Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-23-24 | Mavs v. Clippers OVER 217 | Top | 96-93 | Loss | -110 | 33 h 8 m | Show |
10* Mavs/Clippers OVER (1ST RND WEST-CONF TOY) Game 1 went under the number, but we're expecting Game 2 to be much more wide-open. The Mavericks only scored eight points in the second quarter of that first game, and the total still almost went "over" the number. The Mavs scored 34 points in the third quarter and 33 in the fourth and while Luka and Kyrie looked good, the rest of the team struggled. We don't see that happening again. We're expecting the Mavs to be much more efficient here across all four quarters. LA looked great and will look to keep the momentum rolling. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, all signs point to this total flying OVER the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-23-24 | Avalanche v. Jets UNDER 6 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -100 | 32 h 16 m | Show |
10* UNDER Avs/Jets (RND 1 WEST-CONF TOY) No need to overthink this one for us. The "zig zag" theory is in full effect here as far as the total is concerned in our opinion after the Jets won the opener 7-6. Note that Colorado has seen the total go "under" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a home loss vs. an opponent. Both regular season games these teams played against each other also went "over" the number, but after the high-scoring shootout in the first game, we're absolutely expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. The bookmakers know the public will be quick to back this being another high-scoring shootout, because that's what the general betting public wants. But we're going the other way and expecting a much more defensive battle this time around; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-23-24 | Mets v. Giants -145 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 14 h 48 m | Show |
10* Giants (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been playing well of late. Each starter has done well to to open the season, but we're expecting Luis Severino to finally take a step back here on the road. Severino is 2-1 with a 2.14 ERA this year, but this is his first road game. The Mets have won five straight series, but they dropped the opener of this one last night, and we like San Fran to build off that victory with Logan Webb (2-1, 2.93 ERA) on the hill. Webb has the clear advantage throwing at home here, so much so in our opinion, that it makes this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying; the play is indeed on San Francisco! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-22-24 | Islanders v. Hurricanes OVER 5.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 105 | 31 h 37 m | Show |
10* OVER Isles/Canes (1ST RND EAST-CONF TOY) While the first game stayed well "under" the number in this Eastern Conference Opening Round NHL series, we say that the second one will be much more wide-open offensively, and we'll therefore be recommending a play on the "over" in this one. Note that New York has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last ten in trying to avenge a road loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to one or less goals in. New York has responded well in this spot for "over" bettors, and we're banking on this strong trend continuing here in this important game. This O/U line is now definitely TOO low, so the play is the "over" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-22-24 | Blue Jays v. Royals +1.5 | 5-3 | Loss | -170 | 11 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Royals runline (BIG-CHALK) Two teams that are surging collide here. Two starting pitchers that have gotten out to decent starts as well go head-to-head. Despite that though, we still feel that the 12-10 Blue Jays are the ones getting a little TOO much respect here on the road vs. the 13-9 Royals. Each team is doing well on the mound, and at the plate, but we just can't understate how important we feel that the home-field advantage will prove for Brady Singer (2-0, 1.54 ERA vs. his counterpart today in Yusei Kikuchi (1-1, 2.08.) Toronto just had its win streak snapped in last night's 5-3 loss at San Diego and we say this is a "letdown" spot here now in the opener of this AL series in this difficult road venue; lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs with the Royals on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-22-24 | Magic v. Cavs OVER 202.5 | Top | 86-96 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
10* OVER Magic/Cavaliers (1ST RND EAST-CONF TOY) Game 1 went well "under" the number, but we're expecting a much faster-pace here in Game 2 of this Opening Round Eastern Conference Final matchup, at least one that'll help push this total "over" this very low O/U number that's been set. Note that Orlando has seen the total go "over" the number in eight of its last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/aTS road loss vs. an opponent. Despite this series shift back to Orlando next, the Magic will have to change their game-plan from the get-go here in Game 2 to avoid the dreaded 0-2 hole. With each team pushing the pace like we suspect, everything does indeed point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-24 | Predators +130 v. Canucks | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 33 h 13 m | Show |
10* Predators (BLOOD-BATH) With nearly 70% of the early public money on the home side, we're definitely "going the other way" with this one and fully embracing our contrarian nature. Just a great spot for this undervalued underdog to pull off an upset here in the opener in our opinion of all of these opening round games. To say this is a "revenge" game would be an understatement, as Vancouver took all three games in the regular season. Note though that the teams haven't played since mid-December. These teams though are more evenly matched now and we're expecting the Canucks to fold now that the Playoffs are here. At least in Game 1 anyways! The play is indeed on Nashville! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-24 | Pelicans +8.5 v. Thunder | Top | 92-94 | Win | 100 | 33 h 49 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) Whether Zion plays or not, we like the Pels to give the Thunder a run for their money. New Orleans has experience in its core, while the Thunder come in with plenty of talent and a great regular seaosn record. New Orleans went 1-2 against the Thunder thi syear. OKC closed with five straight wins to close out, but will "rest" lead to "rust?!" In our opinion, "yes!" Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum look unbelievable right now and they won't be going down without a fight. We're not calling for an outright upset or anything, but everything points to a much tighter battle than what the oddsmakers are leading us to believe in our opinion; grab the points, the play is indeed on New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-24 | Rangers +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
10* Rangers runline (ASSASSIN) After two straight losses to open this series, we like the Rangers to, at the very least, take the finale "right down to the wire," meaning that the "runline option" becomes the savvy call in our opinion. Michael Lorenzen is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after shutting out the Tigers over five innings in his last outing. He's off a career-high 153 innings last year. The Braves counter with Darius Vines, who is 0-0 with a 1.93 ERA after allowing one run over four innings in a win over Houston. He's filling in for Spencer Strider for at least one more start, and regression feels/seems imminent to us now moving forward. Look for the revenge-minded visiting side to fight tooth and nail; the play is Texas on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-24 | Pacers -1 v. Bucks | Top | 94-109 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 15 m | Show |
10* Pacers (ASSASSIN) The Bucks stumbled down the stretch and we believe that regression continues here in the first round of the playoffs, despite finishing third in the East and with home floor advantage over No. 6 Indiana. Giannis Antetokounmpo is injured, hence the Pacers being favored here. Milwaukee lost eight of 11 to close the year, while Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacers won six of eight to stay out of the Play-In Tournament. Indiana won four of the five regular season games and we see this dominance continuing; the play is indeed on Indiana! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-21-24 | AFC Bournemouth v. Aston Villa -122 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 69 h 31 m | Show |
10* Aston Villa (EPL GOW) Under Unai Emery, Aston Villa is once again a force to be reckoned with and it's now aiming to finish in the top four of the table. Most recently the Villains got the better of Arsenal on the road by a score of 2-0. Andoni Iraola's men started slowly this year, but there's now a chance the Cherries could finish in the top half of the table. Bournemouth is off a satisfying 2-2 draw with Man U at home though and is now primed for a predictable letdown here on the road. We're predicting a dominant all-around win for the home side, so lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-24 | Vancouver Whitecaps v. Seattle Sounders FC +100 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 56 h 46 m | Show |
10* Seattle (MLS GOM) It's another Cascadia Cup clash here this weekend at Lumens Field in Seattle, and we believe that the home field advantage will indeed prove to be a big difference-maker for the Sounders. Seattle is off a 0-0 draw with Dallas last time out, while the Whitecaps took a major step back with a 3-1 home loss to the Los Angeles Galaxy. The Sounders have taken big steps over the last few weeks and have cleaned up their defensive issues that we saw earlier on, and despite the Caps having lots of scoring potential, they're just not the same team on the road, as they are at home. Look for the home side to find a way to get the job done in regulation and lay the price with the Sounders! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-24 | Lakers v. Nuggets UNDER 223.5 | Top | 103-114 | Win | 100 | 79 h 9 m | Show |
10* UNDER Lakers/Nuggets (BLOCKBUSTER) The Nuggets won the NBA championship last year and they have a legitimate shot at duplicating that feat here this season as well. To get to the Finals last year, Denver steamrolled the Lakers in four straight. This season the teams meet in the first round. The Lakers got past New Orleans in the Play In Tournament, and we think they're going to be fatigued here now in the thin air of Denver. The Nuggets took all four of those Playoff games over the Lakers last year, but by a combined 24 points. The Lakers have had a few days off after the win in New Orleans, but they lost all three games to the Nuggets in the regular season. With the home side looking to clamp down and control the tempo and pace of this one, we're expecting a very defensive affair right out of the gates and considering all of the situational factors listed above here, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-24 | Maple Leafs v. Bruins -1.5 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 205 | 12 h 52 m | Show |
10* Bruins PUCKLINE (ASSASSIN) We think that home ice will prove to be an advantage for each team in this series. We think the Bruins will not only win this game, but do so by at least two goals. We think the Bruins will be able to do that without having to rely on an empty-netter. The Leafs always show great potential throughout the regular season, but then fold like a house of cards in the playoffs. The Bruins put together one of the best regular season performances of all time last year, but then completely fell apart and lost in the first round last season. They'll be out to make sure that doesn't happen this season. Look for Boston to post a big win here in Game 1 at it sets the early tone vs. the Leafs! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-20-24 | Brewers v. Cardinals -119 | Top | 12-5 | Loss | -119 | 7 h 32 m | Show |
10* Cardinals (TOP REVENGE PLAY) We like the Cards to break their two-game slide and to avenge yesterday's series-opening loss. DL Hall (0-1, 7.11 ERA) goes for Milwaukee and he most recently allowed five runs off eight hits including three dingers over just three innings in a fortunate no-decision. The home side counters with Miles Mikolas (1-2, 5.82), who will hope to get some run support here finally after his team has scored a total of four runs in three of his four starts. Mikolas is 9-5 with a 3.79 ERA in 16 career appearances vs. Milwaukee; look for St. Louis to figure out a way to bounce back here as we think Mikolas at home at this price in this matchup is fantastic! AAA sports | |||||||
04-20-24 | Magic +4.5 v. Cavs | Top | 83-97 | Loss | -110 | 70 h 27 m | Show |
10* Magic (EAST-CONF FIRST RND GOY) The Cavs did go on that massive run in the middle of the season, but they looked very pedestrian down the stretch. Orlando was 29-12 at home, but it also features the No. 3 defense in the NBA. Cavs' star Donovan Mitchell missed time down the stretch and Cleveland coach JB Bickerstaff's team just looked out of sync over the last month. The Magic went 16-10 down the stretch, while the Cavs went 12-16. Look for Orlando to, at the very least, keep this one competitive until the final moments and grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-19-24 | Kings v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 98-105 | Win | 100 | 30 h 44 m | Show |
10* Pels (ASSASSIN) Despite Zion sitting, with nearly 75% of the public money on the Kings, we're going full on contrarian here and taking the still dangerous home side, which we expect will find a way to deliver the goods and move on further into the Playoffs. The Kings got by their nemesis the Warriors and are now primed for a classic "letdown" in our opinion. New Orleans fought tooth and nail and fell 110-106 to the the Lakers. We think LA would have smashed Sacramento if they had to play the first game. Despite that though, Brandon Ingram and CJ McCollum are going to step up and fill the void here left by Zion's injury. The Pels were 7-5 in games without Zion this year and New Orleans has dominated this series all year long, going 5-0 SU in the regular season. HOME COURT ADVANTAGE DOES MATTER HERE! Grab the points, the play is NEW ORLEANS. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-19-24 | Tigers v. Twins -143 | 5-4 | Loss | -143 | 13 h 51 m | Show | |
8* Twins (MISMATCH) After four straight losses, we like the Twins to dig deep here and to find a way to deliver vs. their division rival here at home. These teams split four games in Detroit last week. The Tigers go with Joe Flaherty (0-1, 4.91 ERA), while the home side counters with Joe Ryan (0-1, 2.60.) Flaherty is 0-0 with a 3.00 ERA in two career starts vs. the Twins, while Ryan is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA in seven career starts vs. the Tigers. At this price, Ryan and the Twins are the correct call here at home! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-18-24 | Angels v. Rays UNDER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Win | 103 | 5 h 28 m | Show |
10* UNDER Angels/Rays (ASSASSIN) These two teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, including the first two of this series which they've split, but all signs finally point to a bit of a "duel" here in our opinion, as each side will be leaning on these capable starters to go deep. Neither has looked great to open the season, but with a couple of awkward games under their belts, we're looking for each to settle down here. The Angels turn to Griffin Canning, who is 0-2 with a 9.88 ERA, while the home side counters with Ryan Pepiot, who is 1-2, with a 5.40 ERA. Canning is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in four career games vs. the Rays, who has had one good start and two pedestrian ones. He's never faced the Angels. However, when taking into account the overall situational factors listed above, and also noting that Tampa has in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to five or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for these two hungry starters to battle into the latter frames and then also look for this total to stay well "under" once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers OVER 207.5 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 26 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Heat/76ers (PLAY-IN TOY) Neither team thought they'd be in this position, but here we are. The winner will face the Knicks in the first round, while the loser will play the winner of the Hawks/Bulls. Philly is a different team with Joel Embiid in the line-up, as evidenced by the 76ers eight-game win streak to end the season. Miami got into the playoffs last year via the Play In Tournament. Plenty of experience on both sides. Plenty of familiarity between these teams. Embiid averaged 30.4 poitns, 9.2 boards, 5.2 assists, 1.4 steals and 1.2 blocks once he returned and Philly hasn't lost a game since he has. Not like Miami will be rolling over here though, as the Heat come in healthy as well, with Bam Adebayo ready to try his best to keep up with Embiid. If Philly plays to a slower pace, it plays into Miami's strengths. With that in mind, we're expecting the home side to push the pace from start to finish and in our opinion, everything does indeed point to the OVER as the correct call! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-17-24 | Angels v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 24 m | Show |
10* UNDER Angels/Rays (AL NON-DIV TOY) Both teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're now finally anticipating a much lower-scoring "duel" here on Wednesday. LA goes with Reid Detmers, who is 3-0 with a 1.04 ERA and 0.81 WHIP, while the home side counters with Zach Littell, who is 1-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. These teams have split the first two games of this series, with each game going well "over" the posted total, but with these two red hot hurlers squaring off and throwing deep into the latter frames against each other like we envision, the correct call as far as the total is concerned is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-17-24 | Yankees v. Blue Jays +1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -175 | 8 h 7 m | Show |
10* Blue Jays runline (AL EAST GOM) *Note, we also like Toronto on the moneyline. We have an important early season divisional American League East getaway game North of the border between the Yanks and the Jays and despite the slow start for Kevin Gausman so far this season, we think the veteran will finally settle down here and we actually think that the value in this game is on the Blue Jays. Divisional games are always the most important, and they almost always mean the most to the home side. Toronto has taken the first two games of this series and now we look for the Jays to comoplete the sweep. Kevin Gausman hasn't suddenly forgot how to pitch and his first two starts are just outliers in our opinion (Gausman is 0-2 with an 11.57 ERA and 1.93 WHIP.) But Gausman has been one of the league's top 5 pitchers the last two years. He did lose to the Yanks in his opening start, and then in his last start he got roughed up by the Rockies. But the public saw that and has seen him struggle to start overall, but we're in the camp that believe's that there's a big overreaction now and the value has swung the other way (remember, Gausman had a 3.08 ERA at home last year. We're not taking anything away from Marcus Stroman on the Yanks (he's facing his former team in the Jays here again) as he's 1-1 with a 2.12 ERA. The bottom line here though is that we just think the public is too quick to back the Yankees still after their quick start and we're also not going to OVERREACT to Gausman's shaky start; the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-16-24 | Reds v. Mariners -125 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 14 h 10 m | Show |
10* Mariners (BEST OF BEST) Both teams are in need of a win, but Seattle more so. The Reds wins this year have come against sub-par teams. They swept the White Sox over the weekend, then fell 9-3 in last night's opener. That victory snapped a two-game slide for the hungry Mariners, who will look to keep the momentum rolling here with what we feel is for sure a starting pitching mismatch that works in their favor. The Reds go with Hunter Greene (0-1, 4.86 ERA), while the Mariners counter with Logan Gilbert (0-0, 2.66). At this price, we feel that BEST OF THE BEST call here as far as a side is concerned, is for sure on Seattle! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-16-24 | Cubs v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | Top | 11-12 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* OVER Cubs/D-Backs. These two teams have been involved in some lower-scoring games of late, but everything points to much more of a slug-fest here on Tuesday finally in our opinion. Chicago has seen the total go "under" in four straight after last night's 3-2 win here to open the series. Note that Arizona has seen the total go "over" in eight of its last 12 in trying to avenge a home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. The D-Backs have now seen the total dip "under" in three straight, but note that Arizona has seen the total eclipse the posted number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Kyle Hendricks is 0-2 with a 12.08 ERA for Chicago, while Tommy Henry is 0-1 with a 5.79 ERA for the D-Backs. Everything points to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-16-24 | Lakers +1.5 v. Pelicans | Top | 110-106 | Win | 100 | 28 h 7 m | Show |
10* Lakers (PLAY-IN GOY) The Lakers won't be looking to leave anything for chance for here to avoid a possible matchup with the Nuggets, instead we're expecting the experienced visiting side to rally late and play tougher defense and to find a way to get the job done at the end of the night. Anthony Davis had a huge year, and he'll be risking life and limb here to get the better of his old team. The Lakers beat New Orleans 124-108 in the final game of the regular season here and LA also won the In-Season Tournament over the Pacers. While we think the future is bright for the Pels, all signs point to LA coming out on top on Tuesday! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-15-24 | Reds v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 14 h 44 m | Show |
10* OVER Reds/Mariners (IL TOW) We're expecting some offensive fireworks here between the Reds and Mariners on Monday night. Cincinnati goes with Frankie Montas, while Seattle counters with George Kirby. We like each starter and aren't reading too much into either's early results. That said, the overall situation points to a slug-fest in our opinion. Seattle has now seen the total go "under" in six straight after its second straight loss to the Cubs last night. Despite that though, note that the Mariners have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in eight of their last 12 still after playing to five or more straight "unders" in a row. Will be a nice night in the PNW and we're finally expecting these talented hitting line-ups to take center stage; the play is indeed on the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-15-24 | Predators v. Penguins -123 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
10* Penguins (NON-CONF GOW) No need to overthink this one. The Predators are locked into the first Wildcard and just need to end the season without any significant injuries. The Penguins have to win their final two games (and get outside help), to make a Wildcard. With the home side risking life and limb to secure a victory, and with the visitors just going through the motions here, we feel this to be the very defintion of "great line value." The play is Pittsburgh! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-15-24 | Yankees v. Blue Jays -107 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show |
10* Jays (ASSASSIN) The Jays are 8-8 and the Yanks are 12-4. Chris Bassitt (1-2, 5.06 ERA) gets the call for Toronto and he'll be opposed by Luis Gil (0-0, 3.00.) The Yanks are off an 8-7 loss at Cleveland we think they'll stumble again here vs. the Jays, who took two of three from Colorado over the weekend, including yesterday's matchup by a score of 5-0. New York is primed for a letdown here, so give us Bassitt at home to continue to settle down and find his stride; the play is indeed on Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-14-24 | Rangers v. Astros UNDER 9 | Top | 5-8 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 11 m | Show |
10* UNDER Rangers/Astros (DUEL) These teams have been involved in a few high-scoring games of late, but everything finally points to more of a "duel" here in our opinion on Sunday in the finale of this divisional three-game series from Houston. Texas is 8-6 and Houston is 4-11. The first two games of this series have gone "over" the number, but note that Houston has now seen the total eclipse the posted number in four straight. The Astros did finally break their four-game slide with yesterday's victory. Two starters that are sizzling hot to open the new season go head-to-head and we're expecting them to take center stage here for this one and duel deep into the latter frames. Nate Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 1.45 ERA for the Rangers, while Christian Javier is 1-0 with a 1.10 ERA for the Astros. Everything finally points to a "duel;" the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-14-24 | Giants -118 v. Rays | Top | 4-9 | Loss | -118 | 6 h 50 m | Show |
10* Giants (IL GOW) Blake Snell and the Giants are going to find a way to get the job done here in Tampa in our opinion. San Francisco bounced back from it series-opening 2-1 loss here to win 11-2 yesterday and we expect the visitors to keep that offensive momentum rolling hee to close it out. Snell is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA after allowing three runs over three innings in an 8-1 loss to the Nationals in his team debut on Monday. Perhaps he got caught looking ahead to this one? Who knows. Either way, Snell will be fine. Last year he faced the Rays with the Padres and he allowed two hits with 12 K's over six shutout frames. Shawn Armstrong (0-1, 5.68) counters for the home side, and he'll quickly make way for Tyler Alexander (0-0, 8.68.) Look for Snell to bounce back in familiar surroundings, as this is a major mismatch on the mound; lay the short price with confidence, the play is San Francisco! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-14-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8 | Top | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 6 h 58 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies (BLOWOUT) We had a play on the "over" in the Phillies' 4-3 win and while that pick came up short, we're now finally expecting a "slug-fest" here on Sunday. Philly has now seen the total go "under" in nine straight. But that fact has only helped in driving today's O/U line a little bit lower than it normally would/should be in our opinion. Pittsburgh's now seen the total go "under" in four straight. Mitch Keller is an unremarkable 1-1 with a 5.29 ERA for the Pirates. Philly will look to take advantage here and plate some runs for starter Zach Wheeler, who is 0-2 with a 1.89 ERA so far. Regardless, all signs point to this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later in our opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-14-24 | Jon Hill +110 v. Alberto Pereira | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
10* Jamahal Hill (UFC GOM) With a line like this, the oddsmakers believe, or at least are trying to lead us to believe, that Jamahal Hill and Alex Pereiara are evenly matched, and really they are. It would not be difficult at all to write a convincing argument for either fighter to win, but the upside here for Hill to grab the light heavyweight title is the best overall option in our opinion. Pereirara is the current champ after beating Jiri Prochazka, but Hill is the former champ, who had to vacate the belt due to injury. Hill though enters back at the top on top form having won four straight fights. He wants the title back that he never even lost. The longer this fight goes, the more it favors Hill and we think by hook or by crook, the ref will be raising the slight dogs hand at the end of the fight; the play is indeed on Jamahal Hill! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-13-24 | Canucks v. Oilers -134 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -134 | 13 h 15 m | Show |
10* Oilers (PACIFIC DIV. GOM) This one is for all intents and purposes for the Pacific Division title, and because of that, we can't stress how important we feel that the home ice advantage will prove to be for the Oilers tonight. Vancouver has lost three of its last five. Edmonton plays with revenge after the 6-2 loss at Vancouver back in November. With everything on the line, look for EDMONTON to dig deep and find a way to deliver the goods! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-13-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 31 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies. These teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much higher-scoring shootout here finally between the Pirates and the Phillies on Saturday afternoon. The Pirates have seen the total go "under" in the first two games of this series, including in their 5-2 win here yesterday (Philadelphia won the opener by a score of 5-1.) The Phillies have now seen the total go "under" in nine straight. All of these "unders" has helped in pushing this O/ line a bit lower than it normally would/should be though in our opinion. Marco Gonzales is 0-0 with a 2.45 ERA for the Pirates. Gonzales has allowed just three runs over 11 innings of work, but regression seems imminent finally here in our opinion for the veteran. The Phillies counter with Spencer Turnbull, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA. He's coming off a no-decision vs. the Cards. In our opinion though, each starter is poised to "get the hook early" here, and that'll lead to these bullpens exploding and this total flying "over" the number sooner, rather than later! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-13-24 | Yankees v. Guardians +1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Win | 100 | 5 h 31 m | Show |
10* Guardians runline Game 1 (ASSASSIN) Overall we're getting great value on the home side on the runline option here. Public perception about the Yanks has driven this line out of whack in our opinion. New York is 10-3, while Cleveland is 9-3. Clarke Schmidt (0-0, 4.66 ERA) gets the call for the Yankees and he's allowed five runs off 13 hits over nine innings this year. He'll be opposed by Carlos Carrasco (0-0, 4.50), who has conceded four runs over eight innings. We like Carrasco here at home, as we feel Scmidt will struggle in this difficult road venue. While we clearly feel an outright victory is possible, in the end we're laying this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs in our back pocket; the play is Cleveland on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-13-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers +0.25 v. Nottingham Forest | Top | 2-2 | Win | 50 | 114 h 57 m | Show |
10* Wolverhampton (SPREAD) EPL GOW. We're coming down the home stretch here of the season and this is one that favors the visitors in our opinion. That said, at this price, the savvy wager is to grab Wolverhampton on the spread option (0.5 if you can get it, but also +0.25 as well is acceptable.) Wolverhampton is 12-13 and on a three-game winless streak, most recently falling 2-1 to West Ham. These teams played to a 1-1 draw in the reverse-fixture back in December and we could very well see a repeat here. Nottingham Forest is just 7-17. After upsetting Fulham 3-1, it immediately fell 3-1 at Tottenham last week. Home field has been anything but an advantage for Nottingham Forest this year, so play the Wolves on the spread option this weekend! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-12-24 | Rangers v. Astros -122 | Top | 12-8 | Loss | -122 | 6 h 19 m | Show |
10* Astros (ASSASSIN) The Rangers' Dane Dunning is 1-1, while Houston's JP France is 0-1. Texas has lost four of its last five, including a 1-0 loss to the A's yesterday. Dunning has a 4.15 ERA over 13 innings. The Astros' starting rotation is ravaged with injury, which has led to their 4-9 start to the season. France has a 4.76 ERA over his first two starts, striking out nine over 11.1 innings of work. These teams have already faced each other, which gives France the upper hand now here at home. The Rangers are tanking big time and we expect the hungry home side to finally bounce back in this favorable spot; lay the price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-11-24 | Pirates v. Phillies OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-5 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* OVER Pirates/Phillies. Both teams, especially the Phillies, have been playing to several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting some offensive fireworks here in the opener of this one. Pittsburgh is 9-3, while Philly is 6-6. The Pirates just had their three-game win streak snapped in the 5-3 home loss to Detroit two nights ago. They've been alternating overs with unders over their last eight games, and off the low-scoring loss just last night, we're absolutely expecting this pattern to continue. This is the start of four straight here in Philly. The PHililes have been alternating wins/losses over their last five games. Off a 4-3 win at ST. Louis yesterday, they'll be eager to break that pattern here at home in the opener of this one. Regardless, the Phillies have seen the total go "under" in seven straight now. But now we definitely feel the value has swung the other way as far as the total is concerned. This is an ACTION play, meaning whoever gets the start for either team, this play will be valid. Pittsburgh goes with Jared Jones (1-1, 3.86 ERA), while Philadelphia counters with Ranger Suarez (1-0, 4.09.) Can't fault either guy, as they've been decent so far, but the overall situation, combined with the trends definitely point to this one being a "slug-fest" finally in our opinion; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-10-24 | Golden Knights v. Oilers -103 | Top | 1-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
10* Oilers (ASSASSIN) A great price on Edmonton. This is the final game of a three-game trip for Vegas, which has lost the first two. It has a night off and then finishes the season with four straight at home. We say the visitors get caught "looking ahead" and that the "home ice" advantage will prove to be crucial for the Oilers in this one. Edmonton got off to a super terrible start at the beginning of the season, but the Oilers are firing on all cylinders here now at the end of the season, off back-to-back victories, also having three whole nights off after a 4-2 win at Calgary. Look for the well-rested home side to deliver the goods, the play is indeed on Edmonton! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-10-24 | A's v. Rangers UNDER 9 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
10* UNDER A's/Rangers (AL WEST TOY) We have two really good starters going head-to-head here and we believe they'll battle each other DEEP into the latter innings, alleviating the pressure off the bullpens. Ross Stripling is 0-2 with a 3.75 ERA for the Athletics. He's been great in his first two starts, last time out he gave up one run over seven innings, striking out three and walking none in an unfortunate loss to the Red Sox. The A's offense was shutout in that one for the second time in its previous three games. That offense will find it difficult again today facing Rangers' starter Cody Bradford, who is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA and 0.47 WHIP. With each of these starters taking "center stage" like we suspect in this one, all signs do indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-10-24 | Mavs v. Heat UNDER 215.5 | Top | 111-92 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Mavericks/Heat (NON-CONF TOM) Both sides have been playing to several high-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each team finds itself in coming into this one, combined with some strong numbers/trends, finally makes the "under" the correct call as far as the total is concerned in our opinion. Dallas is off a 130-104 road win at Charlotte just last night, and now we're expecting fatigue to be a major factor here in the second game of the back-to-back. Miami has seen the total go "over" in seven straight after last night's 117-111 OT win at Atlanta, but note that the Heat have seen the total go "under" the number eight of their last 11 after three or more ATS victories in a row. With each team doubling down on the defensive end like we suspect after having played just last night, everything does indeed point to much more of a defensive affair here than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-24 | Kings v. Thunder -2 | Top | 105-112 | Win | 100 | 36 h 50 m | Show |
10* Thunder (BLOOD-BATH) Two teams pushing towards the playoffs with just a handful of games to go, but the overall situation favors the home side in our opinion. Both teams played just last night. Sacramento snapped a two-game slide with a 107-77 win at Brooklyn, but with a night off before three straight at home to close out the year, can anyone say "letdown" spot here? The Thunder snapped a three-game slide with a 121-118 win at Charlotte, but it's now dropped five straight ATS. Note though that OKC is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 after five or more ATS losses in a row. This is the start of four straight at home to close out the year and we're expecting the Thunder to set the tone early here and to keep the foot on the gas until the final horn; lay the points, the play is OKC! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-24 | Celtics v. Bucks -115 | Top | 91-104 | Win | 100 | 30 h 21 m | Show |
10* Bucks (EAST-CONF NON-DIV GOM) We're getting down to the nitty-gritty here with just under two weeks remaining in the regular season, and it's "gut check" time here now for Doc Rivers and the Bucks, who enter having lost four straight SU/ATS. They play with revenge as well after falling 122-119 at Boston on March 20th, and note that Milwaukee is in fact 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU road loss vs. an opponent. Boston is off five straight wins, but it's been unable to cover the large spread of late. It did push on the 17-point home spread in their 124-107 win over Portland last time out, but with their final three games at home after this, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot in our opinion, but also a "look ahead." Add those two factors together you and you invariably get "trap game." This is a trap game for sure in our opinion for Boston, while we're expecting Milwaukee to risk life and limb to get back into the winner's circle and avenge the loss from two weeks ago at the same time. Let's bypass this small spread and instead play Milwaukee to win this one straight up! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-09-24 | White Sox v. Guardians OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 14 m | Show |
10* OVER White Sox/Guardians (AL CENTRAL TOY) These two teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games of late, but we're finally anticipating a bit of a "slug-fest" here on Tuesday. Chicago has lost five straight, and the last four have all gone "under." That includes yesterday's 4-0 series opening loss here. Note though that despite this being a new season, it's still significant to note that the ChiSox have seen the total go "over" the number in seven of their last ten in trying to avenge a shutout divisional road loss vs. an opponent. Chicago is just 1-9, but Cleveland is 8-2. It's now seen the total go "under" in three straight, but note that the Guardians have seen the total eclipse the posted number in three of their last four after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. Both starters are decent, with Mike Soroka (0-1, 4.91 ERA) going for the visitors, and Logan Allen (2-0, 2.31) going for the home side, but despite who gets the start here, the overall situation, combined with the above listed trends, finally point to this total fying "over" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-08-24 | Nationals v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 8-1 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* OVER Nationals/Giants (ASSASSIN) Both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games to open the season, but despite a couple of decent starters going head-to-head to open this series, we're anticipating a bit of a slug-fest and for this total to ultimately eclipse the posted number as the game comes down the stretch. The Nationals are just 3-6, while the Giants are only 4-6. The Nats are looking to snap a three-game losing streak. Trevor Williams is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA for the Nationals, while Blake Snell is making his season debut here. He's looked good in Spring, but the overall situation points to this total sneaking "over" the number as the game comes down the stretch. San Francisco went 2-1 in its series vs. the Padres here over the weekend and all three games went "under" the number, but that's significant for us to take note of as the Giants have in fact seen the total go "over" the number in four of their last five after playing to three or more straight "unders" in a row. This number is indeed low in our opinion, so the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-08-24 | Purdue +6.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 60-75 | Loss | -105 | 32 h 31 m | Show |
10* Purdue (GOM) The Boilermakers beat No. 11 NC State 63-60 and we're thinking that they'll give the Tourney defending champs a run for their money here. UConn pulled away for the 86-72 win over Alabama. Zach Edey is a beast, so far averaging 28 points and 15.4 boards through the five tournament games. Overall the Boilermakers average 82.9 PPG, while the Big East champs averaged 81.6. In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Purdue! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-07-24 | Stars v. Avalanche -116 | Top | 7-4 | Loss | -116 | 13 h 36 m | Show |
10* Avalanche (DESTROYER) We like Colorado to defend home ice here and to deliver the goods. A great price overall. Dallas JUST had its eight game win streak snapped last night in a 3-2 loss at Chicago as a -330 favorite and we feel this game here in Colorado the following night sets up as a classic "letdown" spot now for the Stars. Woudl anyone blame Dallas for taking a mental night off here and then preparing for its final four games, all at home and all favorable matchups (Buffalo, Winnipeg, Seattle and St. Louis?!) The Avs have been trading wins/losses over theri last five games, and off a 6-2 loss at Edmonton last time out, all signs point to this strong pattern continuing here; lay the short price, the play is indeed on Colorado! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-07-24 | Cavs +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 118-120 | Win | 100 | 6 h 30 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (ASSASSIN) We had a play on Cleveland yesterday. Did the Cavs get caught looking ahead to this one in their 116-97 loss here to the Lakers, or did they just run into a red-hot team? We now think a little of both. Note though that the Cavs have in fact responded well in this spot for bettors though by going 7-2 ATS in their last nine off a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. The Clippers are coming off back-to-back victories, but with two straight vs. Phoenix after this, we believe the home side gets caught "looking ahead." In a contest that we see being decided by whichever of these hungry and talented sides has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points; the play is Cleveland! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-07-24 | Mariners v. Brewers -113 | Top | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show |
10* Brewers (NON-CONF BOB) Each team has won one game so far in this series, but here in the finale we feel the value swings to the home side to deliver the goods. The Mariners are 4-5 on the season, while the Brewers are 5-2. The Mariners got the 5-3 win yesterday, but they're still hitting just .211 collectively. Emerson Hancock gets the call for the Mariners and he's 1-0 with a 5.06 ERA after allowing three runs over five innings. The Brewers have a batting average of .267, which currently ranks eighth overall. Colin Rea is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA for the home side, and we feel he'll be the difference-maker here at home. Overall a really great price and spot for Milwaukee to bounce back in! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-06-24 | Predators v. Islanders -102 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 2 m | Show |
10* Islanders (ANNIHILATOR) The Isles have won three straight and they're in a dog fight with several teams for the seventh and eighth spot. They play with revenge after a 3-1 loss at Nashville in January. The Predators just snapped a three-game slide with a 6-3 home win over the Blues, but with another tough game at New Jersey tomorrow night, we feel the visitors get caught looking ahead here. The value swings to the revenge-minded and hungry home side that's in a fight for its playoff life; the play is indeed on New York! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-06-24 | Diamondbacks +1.5 v. Braves | Top | 8-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 26 m | Show |
10* D-Backs runline (NL GOM) Brandon Pfaadt is 1-0 with a 1.80 ERA after his first start for the D-Backs, wihle Max Fried is 0-0 with a 40.50 ERA for the Braves. Fried couldn't get out of the first inning in his first start, but he's still considered to be one of the best pitchers in the World. That said, we're fully expecting Pfaadt to match his counterpart inning for inning, and in a contest like that, the value invariably swings to the undervauled underdog. In a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we're grabbing the talented visting side on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-06-24 | NC State v. Purdue -9 | Top | 50-63 | Win | 100 | 124 h 55 m | Show |
10* Purdue (SIDE WINNER) NC State has been the Cinderella team so far in the NIT, is not in all of College Basketball right now. That said, we think this Fairy Tale run is about to come to an end. Purdue, led by Zach Edey though will prove to be just too strong now we feel. Despite hitting just 3-of-15 3-pointers, the Boilermakers held on for the 72-66 win over the Vols, and we expect a much more efficient game this time around. NC State is led by big man DJ Burns, who has been phenomenal and who has put his name on the map, but Purdue's depth will finally be just too much for NC State to handle. Purdue ranks among the nation's best in several offensive categories and we expect the Boilermakers to keep foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Purdue! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-06-24 | Cavs +5 v. Lakers | Top | 97-116 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 19 m | Show |
10* Cavaliers (REVENGE ASSASSIN) A great overall situational wager here, as after going 4-1 on their five-game Eastern swing, and now sitting in ninth spot in the West, we're expecting the Lakers to have a letdown here in their first game back, especially with the Wolves coming to town tomorrow. So not only is it a natural "letdown" spot, but it's also a "look ahead." Add those two factors together and you invariably get "trap game!" Cleveland will look to take advantage. It has a tough game here tomorrow night vs. the Clippers as well. The Cavs play with revenge after a 121-115 home loss to LA back in November, and note that Cleveland is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points, the play is Cleveland! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-06-24 | Arsenal -155 v. Brighton & Hove Albion | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
10* Arsenal (EPL GOW) Arsenal is seeking the title and we're not expecting any hiccups here from Amex Stadium. Brighton is off a goalless draw with lowly Brentford, while the Gunners looked sluggish last time out vs. Luton, but still emerged with a 2-0 victory. The Seagulls registered their most shots without scoring in team history on Wednesday, and after that letdown, we're expecting another here. The Gunners are in a fight with Liverpool and won't be taking the foot off the gas; lay the price and expect a decisive win on the road in regulation for Arsenal! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-05-24 | Rangers v. Red Wings +125 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 0 m | Show |
10* Wings (UNDERDOG OF MONTH) The Rangers can't afford to take the foot off the gas if they hope to hold onto the No. 1 spot in the East, because the Bruins are only one point behind them. There's only two weeks left in the regular season, and after three straight losses, the Wings bounced back with a 4-2 win at Tampa three nights ago. Now rested, they sit in ninth spot right now, just one game behind the Islanders and Philly for 7th and 8th spot. Detroit is also tied with Washington for that 9th spot. The Wings play with the added incentive of revenge here after falling 3-2 at New York at the start of the season. The Rangers just beat the Devils in their latest game, but with a home date vs. lowly Montreal up next, could the visitors also get caught "looking ahead" here?! Look for the hungry and now desperate home side to risk life and limb to build off its most recent win over the Lightning and to avenge the earlier loss at the same time; the play is indeed on Detroit! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-04-24 | Kings +3.5 v. Knicks | Top | 109-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
10* Kings (NON-CONF UNDERDOG OF MONTH) These teams are fighting for playoff positioning, but the Kings play with the immediate "revenge factor" and we believe that'll be the difference in this one. The outright is possible obviously with a small spread like this, but our official call is to grab as many points as you can. Sacramento lost 98-91 at home to the Knicks in mid March and note that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. New York is playing poorly right right now, off three straight losses and with four straight Eastern conference road games after this, starting in Chicago tomorrow night. This has "trap" written all over it for New York. A great "spot" bet here on revenge-minded Sacramento! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-04-24 | Indiana State -155 v. Seton Hall | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -155 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
10* Indiana State MONEYLINE. We're going to bypass the spread and lay the price for the Sycamores on the moneyline option. Seton Hall isn't putting the fear of god into anyone. Overall the Pirates average 73.6 PPG, while conceding 69.7. Indiana State averages 85.1 PPG, while conceding 73. Indiana State should in fact be in the NCAA Tournament if not for a bid stealer. The Sycamores are just too talented and we're expecting that to translate into a STRAIGHT UP win for Indiana State in the NIT Championship Game! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-04-24 | Marlins +1.5 v. Cardinals | 5-8 | Loss | -150 | 7 h 24 m | Show | |
8* Marlins (RUNLINE DOMINATION) Let's not overreact to early results, for either players, or teams. That said, at 0-7 the Marlins will be looking to snap the slide here and in a contest that we see being decided late, or even in extras, we'll recommend to lay the price for the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. Lance Lynn is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA after throwing four scoreless innings vs. the Dodgers on Saturday. Lynn's start was cut short by rain. He's a pedestrian 4-3 with a 5.48 ERA in ten appearances vs. the Fish though. Miami counters with Ryan Weathers, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA, forced into the rotation out of necessity. He most recentlh allowed three run over four innings in a 9-3 loss to the red hot Pirates on Saturday. In two career appearances vs. the Cards though he's given up two runs over five innings. We look for the desperate and winless Marlins to, at they very least, keep this one a one run ball game and cover with the spread option; the play is Miami on the runline! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-24 | Lakers -13 v. Wizards | Top | 125-120 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
10* Lakers (NON-CONF GAME OF MONTH) The season is winding down, but that means that there are going to be plenty of great "situations" to take advantage of. And this is one of them. Both teams played yesterday. Both teams won. The Lakers beat Toronto 128-111 and easily covered the 13.5-point spread, while Washington snapped a three-game slide with a 117-113 outright victory over the Bucks as 12.5-point dogs last night. The Lakers are in ninth spot, 1.5 games behind the Suns for the eighth, and because of that we're expecting the visitors to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the price, the play is LA. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-24 | Reds v. Phillies -182 | 4-1 | Loss | -182 | 7 h 35 m | Show | |
8* Phillies (BIG-CHALK CHOKE-OUT) We feel that Philadelphia is worth the price of admission in this spot. The Phillies got a huge game out of Bryce Harper yesterday, as he hit a grand slam and drove in a career-best six runs in the 9-4 victory. Zach Wheeler is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA after receiving an unfortunate no-decision after throwing six scoreless on Opening Day. He's 1-1 with a 3.22 ERA in six career starts vs. the Reds. Frankie Montas is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA after also throwing six scoreless in a win over the Nationals. He's 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA in one career start vs. Philly though. Lay the price with confidence, the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-24 | Royals v. Orioles -158 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 4 m | Show | |
8* Orioles (MISMATCH) The Orioles are 3-2 after yesterday's 4-1 loss here to KC, but we think that Baltimore will bounce back and deliver the goods in the getaway game. After this Baltimore has a day off before a lengthy road trip. KC is 2-3 and we think it gets caught looking ahead here to a four-game home series vs. the White Sox starting tomorrow. Cole Ragans is 0-1 with a 3.00 ERA for the Royals, while Corbin Burnes is 1-0 with a 1.50 ERA for the Orioles. Ragans sports a 1.33 WHIP, Burnes a 0.17. Give the nod to Burnes and Baltimore here and lay the price with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-24 | Yankees v. Diamondbacks -111 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
10* Diamondbacks (REVENGE BEST OF BEST) The Yankees are 5-0 to open the season after last night's 5-2 series opening win. Other than their 7-1 Game 2 win at Houston, every game they've won has been tight. Nestor Cortes Jr. (0-0, 7.20 ERA) gets the call for the Yanks, while Zac Gallen (1-0, 1.80 ERA) counters for the home side. Gallen is the correct call here in this revenge-scenario and at this price at home. Clearly Cortes Jr. has only one way to go after his poor opening performance, but we still feel the value is clearly on the home side in this particular situation; lay the short price with confidence, the play is indeed on Arizona! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-24 | Knicks v. Heat UNDER 208 | Top | 99-109 | Push | 0 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
10* UNDER Knicks/Heat. Expect an all out battle of defense here between these Eastern Conference rivals. New York is 44-30 overall, including 20-16 on the road, while Miami is 41-33, including 19-17 at home. The Knicks won't be lacking motivation here after B2B losses. They've now seen the total go "over" in three straight, but note that New York has seen the total go "under" the number in seven of its last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Miami plays with revenge here after falling 125-109 at New York back in January, and note that the Heat have seen the total dip below the number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an opponent. With each team doubling down defensively like we suspect throughout this one, everything does indeed point to the "under" as the correct call as far as the total is concerned! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-24 | Utah +3.5 v. Indiana State | Top | 90-100 | Loss | -120 | 30 h 49 m | Show |
10* Utah (CBB GAME OF THE WEEK) In a contest that we see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're grabbing the points. Utah has defeated UC Irvine, Iowa, and VCU, while Indiana State got by SMU, Minnesota and Cincinnati. The Utes have a 7-foott 220-pound center in Branden Carlson and we feel he'll be the difference-maker in this one. Overall the Utes rank 49th in offensive efficiency and 36th in defensive efficiency. Indiana State ranks 16th in offensive efficiency, and 109th in defensive efficiency. At this point of the tournament, and considering that it's now finally shifted to a completely neutral venue at MSG, the old saying that "defense wins championships," could not be more apt in our opinion. Indiana State is now more popular with the public than its ever been, and the bookmakers know that. We're going the other way and grabbing the points, despite believing that Utah will in fact win this one OUTRIGHT! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-24 | Royals v. Orioles -162 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -162 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Orioles (ASSASSIN) The Royals are 1-3, and the Orioles are 3-1 after last night's 6-4 series-opening victory. We like Baltimore to find a way to deliver the goods here as well and think it's worth the price of admission in this matchup. Alec Marsh finished 3-9 with a 5.69 ERA in 17 games last year for the Royals. He was 0-2 with a 3.57 ERA in Spring. The home side counters with Cole Irvin, who was 1-4 with 4.42 ERA last year. He's 2-2 with a 2.10 ERA in five career starts vs. the Royals. Give us the surging home side and the superior starter to dominate from start to finish; the play is indeed on Baltimore! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-24 | Everton v. Newcastle United -103 | Top | 1-1 | Loss | -103 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
10* Newcastle (EPL GOM) Everton has lost three straight and is winless in the EPL in 12 straight. Nothing will change here against a resurgent Newcastle side who has the advantage of playing at home. Newcastle overcame some injuries to come from behind to knock off West Ham United here at home and there's no reason not to think it won't/can't keep that momentum rolling here. Saturday's victory closed the gap with the Hammers to just a single game, making this contest the most important so far for the home side. Look for Newcastle to come out more aggressively on Tuesday and to keep the foot on the gas until the end of injury time, while taking all three points in regulation in the process! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-24 | Suns v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 124-111 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (REVENGE ATS BLOOD-BATH) We're coming down the home stretch here. We like the Pels to avenge a 123-109 home loss to Phoenix as 2.5-point favorites back in January, as note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent. The Suns are off the 128-103 loss at OKC and after this they return home for three straight. We say this not only sets up as a letdown spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead." Look for New Orleans to step up and take advantage! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-24 | Tigers v. Mets -130 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Mets (IL GOM) The Tigers are 3-0 after sweeping the White Sox. Now they hit the road to play this interleague contest facing an 0-3 Mets side that lost three straight to Milwaukee over the weekend to open the 2024 season. It's a new season, but it's still significant to note that the Mets are 7-3 in their last ten after three or more straight losses in a row. At this price, we really like New York to bounce back finally. Reese Olson was 5-7 with a 3.99 ERA in 2023 for the Tigers, while Sean Manaea was 7-5 with a 4.44 ERA in 2023, making his Mets debut here. We like Manaea to deliver the goods and for New York to finally "get off the schneid!" AAA Sports | |||||||
04-01-24 | Braves v. White Sox +205 | 9-0 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 21 m | Show | |
8* White Sox (MLB MONEY) The bottom line here is, despite Charlie Morton's success vs. the White Sox in the past, we feel that Atlanta is severely overvalued here on the road, coming off a loss in Philadelphia and facing an 0-3 White Sox side. Morton shutout the White Sox in one start in 2023 over seven innings. But that was then, and this is now. Chris Flexen makes his debut for the White Sox. Flexen opened his career with a great 3.66 ERA in Seattle, but regressed last season after bouncing around to the Rockies. Look for Flexen to at least match his counterpart here today though, who served up two home runs in his final Spring tune-up. This is the very definition of "great line value" in our opinion; the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-24 | Warriors v. Spurs +9 | Top | 117-113 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
10* Spurs (UNDERDOG OF WEEK) We just feel this is a great spot for the Spurs to keep their recent momentum rolling here and to, at the very least, keep this one competitive enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all the points that they've been afforded in this one. Golden State is off three straight road victories, but with a night off followed by a home game vs. the Mavericks, would anyone fault the Warriors for "looking past" the Spurs here?! San Antonio though has won three straight as well and is arguably playing its best basketball of the season. It plays with revenge as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is indeed on San Antonio! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-24 | NC State v. Duke OVER 142.5 | Top | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
10* NC State/Duke OVER (ELITE 8 TOY) NC State beat in the Conference Tournament, but it'll be hard for the Wolfpack to beat this Blue Devils side twice in two weeks. So far the Blue Devils have seen all of their postseason games go "under" the number this year, including the 74-69 setback to NC State back on March 14th. Note though that the Blue Devils have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last 11 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference loss vs an opponent. The Wolfpack is versatile and can play any style of contest. We're expecting this one to finally be a bit more wide-open; this number is low, the play is the "over!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-31-24 | Yankees v. Astros -111 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -111 | 4 h 16 m | Show |
10* Astros (ASSASSIN) We think the Astros dig deep here and find a way to avoid the sweep, especially with the Jays coming to town tomorrow. New York is 3-0 to open this series, but with an interleague matchup at Arizona tomorrow, we think they get caught looking ahead and take the foot off the gas here. The visitors hand the ball to Clarke Scmidt (9-9, 4.64 ERA in 2023), while the home side counters with JP France (11-6, 3.83.) The advantage goes to the desperate and revenge-minded home side; lay the price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-24 | Yankees v. Astros -128 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -128 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
10* Astros (AL GOM) After dropping the first two games of this four-game series, we like Houston to finally respond here in the third. Marcus Stroman was 10-9 with a 3.95 ERA in 2023. He didn't win over his final seven starts last year, going 0-3 with an 11.00 ERA. Hunter Brown was 11-13 with a 5.09 ERA last year. Brown struggled down the stretch last year as well, going 1-4 with an 8.74 ERA over six games. But Brown enters on top form, posting a stellar 12:3 K:BB over 12.1 Spring Innings and we're expecting that to be the difference-maker here; lay the short price, the play is Houston! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-24 | Illinois +8.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-77 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 30 m | Show |
10* Illinois (ELITE 8 GOY) These teams are really evenly matched. Illinois avetrages 84.2 PPG, while allowing 73.2, while UConn averages 81.6, while conceding 63.6. The Illini have been up to every challenge so far and know how to body up against big men. Terrance Shannon Jr. has scored agains the toughest defenses, scoring 30 points against KenPom's No. 1 Iowa State. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is Illinois! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-24 | Predators v. Avalanche -163 | 4-7 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show | |
8* Avs (DESTRUCTION) We feel that Colorado is worth the price of admission in this spot. The Avs are 46-21, but they've lost two straight here, including a 3-2 shootout setback to New York most recently. They play with revenge after a 5-1 loss to the Predators at the start of the month and after this they hit the road for three straight. This is an important game for Colorado on a number of different levels and we're expecting it to risk life and limb to try and stop the slide. Nashville on the other hand had its six-game win streak come to a resounding halt last time out in Arizona, falling 8-4 and we're expecting the Preds to have another letdown here, as they get caught looking ahead to their matchup at home vs. Boston next; lay the price, the play is Colorado! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-24 | Braves v. Phillies +1.5 | Top | 12-4 | Loss | -145 | 8 h 35 m | Show |
10* Phillies RUNLINE (NL GOM) The Phillies looked decent over the first half of yesterday's contest, but then fell apart once the bullpen took over. With Aaron Nola on the hill today though, we like Philadelphia to, at the very least, keep this one tight/close enough to cover with the extra 1.5 runs of insurance. The Braves won yesterday's series opener 9-3, but we like the home side to respond here on Saturday. Fried was 8-1 witha 2.55 ERA last year, but he's 4-4 with a 3.62 ERA in 19 career games vs. Philadelphia. Nola was 12-9 wth a 4.46 ERA last year and he's 15-10 with a 3.40 ERA in 33 career starts vs. Atlanta. Nola just signed a new massive contract in the off-season and we're expecting him to deliver the goods here; lay the reasonable mid-sized price, the play is Philly on the runline option! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-30-24 | Wolverhampton Wanderers v. Aston Villa -160 | Top | 0-2 | Win | 100 | 21 h 37 m | Show |
10* Aston Villa (EPL GOW) Wolverhampton is in ninth currently. It returns from the break after a 2-1 win over Fulham. Aston Villa though is in fourth and well worth the price of admission here in our estimation. Wolverhampton still has some injury issues, which will be music to the ears of Unai Emery, Leon Bailey and Ollie Watkins; lay the price with confidence for Aston Villa to deliver all three points in regulation! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-24 | Creighton v. Tennessee UNDER 144.5 | Top | 75-82 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 46 m | Show |
10* UNDER Creighton/Tennessee (SWEET 16 TOY) The Blue Jays opened the tournament with a 17-point win over Akron, but hten needed double OT to knock-off No. 11 seed Oregon in the second round. We're expecting Creighton to now come out with "heavy legs" here in the Sweet 16 and to double down defensively after the offensive marathon last time out. Tennessee cruised by St. Peter's by 34 in the opening round of the Tournament, but then it had to hold on for dear life in its four point win over 7-seed Texas in the second. With each of these teams still "reeling" from their Round of 32 wins, this is the type of great "situational" play that we're always on the look out for at this point of the tournament. Considering all of the situational factors pointing to each of these sides being exhausted here on Friday, we're definitely rolling with the "under" as far as the total is concerned in this one! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-24 | Rockets v. Jazz +7 | Top | 101-100 | Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
10* Jazz (ASSASSIN) While we're stopping short in calling for the outright upset, we love how this one sets up for Utah, as we're defintely expecting an all-out battle until the final horn. Houston has been red hot of late, but a letdown is inevitable. We say it happens here. The Rockets have won ten in a row. They're coming off a 132-126 OT win at OKC as 4.5-point dogs. After this "cream puff" matchup vs. the lowly Jazz, they then face Dallas, Minneosta, Golden State and Miami. Can anyone say "letdown" spot + "look-ahead" spot which = TRAP GAME! Utah plays with revenge as well after a humbling 147-119 loss to the Rockets just last week. Give us the revenge-minded home side to keep this one close enough to comfortably earn the ATS cover; grab the points, the play is indeed on Utah! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-29-24 | Blue Jays v. Rays UNDER 8 | Top | 2-8 | Loss | -113 | 25 h 49 m | Show |
10* Jays/Rays UNDER (AL EAST TOM) For a number of different reasons we're expecting this one to fall "under" the posted number once it's all said and done. Toronto and Tampa went "over" the number in yesterday's Season Opener, but we're anticipating a much tighter "duel" here on Friday night. Chris Bassitt looked great in his final Spring tune-up for Toronto, striking out nine over 5.1 innings and giving up just one run vs. the Padres. Overall he posted a 14:1 K:BB over 14 Spring innings and there's no reason not to think he won't keep that momentum rolling here. Aaron Civale was 3-2 with a 2.59 ERA over the first half last year and we're anticipating another hot start this year. So look for these two starters to take center stage and for this total to fall "under" the number once it's all said and done! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-24 | Illinois +1.5 v. Iowa State | Top | 72-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 51 m | Show |
10* Illinois (SWEET 16 SIDE OF YEAR) It's the champs from the Big Ten and the Big 12 going head to head here and in this evenly matched contest, we're going to recommend that you grab as many points as you can. Illinois is back in the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2005. On the year the Illini average 84.6 PPG, while conceding 73.4. Iowa State is back in the Sweet 16 for the second time in three years. It averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 61.2. Iowa State faces its stiffest test yet, and in our opinion, the Illini's efficient scoring will in the end prove to be too much for Iowa State to handle in this one; grab the points, the play is Illinois! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-24 | Red Sox v. Mariners -164 | 6-4 | Loss | -164 | 28 h 18 m | Show | |
8* play on the Mariners. We're basing our opening day picks on the pitching matchups and we feel this one definitely favors the home side. Both teams are trying to get back into the playoffs. The visitors go with Bryan Bello (12-11, 4.24 ERA last year), while the home side counters with Luis Catillo (14-9, 3.34.) Each played better at home last year and we can't understate how important we feel that the home field advantage really will be in this one; lay the price, the play is on Seattle! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-24 | Bucks v. Pelicans +1.5 | Top | 100-107 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
10* Pelicans (ASSASSIN) We think this is a great spot for the Pels to exact a little revenge vs. the Bucks. We're coming down the home stretch and teams are still jockeying for position. Milwuakee had its two-game win streak snapped in a 128-124 OT loss at home to the Lakers, and we think they'll have difficulty regrouping on the road here vs. this Western Conference opponent. Milwaukee returns home to face the Hawks after this, so we think the visitors get caught looking ahead. The Pels do indeed play with revenge after falling 141-117 at Milwaukee in January and note that New Orleans is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS road loss vs. an opponent; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-24 | Cubs v. Rangers -113 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 26 h 44 m | Show | |
8* play on the Rangers. We're basing our opening day picks on the pitching matchups and we feel this one definitely favors the home side. The Rangers are looking to defend their World Series title and they hand the ball to Nathan Eovaldi, who was 12-5 with a 3.63 ERA last year during the regular seqason and 5-0 with a 2.95 ERA in six outings in the playoffs. The Cubs turn to Justin Steele, who was 16-5 with a 3.05 ERA last year. We just like the champs to ride the wave of emotion here and think at this price, that it's simply TOO GOOD to turn down; lay the price, the play is indeed on Texas! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-24 | Angels v. Orioles -176 | 3-11 | Win | 100 | 21 h 14 m | Show | |
8* play on Baltimore. We're basing our opening day picks on the pitching matchups and we feel this one definitely favors the home side. The Angels have to move on from Shohei Ohtani, while the Orioles welcome a new ace in Corbin Burnes, who gets the Opening Day start. He allowed one unearned run over six innings in his final spring tune-up. Patrick Sandoval finished with a 7-13 mark with a 4.11 ERA last year. We think he'll struggle on the road, so lay the price with confidence on the Orioles! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-24 | Lakers -4 v. Grizzlies | Top | 136-124 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show |
10* Lakers (ASSASSIN) I like betting against teams that are playing the second game of a back-to-back when the situation makes sense, but this isn't one of those times. It's crunch time in the NBA right now and the Lakers are surging towards the finish line, as their big stars continue to light up the score board of late. LA is off a big 128-124 OT win at the Bucks last night. Previous to that they won 150-145 at home over the Pacers. AD had a big night last night, but expect The King to carry the load this evening. LA plays with revenge as well after an inexplicable 127-113 loss to the Grizz at home as four-point favs back in January, and note that the Lakers are in fact 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent; lay the points, the play is LA! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-24 | Senators v. Sabres -130 | 6-2 | Loss | -130 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
8* Sabres (DESTRUCTION) We think that Buffalo could/should in fact be a much larger favorite in this spot/matchup. True, the Sabres are just 17-17-0-1 at home this year, but the Senators are a poor 11-20-2-0 on the road. Ottawa has won two straight, but with a home game vs. Chicago tomorrow night, we're expecting it to get caught looking ahead here. The Sabres snapped a two-game slide with a 4-1 win over Calgary in their most recent matchup. The Sabres have a big advantage in net in this one and when you add up all of these situational factors working in favor of the home side, it does indeed make this a price in which we have no issues at all in laying; the play is Buffalo! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Norfolk State +1.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
10* Norfolk State (U OF THE U) This is the CIT Championship game and we like Norfolk State to figure out a way to come out on top. Purdue Fort Wayne averages 80.5 PPG this year, while allowing 71.5. The Mastadons though are ranked 408th in the country in rebounding. Norfolk State averages 74.5 PPG, but concedes just 67.6. They rebound a bit better at 315th in the country. They say "defense wins championships," and that saying could not be more apt in our opinion here in this Championship setting. While we clearly feel the outright win is possible, grab as many points as you can; the play is indeed on Norfolk State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-24 | Bruins v. Panthers -120 | Top | 4-3 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
10* Panthers (ATLANTIC DIV. GOM) We like Florida to build off its 4-1 win at Philadelphia, which saw it snap a four-game losing streak. It plays with revenge as well after falling 3-1 to the Bruins here at home in November. Boston has lost two straight and gets caught "looking ahead" to its game at Tampa tomorrow night; lay the price with confidence, the play is Florida! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-24 | Georgia v. Ohio State -8.5 | Top | 79-77 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 46 m | Show |
10* Ohio State (NIT QUARTERFINAL GOY) We say that home field advantage will prove to be the difference-maker for Ohio State in hit matchup. The Buckeyes ae 13-3 at home all-time in the NIT. Ohio State is off the 81-73 victory over Virginia Tech. Georgia went to Wake Forest and hit 14 three-points in the upset 72-66 victory. Can anyone say "letdown spot" here? The Buckeyes guard the perimeter extremely well, especially at home. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-25-24 | Suns v. Spurs +12.5 | Top | 102-104 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
10* Spurs (DOG OF WEEK) This is a great "spot" bet on the Spurs. San Antonio will get a better chance at a better draft pick the more games it loses at this point, but there are still going to be some "spots" that it makes sense to wager on them, and this is one of those situations in our opinion. The Spurs just lost here 131-106 to the Suns, and note that SA is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which it was held to 109 or fewer points in. The Suns have won three in a row, but with a game at Denver up next, not only does this set up as a natural "letdown" spot for the visitors, but also a "look ahead," and add those two factors together and you invariably get "trap game!" This is a trap for the road favorite. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points, the play is San Antonio! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-25-24 | Celtics v. Hawks UNDER 225 | Top | 118-120 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Hawks. These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're finally expecting more of a defensive battle here on Monday night. The Celtics enter the final stretch of the regular season on top form, having won nine in a row. This is the opener of two straight here though, and we think Boston will control the pace of this one, and not allow the Hawks to play at an "up tempo." Boston has seen the total go "over" in three straight, but that's signficiant to note as the C's have in fact seen the total dip below the posted number in eight of their last 11 after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Atlanta is just 31-39, but it broke a two-game slide last time out with a convincing 132-91 win over Charlotte here. The Hawks have also seen the total soar "over" in three straight, but note that ATL has seen the total go "under" the number in three of its last four after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. Look for the opening game of this mini two-game series to be a defensive one; the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-25-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne +5.5 v. Tarleton State | Top | 73-72 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
10* Purdue Fort Wayne (CIT GOY) Tarleton State is the favorite here, but note that it lost two of its last three games of the regular season. Purdue Fort Wayne won its CIT opener 77-75 on the road over Bowling Green, a 12-point half-time lead proving crucial in the end. The Mastodons average 80.8 PPG, while conceding 71.5. Jalen Jackson averages 16.2 PPG. Tarleton State cruised to an 86-59 win over Abiline Christian. The Mastodons are good on the road, 9-7 so far. Yes, Tarleton State is 13-3 at home, but we don't see the visitors going down without a fight, as this one is very evenly matched. Outright upset again for Purdue Fort Wayne?! Anything is possible, but our official call will be to grab as many points as you can with Purdue Fort Wayne! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-24 | Texas A&M v. Houston UNDER 134.5 | Top | 95-100 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
10* UNDER Texas A&M/Houston (2ND RND. NCAA TOY) Both teams dominated in their opening round games behind tough defensive play, and we're expecting those trends to continue here. These two teams squared off on December 16h and Houston won 70-66. While we expect another competitive game here as well, we absolutely expect an even lower-scoring defensive "chess match" in this one. Texas A&M averages 75.5 PPG, while allowing 71.2, while Houston averages 73.4 PPG, while allowing a nation-low 56.7. The first game in December went "over" the number, but this one has defensive battle written all over; this number is high, the play is indeed on the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-24 | Jets v. Capitals UNDER 5.5 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 57 m | Show |
10* UNDER Jets/Capitals (ASSASSIN) Both sides have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but we're expecting a much tighter, and ultimately lower-scoring battle here in the Nation's capital finally on Sunday afternoon for a couple of different really good reasons. Winnipeg enters off B2B losses, including a 6-3 loss at the Isles just last night. They return home after this for a five-game homestand, so they'll have to be careful not to "look past" the Capitals today. Washington has won four of its last five, but off a 7-6 shootout win hee over Carolina last time out, we're expecting a much more defensive affair this time around. Washington has seen the total go "over" the number in three straight after that high-scoring win, but note that the Capitals have in fact seen the total go "under" the number in seven of their last ten after playing to three or more straight "overs" in a row. This number is high, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-24 | Colorado +4 v. Marquette | Top | 77-81 | Push | 0 | 5 h 54 m | Show |
10* Colorado (ASSASSIN) "Momentum" is a very real thing in sports, and the Buffs enter with a ton of it after winning the first two games of the tournament to reach the round of 32. Marquette got the better of Boise State 87-69, but the Broncos were one of the other teams that had to play in the FIRST FOUR and which were clearly much more tired. Fatigue is an issue for both sides now equally in our estimation. Colorado has the edge in the middle anchored by 6-11 265-pound senior center Eddie Lampkin Jr. We feel an outright win is possible, but in the end we'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with Colorado! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -5 | Top | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* Creighton (DESTRUCTION) Oregon got by SOuth Carolina, but we're expecting it to have its hands full here with Greg McDermott's Blue Jays. Creighton made the Elite Eight last year and its experiece at this time of year will prove invaluable. The Blue Jays are 8-2 ATS overall in their last ten and their "lights out" three-point shooting will be too much for the Ducks and Dana Altman to keep up to in the Round of 32; lay the points, the play is indeed on Creighton! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-24 | Celtics v. Bulls UNDER 222 | Top | 124-113 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
10* UNDER Celtics/Bulls (ULTIMATE TOP) These teams have been involved in several higher-scoring games of late, but the overall situation that each finds itself coming into this one, combined with some strong supporting trends points to this one being a lot more of a defensive battle than what this O/U line is suggesting. The C's have won eight straight after their 129-102 win at Detroit just last night. They continue their road trip after this with back-to-back games at Atlanta. Overall its a favorable part of the schedule for the Celtics. But Chicago plays with revenge after a 129-112 loss to Boston back in February here, and note that the Bulls have seen the total go "under" in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a dog vs. an opponent. For all the reasons listed above, the play is the "under!" AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-24 | Texas +6.5 v. Tennessee | Top | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 28 h 11 m | Show |
10* Texas (2ND RND SIDE OF YEAR) Texas may not win this game, but it won't be going down without a fight and because of that, we're indeed expecting an all out battle until the final horn and we'll be grabbing the points. Texas went on to demolish Colorado State in its opening round by a score of 56-44 as a 2.5-point favorite. The Vols went to to demolish Saint Peter's, but we just don't see Rick Barnes team being able to cover this larger spread. The Vols are perennial underachiever, and all signs point to that continuing; grab the points, the play is Texas! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-24 | New York City FC v. FC Cincinnati -110 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 28 h 17 m | Show |
10* FC Cincinnati (MLS GOW) NYCFC is in 12th and ripe for the picking in our estimation. It managed a 2-1 win over Toronto FC last weekend, but we definitely feel that it's in over it's head here in this difficult away venue. FC Cincinnati is in third place and off a 2-1 win over a tough New England Revolution side. NYCFC has won only one away competition across all competitions over its last 22 tries and we absolutely don't expect that string of futility to end this weekend. Home field advantage can't be overlooked as a very real deciding factor in our opinion; the play is indeed on FC Cincinnati! AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Ray Monohan | $1,072 |
Tom Macrina | $601 |
Ross Benjamin | $475 |
William Burns | $288 |
Ricky Tran | $269 |
Big Al McMordie | $234 |
Joey Tron | $165 |
Jesse Schule | $21 |
Tim Michael | $18 |