Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

Unless injured left guard Landon Dickerson is worth seven points on the betting line, I don't understand why the Eagles are only a touchdown favorite against the Titans?

Dickerson is worth nothing on the betting line and the Eagles are light years ahead of the Titans. That's the bottom line. I am not going to overthink this. I'm just going to lay the points.

I'm not sure which is the bigger gap in favor of the Eagles, their skill position talent, or their considerable edges in the offensive and defensive lines.

What was so alarming about the Titans' 23-10 loss to the underdog Jets at home last week wasn't just the defeat, but how poorly they looked. Jets quarterback Geno Smith was only hit once on 24 pass attempts. Tennessee could only manage 195 yards of total offense and 11 first downs.

Sometimes you can put too much stock in one game. That's not the case here with the Titans. They haven't fixed their wretched offensive line and now their defense seems to be regressing. Cam Ward didn't have a good rookie season last year, didn't look good in preseason and he looked terrible in Week One.

The Dolphins just may have a serious challenger for the worst record this season that being the Titans.

It is an insult to the Eagles that the point spread is this low. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover had a winning opening NFL week looking to beat the NFL for the 29th time in 34 seasons. Stephen has three premium Sunday day plays, including his Total of the month, in addition to this free selection.) 

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Saints/Ravens OVER 45

1* Free Pick on Raiders +7

The Chargers opened as double-digit home favorites against Arizona last week and lost 26-14.

Now the market is asking them to win by more than a touchdown against a better opponent.

That's a price I'll take.

Both teams have played 1 game this season, so this is about the matchup and the number, not streaks.

And the Week 1 tape favors Vegas.

The Raiders posted 5 sacks against Miami, tied for the NFL lead, with Kwity Paye getting 2 and Maxx Crosby adding 1.5.

Justin Herbert was sacked 3 times by Arizona and threw a pick.

That pass rush against that protection is the core of this play.

Herbert's weapons are thinning out too.

Ladd McConkey is questionable with a rib injury, and KeAndre Lambert-Smith landed on injured reserve.

If McConkey sits or plays limited, this offense runs through Quentin Johnston, who caught 2 of 6 targets last week.

On the other side, Ashton Jeanty went 23 for 102 on the ground and added 6 catches for 45 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He controls tempo and keeps this game short.

The fair knock on Vegas is Kirk Cousins.

Two interceptions and 160 passing yards in Week 1 is real, and he'll give one away here too.

But I don't need Cousins to win the game.

I need Jeanty and that front seven to keep it inside a touchdown, and the Raiders held Miami to 13 points and 259 total yards doing exactly that.

Getting the full 7 covers the most common margin in football.

That's line value.

I like the Raiders

1* NFL - Steelers/Patriots FREE PICK on Patriots -5

1* FREE INFO PLAY Club Atlético Colón -168

Rocketman Sports FREE NFL play Sunday 9-20-26

Jacksonville @ Denver  (4:05 PM EST)
Play On:  Denver -2 -120

The Jacksonville Jaguars travel to Denver to take on the Broncos on Sunday afternoon.  Jacksonville is 1-0 SU overall this year while Denver comes in with an 0-1 SU overall record on the season.  Denver is 7-1 SU and ATS last 3 years as a home favorite of 7 points or less.  Denver is 7-1 ATS last 3 years at home after playing a division game.  The Broncos bounce back strong here.  We'll recommend a small play on Denver on Sunday!  Thanks and good luck, Rocky

Rocky Atkinson is on an INCREDIBLE 165-131 (56%) run over his last 304 NFL picks! $1,000/game clients now up $20,970 since December 15, 2013!  Rocketman has a TOP 8* NFL BEST BET and a 6* NFL play for EARLY Sunday!  Don't miss out!

Rocky Atkinson has a TOP 8* NFL BEST BET GAME OF THE WEEK on Sunday. One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 165-131 56% NFL run over his last 304 picks! Join one of the Top Experts over the past 30 years!

Rocky Atkinson has a TOP 8* NFL BEST BET for Sunday night.  One of the BEST HANDICAPPERS in the world is on an impressive 165-131 56% NFL run over his last 304 picks! Join the same handicapper that has made $1,000/game bettors $20,970 since December 15, 2013 with his Spread on Colts v. Chiefs!

MASSIVE SUNDAY CARD UP 4-1 Last Sunday. Today a TOP RED ZONE Release, 26-0 AFC TOTAL OF the Year and 3 more best Bets. Comp play below

The NFL Comp play for Sunday is on Atlanta plus the points at 1 eastern. The Falcons have Rush starting and should be much better on offense with him this week as opposed to last week in Pittsburgh. They take on a Carolina team that allowed 50+ point last week in a loss to Chicago. Rob notes that week 2 road favorites are 0-6 to the spread long term off a home dog loss. The Falcons will likely control the ball behind a strong run game and they do have double revenge especially for the 30-0 loss here last season. Look for the Falcons to get the cover. GL Rob V-

UNDER 48

Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL O/U Play

FOOTBALL IS HERE! 425-360 54% +2875 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. Tons of football up this week. Purchase a 7-day pass for best value! Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access too! Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Saturday night in Los Angeles has that rematch-tax feel, a title fight priced like a coin flip because the first one lasted 26 seconds, and plus-110 on Alexandre Pantoja is the side I want you holding. Not because Joshua Van is a mirage. Because Van is 17-2 and the champ, and the market flipped a former titleholder into plus money off an arm injury, not off five rounds of solved tape. You are not fading Van to lose his belt in a street fight. You are fading the idea that 26 seconds is a hierarchy. That is a different ticket. Decision cashes. Late stoppage cashes. A wrestling grind into a submission is the gift. The chalk is the dart if you want to pay juice to sleep. The plus money is the work.

Bet Pantoja as a plus-money rematch dog after an injury stoppage under one minute. First meeting at UFC 323: Van by TKO at 0:26 after Pantoja’s arm gave out, not after Van pieced him up for 25 minutes. Pantoja entered that booking as a sizable favorite in the minus-185 to minus-270 range. Now he sits plus-110 to plus-118. That flip is the number. (+1.0 units, ROI=90.9%). Bet former champions getting immediate rematches when the first fight produced almost no film. Pantoja 30-6, belt for more than two years, 12 career submissions. Van 17-2 with one successful defense, a fifth-round stoppage of Tatsuro Taira at UFC 328. The tape on this pairing is still a scramble. (+1.0 units, ROI=81.8%). Bet the dog when the favorite’s title win is a 26-second sample and the veteran’s path is wrestling and pace. If this starts round two, the injury result starts looking like a bad price, not a settled pecking order. (+1.0 units, ROI=90.9%).

Van is the younger pressure fighter and the market is buying the momentum. Fair. He is 17-2, the flyweight champion, and he finished Taira in the fifth after a long, ugly climb. That is real. The other side of the ledger is just as loud if you actually read it. Pantoja is 30-6. He held the belt more than two years. He has 12 submission wins. His whole career has been get it to the mat, squeeze the air out of the room, and make five-round title fights feel like a tax. A full camp and a healthy arm is a different animal than a first-minute scramble that ended before anyone’s corner could stand up. Van by decision or late stoppage is the public script. Pantoja by control and a late hook is the ticket that still has math behind it.

The rest of the plus-money board at UFC 331 is louder and thinner, which is how main-card dogs get you chasing heat instead of price. Mauricio Ruffy is plus-245 to plus-270 against Arman Tsarukyan, 14-2 power against a 23-3 wrestler who wants a lightweight title shot. That is a one-punch live dog, not a process. Marlon Vera is plus-180 to plus-200 against Charles Jourdain, a former title challenger on a four-fight skid, 23-12-1 with 18 career finishes, eight by knockout and 10 by submission, still dangerous late and still leaking decisions. Alonzo Menifield is plus-190 to plus-215 against Iwo Baraniewski, veteran 18-6-1 power versus a 9-0 kid with three straight first-round knockouts in the UFC and an average fight time near a minute. Those are action tickets. You can sprinkle them if you like chaos. They are not the cleanest number on the card.

UFC stats sheets do not care about coronation graphics. Van’s recent form is pressure, volume, and a fifth-round finish. Pantoja’s career sheet is title minutes, takedown sequences, and a submission rate that turns round four into a different sport. The first fight did not test either of those things. It tested an elbow. Over 3.5 rounds is sitting in a range that tells you the market itself does not believe this ends in 26 seconds again. Fight goes the distance is plus money. Pantoja by submission is the long shot that actually matches his 12-sub ledger if he ever gets on top. I am not asking you to live on method props. I am asking you to stop treating an injury TKO like a five-round dissertation.

Public money will hammer Van because he is the champ, because Taira went away in the fifth, and because “once you have the belt the rematch is yours.” That is how plus-110 gets to the window looking like a fade instead of a former champion priced off a broken sample. Do not buy this down into a pick’em and pay extra juice to feel safer. The plus-110 is the reason I am writing it. Sit on your hands. Let the first two minutes look messy. If they are still standing in round two and Pantoja has even one takedown in the bank, the number is already working.

I’ve sat through enough rematch cards to know the chaos is real, 26-second titles create fake certainty, young champs get bet like they’ve already solved the veteran, and a 30-6 former titleholder with 12 submissions does not turn into a plus-money tourist just because an arm gave out before the first commercial. If Van walks through him again, we tip the cap and move on. If this thing lives in the wrestling and the late minutes, the plus money does what we paid it to do. That is the bet. Take Pantoja. Do not overthink the 26-second coronation. The first fight did not answer the question. Alexandre Pantoja plus-110 is the play.

My selection is on the 'under' between Minnesota and Chicago at 1 pm et on Sunday.

Scoring was up around the league last Sunday and nowhere was that more pronounced than in Carolina where the Bears put up nearly 60 points in a wild contest. Chicago head coach Ben Johnson said prior to the start of the regular season that he didn't just want his team's offense to be good this year, but record-setting. So far, so good. I do think the Bears will face a lot more resistance this week as they take on Brian Flores' Vikings defense. Minnesota got off to a slow start against Green Bay but ultimately took over proceedings in the fourth quarter to pull away for a season-opening victory. With that being said, it did lose QB Kyler Murray to a scary-looking concussion in that game, pressing Carson Wentz into action. I don't think the Vikes will want any part of a shootout with this loaded Bears offense on Sunday. In this divisional matchup, I simply feel this total is too high as an overreaction to last week's results. Take the under (8*).

3* on under

Panthers vs. Falcons: Under 44 is the Play

Two 0-1 NFC South teams meet in Week 2, but they got there in very different ways — one defense just allowed 59 points, the other team doesn't have a starting quarterback.

The line has flipped. Atlanta opened as the favorite, and it's easy to see why: the Falcons QB situation. Michael Penix has already been ruled out, and I'd be shocked if Tua Tagovailoa plays either. Cooper Rush started Week 1 and looked overmatched — he's also dealing with back spasms. Jack Strand is next man up, and I think Atlanta should go with him. This offense has real weapons; it just needs someone who can get them the ball. Rush proved Week 1 that he can't. For that reason, I'm waiting on the spread until Atlanta names a starter — whoever it is should move this line back toward Carolina.

Carolina's offense actually looked legit last week. Bryce Young had a big day throwing to Tetairoa McMillan and Jalen Coker, pushing the ball downfield against a bad Bears defense. But that came with a massive cost: this was the worst defensive showing in Panthers franchise history. Chicago converted 10 of 14 first downs, ran for 291 yards, and put up 59 points on Carolina in a 59-37 shootout. Scoring 37 wins most games — it didn't here. Bijan Robinson is going to be a serious problem for this defense; he went for 21 carries/83 yards and added 8 catches for 90 yards and a score last week.

Atlanta's defense, meanwhile, was fine. They held Pittsburgh to 264 total yards (58 rushing), got 4 sacks, and kept the Steelers to 3-of-13 on third down. Carolina is also 0-9 straight-up and against the spread as a favorite — a trend worth remembering here.

So: we're on Atlanta, but we wait for the QB news.

The Under is where I have real conviction. As bad as Carolina's defense looked, they're not facing Caleb Williams this week — whoever starts for Atlanta is going to struggle to move the ball. I'm also not a believer in Bryce Young sustaining that kind of production, and Atlanta's defense should be strong at home.

One more angle: I dug up a trend from Totals Tipsheet — same-division games where the road team is favored and the total is 39 or higher have gone 28-46 to the Under all-time (65%), and 1-9 (90%) over the last five years.

Play: Panthers vs. Falcons Under 44 (-110)

Let's cash some tickets!

For one of my top free picks here for Sunday in the NFL I am looking at the Washington Commanders at the Dallas Cowboys. Both teams off a loss but the Commanders were in Philadelphia playing the best team in the NFC East the Eagles. Cowboys couldn’t get it done in New York huge difference. Washington should be able to keep this one within a field goal. Washington has the better defense and I think this team can run the ball against Dallas.

Play on the Washington Commanders plus the points rotation #271

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