Today’s Best Free Sports Betting Picks and Predictions From Our Experts

[1%] Free Play on Angels +130

1* Free Play on Orioles -141

1 Dimer on Tigers +117

Ricky's 1* play on DET.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- The Tigers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games.

- The Mariners are 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games.

- The Tigers are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 head to head meetings

Verdict: The value is on the road Underdog.

Free Play on Orioles -141

Grant Holmes is not my favorite Braves pitcher. But that is discounted in the price, which is still low enough to back Atlanta hosting the Marlins.

The Braves have the best home record in the National League at 36-20. Miami is 24-32 on the road.

Holmes' numbers are far from terrible - 6-4 record with a 3.88 ERA - and he's backed by the NL's best bullpen. Atlanta relievers have an NL-low 3.42 ERA. The Marlins have scored 3 or fewer runs in eight of their last 12 games. 

This is shaping up to be a bullpen game for Miami with the likelihood that Ryan Gusto and his 5.31 ERA will be pitching at some point.  Only three teams have hit more home runs than the Braves. Atlanta also is the fifth highest scoring team when playing at home. (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is beating the bases again this season riding his hottest stretch of the season going 18-4-1 on his last 23  MLB premium plays, including 11-2-1 on his last 14 for 85%! Stephen has an MLB Tuesday Top Ticket Total today in addition to this free selection.) 

(#954) Atlanta Braves | ML | . 

Ryan Gusto (0-2, 5.31 ERA) vs. Grant Holmes (6-4, 3.88 ERA) . 

Despite the winning record, I'm still not a huge fan of this Miami Marlins team. They've had a great season considering the roster. However, I don't believe that they are going to be able to keep up with the top teams in the MLB as we near crunch time in this MLB season. Ryan Gusto gets the nod on Tuesday and he's been poor this season.

On the other hand, Grant Holmes has been pretty average. I know that average isn't excellent by any means. But, he gets the job done for the most part when called upon. I am also much more impressed with Atlanta's lineup. At home, give me the Braves at this price.

Burns' Prediction: 6-2 Braves.

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Tuesday’s free winner: Milwaukee Brewers.

Game 956.

4:40 PM PST/7:40 PM EST.

The Milwaukee Brewers have been just about the most consistent team in all of the Majors thus far this season. However, Superman has kryptonite, and Milwaukee has Pittsburgh. While the Pirates have now climbed to playing .500 baseball at 57-57, they have certainly dominated today’s opponent. Pittsburgh has taken six of seven meetings against Milwaukee in 2026. They enter today’s matchup struggling a bit, dropping five of their last seven overall outings, which does include three of the last five games played as a visitor. That is significant because the Brewers happen to be one of the best home teams in baseball, sporting a 36-21 record at American Family Field this season, en route to an overall record of 69-43. The pitching matchup here certainly makes me raise an eyebrow as Jones and Henderson are scheduled. The Pirates right-hander is 2-2 with the respectable ERA of 3.81 this season. He has pitched well recently, and is pretty good on the road, to boot. He has had only one career start against the Brewers, and that was two seasons ago. The Milwaukee right-hander owns a very solid mark of 5-1 with an even more impressive ERA of 2.66. He is 5-0 over his last six outings, as the team has won seven consecutive turns made by the hurler. We are not coming around the homestretch of the regular season just yet. However, I really feel the Brewers are going to need to make a statement against a division opponent who has certainly starting to stride, and has had success against them. Take Milwaukee. Thank you.

Recommended Bet: Tigres UANL +190

This is a FREE PLAY on Toronto.

While only 4-8 SU on the road, the Tempo are 8-3-1 ATS away from friendly confines this year.

Golden State is 12-4 SU at home, but a more pedestrian 8-7-1 ATS in front of the home town crowd.

The Tempo are eager to snap a six-game slide and to avenge a 96-79 loss here on Sunday.

Golden State, on the other hand, could potentially be caught "looking ahead" to its two-game road trip starting on Thursday at Dallas and then at LA on Saturday.

I'm not calling for an outright upset, but I do think this one sets up well for TORONTO from a situational stand point.

Consider TORONTO.

Good luck, NP

1* Free Pick on Tigers +120

1* on Tigers +117

Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: Tampa Bay Rays -141

The Tampa Bay Rays got their bats going yesterday in a 13-9 win over the Colorado Rockies. Look for them to stay hot at the plate today against rookie Gabriel Hughes.

The Rays made a big move at the deadline by trading for Freddy Peralta. No question he was having a rough season with the Mets, but now he has new life and a positive outlook and will be motivated to prove the Rays made the right move.

Peralta has owned the Rockies, going 5-3 with a 3.12 ERA in nine career starts against them. Most impressively is how well he has pitched at Coors Field. Peralta is 3-0 with a 1.25 ERA in four career road starts at Colorado, allowing just 3 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings. Bet the Rays Tuesday.

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1* Free Pick on Angels +130

Getting +130 on any team playing a Baltimore squad this banged up is a price I'll take.

The Orioles are 54-58 with 10 names on the IL, and the back of that pitching staff is gutted.

Orioles lefty Cade Povich is the starter, and he's running a 5.12 ERA with a recent elbow issue on his record.

That's the guy the market is asking me to lay a price against.

I'm not doing it.

Behind Povich, Baltimore is missing Felix Bautista, Ryan Helsley, Chris Bassitt, and Zach Eflin.

Their high-leverage bullpen is essentially a Triple-A group.

If this game goes to the 7th tied or close, the Angels have a real path.

The opposition case is obvious and I'll address it: Angels starter Grayson Rodriguez is sitting on a 7.98 ERA and a 7.92 xERA.

That's ugly, and it's the entire reason this line is +130 instead of -110.

But the market is pricing Rodriguez like he'll give up 6 runs and pricing Povich like he's a league-average lefty.

Povich isn't.

He's a 5.12 ERA arm working back from injury.

The Angels lineup has Mike Trout hitting second and Jorge Soler in the four hole.

That's enough thump against a vulnerable lefty in a warm 82 degree Camden park where the ball travels.

At -110 I pass.

At +130 the number is off.

Line value is the whole game, and I'm buying the price.

I like the Angels

1* MLB - Dodgers/Cubs FREE PICK on Cubs +192

Dave's Tuesday Free Play:

1* on Chicago Cubs +183

The Key: For all the hype the Dodgers are getting right now leading into the trade deadline they aren't playing very well. They have gone 0-4 in their last 4 games overall. Tarik Skubal will make his Los Angeles debut tonight and there's a ton of pressure on him. I can't imagine he's gotten much sleep with this whirlwind. What's getting overlooked is just how good Javier Assad has been at home for the Cubs. He is 2-0 with a 2.22 ERA while yielding only 7 ER in 28 1/3 innings. The Cubs have actually had a better offense than the Dodgers this season, too. Take Chicago.

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1* FREE INFO PLAY Marlins +130

1* Free Wiseguy Play on Pirates/Brewers over 7½ +100

*All picks are based on situations, trends, statistics and injuries among many other factors*

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Boston Red Sox -127

The Boston Red Sox are 28-5 in their last 33 games overall. They are the hottest team in baseball and have put themselves in a great position to make the playoffs. They have shown no signs of slowing down, and getting them as short home favorites tonight over the Chicago White Sox is a nice value. Patrick Sandoval has a 3.32 ERA in four starts for the Red Sox this season. Davis Martin is 4-4 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in 11 road starts for the White Sox this season. Martin has given up at least 4 earned runs in three of his last four starts. He gave up 5 earned runs in 4 innings of a 5-0 loss to the Red Sox on July 8th in his last start against them. Sandoval gave up one earned run in 4 1/3 innings of a 2-1 win over Chicago in the same series on July 9th. Give me the Red Sox.

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1* Best Bet on Yankees -175

No analysis provided.

1* Free Sharp Play on Tigers +140

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The Leagues Cup Comp play is on the Over 2.5 goals in the Juarez at Minnesota match at 8:30 eastern. Neither team has played well of late. Juarez has lost the last 3 matches and Minnesota is win less over the last 5. We expect both teams to score at least once here as these League Cup games ten to be a bit more wide open and less tactical then the domestic League matches. Juarez allowed 5 goals last out. the most likely outcome is a Minnesota win with the game playing over 3.5. GL Rob V

MLB

08/04/2026   (4:40 pt / 7:40 et)

965. Minnesota Twins  vs  966. Kansas City Royals

Take: 965. Twins/Royals OVER 9

Jim Feist’s free play for Tuesday, August 4 is Minnesota and Kansas City OVER. Minnesota will have Joe Ryan on the mound. He has a solid 3.52 ERA but Kansas City has already scored five earned runs off him this season in their first meeting. Kansas City will counter with Randy Dobnak who has an impressive 1.04 ERA but the sample size is very small. He will get his first real test with a Minnesota lineup that has had much better power and on-base numbers as of late.

The Royals bullpen is also another factor in play here as they have a bloated 5.40 ERA which ranks second worst in all of baseball. Minnesota and Kansas City have also had finals of 8-6 and 6-5 in their previous meetings showing that both offenses have what it takes to push this game into the double digits.

Jim Feist’s free play: Minnesota Twins-Kansas City Royals OVER the Total.

Tuesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Mariners -136 

The number they don’t want you to take is sitting right there, quiet while the chalk gets all the noise. You can already feel that slow burn starting when the favorite begins to crack and the ticket starts to heat up in your hand. This is the one that hits when nobody’s watching. Grab it before the rest of the room wakes up and the edge disappears.

I’ve been playing these kinds of spots for a long time, and Minnesota with Joe Ryan tonight has that familiar smell of value the public always walks past. Ryan is 6-7 with a 3.52 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over 120.1 innings. He’s punched out 135 hitters against only 25 walks. Run the simple math: 135120.1×9 \frac{135}{120.1} \times 9 120.1135×9 gives you roughly 10.1 strikeouts per nine, and 25120.1×9 \frac{25}{120.1} \times 9 120.125×9 lands at about 1.87 walks per nine. That K/BB ratio sits near 5.40. Those are not Cy Young numbers, but they are the numbers of a guy who keeps games in order more often than not.

Now stack that against Kansas City. The Royals are 46-67, a .407 winning percentage that has them buried in last place. Their run differential is ugly, somewhere around –109. Minnesota sits at 56-57, nothing flashy, but the gap between the two clubs is real. League-wide, underdogs in baseball still cash around 42 to 43 percent of the time over recent seasons, higher than any other major sport. When you narrow it further to clubs facing teams with losing records this bad, the better side covers more often than the price suggests. The public loves the shiny favorite. This number is the quiet one that has been paying the bills for years.

Ryan’s history against these Royals is another layer. Career numbers show him around 8-3 with a 2.76 ERA in a solid sample of starts against them. He has routinely kept their bats in check, and that familiarity matters. The Royals have been a mess at home too, hovering near .500 in their own park while getting crushed overall. Minnesota’s road mark sits around 26-30, nothing special, but good enough when the opponent is this soft.

The recent trends line up the same way. Kansas City has been dropping series and bleeding runs for weeks. Minnesota has been grinding out better results against similar competition. Ryan does not need to throw a complete game. He just needs to work five or six clean innings the way he has done most of the year while the Twins lineup finds a couple extra runs. That is the core of the play. The math, the records, the head-to-head history, and the league-wide underdog patterns all point in one direction.

I like this number because it still carries a little extra juice for the risk. The chalk is loud and the public is already there. This is the one that sits quiet until the favorite starts to crack. Take the Twins and let the slow burn do the rest.

Alex Smart Sports – MLB Prop Value Line Best Bets (Props, Trends & Sharp Angles for August 4, 2026) (Because nothing says “I’m still paying attention” like betting player props in early August)

Listen, we’re deep enough into the 2026 season that the early-season noise has mostly settled and the real patterns are showing their teeth. A full 15-game slate today with a mix of divisional scraps, Coors Field chaos, and a couple of pitching mismatches that feel like they were designed for prop hunters. I’ve been grinding these boards long enough to know when the numbers are actually talking and when they’re just background noise.

Here’s the no-BS version with the edges that jumped out, plus the player and team props that actually look like they have a pulse.

League-Wide Vibes So Far (Early August 2026) Home teams are still holding around that 52-54 percent win rate, nothing sexy but steady enough. Scoring is sitting in that mid-4s range overall, except when the ball starts flying in certain parks. Favorites are winning at a respectable clip, but the real money has been hiding in the prop markets where the public still overvalues name recognition and underweights recent form and matchup specifics.

The Games That Actually Matter for Props

Rays @ Rockies (8:40 PM ET) Coors Field does what Coors Field does. Total is sitting up around 11 and the atmosphere alone usually delivers. Rays are rolling as one of the stronger clubs in the AL while Colorado continues to live and die by the altitude.

My Plays:

Rays team total over 5.5 (they travel well and the park helps)Player Props: Brandon Lowe or Junior Caminero Over 1.5 total bases (both have been swinging it with authority lately)Over on the game total feels like the most natural play on the board

Dodgers @ Cubs (8:05 PM ET) Tarik Skubal is the real deal and the Cubs have been inconsistent against lefties who miss bats. This one has the look of a lower-scoring affair than the total suggests if Skubal is locked in.

My Plays:

Skubal Over 6.5 strikeouts (he’s been racking them up and the Cubs chase)Player Props: Shohei Ohtani or Mookie Betts Over 1.5 total bases (superstars still do superstar things even on the road)Under the team total for Chicago looks interesting if you want the contrarian lean

Cardinals @ Yankees (7:05 PM ET) Yankees lineup is still scary when it gets rolling and the Cardinals have been up-and-down. Ryan Weathers has been serviceable but the hits allowed number looks soft against this group.

My Plays:

Yankees team total Over 4.5Player Props: Aaron Judge or Juan Soto Over 1.5 total bases (these two still change games in a hurry)Weathers Under 5.5 hits allowed has some quiet value if he keeps the ball on the ground

Phillies vs Nationals (6:40 PM ET) Phillies are heavy favorites and the Nationals have been struggling to put consistent at-bats together. This is the kind of mismatch where the top of the order usually eats.

My Plays:

Bryce Harper or Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 home runs (both have the power profile and the matchup)Phillies team total Over 5.5Player Props: Trea Turner to get a hit (he’s been reliable in these spots)

Quick Hits & Other Stuff Worth Watching

Astros games have been leaning over more often than not this year, so any Houston team total or game total still carries some residual heat.Braves at home against the Marlins feels like another spot where Atlanta’s bats can get going. Ronald Acuña Jr. or Michael Harris II to get a hit are the clean ones.Multiple night games and a Coors contest means the overall scoring environment is a little juiced. Lean overs in the high-total spots and be careful with the low ones.Always double-check final lineups and weather, especially in Denver. Things shift fast.

Smart Money – Top 5 Recommended Props Today

Rays team total Over 5.5 @ Coors – hottest team meets the ultimate bandbox.Tarik Skubal Over 6.5 Ks – best pure pitching prop on the board.Aaron Judge Over 1.5 total bases – still the most reliable power bat in most spots.Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 HR – power-on-power matchup that fits.Little Prop Parlay: Caminero Over 1.5 TB + Betts Over 1.5 TB (spicy but the form supports it).

Baseball betting in August is part reading the room, part trusting the recent numbers, and part hoping the bullpen you like doesn’t decide to invent new ways to lose leads. Always check final pitchers and lineups, shop your numbers, and remember the house doesn’t care how sharp your historical notes are.

Enjoy the games, bet smart, and may your props cash before the 9th inning

My selection is on the 'under' between Pittsburgh and Milwaukee at 7:40 pm et on Tuesday.

We saw a relatively low-scoring affair to open this series last night as the Pirates came away with a 4-3 victory. I'll call for more of the same scoring-wise on Tuesday as we have an even better starting pitching matchup. Jared Jones and Logan Henderson are by no means household names but they're two of the better young starting pitchers in the game today. Neither team has seen all that much of the opposition hurler in this case with the Buccos totalling only four at-bats against Henderson and the Brewers just 12 against Jones. Both bullpens figure to have all of their higher-leverage arms available and keep in mind the Pirates bolstered their 'pen with the addition of Luke Weaver prior to the trade deadline. A first to three or first to four wins type of affair is what I'm expecting on Tuesday at American Family Field. Take the under (8*).

Brewers vs Pirates MLB Free Pick

The Angle(s): The Pittsburgh Pirates have won just four of their last six, and even if the wins they've found runs hard to come by. Milwaukee has splits its last 10 games, and runs have been scarce for them as well. Both Logan Henderson (5-1, 2.66 ERA) and Jared Jones (2-2, 3.81).comes in with ERAs around the 2.00 mark over their last five starts.

The Bet: Under (3%).

Marc David Sports' Free Pick

We really like the home team in this matchup. Pittsburgh RHP Jared Jones (2-2, 3.81 ERA) has seen hits team lose his last two starts while Milwaukee is 8-0 in Logan Henderson's last eight starts. Henderson has been exceptional at home, same as Milwaukee as a team.

This is a FREE PLAY on the BREWERS!

Free Pick on Tigers +124

FREE PLAY on Marlins +133

3* on over

PSP Data Driven 1* Diamondbacks.

At Professionalsportspicks we see a future where those handicapping sports without advanced analytics and data-driven strategies will be left behind. Our data-driven picks use data integration, search and discovery, and knowledge management along with collaboration with our in-house handicappers. By isolating relevant trends, removing human bias, and targeting only lines with a positive expected value above a certain threshold, our data-driven picks promise to outperform any and all human competitors.

Our models suggest that the value is on the favorite. The Diamondbacks are 6-4 in their last 10 games. Eduardo Rodriguez is 4-1 in his last 5 starts for the Diamondbacks.

Guardians are heavy favorites at home, and rightfully so — they were buyers at the deadline and upgraded their roster, while the Mets sold off talent and are clearly retooling for next year. So why the Mets here?

Despite Cleveland drawing the public money, the line hasn't budged — a sign that the sharper, bigger bets are actually landing on New York. Add in the Mets' strong interleague record and a bullpen that's been quietly excellent, and there's a real case for the upset.

The safer play is Mets +1.5 (-160), but if you want to get greedy: take the Mets +130 on the moneyline.

Let's cash some tickets!