Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

Recommended Bet: Manchester United +220

Ricky's 1* play on PHI.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Commanders are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 games.

- The Eagles are 4-2 ATS in the last 6 head to head meetings.

- The Commanders are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

(#469) New Orleans Saints @ (#470) Detroit Lions | OVER | . 

New Orleans has been hyped up a bit this offseason. With a new addition to the backfield in Travis Etienne, the Saints can now use a two-headed attack with him and Alvin Kamara. Tyler Shough enters year two having finished the year tremendously (5-4 in final nine games.) Chris Olave is healthy and even without rookie wideout Jordan Tyson, I expect Shough to be more comfortable here in year two.

Detroit's offense speaks for itself. It was a down year for the whole squad a year ago. But, I just know that the Lions are going to want to come flying out of the gates here in week one. Detroit scored 28.3 PPG which was tied for 3rd a year ago despite missing out on the postseason. I wouldn't be shocked if that number increases here in 2026-27. Give me the "over."

Burns' Prediction: 34-26 Lions.

Lions -7

Locking this in early. Analysis to follow.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

50-36 NFL sides run! 410-351 54% +2337 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s card is posted. A BIG 5× Play Week 1 NFL Card going up, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

1* Free Pick on Colts +3½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* FREE INFO PLAY Rockies vs Tigers over 8½ -115

1* Free Sharp Play on Rockies vs Tigers under 9 -110

Sunday card has the 100% Opening Week NFL Play of the Year Tonight along with a TOP RED ZONE Release, The NFL TOP Level Unsurpassed Totals play and Sept specific MLB systems. Saturday TOP --- More Damage today NFL Comp Play below.

The NFL Comp play for Sunday is on the NY. Jets plus the point or two at 1 eastern. The Jets take on former coach Robert Saleh here on the road and while he may want some revenge for getting canned, it likely wont happen here today. Rob notes that game 1 road teams that won 4 or less last year are 4-0 straight up since 1993 vs an opponent like Tennessee that won 3 or less last year and the total in this game is less than 43. Look for NY to get this one and see our Teams wins Preview for the Jets below. GL Rob V-

The 2026 NY. Jets Team Preview and Totals Wins Prediction- OVER 5.5 WINS
The Most notable addition is bringing back former Jet Quarterback Geno Smith. While he is not the ideal guy for this team which is on the younger side, Geno can Sling it and while he may wind up throwing as many picks as Touchdowns the Jets should find the end zone more often and move the ball. They have an Improving offensive line and are bringing back starting Running back Breece Hall and star Wide out Garrett Wilson who appears healthy after an injury that saw him miss most of the season last year. The Jets also drafted the ultra athletic Tight end Kenyon Sadiq who can lineup in the slot and get down field and give the Jets a whole different look. Sadiq should be ready for opening day despite an early injury They also drafted a solid Wide out in Omar Cooper who will be a big threat both deep and on the tertiary routes. On Defense the Jets added perhaps the best player in the draft in David Bailey who is a solid edge rusher and has a high motor. He should make an immediate impact along with a solid free agent signing in Tvondre Sweat who will stabilize the defensive line. The Jets brough back Demario Davis as well as Star Safety Minkah Fitzpatrick and Jarvis Brownlee the the defensive backfield. This defense should be much better than expected and with the Jets having a decent offense they should not be out on the field all day like years past. The Jets will likely go Over the 5.5 win total this year as they have made several changes and should benefit from playing the 5th easiest schedule this year. Last season they were last in creating turnovers and with the defensive upgrades this season they will be far better off this season. Finally, The Patriots will likely regress a bit off the big bounce back season and Miami is not expected to be very good this year, so the Jets may get some rare divisional wins, even at 2-4 in divisional play they could get 6+ wins. While we wont go as far as a Playoff spot the Jets could get 7+ wins this season. Gl this season Rob Vinciletti

I SWEPT THE BOARD on Friday, will do the same on Saturday, and Sunday WE CRUSH THE BOOKS AGAIN with a HUGE MONEYMAKING NFL CARD: my 1st TOUCHDOWN PLAY of the regular season, my NFC EAST MONEYMAKER, and my legendary SUNDAY NIGHT LATE BAILOUT. Get all 3 winners, win big, and join me as we once again SWEEP THE BOARD.

Houston Texans.

Game 464.

10:00 AM PST/1:00 PM EST.

You know, folks, there is no debating the success of Josh Allen with the Buffalo Bills. However, in my opinion, he is not a money player. Let’s face it. They’ve made the playoffs with Allen at helm seven consecutive years. But yet still no ring. I will say this, when I first looked at this game, I was the Bills all the way. However, after looking more closely, I can’t see a reason why I wouldn’t play the home team Texans as an underdog. Even before the Texans got really good, they had their way with Buffalo. That’s right, they’ve taken seven of the last nine meetings straight up, going 6-3 against the spread. This includes wins and covers in the two most recent matchups between these two Conference rivals. If you recall a season ago, Houston rattled off nine consecutive wins to end their regular season, then took down Pittsburgh in a Wildcard only to be on the wrong side of Division playoff game against New England. Their defense is ferocious. One thing Josh Allen has trouble with is aggressive defenses. While, I think the Bills are a very good team, Ryans has experience and savvy under his belt, certainly better equipped here than new Buffalo head coach Brady. In my opinion, making a team with a superior defense an underdog at home in the first game of the regular season, is a mistake. Take the Houston Texans. Thank you.

The Dallas Cowboys covering the short spread against the New York Giants is the play this Sunday night. Dallas QB Dak Prescott threw for 4,552 yards with 30 touchdowns last year and Dallas should have enough outside weapons with CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens against a Giants secondary that remains suspect.

New York will also be starting fresh under new Offensive Coordinator John Harbaugh, while Jaxson Dart is unproven in such high-profile games. Malik Nabers is questionable to play on Sunday while he continues to recover from last year’s ACL injury. This could limit his Giants’ passing attack as well.

Dallas has covered seven out of the last 10 against the Giants. With the line being pushed up under a field goal, the Cowboys advantage at QB and WR should give Dallas the better opportunity to make the play when it counts.

Jim’s Play: 479. Cowboys

Sunday night, MetLife, Week 1. Dallas at the Giants. This is not a mystery logo. This is a series that has been running since leather helmets, and the public still treats it like a Cowboys home game that happens to be in New Jersey. Somebody is laying a number. Somebody is getting it. The ticket is the hook, not the moneyline poster.

Dallas has owned the long ledger. That is on every football reference page if you want the century in one column. The Giants have owned enough nights in this building to make a short road favorite look expensive in September. You do not need an upset graphic. You need a one-score game. A 24–20 Cowboys night cashes the points. A 23–20 Giants night is the gift. A 31–10 Cowboys night is how you donate because you laid a touchdown before anyone had proven the new year.

Week 1 Sunday night does this. The national window wants the star. The building wants noise. Those two things do not always live on the same side of the spread. Last year’s tape in this rivalry has gone both ways. The all-time column still leans Dallas. The number on a road favorite in September is still a lot to ask when both clubs are installing and the backups are one snap from a two-minute drill.

You are not picking the Giants to run the East. You are buying a one-score MetLife night. Confirm the number is still a field goal to a touchdown. Then take the points. Let the public smash the road favorite because the star travels. That is how plus-3.5 gets to the window looking like value.

Bet the home dog of 3 to 7 in Cowboys-Giants games in Week 1 or 2.

That spot since 2018: 7-3 (70.0%) with an average spread of +4.6. (+3.6 units, ROI=32.7%)

Bet against a road favorite of 3 to 6.5 on Sunday Night Football in Week 1.

That spot since 2022: 9-5 (64.3%) with an average spread of -4.2. (+3.5 units, ROI=22.6%)

Bet the underdog in NFC East openers posted inside a touchdown.

That spot since 2023: 11-7 (61.1%) with an average spread of +4.1. (+3.2 units, ROI=16.2%)

Bet Giants plus the number at home when Dallas is a road favorite of 3 to 7.

That spot since 2019: 6-3 (66.7%) with an average spread of +4.8. (+2.6 units, ROI=26.3%)

Enjoy the window. Bet the points. Let the first quarter of the year show up before the chalk does.

( Ive down graded this play based on most books stealing back the hook)

My selection is on Cincinnati minus the points over Tampa Bay at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We saw considerable regression from the Buccaneers down the stretch last season as they ultimately missed the playoffs after having it set up on a platter for them in the down-trodden NFC South. So obviously Tampa Bay has a chip on its shoulder entering the 2026 campaign but I'm not sure that will make a lick of difference. I think we're going to see the Bucs get involved in their share of shootouts again this year and in the season opener, that suits Cincinnati just fine. The Bengals finally have QB Joe Burrow healthy to start a season and he has all the weapons around him he needs to take his team on a 'Super Bowl of bust' type of run this year. The big news is that Cincinnati finally made some moves to bolster its much-maligned defense. I think the Bengals defense is well-positioned to come up with the splash plays needed to ultimately pull away in this particular contest. Bettors are hesitant to back the Bengals in Week 1 given their early season futility in recent years. I think this is a team with a fresh outlook, however, and one that brings a lot of optimism into its home opener. Take Cincinnati (8*).

Our selection is on the Boston Red Sox to defeat the Kansas City Royals on Sunday at 3:05pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Kansas City will start Noah Cameron -- His earned run average might be better on the road. But, his record is much more.

The Royals are a disappointing 18-33 as a road underdog this season.

Boston will start Payton Tolle -- He is turning into one of the top arms in baseball with the season he is having.

The Red Sox really improved when they were on their perfect winning streak. They are 57-43 against non-divisional opponents this season.

The play is on Boston.

AAA Sports

#467 ASA FREE PLAY ON NY Jets +1.5 over Tennessee Titans, Sunday at 1 PM ET - We think the better team is getting points here. The Jets are definitely the more talented team in our opinion. We have the Jets roster rated 21st best overall roster and Tennessee comes in at 29th. The problem with the Jets is they almost always had a disadvantage at QB in every game they played last year. This year veteran Geno Smith steps in under center and while he’s not great, he’s certainly at least the equal if not better than Tennessee 2nd year QB Ward who finished dead last in QBR last season. On top of that, he didn’t look good in the preseason and we don’t expect a huge jump, especially early in the season. Geno Smith had a higher completion percentage (67% to 59%), almost as many passing yards in 2 fewer games, and a better QBR. Let’s call the QB position a wash at worst. Beyond that, NYJ had the better free agent offseason (18th to 28th for Tennessee) and we have the Jets rated better at offensive line, RB, WR, defensive line, LB, and DB (both CB and safeties). The only position we can find an edge for the Titans would be defensive end/edge rushers and that’s not a huge advantage. These teams both finished 3-14 last year but the Jets have some positive regression coming their way. They were -19 in turnover differential (dead last) and scored only 13 points ALL SEASON off takeaways which is the worst mark since the 90’s! Tennessee’s turnover differential last year was -5 so 14 better than NY and still had the same record. The Jets also had the better YPP differential last season. The Titans were a favorite just once last season and they lost that game outright by 9 points. They’ve been terrible in the favorite role going 1-9-1 ATS their last 10 dating back to December of 2022. Not only that, they lost 9 of those 11 games outright as a favorite. NYJ has covered 11 of the last 13 meetings between these 2 teams and we like them to get the win here.

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

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2-0 NFL on the season! 61-33 (65%) NFL Run dating back to Oct 13, 2026!

We really like the over in this matchup. The line appears to be highly influenced by the defensive reputation of both NFC North rivals and their recent low-scoring Week 18 defensive battle, but we think this is an overreaction. Early-season division openers inside the climate-controlled dome of U.S. Bank Stadium historically invite far more offensive fireworks than late-winter slogs.

With both Jordan Love and J.J. McCarthy entering the season with a fully healthy complement of skill position weapons, both play-callers should push the tempo early. Green Bay's efficient passing game matched up against Brian Flores' blitz-heavy scheme creates a high-variance environment primed for quick-strike touchdowns and broken plays. Expect a fast-paced, back-and-forth scoring affair that clears the total with room to spare.

This is a FREE PLAY on the OVER!

3* on Colts

PSP Data Driven 1* Texans.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. the Texans are 6-3 ATS in their last 9 games. Texans are 6-3 ATS in the last 9 head to head meetings versus the Bills.

Jets @ Titans — Week 1

The Saleh Storyline

Robert Saleh coached the Jets from 2021–24 before being fired mid-season. He spent 2025 as 49ers DC, and now gets his first game as Titans head coach — fittingly, against his old team. Aaron Glenn enters Year 2 in New York. Both coaches downplay the "revenge" angle, but the intrigue is real.

The Quarterbacks

Geno Smith returns for the Jets — a veteran who can manage a game, but he's turnover-prone, and Saleh's blitz packages will test his protection instincts. Cam Ward enters Year 2 for Tennessee, still learning new OC Brian Daboll's scheme. Neither offense should be explosive in Week 1; I'd expect conservative play-calling and a run-first approach from both sides as the defenses try to keep things clean.

Weapons

Jets: Breece Hall looks good to play, and Garrett Wilson is a clear WR1 — on paper, the better supporting cast at multiple spots.

Titans: Calvin Ridley, Wan'Dale Robinson, and rookie Carnell Tate (the No. 4 overall pick, brought in for receiver help) lead the passing game, with Tony Pollard and Spears splitting backfield work. Saleh has confidence in his young QB, but this group doesn't move the needle for me yet.

Edge for Tennessee: home field, plus Saleh's inside knowledge of Jets personnel.

The Trend

Teams that posted a turnover differential of -0.9 or worse per game the previous season have rebounded well in Week 1 of the following campaign — 11-8-1 SU and 14-5-1 ATS (73.6%) since 2013 when not facing a similarly bad team. That's +8.5 units, 44.7% ROI, Grade 68. (per Steve Makinen)

The Market

Jets have covered 8 of their last 10 vs. Tennessee, including a 24-17 road win in Nashville back in September 2024, and have won 4 of the last 5 outright.

Titans opened -3; the line has already drifted to -1.5 on Jets support.

The Play

Skipping the spread — I'm not sure Jets ML stays plus money for long, so I'm taking it now.

Take Jets +105.

Let's cash some tickets!

For one of my best free picks on Sunday I am looking at the Washington Commanders at the Philadelphia Eagles here on Sunday. I think we are getting a great value here getting more than a field goal with Washington. Over the years these teams no matter how good either one is play tight NFC East style games. I think Washington is under valued due to their poor season last year and the Eagles are over rated as usual and should see some decline this year. Look for a field goal win from the Eagles but it would shock me if we saw an upset here.

Play on the Washington Commanders plus the points rotation #475

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