Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
02-07-21 | Chiefs v. Bucs +3 | Top | 9-31 | Win | 103 | 120 h 29 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Chiefs here. This trend is even better during the playoffs which is why I like it as the Top system for the Super Bowl It is 38.9% in the playoffs and 42.5% in regular season. In addition: *Home dogs of less that 6 pointsoff ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- This is a strong play on the Buccs system... The Chiefs are 0-4 ATS (-1.25 ppg) since Nov 22, 2020 as a road favorite.The Chiefs are 1-8 ATS (-2.22 ppg) since Nov 08, 2020 as a favorite.The Buccaneers are 4-0 ATS (12.62 ppg) since Oct 18, 2020 as a dog. | |||||||
01-24-21 | Bucs +3.5 v. Packers | 31-26 | Win | 100 | 70 h 49 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, road teams within 3.5 pts of pick'em are 32-6 ATS 84.2% after week 9 after two+ straight games allowing zero turnovers. - Active on the BILLS The Chiefs are 0-9 ATS (-4.61 ppg) since Nov 08, 2020.The Bills are 12-31 OU (-4.43 ppg) since Nov 10, 2013 as a road dog.The Chiefs are 0-8 ATS (-3.88 ppg) since Nov 08, 2020 as a favorite. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Active to play on the BUCCS | |||||||
01-17-21 | Bucs v. Saints -3 | Top | 30-20 | Loss | -112 | 73 h 11 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Teams facing underdogs off of two or more straight games where they were up by over 90 total points at the half and at least 17 in each (fading the dog) goes: SU: 284-133-1 (6.26, 68.1%) ATS: 221-186-11 (1.63, 54.3%) in all of database history! Fade the Buccs The Saints are 4-0 ATS (6.88 ppg) since Nov 15, 2020 as a home favorite.The Saints are 7-1 ATS (6.50 ppg) since Nov 15, 2020 as a favorite.The Saints are 5-0 ATS (5.60 ppg) since Nov 15, 2020 at home. Drew Brees is SU: 64-30-0 (7.83, 68.1%) ATS: 54-39-1 (3.27, 58.1%) off of 2 or more straight wins. | |||||||
01-10-21 | Browns v. Steelers -6 | Top | 48-37 | Loss | -107 | 52 h 34 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Browns | |||||||
01-09-21 | Bucs v. Washington Football Team +8 | 31-23 | Push | 0 | 28 h 34 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Browns | |||||||
01-03-21 | Washington Football Team v. Eagles +2 | Top | 20-14 | Loss | -113 | 98 h 54 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Play on the Eagles | |||||||
12-27-20 | Panthers +2.5 v. Washington Football Team | 20-13 | Win | 100 | 266 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week to play on the PATRIOTS In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Packers Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! | |||||||
12-27-20 | Bears v. Jaguars +7.5 | 41-17 | Loss | -105 | 68 h 50 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Play on the 49ers this week Super high p-stat and statistical confidence SYSTEM here. Paired together with very strong raw Numbers + the public has pounded Arizona, but the line, in most books, hasn't moved since the open from +5 and has gone to +4.5 or +4 in a few larger books....again, despite the fact that the public is absolutely pounding Arizona here. We're taking the 49ers as a top play for great value at +5 this week!. Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. -- Play on Jax this week The Cardinals are 7-18 ATS (-2.46 ppg) since Oct 04, 2015 as a home favorite.In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- Active to play on JAX and HOU | |||||||
12-26-20 | 49ers +5 v. Cardinals | Top | 20-12 | Win | 100 | 47 h 20 m | Show |
12-20-20 | Seahawks -4 v. Washington Football Team | 20-15 | Win | 100 | 95 h 8 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week to play on the PATRIOTS In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Packers Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! | |||||||
12-20-20 | Patriots +2.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 12-22 | Loss | -100 | 95 h 8 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week to play on the PATRIOTS In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Packers Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! | |||||||
12-19-20 | Panthers +9 v. Packers | 16-24 | Win | 100 | 78 h 32 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. Active this week to play on the PATRIOTS In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Packers Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS! | |||||||
12-13-20 | Titans v. Jaguars +9 | Top | 31-10 | Loss | -130 | 67 h 12 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. -- Active this week to play on HOU, BUCCS, MIN, WASH, NYG, JAX, and SEA Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Play on the Patriots this week Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the Rams this week Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. Really solid system here active on the Jaguars. | |||||||
12-10-20 | Patriots +4.5 v. Rams | Top | 3-24 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 32 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, during the last 4 weeks of regular season prior to playoffs, fading teams that just played a home game where each team scored at least 24 points is a profound SU: 183-132-0 (3.23, 58.1%) and ATS: 178-129-8 (2.52, 58.0%). That is profitable on both the moneyline and the spread alike. -- Active this week to play on HOU, BUCCS, MIN, WASH, NYG, JAX, and SEA Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Play on the Patriots this week Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the Rams this week Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. Really solid system here active on the Jaguars. | |||||||
12-06-20 | Patriots v. Chargers | Top | 45-0 | Win | 100 | 64 h 1 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or more of their last 7 games are profitable on the spread as well as the money line (to fade). -- Fade the Chargers and Seahawks this week Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. -- Fade the Eagles In database history, .400 to .500 road dogs off of 0 or 1 wins in their last 3 games are ATS: 40-46-1 (-1.26, 46.5%) against sub .500 teams | |||||||
12-06-20 | Jaguars +10.5 v. Vikings | Top | 24-27 | Win | 100 | 61 h 36 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or more of their last 7 games are profitable on the spread as well as the money line (to fade). -- Fade the Chargers and Seahawks this week Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. -- Fade the Eagles In database history, .400 to .500 road dogs off of 0 or 1 wins in their last 3 games are ATS: 40-46-1 (-1.26, 46.5%) against sub .500 teams | |||||||
12-06-20 | Raiders v. Jets +9.5 | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 46 h 18 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, home teams that have failed to cover the spread in 5 or more of their last 7 games are profitable on the spread as well as the money line (to fade). -- Fade the Chargers and Seahawks this week Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. -- Fade the Eagles In database history, .400 to .500 road dogs off of 0 or 1 wins in their last 3 games are ATS: 40-46-1 (-1.26, 46.5%) against sub .500 teams BONUS SYSTEM: *NFL Power System: *Since 1989, DOGS with ZERO WINS in the second half of the season are 126-84-5 (60.0%) ATS -- Active this week to play on the Jets | |||||||
11-29-20 | Saints -6 v. Broncos | 31-3 | Win | 100 | 93 h 15 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, small favorites or underdogs average a solid 5.65 or higher Yards per play on the season, are just ATS: 133-169-8 (-1.46, 44.0%) when they're off of a game where they were outscored in total yards by 110 yards last game. -- Fade the Lions, Ravens and Falcons (play on Houston, Pittsburgh and Las Vegas) The Lions are 1-6 ATS (-5.00 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019 as a home dog.The Saints are 27-10-1 ATS (5.88 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 on the road. EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active to play on the Patriots over the Cardinals this week 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201129, 'Titans'), (20201129, 'Panthers') In database history, a hot team from week 10 to week 14 that has won 7 or more of their last 10 games is a solid SU: 366-175-0 (5.40, 67.7%) and ATS: 277-245-19 (1.17, 53.1%. -- Play on the Saints (and others via the link) | |||||||
11-26-20 | Washington Football Team v. Cowboys -3 | Top | 41-16 | Loss | -100 | 22 h 45 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, small favorites or underdogs average a solid 5.65 or higher Yards per play on the season, are just ATS: 133-169-8 (-1.46, 44.0%) when they're off of a game where they were outscored in total yards by 110 yards last game. -- Fade the Lions, Ravens and Falcons (play on Houston, Pittsburgh and Las Vegas) The Lions are 1-6 ATS (-5.00 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019 as a home dog.The Saints are 27-10-1 ATS (5.88 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 on the road.EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active to play on the Patriots over the Cardinals this week 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201129, 'Titans'), (20201129, 'Panthers') In database history, a hot team from week 10 to week 14 that has won 7 or more of their last 10 games is a solid SU: 366-175-0 (5.40, 67.7%) and ATS: 277-245-19 (1.17, 53.1%. -- Play on the Saints (and others via the link) | |||||||
11-26-20 | Texans -3 v. Lions | Top | 41-25 | Win | 100 | 18 h 56 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, small favorites or underdogs average a solid 5.65 or higher Yards per play on the season, are just ATS: 133-169-8 (-1.46, 44.0%) when they're off of a game where they were outscored in total yards by 110 yards last game. -- Fade the Lions, Ravens and Falcons (play on Houston, Pittsburgh and Las Vegas) The Lions are 1-6 ATS (-5.00 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019 as a home dog. | |||||||
11-22-20 | Chiefs -6.5 v. Raiders | 35-31 | Loss | -100 | 100 h 50 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201122, 'Titans'), (20201122, 'Cowboys'), (20201129, 'Titans'), (20201129, 'Panthers'), (20201203, 'Cowboys'), (20201206, 'Lions'), (20201206, 'Bengals'), (20201213, 'Texans'), (20201213, 'Panthers'), (20201214, 'Browns') and 9 more In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Vikings RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Andy Reid is 87-64-1 SU (57.6%) and 94-57-1 (62.3%) ATS, career, as a head coach in the NFL when on the road. -- Let's take the Chiefs too for a smaller amount this week.... | |||||||
11-22-20 | Cowboys +7.5 v. Vikings | Top | 31-28 | Win | 100 | 96 h 55 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201122, 'Titans'), (20201122, 'Cowboys'), (20201129, 'Titans'), (20201129, 'Panthers'), (20201203, 'Cowboys'), (20201206, 'Lions'), (20201206, 'Bengals'), (20201213, 'Texans'), (20201213, 'Panthers'), (20201214, 'Browns') and 9 more | |||||||
11-15-20 | Bengals v. Steelers -10 | 10-36 | Win | 100 | 240 h 14 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- | |||||||
11-15-20 | 49ers +10 v. Saints | Top | 13-27 | Loss | -120 | 92 h 40 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). -- Fade the Saints The Fortyniners are 6-1 ATS (9.07 ppg) since Dec 01, 2019 on the road.The Saints are 2-7 ATS (-5.00 ppg) since Nov 10, 2019 as a home favorite.The Panthers are 1-7 ATS (-8.94 ppg) since Nov 17, 2019 at home. 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing:These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20201112, 'Titans'), (20201115, 'Bills'), (20201115, 'Panthers'), (20201115, 'Raiders'), (20201115, 'Seahawks') + Lions EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week. -- Play on Chargers and Eagles | |||||||
11-08-20 | Dolphins v. Cardinals -4 | 34-31 | Loss | -110 | 72 h 14 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- | |||||||
11-08-20 | Steelers v. Cowboys +14 | 24-19 | Win | 100 | 72 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- | |||||||
11-08-20 | Raiders v. Chargers -104 | Top | 31-26 | Loss | -104 | 72 h 54 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history for NFL, in games against a road dog off of an upset win after week 4 where terms like 'dog' or 'win percent' mean something, the home team is a very robust and solid ATS: 507-433-24 (1.14, 53.9%) -- | |||||||
11-01-20 | Steelers v. Ravens -3.5 | Top | 28-24 | Loss | -110 | 91 h 2 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Teams are 55-38-1 ATS since 2002 after a game where the longest rush allowed in the previous game was 72 yards or more. (20201101, 'Ravens'), (20201101, 'Eagles') Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Lions The Steelers are 8-36-3 OU (-5.04 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Jets are 0-13 SU since Dec 31, 2017 off a home game off a loss.The Cowboys are 10-0 SU since Nov 16, 2008 on the road off a road game off a loss.Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS!The Panthers are 1-6 ATS (-8.86 ppg) since Nov 17, 2019 at home. EXTRA SYSTEM : All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! Active on ATL and TENN | |||||||
10-29-20 | Falcons +3 v. Panthers | Top | 25-17 | Win | 100 | 25 h 22 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Teams are 55-38-1 ATS since 2002 after a game where the longest rush allowed in the previous game was 72 yards or more. (20201101, 'Ravens'), (20201101, 'Eagles') Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Lions The Steelers are 8-36-3 OU (-5.04 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Jets are 0-13 SU since Dec 31, 2017 off a home game off a loss.The Cowboys are 10-0 SU since Nov 16, 2008 on the road off a road game off a loss.Under Pete Carroll, the Seattle Seahawks are an amazing 66-42-3 ATS 61.1% with under a week of rest. *If it is regular season and after week 2 and Pete and the Seahawks aren't going into another short week (next game isn't on a Thursday), that record soars to 61-29-3 67.8% ATS!The Panthers are 1-6 ATS (-8.86 ppg) since Nov 17, 2019 at home. EXTRA SYSTEM : All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! Active on ATL and TENN | |||||||
10-26-20 | Bears +6 v. Rams | Top | 10-24 | Loss | -103 | 101 h 33 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. Fade the Rams this week Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Play on the Bears Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Falcons and Jets The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Now 54-18 for the Under -- Active on the Under in Denver | |||||||
10-19-20 | Chiefs v. Bills +4 | Top | 26-17 | Loss | -108 | 115 h 24 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20201018, 'Fortyniners'), (20201019, 'Bills') Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the Chiefs Since 1989, dogs off of two or more straight games where they scored 19 or more points before the half are just 22-72-0 SU (23.4%) and 34-55-5 (38.2%) ATS in their next. -- Fade the Brownies this week Steelers' head coach, MIKE TOMLIN is 17-3 SU and 16-4-0 ATS (+9.07 ppg) after allowing over 28 points Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Play on the Falcons and Jets this week Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Active to play on the Packers | |||||||
10-18-20 | Browns v. Steelers -3 | Top | 7-38 | Win | 100 | 87 h 24 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2002, the league is 167-129-9 ATS (59.4%) after losing by 24 or more points (20201018, 'Fortyniners'), (20201019, 'Bills') Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the Chiefs Since 1989, dogs off of two or more straight games where they scored 19 or more points before the half are just 22-72-0 SU (23.4%) and 34-55-5 (38.2%) ATS in their next. -- Fade the Brownies this week Steelers' head coach, MIKE TOMLIN is 17-3 SU and 16-4-0 ATS (+9.07 ppg) after allowing over 28 points Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Play on the Falcons and Jets this week Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. Active to play on the Packers | |||||||
10-11-20 | Giants +10 v. Cowboys | Top | 34-37 | Win | 100 | 74 h 41 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Giants this week The Giants are 10-2 ATS (2.54 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog. Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Vikings and Giants Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. Active this week on the Giants over the Boys | |||||||
10-04-20 | Ravens v. Washington Football Team UNDER 47 | 31-17 | Loss | -105 | 93 h 7 m | Show | |
NFL OU TOTAL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Again, small starting record, but it continues to improve now at 53-17 for the Under with a wide margin of victory on most of the wins. | |||||||
10-04-20 | Chargers +7.5 v. Bucs | 31-38 | Win | 100 | 92 h 2 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, poor turnover road defences (avg | |||||||
10-04-20 | Jaguars +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 25-33 | Loss | -126 | 92 h 2 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In database history, poor turnover road defences (avg | |||||||
09-27-20 | Bears +3.5 v. Falcons | 30-26 | Win | 100 | 73 h 48 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Active this week on the Chicago and Washington (Fade the Browns and Falcons) Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Active this week to fade the Colts and Eagles (play on the Vikings and Rams)Key Coach Filter / Trend to consider this week: Andy Reid is 87-64-1 SU (57.6%) and 94-57-1 (62.3%) ATS, career, as a head coach in the NFL when on the road. | |||||||
09-27-20 | Raiders v. Patriots -5 | 20-36 | Win | 100 | 44 h 15 m | Show | |
A plus .500 team off of a win as a home dog. 90-149-8 ATS 37.7% in database history. Fade the Raiders | |||||||
09-27-20 | Washington Football Team +7.5 v. Browns | Top | 20-34 | Loss | -114 | 73 h 48 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Active this week on the Chicago and Washington (Fade the Browns and Falcons) Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Active this week to fade the Colts and Eagles (play on the Vikings and Rams)Key Coach Filter / Trend to consider this week: Andy Reid is 87-64-1 SU (57.6%) and 94-57-1 (62.3%) ATS, career, as a head coach in the NFL when on the road. | |||||||
09-20-20 | Broncos +7.5 v. Steelers | Top | 21-26 | Win | 100 | 66 h 48 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- Play on the Broncos this wekk Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Active to Fade the Colts, Eagles, KEY RUNNER UP SYSTEM: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. * The reason a 5-18-0 system is a key runner up of the week is because it is now 17-53 OU - So that would make it's record 8-35 OU since inception or in other words, 8-35 is the record of the system's real world performance; which, as I've said before, as systems go is one of the Top 3 most meaningful factors: What has this system actually done for us. Turns out it has done quite a lot. The one drawback is that it started off not really as a system and more of just a filter / trend due to the small sample size. The sample size is still a bit small at about 80 games compared to our average of about 200 games on most systems. We'll continue to watch this one and see if there are areas we can extrapolate on / see if there is some larger idea going on behind the scenes on why this trend is doing so well. 8-35 is a standard score of 4.11, and we tend to draw the line at 2.00 or more as a core filter in all of statistical analysis as 'potentially meaningful' or 'probably not meaningful / product of chance' - This week this is active on the UNDERS at Chargers and Texans so long as those lines are 8+ EXTRA SYSTEM: Home dogs of less that 6 pointsoff ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Play on the Raiders | |||||||
09-13-20 | Cowboys v. Rams +3 | Top | 17-20 | Win | 100 | 53 h 48 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: NFL Annual Week One PCG SDQL Trend -- Published on the SDQL Annual Periodical the other year -- Plays on Large road dogs and fairly large home dogs that pulled in 6 or fewer wins last season in week one -- Active this week on the following teams-Cardinals -Jaguars -Dolphins -Browns -Washington -Giants In week 1, playing road dogs of no more than +6.5 points that finished last regular season with 6 or fewer wins has gone 45-15-5 (75.4%) ATS in database history. -- Active week one on the Dolphins I don't actually have a system to go by on my week one top play on the Rams. It is more based on some strong Raw numbers and some very sharp action on the bet along with most of the public, for some reason, hating the Rams. They're now at +3 at home in Las Vegas. *I said I'd have NFL out by yesterday, but we had nothing on the TNF game, and I felt pretty sure that if I waiting, this line would go to the big +3 handle, and it did. Still, I think, as with the other sports and the odd Covid situation, Plus it being week 1 and the Raw numbers having no current season data, lay a bit less than you normally would. Odd extenuating circumstance surrounding a the play, which is solid, being the reason for that. | |||||||
02-02-20 | 49ers +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-31 | Loss | -109 | 316 h 37 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK:Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Chiefs BONUS SYSTEM: In the playoffs, road teams off a home game line between +6 and -6 are 33-17-1 66.0% ATS -- Active on the 49ers The Fortyniners are 11-0 ATS (+9.36 ppg) on the road off a game as a favorite when they are facing team that forcing less than four punts per game.The Fortyniners are 9-3 OU (9.92 ppg) since Oct 27, 2019. | |||||||
01-19-20 | Packers +9 v. 49ers | Top | 20-37 | Loss | -130 | 97 h 39 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Three to ten point favorites averaging a solid 370+ ypg are just 176-232-13 ATS (43.1%) against bad defenses averaging 1 standard deviation over the median in ypg allowed. -- Fade the 49ers and Chiefs this week The Chiefs are 4-0 ATS (9.62 ppg) since Dec 01, 2019 as a home favorite.The Fortyniners are 0-14 ATS (-10.29 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they threw at least nine fewer passes than their season-to-date average.The Chiefs are 6-0 ATS (9.42 ppg) since Nov 18, 2019 as a favorite. | |||||||
01-11-20 | Vikings +7.5 v. 49ers | 10-27 | Loss | -130 | 25 h 39 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Active this week on the Vikings The Packers are 19-0 ATS (+13.13 ppg) as a home favorite off a road win when they are facing a non-divisional opponent that is averaging at least 31.5 passes per game.The Texans are 11-0 ATS (+8.55 ppg) on the road on grass off a game as a favorite in which they had more third down conversions made than punts.The Packers are 12-0 ATS (+10.21 ppg) as a favorite when they are off a road win against a team that was seeking same-season revenge.The Texans are 0-14 ATS (-10.73 ppg) in franchise history the week after a home win when they are an underdog to a team that is averaging less than 1.30 turnovers per game.The Seahawks are 5-0-1 ATS (6.83 ppg) since Oct 28, 2018 as a road dog.Since 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. - Fade the 49ers | |||||||
01-04-20 | Bills v. Texans -1 | Top | 19-22 | Win | 100 | 96 h 58 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20200104, 'Texans'), (20200104, 'Titans') | |||||||
12-29-19 | 49ers v. Seahawks +3.5 | Top | 26-21 | Loss | -115 | 27 h 13 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks | |||||||
12-29-19 | Redskins +13.5 v. Cowboys | Top | 16-47 | Loss | -125 | 23 h 18 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks | |||||||
12-29-19 | Packers v. Lions UNDER 43.5 | 23-20 | Win | 100 | 20 h 53 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks The Cowboys are 0-15 ATS (-7.97 ppg)as a favorite on turf when they are off a game as a favorite and they are facing a team that has a third down conversion percentage of less than 40%.The Seahawks are 12-1-1 ATS (7.96 ppg) since Jan 02, 2011 as a home dog. 3RD DOWN SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191229, 'Redskins'), (20191229, 'Dolphins'), (20191229, 'Texans') The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. - Unders in Detroit and Panthers -- System is now one of our best at 53-15 to the UNDER! | |||||||
12-29-19 | Saints v. Panthers UNDER 45 | 42-10 | Loss | -109 | 20 h 52 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Take the Seahawks The Cowboys are 0-15 ATS (-7.97 ppg)as a favorite on turf when they are off a game as a favorite and they are facing a team that has a third down conversion percentage of less than 40%.The Seahawks are 12-1-1 ATS (7.96 ppg) since Jan 02, 2011 as a home dog. 3RD DOWN SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191229, 'Redskins'), (20191229, 'Dolphins'), (20191229, 'Texans') The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. - Unders in Detroit and Panthers -- System is now one of our best at 53-15 to the UNDER! | |||||||
12-22-19 | Bengals +1.5 v. Dolphins | Top | 35-38 | Loss | -110 | 145 h 47 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Without a doubt, both the best trend and best System of the week by strict metrics. Also a very simple and straightforward trend which, when combined with excellent results, is nothing but $$$ | |||||||
12-22-19 | Steelers v. Jets +3 | Top | 10-16 | Win | 100 | 145 h 43 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, the team with the lessor team record is 192-113-11 ATS (63.0%) in regular season, post week 15. No totals below 35. -- Without a doubt, both the best trend and best System of the week by strict metrics. Also a very simple and straightforward trend which, when combined with excellent results, is nothing but $$$ | |||||||
12-15-19 | Falcons +12 v. 49ers | Top | 29-22 | Win | 100 | 45 h 60 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Chargers | |||||||
12-15-19 | Vikings v. Chargers +1.5 | Top | 39-10 | Loss | -109 | 45 h 40 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Chargers | |||||||
12-15-19 | Patriots v. Bengals UNDER 42 | 34-13 | Loss | -110 | 42 h 35 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Active on the Chargers EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week. -- Fade the 49ers 3rd Down System: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191215, 'Bengals'), (20191215, 'Cardinals'), (20191215, 'Falcons'), (20191215, 'Redskins'), (20191215, 'Texans') The Cardinals are 21-0 ATS at home when their line is between a three-point favorite and a five-point dog inclusive when they suffered a positive turnover margin in each of their last two games and they did not have more than 31 minutes of possession time in their last game.The Chargers are 15-0 ATS (+10.13 ppg) as a dog when they are off a win as a favorite and they are averaging more than 27 points per game over their last three games.The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Active on the Under in Cinci this week | |||||||
12-08-19 | Chiefs v. Patriots -2.5 | 23-16 | Loss | -135 | 97 h 37 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Active this week on the Panthers The Ravens are 14-0 ATS (+8.79 ppg) on the road off a win as a favorite in which their opponent scored first.The Steelers are 8-33-1 OU (-5.24 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Titans are 0-13 ATS (-8.73 ppg) on grass when they are off a TD=plus win and they are playing a team with a worse record.The Jets are 0-14 ATS (-11.93 ppg) when they are off a loss and averaging more than 24 points per game over their last three games.The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Bengals are 13-0 ATS (+11.08 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog in which they outgained their opponent.The Fortyniners are 0-14 ATS (-10.29 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they threw at least nine fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Patriots are 21-0 SU since Oct 22, 2017 at home.The Patriots are 14-0 SU since Dec 04, 2016 at home off a road game.The Patriots are 8-0 SU since Dec 23, 2018 off a road game. The Bengals are 8-1 ATS (2.44 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 as a road dog..The Bengals are 8-1 ATS (2.44 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 on the road. The Saints are 8-2 ATS (2.80 ppg) since Sep 22, 2019.The Saints are 2-7 ATS (-7.17 ppg) since Dec 23, 2018 as a home favorite. | |||||||
12-08-19 | Bengals +10 v. Browns | 19-27 | Win | 100 | 93 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Active this week on the Panthers The Ravens are 14-0 ATS (+8.79 ppg) on the road off a win as a favorite in which their opponent scored first.The Steelers are 8-33-1 OU (-5.24 ppg) since Dec 14, 2014 on the road.The Titans are 0-13 ATS (-8.73 ppg) on grass when they are off a TD=plus win and they are playing a team with a worse record.The Jets are 0-14 ATS (-11.93 ppg) when they are off a loss and averaging more than 24 points per game over their last three games.The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Bengals are 13-0 ATS (+11.08 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog in which they outgained their opponent.The Fortyniners are 0-14 ATS (-10.29 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent after a game in which they threw at least nine fewer passes than their season-to-date average. The Patriots are 21-0 SU since Oct 22, 2017 at home.The Patriots are 14-0 SU since Dec 04, 2016 at home off a road game.The Patriots are 8-0 SU since Dec 23, 2018 off a road game. The Bengals are 8-1 ATS (2.44 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 as a road dog..The Bengals are 8-1 ATS (2.44 ppg) since Nov 18, 2018 on the road. The Saints are 8-2 ATS (2.80 ppg) since Sep 22, 2019.The Saints are 2-7 ATS (-7.17 ppg) since Dec 23, 2018 as a home favorite. | |||||||
12-08-19 | 49ers v. Saints -2 | Top | 48-46 | Loss | -110 | 93 h 12 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Active this week on the Panthers | |||||||
12-01-19 | Raiders v. Chiefs -10 | 9-40 | Win | 100 | 73 h 59 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 1989, DOGS with ZERO WINS in the second half of the season are 58-26-3 (66.7%) ATS. -- Active this week on the Bengals EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Play on the Bengals BONUS SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191128, 'Falcons'), (20191128, 'Lions')The Bears are 0-13 ATS (-13.35 ppg) as a road dog after a game in which less than 22 percent of their opponent's first downs were from third down.The Bills are 11-0 ATS (+8.64 ppg) on turf off a home win in which they had more first downs than points.The Raiders are 6-16-1 ATS (-7.76 ppg) since Jan 01, 2017 on the road.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.Home dogs of less that 6 points off ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Steelers | |||||||
12-01-19 | Browns v. Steelers +2.5 | 13-20 | Win | 100 | 70 h 34 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 1989, DOGS with ZERO WINS in the second half of the season are 58-26-3 (66.7%) ATS. -- Active this week on the Bengals EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Play on the Bengals BONUS SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191128, 'Falcons'), (20191128, 'Lions')The Bears are 0-13 ATS (-13.35 ppg) as a road dog after a game in which less than 22 percent of their opponent's first downs were from third down.The Bills are 11-0 ATS (+8.64 ppg) on turf off a home win in which they had more first downs than points.The Raiders are 6-16-1 ATS (-7.76 ppg) since Jan 01, 2017 on the road.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.Home dogs of less that 6 points off ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Steelers | |||||||
12-01-19 | Jets v. Bengals +3.5 | Top | 6-22 | Win | 100 | 70 h 34 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: *Since 1989, DOGS with ZERO WINS in the second half of the season are 58-26-3 (66.7%) ATS. -- Active this week on the Bengals EXTRA SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Play on the Bengals BONUS SYSTEM: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191128, 'Falcons'), (20191128, 'Lions')The Bears are 0-13 ATS (-13.35 ppg) as a road dog after a game in which less than 22 percent of their opponent's first downs were from third down.The Bills are 11-0 ATS (+8.64 ppg) on turf off a home win in which they had more first downs than points.The Raiders are 6-16-1 ATS (-7.76 ppg) since Jan 01, 2017 on the road.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.Home dogs of less that 6 points off ofroad wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Steelers | |||||||
11-24-19 | Lions v. Redskins +3.5 | 16-19 | Win | 100 | 46 h 35 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Jets BONUS SYSTEM: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. -- Active to play on the Giants, Steelers, Broncos, BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. - Active this week on the Bills, Browns and Packers ... taking the Packers for now. Will follow up more later this week. The Titans are 0-21 ATS (-11.17 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.The Saints are 0-15 ATS (-9.37 ppg) at home off a game as a favorite when they are facing a divisional opponent that is committing an average of 1.75-plus turnovers per game.The Giants are 0-14 ATS (-13.93 ppg) off a loss when they are facing a team that is averaging less than 278 offensive yards per game.The Falcons are 0-14 ATS (-11.18 ppg) on turf vs a divisional opponent when they are off a win and had at least 30:30 of possession time in each of their last two games.The Giants are 8-2 ATS (2.70 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog.The Lions are 0-5 ATS (-3.40 ppg) since Oct 20, 2019.The Redskins are 10-0 ATS (+11.10 ppg) vs a non-divisional opponent when they are off a home loss in which they had more penalty yards than rushing yards. | |||||||
11-24-19 | Raiders v. Jets +3 | Top | 3-34 | Win | 100 | 46 h 35 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Home dogs of less that 6 points off of road wins against team off of home wins are 98-56-4 ATS (63.6%) in database history. -- Take the Jets | |||||||
11-17-19 | Bears +7 v. Rams | Top | 7-17 | Loss | -130 | 77 h 45 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active this week on the Raiders The Cowboys are 0-20 ATS (-10.22 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick on turf and they are off a home game in which fewer than 36 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down.The Bengals are 0-14 ATS (-8.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than a field goal on grass when their quarterback was sacked at least four times in their last game.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.The Bills are 14-0 ATS (+9.14 ppg) off a loss as a road dog vs a team that has scored on less than 30% of their drives. The Texans are 12-0 ATS (+9.04 ppg) on the road on grass when they are off a win in which they allowed fewer than five third down conversions.The Texans are 11-0 ATS (+8.55 ppg) on the road on grass off a game as a favorite in which they had more third down conversions made than punts.The Texans are 6-1-1 ATS (5.44 ppg) since Sep 30, 2018 as a road dog.The Ravens are 1-8-1 ATS (-5.45 ppg) since Oct 21, 2018 as a home favorite.The Ravens are 3-10-1 ATS (-0.29 ppg) since Oct 21, 2018 as a favorite. | |||||||
11-17-19 | Texans +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 7-41 | Loss | -115 | 69 h 25 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active this week on the Raiders The Cowboys are 0-20 ATS (-10.22 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick on turf and they are off a home game in which fewer than 36 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down.The Bengals are 0-14 ATS (-8.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than a field goal on grass when their quarterback was sacked at least four times in their last game.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent.The Bills are 14-0 ATS (+9.14 ppg) off a loss as a road dog vs a team that has scored on less than 30% of their drives. The Texans are 12-0 ATS (+9.04 ppg) on the road on grass when they are off a win in which they allowed fewer than five third down conversions.The Texans are 11-0 ATS (+8.55 ppg) on the road on grass off a game as a favorite in which they had more third down conversions made than punts.The Texans are 6-1-1 ATS (5.44 ppg) since Sep 30, 2018 as a road dog.The Ravens are 1-8-1 ATS (-5.45 ppg) since Oct 21, 2018 as a home favorite.The Ravens are 3-10-1 ATS (-0.29 ppg) since Oct 21, 2018 as a favorite. | |||||||
11-10-19 | Cardinals v. Bucs UNDER 51.5 | 27-30 | Loss | -106 | 117 h 32 m | Show | |
BONUS SYSTEM: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Active on the Unders in Cinci and Arizona -- System is soaring up at 52-12 now for the UNDER | |||||||
11-10-19 | Cardinals +4.5 v. Bucs | Top | 27-30 | Win | 100 | 116 h 29 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active on the Cardinals this week | |||||||
11-04-19 | Cowboys v. Giants +7.5 | 37-18 | Loss | -125 | 126 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Now at 11-52-0 for the UNDER -- Active to play on the Under in Arizona 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191031, 'Cardinals'), (20191103, 'Redskins'), (20191103, 'Ravens'), (20191104, 'Giants') TOP PLAY SYSTEM: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- Take my Bears this week The Titans are 0-21 ATS (-11.17 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.The Vikings are 14-0 ATS (+11.43 ppg) after a home win in which Adam Thielen didn't have a 22+ yard receptionThe Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Ravens are 12-0 ATS (+9.08 ppg) as a dog vs a team that is averaging 13-plus passing first downs per game.The Buccaneers are 0-13 ATS (-9.85 ppg) after a loss as a road dog when they are facing a team with an average turnover margin of minus one-half or better. | |||||||
11-03-19 | Bears +5 v. Eagles | Top | 14-22 | Loss | -108 | 94 h 22 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: The OU is 5-18-0 (21.7%) since 2012 when you have a +8 or bigger home dog. -- Now at 11-52-0 for the UNDER -- Active to play on the Under in Arizona 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20191031, 'Cardinals'), (20191103, 'Redskins'), (20191103, 'Ravens'), (20191104, 'Giants') TOP PLAY SYSTEM: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- Take my Bears this week The Titans are 0-21 ATS (-11.17 ppg) when they are off a win and they are facing a team allowed more than 370 total yards in their last game.The Vikings are 14-0 ATS (+11.43 ppg) after a home win in which Adam Thielen didn't have a 22+ yard receptionThe Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Ravens are 12-0 ATS (+9.08 ppg) as a dog vs a team that is averaging 13-plus passing first downs per game.The Buccaneers are 0-13 ATS (-9.85 ppg) after a loss as a road dog when they are facing a team with an average turnover margin of minus one-half or better. | |||||||
10-27-19 | Eagles +2.5 v. Bills | Top | 31-13 | Win | 100 | 92 h 25 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that put up fewer passing yards than their opp. in a loss last game and fewer rushing yards as well are a solid 123-80-5 (+3.1 ppg, 60.6%) ATS if it is their second or more straight game on the road. -- Take the Eagles BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. -- Active on the AZ Cardinals The Browns are 0-16 ATS (-6.94 ppg) as a dog of more than six points after a game in which less than 22 percent of their first downs were from third down.The Eagles are 13-0 ATS (+11.50 ppg) on turf vs a non-divisional opponent after a game as a road dog in which committed at least two turnovers.The Jets are 0-12 ATS (-10.75 ppg) on the road when they are averaging 3.75 yards per rush or worse and they are facing a non-divisional opponent. | |||||||
10-20-19 | Texans v. Colts | Top | 23-30 | Win | 100 | 68 h 0 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Active in Week 8 on the Redskins The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses.The Raiders are 0-13 ATS (-13.31 ppg) as a TD-plus dog off a win.TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Colts are 12-0 ATS (+6.29 ppg) at home after a game as a road dog in which they converted at least five third downs.The Giants are 0-11 ATS (-14.95 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick on turf after a loss as a road dog.The Lions are 5-0 ATS (10.90 ppg) since Dec 30, 2018 as a dog. | |||||||
10-13-19 | Steelers +7 v. Chargers | 24-17 | Win | 100 | 73 h 27 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Broncos RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Saints The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses.The Steelers are 8-2 ATS (1.25 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.The Steelers are 6-1 ATS (0.79 ppg) since Oct 14, 2018 as a dog.The Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS (-9.70 ppg) since Dec 09, 2018 as a home favorite.The Broncos are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.31 ppg) since Oct 15, 2017 as a home favorite.The Titans are 13-0 ATS (+9.88 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick, they are off a game as a favorite, and they are facing a team that allowed fewer than 260 total yards in their last game. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Bengals Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Take the Jets | |||||||
10-13-19 | Cowboys v. Jets +8 | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 70 h 32 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Broncos RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Saints The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses.The Steelers are 8-2 ATS (1.25 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.The Steelers are 6-1 ATS (0.79 ppg) since Oct 14, 2018 as a dog.The Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS (-9.70 ppg) since Dec 09, 2018 as a home favorite.The Broncos are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.31 ppg) since Oct 15, 2017 as a home favorite.The Titans are 13-0 ATS (+9.88 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick, they are off a game as a favorite, and they are facing a team that allowed fewer than 260 total yards in their last game. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Bengals Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Take the Jets | |||||||
10-13-19 | Titans +2.5 v. Broncos | 0-16 | Loss | -117 | 70 h 32 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004, teams playing a SNF or late games and then playing a game again with less than 6 days rest (facing a team who will have normal rest) are doomed from the start going just 22-40-0 SU and 17-44-1 ATS (27.9%)! -- Fade the Broncos RUNNER UP SYSTEM: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Saints The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses.The Steelers are 8-2 ATS (1.25 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.The Steelers are 6-1 ATS (0.79 ppg) since Oct 14, 2018 as a dog.The Chargers are 0-4-1 ATS (-9.70 ppg) since Dec 09, 2018 as a home favorite.The Broncos are 0-7-1 ATS (-6.31 ppg) since Oct 15, 2017 as a home favorite.The Titans are 13-0 ATS (+9.88 ppg) when the line is within three points of pick, they are off a game as a favorite, and they are facing a team that allowed fewer than 260 total yards in their last game. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Bengals Since 1989, teams that have scored fewer than 18 points in 4 or more straight games and are averaging less that or equal to 16 ppg on the season are a surprising 189-137-10 ATS (58.0%). That is 94-52-4 ATS (64.4%) if they're a 3 to 10 point underdog. -- Take the Jets | |||||||
10-13-19 | Saints +1.5 v. Jaguars | 13-6 | Win | 100 | 97 h 25 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1995, 1 point favs, pick'ems or underdogs that just had 2 or fewer turnovers last game are 57-28-3 67.1% ATS against a team off of a game with a 3 point or worse turnover margin (regular season). -- Take the Saints The Lions are 0-16 ATS (-6.31 ppg) on the road vs a divisional opponent after a game in which they converted at least five third downs and had at least ten first downs through the air.The Fortyniners are 15-0 ATS (+10.53 ppg) when they are off a game as a favorite and they are visiting a divisional opponent that has forced fewer than 4.25 punts per game season-to-date and is not 8-plus games below 500.The Cardinals are 0-14 ATS (-12.50 ppg) as a dog off a game as a dog when they are facing a team that is off two seven-plus point losses. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week on the Bengals | |||||||
10-06-19 | Cardinals +3.5 v. Bengals | Top | 26-23 | Win | 100 | 117 h 19 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, Winless Road Dogs or very small 1 or 1.5 pt favorites with at least 3 losses are a massive 65-29-3 (+3.58 ppg, 69.1%) ATS so long as they aren't facing an extremely elite team above 0.660 -- Active this week to play on the Jets, Broncos and Cardinals | |||||||
09-29-19 | Cowboys v. Saints +3 | 10-12 | Win | 100 | 100 h 56 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Fade the Broncos, Falcons and Steelers this week KEY TEAM TRENDS OF THE WEEK:The Ravens are 94-0 ATS in franchise history as a home favorite of fewer than 13 points before week 17 as long as their defense was on the field for less than 35:50.The Chiefs are 37-0 ATS off a win after a game in which they out-gained their opponent.The Chargers are 39-0 ATS when their ATS margin decreased over each of their last two games.The Cowboys are 0-20 ATS (-10.22 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick on turf and they are off a home game in which fewer than 36 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. - Very simple and power: Active to play on the Baltimore Ravens this week | |||||||
09-29-19 | Titans +4 v. Falcons | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 93 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Small home favorites or slight home dogs (+1 to -4 spread) off of a road loss in the first month of the season are just 45-95-6 ATS (32.1%). -- Fade the Broncos, Falcons and Steelers this week KEY TEAM TRENDS OF THE WEEK:The Ravens are 94-0 ATS in franchise history as a home favorite of fewer than 13 points before week 17 as long as their defense was on the field for less than 35:50.The Chiefs are 37-0 ATS off a win after a game in which they out-gained their opponent.The Chargers are 39-0 ATS when their ATS margin decreased over each of their last two games.The Cowboys are 0-20 ATS (-10.22 ppg) when the line is within 3 of pick on turf and they are off a home game in which fewer than 36 percent of their opponent?s first downs were from third down. BONUS SYSTEM: Since 1989, teams off of 3 or more straight games with zero turnovers are 73-35-4 67.6% ATS. - Very simple and power: Active to play on the Baltimore Ravens this week | |||||||
09-22-19 | Steelers +7 v. 49ers | 20-24 | Win | 100 | 75 h 47 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- This one is active on the Broncos and Steelers this week The Giants are 6-1 ATS (3.29 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog.The Fortyniners are 1-13-2 ATS (-3.88 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a home favorite.The Steelers are 7-2 ATS (1.33 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.NFL Key Numbers:Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 | |||||||
09-22-19 | Giants +7 v. Bucs | 32-31 | Win | 100 | 74 h 27 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- This one is active on the Broncos and Steelers this week The Giants are 6-1 ATS (3.29 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog.The Fortyniners are 1-13-2 ATS (-3.88 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a home favorite.The Steelers are 7-2 ATS (1.33 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.NFL Key Numbers:Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 | |||||||
09-22-19 | Broncos +9 v. Packers | 16-27 | Loss | -125 | 71 h 22 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: All the way back to 1989 (database history), road teams off of a tight 4 point or fewer loss have done great next game at a 500-409-32 55.0% ATS clip on the blind! -- This one is active on the Broncos and Steelers this week The Giants are 6-1 ATS (3.29 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog.The Fortyniners are 1-13-2 ATS (-3.88 ppg) since Dec 08, 2013 as a home favorite.The Steelers are 7-2 ATS (1.33 ppg) since Dec 13, 2015 as a road dog.NFL Key Numbers:Key lines: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 | |||||||
09-15-19 | Vikings v. Packers -2.5 | 16-21 | Win | 100 | 44 h 53 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Rams and Cowboys this week The Vikings are 2-7-1 ATS (-2.65 ppg) since Nov 13, 2016 as a road dog.The Vikings are 0-4 ATS (-7.00 ppg) since Oct 28, 2018 as a dog. | |||||||
09-15-19 | Cowboys v. Redskins +6 | Top | 31-21 | Loss | -105 | 44 h 53 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. -- Fade the Rams and Cowboys this week | |||||||
09-09-19 | Texans +7.5 v. Saints | 28-30 | Win | 100 | 100 h 49 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In week 1, playing road dogs of no more than +6.5 points that finished last regular season with 6 or fewer wins has gone 45-15-5 (75.4%) ATS in database history. -- Active to play on Packers Not much in the area of supporting SDQL this week so go a bit lighter on the others until we collect some current season statistics for the Raw Number based selections. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Colts +7 v. Chargers | 24-30 | Win | 100 | 73 h 43 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In week 1, playing road dogs of no more than +6.5 points that finished last regular season with 6 or fewer wins has gone 45-15-5 (75.4%) ATS in database history. -- Active to play on Packers Not much in the area of supporting SDQL this week so go a bit lighter on the others until we collect some current season statistics for the Raw Number based selections. | |||||||
09-08-19 | Titans +6 v. Browns | 43-13 | Win | 100 | 70 h 42 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: In week 1, playing road dogs of no more than +6.5 points that finished last regular season with 6 or fewer wins has gone 45-15-5 (75.4%) ATS in database history. -- Active to play on Packers Not much in the area of supporting SDQL this week so go a bit lighter on the others until we collect some current season statistics for the Raw Number based selections. | |||||||
02-03-19 | Patriots v. Rams +3 | 13-3 | Loss | -110 | 119 h 7 m | Show | |
01-20-19 | Rams v. Saints -3 | 26-23 | Loss | -116 | 44 h 22 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, dogs off of two or more straight games where they scored 19 or more points before the half are just 22-72-0 SU (23.4%) and 34-55-5 (38.2%) ATS in their next. - Fade the Rams and Patriots this week. KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Chiefs are 11-35-4 OU (-4.67 ppg) since Nov 06, 2011 as a home favorite Always stay away from a live dog. The Rams are currently backed by over 55% of the public bets as a road dog in the dome. | |||||||
01-13-19 | Eagles +9.5 v. Saints | 14-20 | Win | 100 | 93 h 13 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Play on the Colts, Chargers, Eagles this week KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Patriots are 23-1 ATS (+14.82 ppg) on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game, including last season's super bowl vs the Falcons. The Patriots are 39-15-1 ATS (5.18 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 at homeThe Chiefs are 18-48-5 OU (-4.38 ppg) since Oct 31, 2010 at homeSince 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. (Fade the Cowboys this week if they're looking beat up as per the concept of this trend)The Chiefs are 0-15ATS (-4.77 ppg) as a home favorite off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent that is averaging fewer than 27 rushes per game.The Eagles are 12-0 ATS (+9.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than 4 points when seeking same-season revenge.Key NFL Margins: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key NFL Totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 | |||||||
01-12-19 | Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams | 22-30 | Win | 100 | 36 h 19 m | Show | |
In database history, second half of the season home favorites of five points or more averaging 24 or more ppg are just 49-76-3 ATS (39.2%). Fade the Rams | |||||||
01-12-19 | Colts +5.5 v. Chiefs | 13-31 | Loss | -109 | 69 h 8 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Play on the Colts, Chargers, Eagles this week KEY TEAM TREND OF THE WEEK: The Patriots are 23-1 ATS (+14.82 ppg) on turf vs non-divisional opponent that is averaging 13+ passing first downs per game, including last season's super bowl vs the Falcons. The Patriots are 39-15-1 ATS (5.18 ppg) since Sep 22, 2013 at homeThe Chiefs are 18-48-5 OU (-4.38 ppg) since Oct 31, 2010 at homeSince 2010, teams that just played the Seattle Seahawks are just 33-57-4 ATS 36.7% in their next game. (Fade the Cowboys this week if they're looking beat up as per the concept of this trend)The Chiefs are 0-15ATS (-4.77 ppg) as a home favorite off a win as a favorite when they are facing an opponent that is averaging fewer than 27 rushes per game.The Eagles are 12-0 ATS (+9.96 ppg) as a road dog by more than 4 points when seeking same-season revenge.Key NFL Margins: 3, 7, 10, 6, 4, 14, 2, 1, 8, 17, 13, 21 Key NFL Totals: 44, 41, 37, 51, 43, 40, 47, 33, 48, 30, 45, 55, 34, 27, 36, 52 | |||||||
01-06-19 | Eagles +7 v. Bears | 16-15 | Win | 100 | 47 h 12 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Take the Eagles this week | |||||||
01-06-19 | Chargers v. Ravens -1 | 23-17 | Loss | -120 | 139 h 24 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2003, sub .500 road teams on a losing ats streak are 562-417-22 ATS (57.4%) against plus.500 teams on a winning ats streak. Play on the Ravens | |||||||
01-05-19 | Seahawks +2.5 v. Cowboys | 22-24 | Win | 100 | 27 h 49 m | Show | |
Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week. - Fade the Cowboys | |||||||
01-05-19 | Colts +108 v. Texans | 21-7 | Win | 108 | 23 h 7 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. - Take the Eagles and Colts this week | |||||||
12-30-18 | Eagles v. Redskins +7.5 | 24-0 | Loss | -139 | 69 h 0 m | Show | |
Since 1989, teams that won the last matchup that took place in a previous season off of a win where the total went Over now facing a team off a match where the total also went Over are just 152-218-5ATS (40.5%) in Sunday games. Play on the Redskins | |||||||
12-30-18 | Falcons +110 v. Bucs | 34-32 | Win | 110 | 44 h 12 m | Show | |
The Falcons are 12-0 ATS (+12.25 ppg) on the road off a road game in which they were outgained, as long as they are not getting four-plus points. Since 2004,teams playing their second straight road game or more are, on the blind, 509-411-20 (55.3% ATS). By simply playing a lot on the road (that's it, nothing else), it seems that teams, Automatically get Under-valued. Falcons | |||||||
12-30-18 | Panthers +8.5 v. Saints | Top | 33-14 | Win | 100 | 66 h 38 m | Show |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: Since 1989, Teams on a 7 game or worse losing streak are 97-61-6 61.4% ATS next week. - Panthers this week as Top Play! | |||||||
12-23-18 | Bengals +10 v. Browns | 18-26 | Win | 100 | 91 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181216, 'Falcons'), (20181216, 'Dolphins'), (20181223, 'Bengals'), (20181223, 'Falcons') | |||||||
12-23-18 | Falcons -3.5 v. Panthers | 24-10 | Win | 100 | 91 h 36 m | Show | |
NFL SYSTEM OF THE WEEK: 3rd down % defense system: Play on teams allowing a significantly less 3rd down completion percentage than what their opponents that they've faced(season to date averages) are allowing: These teams are 131-74-12 ATS 63.9% in database history. (20181216, 'Falcons'), (20181216, 'Dolphins'), (20181223, 'Bengals'), (20181223, 'Falcons') | |||||||
12-23-18 | Giants +10.5 v. Colts | 27-28 | Win | 100 | 67 h 3 m | Show | |
Since 1998, a team off of a win as a dog by 5 or fewer points and went Over the total is just 70-113-6 38.3% ATS next week.The Giants are 9-0 ATS (5.00 ppg) since Sep 23, 2018 as a road dog |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,060 |
Dan Kaiser | $932 |
Jesse Schule | $566 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Ray Monohan | $518 |
Mike Lundin | $493 |
Tom Macrina | $430 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Joseph D'Amico | $390 |
Big Al McMordie | $340 |