Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
05-01-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 220 | Top | 97-90 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on POR@DEN to go Under the total. The Nuggets won Game 1 in a high scoring affair, with both teams shooting over 50 percent from the field. I expect them to see plenty of push back from the Blazers in Game 2, and I expect those numbers to go down. In four home games against the Spurs, Denver allowed an average of 95 points per game. The under is 13-4 in Nuggets last 17 home games, and they are 6-0 ATS in their last six Conference Semifinals games. We've seen a lot of talk about the officiating in these playoffs, but the consensus from the league seems to be to let them play. I think the total for tonight's game appears to be a little inflated, and I'll fade the big number. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-30-19 | Rockets +6 v. Warriors | Top | 109-115 | Push | 0 | 49 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Houston. The Rockets delivered a detailed report on last year's WC Final, suggesting that the officials were biased in favor of Golden State. Most people see this for what it is, a rather classless position for a franchise who's star player has earned a living on cheap foul calls. Still the squeaky wheel often gets the grease, and Harden will likely get a call or two in his favor tonight. If there's one thing that conspiracy theorists know about NBA officiating, it's that the league loves to extend a series. The Rockets lost Game 1 last year and responded with a huge win in Game 2. The Warriors have been rather sloppy of late, losing two of their last three at home and failing to cover in four of their last five home games against the Rockets. I'll take the points. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-30-19 | Celtics +7.5 v. Bucks | 102-123 | Loss | -110 | 47 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Boston. You don't want to overreact to the results of just one game, and just because Milwaukee lost Game 1 at home as the biggest favorite in the second round doesn't mean they can't win in Game 2. That being said, there is a difference between overreacting and failing to react at all. The results of Game 1 are not meaningless. Boston didn't just win, they didn't get lucky and steal the game. No sir, they dominated the game from start to finish, winning by a whopping 22 points. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "So the Bucks were the better team in the regular season, and because of that they are a significant favorite in this second round series versus Boston. Granted they have home court advantage, so laying a few points would make plenty of sense. Giving Boston 8+ points though seems absolutely illogical to me. The last time these teams played each other, Boston won by a score of 117-113. The last time Boston played at Milwaukee they lost by a score of 98-97. Kyrie Irving is a proven playoff performer with a championship ring, and this Celtics team has proven itself in the post-season. Milwaukee is coming off a four game sweep of Detroit, a subpar team who's best player (Blake Griffin) was injured. I don't think that helps them prepare for the challenge they will face here versus the Celtics." The bookmakers giving Boston +7.5 points in Game 2 tells me that they think the results of Game 1 are meaningless, and I disagree. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-29-19 | Blazers v. Nuggets -150 | 113-121 | Win | 100 | 33 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Denver Nuggets. | |||||||
04-29-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -6.5 | 94-89 | Loss | -102 | 23 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. I had Toronto in Game 1, and while I was happy with the double digit win, I thought the game was closer than it should have been. The Raptors played a great game defensively, but some poor decisions allowed Philly to hang around in what should have been a blowout. The most egregious of those poor decisions was at the end of the third quarter, up by 15 points with 16 seconds on the clock, surely you hold the ball for last shot with a chance to go into the fourth up 17 or 18 points? Instead, Danny Green forced a quick three point attempt, and Ben Simmons came back to score a quick bucket. Joel Embiid added a pair of free throws and the lead was cut from a possible 17 or 18 to just 11. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Raptors were 3-1 against the Sixers during the regular season, but perhaps the most significant thing about the regular season series was that Kawhi Leonard didn't play in the one game that Philly won. The Sixers were 31-10 at home this season, but they had a losing record on the road. I am not convinced that this team is all that different that the team that lost in five games to Boston in last year's East Seminfinal. They lost all three games at Boston, and they lost Game 1 by 16 points. While they have since added Jimmy Butler, the health of Joel Embiid is in question. The Raptors on the other hand look a lot better with Kahwi Leonard and Marc Gasol than they did a year ago." After getting the monkey off their back in Game 1, expect a more convincing win in Game 2. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-28-19 | Celtics +8 v. Bucks | 112-90 | Win | 100 | 83 h 15 m | Show | |
8* analysis before game time | |||||||
04-27-19 | 76ers v. Raptors -5 | Top | 95-108 | Win | 100 | 90 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Raptors were 3-1 against the Sixers during the regular season, but perhaps the most significant thing about the regular season series was that Kawhi Leonard didn't play in the one game that Philly won. The Sixers were 31-10 at home this season, but they had a losing record on the road. I am not convinced that this team is all that different that the team that lost in five games to Boston in last year's East Seminfinal. They lost all three games at Boston, and they lost Game 1 by 16 points. While they have since added Jimmy Butler, the health of Joel Embiid is in question. The Raptors on the other hand look a lot better with Kahwi Leonard and Marc Gasol than they did a year ago. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-23-19 | Thunder v. Blazers -150 | 115-118 | Win | 100 | 35 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on Portland. The Blazers have absolutely owned Oklahoma City in this series, and their double digit victory in Game 4 came despite every effort from the officials to allow the Thunder to get back into this series. I am sure I wasn't the only one who say Damian Lillard take a handful of shots to the head while the refs kept the whistle in their pocket in the fourth quarter. Lillard remained calm, not bothering to say a word to the officials. You look in his eyes and the expression says "It's cool, I got this". Russell Westbrook was 5-of-21 from the field in Game 4, and he is on the verge of cementing his legacy as the league's most overrated player. Portland should close out the series tonight. Take BLAZERS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-23-19 | Spurs v. Nuggets -5.5 | 90-108 | Win | 100 | 71 h 11 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Denver Nuggets. The Spurs are coming off a terrible loss at home in Game 4, and they are in rough shape heading back to Denver. Not only did they miss out on a chance to wrestle home court advantage away from the Nuggets in this series, they allowed the younger and less experience team to gain confidence. Now Denver has a chance to take a 3-2 series lead at home in Game 5. The Nuggets have the best home record in the NBA, and home court advantage in Denver has been a story long before this team finished as the #2 seed. Playing at altitude in Denver could prove to be even more challenging for a Spurs team that has the worst road record of any team in the playoffs. I think the Spurs window of opportunity closed when they lost at home in Game 4. Take DEN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-21-19 | Raptors v. Magic UNDER 235 | 107-85 | Win | 100 | 51 h 17 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
04-21-19 | Raptors -110 v. Magic | 107-85 | Win | 100 | 45 h 11 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
04-20-19 | Bucks -8 v. Pistons | Top | 119-103 | Win | 100 | 65 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Milwaukee Bucks. The Bucks are heading into Game 3 of this series up 2-0, and some might expect them to suffer a let down here as the series shifts to Detroit. Well they didn't finish with the best record in the NBA by taking nights off. This Milwaukee team enjoys beating up on the opposition, and I expect them to cruise to another double digit win over an inferior opponent. The Bucks have won six straight against the Pistons, and their last game in Detroit was a 115-105 win on January 29th. The Pistons are 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a ATS loss, and 2-8 ATS in their last 10 Conference Quarterfinals games. Blake Griffin hasn't seen any action in this series, and his status is in serious doubt for Game 3. Take MIL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-20-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -160 | 117-103 | Loss | -160 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. I had the Spurs in Game 3, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "Denver is lucky to have earned a split heading back to San Antonio, as the Spurs out-played them for the majority of Game 2. The Spurs look good as a home favorite in Game 3, given that they won 32 games in San Antonio during the regular season. That's more home wins that the Warriors and Rockets. The home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Antonio. The Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last nine Conference Quarterfinals games." I think San Antonio will take a 3-1 series lead heading back to Denver. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-20-19 | 76ers v. Nets +2 | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets took Philly by surprise in Game 1, but now they head into Game 4 trailing the series 2-1. Joel Embiid is likely going to rest with a knee injury, and Ben Simmons is coming off a monster performance in Game 3. Simmons scored 31 points on 11-of-13 shooting, but I seriously doubt he can do it again here in Game 4. Simmons will likely suffer a let down here, as he simply isn't a great shooter and hasn't turned into one overnight. Brooklyn did cover the spread in three of the four regular season meetings, and I expect the Nets to give a big push back here early in Game 4. Take BKN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-19-19 | Celtics v. Pacers UNDER 203.5 | Top | 104-96 | Win | 100 | 42 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@IND to go Under the total. I bet on the under in Game 2 of this series, and here is what I said prior to tip off: "The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion." Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-18-19 | Nuggets v. Spurs -162 | 108-118 | Win | 100 | 18 h 20 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the San Antonio Spurs. Denver is lucky to have earned a split heading back to San Antonio, as the Spurs out-played them for the majority of Game 2. The Spurs look good as a home favorite in Game 3, given that they won 32 games in San Antonio during the regular season. That's more home wins that the Warriors and Rockets. The home team has won nine of the last 10 meetings between these teams, and the Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Antonio. The Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last nine Conference Quarterfinals games. Take SA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-17-19 | Pacers v. Celtics UNDER 207 | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 6 h 49 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on IND@BOS to go Under the total. The Pacers lost Game 1 by a score of 84-74, and yet the public is still betting on tonight's Game 2 to go over 200 points. I don't think Indiana is going to change a thing, coming out with every intention of muddying things up, playing down and dirty defensive basketball. The Pacers were the league's top defensive team in the regular season, ranking 1st in opponent's scoring average. Neither team shot the ball well in Game 1, and good looks will continue to be hard to come by throughout this series in my opinion. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-10-19 | Magic v. Hornets -172 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -172 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Charlotte Hornets. It all might be too little too late for the Hornets, but they have stayed alive in the hunt for the playoffs by winning four straight games. They play their final home game against Orlando (already clinched) and they need a win to get in. They also need help, and given that it's the New York Knicks that they are cheering for, they are unlikely to get it. They have won 2-of-3 versus Orlando this season, and Charlotte has been a strong home team. There is a possibility that Orlando rests some players, and I like Charlotte to come out like gangbusters. Take CHA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-05-19 | Hawks v. Magic UNDER 226 | Top | 113-149 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@ORL to go Under the total. The Magic have won eight straight home games, and they are in a position to clinch the Southeast Division with just three games left in the season. They host Atlanta in their final home game, and Atlanta has won five of it's last seven. Orlando ranks 5th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they have allowed an average of less than 100 points during their eight game home win streak. The under is 36-16 in the last 52 meetings between the two teams, and four of Orlando's last five home games against Atlanta have gone under the total. The opening number for tonight's game is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-22-19 | Thunder v. Raptors UNDER 226.5 | 116-109 | Win | 100 | 9 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors won't have their starting PG Kyle Lowry tonight at home in the second game of a home and home versus Oklahoma City. They beat the Thunder 123-114 in overtime on Wednesday, and it was a low scoring game in regulation. The Thunder really need to get back on track, they are in danger of slipping all the way to the 8th seed and playing Golden State in the first round. The under is 10-4 in the Thunder's last 14 overall, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last seven road games. History favors OKC here as the road team has covered in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-19-19 | 76ers v. Hornets UNDER 224.5 | Top | 118-114 | Loss | -107 | 26 h 16 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on PHI@CHA to go Under the total. The Charlotte Hornets are only 2.5 games out of first place in the Southeast, but they are going to have to play a lot better than they did in their last game if they want to make the playoffs. Charlotte scored just 75 points in a loss at Miami on Sunday. The good news for the the Hornets is that they do play a lot better at home. Philly is coming off a big win over the Bucks in Milwaukee, but that could set them up for a let down here in Charlotte. Prior to upsetting the Bucks on Sunday, the Sixers had lost back to back road games at Chicago and Houston. The Sixers have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 overall, and four of their last five on the road. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-19 | Blazers v. Spurs -130 | Top | 103-108 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the San Antonio Spurs. The Spurs come into tonight's home game versus Portland as winners of seven straight, and they still have one of the best home records in the NBA. In fact their 27-7 home record is the best in the Western Conference, and only Toronto and Philly (each have 28 home wins) have a better record. While both teams will be playing the second game of a back to back, the Spurs didn't have to travel, and Pop was able to rest the starters in the second half of a blowout win over the Knicks on Friday. The home team has won five straight head to head meetings, and the Trail Blazers are 3-9 ATS in the last 12 meetings in San Antonio. Take SPURS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-11-19 | Kings v. Wizards UNDER 240 | 115-121 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SAC@WAS to go Under the total. Both these teams are on the outside looking in when it comes to the playoffs, but either team could be right back in the mix if they could string a few wins together. Sacramento comes in as winners of two of their last three, although both those wins came against the New York Knicks. Washington has lost seven of their last 10 overall, and they don't really look like a team that is trying to make the playoffs. These teams have failed to reach the total in six of the last nine head to head meetings, and the total for tonight's game is higher than it was in all of those nine games. The under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Washington, and the under is 9-2-1 in Kings last 12 road games. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-08-19 | Pistons v. Bulls UNDER 218.5 | 112-104 | Win | 100 | 17 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DET@CHI to go Under the total. Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Detroit Pistons, who currently sit in sixth place in the East. The Pistons have won six of their last seven overall, and 10 of their last 12. They rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in scoring defense, and they have gone under in 10 of their last 14 when playing on one day's rest. They held Cleveland to just 93 points in their last road game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-08-19 | Mavs v. Magic UNDER 213.5 | 106-111 | Loss | -106 | 16 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on DAL@ORL to go Under the total. Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Orlando Magic, who sit just one game back of Miami for first place in the Southeast. They might just have to win the division if they want to make the playoffs, making tonight's game against the Mavs a "must win". The Mavs come in as losers of eight of their last nine, and they rank 22nd in the NBA in scoring. The under is 14-4 in the Mavs last 18 versus Eastern Conference teams, while Orlando has failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-08-19 | Wizards v. Hornets UNDER 234 | 111-112 | Win | 100 | 16 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@CHA to go Under the total. Well it's that time of year again! The NBA Playoffs are right around the corner, and a handful of teams will fight like cats and dogs to get in. This normally results in tighter, lower scoring games down the stretch for these teams that are on the bubble. One such team is the Charlotte Hornets, who sit just one game out of first place in the Southeast. They might have to win the division to make it into the playoffs, and that makes tonight's game against Washington a "must win". Charlotte is coming off a 91-84 home loss to Miami, and I expect tonight's game to be another battle against a division rival. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-05-19 | Rockets v. Raptors -144 | 107-95 | Loss | -144 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Rockets come into Toronto as winners of five straight, but coming off a big win over the Celtics in Boston, they could be due for a let down here. Keep in mind the Raptors lead the NBA with 27 home victories, two more than the first place Milwaukee Bucks. The Rockets are 2-9 ATS in the last 11 meetings in Toronto. They are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall, and 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win. They have failed to cover in nine straight coming off an ATS win. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-04-19 | Knicks v. Kings -11.5 | 108-115 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 6 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Sacramento Kings. The New York Knicks are tanking, and that couldn't have been any more obvious than when they allowed the Clippers to score 82 points in the first half of a 128-107 loss Sunday. The Knicks have lost 21 of their last 24 games, many of those losses coming by double digits. The Kings are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 home games. They are 7-1 ATS in their last eight home games versus teams with a losing road record. The Knicks are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games overall, while the Kings are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall. This game has blowout written all over it. Take SAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-03-19 | Blazers v. Hornets +3 | 118-108 | Loss | -113 | 15 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Charlotte Hornets. The Blazers won their first four games of this Eastern Conference road trip, before falling 119-117 at Toronto. They could suffer a bit of a let down here on Sunday in Charlotte. The Hornets are a solid home team, with a record of 20-12 in Charlotte. They are in a heated battle for first place in the Southeast, with just one game separating them from Orlando and Miami. Home court should be key here, as the home team has covered in seven of the last eight head to head meetings. Take CHA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-28-19 | Wolves v. Pacers UNDER 222 | 115-122 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on MIN@IND to go Under the total. The Indiana Pacers are coming off back to back losses, but they look good to get back on track against the Minnesota Timberwolves at home tonight. Minnesota is a terrible road team, with a record of 9-22 away from the Twin Cities. The Pacers are the best defensive team in the NBA, ranking first in the league allowing 103.5 points per game. They lost 101-91 at Minnesota earlier this season, but the total for tonight's game is far higher than it was in nine of the last 10 meetings. The under is 39-18 in Pacers last 57 home games, and 9-4 in their last 13 overall. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-27-19 | Pelicans v. Lakers UNDER 239 | 119-125 | Loss | -107 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
02-26-19 | Thunder v. Nuggets UNDER 238 | 112-121 | Win | 100 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on OKC@DEN to go Under the total. The Nuggets are three games up on Oklahoma City, sitting first place in the Northwest Division. They have been one of the toughest defensive teams in the Western Conference this season, and they have given the Thunder plenty of trouble in recent head to head meetings. Denver won all four meetings versus Oklahoma City in 2018, and the Thunder failed to score 100 points in the last two head to head meetings. The under is 6-2 in the last eight meetings, but tonight's total is way higher than it was in any of those previous eight games. The Thunder have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 when playing a team with a winning record. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-26-19 | Celtics v. Raptors UNDER 227 | 95-118 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BOS@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors are 2.5 games out of first place in the Eastern Conference, and they will play a huge game at home versus Boston tonight. This is also a big game for the Celtics, who are coming off back to back losses, and are still looking to establish themselves as a contender in the East. Both these two teams rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, so it's a little surprising that tonight's total is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings. The Celtics have failed to reach the total in seven of their last eight road games, and each of their last five visits to Toronto yeilded less than 225 combined points. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-25-19 | 76ers v. Pelicans -116 | 111-110 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans shocked the Lakers on Saturday, winning outright by a score of 128-115 without Anthony Davis. They were a 6.5 point underdog in that game, despite their 18-11 home record. The Sixers didn't fare so well without their star big man, losing 130-115 at home to Portland. Philly isn't a great road team even with Joel Embiid, with just a 14-14 record. They have lost three of their last four at New Orleans, and they are 1-4 in their last five when Embiid sits. The Pelicans scored 42 points in the first quarter of Saturday's win over the Lakers, and I expect them to start strong again here at home versus Philly. Take N.O. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-08-19 | Wolves v. Pelicans -6 | 117-122 | Loss | -109 | 10 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The trade deadline has come and gone, and The Brow is still in the Big Easy. Here is a statement from the Pelicans: "Anthony made it clear to us that he wants to play and he gives our team the best opportunity to win games," New Orleans general manager Dell Demps said in a statement. "Moreover, the Pelicans want to preserve the integrity of the game and align our organization with NBA policies. We believe Anthony playing upholds the values that are in the best interest of the NBA and its fans." New Orleans will host the Minnesota Timberwolves tonight, and the T-Pups are playing their second game of a back to back. The Timberwolves are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss, and they are 3-8 ATS in the last 11 meetings in New Orleans. Take N.O. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-07-19 | Wolves v. Magic -117 | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 7 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Orlando Magic. The Magic have 22 wins this season, and 14 of those have come at home. They host the Minnesota T-Wolves tonight, and Minnesota has been brutal on the road (8-18). The Magic have won four of their last five home games against Minnesota, and with the trade deadline and the All Star break looming large, I'll take the home team here tonight. The Timberwolves are 2-6 ATS in the last 8 meetings in Orlando, and 5-15 ATS in the last 20 meetings. The Magic have won back to back home games against Indiana and Brooklyn, and I'll bank on a third straight home victory here against the T-Pups. Take ORL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-03-19 | Thunder +3 v. Celtics | 129-134 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 18 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder come rolling into Boston as winners of seven straight, and they will look to take advantage of a Celtics team that could be distracted by the drama surrounding Kyrie Irving. The infamous "Flat Earther" is rumored to be interested in leaving Boston, and either joining LeBron in LA or KD in New York. The Thunder have covered the spread in four straight road games, and they are 5-0 ATS in their last five versus Eastern Conference teams. Oklahoma City has covered in four of their last five at Boston, and the road team is 8-1-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. I'll take the points and ride those trends today. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
02-02-19 | Lakers v. Warriors -10.5 | Top | 101-115 | Win | 100 | 17 h 1 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Lakers got LeBron James back from injury on Thursday, and they managed to beat the Clippers in overtime. There are still plenty of rumors swirling around the team, and it remains to be seen if players like Lonzo Ball, Kyle Kuzma and Brandon Ingram will be part of the future in LA. Anthony Davis has issued a public demand to be traded, and he's looking to become a Laker. Lonzo Ball says if he get's traded to New Orleans he won't play for the Pelicans. It sounds like a hot mess to me. The Warriors won 11 straight before losing at home to the Clippers on Thursday. Perhaps they were looking ahead to this game against LeBron and the Lakers. Golden State has covered in four of it's last five when coming off a loss, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games versus the Lakers. I think they'll jump all over LA in the first half, and cover easily. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-31-19 | Lakers v. Clippers -5 | Top | 123-120 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers. The Lakers are a mess at the moment, coming into tonight's game against the Clippers as losers of four of their last five. LeBron James is still recovering from a groin injury, and isn't expected to return tonight. Lonzo Ball is also sidelined by and injury, leaving LA extremely shorthanded. Anthony Davis has been fined by the league for publicly demanding a trade to the Lakers. Lonzo Ball has already gone on record saying he won't play for the Pelicans if he's included in such a trade. The Clippers had won three straight before suffering a home loss to Atlanta. That was the second game of a back to back and a third game in four nights. They should be ready to bounce back here against the struggling Lakers. The Clippers have won six of the last seven meetings, and they've covered the spread in six of the last eight meetings. The Lakers are 5-14 ATS in the last 19 meetings at Staples Center. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-25-19 | Raptors -1 v. Rockets | Top | 119-121 | Loss | -105 | 19 h 37 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Rockets haven't won back to back games since the beginning of January, and coming off a close win over the Knicks, I expect them to have trouble at home tonight versus the Toronto Raptors. They are just 5-5 over their last 10 games, and four of those five wins came against teams with a losing record. Only Golden State has a better road record than the Raptors, who have won their last two games at Houston. Kawhi Leonard sat out the last two games for what the Raptors claim was simply rest. He's expected to return to action here in Houston. The Rockets are still extremely thin with Cint Capela and Chris Paul both sidelined by injuries. James Harden has averaged over 52 points per game in his last five starts, and he's going to need to score at least 50 to give the Rockets at chance tonight. It's only a matter of time before he runs out of gas, and the Raptors aren't going to make life easy for him. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-24-19 | Wolves -120 v. Lakers | 120-105 | Win | 100 | 23 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Minnesota T-Wolves. Already without LeBron James, the Lakers will be without Lonzo Ball in their home game against Minnesota Thursday. The Wolves are one of the weaker road teams in the Western Conference, but they should still have the Lakers out-gunned here tonight. Minnesota is coming off back to back wins in a home and home series versus Phoenix, and tonight's game against a banged up Lakers team might be similar to their last game on the road in Arizona. The Lakers have lost six of their last seven games against Minnesota, and they only covered the spread in one of those games. The Lakers are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six home games, and I think they come up short tonight against a Minnesota team that is just 1.5 games back in the standings. Take MIN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-23-19 | Nuggets v. Jazz -150 | 108-114 | Win | 100 | 24 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Denver Nuggets can forget about first place. The Warriors are back, and they aren't going anywhere. Now the they need to concentrate on finishing the season strong and securing home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. It's not going to be easy, as every night is a battle in the Western Conference. They face a stiff challenge tonight in Utah, where they have lost their last four games. The Jazz have won six of their last seven overall, and they are 9-1-1 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up loss. The Nuggets are 2-7 ATS in their last nine road games, and 2-5 ATS in their last seven games playing on three or more days rest. Take Utah. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-16-19 | Raptors +2 v. Celtics | 108-117 | Loss | -104 | 7 h 19 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors, The Raptors and Celtics were supposed to be battling for top spot in the Eastern Conference this season, but Boston has been a major disappointment. The Celtics are seven games back of the first place Raptors in the standings. The home team has won nine straight meetings since the Raptors won 101-94 at The Garden in 2016. This is an opportunity for Toronto to make a statement, and the last time they faced such a challenge they beat the Bucks by a score of 123-116 in Milwaukee. They did that without Kyle Lowry, who is no back at full speed. The Celtics are banged up, with Kyrie Irving and Marcus Spart missing the last game. Toronto has been the better bet in this series, going 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-15-19 | Warriors v. Nuggets UNDER 228 | 142-111 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@DEN to go under the total. The Warriors haven't been as dominant this season as they have been in recent years, and they come into Denver trailing the Nuggets by a half game for top spot in the West. Denver has been successful thanks to their 4th best defense that allows just 105.5 points per game. History tells us that these teams have played strong defense in past meetings. Three of the last four head to head meetings have gone under the total. Given that the winner of this game will take over first place in the Western Conference Standings, we could see a game with a playoff atmosphere. The under is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 home games versus teams with a winning road record. I think tonight's total looks a little high. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-14-19 | Pistons v. Jazz -8 | 94-100 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 26 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. The Pistons won 109-104 at LA on Saturday, and Blake Griffin scored 44 points against his former team. This sets up Detroit (and Griffin) for a let down here on the road at Utah. Detroit rarely wins on the road, with a record of 7-13. The Jazz have won five of six, and four straight at home. History certainly favors the home team, as Utah has won five straigh versus Detroit. The Jazz also covered the spread in all five of those victories. The Jazz are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games. The Pistons are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games playing on 1 days rest, and they have a long history of losing to Utah. Going back more than a decade, the Pistons are 8-21 ATS in the last 29 meetings. Take Utah. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-11-19 | Nets v. Raptors UNDER 221.5 | 105-122 | Loss | -107 | 19 h 9 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on BKN@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors are coming off a 104-101 win over the Hawks, in a game that they trailed for most of the first three quarters. They played a similar game against the Nets in Brooklyn a few weeks ago, and they ended up losing in OT by score of 106-105. The Nets have been rolling lately, winning four of their last five. They have played solid defense, allowing 100 points or less in each of their last three wins. Four of the last six head to head meetings between these teams have come up short of the total. Brooklyn hasn't seen 220 combined points in any of their last four games. I expect another low scoring game in Toronto tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-10-19 | Thunder v. Spurs UNDER 223.5 | Top | 147-154 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on OKC@SA to go Under the total. One of the biggest stories of the first half of the season has been an increase in scoring league wide. While the numbers are up this year from years past, one trend has held true for as long as I can remember. When the playoffs get closer, the defensive intensity always increases. This appears to be the case for the Spurs, who have been steadily impoving on defense. Their last home game was a 108-88 win over the Grizzlies. They come into tonight's game as winners of five of their last six, and they have allowed just 103 points per game during that span. The Thunder rank in the Top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and the under is 6-1 in the last seven head to head meetings, and 4-1 in the last five at San Antonio. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-04-19 | Thunder v. Blazers +1 | 111-109 | Loss | -115 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. After watching Russell Westbrook shoot 3-for-20 from the field, and still celebrate by doing an "air guitar solo" for Lance Stephenson in a win over the Lakers, I can't help but think the Thunder are due for a let down. They will play at Portland tonight, where the Blazers are 14-6. Portland has owned the Thunder, winning the last six head to head meetings and covering the spread in all six of those games. Coming off a possible night out in LA after the win over the Lakers, you might expect Russ and PG to be a little hung over (maybe a metaphor, maybe not). The Thunder are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 versus the NBA Northwest, and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six visits to Portland. I'll take the home team as a pickem all day long. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
01-01-19 | Jazz v. Raptors UNDER 210 | 116-122 | Loss | -102 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@TOR to go Under the total. The Utah Jazz are still one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 5th overall in opponent's scoring average. They face a Raptors team that has really struggled offensively without PG Kyle Lowry. Toronto has averaged just over 97 points per game while going 2-2 in their last four games. They shot just 37 percent from the field against the Bulls, and just over 34 percent from the field in a loss to Orlando. The Jazz have gone under in seven straight when coming off a win, and the under is 8-1 in their last nine overall. The Raptors have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games. I think this number is far higher than it should be. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-29-18 | Spurs v. Clippers -3.5 | Top | 122-111 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the LA Clippers. The Spurs were blown out in the first half in Denver last night, and while they rallied to make it close in the fourth quarter, they ultimately came up short. That is nothing new for San Antonio, a team that has been terrible on the road this season. The Spurs are 8-18-1 ATS in their last 27 road games, and they are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 games playing the second game of a back to back. While both teams played last night, the Clippers don't have to travel after beating the Lakers at the Staples Center. LA is one of the hottest teams in the league, winning four of their last five overall and ranking 3rd in the NBA in points scored. The Clippers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games, and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight when playing on back to back nights. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-28-18 | Clippers -5 v. Lakers | 118-107 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAC. The Lakers were shorthanded last night when they lost a heartbreaker on the road at Sacramento. Not only is LeBron out with a groin injury, veteran PG Rajon Rondo is sidelined with a finger injury. The young Lakers play their second game in as many nights at the Staples Center against the Clippers. LA's other team has won 24 of the last 28 meetings versus the Lakers, and they have covered the spread in three of the last four meetings. The Clippers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games overall, and this looks like a good spot for the Clippers to take advantage of a young Lakers team without their veterans. Patrick Beverly owned his matchup versus Lonzo Ball last year, and that will be an interesting matchup here tonight. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-26-18 | Raptors -3.5 v. Heat | 106-104 | Loss | -103 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Heat have won five of six games since Goran Dragic last played. The veteran PG had a right knee scope last week, and there is no initial timetable for a return. While the Heat have played well at times, they have a losing record at home. They host the Toronto Raptors tonight, and the Raptors have the best record in the NBA. Toronto comes in with a 12-6 road record. While Kyle Lowry might not play tonight, the Raptors are expected to have Kahwi Leonard and Serge Ibaka back. Neither player was in the lineup when the Raptors lost at Philly before Christmas. Fred Van Fleet has been solid filling in for Kyle Lowry, in his last start he scored 14 points on 6-of-10 shooting with five rebounds and eight assists in a win at Cleveland. The road team has covered the spread in five of the last six head to head meetings, and I'll take the visitors as a small favorite. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-22-18 | Raptors v. 76ers -4.5 | 101-126 | Win | 100 | 10 h 30 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. This looks like a let down spot for the Raptors, who have already missed Kyle Lowry and Danny Green due to injuries. Playing on the road on the second leg of a back to back in Philly, Nick Nurse says he plans to rest Kawhi Leonard tonight. The Sixers are 15-3 at home, and Jimmy Butler is back from a groin injury. The home team has won four straight in this series, and I don't like the Raptors chances of breaking that trend here tonight as they appear to be severely shorthanded. Take PHI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-18 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 210 | 93-110 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 49 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MEM@GSW to go Over. The Warriors are back at full strength, with Draymond and Steph back from injuries. While they have won five of their last six, they haven't exactly looked that sharp. They lost a revenge game to the Raptors at home by a score of 113-93, and they needed to rally from behind to beat Sacramento. Their defense hasn't been very good, allowing and average of 110 points per game in their last six. The trends suggest that these teams have gone under more often than over, but the last two meetings both went way over the total. The Warriors scored 117, and 141 points in those games. I expect to see a high scoring first half here in Oakland. Take Over, GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-17-18 | Bucks v. Pistons +4 | 107-104 | Win | 100 | 1 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Detroit Pistons. The Pistons are coming off a home win over the Celtics, snapping a six game losing streak. Detroit is still a solid 10-6 at home while Milwaukee is just .500 (6-6) on the road. The home team has won six straigh meetings straight up, and Detroit is 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Milwaukee. "We haven't done anything," Pistons coach Dwane Casey said during his postgame press conference. "We've got some momentum now but we still have a tough team coming in Monday night. It doesn't get any easier. I told the guys to enjoy it until midnight and think about the things we can do better." The Bucks are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 road games, and they are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-18 | Raptors v. Warriors -6.5 | 113-93 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the GS Warriors. The Raptors needed overtime and 37 points from Kawhi Leonard to beat a banged up Warriors team at home at the end of November, and the media went nuts. All the talk in Toronto was that this was almost certainly a preview of the NBA Finals. Not so fast my friend! Steph Curry is back, and the Warriors have won four straight by double digits. That includes a 105-95 win over the Milwaukee Bucks in a very similar "Revenge Spot". This is the second game of a back to back for a Toronto team that hasn't played it's best basketball over the past few weeks. I like the Warriors to win big. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-18 | Blazers v. Grizzlies -155 | 83-92 | Win | 100 | 25 h 43 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizz are still one of the NBA's best defensive teams, ranking 3rd in the league in opponent's scoring average. Coming off back to back losses, they should be focused on getting back on track at home against a Blazers team on the back end of a back to back. Portland came up just short in a 111-104 loss at Houston last night, and might not have the same energy here in Memphis tonight. Portland isn't great on the road at the best of times, failing to cover in six straight road games. The Grizzlies are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 home games. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-12-18 | Celtics -146 v. Wizards | 130-125 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics are banged up, but they look to extend a six game winning streak in Washington tonight against a struggling Wizards team that might be without John Wall and Otto Porter Jr. The Celtics are 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus Washington, and the road team has won three of the last four in this series. Kyrie Irving didn't play in Boston's win over New Orleans on Monday, but he is expected to return tonight. Marcus Morris scored 31 against the Pelicans, and Jalen Brown and Jason Tatum combined for 40 points. Superior depth should bode well for Boston here given the injuries to both teams. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-11-18 | Raptors v. Clippers UNDER 224.5 | 123-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 39 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on TOR@LAC to go Under the total. The Toronto Raptors are still the best team in the NBA, or at least they still have the best record. They come into LA off back to back losses to Milwaukee and Brooklyn, and they struggled to score in both of those games. Kyle Lowry is just 1-for-13 from the field in his last two starts, and he's just 3-for-25 from three point range in his last four starts. The total for tonight's game in LA looks a little inflated, in fact the number is higher than it was in any of the previous 10 meetings between the two teams. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in 12 of the last 15 in NBA. Toronto has failed to reach the total in five straight games, and they should be locked in defensively tonight as they look to avoid a third straight loss. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-09-18 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 230 | Top | 104-99 | Win | 100 | 26 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go Under the total. The Bucks are coming off a home loss to the Warriors, scoring a season low 95 points. This is the highest scoring team in the NBA, and they still average over 120 points per game. Playing on the road against one of the league's top defensive teams in Toronto, and their DPOY candidate Kahwi Leonard isn't a good spot for the Bucks. The Raptors are coming off an overtime loss a Brooklyn, suffering a let down after beating the Sixers at home by a score of 113-102. Kyle Lowry was just 1-of-8 from the field in the loss, and he's 4-of-23 from the field in his last three starts. These two teams have gone over in six of the last 10 meetings, but tonight's total is far higher than it was in any of those previous games. In fact, nine of those 10 games saw a total at least 10 points lower than tonight's number. This is a big game between two of the top teams in the East, and easy buckets should be few and far between. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-08-18 | Lakers v. Grizzlies -120 | 111-88 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizzlies are coming off a huge upset win on the road at New Orleans, and they held Anthony Davis to just 25 points. That's well below his season average of 29 points per game at home. The Grizz are still one of the NBA's best defensive teams, ranking second in the league in opponent's scoring average. They host the Lakers tonight, and LA is coming off a loss at San Antonio. LeBron scored 35 points in 37 minutes, and he continues to pile up the milage on his 33 year old body. Tonight's game figures to be a good spot to limit his minutes (if possible). In two games against Memphis last year LeBron averaged 26 points, and in one game versus Memphis two seasons ago he scored just 23 points. The Grizz have covered in seven of their last 8 home games versus teams with a losing road record, and they are 4-1 ATS in their las five home games versus LA. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
12-07-18 | Warriors +1 v. Bucks | 105-95 | Win | 100 | 12 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the GS Warriors. Without Draymond Green and Steph Curry, the Warriors have had more than their share of losses this season. One of those losses came against the Bucks, and that sets up a revenge spot here in Milwaukee tonight. This time around it's the Bucks that may be shorthanded, potentially missing second leading scorer Kris Middleton (personal issues) and Ersan Ilyasova. While Draymond remains out with a toe injury, Curry is back and he cooked up 42 points in a win over the Cavs on Wednesday. Home court hasn't been much of an advantage in this series, with the road team covering in 20 of the last 27 meetings. The Warriors have won three of their last four at Milwaukee. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-28-18 | Wizards v. Pelicans -6 | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the New Orleans Pelicans. The Pelicans are 8-2 at home, and one of those two losses came in a game that Anthony Davis sat out. The haven't had a lot of success against the Wizards though, losing seven straight and 13 of the last 14 meetings. This isn't the same Wizards team though, as Washington is close to completely blowing things up and starting a rebuild. The Wizards are 2-7 on the road, and ranked 29th in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Wizards are 2-12 ATS in their last 14 road games versus teams with a winning record. I like the home team in a revenge game, and I expect a big first half from the Pelicans. Take N.O. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-25-18 | Clippers v. Blazers -170 | 104-100 | Loss | -170 | 10 h 38 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Blazers. Portland and the Clippers are each sitting on 12 wins, but the Blazers are 7-2 at home while the Clippers are 4-5 on the road. This looks like a good sport for the Blazers to get back on track after a tough loss to the Warriors in Oakland on Friday. Portland has won all four meetings with the Clippers in 2018, two at home and two on the road. They covered the spread in all four games, and the average margin over victory in the two home games was in double digits. I'll take the home favorite to pick up the "W". Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-21-18 | Nuggets v. Wolves -125 | 103-101 | Loss | -125 | 18 h 59 m | Show | |
8* | |||||||
11-16-18 | Nets v. Wizards -7 | 115-104 | Loss | -102 | 19 h 45 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. Washington couldn't do anything right at the beginning of the season, but the Wizards come into tonight's game as winners of three straight. They host Brooklyn, and the Nets first game since the Caris LaVert injury went as expected. They fell behind by 20 early in the first half, and went on to lose by a score of 120-113. History certainly favors the home team, the hosts have won the last four head to head meetings. The Nets are 3-12 ATS in the last 15 meetings in Washington. The home team is 20-8 ATS in the last 28 meetings. Nets are also just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-14-18 | Heat -124 v. Nets | Top | 120-107 | Win | 100 | 19 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Heat. The Brooklyn Nets are a young and exciting team, that has been quite competitive early this year. Losing their leading scorer Caris LaVert to a gruesome injury is sure to take some of the wind out of their sails. They play their first game since the injury, at home versus Miami tonight. The Heat are looking to snap a three game losing skid, and they have lost three straight versus Brooklyn. Goran Dragic sat out two games last week with a sore knee, and he was 0-for-7 for no points in 21 minutes in his first game back. He's coming off a 22-point game against Philly, shooting 8-of-15 from the field. History is certainly on the side of Dragic and the Heat. Miami is 10-4-1 ATS in the last 15 meetings versus the Nets, and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 at Brooklyn. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings. Take MIA. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-10-18 | 76ers v. Grizzlies -120 | Top | 106-112 | Win | 100 | 24 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Memphis Grizz. The Grizz are undefeated at home so far this season, and they host the Sixers on Saturday night. Philly was expected to be one of the top teams in the East this season, but so far they haven't lived up to expectations. While they are just a half game back of Boston in the Atlantic Division, they have lost five of six road games so far. The 76ers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 road games, and they are 1-9 straight up in their last 10 versus Memphis. The Grizzlies are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 home games, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. I don't like the Sixers chances on the road in the second game of a back to back versus the #1 scoring defense in the NBA. Take MEM. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-05-18 | Pelicans v. Thunder -182 | 116-122 | Win | 100 | 21 h 57 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Oklahoma City Thunder. The Thunder lost four straight to start the season, but they come into tonight's home game versus New Orleans looking for a fifth straight win. Russel Westbrook missed the first two games of the season while recovering from an injury, but he's firing on all cylinders now. He dropped 32 points on 13-of-25 shooting in a 128-110 win over the Clippers in his last home game. The Pelicans have lost five straight, and they are at the end of a brutal road trip that has seen them play five games in seven days. History favors the home team here, as the Thunder are 5-2 ATS in their last seven versus New Orleans. This looks like a tough spot for a tired New Orleans team. Take OKC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-03-18 | Celtics -147 v. Pacers | Top | 101-102 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 26 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. Boston really is the BEAST of the EAST, and I expect them to prove it here in Indiana tonight. The Pacers are returning home after a taxing win at Chicago last night. Victor Oladipo appeared to be drained after the game: "I'm not feeling well, but I don't care, it's time to win," Oladipo told Fox Sports Indiana. "The game ball should go to the bench because we did a terrible job coming out strong. The bench lifted us and we finally got our groove late." The Celtics have won five of the last seven meetings in this series, and four straight at Indianapolis. Boston ranks 1st in the NBA in opponent's scoring average, and they are the only team allowing less than 100 points per game this season. This looks like a tough spot to play a back to back for the home team, and my money is on the visitors. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-18 | Pelicans v. Blazers -178 | 119-132 | Win | 100 | 9 h 25 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Portland Trailblazers. The Pelicans are coming off a 131-121 loss at Golden State last night, and Anthony Davis logged 41 minutes in the game. They play on back to back nights, in their third game in four nights on the road at Portland tonight, and this looks like a lay down spot for the visitors. Portland has a little extra motivation for this game, as they still remember being knocked out of the playoffs in the first round by these Pelicans last year. "We have this game circled," Portland point guard Damian Lillard told reporters. "We'll have (last season's playoff series) in our minds when we play against them. But it's only going to be the eighth game of the season, and we can't get last year back." The Blazers are coming off back to back wins, and they look good to blow out the Pelicans here in this REVENGE game. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
11-01-18 | Bucks v. Celtics UNDER 221.5 | 113-117 | Loss | -108 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on MIL@BOS to go Under the total. When an old cat like D-Rose is dropping 50 in a single game, you know that defense is dead in the NBA. Scoring is up, and there's no denying that. The Celtics and the Bucks are two teams that still play a little defense though, ranking 1st and 4th respectively in opponent's scoring average. The Celtics haven't seen any of their games reach 220 points yet this season, and I wouldn't bet on that changing in such a big game here at the Garden tonight. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-30-18 | 76ers v. Raptors UNDER 227.5 | Top | 112-129 | Loss | -108 | 6 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on PHI@TOR to go Under the total. The Raptors suffered their first loss of the season on the road at Milwaukee last night. Their superstar Kahwi Leonard sat out that game so he could play tonight at home in the second game of a back to back. Leonard is widely considered to be the league's best defender, and with him in the lineup the Raptors have been tough. Leonard has played in five games this season, and only one of those saw more than 227 combined points. Tonight's total is far higher than in any of the previous ten games between Toronto and Philly, and the under looks like a great bet here with this inflated line. While the trends will tell you that these teams have gone over, it's important to know that those trends just don't hold true when you factor in the inflated total. Philly is not one of the better shooting teams in the league, and the Raptors should hold them to under their season average of 112 points per game. Take Under. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-29-18 | Blazers v. Pacers -160 | 103-93 | Loss | -160 | 17 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers return home from a three game road trip in which they took two of three, winning in San Antonio and Cleveland. They are 2-0 at home, and they were a solid 24-17 at home last year. They host the Blazers tonight, and Portland comes in off a 120-111 loss at Miami. The Blazers are 1-1 on the road and they were 21-20 on the road last season. The Pacers are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 home games and 5-1 ATS in their last six versus Western Conference teams. The Blazers are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games, and they have failed to cover in four straight road games against a team with a winning home record. I'll take the home favorite here. Take IND. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-18 | Lakers -140 v. Suns | 131-113 | Win | 100 | 20 h 59 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LA Lakers. LeBron's Lakers debut hasn't gone as well as some might hope, and the Lakers come into Phoenix looking to snap a three game losing skid. They will have to do it without Rajon Rondo and Brandon Ingram, but I still like LeBron and company to edge out a young Suns team. The Suns are coming off back to back double digit losses to Golden State and Denver, and I think they are going to be a bit star stuck here against the Lakers. Trevor Ariza really struggled in Golden State, shooting just 2-of-12 from the field. The Suns are just 4-10 ATS in their last 14 home games, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five versus LA. Take LAL. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-18 | Pacers v. Spurs -135 | 116-96 | Loss | -135 | 18 h 28 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. Houston is coming off a 115-112 loss to the Clippers in LA, and that game got ugly. An incident involving Rajon Rondo, Chris Paul and Brandon Ingram resulted in all three players being suspended, and there is no doubt the Rockets will miss Chris Paul tonight. That being said, they pushed the Warriors to the brink in a 7-game series in the Western Conference Finals last year, despite CP3 playing hurt and missing two games. James Harden looked sharp in the game at LA, scoring 31 points on 11-of-26 shooting. The Jazz come into Houston tonight struggling offensively. They shot just 35.4 percent from the field and 25 percent from beyond the arc in their last game, a home loss to Memphis. I'll take Clutch City as a small home favorite here. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-24-18 | Jazz v. Rockets -115 | 100-89 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 23 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. Houston is coming off a 115-112 loss to the Clippers in LA, and that game got ugly. An incident involving Rajon Rondo, Chris Paul and Brandon Ingram resulted in all three players being suspended, and there is no doubt the Rockets will miss Chris Paul tonight. That being said, they pushed the Warriors to the brink in a 7-game series in the Western Conference Finals last year, despite CP3 playing hurt and missing two games. James Harden looked sharp in the game at LA, scoring 31 points on 11-of-26 shooting. The Jazz come into Houston tonight struggling offensively. They shot just 35.4 percent from the field and 25 percent from beyond the arc in their last game, a home loss to Memphis. I'll take Clutch City as a small home favorite here. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-23-18 | Clippers v. Pelicans -6.5 | 109-116 | Win | 102 | 5 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Pelicans. The LA Clippers are off to a good start, winning two of their first three. All three of those were home games, and they will play their first road game of the season at New Orleans tonight. The Pelicans finished last season strong, upsetting Portland in the first round of the playoffs, and giving the Warriors a handful in a 4-1 series loss. They have scored 70+ first half points in both of their two games so far, and they won those two games by a combined 30 point margin. New Orleans is 4-1 straight up in their last five versus LA, and they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven home games. The Clippers are Clippers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win. This Clippers team doesn't appear to have the talent to hang with a team like the Pelicans on the road. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-19-18 | Celtics v. Raptors -145 | 101-113 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. Who had the best home record in the NBA last year? It wasn't the Golden State Warriors, or the Houston Rockets, and definitely not the Cleveland Cavaliers. The San Antonio Spurs had a better home record than all of those teams, but still not quite as good as the Toronto Raptors. The Celtics might be the best team in the Eastern Conference when the dust settles, but I wasn't overly impressed with their home win over Philly in their season opener. Kyrie Irving and Gordon Hayward combined to go 6-for-26 from the field, and they were fortunate that Philly couldn't make a shot to save their lives. The Raptors didn't appear to miss a beat after swapping DeMar DeRozan for Kawhi Leonard. The two time Defensive Player of the Year scored 24 points and pulled in a dozen rebounds. The home team has won nine of the last 10 head to head meetings, and Boston has lost five in a row in Toronto. I'll take the Raptors as a small home favorite. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-18 | Wolves v. Spurs -145 | 108-112 | Win | 100 | 30 h 17 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the San Antonio Spurs. | |||||||
06-08-18 | Warriors -4.5 v. Cavs | 108-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Warriors. It's hard to see the Cavs having any fight left in this series. I don't think they want any part of going back to Oakland for a Game 5. Steph Curry and Klay Thompson couldn't hit a shot to save their lives in Game 3, and it just didn't matter. You can't count on Curry missing 10 of 11 three-point shot here in Game 4. The Warriors appear to be motivated to end this series in a sweep, and I think they put the Cavs to bed tonight. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-31-18 | Cavs v. Warriors -11.5 | 114-124 | Loss | -113 | 58 h 56 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Cavs weren't supposed to be here, but LeBron James has added to his legacy by willing his team to another Finals. Now they face the mighty Golden State Warriors, and this looks like a huge let down spot for LeBron and the Cavs. Keep in mind that the Warriors won last year's Finals in five games. They won Game 1 at home by 22 points, and won Game 2 by 19 points. This time around there is no Kyrie Irving, and Kevin Love is banged up. The Warriors have won their last two series openers at home by 20+ points, and in the Western Conference Final in Houston they won Game 1 by 13 points. This series is going to be a massacre, and the only way the Cavs win a game and avoid a sweep, is if the Warriors "allow" it. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-28-18 | Warriors -5.5 v. Rockets | 101-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors may have dodged a bullet, as they play Game 7 in Houston tonight against a Rockets team that likely won't have veteran PG Chris Paul. Golden State played about as bad as they can play in Games 4 & 5, and still those games each went down to the wire. Paul scored 27 points in Game 4, and scored 20 in Game 5 before going down with an injury in the final minutes. Even if they plays he's likely to be ineffective on a sore hamstring. We've seen this before as things have always ended with bitter disappointment for Paul in the post-season. Klay Thompson is coming off back to back big games, giving the Rockets an awful lot to worry about on defense. The Warriors are a -250 favorite to win this game straight up, but it's interesting you can get them at -163 to win the Championship. Whoever wins this game will be an enormous favorite in the Finals, and I give the Cavs almost zero chance in a rematch of last year's Finals. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-27-18 | Cavs v. Celtics -130 | 87-79 | Loss | -130 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The home team has won all six games in this series so far, and I expect that trend to hold true in Game 7 in Boston. LeBron James scored 46 points in Game 6, and still it was a relatively close game. With no Kevin Love, it's going to be a tough ask for the Cavs to win here on the road with this roster. There is only so much LeBron can do, and there likely isn't a lot of gas left in the tank. A lot of people out there will talk about LeBron's record in Game 7s, and when facing elimination. He's likely never been this shorthanded before, so I don't think it's worth reading too much into his previous success in these situations. I'll take the younger, deeper, more athletic home team. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-25-18 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | Top | 99-109 | Loss | -105 | 22 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. I wouldn't read to much into LeBron James having an off night and looking tired in Game 5, and I expect James and the Cavs to be much better tonight. That being said, they are asked to cover a whopping seven points, which is a few too many in my opinion. After getting blown out in Game 3, I bet on Boston +7 in Game 4. They failed to cover, but it was close. Here is what I said prior to the game: "The Cavs won big (by 32 points) in Game 3 in Cleveland, but I don't think they are 32 points better than Boston. In fact, I don't think they are seven points better than Boston. Prior to Game 3 they had played 13 playoff games, and only two of those were wins by more than four points. The Celtics will surely be better tonight, and I expect a close game from start to finish. Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Cavs have not been a good bet following a blowout win, going 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win." I expect tonight's game to be the closest game we will see in this series. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-24-18 | Warriors +103 v. Rockets | Top | 94-98 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. A lot of talk about how the Rockets beat the Warriors in Game 4, and it's all hogwash. The Warriors beat themselves. They played like a team that was far too confident, and showed a lack of respect for their opponent. Kevin Durant and Steph Curry took some terrible shots in the fourth quarter, and it was terrible coaching by Steve Kerr. Golden State started the game on a 12-0 run, and they took a double-digit lead into the fourth quarter. They got exactly what they deserved, and the loss will likely serve as a wake up call ahead of Game 5. Home court advantage hasn't been a factor in this series so far, and with the Warriors covering the spread in 10 of their last 14 at Houston, I can't see betting this game any other way. Take the champs in a must win game. Take GSW. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-23-18 | Cavs v. Celtics +102 | 83-96 | Win | 102 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. After suffering a 32 point loss in Game 3, the Celtics showed a lot more fight in a much closer Game 4. With the series shifting to Boston, I expect to see the Cavs suffer a let down in Game 5. The Celtics are 9-0 straight up at home in these playoffs, and they have covered the spread in five of their last six when coming off a loss. We should expect a strong start from the home team, with plenty of support from a wild crowd. The good news for Cleveland is that their role players have been great over the last two games. The bad news is that Kevin Love has really struggled. He scored just nine points on 3-of-12 shooting in Game 4, and he wasn't much better in Game 3. He appeared to be banged up in the last game, and lingering injuries might be a factor as was the case in the first round versus Indiana. My money is on the home team to bounce back here in this pivotal Game 5. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-22-18 | Rockets v. Warriors -8.5 | 95-92 | Loss | -103 | 13 h 53 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the GSW. I bet on the Warriors in Game 1, and I have several pending bets on the Warriors to win the series. Steph Curry found his shot in Game 3, and that's going to make it awfully tough for Houston to get back in this series. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "Despite the fact that the Warriors are almost a 2-1 favorite to win the series, they are an underdog in Game 1 at Houston. While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors. Steph Curry comes in hot, scoring 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting in Game 5 versus the Pelicans. He's 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in his last two games. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Finals games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Houston." Take the Champs. GL,Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-21-18 | Celtics +7 v. Cavs | 102-111 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 8 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Cavs won big (by 32 points) in Game 3 in Cleveland, but I don't think they are 32 points better than Boston. In fact, I don't think they are seven points better than Boston. Prior to Game 3 they had played 13 playoff games, and only two of those were wins by more than four points. The Celtics will surely be better tonight, and I expect a close game from start to finish. Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland, and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points. The Cavs have not been a good bet following a blowout win, going -4 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS win. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-20-18 | Rockets v. Warriors -7.5 | 85-126 | Win | 100 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the GSW. I bet on the Warriors in Game 1, and I have several pending bets on the Warriors to win the series. Heading back to Golden State, I feel confident that Curry will find his shot, and the Rockets won't have any answer for KD. Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "Despite the fact that the Warriors are almost a 2-1 favorite to win the series, they are an underdog in Game 1 at Houston. While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors. Steph Curry comes in hot, scoring 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting in Game 5 versus the Pelicans. He's 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in his last two games. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Finals games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Houston." Take the Champs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-19-18 | Celtics +6.5 v. Cavs | Top | 86-116 | Loss | -108 | 84 h 20 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. Surely LeBron isn't going to allow the Cavs to lose at home in Game 3? Well, that's what everyone said about Game 2 in Boston, and despite 42 points and a triple-double, the Cavs suffered another double-digit loss. Bettors must have short memories, because if you go back just a few weeks when the Cavs were struggling against the Pacers, all the so called experts were saying that Philly would sweep the Cavs in the Eastern Conference Finals. A few days later the Sixers found themselves right where Cleveland is now, heading home down 0-2 and heavily favored in Game 3. Boston won that game and ended up winning the series in five games. Cleveland has eight wins in these playoffs, and six of those have come by four points or less. Asking them to cover almost twice that margin here in Game 3 doesn't seem realistic at all. The Celtics were just a 4.5 point underdog in their last game at Cleveland, and they have covered in five straight visits to Quicken Loans Arena. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-16-18 | Warriors v. Rockets +100 | 105-127 | Win | 100 | 13 h 26 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Houston Rockets. I had the Warriors in Game 1, and I also have bets on Golden State to win the series. Here is what I said prior to the first game: "While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors." Now that Golden State has stolen home court advantage, they could suffer a let down in Game 2. They could have swept both the Spurs and the Pelicans, but they had an off game in each of those series. This is Houston's best shot at winning a game and avoiding a sweep. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-14-18 | Warriors +110 v. Rockets | Top | 119-106 | Win | 110 | 84 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. Despite the fact that the Warriors are almost a 2-1 favorite to win the series, they are an underdog in Game 1 at Houston. While the Rockets won the season series, regular season success doesn't always translate into post-season wins. MVP front-runner James Harden comes in ice cold, going just 4-for-22 from beyond the arc in his last three games. He scored just 18 points on 7-of-22 shooting in his last game at home versus Utah. The Rockets will need more from Harden if they hope to upset the Warriors. Steph Curry comes in hot, scoring 28 points on 10-of-16 shooting in Game 5 versus the Pelicans. He's 7-of-15 from beyond the arc in his last two games. The Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their last seven Conference Finals games, and 4-1 ATS in their last five at Houston. Take the Champs. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-13-18 | Cavs v. Celtics +2 | 83-108 | Win | 100 | 54 h 29 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. Things change fast in the NBA, and after sweeping the Raptors the Cavs are a favorite on the road in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals in Boston. During their first round series versus the Pacers, the Cavs stock was at an all time low. Most experts were picking Philly to win the East. Cleveland was a seven point underdog in Game 1 at Toronto, and they trailed at the half in both of their games north of the border. Now after taking out the favorite Philly in just five games, the Celtics are home dogs. Granted that LeBron's performance has been perhaps the best anyone has ever played in the playoffs, can we simply assume he can keep it up. People seem to be taking that for granted. The Cavs haven't played since Monday, and at the age of 33 and leading the league in minutes, I wouldn't be surprised if LeBron gets off to a slow start in Game 1. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-09-18 | 76ers v. Celtics -113 | 112-114 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
After going down 0-3 in the series, the Sixers avoided the sweep with a win at home in Game 4. The series shifts back to Boston, where the Celtics have owned Philly. That's true not only in this series, but during the regular season as well. Boston has won seven of the last 10 meetings, and four of their last five home meetings versus Philly. Still the bookmakers opened with Philly as a road favorite in Game 5. Boston plays stellar defense, is well coached, and has a lot more playoff experience than Philly. It's no surprise to me that public money is coming in on Boston, and they will likely be asked to cover a few points by game time. For those of you who do not remember, I bet on Boston to win the East at +$300 before the season started. I also had Boston winning this series, and here is what I said prior to Game 1: "Sure they would like to have Kyrie Irving in these playoffs, but lets not kid ourselves about how good they were without him. Keep in mind, last year this team gave Cleveland fits, and Kyrie was playing for the Cavs. This season they played more than their fair share of games without not only Irving, but several other key players. They won 13 of their last 19 without Kyrie, and four of those six losses came on the road. Boston is still the best defensive team in the Eastern Conference. Boston is 5-1 ATS in it's last six at The Garden, and the under is 24-9 in the Celtics last 33 Conference Quarterfinals games." Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-07-18 | Raptors v. Cavs -5 | 93-128 | Win | 100 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Cleveland Cavaliers. The Raptors showed a lot of heart battling back to tie Game 3 in Cleveland in the final seconds, but once again LeBron James crushed their souls. That's the type of loss you just don't expect a team to come back from, especially on the road, facing elimination. We saw this same scenario last year, and the Raptors lost Game 4 at home. They trailed by a dozen at halftime in that game. DeMar DeRozan was benched for the entire fourth quarter of Game 3, after scoring just eight points on 3-of-12 shooting. Who know's where his head is at, but I am guessing that going back to "LEBRONTO" for a Game 5 is not all that appealing right now. Take CLE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-06-18 | Rockets v. Jazz +6 | 100-87 | Loss | -105 | 34 h 33 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Utah Jazz. I had the Jazz in Game 3, and I was a little shocked by their poor effort. I expect a far better effort here at home in Game 4, and perhaps a bit of a let down for the Rockets. Here is what I said prior to Game 3:"After the Jazz evened the series with a shocking win in Game 2 in Houston, it's a little surprising to me how many people are willing to back Houston as a road favorite in Game 3. Utah crushed the Thunder at home in the first round, and they've won seven straight home games dating back to the regular season. Their regular season home finale was a 40 point win over the defending champions Golden State. I am guessing the people who are betting on the Rockets have forgotten that James Harden failed to hit a shot in the first half of his final playoff game last season (Game 6 versus the Spurs). He finished that game 2-of-11 from the field with six turnovers and six fouls. The Rockets lost by 39 points as a favorite. Keep in mind Utah leads the league in opponent's scoring, so don't be surprised if Harden has a tough time scoring here in Salt Lake City. The Rockets have failed to cover in five of their last six road games, I'll take the points."Take UTAH. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-06-18 | Warriors v. Pelicans +5.5 | 118-92 | Loss | -105 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
The Pelicans and the Warriors were both ranked near the top of the NBA in scoring during the regular season, and not surprisingly, they have a history of playing high scoring games. They have gone over in eight of the last 10 head to head meetings, but all 10 of those games were in the regular season. The Pelicans are not the same team here in the playoffs that they were when they ranked 29th in the NBA allowing over 110 points per game. The jumped all over the Warriors in the first half of Game 3, leading 62-56 at halftime. I expect some push back from the Warriors here in Game 4, but I still think the Pelicans can keep this game close. The line value here is key, as bettors are looking to back Golden State coming off a loss. Keep in mind the Warriors are a bigger favorite tonight than they were in Game 3, and they have failed to cover in four of their last five at New Orleans. Take NO. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-05-18 | Raptors +5 v. Cavs | 103-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Eastern Conference Semifinals have been a complete disaster for the Toronto Raptors. Once again regular season success has failed to translate in the post-season. The Raptors appear to have hit rock bottom, and everyone is down on the team right now. The local media is publishing headlines, suggesting the city be renamed "LeBRONTO". If Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan have any pride at all, they'll come out swinging here in Game 3. While the Raptors lost both Games 1 & 2 at home, they did take a lead to the locker room at halftime in both those games. I believe that those games were every bit as much a product of Toronto beating themselves, as it was Cleveland beating Toronto. I'll take the points here as I don't think this Raptors team is quite ready to give up. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-05-18 | Celtics v. 76ers -8.5 | 101-98 | Loss | -107 | 7 h 39 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Philadelphia 76ers. I bet on the Sixers in Game 2 in Boston, and they came close, but blew it in the final minutes. They return home for Game 3, and I expect them to blow the doors off in a must win game. Here is what I said prior to game 2: "The Sixers came out flat in Game 1, but I expect them to respond with a far better effort in Game 2. The Celtics are still banged up, and Jaylen Brown is not expected to be back for Game 2. Boston shot the ball incredibly well in Game 1, and that's something I don't think the Celtics can count on happening again. They made 18-of-19 free throws, shot almost 50 percent from three-point range and over 48 percent from the field. We can expect a far better effort on defense from Philly, and the law of averages would suggest that those numbers in Game 1 were an anomaly. The same can be said about the Sixers going just 5-for-26 from beyond the arc in the series opener. Philly is 6-1-1 ATS in it's last eight when coming off a loss." Take PHILLY. GL, Jesse Schule |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
ProSportsPicks | $1,066 |
Jack Jones | $960 |
Big Al McMordie | $876 |
Ross Benjamin | $740 |
Ray Monohan | $702 |
Jimmy Boyd | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $414 |
Ricky Tran | $343 |
Kyle Hunter | $265 |
Matt Fargo | $175 |