Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Diamondbacks over 15½ -106

3* on Joselyne Edwards

1*

(#913) Cleveland Guardians | ML | . 

Joey Cantillo (1-0, 3.20 ERA) vs. Kevin Gausman (1-1, 2.54 ERA) . 

While Kevin Gausman probably has the better numbers by the normal persons eye, it's hard to ignore what Joey Cantillo is going at the moment too. The 26 year old began the season with an average performance. But, since then he's been excellent. Working as a long term relief guy (while starting 13 games last year as well,) Cantillo owned a fantastic 3.21 in 34 outings. I believe that he's more than capable of becoming one of the best underrated pitchers in the whole league. Toronto hasn't started the season too well either. The Blue Jays have lost 15 of their first 25 games and have now dropped consecutive games. I've got the Guardians to take the second game of this series.

Burns' Prediction: 4-1 Guardians.

1* FREE INFO PLAY A's +138

1* Free Sharp Play on Padres +111

BIG Saturday Card has the Round 1 NHL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR, a TOP NBA Undefeated Totals System, MLB and More. Comp play below.

The MLB Comp play at 2:15 Eastern is on the Under in the Seattle at St. Louis game. Woo goes for Seattle and he has pitched under in 6 straight as a road favorite in non September games. Woo pitched well in a win vs the Cards last season and has a 2.16 ERA thus far this year.  He opposes St. Louis Lefty Mathew Liberatore who has allowed less than 2 runs in 3 of his 5 starts so far. He has pitched under in 3 of 4 at home in April starts. The Mariners were averaging just around 2 runs per game on the road heading into this weekend series going under in 7 of 9. The Cards are not much better at home a shade over 3 runs per game. Look for this game to stay under. GL Rob V-

UNDER 229.5

Denver and Minnesota meet in Game 3 and this is a good under spot. These two teams have played such a physical series up to this point and they’re going to come right at each other with the same intensity again in Game 4. We’ve seen that lead to a lot of tough possessions and both teams struggle to generate open looks. Expect this game to have the defensive pressure on both ends turned up even more as this game can swing the series one way or the other. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Tonight’s FREE selection is a strong lean on the UNDER to 228. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Saturday FREE NBA O/U Play

1-2 FRIDAY! Ice cold L7 days, always transparent, & grinding! 226-194 54% +1322 since Mid-Dec! The board is live and today’s card is posted. A BIG 3× Play Card is up for today, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a Top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he's locked in right now. Clients are cashing, the consistency is showing, and he's climbing the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.

Saturday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Brewers -135

This weekend’s UFC Fight Night at the Apex has that familiar mix of rising stars and grizzled vets, but if I’m digging for the smartest underdog play on the whole card, I’m all in on Raoni Barcelos against Montel Jackson. I’ve been betting these cards long enough to spot when the lines are sleeping on a veteran who just keeps proving people wrong, and Barcelos fits that bill perfectly right now.

The 38-year-old Brazilian is rolling into this one on a rock-solid four-fight win streak. He’s already knocked off names like Ricky Simon and Cody Garbrandt, and who could forget him shocking the world with that gritty upset over hyped prospect Payton Talbott when basically everyone had him as a massive dog? That’s not luck, that’s a guy who’s figured out how to win the ugly, effective way late in his career. He brings serious wrestling roots as a multi-time Brazilian national champ, mixing in persistent chain takedowns with enough striking to keep opponents honest. In a division where control time and grinding out rounds have become the great equalizer, Barcelos is built for exactly that.

Jackson, on the other hand, is the classic athletic specimen who gets fans fired up. Taller, longer reach, legitimate one-punch knockout power, he’s the flashy striker who can end things quick if you let him. But here’s the angle that has me chuckling and reaching for the plus money: we’ve seen this movie before in bantamweight. Athletic power punchers like Jackson have been getting neutralized more and more lately when veteran grapplers close the distance and drag them into the mud. Jackson’s shown real vulnerability whenever someone chains wrestling and controls the pace on the mat, and that’s precisely Barcelos’ wheelhouse. The Brazilian doesn’t need to be the bigger or faster guy; he just needs to be smarter, and his recent form screams that he’s peaking at the right time.

What makes this even sharper is the broader trend we’ve watched unfold in the lighter divisions over the past couple years. Underdog grapplers and wrestlers have been cashing at a noticeably higher clip against pure strikers, especially when the favorite relies on athleticism and highlight-reel power. The public loves chasing the knockout artist, but time and again the experienced chain-wrestler spoils the party by turning the fight into a slow, methodical chess match. Bantamweight bouts have a habit of going the distance anyway, and that plays right into Barcelos’ hands—he’s the guy who thrives when things get ugly and decisions matter.

Sure, Jackson might come out looking like he could bench-press half the Apex crowd, but once Barcelos shoots in and starts dictating where the fight happens, all that extra size and explosiveness just turns into dead weight on the canvas. It’s almost comical how often these mismatches flip the script when the veteran knows how to weather the early storm and grind it out over three rounds.

There are a couple other live dogs on the card worth a peek, Aljamain Sterling bringing that crafty ex-champ IQ in the main event, or Joselyne Edwards swinging for the fences in the women’s spot, but Barcelos stands out as the cleanest stylistic edge at plus money. This one just has that sneaky “I’ve seen this before” vibe where the old dog reminds everyone that experience and mat control still rule the day. If you’re building a card this weekend, make sure the Brazilian vet is near the top of your list. Should be a fun one when the veteran magic kicks in.

My selection is on Toronto over Cleveland at 3:05 pm et on Saturday.

The Guardians jumped all over the Blue Jays in the opener of this series last night but I look for Toronto to answer back behind its ace on Saturday. Kevin Gausman continues to churn out quality outings for the Jays, even as his team continues to struggle. He checks in sporting a sparkling 2.21 FIP and 0.95 WHIP on the season. He figures to like this particular matchup as current Guardians hitters are just 18-for-91 (.196) with a .504 OPS against him and rank 21st in the majors in wOBA against right-handed pitching this season. While the Jays bullpen has had a shaky start to the season, we have seen positive signs over the last week, most notably a 1.06 WHIP in its last 22 2/3 innings of work with two saves converted and none blown over that stretch. Joey Cantillo will counter for Cleveland. Early returns indicate he's been a better pitcher at home than on the road over the course of his big league career. Toronto ranks near the middle of the pack in terms of wOBA against left-handed pitching this season and three spots ahead of Cleveland in xwOBA over the last week. I'm confident they can put together enough offense to support Gausman on Saturday. Take Toronto (8*).

AAA Sports' Selection: Dallas Stars (ML).

Dallas dropped the first game. But, has looked like the much better team in back-to-back games.

The Stars are now 12-5 over the L17 games between these two teams.

Minnesota has been having trouble defending the power-play, and staying out of the box is very difficult in a physical series like this.

The Wild are just 6-8 at home now against opponents within the Central Division (includes the loss in Game Three).

We're on Dallas in Game 4 to take a commanding 3-1 series lead.

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the underdog in this matchup. The pressure is on the Suns after a pair of blowout losses in OKC. No, we ain't buying a full series comeback, but we do expect them to rally the troops for one helluva home stand in their own house. Phoenix has been straight cash as home dogs, covering 67% of the time across 18 spots (12-6 ATS), and OKC's down a key ballhandler with Jalen Williams out.

This is a FREE PLAY on the SUNS!

Recommended Bet: Barcelona FC -150

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