Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Senators -140

1* Bet on Missouri State/Western Kentucky: over 56½

1* Free Play on Bucs +9

Free Total Annihilator On Flyers vs Senators under 5½ +105

1* Free Play on Heat -7½ -105

1* NFL - Giants/Commanders FREE PICK on Commanders -3.5

(#46) New York Islanders | ML | . 

Chicago might have some great young talent like Anton Frondell & Frank Nazar in the middle at the moment. But, without Connor Bedard, it's going to be difficult for this team to grab many points. There's just so many talented teams in the NHL at the moment that road games like this become extremely hard.

New York is no slouch either. Led by one of the best defensive cores in hockey (including goaltending,) I don't see Chicago scoring many goals if any in this one. Therefore, the best play is on NYI, even at this steep price.

Burns' Prediction: 3-0 Islanders.

Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Chargers +3.5 

This is a FREE PLAY on the Golden Knights.

The Leafs hit the road for a Western swing, following a 5-4 OT home win over Nashville on Tuesday.

The Golden Knights are already first in the Pacific and return home off a 6-2 win at Seattle on Tuesday.

Toronto's first road trip of the season, and with tough games at Colorado and Utah after this, I expect the visitors to come out flat here in Vegas.

I smell a blowout; consider the GOLDEN KNIGHTS.

Good luck, NP

This one has a Minnesota rhythm to it. The Wild are off a 3-2 overtime road loss to the Sabres two days ago. Minnesota opened its season with victories against the Bruins and Predators.

Tampa Bay was just the opposite. The Lightning opened flat with a 5-1 road loss to the Rangers and then came back to post consecutive home victories against the Flyers and Capitals.

So I see this as a flat spot for Tampa Bay and a good situational spot for Minnesota. The Wild are 10-4-1 in their last 15 games against Tampa Bay, including 3-1 last season.

Minnesota goalie Jesper Wallstedt is off to a terrific start with a .933 save percentage and 3.4 goals saved above expected.

Wallstedt has been confirmed as starting in net. Dennis Hildeby is listed as the likely starting goalie for the Lightning instead of star goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy.

That would be an added bonus for the Wild. Either way, I like Minnesota to pull the upset.

1 Dimer on Bucs vs Cowboys under 48½ -108

Ricky's 1* play on DAL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Bucs are 0-10 ATS in their last last 10 games.

- The Cowboys are 3-0 ATS in their last 3 games.
  
- The Cowboys are 3-1 in the last 4 head to head meetings.

Verdict: The value is on the home favorite.

1* Free Pick on Bucs +8½ -105

1* Free Pick on Bucs/Cowboys: under 47½

This total is priced off Sunday's shootout, and short-week Thursday football rarely delivers a sequel.

Dallas just played a 64-point game.

The Cowboys trailed Houston 16-6 at halftime and stole it 34-30, with Dak Prescott throwing 45 times for a season-high 335 yards and CeeDee Lamb soaking up 21 of those targets.

That performance is built into 47.5.

Dallas is averaging 30.5 points and allowing 28 through four games, so the books have already pushed this number up.

You make money when you buy, not when you sell, and the buy price on the over here is the worst it's been all season.

Now both teams turn around on three days' rest.

Thursday games get sloppy.

Game plans shrink, legs are heavy, and offenses that live on rhythm tend to look a step slow.

The Cowboys are also patching the offensive line.

Tackle Drew Shelton is doubtful and unlikely to be cleared for Thursday.

Guard Tyler Smith was only cleared to return to practice Monday after opening the season on injured reserve, and he was limited in his first session back.

Getting him activated on a short week is a stretch.

Outside of Lamb, the passing game is thinner than the scores suggest.

Cowboys tight end Jake Ferguson sits at 0.71 yards per route run with just 12 catches for 83 yards.

If Lamb doesn't see 21 targets again, Dallas has to grind this one out.

Take the inflated number before it drops.

I like the Under

1* FREE INFO PLAY Bucs vs Cowboys under 48 -110

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Bucs/Cowboys under 48½ -115

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Best Bet on Cowboys -9

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Bucs vs Cowboys under 48½ -110

Thursday NFL Prime time 7-1 Power Run and there is a double perfect Side going. In College Rob has a Week 6 Specific and Thursday night Specific System play going. MLB Comp play below.

The MLB comp play is on Chicago in game 4 at home at 8 eastern. Look for Chicago to bounce back and end the series here tonight. Rob notes that Game 4 road favorites off a road dog win, that lost both the first two games at home are winless since 2004. This game will see Messick and Smith likely go a few innings before the bullpens decide it. Look for the home team to advance play on Chicago. GL Rob V-

Pure Lock's FREE CFB play Thursday 10-8-26

Western Kentucky Pick -111

Pure Lock has a TOP NHL play available on Thursday on the Stars/Sabres. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 66-45 (59%) run over his last 112 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $16,240 since July 27, 2026!

Pure Lock has a TOP UFC play available on Saturday. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 52-24 (68%) run over his last 80 Fighting picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $18,520 since June 01, 2024!

Pure Lock has a TOP NFL play available on Sunday on the Bengals/Dolphins. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 64-44 (59%) run over his last 109 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $15,260 since July 27, 2026!

75% NFL this year!  Pure Lock has a TOP NFL play available on Sunday on the Lions/Cardinals. Pure Lock is mainly known for his selectivity in handicapping all sports and normally releases one pick per sport per day or passes! QUALITY over Quantity here. Currently on an impressive 64-44 (59%) run over his last 109 OVERALL picks! $1,000 per game players have CASHED $15,260 since July 27, 2026!

R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Thursday 10-8-26

UNDER 56 1/2 Missouri State/Western Kentucky

R&R Totals has a TOP NCAA-F Over-Under for Thursday! Now an impressive 192-162 (54%) over his last 367 NCAA-F picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $14,500 since September 10, 2011!

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R&R Totals has a TOP NFL Over-Under for Sunday! Now an impressive 11-3 (79%) over his last 15 NFL picks! Join us and make money like the $1,000 per game clients who are up $7,650 since October 12, 2020!

Joe D SWEPT last Friday Night, and will SWEEP again this Friday Night. Join me in my 60% NCAAF FRIDAY NIGHT LIGHTS WINNER and my 4-1 TOUCHDOWN WINNER and together we go into the weekend with a bankroll.

Friday’s Free Winner: Florida State Seminoles.

Game 317.

4:00 PM PST/7:00 PM EST.

I think this is a very strange line that gives the underdog a lot of value here. FSU enters this matchup with confidence knowing they took the last two meetings against Louisville, both straight up and against the number. Granted, the last time these two rivals met was December 2023. But this season they’re coming into this matchup with very different points of view. The Seminoles come off back-to-back victories, which includes last week ‘s home win as a small underdog against Virginia, 38-7. Meanwhile, the Cardinals have dropped back-to-back games to the Demon Deacons and the Wolfpack, both games they were favored. It’s true, Florida State has a matchup on the road in eight days against Miami. But I doubt this team will be in a look ahead situation. They are focused and taking each game one at a time. They are scoring points with an equally balanced passing and rushing attacks. Their defense has played very well yielding just 21.6 PPG and are monsters against the run. Yes, Louisville accounts for more points and is pretty darn good both in the air as well as on the ground, offensively. But their defense is so bad, yielding 29.2 points per game, and getting steamrolled on the ground and beaten badly in the air. I feel the Seminoles will establish the ground game, move the chains, eat up the clock, which will allow their passing game to open up. They have a very smart head coach, who knows how to set a gameplan. I just feel this is too many points to give a very game and hot visitor. Take Florida State. Thank you.

OVER 49.5

UTSA's offense comes alive at home, scoring 59 and 45 in its two Alamodome games this season while going OVER in 12 straight there. USF can help against a Roadrunners defense allowing 218 rushing yards per game, and the Bulls have already scored 13 rushing TD's. We don't need a track meet at 49.5. UTSA gets into the 30's, USF does enough, and we're in business. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 49.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Thursday FREE NCAAF O/U Play

The current run has been strong. A BIG Card is going up for this weekend, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Florida State plus the points is the Friday number worth taking. The Seminoles are getting 3.5 at L&N Federal Credit Union Stadium, Louisville is laying that field goal at about -110, and the moneyline is sitting around +150. Kickoff is 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Cardinals opened 7.5. The market has bet four points off that number. That is not noise. That is the board telling you the opener was a tax.

Louisville is 2-3, 1-2 in the ACC, and the results do not look like a team that should be laying anything. They lost to Ole Miss 38-41 in Nashville, beat Villanova 59-13, beat SMU 41-31, then lost at home to Wake Forest 27-30 and lost at North Carolina State 28-31. Three of the four games against real competition finished by a field goal. The other one, the SMU win, finished by 10. A club whose serious games live inside a score is not a clean 7.5, and it is barely a 3.5. Home record is 2-1. Road and neutral is 0-2. The only road trip of October was a three-point loss in Raleigh.

The offense is why the total is 59.5 and why people want to lay the favorite. Through five games Louisville has scored 193 points, 38.6 a game, and allowed 146, 29.2. They have rushed for 993 yards on 177 carries, 5.61 a pop, with 15 rushing scores. The pass game is 101 of 146 for 1,437 yards, 10 touchdowns and one interception, a 173.08 rating. That is 7.52 yards a play against 5.79 for the opponents. Third down is 26 of 57, 45.6 percent. Red zone is 15 of 18. Those are real numbers. They are also the numbers of a team that still found a way to lose three games by a combined 9 points. Scoring is not the same thing as covering.

Florida State is 3-2, 1-1 in the ACC, and the sheet is less pretty than the record. They beat New Mexico State 34-17, lost to SMU 24-27, lost at Alabama 36-50, beat Central Arkansas 34-7, and just beat Virginia 38-7. Sports-reference.com and the season line have them at 419 yards a game, 53rd nationally, with 194 on the ground and 225 through the air. They are scoring 33.2. The defense is the wart. They are allowing 384.8 yards a game, 103rd, and 265.6 through the air, 127th. Rush defense is fine, 119.2 a game. The pass defense is how a 59.5 gets posted on a Friday night in Louisville. Seven turnovers against three takeaways is the other wart. This is not a complete team. It is a team getting a field goal against a 2-3 host.

The road skid is the objection, and it is a real one. Florida State has not won away from Doak since 2023. The streak is at 10. The only road game this year was Tuscaloosa, a 14-point loss to Alabama in which they still covered a number in the high teens. That is 0-1 straight up on the road and 1-0 against the spread. A decade of road pain is why they are a dog. It is not a reason to lay 3.5 with a team that just lost by three at home to Wake and by three on the road to NC State. One-score games are how dogs cash. Louisville has been playing one-score games with everybody who is not Villanova.

Bet Florida State plus the points as a road dog after the spread has moved at least three points in their direction. The Seminoles' record in road games this season: 0-1 straight up, 1-0 against the spread. The only game was Alabama, a 36-50 loss that stayed inside an 18.5-point number. One game is not a system. It is the only road page on the sheet, and the ticket cashed.

Bet against Louisville laying more than a field goal at home in a game against an ACC opponent. The Cardinals' record in home games decided by a score this season: 1-1, a 10-point win over SMU and a 3-point loss to Wake Forest. Average margin in those two: 3.5. The number on Friday is 3.5. They have already played the margin they are being asked to cover.

The total is the trap for anyone who reads the yardage and stops. Louisville has gone over in four of five. Florida State has stayed under in four of five, including a 38-7 win over Virginia that finished under 51.5. Two teams, two different totals profiles, a 59.5 sitting in the middle. Pass it. The bet is the side. Shop +3.5. If the hook disappears and it is +3, the moneyline at +150 is the cleaner ticket. A push is how Friday favorites steal a week.

My selection is on Sam Houston State plus the points over Liberty at 7 pm et on Thursday.

Liberty enters this game riding a four-game SU and three-game ATS winning streak. That's impressive to be sure, but I think the Flames are laying too many points in this tough scheduling spot. Liberty will be playing on just five days' rest after posting a 30-14 win at Delaware last Friday. Meanwhile, Sam Houston State has been idle since dropping a 49-14 decision in an impossible road matchup against Texas Tech on September 26th. That ATS defeat against the Red Raiders marked the Bearkats first dropped cash of the season. Of note, Sam Houston State has faced a slightly more difficult schedule than Liberty based on most metrics and its first two losses came by a combined nine points against Troy and Tulsa. Take Sam Houston State.

Our selection is on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers to cover the spread against the Dallas Cowboys on Thursday at 8:15pm ET for a number of reasons. Here are some of the more important ones:

Tampa Bay hasn't won a single game yet. But, the good thing is that the division isn't great either this season.

The Buccaneers didn't look that bad last week with Daniels in at QB.

With a week under his belt, we're anticipating Daniels to have an even better performance on Thursday.

Dallas hasn't been extremely impressive either, winning just two of it's first four games.

The Cowboys have allowed 112 points over the four games -- an average of 28.0 points a game.

We're on TB.

AAA Sports

1* on Hawks +9½

Marc David's NHL Free Pick

We really like favorite in this matchup. The Golden Knights (3-1-0) have won two straight on the road, including a 6-2 rout in Seattle, and return home having outscored opponents 17-10. Their scoring has come in bunches, with five or more goals in two of their four games.

The Maple Leafs (2-2-0) played their first four at home and are just even in goals at 11-11. Three of those four were decided by one goal, and they've been outscored 10-8 at even strength. This is their first road game of the season.

Vegas is deeper and more dangerous offensively, and Toronto hasn't shown they can separate from anyone

This is a FREE PLAY on VEGAS ML.

Free Play – Take OVER 48 #307-08 Tampa Bay vs. Dallas (8:15 p.m. ET, Thursday, October 8)

Dallas is in the Bottom 5 of several defensive categories. Injuries to the secondary, in particular, have led to too many vanilla looks for the opposing teams, leaving them vulnerable. But is Tampa Bay with undrafted free agent Jalon Daniels capably of exploiting the Cowboys' defensive deficiencies? Daniels is a quick learner, but being able to execute at this level is completely different, which is why he wasn’t chosen in the draft. He had a great freshman year at Kansas, a solid second year, with the rest mixed. He’s a good runner, and Dallas has issues with QBs who can scramble. That should lead to about 20 points for the Bucs. Dak Prescott and company have more than enough weapons to take advantage of a Tampa Bay defense permitting 24 PPG, which includes a trio of pedestrian offenses in Minnesota, Green Bay, and Cleveland. Look for Dallas to reach 30 points and move to 9-0 OVER off an upset win as an underdog.

>CFB ESPN American Conference Thursday Winner! 11-5 Surge

>NHL Non-Conference Thursday Wipe-Out! 68-33 Run

DOUG UPSTONE has it cooking in all football, 10-5 on the college gridiron and 8-4 in the NFL! The recent all-sports run is 20-12, with MLB Playoffs at 26-15 L3Y. And his NHL picks are a sensational 68-33 dating back to last season!  Doug is a highly decorated betting expert with 30 monitored titles in various sports and 114 Top 10 finishes in his stellar 24-year career.

Free Pick on Senators -165

FREE PLAY on Bucs +8½

PSP Data Driven 1* Canadiens.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite.The Predators are 1-4 in their last 5 games. The Canadiens are 7-3 in the last 10 head to head meetings.

I am playing on the UNDER. Tampa Bay has not won a game this season. They will be going with a rookie quarterback in this one. With a stagnant offense, the defense needs to be better. Tampa Bay is allowing 24 points and 282.8 yards per game. Dallas is 2-2 this season. Their offense has been good, but their defense, which was supposed to be better, has been disappointing. Dallas lost to the Giants to start the season; you can say they should have lost to the Texans, but on the other hand, they should have beaten Baltimore.  As bad as the Dallas defense has been, I don't see TB scoring enough to put this game under the number.

Play on the UNDER. This is a FREE PLAY!

Eagles vs. Jaguars Under 42.5

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London | Sunday, October 11, 2026, 9:30 AM ET

The Jaguars are riding high. They just won on the road in Cincinnati, Trevor Lawrence has been efficient, and the defense is allowing only 13.3 PPG.

The Eagles are a different story, especially on offense. They went 0-for-12 on third down last week against the Rams, and they're 0-4 ATS, the only team in the league without an ATS win this season.

The injury report doesn't help. Davante Smith is out, and I don't expect Saquon Barkley to play. Backup Tank Bigsby is on IR, so Will Shipley will get the carries. It hardly matters, because you can't run on this Jags defense. That leaves Philadelphia one-dimensional, and they haven't shown me anything to suggest they can move the ball consistently.

Any fight from the Eagles will have to come from their defense, and I think it will be good. Quinyon Mitchell should be back, and this unit has had success against Lawrence before. In their 2024 meeting, they held him to 16-of-31 for 169 yards, no touchdowns and two interceptions. The Eagles have also won five straight in this series. I think the line is inflated, so I lean Eagles to cover, but the best play is on the total.

Hotspur Stadium has produced low-scoring results lately. The last seven games there have averaged 40.4 points. The Eagles need to turn this into a defensive slugfest, and I don't know how they score against this Jags defense. We'll take the Under, even with the total already down 2 points.

Take Eagles vs. Jaguars Under 42.5.

Let's cash some tickets!