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|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|02-22-19||Davidson -1.5 v. Rhode Island||75-66||Win||100||17 h 34 m||Show|
|02-22-19||Bulls v. Magic -8||110-109||Loss||-105||15 h 39 m||Show|
|02-19-19||Rhode Island v. VCU -8.5||42-76||Win||100||18 h 53 m||Show|
RHODE ISLAND @ VCU
The VCU Rams will host the Rhode Island Rams in Richmond tonight. VCU is in a first place tie with Davidson at the top of the A-10. They have won six straight overall, and they are 12-1 at home this season. Each of their last three home wins came by a double digit margin. Rhode Island has lost three straight road games, and five of their last six overall. Their last road game was a double digit loss at Davidson. The Rhode Island Rams are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. The favorite is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings, and expect that trend to continue here.
|02-18-19||Virginia v. Virginia Tech +6||64-58||Push||0||3 h 25 m||Show|
VIRGINIA @ VIRGINIA TECH
The Hokies lost 81-59 at Virginia earlier this season, but they have covered the spread in five of their last six home meetings versus Virginia. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 head to head meetings. Virginia Tech is 12-1 at home this season, and have held opponents to an average of 57.5 points in those games. Viriginia is coming off a 60-54 win at home versus Notre Dame, failing to cover as a 16.5 point favorite. They have only covered the spread in one of their last five overall, and they may be asked to cover too many points again here in a tough road game.
|02-17-19||Arizona v. Colorado -5.5||60-67||Win||100||4 h 50 m||Show|
ARIZONA @ COLORADO
An off season scandal may have taken it's toll on the Wildcats, who had been one of the elite teams in the PAC12 over the last 10 years. They bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game against Colorado. The Buffaloes have played well of late, winning three of their last four at home, and boasting a 9-2 record overall in Boulder. The Buffaloes have scored an average of 82.7 points per game at home, while the Wildcats have scored just over 75 points per game on the road. Arizona is averaging less than 70 points per game in their last five overall.
|02-17-19||Marist v. Monmouth -3||75-67||Loss||-110||5 h 32 m||Show|
MARIST @ MONMOUTH
The Monmouth Hawks got off to a rough start, only winning one game through their entire non-conference schedule. They are now 9-5 in the MAAC, but only 10-17 overall. The Hawks host Marist on Sunday, and the Red Foxes are coming off three straight wins. Monmouth has owned Marist in recent seasons, winning seven straight head to head meetings. The Red Foxes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven Sunday games, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
|02-16-19||Tennessee v. Kentucky -3.5||69-86||Win||100||8 h 20 m||Show|
TENNESSEE @ KENTUCKY
The Vols are coming into Kentucky as the #1 ranked team in the country, but they face a Wildcats team that has had a far tougher schedule. While Tennessee is 1-1 against Top 25 teams, the Wildcats are 4-2 in such games. Wins came against the likes of Auburn, Mississippi State, Kansas and North Carolina. Kentucky was 13-0 at home until the lost a close game to LSU on Tuesday. They led 40-32 at the half in that game, and I expect them to get off to a good start here against the Vols. The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
|02-15-19||Fairfield v. Canisius -3.5||68-72||Win||100||3 h 22 m||Show|
RED FOXES @ BOBCATS
The Fairfield Stags are 3-10 on the road, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They play at Canisius tonight, and they already lost to the Golden Griffins at home earlier this season. Canisius has been the better team in the MAAC, with an 8-4 conference record compared to the Stags at 4-9. The Stags are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 versus the Metro Atlantic Athletic. The Golden Griffins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games.
|02-14-19||BYU v. San Diego -2.5||88-82||Loss||-111||10 h 23 m||Show|
BYU @ SAN DIEGO
Over the years the BYU Cougars have had far more success in the WCC than the San Diego Toreros. The Cougars are 8-3 in the conference, while San Diego is just 5-5. Home court advantage has certainly been key in this series, as the home team has covered in nine of the last 10 meetings. The Toreros are 11-1 at home, while BYU is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.
|02-12-19||Lakers -5 v. Hawks||113-117||Loss||-105||10 h 40 m||Show|
LAKERS @ HAWKS
The Hawks have lost three straight on this current home stand, and they have allowed an average of 124 points in those games. They host the Lakers tonight, and the Lakers are playing the final game of a six game road trip. With a win tonight they would be 3-3 on the road trip. LA is desperate to string a few wins together and make a run for the playoffs, while the Hawks are just going through the motions and looking forward to another high draft pick. The Lakers have won the last five head to head meetings versus Atlanta, covering the spread in four of those five games. The Hawks are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 home games, while LA is 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
|02-12-19||Michigan State v. Wisconsin +1||67-59||Loss||-105||9 h 4 m||Show|
MSU @ WISCONSIN
The Badgers can move into a tie with Michigan State for third place in the BIG10 with a win over the Spartans tonight. Michigan State looks vulnerable, coming into Madison as losers of three of their last four. The Badgers on the other hand have won six of their last seven. The home team has won seven of the last eight head to head meetings, and I like Wisconsin to keep that trend rolling. The Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Wisconsin has really stepped up on defense lately, holding opponents to just 54 points per game in their last five overall. It's going to be a tough night for the Spartans.
|02-11-19||Virginia -1 v. North Carolina||69-61||Win||100||16 h 18 m||Show|
VIRGINIA @ UNC
The Virginia Cavs have lost just twice this season, and both of those losses came against Duke. They played well enough to win in a double digit home loss to Duke on Saturday, but the Blue Devils simply couldn't miss a shot in that game. Duke shot over 57 percent from the field and over 61 percent from beyond the arc. It was simply a matter of a more talented team making tough shots. The Tar Heels are another tough team, but not as tough as Duke. Virginia won both meetings versus North Carolina last year, and the Cavs are are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Cavaliers are also 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
|02-09-19||Utah State v. San Diego State +3.5||63-68||Win||100||11 h 27 m||Show|
AGGIES @ AZTECS
The Utah State Aggies are coming into San Diego State as 3.5 point favorites, but I like the home dog. The Aztecs are 10-0 against Utah State since 2014, and the Aggies are 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Recent road wins at Fresno State and New Mexico have come by a combined three points. The Aztecs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 versus Mountain West, and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning straight up record. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Diego St, and the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
|02-09-19||Oklahoma State +11.5 v. Kansas||72-84||Loss||-108||3 h 34 m||Show|
|02-08-19||Quinnipiac v. Iona -3.5||66-65||Loss||-106||9 h 8 m||Show|
QUINNIPIAC @ IONA
The Iona Gaels have lost three straight, but they have won four of their last five at home. They host Quinnipiac tonight, and they have won seven of their last eight versus the Bobcats. The Gaels are an offensive juggernaut at home, averaging 81 points per game (12 points more than the Bobcats score on the road). The Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they were an 11.5 point favorite in their last home game against the Bobcats. The home favorite is asked to cover just a few points here tonight, and I feel comfortable backing Iona to get an outright win.
|02-07-19||Cincinnati v. Memphis +3||69-64||Loss||-105||10 h 19 m||Show|
|02-06-19||Rockets v. Kings +3.5||127-101||Loss||-108||11 h 51 m||Show|
HOUSTON @ SACRAMENTO
While the media continues to go crazy over James Harden's record scoring streak, most people in the know are saying that this style of play isn't a winning strategy. Kobe Bryant said that "I don't think that style's ever gonna win championships." Harden didn't disagree with Kobe, saying: "I mean, I have to be ball dominant just because we have injuries," Tonight will be the final game of a four game road trip, and I think Houston might be a little low on energy here in Sacramento. The Kings have been solid at home (17-10) and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Houston. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
|02-06-19||Rhode Island v. Davidson -4.5||53-68||Win||100||6 h 0 m||Show|
RAMS @ WILDCATS
Rhode Island lead by 19 points at halftime in their last road game, and they went on to lose to the Dukes at Duquesne. Before that they lost to the minutemen at Massachusetts. They have their work cut out for them here at Davidson, facing a Wildcats team with a 10-0 home record. The Rams are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. Davidson scores 10 points per game more at home than Rhode Island does at home, and the Wildcats are also better defensively.
|02-02-19||James Madison v. NC-Wilmington -4||104-95||Loss||-109||11 h 36 m||Show|
|02-02-19||St. John's +17.5 v. Duke||61-91||Loss||-110||4 h 47 m||Show|
ST JOHNS @ DUKE
The Red Storm have their work cut out for them in today's game. They had a rough stretch losing 4 of 5 before breaking out with a big 83-67 win at Creighton in their last game. They average over 80 points a game but were held below that in all 4 of their losses. They lost 2 of them on the road in some tough venues at Villanova and at Butler which are both extremely tough places to win. They hit 48% of their shots from the floor and 39% of their 3's for the season. They are 2-4 in their last 6 meetings with Duke and in the 4 losses haven't lost by double digits with a team not as good as this one. Duke has won 9 of 10 but the offense that averages over 88 points a game has been held below that in 7 of their last 9 and are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games while hitting just 45% from the floor and a dismal 25% of their 3's. They will be tough to beat at home but with a spread like this the points are too appealing to pass up.
Take St Johns
|02-01-19||Rockets v. Nuggets -4.5||122-136||Win||100||11 h 26 m||Show|
HOUSTON @ DENVER
The Rockets are coming off a home loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, and they take on the first place Denver Nuggets tonight. Denver has won six of it's last seven overall, and the Nuggets are a powerhouse at home. Denver is 22-4 straight up at the Pepsi Center, and the Nuggets are are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they have failed to cover in four straight on the road. Denver ahould start strong here at home against a one dimensional opponent.
|01-29-19||Ohio State v. Michigan -9||49-65||Win||100||11 h 50 m||Show|
|01-29-19||Wisconsin +3 v. Nebraska||62-51||Win||100||9 h 35 m||Show|
|01-28-19||Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma||77-47||Win||100||12 h 14 m||Show|
BAYLOR @ OKLAHOMA
Baylor won 5 of their last 6 games with the only loss to Kansas. Over their last 5 games they scored an average of 75 points while the defense has held opponents to 69 points and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Their last 3 losses were by 10 points total and they have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Sooners. Oklahoma has lost 4 of their last 6 conference games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Baylor as well as 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings with them at home. They average 74 points a game hitting just 45% of their shots and 67% from the foul line. This is a tough matchup and the points they are asked to cover might be too high considering they are just 3-3 in their last 6 games.
|01-27-19||Florida State -3.5 v. Miami-FL||78-66||Win||100||10 h 31 m||Show|
FLORIDA STATE @ MIAMI
The Seminoles broke a 3 game losing streak where they lost 2 of them by 7 points total including an 82-80 loss to Duke. They average 78 points a game with a defense that allows less than 70. They lost 5 games so far and 2 were to Virginia and Duke while they won their last game over a tough Clemson team 77-68. Miami hasn't played well all year and is 9-9 losing 5 of their last 6 games. Over their last 5 game the offense is scoring just 68 points a game which is about 10 points lower than their season average with one of the losses to the Seminoles. They were really hammered in their last game losing 73-53 to Syracuse and have lost 2 of their last 3 home games. They aren't playing well on both sides of the ball and the Seminoles could have this game over by halftime.
Take Florida State
|01-27-19||Iowa v. Minnesota +1||87-92||Win||100||8 h 15 m||Show|
IOWA @ MINNESOTA
Iowa had their 5 game winning streak snapped when they lost 82-67 at home to the Spartans in their last game. They average 82 points a game but were stopped cold by Michigan State. Their last loss was also to a good defensive team as they lost to Purdue 86-70 and were held to no more than 73 points against Ohio St and Northwestern who are also vey good defensive teams. Minnesota has won 7 of their last 10 games with their last 2 losses on the road. They play a good defensive game, holding teams below 70 points on average and did that to 7 of their last 10 opponents. They are 10-1 at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Iowa while the Hawkeyes are 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 games against teams with a winning home record.
|01-27-19||Michigan State v. Purdue +2||63-73||Win||100||4 h 3 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ PURDUE
The Spartans are 18-2 and one of the better teams in the country and have won 13 straight games. They are 9-0 in conference play but their offense has been a little sluggish. They average 84 points a game but have scored below that in 6 of their last 7 games and are playing a tough team at home. Purdue is 13-6 but 9-0 at home and have won 7 of their last 8 games while scoring at least 79 points in 5 of the 7 wins. They have a great defense that allows just 68 points a game but at home that drops to 61 points a game. Although the Spartans average 84 points a game they have been held to just 74 over their last 5 games and normally hit over 50% from the floor but just 47% in this stretch. They are playing one of the better defensive teams in their conference who are always dangerous on their home court. I'll be taking the points with the home team in this one.
|01-26-19||Auburn v. Mississippi State +1||84-92||Win||100||10 h 32 m||Show|
AUBURN @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
The Tigers went 11-2 in their first 13 games then conference play took it's toll as they went 2-3 losing all 3 in the SEC. They lost their last 2 and are 1-3 on the road. Both of their latest losses were tough as they lost by 5 points total. Their defense that allows 69 points a game have allowed at least 78 points in 4 of their last 5 games while the offense is hitting just 42% from the floor. Since they lost their big man Wiley they have lost 2 straight games and their leading rebounder and top shooter hitting 58% of his shots. The Bulldogs are in a similar situation losing their last 3 to SEC teams with 2 on the road and 1 game in OT. They are tough at home averaging 85 points a game while the defense allows just 69.5 and that should be the difference today. This will be a tough place for Auburn to get back on track while the Bulldogs could get right again as they are 9-1 at home.
Take Mississippi State
|01-26-19||VCU v. Duquesne +3.5||80-74||Loss||-109||5 h 28 m||Show|
VCU @ DUQUESNE
VCU has won 6 of their last 8 games with both losses on the road. They average less than 70 points a game hitting just 42% from the floor and 30% of their 3's. They have problems offensively on the road averaging less than 60 points scoring while hitting 39% from the floor and a dismal 25% of their 3's. They are playing a tough Duquesne team who are 11-1 at home and average 80 points a game at home while holding opponents to 43% shooting from the floor and over their last 5 games are averaging 79 points a game and have held opponents to 72 scoring points this season. This is a tough place for VCU to pick up a win and i'm more than happy to grab points with the home team.
|01-26-19||Clemson +6 v. NC State||67-69||Win||100||5 h 57 m||Show|
CLEMSON @ NC STATE
The Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 games but 2 were to Virginia and Duke and 2 were on the road to the Seminoles and Syracuse. Their defense has been solid as they held 7 of their last 9 opponents below 70 points. They are playing an NC State team that has allowed 4 of their last 6 opponents to score at leat 80 points and who are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The Wolfpack defense has been battered allowing opponents to score 80 points over their last 5 games while the offense in hitting just 42% from the floor. They are also dealing with injuries and against a tough Clemson team could have their hands full as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as the favorite. This won't be an easy game for the Wolpack to win let alone cover.
|01-24-19||NC State v. Louisville -5||77-84||Win||100||10 h 38 m||Show|
NORTH CAROLINA STATE @ LOUISVILLE
The Wolfpack had won 6 straight games but have since gone 2-2. their last loss was 71-67 to Wake Forest on the road as an 8.5 point favorite. They are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games and have been held under their scoring average in 3 of their last 4 games. They average 10 points less offensively on the road than at home while the defense allows 8 points more than their season average. Louisville has won 7 of their last 10 games and 2 of those losses were on the road and 1 was against Kentucky at home. They scored at least 79 points in 5 straight games including wins over Miami and the Tarheels. With the Wolfpack dealing with injuries and Louisville having a 10-1 home record, this could end up a huge victory for the home side.
|01-24-19||Michigan State -4.5 v. Iowa||82-67||Win||100||9 h 23 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ IOWA
The Spartans are 17-2 and have a 12 game winning streak where they are 11-1 ATS as well. They won by double digits in 7 of their last 9 games and have a great defense holding opponents to 66 points scoring. Over their last 5 games they have hels opponents to 62 point and letting them hit 36% for the floor. Only 2 teams managed to score at least 70 poinys during their 12 game winning streak. Iowa is playing well also as they have won 5 straight conference games sine losing their first 3. They have been able to score but have also allowed 3 of their last 6 opponents to score at least 80 points. This will be their toughest game of the year for them but it may be over their head. They have been held to 73 points or less in 4 of their last 7 games.
Take Michigan State
|01-24-19||Tulsa +14 v. Cincinnati||64-88||Loss||-109||9 h 9 m||Show|
TULSA @ CINCINNATI
Tulsa is 12-7 with 3 of their last 4 losses to the top 3 teams in the conference including a 70-65 OT loss to the Bearcats a few weeks ago. They have a tough defense that held 6 of their last 10 opponents to 70 points or less and are 3-1ATS in their last 4 games while also going 4-2 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Bearcats. They average holding opponents below 70 points while hitting less than 41% from the floor. Cincinnati has won 8 of their last 10 games but don't usually blow teams away. They are 1-4 ATS as double digit favorites in the last 5 and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 overall. This will be a tough game for Cinci to run away with and Tulsa could have some revenge in mind after that OT loss.
|01-21-19||Maryland +9.5 v. Michigan State||55-69||Loss||-110||9 h 10 m||Show|
MARYLAND @ MICHIGAN STATE
The Terps are 16-3 and just whipped Ohio State for their 7th stright win. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and scored at least 74 points in 8 of their last 10 games while the defense has held opponents below 70 in 4 of their last 5. They average 77 points while hitting 48% from the floor and 37% of their 3's. Defensively they are holding teams to 41% from the floor and 33 % of their 3's. The Spartans are on a roll as well winning 11 straight. Maryland is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and as well as the Spartans have played this in a pretty big number to cover. The Terps haven't been this big a dog all season and shouldn't be here'
|01-21-19||Pelicans v. Grizzlies -2.5||105-85||Loss||-108||6 h 29 m||Show|
PELICANS @ GRIZZLIES
NO has lost 3 of their last 4 and are only 6-19 on the road. They are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 road games and 3-7-1 in their last 11 against the Western conference. They will again be without Davis who is still injured and have one of the woest defenses that allow over 115 points a game. Memphis is on a terrible run as well losing 9 of their last 10 games but 6 of the losses were on the road but they have the best defense in the Western conference allowing just 104 points a gme. This is a good spot for Memphis topick up a much needed win.
|01-20-19||Clippers v. Spurs -8||103-95||Loss||-109||9 h 48 m||Show|
CLIPPERS @ SPURS
LA has lost 5 straight and 7 of their last 10 overall. They are 0-5 ATS in those losses allowing over 120 points in 3 of them and are 1 of the worst defensively allowing over 114 points a game. They lost their last 3 meetings in San Antonio and are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 In San Antonio. The Spurs have won 7 of their last 10 games and have an 18-6 record at home. They are 27-9 ATS in their last 36 home games and 18-7-1 ATS in their last 26 games overall. Wit the injuries piling up in LA, this will be a very difficult game for the Clippers to even be competitive.
Take San Antonio
|01-20-19||Patriots v. Chiefs -3||37-31||Loss||-110||57 h 28 m||Show|
PATRIOTS @ CHIEFS
New England won their last 3 games but their 5th ranked offense that scores over 37 points a game, has been held below that in 6 of their last 10 games. They lost 3 of their last 4 road games and were held to 10 points in 2 of the losses. Brady has not passed for 300 yards in 7 of his last 11 games while throwing 2 TD's or less in 9 of his last 12 games and 1 TD or less in 8 of those. Of the Patriots last 7 wins 4 were against Buffalo and the Jets who they beat twice each while their last 4 wins were all at home. The Chiefs are led by QB Mahomes who is ranked 1st in TD passes with 50 and 2nd in yards with over 5000. Over his last 12 games he has thrown 36 TD's and just 10 picks. They got 2 of their last 3 losses against the Rams and Chargers who are 2 of the best teams in the league while their record at home is 8-1. Although they allow over 400 yards a game, they average just 26.3 points a game allowed and have yet to allow 30 at home in KC. Their defense has allowed 17 points or less in 7 of their last 10 games and 17 or less in 4 of their last 5 home games.
Take Kansas City
|01-20-19||Hornets v. Pacers -7||95-120||Win||100||8 h 59 m||Show|
HORNETS @ PACERS
Charlotte has won 3 straight with 2 of the games at home where they are 16-8. They lost 4 of their last 5 games on the road where they have a 6-15 record and they are 1-7 ATS against teams with winning home records. They are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games and have been held below 100 points in 4 of their last 5 losses with 5 of their last 6 wins against Indiana coming on their home court. The Pacers have won 3 of their last 4 games and 7 of their last 10 overall. They lost 2 of those 3 games on the road and scored at least 116 points in 6 of their last 7 wins. They won 3 of their last 4 meetings at Indians and covered the spread in the wins. They are an amazing 38-17-1 ATS in their last 56 Sunday games.
|01-20-19||Rams +3.5 v. Saints||26-23||Win||100||124 h 8 m||Show|
RAMS @ SAINTS
LA has won 6 of their last 8 games scoring at least 30 points in each win while holding opponents to 22 points of less in 4 of their lat 6 and 16 points or less in 3 of those. They were ranked 2nd in overall offense during the regular season ranking 5th in passing yards a game and 3rd in rushing yards. QB Goff has passed for at least 295 yards in 5 of his last 9 games and thrown 20 TD's against 7 picks with 4 of the picks in justv1 game. Defensively they are 9th against the pass allowing just 227 yards a game while holding teams to less that 21 points a game while allowing just 105 yards on the ground. The Saints have won 4 of their last 5 games but scored at least 30 points in just1 of their last 6 games. They average over 31 points a game but most of those points came in the first 10 games of the year as they scored at least 40 points in 6 of those first 10 games. Brees has thrown just 3 TD's over his last 4 games while not passing for 300 yards in 7 of his last 10 games. They are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games and 1-4 ATS in their last 4 against the NFC.
Take Los Angeles
|01-20-19||Providence v. Marquette -7||68-79||Win||100||1 h 53 m||Show|
PROVIDENCE @ MARQUETTE
The Friars have lost 3 of their last 4 games including 2 on their home court. Over their last 5 games they averaged just 72 points a game while shooting just 41% from the floor and 32% of their 3's. Their defense has allowed teams to score over 85 points in road games which is 15 points over their season average. They are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 meetings with Marquette and are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games overall while in their last 10 games at Marquette are 2-8 ATS. Marquette is 15-3 and 12-0 at home. They have won 9 of their last 10 games with the 1 loss at a very good St John's team. They are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
|01-19-19||Lakers v. Rockets -7||134-138||Loss||-103||11 h 52 m||Show|
LAKERS @ ROCKETS
LA who is still without James is stuggling. They are 5-5 in their last 10 games but won their last a 138-128 OT win over OKC on the road and prior to that had lost 5 of 8. They were held to 100 points or less in 4 of their last 5 losses and were 0-5 ATS in those 5. Their prior 2 wins were against Cleveland and Detroit who are both in freefall. Houston have been alternating wins and losse over their lst 7 games but are 14-5 ATS in their last 19 meetings with LA and 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The favorite is 18-6 ATS in their last 24 meetings. Houston is 16-7 at home and another game without James could end up being a runaway especially the way Harden has been playing.
|01-19-19||Kentucky v. Auburn -4||82-80||Loss||-115||6 h 39 m||Show|
KENTUCKY @ AUBURN
Kentucky bounced back with 3 straight wins after their 77-75 loss at Alabama. it was their only loss so far this season on the road and are now 13-3 overall. They average 80 points a game but that drops to 71 when playing on the road as well as their shooting. They hit 49% form the floor but just 45% on the road and their 3 point shooting drops from 35% to 31%. Over their last 5 games they have scored 71 points while hitting under 40% from the floor and just 30% of their 3's. Auburn has won 4 of their last 6 with the 2 losses on the road to Ole Miss and NC St. They are 9-0 at home averaging 90 points a game while allowing opponents to score 63. They are 2nd in the country grabbing 16 offensive boards giving them plenty of 2nd chance shots. this is a huge game for the Tigers and I like their chances at home.
|01-18-19||Xavier v. Villanova -10||75-85||Push||0||13 h 34 m||Show|
XAVIER @ VILLANOVA
Xavier has won 2 straight games barely winning the last 70-69 over Butler at home. They average 74 points a game but have been held to 70 or less in 6 of their last 9 games and below 60 in 3 of them. They really struggle on the road being held to 57 points while hitting just 37% from the floor and over their lst 5 games are hitting just 42% and only 26% of their 3's. They have lost 9 of their last 10 meetings with the Wildcats and are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Villanova has won 5 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. They had a big 90-78 win at Creighton in their last game and are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games. Villanova is 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games overall while Xavier is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The favorite is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings between these schools.
|01-17-19||76ers v. Pacers -3||120-96||Loss||-101||11 h 35 m||Show|
SIXERS @ PACERS
Philadelphia has won 2 straight including a 149-107 win over the Wolves in their highest scoring output of the season. Prior they had lost 2 straight and are much better at home where they are 19-4 and 4 of their last 5 losses have been on the road. They are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 meetings with Indiana including 2-5 ATS in their last 7 at Indiana and 8-17 ATS in their last 25 road games. The Pacers have been playing well winning 8 of their last 10 games with both losses on the road against 2 of the best teams in the NBA Toronto and Boston. They scored at least 119 points in 6 of their last 7 wins and won 5 of their last 7 meetings with the Sixers. They are 19-9 ATS in their last 28 games against teams with winning records. After their big win over the Wolves in their last game expect a let down against a togh Pacer team at home
|01-16-19||Georgia Tech v. Clemson -6.5||60-72||Win||100||12 h 36 m||Show|
GEORGIA TECH @ CLEMSON
Georgia Tech had the good fortune of playing 7 of their last 9 games on their home court and had a nice upset win in Syracuse in their lasy game and that may have been the result of Syracuse looking ahead to their following game against Duke which they won. Tech has 8 of their 10 wins at home and now play a hungry defensive minded Clemson team who just ran the gauntlet against Virginia, Duke and Syracuse. They lost all 3 and are looking to take it out on someone. They out score opponents 73-63 at home while Georgia Tech averages just 64 points on the road. Clemson has won the last 3 meetings and look good for another one
|01-16-19||Creighton v. St. John's -2.5||66-81||Win||100||9 h 46 m||Show|
CREIGHTON @ ST JOHNS
Creighton lost a hard fought game to Villanova at home 90-78 and now play on the road against an excellent St John's team. They are 10-7 but just 1-3 in road games and now have a 3 game losing streak which includes 2 straight home losses. They won their 1st conference game but have lost the last 3 which resulted in their current 3 game losing streak. Over their last 5 games their defense has allowed teams to score 84 points a game while nailing 49% from the floor and over 40% of their 3's. St John's excels at home with an 8-1 record while scoring 84 points a game and holding teams to 68. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 2 of their last 3 losses were on the road. This is a tough spot for Creighton to turn things around and I don't see that losing streak being broken
Take St John's
|01-15-19||Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Virginia||59-81||Loss||-107||10 h 33 m||Show|
VIRGINIA TECH @ VIRGINIA
Tech is 14-1 with the 1 loss 63-62 at Penn St, They scored at least 77 points in 7 of theirlast 9 games while holding all 10 opponents below 70 points. They won by double digits in 8 of those 10 games while averaging 79 points a gme and allowing just 52. They matchup and play a similar game to Virginia and only in 1 game of their past 10 meetings did a team reach 80 points, Virginia puts up the same kind of numbers but isn't as strong offensively. Virginia has their next game with Duke so could be caught looking ahead.
Take Virginia Tech
|01-15-19||Wolves v. 76ers -6||107-149||Win||100||10 h 32 m||Show|
Minnesota won 3 of their last 4 games which ere all at home. They are 15-7 there and do much better than on the road. They have lost 6 of their last 8 meetings with the Sixers and are still deading with injuries. They are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 meetings including 0-4 ATS in their last 4 in Philly.is 25-10 ATS in their last 35 against teams with losing home records and they have won 5 of their lst 7 overall.
|01-15-19||St. Louis v. Fordham +7.5||63-60||Win||100||9 h 2 m||Show|
The home team has won the 6 of the last 7 meetings while St Louis score just 64 points on the road and were held to 65 points in 7 of their last 10 games. Their last 3 losses have all been away from their home court where they average just 64 points a game. Their last 3 wins were all by 7 points or less and they are hitting just 40% form the floor and 27% of their 3's over their last 5 games.Fordham lost by 7 points or less in their last 3 losses and 3 of their last 4 losses at home were by 7 or less. They average 68 at home and allow teams to score just 62 there. This seems like yoo much to ask a low scoring team to cover.
|01-14-19||Syracuse +17 v. Duke||95-91||Win||100||10 h 41 m||Show|
Syracuse won 7 of their last 10 games but faltered in their last game losing to Georgia Tech at home. They are 6-2 ATS in their lst 8 road games and 3 of their last 4 meetings ended with the winning team winning by 4 points or less. Duke has never been this big a favorite over Syracuse in their last 10 games the played. The Orange are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games while their degfense has held opponents to an amazing 62 points a game. I don't think they will beat Duke but asking to cover a 17 point spread seems reasonable
|01-14-19||Nebraska v. Indiana -2.5||66-51||Loss||-109||9 h 27 m||Show|
NEBRASKA @ INDIANA
Nebraska is 12-4 but just 1-3 in road games and 3 losses in conference. They lost to Iowa and Maryland in 2 of their lst 3 games and both were on the road. They average 79 points a game but that drops to 75 on the road and so does their 3 point shooting that falls to less than 31%, But their defense really suffers as they allow 80 points as opposed to the 63 for the season. They have never been les than a 5,5 dog the last 4 games at Indiana. The Hoosiers average over 77 points a game while allowing just 66. At home it jumps to 82 on offense and drops to 60 on defense, Their last 3 losses were to Duke Maryland and Michigan which were all on the road. This is a tough spot to ask Nebraska to pick up a win.
|01-13-19||Michigan State -6.5 v. Penn State||71-56||Win||100||6 h 15 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ PENN STATE
The Spartans have won 9 straight games and doing it offensively and defensively. They scored at least 81 points in 5 of their last 6 games and held opponents below 70 in 7 of their last 9. For the season they average almost 87 points a game and allow just 67.5 while hitting over 50% from the floor and 40% of their 3's. They are also 1 of the top rebounding teams as they are 4th in the country and 1st in the Big 10. Penn St has a good defense but has struggled all season offensively as they average less than 68 points a game which is the worst in the Big 10. They hit just 41% from the floor and 31% of their 3's both ranked 13th in the conference. I can't see this game staying close unless the Spatans have a complete breakdown offensively and defensively.
Take Michigan State
|01-13-19||Butler v. Xavier +1||69-70||Win||100||2 h 11 m||Show|
BUTLER @ XAVIER
Butler has lost 3 of their last 4 games to drop to 10-6 on the year. They are 1-2 in conference play and 0-3 on the road. They average 74 points a game but on the road that plunges to 57 a game while allowing teams to hit over 50% from the floor and 37% of their 3's. They are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings with Xavier while going 0-2 ATS the last 2 games they were favorites on the road. Xavier broke a 2 game conference losing streak with a comeback against the Hoyas after being down by double digits winning 81-75. They are 8-2 at home where they average almost 80 points a game which is 6 more than their season average while the defense is holding teams below 70. Getting points with the home side seems like a bargain.
|01-12-19||Cowboys +8.5 v. Rams||22-30||Win||100||52 h 18 m||Show|
COWBOYS @ RAMS
Dallas has won 8 of their last 9 games including their Wild Card win over Seattle. They have the 7th ranked overall defense in the NFL and they allowed 23 points or less in 8 of those last 9 games. They are good at stopping the run as they are ranked 5th allowing just 94 yards a game while allowing just 329 total yards a game. They have won 3 of their last 4 road games while the offense is better at running the ball averaging over 122 yards a game which should help against a Ram defense that allows over 122 yards and are last in the NFL allowing teams to rush for 5.1 yards per attempt. The Rams won 5 of their last 7 games but allowed teams to score over 30 points in 5 of their last 8 games while being outrushed in 5 of their last 8 as well. They average 32 points a game but were held below that in 4 of their last 5 games. In 7 of their last wins they won by 5 points or less in 3 of them and the games they won by double digits were against 4 of the worst offenses in the league beating Detroit, Arizona and San Francisco twice as all of those wins were against those teams that average 21 points or less and losing by 7 or more in their last 3 losses. It won't be easy for them to get a lot going against a fired up Dallas team that has played well.
|01-12-19||Colts v. Chiefs -5||13-31||Win||100||104 h 55 m||Show|
COLTS @ CHIEFS
Indy has won 9 of their last 10 games including 2 post season road games. Not to take away from that accomplishment but 6 of those wins were against teams in the bottom 10 of the NFL in scoring. All 6 average 21 points or less offensively while 4 of their wins were by 10 points total. They have a good offense that averages 27 points a game but have been held to 27 points or less in 5 of their last 7 wins. KC is 12-4 including a 7-1 home record. They are the #1 scoring team in the league led by Mahomes who is 2nd in passing yards and 1st with 50 TD passes. Their defense is near the bottom of the league as they allow over 400 yards a game and over 26 points but even though they allowed over 30 points in 5 games, all 5 were on the road and at home never allowed a team to score 30 points. In 5 of their 7 home wins they held teams to 24 points or less. This is by far the best offense that the Colts will have to face and the 3rd straight road game they have to play. KC had last week off and and is more rested. This is a tough game for the Colts to keep up their winning ways.
Take Kansas City
|01-12-19||Duke v. Florida State +8||80-78||Win||100||4 h 3 m||Show|
DUKE @ FLORIDA STATE
Duke is 13-1 with their loss to Gonzaga and they have won 8 in a row since. They won 6 of those games on their home court but haven't really been challenged since they have been at least a 17 point favorite in 6 of the games and over a 20 point favorite in 5 of those. Florida St is 13-2 with the 2 losses to Villanova and a loss to Virginia. Both games were away from their home court where they are 8-0 and they are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings with Duke. Their defense has held their lst 5 opponents to 68 points and hitting just 41% of their floor shots. This will be a tough place for Duke to win let alone cover the spread.
Take Florida State
|01-11-19||Wright State v. Northern Kentucky -5||64-68||Loss||-105||9 h 41 m||Show|
WRIGHT STATE @ NORTHERN KENTUCKY
Wright st is 8-9 with 7 wins on their home court while they are 1-4 on the road. They are 2-3 in their last 5 games and 1-3 ATS in their last 4. They average just 68 points scoring in away games on 42% shooting while the defense allows over 75 points while allowing opponents to hit over 50% from the floor and over 43% of their 3's. They are terrible defending the 3 point shot and are 342nd in the country. Northern Kentucky is 13-4 and have 10-0 home record. They won 5 of their last 6 games with the loss by just 2 points. Their last 3 wins were all by double digits and their defense alows opponents just 64 points a game on their home court while they average 76 a game.
Take Northern Kentucky
|01-10-19||Penn State +10.5 v. Nebraska||64-70||Win||100||9 h 48 m||Show|
PENN STATE @ NEBRASKA
Penn St lost their last 2 games but they were against Michigan and Wisconsin and their defense held both teams to 71 points or less. They held 7 of their last 10 opponents below 70 points but they struggle offensively scoring above 70 points in only 4 of their last 10 games. Over their last 5 games they held opponents to 66 points and just 44% from the floor. Nebraska has lost 2 straight games and allowed Iowa to score 93 points in their last. Nebraska has a good team and play well at home but Penn St was an 11 point underdog at Michigan in that loss and the game was a lot closer than the final score. This seems like too many points for Nebraska to cover against a good defense that consistently holds teams under 70.
Take Penn State
|01-10-19||Celtics -2 v. Heat||99-115||Loss||-115||8 h 19 m||Show|
CELTICS @ HEAT
Boston has won 4 straight games and 7 of 10 overall including a scoring a season high 135points in their last win over Indiana. They average 112 points a game and surpassed that in 6 of those last 7 wins covering the spread in all 7. Since November 26th, they have won 15 of 20 games with 5 of the wins on the road. Miami had won 6 of 7 games but have lost 3 of their last 4. They were held below 100 points in their last 2 games which they lost and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. Boston is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings in Miami while the road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
|01-09-19||Pistons v. Lakers -1.5||100-113||Win||100||14 h 24 m||Show|
PISTONS @ LAKERS
Detroit has lost 5 of their last 6 games and 15 of 19 overall including 7 of their last 9 road games. They haven't scored more than 107 points in their last 10 losses and have been held under 100 points in 4 of the last 7. They are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games and 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games on 1 day's rest. LA is still without LeBron but have Kuzma back who was out as well. They broke a 3 game losing streak with a win at Dallas in their last game and have a 13-8 home record. The home team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings while the Lakers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against Detroit at home. Detroit is playing as bad as they have played all year.
Take Los Angeles
|01-09-19||Iowa v. Northwestern -2.5||73-63||Loss||-115||21 h 37 m||Show|
IOWA @ NORTHWESTERN
Iowa won their 1st Big 10 game but have yet to win on the road. They lost both road games by at least 16 points. They were just 4-14 in conference play last year with 3 of their wins on their home court and 9 of their losses were by double digits. Northwestern is 10-5 but has an 8-2 home record. They have a tough defense that allows just 63 points a game and at home that drops to 59. They are 6-4 in their last 10 games but 3 losses were by 11 points total and 1 of those was in OT. Iowa doesn't do well against good defensive teams on the road.
|01-09-19||Clemson +4 v. Syracuse||53-61||Loss||-109||12 h 32 m||Show|
CLEMSON @ SYRACUSE
Clemson let Duke score the first 14 points in the 2nd half which broke open a close game as they lost 87-68 in their last game. They have 4 seniors in their starting 5 which anchors a strong defense that allows 67 points a game. They are 10-4 and 2 of their other 3 losses were by 7 points total. They averaged almost 77 points while hitting over 49% of their floor shots and the defense held opponents to 42% from the floor over their last 5 games. The Duke loss broke a 4 game winning streak but they have won 5 of 7 overall. Syracuse also has a good defense and they held 8 of their last 10 opponents below 70 points. They struggle offensively at times as they average 72 points a game hitting just 43% from the floor and 31% of their 3's. They are just 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against teams with a winning record and their last 3 meetings with Clemson saw the winning team win by 3 points or less.
|01-07-19||Alabama -5 v. Clemson||16-44||Loss||-110||75 h 24 m||Show|
CLEMSON VS ALABAMA
These are the teams most people wanted to see in this game and with both having records of 14-0, it seems like a match made in heaven. On paper they mirror each other with the Tigers ranked 3rd and the Tide ranked 4th offensively while defensively the Tigers are ranked 9th and the Tide is ranked 12th. Of the last 8 teams that Clemson beat in the regular season, 6 had conference records of .500 or below with 2 being ranked at 16th and 17th. Alabama's last 8 games were against 4 teams with records of .500 or better while beating 3 ranked teams of which 2 were in the top 5. But the biggest difference is at QB where the Tide's Tagovailia has the best rating (205.2), 3rd (41 TD passes) and 5th (69.5% completion) and 2nd (11.4 yds per attempt). Clemson relies a lot more on their running game and that is one of the toughest things to do against Alabama's defense. Alabama was behind at the half in just 1 game all year while scoring at least 28 1st half points in 9 games including their win over Oklahoma.
|01-06-19||Nebraska -2.5 v. Iowa||84-93||Loss||-105||10 h 50 m||Show|
NEBRASKA @ IOWA
Nebraska lost a heartbreaker 74-72 at Maryland in their last game and you can point to 15 of 23 from the foul line as the reason they lost. They had won 7 of 9 before that game as well as going 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games. Over their last 5 games they are averaging 82 points a game while draining close to 44% of their 3's. They have the 9th ranked defense in the country that allows only 59 points a game while limiting teams below 38% from the floor which is 10th in the nation. Overall they are 35-16-1 ATS in their last 52 games including 17-4 ATS against the Big 10. Iowa seems to do the same thing every year as they win their out of conference games and then get hammered in the Big 10. Last year they were 4-14 in conference and this year are 11-3 with all 3 losses to good defensive teams in the Big 10. They were held to 70 points or less in all 3 games but average 82 points against the weak out of conference teams. Their defense allowed 2 of the teams to score at least 86 points. There is no question who the better team is.
|01-06-19||Eagles +6 v. Bears||16-15||Win||100||103 h 35 m||Show|
EAGLES @ BEARS
Philadelphia won 5 of their last 6 games including their last 2 road games to get to the Wildcard game. That included a 30-23 win over the Rams on the road and LA was tied for the best record in the NFC with the Saints at 13-3. That was the Rams only loss at home all year while the Eagles went 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. They were the 7th best passing team in the league and Foles who took over for Wentz, guided them to 3 straight wins to finish out the season as he completed at least 71 % of his passes while throwing 6TD's and just 2 picks in his last 2 games. They were more of a bend don't break defensively as they allowed less than 22 points and less than 100 yards rushing a game. Chicago played great defense allowing less than 300 yards and only 18 points a game as they won 9 of their last 10 games including their last 5 home games. They were touch and go offensively being ranked 21st and Trubisky passed for over 250 yards just once in his last 8 game while throwing just 5 TD's and 5 picks in his last 5 games and no more than 1 TD in 5 of his last 7. This might be a closer game than you would think as the Eagles were 3-0 SU/ATS in their last 3 meetings.
|01-06-19||St Bonaventure v. George Mason -5.5||53-68||Win||100||7 h 20 m||Show|
ST BONAVENTURE @ GEORGE MASON
The Bonnies have lost 4 straight games while being held to 62 points or less in 3 of them and are averaging just 65 points scoring over their last 5 games. They average just 67 points game hitting less than 44% from the floor for thr season while their last 3 wins were against teams with a combined 13-29 record. Their record is 4-9 with all 4 wins coming at home while losing by double digits in 5 of their last 7 losses. They are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 games and 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 away games. George Mason has had a tough schedule and are 7-7 but won their last game 85-60 on the road to a tough St Joes team while 3 of their last 4 losses were against Baylor, Cincinnati and a tough 1 point loss at Kansas St. They got 5 of their 7 wins at home as they held opponents to just 67 points a game and 43% shooting from the floor. This is a good spot on their home court to grab a nice win against a weak Bonnie team.
Take George Mason
|01-06-19||Chargers +2.5 v. Ravens||23-17||Win||100||124 h 36 m||Show|
CHARGERS @ RAVENS
The Chargers finished the season winning 8 of their last 10 games including 5 straight road wins where they were 7-1 as well as being tied for the best record in the AFC. Led by Rivers with over 4300 passing yards and 32 TD passes, they averaged over 26 points a game while defensively they were ranked 9th allowing less than 21 points a game. They held 6 of the last 8 opponents they beat to 21 points or less. Baltimore led the league defensively allowing less than 300 yrds and 18 points a game. Offensively they averaged 24 points a game but were held to 24 points or less in 7 of their last 10 games while Jackson who took over at QB had just 1 game he passed for more than 200 yards in his 8 starts since replacing Flacco. Rivers has the experience and that is what you look for in the playoffs not to mention having one of his best seasons as a pro.
Take Los Angeles
|01-06-19||Xavier +9 v. Marquette||52-70||Loss||-107||4 h 3 m||Show|
XAVIER @ MARQUETTE
Xavier fell apart in the last few minutes of their last game against Seton Hall in an 80-70 loss. They had previously won 7 of 9 games losing to both Missouri and Cincinnati on the road. They have a very well balanced offense with 6 players averaging at least 9.5 points a game and 5 of them average double digits with 3 hitting over 52% from the floor. This is a huge rivalry with Xavier winning 8 of their last 10 meetings with Marquette including 3 of the last 4 at Marquette. They have held opponents to 42% shooting and less than 70 points over their last 5 games while knocking down 49% from the floor and hitting 37% of their 3's. Marquette has won 8 of their last 10 games but were held to 69 points on 41% shooting by St Johns in a 20 point loss in their last game to start conference play. This is a big spread to ask Marquette to cover as the spread in their last 10 meetings were below 10 points in 7 of them while Xavier is 17-8 ATS in their last 25 road games.
|01-05-19||Raptors v. Bucks -6||123-116||Loss||-100||12 h 41 m||Show|
RAPTORS @ BUCKS
Toronto was hammered 125-107 in their last game at San Antonio while not winning more than 2 straight games in over a month. Since winning 8 straight games in November, they are just 8-8 since and 6 of the losses have been on the road. A good part of that has been injury related and only being able to win at home. They are on the road again and still have the injury problem while facing the NBA's highest scoring team. The Bucks have won 9 of their last 10 games including their last 5 home games. They won their last game 144-112 and it was the 3rd straight game of scoring over 120 points and have done that in 4 of their last 5 home games. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games while Toronto is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 road games. The Bucks have won the last 3 meetings this season and covered the spread in all 3 wins.
|01-05-19||Michigan State v. Ohio State +2.5||86-77||Loss||-110||4 h 57 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ OHIO STATE
The Spartans have won 7 straight games and are 12-2 overall with both losses in games away from their home court. Their last loss was on the road at Louisville while 8 of their wins were at home. They scored at least 81 points in their last 5 home games but reached 80 just once in their last 4 away games including a season low 63 points at Florida and now face the Buckeyes who are 1 of the best defensive teams allowing just 62 points a game. They also could be without Langford their 3rd leading scorer who averages 15 a game. Ohio St is 12-1 including an 8-1 home record with that loss to Syracuse in their worst shooting game of the year. They average over 80 points a game at home with 7 players that score over 7.5 points a game and 2 of their top 3 scorers hitting over 41% of their 3's. They have held 5 of their last 6 opponents to 67 points or less and I look for their defense to be too much for the Spartans.
Take Ohio State
|01-05-19||Creighton v. Butler -4.5||69-84||Win||100||4 h 50 m||Show|
CREIGHTON @ BUTLER
Creighton won their 1st conference game at Providence and now will play their 2nd straight road game. This could be their toughest game yet as they average 8 points less scoring on the road and Butler is a very good defensive team at home allowing opponents 67 points a game. They have hit over 50% of their shots but again Butler allows teams just 43% from the floor at home. Butler also scores 81 points a game at home while hitting 50% from the floor and 40% of their 3's with those stats being higher than their overall averages. They lost their 1st conference game to the Hoyas and they don't want to start out 0-2 in the Big East. Look for them to come back as a hungry team that gets it done at home.
|01-02-19||Oklahoma v. Kansas -8||63-70||Loss||-105||12 h 4 m||Show|
|01-02-19||Nebraska v. Maryland||72-74||Win||100||10 h 38 m||Show|
NEBRASKA @ MARYLAND
Nebraska is 11-2 with both losses away from their home court and one to Big 10 rival Minnesota. They average over 80 points a game but just 73 on the road and the defense allows over 75 points a game. They are playing a Maryland team that was 15-3 at home last year and all 3 of their losses were by 5 points or less. Two of those losses were against Virginia ang Purdue so thos os not a team to be taken lightly. The terps at home might be the toughest game for Nebraska since their beating at the hands of Texas Tech.
|01-01-19||Texas v. Georgia -12.5||28-21||Loss||-104||53 h 49 m||Show|
TEXAS VS GEORGIA
If not for a last minute TD and a blown 14 point lead, instead of Alabama it would have been Georgia in the CFB Championship. Offensively they are ranked 9th averaging 479 yards and over 39 points a game. They are very well balanced averaging over 250 yards on the ground and over 225 in the air while defensively they allow just 311 yards and 18.5 points a game. Texas won 3 of their last 4 games but their defense was inconsistent allowing at least 34 points in 4 of their last 6 games and at least 34 points in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. They average over 30 points a game but were held below that in 3 of their last 4 wins and in their last 3 games. Georgia won 8 of their last 10 games and all by double digits. They should be able to stop the Longhorns and wear down the defense.
|01-01-19||Jazz v. Raptors -3||116-122||Win||100||10 h 28 m||Show|
JAZZ @ RAPTORS.
Utah has a 5-5 record in their last 10 games and have lost 3 of their last 4 road games. They average 105 points a game and are playing in Toronto where the Raptors are 14-4 in home games. The Raptors are 4-4 in their last 8 games and all 4 losses were on the road. They score 112 points a game while the Jazz are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Toronto won their last game and this will be a tough place for Utah to pick up a win.
|01-01-19||Iowa +7.5 v. Mississippi State||27-22||Win||100||26 h 8 m||Show|
MISSISSIPPI STATE VS IOWA
This game features 2 of the best defenses in the country with both ranked in the top 6. Both defense allow less than 300 total yards a game and the Bulldogs allow 12 points a game while Iowa allows 17. All 4 of the Bulldog losses were against teams with very good defenses who are all ranked in the top 30 in the country and they scored a total of just 16 points in those losses. They put up big numbers in 3 of their last 6 wins against inferior teams where they were at least 24 point favorites. Iowa won their last 2 games and all 4 losses were against the elite of the Big 10 with 3 by 6 points or less. If you compare schedules, Iowa had a much tougher one and played much tougher teams. I don't see how either team could be more than a FG favorite so I take the generous spread
|12-31-18||Northwestern +7.5 v. Utah||31-20||Win||100||290 h 16 m||Show|
NORTHWESTERN VS UTAH
NW won 7 of their last 10 games and all their losses were to teams ranked 7th or better nationally. Their defense held 6 of the 7 opponents they beat to 19 points or less and for the season allow less than 24 a game. They had a rough start as they lost 3 of their first 4 games but won 7 of their last 9 and they don't have a problem playing away games as they were 5-1 on the road. Utah had a similar year starting 2-2 before winning 7 of their last 8 games and then losing the Pac 12 Champonsip game 10-3 to Washington. Their offense took a hit when they lost their starting QB who might see action for the first time in 5 games but will be without their leading receiver. Utah might have a small edge defensively but their schedule wasn't as tough.
|12-31-18||Missouri v. Oklahoma State +10||33-38||Win||100||24 h 10 m||Show|
MISSOURI VS OKLAHOMA STATE
Missouri won their last 4 games but the only notable win was over Florida as their other 3 wins were against the worst in the conference as those teams were a combined 5-21 in conference play. Make no mistake that they can score led by QB Lock who passed for over 3100 yards and threw 25 TD's. Their defense has been vulnerable as they allow over 250 yards passing while allowing 6 of their last 10 opponents to score at least 28 points and 5 of them score over 30. The Cowboys finished up 6-6 but not because of lack of offense. They average 500 yards and over 38 points a game with a very balanced running and passing game. They lost by 7 points or less in 5 of their losses and scored at least 31 points in 3 of those including a tough 48-47 loss at Oklahoma. This seems like too many points to cover against this high powered offense.
Take Oklahoma State
|12-31-18||Pittsburgh +5 v. Stanford||13-14||Win||100||47 h 21 m||Show|
STANFORD VS PITTSBURGH
Stanford won their last 3 games but the competition wasn't that special. Their defense ranked 75th allowed over 400 yards and over 24 points a game. Their offense was outgained in 4 of their last 6 games and they will be without RB love and WR Irwin along with a couple of offensive linemen. They are ranked 83rd offensively averaging almost 30 points a game. Pittsburgh lost their last 2 games to Clemson and at Miami while playing Notre Dame close in a 19-14 loss. Their running game averages over 200 yards a game and they score almost 27 points a game. Defensively they held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 24 points or less and played a much tougher schedule than Stanford.
|12-30-18||Browns v. Ravens -6||24-26||Loss||-110||100 h 38 m||Show|
BROWNS @ RAVENS
Cleveland visits Baltimore who can wrap up their division with a win over the Browns. Clevelnd has won 3 straight games but is just 2-5 on the road and 7-7 overall. Mayfield has had a great rookie year but their defense is ranked 29th allowing over 388 yards and over 24 points a game but their offense struggles at time scoring just over 22 points a game. Baltimore has won 5 of their last 6 games and their #1 ranked defense allowed just 21 points or less in the wins. Their defense leads the league in points allowed, yards allowed and rushing defense. They need this game and Cleveland will have a tough time with the Raven defense.
|12-30-18||Falcons +1.5 v. Bucs||34-32||Win||100||96 h 18 m||Show|
FALCONS @ BUCS
Atlanta has had a disappointing year including a 5 game losing streak.But they have won their last 2 games while QB Ryan who is ranked 3rd in the NFL has thrown for over 4500 yards and 33 TD's against just 6 picks. They are ranked 8th offensively and average 382 yards and over 25 points a game. They preety much live and die on the pass and now face the Bucs who rank 24th allowing over 250 yards a game in the air. The Bucs also allow over 124 yards on the ground and that should open up the air for Ryan to have a big day. Although the Falcon defense has holes, the Bucs offense has stalled and they have been held to 20 points or less in their current 3 game losing streak.
|12-29-18||Notre Dame v. Clemson -13||3-30||Win||100||290 h 55 m||Show|
NOTRE DAME VS CLEMSON
The Irish finished their undefeated season with a lackluster win against USC 24-17. Their opponents haven't been very tough as the have been at least double digit favorites in their last 6 games. Their offense can put points on the board and 450 yards a game and they face Clemson that allows less than 300 yards a game which is 4th in the country. Clemson can score as well being ranked 4th offensively and averaging over 45 points a game. They are hungrier as would surely like to get into the Championship game as they were denied a win last year by Alabama.
|12-29-18||Xavier v. DePaul -2||74-65||Loss||-110||2 h 14 m||Show|
XAVIER @ DEPAUL
Xavier is 2-2 in their last 4 games losing their only 2 road games. They lost 5 games total with 4 of them away from their home court. They are 3-8-2 ATS so far this year including 1-4 in their last 5 games. They averaged less than 60 points in their away games while Depaul averages over 80 at home and 81 in their last 5 games. They are 5-2 in their last 7 and this will be a very tough place for Xavier to pull out a win.
|12-29-18||Florida +7 v. Michigan||41-15||Win||100||72 h 23 m||Show|
FLORIDA VS MICHIGAN
The Gators won their last 3 games scoring at least 35 points a game. Their offense averages over 400 yards and 35 points a game and they are well balanced both running and passing for over 200 yards a game. Defensively they allow less than 350 yards and 20 points a game and have outgained 9 of their last 10 opponents while winning 8 of their last 10 with 1 of the losses to Georgia. Michigan was destroyed 62-38 in the Big 10 Championship by Ohio St for a disappointing end of their season. Their offense scores 37 points a game but against the better defenses in the Big 10 didn't score as much. Florida has a good defense a nd more motivation not to mention the points.
|12-28-18||Spurs v. Nuggets -3.5||99-102||Loss||-109||12 h 33 m||Show|
SPURS @ NUGGETS
The Spurs have won 8 of their last 10 games but 7 were at home. They have won 19 games and 14 were at home while they are 5-11 on the road. This is the 2nd game of a back to back between these teams and though the Spurs won the 1st, Denver hit 18 3 pointers and now they are home where they are 13-3. This will be a tough place to pick up a win for San Antonio as the home team has won 9 of their last 10 meetings.
|12-28-18||Iowa State +3 v. Washington State||26-28||Win||100||54 h 6 m||Show|
IOWA ST VS WASHINGTON ST
Iowa St almost ran the table to close out the year but won 7 of their last 8 with the loss only to a tough Texas team at home. Not noted for their offense, they scored at least 27 points in all 7 wins and at least 30 in 4 of them. Their 32nd ranked defense is used to playing high powered offenses and beat both West Virginia and Oklahoma St who are both top 25 offenses. Their defense ranked 32nd overall is a bend don't break kind that allows 351 yards and 22.5 points a game. They were 2nd in the Big 12 in red zone defense and 1st in points allowed. Washington St comes in after losing their last game to rival Washington 28-15 and play in the no defense Pac 12. who have 6 teams that allow at least 27 points a game and 4 of them over 30 a game. They are one dimensional and rely solely on a passing game while the running game is 2nd worst in the country. They will have their hands full with a fired up Cyclone team on a roll.
Take Iowa State
|12-28-18||Raptors v. Magic +6.5||87-116||Win||100||10 h 42 m||Show|
RAPTORS @ MAGIC
To put it simply Toronto is banged up and havve gone 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games. They have also lost 3 of their last 4 road games and are 0-4 ATS in those away games. Orlando held Toronto below 100 points in 2 of their last 3 meetings and Toronto is only 5-5 in their last 10 games while they lost just 10 for the whole season. This will be a tough place for the Raptors to win let alone cover the spread.
|12-28-18||Drexel +12 v. Northeastern||83-93||Win||100||9 h 32 m||Show|
DREXEL @ NORTHEASTERN
Drexel lost 2 straight games but theywere to Temle and Connecticut where they were double digit dogs. Now they again are a double digit dog against a team not as good as either of those. They covered the spread in 3 of 4 prior to those losses as they average 76 points a game while hitting 37% of their 3's. Against a good Temple team they had 4 players hitting double digits in scoring. Northeasten average 71 points a game and are 0-2 ATS as double digit favorites. and they are 4-5 in their last 9 games.
|12-26-18||Pelicans v. Mavs -2||119-122||Win||100||12 h 43 m||Show|
PELICANS @ MAVERICKS
NO dropped their 4th road game in a row and are 4-14 in away games.Their defense is the 2nd worst in the Western Conference allowing over 115 points a game and they have now lost 7 of their last 10 games overall. They will be without their 4th leading scorer and 3rd leading rebounder as Mirotic is still hurt. Dallas is at home where they have won 3 of their last 4 and have a 13-3 record. They have lost 5 straight with 4 of them on the road but continue to score points as they scored at least 116 points in each of their lst 4 games. With the Pelicans playing poorly on the road and Dallas' strength at home, this should be a win for the Mavericks.
|12-26-18||Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -5.5||34-10||Loss||-109||54 h 30 m||Show|
MINNESOTA VS GEORGIA TECH
Minnesota beat Wisconsin 37-15 in it's final game to become bowl eligible to take on the Yellow Jackets. They will be facing the country's best rushing attack as Georgia Tech averages 335 yards on the ground a game. The Gophers are ranked 76th as they allow over 170 yards rushing and 28 points a game. Their offense ranked 92nd overall averages 379 yards a game and has been outgained in 7 of their last 10 games. They pass for just 215 yards a game so if they fall behind will have trouble catching up and Georgia Tech with their powerful rushing attack can keep the offense off the field controlling the ball. Georgia Tech won 6 of their last 8 games and 1 of the losses was against powerful Georgia in their last game. With uncertainty at QB and their best LB sitting this game out the Gophers could be in for a long day.
Take Georgia Tech
|12-25-18||UNLV v. Bucknell +3||72-97||Win||100||10 h 37 m||Show|
UNLV VS BUCKNELL
UNLV has lost 4 of their last 6 games and some of the losses were against some bad teams. They lost to both Illinois amd Valparaiso who are both struggling against everyone. They don't shoot well hitting just 38% in their last 5 games while allowing opponents to score 75 points a game. Bucknell has lost 3 of their last 4 but against all very good teams including a 73-71 loss to 15th ranked Ohio St, They are a disciplined team that doesn't make mistakes and have 5 players averaging at least 9.5 points a game. UNLV is 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games as a favorite wile BucKnell us 4-1 ATS in their last 5 as a dog.
|12-23-18||Packers +1.5 v. Jets||44-38||Win||100||74 h 31 m||Show|
PACKERS @ JETS
This isn't the most highly anticpated game on the schedule Sunday, but I see value with the Packers to get a win here in New York. The Jets are bad, real bad. They have lost seven of their last eight overall, and they haven't covered now in four straight home games. The last time they played the Packers at home, they were shutout. The Packers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following an ATS loss, and the road team is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings. This is familiar territory for Green Bay in recent seasons, but the Packers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games in Week 16.
|12-22-18||Redskins +12 v. Titans||16-25||Win||100||6 h 51 m||Show|
REDSKINS @ TITANS
Nobody likes Washington in Saturday's game at Tennessee, and really ... what is there to like. An injury plagued team already eliminated from the playoffs with a third string quarterback under center? Well that's what they said last week too, and the Skins pulled off a shocking upset win over the Jags in Jacksonville. The Titans aren't exactly the kind of team that you want to bet on as a double digit favorite. They rank 27th in the NFL in scoring, averaging under 20 points per game. Washington has won outright in two of the last three head to head meetings, and all of those games were decided by three points or less. The underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five head to head meetings between these teams.
|12-19-18||Ohio v. San Diego State +3||27-0||Loss||-110||9 h 28 m||Show|
SAN DIEGO STATE VS OHIO
The Aztecs lost their last 3 regular season games with 2 of the losses by 4 points total and 3 of their last 4 losses by 8 points total. They are ranked 18th in overall defense allowing just 327 yards and 22 points a game and excel at stopping the run as they are 4th in the country allowing just 94 yards a game. They have wins against Arizona St and Boise St while suffering a tough 23-14 loss to Fresno St who they were leading at the half. They held Arizona St to just 21 points and when they beat Air Force, held the 4th best rushing team to 70 yards below their average. Ohio won 5 of their last 6 games scoring at least 49 points in each win. They rely on a running game that averages 262 yards a game and scored 38 rushing TD's. Of their last 6 wins, 4 were against teams that allow at least 28 points a game and 3 that are ranked 101st or worse in total defense while 2 allow over 40 points a game. All 4 of their losses were against good defensive teams that are all ranked in the top 50 in the country.
Take San Diego State
|12-19-18||Wofford +9.5 v. Mississippi State||87-98||Loss||-109||7 h 3 m||Show|
WOFFORD @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
Wofford will be playing it's 3rd ranked team and 5th Power 5 school this season. They are 9-3 with their losses to Kansas, North Carolina and Oklahoma while they crushed South Carolina by 20 points. They average 82 points and 38 boards a game while hitting 47% from the floor and 38% of their 3's. They are 8th in the nation in made 3 pointers with 3 of their top 4 scorers hitting at least 41% of them. They play good defense as well holding their last 5 opponents to 63 points on 40% shooting from the floor and have won 7 of their last 8 games with the loss to Kansas. The Bulldogs have won 6 straight with their last 2 over Cincinnati and Clemson. They average 77 points a game but were held to 70 points or less in 4 of their last 7 games. The Bulldogs could be in for a let down after their last 2 wins while the Terriers are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 road games against teams with winning home records.
|12-18-18||Mavs v. Nuggets -5||118-126||Win||100||9 h 19 m||Show|
|12-18-18||Creighton v. Oklahoma -7||70-83||Win||100||10 h 55 m||Show|
|12-18-18||Oakland +11.5 v. Georgia||69-81||Loss||-109||8 h 15 m||Show|
OAKLAND @ GEORGIA
Oakland has dropped 4 of their last 5 games but scored at least 86 point in 4 of the games while covering the spread in both games they were double digit dogs. They average 79 points a game and hit 48% from the floor and over 43% of their 3's. Their 4 top scorers all hit at least 37% of their 3's and 2 hit over 55%. They also knock down 75% of their free throws and over the last 5 games are hitting 46% of their 3's. Georgia is 2-3 in their last 5 games with both wins against teams they were at least a 15 point favorite. In their last 3 losses they were held below 70 points in 2 and scored 74 points in the other. They have just 1 senior of their top 6 scorers with 2 of their top 5 shooting under 43%. They should win this game but the spread is another story.
|12-18-18||Xavier -2.5 v. Missouri||56-71||Loss||-105||7 h 24 m||Show|
XAVIER @ MISSOURI
Xavier shook off their loss at Cincinnati and came back to beat Eastern Kentucky 95-77 for their 5th win in their last 6 games. They were on fire as they hit 71% of their shots and had their best offensive game of the year. They average 78 points and grab 37 boards a game shooting 50% from the floor. They have 4 double digit scorers and 2 more players scoring 9 points a game. Over their last 5 games they are averaging 76 points while holding opponents to 64. Missouri has won 2 straight games but were at least a 12 point favorite in both games. They average just 67 points a game but like to slow things down as they hold opponents to 64 points a game. They hit just 43% from the floor while allowing opponents to hit 47% over their last 5 games.
|12-17-18||Saints v. Panthers +7||12-9||Win||100||11 h 54 m||Show|
SAINTS @ PANTHERS
SAINTS @ PANTHERS
New Orleans will be playing their 3rd straight road game and after having their 10 game winning streak broken with a 13-10 loss at Dallas 2 weeks ago, bounced back with a 28-14 win against Tampa last week. Although they won by 2 TD's, they had to score 17 4th quarter points to win the game. They were down 14-3 at the half and 14-11 after 3 quarters. Brees was held under 200 yards passing for the 2nd straight game. He had thrown at least 3 TD passes in 4 straight games but threw just 2 with 2 picks in his last 2 games. Carolina lost their 5th straight game last week and are now fighting for their lives for a playoff spot. Their downfall has been on the road where they are 1-6 as 4 of their last 5 losses were there. The Saints have clinched their division and Carolina is a desperate team playing at home where they are 5-1 and need a win to stay alive. New Orleans can afford to rest starters who may have minor injuries where the Panthers should be playing all out.