Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
04-17-24 | Heat v. 76ers -4.5 | Top | 104-105 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: 76ers. With Joel Embiid back in the line-up, the 76ers enter the playoffs as the hottest team in the league after eight straights wins. I really love both of these coaches and understand that experience that Miami brings to the table. But this Philly defense is 100% capable of slowing down Jimmy Butler, and without their star being able to create space for himself, this Miami offense is going to be limited on the road in this diffcult venue. I smell a blowout in Philadelphia this evening! T.M. Prediction: 110-98 Philly. | |||||||
04-15-24 | Nationals v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 6-4 | Loss | -158 | 13 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Dodgers runline. Not only do I expect LA to win this game, I expect it do so in blowout fashion! LA has lost three of its last four. It won't be looking past this moment. But it all comes down to the huge pitching discrepancy on the mound. Tyler Glasnow is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.75 WHIP for LA, already battle-tested and rolling to start the season. Mitchell Parker is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and has been called up from Triple-A to make his MLB debut. He'll on a short leash. No need to over think this one. T.M. Prediction: 8-1 LA. | |||||||
04-14-24 | Padres +1.5 v. Dodgers | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Padres runline. San Diego has won three of its last four and it hands the ball to ace Yu Darvish (0-1, 3.86 ERA) who gave up four runs over three innings to the Cubs. He'll be opposed by James Paxton (2-0, 1.64), who gave up two runs over six innings in a win over the Twins on Monday. SD's line-up has dominated Paxton in the past though, while Darvish has already blanked LA over 3.2 innings earlier this seaon. While I do think an outright is possible, I'm grabbing the visitors on the spread (runline) option. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 San Diego. | |||||||
04-12-24 | Rockies v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 12-4 | Loss | -112 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays run-line. Toronto had its two game win streak snapped in last night's 6-1 loss here to Seattle, but I like the Jays to bounce back and not only win the opener of this IL series, but do so in blowout fashion. Colorado is 1-6 on the road and is just lost two of three at home to Arizona. Ryan Feltner is 0-1 with a 3.27 ERA for the Rockies, while Kevin Gausman is 0-1 with a 9.53 ERA for the Jays. Let's not read too much into Gausman's most recent disastrous start, as every starter in the league will have to deal with at least one of those types of performances over the course of a season. And with that one out of the way, I expect the steady Gausman to return to form here in this favorable matchup. T.M. Prediction: 7-2 Jays. | |||||||
04-08-24 | Purdue v. Connecticut -6.5 | Top | 60-75 | Win | 100 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Connecticut. The two best team's in the nation collide here, but I believe that the defending champs experience, and overall better defensive play will prove to be too much for the Boilermakers to handle in crunch time, and because of that I expect the Huskies to pull away not only for the win, but also the comfortable cover in the process. Edey is countered by Clingan. Dan Hurley will have a plan to counter anything Edey can do. Look for UConn's defense to be the differnce in the end. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 UConn. | |||||||
04-08-24 | Dodgers v. Twins +1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Twins runline. While I do think an outright win is possible, in the end I think the value here lies on the hungry home side and the spread option (runline.) The Dodgers just lost two of three in Chicago, including an 8-1 loss yesterday. The Twins lost two straight at home to Cleveland, but had their game postponed yesterday, giving them an extra days rest here. Bailey Ober is 0-1 with a 54.00 ERA after allowing eight runs over 1 1/3's innings to the Royals in his debut. Clearly there's only one way for Ober's performance to go in this tart. James Paxton (1-0, 0.00 ERA) makes his second start after allowing no runs over five innings in a commanding start vs. the Giants. Like his counterpart, I'll argue that there's only one way in which Paxton's performance can go in this start. T.M. Prediction: 6-3 Twins. | |||||||
04-06-24 | Hawks v. Nuggets -11.5 | Top | 110-142 | Win | 100 | 12 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets. I'm not expecting any upsets here, as this one sets up well for Denver to blowout the visiting Hawks in my opinion. Atlanta is off the 109-95 loss at Dallas, but with three whole nights off after this before a home game vs. Miami, I believe the visitors will get caught flat-footed here in the thin air of Denver. The Nuggets won't be lacking motivation here after falling 102-100 at the Clippers as 3.5-point favorites last time out. Look for Denver, who has two nights off after this, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 121-100 Denver. | |||||||
04-05-24 | Capitals +1.5 v. Hurricanes | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington Capitals. While I do think an outright win is possible, in a contest that I believe will be much more exciting and tight than what this spread is suggesting, I'm grabbing the visitors on spread option (puckline.) Washington is in a dog fight just to get in the playoffs right now, tied with the Wings for ninth spot, but just one game behind the 7th and 8th spots. It's a log-jam with just under two weeks left to go in the regular season. Carolina is in third. It's tied with Florida with 101 points. Regardless, it's the Capitals who will be risking life and limb here to pull off the upset. I say that'll be enough with the 1.5 goals to get us the money here on this one on Friday night. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Washington. | |||||||
04-02-24 | Georgia +4.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 67-84 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Georgia (MONEY-MAKER) While I clearly feel an outright victory is possible, in the end I'll recommend to grab as many points as you can. Seton Hall is coming off a 9168 win over UNLV, while Georgia advanced by taking care of Ohio State 79-77. Georgia has covered in 11 of 12 away contests this year, while Seton Hall is just 4-7 ATS away from friendly confines. Georgia continues to get undervalued and that's once again going to be the case here. Outright victory?! That's possible of course, but my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 77-76 Georgia. | |||||||
04-02-24 | Blue Jays +1.5 v. Astros | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Blue Jays run line. Houston avoided an 0-5 start by beating the Jays 10-0 yesterday. Houston threw the first no-hitter of the season, but let's not overreact here. Toronto is now 2-3 after splitting its opening series in Tampa, but I think the Jays offer great value in a bounce-back position here, with the general betting public now quick to flock back to their beloved Astros. That said, note that Jays starter Jose Berrios is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA this year already, while Astros starter Framber Valdez is 0-0 with a 5.79 ERA (and 2.36 WHIP.) I think Toronto could win this one outright, but at this great price, I'll take the Jays on the run line. T.M. Prediction: 5-4 Jays. | |||||||
03-31-24 | Tennessee +3.5 v. Purdue | Top | 66-72 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Tennessee. These teams met in Maui at the start of the year, and Purdue won 71-67. While I anticipate another tight affair here, I do believe the Vols will get their revenge this time around. That said, my official call will be to grab as many points as you can. The Vols average 79.1 PPG, while conceding 67.3, while Purdue averages 78.3 PPG, while allowing 72.9. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever of these evenly matched sides has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 76-74 Tennessee. | |||||||
03-30-24 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Red Sox runline. With nearly 80% of the early public money on the home side, despite the price, the contrarian in me is naturally pulled towards the Red Sox in this one. But oveall to lay this very reasonable price for the extra 1.5 runs is the correct call in my opinion. The Mariners offense has struggled so far. Kutter Crawford (6-8, 4.04 ERA last year) goes for the Red Sox, while the M's hand the ball to Logan Gilbert (13-7, 3.73.) Crawford is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two career starts vs. the Mariners though and I believe he can match his counterpart inning for inning. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Boston. | |||||||
03-30-24 | Clemson +3.5 v. Alabama | Top | 82-89 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 7 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Clemson (SWEET 16 GOY) In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Tigers simply keep getting underestimated, both by their opponents and the bookmakers in my opinion. Their recent win over Arizona highlights that fact. I really like Alabama, but it's weakness is its defensive play, and I say that finally comes back to haunt it here. These teams played back at the start of the year, and it was Clemson tha twon 85-77 in the ACC/SEC Challenge. While an outright is possible again, I'm grabbing the points as my official call. T.M. Prediction: 83-82 Clemson. | |||||||
03-30-24 | Celtics -6 v. Pelicans | Top | 104-92 | Win | 100 | 7 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. After back-to-back losses to ATL, I like Boston to push the pace here and get back on track in this challenging matchup. Conversely, after winning three of their last four, including a 107-100 win over Milwaukee here last time out, I suspect a letdown here from the Pels. They lost 118-112 in Boston back on January 29th, and this is just a poor matchup for New Orleans. And that's especially true considering how "locked in" I believe the visiting side will be today. So lay the points! T.M. Prediction: 123-100 Boston. | |||||||
03-29-24 | Mavs v. Kings -1 | Top | 107-103 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings. Dallas has won five straight SU and gone 4-1 ATS over that span. That includes a 132-96 win here at Sacramento three nights ago. Note that the Kings are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss vs. an opponent in which they were held to 99 or less points in. This is an important little three-game home stretch for Sacramento right near the end of the regular season and I believe it'll regroup here and avenge that setback. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Sacramento. | |||||||
03-28-24 | Red Sox +1.5 v. Mariners | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Red Sox runline. With nearly 80% of the early public money on the home side on this steep price, I definitely feel we're getting unreal value here backing the hungry visiting side on the runline option. Brayan Bello finished 12-11 with a 4.24 ERA for the Red Sox, finishing strong after a slow start. Seattle hands the ball to Luis Castillo, who was 13-9 with a 3.34 ERA. I like Bello to match Castillo inning for inning and in a contest like that, I believe the value swings to the undervalued road dog. T.M. Prediction: 4-3 Boston. | |||||||
03-28-24 | Alabama +4.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Alabama. These are the two highest scoring teams left in the Tournament. North Carolina has the slightly better oveall defense, but the Tide have looked great here over the first two games of this tournament. The Tide have extremely efficient outside shooting and it's the toughest offense that UNC has faced yet. Bama and the points is the correct call in my opinion in this matchup. T.M. Prediction: 87-86 UNC. | |||||||
03-28-24 | Celtics -16 v. Hawks | Top | 122-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. Boston is 57-15 while Atlanta is 32-39. The Celtics play with revenge after a 120-118 loss to the Hawks last time out, and note that the C's are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an oppponent. The Hawks will likely be in the "play in," but the Hawks have several injuries which makes Boston the correct call here. The revenge factor is the difference for me. T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Boston. | |||||||
03-27-24 | Suns +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns. Phoenix is 41-30, including 19-16 on the road. Denver is 51-21, including 29-6 at home. The Nuggets have won four straight, but they fell 117-107 in OT to the Suns on March 5th, and I think they'll have their hands full here too at home. Phoenix had its three-game win streak snapped in a 104-102 loss at San Antonio, two nights after beating the Spurs 131-106 on the road and clearly getting caught "looking ahead" to this matchup. Phoenix is hungry to improve here and I suspect a very competitive affair in this one. So grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Denver. | |||||||
03-27-24 | UNLV +5.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 68-91 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNLV. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Rebels are off the 79-70 home win over Boston College, while Seton Hall beat UNT here 72-58. The Rebels' superior offense will keep them this game late. And with 70% of the public money on the home side, the contrarian in me is also pleased with this wager. While I wouldn't be shocked by an outright, my official call is to grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Seton Hall. | |||||||
03-25-24 | Hornets v. Cavs -11.5 | Top | 92-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cavaliers. After three straight losses, including a humbling 121-84 loss at Miami just last night, I like the Cavaliers to finally bounce back here at home in this favorable matchup and to take out their frustrations on the lowly Hornets. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more SU/ATS setbacks in a row. This is the opener of a home and home set between the clubs, so look for Cleveland to send the early message. T.M. Prediction: 115-90 Cleveland. | |||||||
03-25-24 | Chicago State +4.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago State. Fairfield advanced by beating UALR 82-75 yesterday, but I feel that it'll be "gassed" here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Chicago State though enters off a 77-75 win over San Diego State as a 9.5-point dog to advance and I think it keeps that momentum rolling here, as it's had an extra days rest. The outright is possible, but let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-71 Chicago State. | |||||||
03-24-24 | Cavs +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 84-121 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cavaliers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Cleveland is in fact 21-13 on the road, while Miami is just 17-16 at home this season. The Cavs are off B2B SU/ATS losses, so will clearly be motivated. And they also play with the added-incentive of "revenge" after falling 107-104 as 3-point favs at home to the Heat earlier in the week, and note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a fav. vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 103-102 Cleveland. | |||||||
03-23-24 | Oakland +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland. I think that 14th seeded Oakland has a legit shot at winning this one outright. NC State enters as the 11th seed. Oakland upset Kentucky 80-76, while the Wolfpack beat Texas Tech 80-67. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are super similar. They've very evenly matched teams and matchup well. Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor that the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line at times, and in my opinion, whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top, that's how evenly matched it really is. T.M. Prediction: 74-72 Oakland. | |||||||
03-23-24 | Michigan State +4 v. North Carolina | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State. While I do think that an outright victory is definitely not out of the realm of possibility obviously which such a small spread (and while I do think "sprinkling" a little on they money line is a wise move as well,) my official call is to grab as many points as you can in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Michigan State and Tom Izzo cruised to a 69-51 wiin over Mississippi State and I'm expecting them to carry that momentum over here. The Tar Heels had little problem with a tired Wagner, winning 90-62. But, while I'll admit this is a big step up in competition for the Spartans, it's also a huge step up in competition for the Tar Heels. Everything points to a "nail-biter," so I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Michigan State. | |||||||
03-22-24 | Stetson +26.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-91 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stetson. Do I think that UConn is going to win this game?! Yes, I do. Do I believe the Huskies will win this game by essentially four TD's?! No, I don't! The Hatters finished 22-12, while UConn was 31-3. This is Stetson's first ever trip to the Big Dance, and clearly they've drawn a tough opponent. But Stetson looked good in its 94-91 conference tournament win over Austin Peay, and I expect it to carry that momentum over here. Dan Hurley's Huskies may very well repeat as Champion, but I think this one will be a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. This Hatters offense can score with anyone in the nation. Look for the strong/easy/comfortable backdoor cover as this one comes down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 UConn. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State +1.5 | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington State. Drake finished 28-6 and Washington State was 24-9. Washington State earned a spot by finishing second in the Pac 12 with a 14-6 record, losing to Colorado in the semi-finals of the Tourney. Drake advanced by beating the Top seed in the MVC (Indiana State), to advance. Drake averages 80.3 PPG, while allowing 70.6, while Washington State averages 74.3, while conceding only 66.3. Drake lacks the depth that the Cougars bring to the table and that's the difference-maker for me. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Washington State. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Kings v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards (NON-CONF GOM) The Wizards are in full on tank mode, but there are still plenty of spots where it makes sense to wager on them and grab up all the points, and this is one of those spots in my opinion. The Kings are coming off two straight victories, but after beating Toronto 123-89 last night, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Note that the Kings are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road win in which they held their opponent to 89 or fewer points in. The Kings have a much more high-profile game at Orlando after this and I think they get caught looking ahead. T.M. Prediction: 119-116 Sacramento. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Long Beach State v. Arizona -20 | Top | 65-85 | Push | 0 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona. I believe Arizona will not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion. LBSU averages 76.5 PPG, while the Wildcats average 88. Yes, Arizona stumbled down the stretch, but the longer lay-off to prepare for this one will be the difference. Look for Arizona to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 96-67 Arizona. | |||||||
03-20-24 | Appalachian State v. Wake Forest -6.5 | Top | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest. I think the 27-6 Appalachian State Mountaineers won't be able hang down the stretch with the 20-13 Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the first round of the NIT. App Stae lost 67-65 to Arkansas State in the Sun Belt Championship, led by 15 points from Terence Harcum. Wake lost 81-69 to Pitt in the ACC Tournament quarterfinal, led by 23 points from Cameron Hildreth. Wake Forest is the more motivated team here in my estimation. It averages 78.2 PPG and the home floor advantage will be huge down the stretch. Look for App State to stumble in the second half and for the home side to extend with a big win and cover. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 Wake. | |||||||
03-19-24 | Richmond +5.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 58-74 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond. Both teams lost to lower-seeded teams in their conference tournament openers, so each saw its NCAA Tournament hopes dashed. Now they face off here in Virginia Tech in the NIT. The Spiders finished 23-9 and the Hokies were 18-14. Richmond's loss to St. Joe's was the bigger upset clearly, as it was the No. 1 seed in the A-10 Tournament. "I think that a postseason appearance, more than ever before, is a great accomplishment," 19-year coach Chris Mooney said Monday. "We've already had a tremendous accomplishment, winning the regular-season championship. This is another opportunity to play in the postseason, to play at an ACC school we greatly respect." While I do think an outright is possible, my call is to grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 73-71 Richmond. | |||||||
03-19-24 | Rockets v. Wizards +9.5 | Top | 137-114 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards. I think Houston will likely win this game outright, but it won't even come close to covering the spread. Yes, the Wizards are terrible, but Houston, despite winning five in a row, is still just 9-24 on the road. The Rockets return home for three straight after this, so this is a natural "letdown" spot vs. the lowly Wizards. Who do in fact play with revenge after a 135-119 loss at Houston just last week. Look for Washington to be much more competitive here here on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Houston. | |||||||
03-19-24 | Wagner +3.5 v. Howard | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wagner. These two teams got hot at the right time and won their conference tournaments. Wagner finished 16-15, while Howard was 18-16. The Bison though have a terrible defense and struggle with defending the rim. Something that Wagner does well. I think the Seahawks have a chance of winning this one outright. You may want to consider sprinkling a little on the moneyline here. Whoever wins, they're journey in the Big Dance will end in the next round, but this one has the "feel" of whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. And so because of that, I'm grabbing the points for sure! T.M. Prediction: 65-64 Wagner. | |||||||
03-15-24 | East Carolina +7.5 v. South Florida | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina. I like ECU to build off its 84-79 win over Tulsa yeterday. Rest leads to rust for the Bulls in my esimtation, who actually lost 76-70 to Tulsa in their regular-season finale. Off that recent common opponent matchup to compare, I think ECU has a legit shot at winning this one outright. That said, let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 USF. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Suns +6 v. Celtics | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns. I really do see this one coming right down to the wire. Phoenix is a respectable 17-13 on the road. The Suns have won three of their last four, including a 117-111 win at Cleveland last time out. The only loss in that time came against the Celtics at home just last week, falling 117-107, and note that the Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a straight-up and against-the-spread home loss as a dog versus an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Boston. | |||||||
03-14-24 | NC State v. Duke -11.5 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke. NC State is the tenth seed, and Duke is No. 2. The Wolfpack finished 19-14, while the Blue Devils were 24-7. But after taking down Louisville and Syracuse, I say NC State's run in the Tournament comes to a resounding close tonight. The Blue Devils fell to UNC in their final regular season game by a score of 84-79, so they'll be extra pissed in this one (LOL!) Duke beat NC State in Raleigh back on March 4th by a score of 79-64, and all signs point to an even bigger blowout this time around. T.M. Prediction: 85-65 Duke. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -6.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State. Both teams finished 18-13, but this is one that favors the Spartans here now in the Conference Tourney in my opinion. These teams played twice in the regular season and they went 1-1. The Gophers got smashed 90-66 by Northwestern in their final regular season game, while Michigan State fell just short in a 65-64 setback to Indiana. Look for the Spartans to carry over that momentum here and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Michigan State. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Arizona State v. Utah -5.5 | Top | 57-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah. I'm expecting a decisive victory for the Utes in this one. ASU finished 14-17, while Utah finished 18-12. Arizona State comes in with zero moment after three straight losses to end the season. Utah also closed with two straight losses, but the difference is that the Utes have a chance to "right a wrong" here in the opener of the Tournament. Utah lost 85-77 at home to ASU on February 10th as 13-point favorites. Note though that the Utes are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. In my opinion, this spread should or could in fact be a lot larger, so that swings the value in favor to Utah for sure in this one. T.M. Prediction: 80-66 Utes. | |||||||
03-13-24 | Lakers -2 v. Kings | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. No need to overthink this one. The Lakers are playing their best basketball of the year right now arguably. They catch the Kings off a satisfying home win over the Bucks just last night. LA's only loss in its last four games game against Sacramento at home last week, and note that the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 124-116 LA. | |||||||
03-13-24 | Rice +3.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rice. While I do think an outright is very possible, my official call is to grab the points. The Owls finished 11-20, while the Shockers were only slightly better at 13-18. On the season Rice averaged 71.7, while allowing 75.3, while Wichita State averaged 72.8, while allowing 73.1. These teams squared off two weeks ago and the Shockers managed a 21-point home victory as 5.5-point favorites. But the Owls let that one go early, and now here in this neutral location, I think that the tean that has its hands on the ball last will win. So I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Rice. | |||||||
03-12-24 | Celtics v. Jazz +6.5 | Top | 123-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz. While only 28-36 overall, the Jazz are a much more respectable 19-12 at home thi syear. The Celtics are 50-14 overall and 21-11 on the road, but I say they get caught looking ahead to their home game vs. the Suns next, as this is the finale of their road-trip. The Jazz play with revenge after a 126-97 loss at Boston in early January. They're off B2B losses, but I expect Utah to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door in this revenge-scenario. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 117-115 Boston. | |||||||
03-12-24 | Canisius +4.5 v. Mt. St. Mary's | Top | 77-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius. Canisius finished 13-17, while Mount St. Mary's was 13-18. These teams played very recently, and for the most part I'm basing this selection off the results of that contest. It was very recent, so we don't have to look back to far to get our comparisons. In that game Canisius won 61-56 as a two-point fav. Granted, it was a thome and the Golden Griffins play much better at home, but because this is a neutral site affair, I actually feel that these two sides are much more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. I feel the outright is possible as well. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Canisius. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Texas State +13 v. James Madison | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas State. I'm expecting a super tight battle here between these teams. Yes, James Madison did finish 28-3 SU this year, but it was consistently overvalued in my opinion. Texas State finished 17-17, but it's coming in off three straight victories to reach this point of the tournament and I believe it carries that momentum over here. The Dukes beat Marshall yesterday, but I believe they'll have difficulty covering this large spread on the second game of the B2B scenario. No outright, but closer than expected. T.M. Prediction: 72-70 James Madison. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -14.5 | Top | 93-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder. No reason not to believe we'll see a complete blowout here. Memphis is off the 99-92 home loss to Atlanta, but it fell 116-97 to the Thunder here back in mid-December, and I'm expecting a similar final outcome here as well. The Thunder have won B2B games and with three "winnable" home contests here, starting with this one, I do expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 OKC. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Spurs v. Warriors -10 | Top | 126-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors. The Warriors are off the 125-122 home loss to the Bulls as 8.5-point favorites, one night after hammering the Bucks 125-90. With Spurs' star "Wemby" expected to be sidelined for this one though, look for Golden State to bounce back here in this favorable spot, as note that the Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their L9 off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Everything points to a blowout here for sure in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: Golden State 127-100. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Brentford v. Arsenal -1.75 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -122 | 24 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arsenal on the spread option. Arsenal is in third place in the Premier League and it enters on top form, as most recently the Gunners hammered Sheffield United by a score of 6-0. Brentford doesn't stand a chance here. It enters currently in 15th and was lucky to hold on for a 2-2 draw with Chelsea last week. Arsenal is on an offensive tear right now, becoming the first EPL team to score more than 30 goals over the first seven games in a calendar year. Look for the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish in another big lop-sided blowout win. T.M. Prediction: 4-1 Arsenal. | |||||||
03-08-24 | Bucks v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. I think it's "all hands on deck" for the Lake Show tonight! The Bucks are a mediocre 16-15 SU on the road this year, while the Lakers are an above average 23-11 at home. The Bucks JUST had their big win streak snapped in a 125-90 loss at Golden State. They've played without star Giannis the last couple games and if he DOES suit up tonight, I think he'll be a "non-factor" as he continues to work through his injury. The Lakers have been trading wins/losses over their last four games and off a listless 130-120 setback to the Kings here last time out, I think this pattern continues. Grab the points though. T.M. Prediction: 122-110 Lakers. | |||||||
03-07-24 | UAB v. Temple +3 | Top | 100-72 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Temple. UAB is 18-11, including 6-5 on the road, while Temple is 11-18, including 5-8 at home. The Blazers though are playing terribly righ tnow, loser of two straight. With a home game vs. 20-10 SMU to end the season up next, I say the visitors get caught looking ahead. The Owls are off a tight 72-67 home loss to Tulsa as six-point favs, but note that Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Temple. | |||||||
03-05-24 | Holy Cross +4.5 v. Army | Top | 84-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Holy Cross. Two bad teams. Holy Cross finished 9-22 and Army was 10-21. But this pick is based entirely on "revenge," and specifically the "double revenge" factor. Army won both meetings between the tams this year, 70-57 at home on January 6 and 59-53 on the road on February 17. Holy Cross is 8-2 ATS (that's 80% of the time it's cashed in this spot) in trying to avenge two straight SU/ATS losses in a row vs. a conference opponent. In a contest that I see coming right down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points (but don't be afraid to sprinkle a little on the moneyline here as well!) T.M. Prediction: 65-64 Holy Cross. | |||||||
03-03-24 | Warriors v. Celtics -10.5 | Top | 88-140 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. The Warriors have injuries and other issues with their line-up hence the large line. Golden State has won three straight SU/ATS on the road, all as a fav, but note that the Warriors are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS road wins in a row. Golden State gets caught "looking ahead" as well to a few nights off, before three straight at home starting with the Bucks. Boston plays with revenge as well after a 132-126 OT loss at Golden State in December. Look for the Celtics, who have won ten straight, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 130-100 Boston. | |||||||
03-02-24 | Jazz +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz. The Jazz have lost the first two games of their road trip, but they catch the Heat at a good time here. Utah actually beat Miami at home at the start of the season. I'm not predicting an outright win here or anything for the visitors, but it does set up well for the underdog. The Heat return home after going 5-1 on their road trip. They went 6-0 ATS. They lost their final game at Denver. First game back at home = letdown spot! Let's take advantage, I'm grabbing the points in this one and rolling with the Jazz. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Miami. | |||||||
03-01-24 | Arkansas State +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 57-80 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arkansas State. Arkansas State is 16-14, while App State is 25-5. The Red Wolves though are playing extremely well with six straight wins and with the final game of the year here, I'm expecting the back door to be wide-open as App State gets caught "looking ahead" to the conference tournament. App State has won six in a row, but this spread is just too large in my opinion. No outright, but right down to the wire. T.M. Prediction: 125-124 App State. | |||||||
02-29-24 | Avalanche -1.5 v. Blackhawks | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: COL - Spread I like the Colorado Avalanche to win this game against the Chicago Blackhawks on Thursday, February 29th. Coming in off a big blowout win against Dallas in their last game, Colorado is looking start a winning streak. It hasn't been amazing on the road this year for them, but they still own a better record on the road than the Blackhawks do at home. Chicago have really fallen apart after the first few weeks of the season. They have lost four games in a row now. I've got the Avalanche big here on Thursday. T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Avalanche. Line: -1.5, -115 Line Parameter: play until -1.5, -145.. | |||||||
02-25-24 | American v. Colgate -11.5 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colgate - ATS I like the Colgate Raiders to win this game against the American Eagles on Sunday, February 25th. It's been 12 straight games now for the Raiders without a single loss. American, on the other hand, have lost back to back games now. They've also lost four of their last six games. American's offense isn't great and shouldn't be able to keep up with Colgate's ability to score. They hammered them earlier this season and I expect them to hammer them again. T.M. Prediction: 81-61 Colgate. Line: -11.5 Line Parameter: play until -12.5.. | |||||||
02-22-24 | CS Sacramento v. Montana -13 | Top | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana - ATS I like the Montana Grizzlies to win this game against the Sacramento State Hornets on Thursday, February 22nd. Coming off a huge blowout win against their rivals Montana State, the Grizzlies are looking to close out the season with a bang. This one should be easy for them as the Hornets have lost ten straight games. One of those losses came against this very Montana team. It was a battle, with the Grizzlies squeaking out the tight victory in the end. This time, I believe that Montana will show them no mercy, especially at home. CSUS is a sad 1-12 on the road and they are just 8-16-1 ATS in all games this season. Montana, on the other hand, are 14-9 ATS. This should be an easy win for Montana. T.M. Prediction: 81-58 Montana. Line: -13.0 Line Parameter: play until -15.0.. | |||||||
02-21-24 | James Madison -6.5 v. Marshall | Top | 84-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: JMU - ATS I like the James Madison Dukes to win this game against the Marshall Thundering Herd on Wednesday, February 21st. It's been an amazing season so far for JMU. They've been crushing it in the Sun Belt and could very well finish as the top seed in this conference heading into the tournament. But, a win here is crucial if they want to have a shot. Marshall have lost three straight games and don't look like they are at their best. I believe that JMU is better both offensively and defensively. Expect a huge win for the Dukes. T.M. Prediction: 85-72 JMU. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. | |||||||
02-16-24 | Hurricanes v. Coyotes +1.5 | Top | 5-1 | Loss | -145 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: ARI - Spread I like the Arizona Coyotes to win this game against the Carolina Hurricanes on Friday, February 16th. Yes, the Coyotes have lost seven games in a row. Yes, the Hurricanes won the only meeting between the two this season. Yes, Carolina owns the better record. Well, Arizona is ready to turn things around. It wasn't the best news they've heard when goaltender Connor Ingram got hurt in their last game. Having said that, Vejmelka is actually better than his record. He's still decently young and could prove to be the starter next season. In this building Arizona plays very well. Carolina has been a lot worse on the road than at home this season as well. I'll gladly take my chances on the Coyotes to bounce out of this slump, plus the extra goal and a half on Friday. T.M. Prediction: 4-2 Coyotes. Line: +1.5, -145 Line Parameter: play until +1.5, -175.. | |||||||
02-15-24 | Wolves -9 v. Blazers | Top | 128-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIN - ATS I like the Minnesota Timberwolves to win this game against the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday, February 15th. After beating the Blazers by 12 just the other day, the TWolves look to win by even more tonight. Minnesota have now won three straight games and are feeling it again. Portland have lost five in a row. Although Portland kept the last game close throughout, I don't believe that they'll have much luck today. Minnesota was on a back to back and now have had a days rest. Hammer Minnesota tonight. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 TWolves. Line: -9.0 Line Parameter: play until -10.5.. | |||||||
02-10-24 | Tennessee v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M I like the Texas A&M Aggies to win this game against the Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday, February 10th. This is a massive game for both teams. A & M need to keep winning games to secure a spot in the dance. Tennessee doesn't want to lose to teams that aren't ranked. Looking at this game, the home team should be the favorite. They are very strong on this court and this is one of the hardest conferences to win on the road. This is a massive play on the Aggies to take care of business. T.M. Prediction: 78-67 Aggies Line: +2.5 Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) | |||||||
02-10-24 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHI - ATS I like the Philadelphia 76ers to win this game against the Washington Wizards on Saturday, February 10th. Entering this game off four losses in a row, this line is very low. Yes, the Wizards competed against the Celtics last night in a very close game. But, this is a Wizards team that still aren't very good. Philly hammered them by 45 points back in December. I'm expecting another dominating performance from the 76ers to get back in the winning column as they do not want to slip any further in the standings. T.M. Prediction: 129-105 76ers. Line: -4.0 Line Parameter: play until -5.5.. | |||||||
02-09-24 | San Diego State +2 v. Nevada | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SDST - ATS I like the San Diego State Aztecs to win this game against the Nevada Wolfpack on Friday February 9th. As much as home-court advantage means in a game like this, I believe that the skill of SDST won't let that matter in this game. We saw the Aztecs take care of business with a double digit win a week ago against these guys. They held Nevada to only 59 points. Even though Nevada is coming off a very impressive double digit win on the road themselves against USU, they've been in and out recently, losing four of their last three. Give me the Aztecs to win this game on the road. T.M. Prediction: 74-62 Aztecs. Line: +2.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.0.. | |||||||
02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers -6.5 | Top | 128-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: POR - ATS I like the Portland Trail Blazers to win this game against the Detroit Pistons on Thursday, February 8th. with two bad teams, it's hard to pick a winner sometimes. Having said that, I don't believe that the Blazers are that bad. Yes, their record is pretty sub-par. But, they've got talent on their roster. Detroit just lost Burks and Bogdanovic in a trade with the Knicks. It's going to be a struggle for a team that's already struggling. On the back-end of a back to back, I don't see Detroit competing much tonight. Give me Portland against the spread. T.M. Prediction: 119-104 Trail Blazers. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. | |||||||
02-07-24 | Loyola Marymount -3 v. San Diego | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LMU - ATS I like the Loyola Marymount Lions to win this game against the San Diego Toreros on Wednesday, January 7th. After starting the season quite strong, the Lions have became slightly inconsistent. The losing record should not deceive you though. This is a team that can matchup well against most teams, with two 7footers. The Toreros don't even have one of those. San Diego is playing well right now, having won three of their last four games (each on the road.) But, they've lost four games in a row at home. San Diego have also gone 3-13 in their last 16 games played in the month of February. Hammer the Lions on Wednesday to get revenge from last years loss. T.M. Prediction: 83-67 LMU. Line: -3.0 Line Parameter: play until -5.0 (can play ML until -180..) | |||||||
02-04-24 | Clippers v. Heat +4.5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday, February 4th. According to many, the Clippers are the favorites to win the championship this season. But, I believe that they still have their problems that they need to resolve before the playoffs start. Winning on the road hasn't been necessarily easy for them this season. Off back to back wins, I've got the Heat upsetting the Clippers on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 111-105 Heat. Line: +4.5 Line Parameter: play until +2.0.. | |||||||
02-03-24 | Auburn -3 v. Ole Miss | Top | 91-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn - ATS I like the Auburn Tigers to win this game against the Mississippi Rebels on Saturday, February 3rd. Ole Miss is overrated. They may have a better record than the Tigers, but I believe that they are most definitely not as strong. When the Rebels have played good competition, they've folded and lost by a ton. In this very matchup when Auburn was at home, it was a complete destruction. As we switch venues, Auburn remains the favorite, as they should. But, the line has dropped a ton. I think it's dropped way too much and I believe that this one could get ugly as well. Even though MISS has yet to lose a home game, I believe that this is the game they'll taste defeat. Auburn is the better overall team and I believe that they'll get the job done on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 81-66 Auburn. Line: -3.0 Line Parameter: play until -6.5.. | |||||||
02-02-24 | Columbia v. Harvard -5.5 | Top | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Havard - ATS I like the Harvard Crimson to win this game against the Columbia Lions on Friday, February 2nd. Both teams come in with identical records. However, home court advantage has been key in both teams success so far. Having said that, it hasn't really mattered who's home or away when these teams meet. Harvard has won nine straight meetings between these teams and they've covered the spread in back to back. Expect them to win a 10th in a row on Friday. Let's go Crimson. T.M. Prediction: 84-70 Harvard. Line: -5.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.5.. | |||||||
01-30-24 | Syracuse +5 v. Boston College | Top | 75-80 | Push | 0 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Syracuse - ATS I like the Syracuse Orange to win this game against the Boston College Eagles on Tuesday, January 30th. Winning multiple games in a row against conference opponents is very impressive, considering that home court normally changes from game to game. Looking back at these two teams, Syracuse has absolutely dominating the Eagles in recent meetings. Since 2019, the Orange are a perfect 10-0 straight up against BC. They've covered in nine of them, but a win here by any amount would suffice. Boston College have failed to cover their spread in four straight games. Expect the Orange to come away with an 11th straight win in this matchup on Tuesday. Max bet on CUSE. T.M. Prediction: 84-74 Syracuse. Line: +5.0 Line Parameter: play until +1.5.. | |||||||
01-28-24 | Chiefs +4.5 v. Ravens | Top | 17-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: KC - ATS I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game against the Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, January 28th. Even though Baltimore is the home team and had the better record this season, I believe that the Chiefs bring in all of the momentum into this game. They are coming off a massive road win against Buffalo and proved everyone that they can win on the road. This will be their 6th straight AFC Championship game. Expect a legacy game for Mahomes and slowly gets closer to the G.O.A.T debate. T.M. Prediction: 24-17 Chiefs. Line: +4.5 Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. | |||||||
01-27-24 | Mercer v. NC-Greensboro -11.5 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNC Greensboro - ATS I like the UNC Greensboro Spartans to win this game against the Mercer Bears on Saturday, January 27th. Having won four straight, the Spartans are on a roll. They are now 15-5 on the year and have yet to lose on their home court. On the other hand, Mercer have lost five in a row. They struggle to score and that's going to be an issue against a very solid NC Greensboro team. Free Throws have also been a problem for the Bears as they are shooting just 65.6% as a team this year. The home team leads in almost every category and this game could get ugly real fast. At home, this has the makings of a blow-out. Hammer the Spartans as a max play. T.M. Prediction: 78-56 UNC Greensboro. Line: -11.5 Line Parameter: play until -14.0.. | |||||||
01-25-24 | Utah Tech v. Abilene Christian -6 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Abilene Christian - ATS I like the Abilene Christian Wildcats to win this game against the Utah Tech TrailBlazers on Thursday, January 25th. Both teams are 7-11, but the home team is definitely stronger in my opinion. They are significantly better on the offensive side, and the defense will come from the Wildcats. Coming off a win, they'll have much more confidence than the road team. Utah Tech have lost back to back games and have never beaten ACU in their schools history (3 games.) Expect the Wildcats to dominate this game and build even more confidence. T.M. Prediction: 83-66 ACU. Line: -6.0 Line Parameter: play until -7.5.. | |||||||
01-24-24 | NC State v. Virginia -5 | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UVA - ATS I like the Virginia Cavaliers to win this game against the NC State Wolfpack on Wednesday, January 24th. Coming into this game, the Cavaliers have won back to back games. They are starting to heat up and look to build on that here today. NC State is coming off a loss and don't look very strong right now. Having already beaten UVA this season, this is a revenge spot for them. Expect Virginia to dominate here offensively and defensively. T.M. Prediction: 74-61 UVA. Line: -5.0 Line Parameter: play until -6.5.. | |||||||
01-23-24 | Belmont +2 v. Illinois State | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Belmont - ATS I like the Belmont Bruins to win this game against the Illinois State RedBirds on Tuesday, January 23rd. Illinois State hasn't really been all that impressive at home this season. They've actually lost three straight on their home court and I believe that they could be in for another defeat here. Belmont is the real deal and I think they are much better than ILST. Hammer the Bruins here today. T.M. Prediction: 81-72 Belmont. Line: +2.0 Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..) | |||||||
01-19-24 | Canisius v. Iona -7.5 | Top | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iona - ATS I like the Iona Gaels to win this game against the Canisius Golden Griffins on Friday, January 19th. As we look at both teams, there isn't really anything appealing in this matchup. Iona is at home and they both own the same record. But, the Gaels have dominated in head-to-head games against Canisius. They've won nine straight meetings and I expect them to make it 10 in a row. Canisius is not good on the road. Hammer Iona - the points. T.M. Prediction: 79-66 Iona. Line: -7.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.5.. | |||||||
01-18-24 | Wichita State +15.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wichita State - ATS I like the Wichita State Shockers to cover the spread in this game against the Florida Atlantic Owls on Thursday, January 18th. We all know that the Owls are capable of winning games as they went on that incredible run last season and have all of their starters back. But, I think that they are slightly overrated right now. They've played in plenty of close games this season. Looking at their schedule so far, they've only won four of their thirteen games by more than this number. They've played in seven straight games that were within 13 points. Wichita State have lost five straight, but they still own an 8-8 record. Look for them to fight here and cover this spread at least - possible upset. T.M. Prediction: 88-84 FAU. Line: +15.5 Line Parameter: play until +14.5.. | |||||||
01-13-24 | Portland v. San Francisco -16 | Top | 69-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Francisco - ATS I like the San Francisco Dons to win this game against the Portland Pilots on Saturday, January 13th. After having a solid squad last year, the Pilots just aren't it this season. They've won just a single game on the road all season against a poor opponent in North Dakota. They are also coming off a 43pt loss against St. Mary's in their last game. On the other hand, the Dons are perfect at home this year. Although they haven't won all of them by 16+, they've still been quite dominant. They are 11-5 ATS so far this season while Portland is just 7-8. Dons dominate this game. T.M. Prediction: 87-61 SF. Line: -16.0 Line Parameter: play until -17.5.. | |||||||
01-10-24 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 111-124 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver - ATS I like the Denver Nuggets to win this game against the Utah Jazz on Wednesday, January 10th. Even though they've won back to back games, Utah just isn't good enough to win this game against a top Nuggets team. Denver is back on track after beating the Pistons in their last game and should be able to go on another long winning streak now. Utah is just 7-12 ATS over their last 19 games after scoring 130+ in their last game. I've got Denver turning it up a notch on Wednesday, especially with the one extra day of rest. Hammer the Nuggets. T.M. Prediction: 123-106 Nuggets. **biggest northwest division bet of the season Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Providence +11 v. Creighton | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Providence - ATS I like the Providence Friars to win this game against the Creighton Blue Jays on Saturday, January 6th. Even though the Friars are ranked (Creighton is not,) they are still double digit underdogs. That shows you just how good everyone thinks this Creighton team is. Yes, they are good. But, I don't believe that they'll win this game by that many points if they end up winning. Providence is coming off a loss, but have played extremely well this season and have only lost once by more than this spread all year. Give me Providence. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 Providence. Line: +11.0 Line Parameter: play until +9.0.. | |||||||
12-29-23 | Missouri +6 v. Ohio State | Top | 14-3 | Win | 100 | 7 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MISSOU - ATS I like the Missouri Tigers to win this game against the Ohio State Buckeyes on Friday, December 29th. As injuries have pilled up and opt outs have been recorded, the line has came down significantly. Having seen that, I think that the value is still on the Missouri Tigers. They were one of the best teams in the best conference this season and have yet to show any signs of real weakness. OSU will be without the QB they started all season and could be without Marvin Harrison Jr (nobody knows yet.) The Tigers lost by single digits @UGA and lost a thriller against LSU. The Buckeyes are still sour about their loss against Michigan and that could carry on into this game. Brady Cook will explode on Friday evening and Missou will hand OSU their second loss of the year. T.M. Prediction: 31-23 Missouri. Line: +6.0 Line Parameter: play until ML.. | |||||||
12-24-23 | Jaguars -1 v. Bucs | Top | 12-30 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Jacksonville - ATS I like the Jacksonville Jaguars to win this game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Sunday, December 24th. Jacksoville looked bad last week. They've now lost three straight and this has become a massive game for them. Even though it's big for Tampa as well, this is a game that the Jags fans would have counted as a winner not many weeks ago. With Lawrence back healthy it looks like, I think that they can still count it as a winner. T.M. Prediction: 34-21 Jaguars. Line: -1.0 Line Parameter: play until -2.5.. | |||||||
12-21-23 | Saints +4 v. Rams | Top | 22-30 | Loss | -105 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NO - ATS I like the New Orleans Saints to win this game against the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday, December 21st. This is a humongous game for both of these teams as we head down the stretch. Both are fighting for their lives to try and grab a playoff spot and a win here would be gigantic. The Saints have won back to back now and their defense looks great. LAR is coming off a win themselves, but have struggled a bit defensively this season. In a matchup that still haunts the Saints from 2019 and that awful call, I expect them to rally and win this game on TNF. T.M. Prediction: 27-23 Saints. Line: +4.0 Line Parameter: play until +3.0.. | |||||||
12-20-23 | Howard v. UC-Santa Barbara -8.5 | Top | 81-94 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UC Santa Barbara - ATS I like the University of Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos to win this game against the Howard Bison on Wednesday, December 20th. Looking at this game, I believe that it will be a blowout. The Gauchos have now won back to back and look to be heating up after the road win against LMU. The Bison have lost back to back including a one point loss last time out at home against a 1-8 Texas Southern team. That shocking loss will leave doubt in the minds of some of the Howard plays leading into this game and for a while. A very winnable game that was and to lose by one like that is dreadful. UCSB is 90+ spots ahead in KenPom and have the much stronger offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. I expect a cover at the very least here today for the Gauchos. T.M. Prediction: 91-68 UCSB. Line: -8.5 Line Parameter: play until -10.5.. | |||||||
12-18-23 | Wolves v. Heat +1 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIA - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday, December 18th. Although the TWolves have been the best team in the West and maybe even in the NBA so far this season, I still aren't fully convinced that they'll stay like this. Yes, they've got the talent, but I still believe that Anthony Edwards is one more season away from becoming one of the best. He's extremely good, but not quite at the level of some of these superstars quite yet. Miami gets back Herro and Bam this game and should be pretty much back to full strength. They've got depth and they've got the length to guard the TWolves. I'll grab the Heat at home here. T.M. Prediction: 118-109 Heat. Line: +1.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.5 (can play ML..) | |||||||
12-17-23 | Chiefs -7.5 v. Patriots | Top | 27-17 | Win | 100 | 9 h 50 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: KC- ATS I like the Kansas City Chiefs to win this game against the New England Patriots on Sunday, December 17th. The Chiefs are now off back to back losses and they are slipping down in the ranks. This has turned into a huge game for them as they do not want to fall further and let the Broncos take the lead for the division. The Patriots have not been very good this season and shouldn't be this week. Expect Mahomes and Kelce to dominate and for the Chiefs to cruise to an easy victory on Sunday afternoon. T.M. Prediction: 31-9 Chiefs. Line: -7.5 Line Parameter: play until -11.5.. | |||||||
12-15-23 | Hawks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta - ATS I like the Atlanta Hawks to win this game against the Toronto Raptors on Friday, December 15th. While these teams both played on Wednesday and the Raptors took the victory, I expect a rebound game for the Hawks. Atlanta is still a fairly good team even with the poor record. The've lost five straight games now and need this one to gain confidence. Expect them to get it done. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Hawks. Line: +2.5 Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..) | |||||||
12-12-23 | Nuggets -7 v. Bulls | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DEN - ATS I like the Denver Nuggets to win this game against the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday, December 12th. Denver has shown signs of struggle over the past week or so. However, they still have one of the best starting lineups in the association and I believe that they could be in for another strong playoff run this year. Chicago has not been good whatsoever and they've got guys injured all over. Don't be surprised if this game gets out of hand early. Even on the second game of a back to back, hammer Denver. T.M. Prediction: 116-101 Nuggets. Line: -7.0 Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. | |||||||
12-11-23 | Titans v. Dolphins -13.5 | Top | 28-27 | Loss | -115 | 23 h 20 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIA - ATS I like the Miami Dolphins to win this game against the Tennessee Titans on Monday, December 11th. Miami has shown week after week that they don't care how many points their opponents drop, it's about them and them only. They will blow you out if you cannot score and match them. It's just a way too explosive offense for the Titans and I don't believe that they'll be able to keep up. Hammer Miami here. T.M. Prediction: 35-13 Miami. Line: -13.5 Line Parameter: play until -14.5.. | |||||||
12-10-23 | Bills +1.5 v. Chiefs | Top | 20-17 | Win | 100 | 13 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Buffalo - ATS I like the Buffalo Bills to win this game against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday, December 10th. I know this game is played at Arrowhead. I know that the Bills have struggled this season. I know that the Chiefs could win the Super Bowl again this season. Nobody believes in this Bills team still. But, I do. Buffalo needs to win this game. They've dug themselves into a hole and they have to win games down the stretch. It's a difficult schedule, but they are talented enough to beat any team in the NFL. I think Josh Allen and co. get the job done @KC on Sunday in week 14. T.M. Prediction: 30-24 Bills. Line: +1.5 Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..) | |||||||
12-09-23 | Coppin State v. George Washington -19 | Top | 45-76 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington - ATS I like the George Washington Colonials to win this game against the Coppin State Eagles on Saturday, December 9th. Despite beating UMBC earlier this season, Coppin State is one of the worst teams in college basketball. They bring in a miserable 1-9 record into this game and could very well be in for a lot more losing. George Washington, on the other hand, have played very well this season, leading to their 7-2 record. This has blowout written all over it and I'm hammering it on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 87-61 GW. Line: -19.0 Line Parameter: play until -20.5.. | |||||||
12-06-23 | Wofford v. Gardner-Webb -7.5 | Top | 81-66 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gardner Webb - ATS I like the Gardner Webb Bulldogs to win this game against the Wofford Terriers on Wednesday, December 6th. Wofford has had some very solid teams over the years, but I don't believe that this is one of them. They've started the season just 3-5 and are really struggling on the road. Even though they won their last game by eight on the road against MTSU, that was in overtime. Gardner Webb is a lot better than their record (4-5.) Two of their losses came within a bucket, and they've has some difficult opponents. Expect the home team to dominate in this one. T.M. Prediction: 84-66 Gardner Webb. Line: -7.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. | |||||||
12-05-23 | Lafayette v. Columbia -8 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbia - ATS I like the Columbia Lions to win this game against the Lafayette Leopards on Tuesday, December 5th. While the home team is 6-3, the road team is just 1-8. Both teams are coming off losses, but the Leopards have lost five straight. The Lions won last year's meeting @Lafayette convincingly and they should again here at home. Columbia is 5-1 at home so far this year. Lafayette has lost seven of it's eight games by more than this spread, and their only win comes against a Wilkes team that isn't exactly relevant in the college basketball world. Hammer Columbia at home here. T.M. Prediction: 81-64 Columbia. Line: -8.0 Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. | |||||||
12-03-23 | Chargers -4.5 v. Patriots | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Los Angeles - Moneyline I like the Los Angeles Chargers to win this game against the New England Patriots on Sunday, December 3rd. Coming off yet another loss, the Chargers season is in deep trouble. A win here would go a very long way as they've got tough game after tough game ahead. Expect them to dominate on the road and get back in the winning column on Sunday. Hammer LAC. T.M. Prediction: 35-10 Chargers. Line: -4.5 Line Parameter: play until -6.0.. | |||||||
12-02-23 | Appalachian State v. Troy -4.5 | Top | 23-49 | Win | 100 | 13 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Troy - ATS I like the Troy Trojans to win this game against the Appalachian State Mountaineers on Saturday, December 2nd. Although App State is a good football team, they are not nearly as good as the Trojans. Troy comes into this game having won nine straight games. These teams didn't play during the season, but Troy smells blood and is searching for a tenth straight victory. App State struggled and lost a few winnable games early on in the year. I don't think that they'll be able to move the ball at ease, like they have in previous weeks, against this very strong Troy defense. Hammer the team with the better record here. T.M. Prediction: 34-20 Troy. Line: -4.5 Line Parameter: play until -5.5.. | |||||||
11-29-23 | Central Arkansas v. Loyola Marymount -20.5 | Top | 63-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LMU - ATS I like the Loyola Marymount Lions to win this game against the Central Arkansas Bears on Wednesday, November 29th. Even though LMU hasn't had a great start, they are starting to heat up. They are coming off a huge 20-pt win against UTEP in a game where they allowed just 47 points. C-ARK has lost it's last six games and just don't have the talent to compete with the better teams. With LMU starting to play better basketball, as well as being at home in this game, I'm hammering the Lions in this one. T.M. Prediction: 88-57 LMU. Line: -20.5 Line Parameter: play until -21.5.. | |||||||
11-22-23 | Sharks v. Seattle Kraken -1.5 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 32 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SEA - Spread I like the Seattle Kraken to win this game against the San Jose Sharks on Wednesday, November 22th. Even though Seattle hasn't been great this year, they are a whole lot better than just Sharks team. I believe that this is one of the worst teams in NHL history and I expect them to keep playing badly throughout this season. Seattle should be able to pick it up, but a win here is crucial. They've got the Canucks up next in what will be a huge game for them. But, look for them to take care of business with a multi-goal win against a very bad sharks team at home. T.M. Prediction: 6-1 Kraken. Line: -1.5, -105 Line Parameter: play until -1.5, -150.. | |||||||
11-19-23 | Jets v. Bills -7.5 | Top | 6-32 | Win | 100 | 6 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: BUF - ATS I like the Buffalo Bills to win this game against the New York Jets on Sunday, November 19th. It's now or never for a Bills team that everybody had high hopes for this season. They are currently 5-5 and need wins if they want to get back in the playoff hunt. With the Eagles, Chiefs, Cowboys, and Chargers over the next four weeks, this is practically a must-win for this Bills team. Buffalo has shown that they can look like the best team in the league this season but not all that often. I think they'll break out here with a statement win against a Jets team that's already beaten them this season in week 1. Hammer Buffalo in this game. T.M. Prediction: 31-10 Bills. Line: -7.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. | |||||||
11-17-23 | Oklahoma State -6.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State - ML I like the Oklahoma State Cowboys to win this game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Friday, November 17th. Both coming off losses, makes this a big early season game. Neither team is expected to compete for the championship, but there's still lots of season left. A big win here could be a confidence boost moving forwards. I still believe that OKST is by far the better team and are ranked way higher in KenPom (#85 - #208.) Expect the Cowboys to dominate the 3pt line and on the defensive end here against a sloppy 3pt shooting Irish team. Hammer OKST. T.M. Prediction: 81-66 OKST. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. | |||||||
11-16-23 | Texas Southern v. Virginia -21 | Top | 33-62 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UVA - ATS I like the Virginia Cavaliers to win this game against the Texas Southern Tigers on Thursday, November 16th. UVA have looked like national title contenders to open up the season. They survived a close game @Florida and have blown out teams in both of their home games so far. This one could get ugly as well as the Tigers have yet to win a game. They lost badly against New Mexico and also lost by double digits against a poor ASU team. It's not the easiest start by any means for Texas Southern as they are playing seven straight road games to start the season. But, I don't expect the Cavaliers to take them easy here today. Expect a dominant performance from the home team today. T.M. Prediction: 78-49 Cavaliers. Line: -21.0 Line Parameter: play until -22.0.. | |||||||
11-15-23 | Islanders +1.5 v. Canucks | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 17 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: New York Islanders - Puck Line I like the New York Islanders to win this game against the Vancouver Canucks on Wednesday, November 15th. The terrific start from the Canucks has made them one of the most talked about teams so far. However, I now think them to be slightly overrated. They did add a bunch of new guys which have definitely improved, but the Islanders are due and I believe this is the match for them to get back in the winning ways. NYI has either won or lost by only one in 14 straight meetings between these two teams. I expect that number to rise to 15 after tonight. Yes, this line is steep but I'm hammering the Isles in this one. T.M. Prediction: 3-2 Islanders. Line: +1.5, -175 Line Parameter: play at until -220.. | |||||||
11-09-23 | Oilers -1.5 v. Sharks | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -130 | 18 h 51 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Edmonton - Spread I like the Edmonton Oilers to win this game against the San Jose Sharks on Thursday, November 8th. Edmonton completely dominated the first period against the Canucks and just got nothing past Demko. Against a very bad Sharks team, I expect those shots to go in. I'm actually surprised the Sharks grabbed their first win in their last game against the Flyers. It was to come eventually, but they've been really really bad. Edmonton should get back on track here with a convincing blowout victory. T.M. Prediction: 6-2 Oilers. Line: -1.5, -130 Line Parameter: play until -1.5, -160.. | |||||||
11-07-23 | Central Michigan +3 v. Western Michigan | Top | 28-38 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Central Michigan - ATS I like the Central Michigan Chippewas to win this game against the Western Michigan Broncos on Tuesday, November 7th. Both teams are coming off a loss.. But, the Chippewas own a much better record and I believe that they are the better team. Though CMU has been very bad on the road over the past few weeks, they still own a road win against USA which means they are more than capable of stealing one. It's quite evenly matched stat wise across the board but I'll take the extra points with the side with the better record here. T.M. Prediction: 31-24 CMU. Line: +3.0 Line Parameter: play until +1.0.. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $1,060 |
Dan Kaiser | $932 |
Jesse Schule | $566 |
Ricky Tran | $555 |
Ray Monohan | $518 |
Mike Lundin | $493 |
Tom Macrina | $430 |
Marc Lawrence | $400 |
Joseph D'Amico | $390 |
Big Al McMordie | $340 |