Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Yuliia Starodubtseva +165

(#764) Iowa State Cyclones | ATS | . 

Although people like cheering for the underdog in March during this tournament, I believe that there are some other spots to do so on Friday. Tennessee State has an excellent player in Aaron Nkrumah. But, other than him, the Tigers really aren't that special. Earlier this season, they lost by 29 against Tennessee & 27 against Alabama A&M.

Iowa State's been playing some of its best basketball again and is a legitimate title contender in my eyes. The Cyclones have the best three point shooter in the country in Milan Momcilovic (50% on 7.5 shots per game) and have some massive blowout wins on the year. That includes a 49 point thrashing over Arizona State already in March. I expect complete domination from ISU on Friday.

Burns' Prediction: 93-58 ISU.

*Free Play on Kansas* The Cal Baptist Lancers have a star in Daniels in the backcourt, but he is just 5'10 (and likely a bit shorter than this listing), and Kansas has tons of length and quickness in the backcourt. Council is one of the quickest guards in the country, and he will make things far more difficult than the average backcourt Daniels and Cal Baptist have seen. Bidunga is one of the best defensive players in the country waiting in the paint to send away shots too.

The Kansas team was streaky this year, but Cal Baptist is outmanned here. Kansas ranks number one in overall strength of schedule at KenPom. Cal Baptist has been busy playing in one of the weakest conferences in the country.

Take Kansas.

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1*

UCLA erased any talk that it couldn't win outside the Pacific time zone. They did that by going 3-0 ATS, including beating Rutgers and Michigan State, at the Big Ten Conference Tournament in Chicago last week.

The Bruins are peaking at the right time going 6-2 SU, 7-1 ATS in their last eight games posting upset wins not only against Michigan State but Illinois and Nebraska, too, during this time frame. UCLA has compiled the second-most efficient offense in the country during the past four weeks, sparked by elite point guard Donovan Dent, who has recovered from a minor calf injury suffered in the Big Ten Conference Tournament semifinals against Purdue. 

UCF is going in the other direction. The Knights are 1-4 in their last five games. Their lone victory during this span was an overtime win against Cincinnati when the Bearcats choked away an eight point lead during the final two minutes of regulation.

The Knights have made only 19 percent of their 3-point shots during their last four games going 16-for-83. Their 280th ranked defense cannot overcome any offensive deficiencies. UCLA has held its last five opponents to an average of 67.2 points a game. The Bruins rank 67th in 3-point defense.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 18-10-1 on his last 29 college basketball premium/free plays for 64 percent and 16-7 on his last 27 NBA premium/free plays. Don't miss any of Stephen's basketball winners.) 

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Long Island +31

The Arizona Wildcats are getting a lot of love coming into the NCAA Tournament after winning the Big 12 regular season title and backing it up with the Big 12 Tournament title.  I expect them to come into the NCAA Tournament a little 'fat and happy' and feeling like they can take a breather now with a big step down in class here against Long Island.

We saw it happen with Duke Thursday as the Blue Devils were life and death with Siena after winning the ACC regular season and tournament titles.  And while I don't expect Arizona to struggle as much as Duke, I do think the Wildcats will need to be on their 'A' game to come close to covering this inflated 31-point spread against Long Island.

Arizona failed to beat Utah Tech, Denver, Norfolk State and South Dakota State by more than 30 points in the non-conference and all four of those games were at home.  Illinois is the only team that beat Long Island by more than 22 points all season, and the Sharks actually played some stiff competition with the 119th-ranked non-conference schedule.

They beat La Salle, JMU, Missouri State and Lehigh in the non-conference.  They only lost by 4 at Mississippi State as 16.5-point dogs and by 15 at Georgia as 30.5-point dogs.  They rank 52nd in 3-point shooting at 36.1% and 62nd at defending the 3 at 31.9%.

The Sharks are led by four senior guards who are all averaging in double figures scoring.  Jamal Fuller (16.4 PPG), Malachi Davis (14.4 PPG) and Greg Gordon (14.1 PPG) are the leaders.  I trust these guys to handle the moment, and Arizona isn't known for pressure defense anyway.  I expect the Wildcats to win, but not as comfortably as this line indicates.  Bet Long Island Friday.

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1* Free Pick on Hofstra +11½

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* NCAAB - N Iowa/St. John's FREE PICK on St. John's -9.5

Dave's Friday Free Play:

1* on Northern Iowa/St. John's UNDER 132.5

The Key: St. John's ranks 12th in the nation defensively and put the clamps down on UConn 72-52 in the Big East Championship Game.  Northern Iowa ranks 24th in the nation defensively and has held 9 straight opponents to 69 points or fewer, including 62 points or less in 6 of those.  The Panthers also play at the 3rd-slowest tempo in the nation.  They will slow this game down as much as possible to give themselves a chance at being competitive against St. John's.  The Red Storm are a poor 3-point shooting team and Northern Iowa plays a pack line defense that forces opponents to beat them from outside.  The Panthers won't get much offensively against this physical, athletic St. John's defense.  Take the UNDER.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Blazers vs Wolves over 229½ -110

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cal Baptist/Kansas UNDER 138.5

Kansas is 22-11 UNDER in all games this season.  Cal Baptist is 21-12 UNDER in all games this season.  Kansas ranks 55th in offense and 10th in defense.  Cal Baptist ranks 192nd in offense and 53rd in defense.  The Lancers also play slow at the 266th in tempo.  Fouls shouldn't come into play at the end with Kansas listed as a 14.5-point favorite.  Give me the UNDER.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Orioles +105

Friday Card has 4 big Tournament Plays Including the 1st Round Play of the year tonight on a TOP Side. We also have NBA and more. Comp play below

The Friday Comp play is on the Under in the Miami Ohio vs Tennessee match up at 4:25 eastern. The game fits an Under system that has gone under 50 of 63 times and today there is a perfect 7-0 subset that pertains to Miami Ohio as a team that come sin off a dog win  and the total is 151 or lower.  The Vols are on a 9-2 under run and the Red Hawks who likely will be in a scoring regression for this game after scoring 83+ in 2 straight games and now facing a tough SEC Team. Look for this game to stay under. GL Rob V-

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take #759 Queens Royals +25.5 over Purdue Boilermakers (7:35p.m., Friday, March 20 TruTV) Purdue showed up in Chicago for the Big 10 Tournament but they have not played well during the second half of the season. We will grab the points with the Royals on Friday night in St. Louis, MO. Purdue is nowhere near as strong on defense this year and many of their stars are not shooting it well. They got a cakewalk to the Big 10 Finals by getting to play a depleted UCLA team on Saturday. They are overseeded and are not a strong two seed. The Royals can score points and should get hot at some point in this game to cover this spread. Do not miss out on Doc’s Sports Weekend Card featuring top plays in basketball, hockey, and other sports. Sign-up now and let 54 years of handicapping experience work for you.

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Chip’s FREE CBK Winner

Central Florida vs UCLA 7:25 ET

Panthers (+) over Bruins - UCLA has been a major disappointment this season especially to coach Nick Cronin who expected top-10 quality play. Cronin has been very vocal and critical of his teams play this season and is actually surprised that the Bruins advanced as far as they did in the Big Ten tourney. UCF has had a number  key releases winners for ‘us’ this season and I feel like they are in that position once again. Take CENTRAL FLORIDA!

Friday CBB Free Pick

PLAY ON: Missouri +110 (ML) 

The UFC Fight Night main event this Saturday at The O2 Arena in London pits undefeated featherweight contenders Movsar Evloev against hometown fighter Lerone Murphy in a high-stakes matchup with title implications looming. Evloev enters as the betting favorite, riding a perfect 19-0 professional record built largely on relentless grappling pressure and control. He has secured the majority of his victories by decision, 12 out of 19 overall, including all nine of his UFC wins, showcasing a grinding style that wears opponents down through takedowns, top control, and sustained pace rather than seeking early finishes. This approach has proven highly effective against elite competition, allowing him to dominate rounds and avoid risks that could lead to upsets.

Murphy, boasting a 17-0-1 record (with the draw in his UFC debut), counters with explosive finishing power and sharp striking. He has racked up eight knockouts in his career, including several first-round finishes, and his recent UFC performances highlight a knack for landing devastating shots like knees, elbows, and precise combinations. His ability to avoid damage while maintaining high output makes him dangerous in stand-up exchanges, and he thrives when fights remain at range where his reach and power can shine.

One compelling angle here is the historical trend of home-country fighters in UFC events held in the United Kingdom. UK-based competitors have occasionally defied expectations as underdogs, capitalizing on crowd energy, familiarity with the venue, and the psychological boost of performing in front of passionate fans. While not every home fighter wins, these bouts have produced notable upsets or closer-than-expected results, particularly when the underdog possesses knockout upside against a more methodical opponent. Recent UFC cards in the UK have shown that local fighters often perform with extra intensity, turning potential decisions into highlight-reel moments.

Betting trends in featherweight title eliminators and undefeated-vs-undefeated clashes further support looking at the underdog side when the price offers value. Favorites in grinding stylistic matchups can become overbacked due to their consistency and records, but underdogs with finishing tools have cashed at plus-money odds by catching opponents in exchanges or capitalizing on openings that the favorite's cautious approach leaves exposed. Murphy's active schedule compared to Evloev's longer layoff adds another layer, momentum and sharpness can play a role in five-round wars where early damage shifts momentum.

This spot presents a live underdog opportunity at around +195 to +205. Murphy's finishing power gives him a clear path to victory if he keeps the fight standing or stuffs takedowns effectively, while the home-crowd factor and his explosive style make him more than just a live dog, he's a fighter capable of turning the fight with one big shot. For bettors seeking value over chalky favorites in this card, backing Murphy outright offers strong potential in a matchup where the grinding favorite could be vulnerable to power if the pace isn't fully controlled.

AAA Sports' Selection -- Colorado Avalanche (Puck Line):

Colorado has lost three games in a row and now has just a two point lead over Dallas.

The Avalanche have a tough road trip coming up meaning this first game is going to be very important.

They are still 6-1 over their L7 road games this season with the NHL's top record.

Chicago just played and won last night against Minnesota.

The Blackhawks are just 10-20 over their L30 games on the second leg of a back-to-back.

We're expecting a big Colorado win in response.

PSP Data Driven 1* Under.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the Under. The total has gone under in 7 of Iowa last 12 games. The total has gone under in 3 of Clemson last 5 games in march.