Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 103 | 120 h 29 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Chiefs here. This trend is even better during the playoffs which is why I like it as the Top system for the Super Bowl It is 38.9% in the playoffs and 42.5% in regular season. In addition: *Home dogs of less that 6 pointsoff ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- This is a strong play on the Buccs system... The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS (-1.25 ppg) since Nov 22, 2020 as a road favorite.The Chiefs are 1-8 ATS (-2.22 ppg) since Nov 08, 2020 as a favorite.The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS (12.62 ppg) since Oct 18, 2020 as a dog. | |||||||
01-24-21 | Bucs +3.5 v. Packers | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 70 h 49 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, road teams within 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. - Active on the BILLS The Chiefs are 0-9 ATS (-4.61 ppg) since Nov 08, 2020.The Bills are 12-31 OU (-4.43 ppg) since Nov 10, 2013 as a road dog.The Chiefs are 0-8 ATS (-3.88 ppg) since Nov 08, 2020 as a favorite. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Active to play on the BUCCS | |||||||
01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -112 | 73 h 11 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Teams facing underdogs off of two or more straight games where they were up by over 90 total points at the half and at least 17 in each (fading the dog) goes: SU: 284-133-1 (6.26, 68.1%) ATS: 221-186-11 (1.63, 54.3%) in all of database history! Fade the Buccs The Saints are 4-0 ATS (6.88 ppg) since Nov 15, 2020 as a home favorite.The Saints are 7-1 ATS (6.50 ppg) since Nov 15, 2020 as a favorite.The Saints are 5-0 ATS (5.60 ppg) since Nov 15, 2020 at home. Drew Brees is SU: 64-30-0 (7.83, 68.1%) ATS: 54-39-1 (3.27, 58.1%) off of 2 or more straight wins. | |||||||
01-11-21 | Ohio State +9 v. Alabama | Top | 24-52 | Loss | -112 | 54 h 26 m | Show |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, 3 to 10 points dogs off of a game where they led by over two touchdowns at the half in their last game are ATS: 49-29-1 (2.80, 62.8%) against a team off of 2+ straight games where they led by double digits at the half. -- Play on Ohio State! | |||||||
01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers -6 | Top | 48-37 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 34 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Browns | |||||||
01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Browns | |||||||
01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles +2 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -113 | 98 h 54 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Play on the Eagles | |||||||
12-27-20 | Panthers +2.5 v. Washington Football Team | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 266 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week to play on the PATRIOTS In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Packers Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! | |||||||
12-27-20 | Bears v. Jaguars +7.5 | 41-17 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 50 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Play on the 49ers this week Super high p-stat and statistical confidence SYSTEM here. Paired together with very strong raw Numbers + the public has pounded Arizona, but the line, in most books, hasn't moved since the open from +5 and has gone to +4.5 or +4 in a few larger books....again, despite the fact that the public is absolutely pounding Arizona here. We're taking the 49ers as a top play for great value at +5 this week!. Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. -- Play on Jax this week The Cardinals are 7-18 ATS (-2.46 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 as a home favorite.In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- Active to play on JAX and HOU | |||||||
12-26-20 | 49ers +5 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 47 h 20 m | Show |
12-20-20 | Seahawks -4 v. Washington Football Team | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week to play on the PATRIOTS In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Packers Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! | |||||||
12-20-20 | Patriots +2.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 12-22 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 8 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week to play on the PATRIOTS In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Packers Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! | |||||||
12-19-20 | Panthers +9 v. Packers | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 78 h 32 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week to play on the PATRIOTS In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Packers Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! | |||||||
12-18-20 | Oregon +3 v. USC | 31-24 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, the UNDER is O/U: 68-98-5 (-0.68, 41.0%) when you have two teams meeting that have committed very few turnovers recently; both teams off of a game with 1 or fewer turnovers and at least one of the two teams on a 5 game streak doing such. -- Active this week on the UNDER at PENN ST A home team off of two or more straight very close, hard fought conference rival losses (by 7 or fewer pts in each game) is SU: 94-60-0 (4.62, 61.0%) and ATS: 81-68-4 (2.20, 54.4%). That's solid on both the moneyline and the spread alike. -- Play on ORST | |||||||
12-13-20 | Titans v. Jaguars +9 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -130 | 67 h 12 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. -- Active this week to play on HOU, BUCCS, MIN, WASH, NYG, JAX, and SEA Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Play on the Patriots this week Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the Rams this week Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. Really solid system here active on the Jaguars. | |||||||
12-12-20 | Duke +5.5 v. Florida State | 35-56 | Loss | -110 | 94 h 48 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading road teams averaging a poor 7 or more point deficit at the half after a high scoring (60+ total pts) game yields a SU: 476-356-0 (2.94, 57.2%) and ATS: 463-346-14 (1.47, 57.2%) record for the home team. Profitable on both the moneyline and pointspread. -- Active this week on UTEP and DUKE | |||||||
12-10-20 | Patriots +4.5 v. Rams | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. -- Active this week to play on HOU, BUCCS, MIN, WASH, NYG, JAX, and SEA Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Play on the Patriots this week Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the Rams this week Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. Really solid system here active on the Jaguars. | |||||||
12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers | Top | 45-0 | Win | 100 | 64 h 1 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or more of their last 7 games are profitable on the spread as well as the money line (to fade). -- Fade the Chargers and Seahawks this week Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. -- Fade the Eagles In database history, .400 to .500 road dogs off of 0 or 1 wins in their last 3 games are ATS: 40-46-1 (-1.26, 46.5%) against sub .500 teams | |||||||
12-06-20 | Jaguars +10.5 v. Vikings | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 61 h 36 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or more of their last 7 games are profitable on the spread as well as the money line (to fade). -- Fade the Chargers and Seahawks this week Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. -- Fade the Eagles In database history, .400 to .500 road dogs off of 0 or 1 wins in their last 3 games are ATS: 40-46-1 (-1.26, 46.5%) against sub .500 teams | |||||||
12-06-20 | Raiders v. Jets +9.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 46 h 18 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or more of their last 7 games are profitable on the spread as well as the money line (to fade). -- Fade the Chargers and Seahawks this week Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. -- Fade the Eagles In database history, .400 to .500 road dogs off of 0 or 1 wins in their last 3 games are ATS: 40-46-1 (-1.26, 46.5%) against sub .500 teams BONUS SYSTEM: *NFL Power System: *Since 1989, DOGS with ZERO WINS in the second half of the season are 126-84-5 (60.0%) ATS -- Active this week to play on the Jets | |||||||
12-05-20 | Fresno State v. Nevada -6.5 | 26-37 | Win | 100 | 32 h 41 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have covered by at least 2 points in four or more of their last 5 games with a team win% between .600 and .460 are a solid SU: 133-71-1 (6.70, 65.2%) and ATS: 107-90-5 (2.31, 54.3%). Profitable on both the moneyline and spread. -- Active this week on VIR, MIZ and TLN Since 2010, the Under is O/U: 300-388-10 (-0.65, 43.6%) in matchups with a .500 to .620 team that lost 1 or 2 of their last 3 against a plus .500 team. Take the Unders in GSOU and VIR BONUS MONEYLINE SYSTEM: In database history, home teams off of 3 or more straight conference wins are a very solid SU: 1122-326-11 (15.20, 77.5%) and ATS: 740-651-39 (1.24, 53.2%) on Saturday games after the first month of the season. Strong on the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week on CSTC, IWST, NOTD, OKLA, WAS, WMCH | |||||||
12-05-20 | Colorado State +8 v. San Diego State | 17-29 | Loss | -110 | 30 h 41 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have covered by at least 2 points in four or more of their last 5 games with a team win% between .600 and .460 are a solid SU: 133-71-1 (6.70, 65.2%) and ATS: 107-90-5 (2.31, 54.3%). Profitable on both the moneyline and spread. -- Active this week on VIR, MIZ and TLN Since 2010, the Under is O/U: 300-388-10 (-0.65, 43.6%) in matchups with a .500 to .620 team that lost 1 or 2 of their last 3 against a plus .500 team. Take the Unders in GSOU and VIR BONUS MONEYLINE SYSTEM: In database history, home teams off of 3 or more straight conference wins are a very solid SU: 1122-326-11 (15.20, 77.5%) and ATS: 740-651-39 (1.24, 53.2%) on Saturday games after the first month of the season. Strong on the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week on CSTC, IWST, NOTD, OKLA, WAS, WMCH | |||||||
12-05-20 | Indiana v. Wisconsin -14 | 14-6 | Loss | -103 | 26 h 19 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have covered by at least 2 points in four or more of their last 5 games with a team win% between .600 and .460 are a solid SU: 133-71-1 (6.70, 65.2%) and ATS: 107-90-5 (2.31, 54.3%). Profitable on both the moneyline and spread. -- Active this week on VIR, MIZ and TLN Since 2010, the Under is O/U: 300-388-10 (-0.65, 43.6%) in matchups with a .500 to .620 team that lost 1 or 2 of their last 3 against a plus .500 team. Take the Unders in GSOU and VIR BONUS MONEYLINE SYSTEM: In database history, home teams off of 3 or more straight conference wins are a very solid SU: 1122-326-11 (15.20, 77.5%) and ATS: 740-651-39 (1.24, 53.2%) on Saturday games after the first month of the season. Strong on the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week on CSTC, IWST, NOTD, OKLA, WAS, WMCH | |||||||
11-29-20 | Saints -6 v. Broncos | 31-3 | Win | 100 | 93 h 15 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, small favorites or underdogs average a solid 5.65 or higher Yards per play on the season, are just ATS: 133-169-8 (-1.46, 44.0%) when they're off of a game where they were outscored in total yards by 110 yards last game. -- Fade the Lions, Ravens and Falcons (play on Houston, Pittsburgh and Las Vegas) The Lions are 1-6 ATS (-5.00 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019 as a home dog.The Saints are 27-10-1 ATS (5.88 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 on the road. EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active to play on the Patriots over the Cardinals this week 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201129, 'Titans'), (20201129, 'Panthers') In database history, a hot team from week 10 to week 14 that has won 7 or more of their last 10 games is a solid SU: 366-175-0 (5.40, 67.7%) and ATS: 277-245-19 (1.17, 53.1%. -- Play on the Saints (and others via the link) | |||||||
11-28-20 | Miami-OH -14 v. Akron | Top | 38-7 | Win | 100 | 65 h 45 m | Show |
11-27-20 | Notre Dame v. North Carolina +6 | Top | 31-17 | Loss | -110 | 43 h 15 m | Show |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Road teams off of a win that have shown poor defense in their last two games (allowed >30 pts) facing a team off of a win are just 32-85-3 ATS 27.4% -- Fade Notre Dame (play on NCAR) In database history, teams performing poorly in their first halves (avg 6 points or more deficit at the half per game) that just played a game with 60 or more points scored total are a miserable: SU: 392-504-0 (-2.47, 43.8%) / ATS: 379-492-15 (-1.35, 43.5%).Solid ROI and raw profit on the moneyline as well as ATS! -- Active to play on MIAOH, VIR and more (see link) NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK: In database history, the Under is O/U: 49-93-5 (-3.70, 34.5%) in matchups with two hot teams winning against the spread in 3 to 4 or their last straight games each. -- Active on the Under in WVA and ALA The Under is 41-8-0 in ACC matchups where one team is off a bye week and will be playing a conference game in their next two. -- Take the Under in NCAR The OU is 220-323-25 (-1.15, 40.5%) in games with two teams off of big home wins; one a large win (17+ pt margin) and at least one of the two a blowout home win (27+ pts). | |||||||
11-27-20 | Iowa State v. Texas +1 | 23-20 | Loss | -110 | 40 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, teams performing poorly in their first halves (avg 6 points or more deficit at the half per game) that just played a game with 60 or more points scored total are a miserable: SU: 392-504-0 (-2.47, 43.8%) / ATS: 379-492-15 (-1.35, 43.5%).Solid ROI and raw profit on the moneyline as well as ATS! -- Active to play on MIAOH, VIR and more (see link) NCAAF TOTAL OF THE WEEK: In database history, the Under is O/U: 49-93-5 (-3.70, 34.5%) in matchups with two hot teams winning against the spread in 3 to 4 or their last straight games each. -- Active on the Under in WVA and ALA The Under is 41-8-0 in ACC matchups where one team is off a bye week and will be playing a conference game in their next two. -- Take the Under in NCAR The OU is 220-323-25 (-1.15, 40.5%) in games with two teams off of big home wins; one a large win (17+ pt margin) and at least one of the two a blowout home win (27+ pts). | |||||||
11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, small favorites or underdogs average a solid 5.65 or higher Yards per play on the season, are just ATS: 133-169-8 (-1.46, 44.0%) when they're off of a game where they were outscored in total yards by 110 yards last game. -- Fade the Lions, Ravens and Falcons (play on Houston, Pittsburgh and Las Vegas) The Lions are 1-6 ATS (-5.00 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019 as a home dog.The Saints are 27-10-1 ATS (5.88 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 on the road.EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active to play on the Patriots over the Cardinals this week 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201129, 'Titans'), (20201129, 'Panthers') In database history, a hot team from week 10 to week 14 that has won 7 or more of their last 10 games is a solid SU: 366-175-0 (5.40, 67.7%) and ATS: 277-245-19 (1.17, 53.1%. -- Play on the Saints (and others via the link) | |||||||
11-26-20 | Texans -3 v. Lions | Top | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, small favorites or underdogs average a solid 5.65 or higher Yards per play on the season, are just ATS: 133-169-8 (-1.46, 44.0%) when they're off of a game where they were outscored in total yards by 110 yards last game. -- Fade the Lions, Ravens and Falcons (play on Houston, Pittsburgh and Las Vegas) The Lions are 1-6 ATS (-5.00 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019 as a home dog. | |||||||
11-22-20 | Chiefs -6.5 v. Raiders | 35-31 | Loss | -100 | 100 h 50 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201122, 'Titans'), (20201122, 'Cowboys'), (20201129, 'Titans'), (20201129, 'Panthers'), (20201203, 'Cowboys'), (20201206, 'Lions'), (20201206, 'Bengals'), (20201213, 'Texans'), (20201213, 'Panthers'), (20201214, 'Browns') and 9 more In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Vikings RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Andy Reid is 87-64-1 SU (57.6%) and 94-57-1 (62.3%) ATS, career, as a head coach in the NFL when on the road. -- Let's take the Chiefs too for a smaller amount this week.... | |||||||
11-22-20 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Vikings | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 96 h 55 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201122, 'Titans'), (20201122, 'Cowboys'), (20201129, 'Titans'), (20201129, 'Panthers'), (20201203, 'Cowboys'), (20201206, 'Lions'), (20201206, 'Bengals'), (20201213, 'Texans'), (20201213, 'Panthers'), (20201214, 'Browns') and 9 more | |||||||
11-18-20 | Western Michigan v. Central Michigan +1 | 52-44 | Loss | -112 | 4 h 36 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home dogs off of 2+ straight conference wins are ATS: 194-148-2 (2.73, 56.7%) against a team off of a home win. Also very good on the moneyline. -- Active this week on CMCH, CFL, FRES and NEV | |||||||
11-15-20 | Bengals v. Steelers -10 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 240 h 14 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- | |||||||
11-15-20 | 49ers +10 v. Saints | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -120 | 92 h 40 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Saints The Fortyniners are 6-1 ATS (9.07 ppg) since Dec 01, 2019 on the road.The Saints are 2-7 ATS (-5.00 ppg) since Nov 10, 2019 as a home favorite.The Panthers are 1-7 ATS (-8.94 ppg) since Nov 17, 2019 at home. 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing:These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201112, 'Titans'), (20201115, 'Bills'), (20201115, 'Panthers'), (20201115, 'Raiders'), (20201115, 'Seahawks') + Lions EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week. -- Play on Chargers and Eagles | |||||||
11-14-20 | Louisville +3.5 v. Virginia | Top | 17-31 | Loss | -118 | 95 h 14 m | Show |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a -4 to any underdog (>= -4 point spread) home team averaging a negative margin at the half on the season as well as netting that same metric goes ATS: 617-467-22 (1.96, 56.9%) after the fade team played a game with 60 or more points scored in total. Active this week on: CMCH, MEM, NEV, SMU, UTAH, and LOUISVILLE this week! Home teams averaging a poor 12.1 or more punt return yards allowed per return are a solid ATS: 421-347-25 (0.92, 54.8%) -- Play on Tulsa In NCAAFB database history, .540 to .460 win percent home teams are a solid ATS: 84-71-3 (2.49, 54.2%) after covering the spread in 4 or more games of their last 5. -- Play on Tulane | |||||||
11-14-20 | Penn State v. Nebraska +3.5 | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 92 h 43 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a -4 to any underdog (>= -4 point spread) home team averaging a negative margin at the half on the season as well as netting that same metric goes ATS: 617-467-22 (1.96, 56.9%) after the fade team played a game with 60 or more points scored in total. Active this week on: CMCH, MEM, NEV, SMU, UTAH, and LOUISVILLE this week! Home teams averaging a poor 12.1 or more punt return yards allowed per return are a solid ATS: 421-347-25 (0.92, 54.8%) -- Play on Tulsa In NCAAFB database history, .540 to .460 win percent home teams are a solid ATS: 84-71-3 (2.49, 54.2%) after covering the spread in 4 or more games of their last 5. -- Play on Tulane | |||||||
11-14-20 | Miami-FL v. Virginia Tech -1.5 | 25-24 | Loss | -113 | 92 h 42 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a -4 to any underdog (>= -4 point spread) home team averaging a negative margin at the half on the season as well as netting that same metric goes ATS: 617-467-22 (1.96, 56.9%) after the fade team played a game with 60 or more points scored in total. Active this week on: CMCH, MEM, NEV, SMU, UTAH, and LOUISVILLE this week! Home teams averaging a poor 12.1 or more punt return yards allowed per return are a solid ATS: 421-347-25 (0.92, 54.8%) -- Play on Tulsa In NCAAFB database history, .540 to .460 win percent home teams are a solid ATS: 84-71-3 (2.49, 54.2%) after covering the spread in 4 or more games of their last 5. -- Play on Tulane | |||||||
11-14-20 | Indiana v. Michigan State +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -107 | 92 h 42 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a -4 to any underdog (>= -4 point spread) home team averaging a negative margin at the half on the season as well as netting that same metric goes ATS: 617-467-22 (1.96, 56.9%) after the fade team played a game with 60 or more points scored in total. Active this week on: CMCH, MEM, NEV, SMU, UTAH, and LOUISVILLE this week! Home teams averaging a poor 12.1 or more punt return yards allowed per return are a solid ATS: 421-347-25 (0.92, 54.8%) -- Play on Tulsa In NCAAFB database history, .540 to .460 win percent home teams are a solid ATS: 84-71-3 (2.49, 54.2%) after covering the spread in 4 or more games of their last 5. -- Play on Tulane | |||||||
11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 14 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- | |||||||
11-08-20 | Steelers v. Cowboys +14 | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 72 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- | |||||||
11-07-20 | Texas A&M v. South Carolina +10 | 48-3 | Loss | -106 | 75 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a home team off of 1+ games going Over the total with a poor defense allowing 35 or more ppg goes ATS: 596-473-16 (1.35, 55.8%). Also very good ROI on the moneyline. Play on TLN, PIT, SFL, CHAR, TLS, LTECH and APP this week Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. | |||||||
11-07-20 | Western Kentucky v. Florida Atlantic -6.5 | 6-10 | Loss | -115 | 74 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a home team off of 1+ games going Over the total with a poor defense allowing 35 or more ppg goes ATS: 596-473-16 (1.35, 55.8%). Also very good ROI on the moneyline. Play on TLN, PIT, SFL, CHAR, TLS, LTECH and APP this week Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. | |||||||
11-07-20 | Appalachian State -17.5 v. Texas State | 38-17 | Win | 100 | 115 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. Take the Following this week | |||||||
11-07-20 | Troy v. Georgia Southern +3 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 69 h 15 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a home team off of 1+ games going Over the total with a poor defense allowing 35 or more ppg goes ATS: 596-473-16 (1.35, 55.8%). Also very good ROI on the moneyline. Play on TLN, PIT, SFL, CHAR, TLS, LTECH and APP this week Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. | |||||||
11-07-20 | Michigan State v. Iowa -6.5 | 7-49 | Win | 100 | 68 h 14 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: In database history, fading a home team off of 1+ games going Over the total with a poor defense allowing 35 or more ppg goes ATS: 596-473-16 (1.35, 55.8%). Also very good ROI on the moneyline. Play on TLN, PIT, SFL, CHAR, TLS, LTECH and APP this week Fade home teams off of a game where 60+ points were scored that Averages at least a touchdown loss per game. Good ATS, but also very solid on the moneyline. | |||||||
11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 2 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Teams are 55-38-1 ATS since 2002 after a game where the longest rush allowed in the previous game was 72 yards or more. (20201101, 'Ravens'), (20201101, 'Eagles') Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Lions The Steelers are 8-36-3 OU (-5.04 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Jets are 0-13 SU since Dec 31, 2017 off a home game off a loss.The Cowboys are 10-0 SU since Nov 16, 2008 on the road off a road game off a loss.Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS!The Panthers are 1-6 ATS (-8.86 ppg) since Nov 17, 2019 at home. EXTRA SYSTEM : All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! Active on ATL and TENN | |||||||
10-31-20 | Western Kentucky v. BYU -28 | Top | 10-41 | Win | 100 | 103 h 47 m | Show |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - BYU Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- MRSH , ALA , CLEM A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active on BYU In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - KAST | |||||||
10-31-20 | Mississippi State v. Alabama -30.5 | 0-41 | Win | 100 | 100 h 36 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - BYU Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- MRSH , ALA , CLEM A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active on BYU In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - KAST | |||||||
10-31-20 | Appalachian State -31 v. UL-Monroe | 31-13 | Loss | -110 | 124 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week | |||||||
10-31-20 | Kansas State +4 v. West Virginia | 10-37 | Loss | -116 | 93 h 32 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - BYU Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- MRSH , ALA , CLEM A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active on BYU In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - KAST | |||||||
10-31-20 | Boston College v. Clemson -30.5 | 28-34 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 32 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Active on APP this week A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. - BYU Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- MRSH , ALA , CLEM A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. Active on BYU In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - KAST | |||||||
10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Teams are 55-38-1 ATS since 2002 after a game where the longest rush allowed in the previous game was 72 yards or more. (20201101, 'Ravens'), (20201101, 'Eagles') Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Lions The Steelers are 8-36-3 OU (-5.04 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Jets are 0-13 SU since Dec 31, 2017 off a home game off a loss.The Cowboys are 10-0 SU since Nov 16, 2008 on the road off a road game off a loss.Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS!The Panthers are 1-6 ATS (-8.86 ppg) since Nov 17, 2019 at home. EXTRA SYSTEM : All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! Active on ATL and TENN | |||||||
10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -103 | 101 h 33 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. Fade the Rams this week Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Play on the Bears Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Falcons and Jets The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Now 54-18 for the Under -- Active on the Under in Denver | |||||||
10-24-20 | Alabama -21 v. Tennessee | 48-17 | Win | 100 | 95 h 6 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Alabama | |||||||
10-24-20 | Iowa State v. Oklahoma State -3 | 21-24 | Push | 0 | 71 h 14 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Alabama In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - NCST A team off of a >34 pt. win putting up between 38 and 49 points prior to week 13 on normal rest are 391 - 281-1 58.2% ATS - GSOU and OKST | |||||||
10-24-20 | Syracuse v. Clemson -45.5 | 21-47 | Loss | -110 | 116 h 2 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM | |||||||
10-24-20 | NC State +16 v. North Carolina | 21-48 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 45 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Alabama In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - NCST | |||||||
10-24-20 | Georgia Southern +6 v. Coastal Carolina | 14-28 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- CLEM Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS - Active this week on Alabama In matchups between two plus .500 teams the road dog is 136-76-4 64.2% ATS against the home favorite off of a 1-11 pt. conference loss. - NCST A team off of a >34 pt. win putting up between 38 and 49 points prior to week 13 on normal rest are 391 - 281-1 58.2% ATS - GSOU and OKST | |||||||
10-19-20 | Chiefs v. Bills +4 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -108 | 115 h 24 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20201018, 'Fortyniners'), (20201019, 'Bills') Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the Chiefs Since 1989, dogs off of two or more straight games where they scored 19 or more points before the half are just 22-72-0 SU (23.4%) and 34-55-5 (38.2%) ATS in their next. -- Fade the Brownies this week Steelers' head coach, MIKE TOMLIN is 17-3 SU and 16-4-0 ATS (+9.07 ppg) after allowing over 28 points Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Play on the Falcons and Jets this week Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Active to play on the Packers | |||||||
10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 87 h 24 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20201018, 'Fortyniners'), (20201019, 'Bills') Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the Chiefs Since 1989, dogs off of two or more straight games where they scored 19 or more points before the half are just 22-72-0 SU (23.4%) and 34-55-5 (38.2%) ATS in their next. -- Fade the Brownies this week Steelers' head coach, MIKE TOMLIN is 17-3 SU and 16-4-0 ATS (+9.07 ppg) after allowing over 28 points Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Play on the Falcons and Jets this week Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Active to play on the Packers | |||||||
10-17-20 | Georgia v. Alabama -5 | 24-41 | Win | 100 | 125 h 31 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: | |||||||
10-17-20 | Boston College +11 v. Virginia Tech | 14-40 | Loss | -109 | 124 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: | |||||||
10-17-20 | Clemson -26.5 v. Georgia Tech | 73-7 | Win | 100 | 116 h 21 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEMS OF THE WEEK: | |||||||
10-11-20 | Giants +10 v. Cowboys | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 74 h 41 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Giants this week The Giants are 10-2 ATS (2.54 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog. Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Vikings and Giants Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. Active this week on the Giants over the Boys | |||||||
10-10-20 | Alabama -23.5 v. Ole Miss | 63-48 | Loss | -110 | 127 h 37 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, -21 to -31 point conference Favorites off of 2+ straight double digit conference wins have gone 102-40-2 ATS -- Active on Alabama | |||||||
10-04-20 | Chargers +7.5 v. Bucs | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 92 h 2 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, poor turnover road defences (avg | |||||||
10-04-20 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -126 | 92 h 2 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, poor turnover road defences (avg | |||||||
10-03-20 | TCU v. Texas -13 | 33-31 | Loss | -108 | 122 h 1 m | Show | |
A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Play on Texas | |||||||
10-02-20 | Louisiana Tech v. BYU -24 | 14-45 | Win | 100 | 107 h 2 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 2+ straight >27 pt. blowout wins is 112-44-1 71.8% ATS against a team that just allowed over 36 points last game. -- Play on BYU | |||||||
09-27-20 | Bears +3.5 v. Falcons | 30-26 | Win | 100 | 73 h 48 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Active this week on the Chicago and Washington (Fade the Browns and Falcons) Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Active this week to fade the Colts and Eagles (play on the Vikings and Rams)Key Coach Filter / Trend to consider this week: Andy Reid is 87-64-1 SU (57.6%) and 94-57-1 (62.3%) ATS, career, as a head coach in the NFL when on the road. | |||||||
09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 44 h 15 m | Show | |
A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. Fade the Raiders | |||||||
09-27-20 | Washington Football Team +7.5 v. Browns | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -114 | 73 h 48 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Active this week on the Chicago and Washington (Fade the Browns and Falcons) Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Active this week to fade the Colts and Eagles (play on the Vikings and Rams)Key Coach Filter / Trend to consider this week: Andy Reid is 87-64-1 SU (57.6%) and 94-57-1 (62.3%) ATS, career, as a head coach in the NFL when on the road. | |||||||
09-26-20 | Vanderbilt +30.5 v. Texas A&M | 12-17 | Win | 100 | 27 h 50 m | Show | |
Prior to week 6; low total, conference game goes 33-86-5 27.7% ATS for the home favorite. | |||||||
09-26-20 | Duke +5.5 v. Virginia | 20-38 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 20 m | Show | |
Prior to week 6; low total, conference game goes 33-86-5 27.7% ATS for the home favorite. | |||||||
09-26-20 | Army v. Cincinnati -14 | 10-24 | Push | 0 | 100 h 26 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- Active this week on CIN , OKLA | |||||||
09-26-20 | Kansas State v. Oklahoma -27.5 | 38-35 | Loss | -110 | 97 h 1 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home team off of a 35+ pt. win is 648-485-22 (57.2%) ATS as long as the opp. isn't off of a road win. -- Active this week on CIN , OKLA | |||||||
09-20-20 | Broncos +7.5 v. Steelers | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 66 h 48 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- Play on the Broncos this wekk Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Active to Fade the Colts, Eagles, KEY RUNNER UP SYSTEM: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. * The reason a 5-18-0 system is a key runner up of the week is because it is now 17-53 OU - So that would make it's record 8-35 OU since inception or in other words, 8-35 is the record of the system's real world performance; which, as I've said before, as systems go is one of the Top 3 most meaningful factors: What has this system actually done for us. Turns out it has done quite a lot. The one drawback is that it started off not really as a system and more of just a filter / trend due to the small sample size. The sample size is still a bit small at about 80 games compared to our average of about 200 games on most systems. We'll continue to watch this one and see if there are areas we can extrapolate on / see if there is some larger idea going on behind the scenes on why this trend is doing so well. 8-35 is a standard score of 4.11, and we tend to draw the line at 2.00 or more as a core filter in all of statistical analysis as 'potentially meaningful' or 'probably not meaningful / product of chance' - This week this is active on the UNDERS at Chargers and Texans so long as those lines are 8+ EXTRA SYSTEM: Home dogs of less that 6 pointsoff ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Play on the Raiders | |||||||
09-19-20 | Syracuse v. Pittsburgh -21 | 10-21 | Loss | -110 | 117 h 50 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: A home favorite off of a blowout (52+ pt) win as a favorite is 306-177-15 63.4% ATS as long as neither team played at a neutral site last game. -- Active on PIT this week | |||||||
09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 53 h 48 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: NFL Annual Week One PCG SDQL Trend -- Published on the SDQL Annual Periodical the other year -- Plays on Large road dogs and fairly large home dogs that pulled in 6 or fewer wins last season in week one -- Active this week on the following teams-Cardinals -Jaguars -Dolphins -Browns -Washington -Giants In week 1, playing road dogs of no more than +6.5 points that finished last regular season with 6 or fewer wins has gone 45-15-5 (75.4%) ATS in database history. -- Active week one on the Dolphins I don't actually have a system to go by on my week one top play on the Rams. It is more based on some strong Raw numbers and some very sharp action on the bet along with most of the public, for some reason, hating the Rams. They're now at +3 at home in Las Vegas. *I said I'd have NFL out by yesterday, but we had nothing on the TNF game, and I felt pretty sure that if I waiting, this line would go to the big +3 handle, and it did. Still, I think, as with the other sports and the odd Covid situation, Plus it being week 1 and the Raw numbers having no current season data, lay a bit less than you normally would. Odd extenuating circumstance surrounding a the play, which is solid, being the reason for that. | |||||||
09-12-20 | Austin Peay State v. Pittsburgh -27 | 0-55 | Win | 100 | 95 h 51 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: MAIN NCAAF Favorite System: Since 1989, 21 to 27 points home favorites are 234-131-10 (64.1%) ATS where the total is between 74 and 47.5. -- Active this week on NCAR and PIT | |||||||
09-12-20 | Syracuse v. North Carolina -22 | 6-31 | Win | 100 | 91 h 51 m | Show | |
NCAAFB SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: MAIN NCAAF Favorite System: Since 1989, 21 to 27 points home favorites are 234-131-10 (64.1%) ATS where the total is between 74 and 47.5. -- Active this week on NCAR and PIT | |||||||
02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -109 | 316 h 37 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Chiefs BONUS SYSTEM: In the playoffs, road teams off a home game line between +6 and -6 are 33-17-1 66.0% ATS -- Active on the 49ers The Fortyniners are 11-0 ATS (+9.36 ppg) on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing team that forcing less than four punts per game.The Fortyniners are 9-3 OU (9.92 ppg) since Oct 27, 2019. | |||||||
01-19-20 | Packers +9 v. 49ers | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -130 | 97 h 39 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the 49ers and Chiefs this week The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS (9.62 ppg) since Dec 01, 2019 as a home favorite.The Fortyniners are 0-14 ATS (-10.29 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they threw at least nine fewer passes than their season-to-date average.The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS (9.42 ppg) since Nov 18, 2019 as a favorite. | |||||||
01-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Active this week on the Vikings The Packers are 19-0 ATS (+13.13 ppg) as a home favorite off a road win when they are facing a non-divisional opponent that is averaging at least 31.5 passes per game.The Texans are 11-0 ATS (+8.55 ppg) on the road on grass off a game as a favorite in which they had more third down conversions made than punts.The Packers are 12-0 ATS (+10.21 ppg) as a favorite when they are off a road win against a team that was seeking same-season revenge.The Texans are 0-14 ATS (-10.73 ppg) in franchise history the week after a home win when they are an underdog to a team that is averaging less than 1.30 turnovers per game.The Seahawks are 5-0-1 ATS (6.83 ppg) since Oct 28, 2018 as a road dog.Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. - Fade the 49ers | |||||||
01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans -1 | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 96 h 58 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20200104, 'Texans'), (20200104, 'Titans') | |||||||
12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks | |||||||
12-29-19 | Redskins +13.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 16-47 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks | |||||||
12-22-19 | Bengals +1.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 145 h 47 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Without a doubt, both the best trend and best System of the week by strict metrics. Also a very simple and straightforward trend which, when combined with excellent results, is nothing but $$$ | |||||||
12-22-19 | Steelers v. Jets +3 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 145 h 43 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Without a doubt, both the best trend and best System of the week by strict metrics. Also a very simple and straightforward trend which, when combined with excellent results, is nothing but $$$ | |||||||
12-15-19 | Falcons +12 v. 49ers | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 45 h 60 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Chargers | |||||||
12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers +1.5 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 40 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Chargers | |||||||
12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots -2.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -135 | 97 h 37 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Active this week on the Panthers The Ravens are 14-0 ATS (+8.79 ppg) on the road off a win as a favorite in which their opponent scored first.The Steelers are 8-33-1 OU (-5.24 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Titans are 0-13 ATS (-8.73 ppg) on grass when they are off a TD=plus win and they are playing a team with a worse record.The Jets are 0-14 ATS (-11.93 ppg) when they are off a loss and averaging more than 24 points per game over their last three games.The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Bengals are 13-0 ATS (+11.08 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog in which they outgained their opponent.The Fortyniners are 0-14 ATS (-10.29 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they threw at least nine fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Patriots are 21-0 SU since Oct 22, 2017 at home.The Patriots are 14-0 SU since Dec 04, 2016 at home off a road game.The Patriots are 8-0 SU since Dec 23, 2018 off a road game. The Bengals are 8-1 ATS (2.44 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 as a road dog..The Bengals are 8-1 ATS (2.44 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 on the road. The Saints are 8-2 ATS (2.80 ppg) since Sep 22, 2019.The Saints are 2-7 ATS (-7.17 ppg) since Dec 23, 2018 as a home favorite. | |||||||
12-08-19 | Bengals +10 v. Browns | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 93 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Active this week on the Panthers The Ravens are 14-0 ATS (+8.79 ppg) on the road off a win as a favorite in which their opponent scored first.The Steelers are 8-33-1 OU (-5.24 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Titans are 0-13 ATS (-8.73 ppg) on grass when they are off a TD=plus win and they are playing a team with a worse record.The Jets are 0-14 ATS (-11.93 ppg) when they are off a loss and averaging more than 24 points per game over their last three games.The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Bengals are 13-0 ATS (+11.08 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog in which they outgained their opponent.The Fortyniners are 0-14 ATS (-10.29 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they threw at least nine fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Patriots are 21-0 SU since Oct 22, 2017 at home.The Patriots are 14-0 SU since Dec 04, 2016 at home off a road game.The Patriots are 8-0 SU since Dec 23, 2018 off a road game. The Bengals are 8-1 ATS (2.44 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 as a road dog..The Bengals are 8-1 ATS (2.44 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 on the road. The Saints are 8-2 ATS (2.80 ppg) since Sep 22, 2019.The Saints are 2-7 ATS (-7.17 ppg) since Dec 23, 2018 as a home favorite. | |||||||
12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2 | Top | 48-46 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 12 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Active this week on the Panthers | |||||||
12-07-19 | Virginia v. Clemson -28 | 17-62 | Win | 100 | 76 h 14 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS -- Active this week on CLEM and JMAD BONUS SYSTEM: Since 2004, Undefeated Favorites of -20 to -32 points off of 4+ straight wins have gone 108-57-3 65.5% ATS. CLEM is 17-4 ATS (7.93 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite.JMAD is 6-0 ATS (8.75 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a home favorite. | |||||||
12-07-19 | Monmouth v. James Madison -27.5 | 21-66 | Win | 100 | 70 h 44 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2003, large favorites between -31 and -20.5 off of 3+ straight games where they put up 37 points or more are 76-38-3 ATS -- Active this week on CLEM and JMAD BONUS SYSTEM: Since 2004, Undefeated Favorites of -20 to -32 points off of 4+ straight wins have gone 108-57-3 65.5% ATS. CLEM is 17-4 ATS (7.93 ppg) since Oct 06, 2018 as a favorite.JMAD is 6-0 ATS (8.75 ppg) since Sep 07, 2019 as a home favorite. | |||||||
12-01-19 | Raiders v. Chiefs -10 | 9-40 | Win | 100 | 73 h 59 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 1989, DOGS with ZERO WINS in the second half of the season are 58-26-3 (66.7%) ATS. -- Active this week on the Bengals EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Play on the Bengals BONUS SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191128, 'Falcons'), (20191128, 'Lions')The Bears are 0-13 ATS (-13.35 ppg) as a road dog after a game in which less than 22 percent of their opponent's first downs were from third down.The Bills are 11-0 ATS (+8.64 ppg) on turf off a home win in which they had more first downs than points.The Raiders are 6-16-1 ATS (-7.76 ppg) since Jan 01, 2017 on the road.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.Home dogs of less that 6 points off ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Steelers | |||||||
12-01-19 | Browns v. Steelers +2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 70 h 34 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 1989, DOGS with ZERO WINS in the second half of the season are 58-26-3 (66.7%) ATS. -- Active this week on the Bengals EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Play on the Bengals BONUS SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191128, 'Falcons'), (20191128, 'Lions')The Bears are 0-13 ATS (-13.35 ppg) as a road dog after a game in which less than 22 percent of their opponent's first downs were from third down.The Bills are 11-0 ATS (+8.64 ppg) on turf off a home win in which they had more first downs than points.The Raiders are 6-16-1 ATS (-7.76 ppg) since Jan 01, 2017 on the road.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.Home dogs of less that 6 points off ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Steelers | |||||||
12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | Top | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 70 h 34 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 1989, DOGS with ZERO WINS in the second half of the season are 58-26-3 (66.7%) ATS. -- Active this week on the Bengals EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Play on the Bengals BONUS SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191128, 'Falcons'), (20191128, 'Lions')The Bears are 0-13 ATS (-13.35 ppg) as a road dog after a game in which less than 22 percent of their opponent's first downs were from third down.The Bills are 11-0 ATS (+8.64 ppg) on turf off a home win in which they had more first downs than points.The Raiders are 6-16-1 ATS (-7.76 ppg) since Jan 01, 2017 on the road.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.Home dogs of less that 6 points off ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Steelers | |||||||
11-30-19 | UL-Monroe v. UL-Lafayette -19.5 | 30-31 | Loss | -109 | 3 h 11 m | Show | |
NCAAF SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: .Plus .600 Road dogs of 57 total points and current opponent just blew out their last opponent 35 points or more. Fade LOU and LMON today |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Jack Jones | $965 |
Ricky Tran | $708 |
Big Al McMordie | $662 |
Ross Benjamin | $640 |
Sean Murphy | $620 |
ProSportsPicks | $615 |
AAA Sports | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $306 |
Matt Fargo | $305 |
Dan Kaiser | $215 |