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Ricky Tran

Game Details
Apr 21 '19, 3:35 PM in 14h
NBA | Warriors vs Clippers
Play on: Warriors -9 -106 at pinnacle
Game Analysis

Ricky's 1* Free Play on the Golden State Warriors.

I had a play on the Warriors in their Game 3 win. If you didn’t get a chance to read that analysis, I believe it’s worth a quick look right now, as for the most part the logic behind that one directly pertains to this particular selection as well for me:

As a “key angle” I stated: History of success when dealing with adversity. Golden State dominated in its 121-104 home win in Game 1, but then collapsed in LA’s 135-131 historic come from behind win in Game 2. Can anyone say “letdown spot” for the Clippers here? The Warriors have won championships without DeMarcus Cousins and if they’re going to do it this season again, they’ll have to do it without the big man, as he tore his achilles in the Game 2 setback. Golden State though is filled with veteran talent and I expect it to step up and take advantage of this content Clippers side with a resounding victory.

Key Trends:

- Golden State is 12-7 ATS in its last 19 when playing with two days rest.

- The Warriors are 16-10 ATS in their last 26 after scoring 110 points or more in four straight games.

- The Clippers are a horrible 11-21 ATS in their last 32 as a home underdog, including only 3-9 ATS this year.

The verdict: I think the Clippers have hit the wall. Golden State is without Cousins, but its veteran core is about to close out this opening round series strong in my opinion. Consider the defending champs in Game 4!

Pick Released on Apr 19 at 11:35 am
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