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|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|02-22-19||Davidson -1.5 v. Rhode Island||75-66||Win||100||17 h 34 m||Show|
|02-19-19||Rhode Island v. VCU -8.5||42-76||Win||100||18 h 53 m||Show|
RHODE ISLAND @ VCU
The VCU Rams will host the Rhode Island Rams in Richmond tonight. VCU is in a first place tie with Davidson at the top of the A-10. They have won six straight overall, and they are 12-1 at home this season. Each of their last three home wins came by a double digit margin. Rhode Island has lost three straight road games, and five of their last six overall. Their last road game was a double digit loss at Davidson. The Rhode Island Rams are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 road games. The favorite is 8-0 ATS in the last eight meetings, and expect that trend to continue here.
|02-18-19||Virginia v. Virginia Tech +6||64-58||Push||0||3 h 25 m||Show|
VIRGINIA @ VIRGINIA TECH
The Hokies lost 81-59 at Virginia earlier this season, but they have covered the spread in five of their last six home meetings versus Virginia. The home team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 head to head meetings. Virginia Tech is 12-1 at home this season, and have held opponents to an average of 57.5 points in those games. Viriginia is coming off a 60-54 win at home versus Notre Dame, failing to cover as a 16.5 point favorite. They have only covered the spread in one of their last five overall, and they may be asked to cover too many points again here in a tough road game.
|02-17-19||Arizona v. Colorado -5.5||60-67||Win||100||4 h 50 m||Show|
ARIZONA @ COLORADO
An off season scandal may have taken it's toll on the Wildcats, who had been one of the elite teams in the PAC12 over the last 10 years. They bring a six game losing streak into tonight's game against Colorado. The Buffaloes have played well of late, winning three of their last four at home, and boasting a 9-2 record overall in Boulder. The Buffaloes have scored an average of 82.7 points per game at home, while the Wildcats have scored just over 75 points per game on the road. Arizona is averaging less than 70 points per game in their last five overall.
|02-17-19||Marist v. Monmouth -3||75-67||Loss||-110||5 h 32 m||Show|
MARIST @ MONMOUTH
The Monmouth Hawks got off to a rough start, only winning one game through their entire non-conference schedule. They are now 9-5 in the MAAC, but only 10-17 overall. The Hawks host Marist on Sunday, and the Red Foxes are coming off three straight wins. Monmouth has owned Marist in recent seasons, winning seven straight head to head meetings. The Red Foxes are 1-6 ATS in their last seven Sunday games, and 2-6 ATS in their last eight games following a straight up win. The Hawks are 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
|02-16-19||Tennessee v. Kentucky -3.5||69-86||Win||100||8 h 20 m||Show|
TENNESSEE @ KENTUCKY
The Vols are coming into Kentucky as the #1 ranked team in the country, but they face a Wildcats team that has had a far tougher schedule. While Tennessee is 1-1 against Top 25 teams, the Wildcats are 4-2 in such games. Wins came against the likes of Auburn, Mississippi State, Kansas and North Carolina. Kentucky was 13-0 at home until the lost a close game to LSU on Tuesday. They led 40-32 at the half in that game, and I expect them to get off to a good start here against the Vols. The Wildcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall, and 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
|02-15-19||Fairfield v. Canisius -3.5||68-72||Win||100||3 h 22 m||Show|
RED FOXES @ BOBCATS
The Fairfield Stags are 3-10 on the road, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games overall. They play at Canisius tonight, and they already lost to the Golden Griffins at home earlier this season. Canisius has been the better team in the MAAC, with an 8-4 conference record compared to the Stags at 4-9. The Stags are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six road games, and 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 versus the Metro Atlantic Athletic. The Golden Griffins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall, and 6-2 ATS in their last eight conference games.
|02-14-19||BYU v. San Diego -2.5||88-82||Loss||-111||10 h 23 m||Show|
BYU @ SAN DIEGO
Over the years the BYU Cougars have had far more success in the WCC than the San Diego Toreros. The Cougars are 8-3 in the conference, while San Diego is just 5-5. Home court advantage has certainly been key in this series, as the home team has covered in nine of the last 10 meetings. The Toreros are 11-1 at home, while BYU is 3-11 ATS in their last 14 road games. The Cougars are 0-4 ATS in the last 4 meetings in San Diego.
|02-12-19||Michigan State v. Wisconsin +1||67-59||Loss||-105||9 h 4 m||Show|
MSU @ WISCONSIN
The Badgers can move into a tie with Michigan State for third place in the BIG10 with a win over the Spartans tonight. Michigan State looks vulnerable, coming into Madison as losers of three of their last four. The Badgers on the other hand have won six of their last seven. The home team has won seven of the last eight head to head meetings, and I like Wisconsin to keep that trend rolling. The Badgers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven home games, and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss. Wisconsin has really stepped up on defense lately, holding opponents to just 54 points per game in their last five overall. It's going to be a tough night for the Spartans.
|02-11-19||Virginia -1 v. North Carolina||69-61||Win||100||16 h 18 m||Show|
VIRGINIA @ UNC
The Virginia Cavs have lost just twice this season, and both of those losses came against Duke. They played well enough to win in a double digit home loss to Duke on Saturday, but the Blue Devils simply couldn't miss a shot in that game. Duke shot over 57 percent from the field and over 61 percent from beyond the arc. It was simply a matter of a more talented team making tough shots. The Tar Heels are another tough team, but not as tough as Duke. Virginia won both meetings versus North Carolina last year, and the Cavs are are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings. The Cavaliers are also 19-7 ATS in their last 26 road games.
|02-09-19||Utah State v. San Diego State +3.5||63-68||Win||100||11 h 27 m||Show|
AGGIES @ AZTECS
The Utah State Aggies are coming into San Diego State as 3.5 point favorites, but I like the home dog. The Aztecs are 10-0 against Utah State since 2014, and the Aggies are 1-8-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings. Recent road wins at Fresno State and New Mexico have come by a combined three points. The Aztecs are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 versus Mountain West, and 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games, and 1-6 ATS in their last seven games versus a team with a winning straight up record. The Aggies are 1-6 ATS in the last seven meetings in San Diego St, and the home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
|02-09-19||Oklahoma State +11.5 v. Kansas||72-84||Loss||-108||3 h 34 m||Show|
|02-08-19||Quinnipiac v. Iona -3.5||66-65||Loss||-106||9 h 8 m||Show|
QUINNIPIAC @ IONA
The Iona Gaels have lost three straight, but they have won four of their last five at home. They host Quinnipiac tonight, and they have won seven of their last eight versus the Bobcats. The Gaels are an offensive juggernaut at home, averaging 81 points per game (12 points more than the Bobcats score on the road). The Gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last five home games, and they were an 11.5 point favorite in their last home game against the Bobcats. The home favorite is asked to cover just a few points here tonight, and I feel comfortable backing Iona to get an outright win.
|02-07-19||Cincinnati v. Memphis +3||69-64||Loss||-105||10 h 19 m||Show|
|02-06-19||Rhode Island v. Davidson -4.5||53-68||Win||100||6 h 0 m||Show|
RAMS @ WILDCATS
Rhode Island lead by 19 points at halftime in their last road game, and they went on to lose to the Dukes at Duquesne. Before that they lost to the minutemen at Massachusetts. They have their work cut out for them here at Davidson, facing a Wildcats team with a 10-0 home record. The Rams are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 road games. The Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 home games. Davidson scores 10 points per game more at home than Rhode Island does at home, and the Wildcats are also better defensively.
|02-02-19||James Madison v. NC-Wilmington -4||104-95||Loss||-109||11 h 36 m||Show|
|02-02-19||St. John's +17.5 v. Duke||61-91||Loss||-110||4 h 47 m||Show|
ST JOHNS @ DUKE
The Red Storm have their work cut out for them in today's game. They had a rough stretch losing 4 of 5 before breaking out with a big 83-67 win at Creighton in their last game. They average over 80 points a game but were held below that in all 4 of their losses. They lost 2 of them on the road in some tough venues at Villanova and at Butler which are both extremely tough places to win. They hit 48% of their shots from the floor and 39% of their 3's for the season. They are 2-4 in their last 6 meetings with Duke and in the 4 losses haven't lost by double digits with a team not as good as this one. Duke has won 9 of 10 but the offense that averages over 88 points a game has been held below that in 7 of their last 9 and are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games while hitting just 45% from the floor and a dismal 25% of their 3's. They will be tough to beat at home but with a spread like this the points are too appealing to pass up.
Take St Johns
|01-29-19||Ohio State v. Michigan -9||49-65||Win||100||11 h 50 m||Show|
|01-29-19||Wisconsin +3 v. Nebraska||62-51||Win||100||9 h 35 m||Show|
|01-28-19||Baylor +6 v. Oklahoma||77-47||Win||100||12 h 14 m||Show|
BAYLOR @ OKLAHOMA
Baylor won 5 of their last 6 games with the only loss to Kansas. Over their last 5 games they scored an average of 75 points while the defense has held opponents to 69 points and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall. Their last 3 losses were by 10 points total and they have won 3 of their last 4 meetings with the Sooners. Oklahoma has lost 4 of their last 6 conference games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Baylor as well as 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings with them at home. They average 74 points a game hitting just 45% of their shots and 67% from the foul line. This is a tough matchup and the points they are asked to cover might be too high considering they are just 3-3 in their last 6 games.
|01-27-19||Florida State -3.5 v. Miami-FL||78-66||Win||100||10 h 31 m||Show|
FLORIDA STATE @ MIAMI
The Seminoles broke a 3 game losing streak where they lost 2 of them by 7 points total including an 82-80 loss to Duke. They average 78 points a game with a defense that allows less than 70. They lost 5 games so far and 2 were to Virginia and Duke while they won their last game over a tough Clemson team 77-68. Miami hasn't played well all year and is 9-9 losing 5 of their last 6 games. Over their last 5 game the offense is scoring just 68 points a game which is about 10 points lower than their season average with one of the losses to the Seminoles. They were really hammered in their last game losing 73-53 to Syracuse and have lost 2 of their last 3 home games. They aren't playing well on both sides of the ball and the Seminoles could have this game over by halftime.
Take Florida State
|01-27-19||Iowa v. Minnesota +1||87-92||Win||100||8 h 15 m||Show|
IOWA @ MINNESOTA
Iowa had their 5 game winning streak snapped when they lost 82-67 at home to the Spartans in their last game. They average 82 points a game but were stopped cold by Michigan State. Their last loss was also to a good defensive team as they lost to Purdue 86-70 and were held to no more than 73 points against Ohio St and Northwestern who are also vey good defensive teams. Minnesota has won 7 of their last 10 games with their last 2 losses on the road. They play a good defensive game, holding teams below 70 points on average and did that to 7 of their last 10 opponents. They are 10-1 at home and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with Iowa while the Hawkeyes are 11-25-1 ATS in their last 37 games against teams with a winning home record.
|01-27-19||Michigan State v. Purdue +2||63-73||Win||100||4 h 3 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ PURDUE
The Spartans are 18-2 and one of the better teams in the country and have won 13 straight games. They are 9-0 in conference play but their offense has been a little sluggish. They average 84 points a game but have scored below that in 6 of their last 7 games and are playing a tough team at home. Purdue is 13-6 but 9-0 at home and have won 7 of their last 8 games while scoring at least 79 points in 5 of the 7 wins. They have a great defense that allows just 68 points a game but at home that drops to 61 points a game. Although the Spartans average 84 points a game they have been held to just 74 over their last 5 games and normally hit over 50% from the floor but just 47% in this stretch. They are playing one of the better defensive teams in their conference who are always dangerous on their home court. I'll be taking the points with the home team in this one.
|01-26-19||Auburn v. Mississippi State +1||84-92||Win||100||10 h 32 m||Show|
AUBURN @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
The Tigers went 11-2 in their first 13 games then conference play took it's toll as they went 2-3 losing all 3 in the SEC. They lost their last 2 and are 1-3 on the road. Both of their latest losses were tough as they lost by 5 points total. Their defense that allows 69 points a game have allowed at least 78 points in 4 of their last 5 games while the offense is hitting just 42% from the floor. Since they lost their big man Wiley they have lost 2 straight games and their leading rebounder and top shooter hitting 58% of his shots. The Bulldogs are in a similar situation losing their last 3 to SEC teams with 2 on the road and 1 game in OT. They are tough at home averaging 85 points a game while the defense allows just 69.5 and that should be the difference today. This will be a tough place for Auburn to get back on track while the Bulldogs could get right again as they are 9-1 at home.
Take Mississippi State
|01-26-19||VCU v. Duquesne +3.5||80-74||Loss||-109||5 h 28 m||Show|
VCU @ DUQUESNE
VCU has won 6 of their last 8 games with both losses on the road. They average less than 70 points a game hitting just 42% from the floor and 30% of their 3's. They have problems offensively on the road averaging less than 60 points scoring while hitting 39% from the floor and a dismal 25% of their 3's. They are playing a tough Duquesne team who are 11-1 at home and average 80 points a game at home while holding opponents to 43% shooting from the floor and over their last 5 games are averaging 79 points a game and have held opponents to 72 scoring points this season. This is a tough place for VCU to pick up a win and i'm more than happy to grab points with the home team.
|01-26-19||Clemson +6 v. NC State||67-69||Win||100||5 h 57 m||Show|
CLEMSON @ NC STATE
The Tigers have lost 4 of their last 5 games but 2 were to Virginia and Duke and 2 were on the road to the Seminoles and Syracuse. Their defense has been solid as they held 7 of their last 9 opponents below 70 points. They are playing an NC State team that has allowed 4 of their last 6 opponents to score at leat 80 points and who are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games. The Wolfpack defense has been battered allowing opponents to score 80 points over their last 5 games while the offense in hitting just 42% from the floor. They are also dealing with injuries and against a tough Clemson team could have their hands full as they are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as the favorite. This won't be an easy game for the Wolpack to win let alone cover.
|01-24-19||NC State v. Louisville -5||77-84||Win||100||10 h 38 m||Show|
NORTH CAROLINA STATE @ LOUISVILLE
The Wolfpack had won 6 straight games but have since gone 2-2. their last loss was 71-67 to Wake Forest on the road as an 8.5 point favorite. They are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games and have been held under their scoring average in 3 of their last 4 games. They average 10 points less offensively on the road than at home while the defense allows 8 points more than their season average. Louisville has won 7 of their last 10 games and 2 of those losses were on the road and 1 was against Kentucky at home. They scored at least 79 points in 5 straight games including wins over Miami and the Tarheels. With the Wolfpack dealing with injuries and Louisville having a 10-1 home record, this could end up a huge victory for the home side.
|01-24-19||Michigan State -4.5 v. Iowa||82-67||Win||100||9 h 23 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ IOWA
The Spartans are 17-2 and have a 12 game winning streak where they are 11-1 ATS as well. They won by double digits in 7 of their last 9 games and have a great defense holding opponents to 66 points scoring. Over their last 5 games they have hels opponents to 62 point and letting them hit 36% for the floor. Only 2 teams managed to score at least 70 poinys during their 12 game winning streak. Iowa is playing well also as they have won 5 straight conference games sine losing their first 3. They have been able to score but have also allowed 3 of their last 6 opponents to score at least 80 points. This will be their toughest game of the year for them but it may be over their head. They have been held to 73 points or less in 4 of their last 7 games.
Take Michigan State
|01-24-19||Tulsa +14 v. Cincinnati||64-88||Loss||-109||9 h 9 m||Show|
TULSA @ CINCINNATI
Tulsa is 12-7 with 3 of their last 4 losses to the top 3 teams in the conference including a 70-65 OT loss to the Bearcats a few weeks ago. They have a tough defense that held 6 of their last 10 opponents to 70 points or less and are 3-1ATS in their last 4 games while also going 4-2 ATS in their last 4 meetings with the Bearcats. They average holding opponents below 70 points while hitting less than 41% from the floor. Cincinnati has won 8 of their last 10 games but don't usually blow teams away. They are 1-4 ATS as double digit favorites in the last 5 and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 overall. This will be a tough game for Cinci to run away with and Tulsa could have some revenge in mind after that OT loss.
|01-21-19||Maryland +9.5 v. Michigan State||55-69||Loss||-110||9 h 10 m||Show|
MARYLAND @ MICHIGAN STATE
The Terps are 16-3 and just whipped Ohio State for their 7th stright win. They are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games and scored at least 74 points in 8 of their last 10 games while the defense has held opponents below 70 in 4 of their last 5. They average 77 points while hitting 48% from the floor and 37% of their 3's. Defensively they are holding teams to 41% from the floor and 33 % of their 3's. The Spartans are on a roll as well winning 11 straight. Maryland is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 road games and as well as the Spartans have played this in a pretty big number to cover. The Terps haven't been this big a dog all season and shouldn't be here'
|01-20-19||Providence v. Marquette -7||68-79||Win||100||1 h 53 m||Show|
PROVIDENCE @ MARQUETTE
The Friars have lost 3 of their last 4 games including 2 on their home court. Over their last 5 games they averaged just 72 points a game while shooting just 41% from the floor and 32% of their 3's. Their defense has allowed teams to score over 85 points in road games which is 15 points over their season average. They are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 meetings with Marquette and are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games overall while in their last 10 games at Marquette are 2-8 ATS. Marquette is 15-3 and 12-0 at home. They have won 9 of their last 10 games with the 1 loss at a very good St John's team. They are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
|01-19-19||Kentucky v. Auburn -4||82-80||Loss||-115||6 h 39 m||Show|
KENTUCKY @ AUBURN
Kentucky bounced back with 3 straight wins after their 77-75 loss at Alabama. it was their only loss so far this season on the road and are now 13-3 overall. They average 80 points a game but that drops to 71 when playing on the road as well as their shooting. They hit 49% form the floor but just 45% on the road and their 3 point shooting drops from 35% to 31%. Over their last 5 games they have scored 71 points while hitting under 40% from the floor and just 30% of their 3's. Auburn has won 4 of their last 6 with the 2 losses on the road to Ole Miss and NC St. They are 9-0 at home averaging 90 points a game while allowing opponents to score 63. They are 2nd in the country grabbing 16 offensive boards giving them plenty of 2nd chance shots. this is a huge game for the Tigers and I like their chances at home.
|01-18-19||Xavier v. Villanova -10||75-85||Push||0||13 h 34 m||Show|
XAVIER @ VILLANOVA
Xavier has won 2 straight games barely winning the last 70-69 over Butler at home. They average 74 points a game but have been held to 70 or less in 6 of their last 9 games and below 60 in 3 of them. They really struggle on the road being held to 57 points while hitting just 37% from the floor and over their lst 5 games are hitting just 42% and only 26% of their 3's. They have lost 9 of their last 10 meetings with the Wildcats and are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 meetings. Villanova has won 5 straight and 8 of their last 10 overall. They had a big 90-78 win at Creighton in their last game and are 18-7 ATS in their last 25 home games. Villanova is 36-17 ATS in their last 53 games overall while Xavier is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games. The favorite is 11-1 in the last 12 meetings between these schools.
|01-16-19||Georgia Tech v. Clemson -6.5||60-72||Win||100||12 h 36 m||Show|
GEORGIA TECH @ CLEMSON
Georgia Tech had the good fortune of playing 7 of their last 9 games on their home court and had a nice upset win in Syracuse in their lasy game and that may have been the result of Syracuse looking ahead to their following game against Duke which they won. Tech has 8 of their 10 wins at home and now play a hungry defensive minded Clemson team who just ran the gauntlet against Virginia, Duke and Syracuse. They lost all 3 and are looking to take it out on someone. They out score opponents 73-63 at home while Georgia Tech averages just 64 points on the road. Clemson has won the last 3 meetings and look good for another one
|01-16-19||Creighton v. St. John's -2.5||66-81||Win||100||9 h 46 m||Show|
CREIGHTON @ ST JOHNS
Creighton lost a hard fought game to Villanova at home 90-78 and now play on the road against an excellent St John's team. They are 10-7 but just 1-3 in road games and now have a 3 game losing streak which includes 2 straight home losses. They won their 1st conference game but have lost the last 3 which resulted in their current 3 game losing streak. Over their last 5 games their defense has allowed teams to score 84 points a game while nailing 49% from the floor and over 40% of their 3's. St John's excels at home with an 8-1 record while scoring 84 points a game and holding teams to 68. They are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games and 2 of their last 3 losses were on the road. This is a tough spot for Creighton to turn things around and I don't see that losing streak being broken
Take St John's
|01-15-19||Virginia Tech +7.5 v. Virginia||59-81||Loss||-107||10 h 33 m||Show|
VIRGINIA TECH @ VIRGINIA
Tech is 14-1 with the 1 loss 63-62 at Penn St, They scored at least 77 points in 7 of theirlast 9 games while holding all 10 opponents below 70 points. They won by double digits in 8 of those 10 games while averaging 79 points a gme and allowing just 52. They matchup and play a similar game to Virginia and only in 1 game of their past 10 meetings did a team reach 80 points, Virginia puts up the same kind of numbers but isn't as strong offensively. Virginia has their next game with Duke so could be caught looking ahead.
Take Virginia Tech
|01-15-19||St. Louis v. Fordham +7.5||63-60||Win||100||9 h 2 m||Show|
The home team has won the 6 of the last 7 meetings while St Louis score just 64 points on the road and were held to 65 points in 7 of their last 10 games. Their last 3 losses have all been away from their home court where they average just 64 points a game. Their last 3 wins were all by 7 points or less and they are hitting just 40% form the floor and 27% of their 3's over their last 5 games.Fordham lost by 7 points or less in their last 3 losses and 3 of their last 4 losses at home were by 7 or less. They average 68 at home and allow teams to score just 62 there. This seems like yoo much to ask a low scoring team to cover.
|01-14-19||Syracuse +17 v. Duke||95-91||Win||100||10 h 41 m||Show|
Syracuse won 7 of their last 10 games but faltered in their last game losing to Georgia Tech at home. They are 6-2 ATS in their lst 8 road games and 3 of their last 4 meetings ended with the winning team winning by 4 points or less. Duke has never been this big a favorite over Syracuse in their last 10 games the played. The Orange are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games while their degfense has held opponents to an amazing 62 points a game. I don't think they will beat Duke but asking to cover a 17 point spread seems reasonable
|01-14-19||Nebraska v. Indiana -2.5||66-51||Loss||-109||9 h 27 m||Show|
NEBRASKA @ INDIANA
Nebraska is 12-4 but just 1-3 in road games and 3 losses in conference. They lost to Iowa and Maryland in 2 of their lst 3 games and both were on the road. They average 79 points a game but that drops to 75 on the road and so does their 3 point shooting that falls to less than 31%, But their defense really suffers as they allow 80 points as opposed to the 63 for the season. They have never been les than a 5,5 dog the last 4 games at Indiana. The Hoosiers average over 77 points a game while allowing just 66. At home it jumps to 82 on offense and drops to 60 on defense, Their last 3 losses were to Duke Maryland and Michigan which were all on the road. This is a tough spot to ask Nebraska to pick up a win.
|01-13-19||Michigan State -6.5 v. Penn State||71-56||Win||100||6 h 15 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ PENN STATE
The Spartans have won 9 straight games and doing it offensively and defensively. They scored at least 81 points in 5 of their last 6 games and held opponents below 70 in 7 of their last 9. For the season they average almost 87 points a game and allow just 67.5 while hitting over 50% from the floor and 40% of their 3's. They are also 1 of the top rebounding teams as they are 4th in the country and 1st in the Big 10. Penn St has a good defense but has struggled all season offensively as they average less than 68 points a game which is the worst in the Big 10. They hit just 41% from the floor and 31% of their 3's both ranked 13th in the conference. I can't see this game staying close unless the Spatans have a complete breakdown offensively and defensively.
Take Michigan State
|01-13-19||Butler v. Xavier +1||69-70||Win||100||2 h 11 m||Show|
BUTLER @ XAVIER
Butler has lost 3 of their last 4 games to drop to 10-6 on the year. They are 1-2 in conference play and 0-3 on the road. They average 74 points a game but on the road that plunges to 57 a game while allowing teams to hit over 50% from the floor and 37% of their 3's. They are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 meetings with Xavier while going 0-2 ATS the last 2 games they were favorites on the road. Xavier broke a 2 game conference losing streak with a comeback against the Hoyas after being down by double digits winning 81-75. They are 8-2 at home where they average almost 80 points a game which is 6 more than their season average while the defense is holding teams below 70. Getting points with the home side seems like a bargain.
|01-12-19||Duke v. Florida State +8||80-78||Win||100||4 h 3 m||Show|
DUKE @ FLORIDA STATE
Duke is 13-1 with their loss to Gonzaga and they have won 8 in a row since. They won 6 of those games on their home court but haven't really been challenged since they have been at least a 17 point favorite in 6 of the games and over a 20 point favorite in 5 of those. Florida St is 13-2 with the 2 losses to Villanova and a loss to Virginia. Both games were away from their home court where they are 8-0 and they are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings with Duke. Their defense has held their lst 5 opponents to 68 points and hitting just 41% of their floor shots. This will be a tough place for Duke to win let alone cover the spread.
Take Florida State