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|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|04-18-19||Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5||108-118||Win||100||29 h 16 m||Show|
NUGGETS @ SPURS
The Nuggets came into this series with home court advantage and a far better regular season record. They matched up against a Spurs team with more playoff experience, and a head coach that has won multiple championships. Heading to San Antonio with the series tied 1-1 is a bit of a nightmare for the Nuggets. It's going to be hard to win games at San Antonio, where the Spurs boast one of the best records in the NBA. In fact the only team in the West with more home wins than the Spurs was Denver. The Spurs are 4-0 straight up in their last four home games against Denver, and the Nuggets have failed to cover in five of their last seven at San Antonio.
|04-16-19||Thunder v. Blazers -111||94-114||Win||100||4 h 19 m||Show|
THUNDER @ BLAZERS
The public loves the Thunder in this series, and because of that the Blazers are just a small favorite at home. They won Game 1 without too much trouble by a score of 104-99, although it didn't feel like a game decided by just five points. Portland lead by 14 after the first quarter and held the lead for the rest of the way. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Portland, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. It's going to be tough for the Thunder to draw even in this series with a banged up Paul George playing on the road againstg one of the league's top home teams. Portland is 33-9 at home this season.
|04-13-19||Magic v. Raptors -8.5||104-101||Loss||-120||4 h 48 m||Show|
ORLANDO @ TORONTO
The Raptors finished with the second best record in the NBA during the regular season, while Orlando clinched a playoff spot in their second to last game of the regular season. The Magic were just 17-24 on the road, while Toronto was 32-9 at home. There are going to be some surprises in the playoffs, but I don't think we will see any surprises in this series. Kawhi Leonard ranks 3rd in the NBA in win shares, behind only Jordan and LeBron. He's known to elevate his game in the post-season, and that's bad news for Orlando. I wouldn't be surprised if Toronto blows the doors off early in Game 1.
|04-06-19||Texas Tech v. Michigan State -150||61-51||Loss||-150||105 h 16 m||Show|
TTU @ MICHIGAN STATE
Not even Duke's freshman duo of RJ Barrett and Zion Williamson were good enough to beat this Michigan State team. The Spartans held the Blue Devils to 67 points, their lowest points total of the season. Texas Tech comes in with an impressive defense of it's own, but this Texas Tech team has a bit of a reputation for being inconsistent on offense. Michigan State's biggest advantage might be Tom Izzo, and I expect him to find a way to shut down Texas Tech here in the Final Four. "I'll disclose this one thing: I'm going to try to win this time," Izzo said. "I don't know if I've done a good job of that."
|04-05-19||Heat v. Wolves UNDER 218.5||109-111||Loss||-108||9 h 36 m||Show|
HEAT @ WOLVES
The Miami Heat trail Orlando by just a half a game in the Southeast with just a handful of games remaining for both teams. While Orlando has a home game against the sub .500 Hawks tonight, the Heat will need to win on the road at Minnesota. The Heat are actually one of the better road teams in the NBA, with a record of 20-18 away from home. Only Toronto and Milwaukee have more road wins than Miami. The Heat have covered in six straight at Minnesota, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine in the Twin Cities. The under is 7-3 in the Timberwolves last 10 overall.
|04-05-19||Hawks v. Magic -8.5||113-149||Win||100||16 h 3 m||Show|
HAWKS @ MAGIC
The Orlando Magic are a half game up on the Miami Heat in the Southeast Division, and they will need a win at home tonight against the Hawks to avoid falling out of first place. The Hawks have earned a handful of "feel good" wins lately, and some of those have come against some pretty decent teams. This game at Orlando is a little different though, as it might as well be a playoff game for the Magic. The Hawks have failed to cover in four of their last five at Orlando, and they are just 12-27 overall on the road this season. The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall.
|04-03-19||Knicks v. Magic -12||100-114||Win||100||18 h 49 m||Show|
KNICKS @ MAGIC
With just a few games left in the regular season, teams like New York are giving their prospects a chance to play. The results are often a failure to compete with teams stacked with bonafied NBA starters. New York has lost 14 of their last 16 overall, and 10 of those 14 losses came by double digits. They face an Orlando Magic team tonight that needs to win this game if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Magic will likely crank up the intensity in a must win game, and we should see a blowout. The Magic have won seven straight home games, most recently winning by 21 points versus Philly.
|03-31-19||Michigan State v. Duke UNDER 148.5||Top||68-67||Win||100||31 h 14 m||Show|
|03-30-19||Purdue v. Virginia -185||75-80||Win||100||20 h 27 m||Show|
PURDUE @ VIRGINIA
The Virginia Cavs suffered the biggest upset loss of last year's tournament, but they head into the Elite Eight looking like a team capable of winning a national championship. Purdue is coming off an overtime win over Tennessee, which could set them up for a let down here just 48 hours later. The Boilermakers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. The Cavs have covered the spread in four of their last five against teams from the BIG10, and they are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 non-conference games.
|03-29-19||Houston v. Kentucky UNDER 135.5||58-62||Win||100||104 h 22 m||Show|
HOUSTON @ KENTUCKY
The Kentucky Wildcats held the Wofford Terriers to just 56 points in their last game, after opening the tournament with a 79-44 win over Abilene Christian. Kentucky comes in allowing 58.8 points per over their last five overall. As impressive as that is, the Houston Cougars have been even better, allowing 57.2 points per game. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Cougars last eight neutral site games, and 9-4 in their last 13 non-conference games.
|03-29-19||Auburn v. North Carolina UNDER 163.5||Top||97-80||Loss||-109||103 h 58 m||Show|
AUBURN @ UNC
The bookmakers are projecting a high scoring game between the Tigers and the Tar Heels in the Sweet Sixteen, but I think the number is just too high. The trends really don't support the idea of more than 160 combined points. North Carolina has failed to reach the total in six straight versus SEC teams, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight NCAA Tournament games. The Tigers have only seeen two of their last 10 games combine for more than 161.5 points, while the Tar Heels have only seen one of their last 10 games reach such a high total. Both teams have held opponents to fewer than 70 points per game over their last five overall. North Carolina has faced Duke three times this season, and not one of those games saw more than 160 combined points.
|03-28-19||Oregon +8.5 v. Virginia||49-53||Win||100||81 h 51 m||Show|
OREGON @ VIRGINIA
The Virginia Cavs were on the wrong side of one of the biggest upsets in the history of sports in last year's NCAA Tournament. They started off in similar fashion in their first game of this year's tournament, getting blown out in the first 10 minutes of their game versus Gardner Webb. They will be a big favorite here against Oregon, and the Ducks have played as well as anyone in the month of March. Oregon is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Ducks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
|03-27-19||Pacers v. Thunder -6||99-107||Win||100||19 h 44 m||Show|
PACERS @ THUNDER
The Oklahoma City Thunder snapped a four game losing streak with a big road win at Toronto, but went on to lose at Memphis in their next game. Now they return home to face the Pacers, and this is a crucial game for the home team. The Thunder are just a half game up on the Spurs for eighth place in the West, and a first round matchup versus Golden State is the prize for finishing in the eighth spot. The Pacers have failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven at Oklahoma City.
|03-24-19||Cal-Irvine v. Oregon -4.5||54-73||Win||100||10 h 54 m||Show|
UCI @ OREGON
The Oregon Ducks were firing on all cylinders in their opening game against Wisconsin. They shot almost 55% from the field and hit nearly 50% of their shots from beyond the arc. They face a UCI team that they have had plenty of success against over the years. Oregon is 5-0 straight and up and 4-1 ATS in it's last five versus the Anteaters. Oregon has covered the spread in nine straight overall, and the Ducks are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 vsrsus the Big West. The Anteaters are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 versus Pac 12 teams.
|03-23-19||Wofford v. Kentucky -5||56-62||Win||100||30 h 40 m||Show|
WOFFORD @ KENTUCKY
The Wofford Terriers won their first round matchup versus Seton Hall, scoring 84 points and shooting over 48 percent from beyond the arc. I don't like their chances of doing that again here against Kentucky, one of the best defensive teams in the country. Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot just 38.8 percent from the field over their last five games. They held Albien Christian to 44 points on 32.1 percent shooting in their first round matchup. Kentucky is 5-0 in it's last five non conference games, and Wofford has failed to cover in five of it's last six versus the SEC. The Wildcats are 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games.
|03-22-19||Ohio State v. Iowa State -5.5||62-59||Loss||-107||65 h 46 m||Show|
|03-22-19||Oregon v. Wisconsin +1.5||72-54||Loss||-110||110 h 22 m||Show|
OREGON @ WISCONSIN
|03-21-19||Seton Hall +3 v. Wofford||68-84||Loss||-104||79 h 22 m||Show|
HALL @ WOFFORD
Every year you hear about all the upsets in the NCAA Tournament, and it never fails, there are always teams that pull off surprise results. Those are the games you hear about, while the majority of the games where the better team wins don't garner the same attention. While everyone is looking to back an underdog, it's easy to see why they would like Wofford. The Terriers (dogs) have won 20 in a row. and that has them pegged as favorites over a competitive team from the Big East. The Seton Hall Pirates come in as winners of four of their last five. Three of the four wins came against ranked teams, and their loss to Villanova in the Big East final came by a score of 74-72. Now they are getting a bunch of points against Wofford? Sign me up.
|03-21-19||Florida +2 v. Nevada||70-61||Win||100||77 h 39 m||Show|
FLORIDA @ NEVADA
The Florida Gators are coming off a three point loss to SEC Tournament winners Auburn, and they have a resume of playing close games against elite level competition. They will be the underdog here against a Nevada team that lost 65-56 to San Diego State in the Mountain West Tournament. They lost twice to the Aztecs down the stretch, and they could be biting off more they can chew here against Florida. The Wolf Pack are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
|03-20-19||Harvard v. Georgetown OVER 152||71-68||Loss||-109||16 h 38 m||Show|
HARVARD @ GEORGETOWN
The Georgetown Hoyas averaged almost 80 points per game this year, and almost 85 points per game at home. They aren't all that impressive on defense though, allowing over 80 points per game over their last five overall. They host the Harvard Crimson in the NIT Tournament tonight, and these two teams haven't met since 2009. Georgetown won that game by a score of 86-70, and a similar score wouldn't be a shocker here. The Hoyas have gone over in seven of their last nine non conference games, and Harvard has gone over in 15 of it's last 22 road games.
|03-19-19||Belmont v. Temple UNDER 156||81-70||Win||100||4 h 18 m||Show|
BELMONT @ TEMPLE
The Belmont Bruins play their fair share of high scoring games, but that isn't necessarily the case when they match up against the big boys from the bigger conferences. They scored 74 points in a win over UCLA, and 62 points in a loss at Purdue. They were held to just 65 points in their conference tournament loss to Murray State. Last year they scored just 51 points in the conference tourney, losing again to Murray State. Now in a high stakes play in game, the bookmakers have a sky high total. I'll go against the grain here and look for a lower score.
|03-17-19||Michigan +1 v. Michigan State||60-65||Loss||-109||13 h 17 m||Show|
MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE
It's not easy to beat the same team twice in a season, but it's even more difficult to beat a team three times. The Spartans will try to beat the Wolverines for a third time this season, and Michigan is looking to avoid the sweep. This reminds me of a similar game in the ACC between Duke and North Carolina, and the Tar Heels couldn't get that third win over Duke. Michigan has been the better team in the tournament so far, and the Wolverines have now won a record nine straight in the BIG10 Tourney.
|03-16-19||Florida State +8.5 v. Duke||63-73||Loss||-110||11 h 19 m||Show|
FSU @ DUKE
I can't help but find Duke overvalued here in the ACC Final. While Zion Williamson has impressed since his return, scoring 60 points on 26-of-32 shooting in two games, it hasn't done much for bettors. The Blue Devils failed to cover against both Syracuse and North Carolina, despite huge games from Zion. You would have to wonder what the results would look like if he has an off game? There is an argument to be made that Florida State has been the better team in the tournament so far, and given a huge point spread, I'll take the underdog.
|03-16-19||Iowa State v. Kansas -1.5||78-66||Loss||-115||9 h 53 m||Show|
ISU @ KU
For the first time in 15 years the Jayhawks failed to win the BIG12. Kansas can make a big statement here in the conference tournament though with a win over Iowa State in the Final. These two teams split the season series, but Kansas won the most recent meeting. The Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall, while the Cyclones are 1-5 ATS in their last six Saturday games. Kansas comes into tonight's game as winners of five of their last six games, while Iowa State lost five of it's last six regular season games. I'll take the hot team playing at (almost).
|03-15-19||Duke v. North Carolina +3||Top||74-73||Win||100||11 h 10 m||Show|
DUKE @ UNC
The Tar Heels have already beaten Duke twice this season, but the public just loves Duke and Zion Williamson. After scoring 29 points (almost all spectacular dunks) in his return last night, Zion has Duke favored here in the rubber match. The fact is that Duke still isn't very good defensively, and they lost their starting center Marques Bolden in the last loss to the Tar Heels. I'll take the points here with North Carolina team that has already proved to be the better of the two teams.
|03-15-19||Seton Hall v. Marquette OVER 141.5||Top||81-79||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
HALL @ MARQUETTE
The Seton Hall Pirates are coming off a blowout win over Georgetown in the Big East tournament yesterday. They jumped all over the Hoywas in the first half, scoring a whopping 53 points. They will need to score plenty here tonight against Marquette, because the Golden Eagles are bound to get their share. Marquette scored 86 points in a win over St. John's yesterday. Big East Play of the Year Markus Howard scored 30 points on 8-of-15 shooting in the win. In both meetings between these teams earlier this season, the first half went over the total. The Pirates have gone over the total in seven of their last nine games at a neutral site.
|03-15-19||Bucks v. Heat UNDER 220||Top||113-98||Win||100||24 h 30 m||Show|
MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI
The Miami Heat come into tonight's home game versus Milwaukee as winners of five of their last six overall. They held opponents to fewer than 100 points in three of those five wins. Miami is one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd overall in opponent's scoring average. The Heat could have their hands full against the league's #2 ranked offense, but history favors the Heat. Prior to Milwaukee winning 124-86 at home earlier this year, the Heat had won six straight meetings versus the Bucks. Five of the last six meetings have gone under the total, and none of those games saw a combined 220 points. I expect a strong effort from a Heat team battling to make the playoffs.
|03-14-19||Texas v. Kansas -145||57-65||Win||100||8 h 47 m||Show|
TEXAS @ KANSAS
The Kansas Jayhawks have owned the BIG12 for a long time, but they sure dropped off this season. Or did they? While they finished 3rd behind Texas Tech and Kansas State, they did go 17-0 at home. It's worth pointing out that this won't be a home game for the Jayhawks, playing such a short distance from Lawrence in Kansas City should favor Kansas. It certainly shouldn't help a Texas team that lost eight of 10 on the road this season.
|03-14-19||Syracuse +12 v. Duke||72-84||Push||0||8 h 31 m||Show|
SYRACUSE @ DUKE
The Bookmakers might be disrespecting Syracuse in this spot. Despite splitting the season series, playing two close games, Duke is an enormous favorite here in the conference tourney. While Zion Williamson is expected to play, Maques Bolden is out and Tre Jones has been banged up all year. Zion is likely to be used sparingly, and his return might prove to be more of a distraction than a positive (at least in the short term). I'll take the points here with a Syracuse team that rarely gets blown out.
|03-14-19||Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 219||106-108||Win||100||5 h 4 m||Show|
THUNDER @ PACERS
The Thunder come into Indiana as winners of four of their last six. They held opponents to less than 100 points in three of those four wins. The Pacers know a thing or two about playing defense, ranking first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. Indiana is 2-2 in it's last four games, failing to score 100 points in each of the losses and holding opponents to fewer than 100 points in each of the wins. With both teams gearing up for a playoff run, don't expect any easy buckets here in tonight's game.
|03-13-19||Warriors v. Rockets -155||106-104||Loss||-155||8 h 43 m||Show|
WARRIORS @ ROCKETS
|03-12-19||Northern Kentucky v. Wright State UNDER 134||77-66||Loss||-135||7 h 30 m||Show|
NKU @ WRST
The Horizon League Final will feature two teams that have been involved in quite a few low scoring games lately. The Wright State Raiders have held opponents to just 59 points over their last five games. Both these teams have struggled offensively when playing neutral site games. Northern Kentucky has averaged 64 points and Wright State has scored 66 points per game at neutral sites. The under is 5-0 in Raiders last 5 overall, and 4-1 in their last five neutral site games. The under is 5-2 in Norse last seven neutral site games.
|03-11-19||San Diego v. St. Mary's OVER 128||62-69||Win||100||25 h 32 m||Show|
USD @ SMC
The bookmakers are expecting the defense to shine when St. Mary's plays San Diego in the WCC Tournament in Las Vegas tonight. St. Mary's can certainly come up with some impressive defensive efforts, holding opponents below 50 points in three of their last four games. One of those was a 66-46 win over San Diego. The Torreros though have averaged 74.6 points per game over their last five overall, and they have scored an average of 78.8 points per game at neutral sites. The Gaels have allowed an average of 69.8 points per game at neutral sites. While these teams have gone under in five straight meetings, two of those games saw more than 130 points, and the total for tonight's game is lower than it was in four of those games.
|03-11-19||Kings +113 v. Wizards||115-121||Loss||-100||27 h 23 m||Show|
KINGS @ WIZARDS
The Washington Wizards have lost seven of their last 10 overall, and they don't appear to be all that interested in making the playoffs. Perhaps getting swept by the Bucks or the Raptors isn't all that appealing to them. The Sacramento Kings on the other hand continue to compete night in and night out, and this young team would love to make the playoffs. The Kings are four games out of the eighth spot in the West, but they have two games in hand. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games versus teams with a losing record. The Kings are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
|03-10-19||Magic v. Grizzlies +1.5||Top||97-105||Win||100||22 h 15 m||Show|
ORLANDO @ MEMPHIS
The Memphis Grizzlies are no longer in the playoff conversation, and they have dealt away key players at the trade deadline. This team doesn't quit though, and they come into tonight's home game against Orlando as winners of three of their last four. Home wins came against Portland and Utah, while they won on the road at Dallas. Their one loss during that span came by just three points on the road at Oklahoma City. After proving they can go toe to toe with the better teams in the West, the bookmakers have them pegged as a home dog against a mediocre team from the East. The Magic have lost three of their last four on the road, and they are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Memphis.
|03-10-19||Delaware v. William & Mary -4.5||85-79||Loss||-109||14 h 43 m||Show|
DELAWARE @ CWM
These are two teams treding in opposite directions. William and Mary come into the Conference Tournament as winners of five straight. They have won three straight on the road. The Delaware Blue Hens come in as losers of four straight, and they have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus the Tribe. The Blue Hens are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. The Tribe are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
|03-09-19||Duke v. North Carolina -3||Top||70-79||Win||100||20 h 47 m||Show|
DUKE @ UNC
The last time these two teams played (a few weeks ago) the Tar Heels cruised to an easy win at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Zion Williamson suffered what might be a season ending injury in the opening minute of that game, and the Blue Devils have been in a bad way ever since. There is plenty of speculation that Zion suffered a minor injury, and despite being healthy enough to play he may choose to sit out and wait for the NBA draft. In addition to the Zion situation, Duke's primary PG comes into this game with a lingering injury as well. The Tar Heels are 13-2 at home, and they've scored an average of 88.7 points in those games. That's roughly 10 points more than Duke averages on the road. Duke didn't look anything like a #1 seed in a near loss to Wake Forest in their last game.
|03-09-19||Tennessee -1 v. Auburn||Top||80-84||Loss||-108||14 h 39 m||Show|
TENNESSEE @ AUBURN
The SEC Title is up for grabs, but Tennessee will need a win at Auburn if they want to edge out LSU and Kentucky. Auburn is no pushover, boasting a 14-2 home record and a 10-7 conference record. The Tigers have lost five straight against ranked teams though, and they catch Tennessee at a bad time. Tennessee is 17-8 ATS in it's last 25 road games, and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 against Auburn. The Tigers have failed to cover in five straight home games versus teams with a winning record, and they are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games.
|03-08-19||Cavs v. Heat UNDER 213.5||Top||110-126||Loss||-106||25 h 59 m||Show|
CLEVELAND @ MIAMI
The Heat are in a three way battle for top spot in the Southeast Division, sitting just one game ahead of Orlando and Charlotte. They jumped into first place by beating the Hornets in Charlotte by a score of 91-84 on Wednesday night. Miami is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd in the league in scoring defense. Cleveland is one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA, ranking 29th in points per game. The Heat have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus Eastern Conference teams, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine when coming off a win. The Cavs have failed to score 100 points in each of the last five head to head meetings.
|03-07-19||Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 140.5||Top||45-65||Win||100||22 h 52 m||Show|
IOWA @ WISCONSIN
Wisconsin will be a big favorite in it's final home game versus Iowa, but the total for this game is higher than it was in any of the Badgers last 10 games overall. That might be because the Hawkeyes tend to play higher scoring games, but based on the line, we should expect the home team to dicate the pace here. Wisconsin has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 13 overall. The Badgers have allowed just 61.4 points per game at home, and they have held the opposition to fewer than 60 points in each of their last three home games. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and the under is 43-21-4 in their last 68 versus the BIG10.
|03-06-19||Nuggets -5.5 v. Lakers||115-99||Win||100||9 h 2 m||Show|
NUGGETS @ LAKERS
After watching how bad the Lakers have been since LeBron James returned from injury, it's amazing that the bookmakers can find bettors willing to back LA. Tonight's game looks like a particularly tough spot, as the Denver Nuggets are in town looking to snap a three game losing skid. The Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma, and it's plain to see that LeBron isn't interested. The Nuggets have covered in 16 of their last 23 games overall, and they are currently just a game and a half out of first place in the Western Conference. The Lakers have failed to cover in five of their last six overall.
|03-06-19||Fresno State v. San Diego State UNDER 137||76-74||Loss||-109||19 h 1 m||Show|
FRESNO @ SDSU
Two of the top teams in the Mountain West will play tonight in San Diego, and we should expect a hard fought game. Both these teams are capable of locking it down on defense, and we should expect a low score here. Both these teams come in averaging fewer than 70 points per game over their last five overall, and the Aztecs have held the opposition to just over 60 points per game during that span. San Diego State has allowed just 64.3 points per game at home this season. The Aztecs have been playing their best basketball in recent weeks, winning six of their last seven overall. During that span they held opponents to 60 points or less four times.
|03-05-19||Mississippi State v. Tennessee -8||Top||54-71||Win||100||23 h 60 m||Show|
BULLDOGS @ VOLUNTEERS
Tennessee is coming off a huge 19-point home win over Kentucky, and they come into Tuesday's home game versus Missippi State tied for first place in the SEC with LSU. The Wildcats are just a game back, and any of those three schools could win the conference. I don't expect much of a let down here for a Vols team that is 17-0 at home. They have won six straight home games by double digits, and they have had a lead at halftime in all 17 of their home games. They had a 37-24 lead at the half in Saturday's win over Kentucky. I like the Vols to start fast and win big versus the Bulldogs.
|03-05-19||Nebraska v. Michigan State UNDER 139||76-91||Loss||-105||17 h 43 m||Show|
NEBRASKA @ MSU
The Michigan State Spartans will be a big home favorite tonight against Nebraska, but the Spartans have struggled offensively of late. They have averaged just 67.8 points per game over their last five overall. They can lean on their defense here at home, where they have held the opposition to just 61.5 points per game this season. Nebraska comes in as losers of three straight, and they have scored an average of just 63.4 points over their last five games. The under is 6-1-1 in Spartans last eight home games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall.
|03-04-19||Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers||Top||113-105||Win||100||30 h 45 m||Show|
CLIPPERS @ LAKERS
|03-03-19||Magic -5.5 v. Cavs||93-107||Loss||-105||18 h 58 m||Show|
MAGIC @ CAVS
The Orlando Magic are in a three way fight with Charlotte and Miami for first place in the Southeast. They come into Cleveland as winners of 10 of their last 13 overall. Cleveland of course is tanking, looking to rebuild with high draft picks. The Cavs are coming off back to back double digit home losses. The Magic are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. They are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games playing on 0 days rest.
|03-03-19||Boston College v. Georgia Tech||Top||78-81||Win||100||20 h 16 m||Show|
BC @ GEORGIA TECH
The Yellow Jackets may have lost nine of their last 10 overall, they are a solid home team. They are 10-7 overall at home this season, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. The home team has won four straight meetings between these two teams. Boston College has lost seven of nine on the road, scoring an average of just 65 points in those games. The Eagles could struggle against a solid Yellow Jackets defense. Georgia Tech has held the opposition under 64 points per game at home this season.
|03-02-19||Colorado State v. New Mexico -1.5||Top||65-77||Win||100||19 h 42 m||Show|
RAMS @ LOBOS
The Rams have won three straight, while the Lobos have lost three straight. New Mexico though played two of their last three games on the road, and a home loss came in a close game to Fresno State. The Rams have lost seven of 10 on the road this season, and they are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in New Mexico. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and 0-3 ATS in their last 13 home games versus teams with a losing road record. This has all the signs of a let down spot for the visitors, and a "get right" game for the home team. I love the Lobos as a slight favorite at home in New Mexico.
|03-02-19||Bucks v. Jazz -160||111-115||Win||100||9 h 27 m||Show|
BUCKS @ JAZZ
The Milwaukee Bucks own the best record in the Eastern Conference, but they are in a tough spot here against a competitive Western Conference team tonight. I don't like their chances of avoiding a let down on the road in the second game of a back to back at Utah. The Jazz are still an elite defensive team with DPOY candidate Rudy Gobert. The Jazz have won six of the last eight head to head meetings versus Milwaukee, and all four home games during that span. The Bucks are 7-25 ATS in the last 32 meetings, and they are 1-15 ATS in their last 16 at Utah.
|03-01-19||Bucks -185 v. Lakers||131-120||Win||100||9 h 48 m||Show|
BUCKS @ LAKERS
Sometimes a headline doesn't tell the whole story. That was exactly the case following the Lakers last game, a 125-119 win over the Pelicans. LeBron hit a three-point shot in the final minute to seal the win for the Lakers, and the headline the next day read: "King Clutch". What seems lost in that story is that with 27 seconds left in a two possession game, LeBron was 0-for-2 at the free throw line. Then you have to ask yourself if the desperation fade away three-point shot was actaully the right play at the time. That game could have easily gone the other way, and keep in mind they were playing one of the weaker teams in the West. Tonight they are up against the best team in the East, and I think reality is going to hit hard. This isn't a playoff team.
|03-01-19||Rhode Island v. Dayton -7||72-70||Loss||-109||5 h 4 m||Show|
URI @ DAYTON
Rhode Island had lost five straight prior beating George Washington at home in their last game. Here is what I said about the Rams before their game against Davidson: "Rhode Island is really struggling, only scoring 54 points per game while losing four of their last five overall. The Rams are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss." The Rams are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road game. I like Dayton to win here by double digits.
|02-28-19||USC v. UCLA -164||88-93||Win||100||8 h 50 m||Show|
USC @ UCLA
The Bruins scored 90 points, shooting better than 50 percent from the field and an incredible 63.6 percent from beyond the arc in a home win over Oregon their last time out. They host USC tonight, and the Trojans are just 2-6 on the road this season. USC is coming in as losers of four of their last six. The home team has been the play, covering in six of the last eight head to head meetings between these teams. The Tojans have failed to cover in six of their last eight road games, and five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. The Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a losing road record.
|02-26-19||Temple v. Memphis -4||73-81||Win||100||3 h 24 m||Show|
TEMPLE @ MEMPHIS
The Memphis Tigers might not be the best team in the American Athletic Conference, but they might just be the best home team. Memphis can sure score points at home, averaging an incredible 88 points per game. The Tigers host Temple tonight, and the Owls aren't big on scoring points. Temple will try to win with defense, but I expect them to struggle to keep up. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus team with a winning road record, while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.
|02-26-19||Celtics v. Raptors -3.5||95-118||Win||100||3 h 38 m||Show|
BOSTON @ TORONTO
The Celtics were supposed to be the team to beat in the Eastern Conference this year, but they come into Toronto sitting in third place in the Atlantic Division. They have lost back to back games, and they have a losing record (14-15) on the road. Home court advantage has been huge in this series, with the home team winning 10 straight since January of 2017. The Celtics are 0-7 in their last seven north of the border. If the Raptors win tonight, they will have an NBA best 26 home wins.
|02-25-19||Pacers v. Pistons -138||Top||109-113||Win||100||17 h 16 m||Show|
PACERS @ PISTONS
|02-22-19||Davidson -1.5 v. Rhode Island||75-66||Win||100||17 h 34 m||Show|
|02-22-19||Bulls v. Magic -8||110-109||Loss||-105||15 h 39 m||Show|
|02-20-19||Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -128||65-73||Win||100||7 h 0 m||Show|
PITTSBURGH @ GEORGIA TECH
Neither Pittsburgh or Georgia Tech have been competive in the ACC, which is nothing new. While both these teams have been bottom feeders for several seasons, I have always noticed that the Yellow Jackets have remained competitive at home. Georgia Tech is coming off a 69-57 home loss to Florida State, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. Pittsburgh has failed to cover in five straight road games, and nine straight overall. The Panthers are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings, and 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Georgia Tech.
|02-19-19||Rhode Island v. VCU -8.5||42-76||Win||100||18 h 53 m||Show|
RHODE ISLAND @ VCU
The VCU Rams will host the Rhode Island Rams in Richmond tonight. VCU is in a first place tie with Davidson at the top of the A-10. They have won six straight overall, and they are 12-1 at home this season. Each of their last three home wins came by a double digit margin. Rhode Island has lost three straight road games, and five of their last six overall. Their last road game was a double digit loss at Davidson. The Rhode Island Rams are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. The favorite is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings, and expect that trend to continue here.
|02-18-19||Virginia v. Virginia Tech +6||64-58||Push||0||3 h 25 m||Show|
VIRGINIA @ VIRGINIA TECH
The Hokies lost 81-59 at Virginia earlier this season, but they have covered the spread in five of their last six home meetings versus Virginia. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 head to head meetings. Virginia Tech is 12-1 at home this season, and have held opponents to an average of 57.5 points in those games. Viriginia is coming off a 60-54 win at home versus Notre Dame, failing to cover as a 16.5 point favorite. They have only covered the spread in one of their last five overall, and they may be asked to cover too many points again here in a tough road game.
|02-17-19||Arizona v. Colorado -5.5||60-67||Win||100||4 h 50 m||Show|
ARIZONA @ COLORADO
An off season scandal may have taken it's toll on the Wildcats, who had been one of the elite teams in the PAC12 over the last 10 years. They bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game against Colorado. The Buffaloes have played well of late, winning three of their last four at home, and boasting a 9-2 record overall in Boulder. The Buffaloes have scored an average of 82.7 points per game at home, while the Wildcats have scored just over 75 points per game on the road. Arizona is averaging less than 70 points per game in their last five overall.
|02-17-19||George Mason v. St Bonaventure -154||56-79||Win||100||5 h 37 m||Show|
GEORGE MASON @ ST BONAVENTURE
George Mason won at home versus St. Bonaventure earlier this season, but had lost five straight in the previous five head to head meetings. The Bonnies have won four of their last six overall, with all four wins coming on the road. They have lost back to back home games to VCU and Davidson, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus teams with a losing road record. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and 1-5 ATS in their last six versus the Bonnies. The favorite has covered in eight straight meetings between these teams, and I'll bet the home favorite here in the first half today.
|02-17-19||Marist v. Monmouth -3||75-67||Loss||-110||5 h 32 m||Show|
MARIST @ MONMOUTH
The Monmouth Hawks got off to a rough start, only winning one game through their entire non-conference schedule. They are now 9-5 in the MAAC, but only 10-17 overall. The Hawks host Marist on Sunday, and the Red Foxes are coming off three straight wins. Monmouth has owned Marist in recent seasons, winning seven straight head to head meetings. The Red Foxes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven Sunday games, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
|02-16-19||Tennessee v. Kentucky -3.5||69-86||Win||100||8 h 20 m||Show|
TENNESSEE @ KENTUCKY
The Vols are coming into Kentucky as the #1 ranked team in the country, but they face a Wildcats team that has had a far tougher schedule. While Tennessee is 1-1 against Top 25 teams, the Wildcats are 4-2 in such games. Wins came against the likes of Auburn, Mississippi State, Kansas and North Carolina. Kentucky was 13-0 at home until the lost a close game to LSU on Tuesday. They led 40-32 at the half in that game, and I expect them to get off to a good start here against the Vols. The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
|02-15-19||Fairfield v. Canisius -3.5||68-72||Win||100||3 h 22 m||Show|
RED FOXES @ BOBCATS
The Fairfield Stags are 3-10 on the road, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They play at Canisius tonight, and they already lost to the Golden Griffins at home earlier this season. Canisius has been the better team in the MAAC, with an 8-4 conference record compared to the Stags at 4-9. The Stags are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 versus the Metro Atlantic Athletic. The Golden Griffins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games.
|02-14-19||BYU v. San Diego -2.5||88-82||Loss||-111||10 h 23 m||Show|
BYU @ SAN DIEGO
Over the years the BYU Cougars have had far more success in the WCC than the San Diego Toreros. The Cougars are 8-3 in the conference, while San Diego is just 5-5. Home court advantage has certainly been key in this series, as the home team has covered in nine of the last 10 meetings. The Toreros are 11-1 at home, while BYU is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.
|02-13-19||76ers v. Knicks UNDER 222.5||126-111||Loss||-109||18 h 38 m||Show|
|02-12-19||Lakers -5 v. Hawks||113-117||Loss||-105||10 h 40 m||Show|
LAKERS @ HAWKS
The Hawks have lost three straight on this current home stand, and they have allowed an average of 124 points in those games. They host the Lakers tonight, and the Lakers are playing the final game of a six game road trip. With a win tonight they would be 3-3 on the road trip. LA is desperate to string a few wins together and make a run for the playoffs, while the Hawks are just going through the motions and looking forward to another high draft pick. The Lakers have won the last five head to head meetings versus Atlanta, covering the spread in four of those five games. The Hawks are 9-23 ATS in their last 32 home games, while LA is 5-2 ATS in their last seven road games.
|02-12-19||Michigan State v. Wisconsin +1||67-59||Loss||-105||9 h 4 m||Show|
MSU @ WISCONSIN
The Badgers can move into a tie with Michigan State for third place in the BIG10 with a win over the Spartans tonight. Michigan State looks vulnerable, coming into Madison as losers of three of their last four. The Badgers on the other hand have won six of their last seven. The home team has won seven of the last eight head to head meetings, and I like Wisconsin to keep that trend rolling. The Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Wisconsin has really stepped up on defense lately, holding opponents to just 54 points per game in their last five overall. It's going to be a tough night for the Spartans.
|02-11-19||Kansas v. TCU -145||82-77||Loss||-145||11 h 59 m||Show|
KANSAS @ TCU
Kansas comes into Monday's game at TCU dealing with injuries, and the absence of star guard LaGerald Vick. The Jayhawks have just one win on the road this year, and the Horned Frogs have only lost once at home. TCU has held the opposition to just 66 points per game while going 11-1 at home. The Horned Frogs are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 home games, and 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games overall. The Jayhawks are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games, and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Horned Frogs scored 92 points, shooting 53.2 percent from the field and 44.4 percent from beyond the arc in an upset win at Iowa State on Saturday.
|02-11-19||Hornets v. Pacers UNDER 217.5||90-99||Win||100||17 h 38 m||Show|
HORNETS @ PACERS
Defense isn't a priority for most teams in the NBA these days, but the Pacers might lean on their defense without leading scorer Victor Oladipo. They are the best defensive team in the NBA, allowing a league low 103.1 points per game. They have won five straight, and they allowed fewer than 100 points in four of those games. The Pacers host Charlotte tonight, and the Hornets are just 8-19 on the road. The Hornets are coming off a big road win at Atlanta, but they had lost four of five on the road prior to that. They scored fewer than 100 points in four of those five games. The under is 37-17 in Pacers last 54 home games, and 23-7 in their last 30 home meetings versus Charlotte.
|02-11-19||Virginia -1 v. North Carolina||69-61||Win||100||16 h 18 m||Show|
VIRGINIA @ UNC
The Virginia Cavs have lost just twice this season, and both of those losses came against Duke. They played well enough to win in a double digit home loss to Duke on Saturday, but the Blue Devils simply couldn't miss a shot in that game. Duke shot over 57 percent from the field and over 61 percent from beyond the arc. It was simply a matter of a more talented team making tough shots. The Tar Heels are another tough team, but not as tough as Duke. Virginia won both meetings versus North Carolina last year, and the Cavs are are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Cavaliers are also 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
|02-09-19||Utah State v. San Diego State +3.5||63-68||Win||100||11 h 27 m||Show|
AGGIES @ AZTECS
The Utah State Aggies are coming into San Diego State as 3.5 point favorites, but I like the home dog. The Aztecs are 10-0 against Utah State since 2014, and the Aggies are 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Recent road wins at Fresno State and New Mexico have come by a combined three points. The Aztecs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 versus Mountain West, and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning straight up record. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Diego St, and the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
|02-09-19||Hornets -145 v. Hawks||129-120||Win||100||10 h 19 m||Show|
CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA
The Atlanta Hawks jumped out to a big lead in the first half of their last game, but they folded like a cheap suit in the second half losing to Toronto by a score of 119-101. They could be in for some more pain here tonight, hosting the Charlotte Hornets. This will be a matchup between the first and last place teams in the Southwest. The Hawks have very little to play for, while the Hornets are eyeing the playoffs. The Hornets are 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings, and the Hawks are 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.
|02-09-19||Duke v. Virginia -114||81-71||Loss||-114||8 h 44 m||Show|
DUKE @ VIRGINIA
I'll go with the revenge angle here with Virginia hosting Duke. The Cavs lost a close game 72-20 at Cameron Indoor Stadium a few weeks ago, and now they look to avenge that defeat here at home. The Cavs are 11-0 at home, and they have held opponents to just 49 points per game during that span. Duke has only covered the spread twice in the last nine meetings between these schools. The Cavaliers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and 54-26-3 ATS in their last 83 Saturday games. We've already seen Duke look vulnerable a few times this season, and it doesn't get any tougher than playing at Virginia.
|02-09-19||Oklahoma State +11.5 v. Kansas||72-84||Loss||-108||3 h 34 m||Show|
|02-08-19||Heat v. Kings -150||96-102||Win||100||12 h 2 m||Show|
MIAMI @ SACRAMENTO
The Kings have won three of their last four home games, and they host the Miami Heat tonight. The Kings swept the season series in 2018, winning all three head to head meetings. The Kings are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games, and 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest. After losing three straight at home, the Heat are coming off a win over the Blazers in Portland. The young Kings should prove to be a tough matchup for Miami, even tougher if Harrison Barnes plays his first game in Sacramento.
|02-08-19||Quinnipiac v. Iona -3.5||66-65||Loss||-106||9 h 8 m||Show|
QUINNIPIAC @ IONA
The Iona Gaels have lost three straight, but they have won four of their last five at home. They host Quinnipiac tonight, and they have won seven of their last eight versus the Bobcats. The Gaels are an offensive juggernaut at home, averaging 81 points per game (12 points more than the Bobcats score on the road). The Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they were an 11.5 point favorite in their last home game against the Bobcats. The home favorite is asked to cover just a few points here tonight, and I feel comfortable backing Iona to get an outright win.
|02-07-19||Cincinnati v. Memphis +3||69-64||Loss||-105||10 h 19 m||Show|
|02-06-19||Rockets v. Kings +3.5||127-101||Loss||-108||11 h 51 m||Show|
HOUSTON @ SACRAMENTO
While the media continues to go crazy over James Harden's record scoring streak, most people in the know are saying that this style of play isn't a winning strategy. Kobe Bryant said that "I don't think that style's ever gonna win championships." Harden didn't disagree with Kobe, saying: "I mean, I have to be ball dominant just because we have injuries," Tonight will be the final game of a four game road trip, and I think Houston might be a little low on energy here in Sacramento. The Kings have been solid at home (17-10) and they are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus Houston. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 road games, and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games playing on 1 days rest.
|02-06-19||Rhode Island v. Davidson -4.5||53-68||Win||100||6 h 0 m||Show|
RAMS @ WILDCATS
Rhode Island lead by 19 points at halftime in their last road game, and they went on to lose to the Dukes at Duquesne. Before that they lost to the minutemen at Massachusetts. They have their work cut out for them here at Davidson, facing a Wildcats team with a 10-0 home record. The Rams are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. Davidson scores 10 points per game more at home than Rhode Island does at home, and the Wildcats are also better defensively.
|02-05-19||St. John's v. Marquette OVER 154||70-69||Loss||-111||3 h 23 m||Show|
ST JOHNS @ MARQUETTE
The Red Storm got hammered by Duke (91-61) this weekend, and they will be a six point dog at Marquette. The Golden Eagles are on a roll, they've won eight straight and they are 14-0 at home. Both these teams can score points, with St. Johns averaging over 77 points on the road and Marquette averaging 80 points per game at home. These teams scored a combined 158 points when they played earlier this season, and both meetings last season went over the number. The Red Storm have gone over in six of their last eight visits to Milwaukee.
|02-02-19||Rockets v. Jazz OVER 222.5||125-98||Win||100||12 h 26 m||Show|
|02-02-19||James Madison v. NC-Wilmington -4||104-95||Loss||-109||11 h 36 m||Show|
|02-02-19||St. John's +17.5 v. Duke||61-91||Loss||-110||4 h 47 m||Show|
ST JOHNS @ DUKE
The Red Storm have their work cut out for them in today's game. They had a rough stretch losing 4 of 5 before breaking out with a big 83-67 win at Creighton in their last game. They average over 80 points a game but were held below that in all 4 of their losses. They lost 2 of them on the road in some tough venues at Villanova and at Butler which are both extremely tough places to win. They hit 48% of their shots from the floor and 39% of their 3's for the season. They are 2-4 in their last 6 meetings with Duke and in the 4 losses haven't lost by double digits with a team not as good as this one. Duke has won 9 of 10 but the offense that averages over 88 points a game has been held below that in 7 of their last 9 and are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games while hitting just 45% from the floor and a dismal 25% of their 3's. They will be tough to beat at home but with a spread like this the points are too appealing to pass up.
Take St Johns
|02-01-19||Rockets v. Nuggets -4.5||122-136||Win||100||11 h 26 m||Show|
HOUSTON @ DENVER
The Rockets are coming off a home loss to the New Orleans Pelicans, and they take on the first place Denver Nuggets tonight. Denver has won six of it's last seven overall, and the Nuggets are a powerhouse at home. Denver is 22-4 straight up at the Pepsi Center, and the Nuggets are are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games. The Rockets are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall, and they have failed to cover in four straight on the road. Denver ahould start strong here at home against a one dimensional opponent.
|01-29-19||Ohio State v. Michigan -9||49-65||Win||100||11 h 50 m||Show|
|01-29-19||Wisconsin +3 v. Nebraska||62-51||Win||100||9 h 35 m||Show|
|01-28-19||Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma||77-47||Win||100||12 h 14 m||Show|
BAYLOR @ OKLAHOMA
Baylor won 5 of their last 6 games with the only loss to Kansas. Over their last 5 games they scored an average of 75 points while the defense has held opponents to 69 points and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Their last 3 losses were by 10 points total and they have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Sooners. Oklahoma has lost 4 of their last 6 conference games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Baylor as well as 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings with them at home. They average 74 points a game hitting just 45% of their shots and 67% from the foul line. This is a tough matchup and the points they are asked to cover might be too high considering they are just 3-3 in their last 6 games.
|01-27-19||Bucks +100 v. Thunder||112-118||Loss||-100||7 h 58 m||Show|
BUCKS @ THUNDER
Milwaukee has won 6 straight games and 8 of 10 overall. All 6 of their wins were by at least 9 points and they have been the favorite in their last 10 games. They are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall. After losing 5 of 6 games the Thunder have won 4 straight but will have their hands full in holding the league's highest scoring team from scoring as they allow almost 110 points a game. They are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 Sunday games and have allowed at least 115 points in 7 of their last 9 games.
|01-27-19||Florida State -3.5 v. Miami-FL||78-66||Win||100||10 h 31 m||Show|
FLORIDA STATE @ MIAMI
The Seminoles broke a 3 game losing streak where they lost 2 of them by 7 points total including an 82-80 loss to Duke. They average 78 points a game with a defense that allows less than 70. They lost 5 games so far and 2 were to Virginia and Duke while they won their last game over a tough Clemson team 77-68. Miami hasn't played well all year and is 9-9 losing 5 of their last 6 games. Over their last 5 game the offense is scoring just 68 points a game which is about 10 points lower than their season average with one of the losses to the Seminoles. They were really hammered in their last game losing 73-53 to Syracuse and have lost 2 of their last 3 home games. They aren't playing well on both sides of the ball and the Seminoles could have this game over by halftime.
Take Florida State
|01-27-19||Iowa v. Minnesota +1||87-92||Win||100||8 h 15 m||Show|
IOWA @ MINNESOTA
Iowa had their 5 game winning streak snapped when they lost 82-67 at home to the Spartans in their last game. They average 82 points a game but were stopped cold by Michigan State. Their last loss was also to a good defensive team as they lost to Purdue 86-70 and were held to no more than 73 points against Ohio St and Northwestern who are also vey good defensive teams. Minnesota has won 7 of their last 10 games with their last 2 losses on the road. They play a good defensive game, holding teams below 70 points on average and did that to 7 of their last 10 opponents. They are 10-1 at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Iowa while the Hawkeyes are 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 games against teams with a winning home record.
|01-27-19||Michigan State v. Purdue +2||63-73||Win||100||4 h 3 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ PURDUE
The Spartans are 18-2 and one of the better teams in the country and have won 13 straight games. They are 9-0 in conference play but their offense has been a little sluggish. They average 84 points a game but have scored below that in 6 of their last 7 games and are playing a tough team at home. Purdue is 13-6 but 9-0 at home and have won 7 of their last 8 games while scoring at least 79 points in 5 of the 7 wins. They have a great defense that allows just 68 points a game but at home that drops to 61 points a game. Although the Spartans average 84 points a game they have been held to just 74 over their last 5 games and normally hit over 50% from the floor but just 47% in this stretch. They are playing one of the better defensive teams in their conference who are always dangerous on their home court. I'll be taking the points with the home team in this one.
|01-26-19||Auburn v. Mississippi State +1||84-92||Win||100||10 h 32 m||Show|
AUBURN @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
The Tigers went 11-2 in their first 13 games then conference play took it's toll as they went 2-3 losing all 3 in the SEC. They lost their last 2 and are 1-3 on the road. Both of their latest losses were tough as they lost by 5 points total. Their defense that allows 69 points a game have allowed at least 78 points in 4 of their last 5 games while the offense is hitting just 42% from the floor. Since they lost their big man Wiley they have lost 2 straight games and their leading rebounder and top shooter hitting 58% of his shots. The Bulldogs are in a similar situation losing their last 3 to SEC teams with 2 on the road and 1 game in OT. They are tough at home averaging 85 points a game while the defense allows just 69.5 and that should be the difference today. This will be a tough place for Auburn to get back on track while the Bulldogs could get right again as they are 9-1 at home.
Take Mississippi State
|01-26-19||VCU v. Duquesne +3.5||80-74||Loss||-109||5 h 28 m||Show|
VCU @ DUQUESNE
VCU has won 6 of their last 8 games with both losses on the road. They average less than 70 points a game hitting just 42% from the floor and 30% of their 3's. They have problems offensively on the road averaging less than 60 points scoring while hitting 39% from the floor and a dismal 25% of their 3's. They are playing a tough Duquesne team who are 11-1 at home and average 80 points a game at home while holding opponents to 43% shooting from the floor and over their last 5 games are averaging 79 points a game and have held opponents to 72 scoring points this season. This is a tough place for VCU to pick up a win and i'm more than happy to grab points with the home team.
|01-26-19||Clemson +6 v. NC State||67-69||Win||100||5 h 57 m||Show|
CLEMSON @ NC STATE
The Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 games but 2 were to Virginia and Duke and 2 were on the road to the Seminoles and Syracuse. Their defense has been solid as they held 7 of their last 9 opponents below 70 points. They are playing an NC State team that has allowed 4 of their last 6 opponents to score at leat 80 points and who are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The Wolfpack defense has been battered allowing opponents to score 80 points over their last 5 games while the offense in hitting just 42% from the floor. They are also dealing with injuries and against a tough Clemson team could have their hands full as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as the favorite. This won't be an easy game for the Wolpack to win let alone cover.