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|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|01-07-19||Alabama -5 v. Clemson||16-44||Loss||-110||75 h 24 m||Show|
CLEMSON VS ALABAMA
These are the teams most people wanted to see in this game and with both having records of 14-0, it seems like a match made in heaven. On paper they mirror each other with the Tigers ranked 3rd and the Tide ranked 4th offensively while defensively the Tigers are ranked 9th and the Tide is ranked 12th. Of the last 8 teams that Clemson beat in the regular season, 6 had conference records of .500 or below with 2 being ranked at 16th and 17th. Alabama's last 8 games were against 4 teams with records of .500 or better while beating 3 ranked teams of which 2 were in the top 5. But the biggest difference is at QB where the Tide's Tagovailia has the best rating (205.2), 3rd (41 TD passes) and 5th (69.5% completion) and 2nd (11.4 yds per attempt). Clemson relies a lot more on their running game and that is one of the toughest things to do against Alabama's defense. Alabama was behind at the half in just 1 game all year while scoring at least 28 1st half points in 9 games including their win over Oklahoma.
|01-01-19||Texas v. Georgia -12.5||28-21||Loss||-104||53 h 49 m||Show|
TEXAS VS GEORGIA
If not for a last minute TD and a blown 14 point lead, instead of Alabama it would have been Georgia in the CFB Championship. Offensively they are ranked 9th averaging 479 yards and over 39 points a game. They are very well balanced averaging over 250 yards on the ground and over 225 in the air while defensively they allow just 311 yards and 18.5 points a game. Texas won 3 of their last 4 games but their defense was inconsistent allowing at least 34 points in 4 of their last 6 games and at least 34 points in 4 of their last 5 games away from home. They average over 30 points a game but were held below that in 3 of their last 4 wins and in their last 3 games. Georgia won 8 of their last 10 games and all by double digits. They should be able to stop the Longhorns and wear down the defense.
|01-01-19||Iowa +7.5 v. Mississippi State||27-22||Win||100||26 h 8 m||Show|
MISSISSIPPI STATE VS IOWA
This game features 2 of the best defenses in the country with both ranked in the top 6. Both defense allow less than 300 total yards a game and the Bulldogs allow 12 points a game while Iowa allows 17. All 4 of the Bulldog losses were against teams with very good defenses who are all ranked in the top 30 in the country and they scored a total of just 16 points in those losses. They put up big numbers in 3 of their last 6 wins against inferior teams where they were at least 24 point favorites. Iowa won their last 2 games and all 4 losses were against the elite of the Big 10 with 3 by 6 points or less. If you compare schedules, Iowa had a much tougher one and played much tougher teams. I don't see how either team could be more than a FG favorite so I take the generous spread
|12-31-18||Northwestern +7.5 v. Utah||31-20||Win||100||290 h 16 m||Show|
NORTHWESTERN VS UTAH
NW won 7 of their last 10 games and all their losses were to teams ranked 7th or better nationally. Their defense held 6 of the 7 opponents they beat to 19 points or less and for the season allow less than 24 a game. They had a rough start as they lost 3 of their first 4 games but won 7 of their last 9 and they don't have a problem playing away games as they were 5-1 on the road. Utah had a similar year starting 2-2 before winning 7 of their last 8 games and then losing the Pac 12 Champonsip game 10-3 to Washington. Their offense took a hit when they lost their starting QB who might see action for the first time in 5 games but will be without their leading receiver. Utah might have a small edge defensively but their schedule wasn't as tough.
|12-31-18||Missouri v. Oklahoma State +10||33-38||Win||100||24 h 10 m||Show|
MISSOURI VS OKLAHOMA STATE
Missouri won their last 4 games but the only notable win was over Florida as their other 3 wins were against the worst in the conference as those teams were a combined 5-21 in conference play. Make no mistake that they can score led by QB Lock who passed for over 3100 yards and threw 25 TD's. Their defense has been vulnerable as they allow over 250 yards passing while allowing 6 of their last 10 opponents to score at least 28 points and 5 of them score over 30. The Cowboys finished up 6-6 but not because of lack of offense. They average 500 yards and over 38 points a game with a very balanced running and passing game. They lost by 7 points or less in 5 of their losses and scored at least 31 points in 3 of those including a tough 48-47 loss at Oklahoma. This seems like too many points to cover against this high powered offense.
Take Oklahoma State
|12-31-18||Pittsburgh +5 v. Stanford||13-14||Win||100||47 h 21 m||Show|
STANFORD VS PITTSBURGH
Stanford won their last 3 games but the competition wasn't that special. Their defense ranked 75th allowed over 400 yards and over 24 points a game. Their offense was outgained in 4 of their last 6 games and they will be without RB love and WR Irwin along with a couple of offensive linemen. They are ranked 83rd offensively averaging almost 30 points a game. Pittsburgh lost their last 2 games to Clemson and at Miami while playing Notre Dame close in a 19-14 loss. Their running game averages over 200 yards a game and they score almost 27 points a game. Defensively they held 5 of their last 7 opponents to 24 points or less and played a much tougher schedule than Stanford.
|12-29-18||Notre Dame v. Clemson -13||3-30||Win||100||290 h 55 m||Show|
NOTRE DAME VS CLEMSON
The Irish finished their undefeated season with a lackluster win against USC 24-17. Their opponents haven't been very tough as the have been at least double digit favorites in their last 6 games. Their offense can put points on the board and 450 yards a game and they face Clemson that allows less than 300 yards a game which is 4th in the country. Clemson can score as well being ranked 4th offensively and averaging over 45 points a game. They are hungrier as would surely like to get into the Championship game as they were denied a win last year by Alabama.
|12-29-18||Florida +7 v. Michigan||41-15||Win||100||72 h 23 m||Show|
FLORIDA VS MICHIGAN
The Gators won their last 3 games scoring at least 35 points a game. Their offense averages over 400 yards and 35 points a game and they are well balanced both running and passing for over 200 yards a game. Defensively they allow less than 350 yards and 20 points a game and have outgained 9 of their last 10 opponents while winning 8 of their last 10 with 1 of the losses to Georgia. Michigan was destroyed 62-38 in the Big 10 Championship by Ohio St for a disappointing end of their season. Their offense scores 37 points a game but against the better defenses in the Big 10 didn't score as much. Florida has a good defense a nd more motivation not to mention the points.
|12-28-18||Iowa State +3 v. Washington State||26-28||Win||100||54 h 6 m||Show|
IOWA ST VS WASHINGTON ST
Iowa St almost ran the table to close out the year but won 7 of their last 8 with the loss only to a tough Texas team at home. Not noted for their offense, they scored at least 27 points in all 7 wins and at least 30 in 4 of them. Their 32nd ranked defense is used to playing high powered offenses and beat both West Virginia and Oklahoma St who are both top 25 offenses. Their defense ranked 32nd overall is a bend don't break kind that allows 351 yards and 22.5 points a game. They were 2nd in the Big 12 in red zone defense and 1st in points allowed. Washington St comes in after losing their last game to rival Washington 28-15 and play in the no defense Pac 12. who have 6 teams that allow at least 27 points a game and 4 of them over 30 a game. They are one dimensional and rely solely on a passing game while the running game is 2nd worst in the country. They will have their hands full with a fired up Cyclone team on a roll.
Take Iowa State
|12-26-18||Minnesota v. Georgia Tech -5.5||34-10||Loss||-109||54 h 30 m||Show|
MINNESOTA VS GEORGIA TECH
Minnesota beat Wisconsin 37-15 in it's final game to become bowl eligible to take on the Yellow Jackets. They will be facing the country's best rushing attack as Georgia Tech averages 335 yards on the ground a game. The Gophers are ranked 76th as they allow over 170 yards rushing and 28 points a game. Their offense ranked 92nd overall averages 379 yards a game and has been outgained in 7 of their last 10 games. They pass for just 215 yards a game so if they fall behind will have trouble catching up and Georgia Tech with their powerful rushing attack can keep the offense off the field controlling the ball. Georgia Tech won 6 of their last 8 games and 1 of the losses was against powerful Georgia in their last game. With uncertainty at QB and their best LB sitting this game out the Gophers could be in for a long day.
Take Georgia Tech
|12-19-18||Ohio v. San Diego State +3||27-0||Loss||-110||9 h 28 m||Show|
SAN DIEGO STATE VS OHIO
The Aztecs lost their last 3 regular season games with 2 of the losses by 4 points total and 3 of their last 4 losses by 8 points total. They are ranked 18th in overall defense allowing just 327 yards and 22 points a game and excel at stopping the run as they are 4th in the country allowing just 94 yards a game. They have wins against Arizona St and Boise St while suffering a tough 23-14 loss to Fresno St who they were leading at the half. They held Arizona St to just 21 points and when they beat Air Force, held the 4th best rushing team to 70 yards below their average. Ohio won 5 of their last 6 games scoring at least 49 points in each win. They rely on a running game that averages 262 yards a game and scored 38 rushing TD's. Of their last 6 wins, 4 were against teams that allow at least 28 points a game and 3 that are ranked 101st or worse in total defense while 2 allow over 40 points a game. All 4 of their losses were against good defensive teams that are all ranked in the top 50 in the country.
Take San Diego State
|12-15-18||Eastern Michigan v. Georgia Southern +1||21-23||Win||100||266 h 30 m||Show|
GEORGIA SOUTHERN VS EASTERN MICHIGAN
Georgia Southern won their last 2 games of the regular season outscoring both opponents by a combined 76-31 score. They are ranked 9th in the country averaging over 260 yards on the ground and over 31 points a game. They won 7 of their last 9 overall winning by at least 17 points in 5 of their last 6 wins including 4 of their last 5 on the road. Their defense has held 6 of their last 9 opponents to 21 points or less and are ranked 43rd overall defensively allowing just over 21 points a game. Eastern Michigan allows 353 yards a game but almost 200 of those yards are on the ground which is 93rd in the country. They scored at least 30 points just once in their last 10 games and are ranked 94th overall offensively averaging 378 total yards and 27 points a game. If they don't slow down the Eagles' running game they will lose the battle of the clock and their offense won't be on the field much and that includes stopping QB Werts who has rushed for over 800 yards and 13 TD's and passed for another 10 TD's without a pick.
Take Georgia Southern
|12-08-18||Navy v. Army -7||10-17||Push||0||95 h 29 m||Show|
ARMY VS NAVY
Army has a 9-2 record and has won 7 straight games while scoring at least 28 points in 6 of them and won by double digits in 5. Amazingly they average 384 yards and over 30 points a game and over 300 of those yards come from their running game which is 2nd best in the country. Sitting in 3rd is Navy with 288 rushing yards a game but they are just 3-9 because of a defense that has allowed at least 29 points in 7 of their last 8 losses and is ranked 90th allowing over 430 yards and 35 points a game. That is the biggest difference between these 2 teams as Army is ranked 12th defensively allowing 300 yards and less than 20 points a game. Army's defense should be able to control the game and keep Navy's offense on the sidelines while their offense will be able to put points on the board.
|12-01-18||Northwestern v. Ohio State -15||24-45||Win||100||9 h 6 m||Show|
NORTHWESTERN VS OHIO STATE
The expression the wrong place at the wong time couldn't be more applicable than in this game. The Widcats have won their last 3 games and 7 of 8 overall. Those wins are questionable and not that impressivre to say the least. Their last 2 were against Illinois and Minnesota who are the bottom of the barrel along wit Rutgers who is 0-9 in conference play. Their best wins were against Wisconsin at home without their starting QB and Michigan St who have been exposed as puncless on offense. Now they play a Buckeye team that might be at their peak after destroying Michigan last week and a chance to go to the FBS Championship. Haskins has 42 TD passes and is the only QB averaging 300 yards a game. The Wildcat offense which is ranked 109th will struggle most of the day hoping for a big play while their defense which isn;t bad won't be able to stop the Buckeyes all game. Look for Ohio state to wear down the Nortwestern defense by the 2nd half.
Take Ohio State
|12-01-18||Georgia +12 v. Alabama||28-35||Win||100||5 h 40 m||Show|
GEORGIA VS ALABAMA
These 2 teams meet for the1st time since the Championsip game when the Tide rallied from a 13-0 halftome score to win an exciting 26-23 OT game. Texas A&M got the closest to Alabama as they lost by 22 points. I think we can agree that the have played the best football over the whole season but an arguement can be made that only Georgia has gotten better. It was just 2 weeks ago that Alabama scored just 10 points in the 1st half against Citadel and were held to 305 tards against Mississippi St. Georgia on the other hand has seen ther offense inprove as their running game has rushed for at leastv285 yards in their last 4 games while the defense allows just 17 points a game. They put up over 400 yards in big wins against Kentucky and Florrida who both have outstanding defenses. This cpuld be their day in the sun as no game is more important.
|12-01-18||Texas v. Oklahoma -9||27-39||Win||100||2 h 26 m||Show|
TEXAS VS OKLAHOMA
Texas won their 1st meeting after blowing a 21 point lead and winning with a field goal at the last ninute. That won;t happen again today, The best offense in college football will be sure to get it;s points as the average 584 yards and over 50 points a game which are both the best in the country. They allowed Texas to grow a lead to 45-24 after 3 quarters. Over the last 2 weeks the Longhorns have managed to score just 24 points in each of those games including Kansas who has one of the worst deneses in the country and were held to 7 1st half points. Granted in their previous game they beat a tough defensive Iowa St team but their offense is terrible ranked 118th in the nation. The Sooners have scored at least 50 points in 6 of their last 8 games while the last 2 losses by Texas were at the hands of the Cowboys and West Virginia 2 offensive powerhouses. With revenge in mind I only see this one way!
|11-30-18||Northern Illinois v. Buffalo -3.5||30-29||Loss||-105||81 h 9 m||Show|
HUSKIES @ BULLS
The Buffalo Bulls only lost one game in the MAC this year, on the road at Ohio. At 7-1 they had the best record in the conference, and they host the 6-2 Northern Illinois Huskies. The most concerning thing for the Huskies is that their two losses have come in their last two games. After scoring just seven points in a home loss to Miami-Ohio, they went on the road and lost 28-21 at Western Michigan. Starting quarterback Marcus Childers has nine INTs this season, but his three picks and just one TD in his last two starts is quite concerning. The Bulls are 8-1 ATS in their last nine conference games and 19-7 ATS in their last 26 overall.
|11-24-18||Utah State v. Boise State -2.5||24-33||Win||100||11 h 41 m||Show|
UTAH STATE @ BOISE STATE
Utah St has won 10 straight games and are 10-1. They have had a pretty easy schedule and over their last 6 games have played some pretty inferior teams as they have been a favorite of at least 19 points in 5 of their last 6 games. Last week as a 31 point favorite, they won by a score of 29-24 and gained just 310 total yards. They were lucky to win the game at all as a last minute TD pass by Colorado St was overruled to preserve the win. Boise St is 9-2 and has won 6 straight games. They have played a tougher schedule and had to face Fresno St, BYU and Oklahoma St losing only to the Cowboys on the road. Their defense which is ranked 32nd, has held their last 3 opponents to 17 points or less as they allow 22 points a game. They are led by QB Rypien who has passed for over 3200 yards and thrown 28TD's with just 7 picks. Utah St is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games against teams with winning home records and 3-11-2 ATS in their last 16 meetings with the Broncos.
Take Boise State
|11-24-18||Notre Dame -11 v. USC||24-17||Loss||-110||24 h 40 m||Show|
NOTRE DAME @ USC
The Irish are looking to complete an undefeated season with a win when they visit USC. Their 34th ranked offense averages over 450 yards and 35 points a game and have won by at least 21 points in 6 of their last 8 games. Their defense might even be better as they are ranked 20th allowing 321 yards and 17.3 points a game. They have held 7 of their last 10 opponents to 21 points or less and last week the defense had 3 picks and 6 sacks while the offense outgained 7 of their last 8 opponents by over 100 yards each. The Trojans have lost 4 of their last 5 games with the only win against Oregon St who allows 46 points a game and has a defense ranked 102nd in the country. They have lost their last 2 home games and are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games and 0-7 ATS in their last 7 non conference games.
Take Notre Dame
|11-24-18||Oklahoma State -5.5 v. TCU||24-31||Loss||-108||9 h 11 m||Show|
OKLAHOMA STATE @ TCU
TCU has lost 4 of their last 6 games and scored no more than 17 points in 6 of their last 8 games including 3 of their last 4 at home. Their offense which is ranked 100th in the nation overall lost it's starting QB Robinson and now his replacement Collins won't be playing either. That leaves it up to 3rd stringer Muehlstein, who has just 18 snaps in his whole career. That leaves a steady defense that is ranked 30th to keep the game within reach although they have been inconsistent lately. They allowed at least 40 points to the better offense they played which the Cowboys most certainly are. They are ranked 10th overall averaging over 500 yards and 40 points a game while being well balanced as they pass for just over 300 yards and run for 200 yards a game. They also have an inconsistent defense as they are 3-4 in their last 7 games allowing at least 30 points in all 4 losses. They are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games while TCU is 1-7 ATS in their last 8.
Take Oklahoma State
|11-24-18||Michigan v. Ohio State +5||39-62||Win||100||61 h 11 m||Show|
|11-23-18||Oklahoma v. West Virginia +1.5||59-56||Loss||-109||80 h 54 m||Show|
OKLAHOMA @ WEST VIRGINIA
The Sooners have won their last 5 games scoring at least 48 points in each game but their defense has allowed at least 40 points in each of their last 3 games while going 0-3 ATS. Their problem is they are on the road in West Virginia who is also a monster on offense as they average over 500 yards and 41 points a game. They have won 7 of their last 9 games and are 5-0 at home and have a better defense that has allowed 22 points or less in 6 of their last 10 games with 5 of the games being at home. With the Sooners top RB questionable for the game and the home team as the dog the choice is clear. These are the 2 top teams in the Big 12 but the 31st ranked defense of West Virginia who allow just over 23 points a game should make a big difference in the outcome.
Take West Virginia
|11-23-18||Nebraska v. Iowa -9.5||28-31||Loss||-110||72 h 19 m||Show|
NEBRASKA @ IOWA
Nebraska pulled out a close 9-6 win at home last week over Michigan St. Not only was it their season low scoring game but also their 2nd lowest total yards game. They have had trouble against the elite defenses in the Big 10 as they were also held to 10 points and a season low in total yards in a 56-10 loss at Michigan who has the #1 ranked overall defense. Now they go to Iowa to face the #8 ranked defense who allow 16.5 points a game. They crushed Illinois 63-0 last week and allowed 14 points or less in 4 of their 6 home games. Iowa has beaten Nebraska in their last 3 meetings while also covering the spread in each game. Prior to last week's 9-6 win they had allowed at least 28 points in every Big 10 game they played and at least 34 ponts in all 4 of their Big 10 road games.
|11-22-18||Mississippi State v. Ole Miss +11.5||35-3||Loss||-110||34 h 53 m||Show|
MISSISSIPPI STATE @ MISSISSIPPI
The Battle for the state of Mississippi takes place in the Egg Bowl when the Bulldogs visit the Rebels. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 4 games with the 3 of them being at home and are 7-4 overall. They have 1 of the better defenses in the country as they are ranked 8th against the pass and 6th overall. Meanwhile the Rebels have lost 4 straight but the last 2 were road games. They are ranked 2nd overall on offense and QB Ta'amu is 2nd in the nation with over 3800 passing yards and 19 TD's. They also average 37 points a game and have won 3 of the last 4 meetings with 2 of the wins as underdogs. This is senior day and their final home game and at this point in time the biggest game of the year as they are Bowl eligible with a win. It will be offense against defense so I'll go with the home dog.
|11-17-18||UNLV v. Hawaii -6.5||28-35||Win||100||38 h 32 m||Show|
UNLV @ HAWAII
The Rainbow Warriors come out of their bye week looking to snap a four game losing skid, and I think they get it done against a terrible UNLV team. Hawaii picked apart inferior teams at the beginning of the season, but when they ran into a tough stretch in the schedule their offense slowed down. Their losing streak includes losses to the top two teams in the Mountain West Conference in their last two games. They also lost to BYU and Nevada. The Rebels aren't anywhere near the same caliber as any of those teams, ranking 137th in the country in scoring defense. Hawaii's quarterback Cole McDonald ranks #4 in the country in passing yards, and he should put up big numbers against this weak UNLV secondary.
Take HAWAII (Game of the Year)
|11-17-18||Indiana +28.5 v. Michigan||20-31||Win||100||44 h 39 m||Show|
INDIANA @ MICHIGAN
Indiana broke their 4 game losing streak with a hard fought 34-32 win last week against Maryland. It was the 3rd straight week the offense scored at least 28 points. They average over 400 yards a game balanced nicely with over 250 yards passing while rushing for over 155 yards a game. Their last 2 losses were by 12 points total including a tough 33-28 loss to Penn St where they totaled over 550 yards of offense. They are led by QB Ramsey who has completed over 67% of his passes while throwing for better than 200 yards in each of his last 7 games. Michigan has won 9 straight since their opening game loss to Notre Dame and have held their last 3 opponents to 7 points in each win. Over the years Indiana has played them tough and are 4-0 ATS the last 4 games they were double digit dogs losing by 10 points or less the last 3 meetings where 2 of those went into OT. This is a tough spot for the Wolverines to cover the huge spread as they might be looking ahead to their big game against Ohio St the following week
|11-17-18||Syracuse +10.5 v. Notre Dame||3-36||Loss||-114||41 h 25 m||Show|
SYRACUSE @ NOTRE DAME
Syracuse has won their last 4 games scoring at least 40 points in each win. They are 8-2 and they lost both games by 11 points total with 1 of them in OT. They are ranked 16th in total offense averaging over 480 yards a game and as well balanced as you can get. They throw for over 260 yards and rush for 216 yards a game while scoring over 44 points a game which is 7th in the country. The Irish are undefeated at 10-0 but have struggled with consistency on offense. Last week against Florida St they were held to 10 points in the 2nd half and the week before scored just 7 points in the 1st half against Northwestern. A few weeks earlier they had to come from behind to beat Pittsburgh 19-14 after being held to 12 points in the first 3 quarters of that game. If they have a scoring drought against this Syracuse team, they could find themselves with their 1st loss of the year.
|11-17-18||Michigan State v. Nebraska +1.5||6-9||Win||100||23 h 12 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ NEBRASKA
The Spartan's defense has been keeping them from having a bad season. Their offense is ranked 110th overall and in their 4 losses have been held to less than 20 points in each. In their last 2 losses they were held to just 1 TD against Michigan and last week against the Buckeyes had just 2 field goals. They average 22 points and 352 total yards a game. QB lewerke has thrown just 8 TD's with 9 picks and he is dealing with an arm injury. Since they are bowl eligible and won't win the Big 10 East they might rest him and put in the red shit freshman Lombardi. Nebraska got off to a terrible start as they lost their first 6 games but have won 3 of their last 4 as their offense has scored at least 45 points in all 3 wins. They average over 32 points and over 480 yards a game which ranks them 18th in the country. They are very balanced passing for over 250 yards and rushing for over 225 yards a game. This is a game of strength of the Nebraska offense against the strength of the Michigan St defense. I will go with the home team on senior day with the points.
|11-10-18||Baylor +18 v. Iowa State||14-28||Win||100||6 h 36 m||Show|
BAYLOR @ IOWA STATE
Baylor was trounced by West Virginia 2 weeks ago but last week had a huge 4th quarter comeback at home when they beat the Cowboys 35-31 to keep their post season alive. Their last 3 losses have been against the best of the Big 12 as they were also defeated by Oklahoma and lost a tough 23-17 game to Texas. They have a very good offense that averages over 400 yards and 32 points a game. Iowa St has a good defense that held 4 of their last 6 opponents to 17 points or less but their offense is ranked just 123rd overall in the nation relying on a passing game that averages less than 250 yards a game. Baylor were 14 point dogs to both Texas and West Virginia on the road and both have way better offenses than Iowa State. This looks like a big price for Iowa State who have lost 5 of the last 7 meetings with the Bears.
|11-10-18||Ohio State -3.5 v. Michigan State||26-6||Win||100||49 h 4 m||Show|
OHIO STATE @ MICHIGAN STATE
The Buckeyes have won 6 of their last 7 games and last week beat a hot Nebraska team 36-31 after falling behind at the half. It was a big win for them after being upset by Purdue the week before even though Haskins threw for over 400 yards. He has led the Buckeye offense that averages over 42 points a game with the 3rd ranked passing attack in the nation that averages over 369 yards a game. He has passed for over 400 yards in 3 of his last 4 games while throwing 21 TD passes and just 5 picks over his last 6 games. The Spartans have won 3 of their last 4 games but have lost 2 of their last 3 home games with both to the better teams in the Big 10. They did beat Penn St on the road but allowed over 200 rushing yards and won with a last second TD. This is another tough game for the Spartans who have struggled against the elite of the Big 10 and have an offense ranked 104th averaging less than 350 yards a game.
Take Ohio State
|11-10-18||TCU v. West Virginia -13.5||10-47||Win||100||1 h 30 m||Show|
TCU @ WEST VIRGINIA
TCU has lost 3 of their last 4 games and 5 of 7 overall but squeaked out a 14-13 win at home last week over Kansas St. They have been held to 17 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games as their offense is ranked 73rd overall and just 87th running the ball. They haven't scorerd more than 27 points in their last 6 games as well as going 0-6 ATS in them. West Virginia has a very good offense averaging over 40 points a game and have scored at least 35 points in all but 1 of their games. They average almost 500 yards a game and are 6th in the nation passing for over 330 yards a game. They are 4-0 at home winning each game by at least 16 points with QB Grier leading the way with 28 TD passes and while throwing for over 300 yards in 7 of his 8 games.
Take West Virginia
|11-09-18||Fresno State v. Boise State +3||17-24||Win||100||37 h 43 m||Show|
FRESNO STATE @ BOISE STATE
Fresno has won 7 straight games which sounds very impressive but their last 3 wins were against teams who are ranked from 113th to 129th in the nation in total defense. Each of those 3 teams allows at least 35 points a game while also compiling losing streaks of at least 4 straight games. Boise St has won 4 straight games and 5 of their last 6 including 2 straight wins over a very good Air Force rushing attack and a tough BYU team who has a win over Wisconsin. Their offense averages over 450 yards and 38 points a game led by their 11th ranked passing attack that averages 318 yards a game. Defensively they allow 23 points a game and have wion 3 of their 4 home games while the home team has won their last 6 meetings and 8 of the last 10 overall.
Take Boise State
|11-07-18||Toledo v. Northern Illinois -3.5||15-38||Win||100||7 h 18 m||Show|
TOLEDO @ NORTHERN ILLINOIS
The Northern Illinois Huskies are still perfect (5-0) in the MAC, and they look good as a small home favorite versus Toledo tonight. The Rockets are coming off a couple wins against two of the weaker teams in the conference (Western Michigan and Ball State). When they have stepped up and faced the tougher teams, they have lost to Buffalo and Eastern Michigan. The Huskies are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall, and the Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
Take the HUSKIES.
|11-03-18||Iowa +2 v. Purdue||36-38||Push||0||4 h 26 m||Show|
IOWA @ PURDUE
Iowa is 6-2 after their tough loss at Penn St last week 30-24. Their defense played another great game as they held Penn St who average 460 yards and 41 points a game to just 315 total yards, while McSorley was held to just 167 yards in the air with 1 TD and a pick. Their only other loss was to another top team - Wisconsin. They have the 6th ranked defense in the country that allows 260 total yards and just 16 points a game. All 6 wins were by double digits and have covered the spread to boot. Purdue has a very good passing game but is just 4-4 because the defense allows over 400 yards a game and 300 of that is in the air. They were beaten by a very good Spartan defense last week who shut down their passing game while holding them to 13 points. Iowa just might have a better defense than the Spartans and will hold the Boilermakers in check for most of the game.
|11-03-18||Georgia Tech -4.5 v. North Carolina||38-28||Win||100||2 h 47 m||Show|
GEORGIA TECH @ NORTH CAROLINA
Georgia Tech has won 3 of their last 4 games with the only loss the result of 3 TO's turned into TD's by Duke. The game was tied 7-7 in the 3rd quarter before Duke scored 21 unanswered points as they won the game 28-14. The Yellow Jackets scored at least 49 points as they won by at least 21 points in the 3 wins. Their offense which is ranked 30th in the country averages 39 points and leads the country with over 360 rushing yards a game. Their defense is ranks 38th allowing 360 yards and 28 points a game. The Tarheels are 1-6 and have lost their last 4 games allowing at least 30 points in 3 of them as their defense is ranked 105th allowing 35 points and over 400 yards a game. Their 100th ranked run defense that allows almost 200 yards a game will be on the field a long time as we look for Georgia Tech to control the ball and score points.
Take Georgia Tech
|11-03-18||Michigan State -3 v. Maryland||24-3||Win||100||3 h 11 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ MARYLAND
The Spartans shook off their loss to rival Michigan in a big way as they shut down the 19th best offense in the country that averages over 32 pointss a game when they smothered Purdue 23-13 last week. It was the least amount of points scored by the Boilermakers all season as the Spartan defense held Blough below 300 passing yards for just the 2nd time in his last 6 games while picking him off 3 times without allowing him a TD pass for the 1st time in his last 6 games as well. Their defense leads the country allowing only 77 rushing yards and 21 points a game. The Terps crushed Illinois last week 63-33 and are 3-2 in conference games but all 3 wins were against the worst, as the 3 teams have a combined 2-13 conference record. They are 126th offensively in passing and depend on running the ball which is what the Spartans excel at defensively. Don't expect a lot of offense from Maryland as Michigan St will shut them down.
Take Michigan State
|11-03-18||Air Force +6.5 v. Army||14-17||Win||100||3 h 34 m||Show|
AIR FORCE @ ARMY
Air Force lost a tough game to a tough team last week when they let Boise St score with a 61 yard pass in the 4th quarter to seal the win 48-38 with just 3 minutes left in the game. Their offense averages 32 points and 393 yards a game with most of that the result of the triple option running game. They have had some other tough losses as well losing by 6 poins or less in 3 of thei 4 prior losses to last week. They face another running team with Army who are 2nd in the country averaging over 300 yards a game rushing. The Falcons have a decent passing game where the Army doesn't and is ranked 127th. Both of these teams know the triple option as they both rely on it for their offense. with all the running these teams do and the fact that the Falcons are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 meetings at Army, I have to grab the points.
Take Air Force
|10-30-18||Miami-OH +7.5 v. Buffalo||42-51||Loss||-124||33 h 2 m||Show|
MIAMI-OHIO @ BUFFALO
The Redhawks visit conference rival Buffalo with a 3-5 record but their last 2 losses were by 1 point each. They are 3-1 in conference play and won their last 2 in conference road games outscoring their 2 opponents 79-40. QB Raglund has completed over 60% of his passes for 1769 yards with 14 Td's and just 3 picks. They are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games and 5-2-1 in their last 8 meetings with Buffalo. The Bulls won their last game 31-17 over Toledo but needed 24 2nd half points to win that game. They also struggled against a punchless Central Michigan team before winning by 10. They are playing after a bye week but are just 5-13-1 ATS in their last 19 games following a bye week.
|10-27-18||Navy +24 v. Notre Dame||22-44||Win||100||24 h 49 m||Show|
NOTRE DAME @ NAVY
Notre Dame escaped with a last minute win at home las week to beat Pittsburgh 19-14. The week before in a win at Virginia Tech needed 2 TO's in the 2nd half to help them score 28 points in their 45-23 win. They have a well balanced offense averaging over 420 yards a game but you need the ball on offense to score. Navy runs for over 300 yards a game and that means they control the clock Last season in their meeting with the Irish they held the ball for over 42 minutes in a tough 24-17 loss. They have outrushed 6 of their 7 opponents and 4 points seperated them last week late in the 3rd quarter against a very good Houston team. This is a huge rivalry and Navy is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings while the Irish are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against the AAC.
|10-27-18||Georgia v. Florida +7.5||36-17||Loss||-129||104 h 13 m||Show|
FLORIDA @ GEORGIA
When Florida and Georgia take the field we will have almost identical teams playing each other. Both are 6-1 with Georgia getting their loss at LSU last week 36-16 while the Gators lost to Kentucky their 2nd game of the season Defensively they are both ranked in the top 25 and both allow a bit over 16 points and less than 325 yards a game. Offensively they both average over 400 yards and over 34 points a game. Georgis has a small advantage scoring 5 more points and gaining over 50 more yards a game but both offenses are very well balanced. I have to take the points as Georgia just got whipped scoring the lowest number of points offensively all season while Florida won their 5th straight game. The Gators are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games while the Bulldogs are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 games.
|10-27-18||Kansas State +24.5 v. Oklahoma||14-51||Loss||-106||29 h 9 m||Show|
KANSAS STATE @ OKLAHOMA
Kansas St soundly beat the Cowboys last week 31-12 and it was the 2nd straight game they scored over 30 points. It was also the 2nd straight game they got over 400 yards of offense thanks to their running ganme that has run for over 600 yards the last 2 weeks. Defensively they have a bend don't break defense that allows over 400 yards a game but gives up just 25 points. They lost 3 straight before winning last week but 2 of the losses were by 8 points total. Oklahoma has one of the best offenses in the country and scored 52 points against TCU last week but had problems against another running team when they won 28-21 against Army in OT. The road team is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings and Kansas St is 5-2-1 in their last 8 at Oklahoma as well as 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games. The Sooner defense has had it's problems allpwing over 400 yards and over 28 points a game.
Take Kansas State
|10-27-18||TCU v. Kansas +15||26-27||Win||100||104 h 26 m||Show|
TCU @ KANSAS
TCU has lost 4 of their last 5 games including last week 52-27 to the Sooners who amassed over 530 total yards with over 320 rushing, They are also without starting QB Robinson who attempted just 8 passes before being removed because of injury. Their 71st ranked offense only managed 275 total yards and 3 2nd half points against a questionable defense. They haven't scored more than 17 points in the 3 prior games either. Kansas has also struggled as they are losers of 4 straight but 3 were road games with the last 2 against Texas Tech and West Va who have 2 of the best offense and are a combined 6-2 in conference play. Last week Kansas was a 17 point dog on the road at Texas Tech so I have to take almost the same amount of points at home against a much weaker offense.
|10-27-18||Wisconsin -6 v. Northwestern||17-31||Loss||-120||103 h 19 m||Show|
WISCONSIN @ NORTHWESTERN
Wisconsin shook off their 38-13 loss at Michigan to score a 49-20 win at Illinois in their last game. Their offense cranked out almost 550 yards of offense with over 275 on the ground. They average over 450 yards and 33 points a game while their 4th ranked running game averages over 280 yards a game. Their defense is pretty good as they allowed 24 points or less in 6 of their 7 games while averaging 20 points allowed which is 25th in the nation. Northwestern is one dimensional on offense as they pass for almost 300 yards a game but rush for just 78 which ranks them 128th. They have been held to 17 points or less in 2 of their last 4 home games. They are just 1-3 at home and allowed over 30 points in 2 of their last 3 there.
|10-26-18||Utah -10 v. UCLA||41-10||Win||100||106 h 32 m||Show|
UTAH @ UCLA
Utah has stepped up their offense as they scored at least 40 points in their last 3 games including wins at Stanford and over USC at home. Their 10th ranked defense leads the country allowing less than 75 yards a game rushing and just 17.7 points a game good for 16th. They allowed 21 points or less in 5 of their 7 games while the offense has outgained their last 4 opponents on the ground by over 120 yards. UCLA won their last 2 games including a big 37-7 win at Cal. They beat Arizona in their last game 31-30 whiloe being outgained in yards in 5 of their last 6 games. Their 96th ranked defense allows over 420 yards and 32 points a game. They allowed almost 300 yards rushing and over 500 total yards in their last game. Utah should be able to score while their defense keeps UCLA impotenet on offense.
|10-25-18||Toledo v. Western Michigan -5.5||51-24||Loss||-110||80 h 44 m||Show|
TOLEDO @ WESTERM MICHIGAN
Toledo had a 17-7 halftime lead in their last game but were outscored 24-0 in the 2nd half against Buffalo for their 3rd loss in their last 4 games. Their 102nd ranked defense allows over 450 yards and over 34 points a game. They have allowed at least 31 points in 5 of their last 6 games and now face the 10th best offense in the country in Western Michigan. The Broncos have a balanced attack that averages over 220 yards in the air and on the ground while averaging almost 37 points a game. Their defense has played better as of late allowing 24 points or less in 4 of their last 6 games while outscoring opponents at home 95-24. They have outgained 6 straight opponents in total yards a game, outrushing 5 of the last 6.
Take Western Michigan
|10-20-18||Bowling Green +17 v. Ohio||14-49||Loss||-110||51 h 39 m||Show|
BOWLING GREEN @ OHIO
Bowling Green visits Ohio with a 1-6 record and a 4 game losing streak. They have a capable offense that averages almost 400 yards and 27 points a game which not only ranks them ahead of Ohio but also 55th in the country. Their defense has been more of a problem but their 2 biggest losses were against Power 5 Georgia Tech and Maryland. Those 2 games were the only times they didn't cover the spread as double digit dogs. They are 3-0 ATS in their other 4 games as double digit dogs including 2-0 the last 2 weeks. Ohio is 3-3 with the offense being held to 31 points in 4 of their last 5 games and they have been outgained in total yards in 5 of their 6 games. Defensively they are ranked 110th allowing almost 500 yards and 34 points a game. Bowling Green is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings with Ohio and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games in Ohio. This looks like a big spread for a middle of the road team to cover against a conference foe.
Take Bowling Green
|10-20-18||Oklahoma -7.5 v. TCU||52-27||Win||100||71 h 59 m||Show|
OKLAHOMA @ TCU
The Sooners visit TCU after a tough loss in the Refd River game last week at Texas losing 48-45. It was the mostb points scored on Texas all season and in their prior game scored a 66-33 win over Baylor who had also been playing good defense. They have now scored at least 37 points in 5 of their 6 games and won by double digits in 4 of their 5 wins. They have beaten TCU in 7 of their last 8 meetings winning by at least 18 points in their last 2 meetings. TCU has lost 3 of their last 4 games while being held to 17 points or less in their last 3 games. Two of their 3 losses were by double digits and 2 of their 3 losses were at home. Texas is a much better team than TCU and they were a 7 point dog to Oklahoma at home last week. The books probably missed this one.
|10-20-18||Maryland v. Iowa -9.5||0-23||Win||100||21 h 49 m||Show|
MARYLAND @ IOWA
Maryland is 2-2 in their last 4 games but in their 1 road game against a ranked in conference foe, were crushed 42-21 by Michigan who gouged them for over 450 yards of offense. Their only 2 conference wins were against Rutgers and Minnesota who are a combined 0-7 in conference play. They are ranked 100th in overall offense with their passing game 125th. Iowa has the 5th ranked defense in the country that allows less than 82 yards rushing and just 200 yards in the air. They are 5-1 with all 5 wins by double digits and are 5-1 ATS. Offensively they are in the top 50 in scoring and passing as they average over 31 points a game. They have scored at least 38 points in 3 of their last 4 games.
|10-20-18||Michigan -7 v. Michigan State||21-7||Win||100||21 h 44 m||Show|
MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN STATE
Michigan has won 6 straight games averaging almost 42 points a game, scoring less than 38 in just 1 game during the run. Averaging over 400 yards a game, they balance it both running and passing for over 200 yards. Defensively they are 6th overall in the nation with the best passing defense in the country and they allow less than 16 points a game. Last week they destroyed a good Wconsin team 38-13. The Spartans are also coming off an upset win over Penn St 21-17 on the road but gave up over 200 yards on the ground but lead the country allowing just over 62 yards rushing a game. They passed their way to victory with over 250 yards and a last second passing TD from Lewerke. This will be their toughest test by far and I don't think they will be ready offensively as they are dealing with injuries. Penn St might have exposed a run defense that wasn't really tested until last week.
|10-18-18||Stanford v. Arizona State +3||20-13||Loss||-120||36 h 55 m||Show|
STANFORD @ ARIZONA STATE
Stanford visits Sun Devil Stadium having lost 2 straight games and being held to 21 points or less in both. Their defense has allowed at least 31 points in 3 straight games and they have been outgained in total yards in 2 of their last 3. They aren't a very good road team and have lost 4 of their last 6 road games dating back to last season. Arizona is 3-3 with all 3 wins at home and are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games winning 4 of their last 5 at Sun Devil Stadium. They are 11-5 in their last 16 games overall.
Take Arizona State
|10-13-18||Michigan State +13.5 v. Penn State||21-17||Win||100||6 h 30 m||Show|
MICHIGAN STATE @ PENN STATE
The Spartans are looking to bounce back after a 29-19 loss at home against Northwestern last week as their pass defense allowed over 370 yards and 3 TD passes. To their credit they did have 2 picks and their run defense which is the best in the country allowed just 8 yards in 20 attempts by the Wildcats. Their run defense allows just 34 yards a game and they will have to play well against a Penn St team that averages over 250 yards a game rushing. Penn St is also coming into this game off a tough 1 point loss to Ohio St in their last game. They have played a pretty easy schedule other than the Buckeyes and scored at least 50 points in the 3 previous games. They had a 45-38 win against Appalachian St in their opening game winning in OT. That was the toughest defense they had seen and haven't faced a defense like the Spartans so far. Michigan St has it's problems on offense as they can't keep opposing defenses away from their QB who has been sacked 12 times in the 5 games played. The good news for them is that they have had a lot of success winning after a loss. The Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a loss.
Take Michigan State
|10-13-18||Baylor +14 v. Texas||17-23||Win||100||7 h 43 m||Show|
BAYLOR @ TEXAS
Baylor had a big win last week beating Kansas St on the road 37-34 and are now 4-2. Their offense is 15th overall in the country averaging 500 yards and 36 points a game. They were pounded by the Sooners the week before but Oklahoma had 4 TD's scored on big yardage plays because of mental lapses by the Baylor defense. They will face a Texas team that had their biggest win of the year in a 48-45 victory over Oklahoma in last week's Red River game. Texas had been winning with a steady defense but Oklahoma amassed 532 yards with 322 through the air which included 4 TD passes and the Sooners ran for over 200 yards as well. The Texas offense isn't as overwhelming and are ranked 72nd scoring 24 points a game. The Longhorns could be in for a letdown after that big game last week and the Bears would love to grab a win so they will be ready to play. This is a big spread for the Longhorns to cover after the game they had last week.
|10-13-18||Texas A&M -2.5 v. South Carolina||26-23||Win||100||7 h 31 m||Show|
TEXAS A&M @ SOUTH CAROLINA
The Aggies beat an excellent Kentucky team 20-14 to give them their 1st loss. Kentucky who had been averaging 370 total yards and 30 points a game were shut down and had just 178 total yards as their 25th ranked running game which averaged over 220 yards a game were held to 70. They are ranked 3rd against the run and 21st overall while allowing just 20 points a game. They are 3-2 with 1 of the losses to Clemson on the road 28-26 and they held 3 of their last 4 opponents to 17 points or less. The Gamecocks are coming off wild 37-35 win over Missouri where Bentley sat out because of injury and didn't play. He is returning this week but his numbers are below expectations as he has just 3 TD passes and 6 picks. Their defense could be in for a long afternoon against the Aggie running game that averages 226 yards a game which is 3rd in the SEC and 24th in the country as the Gamecock defense allows almost 200 yards a game on the ground. Look for the Aggies to control the clock and wear down the South Carolina defense.
Take Texas A&M
|10-13-18||Florida -7.5 v. Vanderbilt||37-27||Win||100||4 h 47 m||Show|
FLORIDA @ VANDERBILT
Florida is fresh off a big win over LSU last week where their 6thbranked pass defense held LSU to under 200 yards in the air while forcing 3 TO's to add to their SEC leading 17 takeaways. Their 8th ranked scoring defense held LSU to19 points which is 12 points below their scoring average. But the offense shouldn't be overlooked as they are a top 25 team in the Red Zone scoring 92% of the time with a very balanced offense that averages 380 total yards split almost evenly between the run and pass. They score over 33 points a game while allowing just 15. Vanderbilt has lost 3 of their last 4 games and was pounded 41-13 by Georgia last week. They have allowed at least 27 points in each of their last 3 games while losing by over 20 points in 2 of their last 3 games. Florida has the momentum and is playing great on both sides of the ball so this could be a long afternoon for Vandy.
|10-13-18||Oklahoma State v. Kansas State +7.5||12-31||Win||100||4 h 36 m||Show|
OKLAHOMA STATE @ KANSAS STATE
The Cowboys have lost 2 of their last 3 games and allowed over 40 points in both losses. Their defense allows almost 400 total yards and 28 points a game with over 270 of those yards in the air. Last week in their 48-42 loss they allowed 325 passing yards and 4 TD passes by Iowa St and trailed by double digits through most of the game. They let Texas Tech amass over 600 total yards with almost 400 in the air 2 weeks prior. Kansas St is also struggling and they have lost 3 straight games but last week played Baylor tough losing 37-34 by a last second FG. They lost their last 2 games by 8 points total as Texas squeaked out a 19-14 win the week before. They have a balanced offense that averages 175 yards a game both running and passing and are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games. The home team has won 7 of the last 10 meetings while in 4 of the last 5 meetings, the margin of victory was by 6 points or less. The Cowboys are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Take Kansas State
|10-12-18||South Florida v. Tulsa +7.5||25-24||Win||100||69 h 38 m||Show|
SOUTH FLORIDA @ TULSA
Tulsa is 1-4 after blowing a 4th quarter lead and allowing Houston to score 24 4th quarter points. They committed 3 TO's which cost them a win and it was their 13th TO in their last 4 games. In their prior game they committed 5 TO's which led to 2 defensive scores by Temple in a 31-17 loss and fought a good Texas team on the road where 2 more TO's led to a close 28-21 loss. Their defense is ranked 15th overall allowing less than 400 yards a game including less than 200 in the air. They could just as easily be 3-2 if not for the mistakes while 3 of the losses were on the road. Offensively they average just under 400 yards a game led by their 37th ranked running game that averages over 200 yards a game. South Florida is 5-0 with their biggest win over Georgia Tech a month ago 48-38 but needed 21 4th quarter points to win as Tech amassed over 600 total yards including 419 on the ground. They barely beat East Carolina 20-13 as 20 point favorites and needed 18 4th quarter points to beat Illinois 25-19 as a 14 point favorite. Their offense is ranked 31st averaging 37 points a game but were held below that in 3 of their games. Defensively they allow over 300 yards both in the air and on the ground. This is a good spot for the home team to grab another win.
|10-11-18||Texas Tech +7.5 v. TCU||17-14||Win||100||46 h 40 m||Show|
TEXAS TECH @ TCU
Texas Tech fell behind 35-10 at the half last week then stormed back outscoring West Virginia 24-7 in the 2nd half but lost the game as they were driving downfield for the potential tying score, victims of a pick 6 late in the 4th quarter and they eventually lost 42-34. Their offense is ranked 10th overall as they average 591 yards and over 48 points with their passing game averaging over 400 yards a game good for 2nd in the nation. They had won 3 straight games prior which included very impressive wins over Houston (63-49) and the destruction of Oklahoma St on the road 41-17. TCU won their first 2 games easily over weak opponents before losing by double digits to both Ohio St at home and then Texas on the road. Last week they beat a scrappy Iowa St 17-14 but it was the 2nd week in a row their offense was held 2 TD's below their scoring average. Their QB Robinson is questionable with a shoulder injury and if he can't play then it will be up to Collins who has taken just 14 snaps all year. TCU is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 5-16 ATS in their last 21 home games.
Take Texas Tech
|10-06-18||Oklahoma v. Texas +7.5||45-48||Win||100||30 h 12 m||Show|
OKLAHOMA VS TEXAS
Oklahoma and its overall 8th ranked offense that averages over 500 yards and 49 points a game faces arch rival Texas in the Red River Classic. They are 5-0 and scored a season high 66 points in last week's trouncing of Baylor 66-33. they have been at least an 18 point favorite in all 5 games but are only 1-3 ATS in their last 4. They won by 10 points or less in the 2 preceding games before last week as their defense allows over 400 yards a game. They let Baylor throw for over 400 yards and Iowa St threw for 360 while Army controlled the ball for over 44 minutes and rushed for 339 yards in a close 28-21 win as they had to win in OT. Texas has won 4 straight since their opening game loss to Maryland and they have done it on both sides of the ball. They scored at least 28 points in 3 of their last 4 games while the defense held those 4 opponents to 21 points or less and 16 or less in their last 3. They are 29th against the run allowing 115 yards a game and 31st in points allowed (10.8 points a game). they held Kansas St to just 217 total yards and 14 points and the week before held TCU who average over 31 points a game to just 16. The last 4 meetings between these teams were decided by 7 points or less.
|10-06-18||East Carolina +11 v. Temple||6-49||Loss||-109||29 h 4 m||Show|
EAST CAROLINA @ TEMPLE
Temple's 106th ranked offense in YPG put up 35 points but their defense allowed a season high 45 points un a 45-35 loss to Boston College. The week before their defense came up with 5 TO's to beat a stubborn Tulsa team 31-14 and they are now 2-3. They average just over 350 yards and 28 points a game and have to face the East Carolina who is ranked 9th in overall defense allowing 308 yards and 25 points a game. They are 2-2 and allowed 23 points or less in 3 games while last week held Old Dominion to 21 rushing yards and under 300 total yards but 2 picks hurt them as they lost 37-35. In the 2 previous weeks the hammered No Carolina 41-19 and just lost to a very good USF team 20-13 and they average 32 points a game. Temple is asked to cover double digits against a very tough defense with an offense that is inconsistent. The Pirate offense is 24th in passing at almost 300 yards a game.
Take East Carolina
|10-06-18||Northwestern +10.5 v. Michigan State||29-19||Win||100||28 h 11 m||Show|
NORTHWESTERN @ MICHIGAN STATE
The Wildcats have lost 3 straight games with the last 2 by 8 points total including a 39-35 loss to Akron after blowing a 21-3 halftime lead. They have the 35th ranked overall defense that allows 26 points and less than 400 yards a game. Last week they lost a tough battle to 15th ranked Michigan 20-17, after blowing a 17-0 halftime lead. That was the 2nd straight week they did that. The Spartans won their 2nd straight game last week over interstate rivals Central Michigan after getting their 1st loss 3 weeks ago. They have a good defense also ranked 15th as they allow less than 350 yards and 22 points a game. Their offense scores 29 points and 380 points a game. They are 1-3 ATS this year and have lost 3 of the last 4 meetings with the Wildcats. They are also dealing with injuries on offense and are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings at home against the Wildcats.
|10-04-18||Tulsa +18 v. Houston||26-41||Win||100||37 h 32 m||Show|
TULSA @ HOUSTON
Tulsa has lost 3 straight games since winning it's 1st game of the season. They lost to a tough Temple team on the road 31-17 but you can't blame their defense that allowed just 300 total yards and shut down QB Russo who had led the Owls to a big 35-14 upset of Maryland on the road as he completed 60% of his passes while averaging over 9 yards per attempt. Tulsa held him to only 7 of 20 for 112 yards and 2 picks without a TD pass. They also held Texas to 14 points in the final 3 quarters of a 28-21 loss after falling behind 21-0. That defense is ranked 28th overall allowing 28 points a game and could be the difference as they face Houston who leads the nation averaging over 600 total yards and 52 points a game. Most of their stats came in their last 2 games as they amassed over 1300 total yards of offense. Their defense allows over 500 total yards a game and a season high 704 yards against Texas Tech with over 600 yards of that in the air. The Golden Hurricanes have a chance to keep this closer than the spread suggests. They are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings with 3 of those as double digit dogs.
|09-29-18||Ohio State v. Penn State +4||27-26||Win||100||11 h 20 m||Show|
OHIO STATE @ PENN STATE
This game is why we love college football as 2 of the best teams in the country face off in a battle of the Big 10. The Buckeyes have steamrolled 3 of their 4 opponents but had to come from behind against TCU after falling behind 21-13 in the 3rd quarter. They have the 17th ranked defense that allows 17 points a game and an offense that averages 54 points a game and over 500 total yards split almost evenly between running and passing. But this week they face a Penn St team that can match them on both sides of the ball and just may have an upper hand. Penn St has outscored 2 Power 5 teams by a combined 114-30 where the Buckeyes did almost all of their damage against weaker division teams. The Nittany Lions also average over 55 points a game which is best in the country and has a defense that allows just 2 more points and just over 20 more yards a game and they played better teams. Penn St has scored over 50 points a game since having to win in OT against Appalachian St in week 1. TCU was able to throw for over 300 yards against the Buckeyes and with McSorley taking the snaps for Penn St and the home field advantage very strong I find it a gift that I can take points.
Take Penn State
|09-29-18||Baylor +24 v. Oklahoma||33-66||Loss||-115||9 h 34 m||Show|
BAYLOR @ OKLAHOMA
Baylor will need their 48th ranked defense to play a good game as they take on Oklahoma on the road. The Bear's defense allows less than 24 points and under 350 yards a game. Their only loss was to a tough Duke defense that would bend but not break in their 40-27 loss, They passed for 270 yards but couldn't score when they needed to. They won big at home last week beating Kansas 26-7 as they held Kansas to under 300 total yards. The Sooners had to squeak out a 7 point OT win against Army last week as they gave up over 330 yards on the ground while only getting 350 total yards themselves and just over 15 minutes of possession. They have been double digit favorites the last 3 weeks and haven't covered once as their offense hasn't been able to play a full game consistently while the defense has given up at least 3 TD's in 3 straight games. This looks like a lot of points to cover against a team as good as the Bears and a Sooner offense that hasn't really gotten off the ground.
|09-29-18||UMass v. Ohio -13||42-58||Win||100||72 h 5 m||Show|
UMASS @ OHIO
UMass is 2-3 with all 3 losses on the road by at least 21 points and has a defense ranked 121st in points allowed (39.6 a game). They also allow over 200 yards on the ground and in the air. Their offense averages 34 points a game but most of those points were against 2 lightweights Charlotte and Duquesne. Ohio averages 33 points and 400 yards a game but are just 1-2 as they were beaten by a tough Virginia team and then last week blew a 24-7 lead at Cincinnati before losing 34-30. In the Virginia game they scored 31 points against 1 of the better defenses in the ACC and made a strong comeback after falling behind 35-7 as they outscored Virginia 24-10 before losing 45-31. remember their offense scored 30 points against a Cincinnati team that allowed 24 points total in their other 3 games combined. They should have no trouble scoring points against the UMass team that is ranked 121st allowing almost 40 points and 450 yards a game.
|09-29-18||Virginia +5.5 v. NC State||21-35||Loss||-110||71 h 46 m||Show|
VIRGINIA @ NO CAROLINA STATE
Virginia is 3-1 and is ranked 40th in total offense averaging 435 yards a game split almost evenly with both rushing and passing getting over 215 yards a game. Their 3 wins were all at home while their 1 loss was to a very good Indiana team on the road 20-16, who is 3-1 with their only loss to Michigan St. The Hoosiers scored 38 points in each of their other 2 wins and scored 21 points against the Spartans. The Virginia defense held 2 other opponents to 16 points total and are ranked 22nd allowing just 16.8 points and less than 300 total yards a game. NC State is 3-0 but hasn't really been tested yet as they haven't played a Power 5 school. Most of their yards have been through the air and Virginia has allowed less than 200 yards a game. Last week Virginia shut down the Louisville offense in a 27-3 win and held them to 214 total yards. The Wolfpack will have to shutdown QB Perkins who has thrown for over 850 yards with 9 TD's while running for over 300 yards and 3 TD's. The Virginia defense held Indiana to 150 yards in the air and 10 points below their scoring average so the Wolfpack will have their toughest test up until this point.
|09-29-18||Syracuse +24.5 v. Clemson||23-27||Win||100||71 h 36 m||Show|
SYRACUSE @ CLEMSON
Syracuse has started out 4-0 with the 10th ranked offense in the country that averages over 500 total yards a game. They are 9th rushing as they average 278 yards a game and score 49.5 points a game which is ranked 10th. Their most impressive win was a 30-7 beating of Florida St and scored at least 50 points in each of their other 3 games. Their defense allows 20 points a game while allowing 378 total yards. Clemson is also 4-0 with the 20th ranked offense that averages 40 points and over 500 yards a game. Their strength has been their defense over the last few years and is again very good being ranked 5th as they allow 15.3 points a game. They beat Ga. Tech last week 49-21 and had another big win as they held off Texas A&M who scored 13 4th quarter points to erase most of a 15 point deficit before finally losing 28-26. This will be a tough game for the Tigers who were beaten by Syracuse last year and considering the line I have to grab the points.
|09-29-18||West Virginia v. Texas Tech +4||42-34||Loss||-115||39 h 36 m||Show|
WEST VIGINIA @ TEXAS TECH
West Virginia's defense will be tested when they face the best offense in the country on the road at Texas Tech. They held all 3 of their opponents this year to 17 points or less but haven't really been tested. They lost 4 of their last 6 games last season with 2 of them to the better offense in the Big 12 (Oklahoma and Oklahoma St). Tech has averaged over 600 yards a game while scoring an average of 52. They had a big win last week beating Oklahoma St on the road and scored 63 points in a win over Houston 2 weeks ago and rolled up over 700 total yards of offense. The home field advantage can't be understated here so look for the home side to get up big for this very important early season game.
Take Texas Tech
|09-29-18||Central Michigan +29.5 v. Michigan State||20-31||Win||100||5 h 13 m||Show|
CENTRAL MICHIGAN @ MICHIGAN ST
Central Michigan has a big road to climb against their instate rival Michigan St but have a defense ranked 36th that allows less than 24 points a game and less than 350 total yards. They haven't let an opponent score more than 30 points in 7 of their last 10 games and they are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings at Michigan St. The Spartans have been more than a 20 point favorite just once in their last 16 games and that was 3 weeks ago and they won by 7. Their offense doesn't score a lot of points as they average less than 400 yards and 28 points a game. With interconference play starting next week the Spartans will be looking ahead so expect a slow uninspired game from them.
Take Central Michigan
|09-28-18||UCLA v. Colorado -10||16-38||Win||100||86 h 51 m||Show|
UCLA @ COLORADO
The Bruins are 0-3 while being held to 21 points or less in all 3 losses. Their defense allowed 87 points and over 900 total yards in their last 2 losses while losing by at least 24 points in each game. In 2 of the games they were also held to 306 yards in 1 and just 270 yards in another. They are ranked 128th on offense as they average just 17.3 points a game which ranks them 121st scoring. Colorado is 3-0 and ranked 26th offensively averaging 41 points and 494 yards a game. They are well balanced passing for almost 300 yards a game and running for over 200 yards. They had a big win over Nebraska on the road 33-28 and scored 45 points in each of their other 2 games. Defensively the Bruins allow almost 38 points a game and this is a very tough spot to try and win a road game.
|09-27-18||North Carolina +18.5 v. Miami-FL||10-47||Loss||-106||82 h 49 m||Show|
NO CAROLINA @ MIAMI
After losing their first 2 games they came back with an impressive 38-35 win over Pittsburgh last week. They rushed for over 170 yards and passed for over 300 yards in a well balanced offensive game. They were hurt in week 1 when QB Elliot threw 4 picks including 1 that was run back for a TD. In their last 2 games they had at least 395 yards of total offense which was well balanced but their defense was the problem in week 2 allowing 500 yards of offense. Miami has played 3 cupcakes and are 3-0 including last week's 31-17 win over FIU as 26 point favorites. They were outscored 17-7 in the win in the 2nd half as they committed 2 TO's. This is their 1st real test against a Power 5 school as they play the Tarheels who they have gone 3-3 in their last 6 meetings while just 2-4 ATS in those games. They are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games and 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
Take North Carolina
|09-22-18||TCU -3 v. Texas||16-31||Loss||-100||21 h 4 m||Show|
TCU @ TEXAS
TCU lost a tough game to Ohio St last week as they allowed the Buckeyes to come back in the 3rd quarter after they had a 21-13 lead. Their offense gained over 500 yards getting over 200 rushing yards against a tough Ohio St defense and over 300 passing yards. The Longhorns took care of USC after falling behind early last week for their 2nd win. TCU won their first 2 games by a combined score of 97-19 while Texas was beaten in their opener by Maryland and then struggled against Tulsa before winning 28-21. TCU has beaten Texas in their last 4 meetings and covered the spread in each game while holding Texas to 10 points or less. Texas will have to protect their QB against a tough pass rush if they expect to have a chance while their defense will have to stop an offense that gave Ohio St all it could handle last week.
|09-22-18||Akron +19.5 v. Iowa State||13-26||Win||100||17 h 29 m||Show|
AKRON @ IOWA STATE
Akron is 2-0 after it's surprise win at Northwestern as they came back after falling behind 21-3 at halftime to win the game 39-34. QB Nelson threw for over 275 yards along with 2 TD's without a pick while the defense held Northwestern to under 100 yards on the ground. Iowa St is 0-2 and their offense was held to 30 points in 2 games total. They have been held to 21 points or less in 6 of their last 8 games dating back to last season. This is a big spread against an improved Akron team bringing back a lot of their starters from last year.
|09-22-18||Nebraska +18 v. Michigan||10-56||Loss||-102||17 h 17 m||Show|
NEBRASKA @ MICHIGAN
Nebraska should have QB Martinez back after he sat out last week's loss to Troy 24-19. Martinez was 15 of 20 for 177 yards and 2TD's while running for 117 yards and 2 TD's on the ground in the 1st week. Nebraska's defense is going to be tough for a Michigan team to run on as their front line has had it's problems and they are dealing with injuries to RB's Higdon and Evans. This is a big line for Michigan to cover with so many questions on offense with the Nebraska team that hold opponents under 100 yards rushing and just 2.7 yards a rush.
|09-22-18||Boston College -6.5 v. Purdue||13-30||Loss||-115||17 h 1 m||Show|
BOSTON COLLEGE @ PURDUE
Boston College has won their first 3 games including a huge 41-34 win at a pretty tough Wake Forest team. Their offense is ranked in the Top 10 in points scored and points per game and in the top 15 in total yards and yards per game. They have RB Dillon who is ranked 5th and the top rated QB in Anthony Brown. Purdue's defense is ranked 109th in the country as they allow over 400 yards in the air and over 150 yards on the ground. Boston College with the 56th ranked defense will be a tough nut to crack for an 0-3 Purdue team. The Eagles should be able to control this game from start to finish.
Take Boston College
|09-21-18||Penn State v. Illinois +28||63-24||Loss||-105||10 h 35 m||Show|
PENN STATE @ ILLINOIS
Penn St won their last 2 games as they scored over 50 points in each while holding their 2 opponents to 10 points or less. They showed they were vulnerable to possibly overlooking a team when Appalachian St took them to OT before losing 35-28 in week 1. That could happen again this week as they play at Illinois who are 2-1. They might have been 3-0 except they allowed USF to score 18 unanswered 4th quarter points but they covered the spread as 14 point dogs. With Ohio State up next, Penn State is in a perfect spot to be caught looking ahead against an Illinois team who scored over 30 points in each of their first 2 games while holding all 3 opponents to 25 points or less.
|09-21-18||Florida Atlantic v. Central Florida -13||36-56||Win||100||8 h 30 m||Show|
FAU @ CFU
CFU outscored their first 2 opponents 94-17 while gaining over 1200 total yards. In their game against Connecticut they showed how balanced an offense they had when they rushed for 296 yards and passed for over 350 yards. Their defense forced 6 TO's and held their opponent to 80 yards in the air last week while they rushed for 250 yards and passed for over 300 in another balanced attack. After getting crushed 63-14 by Oklahoma, FAU won their next 2 games against 2 minnows but allowed at least 27 points in each game. They were outgained by 155 yards on the ground by Air Force who rushed for over 200 yards and outscored the Owls 20-14 in the 2nd half. They will have their hands full with CFU and that monster offense on the road and that might be too much to handle.
|09-15-18||Arizona State -5 v. San Diego State||21-28||Loss||-106||16 h 15 m||Show|
ARIZONA ST @ SAN DIEGO STATE
Arizona's #1 rushing defense held Michigan St to 63 yards as they won their 2nd game to remain undefeated 16-13. In their opening game, they held UTSA to just 3 rushing yards in 33 attempts and to just 221 total yards for the game while their offense gained over 500 total yards and QB Wilkens threw for 237 yards and 4 TD's without a pick in a 49-7 win. He passed for 380 yards with 1 TD and a pick against the Spartans last week and that is good news since they will be facing SD St who has the #6 rushing defense. The Aztecs were hammered by Stanford 31-10 as Stanford passed for over 300 yards which included 4 TD passes. They won last week 28-14 against Sacramento St but didn't look good as a 25 point favorite as they had to score 15 4th quarter points to win. Starting QB Chapman was injured and his replacement Agnew threw for 159 yards and 2 picks without a TD. Their ground game had to perform in the win and against Arizona St's run defense, they might have a rough time getting points.
Take Arizona State
|09-15-18||Washington v. Utah +5||21-7||Loss||-110||16 h 33 m||Show|
WASHINGTON @ UTAH
The Huskies lost their 1st game to an excellent Auburn team but came back with a nice 45-3 beating of No Dakota last week. They haven't gotten their running game going yet as RB Gaskins who is considered 1 of the best around, has just 128 yards for the season. He was held below 100 yards by a very good Auburn defense but even last week against No Dakota had only 53 yards. QB Browning has over 600 yards total in the air but has just 3 TD's to go along with 3 picks. It won't get easier against 1 of the better defenses as Utah hasn't allowed a passing TD and opponents have completed just 42% of their passes against their secondary. Utah is 2-0 and outgained Weber St 587-61 in their 1st game but against No Illinois last week, won just 17-6 and gained a total of just 354 yards. QB Huntley has thrown for 565 yards and 4 TD's but will face 1 of the best defenses playing Washington. Utah has allowed 8 sacks while the Huskies allowed 5 and that won't help either team's offensive problems. The last 2 meetings were decided by a total of 10 points and with the home team getting points, I'll go with the Utes.
|09-15-18||USC v. Texas -3||14-37||Win||100||13 h 60 m||Show|
USC @ TEXAS
USC plays their 2nd straight road game after being held to only 3 points and 332 total yards of offense in Stanford last week. QB Daniels who might not play because of an injured hand, was only 16 of 34 for 215 yards and 2 picks. They aren't running very well either as they average 4.4 yards a carry which really isn't too much of a threat. In their 1st game, they had to score 24 points in the 4th quarter to secure a win against UNLV as their defense allowed over 400 total yards and let UNLV run for over 300 yards and average over 7 yards a rush. Texas hasn't played well either as they lost their opener to Maryland and barely beat Tulsa last week 28-21 as a 22 point favorite. They fell behind 24-7 before the half and allowed over 400 yards to Maryland in that game but did pick up 478 yards of total offense last week against Tulsa. One of their biggest problems has been converting 3rd and 4th down plays as they are just 9 of 29 in that department. This is a tough spot for the Trojans and a good chance for Texas to get everything clicking since they are at home.
|09-15-18||Missouri -6 v. Purdue||40-37||Loss||-108||56 h 27 m||Show|
MISSOURI @ PURDUE
Missouri outscored their first 2 opponents 91-27 led by QB Lock who has thrown for 8 TD's and almost 600 yards in his first 2 games. Missouri a total of 1149 yards in their first 2 games and will face a Purdue team that allowed over 400 yards per game against Northwestern the first week and ECU last week. Purdue's 2 QB's Blough and Sindelar were a combined 14 of 24 for just 135 yards last week while having just 2 TD's and 3 picks so far between them this season and that won't cut it. Their defense is ranked last in the Big 10 and is in the bottom 40 nationally. This game could get out of hand quickly and be over by halftime.
|09-15-18||UL-Monroe v. Texas A&M -26.5||10-48||Win||100||13 h 37 m||Show|
UL-MONROE @ TEXAS A&M
UL-Monroe is a surprising 2-0 led by QB Evans who hit 62% of his passes while throwing for 541 yards and 4 TD's in his first 2 games. Last tear their defense was ranked 129th out of 132 teams allowing an average of 532 yards a game but even though they have improved, they allowed 437 yards average a game in their first 2 this year. He will be tested against a defense that held Clemson to less than 300 yards in the air and 115 on the ground in a tough 28-26 loss. The Aggies were held to just 72 rushing yards against the Tigers last week who have 1 of the best defensive lines in the country and they need to run. Something coach Fischer has to do is keep his players from having a let down after their tough loss last week. QB Mond was excellent against a good Clemson defense as he threw for 430 yards and 3 TD's without a pick while in their 1st game the Aggies rushed for over 500 yards. Mond has a total of over 600 yards in the air to go along with 5 passing TD's in his first 2 games. If Texas A&M can avoid a let down, their offense could have a field day against the Warhawks defense.
Take Texas A&M
|09-15-18||BYU +23 v. Wisconsin||24-21||Win||100||9 h 12 m||Show|
BYU @ WISCONSIN
BYU had a tough 21-18 loss to Cal last week and beat Arizona on the road 28-23. They have a capable offense but if they expect to win or at least stay close to give them that chance, then their 83rd ranked run defense that allows 156 yards a game will have to stop the Badger running game. Wisconsin rushed for over 650 yards in their first 2 wins led by RB Taylor who leads the nation rushing with 398 yards in the first 2 games. They won 45-13 last week but 35 points were in the 2nd half and 21 were in the 4th quarter. With the spread being what it is, a late scoring Badger team might be fighting for the win in the 2nd half against BYU so I will grab the points as Wisconsin is 0-2 ATS this season as a double digit favorite and 1-3 ATS in their last 4 overall.
|09-15-18||Boise State v. Oklahoma State +1||21-44||Win||100||8 h 16 m||Show|
BOISE ST @ OKLAHOMA ST
Boise St is off and running with a 2-0 record and outscoring both teams by a 45 point average led by QB Rypien who is ranked 5th in the nation. He threw for over 660 yards while completing 73% of his passes the first 2 games. Their defense is also very good as they allowed less than 200 yards to Connecticut last week and are solid all over. The Cowboys are also damn good offensively, scoring at least 55 points in their first 2 wins while leading the nation with an average of 674 ypg. Leading them is QB Cornelius who replaced Rudolph at the helm. He has thrown for over 720 yards in the first 2 games while RB Walker is averaging over 8 yards a carry which explains the 1349 combined yards in their first 2 wins. Their 20th ranked pass defense that allows just 143 yards a game will have to stop Boise's passing game to insure victory while both teams have strong offenses and very good defenses. Having said that I will take the Cowboys at home since I don't have to lay any points.
Take Oklahoma State
|09-15-18||Duke v. Baylor -4||40-27||Loss||-110||8 h 20 m||Show|
DUKE @ BAYLOR
Duke won their first 2 games with a strong defense that held both opponents to 21 points total, while on offense, QB Jones completed 74% of his passes while throwing for 398 yards and 4 TD's without an interception. But that won't be the case this week as Jones was lost to injury as well as CB Gilbert on defense and receiver Young who caught 4 passes for over 100 yards in the 1st game, is questionable and might miss his 2nd straight game. They will have to start QB Harris who will be making his 1st start as he went 7 of 10 for 73 yards and 1 TD last season. Baylor scored 92 points total in their first 2 wins led by QB's Brewer and McClendon. They totaled over 600 yards of offense in their 1st win including a combined 311 passing yards from their QB's while Brewer led them last week with 328 passing yards along with 3 TD's without a pick. Duke's defense will have to find a way to stop Baylor's balanced offense and if their banged up offense can't get it going, their defense might be worn out from spending a lot of time on the field. With this being Duke's 2nd straight road game and with an injured offense. I will take the home team.
|09-15-18||Georgia Tech -3 v. Pittsburgh||19-24||Loss||-110||5 h 0 m||Show|
GEORGIA TECH @ PITTSBURGH
Tech opened up the season with a 41-0 win over Alcorn St and then lost to USF 49-38 after losing a 10 point lead in the 4th quarter and allowing the Bulls to score 3 straight TD's to win the game. They gained over 400 yards on the ground and totaled over 600 yards for the game last week. They rushed for over 800 yards in their first 2 games combined but lost 1 of their backs to injury. Meanwhile Pitt slammed Albany 33-7 in their 1st game before getting destroyed 51-6 last week at home to Penn St. They allowed Tech to get over 400 yards on the ground in last year's match up, and last week Penn St gained 211 yards on the ground. If they don't sop Tech's running game they will be in for a long afternoon. Pitt's QB Pickett was just 9 of 18 for 55 yards last week and their defense allowed Penn St to outscore them 37-0 in the 2nd half. Pitt will have to stop Tech on the ground in order to win and if Pickett who only threw for 169 yards against Albany doesn't produce then Pitt can't win.
Take Georgia Tech
|09-08-18||San Jose State +33.5 v. Washington State||0-31||Win||100||15 h 19 m||Show|
|09-08-18||Connecticut +32 v. Boise State||7-62||Loss||-110||15 h 33 m||Show|
CONNECTICUT @ BOISE ST
Connecticut amasses 486 total yards but had trouble putting the ball in the end zone. They fumbled twice and had an interception that killed 3 drives. They were off balance defensively and allowed 5 TD passes and a 70 yard run. They are better than that and will have to try and keep their defense from giving up the big plays. Boise St is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 home games. They were held to only 111 yards on the ground and needed some big plays by their QB and some lapses by the Troy defense.
|09-08-18||USC v. Stanford -4.5||3-17||Win||100||13 h 1 m||Show|
USC @ STANFORD
USC had all they could handle last week from UNLV. They pulled awau late and had to score 34 points in the 4th quarter. They allowed UNLV to rush for over 300 yards and against Stanford that is not what they would like to see. Stanford passed for 332 yards and 4 TD's while Love was held to just 29 yards by a tough Aztec defense. Their defense held the Aztecs to 262 total yards and just 10 points in their 31-10 win. Stanford has won 5 straight game on their home field and USC will have to do better stopping the run if they can have a chance.
|09-08-18||Penn State v. Pittsburgh +9.5||51-6||Loss||-110||56 h 54 m||Show|
PITTSBURGH @ PENN ST
Pittsburg won easily in their opening game over Albany 33-7 and should be all primed for this bi rivalry game against Penn St, Penn St had to pull out an OT win last week over App St as a 24 point favorite. They allowed almost 300 passing yards and App St got over 450 total yards. QB McSorlely threw for 239 yards but found the end zone just once. Pitt's QB upset Miami last season and last week threw for 2 TD's and ran for a 3rd. Penn St gave up 28 points in the 4th quarter last week and had better be prepared foe a fired up Pitt team.
|09-08-18||Fresno State v. Minnesota -2.5||14-21||Win||100||55 h 24 m||Show|
FRESNO ST @ MINNESOTA
Fresno came up with a big win against punchless Idaho with over 340 yards in the air and on the ground. Idaho gave up some big plays and threw 5 picks that led to some easy scores. They scored 2 TD's on blocked FG's and 1 on a pick 6. Minnesota had 300 rushing yards and QB Annexstad threw for 227 yards and 3 TD's. The Gophers have to slow down the run to keep Fresno in 3rd and longs and then keep pressure on the QB in the pocket. Fresno was better offensively at home and that could play into a Minnesota win at home. Minnesota is 4-1 in their last 5 non conference games.
|09-08-18||Clemson v. Texas A&M +12.5||28-26||Win||100||55 h 13 m||Show|
CLEMSON @ TEXAS A&M
Clemson opened the season with a 48-7 win over an overmatched Furman. They rushed and passed for over 350 yards but allowed Furman to run for over 200 yards, Furman actually had the ball for over 34 minutes but had 2 fumbled and only 13 first downs. They did syop Clemson on 3rd down allowing just 4 of 12 to be successful. Texas crushed their opponent 59-7 and amassed over 750 yards including over 500 yards on the ground and 5 TD's. QB Mond was 17 for 25 for 184 yards and 2 TD's but they want the ground game to be effective against one of the better defensive line in the country. For Clemson QB Bryant passed for just 127 yards and will have to improve on that. The talented Texas LB's will need to be a big part of the defensive scheme by keeping the ground game at a minimum. This seems like a big line a nd a game Texas can come out ahead.
Take Texas A&M
|09-08-18||UMass v. Georgia Southern +1.5||13-34||Win||100||10 h 14 m||Show|
U MASS @ GEORGIA SOUTHERN
U Mass was drubbed 55=21 by Boston College who is not known for a scoring offense. They were done by half losing the game 48-7as their defense allowed 600 yards including 326 on the ground and letting the opposing QB throw 4 TD's and 279 yards. The Mass rushing game was non existent getting just 66 total yards and used 2QB's that produced only 248 yards and 1 pick with a meaningless TD in the 4th quarter. Georgia Southern did what they do best by running for over 300 yards averaging 6 yards a run and controlling the clock. They didn't face the toughest competition but held SC St to 151 total yards including 31 in the air on 2 of 10 passing. Mass was demolished and it was their 4th loss in their last 5 road games.
Take Georgia Southern
|09-08-18||Colorado +3.5 v. Nebraska||33-28||Win||100||8 h 54 m||Show|
COLORADO @ NEBRASKA
Colorado comes in with a big blowout of state rival CSU on the road. QB Montez threw for 4TD's and 338 yards while the ground game picked duo over 259 yds. Their defense held State to 103 rushing yards and less than 220 yds in the air. The game was over at the half when Colorado had built a 28-10 lead. Nebraska will have a freshman QB but good receivers if he gets time to pass. The running game will have to help to open up the pass. The defense might be the problem as they gave up at least 54 points in their last 3 games last season. If Nebraska has to play catch up the rookie QB could have a long day.
|09-08-18||Georgia State +24.5 v. NC State||7-41||Loss||-103||48 h 10 m||Show|
GA STATE @ NC STATE
Ga St lost 6vgames last season and only 1 was by more than 25 points and that was to Penn St. Their QB threw for 3 TD's while the running game picked up 130 yards and the defense held their opponent to just 6 points in the 2nd half and held their opponents passing game to 200 yards along with a pick. NC St squeezed by FCS James Madison 24-13 as their running game was held to 83yards on 29 carries for a 2.9 average. They did pass for over 3oo yards and 2 TD's but will need more offense than that to cover the spread. If they don't straighten out the running game, it could be a long afternoon for the Wolfpack.
Take Georgia State
|09-08-18||Western Michigan +28.5 v. Michigan||3-49||Loss||-105||4 h 25 m||Show|
|09-08-18||Duke v. Northwestern -2.5||21-7||Loss||-117||48 h 49 m||Show|
DUKE @ NORTHWESTERN
Northwestern picked upma big road win in their 1st game last week @ Purdue with a balanced attack that rushed for 166 yards and passes for 235. They jumped out to a 31-17 halftime lead and never looked back as their defense forced 3 interceptions and kept Purdue off balance for most of the game. Duke was held to just 381 total yards with less than 200 passing. Army controlled the ball for most of the game but Duke came up with a big play when the needed it. They were just 2 for 9 in 3rd down efficiency and will need to be better as Northwestern's defense will dictate the game. Northwestern has won 9 straight games and this should take them to 10.
|09-08-18||Mississippi State -8 v. Kansas State||31-10||Win||100||48 h 41 m||Show|
MISS ST @ KANSAS ST Miss St trounced Stephen F Austin with over 600 yards of offense that scored at least 3 TD's in each quarter. Their defense held them to just 77 yards on the ground with 177 yards in passing along with a pick. Bulldog QB Thompson passes for 364 yards and 5 td's while the running game rolled out 220 yards and 4 TD'S. The defense Held Austin to just 17% completion on 3rd downs while completing over 50% of their own. Kansas St barley squeaked by So Dakota 27-24 as 24 point favorites and had to come from behind in the 4th quarter to pull out a close win. They were behind in 3 quarters and that won't be a good plan against this strong Bulldog offense. They were outgained by over 100 yards through the air and that will be a disaster.
Take Mississippi State
|09-01-18||BYU +11 v. Arizona||28-23||Win||100||9 h 41 m||Show|
BYU @ ARIZONA
Arizona had 1 of the worst defenses in the PAC 12 last season allowing at least 35 points in 7 of their last 10 games while losing 4 of their last 5. They were also 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games but have perhaps the best QB in the conference. He will be tested as they lost 3 of their best offensive lineman to the draft and another is suspended for the first 2 games. They will be facing a team that held 7 opponents to 21 points or less and held teams to just 3.7 yards a carry. The defense is returning 7 starters from last season while the offense is starting their senior QB who passed for over 3700 yards and 23 TD's. Arizona needs to control the front line and allow QB Tate time to pass with good blocking for their running game which is easier said than done. Look for a tough defensive effort from BYU that will keep the game close.
|09-01-18||Louisville +24.5 v. Alabama||14-51||Loss||-110||6 h 42 m||Show|
LOUISVILLE VS ALABAMA
The 1 thing the Tide have been vulnerable to is the pass and Louisville has their top 3 receivers back from last year while 5 of the Tide's top 6 defensive backs are gone. No team has been better stopping the run but again the Tide lost 3 of their top 8 lineman on defense. Every year they seem to reload after losing players but Louisville is still a tough opponent without Lamar Jackson. It looks like Hurts will be starting at QB for Alabama and he isn't the passer that Tagovailoa is so the running game is going to be the main part of the Alabama offense in this game. Louisville's passing game could keep them in a tight contest if the Tide play ball control. This will be a big test for both schools so conservative play could keep the scoring tight.
|09-01-18||Michigan -2.5 v. Notre Dame||17-24||Loss||-105||5 h 26 m||Show|
MICHIGAN @ NOTRE DAME
Michigan had 1 of the best defenses in the country last year and have 9 starters returning. They had the best pass defense in the country and Notre dame will be without their leading rusher Josh Adams which only puts more pressure on the QB to come up with big plays. Michigan's defense allowed less than 19 points a game last year while the Irish struggled against the better teams they played losing to Georgia and Miami and then Stanford in their Bowl game. If their defense doesn't come up with some big plays, this game could get ugly.