Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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01-07-18 | Knicks v. Mavs OVER 207 | 100-96 | Loss | -107 | 14 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on NYK@DAL to go OVER the total. The Mavs are one of the worst teams in the Western Conference, but they are on a bit of a roll, winning four of their last six overall. They have scored an average of 122 points in their last four games. The Knicks are really struggling, they have lost seven of their last eight overall. They allowed an average of 107 points in those losses, and the over is 9-3 in their last 12 road games. The total for tonight's game appears to be a bit low, as the Knicks have gone over the number in four of their last five, while Dallas has gone over in four straight. The Mavs have gone over in five of their last six versus Eastern Conference teams, and with not a lot at stake here between a couple of teams in the midst of a rebuild, don't expect to see a defensive battle. The Mavs are coming off a 127-124 loss to the Bulls, and Chicago shot over 56 percent from the field in the game. I expect to see a similar flow to tonight's game. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-05-18 | Jazz v. Nuggets -7.5 | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 32 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. Playing on the road in the NBA is a tough task at the best of times, but it's even more challenging at altitude in Denver. Only the San Antonio Spurs have a better home record than Denver in the Western Conference. The Utah Jazz on the other hand have really struggled on the road, winning just three games of 18. Utah comes into Denver off a double digit home loss to the Pelicans, and the Jazz have lost seven of their last nine overall. Six of those seven losses came by a double digit margin, with the one exception being a 109-100 loss to Cleveland. One of those losses was a 107-83 loss at Denver. Here is what I said prior to that game: "Both the Jazz and the Nuggets are missing key players due to injury, but Denver has proven it has the depth to overcome adversity. The Nuggets have enjoyed a significant advantage at home in Denver. They are 11-3 straight up at home, and they have covered the spread in six of their last eight in Denver. The home team has won six straight in this series, and has covered the spread in all six of those games as well. Utah is just 3-13 on the road this season, only the Mavericks have lost more road games in the Western Conference. They are coming off a 103-89 home loss to Oklahoma City, and Rodney Hood struggled, hitting just 3-of-14 shots and scoring just nine points. The Jazz have lost six of their last seven road games, and they are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. Nikola Jokic has averaged over 22 points per game in his last three starts, and he won't have to worry about Rudy Gobert tonight." I see no reason why we should see a dramatically different result here tonight. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-05-18 | Knicks v. Heat -5 | 103-107 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Miami Heat. Miami sits just 1.5 games back of Washington, second in the Southeast. They have faced plenty of adversity with Hassan Whiteside missing 15 games due to injury, but since his return they have won three of four. They are hosting the New York Knicks tonight, hoping to improve on just a .500 home record. The Knicks have been dreadful on the road, winning just three of 16 games. They come into Miami as losers of six of their last seven overall, and they are just 4-10 ATS in the last 14 meetings with the Heat. I bet against the Knicks in their last home game, a home loss to the Spurs. Here is what I said before the game: "New York's last home game was a 105-98 loss to the Sixers, and Jarrett Jack scored zero points on 0-5 shooting in the loss. The veteran is filling in for the injured Tim Hardaway Jr, and he's shot just 35 percent from the field in his last five starts." After losing to the Spurs, they lost 121-103 at Washington. Here is what Kristaps Porzingis said after the loss: "I'm tired. I'm tired. I'm so tired right now. I have one day now to rest my legs and then get back and play better and have more energy and also try and bring the team's energy up. Also we're in a tough stretch. The mental part doesn't help at all. When it's mentally tough you just don't have it in you. It's normal. It's normal. It's up and down. Get some rest, enjoy nice Miami weather and go try and win the Miami game." I like Miami to win big here. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-03-18 | Raptors v. Bulls +5 | 124-115 | Loss | -105 | 21 h 11 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
01-03-18 | Pacers v. Bucks -7.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 23 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. I bet against the Pacers in their loss at Chicago, and here is what I said prior to that game: "The Pacers have lost back-to-back games, and leading scorer Victor Oladipo has been suffering from a knee injury during that span. He scored just 13 points on 5-of-11 shooting in 26 minutes in a 107-83 loss at Detroit on Tuesday, and he didn't play in Wednesday's home loss to Dallas. The Pacers aren't expecting him to play here in Chicago." The Pacers aren't expecting Oladipo back for Wednesday's game against Milwaukee, and they have lost all three games since his injury. The average margin of defeat in those games is well over 10 points. The Pacers have failed to cover in five straight overall, and they have lost their last two games at Milwaukee by a combined 31 points. The Bucks are a solid 12-6 on their home floor, and this looks like a good spot for them to open up a good old fashioned can of whup-ass on an inferior opponent. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-02-18 | Spurs -5 v. Knicks | 100-91 | Win | 100 | 29 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Knicks have a respectable .500 record overall, and they are an impressive 15-6 at home. They haven't played well of late though, losing four of their last five overall. The majority of their wins have come against mediocre Eastern Conference teams, not comparable to tonight's opponent. The Spurs are still one of the top teams in the West, despite dealing with injuries all year. Kawhi Leonard will be playing his seventh game since returning from injury, and he's looked like he's getting close to 100 percent. He's totaled 39 points in his last two starts. The Spurs have beaten up on Eastern Conference teams, covering the spread in four of their last five. New York's last home game was a 105-98 loss to the Sixers, and Jarrett Jack scored zero points on 0-5 shooting in the loss. The veteran is filling in for the injured Tim Hardaway Jr, and he's shot just 35 percent from the field in his last five starts. The Knicks lost at San Antonio by a score of 119-107 last week, and Kawhi Leonard didn't play in that game. I like the Spurs to take down the Knicks at The Garden tonight. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-31-17 | Wolves -3.5 v. Pacers | 107-90 | Win | 100 | 30 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota Timberwolves. | |||||||
12-29-17 | Pacers v. Bulls -2 | Top | 107-119 | Win | 100 | 30 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls. | |||||||
12-27-17 | Knicks v. Bulls -120 | 87-92 | Win | 100 | 19 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls won 115-106 at Milwaukee last night, and it was their eight win in their last 10 games. They have averaged over 111 points per game in those wins. Nikola Mirotic is a big reason for the turnaround in Chicago, and he scored 24 points on 9-of-18 shooting in Milwaukee last night. The Knicks are horrible on the road, losing 10 of 12 so far. They are coming off a 105-98 home loss to the Sixers on Christmas, and Kristaps Porzingis shot just 6-of-19 from the field in the loss. Tim Hardaway Jr. remained sidelined for the Knicks, and they missed him on Christmas Day. Jarrett Jack started at PG against Philly, scoring zero points on 0-of-5 shooting with seven assists and three turnovers in 21 minutes. The Bulls have covered the spread in five straight home games, and playing on back to back nights shouldn't be a huge issue for a young team that is just getting a taste of what it feels like to win. This is further evidenced by the fact that the Bulls are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on back to back nights.The Knicks have covered the spread just four times in their last 13 road games, and they are going to be hard pressed to win here at Chicago. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-26-17 | Jazz v. Nuggets -6 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Denver Nuggets. | |||||||
12-26-17 | Bulls v. Bucks OVER 211 | 115-106 | Win | 100 | 16 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on CHI@MIL to go OVER the total. | |||||||
12-26-17 | Pacers v. Pistons -130 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show | |
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12-26-17 | Pacers v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 83-107 | Win | 100 | 15 h 43 m | Show | |
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12-26-17 | Raptors v. Mavs UNDER 209 | 93-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on TOR@DAL to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-25-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | Top | 111-103 | Loss | -110 | 161 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. | |||||||
12-25-17 | Cavs +5 v. Warriors | 92-99 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
This is a 9* play on the Cleveland Cavs.
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12-23-17 | Bulls v. Celtics UNDER 206 | Top | 92-117 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 45 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CHI@BOS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
12-20-17 | Heat v. Celtics -8 | 90-89 | Loss | -105 | 13 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics have only covered the spread in three of their last 10 games. Of course with the best record in the NBA, it's understandable that they could become overvalued. They will be an 8-point favorite in tonight's home game against the undermanned Miami Heat. That seems just about right, considering that Boston is 13-3 at home, and 9.5 games ahead of Miami in the standings. When you look a little closer at Miami's injury woes however, it seems like a bargain to get Boston as a favorite in single digits. Goran Drajic is hoping to return to the lineup after missing the last game with an elbow injury, but he may not be 100 percent. He scored just 29 points on 10-of-33 shooting, and was just 1-of-7 from behind the arc in his last three starts. Dion Waiters is also questionable with an illness, but Hassan Whiteside, Justise Winslow and James Johnson will not play. The Heat are 6-15 ATS in the last 21 meetings in Boston, and they are 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 versus teams from the Eastern Conference. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-14-17 | Knicks v. Nets -120 | 111-104 | Loss | -120 | 16 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets. | |||||||
12-13-17 | Raptors v. Suns UNDER 217 | 115-109 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@PHX to go UNDER the total. The Suns have lost four straight, and leading scorer Devin Booker has missed the last three games. Booker (averaging 24.3 points per game) is expected to miss the next 2-3 weeks with a groin strain. Without him the Suns have averaged just 97 points per game in their last three overall, and all three of those games went under the total. The Raptors come to town as winners of six of their last seven, but they scored just 91 points in a loss to the Clippers on Monday. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five of it's last six road games, and six of it's last seven road games against teams with a losing record. The Suns are a team that is normally associated with high scoring basketball games, but that doesn't seem applicable when Devin Booker is out of the lineup. Toronto has allowed fewer than 100 points in three of it's last four road games. I expect this game to be a blowout, and if that's the case it's going to be hard to see enough scoring to reach a high total. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-17 | Nuggets v. Pistons UNDER 210.5 | 103-84 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show | |
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12-10-17 | Celtics -118 v. Pistons | 91-81 | Win | 100 | 5 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are coming off a loss on the road at San Antonio, but they looked pretty good forcing the Spurs to hit a buzzer beater in a 105-102 win. They will play at Detroit this afternoon, with a chance to avenge a rare home loss to the Pistons earlier this year. The Pistons have really struggled of late, losing five straight. Kyrie Irving has scored an average of 28.9 points over his last 10 games, but he's taking off the protective mask here this afternoon. He scored 36 of 13-of-21 shooting in the loss to the Spurs, and he hit six three-point shots in that game. While the Pistons won the last meeting in this series, Boston had won four of the previous five. They have won four straight at The Palace, covering the spread in all four of those games. The Celtics haven't lost back to back games since their second game of the season, coming after Gordon Hayward was lost for the season in the season opener. They have covered the spread in six of their last seven when coming off a loss, and I expect them to be all fired up for a revenge game against the slumping Pistons. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-17 | Lakers v. 76ers UNDER 221.5 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Sixers beat the Lakers by a score of 115-109 in LA in November, and the Bookmakers are expecting another high scoring game here in Philly. These two teams have failed to reach the total in three of the last four games at Philly, and the one exception was a 113-111 Lakers win in overtime back in 2015. The Lakers have gone under in six straight road games against teams with a winning record. The Sixers have gone under in five of their last seven home games, and four of their last five overall. Lonzo Ball scored just 2 points on 1-of-9 shooting in 21 minutes in the last meeting. The Lakers have scored an average of 103.8 points per game in their last 10 losses. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings between the two teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule. | |||||||
12-06-17 | Kings v. Cavs OVER 210.5 | 95-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@CLE to go OVER the total. The Cavs can tie a franchise record with their 13th consecutive win when they host the Sacramento Kings tonight. As easy as that may sound, the Kings have actually won two of their last three on the road, averaging 107 points in those games. One of those games was a 110-106 win at Golden State. The Cavs have scored more than 110 points in four of their last five games, and they've allowed over 100 points in 17 of their last 22 overall. These two teams have a history of playing high scoring games, going over in each of the last four head to head meetings. The total in all four of those games was much higher than it is tonight. The Kings have gone over in 18 of their last 24 games versus Eastern Conference teams. The over is 8-1 in Cleveland's last nine games against the Western Conference. Take Over. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-05-17 | Wizards v. Blazers -5.5 | Top | 106-92 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
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12-02-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 123-116 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
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12-01-17 | Spurs -175 v. Grizzlies | 95-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 11 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Memphis Grizzlies have lost eight in a row, and they have fired head coach David Fizdale. It isn't uncommon for teams to turn things around after a coaching change, but the Grizzlies have more than their fair share of problems. Starting PG Mike Conley has missed the last six games with an Achilles injury, and he won't be back anytime soon. Backup PG Mario Chalmers is banged up, listed as day to day. Chandler Parsons left the last game with a sore knee, and Brandon Wright has missed four games with a groin injury. The Grizzlies have lost five straight at San Antonio, and four of those give losses came by double digits. Despite the injury to Kawhi Leonard, the Spurs are 9-2 at home, and just three games back of first place Houston in the West. They welcomed back Tony Parker on Monday, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a losing record. Memphis has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and is 3-13 ATS in it's last 16 overall. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-29-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs -8 | Top | 95-104 | Win | 100 | 31 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Memphis Grizzlies have lost eight in a row, and they have fired head coach David Fizdale. It isn't uncommon for teams to turn things around after a coaching change, but the Grizzlies have more than their fair share of problems. Starting PG Mike Conley has missed the last six games with an Achilles injury, and he won't be back anytime soon. Backup PG Mario Chalmers is banged up, listed as day to day. Chandler Parsons left the last game with a sore knee, and Brandon Wright has missed four games with a groin injury. The Grizzlies have lost five straight at San Antonio, and four of those give losses came by double digits. Despite the injury to Kawhi Leonard, the Spurs are 9-2 at home, and just three games back of first place Houston in the West. They welcomed back Tony Parker on Monday, and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a losing record. Memphis has failed to cover in four of it's last five road games, and is 3-13 ATS in it's last 16 overall. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-17 | Nuggets v. Jazz -120 | 77-106 | Win | 100 | 22 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz are coming off back to back home wins over Milwaukee and Chicago, and I like their chances of making it three straight here tonight when they host Denver. The Nuggets are not a great road team, winning only three of nine road games so far. Their depth will be tested, with Paul Millsap out and Mason Plumlee and Wilson Chandler both listed as day to day. They have lost six straight at Utah dating back to 2015, and they have failed to cover in seven of their last eight at Salt Lake City. The Jazz are a great home team, and even with all the adversity they have faced this season they have won eight of 12 at home. Utah shot 58.6 percent from the field and made 18 three-pointers in a 121-108 win over the Bucks on Saturday. Denver has only covered the spread once in it's last five road games, and is 1-6 ATS when coming off a win. The Nuggets made just 57 percent of their free throws in a win over the Grizzlies on Friday, and they were out-scored in the second half of that game. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-24-17 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -5.5 | Top | 92-104 | Win | 100 | 19 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. Both the Nuggets and the Grizzlies are dealing with injuries to star players, as Paul Millsap and Mike Conley are each expected to be sidelined for several weeks. The Nuggets are still in fairly good shape, with plenty of depth at PF with players like Kenneth Faried, Trey Lyles and Juan Hernangomez. The same can't be said for the Grizzlies, who have lost six straight, four of those games without their starting PG. Backup Mario Chalmers struggled in a home loss to Dallas on Wednesday, shooting just 2-of-11 from the field. He's shooting just .358 percent from the field this season, and a woeful .208 percent from beyond the arc. The Grizzlies haven't covered the spread in any of their six losses during this losing skid, and this looks like a tough spot playing at altitude in Denver. The Nuggets are 7-2 at home, and are coming off a loss at Houston. They are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a straight up loss. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-22-17 | Bulls v. Jazz -8.5 | Top | 80-110 | Win | 100 | 22 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. The Jazz have struggled since the injury to Rudy Gobert, losing eight of their last 10 overall. They are in a good spot here tonight though, hosting the bottom feeders of the NBA (Chicago). The Bulls are playing on back to back nights, and also their third game in four nights. This looks like a throw away game for a team that is angling itself for a high lottery pick in the draft, rather than competing for a playoff spot. Rodney Hood scored 31 points on 12-of-21 shooting in a win over the Magic on Saturday, and he should prove to be a handful for a Bulls team that ranks 27th in the league in three-point defense. Some might expect the loss of shot blocking specialist Gobert to result in a more high scoring game, but according to the data that doesn't seem to be the case. Gobert only missed one game last season, but was sidelined for Utah's first three games in their first round playoff series versus the Clippers. Two of those three games saw less than 200 combined points. The previous season saw a stretch where Gobert missed 18 consecutive games, and in 13 of those games the combined score was less than 200 points. The Jazz are ranked 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, holding opponents to an average of 101.1 points per game. I expect them to hold the Bulls to fewer than 90 points here in a double-digit home win. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-17 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 199 | 101-104 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@SA to go UNDER the total. The Spurs have been one of the best defensive teams in the NBA for decades under head coach Greg Popovich, and nothing has changed this season. San Antonio ranks 4th in the league in opponent's scoring average, allowing just 98.9 points per game. They host Oklahoma City tonight, and the Thunder have become one of the league's top defensive teams in 2017. They rank 2nd in the NBA allowing just 97.1 points per game. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in seven of the last 10 meetings dating back to April of 2016. The under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in San Antonio, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in all five of those games. Oklahoma City has failed to reach the total in 13 of it's last 16 road games, while the Spurs have gone under in four of their last five versus Western Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-17-17 | Heat v. Wizards -4.5 | 91-88 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. | |||||||
11-13-17 | Wolves v. Jazz UNDER 208 | Top | 109-98 | Win | 100 | 17 h 40 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
11-10-17 | Nets v. Blazers -8.5 | 101-97 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Portland Blazers. After winning the first two games of this home stand, the Blazers fell 98-97 to the Memphis Grizzlies on Tuesday. They have had two days to rest ahead of tonight's game versus Brooklyn, and this looks like a perfect opponent for the Blazers to lay a beating on. The Nets have lost two of three on this road trip, with the average margin of defeat in those games being 10 points. They are dealing with some injuries to key players, and with the second game of a back to back in Utah tomorrow, this figures to be a tough spot. The Nets are 1-5 straight up on the road, and they are 1-7 ATS in their last eight versus teams from the Northwest. The Blazers have won four straight versus Brooklyn, covering the spread in three of those four wins. Portland has had a challenging schedule, but when they have faced inferior opponents they have been a good bet. The Blazers are 9-3-1 in their last 13 versus teams with a sub .500 record. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-17 | Heat v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 84-74 | Win | 100 | 17 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIA@UTAH to go UNDER the total. The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and even though we have a lower number here tonight, I am coming back with another play on the under. These two teams have gone over in four of the last seven meetings, but tonight's total is higher than it was in any of those games. In fact six of those seven games saw a total of 190 or lower. The Heat have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 road games, while the under is 5-1 in Utah's last six when playing on two day's rest. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-17 | Heat v. Jazz -160 | 84-74 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Heat are playing their fifth game of a five game road trip, coming off a 126-115 win over the Suns. They are 2-2 on the trip so far, failing to score 100 points both losses. They scored just 80 points in a 97-80 loss to Golden State on Monday. The Jazz have lost three straight, and they should be ready to battle for every possession tonight, in an effort to end this losing skid. Their last game was a 104-97 loss to Philly, in a game that saw just combined 90 points scored in the first half. I won with a play on the under in that game, and I expect another low scoring game here tonight. I do expect a solid effort from the home team, and I think there is great value getting the Jazz as just a slight favorite. The Heat are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win, while the Jazz are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games. Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-17 | Bucks v. Spurs -4.5 | 94-87 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 36 m | Show | |
11-10-17 | Hawks v. Pistons UNDER 208 | 104-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL@DET to go UNDER the total. The Hawks have lost nine of their last 10 overall, and they've averaged just 100 points per game in those losses. They are playing at the Palace in Detroit tonight, and I don't like their chances of scoring 100 here. The Pistons are sitting in first place in the Central Division, and it's no thanks to their 16th ranked offense. Detroit has been taking care of business on the defensive side of the ball, allowing opponents to average just over 100 points per game. They rank 8th overall in scoring defense, and they are 5-1 at home. They've held their opponents under 100 points in five of their six home games so far. These two teams have gone over the total in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. That results in a much higher number here for tonight's game. The last three times these teams faced each other, the boomakers set the total below 200. The under 15-7-2 in Hawks last 24 road games, and they have several key players nursing injuries heading into tonight's game. The Pistons have failed to reach the total in 12 of their last 16 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-09-17 | Cavs v. Rockets -5 | 113-117 | Loss | -115 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
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11-09-17 | Cavs v. Rockets OVER 228 | 113-117 | Win | 100 | 16 h 43 m | Show | |
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11-08-17 | Wolves v. Warriors UNDER 229 | 101-125 | Win | 100 | 17 h 42 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIN@GS to go Under the total. The Warriors are the highest scoring team in the NBA, scoring over 118 points per game. They are coming off a 97-80 win over the Miami Heat, marking the first time they won a game without reaching 100 points since April of 2016. It was a dominant performance defensively, blocking 10 shots and holding the heat to 36.1 percent shooting. Tonight's game against Minnesota will feature two of the league's premier shot blockers, as both Kevin Durant and Karl Anthony Towns are ranked in the Top 5 in blocks per game. Minnesota is coming off five straight wins, holding opponents to less than 100 points in each of their last three. They have proven to be a tough matchup for the Warriors, who have only covered in one of their last 10 versus the Wolves. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams, and seven of those 10 games went under. I expect both these teams to continue a trend of strong defensive play, in what should be a competitive game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-08-17 | Lakers v. Celtics UNDER 210 | 96-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on LAL@BOS to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
11-07-17 | 76ers v. Jazz UNDER 205 | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
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11-03-17 | Raptors v. Jazz -120 | 109-100 | Loss | -120 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
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11-03-17 | Raptors v. Jazz UNDER 196 | 109-100 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 1 m | Show | |
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11-03-17 | Heat v. Nuggets -5 | Top | 94-95 | Loss | -110 | 21 h 2 m | Show |
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11-01-17 | Blazers v. Jazz UNDER 196.5 | 103-112 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on POR@UTAH to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
10-31-17 | Thunder v. Bucks UNDER 213.5 | Top | 110-91 | Win | 100 | 22 h 11 m | Show |
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10-30-17 | Mavs v. Jazz UNDER 192 | 89-104 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DAL@UTAH to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
10-30-17 | 76ers v. Rockets UNDER 216.5 | 115-107 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on PHI@HOU to go UNDER the total. The Rockets beat the Sixers by a score of 105-104 last week, and I bet the under in that game. Here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams." The Rockets have continued to trend under, but the total for tonight's home game remains the same as the last meeting between these two teams. I expect a similar result. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-17 | Spurs v. Celtics -165 | 94-108 | Win | 100 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
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10-29-17 | Magic v. Hornets UNDER 212 | 113-120 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ORL@CHA to go Under the total. The Orlando Magic are off to a surprising start, and they come into tonight's game at Charlotte looking for their fourth consecutive win. They could be due to suffer a bit of a let down, coming off a huge 114-87 win over the Spurs. They shot 57.1 percent from the field, and 47.8 percent from beyond the arc in the victory. Those numbers are obviously not sustainable, and Charlotte ranks among the top teams in the NBA, holding opponents to just 99.6 points per game so far. Dwight Howard leads the NBA in rebounds, and ranks among the league leaders in blocked shots. The Magic are 0-4 in their last four visits to Charlotte, and they failed to score 100 points in three of those games. The total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all four of those games, and Charlotte has gone under in seven straight. The Hornets have played more than their fair share of low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 16 of their last 22 when playing teams in their own division. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-28-17 | Pistons v. Clippers UNDER 208 | 95-87 | Win | 100 | 22 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@LAC to go UNDER the total. I bet the under in the Clippers last game, a 104-103 win at Portland. Blake Griffin hit a buzzer beater three-pointer for the win. Here is what I had to say prior to the game: "The new look Clippers are off to a decent start, and most impressive has been their defense. They've allowed an NBA best 88 points per game so far. While we have seen the Clippers play their fair share of high scoring games in previous seasons, this year's squad appears to be designed to play a different brand of basketball. With Patrick Beverly at PG instead of Chris Paul, and J.J. Reddick and Jamal Crawford no longer coming off the bench, we shouldn't expect to see the same "Lob City" offense." The Clippers host the Detroit Pistons, another solid defensive team. This game will feature two of the league's worst free-throw shooters in DeAndre Jordan and Andre Drummond. These two teams have gone over the total in four of the last six meetings, but the total in those games was much lower than the total for tonight's contest. The Clippers have failed to reach the total in five of their last six at Staples Center. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-26-17 | Clippers v. Blazers UNDER 216 | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 33 h 15 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
10-25-17 | Rockets v. 76ers UNDER 221 | 105-104 | Win | 100 | 12 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on HOU@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Rockets scored 122 points in a shocking upset win over the Warriors in their season opener, but they have averaged less than 100 points in three games since. It's likely no coincidence that PG Chris Paul has not played since injuring his knee in the win over the Warriors. His replacement Eric Gordon scored a team high 27 points in a loss to the Grizzlies on Monday, but the offense looked out of sync. Houston attempted a whopping 38 three point shots, hitting just nine (23.7%). The Sixers are coming off a 97-86 win over the Pistons in Detroit. Philly has lost three of four games so far, and has scored an average of less than 100 points per game. These teams have gone over the total in seven of the last 10 head to head meetings, but the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of those previous meetings. The Rockets have gone under in four straight versus Eastern Conference teams. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-17 | Pelicans v. Blazers -4.5 | 93-103 | Win | 100 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Portland TrailBlazers. The Blazers are off to a solid start, winning two of three on the road to open the season. They are coming off a 113-110 loss at Milwaukee, in a game decided by a buzzer beater. They play their home opener against the New Orleans Pelicans, who have won just one of three games, and nearly blew a big lead in LA on Sunday. Everyone knows that Portland is a strong home team, but their streak of 16 consecutive wins in their home opener is an NBA record. The Pelicans were just 13-28 on the road last season, and they've failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven at Portland. The Blazers aren't known for their defense, but currently they rank in the Top 5 in the league allowing just 95 points per game. The Pelicans have allowed over 114 points per game so far, ranking near the bottom of the league in most defensive categories. Damian Lillard has owned the Pelicans, averaging over 27 points in his last five games against them. I expect the Blazers to make it 17 straight wins in their home opener. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-17 | 76ers v. Pistons UNDER 214.5 | Top | 97-86 | Win | 100 | 20 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@DET to go UNDER the total. The Pistons are off to a solid 2-1 start, and they've been strong on defense allowing just over 104 points per game. They host the Sixers tonight, and despite so much optimism in Philly, this team is still a long way away from being competitive. The 0-3 Sixers have failed to score 100 points in back to back double digit losses. They hit just 39 percent from the field in a loss at Toronto on Saturday, and they could struggle against this gritty Detroit defense. Both these teams rank in the Top 10 in the league in defending the three-point shot, and the Sixers rank 26th overall in field goal percentage. These teams played three times last season, failing to reach the total in two of those three contests. The total for tonight's game is actually higher than it was in any of those three previous meetings. The Pistons have gone under in six straight home games against teams below .500. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-21-17 | Suns v. Clippers UNDER 217.5 | Top | 88-130 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHO@LAC to go UNDER the total. The Suns played a high scoring game at home last night, coming up just short in a heart-breaking two point (132-130) loss to the Lakers. They will play at the Staples Center against the other team from Los Angeles tonight, and this looks like a let down spot for the Suns. They have failed to cover in three of their last four against the Clippers in LA, and they failed to score 100 points in all four of those games. The Clippers are a different team without Chris Paul, but so far the most important thing about his replacement (Patrick Beverly) has been his defense. After shutting down Lavar Ball in the Clippers season opener, some media personalities were calling him "the best defensive PG in the NBA". The Suns have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 12 when coming off a loss, and I expect this game to be decided midway through the third quarter. The backups might get some minutes in garbage time here, and it's going to be tough for these teams to reach such a high total in a lopsided game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-20-17 | Blazers v. Pacers OVER 221.5 | Top | 114-96 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@IND to go OVER the total. The Indiana Pacers scored 140 points in their season opener, despite shooting just 9-of-34 from beyond the arc. They had eight players score in double figures, and the played at an incredible fast pace. They host the Portland Trailblazers on Friday night, and Portland is a team that is happy to run with the likes of Indiana. The total for this game is a little higher than it has been in previous meetings, but these teams combined to score over 225 points in three of the last four meetings. The Blazers scored 124 points, and shot 14-of-24 from three point range in their season opener versus Phoenix. CJ McCollum sat out the season opener due to a suspension, but he should be ready to go here in Indiana. The Pacers beat the Blazers 118-111 at home last December (the most recent meeting), and four of the Blazers last five at Indiana have gone over the total. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-18-17 | Nuggets v. Jazz -130 | 96-106 | Win | 100 | 19 h 1 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-18-17 | Pelicans v. Grizzlies -135 | 91-103 | Win | 100 | 18 h 12 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
10-18-17 | Bucks v. Celtics -147 | 108-100 | Loss | -147 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics showed plenty of character coming back from a 16-point deficit at halftime to out-score the Cavs 33-18 in the third quarter. The loss of Gordon Hayward will be tough, but I think they can overcome it. They face a tough test here tonight, playing the second game of a back to back at home versus Milwaukee. The Bucks were one of the best defensive teams in the East last year, and that's a big reason why the under is 8-2-1 in Milwaukee's last 11 overall. While the Celtics are without Hayward, Milwaukee is going to miss PF Jabari Parker, who averaged over 20 points per game last year. The Bucks lost three of four pre-season games, averaging less than 100 points per game. I expect a tight defensive battle here in Boston. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-17 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 232 | 122-121 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 45 m | Show | |
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10-17-17 | Celtics +3.5 v. Cavs | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. Kyrie Irving and his Celtics would appear to have a lot more to prove than Cleveland here on Opening Night. The Celtics are the defending Eastern Conference champs, and Cleveland has already proven that regular season success is not a high priority. It was Kyrie Irving that was the better player in the NBA Finals when Cleveland won the title, and he was better in last year's Finals as well. Isaiah Thomas finished 5th in MVP voting with the Celtics last year, and now Irving steps in to fill his role as "The Man" in Boston. It's worth noting that in Boston's loss to Cleveland in the NBA Finals, they were far more competitive without Thomas in the lineup. They covered the spread in both Games 3 & 4 in Cleveland, and they led by double-digits at halftime in Game 4. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four at Cleveland. I'll take the points. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-17 | Warriors -5.5 v. Cavs | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Warriors. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight.I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GS@CLE to go UNDER. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight.I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 221 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go Under the total. Game 1 of the NBA Finals fell well short of an inflated total, and the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 2. We saw an offensive outburst in the second game of the series, but the end result was the same (a blowout win for the Warriors). Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season." After a combined 245 points were scored in Game 2, the total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was on Sunday. I think this is another over-correction by the bookmakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total . The last time these two teams played in Boston, the total fell short of an inflated number. I cashed in on that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game." The situation is a little different here in Game 5, as the Celtics are now facing elimination. The Cavs previously closed out Toronto and Indiana, and both of those elimination games saw fewer than 212 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@CLE to go UNDER the total. After suffering the worst loss in NBA Playoff History in Game 2 at home, the Celtics stunned the Cavs in Cleveland winning Game 3 by a score of 111-108. The Cavs led by 21 points in the third quarter of that game, and it looked like it was going to be another blowout. The Cavs obviously took their foot off the gas, allowing Boston to get back in the game. I seriously doubt we'll see that happen here in Game 4 tonight. We saw how dominant the Cavs can be when they held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2. I expect to see that same defensive intensity here in tonight's game. The Celtics upset victory in Game 3 was a feel good story, and they deserve full credit for showing up to play under tough circumstances. Don't be surprised if they suffer a let down here in tonight's game, as it's doubtful that they continue to shoot the ball so well from beyond the arc. Scoring has been up in these playoffs, and that has bookmakers setting the totals higher and higher. I think the value here in Cleveland tonight is a play on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 216 | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@SA to go OVER the total. Last night we saw the Celtics pull off a stunning upset for the ages in Cleveland. They pushed the tempo, playing fast and making a whopping 18 three-pointers. The pressure is off for both the Spurs and the Warriors now, and I expect to see both teams come out pretty loose in Game 4. The Spurs scored 108 points in Game 3, despite going just 5-of-21 from beyond the arc. They also shot just 60 percent from the free-throw line. I expect improvements in both those categories tonight, and that will help push the total higher. These teams have played a total of six games this season (regular season and playoffs), and five of those went over the total. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while the Spurs have gone over in five straight home games. The Warriors scored 128 points in their series clinching win at Portland, and 121 points in their series clinching win against the Jazz. I expect to see them score 120+ again, closing out the Spurs tonight. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOS@CLE to go OVER the total. | |||||||
05-20-17 | Warriors -6.5 v. Spurs | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Cleveland Cavaliers have put the Warriors on notice, and now the ball is in Golden State's court. Sure the Cavs are playing the Celtics, and the Warriors are playing the Spurs, but he reality is that these two teams are focused on a rematch of last year's Finals. Lebron James said that his team could play better after winning Game 1 in Boston by double-digits, and he wasn't kidding. Cleveland won Game 2 by a 44-point margin. With the Cavs well on their way to sweeping the Celtics, the pressure is on for Golden State to close out the Spurs as quickly as possible. Kawhi Leonard is not going to be healthy for Game 3, and he might not play at all. The Spurs have had no answer for Golden State without him, and I don't think that will change just because they are playing on their home court. They trailed at the half in their last home game in these playoffs, a 110-107 OT win over Houston. They trailed at the half in two of three home games during that series. The Warriors won their last game in San Antonio by a score of 110-98, and Kevin Durant didn't even play in that game. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +4.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. | |||||||
05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 209.5 | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@GS to go OVER the total. | |||||||
05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Boston Celtics. The home team has won each and every game in this series, but Boston came very close to winning Game 6 in Washington. Bradley Beal led all scorers with 33 points in the last game, but he hasn't been the same player in Boston. He's totaled just 30 points on 11-of-31 shooting in the last two games at The Garden. History has certainly favored home teams in previous Game 7s. The home team has won 101 of a total of 126 Game 7s all time. The Celtics as a franchise have been the most successful in Game 7s, winning 21-of-29 all time. They are 18-4 all time at home in Game 7s. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Wizards avoided elimination in Game 6 when John Wall hit a three-point shot with just three seconds on the clock to put Washington up by one. It was a clutch shot on a night when neither team shot the ball well, and every bucket was hard earned. Washington shot just 5-of-24 from beyond the arc, and they were just 13-of-21 from the free throw line. I expect to see another tightly contested defensive battle in a winner takes all contest at the Garden on Monday night. Washington really struggled in Game 5 in Boston, shooting just 38.5 percent from the field, and 24.1 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley Beal scored 33 points in Game 6 at home, three more than his combined points in the last two games in Boston. Over the last two seasons, we've seen six NBA playoff series go to a seventh and deciding game, and every one of those games saw fewer than 211 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -5 | 91-92 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. The home team has won every game in this series so far, and the home team won and covered in every meeting during the regular season as well. I bet on Washington in Game 4, and here is what I said prior to the game: "Washington has led at halftime in all three games in this series, and finally in Game 3 at home they were able to hold a lead. They will try to even the series at 2-2 in Game 4 on Sunday, and I like their chances of doing just that. Isaiah Thomas struggled in Game 3, playing just 29 minutes, scoring 13 points on 3-of-8 shooting. He missed the beginning of the second half after having a tooth knocked out earlier in the game. He needed surgery to repair the damage, and while he's expected to play, he's going to be hurting, especially if he takes any more shots to the jaw area. Washington was one of the best home teams in the league during the regular season, and they've won by double digits in each of their last three home games against the Celtics. The Wizards owned the boards in the last game, out-rebounding Boston 50-38. I expect to see this series go seven games, with the home team winning each and every game."Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-11-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 213 | 114-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@HOU to go OVER the total. These teams have gone over in four of the five games so far in this series, and I bet the over in the last two games. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Spurs suffered their worst lost in history in Game 1 of this series versus Houston, but they have responded with back to back wins to take a 2-1 lead heading into Game 4. LaMarcus Aldridge struggled in the series opener, but he was great in Game 3, scoring 26 points with seven rebounds and four blocked shots. These teams played close gamed during the regular season, with three of the four decided by just a two point margin. The bookmakers have made the Rockets a six point favorite on Sunday, and the total is hovering around 212. San Antonio has seized the momentum, and their defense was impressive holding Houston to just 36.4 percent shooting in the last game. The Rockets are likely to be a lot better in tonight's must win game, and that should push the total higher than Game 3. The Spurs have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while Houston has gone over in six of their last eight following a double-digit home loss." I was a little lucky in Game 5, needing the overtime to go over. With Leonard injured, Houston should have little trouble scoring. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Game 6. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@BOS to go OVER the total. The Wizards shot 52.4 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in Game 4, beating the Celtics by a score of 121-102. It was the third time in four games that these two teams went over the total in this series. Both games in Boston went over, and the Wizards led at halftime in each of those contests. The Celtics needed overtime to get past Washington in Game 2, however the two teams had already scored enough points in regulation to push the total over. John Wall went off for 40 points on 16-of-32 shooting in that game, but it wasn't enough as the Celtics won 129-119. Isaiah Thomas struggled in the second half of the last game, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his swagger back here at home in Game 5. He was 10-of-23 from beyond the arc in the previous two games in Boston. The over is 5-0-1 in Boston's last six home games, and these two teams have gone over in eight of the last 11 meetings in Boston. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 214.5 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-08-17 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 121-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
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05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 212 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
05-07-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -175 | Top | 102-121 | Win | 100 | 48 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards. Washington has led at halftime in all three games in this series, and finally in Game 3 at home they were able to hold a lead. They will try to even the series at 2-2 in Game 4 on Sunday, and I like their chances of doing just that. Isaiah Thomas struggled in Game 3, playing just 29 minutes, scoring 13 points on 3-of-8 shooting. He missed the beginning of the second half after having a tooth knocked out earlier in the game. He needed surgery to repair the damage, and while he's expected to play, he's going to be hurting, especially if he takes any more shots to the jaw area. Washington was one of the best home teams in the league during the regular season, and they've won by double digits in each of their last three home games against the Celtics. The Wizards owned the boards in the last game, out-rebounding Boston 50-38. I expect to see this series go seven games, with the home team winning each and every game. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-04-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 204.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total. | |||||||
05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 216 | Top | 96-121 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@SA to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | 94-106 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTA@GS to go OVER the total. The Warriors scored an average of 119 points per game in a four game sweep in their first round series versus Portland. That's well above the 115.9 points per game they averaged while leading the league in scoring during the regular season. The Jazz were the league's top defensive team this year, but they gave up an average of 97.7 points per game in a seven game series versus the Clippers in the first round, slightly more than their regular season average of 96.8 points per game. So much for the traditional logic that scoring goes down in the playoffs. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games in the playoffs. The Warriors have gone over in five of their last six Conference Semifinal games, while the over is 6-0-1 in Utah's last seven in the second round of the playoffs. The oddsmakers have set a low number here, and I think the value is on a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-01-17 | Rockets +6 v. Spurs | 126-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets will be getting six points in Game 1 of this second round series versus San Antonio, and during the regular season these teams played four close games. Not one of those games was decided by more than six points, and in fact three of the four were decided by just two points. Houston beat the Oklahoma City Thunder in just five games in the first round, winning Game 4 at Oklahoma City. The one loss in Game 3 came by just a two point margin. The Spurs dominated the Grizzlies at home, but lost two of three games at Memphis allowing the Grizzlies to extend that series to six games. The road team has covered the spread in each of the last five meetings between these two teams, and the Spurs have not had much post-season success the last two seasons. In 2015 they were ousted by the Clippers in the first round, and they lost two of three home games in that series. Last year they lost to Oklahoma City in the second round, again losing two of three at home. I'll take the points with Houston here in Game 1. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-01-17 | Raptors +7 v. Cavs | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -107 | 56 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. While the Cavs swept Indiana in the first round, they didn't really look sharp in those four games. Cleveland is asked to cover a seven point spread here in Game 1 versus the Raptors, despite the fact that all four games against the Pacers were decided by six points or less. LeBron James is still the best player in the NBA, but Kyrie Irving has looked pretty average lately. He shot over 40 percent from beyond the arc during the regular season, but is hitting just over 20 percent from three-point range in the playoffs. He averaged 5.8 assists per game during the season, but is averaging just 3 APG in the post-season. Cleveland won three of four versus the Raptors during the regular season, but all three of those wins came in gamed decided by less than five points. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in it's last six road games, while the Cavs are 0-4 ATS in their last five at home. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-30-17 | Wizards +4.5 v. Celtics | 111-123 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. The Celtics came into the playoffs as the number one seed in the Eastern Conference, but they have the lowest point differential (+2.7 points) than any number one seed since the 78-79 Seattle Supersonics. They didn't look great against the Bulls, losing both Games 1 & 2 at home. If it wasn't for an injury to Rajon Rondo, the Bulls would have likely won the series. They host Washington in the second round, and the Wizards closed out Atlanta in six games, clinching the series on the road with a 115-99 win in Atlanta in Game 6. The Celtics leading scorer Isaiah Thomas averaged 28.9 points per game this season, but is averaging roughly five points less than that here in the post-season. He has really struggled with his three-point shooting, going 3-of-26 in his last three games. It's going to be tough for Thomas to keep up with John Wall, who went off for 42 points in Game 6 at Atlanta. The Celtics are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, and I'll take the Wizards plus the points in Game 1. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-28-17 | Celtics -135 v. Bulls | Top | 105-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics can close out this first round series versus Chicago tonight, but they'll have to win again on the road. After losing both Games 1 & 2 at home, they have now won three straight, with two of those wins coming here at the United Center. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Chicago Bulls shocked the Celtics by winning back to back games in Boston, but they lost Game 3 of this series at home by a whopping 17 points. The Celtics can even the series at 2-2 with a win in Chicago tonight, and the Bulls might be in big trouble without PG Rajon Rondo. Without him they had more turnovers (17) than assists (14) in Game 3. Backup point-guards Michael Carter-Williams and Jerian Grant score a combined eight points on 3-of-10 shooting. The Celtics defense completely shut down Jimmy Butler in the last game, holding him to 14 points on 7-of-21 shooting. The Celtics didn't have any trouble winning on the road during the regular season, and the Bulls are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Bulls appeared to be well on their way to recording the biggest upset of the first round, but the injury to Rondo may have derailed their playoff hopes." It would be a miracle if Rondo was able to play in Game 6, and even if he does, he won't be 100 percent. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196 | Top | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 58 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-25-17 | Jazz +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 96-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. | |||||||
04-24-17 | Warriors v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 128-103 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trail Blazers. | |||||||
04-23-17 | Celtics -120 v. Bulls | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
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04-23-17 | Rockets +1 v. Thunder | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. The Thunder came out like gangbusters in Game 3, taking a double digit lead to the locker room at halftime. Houston out-scored them 30-22 in the fourth quarter, coming up just short in a 113-11 loss. I like the Rockets chances of getting off to a better start here in Game 4, and taking a commanding 3-1 series lead. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "James Harden played like an MVP in Game 1, scoring 37 points on 13-of-28 shooting, with nine assists and seven rebounds. Russell Westbrook really struggled, shooting just 6-of-23 from the field and 3-of-11 from beyond the arc. The Rockets crushed the Thunder on the boards, out-rebounding them 56-41. The final score was 118-87, and that shouldn't be much of a surprise considering the history between the two teams. The Rockets won three of four in the regular season series, and the last game at Houston (in the regular season) was a 137-125 win for the Rockets. Houston was one of the league's best home teams, while Oklahoma City had a losing record on the road. Oklahoma City has covered the spread just once in the last 11 meetings between the two teams, failing to cover in six of their last seven in Houston. Westbrook's "one man show" might play well for the fans during the regular season (in Oklahoma City), but it's not going to fly here in the playoffs." Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go OVER the total. | |||||||
04-21-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 197 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@UTAH to go UNDER the total. After back to back unders in the first two games in this series, I don't think there's any reason to expect a different result when the series shifts to Utah. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,160 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,039 |
Tom Macrina | $650 |
Ray Monohan | $618 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Jesse Schule | $418 |
Big Al McMordie | $350 |
Marc Lawrence | $300 |
Mike Lundin | $293 |
Joseph D'Amico | $268 |