Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
03-28-24 | Alabama +4.5 v. North Carolina | Top | 89-87 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Alabama. These are the two highest scoring teams left in the Tournament. North Carolina has the slightly better oveall defense, but the Tide have looked great here over the first two games of this tournament. The Tide have extremely efficient outside shooting and it's the toughest offense that UNC has faced yet. Bama and the points is the correct call in my opinion in this matchup. T.M. Prediction: 87-86 UNC. | |||||||
03-28-24 | Celtics -16 v. Hawks | Top | 122-123 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. Boston is 57-15 while Atlanta is 32-39. The Celtics play with revenge after a 120-118 loss to the Hawks last time out, and note that the C's are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS loss vs. an oppponent. The Hawks will likely be in the "play in," but the Hawks have several injuries which makes Boston the correct call here. The revenge factor is the difference for me. T.M. Prediction: 127-100 Boston. | |||||||
03-27-24 | Suns +7.5 v. Nuggets | Top | 104-97 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns. Phoenix is 41-30, including 19-16 on the road. Denver is 51-21, including 29-6 at home. The Nuggets have won four straight, but they fell 117-107 in OT to the Suns on March 5th, and I think they'll have their hands full here too at home. Phoenix had its three-game win streak snapped in a 104-102 loss at San Antonio, two nights after beating the Spurs 131-106 on the road and clearly getting caught "looking ahead" to this matchup. Phoenix is hungry to improve here and I suspect a very competitive affair in this one. So grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Denver. | |||||||
03-27-24 | UNLV +5.5 v. Seton Hall | Top | 68-91 | Loss | -107 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNLV. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points. The Rebels are off the 79-70 home win over Boston College, while Seton Hall beat UNT here 72-58. The Rebels' superior offense will keep them this game late. And with 70% of the public money on the home side, the contrarian in me is also pleased with this wager. While I wouldn't be shocked by an outright, my official call is to grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 71-69 Seton Hall. | |||||||
03-25-24 | Hornets v. Cavs -11.5 | Top | 92-115 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cavaliers. After three straight losses, including a humbling 121-84 loss at Miami just last night, I like the Cavaliers to finally bounce back here at home in this favorable matchup and to take out their frustrations on the lowly Hornets. Note that Cleveland is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 after 3 or more SU/ATS setbacks in a row. This is the opener of a home and home set between the clubs, so look for Cleveland to send the early message. T.M. Prediction: 115-90 Cleveland. | |||||||
03-25-24 | Chicago State +4.5 v. Fairfield | Top | 74-77 | Win | 100 | 6 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Chicago State. Fairfield advanced by beating UALR 82-75 yesterday, but I feel that it'll be "gassed" here in the second game of the back-to-back scenario. Chicago State though enters off a 77-75 win over San Diego State as a 9.5-point dog to advance and I think it keeps that momentum rolling here, as it's had an extra days rest. The outright is possible, but let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 73-71 Chicago State. | |||||||
03-24-24 | Yale v. San Diego State OVER 128.5 | Top | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 14 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Yale/SDSU OVER. I like Yale to push SDSU to the brink. The Bulldogs are coming off a 78-76 win over Auburn as 14-point dogs, and there's no reason not to think they can't carry that offensive momentum over here. The Aztecs edged UAB 69-65, but the Bulldogs looked great from range in their win over the Tigers and I expect this offense to stretch the Aztecs' perimeter defense. This isn't a very high total obviously and this can still be a lower-scoring overall game and easily eclipse this super low number, and that's exactly what I'm expecting. This number is MUCH too low in my estimation. T.M. Prediction: 75-70 SDSU. | |||||||
03-24-24 | Cavs +4.5 v. Heat | Top | 84-121 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Cavaliers. In a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last, I'm going to grab the points. Cleveland is in fact 21-13 on the road, while Miami is just 17-16 at home this season. The Cavs are off B2B SU/ATS losses, so will clearly be motivated. And they also play with the added-incentive of "revenge" after falling 107-104 as 3-point favs at home to the Heat earlier in the week, and note that they're 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a fav. vs. an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 103-102 Cleveland. | |||||||
03-23-24 | Oakland +6.5 v. NC State | Top | 73-76 | Win | 100 | 10 h 37 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oakland. I think that 14th seeded Oakland has a legit shot at winning this one outright. NC State enters as the 11th seed. Oakland upset Kentucky 80-76, while the Wolfpack beat Texas Tech 80-67. These teams offensive and defensive numbers are super similar. They've very evenly matched teams and matchup well. Momentum is a very real, almost tangible factor that the oddsmakers have a hard time properly quantifying into a line at times, and in my opinion, whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top, that's how evenly matched it really is. T.M. Prediction: 74-72 Oakland. | |||||||
03-23-24 | Michigan State +4 v. North Carolina | Top | 69-85 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State. While I do think that an outright victory is definitely not out of the realm of possibility obviously which such a small spread (and while I do think "sprinkling" a little on they money line is a wise move as well,) my official call is to grab as many points as you can in a contest that I see being decided by whichever team has its hands on the ball last. Michigan State and Tom Izzo cruised to a 69-51 wiin over Mississippi State and I'm expecting them to carry that momentum over here. The Tar Heels had little problem with a tired Wagner, winning 90-62. But, while I'll admit this is a big step up in competition for the Spartans, it's also a huge step up in competition for the Tar Heels. Everything points to a "nail-biter," so I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Michigan State. | |||||||
03-22-24 | Grambling State v. Purdue UNDER 139 | Top | 50-78 | Win | 100 | 10 h 38 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Grambling/Purude under. Grambling moved out of the First Four by defeating Montana State 88-81 in OT, but I think it'll be "gassed" here and overwhelmed by the size of the Boilermakers, who fell 76-75 to Wisconsin in the Big Ten Tournament semifinals. Purdue will dicate the pace and tempo and not allow the Tigers many second chances. This one appears to be a much more defensive-battle than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 83-57 Purdue. | |||||||
03-22-24 | Stetson +26.5 v. Connecticut | Top | 52-91 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Stetson. Do I think that UConn is going to win this game?! Yes, I do. Do I believe the Huskies will win this game by essentially four TD's?! No, I don't! The Hatters finished 22-12, while UConn was 31-3. This is Stetson's first ever trip to the Big Dance, and clearly they've drawn a tough opponent. But Stetson looked good in its 94-91 conference tournament win over Austin Peay, and I expect it to carry that momentum over here. Dan Hurley's Huskies may very well repeat as Champion, but I think this one will be a lot closer than what this spread is suggesting. This Hatters offense can score with anyone in the nation. Look for the strong/easy/comfortable backdoor cover as this one comes down the stretch. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 UConn. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State +1.5 | Top | 61-66 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Washington State. Drake finished 28-6 and Washington State was 24-9. Washington State earned a spot by finishing second in the Pac 12 with a 14-6 record, losing to Colorado in the semi-finals of the Tourney. Drake advanced by beating the Top seed in the MVC (Indiana State), to advance. Drake averages 80.3 PPG, while allowing 70.6, while Washington State averages 74.3, while conceding only 66.3. Drake lacks the depth that the Cougars bring to the table and that's the difference-maker for me. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Washington State. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Kings v. Wizards +11.5 | Top | 102-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards (NON-CONF GOM) The Wizards are in full on tank mode, but there are still plenty of spots where it makes sense to wager on them and grab up all the points, and this is one of those spots in my opinion. The Kings are coming off two straight victories, but after beating Toronto 123-89 last night, I'm expecting a predictable letdown here. Note that the Kings are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road win in which they held their opponent to 89 or fewer points in. The Kings have a much more high-profile game at Orlando after this and I think they get caught looking ahead. T.M. Prediction: 119-116 Sacramento. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Long Beach State v. Arizona -20 | Top | 65-85 | Push | 0 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arizona. I believe Arizona will not only win this game, but do so in blowout fashion. LBSU averages 76.5 PPG, while the Wildcats average 88. Yes, Arizona stumbled down the stretch, but the longer lay-off to prepare for this one will be the difference. Look for Arizona to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish and lay the points. T.M. Prediction: 96-67 Arizona. | |||||||
03-20-24 | Colorado v. Boise State OVER 140.5 | Top | 60-53 | Loss | -111 | 12 h 0 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colorado/Boise State OVER. These teams are looking to move on, and whoever does will face the seventh seeded Gators. Colorado was 24-10, and Boise State finished 22-10. The Buffs lost 75-68 to Oregon in the Pac 12 Tournament, while the Broncos fell 76-66 to New Mexico in the Mountain West tournament. Both sides are off disappointing low-scoring losses, but with time off to prepare, I believe we'll see a wide-open pace here. More shots = more points! Previous to losing, the Buffs had won eight straight! Colorado averages 79.3 PPG, and I believe it'll be the one to set the pace here. This number is low in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: 75-73 Colorado. | |||||||
03-20-24 | Appalachian State v. Wake Forest -6.5 | Top | 76-87 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wake Forest. I think the 27-6 Appalachian State Mountaineers won't be able hang down the stretch with the 20-13 Wake Forest Demon Deacons in the first round of the NIT. App Stae lost 67-65 to Arkansas State in the Sun Belt Championship, led by 15 points from Terence Harcum. Wake lost 81-69 to Pitt in the ACC Tournament quarterfinal, led by 23 points from Cameron Hildreth. Wake Forest is the more motivated team here in my estimation. It averages 78.2 PPG and the home floor advantage will be huge down the stretch. Look for App State to stumble in the second half and for the home side to extend with a big win and cover. T.M. Prediction: 80-65 Wake. | |||||||
03-19-24 | Richmond +5.5 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 58-74 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 32 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Richmond. Both teams lost to lower-seeded teams in their conference tournament openers, so each saw its NCAA Tournament hopes dashed. Now they face off here in Virginia Tech in the NIT. The Spiders finished 23-9 and the Hokies were 18-14. Richmond's loss to St. Joe's was the bigger upset clearly, as it was the No. 1 seed in the A-10 Tournament. "I think that a postseason appearance, more than ever before, is a great accomplishment," 19-year coach Chris Mooney said Monday. "We've already had a tremendous accomplishment, winning the regular-season championship. This is another opportunity to play in the postseason, to play at an ACC school we greatly respect." While I do think an outright is possible, my call is to grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 73-71 Richmond. | |||||||
03-19-24 | Rockets v. Wizards +9.5 | Top | 137-114 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wizards. I think Houston will likely win this game outright, but it won't even come close to covering the spread. Yes, the Wizards are terrible, but Houston, despite winning five in a row, is still just 9-24 on the road. The Rockets return home for three straight after this, so this is a natural "letdown" spot vs. the lowly Wizards. Who do in fact play with revenge after a 135-119 loss at Houston just last week. Look for Washington to be much more competitive here here on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 115-114 Houston. | |||||||
03-19-24 | Wagner +3.5 v. Howard | Top | 71-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wagner. These two teams got hot at the right time and won their conference tournaments. Wagner finished 16-15, while Howard was 18-16. The Bison though have a terrible defense and struggle with defending the rim. Something that Wagner does well. I think the Seahawks have a chance of winning this one outright. You may want to consider sprinkling a little on the moneyline here. Whoever wins, they're journey in the Big Dance will end in the next round, but this one has the "feel" of whichever team has its hands on the ball last is going to come out on top. And so because of that, I'm grabbing the points for sure! T.M. Prediction: 65-64 Wagner. | |||||||
03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -155 | Top | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Illinois. The Badgers finished 22-12. They've had to win three games to reach the Championship game. That included a win over No. 1 seed Purdue, to reach the Championship game for the first time since 2016. The Badgers are exhausted and contents, while the Illinois will be all business after dispatching Nebraska. We already have a "blue print" as well of how this game will play out, as Illinois beat Wisconsin 91-82 on March 2nd. I believe this game will be lower-scoring overall, but the discrepany of winning margin will be even greater for the Illini. This is just a bad matchup for the Badgers; lay the price and take Illinois on the money line! T.M. Prediction: 80-70 Illinois. | |||||||
03-15-24 | East Carolina +7.5 v. South Florida | Top | 59-81 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: East Carolina. I like ECU to build off its 84-79 win over Tulsa yeterday. Rest leads to rust for the Bulls in my esimtation, who actually lost 76-70 to Tulsa in their regular-season finale. Off that recent common opponent matchup to compare, I think ECU has a legit shot at winning this one outright. That said, let's grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 68-67 USF. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Suns +6 v. Celtics | Top | 112-127 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Suns. I really do see this one coming right down to the wire. Phoenix is a respectable 17-13 on the road. The Suns have won three of their last four, including a 117-111 win at Cleveland last time out. The only loss in that time came against the Celtics at home just last week, falling 117-107, and note that the Suns are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a straight-up and against-the-spread home loss as a dog versus an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 114-113 Boston. | |||||||
03-14-24 | NC State v. Duke -11.5 | Top | 74-69 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke. NC State is the tenth seed, and Duke is No. 2. The Wolfpack finished 19-14, while the Blue Devils were 24-7. But after taking down Louisville and Syracuse, I say NC State's run in the Tournament comes to a resounding close tonight. The Blue Devils fell to UNC in their final regular season game by a score of 84-79, so they'll be extra pissed in this one (LOL!) Duke beat NC State in Raleigh back on March 4th by a score of 79-64, and all signs point to an even bigger blowout this time around. T.M. Prediction: 85-65 Duke. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Minnesota v. Michigan State -6.5 | Top | 67-77 | Win | 100 | 3 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Michigan State. Both teams finished 18-13, but this is one that favors the Spartans here now in the Conference Tourney in my opinion. These teams played twice in the regular season and they went 1-1. The Gophers got smashed 90-66 by Northwestern in their final regular season game, while Michigan State fell just short in a 65-64 setback to Indiana. Look for the Spartans to carry over that momentum here and to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 75-60 Michigan State. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Arizona State v. Utah -5.5 | Top | 57-90 | Win | 100 | 14 h 11 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah. I'm expecting a decisive victory for the Utes in this one. ASU finished 14-17, while Utah finished 18-12. Arizona State comes in with zero moment after three straight losses to end the season. Utah also closed with two straight losses, but the difference is that the Utes have a chance to "right a wrong" here in the opener of the Tournament. Utah lost 85-77 at home to ASU on February 10th as 13-point favorites. Note though that the Utes are a near-perfect 4-1 ATS in their last five in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. In my opinion, this spread should or could in fact be a lot larger, so that swings the value in favor to Utah for sure in this one. T.M. Prediction: 80-66 Utes. | |||||||
03-13-24 | Lakers -2 v. Kings | Top | 107-120 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. No need to overthink this one. The Lakers are playing their best basketball of the year right now arguably. They catch the Kings off a satisfying home win over the Bucks just last night. LA's only loss in its last four games game against Sacramento at home last week, and note that the Lakers are 7-3 ATS in their last ten in trying to avenge a straight up and against the spread home loss against an opponent. T.M. Prediction: 124-116 LA. | |||||||
03-13-24 | Rice +3.5 v. Wichita State | Top | 81-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 17 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Rice. While I do think an outright is very possible, my official call is to grab the points. The Owls finished 11-20, while the Shockers were only slightly better at 13-18. On the season Rice averaged 71.7, while allowing 75.3, while Wichita State averaged 72.8, while allowing 73.1. These teams squared off two weeks ago and the Shockers managed a 21-point home victory as 5.5-point favorites. But the Owls let that one go early, and now here in this neutral location, I think that the tean that has its hands on the ball last will win. So I'm grabbing the points. T.M. Prediction: 72-68 Rice. | |||||||
03-12-24 | Celtics v. Jazz +6.5 | Top | 123-107 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 21 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz. While only 28-36 overall, the Jazz are a much more respectable 19-12 at home thi syear. The Celtics are 50-14 overall and 21-11 on the road, but I say they get caught looking ahead to their home game vs. the Suns next, as this is the finale of their road-trip. The Jazz play with revenge after a 126-97 loss at Boston in early January. They're off B2B losses, but I expect Utah to, at the very least, comfortably sneak in through the back door in this revenge-scenario. Grab as many points as you can. T.M. Prediction: 117-115 Boston. | |||||||
03-12-24 | Canisius +4.5 v. Mt. St. Mary's | Top | 77-61 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Canisius. Canisius finished 13-17, while Mount St. Mary's was 13-18. These teams played very recently, and for the most part I'm basing this selection off the results of that contest. It was very recent, so we don't have to look back to far to get our comparisons. In that game Canisius won 61-56 as a two-point fav. Granted, it was a thome and the Golden Griffins play much better at home, but because this is a neutral site affair, I actually feel that these two sides are much more evenly matched than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe. I feel the outright is possible as well. T.M. Prediction: 69-68 Canisius. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Texas State +13 v. James Madison | Top | 68-73 | Win | 100 | 10 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas State. I'm expecting a super tight battle here between these teams. Yes, James Madison did finish 28-3 SU this year, but it was consistently overvalued in my opinion. Texas State finished 17-17, but it's coming in off three straight victories to reach this point of the tournament and I believe it carries that momentum over here. The Dukes beat Marshall yesterday, but I believe they'll have difficulty covering this large spread on the second game of the B2B scenario. No outright, but closer than expected. T.M. Prediction: 72-70 James Madison. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Grizzlies v. Thunder -14.5 | Top | 93-124 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC Thunder. No reason not to believe we'll see a complete blowout here. Memphis is off the 99-92 home loss to Atlanta, but it fell 116-97 to the Thunder here back in mid-December, and I'm expecting a similar final outcome here as well. The Thunder have won B2B games and with three "winnable" home contests here, starting with this one, I do expect the home side to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 OKC. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Spurs v. Warriors -10 | Top | 126-113 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors. The Warriors are off the 125-122 home loss to the Bulls as 8.5-point favorites, one night after hammering the Bucks 125-90. With Spurs' star "Wemby" expected to be sidelined for this one though, look for Golden State to bounce back here in this favorable spot, as note that the Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their L9 off a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. Everything points to a blowout here for sure in my opinion. T.M. Prediction: Golden State 127-100. | |||||||
03-08-24 | Bucks v. Lakers +1.5 | Top | 122-123 | Win | 100 | 13 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LA Lakers. I think it's "all hands on deck" for the Lake Show tonight! The Bucks are a mediocre 16-15 SU on the road this year, while the Lakers are an above average 23-11 at home. The Bucks JUST had their big win streak snapped in a 125-90 loss at Golden State. They've played without star Giannis the last couple games and if he DOES suit up tonight, I think he'll be a "non-factor" as he continues to work through his injury. The Lakers have been trading wins/losses over their last four games and off a listless 130-120 setback to the Kings here last time out, I think this pattern continues. Grab the points though. T.M. Prediction: 122-110 Lakers. | |||||||
03-07-24 | Celtics -115 v. Nuggets | Top | 109-115 | Loss | -115 | 29 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. Denver just had its six-game win streak come to an end last time out, falling 117-107 in OT at home to Phoenix. Now the Celtics come to town. Boston just had its 11 game win streak come to an end in a 105-104 setback at Cleveland. But now the Celtics will look to avenge a 102-100 loss at home to the Nuggets back in mid January which snapped their 21-game home win streak at the time. note that the C's are 7-2 ATS in their last nine in trying to avenge a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite vs. an opponent. Look for the Celtics to avenge the earlier loss with a big win in prime time vs. the defending champs. T.M. Prediction: 118-113 Boston. | |||||||
03-07-24 | UAB v. Temple +3 | Top | 100-72 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Temple. UAB is 18-11, including 6-5 on the road, while Temple is 11-18, including 5-8 at home. The Blazers though are playing terribly righ tnow, loser of two straight. With a home game vs. 20-10 SMU to end the season up next, I say the visitors get caught looking ahead. The Owls are off a tight 72-67 home loss to Tulsa as six-point favs, but note that Temple is 4-1 ATS in its last five after a SU/ATS conference home loss as a favorite. Grab the points. T.M. Prediction: 74-70 Temple. | |||||||
03-06-24 | Bucks v. Warriors -165 | Top | 90-125 | Win | 100 | 12 h 18 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Warriors. Milwaukee hasn't lost since the All Star break, but Giannis isn't at 100%, and with another big game vs. the Lakers upcoming, I'm expecting a letdown here finally. Golden State plays with revenge as well after a loss at Milwaukee earlier in the season. The Warriors had won three straight before their most recent humbling loss at Boston, but note that the Warriors are 7-3 ATS in their last ten after a SU/ATS road loss in which they were held to 89 or less points in. T.M. Prediction: 121-106 Golden State. | |||||||
03-05-24 | Pistons v. Heat OVER 217 | Top | 110-118 | Win | 100 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Pistons/Heat over. Detroit has nothing to play for here right? That's true in the big picture, as the Pistons are just 9-51 overall. They've lost two straight after their most recent 113-91 setback at Orlando. They're in tank mode for the most part looking for draft picks, but there will be moments in the season where it makes sense and the value is there to back Detroit. And here I'm expecting them to play Miami tight. They did the last time they were here, losing 103-102 as 9.5-point dogs back in October. That total went under the number, but with Miami pushing the pace like I suspect here on Tuesday, I believe the final combined score will fly well over the posted total. The Heat have had two whole nights off after a 126-120 win over Utah here, and I expect a similar final combined score in this one as well. T.M. Prediction: 120-110 Miami. | |||||||
03-05-24 | Holy Cross +4.5 v. Army | Top | 84-68 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Holy Cross. Two bad teams. Holy Cross finished 9-22 and Army was 10-21. But this pick is based entirely on "revenge," and specifically the "double revenge" factor. Army won both meetings between the tams this year, 70-57 at home on January 6 and 59-53 on the road on February 17. Holy Cross is 8-2 ATS (that's 80% of the time it's cashed in this spot) in trying to avenge two straight SU/ATS losses in a row vs. a conference opponent. In a contest that I see coming right down to the wire, I'm grabbing the points (but don't be afraid to sprinkle a little on the moneyline here as well!) T.M. Prediction: 65-64 Holy Cross. | |||||||
03-03-24 | UAB v. Memphis OVER 158 | Top | 87-106 | Win | 100 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UAB/Memphis OVER. UAB is 18-10, which includes a 6-4 road record. Memphis is 21-8, including 12-2 at home. UAB is off the 74-66 home loss to Wichita State as an 8-point fav though and the Blazers have seen the total go over in eight of 12 after a SU/ATS home loss as a favorite. They beat Memphis 97-88 in January at home, and note that the Tigers have seen the total eclipse the number in seven of ten in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference road loss as a fav. Yes, both teams have been involved in several lower-scoring games, but all signs point to a shootout here finally on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 90-75 Memphis. | |||||||
03-03-24 | Warriors v. Celtics -10.5 | Top | 88-140 | Win | 100 | 6 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Celtics. The Warriors have injuries and other issues with their line-up hence the large line. Golden State has won three straight SU/ATS on the road, all as a fav, but note that the Warriors are just 3-7 ATS in their last ten after three or more SU/ATS road wins in a row. Golden State gets caught "looking ahead" as well to a few nights off, before three straight at home starting with the Bucks. Boston plays with revenge as well after a 132-126 OT loss at Golden State in December. Look for the Celtics, who have won ten straight, to keep the foot on the gas from start to finish. T.M. Prediction: 130-100 Boston. | |||||||
03-02-24 | Stephen F Austin v. Grand Canyon OVER 141 | Top | 58-80 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OVER SFA/GRC. I'm expecting a really high-scoring game here finally. Theses two teams played at Stephen F. Austin back in January, and GRC won 53-51 as a 1.5-point favorite. That's the basis of this entire play though, as the Lumberjacks have seen the total eclipse the posted number in eight of their last ten (that's 80% of the time over the L10 times this exact scenario has occured!), in trying to avenge a SU/ATS conference home loss vs. an opponent. And for the Antelopes? They broke a two game slide with a 72-43 win over Texas Rio Grand Valley, but clearly they're going to have their hands full with this revenge-minded visiting side. With each team pushing the pace like I anticipate, the play for sure here is the over. T.M. Prediction: 90-70 GRC | |||||||
03-02-24 | Jazz +7.5 v. Heat | Top | 120-126 | Win | 100 | 8 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Utah Jazz. The Jazz have lost the first two games of their road trip, but they catch the Heat at a good time here. Utah actually beat Miami at home at the start of the season. I'm not predicting an outright win here or anything for the visitors, but it does set up well for the underdog. The Heat return home after going 5-1 on their road trip. They went 6-0 ATS. They lost their final game at Denver. First game back at home = letdown spot! Let's take advantage, I'm grabbing the points in this one and rolling with the Jazz. T.M. Prediction: 112-110 Miami. | |||||||
03-01-24 | Arkansas State +7 v. Appalachian State | Top | 57-80 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 14 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Arkansas State. Arkansas State is 16-14, while App State is 25-5. The Red Wolves though are playing extremely well with six straight wins and with the final game of the year here, I'm expecting the back door to be wide-open as App State gets caught "looking ahead" to the conference tournament. App State has won six in a row, but this spread is just too large in my opinion. No outright, but right down to the wire. T.M. Prediction: 125-124 App State. | |||||||
02-28-24 | Southern Miss v. South Alabama -158 | Top | 70-73 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: USA - ML I like the South Alabama Jaguars to win this game against the Southern Miss Golden Eagles on Wednesday, February 28th. The Jags are coming off a loss. But, that was on the road and now they are back at home where they've been solid this season. Less than a week ago now, these teams met @USM. The Jaguars crushed them and never looked back. Now, USM is on the road and they are just 4-7-1 ATS on the road this year. I believe that South Alabama should be able to win this game convincingly again. Hammer the Jaguars. T.M. Prediction: 81-71 South Alabama. Line: -158 Line Parameter: play until -190.. | |||||||
02-27-24 | 76ers v. Celtics OVER 229 | Top | 99-117 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHI @ BOS - OVER I am on the OVER in the Philadelphia 76ers @ Boston Celtics game on Tuesday February 27th. Without Joel Embiid, the Celtics definitely hold the talent edge between these two teams. Having said that, I believe that they'll come out strong looking for a win against their so-called “rivals” on Tuesday night. The Celtics have gone OVER the total in seven of their ten games this season when playing on two days rest. On the flip side of things, Philly have gone OVER the total in 16 of their 26 road games this season so they are definitely competing even if they don't have their best lineup right now. I believe that we'll see another high scoring game which will result in them going OVER the total on Tuesday evening. *Max Play on full game OVER* - (I also like 1H OVER) T.M. Prediction: 130-119 Celtics. Line: O/U 229.0 Line Parameter: play until 232.0 .. | |||||||
02-25-24 | Lakers v. Suns -160 | Top | 113-123 | Win | 100 | 5 h 39 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHX - ML I like the Phoenix Suns to win this game against the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday, February 25th. Coming off back to back road losses, the Suns are finally back at home where they've been great this season. The Lakers have been quite bad on the road so I'm surprised that the line is as small as it is. Even though LAL have been playing well as of late, they still sit in just 9th in the West. Phoenix is slipping so a win here would go a long way. Expect a big game from both Durant and Booker en route to a Suns win. T.M. Prediction: 121-113 Suns. Line: -160 Line Parameter: play until -190.. | |||||||
02-25-24 | American v. Colgate -11.5 | Top | 66-64 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 5 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Colgate - ATS I like the Colgate Raiders to win this game against the American Eagles on Sunday, February 25th. It's been 12 straight games now for the Raiders without a single loss. American, on the other hand, have lost back to back games now. They've also lost four of their last six games. American's offense isn't great and shouldn't be able to keep up with Colgate's ability to score. They hammered them earlier this season and I expect them to hammer them again. T.M. Prediction: 81-61 Colgate. Line: -11.5 Line Parameter: play until -12.5.. | |||||||
02-24-24 | Weber State -145 v. Idaho State | Top | 62-80 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Weber State - ML I like the Weber State Wildcats to win this game against the Idaho State Bengals on Saturday, February 24th. Weber State is coming to play today. Having won six games in a row, this team knows how to win. IDST beat them when WEB was at home so this game has revenge factor written all over it. The Wildcats have a very strong road record compared to an average home record of Idaho State. The Bengals have lost back to back games and could be in trouble here. Expect a really good performance from the road team here today. T.M. Prediction: 76-64 Weber State. Line: -145 Line Parameter: play until -175.. | |||||||
02-22-24 | CS Sacramento v. Montana -13 | Top | 61-68 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Montana - ATS I like the Montana Grizzlies to win this game against the Sacramento State Hornets on Thursday, February 22nd. Coming off a huge blowout win against their rivals Montana State, the Grizzlies are looking to close out the season with a bang. This one should be easy for them as the Hornets have lost ten straight games. One of those losses came against this very Montana team. It was a battle, with the Grizzlies squeaking out the tight victory in the end. This time, I believe that Montana will show them no mercy, especially at home. CSUS is a sad 1-12 on the road and they are just 8-16-1 ATS in all games this season. Montana, on the other hand, are 14-9 ATS. This should be an easy win for Montana. T.M. Prediction: 81-58 Montana. Line: -13.0 Line Parameter: play until -15.0.. | |||||||
02-21-24 | James Madison -6.5 v. Marshall | Top | 84-58 | Win | 100 | 8 h 12 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: JMU - ATS I like the James Madison Dukes to win this game against the Marshall Thundering Herd on Wednesday, February 21st. It's been an amazing season so far for JMU. They've been crushing it in the Sun Belt and could very well finish as the top seed in this conference heading into the tournament. But, a win here is crucial if they want to have a shot. Marshall have lost three straight games and don't look like they are at their best. I believe that JMU is better both offensively and defensively. Expect a huge win for the Dukes. T.M. Prediction: 85-72 JMU. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. | |||||||
02-15-24 | Wolves -9 v. Blazers | Top | 128-91 | Win | 100 | 12 h 55 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIN - ATS I like the Minnesota Timberwolves to win this game against the Portland Trail Blazers on Thursday, February 15th. After beating the Blazers by 12 just the other day, the TWolves look to win by even more tonight. Minnesota have now won three straight games and are feeling it again. Portland have lost five in a row. Although Portland kept the last game close throughout, I don't believe that they'll have much luck today. Minnesota was on a back to back and now have had a days rest. Hammer Minnesota tonight. T.M. Prediction: 120-100 TWolves. Line: -9.0 Line Parameter: play until -10.5.. | |||||||
02-13-24 | Thunder -135 v. Magic | Top | 127-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 29 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC - ML I like the Oklahoma City Thunder to win this game against the Orlando Magic on Tuesday, February 13th. OKC was able to get back in the winning column with last games win against the Kings. They currently sit in 2nd place in the West and still look to be a real threat come playoffs. Orlando has surpassingly continued to win as well. But, I still believe that they don't have what it takes to go very far. They were having trouble scoring against OKC back in January so I like the Thunder to keep them limited again. T.M. Prediction: 116-104 Thunder. Line: -135 Line Parameter: plat until -160.. | |||||||
02-10-24 | Tennessee v. Texas A&M +2.5 | Top | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 16 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M I like the Texas A&M Aggies to win this game against the Tennessee Volunteers on Saturday, February 10th. This is a massive game for both teams. A & M need to keep winning games to secure a spot in the dance. Tennessee doesn't want to lose to teams that aren't ranked. Looking at this game, the home team should be the favorite. They are very strong on this court and this is one of the hardest conferences to win on the road. This is a massive play on the Aggies to take care of business. T.M. Prediction: 78-67 Aggies Line: +2.5 Line Parameter: play until -1.0 (can play ML..) | |||||||
02-10-24 | 76ers -4 v. Wizards | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: PHI - ATS I like the Philadelphia 76ers to win this game against the Washington Wizards on Saturday, February 10th. Entering this game off four losses in a row, this line is very low. Yes, the Wizards competed against the Celtics last night in a very close game. But, this is a Wizards team that still aren't very good. Philly hammered them by 45 points back in December. I'm expecting another dominating performance from the 76ers to get back in the winning column as they do not want to slip any further in the standings. T.M. Prediction: 129-105 76ers. Line: -4.0 Line Parameter: play until -5.5.. | |||||||
02-09-24 | San Diego State +2 v. Nevada | Top | 66-70 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 15 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: SDST - ATS I like the San Diego State Aztecs to win this game against the Nevada Wolfpack on Friday February 9th. As much as home-court advantage means in a game like this, I believe that the skill of SDST won't let that matter in this game. We saw the Aztecs take care of business with a double digit win a week ago against these guys. They held Nevada to only 59 points. Even though Nevada is coming off a very impressive double digit win on the road themselves against USU, they've been in and out recently, losing four of their last three. Give me the Aztecs to win this game on the road. T.M. Prediction: 74-62 Aztecs. Line: +2.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.0.. | |||||||
02-08-24 | Pistons v. Blazers -6.5 | Top | 128-122 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: POR - ATS I like the Portland Trail Blazers to win this game against the Detroit Pistons on Thursday, February 8th. with two bad teams, it's hard to pick a winner sometimes. Having said that, I don't believe that the Blazers are that bad. Yes, their record is pretty sub-par. But, they've got talent on their roster. Detroit just lost Burks and Bogdanovic in a trade with the Knicks. It's going to be a struggle for a team that's already struggling. On the back-end of a back to back, I don't see Detroit competing much tonight. Give me Portland against the spread. T.M. Prediction: 119-104 Trail Blazers. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. | |||||||
02-07-24 | Loyola Marymount -3 v. San Diego | Top | 77-79 | Loss | -105 | 26 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LMU - ATS I like the Loyola Marymount Lions to win this game against the San Diego Toreros on Wednesday, January 7th. After starting the season quite strong, the Lions have became slightly inconsistent. The losing record should not deceive you though. This is a team that can matchup well against most teams, with two 7footers. The Toreros don't even have one of those. San Diego is playing well right now, having won three of their last four games (each on the road.) But, they've lost four games in a row at home. San Diego have also gone 3-13 in their last 16 games played in the month of February. Hammer the Lions on Wednesday to get revenge from last years loss. T.M. Prediction: 83-67 LMU. Line: -3.0 Line Parameter: play until -5.0 (can play ML until -180..) | |||||||
02-05-24 | Bethune-Cookman -120 v. Alabama A&M | Top | 68-72 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Bethune Cookman - ML I like the Bethune Cookman Wildcats to win this game against the Alabama A&M Bulldogs on Monday, February 5th. Even though Alabama A&M is coming off a win, they still only have had four of those all season long. This is a team that isn't good on either offense or defense and it shouldn't matter if they are at home or not as they've only won two of six home games this season. Bethune Cookman is off a road victory themselves and will look to make it back to back here. I expect them to get it done against one of the worst teams in the country. T.M. Prediction: 86-73 COOK. Line: -120 Line Parameter: play until -150.. | |||||||
02-04-24 | Clippers v. Heat +4.5 | Top | 103-95 | Loss | -115 | 14 h 40 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Miami Heat - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday, February 4th. According to many, the Clippers are the favorites to win the championship this season. But, I believe that they still have their problems that they need to resolve before the playoffs start. Winning on the road hasn't been necessarily easy for them this season. Off back to back wins, I've got the Heat upsetting the Clippers on Sunday. T.M. Prediction: 111-105 Heat. Line: +4.5 Line Parameter: play until +2.0.. | |||||||
02-03-24 | Auburn -3 v. Ole Miss | Top | 91-77 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Auburn - ATS I like the Auburn Tigers to win this game against the Mississippi Rebels on Saturday, February 3rd. Ole Miss is overrated. They may have a better record than the Tigers, but I believe that they are most definitely not as strong. When the Rebels have played good competition, they've folded and lost by a ton. In this very matchup when Auburn was at home, it was a complete destruction. As we switch venues, Auburn remains the favorite, as they should. But, the line has dropped a ton. I think it's dropped way too much and I believe that this one could get ugly as well. Even though MISS has yet to lose a home game, I believe that this is the game they'll taste defeat. Auburn is the better overall team and I believe that they'll get the job done on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 81-66 Auburn. Line: -3.0 Line Parameter: play until -6.5.. | |||||||
02-02-24 | Columbia v. Harvard -5.5 | Top | 59-62 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Havard - ATS I like the Harvard Crimson to win this game against the Columbia Lions on Friday, February 2nd. Both teams come in with identical records. However, home court advantage has been key in both teams success so far. Having said that, it hasn't really mattered who's home or away when these teams meet. Harvard has won nine straight meetings between these teams and they've covered the spread in back to back. Expect them to win a 10th in a row on Friday. Let's go Crimson. T.M. Prediction: 84-70 Harvard. Line: -5.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.5.. | |||||||
02-01-24 | Hawaii v. CS-Fullerton UNDER 129.5 | Top | 76-68 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 47 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Hawaii/CS Fullerton - UNDER I am on the UNDER in the Hawaii Rainbow Warriors @ Cal State Fullerton Titans game on Thursday, February 1st. When these two teams played back in December, it was an overtime game that failed to even reach this number. Over the past three meetings, they've all stayed UNDER the total quite easily. Both teams lack heavily in the scoring department and rank very well defensively. This one should be one of the lowest scoring games on the board today. T.M. Prediction: 64-54 CS Fullerton. Line: O/U 129.5 Line Parameter: play until 128.0.. | |||||||
01-30-24 | Syracuse +5 v. Boston College | Top | 75-80 | Push | 0 | 16 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Syracuse - ATS I like the Syracuse Orange to win this game against the Boston College Eagles on Tuesday, January 30th. Winning multiple games in a row against conference opponents is very impressive, considering that home court normally changes from game to game. Looking back at these two teams, Syracuse has absolutely dominating the Eagles in recent meetings. Since 2019, the Orange are a perfect 10-0 straight up against BC. They've covered in nine of them, but a win here by any amount would suffice. Boston College have failed to cover their spread in four straight games. Expect the Orange to come away with an 11th straight win in this matchup on Tuesday. Max bet on CUSE. T.M. Prediction: 84-74 Syracuse. Line: +5.0 Line Parameter: play until +1.5.. | |||||||
01-29-24 | Duke -155 v. Virginia Tech | Top | 77-67 | Win | 100 | 7 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Duke - ML I like the Duke Blue Devils to win this game against the Virginia Tech Hokies on Monday, January 29th. The Hokies' home record is definitely strong. But, I believe that they've yet to really be tested at home. Duke has done fairly well on the road and are building some momentum of their own having won back to back games. A win here would set them up very nicely for their game on Saturday against UNC. I like the value here as the road favorite. Hammer Duke. T.M. Prediction: 83-72 Duke. Line: -155 Line Parameter: play until -190.. | |||||||
01-27-24 | Mercer v. NC-Greensboro -11.5 | Top | 70-64 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNC Greensboro - ATS I like the UNC Greensboro Spartans to win this game against the Mercer Bears on Saturday, January 27th. Having won four straight, the Spartans are on a roll. They are now 15-5 on the year and have yet to lose on their home court. On the other hand, Mercer have lost five in a row. They struggle to score and that's going to be an issue against a very solid NC Greensboro team. Free Throws have also been a problem for the Bears as they are shooting just 65.6% as a team this year. The home team leads in almost every category and this game could get ugly real fast. At home, this has the makings of a blow-out. Hammer the Spartans as a max play. T.M. Prediction: 78-56 UNC Greensboro. Line: -11.5 Line Parameter: play until -14.0.. | |||||||
01-25-24 | Utah Tech v. Abilene Christian -6 | Top | 60-82 | Win | 100 | 17 h 31 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Abilene Christian - ATS I like the Abilene Christian Wildcats to win this game against the Utah Tech TrailBlazers on Thursday, January 25th. Both teams are 7-11, but the home team is definitely stronger in my opinion. They are significantly better on the offensive side, and the defense will come from the Wildcats. Coming off a win, they'll have much more confidence than the road team. Utah Tech have lost back to back games and have never beaten ACU in their schools history (3 games.) Expect the Wildcats to dominate this game and build even more confidence. T.M. Prediction: 83-66 ACU. Line: -6.0 Line Parameter: play until -7.5.. | |||||||
01-24-24 | NC State v. Virginia -5 | Top | 53-59 | Win | 100 | 15 h 13 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UVA - ATS I like the Virginia Cavaliers to win this game against the NC State Wolfpack on Wednesday, January 24th. Coming into this game, the Cavaliers have won back to back games. They are starting to heat up and look to build on that here today. NC State is coming off a loss and don't look very strong right now. Having already beaten UVA this season, this is a revenge spot for them. Expect Virginia to dominate here offensively and defensively. T.M. Prediction: 74-61 UVA. Line: -5.0 Line Parameter: play until -6.5.. | |||||||
01-23-24 | Belmont +2 v. Illinois State | Top | 67-77 | Loss | -108 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Belmont - ATS I like the Belmont Bruins to win this game against the Illinois State RedBirds on Tuesday, January 23rd. Illinois State hasn't really been all that impressive at home this season. They've actually lost three straight on their home court and I believe that they could be in for another defeat here. Belmont is the real deal and I think they are much better than ILST. Hammer the Bruins here today. T.M. Prediction: 81-72 Belmont. Line: +2.0 Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..) | |||||||
01-20-24 | Virginia -125 v. Georgia Tech | Top | 75-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Virginia - ML I like the Virginia Cavaliers to win this game against the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets on Saturday, January 20th. Although it hasn't really been the start they were hoping for, the Cavaliers cannot be mad at this start. They are still 12-5 and have lots of season to work with. Games like this must be wins though. Georgia Tech is just 9-8 and is coming off a very exhausting game against Clemson that went to double OT. I believe that UVA is going to be able to pick them apart with the basics and I'm hammering them this weekend. T.M. Prediction: 72-54 UVA. Line: -125 Line Parameter: play until -165.. | |||||||
01-19-24 | Canisius v. Iona -7.5 | Top | 58-70 | Win | 100 | 15 h 22 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iona - ATS I like the Iona Gaels to win this game against the Canisius Golden Griffins on Friday, January 19th. As we look at both teams, there isn't really anything appealing in this matchup. Iona is at home and they both own the same record. But, the Gaels have dominated in head-to-head games against Canisius. They've won nine straight meetings and I expect them to make it 10 in a row. Canisius is not good on the road. Hammer Iona - the points. T.M. Prediction: 79-66 Iona. Line: -7.5 Line Parameter: play until -7.5.. | |||||||
01-18-24 | Thunder -150 v. Jazz | Top | 134-129 | Win | 100 | 18 h 10 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC - ML I like the Oklahoma City Thunder to win this game against the Utah Jazz on Thursday, January 18th. After having their game postponed yesterday, Jazz players will be anxious to play this game. But, I believe that they've ran into the wrong team at the wrong time. OKC have lost back to back games, but they still own the 2nd best record in the West. They are by far stronger than Utah and I expect them to bounce back against a team that they've already beaten by double digits this season. Hammer the Thunder. T.M. Prediction: 128-114 OKC. Line: -150 Line Parameter: play until -180.. | |||||||
01-18-24 | Wichita State +15.5 v. Florida Atlantic | Top | 77-86 | Win | 100 | 16 h 2 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Wichita State - ATS I like the Wichita State Shockers to cover the spread in this game against the Florida Atlantic Owls on Thursday, January 18th. We all know that the Owls are capable of winning games as they went on that incredible run last season and have all of their starters back. But, I think that they are slightly overrated right now. They've played in plenty of close games this season. Looking at their schedule so far, they've only won four of their thirteen games by more than this number. They've played in seven straight games that were within 13 points. Wichita State have lost five straight, but they still own an 8-8 record. Look for them to fight here and cover this spread at least - possible upset. T.M. Prediction: 88-84 FAU. Line: +15.5 Line Parameter: play until +14.5.. | |||||||
01-16-24 | Texas A&M -150 v. Arkansas | Top | 77-78 | Loss | -150 | 16 h 19 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Texas A&M - ML I like the Texas A&M Aggies to win this game against the Arkansas Razorbacks on Tuesday, January 16th. Since beginning SEC play, the Razorbacks have been dreadful. They've lost all three games by double digits and are in a real slump right now. On the other hand, Texas A&M just beat the 6th ranked team in Kentucky in an overtime game on Saturday. That brings them to a very solid 10-6. Both teams could use a win here, but the Aggies are the more complete team here. Expect guard Wade Taylor to lead the way once again and cruise to a road win. T.M. Prediction: 81-72 A&M. Line: -150 Line Parameter: play until -175.. | |||||||
01-14-24 | Pacers v. Nuggets OVER 238.5 | Top | 109-117 | Loss | -109 | 12 h 51 m | Show |
**DOMINANT 83% RUN = NBA TOTALS T.M. Selection: IND @ DEN - OVER I am on the OVER in the Indiana Pacers @ Denver Nuggets game on Sunday, January 14th. Having had back to back “lower scoring” games (for Indiana,) I believe that we could be in store for another shootout. Indiana has seen some ridiculous totals this season and this isn't even close to what some of them have been. They average 126.6 points per game, and an average of 123.4 per game. Now, they play the defending NBA Champs, a team that everyone knows can put up loads of points. This has all the makings of a high scoring game and I'm all over it. Hammer the OVER, sit back & watch a very action packed game. T.M. Prediction: 136-121 Nuggets. Line: O/U 238.5 Line Parameter: play until 240.0.. | |||||||
01-13-24 | Portland v. San Francisco -16 | Top | 69-96 | Win | 100 | 17 h 3 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: San Francisco - ATS I like the San Francisco Dons to win this game against the Portland Pilots on Saturday, January 13th. After having a solid squad last year, the Pilots just aren't it this season. They've won just a single game on the road all season against a poor opponent in North Dakota. They are also coming off a 43pt loss against St. Mary's in their last game. On the other hand, the Dons are perfect at home this year. Although they haven't won all of them by 16+, they've still been quite dominant. They are 11-5 ATS so far this season while Portland is just 7-8. Dons dominate this game. T.M. Prediction: 87-61 SF. Line: -16.0 Line Parameter: play until -17.5.. | |||||||
01-10-24 | Nuggets -6.5 v. Jazz | Top | 111-124 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 52 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver - ATS I like the Denver Nuggets to win this game against the Utah Jazz on Wednesday, January 10th. Even though they've won back to back games, Utah just isn't good enough to win this game against a top Nuggets team. Denver is back on track after beating the Pistons in their last game and should be able to go on another long winning streak now. Utah is just 7-12 ATS over their last 19 games after scoring 130+ in their last game. I've got Denver turning it up a notch on Wednesday, especially with the one extra day of rest. Hammer the Nuggets. T.M. Prediction: 123-106 Nuggets. **biggest northwest division bet of the season Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. | |||||||
01-06-24 | Providence +11 v. Creighton | Top | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Providence - ATS I like the Providence Friars to win this game against the Creighton Blue Jays on Saturday, January 6th. Even though the Friars are ranked (Creighton is not,) they are still double digit underdogs. That shows you just how good everyone thinks this Creighton team is. Yes, they are good. But, I don't believe that they'll win this game by that many points if they end up winning. Providence is coming off a loss, but have played extremely well this season and have only lost once by more than this spread all year. Give me Providence. T.M. Prediction: 74-71 Providence. Line: +11.0 Line Parameter: play until +9.0.. | |||||||
12-28-23 | Heat v. Warriors -155 | Top | 114-102 | Loss | -155 | 11 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Golden State - ML I like the Golden State Warriors to win this game against the Miami Heat on Thursday. Coming off their Xmas Day loss, the Warriors look to regroup and finish 2023 off strong. They don't really have much height, which has limited their ceiling, but they still have the greatest three point shooter in the history of the game in Steph Curry. Butler is questionable for Miami again and I don't believe he'll be 100% if he goes. I expect a bounce back game for GSW and a big win for this organization. Hammer the Warriors at home. T.M. Prediction: 124-112 Warriors. Line: -155 Line Parameter: play until -180.. | |||||||
12-26-23 | Pacers v. Rockets OVER 237 | Top | 123-117 | Win | 100 | 22 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: IND @ HOU - OVER I am on the OVER in the Indiana Pacers @ Houston Rockets game on Tuesday, December 26th. The Pacers have now shockingly gone UNDER in the back to back games and even the oddsmakers are questioning them. This line is way too low considering that the Pacers are averaging 126+ points a game still and have one of the worst defensive stats as well. Houston may not score quite as much, but they are young and should be able to keep up with the pace. I'm expecting a high scoring non conference matchup on Monday. T.M. Prediction: 128-123 Pacers. Line: O/U 237.0 Line Parameter: play until 238.5.. | |||||||
12-25-23 | 76ers +130 v. Heat | Top | 113-119 | Loss | -100 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Philly - ML I like the Philadelphia 76ers to win this game against the Miami Heat on Monday, December 25th. Both teams have won back to back games so you can expect a good game here on Xmas. Nonetheless, the 76ers should be able to win this game even without their best player. Tyrese Maxey is playing lights out this season and he could very well be an All Star if he keeps this up. Jimmy Butler is questionable for Miami and very well could be slightly limited if he suits up. I've got Philly on Xmas. T.M. Prediction: 118-104 76ers. Line: +130 Line Parameter: play until -165.. | |||||||
12-20-23 | Howard v. UC-Santa Barbara -8.5 | Top | 81-94 | Win | 100 | 27 h 48 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UC Santa Barbara - ATS I like the University of Cal Santa Barbara Gauchos to win this game against the Howard Bison on Wednesday, December 20th. Looking at this game, I believe that it will be a blowout. The Gauchos have now won back to back and look to be heating up after the road win against LMU. The Bison have lost back to back including a one point loss last time out at home against a 1-8 Texas Southern team. That shocking loss will leave doubt in the minds of some of the Howard plays leading into this game and for a while. A very winnable game that was and to lose by one like that is dreadful. UCSB is 90+ spots ahead in KenPom and have the much stronger offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. I expect a cover at the very least here today for the Gauchos. T.M. Prediction: 91-68 UCSB. Line: -8.5 Line Parameter: play until -10.5.. | |||||||
12-18-23 | Wolves v. Heat +1 | Top | 112-108 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: MIA - ATS I like the Miami Heat to win this game against the Minnesota Timberwolves on Monday, December 18th. Although the TWolves have been the best team in the West and maybe even in the NBA so far this season, I still aren't fully convinced that they'll stay like this. Yes, they've got the talent, but I still believe that Anthony Edwards is one more season away from becoming one of the best. He's extremely good, but not quite at the level of some of these superstars quite yet. Miami gets back Herro and Bam this game and should be pretty much back to full strength. They've got depth and they've got the length to guard the TWolves. I'll grab the Heat at home here. T.M. Prediction: 118-109 Heat. Line: +1.0 Line Parameter: play until -1.5 (can play ML..) | |||||||
12-16-23 | Clemson v. Memphis -145 | Top | 77-79 | Win | 100 | 11 h 6 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Memphis - moneyline I like the Memphis Tigers to win this game against the Clemson Tigers on Saturday, December 16th. Even though the home team has a couple of loses on their record, they are still one of the best teams in the nation. Clemson has yet to lose and are due for a loss. Clemson has played some good competition, but definitely not as much as Memphis. Being at home will help Memphis big time for this game and I expect them to hand Clemson their first loss of the season. T.M. Prediction: 87-76 Memphis. Line: -145 Line Parameter: play until -190.. | |||||||
12-15-23 | Hawks +2.5 v. Raptors | Top | 125-104 | Win | 100 | 7 h 44 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Atlanta - ATS I like the Atlanta Hawks to win this game against the Toronto Raptors on Friday, December 15th. While these teams both played on Wednesday and the Raptors took the victory, I expect a rebound game for the Hawks. Atlanta is still a fairly good team even with the poor record. The've lost five straight games now and need this one to gain confidence. Expect them to get it done. T.M. Prediction: 117-107 Hawks. Line: +2.5 Line Parameter: play until PK (can play ML..) | |||||||
12-14-23 | Thunder +110 v. Kings | Top | 123-128 | Loss | -100 | 23 h 42 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: OKC - ML I like the Oklahoma City Thunder to win this game against the Sacramento Kings on Thursday, December 14th. Even though the Kings have been good at home, the Thunder are hot right now. Sac is coming off a blowout loss against the Clippers and OKC have won back to back games. Shai is having a career season right now and I don't believe that the Kings will be able to keep up with the Thunder's scoring ability right now. I've got OKC winning by double digits. T.M. Prediction: 127-117 OKC. Line: +110 Line Parameter: play until -130.. | |||||||
12-12-23 | Nuggets -7 v. Bulls | Top | 114-106 | Win | 100 | 21 h 45 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: DEN - ATS I like the Denver Nuggets to win this game against the Chicago Bulls on Tuesday, December 12th. Denver has shown signs of struggle over the past week or so. However, they still have one of the best starting lineups in the association and I believe that they could be in for another strong playoff run this year. Chicago has not been good whatsoever and they've got guys injured all over. Don't be surprised if this game gets out of hand early. Even on the second game of a back to back, hammer Denver. T.M. Prediction: 116-101 Nuggets. Line: -7.0 Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. | |||||||
12-11-23 | Nuggets -140 v. Hawks | Top | 129-122 | Win | 100 | 23 h 53 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Denver - moneyline I like the Denver Nuggets to win this game against the Atlanta Hawks on Monday, December 11th. Denver has now lost three games in a row and it's been a struggle. But, they've got the most dominant stat producer in the league in Nikola Jokic who's on pace for another MVP campaign. With Jamal Murray set to be a game-time decision, I'm not surprised with this line being so low. Having said that, the defending champions are still a very strong team without him. Expect them to break out of this slump on the road here in ATL. T.M. Prediction: 125-114 Nuggets. Line: -140 Line Parameter: play until -170. | |||||||
12-09-23 | Coppin State v. George Washington -19 | Top | 45-76 | Win | 100 | 16 h 36 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: George Washington - ATS I like the George Washington Colonials to win this game against the Coppin State Eagles on Saturday, December 9th. Despite beating UMBC earlier this season, Coppin State is one of the worst teams in college basketball. They bring in a miserable 1-9 record into this game and could very well be in for a lot more losing. George Washington, on the other hand, have played very well this season, leading to their 7-2 record. This has blowout written all over it and I'm hammering it on Saturday. T.M. Prediction: 87-61 GW. Line: -19.0 Line Parameter: play until -20.5.. | |||||||
12-07-23 | Pelicans v. Lakers -125 | Top | 89-133 | Win | 100 | 18 h 58 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LAL - money line I like the Los Angeles Lakers to win this game against the New Orleans Pelicans on Thursday, December 7th. Simply put, the Lakers look like a team on a mission to win this tournament. Even though the Pels have looked good, they are too inconsistent this season. LAL has perhaps the best player of all time as well as another superstar in AD. Hammer the big boys at home. T.M. Prediction: 119-108 Lakers. Line: -125 Line Parameter: play until -155.. | |||||||
12-06-23 | Wofford v. Gardner-Webb -7.5 | Top | 81-66 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 41 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Gardner Webb - ATS I like the Gardner Webb Bulldogs to win this game against the Wofford Terriers on Wednesday, December 6th. Wofford has had some very solid teams over the years, but I don't believe that this is one of them. They've started the season just 3-5 and are really struggling on the road. Even though they won their last game by eight on the road against MTSU, that was in overtime. Gardner Webb is a lot better than their record (4-5.) Two of their losses came within a bucket, and they've has some difficult opponents. Expect the home team to dominate in this one. T.M. Prediction: 84-66 Gardner Webb. Line: -7.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. | |||||||
12-05-23 | Lafayette v. Columbia -8 | Top | 72-83 | Win | 100 | 16 h 46 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Columbia - ATS I like the Columbia Lions to win this game against the Lafayette Leopards on Tuesday, December 5th. While the home team is 6-3, the road team is just 1-8. Both teams are coming off losses, but the Leopards have lost five straight. The Lions won last year's meeting @Lafayette convincingly and they should again here at home. Columbia is 5-1 at home so far this year. Lafayette has lost seven of it's eight games by more than this spread, and their only win comes against a Wilkes team that isn't exactly relevant in the college basketball world. Hammer Columbia at home here. T.M. Prediction: 81-64 Columbia. Line: -8.0 Line Parameter: play until -8.5.. | |||||||
12-01-23 | Iona -165 v. Fairfield | Top | 78-67 | Win | 100 | 16 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Iona - ML I like the Iona Gaels to win this game against the Fairfield Stags on Friday, December 1st. Iona hasn't had a very good start, but neither has Fairfield. Though they lost five games, the Gaels have came within four points in three of those losses. They very well could be 5-2 instead of 2-5 right now. On the other hand, Fairfield has only been in one close defeat. In their last five meetings with each other, Iona's won them all. I think they are the better team and should win again despite being on the road. T.M. Prediction: 82-72 Iona. Line: -165 Line Parameter: play until -215.. | |||||||
11-29-23 | Central Arkansas v. Loyola Marymount -20.5 | Top | 63-90 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: LMU - ATS I like the Loyola Marymount Lions to win this game against the Central Arkansas Bears on Wednesday, November 29th. Even though LMU hasn't had a great start, they are starting to heat up. They are coming off a huge 20-pt win against UTEP in a game where they allowed just 47 points. C-ARK has lost it's last six games and just don't have the talent to compete with the better teams. With LMU starting to play better basketball, as well as being at home in this game, I'm hammering the Lions in this one. T.M. Prediction: 88-57 LMU. Line: -20.5 Line Parameter: play until -21.5.. | |||||||
11-21-23 | Toledo v. New Mexico -158 | Top | 84-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UNM - ML I like the New Mexico Lobos to win this game against the Toledo Rockets on Tuesday, November 21st. After am very tight win against Wright State in their last game, the Rockets are in for a much bigger test today against a much better team in New Mexico. The Lobos are by far the best team Toledo has seen and it's not even close. New Mexico may have lost to Saint Mary's in their second game, but are still very strong. Look for them to cruise to a win here in Nevada on Tuesday. T.M. Prediction: 93-79 UNM. Line: -158 Line Parameter: play until -199.. | |||||||
11-17-23 | Oklahoma State -6.5 v. Notre Dame | Top | 64-66 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 59 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Oklahoma State - ML I like the Oklahoma State Cowboys to win this game against the Notre Dame Fighting Irish on Friday, November 17th. Both coming off losses, makes this a big early season game. Neither team is expected to compete for the championship, but there's still lots of season left. A big win here could be a confidence boost moving forwards. I still believe that OKST is by far the better team and are ranked way higher in KenPom (#85 - #208.) Expect the Cowboys to dominate the 3pt line and on the defensive end here against a sloppy 3pt shooting Irish team. Hammer OKST. T.M. Prediction: 81-66 OKST. Line: -6.5 Line Parameter: play until -8.0.. | |||||||
11-16-23 | Texas Southern v. Virginia -21 | Top | 33-62 | Win | 100 | 18 h 4 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: UVA - ATS I like the Virginia Cavaliers to win this game against the Texas Southern Tigers on Thursday, November 16th. UVA have looked like national title contenders to open up the season. They survived a close game @Florida and have blown out teams in both of their home games so far. This one could get ugly as well as the Tigers have yet to win a game. They lost badly against New Mexico and also lost by double digits against a poor ASU team. It's not the easiest start by any means for Texas Southern as they are playing seven straight road games to start the season. But, I don't expect the Cavaliers to take them easy here today. Expect a dominant performance from the home team today. T.M. Prediction: 78-49 Cavaliers. Line: -21.0 Line Parameter: play until -22.0.. | |||||||
11-08-23 | Arizona State v. Mississippi State -165 | Top | 56-71 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Mississippi State - ML I like the Mississippi State Bulldogs to win this game against the Arizona State Sun Devils on Wednesday, November 8th. Mississippi State is going to be very good this season. They return all five of their best scorers from last year and should be improved. ASU was in need of new guys and they were all over the transfer portal. They might struggle with chemistry early on in the year. Although this game won't be played @ Miss St, I expect them to get the job done in their opener. Hammer the Bulldogs. T.M. Prediction: 73-63 MISS ST. Line: -165 Line Parameter: play until -200.. | |||||||
11-06-23 | Kings -120 v. Rockets | Top | 97-122 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 16 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: Sacramento Kings - Moneyline I like the Sacramento Kings to win this game against the Houston Rockets on Monday, November 6th. Sacramento just lost against Houston it what was clearly a bad game. It was the second leg of a back to back and they just looked tired. Today, I expect them to bounce back with a big win against a not very strong team. Houston's still extremely young and I don't believe that they'll go too far. Expect SAC to beat them by a lot tonight. T.M. Prediction: 119-104 Kings. Line: -120 Line Parameter: play until -160.. | |||||||
11-01-23 | Pelicans v. Thunder OVER 225.5 | Top | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 8 m | Show |
T.M. Selection: NOP @ OKC - OVER I am on the OVER in the New Orleans Pelicans @ Oklahoma City Thunder game on Wednesday, November 1st. We could be in for a shootout to open up the new month as both teams have tons of fire power. This young OKC team is fast and they play with speed. NOP is also very versatile and love to score points. Expect a high scoring game in this one with the stars from both sides having big games. T.M. Predcition: 124-121 Pelicans. Line: O/U 225.5 Line Parameter: play until 227.0.. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
Jack Jones | $965 |
Ricky Tran | $708 |
Big Al McMordie | $662 |
Ross Benjamin | $640 |
Sean Murphy | $620 |
ProSportsPicks | $615 |
AAA Sports | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $306 |
Matt Fargo | $305 |
Dan Kaiser | $215 |