Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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03-27-24 | VCU +8 v. Utah | 54-74 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 10 m | Show | |
In a NIT quarterfinals matchup, the VCU Rams take on the Utah Utes. VCU has been getting it done with their defense, as six straight opponents have failed to score more than 65 points. On the offensive end, they are putting up 71.5 points per game. They shoot 44.3% from the field and 35.7% from deep. Utah plays fast and puts up 78.6 points per game on 46.8% shooting from the field and 36.2% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 73.0 points per game. I don’t see Utah producing the same offense they have against the VCU defense. This should be a close game so I will take VCU plus the points. Play on VCU. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-27-24 | UNLV v. Seton Hall -5 | 68-91 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
The UNLV Running Rebels will travel across the country to New Jersey to take on the Seton Hall Pirates in the quarterfinals of the NIT Tournament. The Running Rebels have won their two games in the NIT by an average of eight points. On the season, the Rebels are 189th in the nation in scoring. They are 75th in field goal shooting and 173rd in 3-point shooting. On the defensive end, they are 80th in the nation in scoring defense. Seton Hall is 16-3 at home with the two tournament wins. On the season, the Pirates are 166th in the nation in scoring. They are 141st in field goal shooting and 225th in 3-point shooting. On the defensive end, they are 92nd in the country in scoring defense. The Rebels were 8-3 on the road this season. The Pirates are now 16-3 at home this season. Seton Hall. They have held their two NIT opponents to an average of 65 points per game while the Rebels have given up 78 points per game. Seton Hall is the better rebounding team and has a huge advantage playing at home. Take Seton Hall in this one. Play on Seton Hall. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-26-24 | Mavs +1.5 v. Kings | 132-96 | Win | 100 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
The Sacramento Kings take on the Dallas Mavericks in a hotly contested Western Conference playoff battle. The Kings beat the Mavericks in Dallas twice earlier this season. Dallas has won three in a row and eight of their last nine. The Kings hold the sixth seed over Dallas bases on head-to-head so far this season. Trey Lyles, Sasha Vezenkov, and Kevin Huerter have all been hit by injuries. The Kings have 11 games in the next 19 games. Dallas is 22-12 on the road this season. They are also 8-1 ATS over their last nine games. The Kings are 14-20 ATS at home this season. Doncic and Irving will carry the Mavs over an injury plagued Kings team. Play on Dallas. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-24-24 | Yale v. San Diego State -5 | 57-85 | Win | 100 | 11 h 17 m | Show | |
The 13th-seeded Yale Bulldogs face the 5th-seeded San Diego State Aztecs in the round of 32. The Bulldogs knocked off 4th-seeded Auburn in the first round. The Bulldogs are putting up 73.7 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 68.4 points per game. The Aztecs are coming off a close win over UAB. San Diego State plays well on the defensive end, allowing 67.3 points per game. The Aztecs have won three of their last four games, and are putting up 74 points per game. They have made over 76 percent of their free throws in their last three games which could be a factor down the stretch. They are a good offensive-rebounding team and I think they will be able to get some easy second-chance points against Yale. Yale hasn’t faced a lot of big-time offenses and gave up 76 last time out. The Bulldogs have won three straight games. They have scored less than 70 points in their last three games and SDSU is equipped to defend Yales deliberate style of play. They have struggled at the line as of late and can’t afford to give up free points. They also do not rebound well and will have to do a better job on the boards. The Aztecs are a much better half-court defensive team than Auburn and will be able to make the Bulldogs work harder to score. This is a perfect matchup on many levels for SDSU and I see them winning this game easily. Play on SDSU. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-24-24 | Clemson v. Baylor -4.5 | 72-64 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 8 m | Show | |
The six-seed Clemson Tigers take on the three-seed Baylor Bears in the Round of 32. Both teams won easily in the first round. Clemson has experience as they start four seniors and one junior. Clemson puts up 77.4 points,and shoots 46.8% from the field and 35.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are allowing 71.3 points a game. Baylor is putting up 80.3 points a game and have six players scoring in double figures. On the defensive end, they are giving 71.3 points a game. Clemson allowed a lot of open looks to New Mexico but they were not able to convert. You cannot expect Baylor to do the same. Baylor is sixth in the nation in three-point percentage and 95th in offensive rebounds per game. Baylor has a lot of depth and their length at the wings will cause problems for Clemson. Baylor has a better all around team ant their depth will carry them to a win and cover. Play on Baylor. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-24-24 | James Madison +7.5 v. Duke | 55-93 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
James Madison is on a fourteen-game winning streak and finished the season at 32-3. James Madison puts up 84 points a game and loves to run the floor. I am never sure what Duke team you are going to get. You know Kyle Filipowski will get his but the guard play for Duke is suspect. If they are playing well Duke is a tough out, but if is the keyword. The fact that James Madison hasn’t lost since January even though they were the lower seed, showed they were the better team against Wisconsin. James Madison likes to attack the rim and will try to get into foul trouble and pick up cheap points at the line. Duke should win this game but I like James Madison to keep it within the number. Play on James Madison. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-23-24 | Oregon v. Creighton -4.5 | 73-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 38 m | Show | |
Oregon has the momentum on their side as they had to win the Pac-12 tournament to get here. The Blue Jays have two advantages that I like in Tournament play, experienced guard play and a rebounding edge. There are some intriguing matchups in both the front and back courts. I think the back-court matchups will be the difference in this game. The Blue Jays' guards are more experienced and will handle the pressure down the stretch if this game is close. I am looking for Creighton to be able to control the boards and come away with a win and cover. Play on Creighton. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-23-24 | Texas +6.5 v. Tennessee | 58-62 | Win | 100 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
I am going with Texas in this one for two very distinct reasons. The first reason is I look for guard play and the Longhorns have two excellent ballhandlers, that can also take over games. Abmas put up 33 on Baylor, and Hunter had a 30-point game against Oklahoma. The second reason is Rick Barnes but more on that later. Texas can also play on the defensive end as they held Colorado State to just 11 points in the first half. Texas will focus their defensive efforts on Knecht, who Tennessee seems to rely on, and try to slow down the Vols. Rick Barnes is known for choking in March. It is funny to think about but Rodney Terry has more Elite Eight appearances in one year at Texas than Barnes has in nine seasons with Tennessee. Tennessee is the better team on paper and should be on the court. I just think with all the history with Barnes and how underachieving Tennessee can be I like the points in this one. Play on Texas. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-23-24 | Washington State v. Iowa State -6.5 | 56-67 | Win | 100 | 10 h 47 m | Show | |
This game will be about defense, or should I say Iowa State's defense. Iowa State did what they have done all season in the first round and that is, they turned their defense loose. They are playing some of if not the best defense in the country. The Cyclones are 4-0 SU and ATS in their last four games and have won those games by an average of 17 points. They finished the season with an 18-point win over Houston. Washington State had to come from behind to beat Drake and I can't see that happening against this defense. WSU struggled to score against a Drake defense that is not nearly close to Iowa State. They put up just 66 against Drake and have been held under 70 points in three of their last four games. Iowa State is 24-10-1 ATS this season and I look for their defense to shut down the Cougars and come away with a win and cover. Play on Iowa State. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-23-24 | Michigan State v. North Carolina -4 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 10 h 35 m | Show | |
Michigan State finally looked like a team that started the season ranked in the top five. Inconsistency has plagued the Spartans all season despite being a senior-laden team. MSU doesn't have the big men to contain Bacout and I look for him to have a huge game. Walker can match RJ Davis shot for shot but I am skeptical of the rest of the Spartans stepping up to hit big shots. MSU keeps this one close for a while but I look for North Carolina to pull away late. Play on North Carolina. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
03-22-24 | Grand Canyon v. St. Mary's -5.5 | 75-66 | Loss | -110 | 15 h 55 m | Show | |
The 12th seed Grand Canyon Lopes will take on the fifth seed Saint Mary's Gaels. Grand Canyon puts up 78.4 points a game 45.8% shooting from the field and 34.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.7 points a game. Grand Canyon has not played a tough schedule ranking 204th. Saint Marys puts up 73.2 points a game on 46.6% shooting from the field and 35.5% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 59.7 points a game. Grand Canyon played a weak schedule this season and there were not a lot of good defensive teams in their conference. Saint Mary's has a defense that has shut down some of the best offenses in the country. The Gaels like to play at a slow pace and work for a good shot. They have great shooters and a big-time scorer in Aidan Mahoney, who can take a game over. Grand Canyon has not faced a defense like St Mary’s this season. St Mary's has covered the spread in eight of its last 10 games. Grand Canyon is a great story but I think they are overmatched in this game. Play on St. Mary’s this is a 3% play | |||||||
03-22-24 | James Madison +5.5 v. Wisconsin | 72-61 | Win | 100 | 14 h 16 m | Show | |
In the South Region the 12th-seeded James Madison Dukes take on the fifth-seeded Wisconsin Badgers.The James Madison Dukes are putting up 84.4 points per game on 48.0% shooting from the floor. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.2 points per game. The Wisconsin Badgers put up 75.1 points per game on 46.3% shooting from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.9 points per game. JMU is very good from deep and has multiple players that shoot from deep. It ranks 54th in threes made per game and 42nd in three-point percentage. The Badgers rank 345th in opponent three-point percentage. JMU will have an advantage on the boards and I like them to win this game outright but will happily take the points. Play on James Madison. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-22-24 | Colorado +1.5 v. Florida | 102-100 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
The 10th-seeded Colorado Buffaloes face the 7th-seeded Florida Gators. The Buffaloes finished third in the Pac-12 and they’re coming off a 60-53 win over Boise State in the First Four. The Gators finished sixth in the SEC. Colorado has a game under their belt and got to experience the pressure of a tournament game with their win over Boise State. They are putting up 78.7 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 70.7 points per game. The Gators were riding a three-game winning streak before losing to Auburn in the final of the SEC Tournament. Florida is putting up 85.1 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 78.5 points per game. Colorado has won nine of their last 10 games. The Gators have won three of their last five games. The Gators haven’t played well defensively this season and they played worse in recent games, giving up at least 80 points in six of their last seven games. The Buffaloes have held four of their last five opponents under 60 points. Florida looked flat after the Handlogten injury last Sunday. His loss will hurt Florida on the boards. Play on Colorado. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-22-24 | Northwestern v. Florida Atlantic -3.5 | 77-65 | Loss | -120 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
The Northwestern Wildcats of the BIG10 take on the Florida Atlantic Owls from the American Athletic Conference. Northwestern is the 9-seed after finishing fourth in the BIG10 while. Florida Atlantic finished second in the AAC. Northwestern has made the dance for just the third time and now two years in a row. NW went 4-7 in Quad 1 games and 5-3 in Quad 2 and were 17-14-1 ATS. The Wildcats put up 73.7 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69. Florida Atlantic went to the dance last season as a nine-seed and made it to the final four. The Owls had a 2-2 Quad 1 record and were 8-3 in Quad 2 games. The Owls put up 82.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 73.3. Northwestern likes to slow the pace of play down to a crawl. FAU should be able to take advantage of a Northwestern defense that allows their opponents to shoot 45% from the field and 36% from deep. The Owls like to play at a faster pace and should be able to get out and run as they have a rebounding edge over the Wildcats. The Owls are experienced and have tasted the Final Four I look for FAU to push the pace and Northwestern will find it difficult to keep up. Play on FAU. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Drake v. Washington State | 61-66 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 32 m | Show | |
The 10th-seed Drake Bulldogs take on the seventh-seed Washington State Cougars in the 1st Round of the NCAA Tournament. Drake won 10 of their last 11 games including a win over Indiana State in the MVC Tournament Final. Drake puts up 80.3 points a game on 47.7% shooting from the field and 36.5% shooting from deep. On the defensive end, they allow 70.6 points. Washington State finished second in the Pac-12 with a 14-6 record. Washington State puts up 74.3 points a game on 46.6% shooting from the field and 34% from deep. Drake’s Tucker Devries will be the best player on the floor for either team and has the ability to take over the game. Washington State has been inconsistent on the offensive end this season and don’t shoot the three ball well. Drake has tournament experience which should play a factor if this game is close down the stretch. I will take Drake and Devries to pull off the slight upset. Play on Drake. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-21-24 | McNeese State v. Gonzaga -6.5 | 65-86 | Win | 100 | 21 h 9 m | Show | |
We have an intriguing 12-5 matchup in the West Region with the McNeese State Cowboys, who finished at 30-3, against the Gonzaga Bulldogs, who finished the season at 25-7. The Cowboys went 17-1 in their conference and have won 11 straight games. They have scored more than 74 points per game on the road. They will be at a disadvantage on the boards so extra possessions will be hard to come by. The Bulldogs have won nine of their last 10 games. They are scoring more than 83 points per game and are making over 51 percent of their shots. The Bulldogs have held their last three opponents under 68 points per game. McNeese State loves to shoot the three ball and i feel that the only way for them to win is get hot from deep. They are not used to playing in a large arena so it may take them some time to get their shots to fall. The Zags should be able to dominate with their two big men in the paint. They shoot a combined 60% from the floor and should be able to control the boards, giving them second chance opportunities and limiting the same for McNeese State. I am laying the points with Gonzaga in this one as the avoid they 12-5 upset. Play on Gonzaga. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-21-24 | Oakland v. Kentucky -13.5 | 80-76 | Loss | -110 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
The 14-seed Oakland Golden Grizzlies take on the 3-seed Kentucky Wildcats. Oakland finished the season at 23-11 while Kentucky finished at 23-8. Oakland won both the Horizon League regular season and conference tournament championships and closed the season winning eight out of their last nine and 17 of their last 20 games. Kentucky finished one game out of first place in the SEC. They won five of their last six games to finish the season. Kentucky has an explosive offense and even though they have struggled at times on the defensive end I feel that Oakland isn’t efficient enough on the offensive end to take advantage. Oakland doesn't defend the three-ball well and Kentucky can light it up from deep. Kentucky will also have an advantage on the boards which should lead to second-chance opportunities. Oakland can keep this close for a half but will get blown out in the second half. Play on Kentucky. This is a 2% play | |||||||
03-21-24 | Morehead State v. Illinois -11 | 69-85 | Win | 100 | 18 h 42 m | Show | |
In an East Regional contest, the three-seed Illinois Fighting Illini take on 14th-seed Morehead State Eagles. The Eagles finished the season 26-8 overall and 18-11-1 ATS. They won the Ohio Valley Conference to make the Dance. The Fighting Illini finished with a 26-8 overall record and were 19-13-2 ATS and won the Big 10. Morehead State is riding a six-game winning streak but has not played in 12 days. For the season, they are putting up 75.5 a game. They are shooting 46.9% from the field and 36.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 62.8 points per game. The Fighting Illini were in form down the stretch going 7-1 over their last 8 games. For the season, they put up 84.4 on 47.1% shooting from the field and 35% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 73.8 points a game. The Fighting Illini have gone 3-1 ATS over their last four games. The Fighting Illini can be taken advantage of on the defensive end but I don’t believe Morehead State has the offense to do it. Morehead State has had 12 days off so it may take some time to get their in-game touch going. Illinois has two guys who can get a bucket when needed, to hit 26 free throws in the Big Ten title game. Morehead State has played just two tournament games this season and has not faced a team like Illinois. Illinois lack of defensive effort can worry you in this one but I don’t think Morehead State will be able to score enough. Play on Illinois. This is a 2% play | |||||||
03-21-24 | Duquesne +10.5 v. BYU | 71-67 | Win | 100 | 15 h 27 m | Show | |
The East Regional has a matchup with the No. 6 BYU taking on No. 11 Duquesne. The Duquesne Dukes finished the season at 24-11 overall. They won the Atlantic-10 championship. The BYU Cougars finished the season at 23-10 overall and finished fifth in the Big 12, losing to Texas Tech in the quarterfinals. This is the Dukes' first appearance in the Big Dance since 1977 and are riding an eight-game winning streak. This season they put up 70.8 points a game on 43.7% shooting from the field and 34% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 66 points a game. The Cougars finished the season on a 4-2 run. Their offense put up 81.8 points a game this season. They shot 46.2% from the field and 34.8% from deep, On the defensive end, they gave up 69.9 points a game. The Cougars have gone 4-1 ATS in the last five games that they were favored in. The Cougars love to play at a fast pace and they love to shoot from deep. The Dukes prefer to play at a slower style and limit possessions. The Dukes have been playing great on the defensive end, allowing 70 points on their 8-game winning streak. The Dukes have the guard play to control this game and when you live by the three you die by the three. I think BYU wins the game but Duquesne covers the number. Pay on Duquesne this is a 3%play. | |||||||
03-20-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 17 h 56 m | Show | |
The 2024 MLB season will kick off early on Wednesday as the Los Angeles Dodgers take on the San Diego Padres in South Korea. The rich get richer as the Dodgers won over 100 games for the second straight season and then went out and got the best player in baseball as well as the best pitcher in Japan. Last season, they were second in runs per game, 3rd in home runs, and 3rd in slugging percentage. The Dodgers went through 17 starting pitchers last season as the staff was beset by injuries. The Dodgers will hand the ball to Tyler Glasnow for their opener. This spring he has produced a 0.90 ERA with 14 strikeouts in 10 innings pitched and a WHIP of just 0.70. The San Diego Padres went all in last season and it did not go well for them. Their high-powered offense struggled and their pitching staff was hit by injuries. The Padres start Yu Darvish in the opener. This spring, he posted a 2.89 ERA with 10 strikeouts in 9.1 innings pitched. He is 4-5 vs. the Dodgers with a sparkling 2.38 ERA. If the Dodgers don’t win a hundred games this year, I will be shocked. They have the best lineup in baseball with Ohtan, Betts, and Freeman at the top. Darvish has lost a bit off his fastball and his swing and miss rate declined last season. The Padres are trying to figure out their bullpen without Hader as their closer. I am taking the Dodgers to open the season with a win and playing them on the run-line for value. Play on the LA Dodgers on the run-line. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-18-24 | Knicks v. Warriors -5.5 | 119-112 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
The New York Knicks will be in San Francisco to take on the Golden State Warriors. The Warriors won back in February 110-99 as a 3.5-point favorite. The Knicks are in fourth place in the Eastern Conference. New York has won three straight and four of their last five games. They have been outstanding on the defensive end over the last five games as they have not allowed over 93 points in that stretch. On the offensive end, they are putting up 111.9 points on 46.1% shooting from the field and 36.2% from deep. Golden State is putting up 118.4 points a game on 47.2% shooting from the field and 37.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they allow 116.8 points a game. You can make the arguement tha the Knicks are playing better than th Warriors. If Anonoby plays, he's going to be limited offensively. These are starting to be must win games for Warriors as they try to stay out of the play in games. Golden State won the last game two weeks. I like Golden State and the old men to get the job done today. Play on Golden State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-18-24 | Heat v. 76ers -2 | 91-98 | Win | 100 | 13 h 55 m | Show | |
The Philadelphia 76ers are at home to take on the Miami Heat. Miami will be playing on the second game of a back-to-back after getting by Detroit yesterday. The Philadelphia 76ers are coming off a dominating win over Charlotte on Saturday and will have a day's rest. The Miami Heat are putting up 110.1 points a game and are shooting 53.6% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 109.6 points a game. The Heat are 32-34-1 ATS this season but are 20-14-1 against the spread on the road. The Philadelphia 76ers are putting up 115.1 points and are shooting 53% from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up 112.6 points a game. They are 35-32 ATS this season. I like the 76ers in this one as Miami will be on the back end of a back-to-back. Play on Philadelphia. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-18-24 | Cavs +7 v. Pacers | 108-103 | Win | 100 | 13 h 41 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers are on the road to take on the Indiana Pacers. The Cavaliers come into this game having lost three of their last four, while the Pacers have won three of the last four. The Cleveland Cavaliers are fourth in points allowed at 109.6 points a game and on the offensive end, they are putting up 113.6 points per game on 47.9% shooting from the field and 36.6% from deep. Indiana is first in the NBA in scoring at 123.1 points a game on 50.5% shooting from the field and 37.4%very porous on the defensive end, allowing 121.1 points a game which ranks 26th. Cleveland has struggled with injuries but has all its regulars with the exception of Evan Mobley. Cleveland has a nice backcourt duo of Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland which will be a lot for the Pacers defense to handle. Cleveland has the better defense and I think they will be able to make enough stops to get the cover. Play on Cleveland. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-17-24 | Nuggets -3.5 v. Mavs | 105-107 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 42 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets have climbed back to the top of the Western Conference. They will take on the Dallas Mavericks,who sit eighth in Western Conference. The Nuggets are riding a five-game winning streak,while Dallas is coming off a loss to OKC. Denver is putting up 114.8 points a game on 49.6% from the floor and 36.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 110.3 points per game. Dallas is putting up 119.0 points per game on 48.3% shooting from the field and 37.1% from deep. On the defensive end, the Mavericks are giving up 117.7 points per game. The Nuggets have beaten the Mavs twice this season by 11 and 26. Luka Doncic is a game time decision. Even if Luka plays I still like the Nuggets to take care of business. Play on Denver. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-17-24 | Wisconsin v. Illinois -3 | 87-93 | Win | 100 | 6 h 10 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers made it to the Big 10 finals by taking down the 31 seed Purdue Boilermakers. They will take on the two-seed Illinois Fighting Illini with the winner getting the automatic qualifier for the Big Dance. Illinois took the only meeting between the two 91-83. Wisconsin has played great in this Big Ten Tournament but this is a bad matchup for the Badgers. They have a bad matchup on the defensive end, evident in the fact thatIn the first game between the two, the Illinois duo of Shannon Jr. and Domask combined for 54 points. Illinois loves to attack the rim and will have Wisconsin on their heels. I look for illinois to pull away late. Play on Illinois.This a 4% play | |||||||
03-16-24 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -2.5 | 71-78 | Win | 100 | 9 h 28 m | Show | |
The fifth-seeded UTEP Miners and the third-seeded Western Kentucky Hilltoppers face off in the Conference USA Tournament Championship. The UTEP Miners took down Sam Houston in their semi-final matchup. The Miners put up 72.9 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69.0 points per game. Western Kentucky is coming off a blowout of Middle Tennessee in their semi-final. The Hilltoppers put up 80.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 74.8 points per game. Western Kentucky has had an easy time so far, winning by 20 and 31 points. They split their two games this season with both teams winning at home. Western Kentucky has turned up the defense in the tournament and with the way their offense scores they will be too much for UTEP to overcome. Play on Western Kentucky. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-16-24 | Texas A&M v. Florida -2.5 | 90-95 | Win | 100 | 5 h 19 m | Show | |
The No. 7 Texas A&M Aggies will take on the No. 6 Florida Gators in a surprising SEC Semi-final matchup. The Aggies made it here with an upset of Kentucky. The Aggies are putting up 73.4 points per game average, and shoot 39.7% from the field and just 27.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.5 points per game. Florida is coming in off a win over Alabama. Florida gets it done on the offensive end, putting up 84.9 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field and 33.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The Gators are able to match up well with the Aggies. They have the guard play that can go head-tom-head with the Aggies guard strength and Florida is the best rebounding team in the country which negates the Aggies rebounding proficiency. The Aggies were able to slow down florida in the second half to pick up a win this season but I see this game being played at a faster pace and high scoring with the Aggies struggling to keep pace. Play on Florida. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-15-24 | Florida v. Alabama -4 | 102-88 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
The No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide will take on the No. 6 Florida Gators in an SEC quarterfinal matchup. The Bama offense is putting up 90.8 points a game on 47.8% shooting from the field and 36.9% from deep. The Bama defense has left a lot to be desired, as they have given up 80.4 points a game.The Florida Gators are putting up 84.9 points on 45.7% shooting. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The two teams split the season series, each taking a game on their home-court. The Crimson Tide play fast and shoot often. Bama wore down the Gators in the first matchup and with Florida playing on no rest I see that happening again. Play on Bama. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-15-24 | Pittsburgh v. North Carolina -7.5 | 65-72 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 27 m | Show | |
In one ACC semi-final, the fourth-seeded Pittsburgh Panthers take on the top-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels. Pittsburgh has posted a 22-10 overall record and is 12-8 in the ACC. North Carolina is 26-6 and 17-3 in the ACC. Pittsburgh is coming off an 81-69 win over Wake Forest. Carolina is looking to win the ACC Tournament after winning the regular season championship. They had no problem with the ninth seeded Florida State Seminoles, 92-67. These teams played once this season with an average margin of victory of 14.4 points. Carolina has too much firepower on the offensive end for the Panthers to overcome. Carolina will use their defense in the second half to pull away and get the cover. Play on North Carolina. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-15-24 | Texas A&M v. Kentucky -5 | 97-87 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Kentucky Wildcats has posted a 23-8 overall record and 13-5 in the SEC. They out up 89.5 points per game which ranked second in the country. They shot 49.7% from the field and 41.2 % from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 79.1 points per game. The Texas A&M Aggies come into this game with a 19-13 overall record and 9-9 in the SEC. On the offensive end, they are putting up 73.4 points a game on 39.7% shooting from the field and 27.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.5 points per game. The Wildcats are the better offensive team by far and they have a stronger bench. The Aggies are better on the defensive end but they don’t have the offense to take advantage of the Wildcats weaker defense. The Aggies shot 30 free throws and had 25 offensive rebounds in their last meeting but I don’t expect those two things to happen again. Kentucky will get out to an early lead and coast down the stretch. Play on Kentucky. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-15-24 | Ohio State v. Illinois -4.5 | 74-77 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
The Ohio State Buckeyes took care of Iowa and will now face the Illinois Fighting Illini in the Big 10 quarterfinals. Ohio State is putting up 74.5 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 69 points a game. Illinois is the second seed in the Tournament. Illinois is putting up 84.9 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 72.9 points. Illinois has a dynamic duo in Terrence Shannon Jr. and Marcus Domask. They put up 38 points a game with Shannon having the ability to take over games on his own. Ohio State's top three players played over 30 minutes yesterday so fatigue could become a factor over a rested Illinois team. Ohio State is playing better under their new coach but has problems slowing down Shannon and Domsk. I am taking Illinois in this one. Play on Illinois. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-15-24 | Mississippi State v. Tennessee -9.5 | 73-56 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 10 m | Show | |
The No. 1 Tennessee Volunteers have posted an overall record of 24-7 and 14-4 in the SEC. They will face off against the No. 9 Mississippi State Bulldogs who finished 20-12 and 8-10 in the SEC. The Volunteers put up 80.2 points a game this season on 44.9% shooting from the field and 34.6% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 67.7 points a game. The Bulldogs are putting up 75.3 points a game on 45.5% shooting from the field and 32.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.6 points a game. The Tennessee Volunteers, play well on both ends of the floor, evidenced by the fact they won the SEC regular season. These teams met once this season with the Bulldogs picking up the victory. The Bulldogs shot over 50% from the floor in the loss. The Bulldogs' bench added 33 points compared with just four points from the Volunteers' bench. I look for the Vols to get revenge in this one as they will turn up the defense and Miss. St will not shoot as well as they did in the last game. This game is in Nashville so look for a homecourt advantage for the Vols… Rocky Top will be sung tonight in Nashville. Play on Tennessee. This is a 3% play! | |||||||
03-14-24 | Cincinnati v. Baylor -6.5 | 56-68 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
The No. 11 seed Cincinnati Bearcats are coming off a huge win over Kansas and now take on the No. 3 seed and 14th-ranked Baylor Bears. The Cincinnati Bearcats finished the season at 20-13 overall but just 7-11 in conference play. They are coming off a 20-point win over an injury-depleted Kansas. Cincinnati puts up 74.8 points a game on 44.5% shooting from the field, and 32.1% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 67.8 points a game. The Baylor Bears finished the season at 22-9 overall and 11-7 in the conference. Baylor is putting up 81.5 points per game on 48.9% shooting from the field and 39.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.5 points. Baylor has the offensive firepower to win this one easily. You can’t take a lot from the Kansas win but Cincinnati has shown they can hang around. I look for Baylor to get it done on both ends of the court and pull away at the end. Play on Baylor. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Villanova v. Marquette -3.5 | 65-71 | Win | 100 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
The Big East Tournament's quarterfinals have the No. 6 seed Villanova Wildcats meeting the No. 3 seed and 10th-ranked Marquette Golden Eagles. The Villanova Wildcats are 18-14 overall and 10-10 in the Big East. They barely got by Depaul yesterday. The offense put up 71.1 points this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65.6 points per game. Marquette finished the season at 23-8 overall and 14-6 in the Big East. They put up 79.2 points per game this season. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.8 points per game. The Marquette offense had their way with the Villanova defense in two games this season, putting up 87 points and 85 points. Nova will struggle to keep up if Marquette can get the offense rolling again. Villanova did not look good against Depaul and can’t afford to have the same type of performance in this one. I like Marquette to get the offense rolling again and come away with the win and cover. Play on Marquette. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Duquesne v. Dayton -6.5 | 65-57 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
An A-10 quarterfinal matchup pits the Dayton Flyers against the Duquesne Dukes. Dayton is 24-6 overall and a 14-4 conference record. The Dukes finished at 21-11 overall and 10-8 in the A10. The Flyers are putting up 75.3 points per game on 48.2% shooting from the field and 40.7% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.3 points per game. Duquesne put up 71.0 points per game on 43.7% shooting from the field and 33.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.8 points per game. The Dayton Flyers are a well-balanced team. They shoot the ball well from both the field and from deep. Dayton has beaten Duquesne twice this season. In the two wins, Dayton has held the Dukes to just over 60 points per game while putting up over 73 points per game. I am taking Daytin to win and cover. Play on Dayton. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-14-24 | Minnesota +6.5 v. Michigan State | 67-77 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 34 m | Show | |
This is a must-win for both teams as they face uncertainty going into selection Sunday. The Minnesota Golden Gophers and the Michigan State Spartans are both 18-13 heading into this game. They split both games this season. Both teams struggled down the stretch going 1-4. Minnesota is putting up 75.7 points a game and is giving up 71.6 points. Michigan State is putting up 73.4 points a game and is giving up just 65.9 points a game. Michigan State is the better team and should win this game but this number is too high in my opinion. Minnesota has covered 24 of 31 this season and they are 8-2 ATS their last 10 games as a dog. They've also covered three straight in this series and four of their last five. Michigan State has failed to cover their last four games as a favorite. The Spartans should be better than they are and that is why I have no confidence in them covering this number. Play on Minnesota. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-13-24 | Michigan v. Penn State -6.5 | 57-66 | Win | 100 | 14 h 7 m | Show | |
The season can’t get over quick enough for the Michigan Wolverines and that was true more than a month ago. The Penn State Nittany Lions will look to put them out of their misery in the Big 10 Tournament. Penn State won the earlier game this season 79-73 at home. Michigan finished the season losing 8 in a row, while Penn State won three of their last five. For the season Michigan put up 73.5 points a game on 44.7% shooting from the field and 36.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they gave up 79.4 points a game. On the season, Penn State put up 75.9 points a game on 44.4% shooting from the field and 33.5% shooting from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 74.3 points a game. This has been a very disappointing year for Michigan, and they are one of the worst teams in the Big Ten on both ends of the floor. 12 of their 17 losses were by 10 points or more. Michigan struggles to score and has an even harder time stopping the other team. Penn State is not a great defensive team either. Michigan has talent but for some reason they can’t put things together. Michigan has struggled all season and don’t see why they would turn it around now.
Play on Penn State. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-13-24 | Nuggets -4 v. Heat | 100-88 | Win | 100 | 13 h 49 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets head to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat. Denver is 45-20 this season and is second in the Western Conference while Miami is eighth in the Eastern Conference with an overall record of 35-29. Denver took the first meeting this season by 6. Denver has been getting it done on the defensive end, where they are giving up 110.7 points a game, which ranks seventh. On the offensive end, they are putting up 115 points per game. The Heat are coming off a bad loss to the Washington Wizards. Miami is putting up 110.5 points per game, which ranks 27th overall On the defensive end, they are giving up 109.9 points against per game. The Denver Nuggets are 15-8 as road favorites this season. The Miami Heat are 1-6 against the spread as underdogs at home this season. The Nuggets are 7-3 against the spread versus the Hea over the last 10. The Nuggets have won nine of their last ten games. The Heat have lost three in a row. The Nuggets' last five road wins have come by at least five points. Denver is better on both ends of the courts and they way Miami has struggled to score, I have to ride with the Nuggets this season. Play on Denver. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-13-24 | Florida State v. Virginia Tech -3.5 | 86-76 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
In ACC tournament action, the ninth-seeded Florida State Seminoles take on the eighth-ranked Virginia Tech Hokies. Florida State finished the season with a 16-15 overall record as was 10-10 in the ACC. Virginia Tech went 18-13 overall and also finished 10-10 in conference play. FSU struggled down the stretch, losing six of its final nine games. They were 15-15-1 ATS. Virginia Tech comes into this game riding a three-game winning streak. The Hokies were 14-17 ATS. They split their regular season matchups with both winning on their home floors. Both teams are even on the offensive end but the Hokies have an edge on the defensive end. Both games between the two were decided by single digits and with VT being the better free throw shooting team , I have more confidence in them down the stretch. Play on Virginia tech. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-11-24 | Arkansas State v. James Madison -5.5 | 71-91 | Win | 100 | 10 h 51 m | Show | |
The final of the Sun Belt Conference pits the Arkansas State Red Wolves against the James Madison Dukes. The Red Wolves put up 79.0 points per game, on 44.2% shooting from the field and 34.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. The James Madison Dukes finished the season with an overall record of 30-3. The Dukes are putting up 84.6 points per game, on 47.9% shooting from the field. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 69.3 points per game. James Madison gets it done on both ends of the court. Arkansas State has been finding ways to win but that stops against the Dukes in this one. Play on James Madison. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Texas State v. James Madison -11 | 68-73 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
The No. 11 seeded Texas State Bobcats face off against the No. 2 James Madison Dukes in a Sun Belt Semi-Final. Texas State has won three straight so far in the tournament. Texas State puts up 68.9 points per game, on 44.0% shooting from the field and 32.0% from beyond the arc. The Dukes are putting up 84.6 points per game on 47.9% shooting from the field. The defense is giving up just 69.3 points per game. James Madison has dominated the Conference all season and there is no reason for that to end today. They have a more explosive offense and better defense. I look for them to book their spot in the final easily. | |||||||
03-10-24 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -4.5 | 67-65 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 31 m | Show | |
The Sun Belt Semifinals showcase the No. 1 seed Appalachian State Mountaineers against the No. 4 seed Arkansas State Red Wolves. Appalachian State finished the season at 26-5 overall. On the offensive end, they are putting up 78.7 points per game, and are shooting 47.3% from the field goal. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.1 points per game. The Arkansas State Red Wolves finished at a 16-15 overall record. Arkansas State is putting up 79.0 points per game and is shooting 44.2% from the field and 34.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.6 points per game. Appalachian State has won eight straight. Appalachian State won the only matchup between the two 80-57. App State has a well-balanced offense and their defense will be able to slow down the Arkansas State offense. Play on App State. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-09-24 | Marquette -2.5 v. Xavier | 86-80 | Win | 100 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
The eighth-ranked Marquette Golden Eagles take on the Xavier Musketeers in the final Big East regular season game. Marquette is 13-6 in the Big East and is now tied with Creighton for second place. Xavier is one game under .500 in the Big East at 9-10. Marquette beat Xavier 88-64 in their first meeting. Marquette is putting up 79 points a game. The Golden Eagles are giving up just 69.5 points a game. Xavier is putting up 76.2 points a game this season. The Musketeers are giving up 73.8 points a game. Marquette will be without their best player Tyler Kolek for the third straight game but the Golden Eagles are still one of the best defensive teams in the nation. Marquette's defense will be the difference in this game and even without Kolek the offense will score enough to get the win and cover. Play on Marquette. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Northern Iowa v. Indiana State -7 | 72-94 | Win | 100 | 6 h 38 m | Show | |
In an MVC semifinal matchup, we have top-seeded Indiana State taking on fourth-seeded Northern Iowa. The NI Panthers are 19-13 overall and 12-8 in the MVC. The ISU Sycamores are 27-5 overall and 17-3 in the MVC. The Panthers scored 73.3 points per game on 45.7% shooting from the field and 34.5% from deep. On the defensive end, they give up 70.2 points a game. Indiana State puts up 84.3 points per game on 50.2% from the field and 38.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.6 points. In their only matchup this season, ISU won by 11 as 2-point favorites at home. Indiana State is 18-12-1 ATS this season and Northern Iowa is 15-15 ATS. The Sycamores have gone 6-4 SU and 7-2-1 ATS in their last ten games against Northern Iowa. ISU has amazing scoring depth, with five guys averaging in double figures. I like Indiana State to roll in this one as their offense will be too much for NI to overcome. Play on Indiana State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-09-24 | Iowa State -3 v. Kansas State | 58-65 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 39 m | Show | |
Kansas State will play host to the No. 6 Iowa State in the regular season finale for the Big 12. The Cyclones have posted a 24-6 overall record and 13-4 in the Big 12. The Wildcats are 17-13 overall and 7-10 in the Big 12. The Cyclones are one game back of first place in the Big 12 and are on a four-game win streak and they have won eight of their last nine. They are led by their defense, which is 2nd in the Big 12 and fifth in the nation, at 62 points per game. On the offensive end, they are putting up 76.3 points per game on 46.4% shooting from the field and 34.9% from deep. The Wildcats have struggled down the stretch, going 3-9 over their last 12. Kansas State is putting up 72.4 points per game, on 43.6% shooting from the field and 31.9% from deep. They have the 10th-best defense in the conference at 70.6 points a game. Iowa State is 20-9-1 ATS this season, and Kansas State is 15-15 ATS. Iowa State is 6-2-1 ATS on the road this year, while Kansas State is 7-9 ATS at home. Iowa State won and covered the first time and even though it is Senior Night. I don’t think that will be enough for Kansas State to overcome the Iowa State defense. Play on Iowa State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-08-24 | Missouri State v. Indiana State -11.5 | 59-75 | Win | 100 | 3 h 37 m | Show | |
The MVC quarterfinals get underway with top-seeded Indiana State taking on No. 9 Missouri State. On the offensive end, Missouri State is putting up 72 points a game on 44.2% shooting. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.3 points per game. Indiana State rode their high-powered offense to the conference title. They put up 84.5 points per game, which was the best in the conference and 10th in the country. They are shooting 50.4% from the field and 38.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72 points per game. The Sycamores have three of the top nine scorers in the MVC. Indiana State was 2-0 SU and 1-1 ATS versus Missouri State this season with an average margin of victory of 12 points per game. Missouri State will be playing for the second straight day. Indiana State can score in a hurry and if there is any fatigue in Missouri State, this game can get out of hand in a hurry. I am looking for Indiana State to roll in this one. Play on Indiana State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-07-24 | Northern Kentucky v. Wright State -6.5 | 99-97 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
The Northern Kentucky Norse take on the Wright State Raiders in the quarterfinals of the Horizon League Championship. Wright State is 6-4 in its last 10 games against Northern Kentucky. They swept the regular season series 2-0. The Norse had their three-game winning streak snapped by the Raiders in their regular season finale. Northern Kentucky is putting up 73 points a game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.8 points per game. Wright State is putting up 85.8 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 82.2 points per game. The Raiders have won four of their last five games. The Norse have lost two of their last three road games. Wright State won the two regular season meetings and I look for them to make it three in this one. Play on Wright State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-07-24 | Marist v. Quinnipiac -4.5 | 64-73 | Win | 100 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
The Marist Red Foxes face off against the Quinnipiac Bobcats in the MAAC Tournament. The Marist Red Foxes are 16-11 overall and 11-7 in the MAAC. Marist struggles on the offensive end, putting up 64.9 points per game on 44.4% shooting from the field and 35.6% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 61.8 points per game. The Quinnipiac Bobcats are 21-8 overall this season and 13-5 in the MAAC. On the offensive end. They are putting up 78.2 points per game on 44.8% shooting from the field and 35.0% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.6 points per game. The Red Foxes are scoring 59.8 points in their last four games while the Bobcats are averaging 75.6 points in their previous five games. Even though Marist has the better defense they will not be able to overcome the scoring output of the Quinnipiac offense. Play on Quinnipiac. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-07-24 | Georgia Southern v. South Alabama -3 | 76-71 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 9 m | Show | |
The Georgia Southern Eagles enter the Sun Belt Conference Tournament with an 8-23 overall record and 8-10 in the Sun Belt. The South Alabama Jaguars are at 16-15 overall and 8-10 in the conference. The Eagles have won two straight and three of the last four. South Alabama has also won two straight and six of the last eight. Georgia Southern puts up 73.0 points per game on 43.1% from the field and 35.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 79.3 points per game. The South Alabama Jaguars are putting up 74.1 points per game on 44.7% shooting from the field and 34.7% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 75.6 points per game. South Alabama has covered the spread in five of its last eight games. South Alabama won the only meeting between the two 78-65. South Alabama will use their defense to limit Georgia Southern’s three-point shooting and come away with a win and cover. Play on South Alabama. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-06-24 | Red Wings v. Avalanche -1.5 | 2-7 | Win | 126 | 9 h 45 m | Show | |
The Detroit Red Wings face the Colorado Avalanche in NHL action. The Red Wings are 33-22-6 this season and have the fourth-best record in the Atlantic Division. The Avalanche have a 38-20-5 record and are in third place in the Central Division. The Red Wings are putting up 3.51 goals per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 3.20 goals per game and have allowed nine goals in the last two games, both losses. The Avalanche are putting up 3.65 goals per game and have scored 16 goals in their last four games. On the defensive end, they are giving up 3.06 goals per game. They Avalanche have been finding the back of the net a lot lately and should be able to score against a Red Wings team that has allowed nine goals in their last two games. Colorado is 9-1 in the last 10 matchups between the two. The Avalanche have outscored the Wings 28-13 over those 10 games. They have won 5 straight in Colorado. Play on Colorado minus 1,5 pucks. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-06-24 | Bulls -3.5 v. Jazz | 119-117 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are on the road to take on the Utah Jazz. Chicago is 29-32 and is ninth in the Eastern Conference. Utah is 11th in the Western Conference at 28-34.Chicago is putting up 111.7 points per game which ranks 25th. The Bulls are 23rd in field goal shooting percentage as well as 23rd from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 113.1 points a game which is 12th in the NBA. The Utah Jazz are putting up 117.7 points per game which ranks ninth. On the defensive end, they are giving up 120.4 points against per game which ranks 26th. Chicago is 7-1 record as a road favorite and 6-2 ATS. They have won four of their last five against Utah. Lauri Markkanen is questionable for this game and it will be a big loss without him in the lineup as he leads the team in scoring. The Bulls are coming off a huge comeback win over the Kings to start this road trip and I like them to ride that momentum into this game. Play on Chicago. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-06-24 | Northwestern +9.5 v. Michigan State | 49-53 | Win | 100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
The Northwestern Wildcats take on the Michigan State Spartans. These teams met earlier this season, with Northwestern winning by 14. Northwestern is third in the conference with an 11-7 league record. They have won three of their last four games, losing last time out to Iowa. They are putting up 74.4 points per game, on 46.0% shooting from the field and 39.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.6 points a game. The Michigan State Spartans are 9-9 in conference play but have lost three in a row. Michigan State is putting up 74.4 points per game, on 46.8% shooting from the field and 37.0% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.5 points per game. MSU has struggled down the stretch and need a couple of wins to close out the season. It will be Senior Night at MSU and the Spartans will be playing with a little something extra. I like MSU to win this game but the number is a little high in my opinion. Play on Northwestern. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-05-24 | Dayton -8.5 v. St. Louis | 100-83 | Win | 100 | 9 h 10 m | Show | |
The Saint Louis Billikens play host to the No. 25 Dayton Flyers. The Flyers come in at 22-6 overall and 12-4 in the A-10. The Billikens are just 11-18 overall and 4-12 in the A-10. The Flyers have struggled down the stretch going just 3-3 over their last 6. Dayton is putting up 73.9 points per game on 47.7% shooting from the field and 39.5% from three-point range. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65 points a game. The Billikens have been playing better, having won two of their last three games but have just three wins over their last 13 games. Offense hasn’t been a problem for St. Louis as they rank fourth in the conference with 74.8 points per game. They are shooting 44.7% from the field and 36% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 79.3 points per game, which is last in the conference. The Flyers won the first game between the two on their home court. Dayton is 15-13 ATS and Saint Louis is 10-17-1 ATS. Saint Louis has gone 1-5 SU in their last six home games, with the five losses coming by an average of 12.4 points. The Billikens are 5-9 ATS at home. Dayton is 5-4-1 ATS on the road this year and 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against Saint Louis. I am looking for the Dayton defense to slow down the Billiken offense and on the other end, they should be able to take advantage of the Billiken defense. Play on Dayton. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-04-24 | Bulls v. Kings -6.5 | 113-109 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 52 m | Show | |
The Chicago Bulls are on the road to take on the Sacramento Kings. The Bulls are 28-32 overall but have a 31-28-1 ATS record. The Kings are 34-25 overall and 30-28-1 ATS. The Bulls are ninth in the Eastern Conference, four games above the Play-in line. They have struggled recently, going 2-4 SU over their last six games. On the season, they are putting up 111.7 points a game on 46.3% shooting from the field and 35.6% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 113.1 points per game. The Kings are seventh in the Western Conference, a half-game behind sixth. The kings are 4-2 over their last six games. They are putting up 118.2 points per game on 48.4% shooting from the field and 37.1% from beyond the arc. On the defensive end, they are giving up 117.9 points per game. Sacramento won the first game between the two. In their last five victories, the Kings have won by an average of 11.8 points per game. Sacramento is 4-0 ATS in their last four games against the Bulls. The Bulls have been and are still dealing with injuries. The Kings have depth and will wear down a depleted Bulls team. I like the Kings to continue their ATS streak over the Bulls. Play on Sacramento. This is a 4% play | |||||||
03-04-24 | Clippers v. Bucks -5.5 | 106-113 | Win | 100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
The Los Angeles Clippers are on the road to take on the Milwaukee Bucks. This will be the second game of a back-to-back for the Clippers. The Clippers lost guard Russell Westbrook to a fractured left hand. Milwaukee comes in riding a five game winning streak after taking down the Chicago Bulls last time out. The defense is starting to come along as they have held six of their last nine opponents under 100 points. Things got off to a rocky start under Doc Rivers going 3-7 in his first 10 games but have now won five in a row. The Bucks are playing their best basketball of the season and will have the advantage of rest. The Bucks are second in the NBA in scoring this season. Being on the back end of a back-to-back, I wouldn't be surprised if they rest a couple of players even with Westbrook being out. Play on Milwaukee. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-04-24 | Duke -6 v. NC State | 79-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
Duke still has a chance to win the conference title, but they need to take care of business against NC State. The Blue Devils have won seven of their last eight. Over those seven wins, they have won by an average of +15.6 points. NC State has been struggling down the stretch, especially on the defensive end which does not bode well when playing a Duke team that has five players that can score in double figures. The Wolfpack have lost three of their last four. I am looking for Duke to come out strong and take control of this game early as they make a push for the conference title. Play on Duke. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
03-03-24 | Thunder -5.5 v. Suns | 118-110 | Win | 100 | 13 h 46 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder take on the Phoenix Suns in the Western Conference battle. OKC won the first game between the two teams 111-99. The Oklahoma City Thunder had their six-game winning streak snapped by the San Antonio Spurs. Oklahoma City is second in the Western Conference. The Suns had their two-game winning streak snapped by the Houston Rockets last night. The Suns are sixth in the West, a half game behind the Pelicans and the same distance ahead of the Kings. This is the second game of a back-to-back so fatigue could be a factor for the Suns. They are still not at 100% as Bradley Beal returned after missing five games and gave them 20 minutes, but will he be able to go today and for how long. OKC is 6-1 SU and ATS in its last seven games overall and 2-1 SU and ATS in its previous three games with Phoenix. OKC has been one of the best two way teams this season and with the Suns playing the second game of a back-to-back I like the Thunder to pull this one out down the stretch. Play on OKC. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-03-24 | Bradley v. Drake -3.5 | 66-74 | Win | 100 | 7 h 37 m | Show | |
Both these teams are considered a couple of the favorites to win the Missouri Valley Conference Tournament next week. Bradley has won four of their last five with the loss coming to Drake. Bradley is 6-5 on the road this season. On the other hand, Drake has not lost at home this season, going 15-0. More impressively, 12 of those wins have come by double digits. Drake is 8-6 against the spread home while Bradley is 1-2 against the spread as road underdogs and 9-10 ATS when facing Missouri Valley opponents. Drake has the best player on the court, at home and it is Senior Day. That looks like the perfect recipe for a win. Play on Drake. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-03-24 | Illinois State -5 v. Valparaiso | 72-75 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 8 m | Show | |
Illinois State has won four of their last five games. Valparaiso has lost 11 straight. Valpo won the earlier game between the two this season but has fallen on hard times. Illinois State and Valparaiso are the two worst offensive teams in the MVC this season. Both teams are putting up 67 points a game. Illinois State has an advantage on the defensive end as they give up 67.7 points a game while Valpo allows 78.6 points a game. Illinois State shot just 1-18 from deep and I expect them to shoot better in this game. I am riding the better team and better defense in this one. Play on Illinois State. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-02-24 | Nuggets v. Lakers | 124-114 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show | |
The Denver Nuggets go on the road to take on the Los Angeles Lakers in a Western Conference battle. Denver is 41-19 and in third place in the West and have won four in a row. Denver is putting up 114.4 points per game on 49.2% shooting from the field and 36.7% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 110.2 points a game. Los Angeles is 33-28 and in ninth place in the West. They are putting up 117.2 points a game on 49.6% shooting from the field and 37% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 117.6 points. The Lakers barely edged out the Wizards after a crazy comeback against the Clippers so a let down could be in store for the Lakers. The injury to Murray could be a concern in this one but we have seen over time that other players will step up. Both teams are playing their third game in four nights. James and Davis had to play a lot minutes over the last two games and play a roll in this one. With or without Murrray. I like Denver to get the win on the road. Play on Denver. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-02-24 | Houston -6.5 v. Oklahoma | 87-85 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
The Houston Cougars have dominated on the defensive end allowing just 56.2 points per game while on offense, they are putting up 73.9 points per game. Houston is 25-3 overall and a 12-3 conference record. Oklahoma 13-3 at home but have lost three of their last five games at home. Houston is 5-3 on the road this season but have won four of their last five as the road team. Oklahoma struggled on the offensive end against Iowa State and I look for the same struggles against Houston. Play on Houston. This is a 3% play, | |||||||
03-02-24 | Iowa v. Northwestern -3 | 87-80 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 27 m | Show | |
Northwestern is 14-1at home this season and are fourth in the Big-10. Northwestern has won 5 of the last 6 including 3 in a row. Both offenses are pretty evenly matched but Northwestern has a markable edge on the defensive end. The Wildcats are hoping to hold a top-four spot in the Big Ten to earn a bye in the conference tournament. Iowa has struggled going on the road this season, putting up a 3-8 record. Northwestern likes to play at pace but does not turn the ball over. Northwestern cannot afford to lose games down the stretch, especially against lesser teams. Play on Northwestern. This is a 3% play | |||||||
03-02-24 | Illinois +3.5 v. Wisconsin | 91-83 | Win | 100 | 5 h 4 m | Show | |
The Wisconsin Badgers are at home to take on the Illinois Fighting Illini in early Big-10 action. Wisconsin is 10-7 in conference play while Illinois is 12-5 in Big10 play. Illinois comes into this game having won four of their last five and is putting up 84.5 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 72.9 points a game. Wisconsin comes in on a loss. For the season, they are putting up 74.1 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 68.9 points per game. Illinois is 7-0 ATS in their last seven games against Wisconsin. They’ve also won the last six games outright. Wisconsin is just 2-6 SU in its last eight games. This should be a close game and Wisconsin is at home but I like the Illini in this one, They have a dominant scorer in Shannon and the Badgers have struggled on the offensive end lately. Play on Illinois. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
03-01-24 | Arkansas State v. Appalachian State -6 | 57-80 | Win | 100 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
The Arkansas State Red Wolves take on the Appalachian State Mountaineers in Sun Belt conference action. The Red Wolves are currently in fourth place, while the Appalachian State Mountaineers are in first. The Red Wolves have won six games in a row. On the offensive end, they are putting up 79.8 points a game on 44.5% shooting from the field and 35.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 77.5 points a game. Appalachian State is also on a six-game winning streak. They are putting up 78.6 points a game on 47.3% shooting from the field and 33.4% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.4 points a game. Appalachian State is the best team in the Sun Belt but can’t rest down the stretch as there are three teams right behind them. They are 14-0 at home this season and have a record of 18-10 against the spread. Arkansas State is just 5-10 on the road. Appalachian State has won four of the last five matchups against the Red Wolves, covering four of five games as well.App State need to keep winning for the #1 seed in the conference tournament as thye lead James Madison by just a game and Troy by 2. I don’t see a let down at home in this one. Play on App State. This is a 4% play | |||||||
02-29-24 | Thunder -11 v. Spurs | 118-132 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 4 m | Show | |
The OKC Thunder go on the road to play the San Antonio Spurs. The OKC Thunder are 41-17 and in second place in the Western Conference. The Thunder are putting up 121.3 points a game on 50.2% from the field and 39.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 113 points. San Antonio comes on at 11-48 and in 15th place in the West. On the offensive end, they are putting up 111.9 points and are shooting 46% from the field and 34.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 120.6. The Spurs have lost five straight. This season the Thunder are 37-20-1 against the spread while San Antonio is 9-13 ATS as a home underdog. The Thunder have covered the spread in six straight in this series and six straight overall. OKC is well balanced on the offensive end with many weapons that can have a big night. OKC won by 30 earlier this season against the Spurs and I look for them to win this one easily. Play on OKC. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-29-24 | Memphis -3.5 v. East Carolina | 82-58 | Win | 100 | 10 h 23 m | Show | |
In American Athletic Conference action, Memphis goes on the road to take on East Carolina. The Memphis Tigers come in at 20-8 overall and 9-6 in the AAC. The East Carolina Pirates are 14-13 overall and 7-7 in the AAC. The Tigers have won two straight games and are sixth place in the AAC. Memphis is putting up 80 points per game on 45.9% shooting from the field and 34.8% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 75.6 points per game. The Pirates had won three in a row before losing last time out. The offense is putting up 69.2 points per game and are shooting 41.9% from the field and 31.1% from deep. On the defensive end, the Pirates are giving up 67.8 points a game. This is the first and only meeting between the two this season. The Tigers are 10-18 ATS and the Pirates are 12-13-1 ATS. East Carolina is 7-9-1 ATS at home this season, the second worst mark in the conference. East Carolina is ranked near the bottom in the conference in both offense and defense. I expect the Memphis offense to have their way with the East Carolina Defense and Memphis will pick up the road win and cover. Play on Memphis. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-28-24 | Cavs -5 v. Bulls | 123-132 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 9 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers go on the road to take on the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are on the second leg of a back-to-back after getting humiliated by the Detroit Pistons last time out. Cleveland is in action Tuesday and will be on the second leg of a back-to-back. Cleveland is also on the second leg of a back-to-back but is coming off a win on a half-court shot at the buzzer to beat Dallas. The Cavs are second in the Eastern Conference, one game ahead of Milwaukee with a 37-19 record. Chicago is in ninth place in the Eastern Conference. The Bulls shot just 2-29 from deep against the Pistons. They will struggle to score against the Cavs' defense as the Bulls lack offensive threats especially from deep. Cleveland poses matchup problems in the frontcourt and I look for them to dominate an inconsistent Bulls team. Play on Cleveland. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-28-24 | Richmond -5 v. St. Louis | 80-64 | Win | 100 | 7 h 1 m | Show | |
The Richmond Flyers travel to Missouri to take on the Saint Louis Billikens in the Atlantic 10 Conference action. The Flyers are 20-7 overall and 12-2 in the A10. The Flyers are on a three-game winning streak. The Billikens are 10-17 overall and just 3-11 in the conference. The Richmond Spiders are putting up 73.1 points a game and are shooting 46.4% from the floor. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65.9 points a game. Saint Louis is putting up 74.5 points per game while shooting 44.6% from the field. The defense has been a weak spot, as they are giving up 78.9 points per game. Richmond has won 15 of their last 17 games, including three in a row. Saint Louis has struggled this season and are 2-9 over their last 11. Richmond is 6-4 on the road on the year but have won six of their last seven games. Saint Louis is just 8-6 at home. Richmond is the better team and will win and cover. Play on Richmond. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-28-24 | IUPU Ft Wayne v. Wright State -5.5 | 79-77 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 34 m | Show | |
We head to the Horizon League, where the Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons take on the Wright State Raiders. The Mastodons hold the 8th spot in the conference while the Raiders are third. The Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons are 18-11 overall and 9-9 in the conference. They are putting up 81.5 points a game on 47.4% shooting from the field and 36% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 71.6 points a game. The Wright State Raiders are 17-12 overall and 12-6 in conference play. The Raiders are putting up 86.2 points a game on 53.4% from the field and 38.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 80.4 points per game. Wright State has a dynamic and explosive offense that shoots well from the field and from deep. I think the Purdue-Fort Wayne offense will struggle to keep up with the Raiders. Take Wright State to win and cover. Play on Wright State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-28-24 | James Madison -8 v. Georgia State | 84-78 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
The James Madison Dukes will look to extend their nine-game winning streak when they take on the Georgia State Panthers. The Georgia State Panthers have won three of their last five. James Madison has posted a 26-3 overall record with all three losses coming in conference play. James Madison is doing it on the defensive end which has converted to the offensive end. They are giving up just 68.8 points per game. On the offensive end, they are putting up 84.6 points a game on 48% shooting from the field. The Georgia State Panthers have been very inconsistent this season. They are below 500 this season and are just 7-9 in the conference. They are putting up 76.3 points a game on 43.2% from the field and just 31.6% from deep. The Dukes have hit the money line in 22 of their last 26 games. They are 17-11 against the spread and have won the last three matchups against Georgia State. They are 10-2 on the road this season. The Dukes have won eight straight games and four of their last five road games. The Panthers have struggled defensively at home, giving up more than 71 points per game, and will struggle to slow down JMU. The Panthers have lost three of their last five home games. I like JMU to continue their dominance. Play on James Madison. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-27-24 | Nevada +7.5 v. Colorado State | 77-74 | Win | 100 | 10 h 22 m | Show | |
The Nevada Wolf Pack take on the Colorado State Rams in a conference battle. Nevada has won four of their last five games and three in a row. The Wolf Pack are 22-6 overall and 9-5 and one game back of the Mountain West conference lead. The Wolf Pack are putting up 76.5 points a game this season and are shooting 47.4% from the field and 35.1% from beyond the arc. On the defensive end, they are giving up 66.3 points a game. Colorado State on the other hand, has lost three of their last five. Colorado State is just 8-7 in the Mountain West this season. They are putting up 76.9 points a game. Nevada is 18-9 against the number while Colorado State is 15-11 against the spread. Nevada has won the last two matchups outright, and has also won seven of the last ten games, covering in six. Nevada is 7-3-0 ATS in their last 10 games, including going 6-1 ATS in their last seven. Colorado State is 2-2 ATS in their last four. Nevada is playing the better basketball right now and with the way CSU has struggled to score 70 points over the last 5 games I will take the points with Nevada as they have a real chance of winning outright. Play on Nevada. This is a 5% play. | |||||||
02-27-24 | BYU v. Kansas -6 | 76-68 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
The Brigham Young Cougars look to make a move in the Big 12 when they take on the Kansas Jayhawks. BYU is 19-8 overall and 7-7 in conference play. They are 3-3 over their last six and need to pick it up before the Big 12 Tournament. The Cougars are putting up 82.8 points per game, on 46.6% shooting from the field and 35% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.3 points per game. Kansas comes in with an overall record of 21-6 and 9-5 in the Big 12. Kansas is putting up 77.0 points a game on 50.2% shooting from the field and 34.6% from beyond the arc. On the defensive end, the Jayhawks are giving up 67.6 points per game. The Cougars are 2-6 (1-7-0 ATS) on the road. Their offense shoots just 42.3% in away games overall and just 29.6% from three-point range/ That is not good for a team that relies on the outside shot, throw in the fact they are going against a tough Kansas defense, things could get ugly in a hurry. The Cougars have struggled on the defensive end away from Provo as they have allowed 80 points per game on the road. Dickinson should be a force in the paint for Kansas and they will roll at home. ROCK CHALK JAYHAWK! Play on Kansas. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-27-24 | Kentucky +3.5 v. Mississippi State | 91-89 | Win | 100 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
The Mississippi State Bulldogs are at home to take on the Kentucky Wildcats. Kentucky put up 117 against Alabama in their last game and are putting up 88.7 points a game which is third in the country. On the defensive end, Kentucky is giving up 77.9 points a game. Their defense has been playing slightly better, giving up 75 or fewer in three of their last four games. Mississippi State comes into this game putting up 74.9 points per game. They crank it up on the defensive end, where they are allowing 67.5 points per game. The Wildcats have the more consistent offense and will attack the Rebels in the paint. Mississippi State has won five in a row but they all came against unranked opponents. This will be a contest between Kentucky’s offense against Mississippi State's defense. The way basketball is today I will take the better offense, Mississippi State is not great at the line, which could be a factor down the stretch. Take the points with Kentucky. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
02-26-24 | Raptors v. Pacers -5.5 | 130-122 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
The Toronto Raptors take on the Indiana Pacers in an Eastern Conference battle. The Raptors are 12th in the East while the Pacers come in at 7th. The Toronto Raptors come into this game with a 21-36 record. Toronto is putting up 114.2 points per game. They need to tighten up on the defensive end, as they are underwater, allowing 117.4 points per game. The Indiana Pacers have posted a 32-25 record. Indiana leads the league in scoring at 123.8 points a game. They need to score that many points as their defense allows 122.2 points a game. Indiana is 18-11 at home this season. The Raptors have lost seven of their last 10 on the road. The Indiana Pacers have won four of their last five games including a road win against the Raptors. The Raptors don’t have the offense to keep up and their defense has allowed at least 119 points in their last five games. That does not give you a lot of hope taking on the #1 offense. I like the Pacers at home to win and cover. Play on Indiana. This is a 5% play | |||||||
02-25-24 | Youngstown State -6 v. Green Bay | 71-59 | Win | 100 | 3 h 27 m | Show | |
The Youngstown State Penguins are 20-9 this season and will take on the 17-11 Green Bay Phoenix. The Penguins are 12-6 in the Horizon League and are a half-a-game behind Green Bay for second place. Green Bay is 12-5 in the Horizon League and is a game and a half behind Oakland for first place. Green Bay won the first matchup 84-83. Youngstown State is putting up 79.3 points a game this season and is giving up 72.9 on the defensive end. Green Bay is putting up 68.7 points a game and is giving up 68.1 points. Youngstown State has been better on the offensive end. Green Bay has struggled offensively over their last two games, GB shot 14-29 from three in their first matchup and I don’t expect them to shoot that well in this one. Youngstown State gets revenge in this game. Play on Youngstown State. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-25-24 | Quinnipiac v. Rider | 78-88 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 43 m | Show | |
In a Metro Atlantic Athletic showdown, the Quinnipiac Bobcats take on the Rider Broncs. The Bobcats are 19-7 overall and 11-4 in the MAAC white the Broncs are 11-16 overall and 8-8 in the conference.The Quinnipiac Bobcats are at the top of the standings and come in putting up 78.4 points per game, on 44.7% shooting from the field and 35.2% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 73.0 points per game. The Rider Broncs are putting up 73.2 points per game, on 43.8% from the field and 34.3% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 74.1 points a game. The Quinnipiac Bobcats have been dominant in conference play and think it will be difficult for Rider to come out on top in this one. Quinnipiac plays at a fast pace which will allow them to get out and get some easy points with their explosive offense. They are the better team on both ends of the court and have shown it in the conference all season. They shoot over 77% from the line so if this game is close down the stretch they will be able to salt it away at the charity stripe. Play on Quinnipiac. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-25-24 | Bucks -4.5 v. 76ers | 119-98 | Win | 100 | 3 h 5 m | Show | |
The Milwaukee Bucks take on the Philadelphia 76ers in NBA action. Both teams are coming off wins their last time out. Milwaukee is 7-3 in its last 10 games against Philadelphia. The Bucks with their win over Minnesota were able to snap a two-game losing streak. Milwaukee is putting up 121.8 points per game. And on the defensive end, they are giving up 118.6 points per game. The 76ers also snapped their two-game losing streak with a win over the Cavaliers. Philadelphia is putting up 117.7 points per game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 113.6 points per game. The Bucks have won three of their last five games. They are putting up more than 120 points a game on the road. The 76ers are giving up more than 112 points a game at home. The 76ers have lost two of their last three home games and have averaged less than 105 points over those five games. This game has lost a bit of the edge with Embiid not playing in this game. That will give a huge edge to the Bucks with 4-6 without Embiid in the lineup. The Bucks are 10-3 in the last 13 games against Philly, and I look for this dominance to continue with the Bucks having the best two players on the court. Play on Milwaukee. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-24-24 | Texas A&M v. Tennessee -10 | 51-86 | Win | 100 | 13 h 52 m | Show | |
The Texas A&M Aggies take on the fifth-ranked Tennessee Volunteers. Texas A&M is 15-11 but just 6-7 in the SEC. Tennessee is currently 20-6 and 10-3 in conference play. This season has been a bit of a disappointment for the Aggies as they sit in eighth place in the SEC standings and have lost three straight. The Aggies are 11-15 ATS this season. The Vols are second in the SEC just a game behind Alabama. Tennessee is just 12-14 ATS this season. They come in having won three in a row. Tennessee is 12-1 SU at home this season. The Aggies are 4-2 ATS in his last six games against Tennessee. That being said, I am looking for a little Vols revenge in this one. Also, Tennessee is a game behind Alabama with a matchup coming up next weekend. In their last meeting Tennessee shot just 37.1% from the field and 27.6% from deep. I don’t expect them to shoot that bad, especially at home. As bad as Tennessee shot, Texas A&M shot almost 50% from deep and I can guarantee that won’t happen. Play on Tennessee. This is a free play. | |||||||
02-24-24 | BYU -1 v. Kansas State | 74-84 | Loss | -109 | 7 h 49 m | Show | |
The 25th-ranked BYU Cougars go on the road to take on the Kansas State Wildcats in Big 12 action. BYU is 19-7 overall and 7-6 in the conference while Kansas State is 15-11 and 5-8 in the Big 12. BYU is 3-1 over their last four and are coming off a win over Baylor. They are 15-11 ATS. The Wildcats are 11th in the Big 12 after losing seven of their last eight games including three in a row. They are 13-13 ATS this season. BYU has one of the best offenses, not only in the SEC but in the nation. They are well balanced on the offensive end and Kansas State will struggle to slow them down as a whole. BYU holds an advantage on both ends of the court and I like them to come away with a win and cover. Play on BYU this 4% play. | |||||||
02-24-24 | Missouri v. Arkansas -4.5 | 73-88 | Win | 100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
It has been a tough conference season for Missouri. They have not found the win column and it will not be easy today. The Tigers are 8-18 SU, and 0-13 in the SEC. The Razorbacks are 13-13 SU and 4-9 in the SEC. Missouri has put up 72 points a game this season but over the last five, they are putting up just 63 points a game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 74.4 points a game. Arkansas is putting up 75,2 points a game and 72 over their last five where they have gone 2-3. They have struggled on the defensive end this season,giving up 77.8 points a game which is the worst in the SEC. The Razorbacks took the first meeting between the two. Neither team has found success ATS as The Tigers are 7-19 ATS and Arkansas is 8-18 ATS. Arkansas is 5-2 ATS in their last five games against Missouri. Missouri has lost their last five games by an average of 11 points. I don’t expect Missouri to 10 for 20 from deep and like Arkansas to pick up an easy win at home in this one. Play on Arkansas. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
02-23-24 | Suns -3.5 v. Rockets | 110-114 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 41 m | Show | |
Phoenix and Houston will play three games in nine days against each other starting tonight in Houston. The Suns lost at Dallas last night, to drop them behind the Mavs in the Western Conference. The Rockets are 24-31 this season. Phoenix is seventh place in the Western Conference, The offense is putting up 117.6 points per game this season, but have scored 120 over their last 5. On the defensive end, they are giving up 114.3 points a game but that has jumped to 115.2 over the last five. The Rockets have lost 6 of their last 7 and are in 12th place in the Western Conference. They are putting up 113.3 points a game this season, but that has dropped to 108 points over the last five.On the defensive end, the Rockets are giving up 112.7 points a game but have allowed 116 points a game over their last five. Phoenix won the first meeting between the two, 129-113 as -3 favorites at home. In the Rockets six losses during this losing streak, they have lost by an average of 9.2 points. Phoenix has more offensive firepower and it has the ability to play better on the defensive end.Phoenic holds a big edge at the line, which could be important down the stretch in a close game. I look for Phoenix to bounce back and pick up a win in this one. Play on Phoenix. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
02-23-24 | Cavs -3.5 v. 76ers | 97-104 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 12 m | Show | |
The Cleveland Cavaliers go on the road to the City of Brotherly Love to take on the Philadelphia 76ers. Cleveland is 36-18 overall this season, good for second place in the Eastern Conference. The 76ers are 32-23 overall and are in fifth place in the East. Philadelphia has lost six of their last eight games while the Cavaliers have won seven of their last nine games. The Cavaliers are putting up 114.9 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 109.2 points a game. Philadelphia has struggled without Joel Embiid in the lineup. Philadelphia is putting up 118.3 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 113.9 points. The last time these two teams met, Cleveland came away with the win by controlling the paint with Jarrett Allen and Evan Mobley. They should be able to do the same in this game without Embiid in the lineup. Donovan Mitchell should also return for this game which will add to the Cav’s offensive firepower.Cleveland’s defense is one of the best in the league and should be able to control an Embiid less 76’ers team. Play on Cleveland. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
02-22-24 | Clippers v. Thunder -1 | 107-129 | Win | 100 | 8 h 21 m | Show | |
The Oklahoma City Thunder are at home to take on the Los Angeles Clippers. The Thunder are just a half-game ahead of the Clippers in a battle for second and third place in the Western Conference. They have played twice this season, with the home team winning each game. The Thunder have won four of the last six between these two going back to last season. The Clippers had won six of weight before the break. OKC had won five of seven going into the break. The Thunder have a top notch defense that holds the top spot in many defensive categories. It will be this defense that carries the day in this one.They will be able to slow down the BIG 3 of the Clippers and have offensive weapons to take advantage of empty Clipper’s possessions. The Thunder have held the upper hand in this matchup, especially on their home court. I like the Thunder to hold onto second place and put some distance between the two teams. Play on OKC. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-22-24 | Celtics -8.5 v. Bulls | 129-112 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
The Boston Celtics head to the Windy City to battle the Chicago Bulls. Boston won the first meeting the two, 124-97 at home back in November. Boston is the top team in the Eastern Conference with a 43-12 record and a six-game winning streak. The Celtics are 5th in the league in scoring offense, and 1st in rebounding, On the defensive end, they are 5th in scoring defense. The Bulls come in with a 26-29 record and are 9th in the Eastern Conference. Chicago is 25th in scoring offense and 15th in rebounding. On the defensive end, they are ranked 11th in scoring defense. Chicago has been playing better basketball despite dealing with a ton of injuries. Boston is riding a six-game winning streak and has been explosive this season on the offensive end. The Bulls don’t have the firepower to keep up with Boston in this one. I look for Boston to roll in this one. Play on Boston. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-21-24 | Kentucky -6.5 v. LSU | 74-75 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
The Kentucky Wildcats will take on the LSU Tigers. The Tigers are coming off a huge win over South Carolina, coming back from 16 down at one point. LSU has been inconsistent all season. LSU has lost two of their last three home games. Kentucky is young and talented and is starting to put things together. Kentucky's offense is ranked 7th in efficiency and they will be going against the 87th ranked defense of LSU. Both of these teams play fast, but I think that favors the Wildcats. Kentucky is 5-2 on the road and 4-2 in the SEC. LSU does not really have a home-court advantage and could be without their leading scorer. I like Kentucky on the road in this one. Play on Kentucky. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
02-21-24 | Ole Miss +6.5 v. Mississippi State | 71-83 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
With in-state rivalries, you can throw things out the window. Mississippi State's Tolu Smith has been a disappointment this season as he has struggled with injuries. When he plays the Bulldogs are just 7-6. Against Arkansa, he scored just 8 points in 22 minutes and in the first meeting with Ole Miss he put up nine. Ole Miss is listed as the last team to get into the tournament, so every win down the stretch and losses are magnified. Ole Miss cannot afford to lose to a team like Miss. State after losing three of their last four. Ole Miss is more experienced, which should help in this heated contest. This is too many points in a rivalry game. Take on Ole Miss. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
02-21-24 | Illinois -7.5 v. Penn State | 89-90 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
The Illinois Fighting Illini have won five of their last six games. The Penn State Nittany Lions come in having dropped three straight games and have lost their leading scorer. Illinois has one of the top offensive teams in the country and Shannon has the ability to score whenever he wants. The Fighting Illini are also the better defensive team. Illinois has won five of their last seven wins by at least eight points. During this losing streak, Penn State has lost by an average of 10.7 points a game. The Nittany Lions are 10-4 SU at home this year and 7-7 ATS. I look for Illinois to keep rolling along and getting the win. Play on Illinois. This is a 4% play | |||||||
02-20-24 | Baylor +4.5 v. BYU | 71-78 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
The Baylor Bears go on the road to take on the BYU Cougars. The Bears defeated BYU in their first meeting this season. Baylor has won 5 of their last 6 while BYU has won 4 of their last 6. Baylor is 8-4 in the BIG12 and has won 4 of their last 5. The Bears have an impressive 15-7-2 record against the spread and have covered in 3 straight. The Bears are putting up 83 points a game and are giving up 70.7. BYU started the season 12-1 but are just 6-6 since entering Big -12 play. Their defense has been failing them as of late as they have given up 91 points over the last two games. It has been a tale of two seasons for BYU. For the season, they are putting up 83.4 points a game but that drops to 75.8 in the conference. The same can be said on the defensive end, where they have allowed 68.6 points a game overall but it jumps to 75.8 in conference play. They are 14-11 ATS this season and have not covered in four straight and are 3-9 ATS in the BIG12. BYU has been a sieve on defense in the conference, especially over the last two games, to not very dominate offenses. Baylor has the offensive weapons that will be able to take advantage of the BYU defensive lapses. Taking Big 12 teams on the road can be risky but Baylor is 3-3 on the road while BYU is 4-2 at home in conference play. Play on Baylor. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-20-24 | Senators v. Panthers -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 10 m | Show | |
The Ottawa Senators head to sunny Florida to take on the Florida Panthers. Ottawa is 15th in the Eastern Conference while Florida is second in the Eastern Conference. This will be the second game of a back-to-back, and the third game in four nights for Ottawa. he league. Ottawa is putting up 3.37 goals per game. Joonas Korpisalo is likely to get the start tonight. He is 13-18-2 this season with a goals-against average of 3.41. The Panthers come into this game riding a five-game winning streak and are 9-1 over their last 10 games. On the defensive end, they are giving up just 2.44 goals per game and they are scoring 3.35 goals per game. The Panthers should be able to take advantage of a tired Ottawa team. Florida is 7-2-1 in their last ten games against Ottawa. The Panthers covered the -1.5 goals spread in those seven wins. The Panthers have a record of 7-3 in their last ten games against the spread. Play on Florida minus 1.5 goals. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-20-24 | VCU +3.5 v. Massachusetts | 52-74 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 4 m | Show | |
The VCU Rams are 17-8 this season and will put that record to the test when they take on the 16-9 UMass Minutemen in an Atlantic-10 showdown. VCU is 9-3 in the Atlantic-10 and are 4-0 in February. UMass is 7-6 in the Atlantic-10 and had their two game winning streak snapped last time out. VCU is putting up 72.4 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 65.9 points a game. UMass is putting up 79.9 points a game and on the defensive end, they are giving up 72.2 points a game. As well as VCU has played on defense in conference games, their offense has been inconsistent. UMass has been one of the best offensive teams in the Atlantic-10 but struggles on the defensive end. The Rams are playing their best basketball of the season and UMass is coming off a bad loss to LaSalle. I like VCU to ride their defense and the offense will score enough to get the win. Play on VCU. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-20-24 | Iowa +9.5 v. Michigan State | 78-71 | Win | 100 | 8 h 59 m | Show | |
This will be the first and only meeting between Iowa and Michigan State this season. The Hawkeyes are 15-11 overall and 7-8 in the Big Ten. The Spartans are 17-9 overall and 9-6 in the Big Ten. Iowa has been inconsistent as of late trading wins and losses over their last 7 games. Iowa is putting up 83.7 points per game this season on 47.8% shooting from the field and 33.6% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 78.3 points per game. Michigan State is closing out the season playing their best basketball. They have gone 7-2 over their last nine games. They are in third place in the Big Ten. They are putting up 75.2 points per game, on 47.4% shooting from the field and 36.5% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 65.8 points per game. Iowa is 10-16 ATS and Michigan State is 15-10-1 ATS. The Hawkeyes dropped their last two games on the road by an average of 11 points. They are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall. The Spartans are 13-2 SU and 11-4 ATS at home this season. I think this number is a little high and Iowa has shown they can put up points. MSU is coming off a huge emotional win over its in-state rival the Michigan Wolverines. I can see a letdown here and will take the points. Play on Iowa. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-18-24 | Purdue -8.5 v. Ohio State | 69-73 | Loss | -115 | 3 h 50 m | Show | |
Second-ranked Purdue goes on the road to take on Ohio State In a Big 10 matchup. The Boilermakers are 23-2 overall and 12-2 in the Big Ten. The Buckeyes are 14-11 overall and 4-10 in conference play. The Boilermakers lead the Big 10 by 2.5 games. Purdue has won nine in a row and are putting up 85 points per game. They are shooting 49.1% from the field and 40.3% from three-point range. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.8 points per game this season. The Buckeyes are in 13th place in the Big Ten. They put up 74.4 points per game on 44.5% shooting from the field and 33.9% from deep. On the defensive end, they are giving up 69.7 points per game. Purdue won the last meeting 80-66 in the Big 10 Tournament as 8-point favorites. The Buckeyes are 11-14 ATS and the Boilermakers are 15-9-1 ATS. Purdue has an average margin of victory of 15 points per game during their nine-game winning streak. The Buckeyes are 2-9 SU over their last 11, with the losses by an average margin of 9.8 points per game. Purdue is 6-3-1 ATS in their last ten games against the Buckeyes. The Buckeyes have fired their coach to just add to their struggles. This game could get ugly early. Play on Purdue. This is a 5% Game of the Week. | |||||||
02-17-24 | Indiana State -4.5 v. Southern Illinois | 69-74 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 20 m | Show | |
Indiana State is putting up 84.9 points per game and is showing to be one of the best offenses in the country. They're shooting 50.2% from the field and 38.4% from deep. Southern Illinois is putting up 72.9 points per game. They will find it hard to score against an Indiana State defense that is allowing 72.2 points per game. Indiana State won the first game by 29 points. The Sycamores are 15-10 against the spread this season. Indiana State has won six of the last ten matchups between these two teams. The Sycamores have also covered the spread in two of the last three matchups between these two teams. I am looking for Indiana State to roll once again in this one. Play on Indiana State. This is a 4% play | |||||||
02-17-24 | LSU v. South Carolina -6.5 | 64-63 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 52 m | Show | |
We have an SEC battle between the LSU Tigers and the 11th-ranked South Carolina Gamecocks. LSU is just 12-12 overall this season and 4-7 in the SEC. South Carolina is 21-4 and 9-3 in conference play. LSU is 1-6 in its last seven games, and are on a three-game losing streak. The Gamecocks had their seven-game win streak snapped by Auburn last time out. They are 18-7 ATS. South Carolina has won 13 of its 14 games as favorites. They are 13-1 SU and 9-5 ATS at home. The Tigers are 1-6 SU on the road with four losses by at least 15 points. South Carolina is the better team on both ends of the court. Take the Gamecocks to win and cover. Play on South Carolina. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-17-24 | BYU -5.5 v. Oklahoma State | 83-93 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 23 m | Show | |
The BYU Cougars have won two in a row and are 18-6 overall and 14-10 ATS. The Oklahoma State Cowboys come in at 10-14 overall and 9-14-1 ATS. BYU has a high powered offense that is putting up 83.4 points per game on 47.1 percent shooting from the field and 36.0 percent from deep. BYU has the advantage in scoring, shooting, rebounding, and turnovers. BYU doesn't have a great defense but OSU doesn’t have the players in the paint to take advantage of the BYU weakness nor do they shoot the deep ball well. They also lost their leading scorer for the season which has hampered the offense. BYU should win this game easily. Play on BYU. This is a 3% play | |||||||
02-16-24 | VCU -4.5 v. St. Louis | 95-85 | Win | 100 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
We have A-10 hoops action when the VCU Rams square off against the Saint Louis Billikens. VCU enters this game at 16-8 and 8-3 in the conference while Saint Louis is 9-15 and just 2-9 in the conference. VCU has won eight of their last nine including three straight. They are 15-9 ATS. St Louis has been going in the opposite direction. They are just 1-7 over their last eight. This has been a disappointing season considering they went 21-12 (12-6 CONF last season. Their only win over their last 8 was to last place LaSalle. Saint Louis enters this game at 10-13 ATS. This will be the second meeting of the year between these two squads. VCU dominated Saint Louis 85-61 at home back in January. VCU has posted an average margin of victory of +7.7 over the nine-games. VCU has dominated this series recently, going 13-2 SU in the last 15 meetings, and 5-1 ATS in the last six. Play on VCU. This is a 3% play. | |||||||
02-15-24 | Utah +2 v. USC | 64-68 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 31 m | Show | |
Utah has struggled as of late, losing 4 of their last five. Utah is putting up 79.4 points a game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 73.2 points per game. USC comes into this game putting up 74.4 points per game. On the defensive end, they are giving up 75.3 points per game. Utah has been very consistent on the offensive end and will be going against a defense that has not been playing well. I have not been able to figure out USC this season. They have a lot of talent but just have not been able to put anything together consistently. Utah has more to play for and has an advantage in the paint. I am taking the better team here, Play on Utah. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
02-15-24 | Memphis +1.5 v. North Texas | 66-76 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 33 m | Show | |
The Memphis Tigers take on the North Texas Mean Green. Memphis has gone 3-0 in February after finishing January on a four-game losing streak. Memphis is 7-4 in the AAC. North Texas is 1-2 this month and 6-5 in the AAC. Memphis is putting up 80.8 points a game and is giving up 75.3 points a game. North Texas is putting up 66.1 points a game and is giving up just 61.1 points a game. North Texas has the best defense in the AAC but their offense leaves a lot to be desired. Memphis has one of the top offenses in the AAC. Memphis can drive you crazy with how their games go, losing big leads, just to pull it out at the end, I have been on the Memphis roller coaster all season and haven’t learned my lesson. Memphis is the better team and has the best player on the floor in Davis Jones. I will go with the Tigers once again and keep the Rolaids next to me. Play on Memphis. This is a 4% play. | |||||||
02-15-24 | UTEP v. Western Kentucky -6.5 | 80-90 | Win | 100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
UTEP took the first game between the two, 93-87 at home as a slight dog. Western Kentucky hurt themselves in the game, with 19 turnovers and committed 21 total fouls with UTEP shooting 29 free throws. The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are 10-1 at home. UTEP has won two of their last three but has not won a game on the road this season at 0-7. I like WKU and their offense on their home court to take this one and cover the number. Play on Western Kentucky. This is a 3% play | |||||||
02-14-24 | South Carolina +12 v. Auburn | Top | 61-101 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 57 m | Show |
The 11th-ranked South Carolina Gamecocks take on 13th-ranked Auburn Tigers. South Carolina is 21-3 overall and 9-2 in the SEC, while Auburn is 19-5 and 8-3 in the SEC. South Carolina is currently tied with Alabama at 9-2 at the top of the SEC. They have seven straight wins overall and are 18-6 ATS this season. Auburn is a game back of S. Carolina and Alabama. All three of the Tigers’ conference losses have come in their last six games. Auburn is 15-9 ATS this season. South Carolina has only lost one game by 12 or more points. South Carolina is 9-1 ATS in away and neutral-site games. I think this number is disrespectful of the Gamecock and they will keep this one close. Play on South Carolina. This is 3% play. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
ProSportsPicks | $1,066 |
Jack Jones | $960 |
Big Al McMordie | $876 |
Ross Benjamin | $740 |
Ray Monohan | $702 |
Jimmy Boyd | $424 |
Nick Parsons | $414 |
Ricky Tran | $343 |
Kyle Hunter | $265 |
Matt Fargo | $175 |