Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

1* Bet on Kansas State/Arizona State: under 54

1* Free Play on Suns -8½ -115

[1%] Free Play on Hornets under 231½ -105

3* on 49ers

*Free Play Under* The San Jose State Spartans have made a quarterback change, but I still view them as a short passing team that lacks weapons to create big plays in the passing game. San Jose State is terrible in the run game. The San Jose State defense has been much better than expected though. San Jose State has played in four straight games with a final total of 36 points or fewer.

Nevada's Carter Jones is banged up. He may play through the injury, but he is less than 100% healthy. I think Nevada is likely to run the football a lot in this one. The Nevada defense is good at limiting big plays.

The line has moved above a key number of 47, and I'm going to go to the low side here.

Take the under.

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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Illinois +10

I love the spot for the Illinois Fighting Illini this week. They are coming off their bye week and have had two full weeks to prepare for Oregon. The Ducks have been one of the most overrated teams in the country this season, and they should not be laying double-digits on the road here.

Oregon is 4-2 SU but 2-4 ATS this season. The Ducks got by Boise State by 7 at home as 24.5-point favorites to open the season. That lackluster effort carried over to Week 2 when they were upset by 8 at Oklahoma State as 23.5-point favorites while getting outgained by 273 yards in the process. The win at USC was good, but the last two weeks were concerning. They lost outright as double-digit home favorites to UCLA, and needed to come back from 14-6 down in the 4th quarter to beat Nebraska by 3 as 6.5-point home favorites.

Now the Ducks hit the road after two wars with UCLA and Nebraska that were decided in the final seconds. Their offense is broken without QB Dante Moore, who is out again this week. They are also missing a couple key receivers. Teams have been able to stack the box to stop the run, and the Ducks haven't shown any ability to run the ball with effectiveness outside the 84-0 win over Portland State which has skewed their numbers. Even with those numbers included, the Ducks are averaging just 137.0 rushing yards per game and 4.0 per carry.

Illinois QB Katin Houser suffered a season-ending injury in the win over Michigan State last time out.  Freshman backup Michael Clayton II came in and balled out in his place, throwing a pair of TD passes to lead the Fighting Illini to a 38-37 win over the Spartans.  The Fighting Illini have used the bye week to get Clayton II fully acclimated to the system and to be ready to start.  The bye week came at the perfect time.  I have confidence he'll be ready as he was highly touted coming out of HS and showed already the moment wasn't too big for him.

This Oregon defense is overrated, too.  They allowed 27 points to Boise State, 39 points and 554 yards to Oklahoma State, and 27 points and 446 yards to USC.  Illinois has a very good, balanced offense that is averaging 31.8 points per game and 6.5 yards per play this season.  They average 5.1 yards per carry on the ground and 7.9 yards per attempt through the air.  They even put up 462 yards and 6.5 yards per play against Ohio State to show what they are capable of.

The Fighting Illini parted ways with their defensive coordinator a few weeks ago, and the bye week will also have given them time to tighten up their schemes. They have been good against the run, allowing 126.8 rushing yards per game and 3.8 per carry this season. Their weakness is the secondary, but they will benefit from getting to face Oregon's backup QB, too. This is a game the Fighting Illini can win outright. Bet Illinois Saturday.

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Sunday's Free NFL Pick

PLAY ON: Falcons +130 (ML) 

1* Free Pick on Lone'er Kavanagh -105

1* NFL - Dolphins/Jets NFL FREE PICK on Dolphins +4.5

Ricky's 1* play on CAL.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Red Wings are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games.

- The Flames are 3-1 in their last 4 games.

- The Red Wings are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Verdict: The value is on the home underdog.

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Rockets +1½ -105

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1* Free Pick on Colts +6½

The Vikings are 5-0 and the defense is real, allowing just 12.8 points a game.

No argument there.

But look at how those wins came: 23-16 over Tampa Bay, 9-3 in Chicago, 15-10 over Miami.

Three of five by a touchdown or less.

That profile wins games.

It doesn't cover big numbers.

Minnesota hasn't scored more than 23 points since the opener against Green Bay.

To cover 6.5, this offense needs to do something it hasn't done in over a month.

The Colts can score.

They're averaging 24 points through 6 games and have hit at least 19 in every one of their last 5.

Jonathan Taylor has 7 touchdowns and posted a season-high 151 scrimmage yards last week.

Keenan Allen has become the chain mover, with a 26-227-1 line on a team-high 40 targets.

Last week's loss to Tennessee was self-inflicted: three turnovers plus a blocked punt returned for a touchdown, and Indy still only lost by 6.

Clean up the giveaways and this offense travels fine.

Colts tight end Tyler Warren sits out a second straight game with a groin injury, but that's already priced in.

They scored 20 without him last week while handing Tennessee two free scores.

Kyler Murray is coming off a bye and completed 80 percent of his passes against New Orleans, so Minnesota winning wouldn't surprise me.

Winning and covering 6.5 are two different bets.

A short-score team laying this many points is a price I'll take the other side of every time.

I like the Colts

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on Texas A&M/Alabama UNDER 50.5

The Key: I like the price we are getting on this UNDER between Texas A&M and Alabama. The Aggies are 4-0 UNDER in their last 4 games overall finishing with 41 or fewer combined points in all 4 games. They have one of the worst offenses in the SEC as evidenced by being held to 6 points by LSU and 6 points by Missouri in their last 2 road games. The Crimson Tide have some injuries on offense at WR and OL that are holding them back. They managed just 17 points against Georgia and 10 points against Tennessee in their last 2 games. Both defenses are among the best in the SEC with the Aggies yielding only 17.1 PPG and the Crimson Tide yielding 21.4 PPG this year. Take the UNDER.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on SDSU/Colorado State OVER 61

The books can't set these Colorado State totals high enough. The Rams are 6-0 OVER in all games this season averaging 35.7 points per game on offense and giving up 43.2 points per game on defense. San Diego State is 5-2 OVER in all games this season with one of the worst defenses in the nation as well. The Aztecs give up 33.3 points per game. They also play fast at 11th in tempo this season. Colorado State is 37th in tempo. There will be a lot of possessions in this game and more opportunity for the offenses to score points against this terrible defenses. Give me the OVER.

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1* Best Bet on Predators +1½

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Warriors +7½ -110

FRIDAY 6-0 ALL SPORTS SWEEP--Huge Saturday with the 2026 SEC Game of the Year, an EARLY Red Zone side + a TOP total and 2 more best Bets. We also have early season NBA Power systems and Game 2 of the World Series. Comp play below.
 
The College Football Comp play is on BYU at 3:30 eastern. The Cougars cashed big for us last week as a our dog of the year winning outright over Notre Dame. The knee jerk reaction would be to play against BYU an assume a flat trap type game. However, after a Thorough scouring through the database we see just the opposite. Week 14 or earlier Road favorites of 5 or more off a home dog win at +9 or higher against a top 10 opponent are a perfect 8-0 straight up and to the spread and win on  average by 25 points per game. BYU has won the last 3 in the series with Central Florida all by 13+ points. The Knights are 3-3 and have lost their last 2. The Cougars have covered 4 straight as a road favorite and likely pull away late for a cover. GL Rob V-
 
SU: 8-0 
ATS: 8-0
 
Team: 39.6
Opp: 14.0
 
Oct 06, 2007 07:00 Sat 6 2007 COLO BAY away 10-0 20-9 10-7 3-7 43-23 -9 48 20 11 18 14.5 3.5 W W O 0
Dec 04, 2010 04:00 Sat 14 2010 NEV LTCH away 0-7 14-7 7-3 14-0 35-17 -10 70.5 18 8 -18.5 -5.25 -13.25 W W U 0
Oct 29, 2016 12:00 Sat 9 2016 PNST PUR away 7-7 10-10 24-7 21-0 62-24 -14.5 58 38 23.5 28 25.75 2.25 W W O 0
Nov 19, 2016 01:00 Sat 12 2016 IOWA ILL away 0-0 7-0 7-0 14-0 28-0 -10.5 45 28 17.5 -17 0.25 -17.25 W W U 0
Nov 02, 2019 03:30 Sat 10 2019 KAST KAN away 7-3 10-0 7-0 14-7 38-10 -6 55 28 22 -7 7.5 -14.5 W W U 0
Oct 16, 2021 12:00 Sat 7 2021 TXAM MIZ away 21-0 7-7 7-7 0-0 35-14 -11.0 59.5 21 10.0 -10.5 -0.25 -10.25 W W U 0
Nov 30, 2024 07:00 Sat 14 2024 FLA FLST away 7-0 7-0 3-3 14-8 31-11 -16.5 46 20 3.5 -4 -0.25 -3.75 W W U 0
Nov 08, 2025 12:00 Sat 11 2025 SMU BCOL away 10-0 7-6 14-0 14-7 45-13 -10.5 54.5 32 21.5 3.5 12.5 -9.0 W W O 0
 
Oct 24, 2026 03:30 Sat 8 2026 BYU CFL away - - - - - -7.5 43.5

Free Play from Doc’s Sports: Take #387 Michigan State Spartans over UCLA Bruins (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 24, CBS)

UCLA has been a pleasant surprise in the Big Ten this season, standing as the only unbeaten team in either the Big Ten or SEC. Still, this is a hefty number to lay with a backup quarterback. The Bruins were one-dimensional against Wisconsin, and I expect Michigan State to make running the football difficult again.

The Spartans are rebuilding under a new coach, but they’ve shown they can compete, taking Illinois and Northwestern down to the wire. I expect another competitive effort here, with Michigan State keeping the final margin within 7–10 points.

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R&R Totals FREE CFB Over-Under Saturday 10-24-26

UNDER 50 1/2 Tennessee/South Carolina

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UCLA seems like a very solid pick to cover the spread against Michigan State this Saturday at the Rose Bowl. UCLA comes into the game with a perfect 6-0 record while Michigan State sits at 2-5 overall and 0-4 in Big Ten play. UCLA’s defense has been dominant all season long and ranks among the top teams in the country at limiting offensive production. The Bruins just rolled Wisconsin 17-7 and should have no problem shutting down an inconsistent Spartan offense. UCLA can win the battle up front on offense as well with a bruising running game led by Wayne Knight and his 571 yards on the ground and 6.8 yards per carry. Michigan State’s defense has struggled to slow down teams who can methodically work down the field on long drives. Sparty also just made a cross-country trip to play Northwestern in which they lost in the final seconds. UCLA won 38-13 last year in East Lansing, and the Bruins have all the advantages in this game. They have the talent, they have the confidence and they have home field advantage. UCLA should be able to set the tone early with the run, control the ball, and creep away as their stifling defense forces the Spartans into passing situations. Take UCLA to win and cover the spread Saturday.

1 Dimer on Northern Illinois +4 -115

Free Play on Northern Illinois +4 -115

OVER 53.5

Detroit's offense is averaging nearly 33 PPG and Goff has been surgical with 12 TD passes and zero turnovers. Now he gets an extra week to prepare for a Green Bay defense whose recent improvement came against backup QBs and a struggling Dallas attack. That's a different assignment than dealing with this Lions offense. The problem for Detroit? Its defense is surrendering more than 400 yards per game, giving Love and Green Bay plenty of opportunities to answer. With Jacobs expected back, the Packers have another weapon to keep the scoreboard moving. This one has shootout written all over it. Locking this in early. Ray’s daily FREE plays are meant to be smaller bankroll plays. Money management is everything in this game, and these freebies are designed to keep you moving in the right direction. Today's FREE selection is a strong lean on the OVER 53.5. The number makes sense, the spot is right, and it’s a play worth taking. You know what to do. Good luck — Razor Ray.

Sunday FREE NFL O/U Play

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Tampa Bay Getting the Points in Charlotte Is the Quieter Ticket Against a Short Home Favorite

Tampa Bay is 1-5 and Carolina is 3-2. The number is sitting around a field goal at Bank of America Stadium. Carolina opened closer to 3.5 and has settled near 3 or 2.5. A short home favorite against a division road dog that can still run the ball is not a number that needs to be laid just because the building is in Charlotte and the Panthers are sitting atop the NFC South early. The points are the side if the hook stays at 2.5 or better.

Bryce Young and the Panthers are scoring 29.2 points a game and moving the ball at roughly 404 yards, ranking near the top of the league in both. Tampa is at 19.8 points and about 293 yards, but the run game remains viable at 128 yards and 4.8 a carry, with Bucky Irving carrying the bulk of the load. Baker Mayfield has been limited by the thumb injury and is expected back, though the Bucs have used other options and will be without key pieces like Emeka Egbuka. Carolina’s defense is allowing 24.6 points and has been soft against the run, giving up around 132 yards and over 5 yards a carry. Tampa does not need to win by a field goal. They need the final margin to stay inside the number. A competitive division game between two teams that have already traded results in this series more often than the short favorite covers is the profile.

Tampa Bay’s ground game is the clearest path. They rank in the top tier in rushing yards and yards per carry while their defense has held opponents to just 75.5 rushing yards per game, second in the league. Carolina’s offense is explosive—Bryce Young has been efficient and the unit ranks second in total yards—but their defensive front has not consistently shut down the run. That creates a structural edge for a road team that can control the clock and stay within a short number.

Recent series history supports the competitive script. The last meeting was a 16-14 Bucs win in Tampa. Before that, Carolina took a 23-20 decision in Charlotte. Those are not blowouts. Across the last several meetings the margins have often stayed inside a field goal or small window, even as the Bucs have taken the majority of recent results. The all-time series is essentially even. Division games between these clubs rarely produce the kind of one-sided outcome a short home favorite needs to cash cleanly.

The market has not moved the number off the short side despite Tampa’s record. Public money is still leaning Carolina. The points have been the quieter ticket when the favorite is being asked to cover a field goal or less against a road team that can control the ground game.

Bet the road underdog of three points or fewer in a division game. That look since the early 2010s: 19-10 ATS (65.5 percent). At -110, 19 wins and 10 losses is +7.6 units, ROI=26.2 percent. Tampa is getting the points. Carolina is laying the short number at home.

Bet against a short home favorite of three points or fewer when the underdog has shown it can run the ball at 4.5 yards or better. Tampa’s ground game is still functional. That situation since the early 2010s: 17-9 ATS (65.4 percent) for the dog. At -110 that is +6.5 units, ROI=25.0 percent.

Shop the hook. If it is +2.5 or +3, the value is cleaner. If it drops to +1.5 with heavy juice, the edge shrinks. Confirm Mayfield’s status and any late defensive news on both sides. A backup quarterback or missing offensive pieces changes the side more for the favorite than the dog here. The house does not care that Carolina is sitting atop the division early. The total and the short number are already on the sheet. The points are the quieter play.

My selection is on Atlanta plus the points over San Francisco at 1 pm et on Sunday.

We cashed a ticket fading the 49ers on Monday Night Football as they won but failed to cover against the Commanders. Still undefeated on the season, I think the Niners are ripe for the 'upset' as they head to Atlanta to take on the Falcons on Sunday afternoon. Atlanta is coming off a tough home loss to the Bears last week. That marked its second straight loss both SU and ATS and it has quickly fallen out of favor with most bettors following a brief surge that saw it win consecutive primetime games in Green Bay and New Orleans. I still think the Falcons are a good team with plenty of weapons on offense and a competitive defense led by an underrated coordinator in Jeff Ulbrich. Look for the Falcons to scheme up a gameplan to take San Francisco down to the wire at the very least on Sunday, noting that this will only be the Niners second true road game of the season (they won the other by a field goal in Seattle two weeks ago). Take Atlanta (8*).

1* on Warriors +9½

Michigan State vs UCLA NCAAF Free Pick

The Angle(s): The UCLA Bruins haven't missed a beat with Ty Dieffenbach under center, as he threw for 264 yards in his first start while the defense held Wisconsin to just 214 total yards. UCLA has covered every game this season.

The Michigan State Spartans make the cross-country trip on a five-game skid, and after back-to-back gut-punch losses to Illinois and Northwestern by a combined four points, and I expect a deflated group. Their ground game has stalled since losing running back Cam Edwards, and they've dropped 13 straight against ranked opponents. UCLA also cruised in this matchup last year, winning by 25 points in East Lansing.

The Bet: UCLA ATS (3%).

Marc David's NCAAF Free Pick

We really like the under in this matchup. The Rebels (5-1) bring a high-powered offense, but in their only true road test against a ranked opponent this season they were held in check in a blowout loss at Florida. Now they walk into Austin against the best defense they've seen all year.

The Longhorns (4-2) have dropped two straight 27-24 games and their offense has sputtered, but their defense is allowing just 272 yards per game.

The under hit for both teams last Saturday. A desperate Texas team that wants to shorten the game and an elite defense at home point to a grind. We like this one to stay under the number.

This is a FREE PLAY on the UNDER.

Free Play – Take #404 Alabama -13 over Texas A&M (3:30 p.m. ET, Saturday, October 24)

Granted, Tennessee is a good club, but Alabama let the loss to Georgia turn into two setbacks with a tepid performance at Knoxville. With two defeats, the Crimson Tide have to win out to assure themselves a seat at the table of 12 in December for the playoffs. Texas A&M was presumed to be in the mix for a playoff berth, but at 4-3, coach Mike Elko and the Aggies have had to reassess their season goals. Though Texas A&M brought back veteran quarterback Marcel Reed, he, like many experienced quarterbacks across the country, has not gotten better with experience. Look for Bama to be fired up angrily in Tuscaloosa and lay a beat down on the Aggies. Expect a big passing day the Alabama offense with A&M 1-9 ATS vs. good passing teams averaging eight or more passing yards per attempt. The Tide Rolls.

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Free Pick on Oregon -9½ -110

FREE PLAY on Texas State -13½

PSP Data Driven 1* Ole Miss.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Underdog. Ole Miss are 8-2 in their last 10 games. Ole Miss are 3-1 in their last 4 road games.

I am looking at the Kentucky Wildcats hosting the Vanderbilt Commodores. Kentucky’s five-game win streak has been dramatic: overtime victories over South Carolina and LSU, a road win at Texas A&M, and a gritty 21-13 comeback at Oklahoma last week that put them in first place in the SEC. They have often trailed late or needed late heroics. Now they return home as a double-digit favorite for the first time against an SEC opponent this season, with a bye the following week and College Football Playoff talk circulating. That combination frequently produces flatter efforts.

Stein has already flagged the danger, repeatedly referencing last year’s 45-17 humiliation in Nashville as motivation and warning that records can be deceiving. Previews have noted an understandable emotional letdown risk after the Oklahoma high. Should see big money pile on the ranked home favorite, which often leaves value on the dog when the favorite is due for a less-than-dominant performance.

Play on the Vanderbilt Commodores plus the points rotation #405 +10.5

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