Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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07-15-23 | Calgary +3 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 33-31 | Win | 100 | 125 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* WEST-CONF GOY on the Stampeders. Calgary is 1-3 and Saskatchewan is 3-1. The Stamps will be risking life and limb to avoid a 1-4 hole, and the play iwth the added incentive of revenge here as well after falling 29-26 in OT to Saskatchewan in Week 3 (and note that Calgary is 7-3 ATS in its last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent.) Calgary is off the 24-11 road loss at Winnipeg, while Saskatchewan barely held on for the 12-11 win over Edmonton last week at home as a 7.5-point favorite. The Stamps are significantly better in every metric on both sides of the ball over the Elks, and they have the motivational, external and trend based factors also all working in their favor here. The outright is possible, but grab as many points as you can. The play is CALGARY. Good luck, NP | |||||||
07-14-23 | Toronto v. Montreal +5.5 | Top | 35-27 | Loss | -110 | 34 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* CFL ATS BLOOD-BATH on the Montreal Alouettes. Honestly, I'm not a big "player" guy. Players don't usually factor into my equation when I'm handicapping games. If a player is out, then his absence is reflected in the line. We're in 2023 fellas, the bookmakers are sharper than they've ever been at any other time in history. I'm not that great at individual player assessment, and I've struggled at Fantasy Sports, which is obviously very difficult and completely player driven. I've always been much better at looking at a team as a whole and then giving an assessment. I'm a situational handicapper. I've always felt that being flexible with your approach when it comes to handicapping is the best, and so I look at many different factors throughout the regular season like "revenge" etc, more closely than trying to handicap the players themselves. I'm looking at line movement. I'm looking at where the public money is, as I'm also definitely a contrarian at heart, when most of the people are going on way, I'm invariably going the other. And so this pick on Montreal definitely falls right into my wheelhouse as far as being a great situational play in my opinion. The Toronto Argonauts are the defending Grey Cup Champs. They're 3-0 to open the season, both straight up and against the spread, but I think last week's bye came at the worst time possible for the Argos. Chemistry and timing is a very real thing in sports obviously, and I think that "firing on all cylinders" offense which just beat BC 45-24 at home two weeks ago, will come into this one a bit flat to begin with. The Alouettes are now 2-2 straight up and against the spread. Montreal started the season 2-0, but it's since dropped two straight, including last week's game at BC by a score of 35-19. So Montreal is the more motivated team here for sure. It also plays with a sense of revenge. This is the first meeting of the year between the clubs this season, but Toronto took three of four in the series last season. That includes a 34-27 win in the East Division Final, so revenge is big time on the minds of the Alouettes here today. One last thing to point out as well, is that Montreal has in fact had a lot of success here at home against the Argos, winning six of the last seven in the series played here. Everything points to at least the comfortable cover. Grab the points, the play is MONTREAL. Good luck, NP | |||||||
07-09-23 | Montreal +7.5 v. BC | Top | 19-35 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOWOUT on Montreal. BC looked like the team to beat in the CFL until last week's 45-24 loss at Toronto. Now the Lions face another tough team here in Montreal, which also comes in off a terrible outing, falling 17-3 at home to Winnipeg. So is Montreal is good as its 2-0 start, or is it as bad as it's defeat at home to the Bombers last week? Is BC as good as its 3-0 start, or is it as bad as last week's confusing effort?! In my opinion, the answer is neither. They're neither as good as their respective quick starts would imply, and they're not nearly as terrible as last week's losses. These team's defensive numbers though are very similar. This game is going to be won in the trenches, and by field position, and in a contest like that, it's going to be whichever team has its hands on the ball last that comes out on top. Because of that, I'm grabbing the points. The play is the ALOUETTES. (This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!) Good luck, NP | |||||||
07-07-23 | Calgary +8.5 v. Winnipeg | Top | 11-24 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* BLOOD-BATH on Calgary. Calgary fell flat in Week 1 in a 25-15 setback at home to BC, and then bounced back with a 25-15 win as a 6.5-point fav at Ottawa in Week 2. And then in Week 3 it lost 29-26 in OT at home to Saskatchewan as a 2-point favorite. With a week off to prepare, I look for the Stamps to be organized enough to, at the very least, keep it competitive enough to easily cover with the spread here. Winnipeg has only had one major hiccup, and that was in its 30-6 home loss here to BC back in Week 3, but it still enters Week 5 sitting at 3-1 after a bounce-back 17-3 win at Montreal last week. The bottom line here is that Jake Maier leads a Stampeders' offense that has the capability of keeping pace with the Bombers. Maier had three TD passes in the loss to the Riders. I like Calgary to keep this one close down the stretch. (This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!) Good luck, NP | |||||||
07-06-23 | Edmonton Elks +8 v. Saskatchewan | Top | 11-12 | Win | 100 | 33 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Elks. Despite being 0-4 SU/ATS, I like Edmonton to, at the very least, to do just enough to earn a hard-fought cover with the large spread that it's been afforded this week. The Elks are still 8-4 ATS in their last 12 after three or more straight SU/ATS losses in a row. Saskatchewan has looked OK, but this is also a revenge spot for the Elks, who fell 17-13 in Week 1 on the road vs. the Riders. Note as well that Edmonton is 3-1 ATS in its last four in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss vs. an opponent. Off the 29-26 OT win as an underdog over Calgary, coming off their bye week, and with a rematch vs. the Stamps next week, I'm predicting that Saskatchewan comes out flat here. Outright win?! Anything's possible, but in a contest that I do indeed believe will be a lot tighter than what this spread is suggesting, I'm grabbing the points. The play is EDMONTON. (This is the abbreviated version of my analysis. If you contact me via social media, we can DM and speak directly in length about any contest!) Good luck, NP | |||||||
06-17-23 | Edmonton Elks +7 v. BC | Top | 0-22 | Loss | -107 | 27 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* WESTERN CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Elks. BC looked "ok" in its 25-15 road win at Calgary last weekend. With back-to-back road games at Winnipeg and Toronto after this, I expect the home side to get caught "looking past" its lowly opponent today. Edmonton has now lost five straight SU dating to last year, and that's in fact significant to note, as the visiting organization is in fact a near-perfect 5-1 ATS in its last six after five or more SU losses in a row. Taylor Cornelius does have an explosive weapon in Eugene Lewis, who had 148 yards last week. Cornelius finished with 202 yards, one TD and two picks. Vernon Adams Jr. had 300 yards passing and two TD's vs. the Stamps last week. But I think these teams are more evenly matched than what this spread is suggesting. I think this one'll be a defensive affair, one that's decided in the trenches and with field position. I'm grabbing the points, the play is EDMONTON. Good luck, NP | |||||||
06-15-23 | Calgary v. Ottawa +5.5 | Top | 26-15 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 36 m | Show |
This is a 10* NON-CONFERENCE GAME OF THE WEEK on the Redblacks. If you watched Nick Arbuckle last week, then you saw him and Ottawa fall 19-12 to Montreal as a two-point underdog. Arbuckle was terrible, finishing with 175 yards, no TD's and three interceptions. There's only one way to go for Arbuckle and this Ottawa offense in Week 2. The good thing though is that they face a reeling Calgary defense which looked inept against what is projected to be a very mediocre BC offense, falling 25-15. Arbuckle faces his former team here and I think he'll settle down. His defense actually looked pretty good in defeat last week and I think Ottawa's unit is in line for another big day facing the Stampeders Jake Maier, who had a pedestrian day vs. the Leos, finishing with 166 yards, 1 touchdown and one interception. I smell an upset, but am still grabbing this healthy amout of points. The play is OTTAWA. Good luck, NP | |||||||
06-09-23 | Hamilton +5.5 v. Winnipeg | 31-42 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
6 OUT OF 10 CONSENSUS on Hamilton. Outright win? Anything is possible in Week 1 in the CFL. Last year the Ti-Cats finished their 2022 season with a 28-17 loss as 1.5-point dogs at Montreal in the East semi. The Ti-Cats enter the season with a new face under center though, veteran QB Bo Levi Mitchell, who has two Grey Cup MVP's. The Bombers lost as five-point favs 24-23 to the Argos in the Grey Cup. After finishing the season 15-3 last year, we expect a drop-off across the baord for the Bombers. In a contest that we see being decided late, we're grabbing the points. The play is the TI-CATS. Good luck, TIR | |||||||
08-16-14 | Montreal Alouettes v. Saskatchewan Roughriders -13.5 | 11-16 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 20 m | Show | |
Parson's CFL Blue Ribbon is on Saskatchewan The Roughriders Week IV bye came at just the right time. The defending champs opened up at 1-2 but have righted the ship since with a perfect 3-0 after getting the extra time off. The offense The offense is led by Darian Durant who has all kinds of weapons to work with and has been getting short fields to work with thanks to an opportunistic Sask defense which has been getting people to turn the ball over. Montreal has done basically nothing on offense the last four games causing them to bring in a new OC and go to their reserve QB in relief of struggling Troy Smith. The Alos are going to need some time to implement new schemes and in the mean time figure to get waxed against the white-hot Riders. | |||||||
08-07-14 | Saskatchewan Roughriders -1.5 v. Winnipeg Blue Bombers | 23-17 | Win | 100 | 37 h 30 m | Show | |
Parsons' Punisher is on Saskatchewan Winnipeg has looked great to this point and can double last year's season wins with a victory here tonight. The Bombers success has basically come on the arm of Drew Willey who will be up against it tonight against a defense that leads the league in sacks with a game in hand. After a couple of speedbumps, the Riders have looked like last year's champ off convincing B2B wins. The Sask defense allows just 11 ppg in their wins so shutting down Winnipeg's second rated pass attack is key. On offense, the Riders will play ball control with Will Ford who has five TDs in his first two games. Home cooking and solid defense gets the Rider through. | |||||||
08-02-14 | Saskatchewan Roughriders v. Ottawa Redblacks +6 | 38-14 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 30 m | Show | |
Parsons' Blue Ribbon play is on the Ottawa Redblacks The fans in Ottawa will be fired up tonight at TD Place as football returns to the capital for just the second time in nine years. Two weeks ago, the expansion Redblacks won their home opener over Toronto and a win here would actually have them in first place after six weeks in the wide open CFL East. That's very possible here against a Saskatchewan team that was crushed in its only road outing of 2014. The Riders have a history of being poor favorites and playing down to their opponents. That won't cut it against a defense that is a work in progress but improving in every start and an offense that is starting to get things figured out and control the clock with RB Chevon Walker and go to wide out Marcus Henry. Take Ottawa with the points though they may not need them. | |||||||
08-01-14 | B.C. Lions +4.5 v. Calgary Stampeders | 25-24 | Win | 100 | 13 h 23 m | Show | |
Nick's Friday NIght CFL Dominator is on the BC Lions Calgary quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell attempts to break the CFL record for opening wins by a quarterback (currently tied with Jeff Garcia with seven) with a win over B.C. The Stampeders are the league's lone remaining unbeaten after and emotional win over previously unbeaten Edmonton in their last. They'll have a tough time against a Lion outfit that features a good possession QB of their own in Glenn and plenty of quality weapons like Andrew Harris who leads the CFL in rushing and Emmanuel Arceneaux who is a go up and get it deep threat. Wouldn't be surprised to see B.C. possibly win this game straight up. Take the points. | |||||||
07-26-14 | Toronto Argonauts v. Saskatchewan Roughriders -7.5 | 9-37 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show | |
Parsons' CFL Code Blue is on Saskatchewan This is rematch fron Week II that saw Toronto blow out the Roughriders 48-15. That's the Argos only win to this point and they come off a 18-17 loss to the expansion Redblacks in there first home game on Ottawa in more than nine years. This is a decent spot for Saskatchewan who is 14-9 ATS the last three years off a division game. They are also 11-6 ATS the last three years with same season revenge. The Roughriders were embarrassed and never in the first game after getting down 17-1 at the half. Look for a much better effort here in a double-digit win. | |||||||
07-24-14 | Calgary Stampeders -1 v. Edmonton Eskimos | 26-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show | |
Nick Parsons' Thursday Night CFL Punisher is on Calgary The last two CFL unbeatens meet in the battle of Alberta tonight at the Stampeders take on the Blue Bombers in Edmonton. Calgary is rolling behind quarterback Bo Levi Mitchell who is 6-0 as a CFL starter and has thrown for six TDs with no interceptions. He'll have to bring his A-game here against an Eskimo defense that leads the league in interceptions and turnovers and held a Winnipeg team avvg 30 ppg to a lone field goal last week. Calgary looks to be the more balanced team and plays exceptionally well on the road where they are 14-6 ATS over the last three years. We'll take the visitors in what figures to be a close game decided late. | |||||||
07-19-14 | Montreal Alouettes v. B.C. Lions -6 | 5-41 | Win | 100 | 59 h 53 m | Show | |
Nick Parsons' 10* CFL Blue Ribbon is on the B.C. Lions This is the first rematch of the just starting CFL season with Montreal beating B.C. at home 24-9 in Week II. Last week the Alouettes were beaten at home 34-33 on a final drive by Ricky Ray and Winnipeg. The Lions on the other hand turned their season around after an 0-2 start with a complete game 26-13 road win at Saskatchewan. BC will enjoy being home at BC place where they are 16-4 straight up over the last three years and 7-2 ATS in their L9 as home favorites at this impost. Montreal was waxed 29-8 at Calgary in their only other road game this year and tonight's assignment isn't any easier. Lay the points the Lions. | |||||||
07-17-14 | Edmonton Eskimos +3 v. Winnipeg Blue Bombers | 26-3 | Win | 100 | 12 h 27 m | Show | |
Nick Parson's CFL 10* Code Blue is on Edmonton Both teams have opened the season 3-0 but in very different ways. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers have done it with a high scoring offense led by quarterback Drew Willy ( 871 yards passing) while the Edmonton Eskimos has used a smothering defense that has allowed just 55 points in three games. Something has to give here and like the old saying goes, defense travels. The Eskimos have allowed the fewest yards in the CFL and pressure the passer with sackmaster Armondo Sewell getting plenty of pressure up the middle. Edmonton uses a balanced offense that does everything well. The Eskimos have come from behind in every game this year and won't be the least bit phased if things don't go their way early. Look for the Eskimos to hang around early before hitting on all cylinder late to come away with the straight up road win. | |||||||
07-12-14 | B.C. Lions +6.5 v. Saskatchewan Roughriders | 26-13 | Win | 100 | 49 h 16 m | Show | |
8* CFL Club Play is on the B.C. Lions The Lions shot themselves in the foot by putting regular quarterback Travis Lulay on the six-game IR start the season in what many viewed as a cap move. Things have not worked out for B.C. which now finds itself in an 0-2 hole to start the year. Relief QB Kevin Glenn has run for his life thanks to poor offensive line play that will certainly improve here. Saskatchewan routed Hamilton in their opener but were then crushed at Toronto, a team that was embarrassed in Week I. If the wounded animal is most dangerous, there isn't a CFL team more dangerous than British Columbia. If the Lions get things straightened out up front and are able to contain a strong Roughrider rushing game, getting the near touchdown will just be a bonus. B.C. straight up. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
ProSportsPicks | $1,066 |
Jack Jones | $960 |
Big Al McMordie | $876 |
Ross Benjamin | $740 |
Ray Monohan | $702 |
Jimmy Boyd | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $414 |
Ricky Tran | $343 |
Kyle Hunter | $265 |
Matt Fargo | $175 |