10-17-20 |
Central Florida -2.5 v. Memphis | Top | 49-50 |
Loss | -109 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
In what is sure to be a crazy season of shortened schedules, opt outs, reschudeled games, etc etc the Golden Knights believed they would easily run the table and have a real shot at the playoff. After building an 18 point lead against Tulsa two weeks ago, UCF seemingly forgot they are the best team not in a major conference. 18 penalties and 3 turnovers later UCF lost and their dreams dashed. I feel bad for Memphis in this one as UCF has had 2 weeks of getting laughed at for the all the talking they did. They will be out for blood and looking to blow the Tigers out. Talented Sophmore QB Dillon Gabriel (the most vocal of the Knights about a dream season) has endured the most vitriol and will have a HUGE day. UCF WINS BIG. The Pick: Take Central Florida |
10-17-20 |
Liberty -2.5 v. Syracuse | Top | 38-21 |
Win | 100 | 13 h 58 m | Show |
The Syracuse Orange was already a mess with injuries, opt outs and just a plain lack of talent. The defense was already horrendous allowing 231 rushing yards a game but now their only good player All-American safety Andre Cisco is out for the season after a practice injury. To make matters even worse their starting quarterback Tommy Devito was lost for the season last week vs Duke and Cuse will turn to a senior backup who has 95 career attempts. It's about to be a long season for Syracuse. Liberty is one of the surprises of this weird college football season. In their first year of FBS the Flames offense has played very well under Junior transfer quarterback from Auburn Malik Willis. Willis and the Flames are more of a running team and that plays perfect in this game. The Pick: Take Liberty |
09-26-20 |
Mississippi State +16.5 v. LSU | Top | 44-34 |
Win | 100 | 53 h 2 m | Show |
Look, LSU is no doubt the more talented team. But this year is different and I might look at this differently if they had one of those walk over games to start. As you know, LSU lost a lot of firepower in the off-season. Mainly Burrow, who is not on the Bengals. I see Mississippi St hanging around in the first half and scoring enough for this to be a game. Eventually LSU should wear them down but 16.5 is too many points for me in this one PICK: Mississippi State +16.5 |
11-02-19 |
Michigan -21 v. Maryland | Top | 38-7 |
Win | 100 | 38 h 2 m | Show |
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10-05-19 |
Tulsa v. SMU -12.5 | Top | 37-43 |
Loss | -110 | 52 h 27 m | Show |
This may be my squarest best bet of the year but sometimes a blowout presents itself and you have to accept that the number still isn't high enough. This is one of those cases. SMU is an offensive machine and there is little chance Tulsa can keep up with them. I don't think SMU has enjoyed enough success to be complacent and they should hang a big number today PICK: SMU -12.5 |
09-28-19 |
Central Michigan +17.5 v. Western Michigan | Top | 15-31 |
Win | 100 | 74 h 43 m | Show |
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09-21-19 |
UCLA v. Washington State -18.5 | Top | 67-63 |
Loss | -107 | 7 h 54 m | Show |
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09-14-19 |
Arizona State v. Michigan State -13.5 | Top | 10-7 |
Loss | -107 | 123 h 58 m | Show |
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09-07-19 |
Texas A&M +17.5 v. Clemson | Top | 10-24 |
Win | 100 | 73 h 48 m | Show |
There is not doubt that Clemson is loaded but 17 and a hook is simply too much to lay on the road against a dangerous A&M team. Trevor Lawrence creates problems for any team and I expect him to connect on some big plays. That said, the Aggies have a talented and fast defense and they can create some problems in the pocket. Offensively, the Aggies will likely have to rely on the arm of Kelly’s Mond because Clemson is very tough to run on. If Mondperforms well, this could be a closer game than many expect. PICK: Texas A&M +17.5 |
09-02-19 |
Notre Dame -18 v. Louisville | Top | 35-17 |
Push | 0 | 9 h 14 m | Show |
This Notre Dame team is for real. There is a ton to love on both sides of the ball starting with signal caller, Ian Book who should take this offense to another level. Lousiville is going to have a really tough time handling the talented Irish front. Okwara and Kareem are gonna be all over Jawon Pass who, ironically, cannot pass the ball ( last year he threw 8 TD and 12 picks). This looks like a straight up rout PICK: Notre Dame -18 |
08-31-19 |
Florida Atlantic v. Ohio State -27.5 | Top | 21-45 |
Loss | -105 | 86 h 47 m | Show |
Ohio State is going to absolutely trample the Florida Atlantic run defense. They simply cannot compete with the power and speed at all. The way a team like Florida Atlantic would typically cover a spread like this is to compete on offense but I'm not seeing that either. With Singletary now playing for the Bills, they will have to rely on an inexperienced backfield that is over-matched in every way. Lane Kiffins FAU squad going to be embarrassed opening day. I fully expect 50+ from the buckeyes. Last two years they started with 77 and 52 points... PICK: Ohio St -27.5 |
08-31-19 |
South Alabama v. Nebraska -34 | Top | 21-35 |
Loss | -121 | 596 h 27 m | Show |
South Alabama is a joke. The lowly Jaguars posted a 3-9 record against pitiful competition and haven't improved in any obvious way. Nebraska, on the other hand is loaded offensively. Vet QB Martinez should start the season in full attack mode and Frost would love nothing more than to provide the home fans an absolute blowout to open the year at home. I also like the new D coordinator, Tony Tuioti, and expect some improvement there. This is looks to be something like 55-10 or worse and you should comfortably lay the points PICK: Nebraska -34 |
08-29-19 |
UCLA v. Cincinnati -3 | Top | 14-24 |
Win | 100 | 259 h 27 m | Show |
Look, there is no doubt that there should be huge improvement for this UCLA team. They have size and speed on both sides of the ball. But this just isn't the spot for the Bruins to start. Cincinnati hasn't lost a home opener since 2001. There are a couple distinct advantages the Bearcats hold in this match up. One is the newly revamped UCLA offensive line is going to struggle at times. This should create turnovers and negative plays. The second is the run game, behind Warren II will be enough to move the sticks against a young but talented UCLA team. PICK: Cincinnati -3 |
12-28-18 |
Iowa State v. Washington State OVER 56.5 | Top | 26-28 |
Loss | -101 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
A lot of reasons to think this one turns into a shootout, not the least of which is the Cougars lethal passing attack. I don’t see many answers on defense in the Alamo bowl and both coaches will be just fine with this PICK: OVER 56.5 |
12-18-18 |
Northern Illinois v. UAB -2.5 | Top | 13-37 |
Win | 100 | 140 h 47 m | Show |
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11-17-18 |
South Florida v. Temple OVER 61 | Top | 17-27 |
Loss | -109 | 92 h 38 m | Show |
Temple has quietly become an offensive machine and this number does not seem to reflect that. I don't see many roads to this not going over the number other than a bunch of fluky turnovers in the red zone or an unbelievably weak effort by South FLorida. Not expecting either as this game soars over 70 PICK: OVER 61 |
11-10-18 |
Florida State v. Notre Dame -15.5 | Top | 13-42 |
Win | 100 | 22 h 47 m | Show |
When I saw this game last week, I honestly had this pegged at 21.5 or more. This is simply a matter of value. under 17 is a steal with the far superior team in every way. There will be no upset or even much of a game as Notre Dame pours it in this hapless Florida St squad. PICK: Notre Dame -15.5 |
11-02-18 |
Colorado v. Arizona -2.5 | Top | 34-42 |
Win | 100 | 3 h 28 m | Show |
Arizona has been a major disappointment this year. Khalil Tate was looking like a Heisman candidate and it hasn't panned out. But really, this is a tale of two teams moving in different directions. Arizona is finally pulling it together behind a strong rushing attack and more big plays. Colorado needs to stop the bleeding from this 3 game losing streak to become bowl eligible and they should put up points in what looms like an up tempo game but it won't be enough to beat the home team. PICK: Arizona -2.5 |