Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -112 | 54 h 26 m | Show |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, 3 to 10 points dogs off of a game where they led by over two touchdowns at the half in their last game are ATS: 49-29-1 (2.80, 62.8%) against a team off of 2+ straight games where they led by double digits at the half. -- Play on Ohio State! | |||||||
12-18-20 | Oregon +3 v. USC | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, the UNDER is O/U: 68-98-5 (-0.68, 41.0%) when you have two teams meeting that have committed very few turnovers recently; both teams off of a game with 1 or fewer turnovers and at least one of the two teams on a 5 game streak doing such. -- Active this week on the UNDER at PENN ST A home team off of two or more straight very close, hard fought conference rival losses (by 7 or fewer pts in each game) is SU: 94-60-0 (4.62, 61.0%) and ATS: 81-68-4 (2.20, 54.4%). That's solid on both the moneyline and the spread alike. -- Play on ORST | |||||||
12-12-20 | Duke +5.5 v. Florida State | 35-56 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading road teams averaging a poor 7 or more point deficit at the half after a high scoring (60+ total pts) game yields a SU: 476-356-0 (2.94, 57.2%) and ATS: 463-346-14 (1.47, 57.2%) record for the home team. Profitable on both the moneyline and pointspread. -- Active this week on UTEP and DUKE | |||||||
12-05-20 | Fresno State v. Nevada -6.5 | 26-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have covered by at least 2 points in four or more of their last 5 games with a team win% between .600 and .460 are a solid SU: 133-71-1 (6.70, 65.2%) and ATS: 107-90-5 (2.31, 54.3%). Profitable on both the moneyline and spread. -- Active this week on VIR, MIZ and TLN Since 2010, the Under is O/U: 300-388-10 (-0.65, 43.6%) in matchups with a .500 to .620 team that lost 1 or 2 of their last 3 against a plus .500 team. Take the Unders in GSOU and VIR BONUS MONEYLINE SYSTEM: In database history, home teams off of 3 or more straight conference wins are a very solid SU: 1122-326-11 (15.20, 77.5%) and ATS: 740-651-39 (1.24, 53.2%) on Saturday games after the first month of the season. Strong on the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week on CSTC, IWST, NOTD, OKLA, WAS, WMCH | |||||||
12-05-20 | Colorado State +8 v. San Diego State | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have covered by at least 2 points in four or more of their last 5 games with a team win% between .600 and .460 are a solid SU: 133-71-1 (6.70, 65.2%) and ATS: 107-90-5 (2.31, 54.3%). Profitable on both the moneyline and spread. -- Active this week on VIR, MIZ and TLN Since 2010, the Under is O/U: 300-388-10 (-0.65, 43.6%) in matchups with a .500 to .620 team that lost 1 or 2 of their last 3 against a plus .500 team. Take the Unders in GSOU and VIR BONUS MONEYLINE SYSTEM: In database history, home teams off of 3 or more straight conference wins are a very solid SU: 1122-326-11 (15.20, 77.5%) and ATS: 740-651-39 (1.24, 53.2%) on Saturday games after the first month of the season. Strong on the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week on CSTC, IWST, NOTD, OKLA, WAS, WMCH | |||||||
12-05-20 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -14 | 14-6 | Loss | -103 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have covered by at least 2 points in four or more of their last 5 games with a team win% between .600 and .460 are a solid SU: 133-71-1 (6.70, 65.2%) and ATS: 107-90-5 (2.31, 54.3%). Profitable on both the moneyline and spread. -- Active this week on VIR, MIZ and TLN Since 2010, the Under is O/U: 300-388-10 (-0.65, 43.6%) in matchups with a .500 to .620 team that lost 1 or 2 of their last 3 against a plus .500 team. Take the Unders in GSOU and VIR BONUS MONEYLINE SYSTEM: In database history, home teams off of 3 or more straight conference wins are a very solid SU: 1122-326-11 (15.20, 77.5%) and ATS: 740-651-39 (1.24, 53.2%) on Saturday games after the first month of the season. Strong on the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week on CSTC, IWST, NOTD, OKLA, WAS, WMCH | |||||||
11-28-20 | Miami-OH -14 v. Akron | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 65 h 45 m | Show |
11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina +6 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 15 m | Show |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% -- Fade Notre Dame (play on NCAR) In database history, teams performing poorly in their first halves (avg 6 points or more deficit at the half per game) that just played a game with 60 or more points scored total are a miserable: SU: 392-504-0 (-2.47, 43.8%) / ATS: 379-492-15 (-1.35, 43.5%).Solid ROI and raw profit on the moneyline as well as ATS! -- Active to play on MIAOH, VIR and more (see link) NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK: In database history, the Under is O/U: 49-93-5 (-3.70, 34.5%) in matchups with two hot teams winning against the spread in 3 to 4 or their last straight games each. -- Active on the Under in WVA and ALA The Under is 41-8-0 in ACC matchups where one team is off a bye week and will be playing a conference game in their next two. -- Take the Under in NCAR The OU is 220-323-25 (-1.15, 40.5%) in games with two teams off of big home wins; one a large win (17+ pt margin) and at least one of the two a blowout home win (27+ pts). | |||||||
11-27-20 | Iowa State v. Texas +1 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, teams performing poorly in their first halves (avg 6 points or more deficit at the half per game) that just played a game with 60 or more points scored total are a miserable: SU: 392-504-0 (-2.47, 43.8%) / ATS: 379-492-15 (-1.35, 43.5%).Solid ROI and raw profit on the moneyline as well as ATS! -- Active to play on MIAOH, VIR and more (see link) NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK: In database history, the Under is O/U: 49-93-5 (-3.70, 34.5%) in matchups with two hot teams winning against the spread in 3 to 4 or their last straight games each. -- Active on the Under in WVA and ALA The Under is 41-8-0 in ACC matchups where one team is off a bye week and will be playing a conference game in their next two. -- Take the Under in NCAR The OU is 220-323-25 (-1.15, 40.5%) in games with two teams off of big home wins; one a large win (17+ pt margin) and at least one of the two a blowout home win (27+ pts). | |||||||
11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan +1 | 52-44 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home dogs off of 2+ straight conference wins are ATS: 194-148-2 (2.73, 56.7%) against a team off of a home win. Also very good on the moneyline. -- Active this week on CMCH, CFL, FRES and NEV | |||||||
11-14-20 | Louisville +3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -118 | 95 h 14 m | Show |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a -4 to any underdog (>= -4 point spread) home team averaging a negative margin at the half on the season as well as netting that same metric goes ATS: 617-467-22 (1.96, 56.9%) after the fade team played a game with 60 or more points scored in total. Active this week on: CMCH, MEM, NEV, SMU, UTAH, and LOUISVILLE this week! Home teams averaging a poor 12.1 or more punt return yards allowed per return are a solid ATS: 421-347-25 (0.92, 54.8%) -- Play on Tulsa In NCAAFB database history, .540 to .460 win percent home teams are a solid ATS: 84-71-3 (2.49, 54.2%) after covering the spread in 4 or more games of their last 5. -- Play on Tulane | |||||||
11-14-20 | Penn State v. Nebraska +3.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 92 h 43 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a -4 to any underdog (>= -4 point spread) home team averaging a negative margin at the half on the season as well as netting that same metric goes ATS: 617-467-22 (1.96, 56.9%) after the fade team played a game with 60 or more points scored in total. Active this week on: CMCH, MEM, NEV, SMU, UTAH, and LOUISVILLE this week! Home teams averaging a poor 12.1 or more punt return yards allowed per return are a solid ATS: 421-347-25 (0.92, 54.8%) -- Play on Tulsa In NCAAFB database history, .540 to .460 win percent home teams are a solid ATS: 84-71-3 (2.49, 54.2%) after covering the spread in 4 or more games of their last 5. -- Play on Tulane | |||||||
11-14-20 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -1.5 | 25-24 | Loss | -113 | 92 h 42 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a -4 to any underdog (>= -4 point spread) home team averaging a negative margin at the half on the season as well as netting that same metric goes ATS: 617-467-22 (1.96, 56.9%) after the fade team played a game with 60 or more points scored in total. Active this week on: CMCH, MEM, NEV, SMU, UTAH, and LOUISVILLE this week! Home teams averaging a poor 12.1 or more punt return yards allowed per return are a solid ATS: 421-347-25 (0.92, 54.8%) -- Play on Tulsa In NCAAFB database history, .540 to .460 win percent home teams are a solid ATS: 84-71-3 (2.49, 54.2%) after covering the spread in 4 or more games of their last 5. -- Play on Tulane | |||||||
11-14-20 | Indiana v. Michigan State +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -107 | 92 h 42 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a -4 to any underdog (>= -4 point spread) home team averaging a negative margin at the half on the season as well as netting that same metric goes ATS: 617-467-22 (1.96, 56.9%) after the fade team played a game with 60 or more points scored in total. Active this week on: CMCH, MEM, NEV, SMU, UTAH, and LOUISVILLE this week! Home teams averaging a poor 12.1 or more punt return yards allowed per return are a solid ATS: 421-347-25 (0.92, 54.8%) -- Play on Tulsa In NCAAFB database history, .540 to .460 win percent home teams are a solid ATS: 84-71-3 (2.49, 54.2%) after covering the spread in 4 or more games of their last 5. -- Play on Tulane | |||||||
11-07-20 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina +10 | 48-3 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a home team off of 1+ games going Over the total with a poor defense allowing 35 or more ppg goes ATS: 596-473-16 (1.35, 55.8%). Also very good ROI on the moneyline. Play on TLN, PIT, SFL, CHAR, TLS, LTECH and APP this week Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. | |||||||
11-07-20 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic -6.5 | 6-10 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a home team off of 1+ games going Over the total with a poor defense allowing 35 or more ppg goes ATS: 596-473-16 (1.35, 55.8%). Also very good ROI on the moneyline. Play on TLN, PIT, SFL, CHAR, TLS, LTECH and APP this week Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. | |||||||
11-07-20 | Appalachian State -17.5 v. Texas State | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 115 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. Take the Following this week | |||||||
11-07-20 | Troy v. Georgia Southern +3 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a home team off of 1+ games going Over the total with a poor defense allowing 35 or more ppg goes ATS: 596-473-16 (1.35, 55.8%). Also very good ROI on the moneyline. Play on TLN, PIT, SFL, CHAR, TLS, LTECH and APP this week Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. | |||||||
11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -6.5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 68 h 14 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a home team off of 1+ games going Over the total with a poor defense allowing 35 or more ppg goes ATS: 596-473-16 (1.35, 55.8%). Also very good ROI on the moneyline. Play on TLN, PIT, SFL, CHAR, TLS, LTECH and APP this week Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. | |||||||
10-31-20 | Western Kentucky v. BYU -28 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 103 h 47 m | Show |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - BYU Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- MRSH , ALA , CLEM A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active on BYU In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - KAST | |||||||
10-31-20 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -30.5 | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 100 h 36 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - BYU Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- MRSH , ALA , CLEM A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active on BYU In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - KAST | |||||||
10-31-20 | Appalachian State -31 v. UL-Monroe | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week | |||||||
10-31-20 | Kansas State +4 v. West Virginia | 10-37 | Loss | -116 | 93 h 32 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - BYU Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- MRSH , ALA , CLEM A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active on BYU In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - KAST | |||||||
10-31-20 | Boston College v. Clemson -30.5 | 28-34 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 32 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - BYU Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- MRSH , ALA , CLEM A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active on BYU In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - KAST | |||||||
10-24-20 | Alabama -21 v. Tennessee | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 6 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Alabama | |||||||
10-24-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -3 | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 71 h 14 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Alabama In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - NCST A team off of a >34 pt. win putting up between 38 and 49 points prior to week 13 on normal rest are 391 - 281-1 58.2% ATS - GSOU and OKST | |||||||
10-24-20 | Syracuse v. Clemson -45.5 | 21-47 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 2 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM | |||||||
10-24-20 | NC State +16 v. North Carolina | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Alabama In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - NCST | |||||||
10-24-20 | Georgia Southern +6 v. Coastal Carolina | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Alabama In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - NCST A team off of a >34 pt. win putting up between 38 and 49 points prior to week 13 on normal rest are 391 - 281-1 58.2% ATS - GSOU and OKST | |||||||
10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 125 h 31 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: | |||||||
10-17-20 | Boston College +11 v. Virginia Tech | 14-40 | Loss | -109 | 124 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: | |||||||
10-17-20 | Clemson -26.5 v. Georgia Tech | 73-7 | Win | 100 | 116 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: | |||||||
10-10-20 | Alabama -23.5 v. Ole Miss | 63-48 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 37 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- Active on Alabama | |||||||
10-03-20 | TCU v. Texas -13 | 33-31 | Loss | -108 | 122 h 1 m | Show | |
A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Play on Texas | |||||||
10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 107 h 2 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Play on BYU | |||||||
09-26-20 | Vanderbilt +30.5 v. Texas A&M | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
Prior to week 6; low total, conference game goes 33-86-5 27.7% ATS for the home favorite. | |||||||
09-26-20 | Duke +5.5 v. Virginia | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
Prior to week 6; low total, conference game goes 33-86-5 27.7% ATS for the home favorite. | |||||||
09-26-20 | Army v. Cincinnati -14 | 10-24 | Push | 0 | 100 h 26 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- Active this week on CIN , OKLA | |||||||
09-26-20 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma -27.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- Active this week on CIN , OKLA | |||||||
09-19-20 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh -21 | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 50 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Active on PIT this week | |||||||
09-12-20 | Austin Peay State v. Pittsburgh -27 | 0-55 | Win | 100 | 95 h 51 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: MAIN NCAAF Favorite System: Since 1989, 21 to 27 points home favorites are 234-131-10 (64.1%) ATS where the total is between 74 and 47.5. -- Active this week on NCAR and PIT | |||||||
09-12-20 | Syracuse v. North Carolina -22 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 91 h 51 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: MAIN NCAAF Favorite System: Since 1989, 21 to 27 points home favorites are 234-131-10 (64.1%) ATS where the total is between 74 and 47.5. -- Active this week on NCAR and PIT | |||||||
12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 76 h 14 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS -- Active this week on CLEM and JMAD BONUS SYSTEM: Since 2004, Undefeated Favorites of -20 to -32 points off of 4+ straight wins have gone 108-57-3 65.5% ATS. CLEM is 17-4 ATS (7.93 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite.JMAD is 6-0 ATS (8.75 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a home favorite. | |||||||
12-07-19 | Monmouth v. James Madison -27.5 | 21-66 | Win | 100 | 70 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS -- Active this week on CLEM and JMAD BONUS SYSTEM: Since 2004, Undefeated Favorites of -20 to -32 points off of 4+ straight wins have gone 108-57-3 65.5% ATS. CLEM is 17-4 ATS (7.93 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite.JMAD is 6-0 ATS (8.75 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a home favorite. | |||||||
11-30-19 | UL-Monroe v. UL-Lafayette -19.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: .Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. Fade LOU and LMON today | |||||||
11-29-19 | Kent State v. Eastern Michigan -4 | 34-26 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active this week on EMICH | |||||||
11-16-19 | Richmond v. James Madison -24 | 6-48 | Win | 100 | 82 h 55 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. -- Fade VMI , RICH, and USD this week | |||||||
11-16-19 | Navy v. Notre Dame -8 | Top | 20-52 | Win | 100 | 81 h 53 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. -- Fade VMI , RICH, and USD this week JMAD is 5-0 ATS (6.90 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a home favorite.JMAD is 8-1 ATS (5.89 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a favorite.JMAD is 5-0 ATS (6.90 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 at home. USD is 0-4 ATS (-5.38 ppg) since Nov 03, 2018 as a road dog.NDST is 18-0 SU since Dec 17, 2011 off a home game off a win. | |||||||
11-09-19 | Clemson -32 v. NC State | 55-10 | Win | 100 | 99 h 41 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Clemson this week CLEM is 6-1 ATS (10.64 ppg) since Sep 22, 2018 as a road favorite.NCST is 0-5 ATS (-17.70 ppg) since Nov 18, 2017 as a dog. | |||||||
11-02-19 | Houston v. Central Florida -21.5 | Top | 29-44 | Loss | -110 | 69 h 34 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game.-- Active to play on CFL | |||||||
10-26-19 | Ohio v. Ball State -2.5 | Top | 34-21 | Loss | -115 | 117 h 3 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. This system is now at 372-243 ATS and active for next week on: AIR, BALL, and OHST OHU is 0-4 ATS (-8.12 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019.BALL is 4-0 ATS (14.88 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019. | |||||||
10-26-19 | Wisconsin v. Ohio State -14 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 115 h 6 m | Show |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. This system is now at 372-243 ATS and active for next week on: AIR, BALL, and OHST OHU is 0-4 ATS (-8.12 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019.BALL is 4-0 ATS (14.88 ppg) since Sep 21, 2019.OHST is 6-0 ATS (21.00 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a favorite. | |||||||
10-19-19 | South Dakota +6.5 v. Northern Iowa | 27-42 | Loss | -120 | 49 h 49 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: The OU is 70-159-3 30.6% when a team is off of a game where they rushed for more than 315 yards. In addition, they're not playing a second or more straight game on the road + we're talking about single digit favorite line or the team is a dog. Several other minor filters via the sportsdatabase url. -- Active on the Under in LTCH BONUS SYSTEM : Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Take WIS, NCAT, WIS is 15-4 ATS (5.68 ppg) since Nov 01, 2014 as a road favorite. | |||||||
10-19-19 | Wisconsin -30.5 v. Illinois | 23-24 | Loss | -111 | 44 h 49 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: The OU is 70-159-3 30.6% when a team is off of a game where they rushed for more than 315 yards. In addition, they're not playing a second or more straight game on the road + we're talking about single digit favorite line or the team is a dog. Several other minor filters via the sportsdatabase url. -- Active on the Under in LTCH BONUS SYSTEM : Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Take WIS, NCAT, WIS is 15-4 ATS (5.68 ppg) since Nov 01, 2014 as a road favorite. | |||||||
10-05-19 | Purdue v. Penn State -27.5 | 7-35 | Win | 100 | 92 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active this week on a number of teams. Click through the link for the list. Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS -- LSU | |||||||
10-05-19 | Utah State v. LSU -28 | 6-42 | Win | 100 | 92 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active this week on a number of teams. Click through the link for the list. Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS -- LSU | |||||||
09-28-19 | Ohio State -17 v. Nebraska | 48-7 | Win | 100 | 98 h 21 m | Show | |
EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. OHST | |||||||
09-21-19 | Baylor -26 v. Rice | 21-13 | Loss | -109 | 124 h 55 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on MIZ, BAY, and ORE this week CLEM is 29-0 SU since Oct 08, 2011 at home off a road game.TENT is 0-38 SU since Sep 15, 1984 on the road.MIZ is 8-2 ATS (10.70 ppg) since Nov 04, 2017 as a home favorite.RICE is 7-16 ATS (-7.43 ppg) since Oct 03, 2015 at home. EXTRA SYSTEM: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. Active for Week 4 on TLN, MIAF, and TXAM | |||||||
09-21-19 | South Carolina v. Missouri -9.5 | 14-34 | Win | 100 | 121 h 57 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on MIZ, BAY, and ORE this week CLEM is 29-0 SU since Oct 08, 2011 at home off a road game.TENT is 0-38 SU since Sep 15, 1984 on the road.MIZ is 8-2 ATS (10.70 ppg) since Nov 04, 2017 as a home favorite. EXTRA SYSTEM: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. Active for Week 4 on TLN, MIAF, and TXAM | |||||||
09-19-19 | Houston v. Tulane -4.5 | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 77 h 59 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on MIZ, BAY, and ORE this week CLEM is 29-0 SU since Oct 08, 2011 at home off a road game.TENT is 0-38 SU since Sep 15, 1984 on the road. EXTRA SYSTEM: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. Active for Week 4 on TLN, MIAF, and TXAM | |||||||
09-14-19 | Texas Tech -2 v. Arizona | 14-28 | Loss | -104 | 53 h 17 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active to play on TXT, CFL, and NCST this week EXTRA SYSTEM: A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off of a win in which they score 17+ points. -- Fade Stanford this week | |||||||
09-14-19 | Stanford v. Central Florida -7.5 | 27-45 | Win | 100 | 46 h 17 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active to play on TXT, CFL, and NCST this week EXTRA SYSTEM: A team that just lost as a dog but got at least 22 first downs chokes are 161-275-8 ATS (36.9%) vs. a team off of a win in which they score 17+ points. -- Fade Stanford this week | |||||||
09-07-19 | Arkansas State v. UNLV -1.5 | 43-17 | Loss | -105 | 55 h 3 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Active on BAY, CLEM, UNLV, NDST CLEM is 9-1 ATS (12.50 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite.AKST is 0-4 ATS (-13.12 ppg) since Sep 23, 2017 as a dog. | |||||||
09-07-19 | UTSA v. Baylor -25 | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 49 h 58 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Active on BAY, CLEM, UNLV, NDST CLEM is 9-1 ATS (12.50 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite.AKST is 0-4 ATS (-13.12 ppg) since Sep 23, 2017 as a dog. | |||||||
09-07-19 | Texas A&M v. Clemson -17 | 10-24 | Loss | -105 | 48 h 30 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Active on BAY, CLEM, UNLV, NDST CLEM is 9-1 ATS (12.50 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite. | |||||||
01-07-19 | Alabama v. Clemson +6 | 16-44 | Win | 100 | 99 h 32 m | Show | |
CLEM is 32-13 ATS (5.81 ppg) since Oct 11, 2003 as a dogCLEM is 13-0 since Sep 08, 2018 off a winAlmost 60% of the public bets are on Alabama. Let's take the points on Clemson here. | |||||||
12-14-18 | South Dakota State v. North Dakota State -7.5 | 21-44 | Win | 100 | 100 h 5 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR BOWL SEASON: Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS Look to play on NDST | |||||||
11-24-18 | Hawaii v. San Diego State -17 | 31-30 | Loss | -105 | 101 h 54 m | Show | |
Anything but a home dog has gone 25-54-0 ATS (30%) in database history after allowing over 6.5 yards per rush in 2+ straight games. | |||||||
11-24-18 | Temple -29 v. Connecticut | 57-7 | Win | 100 | 94 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 14: Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Temple | |||||||
11-17-18 | Indiana v. Michigan -27.5 | 20-31 | Loss | -108 | 132 h 7 m | Show | |
Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game. | |||||||
11-10-18 | Northwestern +10.5 v. Iowa | 14-10 | Win | 100 | 48 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 11: In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. Active on NORW, URI, MIS this week. TENT is 0-36 since Sep 15, 1984 on the roadNORW is 8-0 ATS (14.50 ppg) since Oct 24, 2015 as a road dogURI is 8-2 ATS (6.80 ppg) since Aug 31, 2017 | |||||||
11-10-18 | Ole Miss +13 v. Texas A&M | 24-38 | Loss | -105 | 45 h 31 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 11: In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. Active on NORW, URI, MIS this week. TENT is 0-36 since Sep 15, 1984 on the roadNORW is 8-0 ATS (14.50 ppg) since Oct 24, 2015 as a road dogURI is 8-2 ATS (6.80 ppg) since Aug 31, 2017 | |||||||
11-03-18 | Fresno State -24.5 v. UNLV | 48-3 | Win | 100 | 126 h 18 m | Show | |
Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Ohio U and Fresno | |||||||
11-01-18 | Ohio +2 v. Western Michigan | 59-14 | Win | 100 | 75 h 48 m | Show | |
Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Ohio U and Fresno | |||||||
10-27-18 | Washington v. California +10.5 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 124 h 18 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF FOR WEEK 9:In Database History, the OU is 204-293-1 (41.0%) when a team that just played a game as a favorite with a time of possession over over 22 minutes and less than 30. (Click thru the link to see the actives...quite a few this week) RUNNER UP KEY SYSTEM: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. KEY TEAM TRENDS FOR WEEK 9: *ORST is 0-22 since Oct 25, 2014 on the road *USC is 19-0 since Oct 24, 2015 at home *KAN is 0-17 since Nov 29, 2014 off a road game off a loss *OHU is 7-2 ATS (8.67 ppg) since Sep 02, 2017 at home *WAS is 3-9 ATS (-3.00 ppg) since Nov 10, 2017 Key CFB ines: 3, 7, 14, 10, 4, 21, 1, 17, 6, 24, 5, 2, 28, 18, 8, 11, 20, 31 Key CFB totals: 55, 51, 45, 41, 52, 48, 44, 58, 59, 37, 47, 65, 49, 69, 66, 62, 54, 34, 61, 38, 63 | |||||||
10-20-18 | Miami-OH v. Army -7.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -105 | 114 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: #003 - A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. (Take Army next week!) | |||||||
10-13-18 | Missouri v. Alabama -27.5 | 10-39 | Win | 100 | 49 h 1 m | Show | |
KEY ATS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. (ALABAMA) | |||||||
10-13-18 | Washington -3.5 v. Oregon | 27-30 | Loss | -100 | 123 h 40 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road. (Take WAS, and UAB next week) | |||||||
10-13-18 | UAB -16 v. Rice | 42-0 | Win | 100 | 120 h 10 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road. (Take WAS, and UAB next week) | |||||||
10-06-18 | Liberty v. New Mexico State +5 | 41-49 | Win | 100 | 59 h 54 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Fade Liberty next week) | |||||||
09-29-18 | Toledo v. Fresno State -7.5 | 27-49 | Win | 100 | 130 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Will be looking to Fade Toledo and USC [play on Arizona and Fresno that is]) | |||||||
09-29-18 | USC v. Arizona +3.5 | 24-20 | Loss | -115 | 130 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% (Will be looking to Fade Toledo and USC [play on Arizona and Fresno that is]) | |||||||
09-22-18 | Ohio v. Cincinnati -7.5 | 30-34 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 20 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. (Active to Play on ALA, CIN, MEM, WVA this week) EXTRA SYSTEM: Playing a home favorite of 34 or fewer points off of a 35+ pt. blowout is 107-40-3 ATS (72.8%) facing a sub .660 team off of a high scoring game. (Play on Cinci this week) | |||||||
09-15-18 | Alabama -21 v. Ole Miss | 62-7 | Win | 100 | 77 h 35 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. (Active on ALA, and CFL this week) | |||||||
09-08-18 | Connecticut v. Boise State -31.5 | 7-62 | Win | 100 | 29 h 9 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. (Fade Connecticut and Wyoming) | |||||||
09-01-18 | Old Dominion v. Liberty +6 | 10-52 | Win | 100 | 27 h 2 m | Show | |
Home dogs that finished above .500 last season now between +5 and +9.5 before week 6 are 62-21-0 (75%) ATS. (Take Liberty this week) | |||||||
09-01-18 | Florida Atlantic v. Oklahoma -20 | 14-63 | Win | 100 | 21 h 12 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: MAIN NCAAF Favorite System: Since 1989, 21 to 27 points home favorites are 234-131-10 (64.1%) ATS where the total is between 74 and 47.5.Since 2006, (Active on MCST, NEB, OKLA, PNST, and USC) this week. | |||||||
12-29-17 | Kentucky v. Northwestern -7 | 23-24 | Loss | -115 | 525 h 16 m | Show | |
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:*Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.*Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets. | |||||||
12-27-17 | Southern Miss +16 v. Florida State | 13-42 | Loss | -115 | 474 h 6 m | Show | |
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:*Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.*Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets. | |||||||
12-24-17 | Houston -2.5 v. Fresno State | 27-33 | Loss | -110 | 409 h 6 m | Show | |
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:*Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.*Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets. | |||||||
12-22-17 | Central Michigan v. Wyoming -1 | 14-37 | Win | 100 | 357 h 41 m | Show | |
All NCAAF Bowl Game Raw numbers are posted up to 1/1/2018! As usual, we'll try to get some middles in by getting on bets early where we anticipate public action. Since we're betting on games dated weeks out from now, we'll see a lot of line movements, and well...free money is free money....try and take a position on BOTH sides of one matchup over a key number. For example, below for NCAAF, you'll see a pick on Houston at -2.5 and Wyoming at -1.THE #1 Most common margin of victory since 2004 (by occurrence rate) is +3 / -3That is, one field goal....very logical why 3 would be the case (and #2 is +7 / -7 -- that's 1 TD...again, logical) MIDDLING NCAAF BOWL SEASON: How It Works So, taking a position under -3 on those two favs gives us the opportunity to do what's called "middling"This is where we take 1 bet early close to the opening line and then we bet the opposite side later IF / when the public / syndicates / 'smart money' / bookmakers move the line OVER or onto a 'handle' -- the moving over a handle (ie. 3 or 7 are 'handles' in American Football; this is where linemakers take in way more money and play a safer position on a 'handle' or a number where a push often occurs and the likelihood of getting even money is increased). So for example: Our bet on Houston -2.5 goes off not until December 24th and you can bet, on Christmas Eve, everyone will want to throw money down willy nilly on their favorite teams so we'll see a lot of line movement. We'll be looking to take a position on Houston's opponent Fresno State at +3.5 or better. The bottom line: if we can manage to get Houston -2.5, and then later, on Christmas eve before game time, get on Fresno State across the #1 most common handle, we're in business. That would mean that, we're only risking the vig in exchange for the proposition to win TWO bets! That's what middling is....and in my personal opinion, this is the proper way to think about doing it:*Anticipate public action or anything that would result in heavy line movement.*Take bet #1 as far out as you can on the public side (you anticipate it to be the public side that is)*Take bet #2 as close to game time as possible or just lock it in once you cross a handle (3 or 7 or both; 10 and 14 are good too). I may not post the middles, so I am explaining the process now for you guys. You don't have to middle the plays. I made sure the plays I am giving out (in NCAAF) are qualifiers on their own, but I love free money..... Alternatively, you could go 20% - 60% less stake on the other side for bet #2, since our conviction, in the end, is on the first bets. | |||||||
12-16-17 | North Texas +7 v. Troy | 30-50 | Loss | -115 | 212 h 55 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Favorites or small less than a field goal dogs are just 60-102-2 ATS on a 3+ game ats win streak in bowl games. Fade Troy, Central Mich, Fres, Flor State, Northwester, Lou and LSU! | |||||||
12-02-17 | North Texas +11.5 v. Florida Atlantic | 17-41 | Loss | -110 | 39 h 57 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A road team off of 3+ straight wins playing on a Saturday is 63-31-1 ATS if they played their last game on the road. - Take North Texas! | |||||||
11-25-17 | Tulane +8 v. SMU | 38-41 | Win | 100 | 56 h 34 m | Show | |
11-25-17 | East Carolina v. Memphis -28 | 13-70 | Win | 100 | 56 h 34 m | Show | |
11-24-17 | Navy +4.5 v. Houston | 14-24 | Loss | -110 | 32 h 35 m | Show | |
11-18-17 | Missouri -7.5 v. Vanderbilt | 45-17 | Win | 100 | 44 h 33 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Play on MIZ | |||||||
11-18-17 | Michigan +7.5 v. Wisconsin | 10-24 | Loss | -115 | 36 h 33 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. Play on MIZ | |||||||
11-11-17 | Boise State -6 v. Colorado State | 59-52 | Win | 100 | 53 h 21 m | Show | |
11-11-17 | UAB +8 v. UTSA | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 50 h 6 m | Show | |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,160 |
Dan Kaiser | $1,039 |
Tom Macrina | $650 |
Ray Monohan | $618 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Jesse Schule | $418 |
Big Al McMordie | $350 |
Marc Lawrence | $300 |
Mike Lundin | $293 |
Joseph D'Amico | $268 |