Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
12-31-23 | Lakers v. Pelicans -6 | 109-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 36 m | Show | |
The setup favors the home team. New Orleans had yesterday off. The Lakers, playing on Lebron's birthday, lost an emotional battle at Minnesota. That will give New Orleans an advantage. The Pelicans got Larry Nance back last game and he makes them better. Coach Green said this about Nance's return: "Having Larry back was huge for us. That's the Larry we're all accustomed to seeing, and credit to him, he worked his tail off to get himself ready to come in and play and be who he is to this team." The Lakers blew out the Pelicans in the in-season tournament and now New Orleans gets even. ***Weekend Wipeout*** | |||||||
12-31-23 | Dolphins +3.5 v. Ravens | Top | 19-56 | Loss | -125 | 43 h 14 m | Show |
The Ravens looked pretty convincing against the 49ers but the Dolphins are a different type of team. Miami averages more than 30 points a game and the defense has gotten progressively stronger. Baltimore scores a lot but Miami scores more. Last season, the Ravens scored 38 against the Dolphins and it still wasn't enough. Miami won 42-38. The Ravens are off that big statement win on National TV. That was on Monday night on the West Coast. They're now traveling back across the country to play an early game on a short week. The Dolphins have something to prove and Baltimore linebacker Queen added fuel to the fire by talking about "teams being cute and playing basketball on grass." The Dolphins have won 5 of their last 6 and the only loss came by 1. They will prove to the world that they aren't soft on Sunday. ***AFC GOY*** | |||||||
12-30-23 | Lions v. Cowboys -5 | Top | 19-20 | Loss | -111 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
Off consecutive losses, the Cowboys really need this one. They are still fighting the Eagles for first place in the NFC East. The Lions do still want a first round bye but they are off consecutive wins and have already locked up first place in the division. In my estimation, this game is more important to the Cowboys. The Cowboys are an entirely different team at home. They pounded the Eagles 33-13 last game here. They are outscoring teams 39.9 to 15.4 in games here. I played against them in the only game that they didn't cover here but the Cowboys are 7-0 straight up and 6-1 against the spread in their 7 home games. Prescott has 20 touchdowns against only 2 interceptions in the games here, completing 74% of his passed. Coach McCarthy said this of the Cowboys' homefield advantage: "We've been able to get into a rhythm early and be able to just keep your foot on the gas. The crowds have been great." Detroit gets a reality check and Dallas stays perfect at home. ***NFC GOM*** | |||||||
12-30-23 | Montana v. Idaho State +5.5 | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 27 m | Show | |
Both teams began conference play with a loss. Idaho State lost by 8 to Montana State. Montana lost by 30 to Weber State. The Wildcats are a strong team. So, the loss wasn't totally unexpected. The 30-point blowout was. It will have the Grizzlies confidence shaken. Weber State shot very well and also outscored Montana by double-digits in the paint. Idaho State coach Looney has been here 4 years and believes that this is his most talented team. They badly want to avoid an 0-2 start in Big Sky play and are catching the Grizzlies at the right time. Not only is Montana off the 30-point loss but the Grizzlies are playing their 4th straight on the road. That's tough during the holiday season. The Bengals played a fairly tough non-conf. schedule and it should help them now that conference play is here. They're "coming to play" today and I think they have a real shot at the outright victory. Grab the points. ***BIG SKY GOY*** | |||||||
12-30-23 | Arkansas-Little Rock v. Tennessee State -2 | Top | 82-90 | Win | 100 | 23 h 49 m | Show |
To these teams, home-court really matters. Little Rock is 6-3 at home but 1-3 on the road. Tennessee St is 5-1 at home but 1-5 on the road. The Tigers outscore visiting teams 84.5 to 67.3. The Trojans are 0-2 against the spread as away underdogs. They get outscored 81 to 75 on the road. Last season, UALR won by 12 at Little Rock but the Tigers won by 25 when they played at Nashville. That game was also the final day of the calendar year, as it was played on New Year's Eve. Tennessee State won 18 games last season. Little Rock only brought back 1 starter from last year's 10-21 team. The Trojans won't be ready for the Tigers on Saturday afternoon. ***Ohio Valley GOM*** | |||||||
12-30-23 | Ole Miss +5 v. Penn State | 38-25 | Win | 100 | 6 h 33 m | Show | |
SEC vs. Big Ten. In a battle of these two very good teams, give me the points with Mississippi. The Nittany Lions were great as favorites in the regular season but the bowls are an entirely different dynamic. Penn State only lost to Ohio State and Michigan but Ole Miss only lost to Georgia and Alabama. Though they weren't hurt as badly as some teams, the Nittany Lions may have more significant opt-outs than the Rebels. They will be without All-Big Ten defensive end Chop Robinson. They also had several players declare for the NFL draft. So, it remains to be seen how much action they'll see. Ole Miss had defensive end Cedric Johnson opt out but otherwise looks to be pretty much unscathed. The Rebels are 14-7-1 against the spread their last 22 on a neutral field. They're also 12-2 straight up and 9-5 ATS their past 14 non-conference games. They score 34.8 points per game and they're not going to go away. Give me the points. ***EARLY RISER*** | |||||||
12-29-23 | Arizona State +5.5 v. Stanford | Top | 76-73 | Win | 100 | 16 h 7 m | Show |
These rivals almost always play close games against each other. The last three meetings were all ultra close. Stanford won by 1 and Arizona State won by 4 points, twice. Six of the last 7 meetings have been decided by 5 or less. The lone exception was a 9-point ASU win. That allows you to conclude that none of the last 7 meetings have resulted in Stanford wins of greater than 5. An even closer look shows that Stanford only won 2 of those 7 games and that both of the victories were by 3 or less. Stanford may have closed the gap on Arizona State a little but not enough to lay this many points. The Sun Devils won 23 games last year and went to the NCAA Tournament. Stanford was 14-19. The Sun Devils thrive in this role. They are 5-0 against the spread the last 5 tries when they were road underdogs of 3.5 to 6. I'll take the points! ***PAC 12 GOY*** | |||||||
12-29-23 | Spurs v. Blazers -4 | Top | 128-134 | Win | 100 | 15 h 21 m | Show |
San Antonio won here last night. Portland won't let it happen again. Last night's game was over before it started. The Spurs were up 38-14 by the end of the first quarter. The Trail Blazers will get off to a better start tonight. San Antonio's star rookie Victor Wembanyama had 30 points, six rebounds, six assists and seven blocks last night. He won't play tonight. The Trail Blazers are 3-0 against the spread the last 3x they played 2 games in 2 days. The Spurs last 3 tries in a b2b spot all resulted in double-digit losses. They are 5-14-1 ATS their last 20 when playing 2 games in 2 days. The Trail Blazers have a long road trip after this game. They can't afford to get swept by the Spurs. Portland wins big! ***REVENGE GOW*** | |||||||
12-28-23 | Oakland v. Cleveland State -2.5 | Top | 67-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 6 m | Show |
Homecourt will make a big difference for this Horizon League battle. Last season, the Golden Grizzlies won by 3 at Oakland but the Vikings won by 16 in the game at Cleveland State. The Golden Grizzlies started out covering the spread every game but have cooled off. They got destroyed in their last 2 games and are 1-4 their last 5. That's straight up and against the spread. The Vikings started slowly but have since caught fire. They are off back to back big wins and have covered the spread in 4 straight. Grizzlies are 2-4 against the spread last 6 when playing with 7 or more day's rest. The Vikings play 4 of their next 5 on the road and will protect their homecourt on Thursday. ***Horizon League GOM*** | |||||||
12-28-23 | SMU v. Boston College +11.5 | 14-23 | Win | 100 | 4 h 18 m | Show | |
Motivation favors the underdog. Boston College wants to salvage some dignity. SMU feels it deserved a bigger bowl game. A game at Fenway also favors the Eagles over their neighbors from the south. SMU is a future member of the ACC. For now, the Mustangs still reside in the AAC. The Eagles are 5-1 straight up and 4-2 against the spread in 6 tries against American Athletic Conference foes. Though his backup led them to a win in the AAC Title game, the Mustangs lost their star QB to injury in the regular season finale. The Mustangs last 3 games away from SMU were decided by 12, 4 and 5 points, an average of 7. This will be another close one. Grab the points! **EARLY RISER** | |||||||
12-26-23 | Kansas -10.5 v. UNLV | 49-36 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
Patience is a virtue. I liked Kansas from the minute this matchup was announced. By waiting, the line has come down on the Jayhawks, offering us improved value. Kansas crushed Cincinnati 49-18 last game. UNLV got brought down to earth by Boise State, 44-20. Prior to that, the Rebels had been fortunate to face a soft schedule. Kansas has beaten Oklahoma and destroyed UCF. The talent difference will be evident, as the Jayhawks pull away to win by at least 2 touchdowns. **Bowl Bonanza** | |||||||
12-26-23 | Wolves v. Thunder -2 | 106-129 | Win | 100 | 11 h 56 m | Show | |
The Thunder have payback on their minds from a close loss at Minnesota last month. They are 10-5, straight-up and against the spread, at home. They outscore teams by 7 points a game here. Minnesota is 4-6-1 against the spread in road games with a total of 220 or more. The strength of the Timberwolves is their defense but the Thunders are 29-13-2 against the spread their last 34 against teams which allow 108 or fewer points. The Thunder are also 24-10-1 against the spread the past 35 times that they played with 2 days off in between games. Lay the short number. ***Div. Dominator*** | |||||||
12-25-23 | Giants v. Eagles -13.5 | 25-33 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
The Giants are going to wish they never played this game. The Eagles are angry and they will dominate the Giants this afternoon. NY just lost by 18 and this is a far more dangerous opponent. The Eagles are 6-3-2 against the spread last 11 times that they were favored and that includes a 2-1 mark as home favorites of 10.5 to 14 points. They are 11-7 against the spread their last 18 in that situation. The Eagles have won the last 4 meetings and 3 of those wins came by 24 or more points. Lay the points. ***Christmas Day Dominator*** | |||||||
12-25-23 | Warriors +6.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 114-120 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show |
Give me the points with the Warriors. Warriors lost by 3 points here in November and GSW is 55-38 against the spread in the revenge role last few years. Last 2 meetings have both been decided by 3 or less. Warriors are 5-2 against the spread last 7 visits here. Nuggets have won 4 in a row but they failed to cover the last game which brought them to 1-7 ATS after 3 or more straight wins. They are 18-34 against the spread their last 52 in that situation. In another close encounter, Warriors will move to 4-1 against the spread when off a win by 10 or more. **Western Conf GOM** | |||||||
12-24-23 | Seahawks v. Titans +3.5 | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show |
The Titans are dealing with injuries but they are still giving everything they've got. Seattle, which has its own injury problems, kept its hopes alive with a big win last week but that was by 3 points on the final play. The Seahawks had lost their previous 3 and are now playing on a short week. They are 2-5 on the road. The Titans are 4-2 at home. Since a 7-point win to close out November, the Titans have seen all 3 of their games decided by 3 or less. The Titans won the last meeting by 3 points, in OT. They are 15-6-4 against the spread their last 25 against AFC West opposition. This will likely be another close one. Grab the points. | |||||||
12-23-23 | Florida Atlantic +7 v. Arizona | 96-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
Arizona is really good. People don't realize that FAU may be even better. Every bit as good, at least. The teams were ranked #14 and #15 in the preseason rankings, the Owls holding the 1-spot lead. Arizona is now up to #4 which gives FAU a very rare chance at such a high-profile matchup. FAU coach Dusty May said: "We wanted to play it in the worst way for a lot of reasons. National television. Our guys wanted to be challenged. They love the challenge. And we felt our program was at a point where we needed these games to elevate even more than a Final Four run." FAU brought everyone back from last year's Final 4 team. Arizona returned only 1 starter from the team that lost in the NCAA 1st rd. Give me the points! ***SUPER FIGHT**** | |||||||
12-22-23 | Wizards v. Warriors -12 | 118-129 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 45 m | Show | |
I backed the Warriors in their last game. They beat Boston outright. That makes 3 straight wins. They are hot and playing some of their best basketball ahead of tomorrow's game against Portland and their Christmas Day showdown in Denver. The Warriors, 29-16 against the spread their last 45 home games with a total of 230 or more, had the last 2 days off. The Wizards gave everything they had last night, earning a 1-point win at Portland. At the end of a road trip, they will be exhausted tonight. Last 2 times that the Wizards played 2 games in 2 days, they lost by 40 combined points. This will be another wipeout. ***NBA SUPER SMASH*** | |||||||
12-22-23 | Illinois v. Missouri +6.5 | Top | 97-73 | Loss | -109 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This game will be played at Enterprise Center, in St. Louis. Illinois is 0-2 against the spread last 2 times it was a neutral court favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Missouri is 2-0 against the spread as a neutral court underdog of 6.5 to 9 points. One of those games occurred on this very day, at this very venue, last year. Illinois was favored by 6.5 points for that December 22nd, 2022 game. Playing in front of a packed house, Missouri won by 22! At one point, the Tigers went on a 41-15 run. The Illini are only 4-9 against the spread their last 13 on a neutral court. All the Tigers' losses have been close. Give me the points. ***CBB UNDERDOG GOW*** | |||||||
12-22-23 | Central Florida -4.5 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 17-30 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
Georgia Tech is happy just to be here and is looking to build on next year. The last time that the Yellow Jackets were in a bowl was 2018 and they got blown out. Coach Key said: "What I want to do is to be able to get as many opportunities as we can early on to keep our guys in shape to hone their skills so we haven't lost what we've been able to build through the season. Get guys a lot of situational football, a lot of third downs, red area, two-minute, four-minute-type situations." UCF is here to win. Senior quarterback John Rhys Plumlee returned from injury down the stretch and that coincided with the Knights' hot November. This will mark their 3rd Gasparilla Bowl win in five seasons. So, they're very familiar. We saw the Bulls thrive in their home state yesterday and this venue should also favor the team from Florida. UCF dominated GT in 2022 and also in 2020. The Jackets have improved but not enough. They've struggled outside of their conference with 3 wins in their last 12 tries. Lay the points! ***BOWL GOM*** | |||||||
12-21-23 | Syracuse v. South Florida +3 | 0-45 | Win | 100 | 35 h 12 m | Show | |
This is a big game for the Bulls. They're a program on the upswing and are thrilled to be here. USF had won only 4 games the past 3 years combined. So, getting here under their first year coach is a really big deal. They get a favorable matchup and a great venue. Syracuse was up and down this season and fired its coach. The Orange will also be without their starting quarterback. Backup Carlos Del Rio-Wilson, who threw three touchdowns and six interceptions when called on this season, is also hurt. That means redshirt freshman Braden Davis is expected to make his first start. No matter who is behind center, it won't be senior Garrett Shrader. USF coach Golesh said this of the game being played at Boca Raton: "For us to be in our home state ... I would hope there's a bunch of green and gold in the stands. It'll feel like a home game in that regard." Healthier, more excited to be here and playing in their home state, grab the points with the Bulls! ***ESPN DOMINATOR*** | |||||||
12-21-23 | Jazz v. Pistons +1.5 | Top | 119-111 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 12 m | Show |
This is it! The Pistons Christmas wish will be answered. In their final home game before the holiday, the Pistons get to face a Utah team which is terrible on the road and which is playing in a back-to-back situation. Well-rested and happy to be back home, the Pistons will extend a 13-8-1 against the spread record, after playing their previous 3 games on the road. Detroit covered the spread last game and has shown signs of fighting, despite playing much better teams than Utah. The Jazz are 2-13 on the road. This will be their 6th game in 9 days. Stop the presses. Detroit wins a game! ***Underdog GOY*** | |||||||
12-21-23 | Brighton & Hove Albion v. Crystal Palace +0.5 | 1-1 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
Brighton is ahead in the standings but not by that much. Off an improbable 2-2 comeback draw at Manchester City, it's Crystal Palace which is in better form and which has the momentum. Brighton was fortunate to only lose its last match by a 2-0 score. The Seagulls are dealing with injuries and fatigue. Thursday's match is being played at Selhurst Park, which favors Palace. Five of the last 8 matches between these clubs have ended in draws. Play Palace at +0.5 goals. ***GOLDEN BOOT*** | |||||||
12-20-23 | Maryland-Baltimore County v. Iowa -26 | 81-103 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 9 m | Show | |
Iowa has a lot of advantages in this game. Better athletes all over the floor. The Hawkeyes are at home where they are 25-15 against the spread their last 40. Their guests are 16-22 against the spread, on the road, during that time period. Off 3 straight losses, the Hawkeyes got right with an 88-52 wipeout of Florida A@M last game. This is every bit as much of a mismatch. The Hawkeyes are averaging 95.8 points per home game and UMBC is conceding 86.4 points per road game. Iowa will put up a massive number and win going away. ***WED. WIPEOUT*** | |||||||
12-20-23 | Knicks v. Nets +1.5 | Top | 121-102 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is the first meeting of the season between these Atlantic Division rivals. The home team won all 4 meetings last season. The Knicks won by 24 and 18 points at Madison Square Garden. The Nets prevailed by 7 and 27 points when they where the host. Both teams were recently on the road against Western Conference opposition. Off 3 straight losses to close their trip, the Nets are going to be going all out to stop their losing streak. The only previous occasion where they lost 3 in a row saw the Nets respond with a 15 point win over Miami. The Knicks are 1-2 against the spread off an upset win. The Nets are 10-2-1 against the spread at home, 4-0 ATS at home when the total was 230 or more. Brooklyn gets it done! ***ATLANTIC DIV GOM*** | |||||||
12-19-23 | Celtics v. Warriors +6 | Top | 126-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show |
Boston is good but this is too many points. The Celtics aren't as strong on the road as they are at home. Warriors are better at home. The Celtics were favored here last season but the Warriors won by 16. They also lost by only 3 at Boston. Warriors are 66-45 against the spread at home last 2 years. Celtics are already 0-2 against Western Conference opponents. They will have a difficult time again tonight. Grab the points! ***Underdog GOW*** | |||||||
12-19-23 | Hampton +12.5 v. Bowling Green | 65-75 | Win | 100 | 2 h 37 m | Show | |
This is too many points for a team like Bowling Green to be laying. The Falcons were 11-20 last season and they brought back only 1 starter. The Falcons have won 6 of their last 9 games but only 2 of those wins came by more than 10 points. The Pirates score 83 points a game and the Falcons are only 6-14 against the spread their last 20 against teams which score 77 or more. Hampton is 8-2 against the spread the past 10 times that it was a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. Grab the points! ***EARLY RISER*** | |||||||
12-18-23 | Rockets v. Cavs -4 | Top | 130-135 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
Strong spot for the Cleveland Cavaliers. Cleveland scored 127 in Saturday's 8-point win over Atlanta. The Cavaliers had Sunday off. Not so for the Rockets. They played at Milwaukee on Sunday. The last time that the Rockets played 2 games in 2 days saw them lose by 10. The Cavaliers won by 17 points and by 18 points in last season's 2 games with the Rockets. Even dealing with some injuries, the Cavaliers, 4-1-2 against the spread in December, will win big again on Monday. ***NBA GOW*** | |||||||
12-17-23 | Ravens v. Jaguars +3.5 | Top | 23-7 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
Give me the points with Jacksonville. The Ravens are strong but Jacksonville plays best against good teams. The Jaguars are 5-2 against the spread against winning teams. It helps their cause against the Ravens that the Jaguars are the 4th best team in the NFL at stopping the run. They allow only 92.2 yards on the ground, per game. The offense is in good hands with an improving Trevor Lawrence. The Jax QB said this: "It's feeling better. Thankfully, I made out of the game pretty clean. I didn't re-aggravate it anymore. I'm just trying to keep getting better every day. Hopefully it feels even better this week. I was able to move around decent on Sunday, so that was positive." The Jaguars beat the Ravens by 1 point last year. That was an exciting 28-27 victory. This will be another close one and I look for the Jaguars to again get it done. ***SNF GOY** | |||||||
12-17-23 | Pelicans -7.5 v. Spurs | 146-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Spurs are off a rare victory. That win came against a tired and injured Laker team which was without 3 starters and which was playing its 3rd road game in 4 nights. The only other time that the Spurs won by double-figures, they lost and failed to cover against Toronto in their next game. Popovich's team will have trouble against a rested Pelicans team which is playing its best. New Orleans has won the last 6 meetings with the Spurs, including a 121-106 win 2.5 weeks ago. Valanciunas had 29 points and 13 rebounds in leading the Pelicans to a 3rd straight victory on Friday. They won big here both meetings last year and will be too much for the Spurs to handle again this afternoon. ***Super Smash*** | |||||||
12-16-23 | Knicks v. Clippers -5.5 | Top | 122-144 | Win | 100 | 14 h 21 m | Show |
The Knicks beat the Clippers 111-97 on November 6th, at MSG. They pulled away in the second half and spoiled the debut of James Harden. Six weeks later, the Clippers will have their revenge. The Clippers have won 6 straight games and they are 4-1 against the spread their last 5. They didn't play on Friday. The Knicks played last night at Phoenix. The Knicks are 2-3 against the spread when playing the second of back to backs. The Clippers won by 11 last meeting here. Look for NY to fall to 3-8 against the spread against winning teams. ***Revenge GOM*** | |||||||
12-16-23 | Arizona State v. TCU -7.5 | 59-79 | Win | 100 | 14 h 56 m | Show | |
These teams met in the first round of last year's NCAA Tournament. TCU won a thriller. Arizona State would like to avenge that loss but its not going to happen. At less than perfect health, the Sun Devils aren't going to enjoy tonight's visit to Dickies Arena. Having already been blown out 77-49 by BYU, the Sun Devils are 0-3 their last 3 games against Big 12 competition. TCU takes care of business in December. The Horned Frogs are 9-4 against the spread in 13 tries in the month of December, 12-1 straight up in those games. They are also 6-2 against the spread the past 8 times that they played with 5 or 6 day's rest. This one won't be close. ***Weekend Wipeout*** | |||||||
12-16-23 | Georgia Southern v. Ohio +4 | 21-41 | Win | 100 | 91 h 12 m | Show | |
I'll take the points with the better team in this one. Rourke and some of the offensive players have hit transfer portal. Defense still matters. The Bobcats allow 15.6 points a game. The Eagles? They allow 29.6 points a game. Ohio is 6-3 against the spread its last 9 as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points. GA Southern is 0-4, both straight up and against the spread, the past 4 times it played with 2 or more week's worth of rest. Eagles are 0-4 against the spread last 4 times that they were off a conf. loss, 4-10 their last 14 in that situation. Rourke's replacement is a senior who can both throw and run, My play is with the points but if you're feeling adventurous, you may want to also sprinkle in a little on the money-line. Go Bobcats! ***CFB EARLY RISER*** | |||||||
12-15-23 | Sabres +1.5 v. Golden Knights | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 14 h 19 m | Show | |
The Sabres have taken two of their last 3 meetings with the Golden Knights. Their last visit to Sin City resulted in a 3-2 victory. The Golden Knights are finding ways to come out on top but their wins aren't coming easily. Vegas is off back-to-back 5-4 victories. One came in overtime and the other came in a shootout. 5 of the Knights last 9 games have been tied at the end of regulation time. Before a bad game at Colorado, the Sabres had started to play much better. They will be better tonight. I recommend grabbing the +1.5 goals. ***Road Warrior*** | |||||||
12-15-23 | Pistons +16.5 v. 76ers | Top | 92-124 | Loss | -115 | 12 h 38 m | Show |
This is a case of too many points, given the scheduling situation. The 76ers just destroyed the Pistons at Detroit. They will be over-confident tonight. With a Saturday road game to follow, they will take it easy late in the game. The Pistons are 2-0 against the spread when they were road underdogs of 12.5 or more points. They play with 2x revenge and will play with a chip on their shoulder. This season's first meeting was close, the 76ers winning by 8. This will be too. Grab the big points. ***Eastern Conf GOW*** | |||||||
12-14-23 | Jazz v. Blazers -3.5 | Top | 122-114 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 29 m | Show |
I won with the over when these teams faced each other earlier this month. This time, the play is on Portland. The Jazz won yesterday but have dropped all 4 games when playing 2 games in 2 days. Their 3 road games in that situation all lost by double-figures. One of those was a 16 point setback at Portland. The Jazz are only 1-11 on the road overall, the worst road record in the league. The Trail Blazers are 9-5-1 against the spread their last 15 in a revenge situation. Lay the small number and look for a big win for the home team. ***Northwest Div GOM*** | |||||||
12-14-23 | Furman +6.5 v. Tulane | 110-117 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 24 m | Show | |
Give me the points with Furman. The Paladins were the best team in the Southern Conference last season and advanced to the NCAA second round. The Paladins are 4-1 against the spread the last 5 times that they were road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points. The Paladins are also 9-4 against the spread the last 13 tries after allowing 60 or less. Off a 30-point loss, the Green Wave are only 9-19 against the spread their last 28 games outside of their conference. Grab the points! ***Road Warrior*** | |||||||
12-13-23 | Utah State v. Santa Clara +3.5 | Top | 84-82 | Win | 100 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
The Aggies blew out the Broncos at Utah State last year. Two totally different teams will face each other tonight but Santa Clara hasn't forgotten. The Broncos are a brilliant 18-9-1 against the spread their last 28 as underdogs, 13 of those resulting in outright victories. They already won outright at Stanford and beat Oregon. In both cases, they were getting points. The Aggies replaced every starter from last year's NCAA tournament team, as well as their coach. They are 9-14 against the spread their last 23 on the road, 0-2 this season. Give me the points. ***Underdog GOM*** | |||||||
12-12-23 | Alcorn State v. Maryland -21.5 | 65-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
The Braves are in over their heads again. Alcorn State is off 7 straight losses. 6 of those came by more than 10 points, including each of the last 5. Last game was a 28 point loss. The game before that was a 21-point loss. That is exactly the type of opponent which Maryland wants to see right now. The Terrapins allow 65 points a game at home, the Braves allow 88 points a game on the road. Maryland will win with ease and improve to 11-6 against the spread the last 17 times it faced a team with a losing record. ***CBB Wipeout*** | |||||||
12-11-23 | Titans +14 v. Dolphins | Top | 28-27 | Win | 100 | 10 h 29 m | Show |
Miami may be the flavor of the month but this is far too many points. The Titans manhandled this Miami team last season. Henry didn't even play and they still rushed for 198 yards. The Titans sacked Tua 4 times. He threw an interception and fumbled 3 times. Granted, that was in cold, rainy Nashville and this will be in much warmer Miami. The point remains that Tennessee matched up very well with Miami les than a year ago. This season, six of the Titans' 8 losses came by 14 or less. Vrabel's is liked and respected by the Titan players. They are well aware that is job could be in jeopardy. This is their chance to go out and play hard for him under the National spotlight, going all out for their first road win. This game will be close and I'm grabbing the points. ***MNF GOY*** | |||||||
12-11-23 | Howard v. Pennsylvania -5 | 68-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
Its been a few years since these teams faced each other. The last time came in 2019 and Penn won by 19 points. Before that, the Quakers won by 17 in 2017. Different faces for today's game but the result will be the same. Howard is 1-4 against the spread, losing all 5 outright, the last 5 times it was a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points. The Bison haven't played since November and that will hurt them. They are 2-4 against the spread their last 6 after playing with 7 or more day's rest. The Quakers are 18-9-1 against the spread in home games the last 2 years. Off a game against Kentucky, they should win this one fairly comfortably. **CBB CRUSHER** | |||||||
12-10-23 | Eagles v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 13-33 | Win | 100 | 131 h 2 m | Show |
I had a big win with Philadelphia in the first meeting. I remember that game well. So do the Cowboys, who will be thinking payback when they host the hated Eagles on Sunday night. Their loss at Philadelphia continued a disturbing trend for Dallas of losing against top teams. The Cowboys will be determined to change that and make things right. They want to prove to themselves and to the world that they don't just beat the bad teams. The setup is perfect. The Cowboys have had had some extra time to rest up and prepare, due to their Thanksgiving game. The Eagles just got a reality check out from the 49ers. Before that, they'd taken on the Bills and Chiefs. All those games against elite teams are going to take a toll. Dallas outscores teams by an average of 14 points. The Eagles outscore teams by an average of 3 points. Dallas is undefeated at home this season and is 7-2 against the spread last 9 as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points. Give me the Cowboys. ***Revenge GOY*** | |||||||
12-10-23 | Michigan v. Iowa -3.5 | 90-80 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 5 m | Show | |
Iowa is 7-3 against the spread its last 10 tries as a home favorite in the 3.5 to 7 point range. Over that period, Iowa is also 2-0 against the spread after failing to cover in each of the previous 3 games. Michigan is averaging 75.8 points per road game. Iowa is averaging 99.7 points per home game. Hawkeyes won by 9 here last season, covering the -5.5. They do it again this afternoon! ***Conf. Crusher*** | |||||||
12-09-23 | Pacers v. Lakers -4 | Top | 109-123 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show |
The Pacers have been scoring points at a high rate and have done very well to get this far. Lebron may be downplaying it but he is on a mission to add in-season tournament champion to his resume. James, Davis and the Lakers will not be denied. The Lakers have allowed only 89, 103 and 97 points over their last 3 games. Indiana will get more but not as many as it normally does. The Lakers superior defense will be on display on ABC TV and will separate them from the Pacers. ***Non-Conf GOM*** | |||||||
12-09-23 | James Madison v. Old Dominion +6.5 | Top | 84-69 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
The Dukes are a good team with a national ranking but this will not be an easy game. Far from it. The stadium will be a white-out and the home team and crowd believes it can pull off the upset. "We're a marked team right now," James Madison coach Mark Byington said. "I'm anticipating that Old Dominion crowd being one of the toughest we play all year." Both JMU road games have been by 5 points or less. These teams had one common non-conf. opponent. Last game here, the Monarchs beat Radford. That same Radford team gave JMU real trouble in a 3-point game. The last 2 JMU visits here were decided by 5 and 2 points. The Monarchs, 4-2 against the spread their last 6 tries after 3 straight non-covers, hung within single digits at Arkansas. JMU coach Byington went on to say: "I know they've been excited about our game and it's a really good team, good coach. Great intra-state game. It's a little odd playing in December but here we go." Give me the points. ***Sun Belt GOY*** | |||||||
12-09-23 | Army v. Navy +2.5 | 17-11 | Loss | -100 | 80 h 22 m | Show | |
Army enters as the hotter team but that isn't necessarily a positive. The Black Knights have been out of action since November 18th. The last time that they played with more than a week off, the Knights were small favorites against Boston College. They lost that game outright. They are 21-44-2 against the spread, when coming off a bye. Navy hasn't had nearly as long a layoff. The Midshhipmen are 7-5 against the spread the last 12 times that they were off a conference loss and 16-9 ATS their last 25 as underdogs. Go. Navy! | |||||||
12-09-23 | Florida Gulf Coast +10 v. Minnesota | 57-77 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 26 m | Show | |
Give me the points with Florida Gulf Coast. Though the Eagles have gotten off to a tough start, they are better than their sub-500 record indicates. The Eagles brought back 4 of their top 5 scorers (8 of top 10) from a team which won 17 games. The Gophers may be without the versatile Dawson Garcia, as he left last game with a leg injury. The Gophers are a dismal 1-9 against the spread their last 10 games against teams with a losing record. Grabe the points! | |||||||
12-08-23 | Kings v. Suns +2 | Top | 114-106 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 57 m | Show |
No Durant. No problem. Even though they're short-handed, the Suns will be bringing their best on Friday night. Remember, that Booker carried the load before Durant arrived and that he can still do so. With Durant out, we get the Suns as underdogs and don't have to worry about laying any points. The Kings are 4-8 against the spread as favorites and they're 3-6 against the spread the past 9 times that they played with 3 or more day's rest. The Suns are 74-31 straight-up their last 105 in this building. They score 118.2 at home compared to Sacramento's 112.9 on the road. Booker will have a monster game and the Suns will move to 12-8 against the spread their last 20 home games with a total of 230 or more. ***Pacific Div GOY*** | |||||||
12-07-23 | Patriots +6.5 v. Steelers | Top | 21-18 | Win | 100 | 59 h 6 m | Show |
Off a loss to Arizona, the Steelers are 3-3 over their last 6 games. All 3 of their wins came by 6 points or less. The Patriots lost by 14 at Miami in October. That's the only of their past 7 games which was decided by more than 6 points. Every other game has been ultra-close. The defense has allowed 10 points or less in 3 straight. That makes beating the Patriots by more than 6 points very difficult. The Patriots may score the fewest points but the Steelers aren't far behind. They average only 16 a game. A bad Steeler offense against a great New England defense. With the Steelers 0-5 against the spread the past 5 times that they were home favorites of 3.5 to 7, I'm happy to take the points. ***TNF GOM*** | |||||||
12-07-23 | Eastern Kentucky +7 v. NC-Greensboro | 85-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
Give me the points with Eastern Kentucky. The Colonels returned 4 starters from a 23-win team. They are averaging 87.5 points per game. UNC Greensboro is 9-16-1 against the spread at home the last 2 years. The Spartans only returned 1 starter from last year. They are 2-10 against the spread the past 12 times that they scored 80 or more points in their last game. EKU won by 4 last December. This will be another close one. ***Road Warrior*** | |||||||
12-06-23 | South Alabama +3.5 v. Mercer | 83-62 | Win | 100 | 3 h 7 m | Show | |
The Jaguars won 19 games last season and nearly made it to the NCAA Tournament. They've got an excellent backcourt and I look for them to upset Mercer this afternoon. The Jaguars didn't score well at Jacksonville State but they're 10-5 against the spread the last 15 times that they scored 60 or less. Mercer is 1-4 its last 5 games and that lone win came by 1 point. The Bears are only 5-10-2 against the spread the last 17 tries as home favorites of 3 or less. Grab the points. ***EARLY RISER*** | |||||||
12-05-23 | Suns +1.5 v. Lakers | Top | 103-106 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 41 m | Show |
The Lakers have managed to win both of this season's games. That changes tonight. The Suns had Durant for the first 2 games but not Booker. Tonight, they'll have both. Booker is averaging 27.9 points, 5.8 rebounds and 8.4 assists through 11 games. Each of the first 2 games were very close. Adding Booker to the Suns makes them far more dangerous than the team that LA saw in those first 2 games. The Lakers are 0-3 against the spread on the season, after allowing less than 100 points in their previous games. In two of those instances, they allowed more than 130 points in losing the next game. Booker, Durant and the Suns will take this one. ***Pacific Div. GOM*** | |||||||
12-05-23 | Kings v. Blue Jackets +1.5 | Top | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show |
The Kings have been remarkable on the road but they won't be excited about a visit to Ohio. The Kings have played in Columbus 4 times the last 4 seasons. The Blue Jackets won the first by a 4-1 score. The last 3 games here all were tied after regulation. The Jackets ended up winning 2 of those. The last time that the Kings won a game here by more than 1 goal was back in 2017. The Blue Jackets have scored 18 goals in winning 3 of their last 4 at home. Columbus' Boone Jenner, who leads the team in goals said: "I think we've got to use the momentum when we have it." The Jackets will carry their home ice momentum into this one and have a strong chance of handing the Kings their first road loss. ***Non-Conf. GOW*** | |||||||
12-04-23 | Bengals +10 v. Jaguars | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
The Bengals struggled in Browning's first start. He's gotten his feet wet now and will be better from the experience. He also expects to have Tee Higgins back, a luxury he didn't have against Baltimore. Browning, who did complete 19 of 26 passes for 227 yards against the Ravens, said this of Higgins: "Tee's one of the top receivers in the NFL. I don't think can really put into words how important he is to this offense ... there's just something that Tee brings the table being as big, as fast and having the experience he does, where it's always nice to have him and Ja'Marr on the outside." The Bengals are 15-7 against the spread their last 22 as underdogs. The Jaguars won by 3 last game and have only won one of their last 5 games by more than 10. Grab the points! **NFL GOW** | |||||||
12-04-23 | San Jose State v. North Dakota State -2.5 | Top | 78-83 | Win | 100 | 12 h 17 m | Show |
San Jose State hosted North Dakota State last week and won 78-65. The Spartans have since played 2 road games, losing them both. They may have some tired legs. The Bison haven't played since the loss at San Jose State. They are 6-4 straight-up the last 10 times that they played with revenge from a road loss, 62-40 their last 102. They are also 5-2 straight-up their last 7 when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games, 50-24 their last 74. They will be the fresher team. The Spartans are 6-24 straight-up their last 30 road games, 0-7 when the total was in the 135 to 139.5 range. They are 5-56 their last 61 in that spot. Bison will have their revenge! ***CBB Revenge GOY*** | |||||||
12-04-23 | Celtics v. Pacers +5 | Top | 112-122 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
The Celtics humbled them 155-104 at the beginning of November and the Pacers haven't forgotten! Indiana is 9-4, both straight up and against the spread, its last 13 times in the revenge role. The Pacers lost by 4, in OT, the last time that they hosted the Celtics. The previous meeting here saw Indiana win decisively. The Pacers are averaging 128.8 points a game, most in the league. They just beat Miami 144-129 and they are 14-8 against the spread the past 22 times that they were off a game where they scored 130 or more. Grab the points! ***Eastern Conf. GOM*** | |||||||
12-03-23 | Colts v. Titans +1 | Top | 31-28 | Loss | -110 | 73 h 7 m | Show |
These teams met in October, at Indianapolis. The Colts won. That's not surprising given that the Titans are 0-6 on the road. The Titans are an entirely different team here at home though. They're 4-1 in games at Tennessee. They have outscored teams by an average of 24.8 to 15 here. They are 4-1 against the spread the last 5 tries as a home underdog of 3 or less. The Colts recent wins have been against bad teams. They are 5-11 against the spread in divisional play their last 16. Give me Tennessee at home! **AFC South GOY** | |||||||
12-02-23 | Utah Valley +1.5 v. Utah Tech | 53-65 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 31 m | Show | |
Perhaps this isn't the most exciting game on the board but the best value is often found in the lesser known conferences. Utah Valley is projected to be a top 5 team in the WAC Conference. Utah Tech is projected to finish dead last. The Wolverines did lose a lot from last season but new coach Todd Phillips still has a lot to work with. The Trailblazers will play their first home game. They have won only 6 of 20 conference games since joining. Utah Valley won both games last year. With a 44-25 against the spread record their last 69, the Wolverines will win again. ***Road Warrior*** | |||||||
12-02-23 | Missouri State v. Drake -6.5 | Top | 57-74 | Win | 100 | 8 h 44 m | Show |
Knowing that they got swept by them last season, the Bulldogs will be too much for the Bears this afternoon. Missouri State hasn't faced competition this good. The Bulldogs will be on of the top teams in the Missouri Valley Conf. again this season. They began conference play by crushing Valparaiso. Their 46-29 second half will act as a springboard into today's game. Bulldogs average 83 points at home. Bears average 68 points on the road. Drake wins by 10+! ***MVC GOM*** | |||||||
12-02-23 | Boise State -2.5 v. UNLV | 44-20 | Win | 100 | 72 h 35 m | Show | |
Boise State is peaking at the right time. UNLV is not. The Broncos are off three straight convincing wins. The Rebels just lost to San Jose State. The Spartans had nearly 500 yards of offense. San Jose State arguably deserved to be here, after beating the Rebels, but a computer broke the 3-way tie. The previous game, the Rebels allowed 344 rushing yards. Broncos are 5-2-1 against the spread last 8 tried laying points. Rebels 3-7 against the spread last 10 tries as home dogs of 3 or less. Lay the small number with the better team. | |||||||
12-01-23 | San Diego State -13.5 v. UC San Diego | 63-62 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 1 m | Show | |
Six meetings between these "rivals" since 2006, 2 in the past 2 years. The Aztecs won all six games. All 6 victories came by at least 16 points. This will be another destruction. The Tritons are off 3 straight losses and they've been getting progressively worse. Last loss came by 27 points. That loss came against a team (Washington) which the Aztecs have beaten. Lay the points with the road team and enjoy the beating. ***Road Warrior*** | |||||||
12-01-23 | Wizards +11 v. Magic | Top | 125-130 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
It's not easy to blow a team out two games in a row. Orlando hammered Washington a couple of days ago. It won't happen again! The Wizards have been at their best when off a bad loss. They're 71.4% against the spread when off a loss of 10 or more. Magic 12-15-1 against the spread last 28 when off a win of 10+. Washington coach Wes Unseld Jr: "We just have to get there with a little more urgency..." The Wizards will play with a sense of urgency and they will improve to 13-7 against the spread their last 20 tries after giving up 130+. **southeast GOY** | |||||||
11-30-23 | UC-Davis v. Oregon State -2.5 | Top | 59-71 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
There's a big difference between the Pac-12 and the Big West. The Beavers will likely find things tough in their own conference. UC Davis may have more success within theirs. That makes winning this non-conference game a priority for the Beavers. They can't afford to squander opportunities against squads from lesser conferences. The Aggies are 0-3 against the spread the past 3 tries as road underdogs of 3 or fewer points. The last time that the Beavers were favored, they won by 10 points, when laying -2.5. They get it done again tonight! ***NOV GOM*** | |||||||
11-30-23 | Seahawks +9.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 35-41 | Win | 100 | 11 h 4 m | Show |
The Cowboys have been clobbering bad teams. The Seahawks aren't a bad team though and Dallas has far more trouble with better teams. Dallas is only 4-8 against the spread last 12 against winning teams. The Cowboys also have a very big game upcoming against the Eagles next week. Off their Thanksgiving Day romp and looking ahead to that game, Seattle could be overlooked. Seattle is 7-3 against the spread last 10 tries after losing 2 or more games in a row. Grab the points! ***NFC GOM*** | |||||||
11-30-23 | Pistons +13.5 v. Knicks | Top | 112-118 | Win | 100 | 11 h 33 m | Show |
I can understand that some bettors don't like taking a team like the Pistons. Personally, I don't like to pass up opportunities. The Pistons got blown out last night. That has allowed us to get a couple of extra points. Detroit doesn't mind playing 2 games in 2 days though. They have been in that situation 4 times this season. They won 1 game and the other 3 losses all came by 11 or less. They almost upset Denver. They are 17-13-1 against the spread in back to back situations the last 2 years. The Knicks have a division road game tomorrow night. They will be tested. Grab the points! ***Eastern Conf GOW*** | |||||||
11-29-23 | Jazz v. Grizzlies -4 | Top | 91-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
The Grizzlies are going to really want this game. They're still winless at home and need to fix that. They're also 0-2 against Utah already this season. They're going to want to fix that, too. Adding to the revenge angle, the most recent of those games had some controversy. Memphis player Jared Jackson got ejected with a double-technical. Coach Jenkins said: "One of the most poorly officiated games I've ever seen," which led to him being fined $25,000 by the NBA. He went on to say: "Our team is competing their tails off, and this is what happens? The interaction right now with the officials, complete disrespect. It's unbelievable. ... I don't understand it." Grizzlies are 40-30-2 against the spread in the revenge role last 2 years, 12-8-2 against the spread when avenging a home loss. They will improve to 16-8 against the spread their last 24, after scoring 100 or less. ***Revenge GOM*** | |||||||
11-29-23 | Tarleton St v. Stephen F Austin -8.5 | Top | 68-66 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
Stephen Austin has a very well-coached team and the program has a lot of pride. They beat Drake but then got blown out by Utah State. That won't sit well. Off its previous loss, SFA won its next game by 26 points. The Lumberjacks are bigger, stronger and more experienced than last year. Importantly, they're also healthier. Last season, they dealt with a lot of injury problems. That isn't an issue so far this season. The Lumberjacks are better than the Texans in the frontcourt and also in the backcourt. They're a team destined to finish near the top of the WAC, Tarleton State should finish near the basement. Texans are 1-7 against the spread last 8 tries when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest. Lay the points. ***WAC GOY*** | |||||||
11-28-23 | NC State v. Ole Miss -1.5 | Top | 52-72 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
The Rebels are 3-0 at home, 5-0 overall. The WolfPack are playing their first true road game. They are only 7-13 their last 20 away games, 0-4 SU in road games with a total of 145 to 149.5. The Rebels are finding a way to win close games. Three straight wins of 3 points or less. Wolfpack just gave up 95 points in a loss against BYU. They are 7-13 last 20 times after giving up 80 or more. Rebels keep on winning! **Tuesday Takedown** | |||||||
11-28-23 | Missouri +6.5 v. Pittsburgh | 71-64 | Win | 100 | 9 h 40 m | Show | |
First instalment of the ACC/SEC challenge. The Tigers have had some trouble covering as favorites but this is their first time as underdogs. They've won 4 of their last 5 and the only loss was by 1 point. The Panthers just blew out Oregon State but the Beavers are among the worst teams in the Pac-12. Before that the Panthers played an SEC opponent, as they will here, and lost by 15. Florida's defense gave the Panthers trouble and Missouri will use similar methods. The Panthers other games all came against weak opposition. The Tigers will give them fits. Grab the points. **Road Warrior** | |||||||
11-27-23 | North Dakota State +9 v. San Jose State | 65-78 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 4 m | Show | |
The Bison are always a force in the Summit Conference and they've got an experienced team this season. They are more than capable of pulling off the upset tonight. The Spartans lost a lot from last season, including star player Omari Moore. They're already dealing with a few injuries. NDSU lost last game but is still 20-14 against the spread last 2 seasons on the road. They have faced Creighton on the road and they already won outright at Montana. This game will come down to the wire. Grab the points. ***Road Warrior*** | |||||||
11-26-23 | Hornets +7.5 v. Magic | Top | 117-130 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 25 m | Show |
Orlando has been rolling but Charlotte is also a lot better than people realize. Myles Bridges has made a big difference. The Hornets are off back to back victories, of those coming against Boston. LaMelo Ball is playing his best. Ball had 34 points, 13 assists and eight rebounds last game. That's 7 times in 9 games that he's scored 30 or more. Bridges said this of Ball: "He's playing at an unbelievable level. He's made the leap into being a superstar. He was an All-Star, but now he's a superstar. If he's not on any of the All-NBA teams I'll be surprised. He's a winner." The Hornets are 5-1 against the spread the past 6 times that they played with 3 or more day's rest. Grab the points. ***Southeast GOM*** | |||||||
11-26-23 | Wyoming v. Texas -15.5 | 63-86 | Win | 100 | 8 h 19 m | Show | |
The Longhorns will have advantages every step of the way this afternoon against Wyoming. The Cowboys haven't faced this type of quality. Off a loss against Connecticut, Texas will be ready to deliver a blowout. Longhorns are 3-0 at home and every win came by 16 or more points. Texas coach Rodney Terry said this after Monday's loss. "And over these two days, back to back, we really grew up in those areas. We grew up in an area of taking care of the basketball, too, and not beating ourselves. There's a high ceiling for this group. Once we get everybody out there on the floor playing together, it's going be a pretty deep and pretty good team." That will be on full display this afternoon. Texas wins big! ***CBB Dominator*** | |||||||
11-26-23 | Saints v. Falcons +2.5 | Top | 15-24 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show |
Ridder is back and he will have learned from his time on the sideline. The Atlanta QB commented: "You get a different perspective of not only yourself but the offense as a whole. There are a lot of things where I'd like to have gone back and done better. I could've protected the ball better, but there are a lot of (instances) where I could've done things to not be in those situations, whether it's footwork or your reads or your progressions." The Falcons are 3-1 at home this season with Ridder starting. Last season's games were both decided by 3 or less and the game here at Atlanta was decided by a single point. The Saints are only 7-15-1 against the spread their last 23 as favorites, 2-5-1 as road favorites of a field goal or less. Falcons are already 2-0 within the division. Homefield will make the difference. ***NFC South GOM*** | |||||||
11-25-23 | West Virginia v. Baylor +12 | Top | 34-31 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show |
Baylor is playing for pride. Its the Bears' last game and it means a lot. West Virginia is already guaranteed a bowl. Baylor coach Dave Aranda knows that the Bears and their fans can really use a victory: "For the team, it would be a relief. It would be validation for working hard. When anything negative happens, you fight the attachment to all the negative things of the past. We're fighting that fight right now, and to get a win would be a victory over that." The Mountaineers have been road favorites four times the last few seasons. They were 1-3 against the spread. They were road favorites once this season and lost outright at Houston. Grab the points and look for the Bears to bring it! ***Big 12 GOM*** | |||||||
11-25-23 | South Alabama v. Maryland -14.5 | 55-68 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
Maryland has faced some quality opponents, including Villanova. Even so, no team has reached 70 points against the Terrapins. They allow 61.6 points a game. South Alabama gave up 102 to Alabama, in a 102-46 loss. That's bad. Even worse, the Jaguars also gave up 102 to Nicholls State! They allow an average of 79.1 points a game. Not good when you only average 58 points a game on the road. The Terrapins scored more than 90 last game. They will clamp down and dominate, this game turning into another rout. ***CBB Bone-Crusher*** | |||||||
11-24-23 | Texas Tech v. Texas -14 | Top | 7-57 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show |
Texas needs to take care of business. No leaving anything up to anyone else. The Longhorns will punctuate a strong regular season with a statement blowout. They lost at Lubbock in Overtime last year and will get revenge from that game. Red Raiders are 2-5 against the spread last 7 tries on the road with total of 49.5 to 56. Texas is 3-0-1 against the spread last four tries at home with a total of 49.5 to 56. Longhorns are also 4-2 against the spread last six as home favorites of 10.5 to 21 points, 3-1 in that role this season. Texas wins big! **REVENGE GOW** | |||||||
11-24-23 | Dolphins v. Jets +10 | Top | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 12 m | Show |
Getting extra value with the Jets due to the QB situation. The reality is that the QB change should only help. Wilson was terrible! Boyle has something to prove. The Jets defense is better than Miami's defense. The Jets are 6-3 against the spread the last 9 times that they were off a division loss. Last meeting was decided by 5 points. Three of last 4 meetings all decided by 7 or less and the other was a big NY win. Grab the points! **AFC EAST GOW** | |||||||
11-24-23 | Monmouth v. Belmont -6.5 | 93-84 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 6 m | Show | |
The Bruins are used to being good. So you know that they're going to want to get rid the taste of a blowout loss to Arizona. The Hawks showed that they should be respected when they upset WVU. Don't forget that Monmouth was only 7-26 last year though. Belmont scores more than 80 per game. Monmouth scores less than 70. Bruins are 9-3 against the spread last 12 lined games after allowing 80 or more points. Give the solid MVC team over the mediocre CAA squad. **CBB Crusher** | |||||||
11-24-23 | Iowa v. Nebraska -2.5 | 13-10 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
Motivation will play a big part. This game is bigger for the CornHuskers. Not only is it the home finale but Nebraska still needs win #6. This is the last chance. Iowa has already qualified for a bowl. With the push in their last game, the Huskers are 8-3-1 against the spread the last 12 times that they were off 2 or more consecutive losses. Iowa scores 11.3 points per road game. Nebraska scores 21.3 points per home game. Nebraska gets elusive win #6! **Eye Opener** | |||||||
11-23-23 | NC State v. Vanderbilt +8 | 84-78 | Win | 100 | 15 h 40 m | Show | |
These teams are more equally matched that you might think. They played a close game against each other last season, NC State winning by 4. The Wolfpack are 1-4 against the spread their last 5 in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5. The Commodores are 5-0 against the spread in a neutral court game where the total is 140 to 144.5. In all neutral site games, Vanderbilt is 8-2 against the spread its past 10. This will be another close one. Grab the points! ***best bet*** | |||||||
11-23-23 | 49ers v. Seahawks +7 | Top | 31-13 | Loss | -120 | 61 h 7 m | Show |
The Rams have their number but the Seahawks will bounce back with a big effort on Thanksgiving! Seattle has won 8 of the past 10 home meetings against San Francisco. The two losses came by an average of 6.5 points. Pete Carroll likes Geno Smith's chances of starting: “"They’re taking a look at it but they pretty much know what’s going on there. It’s just see how soon it settles down. Like I said, it’s a good sign that he’s functional so that’s not the issue, so it’s just how sore he is. He’ll make it back." SF, which has a revenge game against the Eagles on deck, is 3-2 on the road. Seattle is 4-1 at home. The 49ers might fare better in the Dec. 10th rematch but Seattle is the right way to go on Thursday. Good luck and Happy Thanksgiving! | |||||||
11-23-23 | Packers v. Lions -7.5 | Top | 29-22 | Loss | -110 | 29 h 31 m | Show |
Detroit fans have been waiting for a long time for this. A Thanksgiving Day game where they've got a good team and where they can count on a big win. That day is here! The Lions are the real deal. The Packers are not. I've had this opinion from Day 1. This is what I said prior to Detroit's 34-20 win at Lambeau in September: Its early but this game will likely go a long way in ultimately determining the division champion. After years of suffering, Detroit and its fans desperately want this. You can't always get what you want but in this case, the Detroit faithful will finally be rewarded. The Lions have been stockpiling talent over the years and now have a better team than the Packers. That's why they're small favorites, despite the game being played at Lambeau. You may be surprised to learn that the Lions are 10-2 ATS their last 12 divisional games. They're also 3-0 ATS their past three Thursday night games. The Lions, who already won at Arrowhead, have arguably faced stiffer competition than the Packers. They'll find a way to win this game and to seize early control of the division. ***NFC North GOY Now the Lions get to complete the sweep in front of the entire country. Their time has come. They are 16-6 against the spread their last 22 home games. They had a 211-27 edge in rushing yards in the first meeting! As they were in September, they will be too much for the Packers to handle! ***NFC North GOM | |||||||
11-22-23 | Bradley v. UTEP +4.5 | 63-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 35 m | Show | |
These are two good teams. Both are undefeated. Both were just involved in a 3-point game. The Miners didn't even shoot well in their win over Cal and still got it down. Their lockdown defense was the difference. Coach Joe Golding said: "What a game. We were out of whack it seems like the whole game. We were shorthanded, we got in foul trouble. We had different lineups on the floor ..." Braves are only 3-9 against the spread last 12 times they played on a neutral court. I'll take the points! ***CBB BEST BET*** | |||||||
11-22-23 | Jazz -2.5 v. Blazers | 105-121 | Loss | -109 | 13 h 2 m | Show | |
The Jazz already beat this team and they will do so again tonight. Both teams played yesterday. The Jazz are healthier and deeper. They will be able to handle the back-to-back situation more effectively. The Jazz are 3-1 against the spread here the last 2 years. Points might seem attractive until you learn that Portland is a putrid 45-72 against the spread as an underdog the last 2 years. The Jazz are favored for only the 3rd time. They were 2-0 against the spread in the first two occasions. Both were big wins. Lay the points. **Road Warrior** | |||||||
11-21-23 | Pacers v. Hawks -3.5 | Top | 157-152 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 32 m | Show |
After playing 3 games in 4 days, the Hawks got a nice break. They are coming in rested and ready to go. After this comes Brooklyn and then a long stretch on the road. It's imperative that the Hawks make hay while the sun is shining. The Pacers can't be trusted on the road. They are getting outscored by an average score of 132.7 to 121.7 in their away games. The Hawks scored 143 against them last meeting here! They will drop a massive number on this defensively challenged team once again. Indiana will score a lot, just not enough. Let's go Hawks! ***Eastern Conf. GOM*** | |||||||
11-21-23 | Eastern Michigan v. Buffalo -5.5 | Top | 24-11 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 31 m | Show |
Last week, I won with Eastern Michigan Over the total, an easy 30-27 final score against Akron. This week, I will look to fade Eastern Michigan on the road. The Eagles are only 2-4 against the spread as underdogs. Eastern Michigan, 5-1 at home but 0-5 on the road, gets outscored by an average of 28 to 13 in away games. The Bulls beat this team 50-31 last year. The Eagles want that 6th win but they won't get it. The Bulls will show they've still got some pride and close out their season with a big win. ***MAC GOW*** | |||||||
11-21-23 | Prairie View A&M v. Eastern Kentucky -11 | 76-64 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 59 m | Show | |
Prairie View has a nice against the spread record but is outmatched in this game. The Panthes were 13-19 last season and they didn't return a single starter. The Colonels won 23 games last year and brought back most of that team. Determined to make it to the NCAA Tournament, this is the type of opponent which they can crush. They can and they will! Eastern Kentucky is 10-3 against the spread last 13 tournament games. PV is 0-5 against the spread last 5 as a road underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. Lay the points! ***Tourney Wake and Make*** | |||||||
11-20-23 | Eagles +3 v. Chiefs | Top | 21-17 | Win | 100 | 11 h 20 m | Show |
The Chiefs won when it really counted but the Eagles will exact a little revenge tonight. The Chiefs are only scoring 23.1 points a game this season. The Eagles score 28. The Eagles have only lost once all season. They were winning that game entering the 4th quarter and had a big edge in yards and first downs. The Chiefs have two losses and they've had a few close wins. Remember, the Eagles were ahead 27-21 entering the 4th quarter in the Super Bowl. They've been waiting for this day. They're 7-3 against the spread the last 10 times they were off a division win. This night will belong to them! ***MNF GOM*** | |||||||
11-20-23 | Drake -3 v. Stephen F Austin | 68-92 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 52 m | Show | |
The Lumberjacks will be good within the WAC and potentially could even make their way back to the NCAA Tournament. The Bulldogs are one of the best teams in the Missouri Valley Conference though and they have looked good in winning all their games. They just narrowly missed out on a couple covers. Without having to worry about covering a big number in this one, look for Drake to finish on top and move to 3-0 straight up and against the spread, its last 3 against WAC competition. **Eye Opener** | |||||||
11-19-23 | San Diego State v. Washington +6 | Top | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 14 h 57 m | Show |
The Aztecs are always good. Last year, they had a deep NCAA Tournament run. They're going to be a solid again. They're not unbeatable though and they're a team that doesn't always score that many points, which leads to close games. Who could forget their dramatic 1-point wins in last year's tournament. The Huskies followed up a close loss to Nevada with a close win against Xavier. Off that victory, Washington coach Mike Hopkins said afterward: "Sometimes shots don't fall, sometimes foul shots don't fall, but you got to keep fighting," "We won this game because we were tough. We rebounded. We got stops when we had to get stops and that's why we won. That's why I was so proud of these guys. They kept fighting. It wasn't perfect, but they just kept fighting." This one likely gets decided at the final buzzer. Grab the points! ***Tournament GOM*** | |||||||
11-19-23 | Thunder v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 134-91 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 12 m | Show |
Portland rested yesterday. OKC played against the Warriors. This will be the first time this season that the Thunder play a "road" game after having played the previous night. The Thunder got destroyed in their only previous division game. The Thunder won all 4 meetings last season. All four games were won by 9 or fewer points though and 3 of them were decided by 6 or less, 2 by 3 or less. Really close games from these division rivals! Portland has a great chance of winning this game and will at least keep it close again. Grab the points! **Northwest Div. GOY** | |||||||
11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7 | Top | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 50 h 30 m | Show |
The Bills really shot themselves in the foot last week. What were they even doing in that close a game in the first place? Rest assured, they will emerge stronger from the experience. The Bills will be a team on a mission this week. Nobody will get in their way. Not the stumbling Jets, who scored 18 combined points in losing their last 2 games. The Jets average 16 points a game, the Bills average more than 26. The Jets are 1-4 against the spread (0-5 straight-up) in five tries when the total was between 35.5 to 42. The Bills are 5-2-1 against the spread (7-1 straight up) last 8 when up against an opponent with a losing record in the second half of the season. This will not be a friendly environment! Bills win big! | |||||||
11-19-23 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Rams | 16-17 | Win | 100 | 8 h 30 m | Show | |
Getting points with Seattle is a nice bonus seeing as I've got the Seahawks winning this game. The Rams are getting Stafford back but they've still got a lot of issues. They are 0-8 straight-up their last 8 November games. Stafford hasn't played in some time but Geno Smith closed out last game on a high and comes in with confidence. The Seahawks are battling San Francisco and cannot afford another loss to the Rams. They will get revenge from the Week 1 loss. ***Road Warrior*** | |||||||
11-18-23 | Mavs v. Bucks -1.5 | Top | 125-132 | Win | 100 | 12 h 54 m | Show |
Bucks have finally gotten it going. Mavericks are at the end of a road trip. Bucks swept last year's 2 games. and they won by 9 in their home game. Bucks coach Adrian Griffin said the following after last night's big victory: "I love how we shared the ball and moved the ball and we're looking for each other. That's something we've been stressing in the last probably week or so." Mavericks are only 24-38-4 against the spread last 66 in Non-Conf action. The Bucks will get this done! ***Non-Conf GOW*** | |||||||
11-18-23 | Texas State v. Arkansas State +4 | Top | 31-77 | Win | 100 | 71 h 53 m | Show |
This game is bigger for the Red Wolves than it is the Bobcats. Texas State is already bowl eligible, for the first time in nine seasons. With a win on Saturday afternoon, Arkansas State will become bowl eligible for the first time in four seasons. Doing so against a Texas State team which lately always seems to narrowly defeat them will be extra sweet. The Red Wolves have been playing their best football the past few weeks. They lost at South Alabama last week. With an advantage in first downs, they covered the spread in that game. Before that, they'd won 2 games in a row by 10 and 20 points. The last 3 meetings have all been by 3 or less., each by Texas State. Arkansas State led 10-3 going into the 4th quarter last year but found a way to close. Not this year. It's payback time! ***Revenge GOY*** | |||||||
11-18-23 | Oklahoma v. BYU +24.5 | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 68 h 58 m | Show | |
Nobody wants to take BYU these days. The Cougars have been blown out in 3 straight games and 4 of their last 5. Stuck on 5 wins, even most BYU fans feel that they no longer have a chance to make a bowl. And now the Cougars take on big bad Oklahoma. All of the above has already been considered and factored into the line. The line on BYU is very high and the Cougars have no pressure on them. Everyone has already counted them out. This is their home finale. They've still got that to play for. The Sooners are only 4-8 against the spread their last 12 as road favorites. They've got bigger games to look forward to. Grab all the points. ***Eye Opener*** | |||||||
11-17-23 | Colorado v. Washington State -4 | Top | 14-56 | Win | 100 | 13 h 22 m | Show |
It would have been the hottest ticket in town if these teams faced each other earlier in the season. Colorado was the talk of the league and Washington State was also red hot. Everything changed. Both teams got brought down to size. Both teams will still really want this one though. Each is anxious to get back on track. That will make for a good game. Colorado still gets the hype because of Sanders. The Cougars are at home though and are the superior team. WSU quarterback Cameron Ward took some responsibility for last week's loss after he fumbled three times and had two returned for TDS. (He also threw for 358 yards and three touchdowns.) "I feel like I've grown in ball security, especially these two years once I first got here to Washington State but it showed up again that it's something that I gotta continuously work on. Any time you put your team in a situation like I did, it's hard to fight out of, and we did. We did end up doing that. But we didn't execute enough plays as a whole to win this game." Colorado is only 2-13 its last 15 road games. Ward will clean up the fumbles tonight and he will lead his team to a win and cover! ***pac 12 GOW*** | |||||||
11-17-23 | Celtics v. Raptors +7.5 | Top | 108-105 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
The Celtics are definitely playing well but they've got a few question marks for tonight. Brown and Porzingis are questionable. Horford is probable but not 100%. Those are 3 important players to this team. Even if all 3 go, they could play at less than their usual potential. Regardless of what lineup the Celtics ultimately settle on, they are going to face a very competitive Toronto team. The Raptors just got blown out by the Bucks. They are 20-14 against the spread their past 34 times they were off a loss of 10 or more points, 21 outright wins. Over the same period, they are 49-42 against the spread in the revenge role, 54-40 against teams with a winning record. Boston is only 30-39 against the spread against losing teams over that time. Both the Celtics losses have come on the road. The Celtics allow 108.7 points on the road and the Raptors allow 108.8 at home. The last time Boston played here, it was a 2-point game. The time before that, it was a 4-point Toronto win. Grab the points! ***Atlantic Div GOY*** | |||||||
11-17-23 | Long Beach State +15.5 v. Michigan | 94-86 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show | |
Michigan looked great in beating St. John's. The Wolverines are absolutely a talented team. They lost a lot from last year though and are dealing with the absence of Juwan Howard. Off the trip to MSG and with some big games coming up after this one, it won't be easy to blow out Long Beach State. Not with the talent, depth and experience that the Beach players have. They hung within 12 at San Diego State, after close games at Depaul and Portland. They will give the Wolverines trouble today! ***Road Warrior*** | |||||||
11-16-23 | Nets v. Heat -3.5 | 115-122 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
Nets won when these teams played at Miami on November 1. It marked the 4th loss in a row for the Heat, who were dealing with some injuries at the time. Since then, the Heat have found their groove. They've won 6 straight games since the Nets were here last. Heat are 22-14 against the spread, last 36, after playing previous 3 on the road. Brooklyn just 19-32 against the spread last 51 after allowing 105 or fewer points. Lay the small number with Miami! ***pick and roll*** | |||||||
11-16-23 | Boston College v. Pittsburgh -3 | Top | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 7 h 22 m | Show |
Pittsburgh being favored in game tells us a lot. The Panthers have been bad all season. Pittsburgh coach Pat Narduzzi will have his worst year. So, what are the Panthers doing favored? Boston College is a fraud, that's why! The Eagles were exposed last week. They got outgained by a 600 to 262 yardage mark! That was against Virginia Tech - not a team like Georgia or Michican. Eagles are 3-9 against the spread last 12 times they were off a conf. loss. Narduzzi is 7-3 against the spread last 10 in November. Panthers will play their best game and salvage some price. ***ACC GOM*** |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,060 |
Dan Kaiser | $932 |
Jesse Schule | $566 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Ray Monohan | $518 |
Mike Lundin | $493 |
Tom Macrina | $430 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Joseph D'Amico | $390 |
Big Al McMordie | $340 |