| Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23-26 | Seahawks v. Titans -4.5 | Top | 16-19 | Loss | -110 | 27 h 11 m | Show |
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This is a 4% BOOKIEKILLER on the TITANS in the FIRST HALF. Seattle didn't play any starters in its loss in Week 1 at home to Dallas, and its not expected to start here any in Game 2 in Tennessee either. Cam Ward and the starters are expected to see between 20 and 30 snaps on Sunday night. I think that'll be enough to get the job done. Especially in the FIRST HALF. Seattle's back-up defense struggled a bit last week, while Tennessee's looked decent in the win. I also like Tennessee to win this game outright, but my official call is to lay the points and take the TITANS in the FIRST HALF. Good luck, NP |
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| 08-08-25 | Commanders v. Patriots -6.5 | Top | 18-48 | Win | 100 | 27 h 57 m | Show |
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This is a 4% BOOKIEKILLER on the Patriots. These teams were on opposite ends of the spectrum last year, with Washington finishing 12-5 and New England going 4-13. On paper, the Commanders are the better team. But in Week 1 of the preseason, few or no starters will even see time (for either side). New England, though, made several changes on both sides of the field, and there are going to be several important competitions throughout the preseason for the Patriots. Because of that, I'm expecting New England to take this initial game a lot more seriously. Washington is in a difficult division with the defending champs looking for a repeat this year. The Commanders, though, would go on to finish with the fifth-most points scored overall last season (502). The Commanders, though, have a difficult regular-season schedule, so they'll be wary in the preseason about playing their starters. The bottom line when betting the preseason is to always remember that the backups and wannabes will see the most of the playing time. New England made some moves in the offseason, like acquiring wide receiver Stefon Diggs, but the Patriots have been rebuilding through the draft over the last couple of seasons in both quality and quantity. And so I'm expecting this extreme sense of competition between the Patriots hopeful position players to raise their performance level, and that'll be more than enough to get the better of Washington, which I expect to simply "go through the motions" as it looks to work on a few things, and avoid any serious injuries here in Week 1 of the preseason. One last major factor to consider is that Patriots' new head coach Mike Vrabel will be looking to make his mark and set the early tone for his tenure with a winning result. This game "means" a lot more to New England. Look for their young players to deliver a win and cover; the play is on the PATRIOTS. Good luck, NP |
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| 07-31-25 | Chargers +1.5 v. Lions | Top | 34-7 | Win | 100 | 78 h 41 m | Show |
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This is a 4% ATS BLOOD-BATH on the LA Chargers. It's hard to say, even for the coaches, who will be playing in this game, and who won't be. These clubs only reported to official training camp two weeks ago. The starters will almost assuredly see NO, to VERY LITTLE playing time. A snap or two at the most. Many would love to see Justin Herbert squaring off against Jared Goff, but that's not going to happen. If you like the total in this one, note that the average score over the last ten HOF Games has been 31.8. In the early going, 91% of the public money is backing the Lions, but I say that's more to do with what the public envisions Detroit doing during the regular-season, when all of the top players will be playing every snap. The Chargers won't be playing any of their starters either, but I'm going full-on contrarian with this one, as note that the last ten HOF Games have been decided by five points or less. In what I anticipate being another competitive HOF Game, I'll gladly grab the point/s. The play is on the CHARGERS. Good luck, NP |
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| 08-22-24 | Bears v. Chiefs +3.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -106 | 79 h 44 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on Kansas City. Betting the NFL preseason is all about betting "situations." And that's especially true in the final week. The defending champs are 0-2 SU/ATS in the preseason. Once again, the starters will see little, to absolutely NO playing time in this one. For both sides. KC will still be taking this Week 3 game considerably more seriously than their counterpart though, as the Bears will look to just "go through the motions" and get out of this game without any significant injuries. The Bears are already 3-0 SU/ATS so far in the pre-season, and really have very little left to work on. The Chiefs have nothing to prove, but look for the home side's backups to play with a little more pride here and while I clearly believe an outright win is a possibility, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can with KC. Good luck, NP |
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| 08-18-24 | Saints v. 49ers | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 12 h 47 m | Show |
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This is a 10* NFC NON-DIV GOW on the 49ers moneyline. After a slim 16-14 road win at Arizona last week, unable to cover the three points, I think that the Saints will stumble here in their second straight road NFLX contest. San Francisco will be more motivated here to bounce back after a 17-13 loss at Tennessee, the 49ers however going on to cover with the six-points they were afforded in that one. I'll recommend bypassing the spread option and instead, just take the home side to win this game outright. New Orleans' starters saw little action last week, and that'll again be the case here. After a decent first game, the Saints will be looking to get out of San Fran without any significant injuries being their No. 1 priority. San Fran once again has big aspirations this season. Now back home for their first game of the season, and with the starters scheduled to see more playing time in this one, I say the correct call for sure is the 49ERS on the MONEYLINE option. Good luck, NP |
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| 08-17-24 | Cowboys v. Raiders -6.5 | Top | 27-12 | Loss | -110 | 80 h 48 m | Show |
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This is a 10* NFLX GOY on the Raiders. I wasn't quick enough to get down on the Raiders right away, as there has been quite a bit of line movement on this one since it very first opened. But still under a TD worth of points to cover here is way too good to turn down in this situation in my opinion. Both teams played and lost last week, but Las Vegas looked a lot better and here in Week 2, I believe they'll keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. Dallas lost 13-12 at the Rams as a 5.5-point favorite. Backup Trey Lance was an unremarkable 25 of 41 for 188 passing yards, which works out to about 4.8 YPP. The Raiders fell 24-23 on the road at Minnesota. Gardner Minshew was 6 of 12 for 117 yards and a TD for the Raiders last week, which was 9.8 yards per pass. There's a QB battle going on between Minshew and Aidan O’Connell and this is a big reason why I like LAS VEGAS to cover the spread at home in Week 2 of the 2024 NFLX season. Good luck, NP |
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| 08-08-24 | Lions v. Giants -3 | Top | 3-14 | Win | 100 | 144 h 30 m | Show |
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This is a 10* SIDE WINNER on the Giants. The preseason is all about picking and choosing spots. Quite Frankly, there isn't a lot of value in these games over the next three weeks, with the majority of starters not seeing much or ANY time whatsoever. But here's a great spot bet. This is the biggest spread on the Week 1 NFLX board, but not big enough in my opinion. Detroit is expected to give Hendon Hooker extended time under center and the second year QB did not play at all during the preseason last year, and he's apparently already been struggling in OTA's this season (possibly due to injury again.) The Giants will counter mostly with Drew Lock, who has massive potential and many want him to replace starter Daniel Jones. Look for NEW YORK to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. Good luck, NP |
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| 08-19-23 | Cowboys v. Seahawks -6.5 | Top | 14-22 | Win | 100 | 12 h 23 m | Show |
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This is a 10* BOOKIEKILLER on the Seahawks. I like Seattle to keep the foot on the gas here at home vs. "America's team" and to not only win this game, but to do so in blowout fashion. The Cowboys are just going to go through the motions once again in my estimation after coming up short at home vs. Jacksonville in last week's 28-23 setback. Dak Prescott isn't scheduled to see any time, and if he does, it'll be for only a series. Regardless, this Dallas offense looks impotent without Prescott directing the show, and now dealing with the absence of Ezekiel Elliot. Seattle fell behind Minnesota early last week, but then put the foot on the gas and won 24-13. QB Drew Lock had 191 passing yards, two TD's and an INT. Dallas on the other hand turned the ball over three times last week. With Seattle expected to work more of its starters into the rotation in Week 2, I'm expecting a complete blowout here. Lay the points, the play is SEATTLE. Good luck, NP |
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| Service | Profit |
|---|---|
| Cole Faxon | $1,511 |
| Chip Chirimbes | $943 |
| ProSportsPicks | $755 |
| Kevin Young | $712 |
| Mike Williams | $651 |
| Kenny Walker | $504 |
| Brandon Lee | $475 |
| Steve Janus | $460 |
| Michael Alexander | $424 |
| Sal Michaels | $386 |