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Ricky's 1* play on the Oilers.
Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the Kings recent trade sending their leading scorer to Vancouver is particularly significant.
- The Kings are 24-55 in their last 79 games as an underdog.
- The Kings are 2-6 in their last eight home games.
- The Kings are 7-19 in their last 26 overall.
The verdict: look for visitors to jump all over the home team.
1* NCAAB - Free Pick on Utah Utes +1½
Utah is definitely worth a look as a home dog against USC in Sunday's Pac-12 matchup. The Utes suffered their 3rd straight loss in a rare home setback to UCLA to fall to 10-2 at the Huntsman Center. We are definitely getting value because of their 3-game losing streak.
Add in the revenge angle here from an earlier loss at USC and there's a lot to like with Utah. The Utes are 36-18 ATS last 54 at home off 2 or more consecutive losses, which improves to 13-4 ATS if off back-to-back losses by 10 or more. Utah is also 17-5 ATS last 22 at home when revenging a same season loss.
This is also a tough spot for USC. Trojans are fresh off a 66-70 loss at Colorado. That's 3 straight losses and 4 of 5 in true road games for USC. Teams off a loss by 6 or less (USC) against an opponent off 2 straight losses by 10 or more with a line of +3 to -3 are a mere 57-105 (35%) ATS the last 5 seasons. Take Utah!