Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
09-26-19 | Eagles v. Packers -165 | 34-27 | Loss | -165 | 127 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Green Bay Packers. Green Bay has overhauled their defense, and so far the results have been impressive. They have allowed opponents to average less than 200 passing yards per game, and they have a dozen sacks in three games (tied for 2nd). They face a Philly team on Thursday night that has really struggled on defense, and has been dealing with a ton of injuries. It might surprise some to learn that Philly ranks worse against the pass than the Miami Dolphins so far this year. That comes after facing Case Keenum, Matt Stafford and Matt Ryan. Playing the Packers at Lambeau looks like a disaster waiting to happen for this Eagles team. Expect Rodgers to light them up early and often. Take GB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-23-19 | Bears -187 v. Redskins | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 191 h 49 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
09-23-19 | Bears v. Redskins OVER 41 | 31-15 | Win | 100 | 20 h 12 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
09-22-19 | Rams -140 v. Browns | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 169 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAR. | |||||||
09-22-19 | Steelers v. 49ers +1.5 | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 165 h 48 m | Show | |
The 2-0 49ERS will host Pittsburgh in Week 3, and the Steelers are in danger of falling to 0-3. Jimmy G is coming off a huge game on the road at Cincinnati, and he faces a Steelers defense that was picked apart in back to back weeks by Tom Brady and Russell Wilson. Injuries threaten to derail the Steelers season, as Big Ben left last week's game due to elbow soreness. | |||||||
09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks UNDER 50 | 33-27 | Loss | -110 | 165 h 48 m | Show | |
The New Orleans Saints travel across the country to play in Seattle, where the Seahawks have been quite formidable over the last decade. With Drew Brees sidelined by a thumb injury, the Saints have announced that they intend to split the snaps between Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. While some might think that sounds "dynamic", to me it reeks of desperation. They don't have the confidence in Bridgewater to name him the starter, and their offense is likely to be a shambles. Their defense wasn't impressive in a Week 1 win over Houston, giving up over 400 yards, and last week's loss to the Rams wasn't much better. | |||||||
09-22-19 | Saints v. Seahawks +100 | Top | 33-27 | Loss | -100 | 166 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Seattle. The New Orleans Saints travel across the country to play in Seattle, where the Seahawks have been quite formidable over the last decade. With Drew Brees sidelined by a thumb injury, the Saints have annouced that they intend to split the snaps between Teddy Bridgewater and Taysom Hill. While some might think that sounds "dynamic", to me it reeks of desperation. They don't have the confidence in Bridgewater to name him the starter, and their offense is likely to be a shambles. Their defense wasn't impressive in a Week 1 win over Houston, giving up over 400 yards, and last week's loss to the Rams wasn't much better. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-22-19 | Dolphins v. Cowboys -16.5 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 161 h 18 m | Show | |
The Cowboys are finally ready to remove any limits to Zeke's workload, and he faces a Miami team that appears to be tanking. The Dolphins defense has allowed over 1000 yards in their first two games, and Zeke might go over 100 yards in the first half. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-22-19 | Lions +9 v. Eagles | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 149 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions. | |||||||
09-21-19 | Notre Dame v. Georgia UNDER 56.5 | 17-23 | Win | 100 | 96 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ND@UGA to go Under the total. These teams last met in 2017, and Georgia won by a score of 20-19 in a nationally televised game at South Bend. I remember the game well, as I had a premium play on the under, and a free play on Georgia +5.5. The free play was met with some healthy (if no obnoxious) criticism on FB and Twitter. In the end The Iceman had the last laugh. The Irish were embarrassed in a 30-3 loss to Clemson in the College Football Playoffs last year, and they will be a double digit dog here in this game. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in 10 of their last 13 games in the month of December, and the under is 22-9-2 in the Bulldogs last 33 home games. I exect Georgia to be in full control in the second half, and focused on running out the clock. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-19 | Auburn v. Texas A&M -175 | 28-20 | Loss | -175 | 103 h 0 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Texas A&M. Auburn started off the season with a thrilling come from behind win over Oregon, and freshman quarterback Bo Nix was the hero in the victory. His overall body of work isn't really all that impressive, especially compared to his counterpart Kellen Mond. In three games he's completed just over 50 percent of his passes for 545 yards, four TDs and two INTs. Last year Mond three for a combined 717 yards, nine TDs and no picks in home games against LSU and Clemson. The Aggies lost a close game at Auburn last year, but A&M is 6-1 ATS in it's last seven home games. Auburn has failed to cover in eight of their last 11 versus teams with a winning record. Take TAM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-21-19 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -155 | 14-35 | Win | 100 | 100 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Wisconsin Badgers. Michigan is still ranked in the Top 10 despite a pair of uninspiring games so far. Shea Patterson was supposed to be the quarterback that would lead this team to a national championship, but he didn't look all that sharp throwin for just 207 yards and no TDs on 19-of-29 passing in a double overtime win over Army. The Black Knights ran for 200 yards and three TDs in that game, and Jonanthan Taylor might just do better than that by himself this week at home. All Wisconsin has done is out-score opponents 110-0 in their first two games. The home team is 9-1 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings, and Michigan is 0-5 ATS in the last five at Wisconsin. Take WIS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-20-19 | Utah -169 v. USC | 23-30 | Loss | -169 | 84 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Utes. Utah opened the season on the road at BYU, winning by a score of 30-12. The Trojans were in Provo last week, and they lost 30-27 in overtime. Freshman quarterback Kedon Slovis was picked off three times in the loss, and he faces perhaps the best defense in the PAC12 here on Friday night. The Trojans would probably want to lean heavily on their leading rusher in this game, but Vavae Malepeai left the last game with a left leg injury. He has run for 272 yards and four TDs so far, so it would be a huge blow if he is anything less than 100 percent. Utah hasn't won at LA since 2001, but with USC so banged up, I like Utah to roll here on Friday. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-16-19 | Browns -6 v. Jets | 23-3 | Win | 100 | 23 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on Cleveland to win. The Browns offense struggled in Week 1 at home against the Titans, but part of the problem was that they were penalized 18 times for 182 yards. The pressure is on as they get set to take on the Jets on Monday Night Football, and this looks like a get right game for Cleveland. Sam Darnold is out and Le'Veon Bell is questionable, but the Jets injuries on defense might be even more significant. C.J. Mosely and Quinnen Williams will both be out for tonight's game, and the Bills really moved the ball in the second half last week after Mosely left. This should be good news for Nick Chubb, who ran for 75 yards on 17 carries in Week 1. I expect this game to be over at halftime, and that should mean a healthy workload for Chubb in the second half. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-15-19 | Cowboys -4.5 v. Redskins | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 112 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cowboys. Washington was expected to be one of the league's worst teams this season, but after they opened up a big lead early on the road in Philly in Week 1, maybe they are better than we thought? I don't think so. They were out-scored 25-7 in the second half, and Philly racked up 436 yards of total offense. Washington only attempted 13 running plays, for a total of 28 yards. That's simply not a recipe for success. They are in for a world of hurt here against the Cowboys in Week 2. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-15-19 | Seahawks +4.5 v. Steelers | 28-26 | Win | 100 | 112 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. Both Pittsburgh and Seattle are coming off a disappointing season opener, but while the Seahawks barely held on to beat Cincinnati by a single point, the Steelers lost by 30 at New England. This looks like a good spot to back Seattle as an underdog. The Seahawks are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games following an ATS loss, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. Pittsburgh has performed poorly as a home favorite, the Steelers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-15-19 | Vikings +3 v. Packers | 16-21 | Loss | -115 | 45 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Packers defense looked sharp in a 10-3 win over the Bears, but I think that tells us more about the Bears problems on offense than it does about Green Bay's defense. They will face a tougher challenge here in Week 2 against the Vikings. Last year was a disappointment for Kirk Cousins, but one of his best games was a 29-29 tie at Lambeau. Cousins threw for 425 yards and four TDs in that game. Sure the Packers have improved since then, but so have the Vikings. Their defense sacked Matt Ryan four times and picked him off twice in Week 1. They ran for 172 yards and three TDs on 38 attempts. The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings, and I'll the points in this game. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-14-19 | Texas Tech -120 v. Arizona | Top | 14-28 | Loss | -120 | 68 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas Tech. Arizona couldn't stop anybody last year, and so far in 2019 they have looked even worse. They gave up 45 points in a loss to Hawaii in Week 1, and then gave up 41 points in a win over Northern Arizona in Week 2. Now they face the Texas Tech Red Raiders, and sophomore QB Alan Bowman. The gunslinger from Grapevine TX can really light up inferior defenses, as evidenced by his 600+ yards and five TDs in Week 3 versus Houston last year. Not only does Texas Tech have the better offense, they can also play defense. They held UTEP to just 131 total yards in a 38-3 last week. Take TTU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-14-19 | UNLV v. Northwestern UNDER 54 | 14-30 | Win | 100 | 61 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats lost 17-7 at Stanford in Week 1, but they went to The Farm and held the Cardinals to 132 yards and no TDs on 39 carries. Now they come off a bye week to play the UNLV Rebels at home. This is a Rebels team that relies heavily on the run, and I think UNLV is running right into a brick wall here. Northwestern is expected to win this game by three scores, even though they don't have a very explosive offense. We don't see a lot of high scoring games at Evanston, as evidences by the fact that the under is 41-13-1 in the Wildcats last 55 home games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-14-19 | Stanford v. Central Florida UNDER 62.5 | 27-45 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on STAN@UCF to go Under the total. The Stanford Cardinal held Northwestern to just seven points in Week 1, but they were blown out in Week 2 at USC. They should have their starting QB back this week at Central Florida, but he should face a ton of pressure from a Knights defense that has recorded seven sacks in two games. UCF allowed just 14 points in a win at FAU last week, after pitching a shutout in their season opener. The under is 4-1 in the Cardinal's last five non-conference games, and the total for this game appears to be a little inflated. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-13-19 | North Carolina v. Wake Forest -145 | 18-24 | Win | 100 | 39 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wake Forest. Both these teams are 2-0 heading into this Saturday's game, but the Tar Heels had a tougher schedule. They are coming off a pair of punishing games versus South Carolina and Miami. While they won both games, those wins came at a price. They lost their starting center and their top DB for the rest of the season. The home team is 4-0 straight up, and 4-0 ATS in four head to head meetings since 2007. The Tar Heels are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games in September. Wake QB Jamie Newman has impressive numbers heading into this game, throwing for 713 yards and six TDs in his first two games of the season. Take Wake. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-12-19 | Bucs v. Panthers -6.5 | 20-14 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Carolina Panthers. While Carolina lost a close game to defending NFC champs LA in Week 1, the Bucs looked downright terrible in a home loss to San Francisco. Jameis Winston was picked off three times, picking up right where he left off last year when he threw 10 picks in his first four games. He played a total of 11 games last season, and only three times did he manage to avoid throwing any INTs. Tampa was 1-7 on the road last year, and they lost by 14 at Carolina. The Panthers scored 35 points in the first half of that game, and Christian McCaffrey scored a pair of TDs on 157 rush/rec yards. Look for a similar result here tonight. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-09-19 | Broncos +110 v. Raiders | 16-24 | Loss | -100 | 37 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Broncos. Over the last year the Raiders have lost the likes of Khalil Mack, Amari Cooper and Antonio Brown. After dealing with a pre-season full of drama, Brown was cut and has since signed with New England. The Raiders haven't even played a game yet, but so far this season looks like a disaster. The Broncos have quietly added a Super Bowl winner at quarterback, and a defensive genius at head coach. There is still a lot of talent left from the team that won a Super Bowl just a few years ago, and I expect Denver to be a force this season. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-19 | Steelers v. Patriots UNDER 51.5 | Top | 3-33 | Win | 100 | 1170 h 3 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PIT@NE to go Under the total. The first Sunday Night Football game of the season features a pair of Super Bowl contenders and a couple of aging Hall of Fame quarterbacks. You might think that these teams have lit up the scoreboard in previous meetings, but that hasn't been the case. Four of the last five meetings have gone under the total dating back to 2013. The last time these teams met the Steelers won by a score of 17-10 last December. Big Ben threw for 235 yards, two TDs and a pair of INTs in the win. Brady was even more pedestrian, throwing for 279 yards, a TD and an INT in the loss. The Steelers have managed to find ways to win without LeVeon Bell and Antonio Brown, but there is no denying that they aren't as talented as they once were. The Patriots will be getting used to life without Gronk, and Sony Michel should play a bigger role in this year's offense. The Patriots have failed to reach the total in four of their last five at Foxboro. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-19 | 49ers +1 v. Bucs | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 126 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the SF 49ers. Tampa might be shorthanded in Week 1 with several players coming down with an illness that has threatened their status for the season opener versus San Francisco. The biggest name on that list of sick players is wide receiver Mike Evans. It will be even more important to be well hydrated as extreme temperatures are expected in Tampa. The Bucs won just five games last season, and Jamies Winston didn't even play in two of those wins. San Francisco appears to be an organization trending in the right direction with a talented young QB that you can build a team around. The same can't be said for Winston and the Bucs. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-19 | Colts v. Chargers UNDER 47.5 | 24-30 | Loss | -109 | 353 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on IND@LAC to go Under the total. The biggest story of the pre-season was Andrew Luck hanging up the cleats, and bettors have been scrambling to make sense of the Colts moving forward. The knee jerk reaction was to bet against Indianapolis, but after the line went as high as -9, the Chargers have settled as less than a TD favorite. Indy should still be competitive, as they were the last time Jacoby Brissett stepped in at quarterback. I do expect them to be more conservative though, and that should lead to a lower score. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-19 | Colts v. Chargers -170 | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 339 h 20 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
09-08-19 | Bengals v. Seahawks -8.5 | 20-21 | Loss | -110 | 81 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are infamous for their dominant play at home in Seattle, and they draw an inferior opponent in Week 1. Cincinnati will come into the Emerald City without their starting left tackle, and this revamped defense with the additions of Jadaveon Clowney and Ziggy Ahnsa is likely to cause all sorts of problems for the Red Rifle. The Bengals lost six of eight on the road last year, and Seattle has covered the spread in nine of it's last 13 overall. AJ Green will not play in Week 1, still recovering from an ankle injury. I like the Seahawks to win this game by double digits. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-19 | Ravens v. Dolphins +5 | 59-10 | Loss | -110 | 2637 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Miami Dolphins (Week 1). The Dolphins are already the laughing stock of the league, and we haven't even played a game yet. It's not easy to make a case for why the Dolphins will be anything other than awful in 2019, so instead I will focus on Baltimore. They come into this Week 1 matchup asked to cover a bunch of points on the road, and I just don't think this Ravens team is going to live up to all the hype. Lamar Jackson came in and sparked the team to a 6-1 finish in the final seven games of 2018. Only one of those wins came against a team with a winning record, and wins over Cleveland and Cincinnati came by three points or less. Ryan Fitzpatrick threw for 400+ yards in each of his first three starts for Tampa last year, winning two of those games and losing by just three points to Pittsburgh. Fitzpatrick played in eight games for the Bucs last year, and they lost by more than seven points in just three of those games. So while the Ravens may be the better team, I am not sure they are seven points better, especially on the road in Miami. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-19 | Titans v. Browns -5.5 | 43-13 | Loss | -101 | 123 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Browns. Are the Browns for real? I am not quite ready to call Cleveland a Super Bowl contender, but here in Week 1 against Tennessee, I think they will like up to some of the hype. The Titans didn't look great this pre-season, and they are going to miss their best offensive lineman for the first five weeks of the season. I just can't see Mariota keeping up with Baker Mayfield, given all the toys Baker has at his disposal this season. I look for a double digit win for the Browns. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-08-19 | Falcons v. Vikings -180 | 12-28 | Win | 100 | 123 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings failed to live up to expectations last season, and even though Kirk Cousins completed better than 70 percent of his passes for over 4000 yards and 30 TDs, we expect him to be better this season. Minnesota will host the Altanta Falcons in Week 1, and this team appears to have really fallen off a cliff since their Super Bowl loss to New England. The Falcons looked awful in the pre-season, and they have failed to cover in four straight versus the Vikings. I expect Minnesota's defense to be better in 2019, and they should open the season with a solid win over Atlanta. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | Stanford +106 v. USC | 20-45 | Loss | -100 | 60 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Stanford Cardinal. It was a rough first week for the Pac12, and the Cardinal and the Trojans each lost their starting quarterback in Week 1. Which team is more equiped to win with a backup quarterback? I'd have to go with a Stanford team that held a very good Northwestern team to just seven points last week, over a USC team that gave up 23 points, failing to cover against Fresno State. Take STAN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | LSU v. Texas +7 | 45-38 | Push | 0 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. Texas won 10 games last year, including a win over #5 ranked Georgia in the Sugar Bowl. They look great as a home dog versus #6 ranked LSU this Saturday. The Tigers are excited about their passing game with Joe Burrow, who threw for 278 yards and five TDs against Georgia Southern last week. The last time Burrow played a ranked team on the road, it was in a loss to Texas A&M. The Tigers were 2-2 on the road last year, losing to the Aggies and the Gators, and beating Auburn by a single point. They failed to cover in a rather pedestrian 24-17 win at Arkansas. The Longhorns are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six home games. I'll take the points. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | Texas A&M +18 v. Clemson | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 111 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas A&M. Clemson is unanimously ranked #1 overall, and I think that ranking is well deserved. I don't however think that they are quite as good as many people think they are, and I do think that they can be beaten. This should be a tough game for Clemson, perhaps the toughest game on their schedule. They face an SEC team ranked just outside the Top 10, and an Aggies team that nearly upset them a year ago. Kellen Mond threw for 440 yards and three TDs on 23-of-40 passing in that game, and he appears to be primed for a big season in his junior year at College Station. The Aggies have all the tools to pull off the upset hear, and yet the Tigers are favored by three scores. I'll take the points. Take A&M. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | Syracuse v. Maryland UNDER 58 | 20-63 | Loss | -108 | 51 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SYR@MD to go Under the total. The Orange looked great on defense in a 24-0 win over Liberty in Week 1, but the offense wasn't very impressive. Tommy Devito threw for 176 yards and two INTs on 17-of-25 passing. Now he heads out on the road to face a BIG10 team in non conference play, and it isn't likely to be an easy game for the Orange. Their defense should keep them in it though, and I like the under with the total on the high side of 50. The under is 8-3 in Syracuse's last 11 road games, and the Terps have gone under in five straight versus ACC teams. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-07-19 | Cincinnati v. Ohio State OVER 52 | 0-42 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CIN@OSU to go Over the total. The Bearcats beat UCLA 24-14 in Week 1, but I think that game might say more about UCLA than it does about Cinci. A week later they are in Columbus, and they face a far better Ohio State team. I expect the Buckeyes to get their points here this afternoon, and I think the total looks a little too low. It opened at 55 and has since been bet down to 52, and I think that presents value in taking the over. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
09-05-19 | Packers v. Bears -160 | 10-3 | Loss | -160 | 58 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bears. The Packers lost seven of their final 10 games last season, missing the playoffs again. One of those losses was a 24-17 loss at Chicago, and Aaron Rodgers was sacked five times while throwing for 274 yards, no TDs and a pick. There are no shortage of bettors still willing to back the Packers, but I don't see why this year will be any different in Green Bay. They start the season on the road against the league's most talented defense, and Chicago's offense could be better this year with a more experienced Mitch Tribisky. Aaron Rodgers didn't see any action in the pre-season, and he might not be at his best here in the Windy City. He will have to be great to keep the Packers in this game. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-19 | Georgia v. Vanderbilt UNDER 58 | 30-6 | Win | 100 | 55 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UGA@VAN to go Under the total. Georgia won 41-13 in last year's meeting, and these teams have gone under in three of the last four annual meetings. The total for this year's game is even higher than it was a year ago, in fact it's higher than it has been in any of the last five meetings. You know the Commodores are going to look to slow this game down, and pound away with their running game. The Bulldogs don't mind muddying things up, and this should be another down and dirty SEC game. The under is 4-1 in the Commodores last five conference games. Vanderbilt has gone under in nine of their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-31-19 | Missouri v. Wyoming UNDER 55.5 | Top | 31-37 | Loss | -117 | 31 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIZZ@WYO to go Under the total. These teams met for the first time last season, and Missouri won by a score of 40-13 at home. The Tigers offense should have a different look this season, with Kelly Bryant stepping in to replace Drew Lock. Bryant isn't going to light up defenses the way Lock did, and we should see the Tigers lean more on their running game. The Cowboys are solid on defense, but they lack talent on the other side of the ball. The under is 11-5 in the Cowboys last 16 home games, and the under is 8-3-1 in Cowboys last 12 non-conference games. Wyoming has gone under in four straight versus the SEC. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-30-19 | Colorado State v. Colorado -13 | 31-52 | Win | 100 | 33 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. It was a year ago today (also on a Friday) the last time these teams met. Here is what I had to say about that game: "The Rams looked awful in a home loss to Hawaii last week, and I think they will struggle here against Rivals Colorado. The Buffaloes dropped off significantly last season after winning the PAC12 South in 2016, but they bring back Stephen Montez at quarterback for the 2018 season, and he threw for 2,975 yards with 18 TDs and nine INTs last season. Two of those nine picks came in a Week 1 win over Colorado State, but the Buffaloes still managed to win by a score of 17-3. Colorado won all three of it's non-conference games by double-digits last season, and overall they beat the teams they were supposed to beat." Colorado crushed the Rams in that game, winning 45-13, and with Montez back for his senior year we should expect another one sided game in favor of the Buffaloes. Take COL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-29-19 | Utah -189 v. BYU | 30-12 | Win | 100 | 430 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Utah. The Holy War might be one of the better rivalries in college football, but it's been very one-sided since 2010. Utah has won eight straight over BYU, and the Utes have covered the spread in six of those games. Utah is returning it's entire offense from last year, including star running back Zack Moss. BYU has been pretty mediocre under head coach Kilani Sitake, and they could take a step back this year as they navigate a tough schedule. The Cougars have lost six of their last seven games against PAC12 teams, and they likely don't have the personnel to hang with an experienced Utes team that is 17-7 ATS in their last 24 non-conference games. Utah has little trouble winning on the road, and the Utes are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
08-24-19 | Arizona -10.5 v. Hawaii | 38-45 | Loss | -110 | 312 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. Hawaii jumed out of the gates winning six of their first seven games last year. They scored a ton of points in those games, but if you closely examine all of those wins you will see a common theme. Colorado State was 3-9 last season, UNLV was 4-8, and San Jose State was a woeful 1-11. They needed overtime to beat the Spartans by a score of 44-41. The strongest opposition they faced last season were games against BYU and Fresno State. They lost both those games by 3+ touchdowns. Arizona comes into this Week 1 matchup versus Hawaii looking to bounce back from a disappointing first season under Kevin Sumlin. Senior QB Khalil Tate was expected to be a Heisman contender last year, but he failed to live up to expecations. His final four games might suggest he's ready for a bounce back 2019 campaign though. He averaged over 300 yards per game, with 16 TDs and four INTs while going 2-2 against tough opposition. One of those games was a 44-15 upset win over #19 ranked Oregon. Take ARI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-03-19 | Patriots -1 v. Rams | Top | 13-3 | Win | 100 | 329 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on New England. Why do you think the Rams beat the Saints? Are you one of those conspiracy theorists that believes the only reason the Rams are playing in the Super Bowl is because a referee missed a call at the end of the NFC Championship Game? If that's what you believe, then I think you are missing something. You have to give credit where credit is due, and I think it's fair to say that Jared Goff outplayed Drew Brees. I also think it's pretty clear that Sean McVay outcoached Sean Payton. I don't think the Rams can count on winning the quarterback battle or the coaching battle here against Brady and Belichick. My money is on experience over youth, and I expect Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski to turn back the clock. Props include: Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-20-19 | Patriots v. Chiefs -140 | 37-31 | Loss | -140 | 155 h 13 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. Last week in New England it looked like vintage Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. The Patriots out-scored the Chargers 35-7 in the first half, and went on to win 41-28. Tom Brady threw for 343 yards and a TD on 34-of-44 passing. I think we'll see a very different story here this week, as for the first time in a long time the Patriots play a playoff game on the road. They were just 3-5 on the road during the regular season, and the last time they played at Kansas City they lost 41-14 prompting talk of the end of a dynasty. While that talk proved to be premature, surely the end is near and this could be the passing of the torch from Brady to Mahomes. Belichick isn't having any of it: “Yeah, I don’t think that game has anything to do with this one,” Belichick said. “We’re going to get ready for Sunday.” Mahomes and the Chiefs will also be ready, and they are younger, faster and more talented. The Patriots are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Conference Championships games, and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 meetings versus Kansas City. Take KC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -170 | 26-23 | Loss | -170 | 152 h 37 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
01-13-19 | Eagles +9.5 v. Saints | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 2 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a play on the Eagles. The Eagles are the hot team coming into this divisional playoff game versus New Orleans. The Saints are Super Bowl favorites, but Drew Brees and company sputtered a bit down the stretch. After losing to the Cowboys in Dallas, they scored just three points in the first half in Tampa before rallying for a come from behind win. Their home win over the Steelers was helped by a pair of controversial pass inerference penalties on the game winning drive. Nick Foles has picked up right where he left off in last year's playoffs, and he will go up against a Saints defense that allowed the most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks this season. I like Philly to keep this game relatively close and Foles to have a big day. Take Philly, GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-13-19 | Chargers v. Patriots -190 | 28-41 | Win | 100 | 97 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. I bet the farm on the Chargers last week as an underdog on the road in Baltimore. The Chargers had a significant edge at quarterack with Rivers versus Lamar Jackson. That won't be the case this week in New England as Rivers is 0-7 in his career against Tom Brady. The Pats have the advantage of coming off a bye week, and veteran players like Gronkowski and Edelman should benefit from the rest. The Pats were 8-0 at Foxboro this season, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Divisional Playoffs games. The Chargers are 0-4 ATS in their last four against New England, and I think it's tough to expect a different result here this week. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-12-19 | Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 80 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Dallas Cowboys. | |||||||
01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 94 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Colts. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama -200 v. Clemson | 16-44 | Loss | -200 | 88 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Alabama. There's no doubt that Clemson's 30-3 win over Notre Dame was impressive, and this defense should be able to hold it's own against Alabama. This isn't the same team that scored just 24 points against the Tigers in last year's playoffs. This time around both these teams have improved at the quarterback position. For that reason the total for this game is set 10 points higher than it was in the previous playoff matchups over the last three seasons. I don't think it's realistic though to ask Trevor Lawrence to do what Deshaun Watson did in 2016, when the Tigers won in a massive upset. This time around Alabama has the better quarterback, and I expect to see the Tide to win this game in similar fashion to last year's victory over Clemson. Take BAMA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson UNDER 61 | Top | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 212 h 58 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLEM@BAMA to go Under the total. | |||||||
01-06-19 | Eagles v. Bears -5.5 | Top | 16-15 | Loss | -109 | 118 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bears. Can you believe that the Eagles are back in the playoffs, and last year's Super Bowl MVP is once against playing like one of the league's best quarterbacks. Nick Foles is capable of being great (at times) but let's not get carried away when we compare him to other great quarterbacks. The Bears have wins over the Packers and the Seahawks, and Russell Wilson and Aaron Rodgers have been consistently great for their entire careers spanning the better part of the last decade. Nick Foles on the other hand has had a handful of great games in an otherwise mediocre career. He comes into Chicago nursing sore ribs, and he's in serious danger of taking a beating today. I like the Bears to win big at Soldier Field. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-06-19 | Chargers +2.5 v. Ravens | Top | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 114 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Chargers. Lamar Jackson has turned things around for the Baltimore Ravens, who might not have made the playoffs without him. I am not convinced he is the quarterback of the future for this franchise though, as I have seen this script before. It seems like nobody remembers his teammate RGIII early in his career in Washington. As exciting as it is when he eludes defenders and picks up big gains with his athletic ability, he's nothing short of a disaster in the passing game. He matches up against a potential future Hall of Famer in Phillip Rivers, and heaven forbid if he needs to rally his team late (as Rivers has done countless times in the past). The Ravens defense is statistically the best in the NFL, but they almost didn't survive in a must win game against the Browns last week. Baker Mayfield lit them up for 376 yards and three scores. I expect Rivers to be just as good here in this Wild Card game. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-05-19 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 98 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Seattle Seahawks 1st Half. The Cowboys come into the playoffs as winners of seven of their last eight overall, but I don't think that run is as impressive as it looks. The fact remains that Dak Prescott is no more than an average quarterback, and Jason Garrett is a below average coach. The Cowboys have a history of post-season failure, while the Seahawks have a history of post-season success. Russell Wilson has had an MVP worthy season, and I just think this is a tough draw for Dallas. The Seahawks have won four of the last five meetings versus Dallas since 2012, including a pair of wins at Dallas. I think Seattle can do everything Dallas can do, without making as many mistakes. I'll take the points. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-05-19 | Colts +106 v. Texans | 21-7 | Win | 106 | 26 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colts I think it's clear at this point that there's no stopping Andrew Luck. He's certainly been great in both previous games against the Texans this season, throwing for 399 yards and two TDs in a 24-21 win in Houston a few weeks ago, and throwing for 464 yards and four TDs in a 37-34 loss at home in September. The Texans rank 28th in the NFL in passing defense, so this appears to be a favorable matchup for Luck. He's going to have to be great if the Colts are going to have a shot, but I like his chances. Take INDY GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-01-19 | LSU v. Central Florida OVER 54.5 | Top | 40-32 | Win | 100 | 666 h 46 m | Show |
This is a GOY play on LSU@UCF to go Over the total. The Central Florida Knights are gunning for a second consecutive perfect season, and if LSU doesn't stop them we'll have to put up with another mock Championship Celebration. This should provide plenty of motivation for the Tigers, who have no interest in allowing the Knights to proclaim themselves national champs as they did after beating Auburn last year. The Knights scored 34 points in that game against Auburn, and I expect them score their share here against LSU. Darriel Mack Jr. stepped in to replace the injured McKenzie Milton, and he had a big game against Memphis throwing for 348 yards and two TDs, and running for 59 yards and four more. The outlook for the Knights defense isn't as positive, as they gave up over 400 rushing yards in that game versus Memphis. Just imagine what kind of damage a well rested SEC team will do on the ground. LSU scored a total of 114 points in it's last two games, while Central Florida has averaged 50 points in their last three games. I'll take the over here as I believe the total is far lower than it should be. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-31-18 | Michigan State v. Oregon -130 | Top | 6-7 | Win | 100 | 644 h 46 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. The Ducks were 8-4 in the PAC12 this year, and they finished the season strong winning three of their final four games. The Spartans on the other hand lost two of their final three games of the season, and freshman quarterback Rocky Lombardi played the majority of those final three games. Under Lombardi the Spartans managed just 26 total points in those final three games. The passing game is not a strength for Michigan State, and any success on offense has come on the ground. That's not a good matchup here against an Oregon defense that held five opponents under 100 rushing yards this season. The Ducks offense is in good hands with Justin Herbert, who is considered to be the top NFL quarterback prospect in college football. While the Spartans have done well in bowl games over the years, I just don't think they have enough offense to keep up with the Ducks. Take ORE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-30-18 | Colts -2.5 v. Titans | Top | 33-17 | Win | 100 | 102 h 43 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Titans may have won four straight, but those wins came against the Jets, Jags, Giants and Redskins. Not only have they built their winning streak against some of the weaker teams in the NFL, many of those wins were far from impressive. They trailed at home against the Redskins last week, and they were losing 16-6 at the half in a home win over the Jets a few weeks ago. The Colts have won eight of their last nine overall, including a 38-10 win over Tennessee. They led 24-3 at halftime in that game, and Andrew Luck threw for 297 yards and three TDs on 23-of-29 passing. The Colts last road game was a 24-21 win over the Texans in Houston, and they led 17-7 at the half in that game. If Marcus Mariota is healthy enough to start this game, he might not finish it. The Titans leading receiver Corey Davis is also banged up, and keeping up with Andrew Luck is going to be a tough ask for Tennessee. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-30-18 | Bears v. Vikings -3.5 | Top | 24-10 | Loss | -115 | 98 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Minnesota Vikings. I took Minnesota +3.5 when they lost 25-20 at Chicago a few weeks ago. A missed two-point conversion at the end of the game cost me the cover. Here is what I said before kickoff: "The Bears have looked really good this season, coming into this weekend's home game against the Vikings with a 6-3 record, sitting first in the NFC North. The Vikings are hot on their heels, and at 5-3-1 they have navigated a much tougher schedule. Two of those three losses came against the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the league (Saints and Rams). Coming off a bye week, Minnesota is as healthy as it has been all year. Dalvin Cook is back, and he had over 100 yards from scrimmage in the win over Detroit. Minnesota has had success on the road, they are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 road games. The most significant number to me is ZERO! That's the number of wins Chicago has versus teams with a winning record this season. The Bears are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 versus teams with a winning record." The Bears have since won four of five games, including road wins at Detroit and San Francisco. This will be the Bears first road game against a team with a winning record. They have lost at Miami and at New York (Giants). It's hard to beat a team twice, and that is going to be especially true given what's at stake for the Vikings here. Take MINNY. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-18 | Oklahoma v. Alabama -13.5 | 34-45 | Loss | -115 | 601 h 38 m | Show | |
The Alabama Crimson Tide haven't given us any reason to doubt them, winning all 13 games by an average margin of over 30 points. The only game that they didn't win by double digits was the SEC Championship Game versus Georgia. The Sooners are a sexy pick with a lot of bettors, especially those who are impressed with high scoring, high flying offenses. This is a team that has given up a ton of points though, and won a lot of games that could have gone the other way. Wins over Army, West Virginia and Oklahoma State came by a combined 11 points, and they lost a close game at Texas. They come in allowing an average of more than 32 points per game, more than double what Alabama has allowed this season. They haven't been cashing many tickets for bettors, failing to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 neutral site games. Take BAMA. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
12-29-18 | Notre Dame v. Clemson -11 | 3-30 | Win | 100 | 597 h 37 m | Show | |
Notre Dame didn't lose a game this season, so it's tough to say they don't deserve to be in the playoffs. The fact is that they would be an underdog in a neutral site game against a handful of teams that didn't make the playoffs. Teams such as Ohio State and Georgia. This is a prime example of why many people think the current playoff format needs to be expanded to eight teams rather than four. Clemson is a big favorite in this Semifinal, and they are by far the better team. While the Irish barely escaped with wins over Vanderbilt, Pittsburgh and USC, the Tigers were beating inferior opponents by 30+ points. The last time the Irish played for a National Championship they trailed 28-0 at halftime in a 42-14 loss to Alabama in 2013. I expect a similar result here against a Clemson team that has made the playoffs now four years in a row. Take CLEM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-18 | Florida +5.5 v. Michigan | 41-15 | Win | 100 | 2 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Florida Gators. The Michigan Wolverines come into their bowl game off an embarrassing 62-39 loss to Ohio State. Injuries played a roll in that game, and the Wolverines will be missing several key players here in the CHIK-FIL-A Bowl. Junior defensive end Rashan Gary and junior linebacker Devin Bush have both declared for the draft and won't participate in the bowl game in order to prepare for the NFL. Michigan's leading rusher is also sitting out the bowl game, and that leaves them a little shorthanded against a competitve SEC team in Florida. The Gators won nine games this season, two of those wins came against ranked teams (LSU and Mississippi State). I'll take the points. Take FLA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-18 | Syracuse v. West Virginia OVER 65.5 | Top | 34-18 | Loss | -109 | 43 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WVU@SYR to go Over the total. The West Virginia Mountaineers were hoping to compete for a playoff spot this season, and Will Grier was one of the favorites to win the Heisman. Finishing the season with back to back heartbreaking losses leaves a cloud hanging around Morgantown heading into Bowl Season. When first asked about the Camping World Bowl, Will Grier said: “I have no thoughts or decisions,” Grier said. “I was planning on playing [in the Big 12 championship]. Just kind of taking it all in, my last game in Morgantown. Wish we would have came out on top, but we left it all out there for the fans.” The Orange are coming into this game with a chance to reach 10 wins, which would be considered a huge success for Dino Babers and company. The last time I bet on the Orange, they lost their starting quarterback early in the first quarter and ended up getting blown out by Notre Dame. Here is what I said prior to that game: "This a team that has already proved it can hang with the big boys, last year they handed Clemson it's only regular season loss. Senior quarterback Eric Dungey has been lighting it up with his arm and his legs. He's got a dozen rushing TDs and 690 rushing yards so far this season. The Orange have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 against teams with a winning record. While the Mountaineers will miss Grier, this high flying offense still has plenty of weapons. The Orange will be shorthanded on defense with three starters missing the game for personal reasons. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Orlando. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-23-18 | Chiefs v. Seahawks UNDER 54 | Top | 31-38 | Loss | -108 | 161 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on KC@SEA to go Under the total. The Seahawks return home with a bitter taste in their mouth after losing in overtime at San Francisco. They might just get back on track against a Chiefs team that appears to be vulnerable. I bet against the Chiefs last week, and here is what I said prior to their loss to LA: "The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday." Patrick Mahomes gets a lot of attention with his "no look" passes, and the rest of his "hot dog" antics. He could be in for a rough ride here in a cold weather game in the Emerald City. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-23-18 | Steelers v. Saints UNDER 56 | Top | 28-31 | Loss | -110 | 139 h 41 m | Show |
This is a 10* (GOY) play on PIT@NO to go Under the total. | |||||||
12-23-18 | Bears v. 49ers +4 | 14-9 | Loss | -105 | 138 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers. The Bears are the NFC North champs, and we have all seen the video of Chicago players celebrating post game in a disco themed nightclub following Sunday's win over Green Bay. This sets them up for the mother of all let down spots, traveling out West to take on the 49ERS. The Bears are just 3-3 on the road this season, and two of those three wins came in games decided by less than a touchdown. They won 16-14 at Arizona, and they lost at Miami and Green Bay. Their last road game was a 30-27 loss to the New York Giants. The 49ERS are coming off an impressive win over Seattle at home, giving them a 4-3 home record. Expect the Niners to give the Bears all they can handle here this week. Take SF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-23-18 | Bucs v. Cowboys -7 | 20-27 | Push | 0 | 135 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. I bet against the Cowboys last Sunday, and here is what I had to say before they got shutout by the Colts: "The Cowboys have won five straight, and people are calling them a Super Bowl contender. The Colts have won six of their last seven, and they aren't getting a whole lot of attention. So which one of these teams is for real? We'll find out on Sunday." While I was quick to point out that Dallas was overhyped, I am just as quick to jump back on the Boy's bandwagon when they return home to face a Tampa team that was eliminated from the post-season with a loss to Baltimore on Sunday. The Bucs rank 27th in the NFL versus the run, and Jameis Winston has thrown more INTs (10) than he has TD passes (8) on the road this season. I expect Zeke to run wild, and Famous Jameis to turn the ball over against this stingy Dallas D. Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-18 | Ravens v. Chargers -4 | Top | 22-10 | Loss | -110 | 54 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LAC. I bet on the Chargers on TNF last week, and they pulled off an amazing comeback to beat the Chiefs. Here is what I said prior to that game: "The Chargers defense has been solid all year, and they rank in the Top 10 in the league versus the pass, allowing just 225 yards per game. The Chargers have covered the spread in four straight road games, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings" The Ravens played the Chiefs a week earlier, and they lost in overtime by a score of 27-24. Lamar Jackson played well in Kansas City, throwing for 147 yards and two TDs on 13-of-24 passing. He had thrown three picks and just one TD pass in his previous three starts, and he had a mediocre game against a terrible Tampa Bay team last week. I don't think this rookie can keep his team in the game against Phillip Rivers and a Chargers defense that ranks among the best in the NFL. A healthy Keenan Allen and Melvin Gordon will be a huge boost for the home team. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-18 | Houston v. Army -3.5 | Top | 14-70 | Win | 100 | 115 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Army Black Knights. The Houston Cougars lost three of their final four games of the season, and they allowed a whopping 166 points in those three losses. They really missed defensive tackle Ed Oliver, who didn't play in four of the last five games. He's by far their best player on defense, and he's expected to garner plenty of interest in the upcoming NFL draft. Neither Oliver or starting QB Deriq King will play in the bowl game, as they prepare for the draft. Army comes in as winners of eight straight, their last loss was back in September falling 28-21 at Oklahoma. A win here would give Army 11 wins for the first time in team history, so you can expect the Black Knights to be by far the more motivated team. I like Army to win big here in Texas. Take ARMY. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-18 | Saints v. Panthers +7 | Top | 12-9 | Win | 100 | 126 h 57 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Panthers. Most people still consider the Saints to be the best team in the NFL, but if there is one weakness it is Drew Brees on the road. A week after losing to Dallas, the Saints put up just three poins in the first half at Tampa Bay. They went on to rally for a win and cover in the second half of that game, but tonight they face a different monster. Cam Newton and Riverboat Ron are still alive in the playoff hunt, and they won't be an easy out here at home in Carolina. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-18 | Eagles v. Rams -10.5 | 30-23 | Loss | -100 | 84 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the LAR. It might seem like the bookmakers are asking a lot, pegging the Rams as a double digit favorite over the defending Super Bowl champs? Even thought Carson Wentz has been ruled out with a bad back, his replacement is the Super Bowl MVP Nick Foles. While Foles led the Eagles all the way last year, he took over on a winning team with a stacked backfield and one of the league's top defenses. Injuries have hit the Eagles hard, both in the secondary as well as at the RB position. The Rams will look to make a statement here, as people are calling them a fraud after they lost to the Bears in Chicago. Jared Goff would love to bounce back with another one-sided victory at home. Goff has been a completely different quarterback at home than he has been on the road. He has 18 TDs and just 2 INTs on better than 70 percent passing in LA, and he has as many picks (9) as he has TDs on the road. Take LAR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-18 | Patriots -130 v. Steelers | 10-17 | Loss | -130 | 98 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New England Patriots. Things are falling apart in Steel Town, and the last thing the Steelers need coming off three straight losses is a game against the New England Patriots. The Steelers have lost five straight to Belichick and company dating back to 2011, and two of those losses came at home at Heinz Field. New England has been a favorite in all five of those games, but the bookmakers are giving the Steelers more credit here this time around. Ben Roethlisberger is going to play, but he won't be 100 percent as he's nursing bruised ribs. He hasn't exactly been on top form lately, throwing six picks in his last four starts. The Steelers problems are nothing new, they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight games in December. They are also just 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games. How could anyone bet against Brady and Belichick in this spot? I know I won't. Take NE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-18 | Seahawks -4.5 v. 49ers | 23-26 | Loss | -104 | 98 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Seattle Seahawks. The Seahawks are playing the 49ers for the second time in three weeks, and they won 43-16 at home in the last meeting. The 49ers are high on Nick Mullens, and he's certainly moved the ball throwing for almost 1500 yards and nine TDs in five starts. He's still a rookie though, and he's made his fair share of mistakes. He's thrown as many picks (6) as touchdowns in his last four starts. Given that the Niners have lost 10 straight to the Seahswks dating back to 2014, I don't expect much from Mullens here in this game. The Seahawks are 11-2-1 ATS in their last 14 meetings, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in San Francisco. Take SEA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-16-18 | Cowboys v. Colts -140 | 0-23 | Win | 100 | 106 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Indianapolis Colts. The Cowboys have won five straight, and people are calling them a Super Bowl contender. The Colts have won six of their last seven, and they aren't getting a whole lot of attention. So which one of these teams is for real? We'll find out on Sunday. One thing I can say with confidence is that the Colts have the better quarterback in Andrew Luck, who has thrown for 3,759 yards and 34 TDs this season. I would also give the Colts the edge when it comes to coaching, as I think Jason Garrett is lucky to have a job in the NFL. The Cowboys have been far better at home than they have been on the road, and the home team has covered the spread in four of the last five head to head meetings. My money is on the Colts to take advantage of a Cowboys team that I think has become grossly overvalued. Take INDY. GL. Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-15-18 | Texans -6.5 v. Jets | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 27 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Houston Texans. | |||||||
12-13-18 | Chargers +3.5 v. Chiefs | 29-28 | Win | 100 | 66 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Chargers. The Chiefs offense has been flying high all season, but they come into Thursday's home game against the Chargers a little banged up. They lost one of their most dangerous weapons when they released Kareem Hunt, and Spencer Ware has been pretty mediocre filling his place. Now they might not even have Ware or Sammy Watkins for this game, and if my memory serves me correctly I seem to recall Tyreek Hill limping off the field with a sprained ankle in overtime on Sunday. The Chargers defense has been solid all year, and they rank in the Top 10 in the league versus the pass, allowing just 225 yards per game. The Chargers have covered the spread in four straight road games, and the road team is 6-1 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. I think the home team is asked to cover a few too many points here and the line should be closer to a pickem. My money is on the visitors plus the 3.5. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-10-18 | Vikings +3.5 v. Seahawks | Top | 7-21 | Loss | -110 | 152 h 7 m | Show |
This is a 10* GOY play on the Vikings. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Rams -160 v. Bears | 6-15 | Loss | -160 | 121 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Rams. | |||||||
12-09-18 | Eagles v. Cowboys -190 | 23-29 | Win | 100 | 117 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. The Eagles got the win over the banged up Redskins with their second and third string quarterbacks under center, but it was far from impressive. Now they head into Dallas to take on the red hot Cowboys, and Amari Cooper who is coming off consecutive big games. He's caught 17 passes for 256 yards and two TDs in wins over Washington and New Orleans. Dak Prescott is also playing his best football, with a completion percentage around 75% over his last four starts. I like the Cowboys to take down Philly in Big D! Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-18 | Ravens v. Chiefs -7 | 24-27 | Loss | -106 | 157 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Kansas City Chiefs. | |||||||
12-06-18 | Jaguars +5.5 v. Titans | 9-30 | Loss | -108 | 9 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Jags. There has been a lot of talk about the Titans run stuffing defense, but their 305 lb defensive tackle Jurrell Casey has been banged up. That might explain why they gave up 156 rushing yards against the Jets on Sunday, and a whopping 281 rushing yards in Houston in their previous game. Leonard Fournette has been a beast, running for 95 yards in each of his last two starts, despite the fact that the Jags lost both those games. With Cody Kessler at quarterback, we should see Fournette get plenty of touches tonight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-18 | Redskins v. Eagles OVER 43.5 | Top | 13-28 | Loss | -115 | 129 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@PHI to go Over the total. When I saw the total open at 43 for Monday's game between Washington and Philly, I assumed that bad weather must be in the forecast in the City of Brotherly Love. That's not the case though, and I think the bookmakers are overreacting to the injury to Alex Smith. The Redskins are still tied for first place in the division, and it's not like Alex Smith was lighting it up when they were winning games. Smith averaged 206 yards per game on 62.5 percent passing, averaging 6.6 yards per pass. McCoy has completed 60 percent of his passes, and has averaged 6.4 yards per pass. On Thanksgiving Day in Dallas, he threw for 268 yards and two TDs, but was picked off three times. He matches up against a Philly team that is very thin in the secondary, and I expect him to have some success moving the ball. These teams actually have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in four of the last five meetings, and four straight meetings in Philly. The total for this game is far lower than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. I'll fade this low number. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-18 | Vikings v. Patriots -4 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 54 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Patriots. | |||||||
12-02-18 | Panthers -175 v. Bucs | 17-24 | Loss | -175 | 113 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers come into Tampa off three straight losses, at Pittsburgh, at Detroit and at home versus Seattle. They came quite close to winning two of those three games, and it was their kicker that cost them in the Motor City. They are still alive as far as the playoffs are concerned, but only if they can get a win here against the Bucs. Tampa is out of it, and the Bucs rank 27th in the NFL in total defense. Tampa is 2-7 in it's last nine overall, and their wins during that span both came against teams with a losing record (San Francisco and Cleveland). Now that all the "Fitzmagic" has worn off, Famous Jameis is back under center for the Bucs. He had a pretty solid game against the 49ers, but he still has more picks (11) than TDs (10) this season. The Panthers have owned the Bucs, winning eight of the last 10 meetings, and three of their last four in Tampa. I'll take the road favorite in a must win game. Take CAR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-02-18 | Bears -175 v. Giants | 27-30 | Loss | -175 | 70 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chicago Bears. The Giants had a 19-3 first half lead in Philly last week, but they got blown out in the second half and lost by a score of 25-23. After the game Odell Beckham Jr told the media that the Giants didn't have a game plan to exploit Philly's second and third string corners. It's going to be tough to pick up the pieces after such a tough loss, and at this point there are serious questions about whether or not New York is actually interested in winning. The Bears didn't miss a beat with Chase Daniel coming in for Mitch Trubisky, and I expect the Chicago pass rush to cause all sorts of problems for a struggling Eli Manning. This should be another "W" for the bad news Bears. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-01-18 | Fresno State v. Boise State -140 | 19-16 | Loss | -140 | 128 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boise State. I had a Game of the Month on Boise State when they played the Aggies last week, and here is what I had to say about that game: "The Broncos are the Big Boys in the Mountain West, but the Utah State Aggies come into Boise with a 10-1 record, and they are ranked #21 in the country. The #23 ranked Broncos though have battled through a tougher schedule, playing a pair of ranked teams in Oklahoma State and Fresno State. The Aggies don't have a single win against a ranked team, and their last six wins have all come against conference bottom feeders: (UNLV, SJST, CSU, UNM,WYO and HAW). The Broncos crushed Utah State in Logan last year by a score of 41-14, and they have won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. They have won five straight home meetings versus Utah State, but what is most significant is the margin of victory in those games (over 30 points per game). While this Utah State team is clearly much better than it has been in the past, I still don't see any evidence that they can upset the Broncos on the Blue Turf." Another home game against a tough challenger that they already beat this season, and once again I am taking the Broncos. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-01-18 | Georgia +14 v. Alabama | Top | 28-35 | Win | 100 | 71 h 31 m | Show |
This is a 10* play UGA. | |||||||
12-01-18 | Texas +7.5 v. Oklahoma | Top | 27-39 | Loss | -110 | 132 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Texas. The Oklahoma Sooners are favored by more than a TD here against Texas (in Texas) against a Longhorns team that already beat them this season. The Sooners are a sexy pick this week nonetheless, as everyone expects Oklahoma to win, and most expect them to win big. I fail to see what makes Oklahoma significantly better than Texas. Is it the fact that the Sooners are 10-1 and Texas is 8-3? Well when I look at Texas losing at Oklahoma State by three points, and Oklahoma beating the Cowboys by just one point at home, that doesn't impress me much. The Longhorns lost by one at home versus West Virginia, and Oklahoma beat the Mountaineers by three in Morgantown. These results seem to indicate that there isn't a lot of separation between these teams, and another close game should be expected. These teams have a history of playing close games, with each of the last five head to head meetings decided by seven points or less. Take TEX. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-18 | Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -175 | 30-29 | Loss | -175 | 103 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Buffalo Bulls. The Northern Illinois Huskies are coming off back to back losses heading into the MAC Championship Game versus Buffalo. The Bulls have owned the MAC this year, going 7-1 with the only loss coming on the road at Ohio. The Huskies have won 10 straight versus Buffalo since 1999, but I think that past success is the only reason why this line isn't a lot closer to -7. I think there is no questioning that the Bulls are the superior team here, and we are getting a great price to back the favorite to win straight up. Northern Illinois hasn't performed well in neutral site games, going just 4-16-1 ATS in their last 21 such contests. Take BUF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-18 | Saints v. Cowboys +7.5 | 10-13 | Win | 100 | 91 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Dallas Cowboys. I bet against the Saints (as crazy as that sounds) on Thanksgiving, and they crushed the Falcons by a score of 31-17. The final score doesn't paint an accurate picture though, as Atlanta actually had more yards (366-312) and more first downs (18-9). The fact of the matter is that Atlanta fumbled the ball three times, and if it wasn't for all the turnovers the game might have been a hell of a lot closer. Here is what I said about the Saints: "The Saints have won nine in a row, and they are ranked #1 overall in all of the NFL Power Rankings. They have won four in a row by a double digit margin, and right now they appear to be indestructible. As strange as it sounds, that's often when a team is at it's most vulnerable. They will be an enormous favorite at home versus the Falcons this week, in a rematch of a thrilling 43-37 barn burner in Atlanta earlier this year. Drew Brees tied the game with a last minute TD forcing overtime, and then he walked it off with a 1 yard rushing TD a few minutes into the overtime period." Now New Orleans is more than a TD favorite on the road? I'll fade the chalk on Thursday night! Take DAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-26-18 | Titans v. Texans -180 | 17-34 | Win | 100 | 31 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texans. | |||||||
11-25-18 | Packers v. Vikings -172 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 121 h 11 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-25-18 | Seahawks +3.5 v. Panthers | 30-27 | Win | 100 | 114 h 52 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-24-18 | Utah State v. Boise State -130 | Top | 24-33 | Win | 100 | 78 h 59 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boise State Broncos. The Broncos are the Big Boys in the Mountain West, but the Utah State Aggies come into Boise with a 10-1 record, and they are ranked #21 in the country. The #23 ranked Broncos though have battled through a tougher schedule, playing a pair of ranked teams in Oklahoma State and Fresno State. The Aggies don't have a single win against a ranked team, and their last six wins have all come against conference bottom feeders: (UNLV, SJST, CSU, UNM,WYO and HAW). The Broncos crushed Utah State in Logan last year by a score of 41-14, and they have won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings. They have won five straight home meetings versus Utah State, but what is most significant is the margin of victory in those games (over 30 points per game). While this Utah State team is clearly much better than it has been in the past, I still don't see any evidence that they can upset the Broncos on the Blue Turf. Take BSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-18 | Auburn +25.5 v. Alabama | 21-52 | Loss | -108 | 4 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on AUBURN. Alabama will host Auburn on Saturday, and the Crimson Tide are a 25.5 point favorite. Of course this game should be a blowout right? Well as Lee Corso might say ...Not so fast my friend! This is the Iron Bowl, and anything can happen. While Alabama has looked indestructible all year, they have looked a little more vulnerable the last few weeks. Tua Tagovailoa was a lock to win the Heisman a few weeks ago, but injuries have set him back the past few weeks. He threw for just 164 yards with a TD and an INT against Mississippi State, and he took way too many hits in that game. While the Tigers have struggled on offense, they have been every bit as good as Mississippi State and LSU on defense. Last year the Tigers won outright by a score of 26-14 as a home dog, and I wouldn't be surprised to see the home team win by a similar score here in this game. Alabama has failed to cover in five of it's last six as a home favorite. Seven of the last nine meetings in Tuscaloosa have gone under the total. Take AUB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-18 | Auburn v. Alabama UNDER 53 | Top | 21-52 | Loss | -115 | 71 h 12 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State OVER 48.5 | 28-15 | Loss | -110 | 52 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WASH@WSU to go Over. The Huskies have lost their last two road games at Oregon and at California. They face a Washington State team that comes in as winners of seven straight. During that run they have beat some of the PAC12's best teams: (Utah, Oregon and Stanford). Gardner Minshew leads the nation in passing, with almost 500 yards more than Jordan Ta'amu who sits in second. With over 800 yards, nine TDs and no INTs the last two weeks, it's fair to say that he's in a groove. The Cougars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home game, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Washington has failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams. I like Washington State to stay hot here at home, out-lasting the Huskies in a shootout. The total here is below 50 for the first time since 2008, and the Cougars have gone over in 10 of their last 14 overall. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-18 | Washington v. Washington State -135 | 28-15 | Loss | -135 | 52 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington State Cougars. The Huskies have lost their last two road games at Oregon and at California. They face a Washington State team that comes in as winners of seven straight. During that run they have beat some of the PAC12's best teams: (Utah, Oregon and Stanford). Gardner Minshew leads the nation in passing, with almost 500 yards more than Jordan Ta'amu who sits in second. With over 800 yards, nine TDs and no INTs the last two weeks, it's fair to say that he's in a groove. The Cougars are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 home game, and 6-1 ATS in their last seven against a team with a winning record. Washington has failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are 0-7 ATS in their last seven versus PAC12 teams. I like Washington State to stay hot here at home, out-lasting the Huskies in a shootout. Take WSU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-18 | Oklahoma v. West Virginia +3.5 | 59-56 | Win | 100 | 27 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Mountaineers. | |||||||
11-22-18 | Falcons +13.5 v. Saints | 17-31 | Loss | -115 | 43 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Atlanta Falcons. The Saints have won nine in a row, and they are ranked #1 overall in all of the NFL Power Rankings. They have won four in a row by a double digit margin, and right now they appear to be indestructible. As strange as it sounds, that's often when a team is at it's most vulnerable. They will be an enormous favorite at home versus the Falcons this week, in a rematch of a thrilling 43-37 barn burner in Atlanta earlier this year. Drew Brees tied the game with a last minute TD forcing overtime, and then he walked it off with a 1 yard rushing TD a few minutes into the overtime period. The Falcons were so close to winning that game, yet the bookmakers are saying that they can't even come within two TDs here in New Orleans. Atlanta is 4-6 overall, but only two of their six losses came by more than a TD. They lost on the final play against Dallas last week, lost by a single point to the Bengals, and lost by six in their season opener at Philly. I'll take the points here with an Atlanta team that is capable of keeping up in a high scoring game. Take ATL. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,060 |
Dan Kaiser | $932 |
Jesse Schule | $566 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Ray Monohan | $518 |
Mike Lundin | $493 |
Tom Macrina | $430 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Joseph D'Amico | $390 |
Big Al McMordie | $340 |