a lot closer than the final score would suggest, and the Spartans trailed by just three points at the beginning of the fourth quarter. Brian Lewerke finished the 2018 season with eight TD passes and 11 INTs in 11 starts. So far after four games this season he has 10 TD passes and just one INT. The over is 8-2 in the Buckeyes last 10 home games versus a team with a winning road record. The total for this game is lower than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-19 | Auburn -142 v. Florida | Top | 13-24 | Loss | -142 | 106 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Auburn Tigers. Of all the undefeated teams in the Top 25, which one is the biggest fraud? It could be Iowa, it might be Wake Forest or SMU, but I think it's Florida that will be exposed this week. The Gators are 5-0, but they did not look good in wins over Miami and Kentucky. We will find out exactly what they are made of this week, hosting an established SEC Powerhouse in Auburn. The Tigers have earned their Top 10 ranking, beating Oregon in a thriller in Week 1, and then winning on the road at College Station two weeks ago. They have a balanced attack with plenty of talent on both sides of the ball, and their strength is their defensive line. This should be a complete mismatch against the struggling Gators offense. The Tigers also have an edge at quarterback, with Bo Nix establishing himself by winning a couple big games early this season. The quarterback position is far from a strength for Florida. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-19 | Central Florida v. Cincinnati +4 | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 15 h 44 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
09-28-19 | Virginia v. Notre Dame UNDER 50.5 | 20-35 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UVA@ND to go Under the total. The Irish played admirably in a 23-17 loss at Georgia last week, and they don't have any time to feel sorry for themselves. They host a 4-0 Virginia Team this Saturday, and the Cavs appear to be for real. Two of their four wins come within conference, beating Pittsburgh and Florida State. They held Pitt to just 14 points, and they have allowed an average of just 18 points per game. The trends suggest a low scoring game here, as the Irish have gone under in five of their last seven when coming off a loss. The under is 5-1 in their last six non-conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-28-19 | Indiana v. Michigan State -14 | 31-40 | Loss | -105 | 54 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan State. After a shocking loss to Arizona State, the Spartans responded by beating Northwestern on the road by a whopping 21 points. Now they are back home to host the Indiana Hoosiers, and I like Sparty to roll. The Hoosiers lost at home to Ohio State two weeks ago, and what stands out about that loss is that the bulk of the yards were gained on the ground. The Buckeyes ran for over 300 yards, and they scored 30 of their 51 points in the first half. Michigan State has covered the spread in five of the last six head to head meetings, and they are 6-0 straight up in those games. The Hoosiers are 0-7 ATS in their last seven at East Lansing. Take MSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-28-19 | Iowa State -142 v. Baylor | 21-23 | Loss | -142 | 54 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. The Baylor Bears are off to a nice 3-0 start, but forgive me for not being too impressed. It's the same story every year for this Baylor team. The Bears schedule cupcakes at the beginning of the year, padding their stats prior to the start of conference play. Last year they scored a combined 92 points in wins over Abilene Christian and UTSA, before losing at home by double digits to Duke. The Cyclones come in already battle tested, with a one-point loss to #14 ranked Iowa. Quarterback Brock Purdy threw for 276 yards and a TD on 24-of-34 passing in the loss, and he appears primed for another big game against Baylor. The Cyclones were 8-1 in the nine games that he played in last year, losing only to Texas. The Cyclones are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 road games, and they have covered the spread in four of the last five head to head meetings. They won 23-13 in their last game here at Waco. Take ISU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-19 | Arizona State v. California -181 | 24-17 | Loss | -181 | 11 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on California. Arizona State shocked the Spartans in East Lansing two weeks ago, but then suffered a let down at home a week later, losing 34-31 to Colorado. Now they are on the road at California, and I think they are going to have trouble scoring points on this Bears defense. Freshman quarterback Jayden Daniels threw for 345 yards and a pair of TDs in last week's loss to the Buffaloes, but he threw for just 140 yards and no TDs on 15-of-26 in his only road start at Michigan State. The Sun Devils are 0-6 ATS in their last six Friday games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six overall. The Bears are 6-2 ATS in their last eight home meetings versus Arizona State. Take CAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia UNDER 56.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 96 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ND@UGA to go Under the total. These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-19 | Auburn v. Texas A&M -175 | 28-20 | Loss | -175 | 103 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Texas A&M. Auburn started off the season with a thrilling come from behind win over Oregon, and freshman quarterback Bo Nix was the hero in the victory. His overall body of work isn't really all that impressive, especially compared to his counterpart Kellen Mond. In three games he's completed just over 50 percent of his passes for 545 yards, four TDs and two INTs. Last year Mond three for a combined 717 yards, nine TDs and no picks in home games against LSU and Clemson. The Aggies lost a close game at Auburn last year, but A&M is 6-1 ATS in it's last seven home games. Auburn has failed to cover in eight of their last 11 versus teams with a winning record. Take TAM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -155 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 100 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. Michigan is still ranked in the Top 10 despite a pair of uninspiring games so far. Shea Patterson was supposed to be the quarterback that would lead this team to a national championship, but he didn't look all that sharp throwin for just 207 yards and no TDs on 19-of-29 passing in a double overtime win over Army. The Black Knights ran for 200 yards and three TDs in that game, and Jonanthan Taylor might just do better than that by himself this week at home. All Wisconsin has done is out-score opponents 110-0 in their first two games. The home team is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Michigan is 0-5 ATS in the last five at Wisconsin. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-19 | Utah -169 v. USC | 23-30 | Loss | -169 | 84 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. Utah opened the season on the road at BYU, winning by a score of 30-12. The Trojans were in Provo last week, and they lost 30-27 in overtime. Freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis was picked off three times in the loss, and he faces perhaps the best defense in the PAC12 here on Friday night. The Trojans would probably want to lean heavily on their leading rusher in this game, but Vavae Malepeai left the last game with a left leg injury. He has run for 272 yards and four TDs so far, so it would be a huge blow if he is anything less than 100 percent. Utah hasn't won at LA since 2001, but with USC so banged up, I like Utah to roll here on Friday. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-14-19 | Texas Tech -120 v. Arizona | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -120 | 68 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. Arizona couldn't stop anybody last year, and so far in 2019 they have looked even worse. They gave up 45 points in a loss to Hawaii in Week 1, and then gave up 41 points in a win over Northern Arizona in Week 2. Now they face the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and sophomore QB Alan Bowman. The gunslinger from Grapevine TX can really light up inferior defenses, as evidenced by his 600+ yards and five TDs in Week 3 versus Houston last year. Not only does Texas Tech have the better offense, they can also play defense. They held UTEP to just 131 total yards in a 38-3 last week. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-14-19 | UNLV v. Northwestern UNDER 54 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 61 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-14-19 | Stanford v. Central Florida UNDER 62.5 | 27-45 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on STAN@UCF to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest -145 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 39 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wake Forest. Both these teams are 2-0 heading into this Saturday's game, but the Tar Heels had a tougher schedule. They are coming off a pair of punishing games versus South Carolina and Miami. While they won both games, those wins came at a price. They lost their starting center and their top DB for the rest of the season. The home team is 4-0 straight up, and 4-0 ATS in four head to head meetings since 2007. The Tar Heels are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September. Wake QB Jamie Newman has impressive numbers heading into this game, throwing for 713 yards and six TDs in his first two games of the season. Take Wake. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | Stanford +106 v. USC | 20-45 | Loss | -100 | 60 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Stanford Cardinal. It was a rough first week for the Pac12, and the Cardinal and the Trojans each lost their starting quarterback in Week 1. Which team is more equiped to win with a backup quarterback? I'd have to go with a Stanford team that held a very good Northwestern team to just seven points last week, over a USC team that gave up 23 points, failing to cover against Fresno State. Take STAN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas +7 | 45-38 | Push | 0 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. Texas won 10 games last year, including a win over #5 ranked Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. They look great as a home dog versus #6 ranked LSU this Saturday. The Tigers are excited about their passing game with Joe Burrow, who threw for 278 yards and five TDs against Georgia Southern last week. The last time Burrow played a ranked team on the road, it was in a loss to Texas A&M. The Tigers were 2-2 on the road last year, losing to the Aggies and the Gators, and beating Auburn by a single point. They failed to cover in a rather pedestrian 24-17 win at Arkansas. The Longhorns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games. I'll take the points. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | Texas A&M +18 v. Clemson | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 111 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. Clemson is unanimously ranked #1 overall, and I think that ranking is well deserved. I don't however think that they are quite as good as many people think they are, and I do think that they can be beaten. This should be a tough game for Clemson, perhaps the toughest game on their schedule. They face an SEC team ranked just outside the Top 10, and an Aggies team that nearly upset them a year ago. Kellen Mond threw for 440 yards and three TDs on 23-of-40 passing in that game, and he appears to be primed for a big season in his junior year at College Station. The Aggies have all the tools to pull off the upset hear, and yet the Tigers are favored by three scores. I'll take the points. Take A&M. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 58 | 20-63 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SYR@MD to go Under the total. The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Ohio State OVER 52 | 0-42 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CIN@OSU to go Over the total. The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-19 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 58 | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 55 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA@VAN to go Under the total. Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-19 | Missouri v. Wyoming UNDER 55.5 | Top | 31-37 | Loss | -117 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIZZ@WYO to go Under the total. These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-30-19 | Colorado State v. Colorado -13 | 31-52 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. It was a year ago today (also on a Friday) the last time these teams met. Here is what I had to say about that game: "The Rams looked awful in a home loss to Hawaii last week, and I think they will struggle here against Rivals Colorado. The Buffaloes dropped off significantly last season after winning the PAC12 South in 2016, but they bring back Stephen Montez at quarterback for the 2018 season, and he threw for 2,975 yards with 18 TDs and nine INTs last season. Two of those nine picks came in a Week 1 win over Colorado State, but the Buffaloes still managed to win by a score of 17-3. Colorado won all three of it's non-conference games by double-digits last season, and overall they beat the teams they were supposed to beat." Colorado crushed the Rams in that game, winning 45-13, and with Montez back for his senior year we should expect another one sided game in favor of the Buffaloes. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-29-19 | Utah -189 v. BYU | 30-12 | Win | 100 | 430 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Utah. The Holy War might be one of the better rivalries in college football, but it's been very one-sided since 2010. Utah has won eight straight over BYU, and the Utes have covered the spread in six of those games. Utah is returning it's entire offense from last year, including star running back Zack Moss. BYU has been pretty mediocre under head coach Kilani Sitake, and they could take a step back this year as they navigate a tough schedule. The Cougars have lost six of their last seven games against PAC12 teams, and they likely don't have the personnel to hang with an experienced Utes team that is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 non-conference games. Utah has little trouble winning on the road, and the Utes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-24-19 | Arizona -10.5 v. Hawaii | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 312 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. Hawaii jumed out of the gates winning six of their first seven games last year. They scored a ton of points in those games, but if you closely examine all of those wins you will see a common theme. Colorado State was 3-9 last season, UNLV was 4-8, and San Jose State was a woeful 1-11. They needed overtime to beat the Spartans by a score of 44-41. The strongest opposition they faced last season were games against BYU and Fresno State. They lost both those games by 3+ touchdowns. Arizona comes into this Week 1 matchup versus Hawaii looking to bounce back from a disappointing first season under Kevin Sumlin. Senior QB Khalil Tate was expected to be a Heisman contender last year, but he failed to live up to expecations. His final four games might suggest he's ready for a bounce back 2019 campaign though. He averaged over 300 yards per game, with 16 TDs and four INTs while going 2-2 against tough opposition. One of those games was a 44-15 upset win over #19 ranked Oregon. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama -200 v. Clemson | 16-44 | Loss | -200 | 88 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. This time around Alabama has the better quarterback, and I expect to see the Tide to win this game in similar fashion to last year's victory over Clemson. Take BAMA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 61 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 212 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEM@BAMA to go Under the total. | |||||||
01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida OVER 54.5 | Top | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 666 h 46 m | Show |
This is a GOY play on LSU@UCF to go Over the total. The Central Florida Knights are gunning for a second consecutive perfect season, and if LSU doesn't stop them we'll have to put up with another mock Championship Celebration. This should provide plenty of motivation for the Tigers, who have no interest in allowing the Knights to proclaim themselves national champs as they did after beating Auburn last year. The Knights scored 34 points in that game against Auburn, and I expect them score their share here against LSU. Darriel Mack Jr. stepped in to replace the injured McKenzie Milton, and he had a big game against Memphis throwing for 348 yards and two TDs, and running for 59 yards and four more. The outlook for the Knights defense isn't as positive, as they gave up over 400 rushing yards in that game versus Memphis. Just imagine what kind of damage a well rested SEC team will do on the ground. LSU scored a total of 114 points in it's last two games, while Central Florida has averaged 50 points in their last three games. I'll take the over here as I believe the total is far lower than it should be. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -130 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 644 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks were 8-4 in the PAC12 this year, and they finished the season strong winning three of their final four games. The Spartans on the other hand lost two of their final three games of the season, and freshman quarterback Rocky Lombardi played the majority of those final three games. Under Lombardi the Spartans managed just 26 total points in those final three games. The passing game is not a strength for Michigan State, and any success on offense has come on the ground. That's not a good matchup here against an Oregon defense that held five opponents under 100 rushing yards this season. The Ducks offense is in good hands with Justin Herbert, who is considered to be the top NFL quarterback prospect in college football. While the Spartans have done well in bowl games over the years, I just don't think they have enough offense to keep up with the Ducks. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama -13.5 | 34-45 | Loss | -115 | 601 h 38 m | Show | |
The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't given us any reason to doubt them, winning all 13 games by an average margin of over 30 points. The only game that they didn't win by double digits was the SEC Championship Game versus Georgia. The Sooners are a sexy pick with a lot of bettors, especially those who are impressed with high scoring, high flying offenses. This is a team that has given up a ton of points though, and won a lot of games that could have gone the other way. Wins over Army, West Virginia and Oklahoma State came by a combined 11 points, and they lost a close game at Texas. They come in allowing an average of more than 32 points per game, more than double what Alabama has allowed this season. They haven't been cashing many tickets for bettors, failing to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. Take BAMA. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -11 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 597 h 37 m | Show | |
Notre Dame didn't lose a game this season, so it's tough to say they don't deserve to be in the playoffs. The fact is that they would be an underdog in a neutral site game against a handful of teams that didn't make the playoffs. Teams such as Ohio State and Georgia. This is a prime example of why many people think the current playoff format needs to be expanded to eight teams rather than four. Clemson is a big favorite in this Semifinal, and they are by far the better team. While the Irish barely escaped with wins over Vanderbilt, Pittsburgh and USC, the Tigers were beating inferior opponents by 30+ points. The last time the Irish played for a National Championship they trailed 28-0 at halftime in a 42-14 loss to Alabama in 2013. I expect a similar result here against a Clemson team that has made the playoffs now four years in a row. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-18 | Florida +5.5 v. Michigan | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. The Michigan Wolverines come into their bowl game off an embarrassing 62-39 loss to Ohio State. Injuries played a roll in that game, and the Wolverines will be missing several key players here in the CHIK-FIL-A Bowl. Junior defensive end Rashan Gary and junior linebacker Devin Bush have both declared for the draft and won't participate in the bowl game in order to prepare for the NFL. Michigan's leading rusher is also sitting out the bowl game, and that leaves them a little shorthanded against a competitve SEC team in Florida. The Gators won nine games this season, two of those wins came against ranked teams (LSU and Mississippi State). I'll take the points. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-18 | Syracuse v. West Virginia OVER 65.5 | Top | 34-18 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WVU@SYR to go Over the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -3.5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 115 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Army Black Knights. The Houston Cougars lost three of their final four games of the season, and they allowed a whopping 166 points in those three losses. They really missed defensive tackle Ed Oliver, who didn't play in four of the last five games. He's by far their best player on defense, and he's expected to garner plenty of interest in the upcoming NFL draft. Neither Oliver or starting QB Deriq King will play in the bowl game, as they prepare for the draft. Army comes in as winners of eight straight, their last loss was back in September falling 28-21 at Oklahoma. A win here would give Army 11 wins for the first time in team history, so you can expect the Black Knights to be by far the more motivated team. I like Army to win big here in Texas. Take ARMY. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State -140 | 19-16 | Loss | -140 | 128 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boise State. I had a Game of the Month on Boise State when they played the Aggies last week, and here is what I had to say about that game: "The Broncos are the Big Boys in the Mountain West, but the Utah State Aggies come into Boise with a 10-1 record, and they are ranked #21 in the country. The #23 ranked Broncos though have battled through a tougher schedule, playing a pair of ranked teams in Oklahoma State and Fresno State. The Aggies don't have a single win against a ranked team, and their last six wins have all come against conference bottom feeders: (UNLV, SJST, CSU, UNM,WYO and HAW). The Broncos crushed Utah State in Logan last year by a score of 41-14, and they have won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. They have won five straight home meetings versus Utah State, but what is most significant is the margin of victory in those games (over 30 points per game). While this Utah State team is clearly much better than it has been in the past, I still don't see any evidence that they can upset the Broncos on the Blue Turf." Another home game against a tough challenger that they already beat this season, and once again I am taking the Broncos. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-01-18 | Georgia +14 v. Alabama | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 71 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UGA. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Texas +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -110 | 132 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas. The Oklahoma Sooners are favored by more than a TD here against Texas (in Texas) against a Longhorns team that already beat them this season. The Sooners are a sexy pick this week nonetheless, as everyone expects Oklahoma to win, and most expect them to win big. I fail to see what makes Oklahoma significantly better than Texas. Is it the fact that the Sooners are 10-1 and Texas is 8-3? Well when I look at Texas losing at Oklahoma State by three points, and Oklahoma beating the Cowboys by just one point at home, that doesn't impress me much. The Longhorns lost by one at home versus West Virginia, and Oklahoma beat the Mountaineers by three in Morgantown. These results seem to indicate that there isn't a lot of separation between these teams, and another close game should be expected. These teams have a history of playing close games, with each of the last five head to head meetings decided by seven points or less. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -175 | 30-29 | Loss | -175 | 103 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bulls. The Northern Illinois Huskies are coming off back to back losses heading into the MAC Championship Game versus Buffalo. The Bulls have owned the MAC this year, going 7-1 with the only loss coming on the road at Ohio. The Huskies have won 10 straight versus Buffalo since 1999, but I think that past success is the only reason why this line isn't a lot closer to -7. I think there is no questioning that the Bulls are the superior team here, and we are getting a great price to back the favorite to win straight up. Northern Illinois hasn't performed well in neutral site games, going just 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 such contests. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State -130 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 78 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos. The Broncos are the Big Boys in the Mountain West, but the Utah State Aggies come into Boise with a 10-1 record, and they are ranked #21 in the country. The #23 ranked Broncos though have battled through a tougher schedule, playing a pair of ranked teams in Oklahoma State and Fresno State. The Aggies don't have a single win against a ranked team, and their last six wins have all come against conference bottom feeders: (UNLV, SJST, CSU, UNM,WYO and HAW). The Broncos crushed Utah State in Logan last year by a score of 41-14, and they have won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. They have won five straight home meetings versus Utah State, but what is most significant is the margin of victory in those games (over 30 points per game). While this Utah State team is clearly much better than it has been in the past, I still don't see any evidence that they can upset the Broncos on the Blue Turf. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-18 | Auburn +25.5 v. Alabama | 21-52 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on AUBURN. Alabama will host Auburn on Saturday, and the Crimson Tide are a 25.5 point favorite. Of course this game should be a blowout right? Well as Lee Corso might say ...Not so fast my friend! This is the Iron Bowl, and anything can happen. While Alabama has looked indestructible all year, they have looked a little more vulnerable the last few weeks. Tua Tagovailoa was a lock to win the Heisman a few weeks ago, but injuries have set him back the past few weeks. He threw for just 164 yards with a TD and an INT against Mississippi State, and he took way too many hits in that game. While the Tigers have struggled on offense, they have been every bit as good as Mississippi State and LSU on defense. Last year the Tigers won outright by a score of 26-14 as a home dog, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the home team win by a similar score here in this game. Alabama has failed to cover in five of it's last six as a home favorite. Seven of the last nine meetings in Tuscaloosa have gone under the total. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-18 | Auburn v. Alabama UNDER 53 | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 12 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 48.5 | 28-15 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WASH@WSU to go Over. The Huskies have lost their last two road games at Oregon and at California. They face a Washington State team that comes in as winners of seven straight. During that run they have beat some of the PAC12's best teams: (Utah, Oregon and Stanford). Gardner Minshew leads the nation in passing, with almost 500 yards more than Jordan Ta'amu who sits in second. With over 800 yards, nine TDs and no INTs the last two weeks, it's fair to say that he's in a groove. The Cougars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home game, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Washington has failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams. I like Washington State to stay hot here at home, out-lasting the Huskies in a shootout. The total here is below 50 for the first time since 2008, and the Cougars have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State -135 | 28-15 | Loss | -135 | 52 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. The Huskies have lost their last two road games at Oregon and at California. They face a Washington State team that comes in as winners of seven straight. During that run they have beat some of the PAC12's best teams: (Utah, Oregon and Stanford). Gardner Minshew leads the nation in passing, with almost 500 yards more than Jordan Ta'amu who sits in second. With over 800 yards, nine TDs and no INTs the last two weeks, it's fair to say that he's in a groove. The Cougars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home game, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Washington has failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams. I like Washington State to stay hot here at home, out-lasting the Huskies in a shootout. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-18 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia +3.5 | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Mountaineers. | |||||||
11-17-18 | UNLV v. Hawaii -6 | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Hawaii. The Warriors have lost four straight, but I expect them to "run and shoot" all over the Rebels at home tonight. UNLV is just 1-5 in the Mountain West, and they have been lit up for over 38 points per game. The Warriors have feasted on inferior teams, scoring 43 at Colorado State, and dropping 59 in their home opener versus Navy. Cole McDonald has completed 60 percent of his passes for over 3000 yards and 32 TDs, with just six INTs. He ranks among the nation's leaders in passing, and he should pick apart a suspect Rebels defense. This game has "BLOWOUT" written all over it! Take HAW. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-18 | Arizona State v. Oregon -161 | 29-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks lost a close game at Utah last week, but they return home where they have won five of six games this season. That includes an upset win over the defending conference champs Washington. Arizona State comes into Eugene with six wins, and five of those came at home. The Sun Devils certainly don't have history on their side, failing to cover in four straight at Oregon, and going 2-8-1 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. Oregon's starting quarterback Justin Herbert is considered the top quarterback prospect for the upcoming NFL draft, and he's thrown 17 of his 25 TD pass at home. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-18 | Iowa State v. Texas -155 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 129 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. After losing by a single point at home to West Virginia, the Longhorns went to Lubbock and won by a score of 41-34. They host a very dangerous Iowa State team in a prime time game tonight. The Cyclones come in as winners of five straight, but three of those wins came at home, and I think their luck runs out in Texas. History certainly favors the home team, as Texas has won six of the last seven head to head matchups. Last year's game was a defensive battle, with the Longhorns winning 17-7. Iowa State will be shorthanded, with their leading rusher David Montgomery riding the pine for at least the first half as he serves a suspension. The Cyclones need all the help they can get, they've totaled just 13 points in their last two games against Texas. Low scoring games have been the theme in this series, with five of the last six in Austin failing to reach the total. Texas has also trended under at home, failing to reach the total in 12 of their last 17. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-18 | USC v. UCLA OVER 55 | Top | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 108 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on USC@UCLA to go Over the total. Chip Kelly has had limited success in his first year at UCLA, but the Bruins have improved since Wilton Speight took over at quarterback. He threw for 335 yards and two TDs in a 31-28 loss at Arizona State last week, and I think he's going to put up big numbers against at home against USC. He's going to have to if the Bruins want to have any chance of winning this game, because their defense can't seem to stop anybody. UCLA ranks 111th in the country allowing opponents to average 215 rushing yards per game. When these teams met last year, the bookmakers set the total at 70.5, more than two TDs higher than the total for this game. History seems to favor the under, as each of the last four meetings between the two teams have fallen short of the total. That being said, three of the last six meetings saw more than 55 combined points. I think this game will be a shootout, with UCLA digging deep into their bag of tricks. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-18 | Michigan State v. Nebraska +1.5 | 6-9 | Win | 100 | 120 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Nebraska Cornhuskers. It's been a difficult season for Scott Frost and the Cornhuskers, but they come into this Saturday's home game against Michigan State as winners of three of their last four. Even the one loss during that span was impressive, falling just short of an upset in Columbus in a 36-31 loss to the Buckeyes. The Spartans scored just six points in a home loss to Ohio State last week, and their offense is a mess. Brian Lewerke has thrown for more picks (9) than TDs (8) this season. Freshman QB Adrian Martinez has really come into his own in recent weeks, throwing for 9 TD and just two INTs in his last four starts. Nebraska is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings between these two teams, winning the most recent contest by a score of 39-38. I'll take the home dog here. Take NEB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-18 | Toledo v. Kent State UNDER 59.5 | 56-34 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOL@KENT to go Under the total. The last two meetings between Toledo and Kent State each fell short of 50 points, and the previous two meetings fell short of 60 points. The total for tonight's game is higher than it had been in any of those four meetings. The Under is 4-1 in the Rockets last 5 games overall, and the Under is 4-1 in the Golden Flashes last 5 games overall. Kent State ranks 137th in the country in scoring, and they have given up a ton of points as well. The Golden Flashes have been far more competitive at home though, allowing just 21 points per game. A difficult schedule may have resulted in some skewed numbers for this Kent State team. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-18 | Miami-OH v. Northern Illinois OVER 48 | 13-7 | Loss | -114 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on M-OH@NIU to go Over the total. I bet on the under in last week's game in Dekalb, and the Huskies beat Toledo 38-15, just barely falling short of the number. Tonight's total is much lower, meaning a similar score would result in an over. The Redhawks are coming off a 30-28 win over Ohio, and the previous week they scored 42 points in a loss at Buffalo. Gus Ragland has thrown for 512 yards, two TDs and 1 INT on 40-of-67 passing the last two weeks. That's pretty impressive considering the opposition. I think Ragland and the RedHawks will score enough points to push this total over what appears to be quite a low number. The last three head to head meetings between these teams all saw a total over 50. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-18 | Texas -120 v. Texas Tech | 41-34 | Win | 100 | 22 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Texas Longhorns. Texas and Texas Tech are each coming off disappointing losses in games that went right down to the wire. The Longhorns lost a heartbreaker at home 42-41 to West Virginia, but the Red Raiders not only lost 51-46 to Oklahoma, they may have lost their starting quarterback as well. Alan Bowman suffered a collapsed lung in the loss to the Sooners, and spent time in the hospital following the game. His status is in question, and backup Jett Duffey has had trouble protecting the football. The sophomore has thrown as many picks (4) as TDs while starting in three games. Home field advantage might not help the Red Raiders, as the road team has won four straight meetings in this series. The Longhorns are 4-0 ATS in their last four games at Lubbock. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-18 | Oregon v. Utah -170 | Top | 25-32 | Win | 100 | 92 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Utes. Oregon is coming off a 21-point home win over UCLA, but that followed back to back blowout losses by a combined 43 points at Washington State and Arizona. Needless to say, the Ducks aren't nearly as good on the road as they are at home. The Ducks are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, and they are just 2-9 ATS in their last 11 when coming off a win. The Utes on the other hand are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games. Utah is by far the best defensive team in the PAC12, ranking 17th nationally allowing just 19 points per game. The Ducks tend to struggle on the road against strong defenses, and I expect Utah to cause all sorts of problems for the Oregon offense. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-18 | Ohio State -165 v. Michigan State | 26-6 | Win | 100 | 47 h 24 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-09-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State +3 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 24 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boise State Broncos. The Broncos will host Fresno State tonight, and the Bulldogs come in as road favorites likley because they own a better record (8-1). Boise State has two losses, but I still find it a little shocking that the Broncos would be a home dog on the Blue Turf. The Broncos 21-16 home win over BYU last week is far more impressive than any of the Bulldogs eight wins. The home team has won six straight meetings in this series dating back to 2012. The Broncos have won 15 of their last 17 home games outright, and that includes a pair of wins over BYU and a win over PAC12 powerhouse Washington State. I'll take Brett Rypien and his Broncos as home dogs. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois UNDER 56 | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 46 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-07-18 | Toledo v. Northern Illinois -165 | 15-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-07-18 | Ohio -175 v. Miami-OH | 28-30 | Loss | -175 | 19 h 48 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-06-18 | Kent State v. Buffalo OVER 43 | 14-48 | Win | 100 | 18 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on KENT@BUFF to go Over the total. | |||||||
11-03-18 | Alabama v. LSU OVER 53 | Top | 29-0 | Loss | -115 | 97 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on BAMA@LSU to go Over the total. In previous meetings between Alabama and LSU, my go to move has been to take the under. That has been the right call in eight of the last nine head to head meetings, including last year's 24-10 win for Alabama in Tuscaloosa. Things have changed though, as this isn't the Alabama offense with Jalen Hurts, Jake Coker or A.J. McCarron. Since the arrival of Tua Tagovailoa, the Tide have been an offensive juggernaut. LSU has also improved on offense, coming in averaging over 30 points per game. Alabama leads the country averaging over 54 points per game, but they have only played one ranked team. That was a 45-23 win over Texas A&M. I expect them to drop at least 40 on the Tigers, and LSU is likely to get a few licks in as well. My prediction is a 42-24 win for the visitors. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-18 | UCLA v. Oregon -10 | 21-42 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oregon Ducks. Chip Kelly returns to Oregon with his struggling UCLA squad, coming off a blowout loss at Utah. The Ducks have lost back to back games on the road, but their last home game was a shocking upset win over the Washington Huskies. The Bruins allowed Utah to run for 345 yards last week: "We didn't tackle well in the first half, didn't tackle well in the second half," UCLA coach Chip Kelly said in his post game analysis. They allowed the Arizona Wildcats to run for 289 yards in a 31-30 home win a week earlier. The Ducks still rank in the Top 25 in the country in scoring, and with all their weapons I expect them to light up an inferior UCLA defense at home. The Ducks are 5-0 straight up in five home games against UCLA since 2006, and four of those wins came by a double digit margin. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-18 | Notre Dame v. Northwestern +9.5 | 31-21 | Loss | -105 | 94 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a Free #NCAAF play on the Northwestern Wildcats. The Notre Dame Irish are ranked #3 overall, one of the four teams listed in the first edition of the (Top 4) College Football Playoff Rankings. They have an impressive resume, with an 8-0 record including wins over Michigan and Virginia Tech. While there is no doubt that the Irish are one of the top teams in the country, I think they have become slightly overrated. They are a double-digit road favorite this week at Northwestern, and the Wildcats have already upset the likes of Wisconsin and Michigan State. They also played a close game in a 20-17 loss to Michigan. Notre Dame has four wins by fewer than 10 points: versus Michigan, Vanderbilt, Ball State and Pittsburgh. Another close game here in Evanston should be expected. Take NW. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-18 | Utah v. Arizona State UNDER 56 | 20-38 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTAH@ARZST to go Under the total. The Utes ran all over the UCLA Bruins in a 41-10 home win last week, but they face a much toughest test here at Arizona State. Herm Edwards already has a handful of impressive results against top tier teams this year. Arizona State upset Michigan State at home, won on the road at UCLA and covered in a 27-20 loss to the Huskies in Washington. Arizona State has won three of four home games, and have allowed opponents to average just 16 points per game at home this season. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, and only one of the last nine head to head meetings have seen more than 55 combined points. Utah has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six when coming off a win, while the under is 4-1 in the Sun Devils last five games in November. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-18 | Utah v. Arizona State +7.5 | 20-38 | Win | 100 | 90 h 8 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-02-18 | Colorado v. Arizona -136 | 34-42 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. The Wildcats are coming off a blowout win over Oregon at home, and they host a sad sacked Colorado team tonight. The Buffaloes are coming off a particularly disturbing loss, blowing a 31-3 lead at home versus Oregon State. Arizona has owned Colorado in recent seasons, winning five of the last six head to head meetings. Arizona is 6-2 ATS in it's last eight home games, and 5-2 ATS in their last seven overall. This will be the third road game versus a PAC12 opponent for Colorado, and the previous two were double-digit losses to USC and Washington. Quarterback Stephen Montez failed to throw for 200 yards in both those games, and had more INTs (2) than TD passes (1). This looks like a good spot for the Wildcats to take advantage of an inferior opponent at home. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-18 | Temple v. Central Florida UNDER 59 | 40-52 | Loss | -105 | 4 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TEMPLE@UCF to go Under the total. The Central Florida Knights own the longest winning streak in the country (20 games). They have proclaimed themselves to be national champions, but they narrowly avoided defeat in a 31-30 win at Memphis a few weeks ago. While they won that battle, they might lose the war if McKenzie Milton misses any more time. The star QB was injured in that game, and didn't play in a 37-10 win at ECU last week. Even if he does return to action tonight, he likely isn't going to push it by running the ball as he normally does. Temple is a strong opponent with a solid defense, and the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated. The last time Temple played at UCF, they lost 26-25. Three of the last four meetings between these teams saw less than 52 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-18 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo -7 | 42-51 | Win | 100 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Buffalo Bulls. The 7-1 Buffalo Bulls are ruling the roost in the MAC, winning all four games against opponents within the conference. Their lone loss came at the hands of a scrappy Army team that almost upset Oklahoma earlier in the year. Buffalo has won three straight, all by double digits. The Bulls racked up 493 total yards in a dominant 31-17 road win at Toledo last week, and they look good here at home against the Redhawks. Miami-Oh has a 3-5 record, but their wins come against bottom feeders with a combined record of 2-10 in the MAC. Buffalo will put it's 5-0 ATS run (in the MAC) to the test in this revenge game (lost to Redhawks last year). Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-27-18 | Texas -165 v. Oklahoma State | 35-38 | Loss | -165 | 96 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. The Longhorns have won six straight since losing their opening game to Maryland. What is even more impressive is that three of those six wins came against Top 25 ranked opponents. The Cowboys are coming off back to back losses, and they have lost three of their four games against BIG12 teams. They have really missed Mason Rudolph, and his replacement Taylor Cornelius is coming off a terrible performance at K-State. He threw for just 184 yards and two INTs on 17-of-35 passing. The Cowboys were likely hoping not to see Sam Ehlinger, but the starting quarterback for Texas has practiced all week and is likely to return to action here in Stillwater. Ehlinger has thrown for 9 TDs without any INTs during the Longhorns six game win streak. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-27-18 | Texas A&M +3 v. Mississippi State | 13-28 | Loss | -120 | 95 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. The 5-2 Aggies have two losses to teams ranked #1 and #2 overall. Despite their impressive resume, they are getting points here at Mississippi State. The Bulldogs got off to a good start, but have started to fade as the reality of a tough SEC schedule set in. They come in as losers of three of their last four overall, and that includes a 13-6 home loss to the Florida Gators. They have been really struggling to score points, averaging less than 10 points per game over their last four games. Bulldogs are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 conference game, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game. I just can't see asking a team that has so much trouble scoring to cover points against a team like Texas A&M. Take AGGIES. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-27-18 | Washington State +3 v. Stanford | 41-38 | Win | 100 | 9 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Washington State. The Cougars are coming off a huge home win over Oregon, and surely that sets them up for a let down here on the road against Stanford. What looks like a let down spot at first glance, actually looks like a pretty favorable matchup for the visitors. Stanford has not looked good this season, and Heisman favorite (pre-season) Bryce Love has failed to live up to expectations. Recent history certainly favors the Cougars, who have won two of the last three meetings outright, and the one loss came by a score of 30-28. Mike Leach is known as an offensive genius, but this Cougars defense has been impressive as well. They held Oregon scoreless in the first half last week. I'll take the Cougars plus the points as they look to move to 8-0 ATS in their last eight. Take WAZZU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-18 | Baylor v. West Virginia -13.5 | 14-58 | Win | 100 | 22 h 36 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WVU. The much improved Baylor Bears will be a two touchdown underdog on the road at West Virginia tonight, but I have my doubts that they can hang with the Mountaineers. Baylor appears to be off to a great start, with a 4-3 overall record and a 2-2 record in the BIG12. Look a little closer though and you can see that their two wins in conference play came against a pair of BIG12 bottom feeders in Kansas and K-State who have a combined record of 1-7. They did manage to hang with both Duke and Texas, but neither of those two teams have the potent air attack that West Virginia has. Perhaps a better comparison would be their 66-33 loss to Oklahoma. They catch the Mountaineers coming off their first loss of the season, and this looks like a spot where the home team should open up a can of whupass! Take WVU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-20-18 | Arizona +10 v. UCLA | 30-31 | Win | 100 | 35 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Wildcats. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, and the line has been bet up almost five points since opening at -5.5. I'll fade this inflated number. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-20-18 | Arizona v. UCLA UNDER 56 | Top | 30-31 | Loss | -109 | 83 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 10* play on ARI@UCLA to go Under. Arizona comes into tonight's game with a 2-2 conference record, but they will be a double digit underdog without their starting quarterback. Khalil Tate left early in last week's loss to Utah with an ankle injury, and was replaced by the son of former Arizona coach Rich Rodriguez. The sophomore wasn't too bad, throwing for 226 yards and a TD on 20-of-38 passing. He likely won't have to be great to keep the Wildcats in the game against UCLA, as the Bruins are ranked 119th nationally averaging just over 20 points per game. Freshman quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has failed to throw for 200 yards in four of his six starts, and last week against Cal he threw for just 141 yards on 13-of-15 passing. The Bruins ran the ball 55 times in that game, and given that they snapped a five game losing skid, you might expect them to lean on the run here at home against Arizona. The public seems pretty keen to back the Bruins here with the news that Tate won't play, but I am focused on the total. Arizona has failed to reach the total in four straight, and six straight within conference. We could see both teams pound away with the run given that neither team has a lot of talent at quarterback at the moment. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-20-18 | Oregon v. Washington State OVER 66 | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -115 | 90 h 22 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on ORE@WSU to go Over the total. The Ducks are moving up in the rankings after an upset win over the Washington Huskies on Saturday. The Huskies were in position to win the game in the fourth quarter, but Peyton Henry missed a 37 yard (chip shot) field goal in the dying seconds. That allowed Oregon to come back and win in overtime. The Ducks are flying high as they head into Pullman for a date with the Cougars, but this game has all the signs of a classic let down spot for the visitors. Washington State is coming off a bye week, and they are still undefeated at home. One of their three home wins came against a very strong Utah team. The Ducks have lost three straight to Washington State, and their last game at Pullman was a 51-33 loss in 2016. The over is 11-4 in the last 15 meeting between these teams, and the Cougars have gone over in five straight against PAC12 teams. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-20-18 | Minnesota v. Nebraska -170 | 28-53 | Win | 100 | 86 h 21 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-18-18 | Stanford v. Arizona State UNDER 57.5 | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 20 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on STAN@ARZST to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal will be a road favorite tonight at Arizonta State, but we should expect a competitive game between two PAC12 rivals. Previous meetings between the two teams have been pretty hard fought defensive battles, with the under cashing in five of the last six meetings. The Sun Devils are 3-0 at home, and they have held opponents to an average of less than 15 points in those games. Their 16-13 win over Michigan State was particularly impressive. Four of Stanford's last five visits to Arizona State have gone under the total, and the under is 44-20 in Cardinal last 64 games in October. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-13-18 | Washington -150 v. Oregon | 27-30 | Loss | -150 | 114 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Huskies. The Oregon Ducks blew a big lead in a home loss to Stanford, but they went out on the road a week later and laid a beating on Cal at Berkley. They host the Washington Huskies this week, and Washington comes in as winners of five straight. The Huskies beat Oregon 38-3 last season, but the Ducks didn't have starting quarterback Justin Herbert in that game. Herbert won't have fond memories of the last time he started a home game against Washington. He threw for just 179 yards with 2 TDs and an INT in a 70-21 loss in 2016. Jake Browning went off in that game, throwing six (THAT'S RIGHT SIX) TD passes. The Ducks have failed to cover in five straight home games, and eight of their last nine when coming off a win. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-13-18 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina UNDER 53.5 | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 114 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TAM@SOCAR to go Under the total. Jake Bentley didn't play in last week's home win over Missouri, after suffering an injury in a 24-10 loss to Kentucky a week earlier. He only threw for 138 yards with a TD and 3 INTs on 13-of-28 passing in that game. He will face a stingy Aggies defense that held Kentucky to just 178 total yards last week. The 4-2 Aggies have losses against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the country. Texas A&M has failed to reach the total in seven of their last 10 conference games, and eight straight in the month of October. The Gamecocks have also trended toward low scoring games, going under in 16 of their last 22 SEC games, and 17 of their last 21 when coming off a win. Another defensive battle should be expected at Williams Brice Stadium. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-13-18 | Central Florida -191 v. Memphis | 31-30 | Win | 100 | 114 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UCF. The UCF Knights are 5-0, and their average margin of victory is over 30 points per game. They will be the road favorite at Memphis this week, despite the fact that they needed double OT to beat the Tigers at home last year. This year's Memphis squad isn't as strong as it was a year ago, when they brought a 10-1 record into the AAC Championship game. They have already lost two of three games in conference play, falling to Navy and Tulane. The Knights are Knights are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 road games, and they are 10-0 straight up in their last 10 versus Memphis. The Tigers are just 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 versus teams with a winning record. Take UCF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-11-18 | Texas Tech +7.5 v. TCU | 17-14 | Win | 100 | 28 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Tech Red Raiders. The Red Raiders are 3-2, with losses to #12 ranked West Virginia and Mississippi. They have a pair of impressive wins at #15 Oklahoma State and at home over Houston. They lost starting quarterback Alan Bowman midway through last week's game, and backup Jett Duffey was able to move the ball, and they out-scored West Virginia 17-7 in the 4th quarter. If Bowman can't go tonight, there is reason to believe that Duffey will be even better after a full week practicing with the first team offense. Two of the last three meetings between TCU and Texas Tech have been decided on the final play. The Horned Frogs are struggling offensively, and quarterback Shawn Robinson might not start against the Red Raiders. He's thrown more INTs (6) than TDs (4) over the last four weeks. I think this line looks a little inflated when you consider that TCU is 5-16 ATS in it's last 21 home games, and 0-4 ATS in it's last four versus the BIG12. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-06-18 | Utah v. Stanford -180 | 40-21 | Loss | -180 | 37 h 1 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Stanford. The Utah Utes have struggled offensively this season, and they have been really limited in the passing game. Tyler Huntley threw for 118 yards on 12-of-20 passing in a loss to Washington State last week. It was his third straight game without a passing TD, and his second consecutive game with fewer than 200 yards passing. Stanford was embarrassed by Notre Dame last week, and a bounce back performance at home should be expected. The Cardinal are 4-1 overall, which is quite impressive considering that they have played three ranked teams (Oregon, USC. Notre Dame). K.J. Costello has played well for Stanford, and with Bryce Love banged up, the Cardinal may need to lean more on their quarterback. He proved he is quite capable, throwing for over 500 yards with 5 TDs and 1 INT in home wins over San Diego State and USC. I can't see the Utes scoring enough points to keep them in this game. Take STAN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-06-18 | Kentucky v. Texas A&M UNDER 51 | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 34 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UK@TAM to go Under the total. The Texas A&M Aggies are 3-2, but their two losses came against #2 ranked Clemson and #1 ranked Alabama. They host the 5-0 Kentucky Wildcats tonight, and both these teams have been very impressive defensively. The Wildcats are coming off a 24-10 win over South Carolina, and they have allowed a combined 33 points in wins over SEC opponents (Gamecocks, Gators, Bulldogs). Kentucky has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games, and the Aggies have gone under in five straight in October. Texas A&M is coming off a pedestrian performance in a 24-17 win over Arkansas. The Aggies offense could struggle here against a very good Wildcats defense. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-05-18 | Utah State v. BYU -130 | 45-20 | Loss | -130 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cougars. The Utah State Aggies come into tonight's game at BYU with a 3-1 record, and the nation's 3rd ranked scoring offense averaging over 51 points per game. It's difficult to say how good this team really is however, with all their wins coming against bottom of the barrel teams. The Cougars on the other hand have navigated a difficult schedule that includes a 24-21 upset win at Wisconsin. They were humbled on the road at Washington last week, but I expect them to bounce back here at home. The return of key defenders Zayne Anderson (OLB) and Dayan Ghanwoloku (S) will give them a boost. The Aggies have failed to cover in five straight on the road against winning teams, and the Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last four when coming off a loss. Take BYU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-04-18 | Tulsa v. Houston UNDER 70.5 | 26-41 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TULSA@HOU to go Under the total. The Houston Cougars rank 2nd nationally averaging over 50 points per game, and their high flying offense has them heavily favored against division rivals Tulsa tonight. The total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was in any of the previous six head to head meetings, and they have failed to reach the total in five of the last seven meetings. Not one of those seven contests yielded as much as 70 combined points. Tulsa will rely on it's running game, looking to control the clock and keep the Cougars offense off the field. The Hurricane don't have the offensive weapons to engage in a shootout, their quarterback Luke Skipper has thrown more INTs (6) than TD passes (4). Tulsa has gone under in five straight road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-29-18 | Oregon v. California OVER 58 | Top | 42-24 | Win | 100 | 121 h 44 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
09-29-18 | Stanford +6 v. Notre Dame | 17-38 | Loss | -108 | 104 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Stanford Cardinal. The Oregon Ducks looked like world beaters in the first half versus Stanford last week, but their defense couldn't hold on to a 24-7 halftime lead. The Cardinal out-scored Oregon 24-7 in the second half, and went on to win 37-31 in overtime.The Cardinal will travel to South Bend to face Notre Dame this week, and history certainly favors the visitors. Stanford has won four of the last five meetings outright, and their lone loss during that span came by a score of 17-14. I can see any reason why another close game shouldn't be expected, and the Irish are asked to cover a handful of points. The underdog has covered the spread in each of the last six meetings in this series. Notre Dame has failed to cover in four of it's last five home games. Take STAN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-29-18 | Utah v. Washington State -110 | 24-28 | Win | 100 | 102 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. The Cougars are coming off a 39-36 loss at USC, and they were out-scored 15-6 in the fourth quarter of that game. They will be at home this week, hostin the Utah Utes. Utah is coming off a 21-7 loss at Washington, and quarterback Tyler Huntley threw for just 138 yards and an INT in that game. Washington State has won three straight against Utah, and two of those three wins came on the road. The Cougars are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games, while the Utes are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven versus Wazzu. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-29-18 | Syracuse +25.5 v. Clemson | Top | 23-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Syracuse Orange. When Clemson went to Syracuse last year, they were ranked #2 overall nationally. They came in as a 24 point favorite, and left humbled in a 27-24 outright loss. Starting quarterback Kelley Bryant was knocked out of that game due to injury, and backup Zerrick Cooper stepped in and threw for 88 yards on 10-of-14 passing. While this is a revenge game for Clemson, the Tigers are dealing with a quarterback controversy. Bryant was benched in favor of freshman Trevor Lawrence. He has since left the team, citing what he called "crazy racism". This is definitely a troubling development, and one has to wonder if the locker room is divided over this issue. It's quite possible that some of the players agree with Bryan't position on the matter. Lawrence has looked good so far, but this will be the first start of his career. He's under a lot of pressure, and with only a third string freshman backing him up, Dabo Swinney better be careful with his new quarterback. I'll take the 4-0 Syracuse Orange plus the points. Take SYR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-28-18 | UCLA v. Colorado -9 | 16-38 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colorado Buffaloes. It's been a terrible start for Chip Kelly at UCLA. The Bruins come into Colorado with an 0-3 record, and starting quarterback Dorian Thompson-Robinson has thrown as many picks (2) as he has TDs so far. Colorado is 3-0, with wins over Nebraska and Colorado State. Junior quarterback Steven Montez is lighting it up with 855 yards, 8 TDs and just two INTs in three games. History certainly favors Colorado, as the Buffaloes have covered the spread in four of their last five versus UCLA. The home team has won four of the last five meetings, and I like Colorado to win comfortably here at home tonight. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-27-18 | North Carolina +18.5 v. Miami-FL | 10-47 | Loss | -105 | 56 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the North Carolina Tar Heels. The Tar Heels have overcome a lot of adversity so far this season, weathering the storm of an off season controversy. After losing their first two games, they won outright as an underdog versus Pittsburgh last week. They have covered the spread in each of their last four when getting points, and they have historically been quite competitive in previous meetings versus Miami. They have covered the spread in four of the last five meetings, and they have won outright in three of the last six meetings. Only once in the last six meetings did they lose by double digits. Miami has struggled to run away from inferior opponents so far this season, and I think they will have their hands full here versus a division rival. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-18 | Duquesne v. Hawaii -29.5 | Top | 21-42 | Loss | -110 | 62 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Hawaii. The Duquesne Dukes aren't coming to Hawaii to compete in a football game, they are on what is more like a paid vacation. This is like a sparring partner for a prize fighter, who is meant to be no more than a punching bag. Duquesne played UMASS in Week 1, and got blown out by a score of 63-15. The Minutemen aren't even a competitive FBS team, and they have since lost three straight games by 20 or more to Florida International, Georgia State and Boston College. Hawaii leads the nation in passing offense, and their quarterback Cole McDonald is the nation's leading passer. This is an opportunity for the Warriors to pad their stats, and I expect them to pile on the points. This should be a win by 50+. Take HAW. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-22-18 | Florida v. Tennessee +4.5 | 47-21 | Loss | -109 | 72 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Tennessee Vols. The Vols aren't a great team, but they always seem to manage to muster a solid effort against rivals Florida. The Gators have won three of the last four meetings, but the average margin of victory in those games is less than three points. Two of the last four meetings have been decided by a single point, and the Vols have outscored Florida 47-38 in the last two meetings in Knoxville. The Gators have failed to cover in four straight road games, and five straight versus teams from the SEC. I don't think Florida should be a favorite, never mind asking them to cover 4-5 points. I'll take the home dog in this epic rivalry. Take VOLS. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,060 |
Dan Kaiser | $932 |
Jesse Schule | $566 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Ray Monohan | $518 |
Mike Lundin | $493 |
Tom Macrina | $430 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Joseph D'Amico | $390 |
Big Al McMordie | $340 |