Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

(#905) Los Angeles Dodgers | ML | . 

Justin Wrobleski (7-2, 2.87 ERA) vs. Ryne Nelson (2-4, 4.82 ERA) . 

Despite all of the injuries, the Dodgers are still very elite. With Ohtani on the bump yesterday, they dominated that game, allowing zero runs overall. I think that Wrobleski is one of the best arms in the NL that's not a part of the elite group in the Cy Young Race. He allowed just one hit in his latest outing, while striking out nine in 7.0 innings. I like him to be strong once again this evening. Nelson wasn't the best in his last game against the Mariners. This line is simply too good to pass up on Los Angeles this evening, considering the pitching matchup and the lineups.

Burns' Prediction: 5-2 Dodgers.

1* on Dodgers -130

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Dodgers/Diamondbacks under 9½ -114

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* FREE INFO PLAY Nationals vs Diamondbacks over 8½ -120

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Los Angeles Dodgers -130

The Los Angeles Dodgers should be bigger favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks tonight given their starting pitching and bullpen advantage.  Justin Wrobleski is 7-2 with a 2.87 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 10 starts for the Dodgers this season.  Ryne Nelson is 2-4 with a 4.82 ERA in 12 starts for the Diamondbacks, and 1-2 with a 5.97 ERA in six home starts.  The Dodgers have a 3.21 ERA as a bullpen while the Diamondbacks have a 4.04 ERA.  Give me the Dodgers.

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Free Play from Doc’s Sports. International Friendlies Take Mexico -1.5 GL over Serbia (10 p.m. EST, Thursday June 4)Mexico is really shaping into stellar form ahead of the World Cup and have not lost in seven matches. They have won consecutive matches, 1-0 vs Australia and 2-0 vs Ghana. They also earned draws against heavyweights Belgium and Portugal. This is a big match as their final tune up before their World Cup opening match next Thursday vs South Africa. Serbia is suffering from a run of bad form and have lost two of their last three matches, 3-0 to both Cape Verde and Spain. This should be another bad loss for them against a strong side and a raucous crowd of supporters at Estadio Nemesio Diez. Both sides will tinker with the lineups a bit here, but Mexico will want to keep their momentum going and their players are very motivated right now. This is just another friendly match for Serbia, who missed out on the World Cup in qualifying.

Mercury vs Fire 
10 EST, Friday 
7-Unit bet on the Mercury priced as a –1.5-point favorite.

I prefer using the money line for this bet.

Betting on road teams with one day off and in a matchup where they and the foe are averaging 76 or more PPG and with the foe coming off a dismal loss by 15 or more points has earned a solid 32-15-1 ATS record for 68% winning bets over the past five seasons of action.

I’ve been following the CFL long enough to know that Week 1 is always a wild card, but this matchup between the Winnipeg Blue Bombers and Calgary Stampeders feels like one of those games where the numbers quietly scream value on one side. I’m rolling with the Blue Bombers -1.5 on the road, and here’s why it stands out when you dig into the trends, history, and stats that actually matter.

First off, let’s talk about how these two teams have danced over the years. The all-time series favors Calgary 81-57, but that’s the big-picture view. Zoom in on recent seasons and you see Winnipeg has been the more consistent program overall, especially when it comes to bouncing back and playing disciplined football. In 2025, Calgary finished 11-7 while Winnipeg went 10-8, but the Bombers have shown they can handle tough environments better than most West Division squads. Road favorites in this league have covered at a respectable clip in recent years when they bring that veteran core, and Winnipeg checks that box.

What really gets me excited here is the situational angle. Calgary has been solid at home historically , we’re talking winning percentages north of .700 in certain stretches , but they’ve shown vulnerability against Winnipeg’s style. Look at the scoring trends: these games often stay within a field goal. Winnipeg’s offense, built around efficiency rather than flash, has posted strong yardage-per-play numbers in recent campaigns, averaging over 6.8 yards per play in key stretches while keeping turnovers low (under 1.8 per game in solid seasons). Calgary, meanwhile, has had games where their defense gives up chunk plays, especially early in the year when timing isn’t quite there yet.

Another layer that makes this feel smart: Winnipeg’s ability to control the clock on the ground. In 2025, their lead back was pushing toward 1,100+ rushing yards with a healthy average, and that balance keeps games close on the road. Historically, when Winnipeg enters as a slight favorite away from home against divisional foes, they’ve performed well against the spread in low-total environments. This one is sitting around 48-49 points, which aligns perfectly with Winnipeg’s recent defensive trends , they’ve been stingy on third-down conversions (holding opponents under 40% in strong years) and excel at forcing punts in the first half.

Here’s where the math-geek side of me lights up. If you look at divisional road games since 2022, slight favorites like Winnipeg have hit the spread around 58% when the total stays under 50. Add in Winnipeg’s edge in turnover margin (often +0.4 or better in recent seasons) and you start seeing why laying 1.5 feels more like getting plus-money value in disguise. Calgary’s home success is real, but it’s often built on close wins rather than blowouts , they’ve covered as favorites at home less than 52% in certain recent samples against top competition.

Don’t get me wrong , Calgary will bring the heat, especially in front of their crowd. They’ve got playmakers who can flip a game with one big return or explosive pass. But that’s exactly why this spread feels right. Winnipeg doesn’t need to dominate; they just need to be the slightly sharper team in what should be a grind-it-out battle. I’ve seen too many Week 1 “home edge” narratives blow up when a battle-tested group like the Bombers shows up ready.

This one has all the ingredients of a classic cover: veteran road savvy, strong recent efficiency metrics, and a history of keeping things close in Alberta. I’m genuinely fired up about this pick , it feels like the smartest spot on the Week 1 slate. Let’s see if the Blue Bombers can kick off the season by spoiling Calgary’s home opener.