Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

FRANK’S CUTTING ROOM FLOOR FOR SUNDAY, 11/30:

My “Cutting Room Floor” plays are the situations I considered the closest to being worthy of investment but did not make the “final cut” for my official plays today for subscribers. The last play I cut for Sunday is with the Memphis Grizzlies minus the points versus the Sacramento Kings. Memphis (8-12) has won four of their last five games after their 112-107 upset victory in Los Angeles against the Clippers as a 6.5-point underdog on Friday. The Grizzlies have covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games after an upset win in their last game. They have also covered the point spread in 6 of their last 8 games when favored. Sacramento (5-15) has lost 10 of their last 12 contests after a 128-119 setback at Utah as a 2.5-point underdog on Friday. The Kings return home where they have failed to cover the point spread in 7 of their last 9 games. They have also failed to cover the point spread in 11 of their last 17 games as an underdog. Take Memphis minus the points. Best of luck — Frank.

Frank Sawyer’s Hollywood Sports is on a 12 of 16 (75%) NFL TOTALS TEAR after JUST CA$HING the Buffalo-Pittsburgh Under this afternoon! Frank is now on a 21 of 34 (62%) All-Sports run with featured 25*/20*/10* plays and a 16 of 26 (62%) NFL run with featured plays after watching Miami blow their comfortable lead this afternoon — and now he UNLEASHES his 25* NFL Sunday Night Football Total of the Month with tonight’s Denver-Washington O/U winner on NBC-TV at 8:20 PM ET! DO NOT MISS OUT!

Frank, featured here at Sportscapping.com since 2016, is on 11 of 18 (61%) and 259 of 445 (58%) NFL Prime-Time runs! Frank has NINE NFL PRIME-TIME SWEEPS this season and 29 NFL PRIME-TIME SWEEPS since the start of the 2024 season — and his Hollywood Sports has 51 PRIME-TIME SWEEPS since the 2023 season and 71 NFL PRIME-TIME SWEEPS since the ’22 season! Now Frank furthers his 36 of 61 (59%) NFL sides run with featured plays with tonight’s Denver-Washington ATS winner! CA$H-IN Frank’s Sunday Night Discounted Deal — IT’S A STEAL!

3* on Giants

New York Giants (2-10) at New England Patriots (10-2)
Monday Night Football – 8:15 PM EST – ESPN
Current Line: Patriots -7 (opened -7.5)
Total: 46.5
ATS & Total Trends
Giants

7-5 ATS overall
4-3 ATS on the road
3-1 ATS last 4 games
7-5 to the Over
6-2 Over in last 8

Patriots

8-4 ATS overall
3-3 ATS at home
3-1 ATS vs NFC
6-6 O/U overall
3-1 Over vs NFC

Head to Head (since 2015)

Patriots lead series 2-1
Giants won the most recent meeting in 2023 (10-7 at MetLife)
Since 2001: Giants are an outstanding 6-1 ATS vs New England (3-4 to the total)

Offensive & Defensive Splits
Giants

Score 22.0 PPG (30.9 PPG allowed on the road)
Played the league’s toughest schedule to date
Have held 4th quarter leads in several losses

Patriots

Score 26.5 PPG overall → 29.8 PPG vs NFC
Allow 18.8 PPG overall → 17.3 PPG at home
Last 8 games: allowing just 18.1 PPG
Played the league’s easiest schedule so far

Both teams prefer a methodical, clock controlling pace, but New England’s elite defense consistently gets offenses off the field on third down.
Key Situational Spots

Giants are off to their bye next week → 1-4 ATS in road games before a bye L5
After the bye, Giants face two very winnable games (Las Vegas, Washington) — classic “look ahead” spot
QB Jason Dart is cleared from concussion protocol and expected to start (many believe the team would be wiser to hold him out until after the bye)
National TV road game for a 2-10 team that just suffered a soul crushing OT loss last week

Historical Comp (Marc Lawrence)
The only time this season we’ve seen a 10-2 (or better) team on a 9-game win streak host a team on a 6-game losing streak:
2023 49ers (9-game win streak) vs Cardinals (6-game losing streak) → 49ers won 38-13
Small sample, but the superior team obliterated the inferior one.
Line Movement & Market Sentiment
Opened Patriots -7.5 → steamed down to -7 on heavy Giants money.
The public is pounding the desperate road dog getting points on Monday night. Sharp money has followed.
Final Take
Everything lines up for a flat spot for the Giants:

Road primetime game
Before their bye
Facing a far superior opponent
Coming off an emotionally draining loss
Looking ahead to two soft games post-bye

Meanwhile, New England is healthy, rolling on a 9-game win streak, fighting for the AFC’s #1 seed, and has been a brick wall at home against everyone — especially NFC offenses.
We’re paying a small premium laying the touchdown with the better team in every phase, but this has all the makings of a comfortable Patriots win that covers in the second half.
Play: Patriots -7

Let's cash some tickets!