Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-17-22 | Pelicans +10.5 v. Suns | Top | 99-110 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (RED DRAGON) Are the Suns the better team? Their record would sure indicate that. New Orleans advanced by winning its two Play-In games and I think it'll "sneak in under the radar" here in Game 1. Will the longer lay off help or hinder the Suns? Who knows is the answer. The Pelicans though are currently rolling and I say that momentum carries over in Game 1. New Orleans has been fantastic defensively of late, and it has the offensive punch to keep pace as well with Brandon Ingram back in the line-up. In every conceivable way the Suns are the better team, but not by double digits in this situation. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-16-22 | Wolves +6.5 v. Grizzlies | Top | 130-117 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
10* WOLVES (ASSASSIN) This will be an interesting series. These teams are similar in many regards. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments. To say this is a "revenge" game as well would be a bit of an understatement, as Memphis 8-2 the L10 in this series. Minnesota averages 115.9 PPG, while Memphis averages 115.6. The Grizz are a bit better defensively in allowing 109.9, while the Wolves have conceded 113.2. Very small differences here. Yes, the Grizz have done well all season, but now that the playoffs are here, adjustments will be key. I think Game 1 comes right down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Minnesota! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-15-22 | Pelicans +4.5 v. Clippers | Top | 105-101 | Win | 100 | 15 h 1 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (BOB) The Pels easily handled the Spurs to advance to play the Clippers, and just like they were then, I think they're also undervalued and underrated by the bookmakers in this matchup as well. The Clippers lost 109-104 to Minnesota, and I believe they'll have their hands full here against this highly skilled visiting side. New Orleans looked superb defensively in its win, holding the Spurs to just 103 points. The Clippers also struggled to put points on the board against a Wolves team that finished in the bottom third on the defensive end. That doesn't bode well facing New Orleans here. I think the outright is possible, but let's grab up all these points as the official call! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-13-22 | Hornets +5.5 v. Hawks | Top | 103-132 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
10* HORNETS (GOW) I think the Hornets have a legitimate shot at taking this game outright. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Hornets won their final 3 regular season games, including a 124-108 victory over Washington, while Atlanta won 7 of its last 9, including a 130-114 victory over Houston in its finale. Charlotte has the fourth highest-scoring offense in the league, and the Hawks just aren't known for their tough defensive play. Neither are the Hornets mind you, but that still works in the underdogs favor in my opinion. These teams are almost identical. I say it comes down to the wire; grab the points, the play is Charlotte! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-07-22 | Grizzlies v. Nuggets -3.5 | Top | 109-122 | Win | 100 | 14 h 55 m | Show |
10* NUGGETS (RED DRAGON) Denver comes in as the "hungier" and more focussed team today. The Nuggets are off a 116-97 loss to San Antonio. They play with revenge here though after a 122-118 loss to the Grizzlies in January, and that's important for us to note, as the Nugs have are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss to an opponent. Memphis just had its 7 game win streak snapped in a tight 121-115 OT loss at Utah and I say it just "goes through the motions" this evening. Home court advantage really does matter for this one, the play is DENVER. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-06-22 | Suns -2.5 v. Clippers | Top | 109-113 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) Off a 121-110 win over the Lakers last night at home, we're looking for the Suns to keep the foot on the gas here and deliver another "L" for the other team in LA. Despite last night's win, the Suns have still lost 4 straight ATS. Note though that that does in fact work in our favor here, as PHO is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more ATS losses in a row. The Clippers have been playing well of late, but with only two more games to go in the regular season, I don't see any drop off here from Phoenix as it looks to carry its momentum from a strong regular season, into a big playoff run. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-05-22 | Bucks v. Bulls +5.5 | 127-106 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
8* BULLS (SPECIAL) In a game that we believe will be decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, we're going to grab the points. Milwaukee has lost two straight. It won't be rolling over here obviously, but I still think its vulnerable. Especially on the road. The Bulls play with revenge here as well after a listless 126-98 loss to Milwaukee as 6.5-point dogs in mid March. Chicago is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 99 or less points in. Milwaukee returns home for a date vs. the red hot Celtics on Thursday and I say it gets caught looking ahead; grab the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-05-22 | 76ers -11.5 v. Pacers | Top | 131-122 | Loss | -107 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
10* 76ERS (GOW) I think this one sets up well for a complete ATS blowout for the road side. Philly is off a 112-108 win at the Cavaliers, but with a much tougher game at Toronto up next, the 76ers won't want to leave anything to chance. Then Philly closes out the year with two straight winnable games at home against the Pacers again, and then the Pistons to finish things off. Clearly Philadelphia doesn't want to "back in" to the playoffs. Chemistry is crucial at this point of the season. I say the 76ers put the foot on the gas and never let up. They also play with revenge after falling 118-113 to the Pacers as 4-point dogs at the start of the season. Indiana is off a 121-117 loss at home to Detroit. It can't even play spoiler here. I think the home side just "goes through the motions" tonight. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is Philadelphia! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-04-22 | North Carolina v. Kansas -4.5 | Top | 69-72 | Loss | -105 | 38 h 42 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (GOW) This will be the Jayhawks toughest test yet. Everything has come together for UNC during this tournament. That said, this will also be the Tar Heels most difficult opponent by far. In fact, I'll argue that the Jayhawks' superiority on the defensive end will be the difference in the championship game. Kansas can shut down the three ball, and Armando Bacot is likely less than 100% health for this one, after a minor injury in the Final 4. Both teams have been superb to this point, but the Tar Heels have overachieved. I say that finally catches up to them here vs. the more rounded and deeper Jayhawks side; the play is Kansas! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-22 | 76ers v. Cavs +5 | 112-108 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
8* CAVALIERS (SPECIAL) Both teams are fighting for a playoff spot. I feel that this one will be decided in the closing moments. The 76ers are off a much-needed 144-114 win at home over Charlotte, snapping a 3-game slide. With a much more "winnable" game at the Pacers up next, I say the 76ers get caught "flat footed" here in this difficult road venue and off their big win. The Cavs though play with revenge after a 118-114 loss to the 76ers on March 16th. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a road loss against an opponent. The Cavs hit the road for 2 straight after this and hav to face the Nets and Bucks before the end of their season as well, so I say they take this revenge-spot VERY seriously; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-03-22 | Wizards v. Celtics -12.5 | Top | 102-144 | Win | 100 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
10* CELTICS (ASSASSIN) Boston has been on quite the roll over the last month and it'll now look to close out the final week strong. It's off a 128-123 home win over Indiana. It's dropped 2 straight ATS, but I think it recovers here and lays the hammer down on the Wizards. Washington has nothing to play for. The C's dismantled Washington by a score of 116-87 in Janaury and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Note, this game takes on added importance for Boston as well with three straight tough road games to end the season after this, including at Chicago, Milwaukee and Memphis respectively. In their final regular season home game, I expect the Celtics to push the pace from start to finish; lay the points, the play is BOSTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | North Carolina v. Duke -4 | 81-77 | Loss | -116 | 134 h 48 m | Show | |
9* DUKE (SPECIAL) UNC only hit 6 of 22 3-pointers against Saint Peter's, and while that was enough to move past the No. 15 seed, that's just not going to get it done against Coach K and Duke in the Final 4. To get to this point of the tournament, you have to be playing well at both ends of the court. And that's the case here, as move UNC and Duke enter on top form. Duke is the No. 2 seed here and it plays with revenge after its 94-81 home loss to UNC as an 11-point favorite in Coach K's final regular season home game. It was a crushing defeat, but now Duke has a golden opportunity to avenge that setback. Duke does everything just as well as UNC, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. Look for the experience of Coach K in this spot to prove to be the difference in this revenge scenario; the play is Duke! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | Jazz v. Warriors +2 | 107-111 | Win | 100 | 11 h 21 m | Show | |
8* WARRIORS (DESTRUCTION) We're coming down the home stretch of the regular season with just over a week left to play. Both of these teams will be in the playoffs, but I simply feel that this one means a lot more to the home side. The Warriors are still without Steph Curry, but I expect the home side to step up here after 4 straight losses. The Warriors are deep and well coached. The Jazz are off a satisfying 122-109 win over the Lakers and I think they come in a bit complacent here. The Warriors play with revenge after a 111-85 slapping on Feb. 9, and note that GS is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent in which it was held to 90 or less points in. This one MEANS MORE to Golden State! AAA Sports | |||||||
04-02-22 | Nets -1.5 v. Hawks | Top | 115-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 21 m | Show |
10* NETS (ASSASSIN) Brooklyn is just 1-2 in its last 3. It's off a 120-119 OT loss at home to the Bucks. The easily handled the Hawks though back in December by a score of 113-105 and I expect a similar outcome here as well. Atlanta comes in off 4 straight wins, including a 131-107 victory over Cleveland in its last outing. I simply feel this is a really bad matchup for the Hawks. Atlanta is also still just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after 3 or more SU/ATS victories in a row. Look for the hungrier Nets to pull away down the stretch; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-22 | Southern Utah v. Fresno State -7.5 | Top | 48-67 | Win | 100 | 30 h 35 m | Show |
10* FRESNO STATE (GOW) This is the semi-final of the College Basketball Classic at the Save Mart Center. The Southern Utah Thunderbirds are averaging 78.8 PPG, and they're led by Tevian Jones, whoi averages 14.6 points and 4.7 boards. The Thunderbirds though have struggled on the defensive end overall this season, allowing 72.7 PPG. The Bullldogs only average 65.1 PPG, but they make up for it on the other end with one of the best defenses in the nation, conceding just 58.4 PPG. Orlando Robinson is a major matchup issue here for the Thunderbirds, as he averages 19.4 points and 8.2 boards per game for the Bulldogs. Fresno State has the added advantage of playing at home here, where it has won by an average of 10 PPG this season. Look for the Fresno State's amazing defensive play to be the difference here; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-28-22 | Kings v. Heat -13 | Top | 100-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 26 m | Show |
10* HEAT (GAME OF WEEK) I base my picks on many different things. Sometimes I believe it's necessary to completely dissect a pick, looking at every stat possible, breaking down individual player matchups, looking at trends and scheduling, line movement and many other factors. Other times I believe that a more common sense approach is the best way to handicap a contest, and that's the case for this particular selection for sure. Miami is desperate to break out of its funk, as it comes in having lost 4 in a row SU and 7 in a row ATS. It also plays with revenge here after falling 115-113 at Sacramento as a 3.5-point fav on January 2nd. This is a big and important game for the Heat, even more so when considering their upcoming 3-game road trip after this vs. Boston, Chicago and Toronto. Sacramento is off B2B victories. It's won 3 straight ATS. Can anyone say predictable letdown spot here?! Especially with 2 straight games at lowly Houston up next?! Lay the points, expect a blowout of epic proportions! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | St. Peter's v. North Carolina -8 | 49-69 | Win | 100 | 25 h 33 m | Show | |
8* NORTH CAROLINA (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. Saint Peter's magical run is about to come to an end here vs. the most well-rounded team its seen yet. Yes, the Peacocks defense (67.7 PPG allowed) and overall "never say die" commitment has been impressive, but UNC looks like a wrecking ball right now. The Tar Heels are averaging 87 PPG so far during the Tournament and they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 as a neutral court favorite in the -6.5 to -9.5 points range. Saint Peter's has been an "ATS covering machine" during its conference tournament and now the NCAA Tourney, but I say that streak comes to an end here finally, with the oddsmakers giving this "Cinderalla" just a little too much respect now; the play is North Carolina! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-27-22 | Miami-FL v. Kansas -6 | Top | 50-76 | Win | 100 | 22 h 44 m | Show |
10* KANSAS (ASSASSIN) I am traveling this weekend, so my analysis is more "succinct" than it normally would be. The bottom line for this play is that the Jayhawks have arguably looked like the most well-rounded and dominant team in the Tournament so far. Miami has had lapses on both ends of the court this year. The Hurricanes struggle on the defensive end at times. And this Kansas defense, which allows just 42.1 % shooting from the floor, will be up to the task of slowing down this Hurricanes' potentially dangerous offense. Kansas holds a huge offensive rebounding edge, 32.1% compared to just 20.2% for the Canes. The rebounding and defensive edges that the Jayhawks have in this matchup will turn out to be the difference for them in the end; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Arkansas v. Duke -3.5 | 69-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 50 m | Show | |
8* DUKE (DESTRUCTION) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. Arkansas has been unbelievable this year, but I say that Duke's incredible offense wins over the Razorbacks tough-nosed defensive play finally. Off their now legendary 74-68 win over No. 1 seed Gonzaga, an imminent letdown is in store for the underdog tonight in my opinion. The Blue Devils got past a similar tough-nosed defensive team in Texas Tech last time out in their 78-73 win. Look for Coach K to have something new up his sleeve here as his players keep the foot on the gas on the offensive end as Duke comfortably moves on to the Final Four; lay the short points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Kings v. Magic -3 | 114-110 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
8* MAGIC (SPECIAL) I am travelling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Kings are off a rare road win, coming from behind to knock off Indianapolis by a score of 110-109. Now they face a revenge-minded Magic team that fell 142-130 at the Kings on December 8th. Note that Orlando is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Magic posted two straight home wins before a 118-102 loss at Oklahoma City. Expect a return to form here in this revenge scenairo. Lay the points, the plays ORLANDO. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-26-22 | Houston v. Villanova +2.5 | Top | 44-50 | Win | 100 | 12 h 11 m | Show |
10* NOVA (ELITE 8 GOY) I am traveling this weekend, so my writeups today will be more "succinct" than they normally are. The Cougars are off a 72-60 win over Arizona, while Nova enters off a 63-53 victory over Michigan. Houston averages 75.8 PPG, while allowing 59, while Villanova averages 72.8 PPG, while allowing 62.9. This is an interesting matchup, as this is the toughest team that Houston has had to face yet. Nova has the defense to match Houston and in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is Villanova! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-25-22 | Warriors v. Hawks -2.5 | Top | 110-121 | Win | 100 | 27 h 53 m | Show |
10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN) The Hawks have gone just 1-2 in their last 3. Off a 122-101 loss at Detroit as 5-point favs, I say that ATL bounces back here at home in this revenge scenario. ATL lost 127-113 at Golden State at the start of the yar, but note that the Hawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Warriors snapped a 3-game slide with a 118-104 road win at Miami in their last game as 9.5-point underdogs, but with a much more "winnable" game in the Nation's capital on Sunday, this sets up as a classic "trap" for the visitors. A great overall situational play in my opinion; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-22 | Cavs v. Raptors -3.5 | Top | 104-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
10* RAPTORS (ASSASSIN) There's zero reason to overthink this one, as Toronto is 0-3 SU/ATS so far in this season series. The triple-revenge factor is the main reason behind this play. Cleveland hasn't played since it's 131-120 home loss to the Lakers and with a home game against Chicago next, this also sets up as a bit of a look-ahead spot for the visiting side. The Raptors are off a 113-99 loss at Chicago, but note that they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 99 or fewer points in. I expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish; lay the points, the play is Toronto! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-24-22 | Arkansas +9.5 v. Gonzaga | Top | 74-68 | Win | 100 | 28 h 27 m | Show |
10* ARKANSAS (SWEET 16 GOY) Gonzaga was on the ropes in the second round against Memphis, down by ten at half time, but the Bulldogs outscored the Tigers 51-37 in the second half and managed the 82-78 victory. And I don't think things are going to get any easier on the Tournament's No. 1 seed here vs. this under the radar Arkansas Razorbacks team. Gonzaga is back in the Sweet 16 for a seventh straight year though, so this is an experienced Gonzaga team obviously, led by Chet Holmgren, who actually only had nine points and nine boards in the win over Memphis. Over the last six seasons the Zags have a 4-2 record in advancing to the Elite Eight and to do that again this season, they're going to have to have to beat an Arkansas team that advanced to this point by beating New Mexico State 53-48. JD Notae was big in that victory for the Razorbacks with 18 points and an amazing eight steals. Arkansas did lose the rebounding battle, but it won the steal ratio by a score of 3 to 1. This is the Razorbacks second straight Sweet 16 appearance, so this is a talented an experienced Arkansas team as well. And it's one that I think can also take Gonzaga down to the wire here in the Sweet 16 as well. I say Gonzaga makes it through to the Elite Eight again, but I think that it'll be another nail-biter here decided in the final moments; grab the points, the play is Arkansas! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-22 | Hawks v. Pistons +5.5 | Top | 101-122 | Win | 100 | 13 h 30 m | Show |
10* PISTONS (ASSASSIN) I base my picks on many different things. Scheduling at this time of the year is a big factor I always look at, as team's playing the 2nd game of a B2B are definitely fatigued. Let's not overthink this one, as after its 117-111 win as a 3.5-point fav just last night, I believe New York suffers a predictable letdown here. Detroit is coming off a 119-115 loss at home to Portland, but previous to that had covered in 8 of its last 9. The Pistons got the better of Atlanta by a score of 113-110 in OT as 8-point dogs 2 weeks ago, and I say another outright victory is a possibility here as well; grab the points, the play is Detroit! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-23-22 | Wake Forest +3 v. Texas A&M | Top | 52-67 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 25 m | Show |
10* WAKE FOREST (BLOWOUT) The Demon Deacons enter the Quarterfinals of the NIT with a 25-9 record, while the Aggies enter at 25-12. Wake Forest is led by Alondes Williams and they're coming off an 80-74 victory over VCU. Williams, who averages 18.8 PPG, had 19 in the victory. Wake is skilled on both ends of the court though, as it concedes just 70.1 PPG. Texas A&M advanced by beating Oregon by a score of 75-60. Quenton Jackson was a standout with 17 points. Overall Texas A&M has also done well on both ends of the court, coming in allowing only 66.9 PPG. Wake's superior offense is the difference-maker for me though, as it makes this a coin-flip contest in my opinion. In a game that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is WAKE FOREST. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-22-22 | Southern Utah +4.5 v. UTEP | 82-69 | Win | 100 | 29 h 60 m | Show | |
8* SOUTHERN UTAH (SPECIAL) Here's one that I expect to come right down to the wire. Southern Utah is 21-11 this year, while UTEP is 20-13. The Thunderbirds beat Kent State to advance to this point, while the Miners beat Western Illinois. In the Kent State matchup, the Thunderbirds came from behind to win 83-79, led by 27 points from Dre Martin. The Miners won their matchup against the Leathernecks by a score of 80-54, but note that they're just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after a SU/ATS victory of 25 or more points. Southern Utah's offense has hit 79 or more points in three of its last four and while I do think an outright upset is a possibility, the official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Thunderbirds! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-22-22 | Warriors v. Magic +8.5 | 90-94 | Win | 100 | 27 h 11 m | Show | |
10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN) Golden State comes into this game fatigued. It's off B2B home losses, falling 110-88 to to Boston, before then dropping a 110-108 loss at home to the Spurs. With a game at Miami tomorrow, followed by contests at Washington and Memphis, can anyone say "letdown/look-ahead" spot here?! Not suprisingly, the Magic play with revenge after a 126-95 loss at Golden State as 15.5-point underdogs in early December. Off a 90-85 home win over OKC, I say the Magic "catch" the Warriors at a great time here. Orlando is a rebuild season, but it's healthier now than it's been at any other point and I believe it will take this game seriously. Outright win?! Anything is possible, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can with the Magic! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-21-22 | Raptors v. Bulls -4 | Top | 99-113 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* BULLS (ASSASSIN) Chicago has lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS (that does in fact work in our favor here though, as the Bulls are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight losess in a row.) Chicago also plays with revenge after a 127-120 OT setback to Toronto at the start of February. Finally though, note that Toronto played and won 93-88 at Philadelphia as 7.5-point underdogs just last night! It's a perfect spot for a hungry and revenge-minded team; lay the points, the play is Chicago! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-21-22 | USC Upstate v. South Alabama -9.5 | Top | 79-83 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 53 m | Show |
10* SOUTH ALABAMA (GOW) Home floor is going to be an advantage here. South Alabama tok down Southeastern Louisiana by a score of 70-68 in the opening round The Basketball Classic. USC Upstate got by App State by a score of 80-74 in the first round. USA though is now 14-2 at home and it's ranked 31st in the country in conceding just 63.3 PPG. USA also finished ranked in the Top 3 in the Sun Belt in scoring with 71.4 PPG on average. The Spartans average 70.9 PPG, but their suspect defensive play on the road is the difference-maker here. Lay the points, expect a blowout; the play is South Alabama! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-22 | Texas +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 71-81 | Loss | -110 | 37 h 10 m | Show |
10* TEXAS (BOB) Texas looked great in its 83-71 win over Virginia Tech in the last round and I believe it'll find a way to get the job done here as well. Andrew Jones was dominant with 21 points, including 5 three balls. Purdue did what it was supposed to do in its 78-58 win over Yale. Jaden Ivey led the way in that one with 22 points. Purdue has struggled in this spot for bettors, going 0-5-2 ATS in its last 7 following a SU win. Texas on the other hand is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS neutral site win in which it scored 80 or more points in. While I do feel the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Texas! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-22 | Notre Dame +7.5 v. Texas Tech | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 35 h 15 m | Show | |
9* NOTRE DAME (ASSASSIN) It's a No. 11 seed vs. a No. 3. Notre Dame opend up with a double OT win over Rutgers in the First Four, and they carried that momentum over into their victory over Alabam in the first round. I look for the Irish to carry that confidence and momentum over to this one as well. Texas Tech smashed Montana State in its opening match on Friday, but now it faces a much tougher challenge in Notre Dame. The Irish lost 87-80 to the eventual champion VT Hokies in the ACC Tournament, but they sure looked great in their 78-64 victory over the Tide. Texas Tech has the No. 1 defense in the country, but the Irish have the No. 28 ranked offense in terms of efficiency rating. Texas Tech is ranked No. 43. The Irish come in looking fresh and while I don't think they'll win SU, I do think they'll cover with ease; grab the poitns, the play Notre Dame! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-20-22 | Ohio State +5.5 v. Villanova | 61-71 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 59 m | Show | |
8* OHIO STATE (BLOWOUT) Ohio State won't be going down with a fight. I like the Buckeyes to, at the very least, take the Villanova Wildcats right down to the wire here. Ohio State is off a 54-41 win over Loyola Chicago and I expect another tough defensive performance here. Zed Key and Kyle Young returned to the lineup for the Buckeyes in their last game and they made an immediate impact on the boards. If there's one area that the Buckeyes have an advantage over Villanova, it's on the glass. The Buckeyes live and die by the 3-ball, and they're darn good at shooting from range, but defending the perimeter is a Buckeye defensive speciality. This is a bad matchup for Villanova. This could be an outright upset, but let's grab the points; the play is Ohio State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-19-22 | Richmond v. Providence -2.5 | Top | 51-79 | Win | 100 | 36 h 36 m | Show |
10* PROVIDENCE (2ND RND GOY) After its epic upset over Iowa in the first round, I think Richmond has a predictable letdown here. The Spiders won 67-63 as 13.5-point underdogs, but I'm not expecting lightning to strike twice. Richmond struggled offensively, but somehow managed to slow down the Hawkeyes potent offensive attack. Richmond hasn't been to the round of 32 since 2011. Providence advanced by beating South Dakota State by a score of 66-57, ending the Jackrabbits 21-game win streak. They were only second to Gonzaga in points scored per game this year (86.7), but they stumbled big time against superior competition. Richmond's big upset is now going to be a major "hangover" for Richmond; I'm laying the points, but expecting a lop-sided victory! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-19-22 | Bucks -2.5 v. Wolves | Top | 119-138 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 6 m | Show |
10* BUCKS (ASSASSIN) The Bucks are the defending champs and the Wolves are the hottest team in the league right now. Minnesota is actually the No. 1 offense in the entire NBA. The Bucks are No. 3. Each is playing extremely well on both ends of the floor and honestly, it wouldn't be difficult at all to write a convincing argument for either of these league-leading squads to come out on top in this one. So why do I like the Bucks here? Simple. Revenge factor. The Wolves are poised for a letdown here vs. a the revenge-minded Bucks who fell 113-108 at home to Minnesota at the start of the season (as note, Milwaukee is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent.) To be the champ, you gotta beat the champ, and that's not happening twice; the play is Milwaukee! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-19-22 | North Carolina v. Baylor -5.5 | 93-86 | Loss | -108 | 30 h 37 m | Show | |
8* BAYLOR Two good teams collide. But the Bears are better and I say they find a way to get the job done in the end. North Carolina took a poor loss to Virginia Tech in the tournament, but it bounced back in a big way in its 95-63 opening round win over Marquette. Brady Manek (28 points and 11 boards) and Armando Bacot (17 points and 10 rebounds) both posted double-doubles. Baylor hasn't lost B2B games all year. It actually lost to Oklahoma on March 10th, but then bounced back to hammer Norfolk State by a score of 85-49 in the first round. Matthew Mayer led the way with 22 points and six rebounds. Neither team has been perfect this year. Each has been susceptible to letdowns, but Baylor's superior defense is going to throw a monkey-wrench into UNC's well-oiled offense today; look for the Bears to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable win and cover! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-22 | CS-Fullerton +17.5 v. Duke | 61-78 | Win | 100 | 107 h 22 m | Show | |
8* Fullerton With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. It's David vs. Goliath here. At least the bookmakers believe this will be a bloodbath. However, I like No. 15 seed Cal State Fullerton to sneak in through the backdoor down the stretch here vs. No. 2 Duke. The biggest reason I like this play is because Duke's defense is a major concern in this tournament, as it's ranked 46th in adjusted defensive efficiency over the last month of the season; look for CAL STATE FULLERTON to comfortably sneak in through the back door with all these points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-22 | Chattanooga +7.5 v. Illinois | 53-54 | Win | 100 | 107 h 3 m | Show | |
8* Chattanooga With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Chattanooga not only won the Southern regular season crown, but it also rolled its way through the Conference tournament. The reason why? Chattanooga loaded with veteran players and it has the length/size to keep up with Illinois star Kofi Cockburn. Illinois is solid and it likely will win this game SU, but it'll be a dog fight unitl the final moments; grab the points, the playis Chattanooga! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-22 | Yale v. Purdue -15.5 | 56-78 | Win | 100 | 102 h 13 m | Show | |
8* Purdue With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, the Yale Bulldogs have been decent defensively, but this Bulldogs team DOES NOT have the legs to keep up with the high-flying Boilermakers. The Bulldogs managed the upset over Princeton in the conference tournament, but the time off between games won't help with this underdogs chemistry. Purdue's defense isn't the best, but it doesn't have to be here. Yale is a small team, and Purdue is filled with giants. This is going to be a blowout of epic proportions; the play is Purdue! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-18-22 | Jacksonville State +16.5 v. Auburn | 61-80 | Loss | -110 | 101 h 53 m | Show | |
8* Jacksonville State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. These teams feature a couple of really dynamic players in Auburn's Jabari Smith Jr. Smith and Jacksonville State's 6-foot-10 center Brandon Huffman and 6-foot-11 center Maros Zeliznak. I think Auburn will go up early, and then take the foot off the gas. Jacksonville State did lose to the only other ranked team it played this year, but it was a tight affair, as it lost 65-59 to Alabama in December. No outright, but closer than expected; the play is Jacksonville State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-22 | San Francisco -1.5 v. Murray State | Top | 87-92 | Loss | -110 | 87 h 38 m | Show |
10* SAN FRANCISCO (FIRST RND GOY) Yes, the Murray State Racers have a 30-2 record, but all good things have to come to an end. This is an underrated Dons side which I believe has the advantage here. San Francisco finished 24-9. The Dons finished second behind Gonzaga of course. They lost 81-71 to the Bulldogs this year as 14.5-point underdogs. The Dons average 77.1 PPG, while conceding 67. The Racers average 79.3 and allow 62.3. San Fran's 2 best players are listed as questionable, but expect them both to be playing in this do or die situation. Murray State comes from the weaker conference and is overrated; the play is the Dons! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-22 | New Mexico State +7 v. Connecticut | 70-63 | Win | 100 | 83 h 24 m | Show | |
8* New Mexico State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. I think the outright win really is possible here for the No. 12 seed Aggies, who hold big advantages in offensive rebounding and also in free throw rate. New Mexico State is no slouch, as it won the WAC and it matches up well against the Huskies, as each team excels when running a slow-tempo offense. I say this one is much more evenly matched than what AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-22 | Georgia State +23.5 v. Gonzaga | 72-93 | Win | 100 | 81 h 50 m | Show | |
8* Georgia State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. No outright, but I think the Zags take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal in the second half. The Bulldogs are among the best in the nation on both ends of the floor. No. 16 seeds are 1-143 all-time vs. No. 1 seeds. Georgia State though enters on top form and won't be intimidated after 10 straight wins. Georgia State is 8-1-1 ATS in its last 10, while the Zags are just 1-4-2 ATS in their last 7. This one is MUCH closer than what this spread is suggesting; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-22 | South Dakota State v. Providence -2 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 77 h 5 m | Show | |
8* Providence With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. South Dakota State is a 30-win team that stormed its way through The Summit Tournament as well, but after a difficult exit from the Big East Tournament, I expect Providence to hit the "reset" button here in this golden opportunity to redeem itself. The Jackrabbits can score, but their lack of depth on the defensive end is the difference in this one; lay the short points, the play is Providence! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-17-22 | Michigan v. Colorado State +2.5 | 75-63 | Loss | -109 | 77 h 40 m | Show | |
8* Colorado State With these larger 5-game reports, I'll keep my analysis much more "succinct" than I normally do. Yes, Michigan avoided the First Four with a record of 17-14, but it sure shouldn't have. The Rams have been solid in the MW all year and they're the much better 3-point shooting team. The Wolverines have Hunter Dickinson down low, but I don't think that'll be enough today. Off a first round conference tourney loss to Indiana, Michigan should NOT be favored here; grab the points, the play is Colorado State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-16-22 | Bryant +2 v. Wright State | Top | 82-93 | Loss | -106 | 59 h 19 m | Show |
10* BRYANT (GOW) I like Bryant to pull off the slight upset here. It's in the Tournament after winning the Northeast Conference Tournament. Wright State won the Horizon League Championship. The winner of this one will have the prize of facing No. 1 seed Arizona. Wright State is poised for a letdown here in my opinion after upsetting No. 1 seed Cleveland State during the tournament, as well as No. 3 seed Northern Kentucky. Bryant averages 77 PPG, while Wright State averages 76. The Bulldogs though are one of the highest volume 3-point shooting teams in the country, and Wright State is terrible defending from range. Bryand also averages over 40 rebounds per game, while the Raiders average 34. In an evenly matched game, these small details are the difference maker; that said, grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-15-22 | Nets v. Magic +9 | Top | 150-108 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 55 m | Show |
10* MAGIC (ASSASSIN) The Nets routinely "play down" to the level of their competition and I expect that detrimental trend to continue here on the road against the lowly Magic. Brooklyn has Kevin Durant back in the line-up, and wouldn't you know it, the Nets are winning games again, entering on a 3-game skein. Most recently it was a 110-107 home victory over the Knicks. But with a much more difficult (and more "high profile") game at home against the Mavericks the following night, Durant could be rested here, with Kyrie Irving carrying the load. Either way, this one definitely sets up as a letdown/look-ahead spot for the visitors. The Magic have been playing better of late, going 4-1 ATS in their last five. Their off a 116-114 OT home loss to the 76ers, and I say they carry that confidence and momentum over here; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-22 | Bulls v. Kings +5 | 103-112 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
8* KINGS (DESTRUCTION) The Bulls are off a 101-91 win at home over Cleveland, but I think they'll have their hands full here vs. this hungry home side. The Bulls have much bigger fish to fry as well, with games at Utah and Phoenix upcoming. I say Chicago gets caught looking ahead here. The Kings play with revenge after a 125-118 loss at Chicago in mid February and they're 7-2 ATS in their last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS road loss against an opponent. The Kings are off a 134-125 loss to Utah, but note that they're 8-3 ATS in their last 11 off a SU/ATS road loss in which they conceded 130 or more points in. While I do feel that an outright upset is possible, let's grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-14-22 | Wizards +12.5 v. Warriors | Top | 112-126 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
10* WIZARDS (ASSASSIN) I'm not calling for an outright win or anything, but I do think that Washington will keep this one competitive until the final moments, and I do expect Golden State to take the foot off the gas in the second half as it prepares for a red hot Celtics team coming to town on Wednesday. The Warriors are off 3 straight wins/covers, but after their big 122-109 upset home win over the defending champs, we can expect a predictable mental letdown here. Washington fell 127-118 at Portland in its last matchup, but everything points to this one coming down to the wire. As I stated off the top, I'm not calling for the outright victory, but this spread is way too large considering these other factors; grab the points, the play is WASHINGTON. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-13-22 | Lakers v. Suns -8.5 | Top | 111-140 | Win | 100 | 26 h 49 m | Show |
10* SUNS (ASSASSIN) I like the Suns to try and make an example of LeBron James and the Lakers today. It's impossible to know what kind of effort you're going to get out of James and the Lakers from game-to-game. After his 50 point performance in a win over the Wizards in his last outing, I say "The King" has a predictable letdown here against this "step up" in competition. The Suns will be plenty motivated here as well after falling 117-112 at home to the Raptors as 4.5-point underdogs. And with a game at home tomorrow night against Toronto, the Lakers are also going to get caught "looking ahead" tonight; lay the points, the play is Phoenix! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-13-22 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -6.5 | Top | 50-65 | Win | 110 | 6 h 59 m | Show |
10* TENNESSEE A&M continues to upset its way into the SEC Championship game, but I say that the Aggies "luck" finally runs out here. Texas A&M beat Arkansas by a score of 82-64 to advance, while Tennessee beat Kentucky by a score of 69-62. During the reg. season, A&M averaged 73.1 PPG, while allowing 66.7, while Tennessee averaged 73.6 PPG, while conceding just 62. In the lone matchup between the teams this year, Tennessee won by a score of 90-80, but it was unable to cover the large 11.5-point spread. This is a matchup that favors Tennessee and I expect a similar final combined discrepancy here as well; lay the points, the play is the VOLUNTEERS. AAA Sports | |||||||
03-12-22 | Michigan State v. Purdue -6 | Top | 70-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
10* PURDUE (BIG TEN TOURNEY GOY) The winner of this game will go on to play in the Big Ten Championship. MSU is off a 69-63 win over Wisconsin. Purdue plays with revenge here as well after falling 68-65 at MSU in the only reg. season game. The Boilermakers though are now the highest seed remaining in the tournament and they're also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS loss against an opponent. The Boilermakers have two talented big men and I believe they'll be too much for Tom Izzo's team today. Look for the Purdue's veteran leadership in the backcourt to be the difference-maker in this important Conference contest; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-10-22 | South Carolina State +2 v. Morgan State | Top | 77-80 | Loss | -109 | 35 h 32 m | Show |
10* SOUTH CAROLINA STATE (MEAC TOURNEY GOY) Yes, the 12-13 Morgan State Bears have the home floor advantage here, and yes they enter on a 3-game win streak here, but I still say this 1 favors 15-15 South Carolina State. Morgan State averages 75.7 PPG, while allowing 72.2, while South Carolina State averages 71.7 PPG, while conceding 72.3. Morgan State finished just 8-13-0 ATS and when playing as at least a 1 point fav, the Bears own a record of just 4-5 ATS this year. South Carolina STate on the other hand has posted a 14-12-1 ATS record and when playing as at least 1-point underdogs this season, the Bulldogs are 12-8-1 ATS. Look for these strong trends to continue here on Thursday night; the play is South Carolina State! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-09-22 | Stanford +3.5 v. Arizona State | Top | 71-70 | Win | 100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
10* STANFORD (PAC 12 TOURNEY GOY) Two teams that had poor season's have a chance at redemption in the Conference tournament, but for a number of different reasons, I believe this one favors the Cardinal. Stanford lost 5 straight down the stretch and went just 1-4 ATS in that span. The Cardinal though are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after a 5 games or longer losing streak. Overall the Cardinal average 65.8 PPG. They beat ASU 79-76 at home, but then fell at ASU in the final regular season game by a score of 65-56. Note that Stanford is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a loss against an opponent in which it was held to 59 or less points in. ASU averages just 65.2 PPG and in a contest that I foresee being decided in the final seconds, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is Stanford! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-08-22 | NC State +5.5 v. Clemson | 64-70 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 9 m | Show | |
8* NC State (SPECIAL) I think 11-20 NC State will, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch with the ample spread it's been afforded. NC State backed its way into the conference tournament with 4 straight losses, but note that the Wolfpack are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 still after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. Clemson finished 16-15. It won its final 4 games. Note though that the Tigers are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more SU victories in a row. These teams played on January 8th and Clemson managed the 70-65 SU victory as a 1.5-point underdog, but I expect an even tighter battle this time around. This one has all the makings of a "nail-biter," so let's grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-07-22 | Hawks -8 v. Pistons | Top | 110-113 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
10* HAWKS (ASSASSIN) There's no question that Detroit has been playing better of late, but I expect the proverbial wheels to fall off the bus today. Detroit has won 5 of its last 7 and covered in 7 straight. Note though that it's still just 2-13 ATS in its last 15 after 5 or more straight covers in a row. Atlanta has been playing a lot better in the second half as well and has a legitimate shot at the playoffs again. It's off B2B wins, including a 117-114 road win at Washington. With a tough game at Milwaukee on deck next, I expect the visiting side to take this road contest very seriously. Lay the points, the play is Atlanta! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-06-22 | UCF v. Tulsa +2.5 | Top | 72-73 | Win | 100 | 20 h 58 m | Show |
10* TULSA (ASSASSIN) I think that 17-10 UCF gets caught looking past its lowly 9-19 opponent. The Knights had their 2-game win streak snapped last time out in an 82-67 loss to Tulane. UCF averages 70.1 PPG, while allowing 67.7. Tulsa enters off 3 straight losses, most recently falling 72-62 to Wichita State on Wednesday. The Golden Hurricane average 67.3 PPG, while allowing 69.5. Tulsa plays with revenge here as well after falling 76-67 as a 7.5-point dog at UCF on Feb. 14 (the Golden Hurricane are in fact a sharp 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent.) In what will be a highly competitive game, I'm grabbing the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-05-22 | Mississippi State +2.5 v. Texas A&M | 64-67 | Loss | -115 | 26 h 37 m | Show | |
8* MISSISSIPPI STATE (SPECIAL) This is each team's respective final regular season game. Mississippi State is looking to bounce back after an 81-68 loss to conference-leading Auburn in its last outing. The Bulldogs are now 17-13 overall, but they have a chance here to move to .500 today with their conference record sitting at 8-9. Texas A&M is off an 87-71 win over Alabama as a 10-point underdog. The Aggies are 19-11 overall and 8-9 in conference play. The Bulldogs average 71 PPG, while conceding 66.9, while the Aggies average 73 PPG, while allowing 66.9. In a contest that I see being decided in the final moments, let's grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-04-22 | Ohio v. Northern Illinois +9.5 | Top | 57-58 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show |
10* NORTHERN ILLINOIS (MAC BOB) I think that the 23-7 Ohio BObcats will look past the lowly 9-21 Northern Illinois Huskies this evening. The Huskies put up a decent fight in Ohio in late January, but they ultimatley fell 74-62. Suffice it to say, I'm expecting a much more competitive game tonight. NIU did post a cover in that setback though, as it was afforded a whopping 18 points. The Bobcats come to town in a funk as well, having lost 3 of their last 4 and 2 straight. They most recently fell 80-77 to 5-13 Bowling Green! NIU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent as well. Ohio is on the ropes and I think the Huskies can smell the blood in the water. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but make sure to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-04-22 | Cavs +7.5 v. 76ers | Top | 119-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
10* CAVALIERS (EXPRESS) The Cavaliers have struggled since the All Star break, while the 76ers now look unbeatable with James Harden in the line-up. However, that's only helped in driving this home line a couple points higher than it really should be in my estimation. The Cavs are 36-26 overall, including 17-15 on the road. They're off a 119-98 loss at home to Charlotte, which is important to note here as they're 12-6 ATS in their last 18 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 99 or less points in. The Cavs also play with revenge here after a 103-93 home loss to Philly in the middle of February. The 76ers have won 4 straight, but with a much more "high-profile" contest at Miami tomorrow night, the possibility of getting caught "looking ahead" is something that we have to take into consideration here as well. I think this one will be decided in the closing moments, so I'm grabbing the points with the Cavaliers! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-03-22 | Florida Atlantic v. Florida International +4.5 | Top | 71-51 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 58 m | Show |
10* FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL (CONF. USA GOM) Two teams with similar names and records collide in Conference USA action on Thursday night and in my opinion, this one favors the home side. FAU is 16-13, while FIU is 15-14. FAU won both games last year, so FIU won't be taking anything for granted here. FAU is coming off a 74-69 road win at Charlotte, but previous to that it had lost four in a row. FAU averages 73.8 PPG, while FIU averages 71.6. The major difference though is that FAU is just 3-8 on the road, while FIU is 11-4 at home. Look for FIU to continue its hot play on its own floor! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-01-22 | Cincinnati +15 v. Houston | Top | 53-71 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 13 m | Show |
10* CINCINNATI (GOW) I think that Cincinnati will cover comfortably here. The Bearcats will be hungry to snap a 3-game slide, most recently falling 56-54 to USF. John Newman III was a bright spot in defeat with 11 points and eight rebounds. Houston comes in on the other end of the mental spectrum, content after 4 straight victories. That includes a 75-61 win over SMU on Sunday. Note though that the Cougars ars just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 3 or more straight SU/ATS victories in a row. The Bearcats average 70.2 PPG, while allowing 65.4, while Houston averages 76.3 PPG, while allowing 59. The Bearcats are without question the hungrier team here, looking to bounce back against the leagues best. I'm stopping short in calling for the outright upset, but all signs point to this one coming right down to the wire; because of that, let's grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-01-22 | North Alabama +12 v. Florida Gulf Coast | 72-81 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
9* NORTH ALABAMA (SMACK-DOWN) It's the opener of the ASUN tournament and I expect the lowly 9-20 North Alabama Lions to put up more of a fight than what this line is suggesting. The Lions average 69.3 PPG. It's coming off 8 straight losses, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS losses in a row. Not surprisingly, the Lions play with revenge after a 92-60 loss to Florida Gulf Coast at the start of February. The Eagles have won 7 of their last 10 and 2 straight, but note that they're just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 as a tournament fav of 10 or more points. I say the Lions sneak in through the back door with all these points they've been given; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
03-01-22 | Green Bay v. Detroit -9.5 | 62-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 14 m | Show | |
9* DETROIT (BEATDOWN) The Horizon League Conference tournament gets underway on Tuesday night and I expect the 13-14 Mercy to have no mercy on the 5-24 Phoenix. Detroit actually plays with revenge hera fter Wisconsin Green Bay inexplicably took the lone regular season contest at home (70-63.) Detroit was a big favorite in that one, but note that it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference loss against an opponent in which it was the fav. Detroit finished the season by going 6-4, and they were 8-1 at home. That one loss occured in their last game, so a big rebound is expected here in this revenge scenario. Lay the points, and expect a complete ATS beatdown from start to finish! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-27-22 | Clippers v. Rockets +7 | Top | 99-98 | Win | 100 | 26 h 28 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) The Clippers are 31-31 and somehow managing to stay afloat despite not having Kawhi Leonard or Paul George in the line-up. The Rockets sneak in under the radar here though at 15-44. Houston is off a 119-111 loss to Orlando. The Clippers are off a 105-102 win over the Lakers and I believe will suffer a predictable letdown here. This is the opener of a two-game set between the teams here, with the second coming on March 1st. Expect the home side, which plays with revenge after falling 142-111 to LA in mid February, to keep this one tight down the stretch; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-27-22 | Ohio State v. Maryland +4.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 23 h 17 m | Show |
10* MARYLAND (BOB) Ohio State is 18-7, but if its had one clear glaring weakness it's been its play on the road, where it's just 5-5. Maryland is 13-15 overall and 8-8 at home. OSU enters off a tight 86-83 win over Illinois, while Maryland fell 74-64 to at Indiana. The Terps though play with revenge here after losing 82-67 to OSU back on February 6th. Note that Maryland is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference road loss against an opponent. This one has all the making of a complete nail-biter. The Terps play better at home. In a game that is going to come down to the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-26-22 | Kings +8.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 110-115 | Win | 100 | 26 h 35 m | Show |
10* KINGS (ASSASSIN) After beating the Kings by a score of 128-110 in Sacramento two nights ago, I think the Nuggets will get caught complacent here. They're in Portland tomorrow night, so the temptation to take the foot off the proverbial gas pedal will definitely be there for the home side. Sacramento has now lost 3 straight, both SU and ATS, which is significant to note here as it's 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more SU/ATS losses in a row. It's also 8-4 ATS in its last 12 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. No outright here, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-26-22 | Nevada +7.5 v. Wyoming | 61-74 | Loss | -105 | 24 h 23 m | Show | |
8* NEVADA (DESTRUCTION) The 12-14 Nevada Wolfpack won't be going down without a fight here vs. 22-5 Wyoming. Nevada could still move up a spot or two before the end of the season, while Wyoming still has an opporutnity to earn the No. 1 spot in the conference. Wyoming picked up a 10-point road win in January, but note that Nevada is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against an opponent. Nevada is off a tough 62-54 home loss to UNLV on Tuesday, which is important to note for us here, as the Wolfpack are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 off a SU home loss in which they were held to 55 or less points in. Wyoming is off a 61-55 road loss to Colorado State. I say the Cowboys get caught flat here and while I'm not predicting an outright upset, I'm definitely expecting a "nail-biter!" So grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-26-22 | Kansas v. Baylor -3 | 70-80 | Win | 100 | 24 h 22 m | Show | |
9* BAYLOR (U OF THE U) Kansas is 23-4 overall and 12-2 in Big 12 action, but after 4 straight wins, I expect it to stumble here in this difficult road venue vs. the revenge-minded Bears. Kansas is off a 102-83 win over K-State, while Baylor held on for a 66-64 win over OK State. The Bears play with revenge here though, and ULTIMATELY that's the reasoning behind this play. Baylor plays REALLY well in the revenge role. Kansas won 83-59 as a 2.5-point fav on its own floor at the start of the month, but the Bears are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to revenge a SU/ATS conference loss against an opponent. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-26-22 | Butler v. Marquette -8.5 | Top | 56-64 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 24 m | Show |
10* MARQUETTE (BIG EAST GOM) 13-16 Butler is just 3-7 on the road, while 17-10 Marquette is 11-3 at home. The Golden Eagles will be out to smash the Bulldogs today. They're just 1-3 in their last 4 SU, and 0-4 ATS. One of those losses includes an inexplicable 85-79 loss at Butler as a 4-point fav in the middle of the month. Note though that Marquette is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Butler's lost 3 games SU, but gone 2-1 ATS. I say that the Bulldogs stumble here in this difficult road venue. I love the way this one sets up for the home side from a situational stand point; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-25-22 | Harvard +8 v. Princeton | Top | 67-74 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
10* HARVARD (IVY LEAGUE GOM) I think the 13-10 Harvard Crimson will take the 19-5 Princeton Tigers down to the wire this evening. Harvard comes in playing arguably its best basketball of the season after its 2nd straight win, a 77-72 OT victory over Cornell. The Crimson average 72.3 PPG, while conceding 68.4. Princeton enters having won 4 straight, most recently holding on for an 81-75 win over Yale. The Tigers average 72.3 PPG, while allowing 69.3. This is the opener of a home and home set and because of that, I'm expecting a very intenese 2-game stretch here. Harvard is 7-2 ATS the last 9 in this series and while I'll stop short in calling for an outright upset, everything points to a real nail-biter; the play is Harvard! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-24-22 | Grizzlies v. Wolves +3 | 114-119 | Win | 100 | 28 h 48 m | Show | |
9* WOLVES (DESTRUCTION) I think this is a great spot to pull the trigger on the hungry home side today. Karl Anthony Towns is an underrated player. He's one of only two players in history to win both the three-point contest and the skills contest. The Wolves play with revenge here after a 116-108 loss to the Grizz in mid January. Memphis won 6 straight before the All Star break, but it lost its final game in a 123-119 home setback to the lowly Blazers. With a much more high-profile game at Chicago on Saturday, will the visiting side get caught "looking ahead" here?! It very well could. Look for the well-rested and revenge-mided Wolves to find a way to deliver on Thursday night! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-23-22 | Appalachian State v. Arkansas-Little Rock +7.5 | 78-66 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 22 m | Show | |
8* UALR This is the final Sun Belt homestand for UALR and I expect it to make the most of familiar surroundings this evening. Little Rock has finished a stretch of 6 of 8 games on the road. The Mountaineers have won 2 straight and 6 of the last 8 in this series, but Little Rock is 5-2 against App State on its own floor. This is UALR's final season in the Sun Belt. App State broke a 2 game slide witha 69-51 win over USA, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 off a SU/ATS home win in which it held its opponent to 55 or less points in. Home floor DOES matter here; grab the points, the play is Arkansas Little Rock! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-23-22 | Eastern Kentucky +9.5 v. Jacksonville State | Top | 68-81 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
10* EASTERN KENTUCKY (ASUN GOY) I like 12-16 EKU to sneak in "under the radar" tonight vs. the 18-9 Jacksonville State Gamecocks. EKU is coming off a tight 83-76 loss to Central Arkansas on Saturday. The Gamecocks come in off an 82-67 win over Bellarmine on Sunday. This is a revenge game as well for the Colonels after the Gamecocks earned a 76-65 road win earlier in the season (note that EKU is in fact 7-3 ATS in last 10 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) No outright, but I believe the stage is set for a competitive battle; grab the points, the play is Eastern Kentucky! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-22-22 | Alabama -4.5 v. Vanderbilt | 74-72 | Loss | -115 | 30 h 38 m | Show | |
8* ALABAMA (DESTRUCTION) The Crimson Tide enter at 17-10 overall (just 7-7 in league action), while Vandy is 14-12 this season (and only 6-8 in conference play.) Bama is off a 90-81 road loss at Kentucky, but note that it's 7-3 ATS in its last 10 off a SU/ATS setback in which it allowed 90 or more points in. Vandy is coming off a 72-67 home win over Texas A&M, but note that it's just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 5 or more straight ATS covers in a row (the Commodores have in fact covered in 6 straight.) Vandy averages just 69.3 PPG, while Bama averages 80.4. Lay the points, expect a blowout! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-22-22 | Northern Illinois v. Eastern Michigan -3.5 | Top | 72-74 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 39 m | Show |
10* EASTERN MICHIGAN (MAC "GOM") These teams are poor. NIU is just 8-17 this year, including only 6-9 on the road. EMU is only 9-18 this season, but it's a respectable 7-6 at home. I can't understate how important I believe that the "home floor" advantage will be tonight. NIU has covered in 3 straight, but it's off a 78-75 loss to Miami Ohio at home as a 3.5-point underdog (NIU is in fact just 2-7 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more straight ATS victories in a row.) EMU plays with revenge here after a 77-70 road loss at NIU as a 1.5-point favorite in mid January. Note though that the Eagles are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a conference road loss against an opponent. Look for the "revenge angle" to be a major difference-maker as well for the home side. With two extremely strong external factors working in their favor, the play is the EMU Eagles! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-21-22 | Southern Utah -5.5 v. Northern Arizona | 79-48 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
8* SOUTHERN UTAH (DESTRUCTION) I think the 16-9 Southern Utah Thunderbirds will figure out a way to not only win this game against the 9-17 Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, but to win it in blowout fashion. Southern Utah has split its last 6 games, while Northern Arizona has lost 6 of its last 8. The Thunderbirds average 79.7 PPG, while allowing 73.9, while the Lumberjacks average 68.9 PPG, while conceding 73.1. The road team is also a great 13-3 ATS the last 16 in this series. Interestingly, the Lumberjacks have lost by an average of 9.8 points this season when playing the role of underdog this season. Southern Utah is poor, but NAU is terrible; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-20-22 | Temple v. Cincinnati -6.5 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 54 m | Show |
10* Cincinnati (ASSASSIN) Temple is 14-9, while Cincinnati is 17-9. The Owls come in off a 64-57 win over SMU as 3-point dogs, which is noteworthy in this case, as Temple is just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 off a SU/ATS upset in which it was an underdog. The Bearcats handled their business though last time out, pulling away for a comfortable 85-76 win over Wichita State as 3-point favs. If history is any precedence, then the Bearcats have to be loving their chances today, as they're 9-1 in the last 10 in this series. The room for error is very small for Temple, which averages 67 PPG, and concedes 65.6. Cincinnati averages 70.6, while conceding 65.6. After breaking their 2 game slide last time out, look for the Bearcats to keep the foot on the proverbial gas pdeal from start to finish on home floor; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-22 | Old Dominion +8.5 v. Western Kentucky | Top | 64-73 | Loss | -110 | 24 h 4 m | Show |
10* ODU (CONF USA GOY) The 10-16 Old Dominion Monarchs are on the road looking to rebound after losing 4 of their last 5. Most recently it was a 67-63 setback to Marshall. CJ Keyser had 14.5 points in the loss, while Kalu Ezikpe added 11.1. ODU averages 66.3 PPG, while allowing 67.4. WKU comes in complacent here in my estimation after 6 straight victories. Most recently the Hilltoppers beat Charlotte by a score of 77-67. Dayvion McKnights leads WKU in scoring with 15.7 PPG, but note that the Hilltoppers are a poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 after 5 or more SU victories in a row. WKU averages 76.6 PPG, while allowing 69.7, but I believe the home side takes the foot off the gas in the second half. While the outright is possible, let's grab the points; the play is Old Dominion! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-22 | Towson v. College of Charleston +4.5 | 80-77 | Win | 100 | 22 h 29 m | Show | |
8* CHARLESTON (DELIGHT) In a contest that I see coming right down to the wire, I'm going to grab up the points. I really do like COC in this spot though, so if you're feeling wealthy, I'd even consider sprinkling a little on the money line here. Towson is 20-7, while COC is 14-11. Towson just smashed UNCW, the first-placed team in the conference, by 24 points on Thursday. Can anyone say "letdown spot?!" True, Towson only sits a .5 game back of the Seahawks now for first place, but after that emotional win, I expect a predictable letdown here on the road vs. the under the radar Cougars. COC comes in off a 71-63 home loss to JMU as a 5.5-point fav. That's not good, but note that COC is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS off a SU home loss as a favorite. It also plays with revenge here after a 74-67 loss at the SECU Arena on January 20th. While I do indeed feel an outright upset is a possibility, the call here will be on COC and the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-22 | Alabama +9.5 v. Kentucky | 81-90 | Win | 100 | 19 h 29 m | Show | |
9* ALABAMA (ASSASSIN) Alabama won't be rolling over here. The Crimson Tide have won 3 straight, most recently beating Mississippi State by a score of 80-75 on Wednesday. Jahvon Quinerly had 21 points. Kentucky enters on the other end of the spectrum, as the Wildcats just had their 6 game win streak snapped last time out in a 76-63 upset loss to Tennessee. Oscar Tshiebwe was a lone standout with 13 points and 15 boards. These teams average 80 PPG each, but Kentucky has done better on the defensive end. Situationally though, this one sets up great for 'Bama, which is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss in which it was held to 59 or less points in (lost 66-55 to UK on February 5th.) The conditions are right for an outright upset, but let's grab the points; the play is Alabama! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-19-22 | TCU +12.5 v. Baylor | 62-72 | Win | 100 | 19 h 30 m | Show | |
9* TCU (BLOOD-BATH) TCU won't be rolling over here. It's 16-7, including 4-2 on the road. Baylor is 21-5 and 12-2 at home, but it's struggled somewhat of late, entering off an 83-73 road loss at Texas Tech as a 1.5-point underdog. TCU though plays with revenge here after a 76-64 home loss to the Bears as 10-point underdogs on January 8th. And that's important to note in this case, as TCU is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 in trying to revenge a SU/ATS home loss against a conference opponent. The Bears have shown cracks in the armor of late. No outright, but much, much closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-18-22 | Missouri +10.5 v. Mississippi State | 49-68 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 43 m | Show | |
8* MISSOURI (DESTRUCTION) This is the first game of a home and home set and I like the underdog visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Bulldogs are 14-10 overall, and 5-6 in league play, while the Tigers are 10-15 overall, and 4-8 in conference action. This is a revenge game of sorts for the Tigers, as they've lost 4 straight in this series. Missouri has been competitive, despite its win/loss record. It has a victory over Alabama and it lost by 1 point to Auburn. Off a 76-57 loss to No. 23 Arkansas, note that the Tigers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 off a SU/ATS conference loss in which they were held to 59 or less points in. The Tigers average 66 PPG, while allowing 70.6. The Bulldogs come in with the better record, but zero momentum, having log four straight, most recently an 80-75 setback to Alabama. The Bulldogs average 73 PPG, while allowing 67. Mississippi State has struggled with consistency of late and I like the under the radar Tigers to hang around late; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-17-22 | Oregon -4.5 v. Arizona State | 57-81 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 4 m | Show | |
9* OREGON (DESTRUCTION) I like the way this one sets up for the Ducks. They're 17-8 overall this season, which includes going a near-perfect 5-1 on the road. Arizona State on the other hand is just 8-15 this season, which includes a sub-par 5-6 record at home. The Ducks held on for a 62-59 win at home over Washington State last time out, but they were unable to cover the 5-point spread. Oregon has now lost 4 straight against the spread, which is noteworthy in this instance, as the Ducks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after 3 or more ATS losses in a row. They also play with the added incentive of "revenge" here after somehow losing to the Sun Devils 69-67 in OT at home as 9-point favs in early December. ASU only averages 63.9 PPG. Off a rare win last time out, a 58-55 victory over WSU as a 10.5-point underdog, everything points to a predictable letdown here for sure in my opinion. Look for the hungry Ducks to keep the foot on proverbial gas pedal from start to finish; lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-17-22 | Mavs v. Pelicans +3 | Top | 125-118 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 7 m | Show |
10* PELICANS (EXPRESS) I think this is a great spot for the Pels. They're coming off a 121-109 loss here at home to the Grizz, but they managed a 107-91 victory over the Mavericks on December 3rd. Dallas is off an upset 107-99 victory at Miami as a 5.5-point underdog, but with the All Star break starting tomorrow, I believe the visitors are going to go through the motions today as Luca Doncic gets ready for the upcoming All Star game. These teams average almost the identical amount of points, with New Orleans averaging 106.1 and Dallas averaging 106.3. The difference comes on the defensive end, but the overall situation working in favor of the Pels here supercedes that factor. Clearly, the outright win is in the cards here, but the official call will be to grab as many points as you can; the play is New Orleans! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-17-22 | Michigan +5.5 v. Iowa | 84-79 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show | |
9* MICHIGAN (BLOWOUT) Michigan is just 3-6 on the road, but I think it'll take Iowa down to the wire today. The Hawkeyes are 13-2 at home. The Wolverines are off a 68-57 home loss to Ohio State as 3-point favs. That's noteworthy in this case, as Michigan is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite and in which it was held to 60 points or less in. Iowa is off 3 straight victories. Most recently it was a 98-75 win over Nebraska. With a game at Ohio State this weekend, I think the home side will clasically get caught "looking ahead." Iowa is also just 2-6 ATS in its last 8 off a SU/ATS win in which it scored 95 or more points in. In a contest that I see being decided late, the official call here will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-16-22 | Gonzaga v. Pepperdine +29.5 | Top | 86-66 | Win | 100 | 31 h 58 m | Show |
10* PEPPERDINE (WC GOM) Am I suggesting that the Waves will post one of the biggest regular seson upsets in College basketball history tonight, or do I believe that Gonzaga will win this game, but that this spread is much too large? Clearly, it's the latter of those 2 scenarios. I love how this one sets up for Pepperdine to keep it much closer than what Las Vegas is trying to lead us to believe. Gonzaga is No. 1 in the nation, but it's just 13-8-2 ATS overall. With a game at home against 17-9 Santa Clara, I think the visitors take the foot off the gas in the second half. Pepperdine lost 117-83 at Gonzaga as a 30-point underdog on January 8th (but note that it's 7-1 ATS in its last 8 in trying to revenge a conference road loss of 25 or more points!) In every conceivable way the Bulldogs are the better team here, but this spread is simply too large when we take into account the overall situation; grab the points, the play is Pepperdine! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-16-22 | Jazz v. Lakers +4 | Top | 101-106 | Win | 100 | 30 h 10 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ASSASSIN) Are the Lakers a good team that's been the victim of unfortunate circumstances this year? I think the answer is both yes and no. Certainly LA's record would indicate that it's a bad team (26-31.) The good news? There's still time to correct things and to earn a spot in the playoffs. The Lakers are also 17-13 at home this season. The Jazz have had to overcome a few injury issues, and covid problems, but the enter the all star break with a great 36-21 record. They haven't been at their best on the road though, where they are 15-11 this season. The Lakers are off a tight 117-115 loss at Golden State, easily covering with the 6-point spread. The Lakers can't afford to take tonight off though, and I expect anotherfull four-quarter effort tonight. The Jazz are off a 135-101 win over Houston, which is noteworthy here as they're just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 after a SU/ATS win of 30 or more points. I say this one means A LOT more to the desperate Lakers! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-16-22 | Rockets +15.5 v. Suns | 121-124 | Win | 100 | 29 h 10 m | Show | |
8* ROCKETS (DESTRUCTION) Clearly, the Rockets are terrible. They're just 15-41 overall. They've been better for bettors though, going 22-33-1 ATS. They're coming off 5 straight SU/ATS losses in a row (and note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 after 5 or more consecutive ATS/SU setbacks.) Not suprisingly, they play with revenge here after a listless 115-89 loss to the Suns as 8.5-point dogs on November 14th. Clearly, the Suns are a great team. They're 47-10 SU, and 32-25 ATS. They've won 6 straight, but they lost ATS last time out against the Clippers, winning 103-96, and not coming close to covering the large 12-point spread. I expect a similar final score here as well, as Phoenix prepares for the All Star break. No outright win for Houston, but much closer than expected; the official call will be to grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-16-22 | Seton Hall v. Connecticut -5.5 | 65-70 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 29 m | Show | |
9* UConn (9* BLOOD-BATH). The 15-8 Seton Hall Pirates are only 4-4 on the road, while the 17-7 Connecticut Huskies are 10-2 at home. After a 74-68 loss to Xavier, the Huskies bounced back with a 63-60 win over Saint John's in their most recent outing. They play with revenge here after falling 90-87 to Seton Hall in OT on January 8th (they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 in trying to revenge a SU conference road loss against an opponent.) Seton Hall had its 3 game win streak snapped in a 73-67 loss at Villanova in its most recent action. With a home game against lowly DePaul this weekend, I say the visiting side gets caught looking ahead. The stage is set for a blowout; lay the points with confidence! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-15-22 | Hornets v. Wolves -7 | 120-126 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 4 m | Show | |
8* WOLVES (DESTRUCTION) I think this is a great spot to continue to ride the red hot Wolves. Minnesota has won 6 of its last 8. That includes a 129-120 victory over the Pacers in Indiana. The Wolves play with revenge here after falling 133-115 at Charlotte back on November 26th. Minnesota has a tough Toronto team coming to town tomorrow night before the All Star break, so expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Charlotte has NOT been playing well at all of late. It's still scoring lots, but it's also one of the worst defensive clubs in the league, as it enters having lost 7 of its last 8. That includes a 125-118 loss at home to Memphis in its most recent. With a home game against Miami to close out the first half, I say the visitors get caught looking ahead as well. The conditions are certainly correct for a home side rout; the official call will be to lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-15-22 | Mavs +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 107-99 | Win | 100 | 30 h 34 m | Show |
10* MAVERICKS (REVENGE GOM) Dallas had won four straight before a 99-97 loss at home to the Clippers. The game previous to that they beat LA 112-105. The Mavericks have looked a lot better of late despite trading Kristaps Porzingis and they do indeed play with revenge here after a 125-110 loss at home to the Heat in early November. Miami has sure been playing well, as it's won 5 in a row, but note that it's just 3-7 ATS in its last 10 after five or more SU victories in a row. And with a game at Charlotte, followed by a trip to the Big Apple after the All Star Break, I think the Heat get classically caught "looking past" their non-conference opponent today. In a game that I see being decided in the final moments, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-15-22 | Iona -4.5 v. St. Peter's | Top | 70-61 | Win | 100 | 29 h 53 m | Show |
10* IONA (GOW) Iona is 20-5. It's coming off a 70-62 win over Monmouth at home, unable to cover the 8.5-point spread. It won't be taking Saint Peter's lightly today on the road, as while it did beat the Peacocks 85-77 at home on January 30th, it failed to cover the 10-point spread. Saint Peter's is 11-9, but it's off a poor 58-49 loss at home to Rider as a 7.5-point fav (note that the Peacocks are a disturbingly poor 1-7 ATS in their last 8 off a SU/ATS home loss in which they were held to 50 or less points in.) The stage is set for a blowout of epic proportions; the official call will be to lay the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-14-22 | Rockets +14.5 v. Jazz | Top | 101-135 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 49 m | Show |
10* ROCKETS (ASSASSIN) Are the Rockets a good team that's just been an unfortunate victime to crazy circumstances? Are the Jazz over-rated and not as good as their record would indicate? No, on both counts. The Rockets have struggled for varying reasons, but they're not a great team this year. Utah has had to struggle through some covid issues as well this season, but the Jazz are now primed for a deep playoff run. I simply feel that this is a few too many points to be giving up here, as I expect Utah to take the foot off the gas in the second half. Houston comes in off four straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Most recently a 139-120 loss at home to the Raptors (they're 7-3 ATS in their last 10 though after a SU/ATS home loss in which they allowed 135 or more points in.) Utah comes in off 5 straight wins and covers (and it's just 3-6 ATS in its last 9 after 5 or more SU/ATS victories in a row.) With a much "bigger" game at the Lakers on Wednesday, the Jazz are in danger of looking ahead here as well. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-13-22 | Green Bay +6 v. Wisc-Milwaukee | Top | 44-54 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
10* WISCONSIN GREEN BAY (ASSASSIN) Wisconsin Green Bay is just 4-20 overall, which includes going 0-12 on the road. The Phoenix are off a 71-62 loss to NKU. They only average 61.7 PPG. Milwaukee is just 8-18. It's off a monumental 60-57 win at home here over Wright State as a 9-point underdog and I believe that a predictable letdown is imminent here. The Panthers only average 65.2 PPG. The Phoenix play with revenge here as well after falling 63-49 to the Panthers at home on January 5th. I expect the visiting side to, at the very least, keep this one close enough to comfortably cover as the game comes down the stretch; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-12-22 | Lakers +7 v. Warriors | Top | 115-117 | Win | 100 | 14 h 34 m | Show |
10* LAKERS (ASSASSIN) Are LeBron James, Anthony Davis and Russell Westbrook really as bad as their win/loss record would indicate? I'd say no. Clearly, chemistry is an issue. Both Davis and James have missed significant time this year. All three will be playing today though and I believe the Lakers have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. The Warriors are off a 116-114 home loss to the Knicks as 9-point favorites. The Lakers are off an embarrassing 107-105 loss to the Blazers, and I expect them to risk life and limb today to try and get back into the winners circle. This one is coming down to the wire, so grab as many points as you can! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-12-22 | Florida State +8.5 v. North Carolina | 74-94 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 28 m | Show | |
9* FLORIDA STATE (CRUSHER) Florida State got caught looking ahead to this game after falling 56-51 to lowly Pittsburgh on Wednesday. I say the Seminoles bounce back here though and while they likely won't win this one outright, we can expect a good-old fashioned back-and-forth battle for sure in my opinion. UNC doesn't have any excuses either for its 79-77 win over Clemson, as it barely held on for the victory. FSU averages 71.2 PPG, while allowing 69.2, while UNC averages 78.1, while conceding 72.8. FSU is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS loss in which it was held to 55 or fewer points in. I expect this to be another tight battle for the Tar Heels; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-12-22 | Texas +5.5 v. Baylor | 63-80 | Loss | -101 | 17 h 29 m | Show | |
8* TEXAS (DESTRUCTION) In this battle, I expect it to come down to the final moments. Texas averages 68.7 PPG, while Baylor averages 77.8. Baylor got crushed by Kansas by 24 points, before then bouncing back with a 75-60 win over K-State on Saturday. Texas is off a big upset win over Kansas, holding on for the 79-76 victory. The Longhorns' defense leads the nation, conceding just 55.8 PPG. The Bears concede 62.2. Look for the Longhorns' tough defensive play to keep the competitive late; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-11-22 | Wright State v. Wisc-Milwaukee +7 | Top | 57-60 | Win | 100 | 27 h 5 m | Show |
10* MILWAUKEE (MAULING) After 4 straight victories, I expect the Raiders to have a bit of a mental lapse here. Milwaukee has struggled this year, but after losing 6 in a row, I expect the Panthers to play with desperation here and to, at the very least, keep this one tight until the final moments. Wright State has "righted" the ship after a shaky start, but with a game against Northern Kentucky next, I expect it to look past its lowly, but dangerous opponent tonight. Milwaukee plays with revenge here as well after an 80-75 home loss to Wright State back on December 30th. The Panthers covered with the ten-point spread in that contest and all signs point to that comfortably happening again tonight; grab the points! AAA Sports | |||||||
02-10-22 | Grizzlies v. Pistons +12.5 | Top | 132-107 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
10* PISTONS (ASSASSIN) Outright victory? I'm not calling for that. But I do think that the visiting side will get caught looking past its lowly non-conference opponent today to its much more high-profile contest at LaMelo Ball and the Charlotte Hornets on Saturday. The Grizz are off a relatively simple 135-109 win at home over the Clippers, which is significant to note as they're just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 off a SU/ATS home win of 20 or more points. Memphis may very well elect to rest some of its starters here. Detroit is just 12-42. It's off a poor 116-86 road loss at Dallas, but note that it's 7-1 ATS in its last 8 after a SU/ATS road loss in which it was held to 89 or less points in. Clearly the Grizz have the uppherhand in every category, but I expect them to take the foot off the gas down the stretch. No outright, but closer than expected; grab the points! AAA Sports |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
ProSportsPicks | $1,066 |
Jack Jones | $960 |
Big Al McMordie | $876 |
Ross Benjamin | $740 |
Ray Monohan | $702 |
Jimmy Boyd | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $414 |
Ricky Tran | $343 |
Kyle Hunter | $265 |
Matt Fargo | $175 |