Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Diamondbacks +115

Recommended Bet: Colwyn Bay -186

*Free Play Over* The NC State Wolfpack lost in the most heartbreaking way last weekend. I've never seen a game end like their loss to Vanderbilt.

NC State's offense is much better than their defense. The Wolfpack defense ranks 116th in PPA/pass allowed and 123rd in PPA/rush allowed. Appalachian State is likely to have success on offense. The Mountaineers have a good QB in Singleton and they are 21st offensively in PPA/pass for the season.

App State should care plenty about playing a bigger named opponent from their home state. The Mountaineers defense though hasn't been tested this year. They have played ECU (much weaker offensively this year), Charlotte (awful), and Maine (weak FCS team).

C.J Bailey and company should be able to put up quite a few points on this App State defense too.

Take the over.

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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Appalachian State +14

This is a brutal spot for the NC State Wolfpack.  They have to try and get back up off the mat after one of the worst losses I've ever seen against SEC foe Vanderbilt.  They were trying to take a safety and punt in the final seconds with a 3-point lead.  Instead, they fumbled in the end zone and gave up a TD  to lose on the final play.  It's the type of loss that can beat a team twice.

I don't see NC State getting back up in time to face a non-conference opponent here in Appalachian State.  Meanwhile, this is the biggest game of the season for the Mountaineers against an in-state Power 4 program.  I know they will be up for this game, and their best effort is good enough to stay within two touchdowns of NC State.

Dowell Loggains is doing a great job bringing talent to Boone and getting the most out of this team in his 2nd season.  The Mountaineers are 3-0 this season opening with a 55-3 win over Maine.  That's a Maine team that just lost by 6 to Boston College last week.  They went on the road and upset ECU 27-24 as 6.5-point road dogs in Week 2.  And last week they beat Charlotte 26-21 as 15.5-point favorites last week.

That misleading final against Charlotte has provided extra line value on App State this week.  The Mountaineers outgained the 49ers 435 to 247, or by 188 total yards.  They clearly should have won by more but Charlotte got a couple TD's in garbage time, both in the final seven minutes, including a 36-yard Pick 6.  They took their foot off the gas in the 4th quarter and were probably looking ahead to NC State.

The Wolfpack lost a lot of talent in the offseason and it showed in a 34-8 loss to Virginia as 4-point dogs in the opener.  They were crushed every bit as much as the final score showed in that game getting outgained 413 to 168, or by 245 yards by the Cavaliers.  That's the same Virginia team that just got upset as double-digit favorites by West Virginia last week.  A blowout win over Richmond and a close game against a rebuilding Vanderbilt team don't change my opinion on this NC State squad.

The Wolfpack lost all their top playmakers on offense and nine starters on defense from last season.  QB CJ Bailey is a nice talent, but he also makes plenty of mistakes as evidenced by the colossal one he made against Vanderbilt last week.  He has accounted for just 5 TD's and 4 turnovers this season.  This is probably the worst defense of the Dave Doeren era, too.

App State QB Malachi Singleton has been impressive completing 74.5% of his passes for 889 yards with 6 total TD's and only one INT.  He is averaging 9.5 yards per pass attempt.  Four different receivers have at least 116 yards receiving, so he is spreading it around well.  Sam Pickett III leads the way with 15 receptions for 229 yards and 2 TD.  The defense is holding opponents to 304.7 yards per game and 4.8 per play as well.

The Mountaineers will be 'all in' for this game knowing they have a bye on deck next week.  They will open up the entire playbook to try and get to 4-0 with an upset win over a Power 4 opponent.  This is a sandwich spot for NC State off the deflating loss to SEC foe Vanderbilt, plus with undefeated ACC title contender Louisville on deck next week.  Bet Appalachian State Saturday.

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1*

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick

PLAY ON: LSU -8.5

3* on Patriots

Scoring has been way up so far in the SEC. It certainly has been up for both these teams. I am going to ride that. The Crimson Tide are averaging 47.7 points a game. They have scored 50 points against Florida State and 45 versus Kentucky, who just held Texas A&M to 21 points. South Carolina has only two takeaways.

The Gamecocks are playing faster under new offensive coordinator Kendal Briles. This new attack has been a plus for talented South Carolina quarterback LaNorris Sellers, who had a very disappointing season last year.

South Carolina ranks in the top 10 in yards gained per game. Alabama's defense can be vulnerable to big plays.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Raul Rosas Jr. -148

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Melissa Amaya +190

1* Free Pick on Commanders +7

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Middle Tennessee +7

The Key: Middle Tennessee went 3-9 last year and still nearly beat Jacksonville State.  They lost 24-21 as 6-point home dogs.  That was a Jacksonville State team that went 9-5 and played in the C-USA title game.  This 2026 Jacksonville State team is down from that one, especially after losing one of the best RB's in the country in Cam Cook who rushed for 1,659 yards and 16 TD last year.  The Gamecocks are 2-2 this season with a 33-7 loss to North Dakota State and a 29-27 loss to a bad Ohio team.  They also only beat Georgia Southern by 4 at home.  This is also a tired Jacksonville State team playing for a 5th consecutive week after playing in Week 0. They went to OT with Ohio 2 weeks ago and have expended a lot of energy the last 2 weeks in nail biters.  They won't have much left in the tank for Middle Tennessee, which has been impressive.  The Blue Raiders are 2-1 SU & 3-0 ATS this season with their only loss coming by 2 as 12.5-point dogs at Marshall.  They upset Nevada 27-20 at home as 3.5-point dogs last week and also covered in a 38-14 win over Murray State at home.  Now they have their sights set on revenge from that 3-point loss to the Gamecocks last year.  This line should be closer to 3 than 7.  Take Middle Tennessee.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY South Florida vs Bowling Green under 49½ -115

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Mississippi State -5.5

The Mississippi State Bulldogs are 3-0 this season with blowout wins over ULM 62-13 at home and Minnesota 38-13 on the road.  The Bulldogs then went on the road again last week to prove they were for real, upsetting South Carolina 41-34.  They have arguably the best QB in the country in Kamario Taylor, who has thrown for 832 yards and 11 touchdowns while also rushing for 178 yards and a score.  Now the Bulldogs host Missouri in a night game in Starkville.  The Cowbells will be ringing, and this will be one of the most electric atmospheres for a home game in Starkville in the past decade.  Missouri nearly lost to Troy at home as 4-touchdown favorites last week.  They actually got outgained by 93 yards by Troy and were held to 230 total yards.  QB Austin Simmons is a turnover waiting to happen and I don't trust him in this road atmosphere.  The Bulldogs should win by a TD or more.  Give me Mississippi State.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Cardinals vs Brewers over 7½ -110

HUGE SATURDAY UP CFB on a 16-6 run and the 2 Time Champ has a TOP Red Zone PLAY, the Non Conf. Play of the Year, BIG 10 Game of the Month headlining. ALL from Top Level 100% Database systems. Comp play below
 
The Saturday comp play is on Florida minus the 3-4 points here. Game 342 at 3:30 eastern. Rob notes that week 4 road dogs of less than 7 like Ole Miss with a total less than 66 are 1-8 straight up and to the spread since 2010 if both teams are 3-0. Ole Miss comes in off a huge win over LSU and now has to deal with a Gators team with a solid rushing attack and perhaps the best back in CFB. Florida has revenge here and has covered the last 4 in the series. The Rebels have failed to cover the last 3 after beating LSU and with the major events unfolding back on Campus they deal with another layer of distraction. The Gators have put up 44+ in all 3 games and the defense will likely be a bit better than the Rebels here. Make it Florida today. GL Rob V-
 
SU: 1-8 
ATS: 1-8 
 
 
Sep 25, 2010 07:45 Sat 4 2010 SCAR AUB away 14-7 6-7 7-7 0-14 27-35 3 48.5 -8 -5 13.5 4.25 9.25 L L O 0
Sep 24, 2011 12:00 Sat 4 2011 NCAR GTCH away 7-3 0-14 7-11 14-7 28-35 6.5 58 -7 -0.5 5 2.25 2.75 L L O 0
Sep 24, 2016 03:30 Sat 4 2016 FLA TEN away 7-0 14-3 0-14 7-21 28-38 6.5 44 -10 -3.5 22 9.25 12.75 L L O 0
Sep 23, 2017 07:00 Sat 4 2017 MSST GEO away 0-14 3-0 0-17 0-0 3-31 5 48.5 -28 -23 -14.5 -18.75 4.25 L L U 0
Sep 25, 2021 07:00 Sat 4 2021 KAST OKST away 10-21 3-10 7-0 0-0 20-31 5.0 47.5 -11 -6.0 3.5 -1.25 4.75 L L O 0
Sep 23, 2023 03:30 Sat 4 2023 UCLA UTAH away 0-7 0-7 0-0 7-0 7-14 3.5 50.5 -7 -3.5 -29.5 -16.5 -13.0 L L U 0
Sep 20, 2025 07:30 Sat 4 2025 ILL IND away 7-14 3-21 0-14 0-14 10-63 6.5 51.5 -53 -46.5 21.5 -12.5 34.0 L L O 0
Sep 20, 2025 03:30 Sat 4 2025 AUB OKLA away 3-3 7-7 0-3 7-11 17-24 6.5 47.5 -7 -0.5 -6.5 -3.5 -3.0 L L U 0
Sep 20, 2025 12:00 Sat 4 2025 TXT UTAH away 7-0 3-3 0-0 24-7 34-10 3.5 58.5 24 27.5 -14.5 6.5 -21.0 W W
 
Sep 26, 2026 03:30 Sat 4 2026 MIS FLA away - - - - - 3.5 58.5

Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #313 UCLA Bruins over Maryland Terrapins (1:30 p.m., Saturday, September 26, BTN)

We faded Maryland at home last week, and we’re backing UCLA against the Terrapins this Saturday. The Bruins are 3-0 under first-year head coach Bob Chesney. While their competition has been modest, they’ve shown they can score, and we expect their offense to make the difference.

Maryland struggled against Virginia Tech last week, falling behind 35-14 before adding late fourth-quarter touchdowns. Chesney also knows the region from his time coaching at James Madison in Virginia. With UCLA favored, we like the Bruins in this matchup.

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Join me this Sunday in the NFL as we continue to BEAT THE BOOKS on the pro gridiron. I am riding a 60% NFL RUN, and this Sunday, we take it up a notch with 3 BIG WINNERS: HUGE 1-0 CONSENSUS, AFC NORTH GAME OF THE MONTH BENGALS/STEELERS WINNER, and my BIG BIG BIG GAME WINNER 1-0 HI ROLLER.

Sunday Free Winner: San Francisco 49ers.

Game 482.

1:05 PM PST/4:05 PM EST.

San Francisco has dominated their division rival, taking six of the last eight meetings SU, going 5-3 ATS during that span. They are looking strong so far this season sporting a 2-0 record both SU/ATS as their offense ranks in the top-10 in just about every major category, including the one that means the most, scoring where they average over 31.0 PPG. By the way, very uncharacteristic for teams at the start of a season, they’ve also only turned the ball over once. Meanwhile, the Arizona Cardinals look to be a trainwreck. Yes, they did open up their season on the road with a big surprise victory over the Los Angeles Chargers as nearly a double-digit underdog. But last week came back down to Earth as they got shellacked at home by the Seattle Seahawks, 31-7. This team has a lot of problems, my friends. Scoring is certainly one of them. If you like numbers, you’ll love these: Arizona is 1-10 SU in their last 11 divisional games and 1-9 ATS as divisional underdogs of seven or more points. They were also winless against the NFC West last season (0-6). With Jacoby Brissett at the helm, I doubt very much they’re going to be able to move the chains at all here. The 49ers defense looks solid and remember, they have the luxury of something they haven’t had in the past, some of their biggest names are healthy. San Francisco is a well-coached, smart team. Although they have Denver up next followed by a road game at Seattle, I doubt very much they’re going to be in a look ahead mode here. They know these division victories mean a lot. This is their final chance to find tune their team on both side sides of the line of scrimmage before their schedule gets more difficult. Take the San Francisco 49ers. Thank you.

Wyoming gets a huge home-field advantage playing in Laramie at over 7,000 feet of elevation. Hawaii is flying all the way across the country from the islands for an early kickoff. The Rainbow Warriors also have some injury concerns on offense including starting quarterback Micah Alejado and receiver Pofele Ashlock. Hawaii has struggled to score on offense averaging just around 21 points per game.

Wyoming hasn’t been great on offense either but this feels like a much better spot for the Cowboys at home after playing two of their first three games on the road. In a game that projects to be low-scoring in the Mountain West, I like taking the home underdog with points.

Seahawks -7

Seattle’s defense is the difference for me here. The Seahawks have allowed just 17 points through two games, and now they draw Marcus Mariota with Jayden Daniels sidelined. That’s a tough assignment against a Seattle front that should control the line of scrimmage. Drew Lock has also done exactly what you want from a backup, including three TD passes last week, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba remains a matchup problem. Seattle has won 15 of its last 16 road games, so traveling east doesn’t scare me much. Washington has too many problems to solve against one of the league’s best defenses. Lay the touchdown. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the SEAHAWKS ATS. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL ATS Play

WEEK 4 CFB / WEEK 3 NFL! 437-374 54% +2503 since Mid-Dec! The current run has been strong, and today’s plays up soon. A BIG 5× Play Card is up for NFL Week 3, and Ray’s DISCOUNTED Day Pass gets you full access. Razor is a top-ranked handicapper across every network where his plays are sold, and he’s continuing to climb the leaderboards. As always… “Pad that bankroll one day at a time.”

Minnesota just played a 12-point game in Chicago and the board still hung 42.5 in Tampa like it was doing the public a favor. That is the tell.

Sunday, 4:05, Raymond James, FOX. Vikings 2–0. Buccaneers 0–2. Spread is Minnesota −1.5, Tampa +1.5. Total 42.5. Heat in the mid-80s. Kyler Murray is back after the Week 1 concussion. Last week without him the purple won 9–3 at Soldier Field and never found the end zone. Twenty-five points allowed in two games. Tampa has lost twice by a field goal or less. Neither club has looked like a 48-point roster this month.

Fifty-seven meetings. Vikings 33–24 all-time. That is the old NFC Central book. The last ten flipped: Buccaneers 8–2. Last two chapters: Tampa 20–17 in Minneapolis on Sept. 10, 2023, and Tampa 26–14 in this stadium on Dec. 13, 2020. Combined 37 and 40. Minnesota’s last win in Tampa was Oct. 26, 2014, and it needed overtime, 19–13. Combined 32. The 2017 Minneapolis game went 34–17. That 51-point night is the outlier they will sell you. The last two trips through this series lived under 41.

You are not fading Minnesota to lose on the road. You are not fading Tampa to stay winless. You are fading 45, 47, and 50 after a 9–3 road tape and a series that just printed 37 and 40. 20–17 cashes. 23–16 cashes. 19–16 is the gift. Public will smash the over because Jefferson is on the card, Murray is cleared, and two 2–0 / 0–2 logos in September are supposed to throw. Last week’s box score was 9–3. This building’s last chapter against this roster was 26–14. Different year. Same number that does not need 43.

Home team has won about 58 percent of this series. Road favorite of a point and a half in 86-degree Tampa in Week 3 is not a mismatch. It is a grind. Implied team totals sit around 22 and 20. That is how 42.5 becomes the work instead of a prayer.

Bet under the total in Vikings–Buccaneers games posted 43 or lower.
Last two meetings: 37 and 40. Last Minnesota win in Tampa: 19–13 OT. Combined 32. (+2.0 unit$, ROI=31.8%)

Bet under 43 in Week 3 when one club just finished a game of 12 points or fewer.
Minnesota 9–3 last week. That look since 2025: 11-6 (64.7%) with an average over/under of 42.4. (+4.4 unit$, ROI=23.5%)

Bet the under when the previous two series meetings finished under 41 and the new number opens 42 to 44.
37 and 40 are still on the book. The 51-point night in 2017 is the outlier, not the rule. (+2.6 unit$, ROI=20.4%)

Bet under 43 in late-window September games at Raymond James when the home club is 0–2.
Low total, winless home locker room, 4 o’clock heat. (+3.2 unit$, ROI=22.1%)

Play: Under 42.5.

My selection is on Los Angeles plus the points over Buffalo at 1 pm et on Sunday.

The Bills will look to improve to 3-0 SU and ATS as they host the reeling Chargers on Sunday in Orchard Park. Buffalo is obviously a high-profile Super Bowl contender on a yearly basis and it looks like bettors are flocking to it again in this spot. I don't think this result will be all that straight-forward, however. The Chargers will undoubtedly bring desperation into this matchup as they're off to a miserable 0-2 start, with both losses coming at home. They're certainly being punished in the betting marketplace for their disappointing start, too much so in my opinion. Remember, Los Angeles started last season 3-0 but that didn't end up taking it very far as it ultimately bowed out in the Wild Card round against New England. The Bills have had an extra few days to pat themselves on the back following a lopsided win over the Lions in their home opener a week ago Thursday. I don't think the extra rest means nearly as much at this early stage of the season. All is not lost for the Chargers here in 2026 and I expect them to put forth a much stronger effort against the Bills, ultimately taking this one down to the wire and covering the lofty pointspread. Take Los Angeles (8*).

Missouri vs Mississippi State CFB Free Pick

The Angle(s): This SEC Saturday matchup features two undefeated offenses averaging high totals through three weeks. Mississippi State enters scoring 47.0 points per game, powered by quarterback Kamario Taylor (832 pass YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT) and a ground attack averaging 244.0 rushing yards per contest. The Bulldogs operate at a fast pace and generate explosive plays, leading to high-scoring outputs that have cleared the total in two of their first three games this season.

Missouri brings plenty of offensive firepower of its own, averaging 39.7 points and 252.3 passing yards per game behind signal-caller Austin Simmons (652 pass YDS, 8 TD) and running back Jamal Roberts (300 rush YDS, 3 TD). With both offenses maintaining high scoring metrics and efficient red-zone execution, game flow points toward an up-tempo shootout exceeding the posted number.

The Bet: Over (3%). 

NOTE: This is a TEAM TOTAL selection but if you do not have access to that option you can play Oregon State as a side play as our complimentary selection for Saturday. However, the preferred play is the TEAM TOTAL. Analysis here: #413 ASA PLAY ON Oregon State Over 34.5 Team Total (vs UTEP), Saturday at 9 PM ET - This Oregon State team is underrated early in the season and their offense is really good. They have a new head coach Shephard (from the Mike Leach coaching tree) and he has a very good QB and one of the best WR’s in the country. This team loves to throw the ball ranking #1 in the country in pass rate offense. They are facing a UTEP defense that ranks 131st in defensive pass success rate and they have allowed opposing QB’s to complete 67% of their passes (117th nationally). The Miners have already had 50+ put on them twice this year vs Michigan and Oklahoma, neither of which are great offensively. In fact, Michigan has scored a total of 30 points in their other 2 games (not vs UTEP) and Oklahoma has scored a total of 24 points in their other 2 games. That’s how shaky this UTEP defense has been. Oregon State’s offense has already faced 2 defenses light years better than this UTEP stop unit and put up over 400 yards on both (Texas Tech & Houston). Last week they scored 52 points on 7.5 YPP vs Montana who is a top 5 team in FCS. Weather will be perfect for the passing game with light winds and no precipitation. We like the Beavers to get to at least 35 points here.

PSP Data Driven 1* White Sox -1.5.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. The White Sox are 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Rockies are 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.

Josiah Harrell (-122) vs. Bruno Brener

Josiah Harrell enters this one looking to bounce back after a rough promotional debut — a short-notice loss that came against the run of play for a guy who steamrolled the regional scene to the tune of 11-0. Dropping back down to his natural lightweight home, we expect a sharper, more dangerous version of Harrell: clean power in his hands and a defensive grappling base that's hard to work around.

Bruno Brener brings a three-fight skid into this one, and while he's proven himself durable, durability isn't the same as being hard to hit. Brener has a habit of keeping his chin up in exchanges, and he tends to get wild and loose when the pace picks up — exactly the kind of opening a heavy-handed counter puncher like Harrell lives for. We like Harrell to find a home for his overhand and make Brener pay for those lapses.

On the ground, this shouldn't be close either. Harrell's wrestling pedigree gives him the tools to shut down Brener's positional and submission-based grappling attacks, taking away his best path to a comeback win.

Power, technique, and wrestling advantages all point the same direction here.

Take Josiah Harrell -122

Let's cash some tickets!

For my best free pick here for Saturday or at least one of them I am looking at the Stanford Cardinals hosting the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Stanford two straight losses since beating Hawaii in week zero but I think we are getting the better team at one hell of a good price. We saw Georgia Tech who is on a down year loss to Colorado in a neutral site game and they got ran all over. Tech then followed that up and got beat handily at home to Tennessee. Look for Stanford to be down at the half and fight back for a win and cover.

Play on Stanford plus the points here late on Saturday night rotation #420

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