Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-19-21 | Packers -2 v. Ravens | Top | 31-30 | Loss | -110 | 167 h 56 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
12-19-21 | Texans v. Jaguars -4.5 | 30-16 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Jags. Urban Meyer was not popular with the Jaguars players, and they might be eager to prove that he was the problem. James Robinson is one player that will have something to prove. He saw his workload dramatically reduced in recent weeks. He draws a favorable matchup this week against the Texans who rank dead last in the NFL versus the run. With Carlos Hyde out with a concussion, Robinson should get plenty of work. The Texans defense has allowed 147.9 rushing yards per game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-21 | Patriots v. Colts -130 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Indy. The Patriots are on top of the world after beating the Bills in spectacular fashion in a bad weather game in Buffalo. Their winning streak sits at seven games, and if they are ever going to suffer a let down this would be as good as spot as any. This is a huge game for the Colts, and Jonathan Taylor. The NFL's leading rusher has 10 rushing TDs in his last five games, and while the Patriots have one of the league's best defenses, they are better against the pass than they are versus the run. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-21 | Appalachian State -134 v. Western Kentucky | 38-59 | Loss | -134 | 14 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Appalachian State. Western Kentucky gave up 49 points in a loss to UTSA in the C-USA championship game. The Hilltoppers defense has been torched often this season, and this is not a favorable matchup facing a well rounded App State team. The Hilltoppers can score their share of points, but their defense can't stop anyone. Western Kentucky is 1-6 ATS in their last seven versus Sun Belt teams, and the over 7-3-1 in their last 11 versus teams from that conference. The Mountaineers are 4-1 ATS in their last five bowl games, and I expect them to score their fair share here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-21 | Coastal Carolina -10.5 v. Northern Illinois | 47-41 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 16 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
12-16-21 | Chiefs -160 v. Chargers | 34-28 | Win | 100 | 19 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on KC. What do the Lions, Jets and Jaguars have in common? Well they all rank better than the Chargers at defending the run. LA is allowing over 140 rushing yards per game, only the Houston Texans rank worse against the run. We expect Chiefs running back Clyde Edwards Helaire to have a big night. He ran for 37 yards and two TDs on 10 carries in the win over the Raiders on Sunday. He didn't get much work in the second half of a blowout, and should come in with fresh legs. The Chiefs have won seven of their last eight games, allowing an average of just 11 points per game in those wins. It has been their defense and their running game that has carried them. This is a revenge game for KC, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight in LA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-21 | Rams v. Cardinals -132 | 30-23 | Loss | -132 | 24 h 46 m | Show | |
10* | |||||||
12-12-21 | Bears v. Packers UNDER 43 | 30-45 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 10 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Cold winter nights at Lambeau Field are not an ideal setting for quarterbacks to pad the stats in the passing game. Justin Fields rarely tosses the ball around the yard at the best of times. He's only bettered this number twice this season, and in a home loss to the Packers he threw for 174 yards with a TD and an INT on 16-of-27 passing. Fields is coming back from a rib injury, and while he's healthy enough to start this game, there's no guarantee he will finish it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-21 | 49ers v. Bengals +2 | 26-23 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
12-12-21 | Saints -5 v. Jets | 30-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on N.O. The Saints have lost five straight, but they will be the favorite on the road at New York this week. The Jets rank dead last in the NFL in scoring defense, and with Alvin Kamara coming back we could see the Saints snap this skid. Kamara has played in eight games this season, scoring seven TDs. He should find plenty of holes in this Jets defense. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-21 | Ravens v. Browns -142 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on CLE. Fans of Lamar Jackson will have to face the facts, the dude has a history of folding at the end of the season when the weather gets colder and the games become more meaningful. His doubters will point out that he's thrown eight INTs (four of those in a home game against Cleveland) while throwing six TDs in his last four games. The Ravens have lost three of their last five overall. This is a tough spot for the Ravens, playing Cleveland on the road with the Browns coming off a bye. I expect Lamar to struggle once again. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-21 | Navy v. Army -7 | 17-13 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Army. The Black Knights have won four of the last five meetings between these two teams, and they are clearly the better team this year. The Midshipmen were just 3-8 with wins over Temple, UCF and Tulsa. Army won eight games, and lost a close game on the road 20-14 at Wisconsin. The Black Knights are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight neutral site games, and 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games in December. They rank second in the nation in rushing averaging over 300 yards per game, and averaged 35 points per game. Navy isn't equipped to keep up with that kind of production. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-21 | Steelers v. Vikings -166 | 28-36 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIN. Minnesota has lost back to back games on the road, but the Vikings are 42-19 ATS in their last 61 games following a straight up loss. Their defense was a disaster in a loss to Detroit on Sunday, but they host a Steelers team that only averages 20 points per game. Kirk Cousins continues to put up solid numbers, but doesn't get a lot of credit from the media. He threw for 340 yards and two TDs on 30-of-40 passing in the loss to Detroit. Big Ben on the other hand has not had a spectacular season, and he's expected to retire at the the end of this season. He's not a fan of playing on short rest, and I don't expect he will be at his best here in Minnesota. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-21 | Patriots +3 v. Bills | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New England. Bill Belichick has the Patriots back on top in the AFC, and they roll into Buffalo as a three point underdog. The Bills are coming off a Thanksgiving Day win over New Orleans, but they have alternated wins and losses over their last six games. Historically the Pats have owned the Bills, the Patriots are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 meetings in Buffalo. The road team is 22-8-2 ATS in their last 32 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-21 | Broncos v. Chiefs UNDER 47.5 | 9-22 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. All of a sudden the Denver Broncos have won three of their last four and they rank 1st in the NFL in scoring defense. The Chiefs have won four straight, and their defense has allowed just 12 points per gane during that span. They have been a lot more focused on their running game, and they ran for 126 yards and two TDs in a win over the Cowboys two weeks ago. Patrick Mahomes didn't throw a TD pass in that game, and he's only had one multi TD game in his last five starts. The under is 23-11 in the Broncos last 34 games in December, and the under is 4-1-1 in the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-21 | 49ers -146 v. Seahawks | 23-30 | Loss | -146 | 1 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SF. The Seahawks are a team in decline, and massive changes are coming. Russell Wilson is likely going to be playing elshwere next season, and he hasn't looked sharp since returning from injury. The Seattle defense ranks worst in the NFL in yards per game, and the 49ers come in off three straight wins, scoring 30+ in all of those games. This appears to be a spot where two teams are just going in opposite directions. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-21 | Cardinals v. Bears +7.5 | 33-22 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on CHI. Only two teams have allowed fewer points per game than Arizona this season (Denver and Buffalo). The Cardinals though are just 2-2 in their last four overall, and the offense has struggled with Kyler Murray battling injuries. The Bears defense ranks among the best in the NFL, and playing in December in cold and windy Chicago is an advantage for the home team. The under is 11-3 in the Cardinals last 14 road games, and the Bears have failed to reach the total in 18 of their last 24 in Chicago. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-21 | Georgia -6 v. Alabama | Top | 24-41 | Loss | -111 | 85 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UGA. This line opened far too low, because the bookmakers know that it's hard to talk the public into betting against Alabama. The Tide really shouldn't be expected to compete here against a Bulldogs team that has steamrolled everything in front of them. This Alabama team just barely beat LSU, Arkansas and Auburn in their last three SEC games. If you take away the name “Alabama”, and just judge them based on their resume this season, they might as well be Florida. The Bulldogs beat the Gators by 27 points. Georgia should win this game by double digits. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State -3.5 | 46-13 | Loss | -109 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SDSU. Utah State will play San Diego State in the Mountain West Championship game, and I think the Aggies are biting off more than they can chew. This Utah State team is fresh off a 44-17 home loss to Wyoming two weeks ago, and the Cowboys ran for 362 yards in that game. The last time they faced San Diego State, the Aztecs ran for over 400 yards and won by 31. The Aztecs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five versus Utah State. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone over the total. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-21 | Utah State v. San Diego State OVER 49.5 | 46-13 | Win | 100 | 23 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over Utah State will play San Diego State in the Mountain West Championship game, and I think the Aggies are biting off more than they can chew. This Utah State team is fresh off a 44-17 home loss to Wyoming two weeks ago, and the Cowboys ran for 362 yards in that game. The last time they faced San Diego State, the Aztecs ran for over 400 yards and won by 31. The Aztecs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have covered in four of their last five versus Utah State. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone over the total. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-21 | Baylor v. Oklahoma State -200 | 21-16 | Loss | -200 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKST. The Cowboys beat the Bears 24-14 early in the season, and what stands out to me is that the Bears failed to take advantage of a 3-0 turnover margin. Those turnovers made a blowout look more like a close game. Oklahoma State had an edge in first downs (24-10) and total yards (401-280). History tells us that the Cowboys have had the edge, with the Bears going just 5-11 ATS in the last 16 head to head meetings. The Cowboys are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-21 | Oregon v. Utah -140 | 10-38 | Win | 100 | 95 h 4 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
12-02-21 | Cowboys v. Saints +5 | 27-17 | Loss | -109 | 18 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on New Orleans. The Saints have lost four straight, prompting them to make a change at quarterback. Enter Taysom Hill who was quite successful filling in at QB last year. The Saints won three of the four games he started last season. Dallas has lost back to back games, and they have been hit hard by Covid19. Mike McCarthy won't be on the sidelines in New Orleans, and several players will miss the game. Amari Cooper is expected to return after testing positive a few weeks ago. The Cowboys are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five meetings in New Orleans. The underdog is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-21 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team OVER 46.5 | 15-17 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 11 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
11-28-21 | Rams -125 v. Packers | 28-36 | Loss | -125 | 22 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAR. The Packers are banged up, and they face a stacked LA Rams team that comes in off a bye week. This could be a recipe for disaster for Green Bay. Aaron Rodgers has a broken toe, Aaron Jones has a knee injury, and the offensive line is in rough shape. We expect winter weather in Green Bay on Sunday, and the Packers have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight games overall. The under is 22-7-1 in the Rams last 30 games as a favorite, and they have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-21 | Pittsburgh v. Syracuse +13 | 31-14 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Syracuse. Pittsburgh is the better team here, nobody can argue that point. The fact is that this game isn't all that meaningful for the Panthers, who should be looking ahead to the ACC Championship Game. The Orange on the other hand will have a chance to become bowl eligible with a win in their final home game. They have lost five of their seven games in the ACC, but they have been a completely different team at home compared to on the road. They are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games, and 6-1 ATS in their last six as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-21 | Kentucky v. Louisville OVER 57 | 52-21 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Louisville scored 35 points in the first half last week against Duke, and they scored 35 points in the first half in their last home game against Syracuse. Now Kentucky is a step up in competition, but the Cardinals are still going to score their points. Five of the last six head to head meetings have gone over the total. The over is 8-3 in the Cardinals last 11 games in November, and the over is 23-7 in the Wildcats last 30 non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-21 | Oregon State v. Oregon UNDER 61 | 29-38 | Loss | -102 | 15 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Ducks playoff hopes are over, and they might be vulnerable here in this big rivalry game. Weather could be a factor, with rain in the forecast. We expect both teams to lean heavily on their running game, which should chew up the clock and keep the score from getting too high. The under is 4-0 in the Ducks last four games following a straight up loss. The Beavers defense held Arizona State to just 3.3 yards per carry (100 total rush yards) last week. They have plenty of reason to get up for this game, so don't be surprised if they give the Ducks a run for their money. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-26-21 | TCU v. Iowa State UNDER 60.5 | 14-48 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Cyclones are coming off back to back losses to Texas Tech and Oklahoma, and they finish the season at home against TCU. The Horned Frogs have plenty to play for, with a chance to become bowl eligible. The Cyclones have gone under in eight of their last nine home games, and the under is 4-1 in their last five games in November. It's going to be a freezing cold day at Jack Trice Stadium, and I think a total over 60 seems a little inflated. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-21 | Ole Miss v. Mississippi State UNDER 61 | 31-21 | Win | 100 | 92 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. You look at this game between Ole Miss and Mississippi State, with two head coaches that are known for their offense, you might think this will be a high scoring game. History says otherwise, as these teams have gone under in eight of the last 10, and seven of the last eight head to head meetings. Both teams have shown that they can play defense in recent weeks. The Rebels have held three straight opponents to fewer than 20 points, and they have gone under 60 combined points in six straight overall. The under is 12-5 in the Bulldogs last 17 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-21 | Raiders +7.5 v. Cowboys | 36-33 | Win | 100 | 91 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LV. The Raiders have lost three straight, and Derek Carr has thrown as many INTs (4) as he has TDs during that span. They are up against a Cowboys team that scored just nine points on three FGs in a loss at Kansas City on Sunday. Amari Cooper didn't play as he recovers from Covid, and he won't be available on Thanksgiving. Ceedee Lamb left Sunday's game with a concussion, but he's been back at practice and might be able to start. Ezekiel Elliott is dealing with a knee injury, and while he will play his workload is expected to be cut back. With all the injuries on offense, I am not sure the Cowboys should be asked to cover more than a TD here. The Raiders are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog, and the Cowboys are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 Thursday games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-21 | Bears v. Lions +3.5 | 16-14 | Win | 100 | 46 h 0 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Lions. The Lions lost 13-10 at Cleveland last week, losing by three points or less for the third time this season. The Bears come in to this Thanksgiving Day matchup favored by 3.5, and that sets up the potential for that half point to be very significant. The last time the Bears played in the Motor City, they won by a score of 27-24 in September of 2020. Three of the last four head to head meetings have been decided by four points or less, so there is every reason to expect this game to be close. The Bears are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite, while the Lions are 4-0 ATS in their last five when scoring 15 points or less in their previous game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-21 | Buffalo v. Ball State UNDER 59.5 | 3-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The mid week MAC games have been going over the total at an incredible rate, and perhaps that's why the bookmakers have listed the total so high for tonight's game between Buffalo and Ball State. The Bulls will have their backup QB under center, and the Cardinals offense ranks dead last in the MAC West. Ball State has failed to reach the total in seven straight home games, and the under is 5-0 in the Cardinals last five games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-21 | Giants v. Bucs OVER 49.5 | 10-30 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Bucs will be a double digit favorite at home on Monday Night Football versus the Giants, but they have lost back to back games to Washington and New Orleans. While both those losses came on the road, the fact is that a pair of mediocre teams scored a total of 65 points in those games. Injuries in the secondary are hurting the Bucs, and without Vita Vea their run defense is suffering as well. Both these teams have offensive starters coming back from injury, and they have a history of playing high scoring games. The over is 6-0 in the last six head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-21 | Ravens v. Bears +6.5 | 16-13 | Win | 100 | 22 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bears. Chicago probably deserved to win in a controversial loss to Pittsburgh in their last game. They have had a long week to prepare for the Ravens, and this looks like a tough spot for Baltimore. The Ravens are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss. It's going to be cold and windy in Chicago, and this game should be a war of attrition. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-21 | Colts v. Bills -7 | 41-15 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Buffalo. The Colts might be biting off more than they can chew here on the road at Buffalo. Indy is 5-5 but when you look at their wins over the Jags, Jets, Texans and Dolphins, it doesn't inspire much confidence. The Bills are 14-5-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and the favorite is 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings between these teams. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-21 | Washington Football Team v. Panthers -170 | 27-21 | Loss | -170 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Carolina. The media is making a big deal about the return of Cam Newton, but it's the return of Christian McCaffrey that has reversed their fortunes. He ran for 95 yards and caught 10 passes for 66 yards in last week's win over Arizona. He's played in five games this season, and Carolina is 4-1 in those games. This is a let down spot for Washington coming off a home win over The Bucs. They have failed to cover in four of their last five road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-21 | Packers v. Vikings +107 | 31-34 | Win | 107 | 13 h 7 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Vikings. Minnesota will be a home dog in this rivalry game versus the Packers, and this looks like a let down spot for Green Bay. In a home game versus Seattle, the Packers lost their star running back and a handful of defensive starters. That's gonna make it tough here against a Vikings team that is showing signs of improvement in the second half of the season. The Vikings are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. The underdog is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-21 | Dolphins -3 v. Jets | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Miami. At first glance the Dolphins are 3-7 and the Jets are 2-7, so you might assume these teams are close in terms of talent. The Jets rank dead last in the NFL in scoring defense, and their offense is in the hands of a 36 year old Joe Flacco. He's appeared in six games for the Jets over the last two seasons, and the Jets are 0-6 in those games. History favors Miami, the Dolphins are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-20-21 | Oklahoma State v. Texas Tech +11 | 23-0 | Loss | -110 | 41 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Texas Tech. The Red Raiders came out of their bye week and scored a whopping 31 points in the first half last week against Iowa State. The Cyclones rallied, but Texas Tech held on to win the game on a 62 yard FG at the buzzer. They host Oklahoma State this week, and at first glance the Cowboys look pretty good at 9-1. Oklahoma State hasn't been a good bet against Texas Tech, failing to cover in five straight versus the Red Raiders. Texas Tech has covered in eight of their last 10 as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-20-21 | Oregon v. Utah -155 | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 41 h 7 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-20-21 | Baylor v. Kansas State UNDER 50 | 20-10 | Win | 100 | 39 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Baylor is coming off a huge upset win over Oklahoma, and their defense held the Sooners to just 14 points. They could suffer a let down here at Kansas State, as the Wildcats have won four straight and allowed just 16 points per game during that span. The under is 8-3 in the Bears last 11 road games, and the Wildcats have gone under in five of their last six as a favorite. The under is 11-3-1 in the Wildcats last 15 games in November. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-20-21 | UL-Lafayette v. Liberty -180 | 42-14 | Loss | -180 | 14 h 14 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Liberty. | |||||||
11-20-21 | Illinois +13 v. Iowa | 23-33 | Win | 100 | 35 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Illinois. The Hawkeyes are 2-2 in their last four overall, and their offense has scored just 14.5 points per game during that span. They come into Saturday's home game against Illinois as a double digit favorite, but I have them on upset alert. Illinois is gunning for a third straight road win against a Top 25 team, coming off wins over #7 ranked Penn State and #20 Minnesota. They ran for 357 yards against the Nittany Lions, and in their win over Minnesota they held the Gophers to 89 yards rushing. Coming off a bye week, I expect Illinois to be highly competitive here at Iowa. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-20-21 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma -165 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 33 h 27 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-20-21 | Wake Forest +4.5 v. Clemson | 27-48 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wake Forest. The Tigers are 7-3, two games back of Wake Forest in the ACC standings, but they are a 4.5 point favorite at home versus the Deacons on Saturday. The brand name of Clemson might be carrying too much weight, because the product on the field doesn't justify being favored here. Sam Hartman has been lighting it up all year, and last week he threw for 290 yards and three TDs in a 45-42 win over #16 N.C. State. DJ Uiagalelei threw for just 111 yards on 12-of-26 passing in a loss to the Wolfpack earlier this year. The Tigers are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they have failed to cover in six of their last seven home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-19-21 | Memphis v. Houston -8.5 | 13-31 | Win | 100 | 19 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Houston. The Memphis Tigers are just 5-5, and they are just 2-4 in conference play. They have failed to cover in all four of their road games this season, and they are 3-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a road underdog. Their offense has struggled, partially because it has been so one dimensional. Having little success running the football, things could be worse as their #1 WR and best offensive player (Calvin Austin) has been banged up for weeks, and only played only a few snaps in the first half and was extremely limited in the second half in last week's lost to ECU. The Cougars have won nine straight, and they are undefeated in conference play. Houston QB Clayton Tune has been lights out this season, and he's thrown 14 TD passes without an INT in his last five starts. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-21 | Patriots -6.5 v. Falcons | 25-0 | Win | 100 | 29 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Matt Ryan over 0.5 INT. The Patriots defense ranks second in the NFL with 14 INTs in 10 games so far this season. They come into Atlanta as winners of four straight. Matt Ryan was terrible last week, throwing for 117 yards and two INTs on 9-of-21 passing in a loss to Dallas. He's thrown five picks in his last four starts, and this is not a favorable matchup for the Falcons. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-21 | Toledo v. Ohio UNDER 58 | 35-23 | Push | 0 | 6 h 35 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. This total has been bet up several points over the last 24 hrs. We have seen an ongoing trend of high scoring games in the midweek MAC games, but Toledo is coming off a solid defensive performance against Bowling Green, They held the Falcons to 196 total yards, and just 67 yards passing. They ran the ball 42 times, and attempted just 25 passes. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going over in just one of the last six head to head meetings. The under is 11-1 in the Bobcats last 12 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-21 | Rams -174 v. 49ers | 10-31 | Loss | -174 | 6 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAR. The Rams are most people's favorite to win the Super Bowl, and they doubled down with the moves to add Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr. They lost last week to the Titans, and that sets them up for a "get right" game here in San Francisco. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. LA has the better QB, and the better coach. The Niners drafted Trey Lance because they didn't trust Jimmy G. Kyle Shanahan might not be the answer either, and he should be on the hot seat. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings, and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-21 | Rams v. 49ers UNDER 50.5 | 10-31 | Win | 100 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Rams are most people's favorite to win the Super Bowl, and they doubled down with the moves to add Von Miller and Odell Beckham Jr. They lost last week to the Titans, and that sets them up for a "get right" game here in San Francisco. The Rams are 13-3-1 ATS in their last 17 games following a double-digit loss at home. LA has the better QB, and the better coach. The Niners drafted Trey Lance because they didn't trust Jimmy G. Kyle Shanahan might not be the answer either, and he should be on the hot seat. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last eight meetings, and the road team is 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-21 | Bills v. Jets OVER 48 | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 2 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Jets are a double digit dog at home versus Buffalo, but they might not be as bad as you think. There are 2-1 at home this season, and there is no denying that when Mike White steps in at QB they make things interesting. White has played in three games, completing 73 percent of his passes for 702 yards and five TDs. The Jets have gone over in five straight, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. This might be a get right game for the Bills, but I expect Mike White to put some points on the board for the Jets. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-21 | Texas A&M -128 v. Ole Miss | 19-29 | Loss | -128 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Aggies. The Rebels offense has been cooking this season, but a string of injuries could prove to be fatal ahead of this marquee matchup against the mighty Aggies defense. Texas A&M ranks second nationally allowing just 14.7 points per game. The Aggies rely on their running game for offense, and Ole Miss ranks at the bottom of the SEC versus the run, allowing almost 200 rushing yards per game. The Rebels are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a home underdog, and they have lost their last three versus the Aggies. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-21 | Maryland v. Michigan State -12 | 21-40 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play Michigan State. The Spartans suffered a let down after their big win over Michigan. Coming off a loss to Purdue, you can expect Michigan State to get back on track against a Maryland team that has trouble protecting the football. Taulia Tagovailoa has thrown as many INTs (8) as he has TD passes in his last five starts. The Terrapins are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 conference games, and they are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 road games. Kenneth Walker has run for over 300 yards and eight TDs in his last two games in East Lansing. Expect him to light up the scoreboard again today. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-21 | Minnesota v. Iowa -175 | 22-27 | Win | 100 | 20 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Iowa. Minnesota scored just six points in a home loss to Illinois last week, and their injuries are starting to take a toll. Their backfield is thin after their top three running backs all picked up injuries. The next man up had been picking up the slack, until they averaged just 2.5 yards per carry and failed to run for 100 yards in the loss to Illinois. Iowa ran for 185 yards, averaging 4.9 yards per carry in a win over Northwestern last week. Minnesota has failed to cover in five straight versus the Hawkeyes, and I expect that trend to continue this week. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-21 | Michigan v. Penn State +105 | 21-17 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. The Wolverines will be a road favorite at Penn State this Saturday, and it's as if the bookmakers don't know that Jim Harbaugh has a troubling history in big games in the BIG10. He's just 2-13 against Top 10 ranked teams, and while Penn State isn't even ranked, they were a Top 10 team earlier in the year when they beat Auburn at home, and lost a close game on the road at #3 ranked Iowa. Michigan has lost three of it's last four versus the Nittany Lions, and the home team is 4-1 straight up in the last five meetings. The Nittany Lions are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-21 | Ravens -7.5 v. Dolphins | 10-22 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on Baltimore. In case you hadn't noticed, there are two NFL teams that are surely tanking this season. It was perfectly clear when Houston played Miami last week that neither team was all that interested in winning. Jacoby Brissett got the start in place of Tua Tagovailoa, and despite throwing for two picks and getting sacked four times, Miami hung on for a 17-9 win. To say that recent history favors the Ravens would be an understatement. Baltimore has won the last two meetings by a combined score of 99-10. The Ravens have covered in nine straight against the Dolphins, and six of those games were in Miami. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-21 | Toledo v. Bowling Green OVER 49.5 | 49-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Toledo will come into Bowling Green as a double digit road favorite, and both of these two teams are coming in scoring a ton of points. Bowling Green is coming off a 56-44 win over Buffalo, totaling 484 yards of offense. They allowed Buffalo to tally up 499 yards of offense in that game. Toledo is coming off a 52-49 home loss to Eastern Michigan, in a game where they racked up a whopping 672 yards. The Falcons have gone over in five of their last seven as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-09-21 | Buffalo v. Miami-OH OVER 57 | 18-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Bulls have had a disappointing season so far, and a 56-44 home loss to Bowling Green didn't help matters. They have had two weeks to put that behind them, and they are hoping for a much better effort here on the road at Miami-Ohio. These teams have a history of playing high scoring games, the over is 12-4 in the last 16 head to head meetings. The over is 8-1 in the last nine meetings in Oxford. Both these teams should pile on the points here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-21 | Titans v. Rams -7 | 28-16 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 6 m | Show | |
7* | |||||||
11-07-21 | Packers v. Chiefs UNDER 54.5 | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 101 h 0 m | Show | |
8 | |||||||
11-07-21 | Packers +7.5 v. Chiefs | 7-13 | Win | 100 | 98 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GB. So Aaron Rodgers is out with Covid, and the line has moved in favor of the Chiefs. Seems like a big overreaction to me. Keep in mind that the Chiefs are tied for last place in the AFC West, and last week just barely beat the Giants who were down their top two WRs and starting RB Saquon Barkley. The Packers still have studs at WR and RB, and a solid defense. The question is, how bad is backup QB Jordan Love? He's going to have to be pretty bad for the Packers to lose this game by more than a TD. We've already seen the Jets win with Mike White, the Cowboys win with Cooper Rush, The Browns win with Case Keenum and the Seahawks win with Geno Smith. Don't be surprised if we add Jordan Love's name to that list. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-21 | Patriots -177 v. Panthers | 24-6 | Win | 100 | 60 h 47 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
11-07-21 | Raiders -165 v. Giants | 16-23 | Loss | -165 | 60 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LV. The Raiders continue to face adversity, coming off another week of tragic headlines and scandal. They have already proven that they can overcome these distractions, and I still believe they bring a lot more talent to the table than the sad sacked New York Giants. New York will not have starting RB Barkley and top two WR Sheppard and Galloday. The Giants are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 home games, and they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-21 | Vikings v. Ravens OVER 49.5 | 31-34 | Win | 100 | 47 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Vikings know they need to be more agressive moving forward. Assistant coach Andre Patterson told reporters this week: "Instead of trying not to lose games, we need to go out and try to win". Being too conservative might explain why the Vikings offense ranks near the top of the league in total yards, but not in points scored. It's only a matter of time before those numbers even out. The over is 10-2 in the Vikings last 12 games following a straight up loss, and they have gone over in five straight road games. These two teams have gone over in five straight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-21 | San Diego State v. Hawaii +7 | 17-10 | Push | 0 | 21 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Hawaii. Hawaii will be an underdog at home against San Diego State, but the Aztecs aren't the powerhouse they used to be in the Mountain West. San Diego State lost by double digits at home to Fresno State last week, and they gave up almost 500 yards of offense in that game. The Bulldogs lost at Hawaii earlier this season, and it would be no surprise to see the Aztecs struggle on the road here. The Rainbow Warriors are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog. Hawaii QB Chevan Coriero played well last week, throwing for 296 yards, three TDs and an INT on 23-of-39 passing in a loss to Utah State. He should keep his team competitive here in this game. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-21 | Wake Forest v. North Carolina OVER 76.5 | 55-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Wake Forest is an offensive juggernaut, coming in averaging over 50 points per game in their last three games, and over 43 points per game this season. They are an underdog on the road at North Carolina, and the Tar Heels are another team that can score more than their share. These two teams have gone over the total in five straight at North Carolina, and the Tar Heels have gone over in five of their last seven overall. This game has shootout written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-21 | Utah v. Stanford UNDER 54 | 52-7 | Loss | -102 | 21 h 49 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
11-04-21 | Jets v. Colts OVER 45.5 | 30-45 | Win | 100 | 18 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. Last week the Jets totaled 511 yards and upset the Bengals winning 34-31. Nobody saw it coming, but perhaps we should have been more optimistic about Mike "Effin" White. After all he did step in the previous week and immediately New York's offense started moving the ball. The Colts have been far from perfect, and they have gone over in four of their last five overall. These teams have gone over in seven of the laat 10 head to head meetings, and with Mike "Effin" White under center the Jets offense could make some noise here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-21 | Giants +10.5 v. Chiefs | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 6 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYG. We all know that the Chiefs are capable of playing a lot better than they have this season. That being said they were not a great first half team even during their Super Bowl seasons. They also weren't great at covering the spread even dating back to last season. The Chiefs are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games overall, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight as a home favorite. The Giants are 22-7 ATS in their last 29 games as a road underdog. The bookmakers listing KC as the double digit favorite flies in the face of all the historical trends. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings UNDER 55 | 20-16 | Win | 100 | 100 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Cowboys will make a decision on Dak Prescott before kickofff, but whether or not he plays it seems clear that he's not going to be 100 percent. The game plan here should be focused on a heavy dose of Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott. Only Cleveland has averaged more rushing yards per game than the Cowboys this season. The Cowboys have lost five of their last six at Minnesota, and the Vikings are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games versus a team with a winning road record. At 3-3 the Vikings appear to be flying under the radar, and this looks like a good spot for the home team. The under is 4-1 in the Vikes last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-21 | Cowboys v. Vikings -125 | 20-16 | Loss | -125 | 75 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Minny. The Cowboys will make a decision on Dak Prescott before kickofff, but whether or not he plays it seems clear that he's not going to be 100 percent. The game plan here should be focused on a heavy dose of Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott. Only Cleveland has averaged more rushing yards per game than the Cowboys this season. The Cowboys have lost five of their last six at Minnesota, and the Vikings are 14-4 ATS in their last 18 home games versus a team with a winning road record. At 3-3 the Vikings appear to be flying under the radar, and this looks like a good spot for the home team. The under is 4-1 in the Vikes last five home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-21 | Patriots v. Chargers -4 | 27-24 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 3 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-31-21 | Bengals -4 v. Jets | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 6 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
10-31-21 | Titans v. Colts -145 | 34-31 | Loss | -145 | 12 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Colts. The Titans were my pick to win the AFC South, but they are on the road in Indy this week coming off consecutive impressive wins over KC and Buffalo. This could be a let down spot against a Colts team that has been getting better every week. Indy has won three of their last four overall, allowing an average of 17 points per game during that span. The Titans are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 meetings in Indianapolis, and the Colts have covered in 14 of the last 20 head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-21 | Eagles v. Lions +3.5 | 44-6 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a free play on DET. The Lions are 0-7, and this week's home game is as good a chance as they willl probably have to win a game this season. Only two teams in history have gone 0-16 in a season, and one of those teams was the 2008 Lions. Detroit hasn't played that bad at home this season, losing close games to San Francisco, Baltimore and Cincinnati. They have covered in five of their last six versus the Eagles, and the Eagles are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games. The Eagles are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss. This Philly team has no business being a favorite on the road, not even against the Lions. GL, Jesse Schue | |||||||
10-30-21 | Iowa +3.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 7-27 | Loss | -110 | 38 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Iowa. Just two weeks ago Iowa was #2 in the polls, and looking like the favorite to win the BIG10. After losing 24-7 at home to Purdue, they are an underdog on the road at Wisconsin two weeks later. Keep in mind that their loss to Purdue was partially explained by turnovers (4). Normally the Hawkeyes win the turnover battle, and perhaps coming off a bye week will give them a better chance to do that here in Wisconsin. The Badgers are coming off a blowout win over Purdue, again explained by turnovers (5). There is no doubt that the results of each of these team's last game is having an impact on this line, which appears to a be a classic case of recency bias. This game should probably be closer to a pickem. I'll take the points with the Hawkeyes. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-28-21 | Packers +6.5 v. Cardinals | 24-21 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GB. It's a shame that Devonte Adams will miss this game due to Covid19 protocols, but Aaron Rogers still has plenty of weapons. In fact with the way that the Cardinals offense has been playing, getting Aaron Jones and the running game going, controlling the clock might not be a bad idea. Adams isn't the only star player who won't play tonight, as the news is out that J.J. Watt might be done for the season with a shoulder injury. Even more reason why the Packers should look to run on this Cardinals defense. The closest the Cardinals came to losing so far was a 34-33 home game against the Vikings, and Dalvin Cook ran for 131 yards on 22 carries in that game. The Packers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus a team with a winning record, and the under is 5-1 in their last six versus Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-21 | Saints -197 v. Seahawks | 13-10 | Win | 100 | 24 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on New Orleans. The Seahawks trailed 14-0 at the half in Pittsburgh last week, and their second half rally was mostly a product of their running game. The Saints defense isn't an ideal opponent here, as only the Tampa Bay Bucs have allowed fewer rush yards per game than New Orleans. Leading rusher Chris Carson is out, Geno Smith is at QB, and New Orleans is coming off a bye week. This could spell disaster for a Seattle team that has too many issues to list them all. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-21 | Colts v. 49ers -191 | 30-18 | Loss | -191 | 23 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on SF. The Colts are coming off a blowout win over Houston, and Carson Wentz is really starting to settle in as QB. He's facing a tougher test this week, and I expect him to regress here against a stingy San Francisco defense coming off a bye. The 49ers pushed the undefeated Arizona Cardinals to the brink in their last game, losing by a TD after Trey Lance was stopped a half an inch short of the goal line on fourth down. If we see a similar effort from the Niners defense, it's going to be tough sledding for Carson Wentz. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-21 | Bears v. Bucs -12 | 3-38 | Win | 100 | 64 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on TB. Justin Fields threw for 174 yards with a TD and an INT in last week's loss to Green Bay. He was sacked four times, bringing his total to 16 sacks in four starts. He's thrown more picks than TDs, and his completion percentage is barely over 50 percent. Any success the Bears have had this season has come with their running game, and that's a tough ask here matched up against a Bucs defense that is only allowing 55 rushing yards per game. Even with the injuries to Gronk and AB, the Bucs receiving corps is still pretty impressive with Mike Evans, Scotty Miller and Chris Godwin. This looks like a potential blowout. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-21 | Eagles v. Raiders -147 | 22-33 | Win | 100 | 64 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on LV. The Raiders appear to have put the John Gruden scandal behind them, or at least it looked like it last week in Denver. Derek Carr had a big game, throwing for 341 yards and a pair of TDs. The Eagles on the other hand got a back door cover in a home loss to Tampa, but Jalen Hurts threw for 115 yards with TD and an INT on 12-of-26 passing. The Eagles are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up loss. They have lost four of their last five against the Raiders, and this looks like another tough spot for a below average team with a below average QB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-21 | Chiefs v. Titans OVER 55.5 | 3-27 | Loss | -105 | 134 h 50 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Over. The Titans win over the Bills on Monday Night Football was quite impressive, but their defense was shredded by Josh Allen. It won't get any easier this week against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs. The last two meetings between these teams have gone over the total, even a high number such as 58 (the current number at some books). Kansas City ranks 29th in the NFL in scoring defense, and second in the NFL passing yards. This game has "shootout" written all over it. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-21 | New Mexico State v. Hawaii OVER 62 | 34-48 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. Hawaii defeated New Mexico State 41-21 earlier this season, but we expect an even higher score this time around. Why? Well since that loss the Aggies haven't improved defensively, allowing a combined 92 points in losses to San Jose State and Nevada. On a positive note, the passing game has been improving. Jonah Johnson has thrown for 725 yards, six TDs and one INT in his last two starts. The over is 36-16-1 in the Aggies last 53 road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-21 | BYU -175 v. Washington State | 21-19 | Win | 100 | 39 h 18 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on BYU. Washington State comes in riding a three game winning streak, but after coming from behind in the final minute to beat Stanford last week, head coach Nick Rolovich as well as a handful of his assistants were fired over vaccine mandates. “This is a tough day for Washington State football,” WSU AD Pat Chun said at a news conference. “Nobody wants to be here.” The Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last eight home games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams with a winning record. The Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last five non-conference games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-21 | Clemson v. Pittsburgh -160 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 25 h 8 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Pitt. To put this game in perspective, we will refer to home team versus away team. That will remove any preconceived bias that Clemson is an elite team. The home team is 5-1, ranked #23 in the polls, and ranked in the Top 10 nationally in points per game. The away team is 4-2 overall, unranked, and comes in averaging 20 points per game (220th nationally). The away team have failed to cover in seven straight games overall. The home team is 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall. Based on the numbers, you would think the home team would be a more significant favorite here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-21 | Oklahoma State +7 v. Iowa State | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 72 h 6 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on OKST. The Cowboys are 6-0, and Mike Gundy has recently been given a lifetime contract as head coach. Their offense hasn't been as prolific this year as it normally is, but their defense has been carrying them. That bodes well as the underdog here at Iowa State. The Cyclones are 4-2, and QB Brock Purdy threw for 1 TD and four INTs in those losses. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six head to head meetings, and the Cowboys are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-21-21 | Broncos v. Browns -119 | 14-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Browns. Cleveland is coming off an ugly home loss to Arizona, and the injuries are piling up. Bettors are lining up to fade the banged up Browns, moving the line from -6 to close to a pickem. The line dropped a few points on the news that Baker Mayfield was out, but I think Case Keenum is probably better than Baker (if Baker isn't healthy). Let's not forget that back in 2017 he won 13 games with the Vikings, throwing for over 3,500 yards with 22 TDs and 7 INTs. He's only 33 years old, and he should still be capable of stepping right in and playing above average (as far as a backup QB goes). It's also important to remember that the Broncos are 3-3, coming off three straight losses, and their three wins came against teams with a combined record of 3-14. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina -190 v. Appalachian State | 27-30 | Loss | -190 | 16 h 11 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
10-20-21 | Coastal Carolina v. Appalachian State UNDER 61.5 | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 16 h 10 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
10-18-21 | Bills -5.5 v. Titans | 31-34 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The Bills have won five straight, and they come into Tennessee as a sizeable favorite. While some might think this is a let down spot after their win in Kansas City, I see this as a classic revenge game. Buffalo lost 42-16 at Tennessee last season, and they are in an ideal spot to avenge that loss on Monday night. The Titans defense has really struggled, especially against the pass. Josh Allen shredded the Chiefs defense for 315 yards and three TDs, and I expect him to do the same here against the Bills. The Titans will try to turn the game into a shootout, but that's not going to be easy versus the Bills #1 ranked scoring defense. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-21 | Seahawks v. Steelers UNDER 48 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 170 h 28 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Seahawks are bound to be a bit conservative on offense with their backup QB under center and their leading rusher on the IR. While Seattle ranks dead last in total defense, that is a little misleading. It hasn't necessarily translated into points the way you would expect. The Seahawks are allowing 25 points per game in a league where four teams are allowing 30+ points per game. The Steelers are also not the ideal team to take advantage of Seattle's defensive shortcomings. The under is 7-1 in the Seahawks last eight games following an ATS loss, and they have failed to reach the number in six of their last seven on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-21 | Cowboys v. Patriots +3.5 | 35-29 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Patriots. I can't tell you that the Patriots are the better team, but I am a little skeptical that Dallas is going to come into Foxboro and blow out Bill Belichick and the boys. New England is 0-3 at home this season, but losses to Miami and Tampa came by three points combined. It's fair to say that the Pats got some help from the referees in the game against Brady, but it's also noteworthy that Mac Jones threw for 275 yards, two TDs and an INT on 31-of-40 passing in that game. The Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. The Patriots are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns -165 | 37-14 | Loss | -165 | 50 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Cleveland. | |||||||
10-17-21 | Cardinals v. Browns OVER 48 | 37-14 | Win | 100 | 23 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over | |||||||
10-17-21 | Dolphins v. Jaguars +3 | 20-23 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Jacksonville. The 1-4 Dolphins will be a favorite in London against the winless Jacksonville Jaguars, and it's hard to get excited about either one of these teams. Miami won their season opener on the road at New England by one point, in a game that they were about to lose before Damian Harris fumbled on the potential game winning drive inside the red zone. They have since lost four straight, three of those by double digits. We saw the best of the Jags when they played Cincinnati on TNF, but it wasn't enough for them to get a win. A similar effort here in London might be good enough for them to get the upset against a struggling Dolphins team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-21 | Air Force v. Boise State -165 | 24-17 | Loss | -165 | 22 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Boise State. The Broncos held BYU to just 111 yards rushing in a 26-17 upset win at Provo last week. They will have their hands full with Air Force and their power running game, but they might be able to put this game out of reach with their passing game. Air Force hasn't seen many quality QBs this season, but they were lit up for 448 yards by Logan Booner of Utah State. That might bode well for Hank Bachmeier who beat the Falcons at home 30-19 as a freshman in 2019. The Broncos are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite, and they are 4-0 ATS in their last four versus the Falcons. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-21 | Oklahoma State v. Texas -175 | 32-24 | Loss | -175 | 40 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Texas. The Longhorns are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry game, after leading 38-20 at halftime. Oklahoma scored 25 points in the fourth quarter to complete the comeback. The good news for Texas is that they likely don't have to worry about Oklahoma State coming roaring back with 25 fourth quarter points. The Cowboys are lucky if their offense can score 25 points in an entire game. Oklahoma State ranks 166th nationally scoring just over 25 points per game. I like Texas to end the Cowboys unbeaten run. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-21 | Michigan State -175 v. Indiana | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 39 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Michigan State. Are the Spartans for real? You can bet your ass they are! They come in ranked in the Top 10, with a 5-0 record that includes wins over Nebraska, Rutgers and Northwestern. Indiana started the season ranked in the Top 25, but starting QB Michael Penix Jr. struggled throwing almost twice as many picks as TDs. He's questionable to play today, and we could see backup QB Jack Tuttle. The Spartans are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite, and the Hoosiers are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-16-21 | Nebraska v. Minnesota +4.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 22 h 16 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Minnesota. Nebraska has played some pretty good games this season, but they continue to come out on the wrong side of close games. They lost by three points at home versus Michigan last week, just two weeks after they lost to Michigan State by three points. Even though Minnesota has injury concerns, I am not sure you can expect the Huskers to cover 4.5 points on the road. The Golden Gophers are 31-15-5 ATS in their last 51 games as an underdog. The home team has covered in four of the last five head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,060 |
Dan Kaiser | $932 |
Jesse Schule | $566 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Ray Monohan | $518 |
Mike Lundin | $493 |
Tom Macrina | $430 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Joseph D'Amico | $390 |
Big Al McMordie | $340 |