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|Date||Match Up||Rating||Score||Result||Profit||Lead Time||Analysis|
|03-11-20||Miami-FL v. Clemson -2.5||Top||64-69||Win||100||17 h 47 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Clemson (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Both teams have some big signature wins this year, but for the most part each was pretty poor. The Hurricanes finished 15-15 and the Tigers ended up 15-15 as well. Clemson does play with revenge here after falling 73-68 in OT to Miami Florida in late December. Miami Florida comes into this game though without the services of leading scorer Chris Lykes, who was injured in a loss to Virginia last Wednesday. The Tigers are still ranked 39th in the entire NCAA on the defensive end as well. Expect the Tigers to pull away down the stretch for the comfortable ATS cover.
T.M. Prediction: 70-60 Clemson.
|03-10-20||Celtics v. Pacers OVER 214.5||Top||114-111||Win||100||12 h 19 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Pacers/Celtics OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK)
The Celtics lost to the Thunder last time out. They can't be happy, as they were actually favored by 6.5 points. Jason Tatum is averaging 23.4 PPG and the overall depth of the Celtics remains a strength for the team. Indiana is a deep team as well and now that Victor Oladipo has slowly worked his way into "game shape," the Pacers have not surprisingly won eight of their last ten. Indiana has posted more than 110 points in three of its last five games, and Boston has seen the total eclipse the number in six of its last seven as a road favorite of six points or less. This one has "shootout" written all over it, play the over.
T.M. Prediction: 111-110 Boston.
|03-10-20||North Carolina -3.5 v. Virginia Tech||Top||78-56||Win||100||12 h 12 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* GAME OF THE WEEK).
Obviously it's been a horrible season for the Tar Heels, who have endured several long losing streaks this season. UNC has the best player on the floor in this one though in Cole Anthony and I believe the dynamic player will be a difference maker in this one. UNC did lose to Duke in its finale for a second time this season, but it did play much better down the stretch. The Tar Heels play with revenge here too after a 79-77 double OT loss to the Hokies on January 22nd (previous to the loss to Duke, UNC had won four straight). VT lost in its finale to Notre Dame. The Hokies only average 69 PPG and they're a terrible 2-12 ATS in their last 14 overall. UNC averages 72 PPG and it's 4-2 ATS in its last six overall. I'm laying the points and expecting a blowout of epic proportions!
T.M. Prediction: 80-60 UNC.
|03-09-20||St. Mary's v. BYU OVER 145.5||Top||51-50||Loss||-110||29 h 34 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: BYU/Saint Mary's OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK).
I think this total is a little low. Saint Mary's is 24-7 and BYU is 24-7. Each team was victorious against the other on its home floor. The Cougars won 81-79, while the Gaels prevailed 87-84. Both of those contests would have finished well above tonight's posted total and I aboslutely expect that to happen. The Cougars score 118.1 points per 100 possessions, while the Gaels average 114.9 points per 100 possessions. Both teams are super effecient from the floor and I expect this to once again translate into offensive production. This number is indeed low.
T.M. Prediction: 80-75 BYU.
|03-09-20||Hornets v. Hawks -4||Top||138-143||Win||100||25 h 40 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Atlanta Hawks (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Atlanta destroyed the Hornets 122-107 in Charlotte back in December and I think a similar final result is on deck here in this one as well. The Hornets have been playing better of late, but after finishing a four-game homestand with an upset win over the Rockets, can anyone say "letdown spot" here?! Atlanta returns home on a three-game losing streak and I expect it to get the job done here. Charlotte has struggled in this spot for bettors as well, interestingly going just 2-7 ATS in its last nine road games vs. the Southeast Division. Atlanta on the other hand is 8-3-1 ATS in its last 12 home games vs. teams with losing road records. After three straight losses, look for the Hawks to push the pace from the opening tip, until the final horn. Lay the points.
T.M. Prediction: 116-108 Atlanta.
|03-09-20||Eastern Michigan +8.5 v. Kent State||Top||76-86||Loss||-110||24 h 5 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Eastern Michigan (10* SUPER-DOG).
The Golden Flashes are at home for this one after finishing sixth seed. EMU is the No. 11 seed in the tourmanent. If recent history is any precedence though, then EMU has to be liking its chances for an upset here, as it annihilated Kent State 70-49 at home back on February 18th. EMU has admittedly struggled down the stretch, but now that the conference tournament is here, the Eagles have new hope. The Golden Flashes completely underwhelmed this season as well, finishing with a 9-9 conference record and note that it was favored in seven of those nine games. EMU only allows an average 63.4 PPG, which ranks 31st in the country. No outright, but expect an all out battle until the final moments. Grab the points.
T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Kent State.
|03-08-20||Heat -4.5 v. Wizards||Top||100-89||Win||100||12 h 3 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat (10* TRADE-MARK).
The Heat had won four in a row before their most recent loss to the Pelicans last time out. Miami is still 40-23 though and it's led by Jimmy Butler, who averages 26 PPG. Atlanta is coming off a 118-112 win over Washington, but a return to mediocrity is imminent in my opinion. Washington was able to exploit Atlanta's week defense, but I think it'll have a much more difficult time here. The Wizards however are the worst defensive club in the NBA, allowing 120 PPG. After the loss to New Orleans last time out, look for Miami to come in focused on the task at hand this evening.
T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Miami.
|03-08-20||Lipscomb +12.5 v. Liberty||Top||57-73||Loss||-108||8 h 53 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Lipscomb (10* BLOWOUT).
This is the Championship Game in the ASUN Conference and a trip to the NCAA Tournament is on the line. Liberty is likely going to punch its ticket to The Big Dance after the final buzzer sounds, but I definitely think the Bison can keep it interesting until the final moments. Lipscomb has experience on its side here, as this is the Bisons third straight appearance in the Championship Game, which includes a loss to these very Flames last year. These teams split their regular season series, eaching winning on its own floor. The Flames are hosting this one at home, but I think they'll have a battle on their hands from start to finish. Outright upset? Anything's possible, but I'm going to grab the points in the end.
T.M. Prediction: 68-60 Lipscomb.
|03-07-20||76ers v. Warriors +2.5||Top||114-118||Win||100||15 h 38 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Warriors (10* MONEY-MAKER).
I think this is a perfect spot for the Warriors to steal a game. The 76ers come to town without stars Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid, who were also both out for their team's big win over the Kings on the road last time out. The Warriors welcomed back Stephen Curry to the line-up in their last game and while they fell to Toronto at home, Golden State is healthier than its been all season and I think it can take advantage here. Note as well that Philly is also just 4-9 ATS this year as a road favorite, while the Warriors are 10-5 ATS this season revenging a loss vs. an opponent of ten points or more. Clearly I like the outright win, but in the end I'm going to grab the handful of points.
T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Golden State.
|03-07-20||North Carolina +11.5 v. Duke||Top||76-89||Loss||-106||12 h 48 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: North Carolina (10* BEST OF THE BEST).
UNC lost this game at home 98-96 and I expect another all out war between these rivals. Duke has plenty to play for here as it's currently tied with UVA for the third place in the ACC. UNC though enters not only trying to play spoiler, not only trying to avenge the earlier loss, but also playing its best ball of the entire season in having won three in a row (note that UNC is 7-2 ATS in its last nine conference road games after a three-games or longer SU unbeaten streak.) I'm grabbing the points.
T.M. Prediction: 80-75 Duke.
|03-07-20||Louisville v. Virginia||Top||54-57||Win||100||10 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Virginia (8* MONEY-MAKER).
I think the defending champs grinding defensive play will once again be the difference maker for UVA tonight. Louisville won by seven at home in the reverse fixture, which sets this up as a revenge spot for the home side side as well. Note that it was the Cardinals first win out of the last ten in this series. Louisville's weakness this year has been its play on the road and on Seniors Night, I'm banking on the Cavs unrelenting defensive pressure to once again "win the day" here. Lay the points.
T.M. Prediction: 60-54 UVA.
|03-07-20||Seton Hall v. Creighton OVER 151.5||Top||60-77||Loss||-109||9 h 31 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Seton Hall/Creighton OVER (10* TOTAL BANKROLL BUILDER).
I expect each team to play at a frenetic pace in this huge game. The top seed in the Big East is on the line tonight. Note that Creighton won this game at Seton Hall 87-82 on February 12 and in my opinion, all signs once again point to a high-scoring shootout. Seton Hall comes in hungry here to avenge that setback, but also because they fell 79-77 at home on Seniors Night to Villanova on Wednesday. Seton Hall averages 75.2 PPG and it allows 67.9, while Creighton averages 78.4 PPG, while allowing 70.1. The Blue Jays hammered Georgetown 91-76 on Wednesday and clearly it'll be keeping the foot on the gas here. This one has "shootout" written all over it.
T.M. Prediction: 83-80 Creighton.
|03-07-20||Kentucky +3 v. Florida||Top||71-70||Win||100||7 h 58 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Kentucky (10* TRADE-MARK).
Kentucky has already earned the SEC regular-season title, but the last thing it'll want to do is to enter the tournament off a loss. Yes, Florida has a lot to play for here, but I simply don't see any sort of letdown here from Kentucky on the National stage. The Wildcats earned the hard-fought 65-59 win over the Gators in mid February and I expect a simialr result here as well. In fact, Kentucky is coming off a hugely disappointing loss at home to Tennessee, falling 81-73 on seniors night. Clearly the Wildcats will be eager to atone for that mess here (Kentucky is also 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage greater than .600. The Gators on the other hand are just 8-18 ATS in their last 26 at home.
T.M. Prediction: 73-64 Kentucky.
|03-06-20||Bucks v. Lakers +1||Top||103-113||Win||100||28 h 3 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers (10* SHOWDOWN).
Is this a possible preview of the NBA Championships? The Bucks are favored to come out of the East and while the Lakers still have the best record in the West, they'll have their hands full with the Clippers once it's all said and done. Honestly, it wouldn't be too hard to write a convincing argument for either team to win this game. And with a spread like this, clearly the oddsmakers agree. The Lakers opened as an underdog and the line continues to go back and forth ever since. So why do I think the Lake Show will pull off a big win here? Because the Bucks are just 1-5 ATS this season off a home win vs. a division rival, while the Lakers are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 in trying to revenge a loss vs. an opponent. I think the Lakers' big men shut down Bucks' star Giannis Antetokounmpo this time around.
T.M. Prediction: 119-109 Lakers.
|03-06-20||Missouri State v. Indiana State +1.5||Top||78-51||Loss||-110||27 h 55 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* TORTURER).
I like Indiana State to pull of the slight upset here. This is the quarterfinals of the Missouri State Conference Tournament. The Sycamores finished 11-7 in league play, while the Bears were 9-9. Missouri State may have hammered Southern Illinois 84-59 on Seniors Night, but I expect it to get overwhelmed in this matchup. Indiana State is the deeper and more consistent team and it enters the Tournament having won four straight. Indiana State is also 3-0-1 ATS in its last four overall, while Missouri State is only 3-13 ATS in its last 16 as an underdog. I'm banking on a blowout.
T.M. Prediction: 70-65 Indiana State.
|03-05-20||Clippers v. Rockets -1||Top||120-105||Loss||-102||22 h 24 m||Show|
Selection: Houston Rockets (10* TRADE MARK).
Off a double-digit road win over OKC, I think the Clippers are going to stumble in this difficult road venue. Houston comes in as the "hungrier" team, as it stumbled badly in a loss to the lowly Knicks in its final game of a long Eastern swing. With a couple of days off to digest the stench of that failure, I look for the Rockets to come out and play with a chip on their shoulder tonight. Las is also just 3-6 ATS this year as a road dog, while Houston is 7-3 ATS this season when playing with two days rest. This one has "BLOWOUT" written all over it!
T.M. Prediction: 125-115 Houston.
|03-05-20||Nebraska +17.5 v. Michigan||Top||58-82||Loss||-107||21 h 48 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Nebraska (10* MONEY-MAKER).
I believe that in some small way the Wolverines are going to get caught "looking past" their lowly 7-22 opponent today to the upcoming Conference Tournament and that's going to be more than enough for the hungry Huskers to comfortably sneak in through the back door down the stretch. The Huskers are the worst team in the Big Ten, but they'll be eager to try and reverse their fortunes vs. a Wolverines team which has dropped two in a row. Note that they've given up an average of 79 PPG over their last two losses (Wisconsin and Ohio State). With a game at conference leading Maryland to end the regular season, this also sets up as a classic "look ahead" spot for the home side. No outright, but closer than expected. Grab the points!
T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Michigan.
|03-04-20||Pacers v. Bucks OVER 222||Top||100-119||Loss||-100||13 h 54 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Pacers/Bucks OVER (10* TOTAL OF THE WEEK).
Yes, these are two of the better defensive teams in the league, as Indiana allows just 107.2 PPG (while averaging 109.4), while Milwaukee gives up just 106.8 PPG (while averaging a league-best 119.1 per contest.) And while Milwaukee enters having won four of its last five (Indiana has won four of five too), it certainly can't be happy with its performance of late, winning but barely covering vs. Charlotte, before then getting crushed in Miami the next night. The Bucks also play with revenge here after they lost to the Pacers in each team's respective final game before the All Star break. I look for the home side to push the pace of this one from the outset and I expect this total to fly well over once the final horn blares.
T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Milwaukee.
|03-04-20||St. Louis -2 v. George Mason||Top||69-57||Win||100||13 h 33 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Saint Louis (10* GAME OF THE WEEK).
Saint Louis enters the final regular season game off a big win over Rhode Island and it won't want to take the foot off the gas now that it's so close to the finish line. With that victory the Billikens are now in the talk for an NCAA Tournament spot (as long as they can now run the table throughout the conference tournament). George Mason started 11-1, but it then went 4-13. Most recently it comes in off a heart-breaking 81-78 setback to Duquesne. These teams met at Saint Louis earlier in the year and the Billikens posted the 81-71 victory. Expect a similar (or even larger!) victory for the visiting side tonight.
T.M. Prediction: 72-60 Billikens.
|03-03-20||Wizards v. Kings OVER 232.5||Top||126-133||Win||100||16 h 59 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Kings/Wizards OVER (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Both teams have been playing a lot better since the All Star game. Both are still on the outside of the playoff picture looking in, but they still each have a chance at squeezing into the postseason if it can continue to win. This is a big game for both teams and I expect a faster paced contest. Sacramento does play at a slower pace than Washington, but its numbers are skewed in my opinion due to the slow start in the first half. Neither team has been impressive on the defensive end and I believe that trend of futility continues for each here. Look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later in this one!
T.M. Prediction: 125-120 Sacramento.
|03-03-20||Purdue +5.5 v. Iowa||Top||77-68||Win||100||15 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Purdue (10* TRADE-MARK).
Iowa is 20-9 overall, but Purdue annihilated it 104-68 at home last month. Clearly that's not going to happen again here and while I do believe the outright upset is in the cards tonight as well, in the end I'll be recommending for everyone to grab the ample points. Purdue also has wins over VCU, Virginia and Michigan State. The Boilersmakers have gone just 1-3 in their last four though and they'll need a few miracles to make it back into the NCAA Tournament at this point. And a victory here would certainly go a long away in helping their cause. The Hawkeyes have looked better of late, but note that they're just 2-5 ATS in their last seven in trying to revenge a same season loss vs. an opponent of 30 points or more. In the end, let's grab the points!
T.M. Prediction: 73-72 Iowa.
|03-02-20||Idaho State v. Weber State -6.5||Top||78-70||Loss||-110||26 h 18 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Weber State (10* GAME OF THE WEEK).
Idaho State is 6-20, while Weber State is 11-17. Idaho State comes in with zero momentum, as it's lost 12 straight and failed to cover in three straight as well. Weber State fans can empathize though, as the Wildcats enter hungry here after having lost three of their last four. The Bengals are horrible in every offensive and defensive category, but particularly in the rebounding department, pulling only 32.8 per game. And if recent history is any precedence, then the Wildcats have to be loving their chances today, as they already beat the Bengals 76-68 on the road. This is a big opportunity for the Wildcats after a scuffling stretch and with just a couple of games remaining in the regular season. The stage is set for an explosive home victory here.
T.M. Prediction: 80-60 Weber State.
|03-02-20||Blazers +7 v. Magic||Top||130-107||Win||100||24 h 30 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: BLAZERS (10* TRADE-MARK).
The panic button has been hit in Portland. It's basically "do or die" for the visitors now, who enter off three straight losses, including a humbling double-digit setback to the Hawks on the road. The Magic have been playing a bit better lately. They also need as many victories as they can get. Orlando's offense has been a lot better, but it's strong defensive play which has defined the team for most of the season has taken a back seat during that stretch. Off a loss to San Antonio, I think the Magic will have their hands full with this now desperate Portland team. Outright is possible, but let's grab these points!
T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Orlando.
|03-01-20||76ers v. Clippers -12.5||Top||130-136||Loss||-110||19 h 33 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: LA Clippers (10*) GAME OF THE WEEK.
I think the Clippers come in angry and even with Ben Simmons and Joel Embiid in the line-up, I believe LA would have had a chance at covering this large spread anyways. But neither Simmons or Embiid will be playing tonight and because of that, I expect the home side to take full advantage and to win big once the final horn blares. The Clippers faced a fully prepared Nuggets team at home last time out and they annihilated them 132-103. Seven LA players scored in double figures in that one, including 43 points from Paul George. I expect a similar final outcome here as well, so lay the points.
T.M. Prediction: 118-100 LA.
|03-01-20||St. Louis v. Rhode Island -6||Top||72-62||Loss||-108||17 h 54 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Rhode Island (10* TRADE-MARK).
Saint Louis is 20-7 and Rhode Island is 20-8. Overall the Billikens average 71.8 PPG and they allow 66.1. Saint Louis though is just 4-4 in true road games this year. Rhode Island won't be taking anything for granted here after a slim road win over Fordham last time out. The Rams average 74.7 PPG and they allow 68.4. Rhode Island is also 4-0 ATS in its last four following an ATS loss, while Saint Louis is 0-5 ATS in its last five following a SU victory. I'm laying the points as all signs point to a big time home victory in the A-10 reg. season finale.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Rhode Island.
|03-01-20||Cincinnati v. Houston OVER 135.5||Top||55-68||Loss||-110||16 h 47 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Cincy/Houston OVER.
The Bearcats are in a race for first place with three games remaining. Clearly the visitors will have to try and push the pace and keep up with the home side. Cincinnati beat Wichita State last time out by a score of 67-64, but the Bearcats are definitely going to have their hands full here with a Memphis team also looking to lock down top spot in the conference and which enters off a tough 60-59 loss to Memphis in its last outing. Finally note that the Bearcats average 73.5 PPG and the Cougars average 72.8. Considering all of the above factors, I look for this total to fly over sooner, rather than later.
T.M. Prediction: 77-70 Houston.
|02-29-20||UC-Santa Barbara v. Cal-Irvine UNDER 137.5||Top||58-69||Win||100||12 h 40 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: 10* UNDER Santa Barbara/UC Irvine.
I think this will be a battle from start to finish vs. the 19-9 UC Santa Barbara Gauchos vs. the 20-10 UC Irvine Anteaters. The Gauchos come to town red hot, winners of five of their last six. Their only loss came to UC Davis recently. UC Irvine is No. 1 in the Big West and it won't want to falter here so close to the finish line. UC Irvine though plays with revenge here as well after stumbling at Santa Barbara eariler in the year (the teams combined for just 124 points in that one.) Look for a similarily hard-fought affair and for this total to stay well under once the final horn blares.
T.M. Prediction: 68-65 UC Irvine.
|02-29-20||Lakers v. Grizzlies +8.5||Top||88-105||Win||100||10 h 46 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Yes LA has won seven straight and covered in five of those contests, but I believe that Memphis is going to find a way to get the job done here. The Grizz are WITHOUT QUESTION the "hungrier" team here after four-straight losses on the road. This is also a BIG TIME "revenge" spot for the Grizz, who have lost all three SU and two of the three ATS in this season series thus far. And would anyone fault LA for "looking ahead" here with a game at red hot New Orleans tomorrow night? Memphis is off a disappointing loss at home to Sacramento just last night, but I believe that's going to just add "fuel to the fire" for the home side here as it looks to snap the five-game losing streak. Outright win? Very possible! However, let's grab the points.
T.M. Prediction: 116-112 Lakers.
|02-29-20||Michigan State +2.5 v. Maryland||Top||78-66||Win||100||10 h 45 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Michigan State (10* TRADE-MARK).
This is a big game, with big conference tournament implications and I'm calling for the minor upset. Michigan State comes to town off two straight wins. Maryland has won ten of 11, but I think it'll have difficulty here vs. this MSU team which plays with revenge after falling at home to Maryland a couple of weeks ago. Both teams have excellent defenses, but the overall experience that Michigan State brings to the table can't be underestimated as big factor working in its favor here. Michigan State has found its groove again and I believe the "revenge factor" DOES matter in this one (that said, let's grab the points!)
T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Michigan State.
|02-28-20||Wolves +7.5 v. Magic||Top||125-136||Loss||-105||14 h 34 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Wolves (10* MONEY-MAKER).
The Wolves are in full rebuild mode, but they enter off an impressive win over the Heat in Miami, led by D'Angelo Russell, who continues to play with a chip on his shoulder and who has averaged 24.4 points and eight assists in five game since being aquired by Minnesota. The Magic have won four of five and they're coming off a big win over the Hawks, but with a tough road game in San Antonio tomorrow night, I think the stage is set for them to finally have a bit of a letdown here. I'll stop short in calling for the outright upset, but all the pieces are in place for a much more competitive affair (in my opinion), than what this spread would suggest.
T.M. Prediction: 118-117 Orlando.
|02-28-20||Davidson v. Dayton OVER 140.5||Top||67-82||Win||100||13 h 19 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Davidson/Dayton OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK).
In my opinion, this one sets up as a shootout, not a defensive battle. The Flyers have won 17 straight and with just a hand full of games left to go before the Tournaments start, I have a hard time seeing Dayton taking the foot off the gas at this point. Especially at home. Davidson though would love nothing more than to play spoiler and it enters having won four of its last five. Both teams average over 70 PPG on the season and with what I expect to be a frantic pace from start to finish, we can expect this total to fly over sooner, rather than later!
T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Dayton.
|02-28-20||Kent State +1.5 v. Ohio||Top||69-76||Loss||-105||13 h 54 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Kent State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER).
Yes 14-14 Ohio is going to be "hungry" here, but I don't think that's going to matter vs. the vastly superior Kent State Flashes. These teams met two weeks ago and the Golden Flashes pulled away for a relatively simple 87-72 victory. Ken State is averaging 76 PPG and it's allowing 69.3, while Ohio is averaging 71.1 PPG and allowing 68.5. Kent State though is 5-0 ATS this year as a road dog of six points or less, while Ohios is just 3-7 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less or pick. I'm grabbing the points, but expecting an outright.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Kent State.
|02-27-20||San Diego +26.5 v. Gonzaga||Top||59-94||Loss||-110||28 h 35 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: San Diego (10*).
San Diego is a putrid 9-20 overall and 2-12 in WCC action. Gonzaga though is going to get classically caught "looking past" its lowly opponent in my opinion though. The Bulldogs are 27-2 and 13-1 overall and they have their sights set on a National title right now, not on the lowly Toreros. SD also catches Gonzaga off a disappointing loss to BYU and I think it's collectively still caught up on that monster letdown. I definitely think that the conditions are correct for a much more competitive battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. So grab the points!
T.M. Prediction: (80-70 Gonzaga).
|02-27-20||Blazers +10 v. Pacers||Top||100-106||Win||100||27 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Portland Trailblazers (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Portland comes in "hungry" after losing four of its last five games. The Pacers were blown out badly in Toronto, and then they bounced back big with a lop-sided win over Charlotte at home in their most recent tilt. However when these teams met in the Pacific Northwest earlier in the season, it was the Blazers that posted the 139-129 victory. Suffice it to say, I think the "on again, off again" Pacers are going to once again struggle with consistency here vs. this unbelievably determined Blazers side, which is currently in ninth place in the Western Conference. An unreal situation sets us up nicely for this 10* pick.
T.M. Prediction: 110-108 Indiana.
|02-26-20||Grizzlies +11 v. Rockets||Top||112-140||Loss||-110||14 h 36 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Analysis posted at least 8 hours before game time.
T.M. Prediction: (Coming shortly)
|02-26-20||Furman v. NC-Greensboro -4.5||Top||81-67||Loss||-105||12 h 27 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: UNC Greensboro (10* TRADE-MARK).
This is a big game for both 23-6 teams. Both teams enter off victories as well. The bottom line is though is that I can't stress how important I feel that the home court advantage will be in this particular matchup. The Furman Paladins got destroyed by the Spartans 86-73 at home back January 11th and I expect an even bigger lop-sided blowout here. Sometimes the revenge angle works and other times it's completely overrated. I believe the latter is definitely the case in this one. Lay the points, but expect a big blowout!
T.M. Prediction: (75-60 UNC Greensboro).
|02-25-20||Missouri State v. Valparaiso -2||Top||74-89||Win||100||23 h 4 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Valparaiso (10* BEST OF THE BEST).
Missouri State is 14-15 and Valparaiso is 15-14. Both teams though come in having won three of their last four. Missouri State's only loss in that time though came against Bradley on the road, 83-79. The Crusaders though most recently come in off a win at home over Bradley, cruising to a 90-78 win. The Bears score 69.4 PPG and they allow 67.2, while the Crusaders average 72.3 PPG and allow 71.3. Valparaiso though is a near-perfect 6-1 ATS this year vs. teams with a road winning percentage of less than .400 and I expect that strong to get carried over here in this difficult road building. Lay the short points.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 Valpo.
|02-25-20||Bucks v. Raptors OVER 231||Top||108-97||Loss||-110||23 h 46 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Bucks/Raptors OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK).
Did Milwaukee get caught "looking ahead" to this game in its victory in the Nation's capital last night? The Bucks had a sizeable lead at half vs. the Wizards, but they'd need OT in the end to squeak by. Clearly the Bucks did in some small way get caught looking ahead to this big matchup. The defending champs are going to be feeling disrespected here as they're actually a slight dog in this matchup at home. The Raptors come in with plenty of momentum as well, after posting their biggest point differential victory in franchise history by annihilating the Pacers 127-81. Granted these are two of the best defensive clubs, but I expect a frantic pace. If the Bucks are going to get over the hump this year, they have to find a way to win in Toronto and take the confidence out of the Raptors. This one SCREAMS "shootout."
T.M. Prediction: 120-119 Toronto.
|02-24-20||Magic v. Nets OVER 212.5||Top||115-113||Win||100||27 h 53 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Magic/Nets OVER (*10* MONEY-MAKER).
The East is not nearly as competitive as the West and despite both teams coming into this one with sub-par records, each still legitimately has a shot at making the post-season. One game at a time. The Nets are playing better now that Kyrie Irving has been shelved for the remainder, coming in having gon 7-3 in their last ten. Orlando on the other hand is just 3-7 in its last ten. The Magic though have seen the total go over the number in four of their last five after playing four straight at home, while Brooklyn has seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of 12 already this season after playing two straight games on the road. This number is a tad low in my professional opinion.
T.M. Prediction: (115-112 Brooklyn)
|02-24-20||Louisville v. Florida State -2.5||Top||67-82||Win||100||25 h 14 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Florida State.
These are two of the top teams in the country, but bottom line is that I don't think we can overlook the home floor advantage as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Louisville comes in off a 72-55 win over UNC, but FSU is an entirely different animal, especially at home. And especially on the defensive side of the ball. FSU already smashed Louisville on its home court the last time these teams played and I expect a similar result here as well. This one has double-digit destruction written all over it in my professional opinion.
T.M. Prediction: 75-65 FSU.
|02-23-20||Indiana State -3.5 v. Evansville||Top||64-62||Loss||-111||20 h 36 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Indiana State (10* MONEY-MAKER).
Indiana State ended a three-game slide with a big 67-64 win over Northern Iowa last time out, getting 18 points and seven boards form Jake Laravia. Evansville though is a complete disaster and I expect it to continue to struggle here, most recently coming off a listless 70-53 loss to Southern Illinois, its 15th setback in a row. The Sycamores need to keep the foot on the gas here and after beating the No. 1 team in the league, I don't think there's any reason not believe that they can't in fact do that. Evansville is just 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 at home and I look for that record to get even worst after tonight. No trap here, look for Indiana State to instead take advantage!
T.M. Prediction: (76-60 Sycamores).
|02-22-20||76ers +8.5 v. Bucks||Top||98-119||Loss||-107||26 h 38 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Philadelphia 76ers (10* MONEY-MAKER).
There's no way that the 76ers are going to roll over here. Does Milwaukee have the motivaion to try and blow out its opponent today? I don't think so. This one has "battle" written all over it. 76ers' big man Joel Embiid had 39 points in a 112-104 win over the Nets last time out and I think he carries that momentum over. While the Bucks come in off a relatively simple 126-106 win over the Pistons in their latest outing, note that they're just 2-7 ATS this year off a win by ten points or more vs. a division rival. Let's grab up the points, but also not be shocked if the outright occurs either.
T.M. Prediction: 114-112 Bucks.
|02-22-20||Florida State -1 v. NC State||Top||67-61||Win||100||21 h 58 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Florida State (10* BANKROLL BUILDER).
North Carolina State admittedly comes in off an impressive 88-66 win over Duke last time out, but I think it's poised for a classic letdown here. FSU is 12-3 in ACC play after its 82-67 win over Pittsburgh. The Wolfpack are just 8-7 in league play. NC State lost to Boston College previous to this big upset last time out, so I'm not reading too much into this most recent result. FSU's size and depth will prove to be too much for the home side to keep pace with down the stretch.
T.M. Prediction: 76-70 FSU.
|02-22-20||Tennessee v. Auburn OVER 135||Top||66-73||Win||100||17 h 54 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Tennessee/Auburn OVER (10* TOTAL TRADE-MARK).
This is a big game. These two teams will also meet in their regular season finales in Knoxville. The Vols have four players averaging in double-figures. Overall Tennessee averages 66.8 PPG, while allow 62.1. Auburn comes home eager to shake off consecutive road losses. Expect the home side to push the pace from start to finish. Tennessee averages 79 PPG and it allows 70.9. Auburn has scored 80 or more points in six of its last seven conference home games and Tennessee is going to have to match pace. This total is low.
T.M. Prediction: 77-73 Auburn.
|02-21-20||Pacers -5.5 v. Knicks||Top||106-98||Win||100||22 h 27 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Indiana Pacers 10* MONEY-MAKER.
The Knicks looked decent for about two weeks prior to the All Star break, but perhaps predictably they then fell apart in the final two games, lowing to the Hawks and the Wizards. Indiana won its final game over Milwaukee before the break. These teams have split two games this year, but New York won the most recent one. That sets this up as a revenge game for Victor Oladipo and the home side. The Knicks have failed to score 100 points in three of the last five in this head-to-head matchup and I think the home side once again strugglest.
T.M. Prediction: 111-100 Indiana.
|02-21-20||Princeton v. Harvard -7.5||Top||60-61||Loss||-108||22 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Harvard (10* IVY-LEAGUE).
The bottom line on this one is, I don't think you can overlooked the "home court advantage" as being a very real deciding factor in this particular matchup. Harvard won't be taking anything for granted here after the Tigers snuck by the Crimson 70-69 in Princeton on February 1st. Both teams come in off less that impressive wins, but in this big contest, where the winner will take over the No. 1 spot, I think the revenge minded home side gets the job done vs. a Tigers team which just gave up 88 points to Yale. Lay the points here.
T.M. Prediction: 80-62 Harvard.
|02-19-20||Michigan v. Rutgers -2.5||Top||60-52||Loss||-109||6 h 9 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Rutgers
The Wolverines have owned this matchup, winning all 12 games. That changes tonight. Wolverines are 1-5 ATS as road underdogs. Rutgers is 6-1 ATS When The Total Is 130 To 139.5. Knights are also a perfect 5-0 ATS As A Home Favorite Of 6 Points Or Less Or Pick. Knights haven't lost here all season. They'll stay perfect at home!
T.M. Prediction: 69-63 Rutgers
|02-18-20||Ole Miss v. Missouri -1.5||Top||68-71||Win||100||8 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Missouri. These two teams are in the middle of the pack in the conference, but Missouri comes in off a bit 85-73 win over Auburn last time out and all signs point to this confidence and momentum carrying over into this one in front of the home town crowd. The Rebels on the other enter off a deflating 67-62 loss to Kentucky and I believe they have another letdown here as well. And that numbers/trends support my theory, as note that Ole Miss is just 4-5 ATS in its last nine as a road underdog or pick, while Missouri is a sharp 7-3 ATS in its last ten as a home favorite of three points or less. In this particular case, "home floor" means EVERYTHING! Lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 80-64 Missouri.
|02-17-20||Idaho v. Portland State -10.5||Top||69-90||Win||100||10 h 56 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Portland State
10* Portland State. Analysis to come.
T.M. Prediction: 82-65 Portland State
|02-16-20||Cincinnati v. East Carolina +11||Top||70-67||Win||100||4 h 40 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: EAST CAROLINA
Cincinnati was -17 here last season and East Carolina won the game. Did you know that Bearcats are 1-6 when the total is 140 to 149.5. Thats both SU and ATS. Pirates 8-3 ATS last 11 as a home underdog of 9.5 to 12 points. This game will be close. Grab points.
T.M. Prediction: 75-71 Cincinnati
|02-14-20||Yale -3.5 v. Princeton||Top||88-64||Win||100||8 h 35 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: YALE
The Bulldogs are the better team here but just because they're playing on the road we get them at a value price. This is been a great role for Yale. Bulldogs are 3-0 ATS as road favorites of 6 or less and 10-2 ATS last 12. Princeton 0-2 ATS as home underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points. Yale won here 81-59 last visit and that was expected to be a close game. Thats 4 straight in the series all the wins coming by at least 4. Go with the Bulldogs to take down the Tigers again tonight.
T.M. Prediction: 74-65 YALE
|02-13-20||Thunder v. Pelicans -2||Top||123-118||Loss||-109||9 h 49 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: NEW ORLEANS
OKC has won all 3 meetings this season. Those games were all B.Z. though. That's "before Zion." Williamson is now here and he's just getting better by the game. Wednesday he got 31 points, 9 boards and 5 assists. New Orleans smoked Portland 138-117. Thats 3 wins in a row. Off two losses in a row, the Thunders are going the other way. Pelicans 16-9-1 against the number their last 26, when off a home win. Revenge will be theirs.
T.M. Prediction: 117-108 New Orleans
|02-13-20||Old Dominion v. Rice||Top||73-70||Loss||-110||9 h 45 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: RICE
OK. This isn't the most exciting Thursday game. Doesn't matter to me. I just want winners! For this one, we essentially have no pointspread. ODU is 7-13 last 20 games and 1-8 SU its last nine on the road. Monarchs score 59.6 points per road game. The Owls score 81.6 points per game at home. Rice is starting to roll and is off 3 straight wins. They keep rolling for another day!
T.M. Prediction: 74-66 RICE
|02-12-20||Michigan -5.5 v. Northwestern||Top||79-54||Win||100||11 h 24 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: MICHIGAN
Wildcats may have homecourt advantage but the Wolverines have too many other advantages. Michigan is 16-1 SU its last 17 against a team with a losing record and that includes a 4-0 SU + ATS record last 4. Wildcats are in freefall and this is not the team to get better against. Last meeting? A 20-point win for the Wolverines. Sorry NW fans, this one will also turn ugly!
T.M. Prediction: 75-62 MICHIGAN
|02-11-20||Celtics v. Rockets UNDER 231||Top||105-116||Win||100||23 h 56 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Celtics/Rockets UNDER
People may think that with teams that are this talented, the score will be massive, but I believe that this game will find a much lower final score. Coming into this game, the total has gone UNDER in 11 of Boston's last 16 games against opponents in the Western Conference. The Celtics have also seen the total stay UNDER in 7 of their last 10 games this season. For the Rockets, they just traded C Clint Capela to the Hawks who privided lots of success for them. Since then, they have really slowed down in scoring. They still have a lot of talent, but they won't be getting dunks from their big guy that often. For them, they have seen the total go UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games played in the month of February. The total has also stayed UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games this season. Expect both coaches to be heavy on the defensive side in this huge game for both teams. Take the UNDER.
T.M. Prediction: 113-111 Rockets
|02-11-20||Air Force v. Boise State -12||Top||57-74||Win||100||22 h 20 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Boise State
This is a huge mis-match, in everyones opinion. Air Force is a terrible 0-6 SU/ATS in their last 6 games this season. The Falcons are also a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games on the road. Even worse, they are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents from the Mountain West Conference (MVC.) For the Broncos, they have been dominant. Although they may have lost their previous match, they still bring in an underated 16-9 record. Not only that, but they have done an excellent job in covering the spread as well. Entering this game, Boise State is a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. They are also 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Mountain West Conference. Enough said. Take the Broncos.
T.M. Prediction: 81-57 BSU
|02-11-20||Fordham v. Davidson OVER 120.5||Top||49-79||Win||100||20 h 18 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Fordham/Davidson OVER
Fordham has played some very low scoring games this season, as their season average is only 57.95 points per game. But, I believe that even if they manage to score that many, the total will still go OVER. In the last meeting between these two teams, they reached 136 points which was an easy win for the OVER. The Wildcats have seen some very high scoring games, on the other hand. They average 71+ points per game and I expect them to reach 70 with ease today. The total has gone OVER in 5 of Davidson's last 7 games played in February as well. The number is very low. Take the OVER and expect a winner with room to spare.
T.M. Prediction: 76-59 Davidson
|02-10-20||Florida State +8.5 v. Duke||Top||65-70||Win||100||20 h 28 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Florida State
Both of these two teams have been excellent in the 2019-20 season. They are both at 20-3 and they are expected to do extremely well in March Madness. Florida State enters with a sweet 9-1 record in their last 10 games this season. The Seminoles are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played in February. Even better, they are 13-1 in their last 14 games played. For Duke, they are only 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. The Blue Devils are also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games played in February. The line is too large. Take Florida St and expect an easy cover.
T.M. Prediction: 86-83 FSU
|02-09-20||Grizzlies -132 v. Wizards||Top||106-99||Win||100||5 h 16 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Memphis Grizzlies (MoneyLine)
Coming into this game, Memphis is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against opponents from the Southeast Division. The Grizzlies are also 6-2 SU in their last 8 games this season. Even better, they are a dominant 13-4 in their last 17 games. On the other hand, Washington is a terrible 0-7 SU in their last 7 games played on a Sunday. I like the Grizzlies point spread in this one, but I'm happy to take the moneyline for some easy ca$h.
T.M. Prediction: 119-109 Grizzlies
|02-09-20||Ohio State v. Wisconsin OVER 123.5||Top||57-70||Win||100||14 h 41 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Ohio St/Wisconsin OVER
With the total be quite low, I believe that these two teams will have no trouble reaching that mark. Coming into today's game, the total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 6 games against Ohio State. Take the OVER and expect an easy winner.
T.M. Prediction: 68-67 Wisconsin
|02-08-20||Grand Canyon v. California Baptist -6.5||Top||103-98||Loss||-106||11 h 38 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Cal Baptist
Cal Baptist over Grand Canyon? You might be thinking to yourself, what kind of GOTM play is that Tim? They can't all be Duke against Kansas though. If you can bet on it, I'm looking at it. The fact is, this one's a clear cut mismatch. This is Cal Baptist's second season in the Div 1. so they aren't eligible for the Tournament. Thats lucky for the other teams. Led by Milan Acquaah's 17.3 points-per-game, the Lancers have flat out been getting it done. They already beat the Antelopes at Phoenix and they complete the series sweep tonight!
T.M. Prediction: 78-61 Cal Baptist
|02-08-20||Nets +6 v. Raptors||Top||118-119||Win||100||8 h 12 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets
The Raptors just keep winning and winning. It ends today. You heard it right here. The Nets don;t have Kyrie or KD but they've got a big scheduling advantage. Toronto is 3-5 against the spread, 4 losses outright, In A Home Game Where The Total Is Greater Than Or Equal To 220.
T.M. Prediction: 107-106 Nets
|02-08-20||Virginia v. Louisville OVER 114||Top||73-80||Win||100||15 h 41 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Virginia/Louisville OVER
Everyone knows about Virginia's defensive tendencies. This is such a low number though. Too low! Louisville is a top tier team and isn't going to go down without scoring. Cardnals averaging 79.4 points L5 games. The last meeting? A 73-68 final. Game had a total of 125. This one goes way over too.
T.M. Prediction: 66-63 Louisville
|02-08-20||DePaul v. Georgetown -4||Top||72-76||Push||0||11 h 47 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Georgetown
The Georgetown Hoyas may not be doing so well as of late, but they can still win at home. Coming into today's game against DePaul, the Hoyas are 12-6 SU in their last 18 games at home. Georgetown is also 7-3 in their last ten meetings against the Blue Demons. On the other hand, DePaul is a terrible 0-5 SU in their last 5 games. DePaul is also 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games played in February. Even worse, they are 1-9 in their last 10 games this season. At home, expect an easy Georgetown win.
T.M. Prediction: 76-64 Georgetown
|02-07-20||Raptors v. Pacers UNDER 218.5||Top||115-106||Loss||-110||10 h 41 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Raptors/Pacers UNDER
These two teams met on Wednesday. They went way OVER the total. Expect that to be different here. At home this season, the Pacers have been great. Especially on the defensive end. As of right now, they are only allowing 105.20 ppg with their home crowd behind them. The total has also gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games when playing at home against Toronto. For the Raptors, they play great defense everywhere. They are only allowing 104.60 points per game on the road this season. That's insane. Off a higher scoring affair in their last matchup, I believe that both teams will be much better on the defensive end in this one. Take the UNDER and expect an easy winner.
T.M. Prediction: 101-99 Pacers
|02-07-20||Iona v. Quinnipiac -5||Top||73-52||Loss||-109||9 h 3 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Quinnipiac
Quinnipiac is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home. They are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games played on a Friday. On the other hand, Iona is a terrible 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games on the road. Iona is also only 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Expect a crushing performance by the home team in this one. Take Quinnipiac.
T.M. Prediction: 78-51 Quinnipiac
|02-05-20||East Tennessee State -5 v. Chattanooga||Top||80-64||Win||100||20 h 13 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: East Tennessee St
Coming into this game, East Tennessee State has been red hot. They ae now e 6-1 in their last 7 games after last games' blowout. East Tennessee State is also a perfect 9-0 (7-2 ATS) in their last 9 games against Chattanooga. For the Mocs, they are off a tough loss last time out, against Western Carolina. That makes them only 2-3 in their last 5 games this season. The Buccaneers may be on the road, but expect them to be the much better team in this one. Take ETSU.
T.M. Prediction: 78-61 ETSU
|02-02-20||Nuggets -120 v. Pistons||Top||123-128||Loss||-120||13 h 13 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Denver Nuggets (Moneyline)
This game has "beatdown" written all over it. The Nuggets come into this one with a sweet 6-3 record in their last 9 games against opponents in the Eastern Conference. Denver is also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. On the other hand, Detroit is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games this season. The Pistons are also 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when facing opponents in the Northwest Division. Even worse, they are a terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games at home. Take the Nuggets and expect a "Beatdown".
T.M. Prediction: 116-99 Nuggets
|02-01-20||Bradley v. Loyola-Chicago -5.5||Top||51-62||Win||100||21 h 5 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Loyola Chicago
These two teams may not look too different, but I see a huge skill gap between each other. Loyola Chicago is 9-4 SU in their last 13 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. The Ramblers are also 11-4 in their last 15 games. For Bradley, they are a sad 2-7 SU in their last 9 games on the road. Even worse, the Braves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Loyola-Chicago. At home, expect an easy Ramblers win.
T.M. Prediction: 76-51 Ramblers
|02-01-20||Heat v. Magic OVER 205.5||Top||102-89||Loss||-110||20 h 14 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat/Orlando Magic OVER
Coming into this game, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Miami's last 10 games on the road. The Heat have also seen the total go OVER in 11 of their last 16 games on the road against the Magic. The total is low, expect it to go OVER with ease.
T.M. Prediction: 111-107 Heat
|02-01-20||Michigan State v. Wisconsin UNDER 131||Top||63-64||Win||100||14 h 6 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Michigan St/Wisconsin UNDER
Both of these two teams have seen more under's than over's this year, and they have both played stellar defense. Entering this game, The total has gone UNDER in all 5 of Michigan State's last 5 games this season. The Spartans have also seen the total go UNDER in each of their last 6 games against opponents in the Big Ten Conference. On the other hand, the total has gone UNDER in 7 of Wisconsin's last 10 games played on a Saturday. In their last five meetings against each other, all of 'em have stayed UNDER. Expect that again.
T.M. Prediction: 68-59 MSU
|01-31-20||Blazers +13 v. Lakers||Top||127-119||Win||100||12 h 19 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Portland Trail Blazers
In their first game back since the tragic accident, its hard for anyone to know exactly how the Lakers will respond to the devastating loss of Kobe Bryant. We do know how the Trail Blazers have reacted though. By playing their best basketball of the season! They're off back to back big wins against the Pacers and Rockets. Dame is doing it all and dropped a triple-double on Houston, after going over 50 in his previous three. Did you know that Portand is a PERFECT 7-0 against the pointspread, with one push, the last 3 years, when coming off 2 Consecutive Home Wins By 10 Points Or More.
T.M. Prediction: 119-117 Lakers
|01-31-20||Thunder v. Suns OVER 222||Top||111-107||Loss||-109||9 h 46 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Phoenix|OKC Over
OKC comes into this game with by far a better record than the Suns. The Thunder have looked strong lately, scoring with ease. In their last 5 games against opponents in the Pacific Division, they have seen the total go OVER in 4 of those games. On the other hand, Phoenix is off a crushing performance against the Mavs where they scored 133. They have seen the total go OVER in five of their last six games against opponents in the Northwest Division. With a big win here, the Suns could easily make a push for a playoff position. Expect a back-and-forward high-scoring affair on Friday.
T.M. Prediction: 120-118 OKC
|01-31-20||VCU v. Rhode Island UNDER 141.5||Top||75-87||Loss||-110||7 h 38 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: VCU|Rhode Island Under
These teams met 20 days ago. Together they scored 121 points. VCU is perhaps the best defense in the Atlantic 10. Rhode Island only allows 62.6 points per game in Conference play though. Under 3-0 In A Home Game Where The Total Is 140 To 144.5. D-E-F-E-N-S-E! D-E-F-E-N-S-E!
T.M. Prediction: 67-63 Rhode Island
|01-30-20||76ers v. Hawks UNDER 228.5||Top||117-127||Loss||-110||6 h 2 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: 76ers/Hawks UNDER
I've got this one about 10 points too high. Atlanta has played some recent high scoring games but the 76ers have gone under the number in 7 of their last 10 games. Under is 13-6-2 with 76ers off home win. Under is also 10-4 last 14 when 76ers off 2 Consecutive Home Wins By 10 Points Or More. Last meeting had only 208 combined.
T.M. Prediction: 111-107 76ers
|01-29-20||San Jose State v. Boise State -15.5||Top||71-99||Win||100||11 h 59 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Boise State
If you don't think that the Broncos can beat this team by more than 15, you should probably study up on your history books. Last year, Boise State won 87-64 at San Jose and 105-57 here at Boise! Thats a 48 point destruction in a game they were favored by 19! The year before the Broncos won by 23 here. Simply put, SJ State stinks. Last time Spartans were on the road they lost by 27, an 86-59 beatdown. As Boise has been dominant at home, you can expect to see a similar score tonight
T.M. PREDICTION 89-65 Boise State
|01-28-20||Auburn -5 v. Ole Miss||Top||83-82||Loss||-105||8 h 27 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Auburn
I have the Tigers winning this one by a dozen which makes a line of -5 look awful good. Ya, the Rebels have homecourt advantage. That just keeps the line down though. There's a big talent difference here. The Tigers are 17-2 though and Ole Miss is 10-9. The Tigers remember getting swept by this team last year and that included an upset at Auburn. Tonight they turn the tables.
T.M. PREDICTION 77-65 Auburn
|01-26-20||Nets +1.5 v. Knicks||Top||97-110||Loss||-109||18 h 30 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets
Sure, the Nets went to OT yesterday. They're still the better team though and we're getting them as an underdog. The Knicks are 1-10 in division games. The Knicks are also 1-8 after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6. The Nets already won here earlier and consider MSG a home away from home. They'll make it their home today.
T.M. Prediction: 113-102 Nets
|01-26-20||Stanford v. California +8.5||Top||50-52||Win||100||18 h 17 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: California Golden Bears
The Golden Bears are 6-3 vs. the number L2 years when playing with 5 or 6 day's rest in between games. The Cardinal are 2-4 vs. the number when playing with 7 or more day's rest. Recent games between these teams here in Berkeley have been very close. Cal has won 2 of L4 meetings here and lost the other 2 by 3 and 4 points. This one comes down to the final buzzer.
T.M. Prediction: 77-76 Cal
|01-26-20||Raptors v. Spurs OVER 223||Top||110-106||Loss||-107||16 h 30 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Toronto Raptors/San Antonio Spurs OVER
Coming into this game, the total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games. The total has also gone OVER in each of the Raptors' last 6 games played on the road. For the Spurs, they have seen the total go OVER in 12 of their last 17 games played in January. The total has also gone OVER in 7 of San Antonio's last 10 games at home. Expect a high-scoring game to be played on Sunday Afternoon. Take the OVER.
T.M. Prediction: 119-111 Raptors
|01-26-20||Missouri State v. Drake -4.5||Top||69-71||Loss||-109||16 h 19 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Drake
Entering this game, Missouri State is only 1-5 SU in their last 6 games against Drake (0-6 ATS.) They are also a sad 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Drake. For the Bulldogs, they are a perfect 10-0 SU in their last 10 games at home. Drake is also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played in January. Take Drake on Sunday.
T.M. Prediction: 74-63 Drake
|01-26-20||Maryland v. Indiana UNDER 133.5||Top||77-76||Loss||-110||13 h 21 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Indiana Hoosiers/Maryland Terrapins UNDER
Analysis to come. 10* play
T.M. Prediction: 63-61 Maryland
|01-25-20||Oklahoma State v. Texas A&M +2.5||Top||73-62||Loss||-110||4 h 51 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M Aggies
Texas A&M may come in as the underdog, but I believe that they will find a way to crush the Cowboys here on Saturday. Coming into this game, Texas A&M is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Big 12 Conference. The Aggies are also a dominant 6-1 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against Oklahoma State. For the Cowboys, they are only 0-5 ATS (0-5 SU as well) in their last 5 games this season. At home, give me Texas A&M all day.
T.M. Prediction: 81-67 Aggies
|01-25-20||Delaware v. Northeastern OVER 143.5||Top||76-74||Win||100||12 h 44 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Northeastern/Delaware OVER
Delaware enters Saturday's match with a 14-7 record, while the Huskies come in with a solid 11-9. Although their season record looks better, the Fightin' Blue Hens haven't really been too consistent throughout this season. Coming into this game, the total has gone OVER in 8 of Delaware's last 12 games against opponents in the Colonial Athletic Conference. Delaware has also seen the total go OVER in each of their last 5 games while playing on the road against Northeastern. For the Huskies, they have also seen many OVER's. The total has now gone OVER in 7 of Northeastern's last 9 games played in January. The score has also gone above the total in 5 of their last 7 games this season. Whovever wins this game, they'll gain a huge confidence boost going into the stretch. Expect a high-scoring, close affair on Saturday. Take the OVER.
T.M. Prediction: 78-75 Northeastern
|01-24-20||Marquette v. Butler OVER 137||Top||85-89||Win||100||22 h 48 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Marquette/Butler OVER
Butler comes into this game with a 15-4 record, while Marquette is 14-5. The Bulldogs are at home in this matchup, so they come in as the favorite. Butler may have an excellent record so far, but they come in off 3 straight losses. Including each of those 3 games, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Butler's last 6 games this season. The Bulldogs have also seen the total go OVER in 4 of their last 5 games against opponents from the Big East Conference. On the other hand, Marquette has won each of their last 3 games, each against fairly good teams. Leading the way, is PG Markus Howard who is avereging 28.4 points per game this season. Last year, we saw him drop 50 in one game! Entering this game, the Golden Eagles have seen the total go OVER in 9 of their last 11 games. Marquette has also seen the total go OVER in 5 of their last 7 games played against this Butler team. Whoever wins this game will gain a huge confidence boost, so I believe that it will be a back-and-forward, high-scoring game on Friday. Expect lots of points and take the OVER.
T.M. Prediction: 78-75 Marquette
|01-24-20||Kent State v. Buffalo -4||Top||70-66||Loss||-109||19 h 12 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Buffalo Bulls
The Buffalo Bulls and the Kent State Golden Flashes both come in with identical 13-6 records. Although their records may look the same, I believe that Buffalo is by far the more superior side in this one. Entering this game, the Bulls are a dominant 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home. Buffalo is also 4-1 in their last 5 games. Even better, they are a sweet 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Kent State. For the Golden Flashes, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games played on the road (2-5 ATS L7.) Kent St is also a sad 4-12 ATS in their last 16 games against Buffalo. At home, I expect the Buffalo Bulls to dominate this Kent St team with ease on Friday.
T.M. Prediction: 83-73 Buffalo
|01-24-20||Bucks v. Hornets OVER 219||Top||116-103||Push||0||16 h 37 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Milwaukee Bucks/Charlotte Hornets OVER (1st Half)
At 39-6, the Milwaukee Bucks are by far the best team in the league. However, they have still allowed 106.73 points per game. I mean, that's not too much when you are avereging 119+ per game youself, but still. Coming into this game, Milwaukee has seen the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte. The Bucks have also seen the total go OVER in 8 of 11 games off a home win by 10 points or more this season. On the other hand, Charlotte comes in with a 15-30 record. That may not look too good, but they have still played some decent basketball this season. With Devonte Graham leading the way, the Hornets come in averaging 106.19 points in home games this season. Charlotte has seen the total has gone OVER in 4 of their last 6 games against opponents in the Eastern Conference as well. If the Hornets win, that could give them lots of confidence in the furture, so I expect them to give it their hardest effort on Friday Afternoon. Take the OVER and expect a high-scoring game.
T.M. Prediction: 127-109 Bucks
|01-23-20||IUPU Ft Wayne v. South Dakota -7.5||Top||60-83||Win||100||22 h 31 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: South Dakota
Entering this game, South Dakota is a dominant 12-3 in their last 15 games played on a Thursday. The Coyotes are also a sweet 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games when playing at home against IPFW. For the Mastodons, they are only 2-11 SU in their last 13 games on the road. IPFW is also a sad 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games this season. At home, expect an easy win for the Coyotes.
T.M. Prediction: 79-61 SDAK
|01-21-20||Miami-FL +17.5 v. Duke||Top||59-89||Loss||-105||11 h 52 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Miami Fl
Duke may be the better team, but if you're going to give me 17.5 to a team that almost beat a top 10 opponent last time out, I'm jumping all over that. Duke is only 14-20 after having won 12 or more of their last 15 games the past 3 years. On the other hand, the Hurricanes are 3-1 off a loss against a conference rival. Miami FL is also a perfect 2-0 this season after 2 or more consecutive losses. Expect an easy cover on Tuesday.
T.M. Prediction: 79-75 Duke
|01-19-20||Loyola-Chicago -3.5 v. Illinois State||Top||62-50||Win||100||4 h 49 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Loyola-Chicago
I recently won with Loyola-Chicago on Thursday against Southern Illinois. Now, I like them even better as they play another weak team in Illinois State. The Ramblers come into this game 9-2 SU in their last 11 games. LOYCH is also 13-7 ATS in their last 20 games played in January. Even better, they are a dominant 4-1 SU in their last 5 games against Illinois State. For the Redbirds, they are only 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games (1-7 L8.) They are also a terrible and when I say terrible, I mean absolutely terrible 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games against opponents in the Missouri Valley Conference. Expect another huge win for the Ramblers on Sunday Afternoon.
T.M. Prediction: 76-54 Ramblers
|01-19-20||Heat v. Spurs UNDER 222.5||Top||102-107||Win||100||3 h 10 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Spurs/Heat UNDER
Both of these teams have seen more "over's" than "under's" the past few games, but I believe that more defense will be played tonight. After 2 consecutive non-conference games the past 3 seasons, Miami has seen the total go UNDER in 19 of their last 31 games. On the other hand, San Antonio has seen the total go UNDER in 19 of their last 31 games in home games where the total is greater than or equal to 220. The Spurs have also seen an UNDER in 10 of 17 games after 3 consecutive non-conference games. Expect an UNDER here on Sunday.
T.M. Prediction: 107-102 Heat
|01-18-20||Middle Tennessee v. Florida International -7.5||Top||69-83||Win||100||7 h 43 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Florida International
I believe that their is a huge gap between the skill of these two teams. Florida International is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games. The Panthers also are a dominant 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Middle Tennessee. Even better, FIU has won 10 straight games when playing at home. For the Blue Raiders, they are only 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games. They are also a terrible 0-6 SU in their last 6 games on the road and they are 0-9 in their last 9 games. I smell blowout in this one as FIU wins by 23.
T.M. Prediction: 83-60 FIU
|01-18-20||Miami-OH v. Ball State UNDER 138||Top||62-71||Win||100||1 h 59 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Miami (OH)/Ball St UNDER
Miami Ohio may have seen 4 straight OVER's, but I believe that they are due for an UNDER here today. Entering this game, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of the past 5 meetings between these two teams. The total has also gone UNDER in 12 of Ball State's last 15 games against opponents in the Mid-American Conference. 10 of Ball St's last 15 games this season have gone "UNDER" the total aswell. Expect a highly-contested defensive battle to be played on Saturday. Buckle up for a low scoring game. Take the UNDER.
T.M. Prediction: 64-61 Ball St
|01-15-20||Massachusetts v. St Bonaventure -8.5||Top||61-74||Win||100||7 h 0 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: St Bonaventure
The Bonnies come into this matchup as ther much better team. They are a dominant 10-1 SU in their last 11 games this season. St Bonaventure is also 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games. Even better, they are a perfect 5-0 in their last 5 games played in January. For UMASS, they are only 3-11 SU in their last 14 games played on a Wednesday. The Minutemen are also 2-14 SU in their last 16 games played in January. Even worse, they are a terrible 0-7 in their last 7 games against the Bonnies. At home, expect a blowout.
T.M. Prediction: 72-51 Bonnies
|01-14-20||Jazz v. Nets +3||Top||118-107||Loss||-110||9 h 11 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets
With Kyrie Irving back and healthy, the Brooklyn Nets will be tough to play against, especially at home. Coming into this game Brooklyn is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games at home. The Nets are also off back-to-back wins which could help provide a confidence boost here tonight. Now, there isn't much bad to say about the Jazz. Even though they have won nine straight games, 1-4 ATS against Atlantic division opponents this season. Utah is also only 0-4 ATS off 9 consecutive wins the past three seasons. Expect a hard fought game, but for Brooklyn to pull away late. Take the Nets.
T.M. Prediction: 117-112 Nets
|01-14-20||Central Michigan v. Toledo -8.5||Top||74-67||Loss||-109||20 h 50 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Toledo
Both of these two teams may have identical records, but I believe that the Rockets are the better team. Toledo comes into this game with a massive 9-1 record in their last 10 games at home. Toledo is also 8-4 ATS off a home non-cover where the team won straight up as a favorite the past three years. Even better, they are 7-3 ATS ehrn against good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games. For the Chippewas, they are only 0-8 SU in their last 8 games on the road. Central Michigan is also a terrible 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Toledo. Expect an easy cover for the home team here. Take the Toledo Rockets.
T.M. Prediction: 76-49 Toledo
|01-12-20||Hawks v. Nets OVER 228.5||Top||86-108||Loss||-107||6 h 24 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Brooklyn Nets/Atalnta Hawks OVER
Neither team has had an excellent start to the new season, especially the Atlanta Hawks. The Hawks sit at the bottom of the Estern Conference and have the worst record in the entire league. But that doesn't mean they can't score any points. Coming into this game, the total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games against opponents in the Atlantic Division. They have also given up 117+ points per game. For Brooklyn, they have a 17-20 record. They have also seen some very high-scoring games. the total has gone OVER in 5 of the Nets' last 7 games played in January. I expect another game with lots of points to be played on Sunday and for this game to go way OVER in the total.
T.M. Prediction: 127-121 Nets
|01-12-20||Canisius v. St. Peter's -2.5||Top||72-68||Loss||-110||1 h 20 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: St Peter's
Both of these two teams sit with a record below .500. But, even with a 5-7 record, the Saint Peter's Peacocks are still a dominant 9-3 ATS this season. Saint Peter's also come into this game with a 6-3 SU record in their last 9 games against opponents in the Metro Atlantic Conference. On the other hand, Canisius are a terrible 0-6 in their last 6 games this seaaon. The Golden Griffins are also only 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the MAC. Even worse, they are a sad 0-5 in their last 5 games played on the road. With St Peter's at home, expect the Peacocks to win with ease on Sunday. Take SPC
T.M. Prediction: 69-61 SPC
|01-11-20||Wisc-Milwaukee v. Green Bay -6||Top||87-80||Loss||-103||20 h 10 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Green Bay
On Saturday, both teams will battle to see who's the better team in Wisconsin. Neither team has played too well, but their whole seasons could flip around, with a huge win today, Wisconsin-Milwaukee is only 1-9-1 ATS in their last 11 games this season. They are also a sad 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Wisconsin-Green Bay. Even worse, they are a terrible 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games played on a Saturday. For Green Bay, they are a perfect 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Wisconsin-Milwaukee. The Phoenix are also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Take Wis-GB here.
T.M. Prediction: 73-60
|01-11-20||SIU-Edwardsville v. Eastern Kentucky -5||Top||72-78||Win||100||17 h 10 m||Show|
T.M. Selection: Eastern Kentucky
Neither team has started too well to the 2019-20 campaign. They both enter well under .500 and that has made people think that both cannot make the Big Dance. But, with a win here, I believe that Eastern Kentucky's hopes are still alive. EKU is 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games against opponents in the Ohio Valley Conference. On the other hand, SIU Edwardsville are only 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Eastern Kentucky. Take EKU at home on Saturday,
T.M. Prediction: 77-61 EKU