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|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|05-21-19||Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 217.5||102-120||Loss||-108||5 h 35 m||Show|
BUCKS @ RAPTORS
The Raptors might have regained some confidence with a double overtime victory in Game 3, but they still have plenty of things to be concerned about. Not the least of which is Danny Green and Fred Van Fleet shooting a combined 2-for-20. On the positive side the Raptors did play well defensively, holding Giannis to just 12 points on 5-of-16 shooting. Both teams shot below 40 percent in Game 3, and we can expect another gritty, low scoring game here tonight. The under is 11-5 in the Raptors last 16 overall, and the under is 8-3-1 in the Raptors last 12 games following a straight up win.
|05-19-19||Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 220||112-118||Loss||-110||9 h 12 m||Show|
|05-18-19||Warriors v. Blazers -131||110-99||Loss||-131||7 h 6 m||Show|
GSW @ PORTLAND
The Blazers got off to a great start in Game 2 at Oracle Arena, but they lost a heartbreaker by a score of 114-111. They face a must win situation here at home in Game 3, and if they can't win this series will likely end in a sweep. I expect the Blazers to be the better team here in the first half. The Warriors are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win. The Blazers have won five of their six home games so far in these playoffs, and if they are going to win a game here in this series their best chance will be tonight. The Trail Blazers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss.
|05-16-19||Blazers +7 v. Warriors||111-114||Win||100||6 h 34 m||Show|
BLAZERS @ WARRIORS
I bet on the Warriors to win Game 1, and they did just that. Portland suffered a let down coming off big comeback win in Game 7 on the road at Denver. Now it's the Warriors turn to suffer a let down, and I think the Blazers will come out fighting for their lives in the first half of Game 2. If the score is close at halftime, the Warriors will feel like they have Portland right where they want them. There isn't going to be the same amount of urgency early on for the Warriors as we saw from them in Game 1. I expect to see a bit of complacency set in.
|05-15-19||Raptors +6.5 v. Bucks||100-108||Loss||-105||13 h 2 m||Show|
|05-14-19||Blazers v. Warriors -7.5||94-116||Win||100||7 h 58 m||Show|
BLAZERS @ WARRIORS
The Blazers deserve plenty of credit for going into Denver and winning a Game 7 on the road, but they are likely to suffer a big let down here on the road in Game 1 of the Western Conference Final. While the Warriors won't have Kevin Durant, a Big 3 of Curry, Klay and Dramond was good enough to win multiple Championships. The Blazers are thin up front without Nurkic and a banged up Enes Kanter. Rodney Hood is also battling an injury. History favors the Warriors, as Portland is 9-22 ATS in the last 31 games at Oracle Arena in Oakland.
|05-12-19||76ers +6 v. Raptors||90-92||Win||100||13 h 4 m||Show|
|05-12-19||Blazers +5.5 v. Nuggets||100-96||Win||100||10 h 31 m||Show|
|05-10-19||Warriors +7.5 v. Rockets||118-113||Win||100||13 h 41 m||Show|
|05-09-19||Raptors v. 76ers +2.5||101-112||Win||100||7 h 12 m||Show|
|05-08-19||Celtics v. Bucks -8.5||91-116||Win||100||6 h 28 m||Show|
|05-07-19||76ers +6.5 v. Raptors||89-125||Loss||-108||6 h 17 m||Show|
SIXERS @ RAPTORS
Sure the Raptors are coming off a huge win in Game 4 in Philly, but I can't see laying 6.5 points here with a team that is relying so heavily on one player. Kawhi Leonard has been playing at a level comparable to LeBron James and Michael Jordan, but he's getting very little help from the supporting cast. The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a ATS loss, and I would expect a better game from Joel Embiid tonight. "I didn't have a good night; didn't sleep," Embiid said. "Was throwing up. I needed an IV at 6 in the morning. I tried to play and tried to get the win. Obviously, it wasn't enough. ... It doesn't really matter. Once I step on the court, I have to do a better job, no matter what the situation is." Embiid scored 33 points in the last game in Toronto.
|05-06-19||Warriors +1.5 v. Rockets||108-112||Loss||-107||14 h 42 m||Show|
WARRIORS @ ROCKETS
Sure enough the Rockets won Game 3 to avoid being swept, but I don't think they have any chance of getting back in this series. Even the last game was a lucky win for the Rockets, who were out-scored 28-21 in the fourth quarter. The Warriors likely would have won the game in regulation if it wasn't for a few missed layups late by Steph Curry. If that's what the Rockets are relying on in Game 4, they are certainly in some trouble. The Warriors are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a straight up loss. They haven't lost back to back games since February.
|05-05-19||Raptors +2 v. 76ers||101-96||Win||100||25 h 26 m||Show|
|05-04-19||Warriors v. Rockets -154||121-126||Win||100||75 h 21 m||Show|
|05-02-19||Raptors -1 v. 76ers||95-116||Loss||-110||13 h 46 m||Show|
|04-30-19||Rockets v. Warriors -5.5||109-115||Win||100||14 h 44 m||Show|
ROCKETS @ WARRIORS
James Harden and the Rockets can complain all they want about the calls, but the fact is that they just have no answer for KD. Unlike Harden, Durant doesn't need any help from the boys in black and white. The Warriors failed to cover in Game 1, but they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. The Warriors won 2-of-3 at home in last year's Western Conference Finals against the Rockets, and both wins came by double digits. The one game they lost was decided by just three points.
|04-30-19||Celtics v. Bucks UNDER 220||102-123||Loss||-110||11 h 5 m||Show|
CELTICS @ BUCKS
It was the Celtics defense that was on display in Game 1, but keep in mind that this Milwaukee team has still held opponents to under 100 points per game in these playoffs. Boston is due for a let down coming off a big road win, and the Celtics are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The Bucks are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a double-digit loss at home. The under is 6-2 in Bucks last eight Conference Semifinals games, and the under is 5-2 in Bucks last seven games following a double-digit loss at home.
|04-29-19||Blazers v. Nuggets UNDER 216.5||113-121||Loss||-110||14 h 21 m||Show|
|04-28-19||Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 224.5||100-104||Win||100||22 h 42 m||Show|
|04-27-19||Spurs v. Nuggets UNDER 208.5||86-90||Win||100||4 h 2 m||Show|
SPURS @ NUGGETS
The Nuggets played strong defense in their last home game in this series (Game 5), holding the Spurs to just 90 points. San Antonio returns to Denver for a winner takes all Game 7, and you better believe that points in this game will be hard to come by. When facing elimination against the Warriors in the first round last year, San Antonio lost Game 5 by a score of 99-91. The under is 9-3 in Spurs last 12 road games, and 6-1 in their last seven games following a straight up win of more than 10 points. The under is 12-3 in Nuggets last 15 home games, and 6-0 in their last six games playing on 1 days rest.
|04-26-19||Warriors -9.5 v. Clippers||129-110||Win||100||12 h 6 m||Show|
|04-24-19||Clippers v. Warriors -14||129-121||Loss||-105||60 h 49 m||Show|
|04-23-19||Thunder v. Blazers UNDER 219||115-118||Loss||-105||14 h 56 m||Show|
|04-21-19||Raptors v. Magic UNDER 207||107-85||Win||100||36 h 36 m||Show|
|04-20-19||Nuggets v. Spurs -175||117-103||Loss||-175||35 h 59 m||Show|
|04-18-19||Nuggets v. Spurs -3.5||108-118||Win||100||29 h 16 m||Show|
NUGGETS @ SPURS
The Nuggets came into this series with home court advantage and a far better regular season record. They matched up against a Spurs team with more playoff experience, and a head coach that has won multiple championships. Heading to San Antonio with the series tied 1-1 is a bit of a nightmare for the Nuggets. It's going to be hard to win games at San Antonio, where the Spurs boast one of the best records in the NBA. In fact the only team in the West with more home wins than the Spurs was Denver. The Spurs are 4-0 straight up in their last four home games against Denver, and the Nuggets have failed to cover in five of their last seven at San Antonio.
|04-16-19||Thunder v. Blazers -111||94-114||Win||100||4 h 19 m||Show|
THUNDER @ BLAZERS
The public loves the Thunder in this series, and because of that the Blazers are just a small favorite at home. They won Game 1 without too much trouble by a score of 104-99, although it didn't feel like a game decided by just five points. Portland lead by 14 after the first quarter and held the lead for the rest of the way. The Thunder are 2-5 ATS in the last seven meetings in Portland, and they are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 road games. It's going to be tough for the Thunder to draw even in this series with a banged up Paul George playing on the road againstg one of the league's top home teams. Portland is 33-9 at home this season.
|04-13-19||Magic v. Raptors -8.5||104-101||Loss||-120||4 h 48 m||Show|
ORLANDO @ TORONTO
The Raptors finished with the second best record in the NBA during the regular season, while Orlando clinched a playoff spot in their second to last game of the regular season. The Magic were just 17-24 on the road, while Toronto was 32-9 at home. There are going to be some surprises in the playoffs, but I don't think we will see any surprises in this series. Kawhi Leonard ranks 3rd in the NBA in win shares, behind only Jordan and LeBron. He's known to elevate his game in the post-season, and that's bad news for Orlando. I wouldn't be surprised if Toronto blows the doors off early in Game 1.
|04-06-19||Texas Tech v. Michigan State -150||61-51||Loss||-150||105 h 16 m||Show|
TTU @ MICHIGAN STATE
Not even Duke's freshman duo of RJ Barrett and Zion Williamson were good enough to beat this Michigan State team. The Spartans held the Blue Devils to 67 points, their lowest points total of the season. Texas Tech comes in with an impressive defense of it's own, but this Texas Tech team has a bit of a reputation for being inconsistent on offense. Michigan State's biggest advantage might be Tom Izzo, and I expect him to find a way to shut down Texas Tech here in the Final Four. "I'll disclose this one thing: I'm going to try to win this time," Izzo said. "I don't know if I've done a good job of that."
|04-05-19||Heat v. Wolves UNDER 218.5||109-111||Loss||-108||9 h 36 m||Show|
HEAT @ WOLVES
The Miami Heat trail Orlando by just a half a game in the Southeast with just a handful of games remaining for both teams. While Orlando has a home game against the sub .500 Hawks tonight, the Heat will need to win on the road at Minnesota. The Heat are actually one of the better road teams in the NBA, with a record of 20-18 away from home. Only Toronto and Milwaukee have more road wins than Miami. The Heat have covered in six straight at Minnesota, and they have gone under in seven of their last nine in the Twin Cities. The under is 7-3 in the Timberwolves last 10 overall.
|04-05-19||Hawks v. Magic -8.5||113-149||Win||100||16 h 3 m||Show|
HAWKS @ MAGIC
The Orlando Magic are a half game up on the Miami Heat in the Southeast Division, and they will need a win at home tonight against the Hawks to avoid falling out of first place. The Hawks have earned a handful of "feel good" wins lately, and some of those have come against some pretty decent teams. This game at Orlando is a little different though, as it might as well be a playoff game for the Magic. The Hawks have failed to cover in four of their last five at Orlando, and they are just 12-27 overall on the road this season. The Magic are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 overall.
|04-03-19||Knicks v. Magic -12||100-114||Win||100||18 h 49 m||Show|
KNICKS @ MAGIC
With just a few games left in the regular season, teams like New York are giving their prospects a chance to play. The results are often a failure to compete with teams stacked with bonafied NBA starters. New York has lost 14 of their last 16 overall, and 10 of those 14 losses came by double digits. They face an Orlando Magic team tonight that needs to win this game if they want to keep their playoff hopes alive. The Magic will likely crank up the intensity in a must win game, and we should see a blowout. The Magic have won seven straight home games, most recently winning by 21 points versus Philly.
|03-31-19||Michigan State v. Duke UNDER 148.5||Top||68-67||Win||100||31 h 14 m||Show|
|03-30-19||Purdue v. Virginia -185||75-80||Win||100||20 h 27 m||Show|
PURDUE @ VIRGINIA
The Virginia Cavs suffered the biggest upset loss of last year's tournament, but they head into the Elite Eight looking like a team capable of winning a national championship. Purdue is coming off an overtime win over Tennessee, which could set them up for a let down here just 48 hours later. The Boilermakers are 0-5-1 ATS in their last six games after allowing more than 90 points in their previous game. The Cavs have covered the spread in four of their last five against teams from the BIG10, and they are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 non-conference games.
|03-29-19||Houston v. Kentucky UNDER 135.5||58-62||Win||100||104 h 22 m||Show|
HOUSTON @ KENTUCKY
The Kentucky Wildcats held the Wofford Terriers to just 56 points in their last game, after opening the tournament with a 79-44 win over Abilene Christian. Kentucky comes in allowing 58.8 points per over their last five overall. As impressive as that is, the Houston Cougars have been even better, allowing 57.2 points per game. The Wildcats have failed to reach the total in nine of their last 11 NCAA Tournament games. The under is 6-1-1 in the Cougars last eight neutral site games, and 9-4 in their last 13 non-conference games.
|03-29-19||Auburn v. North Carolina UNDER 163.5||Top||97-80||Loss||-109||103 h 58 m||Show|
AUBURN @ UNC
The bookmakers are projecting a high scoring game between the Tigers and the Tar Heels in the Sweet Sixteen, but I think the number is just too high. The trends really don't support the idea of more than 160 combined points. North Carolina has failed to reach the total in six straight versus SEC teams, and they have failed to reach the total in five straight NCAA Tournament games. The Tigers have only seeen two of their last 10 games combine for more than 161.5 points, while the Tar Heels have only seen one of their last 10 games reach such a high total. Both teams have held opponents to fewer than 70 points per game over their last five overall. North Carolina has faced Duke three times this season, and not one of those games saw more than 160 combined points.
|03-28-19||Oregon +8.5 v. Virginia||49-53||Win||100||81 h 51 m||Show|
OREGON @ VIRGINIA
The Virginia Cavs were on the wrong side of one of the biggest upsets in the history of sports in last year's NCAA Tournament. They started off in similar fashion in their first game of this year's tournament, getting blown out in the first 10 minutes of their game versus Gardner Webb. They will be a big favorite here against Oregon, and the Ducks have played as well as anyone in the month of March. Oregon is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 7-0 ATS in their last 7 neutral site games. The Ducks are 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games, and 6-2 ATS in their last 8 non-conference games.
|03-27-19||Pacers v. Thunder -6||99-107||Win||100||19 h 44 m||Show|
PACERS @ THUNDER
The Oklahoma City Thunder snapped a four game losing streak with a big road win at Toronto, but went on to lose at Memphis in their next game. Now they return home to face the Pacers, and this is a crucial game for the home team. The Thunder are just a half game up on the Spurs for eighth place in the West, and a first round matchup versus Golden State is the prize for finishing in the eighth spot. The Pacers have failed to cover in seven of their last eight road games, and they are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven at Oklahoma City.
|03-24-19||Cal-Irvine v. Oregon -4.5||54-73||Win||100||10 h 54 m||Show|
UCI @ OREGON
The Oregon Ducks were firing on all cylinders in their opening game against Wisconsin. They shot almost 55% from the field and hit nearly 50% of their shots from beyond the arc. They face a UCI team that they have had plenty of success against over the years. Oregon is 5-0 straight and up and 4-1 ATS in it's last five versus the Anteaters. Oregon has covered the spread in nine straight overall, and the Ducks are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 vsrsus the Big West. The Anteaters are just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 versus Pac 12 teams.
|03-23-19||Wofford v. Kentucky -5||56-62||Win||100||30 h 40 m||Show|
WOFFORD @ KENTUCKY
The Wofford Terriers won their first round matchup versus Seton Hall, scoring 84 points and shooting over 48 percent from beyond the arc. I don't like their chances of doing that again here against Kentucky, one of the best defensive teams in the country. Kentucky has allowed opponents to shoot just 38.8 percent from the field over their last five games. They held Albien Christian to 44 points on 32.1 percent shooting in their first round matchup. Kentucky is 5-0 in it's last five non conference games, and Wofford has failed to cover in five of it's last six versus the SEC. The Wildcats are 4-1-2 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games.
|03-22-19||Ohio State v. Iowa State -5.5||62-59||Loss||-107||65 h 46 m||Show|
|03-22-19||Oregon v. Wisconsin +1.5||72-54||Loss||-110||110 h 22 m||Show|
OREGON @ WISCONSIN
|03-21-19||Seton Hall +3 v. Wofford||68-84||Loss||-104||79 h 22 m||Show|
HALL @ WOFFORD
Every year you hear about all the upsets in the NCAA Tournament, and it never fails, there are always teams that pull off surprise results. Those are the games you hear about, while the majority of the games where the better team wins don't garner the same attention. While everyone is looking to back an underdog, it's easy to see why they would like Wofford. The Terriers (dogs) have won 20 in a row. and that has them pegged as favorites over a competitive team from the Big East. The Seton Hall Pirates come in as winners of four of their last five. Three of the four wins came against ranked teams, and their loss to Villanova in the Big East final came by a score of 74-72. Now they are getting a bunch of points against Wofford? Sign me up.
|03-21-19||Florida +2 v. Nevada||70-61||Win||100||77 h 39 m||Show|
FLORIDA @ NEVADA
The Florida Gators are coming off a three point loss to SEC Tournament winners Auburn, and they have a resume of playing close games against elite level competition. They will be the underdog here against a Nevada team that lost 65-56 to San Diego State in the Mountain West Tournament. They lost twice to the Aztecs down the stretch, and they could be biting off more they can chew here against Florida. The Wolf Pack are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games overall. The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last five neutral site games.
|03-20-19||Harvard v. Georgetown OVER 152||71-68||Loss||-109||16 h 38 m||Show|
HARVARD @ GEORGETOWN
The Georgetown Hoyas averaged almost 80 points per game this year, and almost 85 points per game at home. They aren't all that impressive on defense though, allowing over 80 points per game over their last five overall. They host the Harvard Crimson in the NIT Tournament tonight, and these two teams haven't met since 2009. Georgetown won that game by a score of 86-70, and a similar score wouldn't be a shocker here. The Hoyas have gone over in seven of their last nine non conference games, and Harvard has gone over in 15 of it's last 22 road games.
|03-19-19||Belmont v. Temple UNDER 156||81-70||Win||100||4 h 18 m||Show|
BELMONT @ TEMPLE
The Belmont Bruins play their fair share of high scoring games, but that isn't necessarily the case when they match up against the big boys from the bigger conferences. They scored 74 points in a win over UCLA, and 62 points in a loss at Purdue. They were held to just 65 points in their conference tournament loss to Murray State. Last year they scored just 51 points in the conference tourney, losing again to Murray State. Now in a high stakes play in game, the bookmakers have a sky high total. I'll go against the grain here and look for a lower score.
|03-17-19||Michigan +1 v. Michigan State||60-65||Loss||-109||13 h 17 m||Show|
MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE
It's not easy to beat the same team twice in a season, but it's even more difficult to beat a team three times. The Spartans will try to beat the Wolverines for a third time this season, and Michigan is looking to avoid the sweep. This reminds me of a similar game in the ACC between Duke and North Carolina, and the Tar Heels couldn't get that third win over Duke. Michigan has been the better team in the tournament so far, and the Wolverines have now won a record nine straight in the BIG10 Tourney.
|03-16-19||Florida State +8.5 v. Duke||63-73||Loss||-110||11 h 19 m||Show|
FSU @ DUKE
I can't help but find Duke overvalued here in the ACC Final. While Zion Williamson has impressed since his return, scoring 60 points on 26-of-32 shooting in two games, it hasn't done much for bettors. The Blue Devils failed to cover against both Syracuse and North Carolina, despite huge games from Zion. You would have to wonder what the results would look like if he has an off game? There is an argument to be made that Florida State has been the better team in the tournament so far, and given a huge point spread, I'll take the underdog.
|03-16-19||Iowa State v. Kansas -1.5||78-66||Loss||-115||9 h 53 m||Show|
ISU @ KU
For the first time in 15 years the Jayhawks failed to win the BIG12. Kansas can make a big statement here in the conference tournament though with a win over Iowa State in the Final. These two teams split the season series, but Kansas won the most recent meeting. The Jayhawks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall, while the Cyclones are 1-5 ATS in their last six Saturday games. Kansas comes into tonight's game as winners of five of their last six games, while Iowa State lost five of it's last six regular season games. I'll take the hot team playing at (almost).
|03-15-19||Duke v. North Carolina +3||Top||74-73||Win||100||11 h 10 m||Show|
DUKE @ UNC
The Tar Heels have already beaten Duke twice this season, but the public just loves Duke and Zion Williamson. After scoring 29 points (almost all spectacular dunks) in his return last night, Zion has Duke favored here in the rubber match. The fact is that Duke still isn't very good defensively, and they lost their starting center Marques Bolden in the last loss to the Tar Heels. I'll take the points here with North Carolina team that has already proved to be the better of the two teams.
|03-15-19||Seton Hall v. Marquette OVER 141.5||Top||81-79||Win||100||11 h 35 m||Show|
HALL @ MARQUETTE
The Seton Hall Pirates are coming off a blowout win over Georgetown in the Big East tournament yesterday. They jumped all over the Hoywas in the first half, scoring a whopping 53 points. They will need to score plenty here tonight against Marquette, because the Golden Eagles are bound to get their share. Marquette scored 86 points in a win over St. John's yesterday. Big East Play of the Year Markus Howard scored 30 points on 8-of-15 shooting in the win. In both meetings between these teams earlier this season, the first half went over the total. The Pirates have gone over the total in seven of their last nine games at a neutral site.
|03-15-19||Bucks v. Heat UNDER 220||Top||113-98||Win||100||24 h 30 m||Show|
MILWAUKEE @ MIAMI
The Miami Heat come into tonight's home game versus Milwaukee as winners of five of their last six overall. They held opponents to fewer than 100 points in three of those five wins. Miami is one of the top defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd overall in opponent's scoring average. The Heat could have their hands full against the league's #2 ranked offense, but history favors the Heat. Prior to Milwaukee winning 124-86 at home earlier this year, the Heat had won six straight meetings versus the Bucks. Five of the last six meetings have gone under the total, and none of those games saw a combined 220 points. I expect a strong effort from a Heat team battling to make the playoffs.
|03-14-19||Texas v. Kansas -145||57-65||Win||100||8 h 47 m||Show|
TEXAS @ KANSAS
The Kansas Jayhawks have owned the BIG12 for a long time, but they sure dropped off this season. Or did they? While they finished 3rd behind Texas Tech and Kansas State, they did go 17-0 at home. It's worth pointing out that this won't be a home game for the Jayhawks, playing such a short distance from Lawrence in Kansas City should favor Kansas. It certainly shouldn't help a Texas team that lost eight of 10 on the road this season.
|03-14-19||Syracuse +12 v. Duke||72-84||Push||0||8 h 31 m||Show|
SYRACUSE @ DUKE
The Bookmakers might be disrespecting Syracuse in this spot. Despite splitting the season series, playing two close games, Duke is an enormous favorite here in the conference tourney. While Zion Williamson is expected to play, Maques Bolden is out and Tre Jones has been banged up all year. Zion is likely to be used sparingly, and his return might prove to be more of a distraction than a positive (at least in the short term). I'll take the points here with a Syracuse team that rarely gets blown out.
|03-14-19||Thunder v. Pacers UNDER 219||106-108||Win||100||5 h 4 m||Show|
THUNDER @ PACERS
The Thunder come into Indiana as winners of four of their last six. They held opponents to less than 100 points in three of those four wins. The Pacers know a thing or two about playing defense, ranking first overall in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. Indiana is 2-2 in it's last four games, failing to score 100 points in each of the losses and holding opponents to fewer than 100 points in each of the wins. With both teams gearing up for a playoff run, don't expect any easy buckets here in tonight's game.
|03-13-19||Warriors v. Rockets -155||106-104||Loss||-155||8 h 43 m||Show|
WARRIORS @ ROCKETS
|03-12-19||Northern Kentucky v. Wright State UNDER 134||77-66||Loss||-135||7 h 30 m||Show|
NKU @ WRST
The Horizon League Final will feature two teams that have been involved in quite a few low scoring games lately. The Wright State Raiders have held opponents to just 59 points over their last five games. Both these teams have struggled offensively when playing neutral site games. Northern Kentucky has averaged 64 points and Wright State has scored 66 points per game at neutral sites. The under is 5-0 in Raiders last 5 overall, and 4-1 in their last five neutral site games. The under is 5-2 in Norse last seven neutral site games.
|03-11-19||San Diego v. St. Mary's OVER 128||62-69||Win||100||25 h 32 m||Show|
USD @ SMC
The bookmakers are expecting the defense to shine when St. Mary's plays San Diego in the WCC Tournament in Las Vegas tonight. St. Mary's can certainly come up with some impressive defensive efforts, holding opponents below 50 points in three of their last four games. One of those was a 66-46 win over San Diego. The Torreros though have averaged 74.6 points per game over their last five overall, and they have scored an average of 78.8 points per game at neutral sites. The Gaels have allowed an average of 69.8 points per game at neutral sites. While these teams have gone under in five straight meetings, two of those games saw more than 130 points, and the total for tonight's game is lower than it was in four of those games.
|03-11-19||Kings +113 v. Wizards||115-121||Loss||-100||27 h 23 m||Show|
KINGS @ WIZARDS
The Washington Wizards have lost seven of their last 10 overall, and they don't appear to be all that interested in making the playoffs. Perhaps getting swept by the Bucks or the Raptors isn't all that appealing to them. The Sacramento Kings on the other hand continue to compete night in and night out, and this young team would love to make the playoffs. The Kings are four games out of the eighth spot in the West, but they have two games in hand. The Kings are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games, and 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games versus teams with a losing record. The Kings are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games overall.
|03-10-19||Magic v. Grizzlies +1.5||Top||97-105||Win||100||22 h 15 m||Show|
ORLANDO @ MEMPHIS
The Memphis Grizzlies are no longer in the playoff conversation, and they have dealt away key players at the trade deadline. This team doesn't quit though, and they come into tonight's home game against Orlando as winners of three of their last four. Home wins came against Portland and Utah, while they won on the road at Dallas. Their one loss during that span came by just three points on the road at Oklahoma City. After proving they can go toe to toe with the better teams in the West, the bookmakers have them pegged as a home dog against a mediocre team from the East. The Magic have lost three of their last four on the road, and they are 5-11 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Memphis.
|03-10-19||Delaware v. William & Mary -4.5||85-79||Loss||-109||14 h 43 m||Show|
DELAWARE @ CWM
These are two teams treding in opposite directions. William and Mary come into the Conference Tournament as winners of five straight. They have won three straight on the road. The Delaware Blue Hens come in as losers of four straight, and they have failed to cover in eight of their last nine versus the Tribe. The Blue Hens are 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall, and 0-6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss. The Tribe are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
|03-09-19||Duke v. North Carolina -3||Top||70-79||Win||100||20 h 47 m||Show|
DUKE @ UNC
The last time these two teams played (a few weeks ago) the Tar Heels cruised to an easy win at Cameron Indoor Stadium. Zion Williamson suffered what might be a season ending injury in the opening minute of that game, and the Blue Devils have been in a bad way ever since. There is plenty of speculation that Zion suffered a minor injury, and despite being healthy enough to play he may choose to sit out and wait for the NBA draft. In addition to the Zion situation, Duke's primary PG comes into this game with a lingering injury as well. The Tar Heels are 13-2 at home, and they've scored an average of 88.7 points in those games. That's roughly 10 points more than Duke averages on the road. Duke didn't look anything like a #1 seed in a near loss to Wake Forest in their last game.
|03-09-19||Tennessee -1 v. Auburn||Top||80-84||Loss||-108||14 h 39 m||Show|
TENNESSEE @ AUBURN
The SEC Title is up for grabs, but Tennessee will need a win at Auburn if they want to edge out LSU and Kentucky. Auburn is no pushover, boasting a 14-2 home record and a 10-7 conference record. The Tigers have lost five straight against ranked teams though, and they catch Tennessee at a bad time. Tennessee is 17-8 ATS in it's last 25 road games, and 10-3 ATS in their last 13 against Auburn. The Tigers have failed to cover in five straight home games versus teams with a winning record, and they are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 Saturday games.
|03-08-19||Cavs v. Heat UNDER 213.5||Top||110-126||Loss||-106||25 h 59 m||Show|
CLEVELAND @ MIAMI
The Heat are in a three way battle for top spot in the Southeast Division, sitting just one game ahead of Orlando and Charlotte. They jumped into first place by beating the Hornets in Charlotte by a score of 91-84 on Wednesday night. Miami is one of the best defensive teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd in the league in scoring defense. Cleveland is one of the lowest scoring teams in the NBA, ranking 29th in points per game. The Heat have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus Eastern Conference teams, and the under is 7-2 in their last nine when coming off a win. The Cavs have failed to score 100 points in each of the last five head to head meetings.
|03-07-19||Iowa v. Wisconsin UNDER 140.5||Top||45-65||Win||100||22 h 52 m||Show|
IOWA @ WISCONSIN
Wisconsin will be a big favorite in it's final home game versus Iowa, but the total for this game is higher than it was in any of the Badgers last 10 games overall. That might be because the Hawkeyes tend to play higher scoring games, but based on the line, we should expect the home team to dicate the pace here. Wisconsin has failed to reach the total in 10 of it's last 13 overall. The Badgers have allowed just 61.4 points per game at home, and they have held the opposition to fewer than 60 points in each of their last three home games. The Badgers have failed to reach the total in five of their last six home games, and the under is 43-21-4 in their last 68 versus the BIG10.
|03-06-19||Nuggets -5.5 v. Lakers||115-99||Win||100||9 h 2 m||Show|
NUGGETS @ LAKERS
After watching how bad the Lakers have been since LeBron James returned from injury, it's amazing that the bookmakers can find bettors willing to back LA. Tonight's game looks like a particularly tough spot, as the Denver Nuggets are in town looking to snap a three game losing skid. The Lakers won't have Kyle Kuzma, and it's plain to see that LeBron isn't interested. The Nuggets have covered in 16 of their last 23 games overall, and they are currently just a game and a half out of first place in the Western Conference. The Lakers have failed to cover in five of their last six overall.
|03-06-19||Fresno State v. San Diego State UNDER 137||76-74||Loss||-109||19 h 1 m||Show|
FRESNO @ SDSU
Two of the top teams in the Mountain West will play tonight in San Diego, and we should expect a hard fought game. Both these teams are capable of locking it down on defense, and we should expect a low score here. Both these teams come in averaging fewer than 70 points per game over their last five overall, and the Aztecs have held the opposition to just over 60 points per game during that span. San Diego State has allowed just 64.3 points per game at home this season. The Aztecs have been playing their best basketball in recent weeks, winning six of their last seven overall. During that span they held opponents to 60 points or less four times.
|03-05-19||Mississippi State v. Tennessee -8||Top||54-71||Win||100||23 h 60 m||Show|
BULLDOGS @ VOLUNTEERS
Tennessee is coming off a huge 19-point home win over Kentucky, and they come into Tuesday's home game versus Missippi State tied for first place in the SEC with LSU. The Wildcats are just a game back, and any of those three schools could win the conference. I don't expect much of a let down here for a Vols team that is 17-0 at home. They have won six straight home games by double digits, and they have had a lead at halftime in all 17 of their home games. They had a 37-24 lead at the half in Saturday's win over Kentucky. I like the Vols to start fast and win big versus the Bulldogs.
|03-05-19||Nebraska v. Michigan State UNDER 139||76-91||Loss||-105||17 h 43 m||Show|
NEBRASKA @ MSU
The Michigan State Spartans will be a big home favorite tonight against Nebraska, but the Spartans have struggled offensively of late. They have averaged just 67.8 points per game over their last five overall. They can lean on their defense here at home, where they have held the opposition to just 61.5 points per game this season. Nebraska comes in as losers of three straight, and they have scored an average of just 63.4 points over their last five games. The under is 6-1-1 in Spartans last eight home games, and they have failed to reach the total in five of their last six overall.
|03-04-19||Clippers +4.5 v. Lakers||Top||113-105||Win||100||30 h 45 m||Show|
CLIPPERS @ LAKERS
|03-03-19||Magic -5.5 v. Cavs||93-107||Loss||-105||18 h 58 m||Show|
MAGIC @ CAVS
The Orlando Magic are in a three way fight with Charlotte and Miami for first place in the Southeast. They come into Cleveland as winners of 10 of their last 13 overall. Cleveland of course is tanking, looking to rebuild with high draft picks. The Cavs are coming off back to back double digit home losses. The Magic are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games overall, and 5-1 ATS in their last six road games. They are 12-3-1 ATS in their last 16 Sunday games. The Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last four games playing on 0 days rest.
|03-03-19||Boston College v. Georgia Tech||Top||78-81||Win||100||20 h 16 m||Show|
BC @ GEORGIA TECH
The Yellow Jackets may have lost nine of their last 10 overall, they are a solid home team. They are 10-7 overall at home this season, and they are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS loss. The home team has won four straight meetings between these two teams. Boston College has lost seven of nine on the road, scoring an average of just 65 points in those games. The Eagles could struggle against a solid Yellow Jackets defense. Georgia Tech has held the opposition under 64 points per game at home this season.
|03-02-19||Colorado State v. New Mexico -1.5||Top||65-77||Win||100||19 h 42 m||Show|
RAMS @ LOBOS
The Rams have won three straight, while the Lobos have lost three straight. New Mexico though played two of their last three games on the road, and a home loss came in a close game to Fresno State. The Rams have lost seven of 10 on the road this season, and they are 5-12 ATS in the last 17 meetings in New Mexico. The Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and 0-3 ATS in their last 13 home games versus teams with a losing road record. This has all the signs of a let down spot for the visitors, and a "get right" game for the home team. I love the Lobos as a slight favorite at home in New Mexico.
|03-02-19||Bucks v. Jazz -160||111-115||Win||100||9 h 27 m||Show|
BUCKS @ JAZZ
The Milwaukee Bucks own the best record in the Eastern Conference, but they are in a tough spot here against a competitive Western Conference team tonight. I don't like their chances of avoiding a let down on the road in the second game of a back to back at Utah. The Jazz are still an elite defensive team with DPOY candidate Rudy Gobert. The Jazz have won six of the last eight head to head meetings versus Milwaukee, and all four home games during that span. The Bucks are 7-25 ATS in the last 32 meetings, and they are 1-15 ATS in their last 16 at Utah.
|03-01-19||Bucks -185 v. Lakers||131-120||Win||100||9 h 48 m||Show|
BUCKS @ LAKERS
Sometimes a headline doesn't tell the whole story. That was exactly the case following the Lakers last game, a 125-119 win over the Pelicans. LeBron hit a three-point shot in the final minute to seal the win for the Lakers, and the headline the next day read: "King Clutch". What seems lost in that story is that with 27 seconds left in a two possession game, LeBron was 0-for-2 at the free throw line. Then you have to ask yourself if the desperation fade away three-point shot was actaully the right play at the time. That game could have easily gone the other way, and keep in mind they were playing one of the weaker teams in the West. Tonight they are up against the best team in the East, and I think reality is going to hit hard. This isn't a playoff team.
|03-01-19||Rhode Island v. Dayton -7||72-70||Loss||-109||5 h 4 m||Show|
URI @ DAYTON
Rhode Island had lost five straight prior beating George Washington at home in their last game. Here is what I said about the Rams before their game against Davidson: "Rhode Island is really struggling, only scoring 54 points per game while losing four of their last five overall. The Rams are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss." The Rams are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a straight up win, and 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road game. I like Dayton to win here by double digits.
|02-28-19||USC v. UCLA -164||88-93||Win||100||8 h 50 m||Show|
USC @ UCLA
The Bruins scored 90 points, shooting better than 50 percent from the field and an incredible 63.6 percent from beyond the arc in a home win over Oregon their last time out. They host USC tonight, and the Trojans are just 2-6 on the road this season. USC is coming in as losers of four of their last six. The home team has been the play, covering in six of the last eight head to head meetings between these teams. The Tojans have failed to cover in six of their last eight road games, and five of their last six versus teams with a winning record. The Bruins are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 home games versus teams with a losing road record.
|02-26-19||Temple v. Memphis -4||73-81||Win||100||3 h 24 m||Show|
TEMPLE @ MEMPHIS
The Memphis Tigers might not be the best team in the American Athletic Conference, but they might just be the best home team. Memphis can sure score points at home, averaging an incredible 88 points per game. The Tigers host Temple tonight, and the Owls aren't big on scoring points. Temple will try to win with defense, but I expect them to struggle to keep up. The Tigers are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus team with a winning road record, while the Owls are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS win.
|02-26-19||Celtics v. Raptors -3.5||95-118||Win||100||3 h 38 m||Show|
BOSTON @ TORONTO
The Celtics were supposed to be the team to beat in the Eastern Conference this year, but they come into Toronto sitting in third place in the Atlantic Division. They have lost back to back games, and they have a losing record (14-15) on the road. Home court advantage has been huge in this series, with the home team winning 10 straight since January of 2017. The Celtics are 0-7 in their last seven north of the border. If the Raptors win tonight, they will have an NBA best 26 home wins.
|02-25-19||Pacers v. Pistons -138||Top||109-113||Win||100||17 h 16 m||Show|
PACERS @ PISTONS
|02-22-19||Davidson -1.5 v. Rhode Island||75-66||Win||100||17 h 34 m||Show|
|02-22-19||Bulls v. Magic -8||110-109||Loss||-105||15 h 39 m||Show|
|02-20-19||Pittsburgh v. Georgia Tech -128||65-73||Win||100||7 h 0 m||Show|
PITTSBURGH @ GEORGIA TECH
Neither Pittsburgh or Georgia Tech have been competive in the ACC, which is nothing new. While both these teams have been bottom feeders for several seasons, I have always noticed that the Yellow Jackets have remained competitive at home. Georgia Tech is coming off a 69-57 home loss to Florida State, and they are 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a double-digit loss at home. Pittsburgh has failed to cover in five straight road games, and nine straight overall. The Panthers are 0-7 ATS in the last seven meetings, and 0-4 ATS in the last four meetings in Georgia Tech.
|02-19-19||Rhode Island v. VCU -8.5||42-76||Win||100||18 h 53 m||Show|
RHODE ISLAND @ VCU
The VCU Rams will host the Rhode Island Rams in Richmond tonight. VCU is in a first place tie with Davidson at the top of the A-10. They have won six straight overall, and they are 12-1 at home this season. Each of their last three home wins came by a double digit margin. Rhode Island has lost three straight road games, and five of their last six overall. Their last road game was a double digit loss at Davidson. The Rhode Island Rams are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. The favorite is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings, and expect that trend to continue here.
|02-18-19||Virginia v. Virginia Tech +6||64-58||Push||0||3 h 25 m||Show|
VIRGINIA @ VIRGINIA TECH
The Hokies lost 81-59 at Virginia earlier this season, but they have covered the spread in five of their last six home meetings versus Virginia. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 head to head meetings. Virginia Tech is 12-1 at home this season, and have held opponents to an average of 57.5 points in those games. Viriginia is coming off a 60-54 win at home versus Notre Dame, failing to cover as a 16.5 point favorite. They have only covered the spread in one of their last five overall, and they may be asked to cover too many points again here in a tough road game.
|02-17-19||Arizona v. Colorado -5.5||60-67||Win||100||4 h 50 m||Show|
ARIZONA @ COLORADO
An off season scandal may have taken it's toll on the Wildcats, who had been one of the elite teams in the PAC12 over the last 10 years. They bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game against Colorado. The Buffaloes have played well of late, winning three of their last four at home, and boasting a 9-2 record overall in Boulder. The Buffaloes have scored an average of 82.7 points per game at home, while the Wildcats have scored just over 75 points per game on the road. Arizona is averaging less than 70 points per game in their last five overall.
|02-17-19||George Mason v. St Bonaventure -154||56-79||Win||100||5 h 37 m||Show|
GEORGE MASON @ ST BONAVENTURE
George Mason won at home versus St. Bonaventure earlier this season, but had lost five straight in the previous five head to head meetings. The Bonnies have won four of their last six overall, with all four wins coming on the road. They have lost back to back home games to VCU and Davidson, but they are 5-1 ATS in their last six home games versus teams with a losing road record. The Patriots are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall, and 1-5 ATS in their last six versus the Bonnies. The favorite has covered in eight straight meetings between these teams, and I'll bet the home favorite here in the first half today.
|02-17-19||Marist v. Monmouth -3||75-67||Loss||-110||5 h 32 m||Show|
MARIST @ MONMOUTH
The Monmouth Hawks got off to a rough start, only winning one game through their entire non-conference schedule. They are now 9-5 in the MAAC, but only 10-17 overall. The Hawks host Marist on Sunday, and the Red Foxes are coming off three straight wins. Monmouth has owned Marist in recent seasons, winning seven straight head to head meetings. The Red Foxes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven Sunday games, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
|02-16-19||Tennessee v. Kentucky -3.5||69-86||Win||100||8 h 20 m||Show|
TENNESSEE @ KENTUCKY
The Vols are coming into Kentucky as the #1 ranked team in the country, but they face a Wildcats team that has had a far tougher schedule. While Tennessee is 1-1 against Top 25 teams, the Wildcats are 4-2 in such games. Wins came against the likes of Auburn, Mississippi State, Kansas and North Carolina. Kentucky was 13-0 at home until the lost a close game to LSU on Tuesday. They led 40-32 at the half in that game, and I expect them to get off to a good start here against the Vols. The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
|02-15-19||Fairfield v. Canisius -3.5||68-72||Win||100||3 h 22 m||Show|
RED FOXES @ BOBCATS
The Fairfield Stags are 3-10 on the road, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They play at Canisius tonight, and they already lost to the Golden Griffins at home earlier this season. Canisius has been the better team in the MAAC, with an 8-4 conference record compared to the Stags at 4-9. The Stags are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 versus the Metro Atlantic Athletic. The Golden Griffins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games.