Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

*Free Play Over* The Houston Cougars offense ranks first in the nation in success rate. They are excellent in both the run and passing game. Weigman has been tremendous at quarterback, and Willie Fritz teams are always good at running the ball behind a strong offensive line.

Houston is 5th in offensive line yards. Cincinnati is third in the nation in offensive line yards. Both offensive fronts have the edge in this game.

Cincinnati's defense is easily the weakest unit on the field in this game. The Bearcats were torched by Miami (Ohio), Utah, and West Virginia in the last several weeks.

These two defenses have been terrible in the red zone. They are 120th and 132nd in the nation in points per scoring opportunity allowed. When opposing teams get into the red zone, they are scoring touchdowns a high percentage of the time.

Take the over here.

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3* on New Mexico State

Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Missouri +3

These are two pretty equal teams in my book so getting a full field goal at +3 with Missouri at home is a nice value.  Texas is fortunate to be 6-2 this season, while Missouri deserves to be 6-2 and should not be a home underdog in this matchup.  All six of the Tigers' wins have come by double-digits.

Texas has already had four games decided by 3 points or less this season.  They have the 1-point win over Ohio State and the 3-point win over Tennessee, plus 3-point losses to Oklahoma and Florida.  The only teams they have gotten margin on this season have been Texas State, UTSA and Mississippi State without Kemario Taylor.

The Longhorns struggle to get margin because they have one of the worst offenses in the SEC.  Arch Manning has actually taken a step back this season.  He is without one of the best LT's in the country in Trevor Goosby.  It's a Texas offense that ranks 136th in havoc allowed, and Missouri has what it takes to take advantage of that poor offensive line.  The Tigers rank 15th in havoc created on defense.

There are more key injuries for the Longhorns.  They will be without RB Hollywood Smothers.  WR Cam Coleman is questionable, and WR Ryan Wingo is expected to play through injury.  Those are their top three playmakers on offense.  They have been without their best defender in EDG Colin Simmons (10.5 sacks), and he is questionable to return this week as well.

QB Austin Simmons just signed to come back next season for the Tigers.  He leads a Missouri offense that averaging 31.5 points per game, 425.3 yards per game and 6.2 yards per play this season.  Simmons has thrown for 1,935 yards with a 16-to-2 TD/INT ratio.  And this Missouri defense is stout, allowing just 18.4 points per game, 325.3 yards per game and 4.8 yards per play this season.  The Tigers are also one of the healthiest teams in the nation with just three players on the injury report, and none of them important players.

The Tigers handled their business in their two SEC home games crushing Florida 45-17 and Texas A&M 27-6.  It's already November, and Texas has only played one true road game all season, which should be impossible.  So the Longhorns have benefited from a home-heavy schedule as well.

Texas is 1-7 ATS in its last eight true road games.  Missouri is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 12 games as a home underdog.  Wrong team favored here.  Bet Missouri Saturday.

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First note the start time. It is a 9 a.m. West Coast kickoff. BYU and Utah certainly are not used to that. It is a plus for the Under.

This has been a huge rivalry and this year's game carries important ramifications being the first time these rivals have met when both are in the Top 10. It is going to be intense.

I'm expecting the defenses to get the better of it. BYU ranks in the top 25 in scoring defense, total defense and run defense. Utah gives up fewer than 16 points per game. The Utes rank 15th in scoring defense.

Both teams are run oriented and play at a slow tempo. BYU still is likely to be missing its star running back, LJ Martin.

The series history points to an Under, too, with fewer than 50 points scored in eight of the past 10 meetings.

1* Free Pick on Minnesota +5

UCLA is 8-0 and the market is paying full retail for the story, because this same program went 1-7 over 8 games last season. That kind of turnaround creates a halo, and halos inflate road spreads.

Here's what the halo glosses over. UCLA's two true road tests this season were a 17-15 squeaker at Oregon and the Maryland blowout. Take away one outlier and the Bruins' road profile is a 2-point game. Their offense sits just 38th in SP+. This is a defense-first team, and defense-first teams win, but they don't always cover 5 on the road at noon in November.

Minnesota is built for exactly this kind of game. The Gophers rank 27th in SP+ defense and their home results show it: 20-14 over Michigan, 13-10 over Iowa. At home this season Minnesota plays rock fights and wins them, or at worst keeps them inside a field goal.

The Gophers' offense has been thin lately, 17.8 points a game over the last 5, and the Indiana loss last week was ugly. But this number isn't asking Minnesota to score 30. It's asking them to do what they've done in every home Big Ten game: shorten the game, lean on the defense, and keep it to one score. UCLA's 28.6 points a game over its last 5 came largely at the Rose Bowl against offenses that couldn't answer. Minnesota's defense is a different assignment than Nevada or Michigan State.

Eight-and-oh is real, but 5 points with a top-30 defense at home is the right side of the price. Give me Minnesota +5 (-112) against UCLA.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Boston College +6.5

The Key: The Florida State Seminoles have fired head coach Norvell and are now going to be without their best playmaker in WR Duce Robinson (24 receptions, 438 yards, 4 TD) the rest of the way.  They are also without RB Osumane Kromah (609 yards, 5 TD).  They should not be favored by nearly a TD on the road against Boston College this week.  The Eagles are getting no love off their blowout loss at Duke last week.  But it's easy to forgive that loss when you look what they did prior, going 4-0 ATS in their previous 4 games taking VT and SMU to the wire, while also upsetting both Pitt and Georgia Tech.  Take Boston College.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Colorado State +17½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Purdue -5.5

Purdue takes a big step down in class here off consecutive losses to Washington and Penn State with a bye in between.  They beat both Illinois and Minnesota in the two games prior by 7 and 28 points, respectively, and now they face their easiest Big Ten opponent of the season in Maryland.  The Terrapins look like they have quit amidst the firing of their head coach.  They are 0-6 SU & 1-5 ATS in their last six games with blowout losses to UCLA by 51, Nebraska by 25 and Ohio State by 29.  They were also upset at home by Rutgers.  Last week they were outgained by 119 yards by Illinois at home.  If they were ever going to show up it was going to be that game off a bye and with an interim coach.  I could see them going into the tank the rest of the way.  I trust Purdue to show up with Barry Odom and a bowl game within reach.  Give me Purdue.

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #366 Arizona State Sun Devils over Colorado Buffaloes (7:30 p.m., Saturday, November 7 | ESPN2)

Colorado snapped a five-game losing streak with its first conference victory of the season over Kansas State last time out. That result helps keep this line reasonable and creates value with Arizona State at home.

The Buffaloes were competitive in only one game during that five-game skid, and this looks like a good opportunity for the Sun Devils to bounce back. Arizona State remains in the hunt for a bowl berth and has alternated wins and losses all season. Coming off a loss to BYU, I expect the Sun Devils to respond with a strong performance and win by double digits.

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Air Force +3.5

Air Force and Army meet on Saturday and we're backing Air Force with the points. These are two teams with very similar styles of offense which should provide a game that is tightly played. Air Force has been flying under the radar a bit as they sit at 6-2 while coming off a win over UConn where they scored 35 points. This offense has been firing on all cylinders, averaging nearly 30 ppg and they're doing it with the ground attack. They rushed for 366 yards last week and this is going to be a game where they give Army a taste of what they do to other teams. This will be a game won at the line of scrimmage and both teams will run downhill right at each other. Army's defense has had some issues and this game will stay close throughout. Grab the points. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on AIR FORCE ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

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Temple and Navy meet Saturday at Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium with the total sitting at 54.5, and the number leaves more room on the under than the recent scoring profiles of both systems usually justify. Both teams enter at 2-6. Temple’s offense has struggled to sustain drives, averaging just over 23 points per game while its defense has held opponents under 27. Navy’s option-based attack can move the chains and control the clock, but the Midshipmen have managed only modest scoring output against quality defenses and just put up 13 points in a loss to Notre Dame. When two teams with limited explosive play and average efficiency meet in a conference game, the combined output more often lands in the mid-to-high 40s than the mid-50s.

The player matchups reinforce the same picture without requiring a high-scoring affair. Navy’s quarterback and fullback tandem generate steady yards on the ground and force defenses to stay disciplined in the box, yet the Midshipmen have not shown consistent big-play ability through the air this season. Temple’s primary runners and receivers have produced modest yardage totals in recent outings, with the Owls managing only nine points in their last game against East Carolina. Neither side’s skill players have generated the kind of explosive plays that routinely push totals well above 50 when the opposing defense is even moderately competent. When the featured options on both sides are more methodical than dynamic, the scoring tends to stay compressed.

Recent results and longer-term patterns point the same direction. Navy has seen the under hit in several of its more controlled home games this season, while Temple’s road contests against AAC opponents have frequently stayed under the number when the Owls’ offense fails to find rhythm. Historical meetings between these two have often stayed in lower-scoring ranges relative to the posted total, especially when Navy’s option scheme shortens the game and limits possessions. League-wide, mid-major conference games involving two teams ranked outside the top 100 in scoring efficiency have gone under at a higher rate in November when the total sits in the mid-50s and neither side ranks among the league leaders in explosive play rate. The combination of Navy’s clock-control style, Temple’s recent offensive struggles, and the compressed recent scoring profiles is what makes the under the cleaner side of the number. Both teams can move the ball for stretches, but the posted total simply asks for more points than the systems, the individual matchups, and the recent trends have typically delivered

#383 ASA FREE PLAY ON West Virginia +16.5 over Texas Tech, Saturday at 9:30 PM ET

Too many points here with a WVU offense that is cooking and coming off a bye week.  The Mountaineers rank 6th in rushing (262 YPG) and they average 54 rushing attempts per game (2nd nationally).  Tech also loves the run the ball (39th in rush attempts per game) and now with new starting QB Castellanos that should go up.  They ran the ball 47 times last week vs Arizona.  Two teams that run the heck out of the ball and eat clock should limit possessions and make it very tough for the Red Raiders to pull away in this game.  WVU has already shown they thrive in this spot as they’ve been a double digit dog twice this year and won both games outright (@ TCU and @ UVA) and they’ve covered 6 of their last 7 in that spot.  Even in their 3 losses, West Virginia put up big offensive numbers averaging just over 500 YPG.  While the Neers are off a bye week, Tech will be playing their 4th straight week and they are off a huge win over Arizona who they were battling to stay near the top of the Big 12 standings (both were 3-1 in conference play entering last week).  We haven’t been overly impressed with Texas Tech this season and feel they’ve been very fortunate to have a 7-1 record.  In fact, they’ve been outgained in 4 of their 8 games this season.  Let’s take the hefty points here with West Virginia.

Free Play – Take OVER 53.5  #313-14 Miami-FL vs Notre Dame  (7:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, November 7)

With top Heisman candidate wide receiver Malachi Toney out for Miami, the total dipped two points to 53.5. That makes sense, but this is still a potent offense with QB Darian Mensah at the controls for the Hurricanes. Though Notre Dame has a top defense nationally in several facets, they largely have not played well the past two games. The Fighting Irish depth on defense has also been thinned by injuries. The Irish offense, led by QB CJ Carr, has to look forward to this contest. The Canes on the season are only allowing 18 PPG, but that hasn’t been the case lately, as they have surrendered 31 PPG in their last three outings and more than 1200 yards thru the air in their last four games. With both teams averaging less than one turnover a game, we should see some points. When the total is between 49.5 and 63 - in a game involving two mistake-free teams (CFB SEC Game of the Week! Stellar 26-15 Run

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1*

This game just doesn't feel the same this year, as both teams have not played well. Michigan still has an elite defense, and as stagnant as their offense has been, they should be able to score against the MSU defense. MSU has been blown out in games, and they will not score enough to cover the number.

Play on Michigan