Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-29-20 | Colorado +8.5 v. Texas | 23-55 | Loss | -114 | 21 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado. Texas played a nine game schedule in 2020, and went 6-3 in those games. The majority of those games were close, six of the nine decided by seven points or less. Colorado only managed to play in five games, winning four of the five. Texas is expected to be thin on the offensive line with a couple of starters sitting for this game. The Buffaloes never had any higher expectations than playing in the Alamo Bowl, while Texas was hoping for a BIG12 Championship and possibly a Playoff spot. I think Texas is far too overvalued here and I'll take the points. G Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-20 | Bills v. Patriots UNDER 46.5 | 38-9 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Despite it being December in the Northeast, the total for Monday's Bills versus Patriots game is higher than it has been in each of the last five meetings between these teams. The state of the New England offense under Cam Newton doesn't inspire a lot of confidence that the Patriots are going to put up a lot of points. The Bills defense looks solid, holding three of their last four opponents to fewer than 20 points. New England has gone under in four straight home games, and the under is 14-6 in the Patriots last 20 games in December. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-20 | Titans v. Packers UNDER 54.5 | 14-40 | Win | 100 | 27 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. At first glance, you would expect a high score between the Titans and the Green Bay Packers. Give it a little more thought though, and it might be a little optimistic to expect them to score a combined 55 points in the snow here on Sunday night. Tennessee has seen three of their last four road games fall short of that number, and Green Bay has gone under in four of their last five at Lambeau. The under is 7-0 in the Packers last seven games in December. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-27-20 | Bears -7 v. Jaguars | 41-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Chicago. The Bears now have their destiny in their own hands with a chance to make the playoffs if they run the table and win their final two games. They aren't likely to face much resistance here in Jacksonville, as the Jags are currently winning the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes. Leading rusher James Robinson won't play for the Jags, sitting out with an ankle injury. They will have their 3rd string quarterback (Mike Glennon) under center, and he's thrown three INTs and just one TD pass in his last two appearances. Mitch Trubisky has the Bears offense firing on all cylinders, scoring 30+ points in three straight games. This should be a blowout. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-26-20 | Dolphins v. Raiders +3 | 26-25 | Win | 100 | 43 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Raiders. The Dolphins will be a favorite in Las Vegas, but the Raiders have been competitive even in games that they have lost. Marcus Mariota stepped in to replace Derek Carr last week, and he threw for 226 yards with a TD and an INT on 17-of-28 passing. Whoever is at QB for the Raiders, offense isn't expected to be a problem. It's defense that has been the concern for the Raiders, who have allowed over 30 points per game this season. Tua Tagovailoa has only played twice on the road this season, in a loss at Denver and a three point win over Arizona. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. Saints | 33-52 | Loss | -135 | 42 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Vikings. Despite the fact that the Saints have been the better team in recent seasons, the Vikings have had their number. Minnesota is 3-1 straight up in the last four head to head meetings versus New Orleans, and two of the last three games were decided by less than a TD. Minnesota has had a tough season, but they have scored plenty of points. They are 5-3 in their last eight overall, and only once during that span did they lose by seven or more points. The Saints have struggled lately, coming off back to back losses. The Vikings are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in New Orleans, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five on the road. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-20 | Marshall v. Buffalo -182 | 10-17 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Bulls. The Bulls were a heavy favorite in the MAC Championship Game, but they lost outright to the Ball State Cardinals. They turned the ball over five times in the loss, and star running back Patrick Patterson wasn't able to get anything going. Patterson leads the nation averaging 178 yards per game, and he's expected to be 100 percent for this Bowl Game against Marshall. The Herd have scored just 13 points in their last two games, and they are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall. The Bulls are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-24-20 | Hawaii v. Houston OVER 59.5 | Top | 28-14 | Loss | -105 | 17 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Hawaii and Houston are each very capable of scoring points, but both teams have allowed opponents to average more than they have scored. We should expect plenty of scoring in this Christmas Eve Bowl game. The over is 9-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last 10 games on grass, and the over is 4-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last five Bowl games. The Cougars have gone over in five of their last six Bowl games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-23-20 | Florida Atlantic v. Memphis -8 | 10-25 | Win | 100 | 20 h 46 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
12-22-20 | Central Florida +6.5 v. BYU | 23-49 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on UCF. The Cougars season ended in disappointment, as their playoff hopes went up in smoke when they lost at Coastal Carolina a few weeks ago. They followed up with a win over San Diego State at home, but they come into the Boca Raton Bowl with an 0-8 record in the state of Florida. They face a tough opponent in Central Florida. The Knights lost three games this year, but losses to Memphis and Cincinnati came by a combined four points. They ranked fourth in the country in scoring averaging 44 points per game. The Knights are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games as an underdog, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six non-conference games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-20 | Seahawks v. Washington Football Team +4.5 | 20-15 | Loss | -110 | 157 h 1 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Redskins. Washington has a chance to win the NFC East, and a home win over Seattle would keep them in the driver's seat. The Seahawks have recently lost to another NFC East team, losing at home to the Giants by a score of 17-12. Washington is 5-2 in their last seven overall, and both losses during that span came by three points. The Seahawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games, and they are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite. The Redskins are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-20 | Bears v. Vikings -180 | 33-27 | Loss | -180 | 156 h 22 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Minnesota Vikings. The Vikings have won five of their last seven, and last week's loss at Tampa Bay might be blamed on the kicker who missed three field goals and an extra point PAT. Kirk Cousins gets plenty of criticism, but all he does is complete 70 percent of his passes, for almost 300 yards per game with a mediocre TD/INT ratio. He's thrown 10 TDs and just one INT over his last four starts. The Bears are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games, and the home team has covered in seven of the last 10 meetings between these two teams. Chicago might have the better defense, but on the road I just don't see them scoring enough points to keep up with the Vikings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-20-20 | Lions v. Titans -8 | 25-46 | Win | 100 | 156 h 9 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Titans are in a dog fight with the Colts for first place in the division, and they face another must win this week against Detroit. The Lions are a mess, coming in as losers of three of their last four. Matthew Stafford is playing through a rib injury, and he's been sacked 15 times in his last four starts. He may be just one hit away from a season ending injury. The Titans have won and covered in each of their last three meetings versus the Lions. Derrick Henry ran for over 200 yards in a win over Jacksonville last week, and he should have a big day against a Lions defense that struggles against the run. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-19-20 | Alabama v. Florida +14.5 | Top | 52-46 | Win | 100 | 239 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Florida. After the Gators lost to LSU last week, nobody is giving them a chance here in the SEC Championship against Alabama. It was obvious that the Gators were not prepared last week, probably already looking ahead to this game. I expect them to be better this week, and I think that this is a team well designed to cause problems for Alabama. If you look at the teams that have beaten Alabama in recent seasons (Clemson, Ole Miss, Texas A&M) they all had a gunslinger at QB. The only time Alabama didn't look like they were in complete control in a game this season was when they allowed 48 points in a win over Ole Miss. As much as Nick Saban will want to win this game, his team is in the playoffs either way. I like the Gators to score enough points to keep this game relatively close. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-19-20 | Bills v. Broncos +5.5 | 48-19 | Loss | -110 | 140 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on Denver. I had Buffalo in their big win over Pittsburgh last week, but I think they come into Denver a little overvalued. This is a potential let down for a team that is on top of the world right now, and Denver hasn't been an easy opponent. While they are just 2-2 in their last four games, one of those losses came at home against the Saints when they were forced to play without a quarterback. The underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings between these teams. Drew Lock is coming off an outstanding performance in Carolina, throwing for 280 yards and 4 TDs on 21-of-27 passing. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-18-20 | Ball State v. Buffalo -13 | 38-28 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 29 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The Bulls are by far the best team in the MAC, coming into the championship game with a perfect 5-0 record. It's not just that they won all their games, but they won them all by at least 19 points. Ball State is 5-1, but their one loss came against Miami-Ohio, a team that lost to Buffalo by 32 points. The Bulls are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 conference game, and they are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-20 | Chargers v. Raiders -162 | 30-27 | Loss | -162 | 95 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Raiders. The Raiders have been wildly inconsistent this season, going from a game where they nearly beat the defending champion Chiefs to losing by 37 points to the Atlanta Falcons a week later. The Chargers on the other hand have been far more consistent, especially when it comes to blowing leads. LA has lost five straight on the road, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall. Derek Carr has completed over 70 percent of his passes for 12 TDs and four INTs at home this year. A healthy Josh Jacobs will give the Raiders a boost, Jacobs is averaging 4.6 yards per carry and has scored nine rushing TDs in 12 appearances this season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-20 | Ravens v. Browns +3 | 47-42 | Loss | -100 | 27 h 31 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
12-13-20 | Steelers v. Bills -1 | Top | 15-26 | Win | 100 | 48 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Buffalo Bills. The Steelers perfect record went up in smoke in last week's loss to the Redskins, and playing on the road in Buffalo this week looks like a let down spot for a Steelers team that is a little banged up. With an 11-1 record the Steelers can afford to be complacent, and they might not be able to match the intensity of a hungry Buffalo team. The Steelers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games in December, while the Bills are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-20 | Colts -145 v. Raiders | 44-27 | Win | 100 | 64 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Indy. The Raiders have been a bit of a Jeckyll and Hyde team, playing like world beaters against the Chiefs, but losing by 27 at Atlanta. The only thing that prevented them from losing last week against the Jets was a curious call on the final play of the game when the Jets sent everyone on a blitz when only a TD could beat them. There won't be any margin for error against the Colts, a team that ranks in the top of the NFL in most defensive categories. The fact that Josh Jacobs isn't 100% is another tough blow for the Raiders. I like the Colts to rise to the occasion. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-20 | Texans v. Bears OVER 44.5 | 7-36 | Loss | -110 | 61 h 32 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans will go as far as Deshaun Watson can take them, and he's thrown for almost 1000 yards with six TDs and one INT while winning two of his last three starts. All three of those games went over 45 points, as the Texans have a below average defense and almost no running game. The Bears offense has been one of the league's worst, and has shown only minimal improvements since turning back to Mitch Trubisky. The over is 6-1 in the Texans last seven road games, and the over is 5-2 in the Bears last seven games following an ATS loss. Even the bad news Bears should be able to score on the Texans. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-13-20 | Broncos +3.5 v. Panthers | 32-27 | Win | 100 | 60 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Broncos. The Broncos are likely a better team than their 4-0 record would indicate. That certainly appeared to be the case last week in a one-score game against Kansas City. The previous week they played without a quarterback against the Saints. Now they are on the road against a banged up Panthers team who's best player will not suit up. The Broncos are getting healthier, and they are hungry for a win. The Panthers are 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-20 | Virginia +3 v. Virginia Tech | 15-33 | Loss | -108 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Virginia. The Hokies are a small favorite at home versus rivals Virginia, but I like the underdog here. The Hokies have lost three of five home games this year, including an upset loss to Liberty. They have been plagued by injuries at the QB position, and their defense is ranked among the worst in the ACC. Virginia has won four straight, including a 44-41 upset win over North Carolina. The Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog, and the underdog is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings. The Hokies are 5-13 ATS in their last 18 games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-20 | North Carolina v. Miami-FL -137 | 62-26 | Loss | -137 | 12 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on MIAMI. The Tar Heels are an impressive team when it comes to scoring points, but their defense hasn't impressed. They gave up 53 to Wake Forest, 44 against Virginia, and 45 against Virginia Tech. They are on the road at Miami this week, and the Hurricanes are better than all three of those teams. The Tar Heels offense was held to just 17 in a loss to Notre Dame a few weeks ago, and Miami plays a lot more like the Irish than they do like the seven teams North Carolina has beaten this year. The home team has covered in seven of the last eight head to head meetings, and the Canes have covered in four of their last five home games against UNC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-20 | Arizona State v. Arizona UNDER 57 | 70-7 | Loss | -117 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The winless Arizona State Sun Devils will be a double digit favorite against the 0-4 Arizona Wildcats Friday, and both these teams have struggled on offense. The Wildcats have scored just a combined 23 points in back to back losses to UCLA and Colorado. Backup QB Will Plumber has thrown for 305 yards with no TDs and three INTs since starter Grant Gunnell was injured. The under is 6-1 in the Wildcats last seven games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-20 | Washington Football Team +7 v. Steelers | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Washington. The Steelers are the only undefeated team in the NFL, putting their 11-0 record to the test t home versus Washington on Monday Night Football. While Pittsburgh is coming off another win over the Ravens, they barely held on against an undermanned Baltimore team with RGIII at QB. The Redskins have won three of their last five, and both losses during that span came by just three points. The Steelers win over the Ravens was a costly one, losing OLB Bud Dupree to a knee injury. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-20 | Rams -145 v. Cardinals | 38-28 | Win | 100 | 134 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Rams. The Cardinals are a good football team, but perhaps still a few years away from reaching their full potential. They have a tough matchup this week, facing a Rams defense that ranks among the NFL's best. The Rams are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games, and they are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games following an ATS loss. The Cardinals are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up loss. With Kyler Murray banged up, another loss seems likely for Arizona. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-20 | Colts -150 v. Texans | 26-20 | Win | 100 | 131 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Colts. The Colts have one of the NFL's best defenses, but they couldn't stop Derrick Henry last week in a double digit home loss to Tennessee. They should have little trouble getting back on track this week against a Texans team that ranks dead last in the NFL in rushing. The Colts are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games following a double-digit loss at home. The Texans are 2-7 ATS in their last nine games as an underdog, and they are 4-11-2 ATS in their last 17 games in December. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-06-20 | Raiders -7.5 v. Jets | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 130 h 59 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Raiders. Las Vegas is coming off a historically bad loss, losing 43-6 at Atlanta after scoring 31 points in a game that they nearly won at home versus Kansas City. If they are looking for a team to beat up on they have the right opponent in the lowly New York Jets. The Raiders are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games, and they 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall. The Jets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as an underdog, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Jets are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a double-digit loss at home. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-20 | UCLA v. Arizona State -140 | 25-18 | Loss | -140 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Sun Devils lost by one point on the road at USC in Week 1, in a game that ended with a miraculous comeback. They haven't played since, and they should be fired up to get back on the field. UCLA is 2-2, and both their wins have come at home. The Sun Devils are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss. Chase Griffin has started the last two games for UCLA, failing to throw for 200 yards in either of his starts, and he's thrown as many INTs (2) as he has TDs. The home team has won the last four head to head meetings, and I expect that trend to continue tonight. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-20 | Indiana +14.5 v. Wisconsin | Top | 14-6 | Win | 100 | 61 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Indiana. The Hoosiers have only lost once, in a game that was decided on the final play on the road at Ohio State. Last week their starting QB Michael Penix Jr. was lost for the season with a serious injury, and that has resulted in the line for this week's game at Wisconsin swelling to a whopping 14.5 points. This game was never expected to be a shootout, with the emphasis always going to be defense and pounding away with the running game. Wisconsin scored just seven points last week in a loss to Northwestern, and QB Graham Mertz threw for 230 yards, a TD and three INTs in a losing effort. After completing 20-of-21 pass attempts in the season opener, he's failed to complete 55% of his attempts since. The Hoosiers are 7-0 ATS in their last seven games as a road underdog, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six conference games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-04-20 | UL-Lafayette v. Appalachian State -137 | 24-21 | Loss | -137 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Mountaineers. The Ragin Cajuns are all the rage, the first place team in the Sun Belt. They score more points than the Moutaineers, and they are ranked in the Top 25. History is certainly not on their side, they have lost to the Mountaineers in seven straight meetings. The Ragin' Cajuns are 2-7 ATS in their last nine conference games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six versus a team with a winning record. The Mountaineers are undefeated at home, and their defense is still ranked among the best in the country. The weather is expected to be nasty on Friday night in Boone, and that might make life even harder for the Ragin Cajuns. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-03-20 | Air Force -11 v. Utah State | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 21 h 60 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Air Force. | |||||||
12-02-20 | Ravens +10.5 v. Steelers | 14-19 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Baltimore. This drama has turned into quite a sh!t sh@w, but over the years we have learned that in the NFL anything can happen. Lamar Jackson (the reigning MVP) will not play, but I have never been a fan. I am not a believer in RGIII either, but the line swelling to double digits has tempted me to gamble on the Ravens to make it interesting. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-30-20 | Seahawks -6 v. Eagles | 23-17 | Push | 0 | 21 h 3 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Seattle. The Seahawks defense has struggled all season, but the return of corner Shaq Griffin and the addition of defensive end Carlos Dunlap should help them continue to improve. They looked pretty sharp last week in a 28-21 home win over Arizona. The Eagles have looked downright awful, even in the handful of games they won. Carson Wentz has thrown as many INTs (14) as he has TDs, and his future as the starter is in doubt. The Seahawks are 6-0 ATS in their last six versus the Eagles, and they have covered in five straight in Philly. This looks like a tough spot for the home team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-20 | Chiefs -177 v. Bucs | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 19 h 46 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Chiefs. The Bucs have lost back to back home games, and in both those losses Bruce Arians was thoroughly out-coached. The decision to bring in Antonio Brown despite all his off field problems still seems questionable, especially when you find out that his most recent legal troubles stem from an incident just days before he signed with Tampa. The Bucs have all the talent, but they are a long way from competing with Any Reid and the Chiefs. The Chiefs are 12-4-1 ATS in their last 17 games as a favorite, and they are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Buccaneers are 2-9-2 ATS in their last 13 home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-20 | 49ers v. Rams -6.5 | 23-20 | Loss | -103 | 18 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on LAR. The 49ers are still dealing with a ton of injuries, while the Rams are in a position to move out in front in the NFC West. LA is undefeated at home, and Jared Goff has thrown for over 300 yards in three straight starts. LA has the NFL's #1 ranked defense, and only Pittsburgh has allowed less points. Nick Mullen will start in place of Jimmy Garropolo and he's thrown as many INTs (6 ) as TDs in his five starts. The Rams pass rushers are going to put a lot of pressure on the young quarterback, and my money is on him to make mistakes. The Rams are 15-7-1 ATS in their last 23 games as a favorite, and they are 6-1-1 in their last eight games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-20 | Giants -5.5 v. Bengals | 19-17 | Loss | -105 | 15 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on NYG. The Giants have won back to back games, and Daniel Jones has done a better job of protecting the football. The Bengals are still reeling from the loss of Joe Burrow, and they will turn to Brandon Allen this week. The 28 year old appeared in three games last year, throwing for 515 yards, three TDs and two INTs on 46 percent passing. The Giants are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games, and they are Giants are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 versus teams with a losing record. I expect an inexperienced Cincinnati quarterback to struggle against a capable Giants defense. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-20 | Nevada v. Hawaii OVER 59.5 | Top | 21-24 | Loss | -105 | 143 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Over. Nevada comes into Hawaii with a 5-0 record, and they are averaging over 32 points per game. They rank 4th nationally in passing, averaging 364 yards per game. They match up against a Hawaii defense that has allowed 30+ points in four straight games. Nevada quarterback Carson Strong is completing over 70 percent of his passes so far with 14 TDS and two INTs. These teams have gone under in seven straight head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is far lower than it was in the last three meetings. The over is 6-1 in the Rainbow Warriors last seven home games, and the over is 21-8 in the Rainbow Warriors last 29 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-20 | Louisville v. Boston College -115 | 27-34 | Win | 100 | 16 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. The Boston College Eagles have a winning record despite a tough schedule, with all four of their losses coming against ranked opponents. Louisville is just 3-6, and they have two losses to teams that the Eagles defeated. Boston College has the advantage at quarterback, with Phil Jurkovec who has completed 60 percent of his passes for 2,355 yards, 17 TDs and 5 INTs. The Cardinals Malik Cunningham has thrown for six INTs and just four TDs in his last three starts. The Eagles are 4-1 ATS in their last five versus Louisville. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-20 | Penn State v. Michigan +1 | 27-17 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Michigan. The Wolverines will host Penn State in a battle between the two most disappointing teams in the BIG10 on Saturday. Only one of these teams has a chance to salvage a sliver of self respect, and that's Michigan. With a win today, they would move to 3-3 while the Nittany Lions would be 0-7. Last week Cade McNamara stepped up and threw for 260 yards and four TDs on 26-of-37 passing. Sean Clifford has thrown as many INTs (5) as TDs in his last three appearances, and his backup has as many picks (4) as TDs so far this season. The Nittany Lions are 1-5 ATS in the last six meetings, and the home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-20 | Maryland v. Indiana -11.5 | 11-27 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. The Hoosiers are coming off a their first loss of the season, pushing the Buckeyes to the brink in Columbus. They forced Justin Fields to throw a pair of INTs, and quarterback Michael Penix threw for 491 yards and five TDs in a losing effort. This might look like a let down spot coming back home as a double digit favorite against Maryland, but I expect Indiana to make a statement here. The Terrapins are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 games as an underdog, and they are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games. The Hoosiers are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a home favorite. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-20 | Notre Dame -195 v. North Carolina | 31-17 | Win | 100 | 110 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Notre Dame. The Irish appear in the #2 spot in the first edition of the College Football Playoff rankings. They will need to run the table if they want to stay in a playoff spot, and they face a tough opponent on the road in Chapel Hill. Sam Howell and the Tar Heels offense are lighting up the scoreboard, but the defense hasn't been able to stop anybody. They have given up 40+ points against the likes of Virginia, Virginia Tech and Wake Forest. The over is 8-2 in the Tar Heels last 10 games following a bye week, and I expect this game to be a shootout. At the end of the day I think the Irish should get more stops with a superior defense, and end up pulling away in the second half. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-20 | Nebraska v. Iowa -13.5 | 20-26 | Loss | -112 | 107 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Iowa. Nebraska is coming odd a double digit loss at home to Illinois, and the are 1-3 on the season. Their only win came against an 0-4 Penn State team, and now they play on the road at Iowa. The Hawkeyes have won three straight games, all by 20+ points. The Cornhuskers are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 conference games, and they are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games. The Hawkeyes have covered in seven of their last 10 home games against teams with a losing record. I like Iowa to win big. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-27-20 | Iowa State v. Texas UNDER 60.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 107 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Texas has won three straight since losing to Oklahoma in the Red River Rivalry, and both home games during that span have been low scoring. They host Iowa State Friday, and the total here seems far too high considering these teams have a history of playing low scoring games. Each of the last five head to head meetings have gone under, and not one of those games saw 45 combined points. The under is 15-5-1 in Cyclones last 21 road games, and the under is 22-4 in the Longhorns last 26 home games versus a team with a winning road. The under is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Texas. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -165 | 41-16 | Loss | -165 | 61 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Cowboys. Dallas is coming off a 31-28 win at Minnesota, and their offense finally started clicking with Andy Dalton under center. Dalton was knocked out of just his second start this season in a 25-3 loss at Washington. He ended up missing the next two games, and he gets a shot at revenge here against Washington on Thanksgiving. Alex Smith has been solid stepping in at QB for the Redskins, but he is not surrounded by the same level of talent that Dalton has to work with in Dallas. Washington ranks 29th in the NFL in scoring, and I don't like their chances of winning on the road against a Dallas team that can pile on the points. The home team is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings between these division rivals. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-26-20 | Texans v. Lions OVER 50.5 | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 15 h 52 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Over. The Texans defense has been downright awful this season, and only the Seattle Seahawks have allowed more passing yards than Houston. Opponents are averaging over 411 passing yards per game, and here they are in Detroit, playing in a dome against a team that can't run the ball to save their lives. Mathew Stafford wasn't sharp playing hurt against Carolina last week, but I expect him to go off here at home against the Texans. Both these teams are rather pass happy, and each should do their fair share of scoring. There is just something about the Lions on Thanksgiving. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-23-20 | Rams +3.5 v. Bucs | 27-24 | Win | 100 | 166 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rams. The Rams are in a battle with Seattle for first place in the NFC West, and a win tonight in Tampa would put them level with the Seahawks. The Rams have lost two of their last three road games, but Tampa has lost two of three prime-time games this season. Tom Brady threw for just 209 yards and three INTs on 22-of-38 passing in a 38-3 loss to the Saints in their last home game. They face a tough defense tonight that ranks 1st in yards allowed, 2nd in points allowed, and 1st against the pass. The Buccaneers are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games as a home favorite, and they are 2-8-2 ATS in their last 12 home games. I don't think they should be favored by more than a field goal. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-20 | Chiefs -7 v. Raiders | 35-31 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Kansas City. The Chiefs only loss this season was in a shootout, 40-32 versus Las Vegas. The come into Sin City looking for revenge. Oakland is going to have a tough time scoring 40 here this week. The Raiders defense has bit hit hard by illness, and several key players have been on and off the Covid list. The Chiefs are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite, and the Raiders are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games. You can tell by Andy Reid's comments that he isn't forgetting what happened earlier in the year: “Well, listen,” Reid said, “they won the game, so they can do anything they want to do if they end up winning the game. That's not our style, but we'll get ourselves back, ready to play, and that's where we're at.” GL, Jesse Scule | |||||||
11-22-20 | Lions +3 v. Panthers | 0-20 | Loss | -115 | 135 h 45 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Lions. While the status of both starting quarterbacks is up in the air, it seems that asking Carolina to cover points here might be a tough ask. Christian McCaffrey came back from injury to play against the Chiefs, but he picked up a shoulder injury that will prevent him from playing against the Lions. The Panthers are 1-7-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and they have failed to cover in five of their last six versus a team with a losing record. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-20 | Eagles v. Browns -2 | Top | 17-22 | Win | 100 | 202 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Cleveland Browns. Cleveland has run over it's opponents this season, and last week they ran for 231 yards in a 10-7 win over Houston. The final score is a little misleading, as Cleveland never trailed in the game, and only allowed a late touchdown when the game was already out of reach. Nick Chubb wisely passed on a potential TD at the end of the game, allowing the Browns to kneel and run out the clock. The Eagles gave up over 150 yards and three rushing TDs in a loss to the Giants last week, and they have to be having second thoughts about the future of Carson Wentz. Baker Mayfield has his fair share of critics, but so far this season he has a higher QBR (71.4) than Lamar Jackson, Deshaun Watson and Phillip Rivers. He's within a few decimal points of Tom Brady (71.8). The recipe for success in Cleveland is less is more for Baker Mayfield. Expect that trend to continue and the Browns to run all over Philly in Week 11. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-20 | Tennessee v. Auburn -10 | 17-30 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Auburn Tigers. The Vols have lost four straight, and all three of those losses came by a double digit margin. Three of those four losses came by more than 20 points. Jarrett Guarantano left the last game with an injury, and Harrison Bailey came in and threw for 65 yards and two INTs on 6-of-9 passing. Jeremy Pruit won't say who is starting for the Vols, but whoever plays quarterback will struggle against this Auburn defense. The Tigers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games as a favorite. I like Auburn to win by two scores. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-20 | Kentucky v. Alabama UNDER 58 | 3-63 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. Alabama has been explosive on offense this season, and their defense has looked a little shaky at times. That's likely why the total for this game is far higher than it was in any of the previous four meetings between these teams. None of those games saw enough combined points to go over this inflated number. Kentucky doesn't have the high powered offense that posed problems for Nick Saban's team earlier this year. After a 41-0 shutout win over Mississippi State, I expect a similar score here at home against the Wildcats. The under is 18-5 in the Wildcats last 23 conference games, and the under is 20-8 in their last 28 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-20 | Appalachian State v. Coastal Carolina -190 | 23-34 | Win | 100 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Coastal Carolina. The Chanticleers are 6-0, and five of their six wins have come by a double digit margin. Their only close game so far was on the road at first place Louisana Lafayette. Grayson McCall has thrown for 13,93 yards, 16 TDs and just one INT. Appalachian State quarterback Zac Thomas hasn't been nearly as impressive, throwing for just 146 yards on 16-of-22 passing in a nail-biter versus Georgia State last week. He has thrown for 200 yards once in his last five starts. The Mountaineers dominance in the Sun Belt might be coming to an end, they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. I'll take the hot team with the superior QB. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-20-20 | Purdue -122 v. Minnesota | 31-34 | Loss | -122 | 18 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Purdue. The Boilermakers suffered their first loss of the season last weekend, but they played a pretty close game in a one score loss to undefeated Northwestern. The Gophers haven't really looked tough in any of their games, especially a blowout loss to Iowa at home last week. Quarterback Tanner Morgan has thrown as many INTs (4) as TDs, completing just 57.5 percent of his passes so far. The Boilermakers are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and they are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games following a loss. Rondale Moore has yet to play this season, but he was rumored to be close to playing last week against the Wildcats. We could see him make his season debut here against the Gophers. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-19-20 | Cardinals v. Seahawks -156 | 21-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Seattle. The Seahawks have struggled in recent weeks, losing three of their last four overall. All three of those losses were on the road, and they return home Thursday night for a revenge game against Kyler Murray and the Cardinals. Seattle lost in overtime at Arizona three weeks ago, and the Seahawks blew a double digit lead late in that game. Seattle was up 27-20 at halftime. Arizona could be due for a let down here, coming off a walk off winner on a hail mary pass from Murray to Hopkins last week versus Buffalo. The Seahawks are 32-15-4 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss, and I like them to get off to a good start here on TNF. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-18-20 | Northern Illinois v. Ball State UNDER 62 | 25-31 | Win | 100 | 16 h 44 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Northern Illinois Huskies scored just 10 points in a home loss to Central Michigan last week, and poor quarterback play has limited the Huskies offense. Ross Bowers have just one TD pass in two starts so far, and he's completing just 55% of his pass attempts. Drew Pitt hasn't exactly been lighting it up for Ball State, with two TDs and two picks in two games so far. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four meetings, and the total for tonight's game is more than five points higher than it was in any of those previous contests. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-16-20 | Vikings v. Bears +3.5 | 19-13 | Loss | -120 | 31 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Bears. Chicago won five of their first six games of the season, but most of us believed they were vastly overrated. They have since lost three straight, and now they find themselves as a home dog against Kirk Cousins and the Vikings. The Vikes are just 3-5, and Kirk Cousins is 0-9 on Monday Night Football. I think it's fair to say that the Bears are not getting enough respect here. Minnesota has won back to back games and Dalvin Cook has run for 369 yards and five TDs in those wins. He might have some trouble putting up those kind of numbers against this Bears defense. Chicago beat the Vikings twice last year, and Cook ran for just 34 yards on 14 carries playing in only one of the two losses. The Bears are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-20 | Seahawks v. Rams -119 | 16-23 | Win | 100 | 111 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Rams. Seattle doesn't just have the worst pass defense in the NFL this season, the Seahawks are on pace to have the worst pass defense in NFL history this season. They are coming off a blowout loss on the road at Buffalo last week, and they are in a tough spot here against a division rival coming off a bye week. The Rams have had plenty of time to regroup after losing to Miami two weeks ago, and still this is a team that ranks 1st overall in yards allowed, and has held opponents to just 19 points per game. The Seahawks are without their top two rushers, and the pressure is going to be on Russell Wilson. The Seahawks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight meetings in Los Angeles, and the Rams are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-20 | Bills v. Cardinals -125 | 30-32 | Win | 100 | 111 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona. The Bills are coming off a huge blowout win at home against Seattle, but that could set them up for a let down here on the road in Arizona. The Cardinals defense is a lot more formidable, and Kyler Murray has the offense firing on all cylinders. The Bills are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and the Cardinals are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall. The Bills will be thin in the secondary after a pair of starting corners (including Josh Norman) tested positive for Covid. DeAndre Hopkins should be able to put up big numbers here this afternoon. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-15-20 | Eagles v. Giants +3.5 | 17-27 | Win | 100 | 108 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYG. The Giants have now played five consecutive games decided by three points or less, including a 22-21 loss at Philly. I am not sure the Eagles deserve to be a road favorite in New York, but I am quite certain that 3.5 points is just too much to ask for a team with as many injuries as Philly. Carson Wentz has thrown for as many INTs (12) as TDs, and he leads the NFL in giveaways. The offensive line is struggling, and the receiving corps is made up of practice squad players. The Giants are 5-0 ATS in their last five games as an underdog, and they are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 14 versus teams with a losing record. These teams have a history of playing close games, with only two of the last 10 meetings decided by more than one score. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-20 | Oregon State v. Washington UNDER 52.5 | 21-27 | Win | 100 | 26 h 27 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Oregon State Beavers lost their season opener at home to Washington State, and things won't get any easier this week on the road at Washington. It will be a cold and wet Winter night at Husky Stadium, where history hasn't been kind to them. They have lost five straight at Washington, and they are 1-9 straight up in the last 10 head to head meetings. Last year the Huskies won at Corvallis by a score of 19-7. The under is 8-3 in the Huskies last 11 conference games, and they have gone under in four of their last five as a home favorite. The under is 5-1 in the Huskies last six games in the month of November. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-20 | Wisconsin v. Michigan UNDER 54.5 | Top | 49-11 | Loss | -108 | 93 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Under. How bad are the Wolverines, and how good are the Badgers? Well my guess is that Michigan isn't quite as bad as they have looked so far, and Wisconsin is getting way too much credit for beating up on Illinois in their only game of the season. Starting QB Graham Mertz threw for 248 yards and five TDs on 20-of-21 passing in his first college start, but before we hand him the Heisman we should consider the opposition. Since losing to Wisconsin, Illinois lost to unranked Purdue, and was blown out by Minnesota. The Purdue QB also put up huge numbers against Illinois, throwing for 371 yards on 83 percent passing with a pair of TDs. Mertz is set to be eligible to play after recovering from Covid, but he wouldn't have had any practice over the last two weeks. His backup is also recovering from Covid, which could set up a chance for the third stringer to come into play. The listed total was well below 50 in each of the last four head to head meetings, and they didn't score more than 51 points combined in any of those games. I expect another close, low scoring game between two conference rivals. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-20 | Arkansas +17.5 v. Florida | 35-63 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arkansas. I had a big play on Florida last week, so I was happy to see them blow out Georgia in the Cocktail Party. The big win could set them up for a let down here against a gritty Arkansas team though. The Razorbacks already have lost close games to Auburn and Texas A&M. Unlike Georgia, this Arkansas offense has no trouble scoring points. They scored 31 on the Aggies, and 28 against Auburn. I don't think Florida's defense is good enough for them to be asked to win this game by three scores. The Razorbacks are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and they have covered the spread in eight straight SEC games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-20 | Northwestern v. Purdue UNDER 51.5 | 27-20 | Win | 100 | 27 h 37 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Northwestern has been dominant defensively, holding opponents to just 12 points per game during a 3-0 start. They will be a slight favorite on the road against Purdue, and the Boilermakers are also undefeated. History favors the Wildcats, who have covered in five straight at Purdue. The road team is 7-1 ATS in the last eight head to head meetings. They have failed to reach the total in five of their last six road games, and when these teams played last year the bookmakers set the total at just 39. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-20 | Penn State -143 v. Nebraska | 23-30 | Loss | -143 | 17 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Penn State. Two winless teams face off in the BIG10 Saturday, and the good news for Nebraska and Penn State is that one of them is going to get their first win. Both teams have had their share of problems, but I think the Nittany Lions are a lost closer to where they want to be than the Huskers are. Sean Clifford is the starting quarterback, and there is no doubt about that. You can't really blame their struggles on Clifford, who has thrown for 859 yards and nine TDs in three losses so far. The quarterback situation is far less certain for Nebraska, with neither of their QBs throwing a single TD pass so far. It's unclear who will start, and it's likely that whoever does start won't finish. The Cornhuskers are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games as a home underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-13-20 | Iowa v. Minnesota UNDER 58 | 35-7 | Win | 100 | 24 h 56 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. Despite losing two of their first three games, Iowa has one of the best defenses in the country. They have allowed an average of just 17 points per game so far, and last week they had three INTs against Michigan State. Minnesota QB Tanner Morgan has failed to impress so far this season, throwing for just 600 yards, with three TDs and two INTs. Historically these teams play low scoring games, and seven of the last eight meetings have seen listed totals under 50. The under is 9-3 in the Hawkeyes last 12 conference games, and 10-4-1 in their last 15 games overall. Last year the Hawkeyes won by a score of 23-19. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-12-20 | Colts v. Titans -129 | 34-17 | Loss | -129 | 41 h 20 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Tennessee. The Colts are 5-3, and only one of their five wins came against a team with a winning record (Chicago). They appear to be overvalued here on the road against the first place Tennessee Titans. Phillip Rivers played poorly in a loss to the Ravens last week, throwing for 227 yards on 25-of-43 passing with a pick and no TDs. His numbers so far this season (10 TDs and 7 INTs) can only be viewed as a disappointment. The Titans crushed the Colts in Indianapolis in the most recent meeting, winning by a score of 31-17. Derrick Henry ran for 149 yards on 26 carries in that game. Despite the Colts impressive showing on defense so far this season, I don't fancy their chances of slowing down Henry. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-11-20 | Central Michigan v. Northern Illinois +8 | 40-10 | Loss | -108 | 20 h 19 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Northern Illinois. The Huskies lost their season opener at home to Buffalo by a score of 49-30. While the final score suggests the game wasn't close, the Huskies actually had more total yards, more time of possession and almost twice as many first downs. Despite five turnovers, they still scored 30 points on a tough Buffalo defense. Central Michigan opened the season with a three-point win over Ohio, and they are asked to cover a big spread on the road here in Dekalb. History tells us we might want to think twice about backing the favorite, as the underdog has covered in six straight meetings between these teams. The home team is 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 meetings. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-20 | Miami-OH v. Buffalo UNDER 57.5 | 10-42 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Under. The Buffalo Bills scored a whopping 49 points in a win over Northern Illinois in their season opener, despite only converting on 3-of-9 third downs. They ran the ball twice as often as the threw it, and they totaled just 357 yards of offense. Almost half their points came directly as a result of five Huskies turnovers. They host Miami-Ohio this week, and the Red Hawks won their first game at home versus Ball State. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, especially in Buffalo. With the weather forecast calling for bone-chilling cold temperatures, it might be hard to pile on the points. The total for this game is exactly 10-points higher than it was when the Red Hawks won last year by a score of 34-20. The Redhawks have gone under in six of their last eight overall, and in six straight when coming off a win. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4.5 | 34-31 | Loss | -105 | 135 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cardinals. Miami could be due for a let down coming off a big upset win over the Rams last week. That win was a little fraudulent. The Rams out-gained Miami 471-145 in total yards, but the Fish took advantage of four Rams turnovers. They can't count on winning the turnover battle here against an opportunistic Cardinals defense. The Dolphins are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 road games versus a team with a winning home record. The Cardinals are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-08-20 | Steelers -13.5 v. Cowboys | 24-19 | Loss | -110 | 111 h 31 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Steelers. The Steelers are a huge favorite against Dallas on Sunday, and all those points can be intimidating. While it might look to easy betting on the undefeated Steelers to beat up on the Cowboys and their third or fourth string QB, but I just can't see it any other way. Dallas ranks dead last in run defense allowing over 170 rushing yards per game, and James Conner should be primed to fill the stat sheet. The Cowboys would surely like to run the ball to take the heat off their inexperienced QB, but they are up against a Steel Curtain than ranks #1 against the run. I like Pittsburgh to win by at least three scores. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-08-20 | Giants v. Washington Football Team -175 | 23-20 | Loss | -175 | 131 h 21 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Redskins. The Giants are on a short week, playing at Washington with the Redskins coming off a bye. This should favor the home team with all the extra time to prepare. Daniel Jones has made some incredible plays to keep the Giants in games, but they are still just 1-7. He's also been a turnover machine, throwing nine INTs in seven starts. Kyle Allen has thrown for over 500 yards with four TDs and just one INT in two starts for Washington. The Giants don't have much of a running game, and the Skins have the league's top ranked pass defense. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-20 | Clemson v. Notre Dame +6 | Top | 40-47 | Win | 100 | 55 h 48 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Notre Dame Irish. The Irish have had plenty of chances to prove themselves as an elite team, and time and time again they have failed. Their last appearance in the playoffs was a 30-3 loss to Clemson two years ago, and Trevor Lawrence threw for 327 yards and three TDs in that game. Ian Book didn't have a great game, throwing for just 160 yards, completing just 50 percent of his passes with an INT. Book is now a Senior, and he's having himself a solid season. Clemson almost lost to Boston College last week with Trevor Lawrence sidelined by Covid. This is a tough spot to ask the Tigers to cover points on the road, and a golden opportunity for an improved Notre Dame team. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-20 | Florida +3.5 v. Georgia | Top | 44-28 | Win | 100 | 51 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Florida. The Gators will be an underdog versus Georgia in The Cocktail Party in Jacksonville. Georgia looks like a powerhouse, but their offense has held them back. Stetson Bennett has thrown more picks (5) than TDs (2) in his last two starts, and the Bulldogs scored just 38 points in those games. Florida on the other hand has been a well-oiled machine on offense, averaging 42 points per game. Kyle Trask has thrown for 18 TDs and just two INTs this season. The Bulldogs are very good defensively, but I am not sure they can overcome such a disadvantage at the quarterback position. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-20 | Michigan v. Indiana +3.5 | 21-38 | Win | 100 | 48 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Indiana. The last thing you would want to do is overreact to Michigan's loss to Michigan State last week. After all it was a big rivalry game, and the Spartans have upset the Wolverines many times in the past. This isn't just one bad game though, this is a history of failure in big games under head coach Jim Harbaugh. They are on the road at Indiana this week, and this a team that they have struggled with in the past. Michigan has only covered in one of the last five meetings versus Indiana. The Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog, and the Wolverines are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following an ATS loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-20 | Arizona State +11 v. USC | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 20 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Arizona State. The Trojans will be a double digit favorite in their season opener versus Arizona State, and hell why not? They have the more talented recruits, the bigger budget and all the star power. The Trojans are ranked and the Sun Devils are not, but that's nothing new. It was the same story last year and the year before, and those two games were decided by a combined eight points. I give Arizona State the edge in coaching with Herm Edwards, and the Sun Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings in Southern California. I think it's just too many points, too early in the season for the Trojans to cover. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-07-20 | Nebraska v. Northwestern -165 | 13-21 | Win | 100 | 20 h 42 m | Show | |
This is a 6* play on Northwestern. The Wildcats host Nebraska, and Northwestern is just a small favorite. This Wildcats defense has looked formidable in wins over Iowa and Maryland. Nebraska has been sidelined for weeks since getting throttled by Ohio State in their opener, and battling the BIG10 Conference could prove to be a distraction. The Cornhuskers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 conference games, and they are are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games. They haven't had a lot of success against Northwestern, they are 2-6-1 ATS in the last nine head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-06-20 | BYU -167 v. Boise State | 51-17 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BYU. Both the Cougars and the Broncos have impressed this season, but neither team has really faced a quality opponent. The Boise State defense struggled last week against Air Force, allowing the Falcons to run for over 400 yards and four TDs. The Cougars proved they can run the ball, with over 300 rushing yards and five rushing TDs in their season opener versus Navy. I also give BYU the edge at QB with Zach Wilson and some uncertainty regarding who will start for the Broncos. BYU beat the Broncos by a score of 28-25 last year, but the final score was a little misleading. The Broncos scored the majority of their points in the fourth quarter when the game was already out of reach. The Cougars are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 road games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-20 | Wyoming -170 v. Colorado State | 24-34 | Loss | -170 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Wyoming. The Cowboys lost in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but bounced back big in Week 2 with a 31-7 win over Hawaii. The same Hawaii team that won 34-19 at Fresno State in their season opener. The Colorado State Rams got crushed in a loss at the Fresno State Bulldogs in their season opener. QB Todd Centeio completed just 43 percent of his passes in that game. Wyoming has a freshman at QB, and he hasn't been all that impressive either. The Cowboys though can lean on their running game, coming off a game where they ran for 281 yards and four TDs. The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road favorite, and they re 4-1 ATS in their last five at Colorado State. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-20 | Packers -145 v. 49ers | 34-17 | Win | 100 | 71 h 50 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on Green Bay. This is a huge revenge spot for Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers. If you remember back to last season it was a loss to San Francisco that was their worst defeat of the regular season, and then their season ended in San Francisco in a 37-20 loss in the NFC Championship Game. So do you think Aaron Rodgers holds a grudge? He's a guy who doesn't speak to his brother, or his father. He's a guy who earlier this season was quoted saying: "Down years for me are career years for most quarterbacks." Say what you want about A-A-Ron, but he's thrown for almost 2000 yards, 20 TDs and 2 INTs this season. He's hooked up with Davante Adams four five TDs in the last two weeks. The list of starters that are out for San Francisco is too long to list. The Packers should get their revenge here in Santa Clara. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-02-20 | Bucs -12 v. Giants | 25-23 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the TB Bucs. The Giants simply don't have the weapons to match Tampa Bay, so their best bet would be to run the ball and try to limit time of possession for Tom Brady. The problem is that they are so banged up at the running back position and on the offensive line that running against the Bucs #1 ranked defense might be impossible. I expect a lot of 3-and-outs for the Gmen, leading to a lot of possession time for the Bucs to run up the score. Tom Brady threw for 369 yards and four TDs in a win over Vegas last week, and Chris Godwin caught nine passes for 88 yards and a TD in the win. With Godwin out of the lineup, Mike Evans should get more touches. In the three games that Godwin has missed this year, Evans has scored in all three. Most recently he caught seven passes for 122 yards and a TD against the Chargers in Week 5. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-20 | Vikings v. Packers -7 | 28-22 | Loss | -109 | 162 h 27 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Packers. The Vikings have been hit hard by injuries, and with a record of 1-5 they have already started selling off players. They opened the season with a 43-34 home loss to Green Bay, and Davante Adams caught 14 passes for 156 yards and two TDs. Adams went off again last week catching 13 passes for 196 yards and two TDs. The Vikings defense comes in allowing 32 points per game on the season, and I can't see them stopping Aaron Rodgers at Lambeau. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-20 | Steelers +5.5 v. Ravens | 28-24 | Win | 100 | 162 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pittsburgh Steelers. The 6-0 Steelers come rolling into Baltimore as a big underdog this week, and the Ravens appear to be getting too much respect. This game will be a matter of strength versus strength, with the Steelers #1 ranked run defense against the Ravens #1 ranked rushing offense. The Ravens are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games as a home favorite, and the Steelers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-20 | Patriots v. Bills -200 | 21-24 | Win | 100 | 69 h 58 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Buffalo. The Bills have long been bullied by Bill Bellichik and his New England Patriots, but things have changed in 2020. The Bills are in first place, and Josh Allen ranks emong the NL leaders in passing yards. The Pats are 2-4 and Cam Newton is on the verge of being benched. New England has a ton of injuries on both sides of the ball, most notably Stephen Gilmore and Julian Edelman. Newton has thrown for 255 yards, no TDs and five picks in his last two starts. He's unlikely to fair much better on the road in Buffalo without Edelman. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-20 | Ohio State v. Penn State +12.5 | 38-25 | Loss | -110 | 50 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Penn State. The Nittany Lions were shocked in Week 1, losing to Indiana in overtime. A closer look at that game reveals that the Hoosiers were out-gained 488-211 in total yards. The bookmakers might be overreacting by listing Penn State as a double digit home dog versus Ohio State in Week 2. Historically the Buckeyes have had trouble at University Park. The Buckeyes are 0-4 ATS in their last four head to head meetings. The Nittany Lions are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as an underdog, and they are 8-1 ATS in their last nine coming off a loss. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-20 | Notre Dame -19.5 v. Georgia Tech | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Notre Dame. It took the Irish a few weeks to get up to speed, but they are coming off their most impressive game of the season, blowing out Pittsburgh by a score of 45-3. They are at Georgia Tech this week, and the Yellow Jackets have been blown out in back to back weeks. The Yellow Jackets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 home games, and they are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall. The Irish have covered in four straight as a road favorite, and this line looks like it could be a lot higher. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-20 | LSU -120 v. Auburn | 11-48 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LSU. Both LSU and Auburn have two losses, but Auburn should probably be 1-4. Wins against Arkansas and Ole Miss were both aided by controversial calls. LSU struggled on defense in losses to Missouri and Mississippi St, but their 52-24 win over South Carolina last week suggests they might have turned the corner. LSU is 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and they have covered the spread in five straight versus a team with a winning record. Bo Nix has thrown as many picks (3) as he has TDs in his last three starts. I like LSU to win in a shootout. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-20 | Indiana v. Rutgers +12.5 | 37-21 | Loss | -110 | 98 h 10 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Rutgers. Both the Indiana Hoosiers and the Rutgers Scarlet Knights won outright as underdogs in Week 1, but Indiana is all of a sudden a double digit road favorite in Week 2. Their win over Penn State doesn't look quite as impressive when you see the stats. They were out-gained 488 to 211 in total yards, and they were held to 41 rushing yards on 26 attempts. They had a little help with Penn State turning the ball over three times, and they got a lot of help from the referees. Penn State was charged with 10 penalties for 100 yards. The Hoosiers are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games as a road favorite, and the home team is 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-31-20 | Boston College +29.5 v. Clemson | 28-34 | Win | 100 | 39 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston College. | |||||||
10-30-20 | Hawaii v. Wyoming UNDER 60.5 | 7-31 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Under. The Wyomng Cowboys lost 37-34 in overtime at Nevada in Week 1, but that game started out slow with a 10-10 tie at halftime. Levi Williams threw for just 227 yards on 16-of-31 passing with a TD and an INT. The running game was far better, with 128 yards on 35 carries, and two TDs (both by Williams). Hawaii also leaned on it's running game in Week 1, rushing for 323 yards and four TDs in a 34-19 win over Fresno State. With freezing temperatures in Laramie, expect both teams to look to pound the rock here tonight. The under is 6-2 in the Cowboys last eight games overall, and they have gone under in four of their last five at home. The under is 19-7 in the Cowboys last 26 conference games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-20 | Colorado State -134 v. Fresno State | 17-38 | Loss | -134 | 8 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Colorado State. The Bulldogs looked pretty bad in their home opener versus Hawaii, losing 34-19. Starting QB Jake Haener was brutal, throwing for 289 yards a TD and three INTs on 17-of-31 passing. It's tough to imagine much of an improvement against rivals Colorado State, a team that beat them by double digits last year in Fresno. The Rams have won all three meetings dating back to 2015, and they are 5-2 ATS in the last seven head to head meetings. They are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 conference games, and they have covered in five straight as a favorite. The Bulldogs have failed to cover in four of their last five conference games, and they are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-20 | Falcons v. Panthers -145 | 25-17 | Loss | -145 | 65 h 54 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on Carolina. The Panthers come into tonight's home game against Atlanta off back to back losses. They were quite competitive though against the Bears and the Saints, and Atlanta's defense doesn't pose anywhere near the same challenges. Atlanta is so bad that last week Todd Gurley scored a go ahead TD in the final minute, only have Detroit march down the field and win the game with a TD on the final play of the game. The Falcons are 8-21 ATS in their last 29 games in October, and they are 0-5 ATS in their last five games on grass. The Panthers are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games in October, and they are 4-1 ATS in their last gfive games overall. I gotta believe that the home team has more to be positive about here at the midway point in the season. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-20 | South Alabama v. Georgia Southern -170 | 17-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 48 m | Show | |
5* | |||||||
10-26-20 | Bears v. Rams -6 | 10-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Rams. The Bears have racked up a bunch of wins against the weaker teams in the NFL, and they had a stroke of luck in their big upset win over Tampa Bay. Tampa had a 13-0 lead with under two minutes to go in the first half, and somehow Chicago scored twice to take a 14-13 lead into halftime. Nick Foles threw for 243 yards with a TD and an INT in the win. Foles has thrown four picks in four starts, and he's facing a scary Rams defense here tonight. Chicago will have to lean on Foles for the majority of their offensive production, as they have one of the least talented backfields in the NFL. Only Houston averaged fewer rush yards per game than Chicago. I like Darrell Henderson to have a big game, he's coming off a solid performance in a loss to the Niners. He ran for 88 yards on 14 carries last week, and he should get plenty of touches if the Rams jump out to an early lead here. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-20 | 49ers +5 v. Patriots | 33-6 | Win | 100 | 163 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Francisco 49ers. The 3-3 San Francisco 49ers are in Foxboro Sunday to take on the 2-3 New England Patriots. This looks like a case of two teams trending in opposite directions. The Niners are getting healthier, coming off a big win over the Rams. The Pats are banged up, coming off back to back losses to Kansas City and Denver. This line opened up at 5.5, but money has come in on the Niners. The 49ers are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games as an underdog, and the Patriots are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight home games. I'll take the points. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-20 | Cowboys -170 v. Washington Football Team | 3-25 | Loss | -170 | 138 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Dallas. The Cowboys are coming off an embarrassing loss to Arizona on Monday Night Football, and their stock is at an all time low. They are on the road at Washington this week, and Washington has lost five straight. Dallas still should be the favorite to win the NFC East, and they still have a lot more talent than the rest of the sad sacked teams in their division. Andy Dalton threw for 266 yards on 34-of-54 passing with a TD and two INTs last week. He didn't really have a chance after Zeke Elliott fumbled the ball a couple times early, putting Dallas in a hole. I expect the Red Rifle to be far better this week. The Redskins are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last six versus Dallas. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-20 | Browns -170 v. Bengals | 37-34 | Win | 100 | 138 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Cleveland. The bad news for the Browns is that they got embarrassed in Pittsburgh last week losing 38-7. The good news is that they are playing Cincinnati this week, and the Bengals can't stop the run. Only two teams in the league have allowed more rushing yards (143/game) than the Bengals. The Browns had won four straight prior to last week's loss, and one of those was a home win over Cincinnati. Cleveland ran for 215 yards and three TDs in that game, and the final score of 35-30 was a little misleading. The Bengals scored a TD in garbage time in the final minute that made the game appear to be closer than it was. Kareem Hunt ran for 86 yards on 10 carries against the Bengals, but with Nick Chubb out of the lineup he should put up even bigger numbers here this Sunday. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-25-20 | Packers -177 v. Texans | 35-20 | Win | 100 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-24-20 | Wyoming -145 v. Nevada | Top | 34-37 | Loss | -145 | 22 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Wyoming. Both these teams come into their season opener in the Mountain West with high expectations, but Nevada has been rocked by a recent scandal and a death in the family. Head coach Jay Norvell has been away from the team after the death of his father, and a star defensive tackle has been arrested for sex crimes involving children. Needless to say, Chris Green who was projected to be the starting nose tackle has been suspended from the team. The Wolfpack could use all the help they could get on a defense that allowed over 30 points per game in conference play last season. The Cowboys won 31-3 at home versus Nevada last season, and they are 4-0 ATS in the last four head to head meetings dating back to 2012. Wyoming should be in good shape coming off an eight win season and bringing back QB Sean Chambers who is 9-2 as a starter. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,160 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,039 |
Tom Macrina | $650 |
Ray Monohan | $618 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Jesse Schule | $418 |
Big Al McMordie | $350 |
Marc Lawrence | $300 |
Mike Lundin | $293 |
Joseph D'Amico | $268 |