Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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10-18-17 | Bucks v. Celtics -147 | 108-100 | Loss | -147 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics showed plenty of character coming back from a 16-point deficit at halftime to out-score the Cavs 33-18 in the third quarter. The loss of Gordon Hayward will be tough, but I think they can overcome it. They face a tough test here tonight, playing the second game of a back to back at home versus Milwaukee. The Bucks were one of the best defensive teams in the East last year, and that's a big reason why the under is 8-2-1 in Milwaukee's last 11 overall. While the Celtics are without Hayward, Milwaukee is going to miss PF Jabari Parker, who averaged over 20 points per game last year. The Bucks lost three of four pre-season games, averaging less than 100 points per game. I expect a tight defensive battle here in Boston. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
10-17-17 | Rockets v. Warriors UNDER 232 | 122-121 | Loss | -110 | 35 h 45 m | Show | |
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10-17-17 | Celtics +3.5 v. Cavs | 99-102 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Boston Celtics. Kyrie Irving and his Celtics would appear to have a lot more to prove than Cleveland here on Opening Night. The Celtics are the defending Eastern Conference champs, and Cleveland has already proven that regular season success is not a high priority. It was Kyrie Irving that was the better player in the NBA Finals when Cleveland won the title, and he was better in last year's Finals as well. Isaiah Thomas finished 5th in MVP voting with the Celtics last year, and now Irving steps in to fill his role as "The Man" in Boston. It's worth noting that in Boston's loss to Cleveland in the NBA Finals, they were far more competitive without Thomas in the lineup. They covered the spread in both Games 3 & 4 in Cleveland, and they led by double-digits at halftime in Game 4. The Celtics are 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games, and 3-0-1 ATS in their last four at Cleveland. I'll take the points. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-17 | Warriors -5.5 v. Cavs | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on the Warriors. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight.I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-09-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 229 | 116-137 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
This is a 5* play on GS@CLE to go UNDER. The Cavs played about as well as they possibly can in Game 3, but in the end the Warriors won and covered, taking a commanding 3-0 lead. This sets up Cleveland for a let down (maybe even a lay down) spot at home in Game 4. It's hard to imagine that the Cavs are too motivated to force a 5th game, which would have them travel to Oakland, where they could watch the Warriors celebrate in front of a home crowd. LeBron James scored 39 points and came one assist away from a triple-double in Game 3, but he's traditionally struggled when facing elimination in the Finals. When the Warriors won in Cleveland in 2015, he scored 32 points, but shot just 13-of-33 from the field in the final game of the series. The Previous season, LeBron's Miami Heat lost to the Spurs in five games. LeBron scored 31 points in Game 5, shooting for a lower percentage than any of the previous four games in the series. The Cavs have no answer for Kevin Durant, who leads all scorers averaging 34 points per game in the Finals. I expect Durant to have a big night, helping the Warriors close out a 16-0 post-season with a win tonight.I also like the following props: 4TH quarter total UNDER 55.5 -110 @ Bet365 LeBron James no triple double -215 @ 5Dimes Warriors first to score 30 points -150 @ 5Dimes Kevin Durant to score more points than Curry, James, Irving +220 @ Bet365 LeBron James under 55.5 points + rebounds + assists -135 @ 5Dimes GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-07-17 | Warriors v. Cavs UNDER 221 | Top | 118-113 | Loss | -110 | 77 h 43 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@CLE to go Under the total. Game 1 of the NBA Finals fell well short of an inflated total, and the bookmakers adjusted with a much lower number for Game 2. We saw an offensive outburst in the second game of the series, but the end result was the same (a blowout win for the Warriors). Here is what I said prior to Game 1: "The Cavs will play the Warriors in a rematch of last year's NBA Finals. In fact this is the third straight season that Cleveland will face the Warriors in the Finals, and over the past two seasons they have played 13 NBA Finals matches. Not one of those games saw more than 216 combined points. During the regular season these teams played three times, and went under in all three games. Despite these trends, a matchup between two teams that each ranked in the top five in scoring has the bookmakers opening with another enormous total for Game 1. Both these teams have put up impressive points totals in these playoffs, but they've also been dominant on defense. The Warriors have gone over in six straight, but the total for this game in far higher than it was in any of those previous contests. So far in these playoffs neither the Warriors or the Cavs have truly been in a position where they need to battle for a full 48 minutes. This is the Finals, and the stakes are high. Don't expect to see easy buckets and mental lapses on the defensive side of the ball. LeBron's legacy is at stake here, and while he just passed MJ to become the all time playoff scoring leader, I've been more impressed with his defense so far in this post-season." After a combined 245 points were scored in Game 2, the total for tonight's game is significantly higher than it was on Sunday. I think this is another over-correction by the bookmakers. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
06-01-17 | Cavs v. Warriors UNDER 226.5 | Top | 91-113 | Win | 100 | 149 h 50 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@GS to go UNDER the total. Take UNDER. Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-25-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 216 | Top | 135-102 | Loss | -110 | 19 h 54 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total . The last time these two teams played in Boston, the total fell short of an inflated number. I cashed in on that game, and here is what I said before tip off: "The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game." The situation is a little different here in Game 5, as the Celtics are now facing elimination. The Cavs previously closed out Toronto and Indiana, and both of those elimination games saw fewer than 212 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-23-17 | Celtics v. Cavs UNDER 216 | Top | 99-112 | Win | 100 | 26 h 18 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on BOS@CLE to go UNDER the total. After suffering the worst loss in NBA Playoff History in Game 2 at home, the Celtics stunned the Cavs in Cleveland winning Game 3 by a score of 111-108. The Cavs led by 21 points in the third quarter of that game, and it looked like it was going to be another blowout. The Cavs obviously took their foot off the gas, allowing Boston to get back in the game. I seriously doubt we'll see that happen here in Game 4 tonight. We saw how dominant the Cavs can be when they held the Celtics to just 31 points in the first half of Game 2. I expect to see that same defensive intensity here in tonight's game. The Celtics upset victory in Game 3 was a feel good story, and they deserve full credit for showing up to play under tough circumstances. Don't be surprised if they suffer a let down here in tonight's game, as it's doubtful that they continue to shoot the ball so well from beyond the arc. Scoring has been up in these playoffs, and that has bookmakers setting the totals higher and higher. I think the value here in Cleveland tonight is a play on the under. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-22-17 | Warriors v. Spurs OVER 216 | 129-115 | Win | 100 | 19 h 5 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on GS@SA to go OVER the total. Last night we saw the Celtics pull off a stunning upset for the ages in Cleveland. They pushed the tempo, playing fast and making a whopping 18 three-pointers. The pressure is off for both the Spurs and the Warriors now, and I expect to see both teams come out pretty loose in Game 4. The Spurs scored 108 points in Game 3, despite going just 5-of-21 from beyond the arc. They also shot just 60 percent from the free-throw line. I expect improvements in both those categories tonight, and that will help push the total higher. These teams have played a total of six games this season (regular season and playoffs), and five of those went over the total. The Warriors have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while the Spurs have gone over in five straight home games. The Warriors scored 128 points in their series clinching win at Portland, and 121 points in their series clinching win against the Jazz. I expect to see them score 120+ again, closing out the Spurs tonight. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-21-17 | Celtics v. Cavs OVER 213 | Top | 111-108 | Win | 100 | 24 h 60 m | Show |
This is an 8* play on BOS@CLE to go OVER the total. | |||||||
05-20-17 | Warriors -6.5 v. Spurs | 120-108 | Win | 100 | 9 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Golden State Warriors. The Cleveland Cavaliers have put the Warriors on notice, and now the ball is in Golden State's court. Sure the Cavs are playing the Celtics, and the Warriors are playing the Spurs, but he reality is that these two teams are focused on a rematch of last year's Finals. Lebron James said that his team could play better after winning Game 1 in Boston by double-digits, and he wasn't kidding. Cleveland won Game 2 by a 44-point margin. With the Cavs well on their way to sweeping the Celtics, the pressure is on for Golden State to close out the Spurs as quickly as possible. Kawhi Leonard is not going to be healthy for Game 3, and he might not play at all. The Spurs have had no answer for Golden State without him, and I don't think that will change just because they are playing on their home court. They trailed at the half in their last home game in these playoffs, a 110-107 OT win over Houston. They trailed at the half in two of three home games during that series. The Warriors won their last game in San Antonio by a score of 110-98, and Kevin Durant didn't even play in that game. Take GS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-19-17 | Cavs v. Celtics UNDER 220 | Top | 130-86 | Win | 100 | 23 h 47 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on CLE@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Celtics only scored 39 points in the first half of Game 1, and the game ended up going over the total by just one bucket. The bookmakers have set a higher total for Game 2, and I am expecting a more competitive game from Boston. These two teams had gone under in six straight meetings in Boston prior to Game 1. The Cavs aren't expecting much of a challenge here from the Celtics, but their performance in the series opener appeared to be a statement directed toward the Warriors. We could see them take their foot off the gas here in Game 2. Cleveland won Game 1 by a 13 point margin, and the difference was made up at the free throw line. The Cavs attempted a whopping 35 free throws, scoring 28 points. The Celtics attempted just 18 free throws, scoring just 10 points. I would think those numbers would even out a little here in Game 2. There were plenty of "easy buckets" in the last game, and I expect to see Boston play a little harder on defense down the stretch in this game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-17-17 | Cavs v. Celtics +4.5 | Top | 117-104 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. | |||||||
05-16-17 | Spurs v. Warriors OVER 209.5 | 100-136 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@GS to go OVER the total. | |||||||
05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics -4.5 | 105-115 | Win | 100 | 23 h 41 m | Show | |
This is a 7* play on the Boston Celtics. The home team has won each and every game in this series, but Boston came very close to winning Game 6 in Washington. Bradley Beal led all scorers with 33 points in the last game, but he hasn't been the same player in Boston. He's totaled just 30 points on 11-of-31 shooting in the last two games at The Garden. History has certainly favored home teams in previous Game 7s. The home team has won 101 of a total of 126 Game 7s all time. The Celtics as a franchise have been the most successful in Game 7s, winning 21-of-29 all time. They are 18-4 all time at home in Game 7s. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-15-17 | Wizards v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 105-115 | Loss | -110 | 67 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WAS@BOS to go UNDER the total. The Wizards avoided elimination in Game 6 when John Wall hit a three-point shot with just three seconds on the clock to put Washington up by one. It was a clutch shot on a night when neither team shot the ball well, and every bucket was hard earned. Washington shot just 5-of-24 from beyond the arc, and they were just 13-of-21 from the free throw line. I expect to see another tightly contested defensive battle in a winner takes all contest at the Garden on Monday night. Washington really struggled in Game 5 in Boston, shooting just 38.5 percent from the field, and 24.1 percent from beyond the arc. Bradley Beal scored 33 points in Game 6 at home, three more than his combined points in the last two games in Boston. Over the last two seasons, we've seen six NBA playoff series go to a seventh and deciding game, and every one of those games saw fewer than 211 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-12-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -5 | 91-92 | Loss | -108 | 24 h 25 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. The home team has won every game in this series so far, and the home team won and covered in every meeting during the regular season as well. I bet on Washington in Game 4, and here is what I said prior to the game: "Washington has led at halftime in all three games in this series, and finally in Game 3 at home they were able to hold a lead. They will try to even the series at 2-2 in Game 4 on Sunday, and I like their chances of doing just that. Isaiah Thomas struggled in Game 3, playing just 29 minutes, scoring 13 points on 3-of-8 shooting. He missed the beginning of the second half after having a tooth knocked out earlier in the game. He needed surgery to repair the damage, and while he's expected to play, he's going to be hurting, especially if he takes any more shots to the jaw area. Washington was one of the best home teams in the league during the regular season, and they've won by double digits in each of their last three home games against the Celtics. The Wizards owned the boards in the last game, out-rebounding Boston 50-38. I expect to see this series go seven games, with the home team winning each and every game."Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-11-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 213 | 114-75 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on SA@HOU to go OVER the total. These teams have gone over in four of the five games so far in this series, and I bet the over in the last two games. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Spurs suffered their worst lost in history in Game 1 of this series versus Houston, but they have responded with back to back wins to take a 2-1 lead heading into Game 4. LaMarcus Aldridge struggled in the series opener, but he was great in Game 3, scoring 26 points with seven rebounds and four blocked shots. These teams played close gamed during the regular season, with three of the four decided by just a two point margin. The bookmakers have made the Rockets a six point favorite on Sunday, and the total is hovering around 212. San Antonio has seized the momentum, and their defense was impressive holding Houston to just 36.4 percent shooting in the last game. The Rockets are likely to be a lot better in tonight's must win game, and that should push the total higher than Game 3. The Spurs have gone over in six of their last seven road games, while Houston has gone over in six of their last eight following a double-digit home loss." I was a little lucky in Game 5, needing the overtime to go over. With Leonard injured, Houston should have little trouble scoring. I expect to see plenty of scoring here in Game 6. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-10-17 | Wizards v. Celtics OVER 215 | 101-123 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on WAS@BOS to go OVER the total. The Wizards shot 52.4 percent from the field, and 42.9 percent from beyond the arc in Game 4, beating the Celtics by a score of 121-102. It was the third time in four games that these two teams went over the total in this series. Both games in Boston went over, and the Wizards led at halftime in each of those contests. The Celtics needed overtime to get past Washington in Game 2, however the two teams had already scored enough points in regulation to push the total over. John Wall went off for 40 points on 16-of-32 shooting in that game, but it wasn't enough as the Celtics won 129-119. Isaiah Thomas struggled in the second half of the last game, but I wouldn't be surprised to see him get his swagger back here at home in Game 5. He was 10-of-23 from beyond the arc in the previous two games in Boston. The over is 5-0-1 in Boston's last six home games, and these two teams have gone over in eight of the last 11 meetings in Boston. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-09-17 | Rockets v. Spurs OVER 214.5 | 107-110 | Win | 100 | 7 h 17 m | Show | |
Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-08-17 | Warriors v. Jazz OVER 206 | Top | 121-95 | Win | 100 | 30 h 19 m | Show |
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05-07-17 | Spurs v. Rockets OVER 212 | Top | 104-125 | Win | 100 | 10 h 18 m | Show |
10* | |||||||
05-07-17 | Celtics v. Wizards -175 | Top | 102-121 | Win | 100 | 48 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Washington Wizards. Washington has led at halftime in all three games in this series, and finally in Game 3 at home they were able to hold a lead. They will try to even the series at 2-2 in Game 4 on Sunday, and I like their chances of doing just that. Isaiah Thomas struggled in Game 3, playing just 29 minutes, scoring 13 points on 3-of-8 shooting. He missed the beginning of the second half after having a tooth knocked out earlier in the game. He needed surgery to repair the damage, and while he's expected to play, he's going to be hurting, especially if he takes any more shots to the jaw area. Washington was one of the best home teams in the league during the regular season, and they've won by double digits in each of their last three home games against the Celtics. The Wizards owned the boards in the last game, out-rebounding Boston 50-38. I expect to see this series go seven games, with the home team winning each and every game. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-04-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 204.5 | Top | 104-115 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTAH@GS to go OVER the total. | |||||||
05-03-17 | Rockets v. Spurs UNDER 216 | Top | 96-121 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on HOU@SA to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
05-02-17 | Jazz v. Warriors OVER 206.5 | 94-106 | Loss | -105 | 23 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on UTA@GS to go OVER the total. The Warriors scored an average of 119 points per game in a four game sweep in their first round series versus Portland. That's well above the 115.9 points per game they averaged while leading the league in scoring during the regular season. The Jazz were the league's top defensive team this year, but they gave up an average of 97.7 points per game in a seven game series versus the Clippers in the first round, slightly more than their regular season average of 96.8 points per game. So much for the traditional logic that scoring goes down in the playoffs. Both these teams have a history of playing high scoring games in the playoffs. The Warriors have gone over in five of their last six Conference Semifinal games, while the over is 6-0-1 in Utah's last seven in the second round of the playoffs. The oddsmakers have set a low number here, and I think the value is on a play on the over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-01-17 | Rockets +6 v. Spurs | 126-99 | Win | 100 | 13 h 54 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. The Rockets will be getting six points in Game 1 of this second round series versus San Antonio, and during the regular season these teams played four close games. Not one of those games was decided by more than six points, and in fact three of the four were decided by just two points. Houston beat the Oklahoma City Thunder in just five games in the first round, winning Game 4 at Oklahoma City. The one loss in Game 3 came by just a two point margin. The Spurs dominated the Grizzlies at home, but lost two of three games at Memphis allowing the Grizzlies to extend that series to six games. The road team has covered the spread in each of the last five meetings between these two teams, and the Spurs have not had much post-season success the last two seasons. In 2015 they were ousted by the Clippers in the first round, and they lost two of three home games in that series. Last year they lost to Oklahoma City in the second round, again losing two of three at home. I'll take the points with Houston here in Game 1. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
05-01-17 | Raptors +7 v. Cavs | Top | 105-116 | Loss | -107 | 56 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Toronto Raptors. While the Cavs swept Indiana in the first round, they didn't really look sharp in those four games. Cleveland is asked to cover a seven point spread here in Game 1 versus the Raptors, despite the fact that all four games against the Pacers were decided by six points or less. LeBron James is still the best player in the NBA, but Kyrie Irving has looked pretty average lately. He shot over 40 percent from beyond the arc during the regular season, but is hitting just over 20 percent from three-point range in the playoffs. He averaged 5.8 assists per game during the season, but is averaging just 3 APG in the post-season. Cleveland won three of four versus the Raptors during the regular season, but all three of those wins came in gamed decided by less than five points. Toronto is 5-1 ATS in it's last six road games, while the Cavs are 0-4 ATS in their last five at home. The road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between the two teams. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-30-17 | Wizards +4.5 v. Celtics | 111-123 | Loss | -105 | 14 h 40 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Washington Wizards. The Celtics came into the playoffs as the number one seed in the Eastern Conference, but they have the lowest point differential (+2.7 points) than any number one seed since the 78-79 Seattle Supersonics. They didn't look great against the Bulls, losing both Games 1 & 2 at home. If it wasn't for an injury to Rajon Rondo, the Bulls would have likely won the series. They host Washington in the second round, and the Wizards closed out Atlanta in six games, clinching the series on the road with a 115-99 win in Atlanta in Game 6. The Celtics leading scorer Isaiah Thomas averaged 28.9 points per game this season, but is averaging roughly five points less than that here in the post-season. He has really struggled with his three-point shooting, going 3-of-26 in his last three games. It's going to be tough for Thomas to keep up with John Wall, who went off for 42 points in Game 6 at Atlanta. The Celtics are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 home games, and I'll take the Wizards plus the points in Game 1. Take WAS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-28-17 | Celtics -135 v. Bulls | Top | 105-83 | Win | 100 | 10 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Boston Celtics. The Celtics can close out this first round series versus Chicago tonight, but they'll have to win again on the road. After losing both Games 1 & 2 at home, they have now won three straight, with two of those wins coming here at the United Center. Here is what I said prior to Game 4: "The Chicago Bulls shocked the Celtics by winning back to back games in Boston, but they lost Game 3 of this series at home by a whopping 17 points. The Celtics can even the series at 2-2 with a win in Chicago tonight, and the Bulls might be in big trouble without PG Rajon Rondo. Without him they had more turnovers (17) than assists (14) in Game 3. Backup point-guards Michael Carter-Williams and Jerian Grant score a combined eight points on 3-of-10 shooting. The Celtics defense completely shut down Jimmy Butler in the last game, holding him to 14 points on 7-of-21 shooting. The Celtics didn't have any trouble winning on the road during the regular season, and the Bulls are just 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games versus a team with a winning road record. The Bulls appeared to be well on their way to recording the biggest upset of the first round, but the injury to Rondo may have derailed their playoff hopes." It would be a miracle if Rondo was able to play in Game 6, and even if he does, he won't be 100 percent. Take BOS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-27-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 196 | Top | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 58 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-25-17 | Jazz +3.5 v. Clippers | Top | 96-92 | Win | 100 | 13 h 27 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Utah Jazz. | |||||||
04-24-17 | Warriors v. Blazers +7.5 | Top | 128-103 | Loss | -110 | 28 h 38 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Trail Blazers. | |||||||
04-23-17 | Celtics -120 v. Bulls | 104-95 | Win | 100 | 6 h 18 m | Show | |
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04-23-17 | Rockets +1 v. Thunder | 113-109 | Win | 100 | 5 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Houston Rockets. The Thunder came out like gangbusters in Game 3, taking a double digit lead to the locker room at halftime. Houston out-scored them 30-22 in the fourth quarter, coming up just short in a 113-11 loss. I like the Rockets chances of getting off to a better start here in Game 4, and taking a commanding 3-1 series lead. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "James Harden played like an MVP in Game 1, scoring 37 points on 13-of-28 shooting, with nine assists and seven rebounds. Russell Westbrook really struggled, shooting just 6-of-23 from the field and 3-of-11 from beyond the arc. The Rockets crushed the Thunder on the boards, out-rebounding them 56-41. The final score was 118-87, and that shouldn't be much of a surprise considering the history between the two teams. The Rockets won three of four in the regular season series, and the last game at Houston (in the regular season) was a 137-125 win for the Rockets. Houston was one of the league's best home teams, while Oklahoma City had a losing record on the road. Oklahoma City has covered the spread just once in the last 11 meetings between the two teams, failing to cover in six of their last seven in Houston. Westbrook's "one man show" might play well for the fans during the regular season (in Oklahoma City), but it's not going to fly here in the playoffs." Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-22-17 | Warriors v. Blazers OVER 217 | Top | 119-113 | Win | 100 | 12 h 14 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GS@POR to go OVER the total. | |||||||
04-21-17 | Clippers v. Jazz UNDER 197 | Top | 111-106 | Loss | -108 | 32 h 51 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on LAC@UTAH to go UNDER the total. After back to back unders in the first two games in this series, I don't think there's any reason to expect a different result when the series shifts to Utah. Here is what I said prior to Game 2: "The Jazz upset the Clippers in Game 1, holding LA to 95 points on 44.4 percent shooting. Utah led the NBA in opponent's scoring average during the regular season, allowing just 96.8 points per game. Game 1 of this series fell well short of the total, and it was the fourth time in Utah's last five games at LA that the total landed below the number. Utah has also gone under in four of it's last five road games. The Clippers are an above average defensive team, and here in a "must win", they should step up the intensity. DeAndre Jordan ranks third in the NBA averaging three blocks per game, and he blocked three shots in Game 1. Playoff basketball is often a lot more defensive than the style of play seen during the regular season. That is evidenced by the fact that the Jazz have gone under in five straight Conference Quarterfinals games, and LA has failed to reach the total in five of their last seven in the first round of the playoffs." Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-20-17 | Raptors v. Bucks UNDER 197 | Top | 77-104 | Win | 100 | 29 h 48 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@MIL to go UNDER the total. I hit the under in Game 1 of this series, and then I didn't have a bet on Game 2, when the total went way over. Both teams shot close to 50 percent from three-point range in Game 2, well above their season averages. That's unlikely to happen again here in Milwaukee in Game 3. I expect tonight's game to be similar to Game 1, and here is what I had to say before this series started: "The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in the playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points" Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-19-17 | Thunder v. Rockets -8 | Top | 111-115 | Loss | -102 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets. | |||||||
04-18-17 | Jazz v. Clippers UNDER 197.5 | Top | 91-99 | Win | 100 | 12 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UTA@LAC to go UNDER the total. Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-17-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs OVER 188.5 | Top | 82-96 | Loss | -105 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@SA to go OVER the total. The Spurs put on a defensive clinic in Game 1 of this first round series versus Memphis, holding the Grizzlies to just 39.2 percent shooting in a 111-82 home win. That game still went over the total of 190, and the total for tonight's game is even lower than it was in Game 1. I expect Memphis to battle back here in Game 2, and they should be a little better offensively. The Grizzlies trailed by just three points at the half in Game 1 (52-49). They only managed to score 33 points in the second half, but the Spurs didn't slow down at all. San Antonio hit 10-of-19 three-point attempts, and shot 53.2 percent from the field. While these are two of the top defensive teams in the NBA, the bookmakers may be overcompensating for that with a total that is far lower than it was in any of the five meetings in this series this season. The Spurs have gone over in four of their last five overall, while the Grizzlies have gone under just once in their last five games. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-16-17 | Blazers v. Warriors OVER 219.5 | Top | 109-121 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
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04-15-17 | Bucks v. Raptors UNDER 203.5 | Top | 97-83 | Win | 100 | 52 h 40 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@TOR to go UNDER the total. The Milwaukee Bucks will face the Raptors in Toronto tonight, and the Bucks lost three of four games in the season series. Three of those four games went under the total, and the Bucks scored an average of just 96.5 points in those games. Milwaukee had a strong second half, and finished ranked top 10 in the NBA in opponent's scoring average. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in eight of their last 10 versus the Raptors, and four of their last five at Toronto. Scoring normally goes down in he playoffs, and the under is 9-2-2 in Milwaukee's last 13 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Raptors have gone under in six of their last seven Conference Quarterfinals games. Last year in their first round series versus the Pacers, six of seven games failed to reach a total of 200 points. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-15-17 | Pacers v. Cavs UNDER 213 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 49 h 36 m | Show |
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04-06-17 | Bucks v. Pacers UNDER 205 | Top | 89-104 | Win | 100 | 6 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@IND to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
04-04-17 | Bulls -155 v. Knicks | Top | 91-100 | Loss | -155 | 15 h 5 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Chicago Bulls. The Bulls are one of the league's hottest teams, coming into New York as winners of four straight. Jimmy butler is the Player of the Week, scoring an average of over 30 points in his last five games. The Knicks have won just twice in their last nine games, and veteran stars Carmelo Anthony, Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah have all been sidelined by injuries. Anthony is hoping to play in the Knicks final five games, but has only played in two of New York's last five. Chicago has adjusted well without Dwyane Wade, winning six of nine since he last played. Rajon Rondo has stepped up, averaging 11.6 points, 8.4 assists and 6.1 rebounds in the last nine games. The Knicks have had Chicago's number in recent meetings, but the Knicks don't have a lot to play for here, and Chicago can still clinch a playoff spot. Take CHI. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-03-17 | North Carolina -125 v. Gonzaga | Top | 71-65 | Win | 100 | 19 h 28 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. It's hard to argue that the two best teams haven't made it to this year's NCAA Final. The Gonzaga Bulldogs were almost undefeated during the regular season, and were ranked #1 overall for several weeks. The Tar Heels come in as the ACC champs, and the team that lost in the Final to Villanova last year. They watched the Wildcats celebrate after winning with a buzzer beater as time expired, but here they have a chance to exercise those demons. I bet against Gonzaga in the Final Four, and said the following prior to their game against the Gamecocks: "The Bulldogs are the heavy favorite here, coming in as a #1 seed with a record of 36-1. It's important to consider that all their impressive stats are skewed due to the fact that they play in one of the country's weakest conferences, beating up on bottom feeders for most of the regular season. While they blew out Xavier in their Elite Eight matchup, they narrowly escaped with close wins in tight games against Northwestern and West Virginia before that." The Tar Heels had a far more impressive run to the Finals, and their overall resume is far more impressive. There's something to be said for "being here before", and that should prove to be advantage for the Tar Heels. Take UNC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-01-17 | Magic v. Nets -155 | Top | 111-121 | Win | 100 | 15 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Brooklyn Nets. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
04-01-17 | South Carolina +7 v. Gonzaga | 73-77 | Win | 100 | 15 h 38 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the South Carolina Gamecocks. I certainly never expected South Carolina to make it to the Final Four, especially after finishing the regular season with six losses in their final nine games. They did go 12-6 in the SEC this year though, and this team has come together at the right time. They have already taken down 2, 3 and 4 seeds (Duke, Baylor, FLA). The Bulldogs are now in uncharted territory, playing in the Final Four for the first time. The Bulldogs are the heavy favorite here, coming in as a #1 seed with a record of 36-1. It's important to consider that all their impressive stats are skewed due to the fact that they play in one of the country's weakest conferences, beating up on bottom feeders for most of the regular season. While they blew out Xavier in their Elite Eight matchup, they narrowly escaped with close wins in tight games against Northwestern and West Virginia before that. The Gamecocks are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 neutral site games as an underdog. They are also 38-18-1 ATS in their last 57 non-conference games. Take SOCAR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-31-17 | Rockets v. Warriors -8 | Top | 98-107 | Win | 100 | 14 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Golden State Warriors. Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-30-17 | Georgia Tech +3.5 v. TCU | Top | 56-88 | Loss | -110 | 22 h 25 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech was one of the top defensive teams in the ACC this year, but during the regular season the offense often failed to click. That hasn't been the case here in the NIT Tournament, as the Yellow Jackets have averaged over 71 points per game on 44.8 percent shooting over their last five. Defense is still their strength though, holding opponents to just 61.6 points per game on 37 percent shooting during that span. They will play TCU in the NIT Final at Madison Square Garden, and they looked pretty comfortable in New York in their 76-61 win over Cal State Bakersfield in the Semi Final. For whatever reason, bettors aren't that fond of Georgia Tech. They are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 games overall, but they are actually getting points here against a mediocre BIG12 team. Georgia Tech has covered the spread in six straight versus teams from the BIG12. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-29-17 | Wizards v. Clippers -5 | 124-133 | Win | 100 | 20 h 14 m | Show | |
The Washington Wizards have struggled on the road all season long, and playing the Clippers in LA on back to back nights looks like a particularly tough spot. The Clippers have been playing well, winning three of their last four home games. They should have made it four straight wins at home but blew a 15 point lead in the final five minutes in a shocking 98-97 loss to the Kings Sunday. They've had a couple days off to regroup, and I expect them to come out focused here, looking to put that loss behind them. The Clippers have won seven of 10 meetings with Washington since 2012, and they won all five home games during that span. Washington trailed by 16 with two minutes to play in the 3rd quarter in last night's win over the Lakers. With the victory they clinched first place in the Southeast Division, setting them up for a massive let down here tonight. Take LAC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-29-17 | Hornets v. Raptors -6 | 110-106 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 3 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Toronto Raptors. The Charlotte Hornets are coming off a 118-108 home loss to Milwaukee, and they play on back to back nights north of the border Wednesday. The Raptors are coming off a blowout win at home over Orlando (131-112). Toronto has won six of the last eight head to head meetings, and four straight home meetings in this series. Toronto is coming in riding a six game winning streak, and it's going to be hard for the Hornets to halt that while playing on no rest. The Hornets are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest, and 9-19-2 ATS in their last 30 road games versus a team with a winning home record. DeMar Derozan is lighting it up lately, averaging over 31 points per game over his last five. Toronto shot an incredible 59 percent from the field in Monday's win over Orlando. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-29-17 | Hawks v. 76ers UNDER 208 | 99-92 | Win | 100 | 20 h 34 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on ATL@PHI to go UNDER the total. The Atlanta Hawks finally snapped a seven game losing streak with a 95-91 home win over Phoenix. It was their eighth consecutive game failing to score over 100 points, but they turned up the heat defensively. The Hawks are banged up, missing leading scorer Paul Millsap and forwards Kent Bazemore and Thabo Sefolosha. While they still sit in fifth place in the Eastern Conference standings, eighth place Miami is just two games back. Atlanta can't afford to keep on losing, and I expect them to play inspired basketball coming off last night's win. The total for tonight's game looks a little high, especially considering the last time these two teams met the number was under 200. In fact they have only gone over tonight's number twice in the last 10 meetings. Atlanta has gone under in 15 of it's last 20 overall, and that's a trend that should continue tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-28-17 | Nuggets v. Blazers -140 | Top | 113-122 | Win | 100 | 24 h 55 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-26-17 | Grizzlies +10 v. Warriors | Top | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 38 m | Show |
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03-26-17 | Grizzlies v. Warriors OVER 208 | Top | 94-106 | Loss | -110 | 14 h 37 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MEM@GS to go Over the total. The Warriors have their mojo back, coming into tonight's home game against the Grizzlies as winners of six straight. They've scored over 110 points in their last five games, but they haven't reached the total in any of their last nine games. Bookmakers have noticed, and the total for tonight's game is much lower than it was in any of the last five meetings in this series. Three of those games went over the total, but both these teams are riding under trends at the moment. Steph Curry has been heating up, hitting 53.2 percent from the field and 48.9 percent from beyond the arc over his last five games. These teams have met twice this season, and both of those games went way over. I expect both teams to go over 100 points here tonight, and it looks like the value lies with a play on over. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-26-17 | Kentucky v. North Carolina -140 | Top | 73-75 | Win | 100 | 29 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on UNC. | |||||||
03-25-17 | Wolves v. Blazers -7 | Top | 100-112 | Win | 100 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Portland Blazers. Portland is one of the hottest teams in the league right now, and this is starting to look like another late season push for the playoffs like we saw last year. The Blazers have won nine of their last 12, and their last three wins have been in games decided by double-digits. The Minnesota Timberwolves are in town tonight, playing their second game of a back to back and coming in as losers of five straight. Four of those five losses were by 10 or more points, and that includes last night's 130-119 loss at the Lakers. That loss was particularly disturbing, blowing an eight point lead in the final 2 and a half minutes. The Wolves are likely to lay down here in a tough spot against a hungry Blazers team, and I expect a blowout. Take POR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-25-17 | Oregon v. Kansas -6.5 | 74-60 | Loss | -116 | 20 h 40 m | Show | |
This is a 10* play on the Kansas Jayhawks. | |||||||
03-24-17 | Wisconsin v. Florida -135 | Top | 83-84 | Win | 100 | 81 h 19 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Florida Gators. | |||||||
03-24-17 | Hawks v. Bucks UNDER 203.5 | Top | 97-100 | Win | 100 | 19 h 6 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on ATL@MIL to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-24-17 | South Carolina v. Baylor -165 | 70-50 | Loss | -165 | 18 h 15 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Baylor Bears. Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-24-17 | Nuggets v. Pacers UNDER 220.5 | Top | 125-117 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on DEN@IND to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-24-17 | Pistons v. Magic UNDER 207 | Top | 87-115 | Win | 100 | 18 h 5 m | Show |
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03-23-17 | Clippers -4 v. Mavs | 95-97 | Loss | -110 | 20 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the LAC. | |||||||
03-23-17 | Grizzlies v. Spurs UNDER 199 | Top | 90-97 | Win | 100 | 20 h 23 m | Show |
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03-23-17 | Suns v. Nets -4 | Top | 98-126 | Win | 100 | 19 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Brooklyn Nets. The Nets have been quite competitive lately, coming into tonight's home game against Phoenix as winners of three of their last six. The Suns have lost five straight and seven of their last eight overall. Injuries have taken their toll on Phoenix, with Eric Bledsoe, Tyson Chandler and Brandon Knight done for the remainder of the season. Jeremy Lin has been in and out of the lineup for the Nets, but he's expected to play in tonight's game. The Suns have not performed well in previous meetings with Brooklyn, failing to cover in eight of the last 11 meetings, and losing four of their last five at Brooklyn. The Nets won the last meeting by a score of 122-104 in Phoenix back in November. Nets center Brook Lopez is lighting it up lately, averaging 26 points per game over his last five. He scored 29 points in Tuesday's win over the Pistons, and he should fill the stat sheet here against a defensively challenged Phoenix team. Take BKN. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-23-17 | Michigan v. Oregon +1.5 | Top | 68-69 | Win | 100 | 54 h 12 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oregon Ducks. | |||||||
03-22-17 | Pistons -125 v. Bulls | Top | 95-117 | Loss | -125 | 20 h 35 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Detroit Pistons. Both the Bulls and the Pistons are coming off tough losses last night, and the two teams will play the second game of a back to back in Chicago tonight. The Bulls loss in Toronto was particularly tough, blowing a big lead and losing in overtime. They are also likely to lose big man Robin Lopez, after he was ejected for exchanging punches with Serge Ibaka. The league is likely to issue a suspension of some sort prior to tonight's game. Losing their leading rebounder is likely to hurt the Bulls against a Detroit team that is among the leagues best when it comes to rebounding. The Pistons are just one game back of Miami for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East, and I believe they are far more motivated to make the playoffs than are the Bulls. Chicago has already lost veteran Dywane Wade for the season, and there is a toxic atmosphere in the locker room. The issues are often magnified when coming off a tough loss, blowing a late lead. Everybody is going to be pointing fingers. The Pistons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 versus Chicago, and they've won and covered in three of the last four meetings in this series. Take DET. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-21-17 | Georgia Tech v. Ole Miss -5 | Top | 74-66 | Loss | -110 | 23 h 60 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Ole Miss Rebels. The Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets are coming off back to back impressive wins in the NIT Tournament. Both of those were home games though, and they have really struggled on the road. Their most recent road game was a blowout loss (90-61) at Syracuse, where the Rebels just beat the Orange by a score of 85-80. The Yellow Jackets come into Mississippi as losers of seven straight road games. While they do play strong defense, they simply can't seem to score enough points on the road. Georgia Tech has averaged just 63.3 points per game on 42.1 percent shooting in road games, which is roughly 17 points fewer than the Rebels average at home. The Yellow Jackets are 1-5 ATS in their last six road games following three or more consecutive home games. The Rebels have covered the spread in five straight non conference games, and six of their last seven home games. Take MISS. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-21-17 | Bulls v. Raptors -6.5 | 120-122 | Loss | -110 | 16 h 27 m | Show | |
The Bulls have lost seven of their last nine overall, and they have dropped all the way to 10th place in the Eastern Conference. It's looking less likely by the day that the Bulls will be playing in the post-season, but as I said a few weeks ago, I don't think they are all that interested in getting their butts kicked by Cleveland in the first round. Dywane Wade is done for the year, and the looker room remains divided between players and coaching staff. The Raptors are starting to look like the playoff contender they were supposed to be, coming in as winners of three of their last four. They've lost 11 straight to the Bulls, and that's something that hasn't been lost on Dwane Casey: "Set the tone defensively from start to finish from the jump ball. That's the way we have to play and continue. Whatever we have to do to get this (monkey) off our back against Chicago, they beat us 11 in a row and that has to stop. Collectively, whatever we have to do defensively and offensively to set the tone, we have to do that." I expect a motivated Raptors teams to win big here at home in a game with massive playoff implications. Take TOR. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-19-17 | Kings v. Spurs UNDER 202.5 | Top | 102-118 | Loss | -103 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SAC@SA to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-19-17 | Pacers v. Raptors UNDER 201.5 | Top | 91-116 | Loss | -110 | 18 h 49 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on IND@TOR to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-19-17 | TCU v. Iowa -125 | 94-92 | Loss | -125 | 16 h 14 m | Show | |
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03-19-17 | Michigan v. Louisville -150 | 73-69 | Loss | -150 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Louisville Cardinals. | |||||||
03-19-17 | Belmont v. Georgia Tech -170 | 57-71 | Win | 100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets. The Yellow Jackets are 15-4 at home this season, coming off a double digit win over the Indiana Hoosiers in the first round of the NIT Tournament. They have covered the spread in eight of their last nine home games, and have held opponents to just 61.6 points per game on 36.5 percent shooting at home. The most impressive thing about those numbers is that they played the likes of North Carolina, Notre Dame, Duke, Virginia and Florida State. Belmont has an impressive resume in it's own right, but the Bruins were not as impressive when playing outside their conference. They lost to Vanderbilt, Florida, Rhode Island and Middle Tennessee State. The Yellow Jackets are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5, while Belmont have failed to cover in five of it's last seven as an underdog. Take GT. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-18-17 | Iowa State +1 v. Purdue | Top | 76-80 | Loss | -105 | 16 h 9 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Iowa State Cyclones. | |||||||
03-18-17 | St. Mary's v. Arizona -180 | 60-69 | Win | 100 | 31 h 46 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Arizona Wildcats. | |||||||
03-18-17 | Wisconsin v. Villanova OVER 128 | Top | 65-62 | Loss | -115 | 15 h 11 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on WISC@VILL to go OVER the total. The Badgers are known for playing lock down defense, but they've given up over 70 points in each of their last two games. They lost to Michigan in the Final of the BIG10 Tournament, and the Wolverines shot out the lights in that game. They hit 56.3 percent from the field and went 10-of-23 from beyond the arc. It was Wisconsin that put on a three-point shooting clinic in their win over Virginia Tech. They made 13 of 31 attempts, and Bronson Koenig led the way with 28 points, and eight made three-pointers. Villanova has also been doing it's fair share of scoring, averaging 78.8 points on 50.2 percent shooting over it's last five games. Both teams have shot the ball extremely well in their previous games at this venue (KeyBank Center) in Buffalo, and I expect to see a fair bit of scoring in Saturday's game. Take OVER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-17-17 | Michigan State v. Miami (FL) -1 | Top | 78-58 | Loss | -110 | 120 h 39 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Miami Hurricanes. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-17-17 | Raptors v. Pistons UNDER 200.5 | Top | 87-75 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on TOR@DET to go UNDER the total. The Raptors offense has struggled in the absence of starting PG Kyle Lowry, and they've averaged just 96 points per game over their last six. Four of those games were losses, including a 104-89 loss at Miami on Saturday. That was the last time they played on back to back nights, a situation that has seen them fail to reach the total in four straight. They've also gone under in eight of their last nine when coming off a loss. They will visit Detroit, a team that is battling for the final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. The Pistons are level on points with ninth place Miami, and only occupy the eighth spot by virtue of the tie breaker. Chicago is only a game back in 10th place, meaning that this is very much a must win for Detroit. The Pistons have gone under in four straight home games, and they are one of the top defensive teams in the Eastern Conference. I expect a defensive battle here at the Palace tonight. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-17-17 | Rhode Island v. Creighton -102 | Top | 84-72 | Loss | -102 | 14 h 2 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on Creighton. On day 1 of the tournament, we saw two of the nation's longest winning streaks snapped when Princeton and Vermont lost in the first round. The public has been heavily invested in teams coming in riding hot streaks, and we can see that 60 percent of bettors are backing the Rams. Rhode Island comes off eight straight wins, but all against unranked teams from the A-10 Conference. The Blue Jays battle it out with the nation's Big Boys in the BIG East. Two of their last three losses came against defending champions Villanova. They scored an average of 84.3 points on 51.8 percent shooting at neutral sites this season. The Rams success in a lesser conference shouldn't be considered evidence that they can compete with the top teams in the country. They are 2-5 ATS in their last seven non-conference games, and have failed to cover in four of their last five versus teams from the BIG East. Take CRE. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-17-17 | Oklahoma State +2.5 v. Michigan | Top | 91-92 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Oklahoma State Cowboys. On day 1 of the tournament, we saw two of the nation's longest winning streaks snapped when Princeton and Vermont lost in the first round. The public has been heavily invested in teams coming in riding hot streaks, and we can see that 70 percent of bettors are backing the Wolverines here in their first round matchup versus Oklahoma State. Michigan won the BIG10 Tournament, and has won seven of it's last eight overall. They might have lost whatever momentum they might of had though, as they played five games in seven days, then had the entire week off. The Cowboys won 20 games in the regular season (the same as Michigan) in a much tougher BIG12 Conference. Most of Michigan's wins came at home, winning just three of 11 on the road. The Cowboys were 7-5 on the road, and they are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. Michigan didn't fare well outside the BIG10, failing to cover in five of it's last seven non-conference games. Take OKST. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-17 | VCU v. St. Mary's -4 | Top | 77-85 | Win | 100 | 93 h 9 m | Show |
This is a play on the St. Mary's Gaels. St. Mary's only lost four games this season, and three of those losses came against the #4 ranked Gonzaga Bulldogs. Admittedly the West Coast Conference is one of the weaker leagues in the country, but the Gaels had an impressive non-conference schedule. They beat Nevada by 18 points, won at Dayton, and won by 15 points at Stanford. They rank among the nations best defensively, allowing just 56.5 points per game on 40.9 percent shooting. They will face VCU in the first round of the NCAA Tournament, and the Rams didn't look sharp in their most recent games. They needed overtime to beat a pretty mediocre Richmond team, and then got blown out by Rhode Island in the A-10 Final. St. Mary's lost badly to Gonzaga in the WCC Final, but they beat BYU by a whopping 30 points in their previous game. The Gaels won 28 games this year, 26 of those were decided by double digits. Take SMC. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-16-17 | Princeton v. Notre Dame -6.5 | Top | 58-60 | Loss | -105 | 86 h 0 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Notre Dame Irish. Notre Dame finished the season strong, and pushed Duke to the limit in the ACC Championship Game Saturday. They came into that contest as winners of seven of their previous eight, beating #21 ranked Virginia and winning twice against #16 Florida State during that span. Princeton won plenty of games in the Ivy League, but they don't have any wins against ranked opponents. In fact, they haven't even played a Top 25 team this season. The Tigers non-conference schedule includes double digits losses to BYU, VCU and CAL. They even lost by eight points against A-10 bottom feeders St. Joseph's. Despite playing a far tougher schedule, the Irish scored more points, shot for a higher percentage, and were far better at the free throw line. This looks like quite a mismatch, and I don't think the Irish will have any trouble getting past the Ivy League champs. Take ND. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-15-17 | USC v. Providence +1 | Top | 75-71 | Loss | -110 | 68 h 56 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Providence Friars. | |||||||
03-15-17 | Wolves v. Celtics UNDER 211 | Top | 104-117 | Loss | -110 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
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03-14-17 | Indiana v. Georgia Tech +3 | Top | 63-75 | Win | 100 | 17 h 32 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on GT. | |||||||
03-13-17 | Bucks v. Grizzlies UNDER 204 | Top | 93-113 | Loss | -110 | 31 h 21 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIL@MEM to go UNDER the total. The Bucks come into Memphis riding a six game winning streak, and they now occupy the eighth and final playoff spot in the Eastern Conference. During this win streak, they've played phenomenal defense, holding opponents under 100 points in five straight games. They don't have much margin for error, with Miami sitting just a game back in the standings. The Grizzlies are likely to play with a ton of desperation here as they look to end a five game losing streak. Even though they've been brutal defensively during their losing streak, Memphis is still the 4th best defensive team in the NBA allowing just over 100 points per game. These teams have a history of playing low scoring games, failing to reach the total in nine of the last 10. The one game that went over, was a 99-90 home win for Memphis. The under is 22-8-1 in Grizzlies last 31 home games. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-12-17 | Cavs v. Rockets -5 | Top | 112-117 | Push | 0 | 14 h 53 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on the Houston Rockets. The Cavs ended a three game losing streak with a 116-104 win over the Magic in Orlando Saturday, and they will travel West to play the Rockets in Houston Sunday. The Cavs have been careful with LeBron James in these back to back situations this season, and that's one reason why they are 1-5 ATS in their last six in the second game in as many nights. While LeBron is likely to play tonight, his minutes could be limited, and if the game gets out of hand the starters could get yanked early. Kyle Korver is out with a foot injury, and Kevin Love is still recovering from surgery. Cleveland hasn't had a lot of success in previous trips to Houston, failing to cover in 10 of their last 11. The Rockets have 45 wins this season, two more than the Cavs. This looks like a tough spot for a Cleveland team with not a lot to prove at this point. Take HOU. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-12-17 | Michigan v. Wisconsin -1 | Top | 71-56 | Loss | -115 | 13 h 8 m | Show |
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03-11-17 | Duke -3 v. Notre Dame | Top | 75-69 | Win | 100 | 11 h 28 m | Show |
This is 10* play on Duke. | |||||||
03-11-17 | Wolves v. Bucks UNDER 202.5 | Top | 95-102 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on MIN@MIL to go UNDER the total. Both the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Milwaukee Bucks are making a push for the post-season. The Bucks have won five straight, and they've held the opposition to an average of 94 points in those games. Minnesota has won four of five, and has held opponents to an average of 91.6 points during that span. They come off a 103-102 home win over the Warriors last night, but they are still 2.5 games back of Denver for the final playoff spot in the West. These two teams have a history of playing low scoring games, going under in nine of the last 12. The stakes are higher here than they were in any of those previous meetings, and I expect to see both teams play solid defense. The Bucks have failed to reach the total in six of their last seven overall, and four of their last five at home. They trailed Indiana by five points at halftime last night, but only gave up 35 points to the Pacers in the second half. I expect a similar result here in tonight's game. Take UNDER. GL, Jesse Schule | |||||||
03-11-17 | Colorado State v. Nevada -4 | 71-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 23 m | Show | |
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03-10-17 | Pacers v. Bucks -140 | 85-99 | Win | 100 | 16 h 9 m | Show | |
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03-09-17 | San Diego State v. Boise State -102 | Top | 87-68 | Loss | -102 | 13 h 55 m | Show |
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03-09-17 | Spurs v. Thunder UNDER 213.5 | Top | 92-102 | Win | 100 | 20 h 10 m | Show |
This is a 10* play on SA@OKC to go UNDER the total. | |||||||
03-09-17 | Texas +11.5 v. West Virginia | 53-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
This is an 8* play on the Texas Longhorns. |
Service | Profit |
---|---|
William Burns | $995 |
Ray Monohan | $822 |
Jim Feist | $505 |
ProSportsPicks | $276 |
Marc Lawrence | $253 |
Jack Jones | $175 |
Kyle Hunter | $80 |
Big Al McMordie | $66 |
Ross Benjamin | $55 |
Rocky Atkinson | $43 |